DAILY UPDATE: Stock Markets, Netflix and Medicare Part C as CVS Closes Stores

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Markets: The S&P 500 hit an all-time high yesterday, closing out its sixth consecutive week of gains for its longest streak of 2024. The Dow and NASDAQ also closed in the green.

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The largest Medicare Advantage insurers have prioritized profits over patient care by increasing the use of prior authorization in recent years to frequently deny post-acute care services to older adults, according to a report published Oct. 17th by the Senate Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations.

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The drugstore chain CVS is in the process of shuttering “roughly 300” locations across the country in 2024, a spokesperson confirmed to Good Housekeeping. That includes the dozens of pharmacies in Target stores.

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Stock spotlight: Netflix stock jumped on Friday, a day after its earnings report beat expectations.

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DAILY UPDATE: CVS Health and AI Healthcare Chatbots as Stocks Reach New Highs

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CVS Health may be breaking up…with itself. The board of directors at CVS Health—the parent company of CVS Pharmacy, pharmacy benefit manager CVS Caremark, and insurance unit Aetna—are working with a group of bankers to review the company’s strategy, which according to Reuters, may lead to a split between its pharmacy division and Aetna.

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Stocks Up

  • Apple climbed 1.23% on a Bloomberg report that iPhone 16 demand has been shockingly strong in China.
  • Verizon Communications will purchase $1 billion worth of US Cellular’s wireless spectrum licenses. Verizon rose just 0.34%—but it’s a huge deal for US Cellular, which popped 7.22%, and Telephone and Data Systems, which owns 82% of US Cellular, and soared 15.40%.
  • Intuitive Surgical rose to a new all-time high, climbing 10.01% on strong earnings powered by sales of its da Vinci device.
  • Lamb Weston, the company behind the french fries you overindulge in every time you go out to dinner, is being pushed by activist investor Jana Partners toward exploring a sale. Shareholders rejoiced, and the stock rose 10.17%.

Stocks Down

CVS Health sank 5.23% on the news that CEO Karen Lynch will be replaced by David Joyner after three years at the helm of the struggling pharmacy/retailer. Joyner ran the company’s pharmacy service business for the last two years.

  • WD-40 seems like the staple of all consumer staples, but the company missed on both revenue and earnings estimates last quarter. Shares fell 4.79% on the news.
  • American Express dropped 3.15% after the credit card company reported a rare miss today, beating bottom-line estimates but missing revenue forecasts last quarter.
  • MGP Ingredients makes all the booze you drink under different brand names, but people aren’t drinking enough. The beverage maker issued preliminary earnings that included a 24% drop in sales. Shares tanked 24.16%.

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Here’s where the major stock market benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX)rose 23.20 points (0.40%) to 5,864.67, a new record high close, to end the week up 0.85%; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) added 36.86 points (0.09%) to 43,275.91, also another record high finish, to end the week up 0.96%; and the $COMP gained 115.94 points (0.63%) to 18,489.55 to end the week up 0.80%.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) fell two basis points to 4.07%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) fell to 18.17, the lowest since September 30.

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A new survey results may prompt health systems to second-guess some of their future plans. A recent University of Michigan survey found 74% of adults ages 50+ have “very little or no trust” in health info generated by AI. Maybe it’s not time to roll out chatbots on patient portals just yet.

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FAST FACTS: Retirement Income in the USA

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According to the National Institute on Retirement Security, almost 40 million households have no retirement savings at all. The Employee Benefit Research Institute (EBRI) estimates in its 2019 Retirement Security Projection Model that America’s current retirement savings deficit is $3.8 trillion.

What does that mean? Well, the EBRI report aggregates the savings deficit of all U.S. households headed by someone between the ages of 35 and 64, inclusive. In total, those households have $3.8 trillion fewer dollars in savings than they should have for retirement.

For more recent data, Fidelity Investments reported that in the third quarter of 2022 the average account balance for an IRA was $101,900. Employees with a 401(k) averaged $97,200, while those with a 403(b) had $87,400.

Fidelity also estimated that “an average retired couple age 65 in 2022 may need approximately $315,000 saved (after tax) to cover health care expenses in retirement.”  Keeping in mind that more Americans are also living longer than ever before, they will face more challenges to cover medical expenses in retirement.

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DAILY UPDATE: UnitedHealth, PBMs, Walgreens and Edmunds as Stock Climb

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UnitedHealth posted $6 billion in profit and $100 billion in revenue, but the company’s stock is dipping this morning.


Walgreens is closing 1,200 stores by 2027 and a net loss of $3 billion, though the company beat Wall Street’s expectations.

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Stocks Up

  • Chip stocks recovered lost ground today thanks to a strong earnings report from TSMC (more on that below). Nvidia led the group higher, rising 0.89% to yet another new all-time high.
  • Blackstone rose 6.30% to a new record high after the world’s largest alternative asset manager reported an excellent quarter.
  • Expedia popped 4.75% after a report by the Financial Times revealed that Uber had explored an acquisition of the travel site. Expedia shareholders cheered the news, while Uber shares sank 2.45%.

Stocks Down

  • Robinhood fell 2.27% after announcing its new Legend trading platform geared specifically toward advanced traders.
  • Lucid Group plummeted 17.99% on the news that the EV automaker is offering over 262 million shares of its common stock in an attempt to raise funds.
  • CSX dropped 6.71% after missing both top- and bottom-line estimates last quarter thanks in no small part to hurricanes Helene and Milton.
  • Health insurance stocks took a beating today due to a not-great earnings report from Elevance Health (more on that below, too). Centene Corp. fell 9.09%, while Molina Healthcare tumbled 12.55%.

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) slipped 1.00point (–0.02%) to 5,841.47; the $DJI added 161.35 points (0.37%) to 43,239.05; and the NASDAQ Composite®($COMP) rose 6.53 points (0.04%) to 18,373.61. 
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) climbed eight basis points to 4.1%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) sank to 18.97 by late Thursday, a two-week low.

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The average amount owed on “upside down” auto loans, in which the balance is more than the car is worth, hit a record high of $6,458 in the third quarter, according to Edmunds, a site that helps consumers research and buy cars

Diabetes advocates have officially joined the fight against pharmacy benefit managers (PBMs).

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PODCAST: Value Investing with Vitaliy Katsenelson CFA

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Amazon.com: Vitaliy Katsenelson: Books, Biography, Blog, Audiobooks, Kindle

By Vitaliy N. Katsenelson, CFA

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EDITOR’S NOTE: In this interview with investment website @GuruFocus, my colleague Vitaliy shares the full gamut of how he invests, where and why. He touches on the role of being eclectic when investing, how to invest abroad, and how value investors should think about macro-economics and finance, among many other important topics. Enjoy this fun and wide-ranging interview!

Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP®

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PODCAST: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eTSTbF0GwVw&t=69s

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DAILY UPDATE: Goldman Sachs, Starbucks and Walgreens as Stock Markets Boost Up

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Goldman Sachs’ profit jumped 45% in monster quarter. The investment bank made $3 billion of profit on revenue of nearly $13 billion in Q3, it reported yesterday, surpassing even the rosiest of expectations. Bloomberg reported that it was the best quarter ever for Goldman’s stock trading unit, putting the group on track for a record year.

Walgreens said it will close 1,200 US stores, about one in seven locations, by 2027. The retailer will shutter 500 stores by the end of next year.

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UP STOCKS

Trump Media & Technology Group has had a wild week, falling nearly 10% yesterday before trading of the stock was halted, then popping 15.52% today. Election hype, a Trump-sponsored cryptocurrency, and Truth+, a new streaming service, are keeping shareholders on their toes.

  • Abbott Laboratories rose 1.53% thanks to a stronger-than-expected earnings report powered by the company’s impressive medical device sales.
  • Aspen Aerogels makes insulating material for batteries, which sounds boring to everyone but the Department of Energy. The DOE signed a conditional commitment to loan the company up to $670 million, sending shares 13.24% higher.

DOWN STOCKS

  • Novavax plummeted 19.44% after the FDA put a hold on the pharma company’s flu and Covid vaccine combination.
  • ASML Holding NV dropped another 6.42% today as the semiconductor selloff continues.
  • Interactive Brokers enjoyed higher revenue and more trading from its user base last quarter, but earnings per share came in under expectations, and shares sank 4.05%.

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The SPX rose27.21points (0.47%) to 5,842.47; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) added 337.28 points (0.79%) to 43,077.70; and the NASDAQ Composite®($COMP) increased 51.49 points (0.28%) to 18.367.08. 
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) fell two basis points to just below 4.02%, the lowest close since October 4.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) dropped moderately to 19.58, still elevated considering stock market strength.

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Starbucks is reportedly pivoting from discounts and promotions to refocus on selling premium coffee and seasonal drinks

Visualize: How private equity tangled banks in a web of debt, from the Financial Times.

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DAILY UPDATE: Maximum Lifespan as Medicare Part C is Down and Stocks Markets Decline

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Maximum lifespans. The upper limit of human life expectancy is leveling out, according to a new study published in the journal Nature Aging. Back in 1990, life-extending tech and health measures were increasing the average global lifespan by about 2.5 years per decade, but that dropped to 1.5 years per decade in the 2010s and closer to zero in the US, where there are more drug overdoses, shootings, and medical care inequities.

