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Jack Dorsey’s wealth tumbled after Hindenburg Research targeted his payments company Block, per Bloomberg. The short seller alleged Block misled investors “with inflated metrics” Block’s share price tumbled as much as 22% on Thursday on Hindenburg’s report.
Short seller Hindenburg Research has hit another billionaire’s fortune with a report. Jack Dorsey, the co-founder of payments company Block and Twitter, saw his net worth tumble by $526 million, or 11%, to $4.4 billion after the US-based research firm led by Nathan Anderson accused Block of misleading investors in a March 23 report, according to Bloomberg. Dorsey isn’t on the list of the world’s 500 richest persons on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index currently. He was previously featured at number 456 with a net worth of $5.41 billion on March 22nd, per Insider’s scan of the Index on Wednesday.
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Investors sparked a furious selloff in Deutsche Bank AG and thrust one of Europe’s most important lenders into the center of concerns about the health of the global financial system. Shares of Germany’s largest lender tumbled as much as 15%, their third consecutive day of losses, though they later regained some ground and were recently down 10%. The cost to insure against its default using credit-default swaps soared to their highest levels since 2020.
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Chairman Jerome Powell was ambiguous this week about future Federal Reserve moves, suggesting “some additional policy firming may be needed.”
Treasury yields dropped near seven-month lows, a seeming indication of escalating recession worries after the Fed raised its benchmark lending rate nine times to a range of 4.75% to 5% over the past year. The release next week of updated data on consumer confidence, inflation, and economic growth will likely be in focus.
The swings in stock prices this week “were consistent with the unclear outlook for monetary policy, the banking system, and the broader economy,” says Kevin Gordon, senior investment strategist at Charles Schwab. “More time needs to pass before we know the true impact of the expected tightening in credit conditions.”
The S&P 500® Index was up 22.27 (0.6%) at 3970.99; the Dow Jones industrial average was up 132.28 (0.4%) at 32,237.53; the NASDAQ Composite was up 36.56 (0.3%) at 11,823.96.
The 10-year Treasury yield was little changed at about 3.374%.
CBOE’s Volatility Index was down 0.87 at 21.74.
The real estate sector led the gainers Friday, followed by consumer staples and health care. Financials and consumer discretionary stocks edged lower, and technology stocks were little changed, though the tech-focused NASDAQ Composite still notched its second straight weekly gain. Gold and crude oil futures both declined, while the U.S. dollar strengthened.
Mass firings at tech companies continue as Accenture (NYSE:ACN) just announced plans to lay off around 19,000 people, or 2.5% of its current workforce, in the next 18 months. Over half of the departures will consist of people in non-billable corporate functions, the professional services firm said.
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Despite strong gains early this week, antifungal drug developers lost steam even after Cidara Therapeutics (NASDAQ:CDTX) won FDA approval for its candidemia treatment Rezzayo. Shares of Cidara (CDTX) and its rival in antifungal space Scynexis (NASDAQ:SCYX) jumped amid concerns of a fast-spreading fungal infection caused by yeast species Candida auris in the U.S. New approval of Rezzayo for fungal disease candidemia and invasive candidiasis has failed to reignite the interest, with Cidara (CDTX) and Scynexis (SCYX) trading at least 20% lower. Meanwhile, Cidara (CDTX) has not replicated its regulatory success on the financial front, reporting lower-than-expected financials for Q4 2022 on Thursday.
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The following is a round-up of today’s market activity:
The S&P 500® Index was up 11.75 (0.3%) at 3948.72; the Dow Jones industrial average was up 75.14 (0.2%) at 32,105.25; the NASDAQ Composite was up 117.44 (1.0%) at 11,787.40.
The 10-year Treasury yield was down about 11 basis points at 3.391%.
CBOE’s Volatility Index was up 0.35 at 22.61.
The energy sector led declines Thursday as crude oil futures fell back under $70 a barrel, with financials and consumer staples also losing ground. Technology and communications stocks managed to hold onto gains.
Finally, gold futures surged over 2% to a one-year high near $2,000 an ounce.
Cathie Wood just revealed that her flagship fund ARK Invest lost over $2 billion last year. Her struggles sum up how rising interest rates are affecting markets, according to the CEO of JPMorgan Asset Management. “When the Federal Reserve hits the brakes, something goes through the windshield,” George Gatch said.
Cathie Wood’s Ark Invest also sold $13.5 million worth of Coinbase stock. The famed money manager now holds a 7% stake in the crypto exchange worth $837 million. Shares of Coinbase are up nearly 30% in the past five trading sessions as crypto prices rallied.
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Moderna – which received about $10 billion in taxpayer money to produce its COVID-19 vaccine and has since earned billions more in profits selling it – was sued in early 2022 by Genevant Sciences and Arbutus Biopharma Corp., which accused Moderna of using technology they have patented in its vaccine. The two companies have asked a federal court in Delaware to award them damages for the infringement.
Alex Coffey, senior trading strategist at TD Ameritrade, said recent turmoil in the banking industry has effectively tightened credit conditions, possibly making further rate increases by the Fed unnecessary. Still, the Fed had to send a message that it’s not making an abrupt shift in its efforts to bring inflation down. The Fed has been in “cruise control” raising rates, “staying in the fast lane,” Alex says. “Now, it has turned off cruise and maybe changed lanes, but isn’t doing a quick move toward the off ramp. Today’s increase was not a ‘dovish’ hike, but also not the hawkish stance that was feared.”
“We’re near the end of the tightening cycle,” he adds. “But they have to do this slowly.”
The Fed commentary appeared to briefly soothe the market, causing the S&P 500® Index to rise as much as 1% soon after the central bank’s announcement, but the benchmark changed direction in the last hour of trading. The reversal may have in part been in response to the ambiguity of Powell’s words, as well as continuing concern about a potential recession.
And so, the following is a round-up of today’s domestic market activity:
The S&P 500 Index was down 65.90 (1.7%) at 3936.97; the Dow Jones industrial average was down 530.49 (1.6%%) at 32,030.11; the NASDAQ Composite was down 190.15 (1.6%) at 11,669.96.
The 10-year Treasury yield was down about 17 basis points at 3.44%.
The following is a round-up of yesterday’s market activity:
The S&P 500 Index was up 51.3 (1.3%) at 4002.87, its highest close since March 6th; the Dow Jones industrial average was up 316.02 (1.0%) at 32,560.60; the NASDAQ Composite was up 184.57 (1.6%) at 11,869.11, the highest close since February 15th.
Treasury yield was up about 12 basis points at 3.594%.
The CBOE VIX index the gauge of equity volatility, twice spiked up to 30 before tumbling back down. The ICE BoAML MOVE index, a VIX for the Treasury market, jumped to its highest since the great financial crisis of 2008, at one point up more than 80% from just the start of February.
Those moves illustrate the whipsaw action in stocks and bond yields as traders tried to work out the seriousness of the unfolding banking crisis and how much it would compromise central banks’ ability to sustain their inflation fighting strategies.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average decreased 385 points (1.2%) to 31,862, the S&P 500 Index fell 44 points (1.1%) to 3,917, and the NASDAQ Composite went down 87 points (0.7%) to 11,631. In heavy volume, 8.8 billion shares of NYSE-listed stocks were traded, and 7.5 billion shares changed hands on the NASDAQ WTI crude oil lost $1.61 to $66.74 per barrel.
Elsewhere, the gold spot price climbed $58.70 to $1,981.70 per ounce, and the Dollar Index went down 0.5% to 103.90. Markets ended mixed for the week, as the DJIA nudged 0.2% lower, while the S&P 500 gained 1.4%, and the NASDAQ Composite advanced 4.4%.
Great Britain’sNational Health Service, which is meant to provide “free” universal healthcare, is collapsing under the strain of long wait times, hidden data, and excess deaths. Long held up as the crown jewel of “socialized healthcare,” the world’s largest government-run system is unraveling. The crisis has led to a surge in excess deaths that has outlasted the coronavirus pandemic, with ambulance and emergency room delays linked to hundreds of deaths each week, leaked internal data suggest. Hospitals already near capacity last fall could not keep pace as the winter flu season took hold.
U.S. equities were able to claw out of a deep hole to finish mixed, as the recent turmoil in the banking sector on this side of the pond made its way to Europe.
