DAILY UPDATE: Canadian Drugs, ACA and the Mixed Stock Markets

By Staff Reporters

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States that have long pushed the FDA to allow drug importation from Canada touted the move as a major step forward in their efforts to lower prescription drug spending and rein in healthcare costs. But while the idea of importing drugs from Canada is new for states, some businesses have been using existing drug import pathways to help consumers save money on certain high-cost medications.

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More than 20 million US residents—a record number, according to the Biden administration—have signed up for health insurance through the Affordable Care Act’s marketplaces. (the New York Times)

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

Stocks were a mixed bag yesterday as investors pored over the first big earnings reports and new data showing that wholesale prices surprisingly went down in December. Airlines took a hit after Delta beat earning expectations but lowered its profit forecast.

  • The S&P 500 index rose 3.59 points (0.1%) to 4,783.83, up 1.8% for the week; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® (DJI) fell 118.04 points (0.3%) to 37,592.98, up 0.3% for the week; the NASDAQ Composite rose 2.57 points to 14,972.76, up 3.1% for the week.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) fell about 3 basis points to 3.943%.
  • The CBOE® Volatility Index (VIX) rose 0.26 to 12.70.

Retailers and consumer discretionary shares were among the market’s weakest performers Friday, and regional banks were also under pressure. The KBW Regional Banking Index (KRX) fell 2% for the week and ended at a one-month low. Energy shares led gainers behind strength in crude oil futures. The small-cap-focused Russell 2000® Index (RUT) ended little-changed for the week but is still down 3.8% so far this year.

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DAILY UPDATE: Stock Markets Rocket Upward

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Investors are a day away from an inflation report that may offer some direction in a young year that has seen markets meander, with a brief sell-off and a partial rally back. More action may come as Wall Street banks kick off earnings season on Friday.

Here is where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index rose 26.95 points (0.6%) to 4,783.45, a two-year closing high; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® (DJI) increased 170.57 points (0.5%) to 37,695.73; the NASDAQ Composite gained 111.94 points (0.8%) to 14,969.65.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) added about 2 basis points to 4.04%.
  • The CBOE® Volatility Index (VIX) fell 0.06 to 12.70.

Among market sectors, the S&P 500 Communication Services Index (SP500#50), which includes “mega-cap” tech companies like Google parent Alphabet (GOOGL) and Facebook parent Meta Platforms (META), gained 1.2% and ended near a two-year high. Consumer discretionary shares were also firm. Energy stocks were one of the weakest performers behind a 1.3% drop in crude oil futures.

Peterson noted strength in tech shares may in part reflect news from this week’s Consumer Electronics Show in Las Vegas, with escalating bullishness surrounding artificial intelligence (AI) driving further gains in Nvidia (NVDA) and other chip companies capable of serving the most advanced forms of AI. Nvidia has jumped more than 10% so far this week and posted a record high for the third straight day.

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DAILY UPDATE: Stocks Rocket Back for Highest 2024 Close as Key Inflation Updates Loom

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Here is where the major benchmarks ended:

Bond yields and stock prices often move inversely to each other, in part because higher interest rates on virtually risk-free bonds lower the premium investors can expect from riskier assets like stocks, making it less appealing to buy equities. Last week, the 10-year Treasury yield briefly increased to 4.10%, near a three-week high, before dropping back near 4% Monday.

  • The S&P 500 index was up 66.30 points (1.4%) at 4,763.54; the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 216.90 points (0.6%) at 37,683.01; the NASDAQ Composite was up 319.70 points (2.2%) at 14,843.77.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was down about 3 basis points at 4.015%.
  • The CBOE® Volatility Index (VIX) was down 0.28 at 13.07.

Semiconductors shares were among the strongest performers, helped by a surge of 6.4% in Nvdia Corp. (NVDA), the top 2023 performer in the S&P 500 with a gain of 239%. Small-cap stocks were also firm as were consumer discretionary and communication services. The Russell 2000® Index (RUT) gained 1.9% to partly climb back from last week’s 3.7% drop.

Energy shares were soft because crude oil futures sank nearly 4% following reports Saudi Arabia lowered its prices.

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DAILY UPDATE: Crypto-Currency, ETFs and the Stock Markets

By Staff Reporters

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The Markets as of 10:00am ET. Here’s what these numbers mean.
Markets: One week into 2024, stocks and bonds are off to their worst start in 21 years as investors maybe got a bit ahead of their skis in anticipating Fed rate cuts.

This week, Wall Street will be focused on fresh inflation data and the beginning of Q4 earnings season.

                        

Bitcoin ETF cleared for launch? The first spot bitcoin ETF—could be approved by regulators this week in what would be a watershed moment for Wall Street’s embrace of digital tokens. The hype around these proposed funds, which would allow regular investors to gain exposure to bitcoin without buying it directly, drove bitcoin’s price up 162% over the past year.

Here is where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 Index was up 84.15 points (1.9%) at 4,495.70; the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) was up 489.83 points (1.4%) at 34,827.70; the NASDAQ Composite (COMP) was up 326.64 points (2.4%) at 14,094.38.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was down about 18 basis points at 4.453%.
  • CBOE’s Volatility Index (VIX) was down 0.60 at 14.16.

The small-cap focused Russell 2000 Index (RUT), which has lagged large-cap benchmarks for most of the year, jumped more than 5% Tuesday. Small-caps are often seen as being more exposed to the economic cycle and had suffered because of concerns that high interest rates could push the economy into recession.

Other interest rate-sensitive sectors, such as real estate, materials, and utilities, also saw outsize gains.

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DAILY UPDATE: “Medical Properties Trust” Tanks, FDA Approves Canadian Drugs and Medicare Advantage Health Plan [Part C] Patient Traps

By Staff Reporters

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Markets: Stocks climbed a bit on Friday as investors took in the news that the US added more jobs than expected in December, capping off an epic 2023 for the labor market. But it wasn’t a bright start to the year, as all three major averages broke a nine-week winning streak. Stock spotlight: The country’s largest hospital landlord, Medical Properties Trust, tanked after revealing that its biggest tenant was $50 million behind on rent.

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Yesterday, the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approved Florida’s request to import bargain medications from the country. It’s the first state to get permission from the agency to bring in medications from Canada under a law Congress passed 20 years ago to help Americans pay less for drugs. Florida officials say ordering cheaper drugs for conditions like HIV and diabetes from Canadian wholesalers will save Medicaid and other state programs $150 million over the first year.

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Older Americans say they feel trapped in Medicare Advantage plans.

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DAILY UPDATE: Walgreens’s Dividend Dives as Stocks Post Down Week

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DEFINITION: A stock dividend is a payment to shareholders that consists of additional shares rather than cash. The distributions are paid in fractions per existing share. For example, if a company issues a stock dividend of 5%, it will pay 0.05 shares for every share owned by a shareholder. The owner of 100 shares would get five additional shares.

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Stat: 3.9%. That’s Walgreens’s new dividend yield after the pharmacy chain cut its quarterly dividend of 7.0%. The company said that it was using the money to “strengthen [its] long-term balance sheet and cash position.” Walgreens stock fell 11% the day after the announcement. (CNBC)

Here is where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index was up 8.56 points (0.2%) at 4,697.24, down 1.6% for the week; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® (DJI) was up 25.77 points (0.1%) at 37,466.11, down 0.6% for the week; the NASDAQ Composite® (COMP) was up 13.77 points (0.1%) at 14,524.07, down 3.2% for the week.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was up about 6 basis points at 4.051%.
  • The CBOE® Volatility Index (VIX) was down 0.77 at 13.36.

