KEY PRINCIPLES: Assessing Medical Practice Financial Value via U.S.P.A.P. Rules

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When it comes to purchasing a medical practice, there are a variety of factors that one must consider in evaluating the worth of the practice. Assessing the value of a practice is fraught with potential landmines if one does not go into the process with a strong understanding of some key principles to medical practice valuation.

   According to the Dictionary of Health Economics and Finance, practice valuation is the “formal process of determining the worth of healthcare or other medical business entity at a specific point in time and the act or process of determining fair market value.” Fair market value is defined as “ … the price at which a willing buyer will buy and a willing seller will sell an asset in an open free market with full disclosure.”

   The Internal Revenue Service (IRS) Revenue Ruling 59-60 clearly states that fair market value “is essentially a future prophecy and must be based on facts available at the required date of appraisal.”

   Unfortunately, one cannot directly observe the value of a medical practice as there are a number of underlying issues. Obviously, the buyer and seller are pursuing opposite objectives, and this reality is not necessarily conducive to facilitating clarity on those issues.

   Accordingly, let us consider a few mistakes that are commonly made by physicians who are considering the purchase of a medical practice.

A Guide To The Myths And Realities Of Medical Practice Valuation

   • Valuations are material representations providing a range of transferable worth.
   • Valuations are reproducible estimates based on economic assumptions.
   • Valuations are not “back of the envelope multiples” using specious benchmarks.
   • Valuations are defensible and should be “signed off” by the completing firm attesting to origination guidelines and in accordance with the Uniform Standards of Professional Appraisal Practice (USPAP) and IRS formats as needed.
   • Financial accounting value (book value) is not fair market value.
   • Professional valuators represent only one party. The buyer or seller-owner is the client.
   • Unbiased valuators do not provide financing or equity participation schemes.

Knowing The Distinctions Among Engagement Types

   The Institute of Medical Business Advisors uses three levels that approximate engagement types for the industry. These levels are comprehensive valuation, limited valuation and ad-hoc valuation.

   A comprehensive valuation is an extensive service designed to provide an unambiguous opinion of the value range. It is supported by all procedures that valuators deem relevant with mandatory onsite review. This gold standard is suitable for contentious situations like divorce, partnership dissolution, estate planning and gifting, etc. The written opinion of value is applicable for litigation support activities like depositions and trial. It is also useful for external reporting to bankers, investors, the public and IRS, etc.

   A limited valuation lacks additional suggested USPAP procedures. It is considered to be an “agreed upon procedure,” which is used in circumstances in which the client is the only user. For example, one may use the limited valuation when updating a buy-sell agreement or when putting together a practice buy-in for a valued associate. This limited valuation would not be for external purposes. No onsite visit is needed. A formal opinion of value is not rendered.

   An ad-hoc valuation is a low level engagement that provides a gross and non-specific approximation of value based on limited limited parameters or concerns by involved parties. Neither a written report nor an opinion of value is rendered. The ad-hoc valuation is often used periodically as an internal organic growth/decline gauge.

Are You Following Industry Standards And Rules?

   Specifically, when it comes to USPAP transactions involving physician practices, the following points are implied by the industry and the IRS.

   • Discounted cash flow analysis is the most relevant income approach and must be done on an “after-tax” basis. It generally produces a higher value but is costly, detail-oriented and time consuming.
   • Project practice collections based on reasonable assumptions for the practice and market, etc.
   • Physician compensation is based on market rates consistent with age, experience and productivity.
   • Majority (control) premiums and minority (lack of control) discounts are also to be considered. A majority premium is the amount paid to gain enough ownership to set policies, direct operations and make decisions for the practice. A minority discount for partial ownership does not allow this power. Thus, majority ownership is valuated higher than minority ownership purchase.

What About Personal Goodwill And Practice Goodwill?

   Goodwill represents the difference between practice purchase price and the value of the net assets. Personal goodwill results from the charisma, skills and reputation of a specific doctor. These attributes accrue solely to the individual, are not transferable and cannot be sold. Personal goodwill has little or no economic value.

   Transferable medical practice goodwill has value, may be transferred and is defined as the unidentified residual attributes that contribute to the propensity of patients and managed care contracts (and their revenue streams) to return in the future.

   However, bear in mind that the Goodwill Registry, an older source used to determine the average percentage of revenue contributed to practice goodwill, has sparse to no podiatry input, may be dated for some specialties and leads to abnormally high values.

   In addition to various multiple factors, one must also appreciate the impact of a changing environment and practice transfer in a local market, which can augment or blunt goodwill value. It is also important to determine whether patients or HMOs return because of true goodwill or are mandated to do so by contractual obligations.

   Now to further confuse the issue, how each kind of goodwill is allocated in situations like divorce depends on state law. For example, some courts weigh in on the apportionment of both kinds of goodwill, other courts exclude both kinds of goodwill and other courts pursue a case-by-case approach.

Understanding ‘Excess Earnings Capitalization’ And Compensation Issues

   Another way to determine goodwill value is through “excess earnings capitalization.” This economic method looks at the difference between salary and what you would have to pay a comparable doctor replacement.

   As an example, when you subtract the numbers and divide the result by 20 percent, an important percentage referred to as the capitalization rate emerges. The final number gives a dollar value for practice goodwill. Courts seem to prefer this method in divorce situations because it tends to reflect a practice’s current value.

   Regardless of the practice business model, physician compensation is inversely related to practice value. In other words, the more a doctor takes home in above average salary, the less the practice is generally worth and vice versa.

Emphasize Practice Specifics Over Benchmarks And Formulas

   In the stable economic past, physicians may have used industry benchmarks as quick and inexpensive substitutes for professionally prepared valuations. However, this practice can be fraught with peril if challenged. The courts seem to frown on this simplistic and dated methodology. Moreover, generic benchmark formulas assume a financial statement reporting standard that just does not exist with contemporary professional valuations.

   Therefore, almost every competitive issue that impacts value should be addressed with each practice engagement. This includes but is not limited to:

   • contemporary dislocations by third parties, Medicare and commercial payers;
   • retail clinics and changes in supply/ demand and specialty trends;
   • the rise of ambulatory surgery centers, walk-in clinics and specialty hospitals;
   • outsourced care and medical tourism;
   • alterations in resource based-relative value units, ambulatory payment classifications (APCs), diagnosis-related groups (DRGs) and newer Medicare-severity diagnosis-related groups (MS-DRGs); and
• the Medicare Modernization Act, HIPAA, OSHA, the EEOC and other regulations.

   One must also consider the impact of current employee trends to high-deductible health care plans and private concierge medicine. Another consideration is employer shifts away from defined benefits plans to defined contribution plans.

Aggregating Or ‘Normalizing’ Financial Information: What You Should Know

   In addition to possibly conducting employee interviews, one must gather appropriate financial information in order to properly value a practice. As a starting point, interested physician buyers should be able to see the following information for the most recent three-year period.

   • Practice (corporate) tax returns
   • Equipment/automobile leasing and/or tax depreciation schedules
   • Accounts receivable aging schedule
   • Consolidated financial statements (P&L, cash flow, balance sheet and retained earnings)
   • Prior buy-sell and/or non-compete agreements

   It is especially important to eliminate one-time, non-recurring practice expenses. These are adjusted for excessive or below normal expenses on the profit and loss statement. Such “normalization” can produce a big surprise for benchmark proponents and formula-driven advocates when a selling doctor runs personal expenditures through the practice that a buyer or court would not consider legitimate. Of course, one is less likely to encounter such shenanigans when the valuation is conducted according to professional USPAP and IRS style guidelines.

   For example, we recall one doctor who painted his home and wrote it off as a valid business expense. Deleting other major expenses such as country club memberships make a practice look more profitable. This is good news if you are selling it. It is bad news if you are getting a divorce.

   Conversely, you may have to defend legitimate business expenses that an appraiser may seek to normalize. For example, doctors may pay for a vehicle through their practice. If they use the vehicle to travel between multiple offices and hospitals, the expense may be legitimate.

   Also realize that the appraiser may also add expenses that have not been incurred. For example, the appraiser may add an office manager’s salary if your spouse is in that role for free. This produces a lower appraised value and is common in small podiatry practices. Honorarium is another example that does not figure into value calculations.

   Of course, normalization is a sophisticated and time intensive process. However, the expert earns his or her professional fee, and defends the resulting valuation range when challenged.

Keys To Selecting The Right Valuator Professional

   The most important credentials to look for are fiduciary level experience, specificity and independence. Some doctors mistakenly turn to those who may have never appraised a practice before. Just because an appraiser has initials behind his or her name, it does not mean he or she understands the peculiarities of medical specialties. Agents, brokers, solicitors and other intermediaries are not fiduciaries.

   Physicians looking to assess a practice for possible sale/purchase should only select an independent health economist, who will be your advocate under Securities Exchange Commission (SEC), IRS or other relevant managerial accounting guidelines.

   Moreover, be very wary if the valuation is not done in an independent manner or, worse, performed for both parties simultaneously.

Essential Insights On Professional Fees And What You Can Expect

   Of course, it is almost impossible to answer concerns regarding fees without specific information. The cost of a valuation can range from $0 to $50,000 for an onsite team of experts for behemoth practices and ambulatory surgery centers. Keep in mind that in most cases you want to ensure the value determination will stand up to IRS scrutiny so the $0 rule of thumb approach is not an option.

   However, most reputable firms use a blended fee schedule of fixed and hourly rates (plus expenses). Internists should expect to spend approximately $5,000 to $10,000 for an average sized practice and a limited appraisal that is completely suitable for most internal activities.

   External appraisals or poorly aggregated financial information, onsite reviews and litigation support services incur additional costs. However, most doctors find the money well spent. Expect to pay a retainer and sign a formal professional engagement letter.

   Finally, once the practice price is agreed upon, sales contract terms and agreements present a plethora of financing challenges for both parties to consider. For example, one must negotiate bank loans (if they are even available), payment rates and length, personal promissory guarantees, down payment offsets, earn-out arrangements and Uniform Commercial Codes.

Final Notes

   Do not be surprised if a sales broker does not consider the aforementioned issues as the modern health era emerges. Most agent-appraisers are predominantly concerned with earning commissions by working both transaction parties and may not represent your best interests. Also be aware that they are usually not obliged to disclose conflicts of interest and do not provide testimony as a court approved expert witness.