Swiss regulators stepped in to reassure global financial markets after fresh fears about the viability of Credit Suisse threatened wider fallout just days after two historic U.S. bank failures. The Swiss National Bank issued a statement late Wednesday offering the embattled lender financial support if necessary, a move that helped markets pare some of the day’s steep losses. Other bank stocks took hits as well, with JPMorgan closing down 4% and Wells Fargo and Goldman Sachs closing down about 3%. Bank of America closed down less than 1%.
The broader Dow Jones Industrial Index ended Wednesday’s session down about 280 points — roughly 0.9% — while the S&P 500 closed 0.7% lower. The tech-heavy NASDAQ finished the day roughly flat.
The worries overshadowed a welcome benign read on February producer price inflation and a retail sales report that showed a key core component of spending unexpectedly rose and the prior month’s figures were revised to larger-than-expected jumps.
In other economic news, home builder sentiment unexpectedly improved, mortgage applications rose for a second-straight week, but manufacturing output in New York contracted much more than anticipated, and business inventories surprisingly dipped. In other equity news, Lennar Corporation topped quarterly expectations.
Treasury yields tumbled and the U.S. dollar rallied, while crude oil prices dropped, and gold was higher. Asia finished mostly higher after the rebound in the U.S. yesterday, while markets in Europe fell with the banking worries dragging stocks lower across the board.
On Monday, Newsweek published a list of banks that had trading of shares halted. According to the NASDAQ Trader website, these banks were placed under a Volatility Trading Pause. Some of the banks that were placed under a Volatility Trading Pause included PacWest Bancorp, Western Alliance Bancorporation Common Stock, First Republic Bank Common Stock and Comerica Incorporated Common Stock. Some of these banks were placed under the halt several times, but the pauses only lasted a few minutes. For example, the NASDAQ Trader website shows that PacWest Bancorp was halted at 9:49 a.m. EST and resumed at 9:54 a.m. EST.
Billionaire Charles Schwab’s net worth has plunged about $3 billion since March 8th, 2023.
Shares of Charles Schwab Corp fell sharply amid the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank.
Investors are worried as Charles Schwab Corp is sitting on a significant amount of unrealized losses on its bond assets.
Billionaire Charles Schwab’s fortune has taken a massive beating after shares of the eponymous company he founded plunged amid the banking crisis. Shares of Charles Schwab Corp, a savings and loan holding company, closed 11.6% lower at $51.91 apiece on Monday, bringing its market value lower by nearly 38% so far this year. But, by 11am Tuesday, shares of the corporation were back up 9.5 percent.
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Meanshile, mega-manager Vanguard Funds bought sizable stakes in both Silicon Valley Bank (US:SIVB) and Signature Bank (US:SBNY) in recent months, according to data compiled by Fintel.
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Finally, U.S. equities finished with gains and near the highs of the day, as investors sifted through the first look at February’s inflation picture. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose in line with estimates month-over-month, while the core rate—excluding food and energy—increased a little more than expected. On a year-over-year basis, both the headline and core rate declined, but remained elevated. In other economic news, small business optimism increased last month.
The banking sector remained in the headlines, with many banks climbing higher following sharp losses over the past few trading sessions. In other equity news, United Airlines fore-casted an adjusted Q1 loss, and Meta Platforms announced another round of layoffs that will begin tomorrow.
Treasury yields rebounded, especially at the shorter end of the curve, and the U.S. dollar was nearly unchanged, while crude oil prices tumbled, and gold traded lower.
Asian stocks fell as turmoil in the U.S. banking sector spilled over into the region, while European stocks climbed as investors digested the inflation data out of the U.S.
When local standard time was about to reach Sunday, March 12, 2023, 2:00:00 am clocks were turned forward 1 hour to Sunday, March 12, 2023, 3:00:00 am local daylight time instead.
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Meanwhile, although markets are still pricing in additional Fed rate hikes at upcoming policy meetings, concerns about the financial sector have helped push down the expected “peak” rate.
The following is a round-up of Friday’s market activity:
The S&P 500 Index ended 56.73 points (1.5%) lower at 3,861.59, the benchmark’s lowest close since Jan. 5; the Dow Jones industrial average fell 345.22 points (1.1%) to 31,909.64; the NASDAQ Composite fell 199.47 points (1.8%) to 11,138.89.
The 10-year Treasury yield was down about 22 basis points at 3.704%.
April WTI crude oil futures were up 84 cents at $76.56 per barrel.
The U.S. Dollar Index was down 0.7% at 104.58.
CBOE’s Volatility Index was up 2.19 points at 24.8.
The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp.’s decision to shutter Silicon Valley Bank came a day after the bank, once a top lender in the tech sector, failed in an attempt to raise new capital. The bank’s collapse weighed heavily on shares of regional banks, though large institutions held up better.
Financial regulators have closed Silicon Valley Bank and taken control of its deposits, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. announced yesterday, in what is the largest U.S. bank failure since the global financial crisis more than a decade ago.
The FDIC said in the announcement that insured depositors will have access to their deposits no later than Monday morning.
SVB’s branch offices will also reopen at that time, under the control of the regulator.
The FDIC’s standard insurance covers up to $250,000 per depositor, per bank, for each account ownership category.
And, the crypto company SB announced yesterday that it’s winding down operations and liquidating Silvergate Bank, which has about $11 billion in assets. Silvergate has been struggle throughout crypto’s downturn—especially after the collapse of FTX, one of its biggest customers. Last quarter, Silvergate fired 40% of its workforce, reported a $1 billion loss, and took out billions in loans…but apparently it wasn’t enough.
U.S. equities ended the day and week sharply lower, as the markets continued to look for hints regarding future monetary policy decisions. The moves came amid a flurry of news and economic data, as the February labor report showed stronger-than-expected job gains, and a lower-than-anticipated increase in wages, but a rise in the unemployment rate. The report was in stark contrast to January’s blowout figures, and seemed to soothe some of the anxiety over the Fed’s future actions.
In earnings news, Ulta Beauty handily beat estimates and provided upbeat guidance, and Oracle offered mixed quarterly results and increased its dividend, but Gap fell well short of expectations amid a tumble in online sales, and it saw a shakeup in management.
Treasury yields tumbled in the wake of the labor report and worries surrounding the banking sector, and the U.S. dollar was sharply lower, while crude oil and gold prices traded to the upside.
Asian stocks finished lower, and markets in Europe saw widespread losses, led by shares of banking companies, amid uncertainty regarding the overall effects of rate hikes.
The online health insurance marketplace for members of Congress and Washington, D.C., residents was subjected to a hack that compromised the personal identifying information of potentially thousands of lawmakers, their spouses, dependents and employees, according to a letter from House leaders informing their colleagues about the breach and a memo from the Senate’s top security official.
Today the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (US-BLS) will report the number of jobs the U.S. economy added in February as well as other pertinent information surrounding the labor market. Officials at the Fed and investors have been watching the labor market very carefully, which has been red hot with the unemployment rate in January remaining near historic lows at 3.4%. Fed officials believe the tight labor market is empowering consumers to spend through rising consumer prices, which has made inflation sticky. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has said previously the Fed would like to see some deterioration in the labor market to know that it’s winning its war with inflation.
Bank stocks plunged as investors assessed the potential fallout from the implosions of Silicon Valley Bank and Silvergate Capital.
SVB Financial surprised investors with lowered guidance, a $2.3 billion capital raise, and a massive $1.8 billion loss from its bond portfolio.
“This is sending shock waves through the financials with the regional bank ETF lower by 8%,” NYSE’s Michael Reinking said.
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U.S. stocks declined to close out a choppy trading session, adding to weekly losses that followed this week’s hawkish Congressional testimony from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell. A larger-than-expected increase in weekly initial jobless claims seemed to offer a modest reprieve from the concerns about how aggressive the Fed may be.
The Financial sector saw pressure, as SVB Financial plummeted after selling securities for a loss, and Silvergate Capital dropped after announcing that it would shut down its bank operations and liquidate. As a result of the turmoil in the sector, the shares of numerous banks declined. In other equity news, Dow member American Express increased its share buyback plan and raised its dividend, while GE rallied as the Street cheered its long-term outlook.
Treasury yields were mostly lower with short-term rates giving back recent gains, and the yield curve steepened somewhat after inverting further on Powell’s testimony.
The U.S. dollar relinquished some of this week’s rally, while crude oil prices were lower, and gold traded to the upside.
Asian stocks finished mixed following some cooler-than-expected Chinese inflation reports, and Europe ended mostly lower, as the global markets continued to react to Fed Chair Powell’s comments.