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STOCKS UP

Sphere Entertainment popped 6.33% on the news that a second Sphere will be built in Abu Dhabi. London was originally supposed to be the location of a second venue, but they’ve already got the Eye, and didn’t need more circular tourist attractions.

  • Oklo, a Sam Altman-backed nuclear energy startup, rose another 16.04% on the news that Google will purchase nuclear power to turbocharge its AI infrastructure.
  • Charles Schwab climbed 6.10% after the bank announced a top and bottom line beat last quarter, as well as higher revenue projections for the full fiscal year.
  • Boeing somehow gained 2.26% after announcing it is raising $35 billion to support its struggling finances as the machinist union strike enters its second month.
  • Wolfspeed, which sounds like a super power in a YA novel, soared 21.27% on the news that the US government will provide the chipmaker with up to $750 million in government grants.

STOCKS DOWN

  • Semiconductor stocks got a double whammy in the last 48 hours. First, Bloomberg revealed that US officials are considering limiting the sale of AI chips outside the country. Then, ASML missed its Q3 sales estimates (more on that below). Nvidia shares slid 4.52%, AMD fell 5.22%, and Intel dropped 3.33%.
  • Citigroup beat earnings estimates this quarter, but shareholders punished the bank for setting aside more money in case of higher loan losses ahead. Shares dropped 5.11%.
  • Coty, parent company of numerous beauty brands like CoverGirl, fell 10.74% to a new 52-week low after it warned of a sales slowdown in the coming quarters.
  • Enphase Energy tumbled 9.29% after RBC analysts downgraded the solar power stock, citing growing competition from the likes of Tesla as well as slowing demand for solar batteries.
  • Speaking of energy, oil stocks plummeted on news of Israel’s targeting of Iranian military assets rather than crude production facilities. Exxon Mobil fell 3.01%, Chevron dropped 2.67%, and Valero Energy sank 4.62%.

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended yesterday:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) fell 44.59 points (–0.76%) to 5,815.26; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) dropped 324.80 points (–0.75%) to 42,740.42; and the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) lost 187.09 points (–1.01%) to 18,315.59.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) fell three basis points to 4.04%, the lowest close in a week.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) climbed to 20.72, an elevated level.

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Millions of seniors will lose access to their Medicare Advantage plans after major insurer cuts in the aftermath of the Inflation Reduction Act. Experts spoke with Newsweek about what’s going on and what steps seniors can take to get the coverage they need.

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Medical Practice Valuation Blunders

 Top Ten Appraisal Blunders to Avoid

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko; MBA, MEd, CMP™

MARCINKO & ASSOCIATES: https://marcinkoassociates.com/

Top Ten Appraisal Blunders to Avoid

The science of the modern medical practice valuation can be traced to the Estate of Edgar A. Berg v. Commissioner (T. C. Memo 1991-279). In this case, the Court criticized CPAs as not being qualified to perform business valuations, failing to provide analysis of an appropriate discount rates, and making only general references to justify their   “Opinion of Value.”

In rejecting accountants, the Court accepted IRS economists because of background, education and training, as well as discount rate calculations and reproducible evidence applied to the assets being examined. This marked the beginning of the Tax Court leaning toward the side with the most comprehensive appraisal. Previously, it had a tendency to “split the difference.” Now, some feel the Berg case launched the valuation profession; especially for contemporaneous health economists.

But, it was not until after 1995 that the IRS issued guidelines for the valuation of physician practices. As a result, the Uniform Standards of Professional Appraisal Practice [USPAP] requires that a blended constellation of three recognized valuation approaches (income, market, and cost approaches) be considered when estimating fair market value.

Operative Valuation Definitions

When pursuing any discussion of medical practice worth, two key elements must be understood: (1) the valuation process, and (2) fair market value.  According to the Dictionary of Health Economics and Finance

  1. Practice valuation is the “the formal process of determining the worth of a healthcare or other medical business entity, at a specific point in time, and the act or process of determining fair market value.”
  2. Fair market value [FMV] is “a legal term generally meaning the price at which a willing buyer will buy, and a willing seller will sell an asset in an open free market with full disclosure.”  IRS Revenue Ruling 59-60 clearly states that FMV “is essentially a future prophesy and must be based on facts available at the required date of appraisal”

Unfortunately, the value of a medical practice cannot be directly observed by activity in thinly traded private markets. Perhaps this is why we continually observe the following valuation blunders? They are committed by both sellers and buyers who are pursuing opposite objectives; sale price maximization versus price minimization?

Top 10 Blunders:

Not Understanding What a Medical Practice Valuation Is and Is Not

  • Valuations are not source document fraud audits.
  • Valuations are material representations providing a range of transferable worth.
  • Valuations are reproducible estimates based on economic assumptions.
  • Valuations are not “back-of-the envelope multiples” using specious benchmarks.
  • Valuations are defensible and “signed-off” attesting to USPAP/IRS formats.
  • Financial accounting value [book-value] is not fair market value.
  • Professional valuators represent only one party at arm’s length; not both sides.
  • Engagement solicitor and/or valuation payer is the client.
  • Unbiased valuators do not provide financing or equity-participation schemes. Although not standardized, the Institute of Medical Business Advisors, Inc uses the following three levels that approximate engagement types for the industry.

2. A Limited Valuation lacks additional suggested USPAP procedures.  It is considered an “agreed-upon-procedure”, used in circumstances where the client is the only user [i.e., updating a buy-sell agreement, or practice buy-in for a valued associate] and not for external purposes. No onsite visit is needed. A formal Opinion of Value is not rendered.

3. Not Observing Industry Standards, Rules and Regulations

Specifically, in USPAP transactions involving physician practices, the IRS implied:

  • Ad-Hoc Valuation is low level engagement that provides a gross and non-specific approximation of value based on limited meters by involved parties. Neither a written report, nor an Opinion of Value is rendered. It is often used periodically as an internal organic growth / decline gauge.
  • A Comprehensive Valuation is an extensive service designed to provide an unambiguous Opinion of Value range. It is supported by all procedures that valuators deem relevant with mandatory onsite review. This “gold-standard” is suitable for contentious situations like divorce, partnership dissolution, estate planning and gifting, etc. The written Opinion of Value is applicable for litigation support activities like depositions and trial. It is also useful for external reporting to bankers, investors, the public and IRS, etc.

4. Not Understanding Engagement Types and Levels

  • Discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis is the most relevant income approach and must be done on an “after-tax” basis.
  • Practice collections must be projected based on reasonable assumptions for the practice and market; etc.
  • Physician compensation must be based on market rates consistent with age, experience and productivity.
  • Majority premiums and minority discounts are to be considered.Goodwill represents the difference between practice purchase price and the value of the net assets.  Personal goodwill results from the charisma, skills and reputation of a specific doctor. Its attributes accrue solely to the individual, are not transferable and can’t be sold. It has little or no economic value as it “goes to the grave” with the doctor.  Transferable medical practice goodwill has value, may be transferred, and is defined as the unidentified residual attributes that contribute to the propensity of patients and managed care contracts (and their revenue streams) to return in the future (Schilbach v. Commissioner, T.C. Memo 1991-556).  And so, one must also appreciate the: (i) impact of a changing environment; (ii) practice transfer in a local market which can augment or blunt goodwill value; and the (iii) determination of whether patients or HMOs return because of true goodwill, or are mandated by contractual obligations; among many other multi-variable determinants.
  • Even the Goodwill Registry however, a classic source used to determine the average percentage of revenue contributed to practice goodwill, may be dated for some specialties leading to abnormally high values.

5. Not Understanding the Value of Practice Goodwill: Unlimited life span.

6. Not Understanding the Value of Personal Goodwill: Limited life span.

Now, to further confuse the issue, how each kind of goodwill is allocated in situations like divorce depends on state law. For example, some courts include both kinds of goodwill to be apportioned – some exclude both – and others pursue a case-by-case approach.

7. Not Understanding “Excess Earnings Capitalization”

Another way to determine goodwill value is through “excess earnings capitalization.” This economic method looks at the difference between salary, and what you’d have to pay a comparable doctor replacement.

As an example, when you subtract the numbers, and divide the result by 20%, an important percentage referred to as the Capitalization Rate emerges. The final number gives a dollar value for practice goodwill. Courts seem to prefer this method in divorces because it tends to reflect a practice’s current value.

8. Not Understanding the Present Compensation versus Future Value Paradox

Regardless of practice business model, physician compensation is inversely related to practice value. In other words, the more a doctor takes home in above-average salary, the less the practice is generally worth, and vice versa; ceteris paribus

9. Substituting Benchmarks and Formulas for Practice Specificity

In the stable economic past, industry benchmarks might have been used as quick and inexpensive substitutes for professionally prepared valuations.  Muck like preparing one’s own income tax return today – while legal – it is a fraught with peril if challenged. The Courts seem to frown on this simplistic and dated methodology.

Moreover, generic benchmark formulas assume a financial statement reporting standard that just does not exist in public accounting.