   However, it is a fait accompli that medical practice worth is presently deteriorating. As the population ages and third-party reimbursements plummet, doctors are commoditized and traditional retail medicine is replaced by more efficient wholesale business models like workplace health clinics. The subprime mortgage default fiasco, credit freeze, potential tax reform law expiration, the ACA, VBC, capitation payments and the political specter of a nationalized healthcare system only add fuel to the macroeconomic fires of uncertainty. Do not forget the corona pandemic.

   As a result, a good medical practice is no longer good business necessarily and retiring doctors can no longer automatically expect to extract premium sales prices. Moreover, uninformed young physicians should not be goaded to overpay.

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The Author

Dr. Marcinko is a nationally known speaker and the founding partner of the iMBA Inc and http://www.MedicalExecutivePost.com He is also the Academic Provost for http://www.CertifiedMedicalPlanner.org

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DAILY UPDATE: The US Economy of KH and Medicare [Part C] with Mixed Stock Markets

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The Wall Street Journal explores what Kamala Harris as president would mean for the economy. (the Wall Street Journal)

  • Q2 GDP was shockingly strong, with today’s reading of 2.8% growth outpacing the 2.1% economists expected.
  • The Japanese yen is rising while US tech stocks are falling.
  • You’re in my seat: Southwest Airlines is getting rid of its open seating arrangement and shifting to assigned seats.
  • 32 charts that tell you everything you need to know about markets midway through 2024 at a glance.
  • The Fed should cut interest rates at next week’s meeting, according to the former president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
  • Bill Ackman is trying to turn social media stardom into profit.

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Here’s where the major stock market benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) fell about 28 points (0.5%) to 5,399.22; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) rose 81 points (0.2%) to 39,935.07; the NASDAQ Composite ended 161 points lower (0.9%) at 17,181.72.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) dropped four basis points to 4.255%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX)declined 0.6% to 17.94.

What’s up

What’s down

  • Universal Music Group tumbled 23.54% after subscription and streaming revenues fell well short of analyst expectations.
  • Ford plummeted 18.40% for the automaker’s worst day of trading since 2009 after it missed profit expectations and provided no positive forecast for the quarters ahead.
  • Lululemon slid 9.09% thanks to a downgrade from Citi analysts from “buy” to “neutral” predicated on a sales slowdown.
  • Royal Caribbean sank 7.61% after the company indicated that it’s facing a slowdown in demand.
  • Edwards Lifesciences crashed 31.27% thanks to a mixed earnings report, as well as management’s guidance that sales for its key heart valve replacement therapy will sink next quarter.

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Thousands of seniors are losing coverage at local hospitals as problems plague Medicare Advantage. Lower payout rates for Medicare and Medicaid are sparking insurance companies to leave certain areas and change coverage options across the country.

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DAILY UPDATE: UnitedHealth, Aetna, Long Covid and Physician Burnout as NASDAQ Collapses

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The Dow surged another 240 points as the cyclical rotation continues, sending the index to its 22nd record closing high of the year. The S&P 500 had its worst day since late April, while the NASDAQ slumped to its worst finish since December 2022. The last time the Dow rose on the same day the S&P 500 fell by more than 1% was all the way back in 1999. Gold hit a record high yesterday on hopes of a rate cut, not a hike. Oil bubbled up thanks to an Energy Information Administration report highlighting higher demand and lower crude inventories. Bond yields stayed steady throughout the trading session before sinking slightly 20-year Treasury bond auction.

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) fell 78.93 points (–1.39%) to 5,588.27; the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 243.6 points (0.59%) to 41,198.08; the NASDAQ Composite plunged 512.41 points (–2.77%) to 17,996.92.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) dropped just below 4.15%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index jumped sharply to 14.48.

What’s up

  • VF Corp. rose 13.64% on the news that it is selling its Supreme brand to EssilorLuxottica for $1.5 billion.
  • Roche soared 7.55% after the Swiss pharmaceutical company announced it has made strides in developing a weight-loss and diabetes treatment that uses a pill rather than an injection. Competitors sank on the news, with Eli Lilly declining 3.78% and Novo Nordisk falling 3.87%.
  • GitLab popped 9.34% on a report that the software developer is exploring a sale, potentially to cloud company Datadog, whose shares fell 7.35%.
  • Johnson & Johnson rose a tepid 3.67% thanks to a mixed earnings announcement that included beating expectations this quarter but warning of lower profits ahead.

What’s down

  • Spirit Airlines descended 10.76% to a new all-time low after warning that both earnings and revenue will come in lower than expected this coming quarter.
  • Five Below plummeted 25.05% after its CEO, who has helmed the company for over a decade, announced his departure smack in the middle of a very difficult year.
  • J.B. Hunt tanked 6.88% thanks to a poor second-quarter earnings report in which earnings and revenue came in well below analyst expectations.
  • Charles Schwab fell yet another 5.34% as the hits keep coming. Today, the culprit was a price target downgrade from Bank of America analysts.
  • Elevance Health slipped 5.96% despite beating analyst expectations this quarter, but warning that Medicaid membership declined.

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UnitedHealth Group has bounced back in the second quarter, reaffirming its guidance for the year as it posts a profit of $4.2 billion


An audit of Aetna Health of Texas found significant errors in how the health plan calculated the qualifying payment amount for air ambulance services, raising more questions over broader noncompliance in the industry for the No Surprises Act.


And … clinical decision software company Regard pocketed $61 million in series B funding to scale its reach in healthcare as investors have a growing appetite for AI-powered startups.

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A study published in JAMA this month found that nearly 7% of the US population (or roughly 18 million people) have had long Covid. Symptoms of the condition vary widely, but often include fatigue, brain fog, and post-exertional malaise (meaning symptoms worsen after minimal exertion), according to the CDC. Booster shots may help protect against long Covid, the JAMA study suggested.

And, President Joe Biden tested positive for COVID-19 while campaigning in Las Vegas with ‘mild symptoms’.

Physician burnout is on the decline after spiking to unprecedented levels during the Covid-19 pandemic, according to a survey from professional group the American Medical Association (AMA).

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DAILY UPDATE: Apple, Macy’s, Goldman, Banks, Companies and the Roaring DJIA

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  • The Dow jumped 700 points at one point today, its biggest single-day surge this year. The S&P 500 spent the entire trading session in positive territory, ending the afternoon at another record close, while the NASDAQ was flat most of the day as tech stocks sat out the rally.
  • Bitcoin continued to surge, rising as high as $65,191 as predictions of a second Trump presidency helped erase the cryptocurrency’s recent losses.
  • Gold hit a new record as hopes of a rate hike continue to rise, while oil sank on the news of slower economic growth in China translating to lower demand for crude.
  • The Russell 2000 enjoyed its 5th straight gain of 1% or more for the first time since 1979 as small caps make their comeback (more on that below).

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Apple released public beta versions of the newest software for iPhone, Mac, iPad, and Apple Watch. Macy’s ended talks of a buyout with investment firms Arkhouse Management and Brigade Capital Management after months of wrangling. Goldman Sachs was the latest big bank to benefit from rebounding investment banking fees as deals start making a comeback.

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Despite such challenges as high interest rates, a sluggish M&A market, and increased regulatory scrutiny, bank executives are feeling optimistic about the road ahead. That’s according to KPMG’s 2024 US Banking Industry Outlook Survey, published last month, which polled 200 senior executives at US banks of varying sizes in March 2024.

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) rose 35.98 points (0.64%) to 5,667.20; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) climbed 742.76 points (1.85%) to 40,954.48; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) added 36.77 points (0.2%) to 18,509.34.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) fell slightly to just under 4.17%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) ticked up to 13.19, still near three-week highs.

What’s up

  • Match Group climbed 7.46% after activist investor Starboard Value revealed it has taken a 6.6% stake in the matchmaking company.
  • Bank of America rose 5.35% on strong earnings, and management’s expectation that the bank’s net interest income will rise this year.
  • UnitedHealth Group popped 6.49% after beating analyst earnings estimates, missing revenue expectations, and most importantly, avoided higher costs after a recent cyberattack.
  • Shopify surged 8.57% thanks to an analyst upgrade from “neutral” to “buy” on the company’s turnaround efforts. Shares of Etsy rose 6.33% in sympathy.
  • GRAIL boomed 24.76% on the news that it is kicking off the clinical trials of its new cancer detection test.
  • Home builders’ hot streak continues: Hopes of a rate cut are fueling a rally for home builder stocks, with D.R. Horton up 6.64%, Lennar rising 6.55%, KB Home gaining 7.17%, and Builders FirstSource popping 8.11%.

What’s down

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DAILY UPDATE: PBMs Scrutinized as Companies Report and Stock Markets Rotate

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Though the accountant shortage is still a concern, a shortage of AI and tech skills might be a more pressing issue right now. That’s according to a pulse survey by consulting firm RGP and YouGov, which polled 213 US financial professionals at the director level and above this June.

Read: What do you do when you hit your insurance deductible? Some people throw parties. (the New York Times)

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) rose 15.87 points (0.28%) to 5,631.22; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) climbed 210.82 points (0.53%) to 40,211.72, a new record-high close; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) added 74.12 points (0.4%) to 18,472.57. 
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) gained four basis points to just below 4.23%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) increased to 13.14, its highest close since June 24.

What’s up

  • Bitcoin-related stocks rose alongside the crypto rally today, with Coinbase up 11.39% and Microstrategy climbing 15.36%.
  • Gun manufacturers always rise after a major shooting incident, and the assassination attempt on Donald Trump certainly meets that criteria. Sturm, Ruger & Company jumped 5.44%, and Smith & Wesson rose 11.38%.
  • Stelco Holdings rocketed 73.98% higher on the news that the Canadian steelmaker will be acquired by Cleveland Cliffs for $2.8 billion.
  • AutoNation popped 2.01% on the news that it’s cutting $1.50 off of its EPS for the latest quarter due to the CDK cyberattack. Apparently getting ahead of the bad news is actually good news?

What’s down

  • Macy’s sank 11.76% after the department store’s board voted to end acquisition negotiations with activist investors Arkhouse and Brigade.
  • Burberry fell 16.08% after a poor quarterly report, a profit warning, and the ousting of its CEO.
  • AES plummeted 10.01% thanks to a storm cutting power to thousands of the utility company’s customers throughout Ohio.
  • SolarEdge Technologies dropped 15.36% after the company announced it will lay off 400 employees to improve profitability. Shares of solar competitors slumped in sympathy: First Solar fell 8.50%, Sunrun sank 8.95%, and Sunnova Energy fell 9.96%.