Equities revenue plummeted 95% in the fourth quarter
CS earlier informally looked at options for unit -sources
CS declined comment on ‘rumors and speculation’, and
In the latest piece of troubling news, the beleaguered Swiss bank delayed the publication of its 2022 annual report following a “late call” from the US Securities and Exchange Commission on Wednesday evening. The SEC got in touch over revisions the bank had previously made to its cash flow statements for 2019 and 2020,
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U.S. equities finished mixed following yesterday’s rout, as investors digested a second day of testimony from Fed Chair Jerome Powell. The Chairman remained hawkish in his commentary, where he suggested rates may need to accelerate more than initially expected and may need to stay higher for longer than originally anticipated. Adding to the uncertainty, the afternoon release of the Fed’s Beige Book showed little change from the last installment.
Treasury yields were mixed with the yield curve inversion worsening, and the U.S. dollar was flat after yesterday’s rally. Crude oil prices were lower, and gold was little changed in choppy action. News on the equity front was light, as CrowdStrike topped quarterly earnings estimates and offered upbeat guidance, while UPS reiterated its full-year outlook.
The economic calendar was tilted toward labor data, as job openings dipped but remained elevated, and ADP’s private sector employment report bested forecasts ahead of Friday’s key non-farm payroll release.
Elsewhere, mortgage applications snapped a three-week losing streak, and the trade deficit came in slightly smaller than projected. Asia finished mixed and Europe also diverged, as the global markets processed the testimony from Fed Chairman Powell.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average decreased 575 points (1.7%) to 32,856, the S&P 500 Index was 62 points (1.5%) lower at 3,986, and the NASDAQ Composite lost 145 points (1.3%) to 11,530. In moderate volume, 3.8 billion shares of NYSE-listed stocks were traded, and 5.3 billion shares changed hands on the NASDAQ. WTI crude oil fell $2.88 to $77.58 per barrel. Elsewhere, the gold spot price tumbled $34.80 to $1,819.80 per ounce, and the Dollar Index jumped 1.2% to 105.59.
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And, a key recession indicator flashed its loudest warning ever after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said benchmark rates will likely go higher than once anticipated. The inversion between the 2-year and 10-year Treasury yields hit a record 103.5 basis points on Tuesday, according to Refinitiv data. It later narrowed to 102.4 basis points. In normal economic times, shorter-term yields are below longer-term yields. But for months, the 2- and 10-year yields have been inverted amid growing recession fears, as the Fed continues to tighten policy to rein in inflation. The 2-year yield currently sits at 4.992% while the 10-year yield is 3.968%. Meanwhile, there’s a 61.6% probability the Fed will raise its benchmark rate by 50 basis points on March 22, up from 31.4% a day earlier.
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Finally, the economic calendar introduced a read on wholesale inventories, which was un-revised from the preliminary report at a m/m decline in January. Meanwhile, consumer credit for January expanded at a slower-than-expected pace. Q4 earnings season continues to wrap up, as Dick’s Sporting Goods bested earnings estimates, raised its quarterly dividend, and issued full-year guidance that came in above forecasts. In other equity news, Meta Platforms is planning another round of layoffs that could affect thousands of workers, according to a Bloomberg News report.
Treasury yields were mixed, and the U.S. dollar rallied, while crude oil and gold prices were sharply lower.
Asian stocks ended mixed following the Reserve Bank of Australia’s 25 bp rate hike, and European stocks were lower, as international investors digested Powell’s comments.
The stock markets have been near all time highs, lately. Physician colleagues and clients are so excited that they are even checking the overnight status of favorite stocks and/or the domestic/overseas markets.
Some colleagues are even becoming a bit OCD by checking the implied open of various markets the night before. But, what exactly is the Implied Open? How is it calculated?
DEFINITION: The Implied Open attempts to predict the prices at which various stock indexes will open, at 9:30am New York time. It is frequently shown on various cable television channels prior to the start of the next business day.
EXAMPLE: Considering the DJIA as an example, the basis of calculating implied open is the price of a “DJX index option futures contract”. This is not the price of the DJIA itself but rather the current ticker price of an option issued by the Chicago Board Options Exchange.
CBOE: The Chicago Board Options Exchange, located at 400 South LaSalle Street in Chicago, is the largest U.S. options exchange with annual trading volume that hovered around 1.27 billion contracts at the end of 2014. CBOE offers options on over 2,200 companies, 22 stock indices, and 140 exchange-traded funds.
NOTE: We would like to remind you that new amendments adopted by the U.S. Securities Exchange Commission (SEC) have gone into effect as of September 28, 2021. These amendments restrict the ability of market makers to publish OTC quotations for those companies that have not made required current financial and company information available to regulators and investors.
The US Senate passed a disapproval resolution formally killing a Department of Labor rule that encourages private retirement plan fiduciaries to consider environment, social and governance (ESG) factors when making investment decisions for over 150 million Americans. ESG is a framework that helps stakeholders understand how an organization is managing risks and opportunities related to environmental, social, and governance criteria (sometimes called ESG factors). ESG is an acronym for Environmental, Social, and Governance. ESG takes the holistic view that sustainability extends beyond just environmental issues. While the term ESG is often used in the context of investing, stakeholders include not just the investment community but also customers, suppliers, and employees, all of whom are increasingly interested in how sustainable an organization’s operations are.
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Stocks Shake Off Fed Uncertainty, Rise in Interest Rates: U.S. equities rallied into the close to finish near the highs of the day, as investors appeared to shake off the persistent rise in interest rates. The markets also digested some earnings reports, as shares of Dow member Salesforce jumped after topping expectations, and Macy’s also moved solidly higher after besting the Street’s forecasts.
However, disappointing guidance from Best Buy took some of the luster of its earnings beat. Elsewhere, the economic calendar added to the Fed uncertainty, as jobless claims unexpectedly dipped, while Q4 productivity was revised lower and unit labor costs were adjusted to the upside. Treasury yields continued their ascent, and the U.S. dollar gained solid ground, while crude oil prices edged higher in choppy trading, and gold was slightly lower.
Asia finished mixed, and Europe posted gains across the board, as the global markets continued to wrestle with recent data.
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Finally, Marc Benioff is bracing for a recession that shows shades of the dot-com crash and financial crisis. The Salesforce CEO is shifting his focus from sales and deals to efficiency and profitability. Benioff warned that falling stocks and recession fears dampen corporate spending.
Jeffrey Gundlach has raised the alarm on an impending US recession, warning investors they need to prepare for it regardless of how severe it ends up being. Gundlach — whose nickname is the “Bond King” — is a billionaire investor and the boss of DoubleLine Capital. He warned stocks may come under pressure, loan defaults might surge, and inflation could prove stubborn in a recent Yahoo Finance interview. Moreover, he cautioned that attempting to forestall an economic slump can result in a far more devastating downturn in the future.
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U.S. equities ended higher in a choppy trading session as uncertainty remained regarding the ultimate economic impact of aggressive global central bank tightening. The volatile session followed yesterday’s release of the minutes from the Fed’s February monetary policy meeting, which suggested that the Central Bank may need to continue its rate hike campaign to try to tame inflation. In economic news, jobless claims came in below expectations, and Q4 GDP growth was unexpectedly revised lower and the inflation components came in well above estimates.
Treasury yields were mostly lower in choppy trading, and the U.S. dollar was mostly unchanged, while crude oil prices increased after a string of losses, and gold moved to the downside. Q4 earnings season continued down the home stretch, as Nvidia Corporation rallied after topping estimates and offering upbeat Q1 revenue guidance. Elsewhere, eBay matched earnings forecasts but its outlook garnered scrutiny, and Domino’s Pizza fell after missing revenue forecasts and adjusting its guidance lower.
Asian stocks finished mostly lower, though Japan was closed for a holiday, and markets in Europe were mixed as investors around the globe grappled with the outlook for monetary policies.
U.S. equities did an about-face in late-day trading to finish mixed, with the Dow and S&P 500 adding to yesterday’s solid declines. The moves came following the release of the minutes from the Fed’s February 1 monetary policy meeting that showed Committee members remain steadfast in their rate hike campaign despite some cooling in inflationary pressures. In other economic news, mortgage applications fell for a second-straight week.
