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For example, a new government inflation reading just dropped this morning, and 61 companies in the S&P 500 reported earnings.
Inflation cooled again in January, but the declines may have paused. The Labor Department reported Tuesday that consumer prices rose 3.1% in January from a year earlier, versus a December gain of 3.4%. That marked the lowest reading since June. Core prices, which exclude food and energy items in an effort to better track inflation’s underlying trend, were up 3.9%. That was equal to December’s gain, which was the lowest since mid-2021.
And, Nvidia kept inching up and at one point overtook Amazon, briefly becoming the fourth-most-valuable company listed in the US.
Posted on September 15, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA
By Staff Reporters
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The forecast for next year’s Social Security increase rose to 3.2% from 3% on Wednesday after the government said inflation ticked up in August. Annual inflation in August rose to 3.7%, from 3.2% in July but off a 40-year high of 9.1% in June 2022. Without the volatile food and energy sectors, the so-called “core” inflation rate was 4.3%, down from July’s 4.7%.
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Illegal drugs are expected to be one of the biggest threats to national security in 2024 as overdose deaths topped 100,000 in the last year, according to the Department of Homeland Security’s annual threat study. In its report released Thursday, DHS said it expects illegal drugs produced in Mexico and sold in the United States will continue to kill more Americans than any other threat.
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U.S. stocks ended sharply higher and the greenback jumped on Thursday as robust economic data failed to budge expectations that the Federal Reserve will leave its key interest rate unchanged next week. The rally boosted a broad array of assets. All three major stock indexes ended higher, as did all 11 major sectors of the S&P 500. The dollar jumped to a six-month high, 10-year Treasury yields rose, and crude oil futures hit their highest this year, helping energy stocks outperform the broader market.
A spate of economic data released before the opening bell showed energy prices, specifically gasoline, were largely responsible for a hotter-than-expected producer prices print and a consensus-beating retail sales reading.
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Here is where the major benchmarks ended:
The S&P 500 Index was up 37.66 points (0.8%) at 4,505.10; the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 331.58 points (1.0%) at 34,907.11; the NASDAQ Composite (COMP) was up 112.47 points (0.8%) at 13,926.05.The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was up about 4 basis points at 4.286%. CBOE’s Volatility Index (VIX) was down 0.69 at 12.79.
Retailers were among the market’s strongest sectors Thursday in the wake of stronger-than-expected August retail sales reported by the Commerce Department. Energy companies also climbed as crude oil futures extended a rally and topped $90 a barrel for the first time since mid-November. Small-cap stocks joined the upswing, with the Russell 2000 Index (RUT) rising nearly 1.5% and ended at a one-week high. Volatility based on the VIX fell under 13.00 and near pre-pandemic levels of early 2020.
Posted on July 12, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA
By Staff Reporters
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BofA must refund $100 million to customers, pay $90 million in penalties to the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau and $60 million to the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency. “Bank of America wrongfully withheld credit card rewards, double-dipped on fees, and opened accounts without consent,” said CFPB Director Rohit Chopra, in a statement.
“These practices are illegal and undermine customer trust.”
Combined, it is one of the highest financial penalties in years against Bank of America, which has largely spent the last 15 years trying to clean up its reputation and market itself to the public as a bank focused on financial health and not on overdraft fee income and financial trickery.
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The latest reading ion core inflation indicates a notable cool-down in June but still exceeds the Federal Reserve’s inflation target of 2%.
Data just released exceeded the expectations of economists surveyed by Bloomberg, who expected inflation to have fallen to 3.1% in June. Inflation rose a modest 0.2% on a monthly basis, accelerating from a 0.1% increase in May. Despite the encouraging report, core inflation — which strips out volatile food and energy prices — rose 4.8%.
Food prices, meanwhile, continued to accelerate faster than overall inflation, rising 5.7% in June compared to a year ago. and, the price of flour rose about 12% in June compared to a year ago, roughly quadruple of the overall inflation rate; while the price of bakery products rose 9.5% over that period and the price of cookies rose nearly 9%.
Posted on October 13, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA
By Staff Reporters
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Economy: Yesterday brought more sinister inflation news when the September producer price index, which measures wholesale prices, came in higher than expected.
But the headliner is today when the consumer price index appears. Economists predict core inflation will hit a 40-year high, according to Bloomberg, so none of this is likely to get the Fed to chill on rate hikes.
Posted on September 23, 2015 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA
The Federal Reserve Resists Change
[By staff reporters]
DJIA: 16,330.47 -179.72 -1.09%
What to watch
The Federal Reserve [FOMC] announced last week that it will leave the federal funds rate unchanged. Unease concerning the domestic implications of international weakness, particularly with regard to inflation, contributed to the Fed’s decision to delay changing its policy right now.
Why it’s important
The Fed’s decision to stay put indicates that policymakers are not as “reasonably confident” that inflation is heading towards their target of 2% as they’d like to be.
For example, Core Inflation [CI], one key economic measure the Fed is watching, is heading into a third year of running below the Fed’s long-run 2% target rate. While the labor market portion of the Fed’s dual mandate appears in good shape, in part indicated by an unemployment rate within their estimate of full employment, policymakers decided to postpone a decision to raise their policy rate for the first time in nearly a decade, citing concerns around the impact that global economic and financial developments could have on domestic conditions.
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Assessment
According to the Vanguard Group, despite the attention given to the timing of when the Fed starts raising rate, some believe the more important questions are how quickly rates will go up and where they stop. Whether liftoff happens in the coming months or even next year, we expect the Fed to make more measured, staggered rate increases than in previous tightening cycles, especially given the fragility in global economic growth.
This “dovish tightening” will gradually normalize policy in a global environment not yet ready for a positive real fed funds rate.
Conclusion
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