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The Federal Trade Commission (FTC) frequently sets its sights on healthcare, which has previously included efforts to crack down on data privacy and ban noncompetes in contracts. Lately, the agency has turned its attention to pharmacy benefit managers (PBMs)—the groups that negotiate drug prices between insurers and pharmaceutical manufacturers—to shed light on how they impact the healthcare industry.

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Stat: 23.5%. That’s how much Covid-related emergency room visits increased in a week at the beginning of this month. (CDC)

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HUMAN TOUCH: Needed in Medicine

By Staff Reporters

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According to Fierce Healthcare, 60% of patients say they are willing to switch doctors for a better communications experience, according to a survey. Patients want more of a “human touch” when texting their providers, like conversational message exchanges. 

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PODCAST: Shortages in Healthcare

By Eric Bricker MD

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MDs RETIRING: 23,000 Physicians Will Retire by 2026

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Thousands of doctors are expected to reach retirement age in the next three years, and their replacements won’t be physicians.

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Instead, physician assistants (PAs) and nurse practitioners (NPs) will increasingly provide primary care services, according to a report from consulting firm Mercer.

MORE: https://www.healthcare-brew.com/stories/2023/03/16/non-mds-will-provide-primary-care?cid=31157347.24865&mid=349b552221c994e2540a304649746d7c&utm_campaign=hcb&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_source=morning_brew

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RELATED: https://www.kevinmd.com/2023/04/rural-americas-health-care-crisis-unmasking-the-physician-shortage-epidemic.html

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DAILY UPDATE: Mike Bloomberg, Arianna Huffington and Andreessen Horowitz as Stock Markets Tread Lightly

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Most medical students at Johns Hopkins University won’t have to pay tuition anymore thanks to a $1 billion gift from Michael Bloomberg.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index®(SPX) rose 4.13 points (0.1%) to 5,576.98; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) fell 52.82 points (0.1%) to 39,291.97; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) climbed 25.55 points (0.1%) to 18,429.9.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield increased two basis points to 4.29%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) inched up to 12.49, still near recent lows.

What’s up

  • Tesla rose 3.71%, putting the company squarely in the green year to date as investors continue to celebrate the automaker’s strong delivery numbers.
  • Corning rose yet another 3.76%, extending the glassmaker’s gains as it quickly becomes the new hot AI stock du jour.
  • Kymera Therapeutics shot 23.40% higher after its partner Sanofi gave the go-ahead for further studies of its experimental skin disease treatment.
  • Jumia Technologies soared 29.79% after Benchmark analysts initiated coverage of the African e-commerce company with a “buy” rating.
  • Sony rose 4.46% on the news that it has nothing to do with the merger of Paramount and Skydance as shareholders celebrate dodging a Paramount-shaped bullet.

What’s down

  • Albemarle dropped 8.76% after Baird analysts warned that lower lithium demand will translate to lower profits for the miner in its upcoming second quarter.
  • BP sank 4.80% after management warned of lower-than-expected profits and a writedown of its German refining facility to the tune of up to $2 billion.
  • Helios Technologies fell 10.94% on the news that the CEO of the industrial manufacturer had been placed on paid leave for potentially violating the company’s code of ethics.
  • Helen of Troy plummeted 27.73% after the Hydro Flask maker announced terrible earnings and lowered its fiscal year outlook.
  • UiPath fell 6.90% on the announcement that the software company will cut 10% of its workforce.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

OpenAI’s venture fund and Arianna Huffington’s Thrive Global are jointly funding a new startup that aims to build an AI health coach to promote healthier lifestyles.


Function Health, a health tech company focused on preventive medicine, recently closed a series A round led by Andreessen Horowitz (a16z) Bio + Health along with a slew of celebrity investors.


And … made possible by the American Rescue Plan, the Biden administration is putting $27.5 million toward women’s behavioral health.

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CYBERSECURITY: Healthcare Podcast

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“Victims of cyber extortion and ransomware increase in 2024”

By Dan Raywood for SC Magazine, July 8, 2024.
https://www.scmagazine.com/news/victims-of-cyber-extortion-and-ransomware-increase-in-2024

“…small businesses with fewer than 1,000 employees are four times more likely to be impacted by attackers than medium and large businesses.” That’s us, Doc. (You might not get this kind of news from the American Dental Association).

DARRELL PRUITT DDS

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Protecting Healthcare: Unveiling the Cybersecurity Imperative

Podcast: A Conversation with Dan Dotson

RICH HELPPIE The Common Bridge

EDITOR’S NOTE: I first met Rich in B-school, when I was a student, back in the day. He was the Founder and CEO of Superior Consultant Holdings Corp. Rich graciously wrote the Foreword to one of my first textbooks on financial planning for physicians and healthcare professionals. Today, Rich is a successful entrepreneur in the technology, health and finance space.

-Dr. David E. Marcinko MBA MEd CMP®

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SECOND OPINIONS: Secure Investment Advisory -OR- Medical Practice Management Advice

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MARCINKO & ASSOCIATES, Inc.

Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP®

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FINANCIAL PLANNING

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INVESTMENT ANALYSIS

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MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS

PRACTICE APPRAISALS AND VALUATIONS

RETIREMENT PLANNING

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DAILY UPDATE: Health Insurers & Hospital Mergers with Light Stock Market Trading

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) climbed slightly to 12.37.

The S&P 500 index®(SPX) rose 5.66points (0.1%) to 5,572.85; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) dropped 31.08 points (0.1%) to 39,344.79; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) gained 50.98 points (0.3%) to 18,403.74.

The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was roughly flat at 4.27%.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource

What’s up

  • Intel popped 6.15% after an analyst at Melius Research declared the company could be one of the big AI winners in the second half of this year.
  • Morphic Holding skyrocketed 75.06% on the news that Eli Lilly will acquire the drugmaker for $3.2 billion in cash.
  • SolarEdge climbed 9.26% thanks to an upgrade from “underperform” to “neutral” by Bank of America analysts, who see big upside and few downside risks ahead.
  • Corning rose 11.98% after management raised earnings guidance for the coming quarter thanks to higher demand due to the AI boom.
  • Lucid rose 7.85% on the news that its deliveries rose 70% in the second quarter.

What’s down

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

Stat: 27. That’s a tally of some of the hospital mergers, acquisitions, joint ventures, affiliations, and partnerships that have been canceled since January 2022. (Becker’s Hospital Review)

Read: Health insurers received $50 billion from Medicare for diseases that doctors did not treat over three years, according to a recent analysis. (Wall Street Journal)

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Novant/CHS Deal Scrapped after FTC Intervenes

By Health Capital Consultants LLC

In February 2023, Novant Health, a 19-hospital, non-profit health system operating throughout the Carolinas, agreed to acquire two North Carolina hospitals – Davis Regional Medical Center and Lake Norman Regional Medical Center – from Community Health System (CHS), a publicly-traded mega-system operating in 15 states.

After the $320 million deal was announced, the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) began an extensive review of the acquisition, and concluded that: (1) the transaction may substantially reduce competition; (2) create a monopoly; and (3) constitute an unfair method of competition. (Read more…)

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On Nursing Capitation Reimbursement?

Partial-Risk Medicare Nursing Capitation Economics is Still Not Working!

By Dr. David E. Marcinko MBA MEd CMP®

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Capitated reimbursement is predominantly, but not exclusively, within the realm of physician providers. But, a decade ago Community Nursing Organization project examined an innovative approach to community nursing and ambulatory care services for Medicare beneficiaries. The hypothesis was that provision of such services would promote the timely and appropriate use of health care and to reduce the use of costly acute care services.

Organizations participating in the CNO demonstration were paid a fixed per-member-per-month capitated rate for covered services. But, the participating CNOs were only at risk under capitation for a subset of Medicare benefits [partial-capitation or carve-out]. The financial incentive was to minimize utilization covered under the capitated payment, but not necessarily to minimize utilization of services not covered because traditional Medicare, not the CNO, would be at risk.

Assessment

Final results indicated that the CNO model under partial capitation led to increased Medicare costs based on findings consistent across several analytic approaches. The cost differences between treatment and control or reference groups persisted after the application of increasingly complex risk-adjustment methods.

Moreover, the differences increased over time and were robust to changes in the way CNO participation was defined.

Lastly, there was no statistically significant evidence of increase in physical or social functioning of the treatment group, as compared with the control group. CNOs cost more without providing any health benefits along dimensions measured

[Source: Voluntary Partial Capitation: The CNO Medicare Demonstration Project, Austin Frakt, Steve Pizer, Robert Schmitz, and Soeren Mattke – Health Care Financing Review 2005).

Your thoughts are appreciated.

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DAILY UPDATE: Home Health and Nurse Vacancies as Stock Markets Reach New Highs

MEDICAL EXECUTIVE-POST TODAY’S NEWSLETTER BRIEFING

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As home hospital programs continue to grow—employment in the home health industry is projected to increase by nearly 30% by 2029—so does the concern that home healthcare professionals are increasingly vulnerable to assault and harassment.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index® (SPX)rose 30.17 points (0.54%) to 5,567.19; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) rose 67.87 points (0.17%) to 39,375.87; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) climbed 164.46 points (0.9%) to 18,352.76.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) dropped nearly seven basis points to just below 4.28%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) increased slightly to 12.45.

What’s up

  • Meta Platforms rose 5.88% a day after CEO Mark Zuckerberg posted a video of himself wearing a tux, holding an American flag and a beer, and wakeboarding. Shareholders apparently approve of such an absolute stud running the company.
  • Koss Corp. rose another 25.68% as the latest meme stock continues to rally for no reason at all.
  • Macy’s popped 9.48% after bidders looking to acquire the beleaguered retailer raised their offer from $6.6 billion to $6.9 billion.
  • Smith & Nephew rose 6.67% on the news that activist investor Cevian Capital has taken a 5% stake in the medical device maker.
  • Instructure Holdings rose 5.25% on the news that a bidding war is building for the education software company.