Consumer staples and real estate ranked among the market’s weakest performers Friday, and technology shares remained under pressure with tech bellwether Apple (AAPL) extending this week’s nearly-6% slide and ending near a two-month low. Financial shares were one of the stronger sectors with the Philadelphia KBW Bank Index (BKX) rising 1.6% to a 10-month high. Small-cap stocks remained in the red with the Russell 2000® Index (RUT) ending the week down 3.7%. 

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DAILY UPDATE: Second Apple Downgrade with Mixed Markets as Investors Await Payroll Data and Lilly Sells Medications Directly to Patients

By Staff Reporters

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) was down 16.13 points (0.3%) at 4,688.68; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® (DJI) was up 10.15 points at 37,440.34; the NASDAQ Composite was down 81.91 points (0.6%) at 14,510.30.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was up about 9 basis points at 3.997%.
  • The CBOE® Volatility Index (VIX) was up 0.08 at 14.12.

Oilfield services and consumer discretionary shares were also among the market’s weakest performers Thursday. Banking and health care were among the strongest sectors, illustrating renewed investor interest in stocks that lagged the broader market last year.

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And, Eli Lilly is poised to sell medicine directly to consumers — with an emphasis on newly popular weight-loss drugs — in a move toward cutting out the controversial middle players in drug distribution.

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DAILY UPDATE: Technology Stocks Tank on Perihelion Day

By Staff Reporters

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Today the Earth is the closest it can get to the sun, a point in orbit known as perihelion, which happens every year two weeks after the December solstice.

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) was down 38.02 points (0.8%) at 4,704.81; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® (DJI) was down 284.85 points (0.8%) at 37,430.19; the NASDAQ Composite was down 173.73 points (1.2%) at 14,592.21.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was down about 3 basis points at 3.91%.
  • The CBOE® Volatility Index (VIX) was up 0.84 at 14.04.

In addition to tech shares, retailers and banks were also among the market’s weakest performers Wednesday. Small-cap stocks were also under pressure with the Russell 2000® Index (RUT) down about 2.7% to a three-week low. Energy shares strengthened behind a jump of nearly 4% in crude oil futures.

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DAILY UPDATE: Apple and the “Magnificent 7” Stocks Drop with the Markets

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Driving much of the tech slump was a 4% drop by Apple’s stock, a dive precipitated by an analyst downgrade questioning why the $2.9 trillion (market capitalization) company is trading at such an expensive valuation considering its negative earnings and profit growth.

Other members of the “magnificent seven” tech stocks, which gained a collective $5.1 trillion in market cap last year, also flailed Tuesday. Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia and Meta each fell 1.6% or more, while Tesla was the sole magnificent seven member in the green, as its shares slipped less than 1% after reporting more fourth-quarter electric vehicle deliveries than fore-casted.

Here is where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index was down 27.00 points (0.6%) at 4,742.83; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® (DJI) was up 25.50 points (0.1%) at 37,715.04; the NASDAQ Composite was down 245.41 points (1.6%) at 14,765.94.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was up about 7 basis points at 3.931%.
  • The CBOE® Volatility Index (VIX) was up 0.73 at 13.18.

Semiconductor companies led the way lower Tuesday after Bloomberg reported Netherlands-based ASML Holding NV (ASML) canceled shipments of some of its machines to China at the request of U.S. President Biden’s administration weeks before export bans on the high-end chipmaking equipment came into effect. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) tumbled 3.7%. Health care and energy sectors were among the few areas of strength, the latter gaining despite a 1.6% drop in crude oil futures.

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DAILY UPDATE: ChristianaCare Settles FCA Lawsuit as Stock Markets Celebrate 2023 but Start Off Rocky in 2024

By Staff Reporters

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ChristianaCare agreed to pay $47.1 million to resolve illegal kickback allegations flagged by its former chief compliance officer.

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Markets: The stock market was closed yesterday to give investors time to celebrate New Year’s Day 2024. As the just passed old year, 2023, provided plenty of reasons to pop bottles and celebrate:

For example, global stock markets had their best year since 2019, and all three major US indexes finished the year higher than they started it, with tech company gains pushing the NASDAQ up the most. Even among tech giants, Nvidia was a standout, boosted by A.I. suddenly being everywhere.

But, all major markets are down as of this posting time, today.

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DAILY UPDATE: Stocks Fall on Last Day of a Strong 2023 Year

By Staff Reporters

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index fell 13.52 points (0.28%) to 4,769.83; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® was down 20.56 points (0.05%) at 37,689.54; the NASDAQ Composite® (COMP) was down 83.78 points (-0.56%) at 15,011.35.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) rose nearly 2 basis points to 3.86%. 
  • The CBOE® Volatility Index (VIX) finished nearly unchanged at 12.51, still near recent four-year lows.

The S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average posted their ninth consecutive weekly advances, but the NASDAQ Composite finished slightly lower for the week, hurt in part by a soft performance from Apple (AAPL). The Russell 2000® Index (RUT) fell 1.18% on Friday but climbed 15% for the year.

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DAILY UPDATE: Another Health System Data Breach as the “Magnificent Seven” Stocks End Mixed

By Staff Reporters

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A health system in Michigan has experienced its second cybersecurity breach this year, affecting more than 1 million patients, according to state officials. Michigan Attorney General Dana Nessel announced Tuesday there was a breach at HealthEC, a vendor that provides services to Corewell Health’s southeast Michigan properties. The breach exposed patients’ personal and medical information.

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With Nvidia and Tesla on the rise, acronyms like FAANG and MAMAA no longer cut it: The top tech giants (Amazon, Alphabet, Apple, Meta, Google, plus Nvidia and Tesla) have now been dubbed the “Magnificent Seven.” Buoyed by the generative AI gold rush, they were responsible for 29% of the S&P 500’s total value.

Here is where the major benchmarks ended:

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index was up 1.77 points at 4,783.35; the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 53.58 points (0.1%) at 37,710.10; the NASDAQ Composite® (COMP) was down 4.04 points at 15,095.14.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was up nearly 6 basis points at 3.844%.
  • The CBOE® Volatility Index (VIX) was up 0.03 at 12.46.

The S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average, and NASDAQ Composite are all on track for a ninth consecutive weekly advance. Other parts of the market Thursday turned in mixed performances. The Russell 2000® Index (RUT) fell 0.4% but is still on track for a seventh consecutive weekly gain and has climbed 17% for the year.

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DAILY UPDATE: 2023 Business Start-Up Failure Review with Stock Market Gains

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3,200 business startups failed in 2023, according to PitchBook data. Those startups raised more than $27 billion combined, or roughly the 2022 GDP of Cambodia. (Business Insider).

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index was up 6.83 points (0.1%) at 4,781.58; the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 111.19 points (0.3%) at 37,656.52; the NASDAQ Composite® (COMP) was up 24.60 points (0.2%) at 15,099.18.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield was down over 9 basis points at 3.791%.
  • The CBOE® Volatility Index (VIX) was down 0.49 at 12.50.

Small-cap stocks continued a strong finish to the year as the Russell 2000® Index (RUT) gained 0.3% to settle at its highest level since April 2022. Retailer shares were among the market’s strongest performers amid reports of strong holiday sales. The S&P Retail Select Industry Index (SPSIRE) rose 0.6% and ended near an 11-month high.