Treasury yields were lower, and the U.S. dollar was higher, while crude oil prices tumbled, and gold traded to the downside. As Q4 earnings season continued to roll down the home stretch, Palo Alto Networks topped forecasts and offered upbeat guidance, and TJX Companies offered an outlook that missed forecasts.
In other equity news, Dow member Intel Corporation slashed its dividend and reaffirmed its Q1 outlook. Asia finished lower and Europe was mixed as investors awaited today’s Fed report.
Meta confirmed chief business officer Marne Levine is stepping down after 13 years with the company in order to “recharge and prioritize some quality time with family” before beginning her “next professional chapter.” She’s the third female C-suite leader to leave Meta in recent years, following chief operating officer Sheryl Sandberg’s exit in 2022 and global ad chief Carolyn Everson’s in 2021.
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Cathie Wood has steadily reduced ARK Invest’s position in Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) over the last four months. Between November 2022 and January 2023, her flagship ARK Innovation ETF (NYSEMKT: ARKK) completely exited its stake in the microchip stock. So far in February, Wood has also significantly trimmed the positions of Nvidia held by two other ARK Invest ETFs. ARK Fintech Innovation ETF (NYSEMKT: ARKF) still owns 48,272 shares of the stock. ARK Next Generation Internet ETF (NYSEMKT: ARKW) still owns 81,054 shares. After the sales, Nvidia ranks as the 22nd- or 23rd-largest holding in both of these ETFs. Wood’s activity isn’t because Nvidia isn’t performing well. Actually, the stock has soared close to 50% so far in 2023. Several stocks that she has bought this year haven’t delivered comparably impressive gains. So, she is likely just taking gains.
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U.S. equities kicked off the holiday-shortened week by posting sharp losses. Uncertainty regarding the Fed’s future rate hike decisions appeared to pressure market sentiment, as investors grapple with recent hot inflation data and Fedspeak. Retail companies headlined the earnings calendar, as Dow member Walmart bested profit projections and raised its annual dividend, while Dow component Home Depot beat estimates and increased its quarterly dividend, but issued some disappointing guidance. And, Amazon corporate employees will be paid up to 50% less in 2023 due to its falling share price, the WSJ reported. Amazon’s pay packets rely heavily on stock awards, making them vulnerable to price fluctuations. The tech giant is laying off 18,000 employees, its largest ever job cuts, amid weakening economic conditions.
The economic calendar showed manufacturing activity increased but continued to contract, while services activity rose more than expected into expansion territory. Additionally, existing home sales declined in January as the median existing home price continued to rise.
Treasury yields were noticeably higher, and the U.S. dollar gained ground, while crude oil prices were slightly lower, and gold fell. Asia finished mixed, and Europe was mostly lower, as international investors digested some mixed global manufacturing and services sector reports.
Finally, SoftBank Group Corp. founder Masayoshi Son increased the amount of stock pledged as collateral to financial institutions to 175.25 million shares, or about 35% of his total stake in the Japanese conglomerate.
Meta gave about 10% of its staff performance reviews indicating they were under performing, WSJ reported.The performance reviews signal that Meta could be gearing up for another round of layoffs.Meta let go of about 11,000 workers late last year and dubbed 2023 the “Year of Efficiency.”
MSFT BING: The software giant now limits the number of queries per day a user can make on its artificial-intelligence-powered Bing search engine – Get Free Report. The company has been inundated with requests from users who want to test the Bing Chabot. You have to register in a wait-list to have access to the new Bing. The influx of users has been a very encouraging sign from Microsoft, whose CEO Satya Nadella sees Bing Chatbot as the start of a “paradigm shift,” and a huge growth opportunity.
“These paradigm shifts or platform shifts are a great opportunity for us to innovate,” Nadella said on Feb. 7. “It’s more a priority for us to say what, how can we rethink what search was meant to be in the first place. In fact, Google success in the initial base was by reimagining what can be done in search.”
Wrap-Up on Markets: Stocks offered up a mixed bag last week, as investors continued to fret that the FOMCs rate hike path will just keep on raging. However, John Deere stock had its best day in two years after the tractor company raised its profit forecast for 2023.
Gasoline prices have unexpectedly risen in January, at a time when Americans normally stay put and demand remains relatively flat. Last week, the national average price for regular gas crept up to $3.51 a gallon, according to the American Automobile Association (AAA), jumping up by 12 cents compared to a week before and 41 cents in December. As of today, regular gas was on average $3.49 a gallon. It was a dark surprise for American consumers wary of the skyrocketing prices experienced last summer when gas reached a record height of $5.02 a gallon on average nationwide
U.S. equities declined sharply following another hotter-than-expected read on inflation, as well as hawkish commentary from Fed officials, which seemed to complicate the outlook for further monetary policy tightening. January’s Producer Price Index (PPI) came in above estimates, causing more Fed uncertainty that had already ramped up following this week’s elevated consumer inflation report, and yesterday’s much stronger-than-anticipated retail sales data. A busy day of economic data also included a lower-than-projected level of jobless claims, softer-than-forecasted housing construction activity, and an unexpected tumble in manufacturing activity out of Philadelphia.
Treasury yields were higher following the inflation report, and the U.S. dollar increased, while crude oil prices nudged lower, and gold was little changed. Q4 earnings season continued to roll on, with Dow member Cisco Systems topping forecasts, though Shopify offered disappointing revenue guidance, and Paramount missed expectations.
Asian and European stocks finished higher for the most part, as investors grappled with the U.S. inflation data and monetary policy uncertainty.
Microsoft (MSFT) ended a project that aimed to encourage the use of the Metaverse in industrial environments just four months after it was formed, according to a new report by The Information. The 100 members of the team have been laid off as the company wants to prioritize shorter-term projects over those needing longer to generate meaningful revenue.
Tech, led by Nvidia and Tesla, had it better than other sectors.
U.S. equities finished mixed, as investors digested the highly anticipated Consumer Price Index report, and its potential impact on the Fed’s future monetary policy decisions. The headline rate and core rate—excludes food and energy—both rose in line with estimates, but on a year-over-year basis inflation came in slightly hotter than expected. In other economic news, small business optimism rose slightly less than anticipated, and remained below its 48-year average for the thirteenth month in a row.
Earnings results were mixed, as Marriot International and Dow component Coca-Cola both bested EPS estimates and provided upbeat outlooks, while Restaurant Brands International missed earnings expectations, but increased its quarterly dividend.
Treasury yields were higher following the inflation data, and the U.S. dollar nudged lower, while crude oil prices fell, and gold was modestly higher in choppy trading. Asian stocks were mostly higher as markets in the region awaited the CPI report, while European stocks mostly added to its strong year-to-date gains amid the inflation data.
Nelson Peltz, the activist investor and head of Trian Fund Management, called a cease-fire after a month long proxy fight with Disney. Peltz said he was happy with the restructuring plan CEO Bob Iger announced and will no longer try to grab a seat on the board of directors. Along with his restructuring plan, Disney said that Toy Story, Frozen, and Zootopia will all get more sequels in an effort to boost the company’s streaming numbers.
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Microsoft Corp., implementing the layoff of 10,000 workers announced cut jobs in units including Surface devices, HoloLens mixed reality hardware and Xbox, according to Bloomberg and people familiar with the matter.
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Shares of ride-hailing firm Lyft plunged following a downbeat profit forecast. In fact, Lyft had its worst day ever after it shared a dismal outlook during its earnings call this week. Wedbush analyst Dan Ives called it “a Top 3 worst call” out of the thousands he’s listened in 22 years. The company’s shares fell about 36% after forecasting it’ll make between $5 million and $15 million this quarter—rather than the $85 million that analysts expected. Meanwhile, Uber is coming off its “strongest quarter ever,” according to CEO Dara Khosrowshahi.
Yields on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note rose to their highest in more than a month following an auction on Thursday of 30-year bonds that saw weak demand. [US].
Finally the S&P 500 gained 8.99 points, or 0.22%, to end at 4,090.49 points, while the NASDAQ Composite lost 71.12 points, or 0.60%, to 11,718.46. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 169.88 points, or 0.50%, to 33,869.76. The NASDAQ posted its first weekly fall this year, while the S&P 500 ended the week lower in a week dominated by hawkish commentary from U.S. Federal Reserve officials and earnings reports from more than half of the S&P 500 constituents.
Ark Investment Management’s chief executive Cathie Wood is upbeat about her strategy of investing in young technology companies. After her exchange-traded funds dropped 60% to 80% last year from highs in 2021, Woods talked about the current stock market environment in a year-end commentary Dec. 29, 2022.