What’s down

  • Nvidia fell 1.91% after it received a rare analyst downgrade due to the company’s valuation.
  • Southwest sank 5.67% on the first full trading day after the company adopted a “poison pill” to fend off activist investor Elliott Management.
  • Budget airline companies took a blow after a Raymond James analyst downgraded the industry due to a “clear as mud” outlook for the third quarter. Frontier Group fell 6.79%, while Spirit Airlines dropped 8.70%.
  • Crypto-related stocks tumbled after bitcoin fell below $54,000 at one point today, though they recovered alongside the cryptocurrency later in the trading session. Coinbase Global fell 0.56%, Robinhood Markets dropped 0.98%, and MicroStrategy fell 1.56%.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

Stat: 9.9%. That’s the current vacancy rate for nurses in the US, down from 15.7% in 2023. (2024 NSI National Health Care Retention & RN Staffing Report)

PBMs: How pharmacy benefit managers are “driving up drug costs for millions of people, employers, and the government.” (the New York Times)

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PODCAST: How Financial Advisors Acquire Physician Clients

It’s About Deep Niche Knowledge [An AV Presentation]

By Vicki Rackner MD

Enter the CMPs vicki

AUDIO-VIDEO PRESENTATION

PODCAST; https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W0SGlL0UzXE#t=22

More:

About the Author

Vicki Rackner MD, author, speaker, ME-P thought-leader and President of Targeting Doctors, helps financial advisors accelerate their practice growth by acquiring more physician clients. She calls on her experience as a practicing surgeon, clinical faculty at the University of Washington School of Medicine and nationally-noted expert in physician engagement to offer a bridge between the world of medicine and the world of business.

Conclusion

JULY FOURTH WEEKEND READING LIST 2024

Happy Independence Weekend Greetings to our Readers and Subscribers for 2024

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DAILY UPDATE: Nurses & AI, Private Equity & CPAs, Public Companies and the Hot July Stock Markets

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Private equity gets a big accounting firm yet. The March story about private equity firm New Market Capital buying a $2.8 billion stake in accounting firm Grant Thorton was a big story. Private equity is gobbling up accounting firms, signaling a potential sea change in how accounting firms will operate in the future, with “more than half” of the top 20 accounting firms in talks with private equity.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) rose 14.61 points (0.27%) to 5,475.09; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) climbed 50.66 points (0.13%) to 39,169.52; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) added 146.70 points (0.83%) to 17,879.30.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) rose 12 basis points to 4.47%, the highest level since May 30 and back above its 50-day moving average, a technically important move.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) slipped to 12.19.

Crude oil is up sharply over the last month amid rising Middle East tensions.

What’s up

What’s down

  • Chewy stock popped then dropped 6.63% after Roaring Kitty revealed a 6.6% stake in the pet products company.
  • GameStop shares fell 5.35% after CEO Ryan Cohen posted on Twitter/X for the first time in months to advertise a job opening.
  • Uber fell 2.17% and Lyft fell 0.92% on the news that Massachusetts now requires both companies to pay rideshare drivers $32.50 an hour, plus benefits.
  • Cruise stocks sank on the news that Hurricane Beryl is stronger than expected and will disrupt service throughout the Caribbean. Norwegian Cruise Line fell 5.86%, Carnival fell 5.40%, and Royal Caribbean fell 1.86%.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

The largest nursing union in the US, National Nurses United (NNU), is sounding the alarm about the use of artificial intelligence (AI) in healthcare. In April, the union’s affiliate California Nurses Association (CNA) protested an AI conference helmed by managed care consortium Kaiser Permanente. Like workers in other sectors who are worried about AI encroachment, the nurses fear that the tech is contributing to the devaluation of their skills amid what they say is already a “chronicunderstaffing crisis, nurses reported in an NNU survey of 2,300 registered nurses and members in early 2024.

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HEALTH INSURANCE: Benefits Costs are Up!

By Staff Reporters

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Employers expect health benefit costs to rise by more than 5% on average in 2024 as factors like high inflation, health labor shortages, and expensive new therapies put pressure on plan spending after years of 3%–4% annual growth, early data suggests.

Preliminary results from Mercer’s 2023 National Survey of Employer-Sponsored Health Plans found that total health benefit costs could increase by as much as 6.6% per employee if companies do nothing to control spending, or an average of 5.4% if employers take steps to hold down costs.

That slight gap suggests most employers don’t plan to make cost-cutting changes to their plans—likely due to concerns about healthcare affordability, the analysis noted. Many large companies (with 500+ employees) have avoided shifting costs to employees over the last five years, resulting in little growth in deductibles and other cost-sharing requirements.

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DAILY UPDATE: Wall Street Stocks, Dow Dogs, Commodities, Gold, the Fed, Yen and Bitcoin

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If you can believe it, Friday was the final trading day of the first half of 2024. It might be a good time to reflect on your New Year’s resolutions to see how you’re measuring up halfway through the year.

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Dogs of the Dow: The 139-year-old index has never looked more its age, with components Nike, Intel, and Boeing all down more than 30% in 2024. The Dow has gained less than 4% this year.

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But, the S&P 500 gained a sublime 15% in H1, and Nvidia alone was responsible for more than a third of that gain. The maker of AI chips surged ~150% since Jan. 1st to become the most valuable company in the USA at one point.

Going into 2024, investors were expecting the Fed to cut interest rates six times. There hasn’t been a single rate cut yet, but that hasn’t stopped the S&P from notching 31 all-time closing highs, good for the second-best tally of records this century. Stocks have overcome the Fed’s delay thanks to strong earnings, a sturdy economy, and AI fever.

Commodities soar and a currency plummets. Cocoa boomed nearly 85% over shortage concerns. Gold hit a record high last month. The Japanese yen has slumped to a 38-year low against the US dollar.

Bitcoin got a boost from new ETFs, but it’s getting boring.

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DAILY UPDATE: Stock Market Review

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The S&P 500 and NASDAQ shot to record highs last week on a solid PCE reading. But all three indexes spent Friday hovering around flat levels before they all fell into the red by the end of the trading session.

Treasury yields and gold prices alike popped higher on PCE news, with traders hoping that the Fed now has good reason to cut interest rates sooner rather than later. Despite this decline, oil wrapped up a fantastic month, with prices rising for a third straight week on higher demand this summer in the US and higher risks to supply given geopolitical turmoil between Israel and Lebanon.

But, Bitcoin continued to fall, with the crypto inching closer to the all-important $60,000 price point—a line in the sand that traders are desperate not to cross for fear of further declines.

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ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE: Healthcare

By Staff Reporters

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The healthcare industry has tried for years—but to little avail—to figure out how artificial intelligence (AI) can be used to make work easier and improve patient care.

Despite the middling success healthcare has had with AI, Andreessen Horowitz (a16z), the largest venture capital firm in the US, has bet big on healthcare AI startups in the past year. The firm has invested in at least four startups and co-led three funding rounds totaling $328 million.

Investment partner Daisy Wolf and general partner Vijay Pande at a16z wrote in an August blog post that the VC firm is aware that “the AI hype cycle has hit healthcare before.” But, the two partners wrote, “we’re excited by today’s overlap of data availability, public foundation models, and widespread interest.”

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DAILY UPDATE: Walgreens, Healthcare Fraud and Opioids as Stock Markets Hurt

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In an interview with the Wall Street Journal, CEO Tim Wentworth said the pharmacy chain Walgreens will shutter a significant share of its 8,600 locations in the US. The closures are part of a broader attempt to boost the ailing company, which also includes reducing its stake in the primary care business VillageMD. Wentworth said the company can reassign most employees instead of conducting layoffs. Shares cratered yesterday after Walgreens whiffed on Wall Street’s earnings projections due to weak consumer spending.

And, read how some counties reduced opioid overdose deaths during the pandemic. (Politico)

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource

What’s up

  • Oliveda International, which makes beauty products from olive oil, rose 38.33% for no apparent reason. Maybe people just really like the feel of extra virgin olive oil on their skin?
  • Infinera popped 16.38% after Nokia announced it would acquire the telecommunications hardware manufacturer for $2.3 billion.
  • Synchrony Financial rose 6.17% after a Baird analyst initiated coverage of the financial services company with an outperform rating.
  • Regional banking stocks rose on the hopes that a good PCE reading means a better chance of the Fed cutting rates soon. Regions Financial rose 3.83%, while Citizens Financial Group rose 3.16%.

What’s down

A late round of selling in the Treasury market sent yields to fresh highs as the day ended so here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) dipped 22.39 points (0.41%) to 5,460.48; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) fell 45.20 points (0.12%) to 39,118.86; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) lost 126.08 points (0.71%) to 17,732.6.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield climbed nine basis points to 4.38%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) moved up slightly to 12.43.

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Nearly 200 people have been charged for their roles in various health care fraud schemes across the U.S. that federal authorities say amounted to over $2.7 billion in intended losses, the Justice Department announced. Attorney General Merrick Garland said charges against 193 people, including 76 doctors, nurse practitioners, and other licensed medical professionals in 32 different federal districts. The defendants were charged over a two-week sweep involving numerous law enforcement agencies nationwide, resulting in the seizure of more than “$231 million in cash, luxury vehicles, gold, and other assets,” according to Garland.

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DAILY UPDATE: Tenet, Rivian, Yen, Public Companies and the Light Stock Markets

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Stat: 40%. That’s how much Tenet Healthcare’s shares jumped in Q1. (Yahoo Finance)

Stat: 12%. This is how much the yen has weakened so far this year against the US dollar, which has people wondering whether the Japanese government will need to intervene. (Bloomberg)

Quote: “We believe the opportunity ahead is significant.”—RJ Scaringe, CEO and co-founder of Rivian, commenting on Volkswagen Group’s plans to invest as much as $5 billion in the EV company. (CNBC)

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What’s up

  • McCormick & Co rose 4.34% after the company posted spicy earnings results, absolutely crushing estimates.
  • Arista Networks rose 3.92% after Citigroup reiterated its buy rating for the cloud company but increased its price target from $330 to $385.
  • BlackBerry is still a company, and rose 10.41% after a berry good first quarter.

What’s down

  • Walgreens Boots Alliance plummeted 22.16% due to a worse-than-expected earnings report that saw the company slash its full-year guidance.
  • Hims & Hers dropped 7.19% after Hunter Growth Capital accused the company of using a shady supplier for its new weight-loss drugs.
  • Levi Strauss crashed 15.27% in a denim downfall for the ages, with second quarter earnings missing expectations after consumers spent less on blue jeans.
  • Micron Technology slid 7.12% despite beating analyst expectations in the third quarter. Unfortunately, management isn’t as bullish as analysts about the rest of the year.
  • Chewy fell 0.03% despite a tweet from Roaring Kitty of a cartoon dog—which is apparently all it takes to move markets these days.