Therefore, most every competitive issue that impacts value should be addressed with each practice engagement. This includes, but is not limited to contemporary dislocations by third parties, Medicare and commercial payers; retail clinics and changes in supply/demand and specialty trends; rise of ambulatory surgery centers and specialty hospitals; outsourced care and medical tourism, alterations in resource based-relative value units, APCs, DRGs and newer MS-DRGs; the Medicare Modernization Act, HIPAA, OSHA, EEOC, Sarbanes-Oxley and US Patriot Acts, PP-CA, and ACOs; among other regulations.

Current employee trends to high-deductible health care plans [HD-HCPs] and private concierge medicine must also be considered, as well as demographic and employer shifts to defined contribution plans – from defined benefits plans – to name just a few more complicating issues.

10. Not Aggregating or “Normalizing” Financial Information

Employees may be interviewed and financial information must be gathered before a medical practice can be properly valued. The following data, for the most recent three year period, serves as a starting point:

  • Practice (corporate) tax returns.
  • Equipment / automobile leasing and/or tax depreciation schedules.
  • Accounts Receivable aging-schedule.
  • Practice consolidated financial statements (P&L, Cash Flow, Balance Sheet and Retained Earnings).
  • Prior Buy-Sell and/or non-compete agreements, and;
  • Sample medical record chart review is increasingly being demanded.
  • It is especially important to eliminate one-time, non-recurring practice expenses. These are adjusted for excessive or below normal expenses on the profit and loss statement. Such “normalization” can produce a big surprise for benchmark proponents and formula-driven advocates when a selling doctor runs personal expenditures through the practice that a buyer [or Court] wouldn’t consider legitimate.  Of course, such shenanigans are less noted using professional USPAP/IRS guidelines. Conversely, you may have to defend legitimate business expenses that an appraiser may seek to normalize. For example, doctors may pay for a vehicle through their practice, but if used to travel between multiple offices and hospitals, the expense may be legitimate.  Of course, normalization is a sophisticated and time-intensive process. But, it is where the expert earns his/her professional fee, and defends the resulting valuation range when challenged.The most important credential to look for is fiduciary experience, specificity and independence. Some doctors mistakenly turn to those who may have never appraised a practice before. And, just because an appraiser has initials behind his name, doesn’t mean he understands the peculiarities of medical specialties, especially podiatry. We believe that only an independent health economist, who will be your advocate under Securities Exchange Commission [SEC] fiduciary [not lower “suitability”] guidelines, should be selected. Of course, it is almost impossible to answer concerns regarding fees without specific information. The cost of a valuation can range from $0 (benchmarks-rule of thumb) to $50,000 for an onsite team of experts for behemoth practices and ambulatory surgery centers. Keep in mind that in most cases you want to ensure the value determination will stand up to IRS scrutiny, so the $0 rule-of-thumb is not an optionExternal appraisals, or poorly aggregated financial information, onsite reviews and litigation support services incur additional costs; yet most doctors find the money well spent. Expect to pay a retainer and sign a formal professional engagement letter.

Assessment

Don’t be surprised if a sales-broker does not consider the above issues as the modern health era emerges. Most agent-appraisers are predominantly concerned with earning commissions by working both transaction parties, and may not represent your best interests. And, they are usually not obliged to disclose conflicts-of-interest and don’t provide legal testimony.

As a result, a good medical practice is no longer necessarily a good business; and retiring doctors can no longer automatically expect to extract premium sales prices. Moreover, uninformed young physicians should not be goaded to over-pay. Regardless of your dismay – or delight – in the changing healthcare milieu, always be foreword thinking and remember the admonition, Trust-but Verify, for any business transaction. 

But, it is a fait accompli that medical practice worth is presently deteriorating. As the population ages and third-party reimbursements plummet, doctors are commoditized and traditional retail medicine is replaced by more efficient wholesale business models like workplace health clinics. The recent sub-prime mortgage de-fault fiasco, potential tax-reform law expiration and the political specter of a nationalized healthcare system, only adds fuel to the macro-economic fires of uncertainly.

Finally, once practice price is mutually agreed upon, sales contract terms and agreements present a plethora of financing challenges for both involved parties to consider [bank loan payment rates and length, personal promissory guarantees, down-payment offsets, earn-out arrangements, Uniform Commercial Codes-1 asset guarantees, etc] in their due-diligence efforts.

However, most reputable firms use a blended fee-schedule of fixed and hourly rates (plus expenses). So, doctors should expect to spend approximately $5,000-15,000 for an average sized – limited appraisal – that is completely suitable for most internal activities.

Moreover, look-out if the valuation not done at an-arm’s-length and independent manner; or worse still, if it is performed for both parties simultaneously.

 Selecting the Wrong Valuator and Not Understanding Professional Fees

  • Realize too, that the appraiser may also add expenses that have not been incurred; like an office manager’s salary if your spouse is in that role for free. This produces a lower appraised value and is common in small medical practices. Honoraria are another example that does not figure into value calculations.
  • For example, we recall one doctor who painted his personal residence and wrote it-off as a valid business expense. Deleting other major expenses such as country club memberships, make a practice look more profitable—good news if you’re selling it, bad news if you’re getting a divorce.

Conclusion

Your thoughts and comments on this ME-P are appreciated. Feel free to review our top-left column, and top-right sidebar materials, links, URLs and related websites, too. Then, subscribe to the ME-P. It is fast, free and secure.

Speaker: If you need a moderator or speaker for an upcoming event, Dr. David E. Marcinko; MBA – Publisher-in-Chief of the Medical Executive-Post – is available for seminar or speaking engagements. Contact: MarcinkoAdvisors@msn.com

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Risk Management, Liability Insurance, and Asset Protection Strategies for Doctors and Advisors: Best Practices from Leading Consultants and Certified Medical Planners™8Comprehensive Financial Planning Strategies for Doctors and Advisors: Best Practices from Leading Consultants and Certified Medical Planners™

[Dr. Cappiello PhD MBA] *** [Foreword Dr. Krieger MD MBA]

Front Matter with Foreword by Jason Dyken MD MBA

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DAILY UPDATE: Life Span, Earnings Reports, Oil, Gold and Bitcoin with Closing Stock Highs

MEDICAL EXECUTIVE-POST TODAY’S NEWSLETTER BRIEFING

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Essays, Opinions and Curated News in Health Economics, Investing, Business, Management and Financial Planning for Physician Entrepreneurs and their Savvy Advisors and Consultants

Serving Almost One Million Doctors, Financial Advisors and Medical Management Consultants Daily

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Maximum lifespans. The upper limit of human life expectancy is leveling out, according to a new study published in the journal Nature Aging. Back in 1990, life-extending tech and health measures were increasing the average global lifespan by about 2.5 years per decade, but that dropped to 1.5 years per decade in the 2010s and closer to zero in the US, where there are more drug overdoses, shootings, and medical care inequities.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource

  • Stocks kicked off the first full week of earnings season at full throttle. The S&P 500 rose to a new intraday record, the Dow closed above 43,000 for the first time ever, and the NASDAQ climbed steadily throughout the trading session.
  • Bitcoin soared on the news of China’s additional stimulus spending that broke this weekend. Although the Chinese government’s plans are light on details at the moment, the promise of more support for the world’s second largest economy was enough to get crypto traders hyped.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

  • Interestingly enough, those same promises of Chinese stimulus sent oil tumbling to start the day. The selling was exacerbated by OPEC’s announcement that crude demand will fall lower than expected in 2024 and 2025.
  • Gold sank a hair today as traders weighed Chinese stimulus against a stronger dollar.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/tj8smmes

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) rose44.82points (0.77%) to 5,859.85, a new closing high; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) increased 201.36 points (0.47%) to 43,065.22, also a new closing high; and the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) added 159.74 points (0.87%) to 18,502.69.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) did not trade today due to the holiday. 
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) slipped to 19.9, its first drop below 20 since October 4.

A slate of corporate earnings reports coming from Goldman Sachs, Bank of America, and Citigroup in the financial sector, along with healthcare giants Johnson & Johnson, Walgreens, and UnitedHealth. And throughout the week: Morgan Stanley will report on Wednesday, Netflix reports on Thursday, and Procter & Gamble and American Express drop their financials on Friday. It’ll pose a big test for the stock market’s $8 trillion rally this year.

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MARCINKO & ASSOCIATES: Financial Planning and Business Management Education for Physicians

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP

CONSULTING ADVICE – NOT SALES

“AT YOUR SERVICE”

E-mail: MarcinkoAdvisors@msn.com

SPONSOR: http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com

Marcinko & Associates is financial guide. We help answer your questions in an empowering way. We educate and guide medical colleagues to understand their financial picture and to make better financial decisions. We strive to simplify everything, clear up confusion, and address specific needs and goals.

Simply put, we’re a financial services company on a mission to empower financial freedom for all healthcare professionals; only. We work with doctors, nurses, medical providers, individuals and all sizes of organizations to offer investment, wealth management and retirement solutions so everyone can have a clear and simple understanding of where their finances and career is today and where it is headed tomorrow.

Whatever your financial situation, we do not shame, criticize, or sell. We enrich, educate and empower. We work only with medical colleagues at every stage of their financial journey [students, interns, residents, practitioners, mid-career and mature physicians], through big life personal changes to annual employment reviews, in order to help them understand, invest, and protect their money and lifestyle.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource

For example, the following are current issues of review need for each Fall and Winter:

  • Financial planning reviews: 401-k, insurance, budget plans, investing, debt and savings, etc
  • Assess, develop, and align financial retirement and estate planning goals
  • Risk Management: Malpractice, home, life, medical, auto and personal indemnity
  • Life Insurance Need Reviews: whole, universal and term  
  • Business, operations, HR, employment negotiations and medical practice management
  • Annuity Need Reviews: Indexed and Fixed [Pros and Cons].