“We’re getting a lot of deflationary signals, but the Fed isn’t buying in yet,” Wood said, referring to the Federal Reserve’s continuing interest-rate increases. “But the bond market will start to convince the Fed,” Wood said. “The bond market is telegraphing much lower-than-expected inflation and/or recession.”
That prediction seemed to be validated February 1st. when the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) raised interest rates by only 25 basis points. That was smaller than the 50 basis points it had raised them by in December and the 75 basis points it had increased the rates by in each of its previous four meetings. The Fed seemed to have been recognizing the deflationary signs.
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Markets: In the five weeks of trading so far in 2023, the NASDAQ gained in all five and the S&P 500 in four. The still-booming labor market and falling inflation appear to be outweighing poor corporate earnings in investors’ minds.
Stocks ended the week subdued when a red-hot jobs report once again got investors biting their nails over what the Fed will do next—though the S&P and NASDAQ both eked out positive weeks. The tech stock rally started losing steam after several big companies reported disappointing quarterly results, with Amazon being the one investors cooled on most.
More specifically, racing game publisher Motorsport Games (NASDAQ:MSGM) is seeing more volatility, tumbling 24.2% Friday after announcing a $4M at-the-market offering. The company entered a definitive agreement to issue and sell 232,188 shares of its class A common stock at $17.39 per share. The stock has slid $5.46 to trade at $17.50. The closing of this new offering is set for on or around February 7th with H.C. Wainwright & Co. acting as exclusive placement agent. Gross proceeds will be about $4.03M, which Motorsport Games will put toward development of multiple games, working capital and general purposes.
Still, it was the most eventful week for the stock in many months. On Monday it launched a debt-for-equity exchange to shore up its balance sheet, sending the stock lower by 8.7%. After regaining full compliance with Nasdaq listing rules, the stock jumped 714% Tuesday, moving from $2.63 a share to $21.40. After moving up another 73% Wednesday, the company then moved to convert all remaining debt in a new debt-for-equity exchange, and the stock fell 38% Thursday. Before Friday’s decline, the stock moved up an aggregate 482% in five days.
Palantir Technologies is a public American company that specializes in big dataanalytics. Headquartered in Denver, Colorado, it was founded by Peter Thiel, Nathan Gettings, Joe Lonsdale, Stephen Cohen, and Alex Karp in 2003. The company’s name is derived from The Lord of the Rings where the magical palantíri were “seeing-stones,” described as indestructible balls of crystal used for communication and to see events in other parts of the world.
According to Wikipedia, the company is known for three projects in particular: Palantir Gotham, Palantir Apollo, and Palantir Foundry. Palantir Gotham is used by counter-terrorism analysts at offices in the United States Intelligence Community (USIC) and United States Department of Defense. In the past, Gotham was used by fraud investigators at the Recovery Accountability and Transparency Board, a former US federal agency which operated from 2009 to 2015. Gotham was also used by cyber analysts at Information Warfare Monitor, a Canadian public-private venture which operated from 2003 to 2012. Palantir Apollo is the operating system for continuous delivery and deployment across all environments. Their SaaS is one of five offerings authorized for Mission Critical National Security Systems (IL5) by the U.S. Department of Defense. Palantir Foundry is used by corporate clients such as Morgan Stanley, Merck KGaA, Airbus, Wejo, Lilium, and Fiat Chrysler Automobiles.
Now, Palantir is coming off a tough year, with its shares falling 65% in 2022. That’s a more severe decline than the tech-heavy NASDAQ Composite Index, which fell 33% last year. But, Palanti just announced new commercial customers, including J.D. Power and Dish Network Corp. Palantir is expected to report its year-end financial results on February 13th, 2023.
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U.S. equities came well off the lows of the day to finish higher, as investors shook off the Fed’s decision to raise rates for a seventh time. The Central Bank opted to raise its target by only 25 basis points, while in his presser Chairman Powell appeared somewhat dovish, alluding to the possibility that it may be near the end of its rate hike campaign.
Meanwhile, the markets also digested a batch of economic data that showed manufacturing activity continued to contract, ADP private sector employment grew at a slower pace than anticipated, job openings unexpectedly rose, mortgage applications snapped a three-week winning streak, and construction spending surprisingly declined. Q4 earnings season continues to heat up, with Snap reporting a larger-than-expected loss and suggesting current quarter revenues may decline for the first time, though Advanced Micro Devices topped quarterly estimates.
Treasury yields turned lower following the Fed’s announcement, and the U.S. dollar accelerated to the downside, while crude oil prices tumbled on reports of a large build in stockpiles, and gold rallied.
Asia finished higher and Europe was mixed as today’s Fed decision will be followed by announcements from the European Central Bank and Bank of England tomorrow.
Foreign-exchange volatility hammered North America’s corporate profits by a record in the third quarter, though signs of relief are on the horizon. Currency oscillations cost North American companies $43.2 billion in the July to September period — an all-time high since data tracking started a decade ago — according to Kyriba Corp. That’s a 26% spike from the previous quarter, also a record, according to the corporate-treasury management software company. And, public companies pointed to the euro, Canadian dollar and ruble as the currencies weighing the most on profits in the period, followed by the Chinese yuan and the Japanese yen, according to Kyriba’s report. The euro and the loonie had also earned top mentions in the firm’s second-quarter report.
U.S. equities ended a choppy trading session higher, as investors sifted through a host of earnings and economic data, and awaited tomorrow’s monetary policy decision from the Federal Reserve. Several Dow members were in focus, as McDonald’s beat earnings estimates, and Caterpillar missed expectations due to unfavorable foreign currency impacts.
In other equity news, UPS posted higher-than-expected earnings, declared a new quarterly dividend, and revamped its share repurchase program, while Pfizer beat forecasts but issued lower-than-anticipated guidance, and General Motors trounced expectations and offered an upbeat full-year outlook.
The economic calendar heated up, with the Q4 Employment Cost Index coming in lower than expected, and home prices declining by a smaller amount than anticipated in November. More reports came out after the opening bell, as January’s consumer confidence unexpectedly declined, and the Chicago PMI fell further into contraction territory.
Treasury yields were lower, and the U.S. dollar dipped, while crude oil prices increased, as did gold. Asian stocks were mostly lower amid a swarm of economic reports.
European markets finished mixed following the economic data, and as investors awaited monetary policy decisions from the European Central Bank and Bank of England later this week.
U.S. stocks declined, trimming a strong start to 2023, as investors prepared for a busy week full of earnings data, economic reports, and monetary policy decisions. The Fed is expected to raise rates by a decelerated 25-bp rate hike later this week, and the European Central Bank and Bank of England are anticipated to increase their benchmark rates by 50 bps. Equity news was light to begin the week, and the economic calendar was quiet today before heating up, with the most notable report being the Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index, which improved but remained in contraction territory.
Treasury yields were higher, and the U.S. dollar increased, while crude oil prices fell, and gold declined.
Asian stocks were mixed as China returned to action following the week-long Lunar New Year holiday break, and markets in Europe also diverged amid some caution ahead of the data and monetary policy decisions.
Technology giants IBM and SAP joined the ranks of large companies laying off significant numbers of workers, as both announced that they will be laying off thousands of employees.
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U.S. equities closed out the week on a positive note, as investors sifted through another heavy dose of earnings and economic data. Dow components posted mixed earnings results, as Visa bested expectations, and American Express missed forecasts but offered upbeat guidance.
Additionally, Dow member Chevron also fell short, and Intel disappointed the Street amid a fourth-consecutive quarter of declining sales and warned of future losses. Meanwhile, KLA Corporation beat estimates but offered lackluster guidance. News on the economic front was upbeat, as personal income rose, pending home sales posted a gain for last month, and consumer sentiment was positively revised.
Treasury yields were higher, and the U.S. dollar increased, while crude oil and gold prices declined.
Asian stocks finished out the week with gains in continued light volume as mainland Chinese markets remained closed for the Lunar New Year holiday, and markets in Europe were higher for the most part amid some cautious trading ahead of a host of monetary policy decisions slated for next week.
Q4’s strong GDP numbers are raising hopes that the Fed could actually pull off the tricky “soft landing”—where it knocks down inflation through interest rate hikes without sending economic growth into reverse. The resilient labor market is cooperating: Despite all the headlines about layoffs, jobless claims fell last week to their lowest point since April 2022.