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The U.S. government’s final gross domestic product (GDP) estimate announced early Thursday included a downward revision to quarterly consumer spending.

Treasury yields could move on the data, especially if the report is “hotter” than expected. Yields fell Thursday following mostly soft U.S. economic readings this morning.

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) rose 4.97 points (0.1%) to 5,482.87; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) rose 36.26 points (0.1%) to 39,164.06; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) rose 53.53 points (0.3%) to 17,858.68.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield lost two basis points to 4.29%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) fell to 12.29, its lowest close since June 13.

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On Purchasing Individual BONDS!

A Seldom Discussed Investing Topics for Doctors and All Investors Until Now?

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP®

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Now – Trading individual bonds is not like trading stocks. Stocks can be bought at uniform prices and are traded through exchanges. Most bonds trade over the counter, and individual brokers price them.  But, price transparency has gotten better in the last decade. 

For example, in 1999, the bond markets gained clearness from the House of Representatives’ Bond Price Competition Improvement Act of 1999. Responding to this pioneering law, the site http://www.investinginbonds.com was established. This site provides current prices on bonds that have traded more than four times the previous day. With the advent of Investinginbonds.com and real-time reporting of many trades, investors are much better off today.  Many well regarded brokers including Schwab, Ameritrade, and Fidelity Investments now have dedicated websites devoted to bond trading and pricing. 

Fidelity Investments chose to disclose its fee structure for all bonds, making it clear what it will cost you per trade. Fidelity charges $1 per bond trade. Some on-line brokers charge a flat fee as well, ranging from $10.95 at Zions Direct to $45 at TD Ameritrade. Depending on the number of bonds trading, one may be more complimentary than another. The trading fee disclosures, however, do not divulge the spreads between the buy and sell price embedded in the transaction that some dealer is making in the channel. Keep in mind that only by comparison shopping can assist you in finding the best transaction price, after all fees are taken into account. Other sites may not charge any fee, but rather embed the profit in the spread.

Despite the difficulty in pricing and transparency, investing in individual bonds offers several rewards over purchasing bond mutual funds.

First, bond mutual funds never mature.

Second, you know exactly what you will be receiving in interest each year.  You will also know the exact maturity date. 

Furthermore, your individual investment is protected against interest rate risk, at least over the full term to maturity.  Both individual bonds and bond funds share interest-rate risk (the risk of locking up an investment at a given rate, only to see rates rise). This pushes bond prices down.  At least with an individual bond, you can re-invest it at the higher, market rate once the bond matures.

But, the lack of a fixed maturity date on a bond mutual fund causes an open ended problem; there is no promise of the original investment back.  Short of default, an individual bond will return all principal and pay all interest assuming you hold it to maturity.  Bond funds are not likely to default as most funds maintain positions in hundreds of individual bonds.  The force of interest rate risk to individual bond or bond mutual fund prices depends on the maturity of a bond investment: the longer the maturity of a bond or bond fund (average), the more the price will drop due to rising rates. This is known as duration.

Duration is a statistical term that measures the price sensitivity to yield, is the primary measurement of a bond or bond fund’s sensitivity to interest rate changes.  Duration indicates approximately how much the price of a bond or bond fund will adjust in the reverse direction given a rise in interest rates. For instance, an individual bond with an average duration of five years will fall in value approximately 5% if rates rise by 1% and the opposite is accurate as well.

Although stated in years, duration is not simply a gauge of time. Instead, duration signals how much the price of your bond investment is likely to oscillate when there is an up or down movement in interest rates. The higher the duration number, the more susceptible your bond investment will be to changes in interest rates.  If you have money in a bond or bond fund that holds primarily long-term bonds, expect the value of that fund to decline, perhaps significantly, when interest rates rise. The higher a bond’s duration, the greater its sensitivity to interest rates alterations. This means fluctuations in price, whether positive or negative, will be more prominent.

For example, a bond fund with 10-year duration will diminish in value by 10 percent if interest rates increase by one percent. On the other hand, the bond fund will rise in value by 10 percent if interest rates descend by one percent. The important concept to remember is once you recognize a bond’s or bond fund’s duration, you can forecast how it will react to a change in interest rates.

UPDATE:

The yield on the 10-year Treasury note serves as a benchmark for interest rates across the US economy. Since bond prices and yields move in opposite directions, falling yields signal higher demand for Treasuries.

Why it matters: At the most basic level, the 10-year yield is a key indicator of investors’ confidence in future US economic growth. As the Delta variant spreads and threatens to slow the economic recovery, the fall in yields means investors are souring on a mega growth spurt and snapping up safer assets rather than riskier stocks.

What does this mean for inflation? Because investors sell bonds when they think inflation is coming, the runup in bond prices means the worst of Wall Street’s inflation concerns may be over. “It feels like we have moved from thinking inflation will be transitory, to fearing growth will be transitory,” Art Hogan, chief marketing strategist at National Securities, said.

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DAILY UPDATE: MSFT Teams, Deloitte, HealthcCare Cyber Attacks as Markets Lift

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The EU says Microsoft violated its antitrust laws by bundling Teams with Office, potentially setting the stage for a major fine.

And, Deloitte has billions of dollars’ worth of Medicaid contracts, but the consultancy’s eligibility systems are full of errors. (KFF Health News)

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) rose 8.6 points (0.16%) to 5,477.9; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) added 15.64 points (0.04%) to 39,127.8; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) climbed 87.5 points (0.49%) to 17,805.16.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield rose 8 points to 4.32%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) eased to 12.5

What’s up

What’s down

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The disastrous ransomware attacks on Change Healthcare and Ascension this year ran up staggering costs and put a spotlight on the healthcare sector’s vulnerability. But healthcare orgs are hardly new to eye-popping bills after a major hack. Analyzing attacks on organizations in 16 countries, IBM/Ponemon Institute has shown healthcare to be the industry with the highest cost per data breach for over a decade, coming in at an average hit of $10.93 million in 2023.

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DAILY UPDATE: Gun Violence, Health & Public Companies as Technology Stocks Rebound

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The U.S. surgeon general just declared gun violence a public health crisis, driven by the fast-growing number of injuries and deaths involving firearms in the country. The advisory issued by Dr. Vivek Murthy, the nation’s top doctor, came as the U.S. grappled with another summer weekend marked by mass shootings that left dozens of people dead or wounded.

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index rose 21.43 points (0.39%) to 5,469.30; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) fell 299.05 points (0.76%) to 39,112.6; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) gained 220.84 points (1.26%) to 17,717.65.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) fell slightly to 4.24%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) dropped to 12.84. 

What’s up

  • Nvidia rose 6.76% as investors realized they could buy shares of the world’s biggest semiconductor company at a discounted price.
  • Trump Media & Technology Group rose another 8.50% today on the hopes of a cash infusion, as well as hype ahead of Thursday’s presidential debate.
  • Carnival popped 8.85% after it beat analyst expectations for the second quarter, and raised its profit forecast for the rest of the year.
  • Novo Nordisk rose 3.25% after its weight-loss drug Wegovy was approved in China.
  • Enovix soared 35.05% on the news that it signed a major deal to provide VR headset batteries for an as-yet-unnamed California company.

What’s down

  • Pool Corp., maker of…pools, fell 8.04% today after cutting guidance for the year ahead.
  • SolarEdge Technologies dropped 20.60% through no fault of its own—instead, a key customer declared bankruptcy, and will be unable to pay the solar power company the $11.4 million it is owed.
  • Airbus fell 9.41% after the company announced it is cutting financial guidance for the remainder of 2024 thanks to supply chain snarls and higher costs.
  • Auto dealer stocks continue to suffer the effects of a massive cyberattack on CDK, a key supplier of dealership management software. The company says its systems will remain down until June 30, but in the meantime shares of Autonation fell 2.04%, Sonic Automotive dropped 2.56%, and Group 1 Automotive slid 2.49%.

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Digital health company Sharecare has agreed to be acquired by private equity firm Altaris for $1.43 in cash per share, or about $518 million.


Nearly three months after Kaiser Permanente’s Risant Health acquired Geisinger Health, the group has now agreed to terms with Cone Health in North Carolina.


And ... UnitedHealthcare says its Surest unit improves spending and utilization across all age groups and for people with various conditions.

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DAILY UPDATE: Dental Staffing, Various Companies & the Stock Markets

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index lost 16.75 points (0.31%) to 5,447.87; the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DJI) gained 260.88 points (0.67%) to 39,411.21; the NASDAQ Composite ($COMP) dropped 192.54 points (1.09%) to 17,496.82.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) fell one basis point to 4.25%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) ended slightly up at 13.47, the highest close since May 30.

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What’s up

What’s down

  • Nvidia dropped 6.68% as the semiconductor stock continues to fall, with the stock entering correction territory earlier today—a sentence we never thought we’d write.
  • Eli Lilly’s weight-loss drug Zepbound can also help people with sleep apnea, cutting into the sleep-aid market, sending shares of ResMed down 11.40% and Inspire Medical Systems down 16.45% on the news.
  • Bitcoin-connected stocks are taking a hit as the crypto selloff continues. Coinbase Global fell 6%, while MicroStrategy fell 7.52%.

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The dental industrylike other parts of healthcare—is facing significant staffing challenges. The US is in need of nearly 10,000 dental professionals and has more than 6,800 health professional shortage areas (HPSAs), which the US Department of Health and Human Services defines as “a geographic area, population, or facility with a shortage of primary care, dental, or mental health providers and services.”

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DAILY UPDATE: Genome Testing, the Stock Markets and Microsoft, Apple & Meta

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Apple and Meta are considering an AI partnership. The two tech giants are discussing integrating Meta’s generative AI model into Apple’s new AI platform, Apple Intelligence, the WSJ reports. Instead of building an in-house AI model, Apple opted for the partnership route and previously announced a deal with OpenAI to bring ChatGPT to iPhones. Apple has also reportedly held talks with AI startups Anthropic and Perplexity to fuse their AI models with Apple Intelligence and get that sweet, sweet distribution Apple provides.