In other markets, the U.S. dollar traded around $1.11 versus the euro (EUR/USD), its weakest level since late July and a reflection of expectations that lower rates in the United States will prompt investors to seek higher returns elsewhere.

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DAILY UPDATE: Holiday Spending Solid as Stock Market Rally Continues

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Consumer spending grew solidly this holiday season, rebuking concerns of a slowdown and reinforcing positive signals about the U.S. economy as it approaches the end of a tumultuous year.

Buying among shoppers rose 3.1% over the holidays compared to the same period last year, according to data released on Tuesday by Mastercard SpendingPulse, which measures in-store and online purchases from November 1st to December 24th across all forms of payment. The data is not adjusted for inflation.

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended: 

  • The S&P 500 index was up 20.12 points to 4,774.75 up 0.42%; the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 159.36 points at 37,54533, up 0.2% ; the NASDAQ Composite® (COMP) was up 81.6 points to 15,074.57 up 0.54% to start the week.  
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was down 1 basis point to 3.895%.
  • The CBOE® Volatility Index (VIX) was down 0.38% to 12.98.

Small-cap stocks continued to outpace their larger cousins, a common theme lately. The Russell 2000® Index rose Tuesday following six weeks of gains. Financials and real estate sectors were among strongest S&P 500 performers during the session, and the Russell 2000 has a heavy exposure to financials. In other markets, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) extended its recent slide and now trades at five-month lows, reflecting ideas that potentially lower interest rates may prompt investors to seek higher returns elsewhere.

With just three trading days left in 2023, the S&P 500 and other major equity benchmarks are poised to turn in a strong year that may more than make up for 2022’s losses. With Tuesday’s gains factored in, the SPX is closing in on its all-time high close just below 4,800 posted in early 2022. Through Tuesday, the S&P 500 was up more than 24% for the year, after tumbling 19.4% in 2022. The Dow Jones Industrial Average and the NASDAQ Composite were up 13% and 44%, respectively, after losing 8.8% and 33% in 2022.

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DAILY UPDATE: Happy “Festivus” with Drug Delays as the Stock Market Win Streak Continues

By Staff Reporters

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Festivus is a secular holiday on December 23rd as an alternative to the pressures and commercialism of the Christmas Season. Originally created by author Daniel O’Keefe, Festivus entered popular culture after it was made the focus of the 1997 Seinfeld episode which O’Keefe’s son, Dan,co-wrote.

The non-commercial holiday’s celebration includes a Festivus dinner, an unadorned aluminum Festivus pole, practices such as the “airing of grievances” and “feats of strength”, and the labeling of easily explainable events as “Festivus miracles”. The TV episode refers to it as “a Festivus for the rest of us”.

It has been described both as a parody holiday festival and as a form of playful consumer resistance. Journalist Allen Salkin describes it as “the perfect secular theme for an all-inclusive December gathering”.

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(Bloomberg) — Drug-makers are slow-walking products to market to get around President Joe Biden’s plan to lower medication prices.

Companies from Roche Holding AG to biotech Alnylam Pharmaceuticals Inc. are among those delaying or evaluating therapies in light of the government’s new ability to negotiate for lower prices. Firms that normally try to sell drugs as soon as possible are suspending clinical trials and shifting timelines, while patient groups are demanding change. 

Here is where the major benchmarks ended:

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index was up 7.88 points (0.2%) at 4,754.63, up 0.8% for the week; the Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 18.38 points at 37,385.97, up 0.2% for the week; the NASDAQ Composite® (COMP) was up 29.11 points (0.2%) at 14,992.97, up 1.2% for the week.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was up about 1 basis point at 3.901%.
  • The CBOEe® Volatility Index (VIX) was down 0.62 at 13.03.

Small-cap stocks continued a strong finish to the year. The Russell 2000® Index (RUT) rose 0.8% Friday to end at its highest level since April 2022 and rose 2.5% for the week, the small-cap benchmark’s sixth consecutive weekly gain. Regional banks and utilities were also among the strongest performers. In other markets, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) extended its recent slide and dropped to its weakest level since late July, reflecting ideas an outlook for lower interest rates may prompt investors to seek higher returns elsewhere.

Finally, with just four trading days left in 2023, the S&P 500 and other major equity benchmarks are poised to turn in a strong year that may more than make up for 2022’s losses. Through Friday, the S&P 500 was up nearly 24% for the year, after tumbling 19.4% in 2022. The Dow Jones Industrial Average and the NASDAQ Composite were up 13% and 43%, respectively, after losing 8.8% and 33% in 2022.

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DAILY UPDATE: Three Arrows Capital is Down as Stock Markets Rebound

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Almost $1 billion in assets belonging to the founders of cryptocurrency hedge fund Three Arrows Capital have been frozen by a British Virgin Islands court, according to the firm’s liquidator. The court issued an order preventing co-founders Su Zhu and Kyle Davies, as well as Davies’ wife Kelly Chen, from transferring or selling assets worth up to $1.14 billion, the liquidator Teneo said in an emailed statement, adding that it estimates creditors are owed roughly $3.3 billion. 

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Here is where the major benchmarks ended:

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) was up 48.40 points (1.0%) at 4,746.75; the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 322.35 points (0.9%) at 37,404.35; the NASDAQ Composite®(COMP) was up 185.92 points (1.3%) at 14,963.87.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was up about 1 basis point at 3.89%.
  • The CBOE® Volatility Index (VIX) was down 0.02 at 13.65, after earlier rising to 14.49.

Among market sectors, Micron Technology’s gain helped send the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) up 2.8%. Retail and transportation shares were also among the strongest performers.

The Russell 2000® Index (RUT), which is largely small cap focused, rose 1.7% and is on track for a sixth consecutive weekly gain.

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DAILY UPDATE: First Day of Winter as FedEx and the Stock Markets Crash!

HAPPY WINTER SOLSTICE

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Astronomical winter begins at the winter solstice, which is the shortest day of the year. This means days get longer during winter—very slowly at first, but at ever-larger daily intervals as the March Equinox approaches, heralding the start of spring.

Locations closer to the poles experience larger differences in day length throughout the year, so winter days are shorter there. In Toronto, the shortest day is just under 8 hours and 56 minutes long; in Miami, roughly 2000 kilometers or 1200 miles farther south, it lasts about 10 hours and 32 minutes.

Places within the polar circles experience polar night during all or part of the winter season when the Sun does not rise at all.

Here is where the major benchmarks ended:

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index (SPX) was down 70.02 points (1.5%) at 4,698.35; the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) was down 475.92 points (1.3%) at 37,082.00; the NASDAQ Composite® (COMP) was down 225.28 points (1.5%) at 14,777.94.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was down about 6 basis points at 3.858%.
  • The CBOE® Volatility Index (VIX) was up 1.14 at 13.67.

Shares of semiconductors and banks were among the weakest performers Wednesday, giving back some recent gains after ranking among upside leaders during the recent rally.

Transportation shares also slumped behind weakness in FedEx. The Dow Jones Transportation Index (DJT) fell 1.5% and ended at its lowest level in a week. 

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DAILY UPDATE: IRS Zaps Debt as Stock Markets Ascend!