U.S. stocks ended the day in the green as the markets digested a host of economic and earnings data. The economic calendar came in heavy today, as Q4 GDP growth was higher than expected, jobless claims unexpectedly fell, new home sales rose, and durable goods orders jumped, but dipped when stripping out the volatile component of transportation activity. Several Dow members were in focus, as IBM exceeded expectations, though its cash flow performance garnered some scrutiny on the Street, and Dow Inc. missed quarterly estimates. Fellow Dow component Chevron announced an increased dividend and a new $75.0 billion share repurchase plan, while in other news, Tesla topped quarterly estimates and offered an upbeat outlook.
Treasury yields traded mostly higher, and the U.S. dollar advanced, while crude oil prices increased, and gold moved to the downside.
Asian stocks finished mixed in lighter volume as several markets remained closed for holidays, while markets in Europe were higher for the most part, adding to the region’s strong start to the year.
Serta Simmons Bedding, the Georgia-based mattress maker owned by private equity firm Advent International, has filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection. The prepackaged bankruptcy filing includes $125 million of debtor-in-possession financing and another $125 million once it exits Chapter 11.
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U.S. equities finished mixed in a lackluster trading session, as Q4 earnings season shifted into a higher gear today. Corporate results from several Dow members were in focus, as 3M missed estimates and reported that it would reduce its global workforce by approximately 2,500 jobs. Verizon Communications and Travelers Companies reported bottom-line results that were in line with expectations, and the former offered some disappointing full-year guidance, while Johnson & Johnson missed estimates amid a decline in revenues citing unfavorable foreign exchange and lower COVID vaccine sales.
Additionally, Lockheed Martin bested forecasts but issued EPS guidance that was lower than anticipated. The economic calendar offered several reports on domestic activity, as manufacturing and services PMIs unexpectedly rose but remained contractionary in January, while manufacturing activity in the Richmond region fell much more than expected.
Treasury rates were lower, and the U.S. dollar dipped, while crude oil prices fell, and gold was higher.
Asian stocks rose although volume remained light as Chinese and South Korean markets were closed for a holiday, while European stocks were mixed amid a host of PMI data across the globe.
U.S. stocks were higher, extending the rally from late last week, as Q4 earnings season is set to shift into high gear tomorrow. The markets also prepared for next week’s Fed monetary policy decision, with the Central Bank expected to slow down on their tightening campaign. The economic calendar was light, with the only report being the Leading Economic Index, which indicated a tenth-straight monthly decline and bolstered Fed expectations.
Treasury yields rose, and the U.S. dollar nudged higher, while crude oil prices were mostly unchanged, and gold gained ground. Equity news was relatively light before the week’s earnings storm, as Elliott Investment Management reportedly took a multi-billion dollar stake in Dow member Salesforce, and Evoqua Water Technologies agreed to be acquired by Xylem Inc. for roughly $7.5 billion.
Asian and European stocks finished higher, although trading volume in Asia was lower than usual as several markets were closed for the Lunar New Year holiday.
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Spotifyannounced that it will lay off about 600 employees, or 6% of its workforce, in the latest Big Tech recession hedge. The shakeup could signal a pivot in the company’s podcast strategy. Like most of the other major tech companies making cuts, Spotify cited overly ambitious pandemic growth as the primary cause, and CEO Daniel Ek took “full accountability.” Along with the layoffs, Ek announced a major departure from the audio streamer: Chief Content Officer Dawn Ostroff, who was the driving force behind the company’s $1+ billion podcasting arms race to sign deals with companies like Gimlet and high-profile talent like Barack and Michelle Obama, Prince Harry and Meghan Markle, and Joe Rogan.
Last week, the S&P 500 dropped 0.7%, snapping a two-week winning streak, though the index rallied 1.9% Friday, thanks to a surge in tech stocks as Fed officials dialed back fears of overly aggressive policy moves. The tech-heavy NASDAQ 100 Index had its best day since November 30th to eke out a 0.7% gain for the week. At the same time, stocks from rate-sensitive industries like financials, real estate, and growth-oriented technology tend to lag during that period.
In this coming week, markets will sort through earnings results from Microsoft Corp., Tesla Inc. and International Business Machines Corp. that are poised to shape the direction of equities more broadly. Also, the Commerce Department will release its first estimate of fourth-quarter US gross domestic product, which is expected to show an acceleration.
The S&P 500 rose 1.9%. Despite the gains, the benchmark index still ended with its first weekly loss in the last three. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1% and the NASDAQ composite closed 2.7% higher still.
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And so, U.S. equities ended higher for the day and mixed for the week, with the Dow and S&P 500 posting their first weekly declines of the new year.
Equity news remained focused on earnings, as Netflix fell well short of estimates but easily beat the Street’s forecasts for subscribers, and PPG Industries bested expectations. Meanwhile, Alphabet announced it will slash its workforce by 12,000 jobs. Economic news was on the light side today, with the lone report showing an eleventh-straight month-over-month decline in existing home sales.
Treasury yields ended higher, and the U.S. dollar dipped slightly, while crude oil and gold prices rose.
Asian and European stocks saw gains across the board, as investors digested economic data in their respective regions.
The number of people seeking unemployment benefits in the U.S. reached a four-month low last week, a sign that employers are holding on to their workers despite the Federal Reserve’s efforts to slow the economy and tamp down inflation. U.S. jobless aid applications for the week ending January14th fell by 15,000 to 190,000, from 205,000 the week before, according to the Labor Department. The four-week moving average of claims, which can even out the week-to-week volatility, declined by 6,500 to 206,000. Jobless claims generally serve as a proxy for layoffs, which have been relatively low since the pandemic wiped out millions of jobs in the spring of 2020. And, the labor market is closely watched by the Federal Reserve, which raised interest rates seven times last year in a bid to slow job growth and bring down stubbornly high inflation.
According to Bloomberg, Netflix Inc. co-founder Reed Hastings is stepping aside as Chief Executive Officer of the company he’s led for more than two decades, leaving the position to his two longtime associates, Ted Sarandos and Greg Peters.
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U.S. stocks were lower, adding to yesterday’s sharp draw downs as investors remain concerned regarding the Fed’s monetary policy decisions and its ultimate impact on the economy. Economic data was mixed, as housing starts came in above estimates, building permits missed forecasts, and jobless claims unexpectedly dropped, while Philadelphia’s manufacturing output improved more than expected but remained contractionary. Q4 earnings season continued to heat up, as Dow member Procter & Gamble matched estimates, while Discover Financial Services topped forecasts but offered cautious guidance about charge offs, and Allstate Corporation issued a Q4 profit warning.
Treasury yields gained modest ground, and the U.S. dollar declined, while crude oil and gold prices rose.
Asian stocks finished mixed and markets in Europe saw widespread losses, trimming some of its strong start to 2023.
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Finally, bankrupt Crypto exchange FTX is looking into the possibility of reviving its business, Chief Executive Officer John Ray just told the Wall Street Journal. Ray, who took over the reins in November, has set up a task force to explore restarting FTX.com, the company’s main international exchange. The CEO also told the Journal that he would look into whether reviving FTX’s international exchange would recover more value for the company’s customers than his team could get from simply liquidating assets or selling the platform. FTX’s native token FTT surged nearly 30% after the report.
Amazon just began laying off thousands of more employees as the online retailer and cloud computing giant continues the largest job cuts in its history just months after an initial round of 10,000 job cuts. The Seattle Times and multiple other outlets reported Amazon made the staff reductions in its human resources and stores division, as the company is expected to lay off about an added 8,000 employees. Doug Herrington, Amazon’s worldwide retail chief, said in a memo the company would begin to notify employees by email Wednesday, according to Bloomberg.
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Dow 33,296.96 -1.81%
10-Year 3.363% -1.0 bps
Bitcoin $20,762.78 -2.45%
Kraft Heinz $39.66 -6.31%
*Stock data as of market close, cryptocurrency data as of 3:00am ET.
Markets: Stocks tanked yesterday, with the Dow plunging, the S&P having its worst day since mid-December, and the NASDAQ coming down from a seven-day rally. As investors started heeding recession signals again after new data revealed weak retail sales during the holiday season last month, companies that sell consumer staples were hit especially hard.
Investors processed a slew of mixed economic data, as retail sales fell more than expected, producer price inflation cooled, industrial production dropped more than anticipated, home builder sentiment unexpectedly improved, mortgage applications jumped, and business inventories rose as expected.