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Genome testing can spot rare disease risks at birth. Newborn babies typically get blood tested for dozens of diseases, but some parents living in North Carolina and New York have recently been able to get their bundles of joy screened for hundreds of potentially life-threatening medical conditions that regular tests can’t catch thanks to a growing field called genomic medicine. Early results from two ongoing studies are very promising, the Washington Post reported, but scaling the new type of testing could be tricky: A full genome read (which covers all of your DNA) costs around $1,000 per patient. Still, research into the cost-benefit of genome sequencing has found that it can ultimately save families money on hospital care.

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Markets: Sweating the upcoming election? Investors aren’t. The S&P 500 is on track for its best first-half performance in an election year going back to 1976, per Dow Jones Market Data. And as trading begins Monday morning, Microsoft is back on the Iron Throne as the US’ most valuable company following Nvidia’s stumbles at the end of last week.

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BANKS: Eight Types; plus 1

DOCTORS NEED TO KNOW

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By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP

A general understanding of these bank types is suggested for any medical professional prior to launching a self-directed [ME, Inc] medical practice, clinic, guided investment strategy, personal financial plan or wealth building portfolio effort; etc.

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DAILY UPDATE: Reverse Aging, Credit Card Competition Act, Nvidia and a Market Re-Cap

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The de-aging biz: Time to pull back the hospital curtain and see who’s behind the booming longevity market. This article, sponsored by Timeline, lays out who’s making $$$ on “reverse aging.*

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  • The S&P 500 and NASDAQ have often outperformed the Dow in recent years thanks to their focus on tech, as well as their market-cap weighting vs the Dow’s price weighting. When tech stocks roar higher, the younger indexes rise above their older peer—but the last few days have seen a sell off of tech stocks led by NVIDIA, bringing the S&P 500 and NASDAQ lower to end the week while the Dow has continued to rise.
  • Bonds remained unchanged for most of the day, ending the trading session flat as investors parse through a week of economic data and prepare for next week’s PCE report.
  • Gold plunged after the dollar rose, making it more expensive for gold bugs to hold the precious metal.
  • As for oil, read on to learn why crude has high hopes today but may not be a smart investment tomorrow.

Nvidia faltered for the second day in a row, falling off the world’s most valuable company perch and shedding $220+ billion in market cap. But the S&P 500 has gone 377 days without a 2.05% sell-off, the longest streak since the 2008 financial crisis, per CNBC.

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The Credit Card Competition Act is proposed legislation in Congress that could fundamentally change credit card systems. If passed, it could devastate the future of cash-back and travel rewards.

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DAILY UPDATE: Amazon Pharmacy, Healthcare Spending Boom, Companies and the Bi-Hybrid Markets

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Amazon Pharmacy announced on June 18 that, effective immediately, its RxPass medication delivery service will be available to more than 50 million Medicare beneficiaries, a move the company says could save up to $2 billion annually for the federal health insurance program.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index fell 8.55 points (0.2%) to 5,464.62, up 0.6% for the week; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) gained 15.57 points (0.04%) to 39,150.33, up 1.5% for the week; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) shed 32.23 points (0.2%) to 17,689.36, little changed for the week.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was little changed at 4.255%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) dipped 0.06 to 13.22.

What’s up

  • Sarepta Therapeutics soared 30.14% thanks to FDA approval of Elevidys, its new Duchenne muscular dystrophy treatment.
  • Zealand Pharma rose 18.62% after Phase 1b trial results revealed its new weight-loss drug could compete with Ozempic.
  • Asana jumped 14.95% on the news that its board has approved a share repurchase program of up to $150 million of its own stock.
  • CarMax shares rose 0.37% after the company reported first-quarter earnings. The number isn’t big, but the performance is impressive considering the used car company posted a 33% decline in profits.
  • Hertz Global popped 15.95% after the company announced it was raising the size of its bond offering to $1 billion as it looks to update its fleet of rental cars.

What’s down

  • Nvidia fell another 3.22% today as the sell off continued, with investors taking profits after a record run higher.
  • Smith & Wesson Brands dropped 12.87% after the gun maker beat earnings forecasts but announced that next quarter’s sales will be lower than expected.
  • LendingTree slid 2.48% after a Bloomberg report revealed that hackers are auctioning off stolen customer data.
  • Palantir fell 6.78% after the company earned an analyst downgrade for its “gluttonous valuation,” a phrase you never want to hear as an investor.
  • Bitcoin mining stocks took a hit today, selling off after popping higher yesterday after bitcoin prices rallied. Marathon Digital Holdings dropped 7.02%, Riot Platforms fell 8.35%, and CleanSpark sank 9.81%.

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With a record number of people insured and seeking healthcare services post-pandemic, US health spend growth is outpacing GDP growth, and is expected to keep doing so through 2032, according to a June 12 report from actuaries at the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS). By 2032, CMS actuaries project healthcare spending will total $7.7 trillion and make up 19.7% of total US GDP, compared to $4.8 trillion and 17.6% of GDP in 2023.

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MEDICAL ETHICS: Managing Risk is a Component of Real Health Caring

Demanding High Moral Standards of Self … and Economic HEALTHCARE Organizations

Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP®

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It has been argued that physicians have abdicated the “moral high ground” in health care by their interest in seeking protection for their high incomes, their highly publicized self-referral arrangements, and their historical opposition toward reform efforts that jeopardized their clinical autonomy. 

Experts Speak

In his book Medicine at the Crossroads, colleague and Emory University professor Melvin Konnor, MD noted that “throughout its history, organized medicine has represented, first and foremost, the pecuniary interests of doctors.” He lays significant blame for the present problems in health care at the doorstep of both insurers and doctors, stating that “the system’s ills are pervasive and all its participants are responsible.” 

In order to reclaim their once esteemed moral position, physicians must actively reaffirm their commitment to the highest standards of the medical profession and call on other participants in the health care delivery system also to elevate their values and standards to the highest level.

Evolution

In the evolutionary shifts in models for care, physicians have been asked to embrace business values of efficiency and cost effectiveness, sometimes at the expense of their professional judgment and personal values.  While some of these changes have been inevitable as our society sought to rein in out-of-control costs, it is not unreasonable for physicians to call on payers, regulators and other parties to the health care delivery system to raise their ethical bar. 

Harvard University physician-ethicist Linda Emmanuel noted that “health professionals are now accountable to business values (such as efficiency and cost effectiveness), so business persons should be accountable to professional values including kindness and compassion.” 

Within the framework of ethical principles, John La Puma, M.D., wrote in Managed Care Ethics, that “business’s ethical obligations are integrity and honesty.  Medicine’s are those plus altruism, beneficence, non-maleficence, respect, and fairness.”

Incumbent in these activities is the expectation that the forces that control our health care delivery system, the payers, the regulators, and the providers will reach out to the larger community, working to eliminate the inequities that have left so many Americans with limited access to even basic health care. 

Charles Dougherty clarified this obligation in Back to Reform, when he noted that “behind the daunting social reality stands a simple moral value that motivates the entire enterprise”. 

ASSESSMENT

Health care is indeed grounded in caring. And, managing risk is a component of caring. It arises from a sympathetic response to the suffering of others.

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DAILY UPDATE: Bilt, Mortgage Rates, Private Equity in Behavioral Health and the Stock Markets

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Wells Fargo is losing $10 million per month on its partnership with Bilt, whose credit card offers users reward points for paying rent, and is looking to renegotiate, the WSJ reports. Apple has stopped offering its buy now, pay later program, Apple Pay Later, after partnering with outside companies, including Affirm.

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Private equity (PE) is all over healthcare, with investment firms owning more than 400 hospitals around the US. But as the country faces a mental health crisis—US Surgeon General Vivek Murthy called it the “the defining public health crisis of our time”—PE has its sights set on one of the fastest-growing areas of the industry: behavioral health care. PE has accounted for over 60% of all behavioral health deal flow since 2018, and firms like Thurston Group and Five Points Capital now own about a quarter of facilities offering behavioral health care in some states, according to a recent cross-sectional study published in JAMA Psychiatry.

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U.S. markets were closed Wednesday for the Juneteenth holiday. Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index fell 13.86 points (0.3%) to 5,473.17; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) gained 299.90 points (0.8%) to 39,134.76; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) dropped 140.64 points (0.8%) to 17,721.59.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) climbed about 4 basis points to 4.257%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) rose 0.80 to 13.28.

What’s up

  • Gilead jumped 8.46% after clinical data revealed that its new twice-a-year shot prevents 100% of HIV cases.
  • Penn Entertainment rose 9.93% on the news that Boyd Gaming has approached its competitor with an acquisition offer.
  • Accenture rose 7.30% after the IT consulting company missed earnings estimates but more than made up for it with bullish bookings data thanks to AI.
  • Darden Restaurants rose 1.53% after a mixed earnings report. Its acquisition of Ruth’s Chris Steak House propped up earnings, while Olive Garden’s same-store sales came in flat, probably because I eat several hundred free breadsticks there every month.

What’s down

  • Trump Media & Technology Group fell 14.56% after the SEC ruled that early shareholders can resell their stock in the company, diluting new shareholders—though providing upward of $247 million in funding for the beleaguered company.
  • Nikola plummeted 31.46% after the company announced a 1-for-30 stock split in a bid to stay listed on the Nasdaq.
  • Kroger fell 3.27% despite beating analyst revenue estimates in its fiscal first quarter as investors digest the chances of the company sealing a deal to buy Albertsons.
  • Tempest Therapeutics dropped 29.47% upon the release of the latest trial data for its liver cancer treatment.
  • Jabil fell 11.45% today after the electronics supplier beat earnings estimates but warned of softer growth in the year ahead.

Mortgage rates fell below 7% last week to their lowest level since March, but this didn’t spur much extra demand.

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Whither the CERTIFIED MEDICAL PLANNER™ Marks?

Wither the CERTIFIED MEDICAL PLANNER™ Professional Certification?