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Americans who owe back taxes will be given an incentive to pay up after the Internal Revenue Service it would waive nearly $1 billion in late-payment penalties. Roughly 4.6 million individual taxpayers who owe for tax years 2020 and 2021 will be eligible for the penalty relief. The IRS is extending the olive branch because it stopped sending out many collection letters during the pandemic. It hoped the letter halt would help struggling taxpayers and reduce its backlog. The long absence of these computer-generated letters had big consequences for taxpayers. Americans’ debt on unpaid back taxes had been growing with interest and penalties, and many were likely in the dark about just how much they owed.

Here is where the major benchmarks ended:

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index was up 27.81 points (0.6%) at 4,768.37; the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 251.90 points (0.7%) at 37,557.92; the NASDAQ Composite® (COMP) was up 98.03 points (0.7%) at 15,003.22.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was down about 3 basis points at 3.924%.
  • The CBOE® Volatility Index (VIX) was down 0.03 at 12.53.

Energy shares extended an early week rally behind a continued rebound in WTI Crude Oil futures (/CL), which rose for a fifth straight day and ended near a three-week high above $74 per barrel.

Banks and retailers were also particularly firm. The S&P 500 Retail Select Industry Index (SPSIRE) surged over 2% and ended at its highest level in over 10 months.

And, Tuesday’s big winner was Affirm, whose shares skyrocketed 15% after the buy now, pay later company announced it’s expanding its Walmart partnership to include the retailer’s self-checkout kiosks.

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DAILY UPDATE: Goldman Sachs Speaks as the Stock Markets Rise

By Staff Reporters

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The Federal Reserve’s pivot last week to an easier monetary policy made many investors more bullish toward stocks. You can count Goldman Sachs among them. It has raised its year-end 2024 target for the S&P to 5,100 from 4,700. The new forecast represents an 8% increase from 4,740 on Dec. 18. Goldman has a three-month target of 4,800 and a six-month target of 4,900.

Here is where the major benchmarks ended:

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index was up 21.37 points (0.5%) at 4,740.56; the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 0.86 points at 37,306.02; the NASDAQ Composite was up 90.89 points (0.6%) at 14,904.81.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was up about 2 basis points at 3.946%.
  • The CBOE® Volatility Index (VIX) was up 0.25 at 12.53.

Energy shares were among Monday’s strongest performers behind a rally in WTI Crude Oil futures (/CL), which jumped 1.7% to end at a two-week high amid concern over supply disruptions following attacks on ships in the Red Sea.

Communication services and consumer staples were also firm. Financials gave back some of last week’s sharp gains, with the KBW Bank Index (BKX) down nearly 1%.

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IRS Inheritance Rule Change and the “Delta Dental” Data Breach

By Staff Reporters

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The IRS is demanding billions from small business who took this credit ...

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The IRS Quietly Changed the Rules on Children’s Inheritance

The IRS just issued Revenue Ruling 2023-2, which had a substantial impact on estate planning, particularly where an irrevocable trust is involved.

In the last decade or so, more families have begun utilizing irrevocable trusts to protect their assets from spend-down in order to qualify for government benefits, such as Medicaid and VA Aid and Attendance. Prior to the issuance of this ruling, it was unclear whether assets passing to beneficiaries through an irrevocable trust would receive a step-up in basis, thereby eliminating any capital gains taxes that would otherwise be owed.

Historically, assets that are disposed of during an individual’s lifetime are subject to capital gains taxes on the increase in value of that asset over time. The amount of capital gains owed is determined largely by the difference between the value at the time of purchase and the value at the time of transfer.

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Delta Dental of California data breach exposed info of 7 million people

“Delta Dental of California and its affiliates are warning almost seven million patients that they suffered a data breach after personal data was exposed in a MOVEit Transfer software breach.Delta Dental of California provides 24 months of free credit monitoring and identity theft protection services to impacted patients to mitigate the risk of their exposed data.”

LINK: https://tinyurl.com/bp4u2chv

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DAILY UPDATE: The “Magnificent Seven” Technology Stocks PLUS Uber

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  • Markets: The Magnificent Seven technology mega-cap stocks—Microsoft, Apple, Alphabet, Nvidia, Tesla, Meta, and Amazon—have surged 75% this year, while the other 493 companies in the S&P 500 have gained 12%. The Magnificent Seven now account for nearly 30% of the entire index’s value, per the WSJ.
  • Stock spotlight: Speaking of the S&P 500, it’s getting a prominent new member—Uber will join the index today. With a market cap of $127 billion, Uber is the most valuable company that hadn’t yet been included in the S&P 500, and it celebrated by notching a 52-week high last week.
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DAILY UPDATE: Mental Health and NASDAQ Technology Stocks

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“We kept hearing nightmare stories about Americans not getting the treatment that they needed because insurance companies were denying them care. But we didn’t have enough data to show just how extensive and deep the problem was.”—

Bill Smith, founder of mental health advocacy coalition Inseparable, on patients with mental health diagnoses not receiving care (NPR)

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The NASDAQ closed at an all-time high yesterday, breaking the record it set in November 2021, as technology stocks continued to rally on the news that the Fed may cut interest rates next year.

DocuSign shot up following reports that the $11 billion company whose tech lets you use your signature without a pen could be up for sale.

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DAILY UPDATE: Healthcare Artificial Intelligence Safety as the DJIA Sets Record

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Twenty-eight healthcare companies, including CVS Health , are signing U.S. President Joe Biden’s voluntary commitments aimed at ensuring the safe development of artificial intelligence (AI), a White House official said yesterday. The commitments by healthcare providers and payers follow those of 15 leading AI companies, including Google, OpenAI and OpenAI partner Microsoft to develop AI healthcare models responsibly.

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Health insurance company Humana is being accused of allegedly wrongfully denying care to elderly patients, who are enrolled in Medicare Advantage Plans, using an augmented intelligence model “to override” physicians’ orders on “necessary care patients require,” according to a new lawsuit.

The lawsuit, filed by two Humana Medicare Advantage Plan customers on December th 12 in Kentucky, claims that Humana uses an AI model called nH Predict, and it allegedly has a high error rate. And allegedly, despite knowing that it’s inaccurate, the company still uses it.

Related: CVS, Kroger and Rite Aid face unsettling medical privacy concerns

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Here is where the major benchmarks ended:

The S&P 500 index was up 12.46 points (0.3%) at 4,719.55; the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 158.11 points (0.4%) at 37,248.35; the NASDAQ Composite® (COMP) was up 27.59 points (0.2%) at 14,761.56.

  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was down about 11 basis points at 3.923%, falling under 4% for the first time since early August.
  • The CBOE® Volatility Index (VIX) was up 0.25 at 12.44.

Financial shares remained among the market’s strongest post-FOMC gainers, reflecting ideas that lower interest rates will boost profit margins for banks. Goldman Sachs (GS) rallied nearly 6%, the second-best gain among Dow companies, and hit a 23-month high. The KBW Bank Index (BKX), which includes major companies like Bank of America (BAC) and Citigroup (C) as well as several regional lenders, surged 5% to a nine-month high.

Also, the small-cap Russell 2000® Index (RUT) continued to outgain large-cap counterparts, rising 2.7% to a 4 ½-month high.

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DAILY UPDATE: DJIA Records a High as Treasury Yields Drop

By Staff Reporters

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MANY THANKS E.R. HEROES

The holidays can be a stressful time for many, especially emergency healthcare workers, as Emergency Departments and ERs tend to get crowded. Holiday-related injuries spike in December, from slipping in the snow or falling while decorating to overindulging in holiday cocktails. So, to all the emergency healthcare providers working on holidays this year, the ME-P thanks you very much.