Meanwhile, in afternoon action the Fed released its Beige Book, showing little change in activity from its last report. News on the equity front was mixed, as United Airlines topped Q4 estimates, and an optimistic outlook from J.B. Hunt took some of the sting off its earnings miss, while Moderna announced upbeat results from a key trial of its RSV vaccine.
Treasury yields were lower, and the U.S. dollar was nearly unchanged, while crude oil prices lost steam throughout the day to finish lower, and gold traded to the downside.
Asia finished mostly higher, and European markets were mixed, after the Bank of Japan held its monetary policy steady and offered dovish commentary.
Microsoft shrank its workforce in July and October 2022 and eliminated open positions and paused hiring in various groups. While technology peers Amazon.com Inc., Meta Platforms Inc. and Salesforce Inc. have announced cuts by the thousands in the past few months, Redmond, Washington-based Microsoft has so far been taking smaller steps to deal with a worsening global economic outlook and the potential for a protracted slowdown in demand for software and services. However, Microsoft could announce wide-sweeping layoffs within the next few days. The possibility of the tech giant laying off a significant part of its workforce was first reported by Sky News and later corroborated by Bloomberg. Sky put the number of the cuts at approximately five percent of the company’s 220,000-person workforce or about 11,000 employees total. Bloomberg said it couldn’t find out the scale of the layoffs but reported they would affect “a number of engineering divisions” and that they’re set to be “significantly larger” than other rounds of job cuts undertaken by Microsoft over the last year.
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Meanwhile, U.S. stocks ended mostly lower with the Dow Jones Industrial Average snapping a four-day win streak after Goldman Sachs reported poor earnings results. The S&P 500 also ended lower, but the NASDAQ Composite eked out a gain as investors focused on whether the early 2023 rally has legs.
The S&P 500 shed 8.12 points, or 0.2%, to end at 3,990.97
The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 391.76 points, or 1.1%, to finish at 33,910.85
The NASDAQ Composite gained 15.96 points, or 0.1%, ending at 11,095.11
Q4 earnings season continued to heat up, with investors sifting through differing results from Dow member Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, while Travelers Companies warned that its upcoming results will be lower than forecasts. The economic calendar started off a bit slow before beginning to heat up tomorrow, but today a read on New York manufacturing showed an unexpected tumble for January.
Treasury yields were mixed, and the U.S. dollar gained ground, while crude oil prices advanced, and gold traded to the downside.
Asia finished mixed, and markets in Europe also diverged, following a flood of economic data, notably out of China.
Many investors were happy to wave goodbye to 2022, Wall Street’s worst year since 2008. The S&P finished down 19.4%, while the tech centered NASDAQ shed 33.1%. The blue-chip focused Dow Jones did better, losing just 8.8% across the year. Unfortunately, a number of senior investment bankers predict 2023 could bring more stock market woes. Most recently, in fact, Morgan Stanley Chief U.S. Equity Strategist & Chief Investment Officer, Michael Wilson, said he thought the S&P 500 could drop by another 22% in 2023.
Wilson wrote in a note this week that next year’s losses could be more significant than many are expecting. According to Bloomberg, Wilson thinks a peak in inflation would be “very negative for profitability.” He added, “The consensus could be right directionally, but wrong in terms of magnitude.”
Some analysts think that when inflation peaks, the Federal Reserve will ease up on its aggressive rate hikes and the stock market will recover. But Wilson argues this is only part of the picture. He thinks falling prices would have a knock-on effect on company profits, and the subsequent drop in margins would outweigh any benefit from a change in the Fed’s stance.
Wilson also alerted clients to the risk that companies would be caught “off guard” by a combination of falling demand and a catch up in supply. Supply chain issues, caused by a mix of COVID-19 lock downs, labor shortages, and other factors, have contributed to price increases and had a negative impact on production. If the supply chain starts to recover at the same time as recession-induced drops in consumption levels, he thinks the stock market could fall further.
The December CPI report showed 59% of its components “are now in deflation,” Fundstrat’s Tom Lee said in a Friday note. That’s good news for the stock market, as a drop in inflation will help ease financial conditions. “This is setting up 2023 to be the opposite of 2022, where inflation expectations fall faster than EPS risk,” Lee said.
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Stocks Higher as Q4 Earnings Season Begins U.S. equities ended the day and week higher, as the markets reacted to a host of results from the banking sector to kick off Q4 earnings season. Bank of America, Wells Fargo, and Dow member JPMorgan Chase all bested estimates, but each posted significant increases in provisions for loan losses, while Citigroup fell short of forecasts.
Meanwhile, Dow component UnitedHealth Group beat forecasts and reaffirmed its guidance. News on the economic front was mixed, as a read on import prices surprisingly increased, detracting some from yesterday’s tamer read on consumer prices, while consumer sentiment rose far more than what was projected.
Treasury yields were higher, and the U.S. dollar dipped, while crude oil and gold prices traded to the upside.
Asian and European stocks finished mostly higher, as investors digested inflation reports from the U.S. and abroad.
Madison, Wisconsin-based Exact Sciences has become the top holding of Cathie Wood-led Ark Invest’s flagship exchange-traded fund. Ark Innovation ETF (NYSE: ARKK) now holds just under 10 million shares of Exact Sciences with a market value of $600.06 million. The stock currently accounts for 9.37% of the ETF. Exact Sciences has unseated Zoom Video Communications, Inc. (NASDAQ: ZM) as ARKK’s top holding, with the latter now having a weighting of 9.30%. Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA) and Roku, Inc. (NASDAQ: ROKU) are ARKK’s third and fourth-biggest holdings, respectively, with weightings of 6.78% and 6.72%. She just added Coinbase, too!
U.S. equities finished higher in the wake of a consumer prices report that showed inflation cooled last month. However, the gains were tempered, as the core rate, which strips out food and energy costs, rose on a monthly basis.
Treasury yields were noticeably lower, along with the U.S. dollar, while crude oil prices rose, and gold rallied to extend a recent run. Employment figures were also in focus, with jobless claims dipping slightly and coming in better than expected.
News on the equity front surrounded some ancillary corporate results ahead of the start to Q4 earnings season tomorrow, as American Airlines boosted its Q4 guidance, but KB Home missed quarterly expectations.
Asian stocks finished mostly higher, and markets in Europe continued its strong start to 2023 with the U.S. inflation data in focus.
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NEWS FLASH: The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) announced it just charged Genesis GlobalCapital and Gemini Trust Company “for the unregistered offer and sale of securities to retail investors through the Gemini Earn crypto asset lending program.”
Carta Inc., a financial software company valued at $7.4 billion in August 2021, told employees on Wednesday it was cutting about 10% of the workforce. The job cuts, earlier reported by TechCrunch, are more evidence of the chill that has set in for even the best-funded tech startups. Carta raised $500 million in equity last year, bringing its total fundraising haul to more than $1 billion. Carta makes software to manage equity stakes in private companies, and has been backed by firms including Andreessen Horowitz, Lightspeed Venture Partners and Silver Lake. Prominent venture capitalist Marc Andreessen sits on the company’s board.
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U.S. equities finished higher to add to gains seen this year, with the NASDAQ on a four-day winning streak. However, caution was prevalent, as the markets awaited tomorrow’s December consumer price inflation report, and as Q4 earnings season will kick off on Friday with results from some prominent names from the Financials sector.
Treasury yields were lower and the U.S. dollar was little changed, while crude oil prices and gold were higher.
The economic calendar was relatively light today, but mortgage applications snapped a two-week losing streak. The airline industry was in focus after the FAA temporarily suspended all flights across the U.S. after a computer system failure, and Wells Fargo & Company announced that it will reduce the size of its mortgage lending business.
Asia finished mixed, and Europe saw widespread gains, as the global markets awaited this week’s inflation and earnings data out of the U.S.
Rvian Automotive (NASDAQ:RIVN) turned slightly lower in late trading on Tuesday after a report indicated that several key executives left the Illinois-based company. It closed at $16.45. Sources told The Wall Street Journal that the vice president overseeing body engineering and the automaker’s head of supply chain both left Rivian (RIVN) over the last few months. The executives were some of Rivian’s (RIVN) longer-tenured employees.