CMP logo

DEAR INVESTMENT ADVISORS, CPAs, FINANCIAL PLANNERS, FINANCIAL ADVISORS & INSURANCE AGENTS

We believe that:

If you do not have a market niche; you are not deeply informed
If you are not deeply informed; you can’t different yourself
If you can’t differentiate yourself; you can’t differentiate price
If you can’t differentiate price; you have no market power
If you have no market power; you have no unique knowledge
If you have no unique knowledge; you have fewer profits

If you have fewer profits; you are not likely a CMP™

CMP

PROGRAM CURRICULUM: Enter the CMPs

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DAILY UPDATE: Wells Fargo, Public Companies as Stock Markets Extend Rally

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Wells Fargo is losing $10 million per month on its partnership with Bilt, whose credit card offers users reward points for paying rent, and is looking to renegotiate, the WSJ reports. Apple has stopped offering its buy now, pay later program, Apple Pay Later, after partnering with outside companies, including Affirm.

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index gained 13.80 points (0.3%) to 5,487.03; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) added 56.76 points (0.2%) to 38,834.86; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) rose 5.21 points (0.03%) to 17,862.23, a record close for the seventh day in a row.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) dipped more than 6 basis points to 4.215%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) fell 0.45 to 12.30.

What’s up

What’s down

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And … precision medicine company Tempus AI is going public, raising $410.7 million through its initial public offering.

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Guidelines for Using an Equity Analyst’s Report

Trusting and Testing Fundamental Research

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko; MBA, MEd, CMP™

[Publisher-in-Chief]

It is not unreasonable to doubt the research of some security analysts; as evidenced by Wall Street’s recent upward implosion.

And so, trust but verify with your on research is always a good idea for the physician or lay investor in 2024.

25 Questions to Ask and Answer

Now, as a former financial planner, and professional investment advisor, please allow me to suggest the following before purchasing any equity:

  • How recent is the stock price on the report? If it is not recent, what is the current price? What is the current price relative to the 52-week high and low?
  • What is the P/E on trailing earnings per share? What is the stock’s projected price, based on estimated earnings for the periods shown?
  • What is the cash flow per share and the price-to-cash-flow ratio?
  • What is the book value? Price to book?
  • What is the trading volume relative to the number of shares outstanding?
  • How many shares are outstanding? What is the market capitalization based on current stock price and current shares outstanding? Is it a small, medium, or large-cap company?
  • Is the number of shares on a fully diluted basis shown? Is the fully diluted P/E shown? If there is a significant difference, read the report to find out where the extra shares will come from (convertible stock, a new or re-issue) and what the likelihood is that a conversion or a new issue or re-issue will occur.
  • What is the company’s earnings growth history? Is it a growth company or a cyclical company?
  • Does the company pay a dividend? If so, what is the dividend history and the payout ratio?
  • What is the debt-to-equity ratio? What kind of debt is it (publicly owned bonds, loans, etc.), and when does it have to be paid? What is the annual interest expense?
  • What are the cash ratios? Can the company cover its current liabilities easily? What is the ratio of annual earnings to interest expense?
  • What business is the company in? Are there comparisons to other companies in the same business? Are they similar in size? What is the outlook for the industry?
  • What is the company’s share of the market for its product? Does it have a particular niche? Does it have patents or protected rights on a special product? When do they expire?
  • How do the company’s financial ratios compare to those of other companies in its industry? How do the company’s ratios compare to those of the market as a whole or to narrower industry indexes?
  • Who are the company’s competitors? What advantages does the company have over its competitors?
  • How old is the company? How long has it been public? How long has the current management been running it? Who is the current management, and have there been significant management changes in the recent past?
  • How much of the company’s stock is owned by management? How much is owned by large institutional investors?
  • What kind of labor force does the company rely on? Where is it located?
  • Who are the company’s major customers? Is one customer very important?
  • Who are the company’s major suppliers? Is the company very dependent on one supplier?
  • How is the product distributed? Are there important relationships with distributors? How many different distributors are there?
  • What are the profit margins of the company? Where do they come from (incremental sales over break-even, or are they directly related to sales, no matter what level)?
  • What is the inventory turnover? Is there a lot of old, highly valued (on-the-books) inventory?
  • What is the history of sales revenue growth? What is the history of product mix in sales revenue?
  • Did the company issuing the research report also serve as investment banker?

Assessment

What did we miss – please advise?

Conclusion

And so, your thoughts and comments on this ME-P are appreciated. Feel free to review our top-left column, and top-right sidebar materials, links, URLs and related websites, too. Then, be sure to subscribe to the ME-P. It is fast, free and secure.

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The Diderot Effect?

What is it?

[By staff reporters]

The Diderot Effect is a social phenomenon related to consumer goods. It is based on two ideas.

The first idea is that goods purchased by consumers will align with their sense of identity, and, as a result, will complement one another.

The second idea states that the introduction of a new possession that deviates from the consumer’s current complementary goods can result in a process of spiraling consumption.

The term was coined by anthropologist and scholar of consumption patterns Grant McCracken in 1988, and is named after the French philosopher Denis Diderot, who first described the effect in an essay.

MORE: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2021/01/25/the-prosperity-paradox/

Assessment

Your thoughts are appreciated.

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DAILY UPDATE: Father’s Day, Medical Debt and USAA

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HAPPY FATHER’S DAY

News 4 in San Antonio Texas organized a video call with several USAA members who lost funds due to fraud — and have been left with little to no recourse. Some of them also belong to the Facebook group, USAA Fraud and Victims, which has 2,900 members. A few USAA members even reported being asked by the institution to cover the negative balances on their accounts after their money was stolen.

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The race to a $3 trillion market cap seemed like it would always be between Apple and Microsoft. But over the last twelve months, Nvidia has come roaring to the front of the pack, neck and neck with the big tech incumbents. In the last two weeks alone it has replaced Apple in the #2 spot, only to be supplanted earlier this week when Apple’s AI plans propelled it back ahead. Now, it’s anybody’s race to the next big benchmark: a $4 trillion market cap.

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In a move that could be good for patients but bad for hospitals, the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) on Tuesday proposed regulation that would wipe medical debt from many consumers’ credit reports. The rule is meant to help the 15 million people in the US who creditors say still have a combined $49 billion of medical debt that negatively affects their credit scores, Rohit Chopra, director of the CFPB, said during a June 11 press briefing. About 100 million people in the US have some amount of medical debt, which totals roughly $220 billion, according to data from the Peterson-KFF Health System Tracker. The proposed regulation comes after three credit-reporting conglomeratesEquifax, Experian, and TransUnion—removed paid-off medical debt and medical debts under $500 from credit reports in 2022 and 2023, respectively.

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DAILY UPDATE: Sat Healthcare Private Equity, Elder Abuse Awareness Day

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Quote: “​​When private equity gets hold of healthcare systems, it is literally a matter of life and death, so if you drive a hospital like Steward into bankruptcy, putting patients and communities at risk, you should face real consequences.”—Sen. Elizabeth Warren on a proposed federal bill to impose jail time on executives who “loot” health systems, leading to patient harm (Fierce Healthcare)

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index fell 2.14 points (0.04%) to 5,431.60, up 1.6% for the week; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) lost 57.94 points (0.2%) to 38,589.16, down 0.5% for the week; the NASDAQ Composite gained 21.32 points (0.1%) to 17,688.88, up 3.2% for the week.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) fell more than 2 basis points to 4.215%, after earlier dropping under 4.19%, its lowest since late March.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) rose 0.72 to 12.66.

What’s up

  • Adobe soared 14.51% today after crushing analyst expectations when it announced earnings late yesterday.
  • Shopify rose 4.59% after it received yet another analyst upgrade. JPMorgan analysts gave the stock an overweight rating on June 11, while today Evercore analysts upgraded the company to outperform.
  • Hasbro popped 6% after the toy maker earned an upgrade to “buy” from Bank of America predicated on the company’s digital gaming strategy.

What’s down

  • Cruise stocks took a major blow today after a Bank of America report revealed that there was softer-than-expected pricing across the industry in May. Carnival fell 7.09%, Norwegian Cruise Line dropped 7.43%, and Royal Caribbean fell 4.35%.
  • RH plummeted 17% after the furniture maker reported a larger-than-expected loss in the previous quarter.
  • Stellantis fell 4.08% after the company’s CEO announced it will cut costs to compete with Chinese EV makers.
  • Penn Entertainment sank 8.66% on the news that competitor Boyd Gaming has voted in an M&A expert to its board of directors, which, combined with activist investors pushing Penn to put itself up for sale, could indicate an acquisition ahead.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

June 15th marks an important day on our calendar – Elder Abuse Awareness Day. It is a day for communities worldwide to unite in bringing attention to the challenges and difficulties faced by elders and our collective responsibility to protect and support them.

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DAILY UPDATE: Flag Day, KKR, Wells Fargo and the S&P 500

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HAPPY FLAG DAY

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Wells Fargo found that some of its employees were pretending to work — and sent them packing. More than a dozen employees in the bank’s wealth and investment management divisions were discharged last month “after review of allegations involving simulation of keyboard activity creating impression of active work,” Bloomberg reported citing disclosures filed with the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA).

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index gained 12.71 points (0.2%) to 5,433.74; the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 65.11 points (0.2%) to 38,647.10; the NASDAQ Composite rose 59.12 points (0.3%) to 17,66756.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) fell about 5 basis points to 4.246%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) declined 0.10 to 11.94.

What’s up

What’s down

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On Monday, private equity giant KKR jumped 12% after S&P Dow Jones Indices announced the company would be joining the index yesterday, along with CrowdStrike and GoDaddy, which saw their stocks jump 9% and 2%, respectively. The additions will be incorporated June 24.

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FLAG DAY: June 14, 2024 Historical Review

DID YOU KNOW?

DR. KENT MERCADO JD

***

Flag Day in the United States is a commemoration of the American flag, observed on June 14th each year, which marks the anniversary of the flag’s official adoption. The Continental Congress designated the “Stars and Stripes” as the official American flag on June 14, 1777, during the Revolutionary War. Prior to this, various flags with different symbols and slogans represented different colonies or interests.

The adoption of the American flag became necessary with the Declaration of Independence. The Flag Resolution of 1777, enacted on June 14th, specified that the flag would consist of thirteen alternating red and white stripes, representing the original thirteen colonies, with a union of thirteen white stars on a blue field. The official announcement of the new flag was made on September 3rd, 1777.

Here are some other flag facts:

  • The current design is the 27th iteration of the flag and the longest-used design, since the US hasn’t added a new state since 1959 (plus the 51st star would mess up the symmetry).
  • Last year, four senators introduced the All-American Flag Act to require the federal government to exclusively buy American flags made in the USA. As of 2017, the US imported 10 million American flags from abroad, 99.5% of which were made in China.