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At Marcinko & Associates we discuss specific needs and answer specific questions. We educate and make personalized recommendations that you are free to use, incorporate or disregard. Referrals to trusted specialists and strategic alliance partners then occur if – and as – needed [pro re nata].

SPONSOR: http://www.CertifiedMedicalPlanner.org

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What is Stock Market “Front-Running”?

What is Is – How it Works

dem-at-wharton2.jpg

By Dr. David E. Marcinko MBA MEd CMP

http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com

According to Wikipedia, Front Running, also known as Tailgating, is the prohibited practice of entering into an equity (stock) trade, option, futures contract, derivative, or security-based swap to capitalize on advance, nonpublic knowledge of a large pending transaction that will influence the price of the underlying security.

Front running is considered a form of market manipulation in many markets. Cases typically involve individual brokers or brokerage firms trading stock in and out of undisclosed, un-monitored accounts of relatives or confederates. Institutional and individual investors may also commit a front running violation when they are privy to inside information. A front running firm either buys for its own account before filling customer buy orders that drive up the price, or sells for its own account before filling customer sell orders that drive down the price.

Front running is prohibited since the front-runner profits from nonpublic information, at the expense of its own customers, the block trade, or the public market.

Scandals

In 2003, several hedge fund and mutual fund companies became embroiled in an illegal late trading scandal made public by a complaint against Bank of America brought by New York Attorney General Eliot Spitzer. A resulting U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission investigation into allegations of front-running activity implicated Edward D. Jones & Co., Inc., Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Strong Mutual Funds, Putnam Investments, Invesco, and Prudential Securities.

Following interviews in 2012 and 2013, the FBI said front running had resulted in profits of $50 million to $100 million for the bank. Wall Street traders may have manipulated a key derivatives market by front running Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

Term Origins

The terms originate from the era when stock market trades were executed via paper carried by hand between trading desks. The routine business of hand-carrying client orders between desks would normally proceed at a walking pace, but a broker could literally run in front of the walking traffic to reach the desk and execute his own personal account order immediately before a large client order.

Likewise, a broker could tail behind the person carrying a large client order to be the first to execute immediately after. Such actions amount to a type of insider trading, since they involve non-public knowledge of upcoming trades, and the broker privately exploits this information by controlling the sequence of those trades to favor a personal position.

Assessment

So, was front-running implicated in the market drop today? OR, a technical correction or Panic selling? Any thoughts.

MORE: Investing “Tips” on Initial Public Offerings  https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2017/12/18/initial-public-offerings/

Conclusion

Your thoughts and comments on this ME-P are appreciated. Feel free to review our top-left column, and top-right sidebar materials, links, URLs and related websites, too. Then, subscribe to the ME-P. It is fast, free and secure.

Speaker: If you need a moderator or speaker for an upcoming event, Dr. David E. Marcinko; MBA – Publisher-in-Chief of the Medical Executive-Post – is available for seminar or speaking engagements.

Book Marcinko: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/dr-david-marcinkos-bookings/

https://www.crcpress.com/Comprehensive-Financial-Planning-Strategies-for-Doctors-and-Advisors-Best/Marcinko-Hetico/p/book/9781482240283

Risk Management, Liability Insurance, and Asset Protection Strategies for Doctors and Advisors: Best Practices from Leading Consultants and Certified Medical Planners™8Comprehensive Financial Planning Strategies for Doctors and Advisors: Best Practices from Leading Consultants and Certified Medical Planners™

COLUMBUS DAY 2024: Stocks, Bonds, Gold & Oil

By Staff Reporters

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U.S. stock markets, including the New York Stock Exchange and the NASDAQ remain open and follow a regular schedule today.

The bond markets will be closed, however.

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  • Stocks ended last week on a high note, closing out their fifth straight week of gains. The Dow was pushed to yet another new all-time high by strong earnings from JPMorgan, while the S&P 500 was in the green and rose to its own record close, and the NASDAQ clawed its way out of the red by early Friday afternoon.
  • Bond yields took a breather, falling below 4.1% thanks to a better-than-expected PPI report that helped offset inflation fears that had re-arisen after a worse-than-expected CPI report.
  • Gold rose as well on PPI news, since the data pointed to a better chance of more rate cuts ahead.
  • Oil fell a bit but gained over the last two weeks on geopolitical tensions and destruction in the Gulf of Mexico following the two major hurricanes.

COMMENTS APPRECIATED

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STOCK MARKET: A Zero Sum Bias?

By Staff Reporters

FINANCIAL / INVESTMENT ADVISORS & STOCK BROKERS

SPONSOR: http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com

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According to colleague Dan Ariely PhD, a Zero Sum Bias [ZSB] is the mistaken belief that one person’s gain is another’s loss. It’s like thinking the world is a giant pie with only so many slices. This mindset fuels competition and jealousy, making us forget that collaboration can create more pie. It’s why we sometimes root against others instead of working together.

Question: Is the stock market a zero-sum game? You frequently hear media refer to games and markets as zero-sum games.

Answer: Well, yes, we define the stock market as a zero-sum game, both in the short and in the long term, although it technically is incorrect. A zero-sum game is where one person’s gain is another person’s loss – thus there is no wealth created and the overall benefit is zero. This doesn’t apply to stocks, but it’s a zero-sum game in relation to a stock market benchmark.

For example, short-term trading in stocks is theoretically not a zero-sum game, and neither is long-term investing. But short-term trading is close to a zero-sum game, and long-term investing is a zero-sum game if we use a broad index as a benchmark.

Essentially, in other words, the stock market functions as an expansive network of zero-sum transactions; each trade engages a buyer and a seller–their perspectives on a security’s future value contrasting. These opposing views propel market prices: they mirror not only risk transfer but also potential reward—a dynamic process indeed! Traders and investors must grasp the crucial zero-sum aspect; it underscores trading’s inherent competitiveness. Effectively anticipating market trends and actions from other participants: therein lies success in this environment. 

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource/Title/0826102549

So, next time you feel like someone else’s success diminishes your own, remember: there’s more than enough pie to go around.

COMMENTS APPRECIATED

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DAILY UPDATE: Boeing, Nobel Peace Prize, Tesla, JPMorgan and Wells Fargo

MEDICAL EXECUTIVE-POST TODAY’S NEWSLETTER BRIEFING

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Essays, Opinions and Curated News in Health Economics, Investing, Business, Management and Financial Planning for Physician Entrepreneurs and their Savvy Advisors and Consultants

Serving Almost One Million Doctors, Financial Advisors and Medical Management Consultants Daily

A Partner of the Institute of Medical Business Advisors , Inc.

http://www.MedicalBusinessAdvisors.com

SPONSORED BY: Marcinko & Associates, Inc.

***

http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com

Daily Update Provided By Staff Reporters Since 2007.
How May We Serve You?
© Copyright Institute of Medical Business Advisors, Inc. All rights reserved. 2024

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Yom Kippur. Wishing a meaningful and easy fast to our readers who observe.

Boeing plans to lay off 10% of its workforce, or ~17,000 people, to cut costs as its factory workers’ strike continues.

The Nobel Peace Prize was awarded to Nihon Hidankyo, a Japanese organization of survivors of the atomic bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki, that advocates against nuclear weapons.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource

  • Markets: After big banks—which are often viewed as a proxy for the economy’s health—kicked off earnings season strong, the S&P 500 and the Dow hit new records, capping off stocks’ fifth winning week in a row.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

Stock spotlight: Elon Musk’s presentation of Tesla’s long-awaited Robocab didn’t go as badly as that time the Cybertruck’s “unbreakable” window got smashed on stage, but investors were unimpressed by its lack of key details.

Hailing the news were Uber and Lyft, which rose after Tesla failed to present a looming threat.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/tj8smmes

JPMorgan says the soft landing is here. Reporting its first quarterly earnings since the Fed’s big interest rate cut, America’s biggest bank earned more than expected from loans and boosted what it forecasts it’ll earn for the year.

In other banking news, Wells Fargo also beat earnings expectations.

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On Psychology, Financial Planning and Investing Bias

Psychological Biases Affecting Financial Planning and Investing

Dr. Marcinko at Johns Hopkins University

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP®

http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com

[Editor-in-Chief]

Sponsored: http://www.CertifiedMedicalPlanner.org

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The following are some of the most common psychological biases.  Some are learned while others are genetically determined (and often socially reinforced).  While this essay focuses on the financial implications of these biases, they are prevalent in most areas in life.

[A] Incentives

It is broadly accepted that incenting someone to do something is effective, whether it be paying office staff a commissions to sell more healthcare products, or giving bonuses to office employees if they work efficiently to see more HMO patients.  What is not well understood is that the incentives cause a sub-conscious distortion of decision-making ability in the incented person.  This distortion causes the affected person – whether it is yourself or someone else – to truly believe in a certain decision, even if it is the wrong choice when viewed objectively.  Service professionals, including financial advisors and lawyers, are affected by this bias, and it causes them to honestly offer recommendations that may be inappropriate, and that they would recognize as being inappropriate if they did not have this bias.  The existence of this bias makes it important for each one of us to examine our incentive biases and take extra care when advising physician clients, or to make sure we are appropriately considering non-incented alternatives.