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Trouble may be brewing in the second half of this year, but there’s a window for a stock-market rally during the first six months of 2023, in the view of Stifel chief equity strategist Barry Bannister. The potential for a rally in equities is based on his expectations for inflation to fall sharply, for the Federal Reserve to pause interest-rate hikes in the second quarter, and for no official recession, as declared by the National Bureau of Economic Research, before midyear, according to a Jan. 9th note from Bannister. So, Ark Invest went shopping on Monday, adding to some of Wood’s hardest-hit stocks. Adobe (NASDAQ: ADBE), Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA), and Global-e Online (NASDAQ: GLBE) are three of the existing positions that she added yesterday. All of that should add up to a lower real yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note and to the S&P 500 rising to 4,300 by the end of June, according to the note.
U.S. equities finished higher in a choppy trading session. Concerns over higher interest rates in the future received added attention as investors look to inflation data to be released later this week, courtesy of Thursday’s CPI report. The economic docket was relatively quiet, but a read on small business optimism showed a decline versus the prior month, while wholesale inventories rose in line with estimates.
Equity news was light ahead of Friday’s start to Q4 earnings season, as Bed Bath and Beyond reported a worse-than-expected loss, while Coinbase announced that it would layoff around 20% of its workforce.
Treasury yields rose, and the U.S. dollar was higher, while crude oil and gold prices saw modest increases.
Asian stocks were mixed, and markets in Europe were mostly lower, as focus remained on China’s reopening, and as investors await the CPI report out of the U.S. later this week.
Tesla stock is on pace for its worst year on record as trading in 2022 comes to a close. Shares have lost about 65% from the start of the year. CEO Elon Musk has faced pressure from investors over his preoccupation with Twitter.
The S&P 500 closes out dismal year with worst loss since 2008
And, the U.S. dollar surrendered its status as the world’s premier safe haven in Q4. Central banks in Europe and — more recently — Japan applied a more aggressive monetary policy, signaling that they intend to close the gap with higher U.S. yields created by the Federal Reserve. This helped to drive their currencies higher. At the same time, investors in the U.S. were betting that the Fed’s campaign of interest rate rises was drawing nearer to its end. This resulted in the euro rising roughly 8.8% against the dollar, its biggest quarterly gain since 2010, according to Dow Jones Market Data.
***
Finally, U.S. equities closed out 2022 in the red, and all three major indexes registered solid losses on a yearly basis. The stock market posted its worst yearly decline since 2008. Trading remained subdued in the final days of the year as volumes continued to be on the lighter side. Equity news remained in short supply, but Southwest Airlines continued to be in the headlines after saying its latest troubles will affect Q4 results.
The economic calendar was also relatively quiet, with today’s lone report showing a surprising rebound in manufacturing activity in the Chicago region.
Treasury yields gained ground, and the U.S. dollar declined, while crude oil prices rose, and gold was slightly higher.
Asian stocks finished out the year mixed in thin trading, and markets in Europe saw widespread losses, with the region posting the worst year since 2018.
Real estate prices continued to cool in September—the first time prices declined for three straight months in nearly four years, which is a big deal. The change was especially noticeable out west.
For example, San Francisco and Seattle experienced the largest percentage decrease (2.9%) from August to September, according to the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices. The report, which tracks home price fluctuations, showed “short-term declines and medium-term deceleration” in US housing prices, said Craig Lazarra, S&P Dow Jones Indices managing director.And, Las Vegas, Phoenix, San Diego, and Dallas also saw declines of more than 2%, in contrast to cities like Chicago and New York, where prices fell the least (less than 1%). But even as prices cool, housing overall has grown less affordable since the start of the pandemic—the year-over-year change was 10.6% nationally in September. Pair that with mortgage rate climbs, and you’ve got a market that’s seen a decline in activity for nine straight months. The good news is economists don’t expect things to spiral as far down as they did in ’08.
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U.S. equities tumbled for a second day, as uncertainty regarding how aggressive the Fed will remain was met with increased recession fears.
Yesterday, the economic calendar was light, with the only notable report showing that the trade deficit widened less than expected. The equity front was also fairly quiet, as AutoZone beat earnings and revenue estimates, and shares of Meta Platforms fell after the Wall Street Journal reported that European Union regulators said the company should not require users to agree to personalized ads based on their online activity.
Treasury yields finished lower, and the U.S. dollar gained ground, while gold increased slightly.
Crude oil prices added to yesterday’s drop that came amid new restrictions on Russian oil, and after OPEC+ announced that it would leave its production target unchanged.
Stocks in Asia were mostly lower despite China continuing to ease COVID restrictions in some parts of the country, while European stocks fell amid a host of construction PMI data. The international markets also digested the Reserve Bank of Australia’s decision to hike its interest rate by 25 basis points, and its subsequent statement that was less dovish than expected.
The Dow surged 825 points, or 2.8%. The Dow has soared more than 1,500 points in the past two days. It is now back above the key 30,000 milestone and is about 18% off its most recent record high, meaning that is no longer in a bear market.
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq gained 3.1% and 3.3%, respectively. But both of those indexes remain in bear territory, at more than 20% off their all-time highs.
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The UK is scrapping its plan to remove the 45% top rate of income tax, calling it a huge distraction from other priorities. The plan, which the government defended just recently, caused a mini-financial meltdown before the Bank of England stepped in with emergency measures.
The major indexes tried to bounce at various points last week, but ultimately fell solidly for the week, right at bear market lows.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average skidded 2.9% in last week’s stock market trading.
The S&P 500 index also retreated 2.9%. The NASDAQ composite lost 2.7%.
The small-cap Russell 2000 gave up 1.4%. For September, the Dow lost 8.8%, the S&P 500 9.3%, the NASDAQ 10.5% and the Russell 2000 10.1%.
The 10-year Treasury yield rose 11 basis points in the past week to 3.81%. The yield backed off after topping 4% early Wednesday morning, but rebounded from Friday’s lows. The 10-year Treasury yield has risen for nine straight weeks.
U.S. crude oil futures rose 1% to $79.49 a barrel in the past week, even with Friday’s 2.1% loss.
Major US indexes plunged after staging a relief rally in the prior session.
UK prime minister Liz Truss stood by proposed tax cuts, despite a chorus of vocal critics.
US Treasury yields hit multi-year highs this week as markets react to growing recession fears.
Stocks recovered from their steepest losses of the day, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average down over 600 points and the NASDAQ lower by nearly 4% at one point in the afternoon. Major indexes still ended deep in the red, though, with the S&P 500 hitting a new closing low for the year.
UK prime minister Liz Truss said that she stood by the government’s plan to cut taxes, which earlier in the week rocked markets and sent the pound falling last week to 37-year lows. Top economists including Paul Krugman, Mohamed El-Erian, and Nouriel Roubini have ripped into the new fiscal policy, warning that it could set UK inflation surging even higher and require more aggressive moves by the central bank, upping the risk of recession.
A bear market relief rally describes a period inside of a bear market in which prices of stocks temporarily increase during, sometimes quite sharply, before returning to new lows. This rise in prices is typically a short-lived increase, sometimes lasting anywhere from days to months, amidst an overall long-term downward trend in the market.
Domestic Markets: The Dow and the S&P 500 both snapped six-day losing streaks after the Bank of England stepped in to calm investor fears about its teetering markets. That announcement helped crashing bonds recover in a big way, and the 10-year US Treasury yield (which moves inversely to prices) posted its biggest one-day drop since 2009.
U.S. stocks closed sharply lower with the Dow Jones Industrial Average ending at its lowest closing value since November 2020. All three major benchmarks suffered another week of losses as bond yields rose in the wake of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate hike on Wednesday.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average shed 486.27 points, or 1.6%, to close at 29,590.41.
The S&P 500 dropped 64.76 points, or 1.7%, to finish at 3,693.23.
The NASDAQ Composite slid 198.88 points, or 1.8%, to end at 10,867.93.
For the week, the Dow dropped 4% while the S&P 500 slid 4.6% and the NASDAQ tumbled 5.1%, according to Dow Jones Market Data. All three major indexes declined for a second straight week.
Equity markets declined for the third straight day in the wake of the U.S. Federal Reserve‘s most recent increase to the benchmark interest rate.
The S&P 500 fell 31.94 points, or 0.84%, to 3,757.99, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined by 107.1 points, or 0.35%, to 30,076.68. The NASDAQ Composite dropped 153.39 points, or 1.37%, to 11,066.80.
All three indexes are on pace to end the week in the red, as investors worry continued rate hikes meant to combat high inflation, could result in a recession.
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