While there is no conclusive proof, it is widely believed that Betsy Ross, a seamstress from Philadelphia, played a role in creating the first American flag.

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UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

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DAILY UPDATE: Moody, CME Fedwatch and Ever Rising Stock Markets

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On Monday, private equity giant KKR jumped 12% after S&P Dow Jones Indices announced the company would be joining the index on Friday, along with CrowdStrike and GoDaddy, which saw their stocks jump 9% and 2%, respectively. The additions will be incorporated June 24.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource

Stat: 99.4%. That’s the likelihood that interest rates will stay the same after the Fed’s meeting, according to the CME Fedwatch Tool. So it looks to be more “hurry up and wait” for interest rates to start coming down. 🫤 (Business Insider)

Quote: “It’s hard to think of a time when the US economy has diverged so fundamentally from its peers.”—Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics, on the strength of the US economy compared to the weakness of other major economies. The US economy is continuing to grow while economies like Germany, Japan, and Canada are falling into recession. (The Atlantic)

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index rose 45.71 points (0.9%) to 5,421.03; the Dow Jones Industrial Average  lost 35.21 points (0.1%) to 38,712.21; the NASDAQ Composite gained 264.89 points (1.5%) to 17,608.44.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) fell more than 7 basis points to 4.326%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) declined 0.81 to  12.04.

What’s up

What’s down

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DAILY UPDATE: Tele-Health, Fortune 500, Companies and the Stocks Markets

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The end has come for the Covid-19-era federal Affordable Connectivity Program, which some critics say will make telehealth access challenging for millions in rural and tribal areas. (NPR/KFF Health News)

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended yesterday:

  • The S&P 500 index rose 13.80 points (0.3%) to 5,360.79; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) gained 69.05 points (0.2%) to 38,868.04; the NASDAQ Composite added 59.40 points (0.4%) to 17,192.53.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) rose almost 4 basis points to 4.467%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) rose 0.52 to 12.74.

What’s up

  • Diamond Offshore Drilling rose 10.91% after fellow offshore drilling company Noble Corp. announced it would acquire Diamond in a cash and stock deal worth $1.6 billion total. Noble shares rose 6.08% on the news as well.
  • Crowdstrike, GoDaddy, and KKR will be added to the S&P 500 when the index rebalances at the end of the quarter. Crowdstrike rose 7.29%, GoDaddy rose 1.94%, and KKR was up 11.22% on the news.
  • Texas Pacific Land Corporation shares also rose 24.57% on the news that the company will be inducted into the S&P MidCap 400.

What’s down

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Stat: 42. That’s how many healthcare industry companies were named on the latest Fortune 500, which lists the largest corporations in the US based on revenue for fiscal year 2023. (Advisory Board)

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DAILY UPDATE: Markets, Cue Health Down, Blue Kansas Part C and the FOMC

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Markets: Stocks dropped ever so slightly to end last week as investors tried to make sense of the big jobs report. Lots of jobs = good, but lots of jobs also = interest rates likely staying the same for awhile longer (more below). AMC had a rough day, tumbling 15% as the latest meme stock craze started to fizzle.

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Blue Kansas City Exiting MA Market by 2025 Due to ‘Regulatory Demands’

Blue Cross and Blue Shield of Kansas City (Blue KC) is leaving the Medicare Advantage (MA) market at the end of 2024, the insurer announced recently. The company blamed “heightened regulatory demands and rising market and financial pressures” for the decision but said it is still focused on employer-sponsored health plans, and Medicare supplement and Affordable Care Act plans in the state.

“We explored every alternative path for our MA members and are disappointed we must exit this line of business,” said Erin Stucky, Blue KC President and CEO, in a statement. “We value our MA members and are committed to providing uninterrupted, quality service to our current MA membership through the end of 2024.”

Source: Noah Tong, Fierce Healthcare [6/3/24]

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Cue Health, founded in 2010, started with great hopes as it promised a way to accurately test for Covid-19 without needing a lab. “We designed and developed a new molecular testing platform bringing lab complexity to an easy-to-use, portable device. Now you can get the best of lab molecular testing — speed, accuracy, and versatility – at home, the office, or on the go,” the company shared on its website. The company went public (with the ticker  (HLTH) ) in 2021 at $16 and rose to $20.55 and carried that massive $2.3 billion valuation. Through 2023 and into this year, Cue unsuccessfully tried to shore up operations, get new products to market, and find new capital.

In May, however, the FDA advised customers not to use two of its products at all because they did not deliver accurate results. Finally, its board and executives threw in the towel. On May 28th, the company announced it was ceasing operations and filed for bankruptcy in Delaware’s U.S. Bankruptcy Court. The company’s assets will be sold off at an undetermined date, and the proceeds will be distributed to creditors.       

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Inflation data from the Fed meeting on Wednesday: Inflation data for May arrives in the morning, and it’s expected to show price growth held steady at 3.4% annually. In the afternoon, the FOMC will wrap up its meeting with a Jerome Powell press conference. The Fed is pretty much a lock to hold interest rates at their current level.

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DAILY UPDATE: Payroll Jobs and Longevity Up

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People whose job it is to watch the economy are shocked at how many jobs the economy added last month: Payrolls added 272,000 more jobs in May, according to employer stats the government dropped yesterday, vastly exceeding the 190,000 increase that analysts predicted.

  • The biggest job gains were in healthcare (68k jobs), government (43k), and hospitality (42k).
  • The average hourly pay increased by 0.4% from the previous month and 4.1% over the year, also exceeding analysts’ predictions.

The surprisingly strong employment gains are prompting some head-scratching since they come amid slowing economic growth as consumers pull back on spending. The job market’s resilience has dashed hopes among investors and anyone planning to take out a loan that the Fed will lower interest rates soon. For example:

  • The unemployment rate ticked up to 4% from 3.9% in April, breaking its historic streak of 27 months under 4%.
  • A survey of households revealed that the number of Americans working dropped by 408,000 from April to May.

Some economists claim the household survey fails to properly account for immigrant workers, who have been the main driver of working population growth in recent years. But others say it checks out given the general cool-down vibes in the labor market: Job openings were at a three-year low in April, and many recent college grads have struggled to find work.

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While some companies would be thrilled if everyone started living to 120, it could spell trouble for the rest of us. Experts believe that centenarians becoming anything more than an anomaly would put the world in an economic pickle and require a societal overhaul to adapt. Even without futuristic tech that enables ultra-longevity, many developed countries are already in an economic bind due to aging populations and declining birth rates. The US Census Bureau projects that people older than 64 will reach 23% of the population by 2060 (compared to 17% in 2020), which means higher retirement and healthcare costs with fewer workers to offset them.

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What is IMPLIED Stock Volatility?

By Staff Reporters

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Implied open attempts to predict the prices at which various stock indexes will open at 9:30 am EST. It is frequently shown on various cable television channels and websites prior to the start of the next business day.  This is a powerful tool that gives traders an indication on whether they should be bullish or bearish during the market for SPX, NDX, and RUT.

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What is Implied Volatility?

Implied volatility shows how much movement the market is expecting in the future.

Options with high levels of implied volatility suggest that investors in the underlying stocks are expecting a big move in one direction or the other. It could also mean there is an event coming up soon that may cause a big rally or a huge sell-off.

MORE: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2022/03/18/options-and-derivatives-glossary/

However, implied volatility is only one piece of the puzzle when putting together an options trading strategy.

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RELATED: https://www.amazon.com/Comprehensive-Financial-Planning-Strategies-Advisors/dp/1482240289/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1418580820&sr=8-1&keywords=david+marcinko

VIX: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2022/09/01/what-up-vix/

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DAILY UPDATE: Companies and Stocks Dip as Job Growth Rises

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Bank of America analysts recently looked back at the last 100 years of stock market data, searching for asset bubbles and what indicated their approach. The nine historical bubbles they found all had one thing in common ahead of their bursting: rising volatility. But, right now the Volatility Index, or VIX, is nowhere near the highs seen before the dot-com bubble burst, which should soothe investor concerns.

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What’s up

  • Jazz Pharmaceuticals rose 5.39% today thanks to RBC Capital reiterating its outperform rating of the stock, highlighting the potential of the company’s forthcoming essential tremor treatment.
  • CarGurus popped 4.05% after receiving a shiny new outperform rating from JMP Securities, which likes the company’s online marketplace business model.
  • Las Vegas Sands rose 3.11% today on no particular news, as did Cedar Fair, which rose 3.27%. Both are beneficiaries of the vacation season, and likely enjoyed a boost today due to nothing more than the fact that it was a sunny summer Friday.

What’s down

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index declined 5.97 points (0.1%) to 5,346.99, up 1.3% for the week; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) lost 87.18 points (0.2%) to 38,798.99, up 0.3% for the week; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) shed 39.99 points (0.2%) to 17,133.13, up 2.4% for the week.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) jumped about 15 basis points to 4.432%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) fell 0.36 to 12.22.

Interest-rate-sensitive sectors including banking, real estate, and utilities were among this week’s poorest performers amid expectations the Fed is unlikely to lower rates from historically high levels. The Dow Jones Utility Average ($DJU) dropped 2.8% this week. Retailers also posted a down week. Semiconductors still clocked a firm week despite declines the past two days. The PHLX Semiconductor Index (SOX) advanced 3.2% for the week. 

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DAILY UPDATE: +/- Stocks and Dull Market Reviews

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What’s up

What’s down

  • Victoria’s Secret shares dropped 6.37% even though the company met both earnings and revenue estimates this quarter. It’s still mid-turnaround, however, and high debt remains a concern for investors.
  • Big Lots shares tanked 18.32% after the company announced abysmal earnings thanks to core customers cutting back their spending.
  • Canopy Growth shares dropped 8.45% after the marijuana producer announced plans to sell more shares in order to keep the company afloat.
  • Five Below shares fell 10.60% after announcing unimpressive earnings as low-income customers get squeezed by inflation.
  • Nio shares dropped 6.92% after the EV maker announced slower earnings than anticipated thanks to the ongoing decline in EV sales.

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index fell 1.07 points (0.02%) to 5,352.96; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) gained 78.84 points (0.2%) to 38,886.17; the NASDAQ Composite eased 14.78 points (0.1%) to 17,173.12.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) fell slightly to 4.285%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) declined 0.05 to  12.58.

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