[B] Denial

Denial is a well known, but under-appreciated, psychological force.  Physicians, clients and professionals (like everyone else) are prone to the mistake of ignoring a painful reality, like putting off an unpleasant call (thus prolonging a problematic situation and potentially making it worse) or not opening account statements because of the desire not to see quantitative proof of losses.  Denial also manifests itself by causing human beings to ignore evidence that a mistake has been made.  If you think of yourself as a smart person (and what professional doesn’t?), then evidence pointing to the conclusion that a mistake has been made will call into question that belief, causing cognitive dissonance.  Our brains function to either avoid cognitive dissonance or to resolve it quickly, usually by discounting or rationalizing the disconfirming evidence. Not surprisingly, colleagues at Kansas State University and elsewhere, found that financial denial, including attempts to avoid thinking about or dealing with money, is associated with lower income, lower net worth, and higher levels of revolving credit.

[C] Consistency and Commitment Tendency

Human beings have evolved – probably both genetically and socially – to be consistent.  It is easier and safer to deal with others if they honor their commitments and if they behave in a consistent and predictable manner over time. This allows people to work together and build trust that is needed for repeat dealings and to accomplish complex tasks.  In the jungle, this trust was necessary to for humans to successfully work as a team to catch animals for dinner, or fight common threats.  In business and life it is preferable to work with others who exhibit these tendencies.  Unfortunately, the downside of these traits is that people make errors in judgment because of the strong desire not to change, or be different (“lemming effect” or “group-think”).  So the result is that most people will seek out data that supports a prior stated belief or decision and ignore negative data, by not “thinking outside the box”.  Additionally, future decisions will be unduly influenced by the desire to appear consistent with prior decisions, thus decreasing the ability to be rational and objective.  The more people state their beliefs or decisions, the less likely they are to change even in the face of strong evidence that they should do so.  This bias results in a strong force in most people causing them to avoid or quickly resolve the cognitive dissonance that occurs when a person who thinks of themselves as being consistent and committed to prior statements and actions encounters evidence that indicates that prior actions may have been a mistake.  It is particularly important therefore for advisors to be aware that their communications with clients and the press clouds the advisor’s ability to seek out and process information that may prove current beliefs incorrect.  Since this is obviously irrational, one must actively seek out negative information, and be very careful about what is said and written, being aware that the more you shout it out, the more you pound it in.

[D] Pattern Recognition

On a biological level, the human brain has evolved to seek out patterns and to work on stimuli-response patterns, both native and learned.  What this means is that we all react to something based on our prior experiences that had shared characteristics with the current stimuli.  Many situations have so many possible inputs that our brains need to take mental short cuts using pattern recognition we would not gain the benefit from having faced a certain type of problem in the past.  This often-helpful mechanism of decision-making fails us when past correlations or patterns do not accurately represent the current reality, and thus the mental shortcuts impair our ability to analyze a new situation.  This biologic and social need to seek out patterns that can be used to program stimuli-response mechanisms is especially harmful to rational decision-making when the pattern is not a good predictor of the desired outcome (like short term moves in the stock market not being predictive of long term equity portfolio performance), or when past correlations do not apply anymore.

[E] Social Proof

It is a subtle but powerful reality that having others agree with a decision one makes, gives that person more conviction in the decision, and having others disagree decreases one’s confidence in that decision.  This bias is even more exaggerated when the other parties providing the validating/questioning opinions are perceived to be experts in a relevant field, or are authority figures, like people on television.  In many ways, the short term moves in the stock market are the ultimate expression of social proof – the price of a stock one owns going up is proof that a lot of other people agree with the decision to buy, and a dropping stock price means a stock should be sold.  When these stressors become extreme, it is of paramount importance that all participants in the financial planning process have a clear understanding of what the long-term goals are, and what processes are in place to monitor the progress towards these goals.  Without these mechanisms it is very hard to resist the enormous pressure to follow the crowd; think social media.

[F] Contrast

Sensation, emotion and cognition work by contrast.  Perception is not only on an absolute scale, it also functions relative to prior stimuli.  This is why room temperature water feels hot when experienced after being exposed to the cold.  It is also why the cessation of negative emotions “feels” so good.  Cognitive functioning also works on this principle.  So one’s ability to analyze information and draw conclusions is very much related to the context with in which the analysis takes place, and to what information was originally available.  This is why it is so important to manage one’s own expectations as well as those of clients.  A client is much more likely to be satisfied with a 10% portfolio return if they were expecting 7% than if they were hoping for 15%.

[G] Scarcity

Things that are scarce have more impact and perceived value than things present in abundance.  Biologically, this bias is demonstrated by the decreasing response to constant stimuli (contrast bias) and socially it is widely believed that scarcity equals value.  People who feel an opportunity may “pass them by” and thus be unavailable are much more likely to make a hasty, poorly reasoned decision than they otherwise would.  Investment fads and rising security prices elicit this bias (along with social proof and others) and need to be resisted.  Understanding that analysis in the face of perceived scarcity is often inadequate and biased may help professionals make more rational choices, and keep clients from chasing fads.

[H] Envy / Jealousy

This bias also relates to the contrast and social proof biases.  Prudent financial and business planning and related decision-making are based on real needs followed by desires.  People’s happiness and satisfaction is often based more on one’s position relative to perceived peers rather than an ability to meet absolute needs.  The strong desire to “keep up with the Jones” can lead people to risk what they have and need for what they want.  These actions can have a disastrous impact on important long-term financial goals.  Clear communication and vivid examples of risks is often needed to keep people focused on important financial goals rather than spurious ones, or simply money alone, for its own sake.

[I] Fear

Financial fear is probably the most common emotion among physicians and all clients. The fear of being wrong – as well as the fear of being correct! It can be debilitating, as in the corollary expression on fear: the paralysis of analysis.

According to Paul Karasik, there are four common investor and physician fears, which can be addressed by financial advisors in the following manner:

  • Fear of making the wrong decision: ameliorated by being a teacher and educator.
  • Fear of change: ameliorated by providing an agenda, outline and/or plan.
  • Fear of giving up control: ameliorated by asking for permission and agreement.
  • Fear of losing self-esteem: ameliorated by serving the client first and communicating that sentiment in a positive manner.

https://images.routledge.com/common/jackets/crclarge/978148224/9781482240283.jpg

Textbook Order: https://www.amazon.com/Comprehensive-Financial-Planning-Strategies-Advisors/dp/1482240289/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1418580820&sr=8-1&keywords=david+marcinko

Psychological Traps

Now, as human beings, our brains are booby-trapped with psychological barriers that stand between making smart financial decisions and making dumb ones. The good news is that once you realize your own mental weaknesses, it’s not impossible to overcome them. 

In fact, Mandi Woodruff, a financial reporter whose work has appeared in Yahoo! Finance, Daily Finance, The Wall Street Journal, The Fiscal Times and the Financial Times among others; related the following mind-traps in a September 2013 essay for the finance vertical Business Insider; as these impediments are now entering the lay-public zeitgeist:

  • Anchoring happens when we place too much emphasis on the first piece of information we receive regarding a given subject. For instance, when shopping for a wedding ring a salesman might tell us to spend three months’ salary. After hearing this, we may feel like we are doing something wrong if we stray from this advice, even though the guideline provided may cause us to spend more than we can afford.
  • Myopia makes it hard for us to imagine what our lives might be like in the future. For example, because we are young, healthy, and in our prime earning years now, it may be hard for us to picture what life will be like when our health depletes and we know longer have the earnings necessary to support our standard of living. This short-sightedness makes it hard to save adequately when we are young, when saving does the most good.
  • Gambler’s fallacy occurs when we subconsciously believe we can use past events to predict the future. It is common for the hottest sector during one calendar year to attract the most investors the following year. Of course, just because an investment did well last year doesn’t mean it will continue to do well this year. In fact, it is more likely to lag the market.
  • Avoidance is simply procrastination. Even though you may only have the opportunity to adjust your health care plan through your employer once per year, researching alternative health plans is too much work and too boring for us to get around to it. Consequently, we stick with a plan that may not be best for us.
  • Loss aversion affected many investors during the stock market crash of 2008. During the crash, many people decided they couldn’t afford to lose more and sold their investments. Of course, this caused the investors to sell at market troughs and miss the quick, dramatic recovery.
  • Overconfident investing happens when we believe we can out-smart other investors via market timing or through quick, frequent trading. Data convincingly shows that people who trade most often under-perform the market by a significant margin over time.
  • Mental accounting takes place when we assign different values to money depending on where we get it from. For instance, even though we may have an aggressive saving goal for the year, it is likely easier for us to save money that we worked for than money that was given to us as a gift.
  • Herd mentality makes it very hard for humans to not take action when everyone around us does. For example, we may hear stories of people making significant profits buying, fixing up, and flipping homes and have the desire to get in on the action, even though we have no experience in real estate.
https://images.routledge.com/common/jackets/crclarge/978149872/9781498725989.jpg

Textbook Order: https://www.routledge.com/Risk-Management-Liability-Insurance-and-Asset-Protection-Strategies-for/Marcinko-Hetico/p/book/9781498725989

Your thoughts are appreciated.