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index was up 63.39 points (1.4%) at 4,707.09; the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 512.30 points (1.4%) at 37,090.24; the NASDAQ Composite was up 200.57 points (1.4%) at 14,733.96.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was down about 18 basis points at 4.024%.
  • The CBOE® Volatility Index (VIX) was up 0.14 at 12.21.

Financial shares led Wednesday’s gainers, reflecting ideas that lower interest rates will boost profit margins for banks. The KBW Regional Banking Index (KRX) surged nearly 6% and ended at its highest level in over four months. The Fed’s outlook for slower growth in 2024, but no recession, also appeared to drive optimism among smaller companies, which are considered to have greater exposure to economic downturns. The small-cap Russell 2000® Index (RUT) outpaced its bigger counterparts, gaining 3.5% and ending at a four-month high.

Treasury yields fell sharply, with the 10-year note dropping to a four-month low just above 4%.

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DAILY UPDATE: Norton Healthcare Hacked – Pharma Chains Give Health Data to Police and the Stock Markets Climb

By Staff Reporters

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SPONSOR: http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com

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Kentucky-based healthcare provider Norton Healthcare has confirmed that it has suffered a significant ransomware attack that may have put the data of millions of its patients at risk. In a filing to the Maine Attorney General on December 8th, the healthcare giant said that 2.5 million individuals had been affected by the breach.

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Meanwhile, the nation’s largest pharmacy chains have handed over Americans’ prescription records to police and government investigators without a warrant, a congressional investigation found, raising concerns about threats to medical privacy. Though some of the chains require their lawyers to review law enforcement requests, three of the largest — CVS Health, Kroger and Rite Aid, with a combined 60,000 locations nationwide — said they allow pharmacy staff members to hand over customers’ medical records in the store.

The policy was revealed in a letter sent to Xavier Becerra, the secretary of the Department of Health and Human Services, by Sen. Ron Wyden (D-Ore.) and Reps. Pramila Jayapal (D-Wash.) and Sara Jacobs (D-Calif.).

HIPAA anyone?

***

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index was up 21.26 points (0.5%) at 4,643.70; the Dow Jones Industrial Average®(DJI) was up 173.01 points (0.5%) at 36,577.94; the NASDAQ Composite® (COMP) was up 100.91 points (0.7%) at 14,533.40.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was down about 3 basis points at 4.206%.
  • The CBOE® Volatility Index (VIX) was down 0.56 at 12.07.

Technology shares were among Tuesday’s strongest performers despite a 12% drop in Oracle (ORCL), which plunged after reporting lighter-than-expected quarterly revenue late Monday. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) posted its highest close since January 2022.

Financial shares were also firm. Energy shares were under pressure because WTI Crude Oil futures (/CL) extended a slump below $70 per barrel and settled at its lowest price since late June.

Here is where the major benchmarks ended:

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DAILY UPDATE: Health Care, FOMC and the Tepid Markets

By Staff Reporters

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In healthcare, legislators could vote next week on a major health reform package that includes a ban on spread pricing in Medicaid and a push toward site-neutral payments.


In more news from the Hill, a bipartisan bill was introduced that seeks to cancel a 3.4% Medicare pay cut to docs, which has drawn plenty of ire from the industry.

***

The final FOMC meeting of the year will take place this week, and like most work meetings in mid-December, not a whole lot is going to happen. Chair Jerome Powell is widely expected to leave interest rates unchanged as inflation continues its descent to a 2% target. But 2024 planning is in full swing, and investors are desperate to learn when the Federal Reserve thinks it will need to cut rates next year.

***

Here is where the major stock index benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index was up 18.07 points (0.4%) at 4,622.44; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® (DJI) was up 157.06 points (0.4%) at 36,404.93; the NASDAQ Composite was up 28.51 points (0.2%) at 14,432.49.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was little-changed at 4.239%.
  • The CBOE® Volatility Index (VIX) was up 0.28 at 12.63.

In addition to retailers, semiconductor company shares also posted outsized gains Monday, boosted in part by a jump of nearly 10% in Broadcom (AVGO). The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) gained more than 3% and ended near a two-year high. Transportation companies were also strong.

In other markets, Natural Gas futures (/NG) plunged more than 6% to a six-month low, reflecting warmer-than-normal U.S. temperatures and excess supplies.

Finally, the so-called Magnificent Seven stocks of Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon.com, Nvidia, Tesla and Meta Platforms each fell at least 0.8%. Meta led the declines, dropping 2.2%. But only one out of 11 S&P 500 sectors fell. Even the information technology sub-index ticked higher, reflecting gains outside of the largest companies in the sector.

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The UK Questions Microsoft & OpenAI as Aetna Medicaid Aids Hungry Homeless

By Staff Reporters

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United Kingdom Regulators Looking into Microsoft’s Partnership with OpenAI

A British watchdog is asking for feedback on whether Microsoft’s $13 billion, 49% stake in the ChatGPT-maker’s for-profit division constitutes a merger, the WSJ just eported. So, if the agency decides to launch a formal investigation into whether the partnership creates an unfair advantage in the artificial intelligence industry, it could eventually force the companies to change how they operate.

And, following OpenAI’s dramatic firing and rehiring of CEO Sam Altman last month, Microsoft was given a “nonvoting observer” seat on the OpenAI board.

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Aetna Better Health of Georgia has invested $510,000 in 17 local organizations that offer services for individuals experiencing food insecurity and homelessness across the state of Georgia.

“A holistic approach to health care starts with ensuring each individual has stable and consistent access to healthy, nutritious foods, as well as a safe place to live,” said Sonya Nelson, division president at Aetna Medicaid. “By partnering with local organizations committed to improving the quality of life for all Georgians, we can help ensure people’s most basic needs are fulfilled and they’re able to prioritize care for themselves and their families.”

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DAILY UPDATE: Economy Modest, Sickle Cell CRISPR Therapy Approved and Stock Markets Rise

By Staff Reporters

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According to the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development’s November economic outlook report, global growth is on track to stay modest this year and into 2024. And, while gross domestic product growth has been stronger than anticipated in 2023 so far, it’s now “moderating on the back of tighter financial conditions, weak trade growth and lower business and consumer confidence,” the report’s authors noted. The OECD anticipates global GDP growth of 2.9% in 2023, and a dip to 2.7% in 2024. 2025 looks better, with predicted global growth of 3%.

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The Food and Drug Administration on Friday approved a powerful treatment for sickle cell disease, a devastating illness that affects more than 100,000 Americans, the majority of whom are Black. The therapy, called Casgevy, from Vertex Pharmaceuticals and CRISPR Therapeutics, is the first medicine to be approved in the United States.

CRISPR: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2022/08/06/crispr-play-by-play-of-an-experiment/

Here is where the major benchmarks ended:

The S&P 500® Index (SPX) was up 0.41% at 4,604.46, up marginally for the week; the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) was up 130 points (0.36%) at 36,247.87, up marginally for the week; the NASDAQ Composite® (COMP) was up 63.98 points (0.45%) at 14,403.97, up 0.7% for the week.The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was up 10 basis points at 4.235%. The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) was down 5.44% at 12.35.

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DAILY UPDATE: Deflation Pending as Stock Markets Gain

By Staff Reporters

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After grappling with high inflation for more than two years, American consumers are now seeing an economic trend that many might only dimly remember: falling prices — but only on certain types of products. 