THANK YOU

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DEFINE: “Back-End Ratio” or “Back Ratio”

By Staff Reporters

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Back-End Ratio or Back Ratio

DEFINITION: The sum of your monthly mortgage payment and all other monthly debts (credit cards, car payments, student loans, etc.) divided by your monthly pre-tax income.

Traditionally, lenders wouldn’t give people loans that increased this ratio past 36%, but they often do now.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource/Title/082610254

COMMENTS APPRECIATED

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DAILY UPDATE: Ikea & Fidelity Investments with SPX Bank at New High

MEDICAL EXECUTIVE-POST TODAY’S NEWSLETTER BRIEFING

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Essays, Opinions and Curated News in Health Economics, Investing, Business, Management and Financial Planning for Physician Entrepreneurs and their Savvy Advisors and Consultants

Serving Almost One Million Doctors, Financial Advisors and Medical Management Consultants Daily

A Partner of the Institute of Medical Business Advisors , Inc.

http://www.MedicalBusinessAdvisors.com

SPONSORED BY: Marcinko & Associates, Inc.

***

http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com

Daily Update Provided By Staff Reporters Since 2007.
How May We Serve You?
© Copyright Institute of Medical Business Advisors, Inc. All rights reserved. 2024

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Ikea’s revenue fell for the first time in four years after it lowered prices to spark an increase in orders.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource

Stocks up

Stocks down

  • Stellantis continued to tumble today, falling another 2.22% after the carmaker announced its CEO will step down in early 2026.
  • A.O. Smith probably doesn’t ring a bell, but there’s a good chance they made the water heater in your basement. Unfortunately, they’re not selling too many these days, and shares sank 6.25% after the company cut its full-year outlook.

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The SPX rose 34.98 points (0.61%) to 5,815.03 to end the week up 1.11%; the $DJI added 409.74 points (0.97%) to 42,863.86 to end the week up 1.21%; and the $COMP gained 60.88 points (0.33%) to 18,342.94 to end the week up 1.13%.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) fell two basis points to 4.07% but rose nine basis points this week.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) slipped to 20.41, still up slightly for the week.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/tj8smmes

Fidelity Investments has notified 77,099 people that their personal information was stolen in an August data breach. he mega asset manager has not disclosed what data the digital crooks nabbed, but assured customers that the security snafu “did not involve any access to your Fidelity account(s).” But hey, no worries, the firm claimed no evidence of data misuse.

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Efficient Market Hypothesis – or Perhaps Not?

Contradicting the Hypothesis

[A SPECIAL ME-P REPORT]

[By Timothy J McIntosh MBA CFP® MPH CMP™ [Hon]

[By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™]

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Not everyone believes in the efficient market.  Numerous researchers over the previous decades have found stock market anomalies that indicate a contradiction with the hypothesis.  The search for anomalies is effectively the hunt for market patterns that can be utilized to outperform passive strategies.

white swan

[White Swan of the EMH]

Such stock market anomalies that have been proven to go against the findings of the EMH theory include:

  1. Low Price to Book Effect
  2. January Effect
  3. The Size Effect
  4. Insider Transaction Effect
  5. The Value Line Effect

The Anomalies

All the above anomalies have been proven over time to outperform the market.  For example, the first anomaly listed above is the Low Price to Book Effect.  The first and most discussed study on the performance of low price to book value stocks was by Dr. Eugene Fama and Dr. Kenneth R. French.  The study covered the time period from 1963-1990 and included nearly all the stocks on the NYSE, AMEX and NASDAQ. The stocks were divided into ten subgroups by book/market and were re-ranked annually.

In the study, Fama and French found that the lowest book/market stocks outperformed the highest book/market stocks by a substantial margin (21.4 percent vs. 8 percent).  Remarkably, as they examined each upward decile, performance for that decile was below that of the higher book value decile.  Fama and French also ordered the deciles by beta (measure of systematic risk) and found that the stocks with the lowest book value also had the lowest risk.

What is Value?

Today, most researchers now deem that “value” represents a hazard feature that investors are compensated for over time.  The theory being that value stocks trading at very low price book ratios are inherently risky, thus investors are simply compensated with higher returns in exchange for taking the risk of investing in these value stocks.

The Fama and French research has been confirmed through several additional studies.  In a Forbes Magazine 5/6/96 column titled “Ben Graham was right–again,” author David Dreman published his data from the largest 1500 stocks on Compustat for the 25 years ending 1994. He found that the lowest 20 percent of price/book stocks appreciably outperformed the market.

***

Ex-Cathedra black swan

[Ex-Cathedra or Black Swan Event]

Assessment

One item a medical professional should be aware of is the strong paradox of the efficient market theory.   If each investor believes the stock market were efficient, then all investors would give up analyzing and forecasting.  All investors would then accept passive management and invest in index funds.

But, if this were to happen, the market would no longer be efficient because no one would be scrutinizing the markets.  In actuality, the efficient market hypothesis actually depends on active investors attempting to outperform the market through diligent research

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The Author

Timothy J. McIntosh is Chief Investment Officer and founder of SIPCO.  As chairman of the firm’s investment committee, he oversees all aspects of major client accounts and serves as lead portfolio manager for the firm’s equity and bond portfolios. Mr. McIntosh was a Professor of Finance at Eckerd College from 1998 to 2008. He is the author of The Bear Market Survival Guide and the The Sector Strategist.  He is featured in publications like the Wall Street Journal, New York Times, USA Today, Investment Advisor, Fortune, MD News, Tampa Doctor’s Life, and The St. Petersburg Times.  He has been recognized as a Five Star Wealth Manager in Texas Monthly magazine; and continuously named as Medical Economics’ “Best Financial Advisors for Physicians since 2004.  And, he is a contributor to SeekingAlpha.com., a premier website of investment opinion. Mr. McIntosh earned a Bachelor of Science Degree in Economics from Florida State University; Master of Business Administration (M.B.A) degree from the University of Sarasota; Master of Public Health Degree (M.P.H) from the University of South Florida and is a CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER® practitioner. His previous experience includes employment with Blue Cross/Blue Shield of Florida, Enterprise Leasing Company, and the United States Army Military Intelligence.

Conclusion

So, what about the “January Effect for 2025“?

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ME-P READERS: You Are a 10/10 Today!

By Staff Reporters

Today is the only day of the year we can use the line: “Hey ME-P readers – you’re a 10/10.”

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Markets: Another day, more all-time highs for the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

Whether this two-day rally could extend to three will likely depend on this morning’s consumer price index inflation report for September, which will help shape the path of future Federal Reserve interest rate cuts. While most Big Tech stocks gained, Alphabet sank after the Department of Justice said it was considering asking a judge to break it up as we previously reported on this ME-P.

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UNITEDHEALTHGROUP: Recent Pros and Cons of UNH

By Staff Reporters

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A class action lawsuit has been filed in Minnesota against UnitedHealth Group (NYSE:UNH) over allegations that the health insurer and its subsidiary, NaviHealth, used a faulty algorithm to deny rehabilitation care for Medicare Advantage beneficiaries. California-based Clarkson Law Firm filed the lawsuit in the U.S. District Court of Minnesota on Tuesday following an investigative report published by the health-focused news site Stat.

It alleges that UnitedHealth and its subsidiary, NaviHealth, used the computer algorithm named nH Predict to “systematically deny claims” of patients recovering from debilitating illnesses in nursing homes. According to the lawsuit, despite its 90% error rate, the company used the algorithm to deny claims, knowing that only 0.2% would appeal its decision. According to Stat, Humana (HUM), the nation’s second-largest player in the Medicare Advantage market behind UnitedHealth (UNH), also uses nH Predict. UnitedHealth (UNH) denied it used the NaviHealth predict tool to arrive at coverage decisions.

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Ironically, UnitedHealth’s (NYSE:UNH) Optum Rx unit announced plans to move eight insulin products to “preferred” status on formularies to further expand the number of patients benefiting from $35 or less monthly out-of-pocket costs for the lifesaving therapy.

Optum Rx, UNH’s pharmacy benefit manager (PBM), said that effective January 1, 2024, all short- and rapid-acting insulins will move to Tier 1 in commercial formularies, a list of drugs the company maintains to indicate coverage for insured patients.

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DAILY UPDATE: Wegovy, Home Health Medicare, Federal Budget Deficit and Organ Transplants as Stock Markets Set New Highs

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Kamala Harris announced a plan to broaden Medicare to cover home healthcare for the first time in an effort to help the “sandwich generation” of Americans who are taking care of both their children and their parents.

WeightWatchers said it will offer cheaper copycat versions of Novo Nordisk’s weight loss drug, Wegovy.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource

Stocks up

  • Reddit gained 0.31% thanks to Jefferies analysts, who debuted their coverage of the social media stock with a “buy” rating, praising the company’s AI potential.
  • Biogen climbed 1.90% after the FDA gave its treatment for kidney transplant patients a special Breakthrough Therapy Designation.
  • Cruise stocks sailed higher today, in spite of the oncoming hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico. Norwegian Cruise Line, Carnival, and Royal Caribbean popped 10.91%, 7.05%, and 5.26%, respectively, on upgrades from Citi analysts.
  • Astera Labs jumped 15.60% after it debuted a new family of data center switches built specifically for AI.
  • Helen of Troy soared 17.88% thanks to a stronger-than-expected earnings report from the struggling consumer goods manufacturer.
  • Arcadium Lithium continued to rocket higher today after mining behemoth Rio Tinto announced it’s buying the lithium miner for $5.85 per share. Arcadium shares rose 30.90%.