Deflation is impacting so-called durable goods, or products that are meant to last more than three years, Wall Street Journal reporter David Harrison told CBS News. As Harrison noted in his reporting, durable goods have dropped on a year-over-year basis for five straight months and dropped 2.6% in October from their September 2022 peak.

These items are products such as used cars, furniture and appliances, which saw big run-ups in prices during the pandemic. Used cars in particular were a pain point for U.S. households, with pre-owned cars seeing their prices jump more than fifty percent in the first two years of the pandemic.

Here is where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 Index was up 36.25 points (0.8%) at 4,585.59; the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 62.95 points (0.2%) at 36,117.38; the NASDAQ Composite was up 193.28 points (1.4%) at 14,339.99.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was up about 2 basis points at 4.144%.
  • The CBOE® Volatility Index (VIX) was up 0.09 at 13.06.

Tech sector strength was highlighted by the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX), which gained nearly 3%. Financial shares were also among the strongest performers, as the KBW Regional Banking Index (KRX) rose 2% and ended at a four-month high. In other markets, WTI crude oil futures (/CL) posted the market’s first gain in six days after earlier dropping to its lowest level since late June.

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DAILY UPDATE: Apple Market Cap Up as Major Stock Indexes Ease

By Staff Reporters

MEDICARE ANNUAL ENROLLMENT ENDS

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Apple regains a $3 trillion market cap and is on track to end the year as the world’s most valuable company for the 5th time in a row.

Today marks the 82nd anniversary of the attack on Pearl Harbor that drew the US into WWII.

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) was down 17.84 points (0.4%) at 4,549.34; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® (DJI) was down 70.13 points (0.2%) at 36,054.43; the NASDAQ Composite® (COMP) was down 83.20 points (0.6%) at 14,146.71.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was down about 5 basis points at 4.117%.
  • The CBOE® Volatility Index (VIX) was up 0.10 at 12.95.

Energy shares were again among the market’s weakest performers as crude oil futures extended a slump, closing below $70 per barrel for the first time since late June on concerns over slowing global demand. And, Liz Ann Sonders of Schwab said a “somewhat stealthy” rotation continued under the market’s surface, with the S&P 500® Equal Weight (SPXEW) and Russell 2000®(RUT) indexes outperforming both the S&P 500 and NASDAQ over the past month or so. She also noted a defensive tone to Wednesday’ trading, illustrated by strength in utilities and weakness in technology.

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DAILY UPDATE: Non-Physician Practice Ownership Quality Down as Stock Markets Slip

By Staff Reporters

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Nearly 60% of doctors who practice as employees of hospitals and other corporate entities say that non-physician practice ownership results in lower quality patient care, per a new survey commissioned by the Physicians Advocacy Institute. Loss of face time with patients and greater focus on finances negatively impact quality, they say.

Here is where the major benchmarks ended:

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index was down 2.60 points (0.1%) at 4,567.18; the Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 79.88 points (0.2%) at 36,124.56; the NASDAQ Composite® (COMP) was up 44.42 points (0.3%) at 14,229.91.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield was down about 11 basis points at 4.18%.
  • The CBOE® Volatility Index (VIX) was down 0.23 at 12.85.

Energy shares were among Tuesday’s weakest performers on pressure from slumping crude oil futures, which dropped for a fourth consecutive day and hit a five-month low amid concern over global demand. Retail and transportation sectors were also soft. Technology and consumer discretionary shares were among the few gainers.

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DAILY UPDATE: Stock Indexes Pull Back

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Here is where the major benchmarks ended yesterday:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) was down 24.85 points (0.5%) at 4,569.78; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® (DJI) was down 41.06 points (0.1%) at 36,204.44; the NASDAQ Composite (COMP) was down 119.54 points (0.8%) at 14,185.49.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was up about 4 basis points at 4.264%.
  • The BOE® Volatility Index (VIX) was up 0.45 points at 13.08.

Technology and communications services shares were among the weakest performers Monday, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) dropping 1.2%, its lowest level since mid-November.

By contrast, many smaller companies held up better. The small-cap-focused Russell 2000® Index (RUT) rose 1% and ended at a three-month high, extending a recent upswing. In other markets, gold futures (GC) plunged after earlier posting an intraday record above $2,152 an ounce.

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DAILY UPDATE: Stock Markets Rally and IPOs

By Staff Reporters

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As we reported, the S&P 500 had its best day of the year on Friday as stocks kept their November rally rolling right into December. Pfizer, however, fell to its lowest since March 2020 after announcing that it’s pulling the plug on its experimental twice-a-day weight loss pill because it caused too many negative side effects even as pharmaceutical companies are rushing to serve the growing weight loss market.

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And, Panera Bread filed IPO paperwork, the Financial Times reported. And it’s not the only household name that’s anticipated to hit brokerage apps next year as more companies are once again considering going public. The past two years have been an IPO stale mate as rising interest rates led to a tepid market for newcomers. Last year, Panera itself aborted a public listing it was planning via a special purpose acquisition company [SPAC] due to harsh market conditions.

CITE: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2022/06/13/spac-v-direct-listing-v-ipo/

But, things might be different in 2024. Fast-fashion behemoth Shein also recently filed paperwork for what could be a blockbuster IPO that raises as much as $90 billion, per Bloomberg. The publication says that more companies are rumored to be thinking about joining the potential IPO bonanza. For example:

  • Kim Kardashian might list her $4 billion undergarment brand, Skims.
  • Reddit is supposedly flirting with the idea of going public. It would be the first major social media IPO in years, and it’s been in the offing since last year, when Reddit was valued at $15 billion.

However, all IPOs have not done well:

  • The Birkenstock and Instacart IPOs fell short of expectations according to investment data from Dealogic
  • Three out of four companies that IPOed this year were trading below their offer prices as of the middle of last month.
  • Companies debuting on the public markets raised a meager $20 billion so far this year, a slight rebound from 2022 but a ~90% decline from 2021.

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DAILY UPDATE: Sidelines Awash with Cash in Up Markets

By Staff Reporters

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There’s almost $6 trillion of cash sitting on the sidelines in money-market funds, with the potential for some portion of it to be reallocated into “carefully selected risk assets.”

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This is according to Ali Dibadj, chief executive of London-based Janus Henderson Investors, which had $308.3 billion in assets under management as of September. About $187.9 billion, or 61%, of that was in equity strategies.

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index was up 26.83 points (0.6%) at 4,594.63, up 0.8% for the week; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® (DJI) was up 294.61 points (0.8%) at 36,245.50, up 2.4% for the week; the NASDAQ Composite was up 78.81 points (0.6%) at 14,305.03, up 0.4% for the week.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield was down about 14 basis points at 4.213%.
  • The CBOE® Volatility Index (VIX) was down 0.27 at 12.65.

Friday’s gains followed the market’s strongest month of the year, as the S&P 500 and NASDAQ surged 8.9% and 10.7% in November, respectively, their best monthly performances since July 2022. Among sectors, the KBW Regional Bank Index (KRX) jumped 5.3% Friday, and retail shares were also among the top gainers.

Shares of smaller companies extended a recent rally as the small-cap-focused Russell 2000® Index (RUT) gained 3.1% for the week and ended at a 2-1/2-month high.

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DAILY UPDATE: DJIA Rockets Upward!

By Staff Reporters

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Here is where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index was up 17.22 points (0.4%) at 4,567.80, up 8.9% for the month; the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 520.47 points (1.5%) at 35,950.89, up 8.8% for the month; the NASDAQ Composite was down 32.27 points (0.2%) at 14,226.22, up 10.7% for the month.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was up about 6 basis points at 4.33%.
  • CBOE® Volatility Index (VIX) was down 0.07 at 12.91.

The Dow’s gain Thursday was driven in part by Salesforce (CRM), which soared nearly 9% after the cloud software company reported stronger-than-expected quarterly results. The technology sector was otherwise soft, with the NASDAQ-100® (NDX) down 0.7% but still up 10.7% for the month. Small-cap stocks also posted a firm November, illustrated by a monthly gain of nearly 9% in the Russell 2000® Index (RUT).

And, Nathan Peterson, director of derivatives analysis at the Schwab Center for Financial Research, said the weakness in tech shares likely reflected consolidation after firm gains earlier this month. The NASDAQ Composite may also face some technical resistance around 14,350, a level where sellers stepped in back in July.

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DAILY UPDATE: Hospital Ransomware Attack as Stock Markets Mixed Ahead of Inflation Reading

By Staff Reporters

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A ransomware attack has caused a health care chain, which operates 30 hospitals in six states, to move patients from some of its emergency rooms to other hospitals, while putting certain procedures on pause, the company announced.

According to a statement from Ardent Health Services, the attack happened on November 23rd. The company said as a result of the attack, it took its network offline and suspended user access to its information technology applications, including the software used to document patient care.

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Here is where the major benchmarks ended:

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index was down 4.31 points (0.1%) at 4,550.58; the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 13.44 points at 35,430.42; the NASDAQ Composite ® was down 23.27 points (0.2%) at 14,258.49.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was down about 8 basis points at 4.261%.
  • CBOE ® Volatility Index (VIX) was up 0.29 at 12.98.

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DAILY UPDATE: Apple Credit Card, Drug Prices and the Modest Stock Markets

By Staff Reporters

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Apple is pulling the plug on its credit card partnership with Goldman Sachs Group, the Wall Street Journal reported on Tuesday. The tech giant recently sent a proposal to the Wall Street bank to exit the contract in the next 12 to 15 months, the report said, citing people briefed on the matter.

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Senators Elizabeth Warren (Democrat) and Mike Braun (Republican) sent a letter to the US Department of Health and Human Services last week, asking it to investigate whether large insurance companies are hiking prescription drug prices at pharmacies they own

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Here is where the major benchmarks ended:

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) was up 4.46 points (0.1%) at 4,554.89; the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 83.51 points (0.2%) at 35,416.98; the NASDAQ Composite® (COMP) was up 40.73 points (0.3%) at 14,281.76.
  • The 10-year Treasury yield was down about 6 basis points at 4.33%.
  • The CBOE® Volatility Index (VIX) was little-changed at 12.69.

Semiconductor and transportation shares were among the weakest performers Tuesday, and regional banks were also under pressure. Small cap stocks also lagged. The Russell 2000® Index (RUT) fell about 0.4% for its lowest close in a week.

Retailers and utilities were among the firmest sectors. In other markets, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) weakened to its lowest level since mid-August, reflecting expectations that U.S. interest rates have peaked.

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DAILY UPDATE: Interest Rate Cuts, CPA Holidays Spending Watch and the Markets

By Staff Reporters

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SPONSOR: http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com

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Wall Street is gearing up for rate cuts. Yep! Twenty months after the Federal Reserve began a historic campaign against inflation, investors now believe there is a much greater chance that the central bank will cut rates in just four months than raise them again in the foreseeable future.

Interest-rate futures indicated last week a roughly 60% chance the Fed will lower rates by a quarter-of-a-percentage point by its May 2024 policy meeting, up from 29% at the end of October, according to CME Group data. The same data has pointed to four cuts by the end of the year. And, investors, battered by the Fed’s efforts to slow the economy, have reacted by driving the S&P 500 up nearly 9% this month. That is despite the wagers reflecting different possible paths for the economy, not all of them favorable for stocks.

Of course, investors look ahead to the release this week of key US inflation data that could provide a guide for the Federal Reserve’s plans for interest rates going into the new year.

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Read: Can AI save accounting? (the Journal of Accountancy)

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Here is where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 Index was down 8.91 points (0.2%) at 4,550.43; theDow Jones Industrial Average® (DJI) was down 56.68 points (0.2%) at 35,333.47; the NASDAQ Composite® was down 9.83 points (0.1%) at 14,241.02.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was down about 10 basis points at 4.387%.
  • CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) was up 0.23 at 12.69.

Transportation shares were among the weakest performers Monday, and energy was also soft behind a drop in crude oil futures. Weakness in many retail stocks suggested some concern over consumer spending given high interest rates and slower job growth. The S&P Retail Select Index (SPSIRE) fell 0.6% but is still up 8.2% for the month. Consumer discretionary and real estate shares were among the few gainers.

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DAILY UPDATE: Holiday Spending Economics with Mixed Stock Markets

By Staff Reporters

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SPONSOR: http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com

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Shopping data reveals that Q4 isn’t as important as one might expect. For example, the holiday quarter in 2022 accounted for 26.8% of the year’s sales, just a hair over the 25% mark if sales were evenly spread across the year, per the US Census Bureau. Of course, some types of retailers depend on the holiday quarter far more than others. Discretionary retailers (which sell the things you want, but don’t need…aka gifts) rely on Q4 for up to 40% of their yearly sales, according to McKinsey. For department stores, clothing stores, and toy stores, the holiday season really is make-or-break. GameStop, for instance, recorded 37% of its annual revenue last year in the last three months of 2022.

But for other retailers, Q4 isn’t such a big deal. People apparently read throughout the year because book stores only depend on the fourth quarter for 27.4% of sales. People also need to eat food all year long: Q4 accounted for 26.3% of sales for grocery stores.

Meanwhile, gas stations, car dealerships, and building material companies perform worse in the holiday quarter than at other times of the year.

Here is where the major benchmarks ended:

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The S&P 500 Index was 2.72 up points (0.1%) at 4,559.34, up 1% for the week; the Dow Jones Industrial Average®(DJI) was up 117.12 points (0.3%) at 35,390.15, up 1.3% for the week; the NASDAQ Composite was down 15.00 points (0.1%) at 14,250.85, up 0.9% for the week.

  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was up about 5 basis points at 4.47%.
  • CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) was down 0.34 at 12.46.

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DAILY UPDATE: Profiting From Black Friday “Reverse Logistics”

By Staff Reporters

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Black Friday, one of the biggest shopping days of the year, is a half day for the stock market. Both stock exchanges close at 1:00 p.m. ET, with eligible options trading until 1:15 p.m. Normal trading hours resume on the Monday after Thanksgiving, also known as Cyber Monday, when many online retailers host major sales.

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DEFINITION: Reverse logistics—or the supply-chain processes of returns—is a little-known but rapidly growing sector of the economy that’s booming alongside the rise in online shopping that started during the pandemic.

Now, as retailers crack down on returns to avoid hearing another “it was broken when I got it” excuse, some companies are counting on you to send your holiday gifts back. A “reverse logistics” industry has sprung up in recent years to take advantage of the more than $300 billion in returns Americans make every holiday season.

  • Venture capital firms pumped nearly $200 million into reverse logistics startups last year—over 2.5x as much as in 2021, according to Bloomberg.
  • Loop Returns, which sells software to companies looking to streamline the return process on the customer side, raised $115 million at the end of 2022.