Stocks down

  • Boeing just can’t catch a break: Talks with striking machinists broke down and the airplane manufacturer withdrew its recent contract offer. Shares sank 3.41% on the news.
  • US-traded shares of German life sciences company Bayer dropped 6.96% after a US court decided it will hear arguments that products from Bayer brand Monsanto allegedly harmed people.
  • Trump Media & Technology Group finally settled down after a wild rally following a wild rally in Pennsylvania featuring Elon Musk, falling 5.64% today.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) rose 40.91 points (0.71%) to 5,792.04, a new record-high close; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) added 431.63 points (1.03%) to 42,512.00, also a new closing high; and the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) increased 108.70 points (0.60%) to 18,291.62.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) climbed three basis points to 4.06%, the highest since late July.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) eased to 20.8.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/tj8smmes

In 2023, about 36% of Hispanic or Latino candidates waiting for a transplant received one, compared to 58% of non-Hispanic white candidates, according to the US Department of Health and Human Services Office of Minority Health.

Stat: $1.8 trillion. That eye-watering number is the federal budget deficit as of September 30th, according to the Congressional Budget Office. Higher interest rates, and increases in Social Security and Medicare, are driving the budget gap. (the Wall Street Journal)

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DAILY UPDATE: Pfizer Down While Stock Markets Ignite

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Activist investor takes $1 billion stake in Pfizer. The firm Starboard Value has amassed a stake in the pharma giant, which has struggled after reaching new heights during the pandemic, in hopes of turning the company around.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource

What’s up

  • If you can’t beat ‘em, join ‘em: WW International, aka WeightWatchers, soared 46.95% after the company announced it will begin offering GLP-1 weight-loss drugs.
  • Nvidia rose 4.05% after the Foxconn CEO told CNBC that AI demand is still incredibly strong.
  • Trump Technology & Media Group soared 18.54% after Tesla CEO Elon Musk appeared alongside the former president at a rally in Pennsylvania over the weekend.
  • Palantir popped 6.58% after the CTO of the data analytics firm appeared on CNBC and told everyone that his company is making mad money.
  • Welcome to the club: S&P Global announced that DocuSign is replacing MDU Resources Group in the S&P MidCap 400 index, while MDU is moving to the S&P SmallCap 600 index. Docusign rose 6.55% on the news, while MDU gained 2.44%.
  • Humana finally caught a break when a Bernstein analyst upgraded the stock today, writing that the health insurer has been hurt enough. Shares rose 2.92%.

What’s down

  • What goes up must come down: Chinese stocks, which have enjoyed an impressive rally recently, came tumbling back to Earth today after the country’s state planner didn’t announce any new stimulus measures. Bilibili fell 12.93%, JD.com lost 7.52%, Alibaba sold off 6.67%, and Nio dropped 8.10%.
  • Today’s oil selloff pummeled energy stocks: Valero Energy lost 5.31%, while Marathon Petroleum stumbled 7.66%.
  • Sphere Entertainment dropped 2.84% on the news that its CFO is leaving the company.
  • Super Micro Computer gave back 5.01% after its rally yesterday as investors pocketed their profits.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The SPX rose 55.19 points (0.97%) to 5,751.15; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) added 126.13 points (0.30%) to 42,080.37; and the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) gained 259.01 points (1.45%) to 18,182.92.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) rose one basis point to 4.03%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) sank to 21.24, still above its long-term average.

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Stocks, Oil, Gold and Bitcoin

By Staff Reporters

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  • October continues to be a tough month for stocks, with all three major indexes spending yesterday afternoon in the red. The Dow in particular had a horrible day and dropped over 500 points, while major tech stocks were pushed lower by a series of analyst downgrades.
  • Oil continued its hot streak yesterday, rising above $77 on the back of geopolitical conflict in the Middle East. That helped ensure that, while everything else fell, energy was the only positive sector in the S&P 500.
  • Gold has often found itself rising in tandem with crude, though it broke that habit, with the shiny safe haven dropping a hair as investors digest the idea that the Fed’s next interest rate cut may be smaller than they thought.
  • Bitcoin broke above $64,000 for a moment yesterday only to be yanked back down, as crypto traders ride out the recent volatility.

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DAILY UPDATE: Obesity, Three Mile Island and Medical Records as Stocks Crash

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In a public health milestone, the US adult obesity rate stopped its long climb and dropped by roughly two percentage points between 2020 and 2023, according to new data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey.

In 2024, about 62% of clinicians reported that “excessive documentation requirements” is a leading cause of burnout, according to Athenahealth, a health tech and electronic health record (EHR) company. The American Medical Association reported in January that primary care physicians, for example, can spend up to 45.7 minutes on medical record documentation for every 30-minute appointment.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource

What’s up

  • Scholar Rock shares quadrupled (yes, you read that right) 361.99% after its spinal muscular atrophy drug apitegromab provided a dramatic improvement for patients in a late-stage clinical trial.
  • Super Micro Computer surged 15.79% after the semiconductor company announced it shipped over 100,000 GPUs last quarter, highlighting strong data center demand.
  • Generac Holdings makes generators, so it’s no wonder that the stock popped 8.54% thanks to huge demand for back-up power from areas hit by Hurricane Helene and places preparing to deal with Hurricane Milton.
  • Arcadium Lithium skyrocketed 35.39% after it announced that Rio Tinto has approached the lithium miner about an acquisition.
  • Air Products and Chemicals rose 9.53% after CNBC reported that activist investor Mantle Ridge has taken a $1 billion stake in the industrial gas supplier. Activist investors are clearly getting more active these days.

What’s down

  • Netflix sank 2.47% thanks to a downgrade from Barclays analysts worried that the streaming service’s revenues will slow in the coming months. That outweighed an upgrade from Piper Sandler analysts, who think the streamer’s high valuation is warranted.
  • In another big tech downgrade, Wells Fargo analysts downgraded Amazon due to multiple headwinds like competition from Walmart and lower advertising revenue. Shares sank 3.06%.
  • Back-to-back hurricanes hitting the South are pummeling insurance stocks like Universal Insurance (down 19.60%), Allstate (down 4.90%) Travelers Companies (down 4.34%) and Chubb (down 4.61%).
  • Garmin tumbled 4.06% on a downgrade from Morgan Stanley analysts, who think the device-maker’s revenue will decline and margins will shrink in the coming quarters.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) fell 55.13 points (–0.96%) to 5,695.94;the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) dropped 398.51 points (–0.94%) to 41,954.24; and the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) lost 213.94 points (–1.18%) to 17,923.90.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) rose five basis points to 4.03%, near two-month highs.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) climbed to 22.77, the highest in a month.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/tj8smmes

Stat: $1.6 billion. That’s the size of the federal loan guarantee that the operators of Three Mile Island are seeking from the Energy Department. Constellation Energy plans to restart the infamous plant to sell electricity to Microsoft data centers (Washington Post)

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USA HIRING: Up Full Force

By Staff Reporters
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Markets: Stocks soared last week despite concerns about geopolitics after new government data showed companies were hiring in full force last month.

Some other highlights:

  • The unemployment rate fell 0.1 percentage point to 4.1%.
  • The underemployment rate (for people working part-time but who want to be working more and so-called “discouraged workers”) also dropped for the first time in about a year.
  • The biggest employment gains last month came from sectors like hospitality and construction, and hourly pay inched up about 0.4%, which if you zoom out, means wages are up 4% compared to a year ago.

Plus, August’s revised jobs report showed the US actually created 159,000 jobs, up from 142,000 initially reported last month.

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But, one stock that didn’t take flight was Spirit Airlines, which sank to a record low.

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DAILY UPDATE: FluMist, Neural Data and the Jobs Report

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The FDA just approved FluMist from AstraZeneca for self- or caregiver administration for the prevention of influenza virus subtypes A and B.

Plus, August’s revised jobs report showed the US actually created 159,000 jobs, up from 142,000 initially reported last month.

People in CA will have explicit rights to their own “neural data”—covering anything a person thinks or physically/emotionally feels—which is designed to prevent companies from gathering and selling that type of personal info

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TELECOMMUNICATIONS: The Infinite Game

By Vitaliy Katsenelson, CFA

***

CABLE COMPANIES
CHTR, just like Comcast, showed only a very slight decline in broadband customers in the last quarter. Most of the decline came from the US government removing subsidies for rural customers. Overall, the business is doing very well.

I want to remind you that broadband is not a secularly challenged business, but an advantaged business that we believe will resume growth soon. 

Cable companies continue to offer a great product on the market, which is actually improving in quality as I type this because they are upgrading their networks to be as fast as fiber. They should be done with their full network upgrade in a year or so.

Also, cable companies have shown that they are very good at attracting wireless customers from wireless carriers. (They have grown their wireless business by 25% in 2024). The more we analyzed this industry. the more bearish we became on AT&T and Verizon.