Established companies see potential in reverse logistics as well. Last month, Uber launched a feature enabling drivers to pick up your packages and bring them to a returns center. Meanwhile, UPS, whose returns business has grown 25% since 2020, recently acquired the startup Happy Returns.

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DAILY UPDATE: Nvidia Up, Zhao of Binance is Out and the Stock Index Win Streak Ends

By Staff Reporters

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How to Close Binance Account - Cryptalker

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Nvidia reported another quarter of record sales and gave a strong revenue outlook, pointing to red-hot demand for chips that underpin the artificial-intelligence boom. Huge investments in AI by tech giants from Microsoft to Amazon.com and by other large corporations have helped propel Nvidia’s sales to unprecedented levels in recent quarters.

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The chief executive of Binance, the largest global cryptocurrency exchange, plans to step down and plead guilty to violating criminal U.S. anti-money-laundering requirements, in a deal that may preserve the company’s ability to continue operating, according to people familiar with the matter. And, the U.S. Department of Justice has just brought criminal charges against Binance and its billionaire founder and CEO, Changpeng Zhao.

Here is where the major benchmarks ended:

The S&P 500 Index was down 9.19 points (0.2%) at 4,538.19; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® (DJI) was down 62.75 points (0.2%) at 35,088.29; the NASDAQ Composite was down 84.55 points (0.6%) at 14,199.98.

  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was down about 2 basis points at 4.404%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) was down 0.06 at 13.35.

Financial and technology shares were among the weakest sectors Tuesday, with the KBW Regional Banking Index (KRX) dropping 2.1%. Small-cap stocks also gave back some of a recent rally, as the Russell 2000® Index(RUT) fell 1.3% after touching a two-month high Monday. Health care, materials and utilities were among the few sectors to post gains.

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DAILY UPDATE: Inflation Down but Old Navy and the Gap are Up as Altman Goes to Microsoft

By Staff Reporters

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SPONSOR: http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com

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News last week that inflation eased more than expected in October solidified the view that the Federal Reserve is done with its most aggressive rate-hike campaign in four decades. And that could be a boon for the stock market and your 401(k).

Over the last 10 rate hike cycles dating to 1974, the S&P 500 index rose an average 14.3% in the 12 months following the Fed’s final rate increase, according to an analysis by Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist at Carson Group.

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Stocks climbed to reach their third positive week in a row for the first time since summer, boosted by data showing inflation is on its way down. And, the Gap soared as the retailer reported strong sales last quarter at both Old Navy and its namesake stores.

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DAILY UPDATE: The U.S. Stock Markets

By Staff Reporters

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Here is where the major benchmarks ended on Friday:

  • The S&P 500 Index (SPX) was up 5.78 points (0.1%) at 4,514.02, up 2.2% for the week; the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) was up 1.81 points at 34,947.28, up 1.9% for the week; the NASDAQ Composite was up 11.81 points (0.1%) at 14,125.48, up 2.4% for the week.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield was down about 1 basis point at 4.439%.
  • CBOE’s Volatility Index (VIX) was down 0.54 at 13.78.

Retail shares were among Friday’s strongest sectors, helped by a nearly 30% surge by Gap (GPS) after the apparel company stronger-than-expected quarterly results. Energy companies were also higher thanks to a nearly 4% rise in WTI Crude Oil futures (/CL). Oil prices are still down 20% from a 2023 peak of more than $95 posted in late September.

In other markets, the U.S. dollar index dropped 1.8% for the week to touch its weakest level since September 1st, reflecting stepped-up expectations that interest rates have peaked.

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DAILY UPDATE: Mixed U.S. Stock Markets

By Staff Reporters

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SPONSOR: http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com

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Over the course of the last few weeks, Cathie Wood of ARKK has been offloading the firm’s holdings in Roku, Inc. (NASDAQ:ROKU). Across all of her firm’s funds, Wood has sold stock in the streaming company totaling over $56 million. The move comes after Roku released its financials for q3. 

Here is where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 Index was up 5.36 points (0.1%) at 4,508.24; the Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 45.74 points (0.1%) at 34,945.47; the NASDAQ Composite was up 9.84 points (0.1%) at 14,113.67.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was uabout 9 basis points at 4.445%.
  • Cboe’s Volatility Index (VIX) was up 0.14 at 14.32.

Walmart’s commentary weighed on the retail sector. Energy was also a laggard, as crude oil futures fell 5% to a four-month low of less than $73 a barrel, in part because record U.S. crude production has boosted supply.

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DAILY UPDATE: Government Shutdown Averted as US Markets Extend their Gains

By Staff Reporters

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Senate leaders voted Wednesday night in favor of the short-term government funding bill the House passed Tuesday night ahead of Friday’s shutdown deadline. House Speaker Mike Johnson pitched a two-step plan that he described as a “laddered CR” — or continuing resolution — that will keep the government funded at 2023 levels. The bill extends government funding until January 19th for the Veterans Affairs, Transportation, Housing and Urban Development and Energy departments, as well as for military construction. The rest of the government is funded until February 2nd, 2024.

Here is where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® Index (SPX) was up 7.18 points (0.2%) at 4,502.88; the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 163.51 points (0.5%) at 34,991.21; the NASDAQ Composite was up 9.45 points (0.1%) at 14,103.84.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was up about 10 basis points at 4.541%.
  • CBOE’s Volatility Index (VIX) was up 0.02 at 14.18.

Retail and financial shares were among Wednesday’s strongest performers. The KBW Regional Banking Index (KRX) rose 1.3% to a 2½-month high. Transportation and consumer staples were also higher. Energy shares were one of the few laggards as crude oil futures sank more than 2% after the Energy Department reported a larger-than-expected increase in U.S. crude inventories.

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DAILY UPDATE: US Economic Prognostications as Stock Markets Surge

By Staff Reporters

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SPONSOR: http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com

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US Economic leaders are looking to the past for some inspiration on how to deal with the present—the only issue is, no one seems to be able to agree which past era they should be studying. But, predictions diverge, for example.

  1. Deutsche Bank believes the U.S. economy closely resembles the turbulent times of the 1970s, an outlook prompted by the war in Israel, oil shocks, and rampant inflation.
  2. Meanwhile economists at the White House say the inflationary period after World War II acts as a better guide because pent-up demand from the pandemic will eventually fade away.
  3. UBS disagrees with both, saying the 1990s more closely resembles the economic climate world leaders are currently attempting to navigate. A note from the UBS Chief Investment Office, led by Jason Draho, questioned whether the 2020s would act as “another roaring 20s” seen a century before. During this period, technological advances led to a rapid increase in productivity, while major industries like automotive, film and chemicals took off. The data suggests today’s economy has officially entered a new regime, UBS outlined: “A regime is defined by its growth, inflation, and rate attributes. These are all at their highest levels since prior to the global financial crisis (GFC).”

Here is where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 Index was up 84.15 points (1.9%) at 4,495.70; the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) was up 489.83 points (1.4%) at 34,827.70; the NASDAQ Composite (COMP) was up 326.64 points (2.4%) at 14,094.38.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was down about 18 basis points at 4.453%.
  • CBOE’s Volatility Index (VIX) was down 0.60 at 14.16.

The small-cap focused Russell 2000 Index (RUT), which has lagged large-cap benchmarks for most of the year, jumped more than 5% Tuesday. Small-caps are often seen as being more exposed to the economic cycle and had suffered because of concerns that high interest rates could push the economy into recession.

Other interest rate-sensitive sectors, such as real estate, materials, and utilities, also saw outsize gains.

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