Though owning cable stocks has not been rewarding (I’m being very gentle to myself), the more research we’ve done into the industry, the more convinced we’ve become that once the dust settles, their market share will not decrease but likely increase. Fixed wireless has taken all the share it will take and will start donating share to cable companies as customers get frustrated with intermittency of the service and usage caps. 

The industry is moving towards the bundle – one bill for broadband and wireless (and maybe TV service, though that has been marginalized by streamers). It’s a lot easier for cable companies to add wireless customers than for wireless companies to add wired broadband customers. 

This point is paramount! 

It costs very little for a cable company to add a wireless subscriber, as 80-90% of a subscriber’s data is traveling on Wi-Fi (i.e., the cable network is already there). 

Meanwhile, the cost of building out broadband is pushing into uneconomical territory, for several reasons. First of all, all the low-hanging fruit has already been picked. It costs, let’s say, $50-100 thousand dollars to lay a mile of fiber, whether that covers one or a thousand homes. High-density areas already have cable or fiber service. With the latest upgrades the cable industry is doing, both their upload and download speeds are on par with fiber. Second, labor costs have gone up significantly over the last few years.

Verizon just announced buying Frontier Communications for $20 billion. Frontier has 2.2 million fiber subscribers. With this purchase, Verizon is paying $9,000 per fiber subscriber.

Let’s examine the economics of this transaction:

Frontier gets about $800 a year of revenues from these broadband customers (on a par with Charter and Comcast). Let’s say they achieve a 23% margin (Frontier is barely a profitable business, so I’m using Charter’s margins). Thus, each customer will generate $184 of profit for them. So Verizon is paying $9,000 for $184 of profit, and it will take Verizon 49 years to break even on this transaction. 

As you can see, these economics make no sense. Verizon and AT&T are horrible at capital allocation, and this deal is a sign of supreme desperation. The market has been slow to see what we see in Charter and Comcast, and this is always our goal – we want the market to agree with us, later. 

Our very conservative estimate of Charter’s 2028 free cash flow per share is $48-60. In this estimate we are assuming no customer growth in broadband and 2% price increases a year. At 13-15 times free cash flows, we get a price of around $630-900 in 2028. Charter is trading at about $320 as I write this. 

We really like Charter’s management. We heard an anecdote about Charter CEO Chris Winfrey that warmed our soul. A week after he became CEO, Charter announced a huge, multibillion-dollar upgrade for its broadband network. This news sent the stock down 15%. (I wrote about it; we thought it was a great idea.) Anyway, someone met Chris at a party and told him, “That’s the right move, but very gutsy.” Chris said, “We build the company for our grandchildren.” This is what we want to see from our CEOs. They’re willing to sacrifice short-term profitability to improve the business’s moat.

Often, the idea of “creating shareholder value” is misunderstood. Paying employees poorly, abusing suppliers, and trying to rip off your customers is not going to create long-term (key term) shareholder value. It may bring short-term profits and boost the stock price, but it shortens the company’s growth runway and erodes its moat.

I don’t want to get off topic, but I’ve been thinking a lot about this. We’ve spent a lot of time studying the aircraft industry; our focus was Airbus, and thus we spent a lot of time looking at Boeing.

Boeing, under previous management, focused on “shareholder value creation.” It cut costs, laid off a lot of workers, including many quality control folks. Its “shareholder value creation” didn’t stop there; it willingly lied to regulators and took shortcuts in safety. Specifically, Boeing made critical design changes to its 737 MAX aircraft without fully informing regulators or pilots, and pushed for reduced pilot training requirements to save costs. These decisions directly contributed to two fatal crashes in 2018 and 2019, resulting in 346 deaths and the worldwide grounding of the 737 MAX for nearly two years.

Did its management actions maximize shareholder value? Well, it depends on the time frame. It boosted short-term earnings and drove the stock price higher. It may have made its CEO rich beyond belief.

But.

Over a longer time frame, these decisions have destroyed shareholder value. People used to say, “If it’s not Boeing, I’m not going.” Today, I become slightly more religious when I board a Boeing plane. The company has incurred over $20 billion in direct costs related to the 737 MAX crisis, including compensation to airlines and families of crash victims, and increased production costs. 

This doesn’t account for the incalculable damage to Boeing’s reputation and loss of market share. It gave Airbus an opening to produce more planes and take market share, with Airbus surpassing Boeing in deliveries and orders in recent years, particularly in the crucial narrow-body market.

We want to own companies that aim to maximize long-term shareholder value by treating all their stakeholders fairly. We want our companies to play the infinite game. What does “fairly” mean in this context? I’ll borrow from US Supreme Court Justice Potter Stewart, who famously dodged defining pornography by saying, “I know it when I see it.”

Update: After I wrote the above, Charter proposed to buy Liberty through a merger. We don’t own Charter directly, but rather through Liberty Broadband, which holds a 25% stake in Charter. Liberty was trading at a significant discount (around 30%) to the value of its Charter shares. Liberty agreed, but at a higher price. Our estimate of Liberty’s net asset value is about $88. The shares are trading at $75 as of this writing (up from $60). If the deal goes through we’ll end up owning shares of Charter at a significant discount.

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DAILY UPDATE: PayPal, IRS, Flood Insurance and the US Hiring Pace as Stocks Roar Ahead

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PayPal completed its first transaction using its proprietary stablecoin to pay an invoice to Ernst & Young. It’s a milestone for the payments company’s advance into cryptocurrency.

The free IRS tax filing software, which was piloted in 12 states for the 2024 tax season, will be available in 24 states for 2025.

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Stocks Up

  • Your loss is our gain: Shares of airline stocks popped on the news of Spirit’s problems. Delta Air Lines ascended 3.84%, United Airlines climbed 6.47%, and Frontier Group Holdings soared 16.43%.
  • Albemarle popped 8.25% on the rumor that mining behemoth Rio Tinto may try to make an acquisition of the lithium miner. Other potential takeover targets rose as well, including Arcadium (up 10%) and SQM (up 3%).
  • Abercrombie & Fitch rose 9.10% thanks to an upgrade from JP Morgan analysts, who are bullish about the fashion retailer’s recent momentum.
  • Ubisoft Entertainment skyrocketed 29.87% on the news that the video game maker’s parent company and founders are considering a buyout.

Stocks down

  • Rivian Automotive tumbled 3.15% after the EV startup cut its 2024 production forecast and missed on Q3 deliveries.
  • Homebuilder stocks sank on today’s strong jobs report, which propelled treasury yields higher, which means that mortgage rates aren’t getting any lower. D.R. Horton dropped 2.91%, Lennar fell 2.52%, and Toll Brothers lost 2.57%.
  • Transportation stocks fell thanks to an agreement between port owners and longshoremen to put the recent strike on pause. Moller-Maersk lost 5.37%, while Zim Integrated Shipping Services stumbled 12.55%.

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Here’s where the major stock benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) climbed 51.13 points (0.9%) to 5,751.07 up 0.22% for the week;the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) added 341.16 points (0.81%) to 42,352.75, up 0.09% for the week; and the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) rose 219.37 points (1.22%) to 18,137.85, up 0.1% for the week. 
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) soared 13 basis points to 3.98%, finishing the week up 23 basis points. The 2-year yield rose 37 basis points this week.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX)fell to 18.58 but remains elevated from last month’s lows, likely on geopolitical concerns.

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Only 2% of the homes hit by Hurricane Helene in Georgia, North Carolina, and South Carolina had a policy protecting them against catastrophic flooding, according to an analysis by Politico and E&E News.

The US Hiring Pace picked up strongly in September and the unemployment rate ticked down to 4.1%, signs the U.S. economy had continued momentum in a month the Federal Reserve delivered its first interest-rate cut in four years. U.S. employers added 254,000 jobs last month, the Labor Department said Friday.

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J CURVE: The Economics Paradox

IN PRIVATE EQUITY AND MEDICINE

By Staff Reporters

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PRIVATE EQUITY

In private equity, the J curve is used to illustrate the historical tendency of private equity funds to deliver negative returns in early years and investment gains in the outlying years as the portfolios of companies mature.

And, according to Wikipedia, in the early years of the fund, a number of factors contribute to negative returns including management fees, investment costs and under-performing investments that are identified early and written down. Over time the fund will begin to experience unrealized gains followed eventually by events in which gains are realized (e.g., IPOs, mergers and acquisitions, leveraged recapitalizations).

Historically, the J curve effect has been more pronounced in the US, where private equity firms tend to carry their investments at the lower of market value or investment cost and have been more aggressive in writing down investments than in writing up investments. As a result, the carrying value of any investment that is under performing will be written down but the carrying value of investments that are performing well tend to be recognized only when there is some kind of event that forces the PE to mark up the investment.

The steeper the positive part of the J curve, the quicker cash is returned to investors. A private equity firm that can make quick returns to investors provides investors with the opportunity to reinvest that cash elsewhere. Of course, with a tightening of credit markets, private equity firms have found it harder to sell businesses they previously invested in. Proceeds to investors have reduced. J curves have flattened dramatically. This leaves investors with less cash flow to invest elsewhere, such as in other private equity firms. The implications for private equity could well be severe. Being unable to sell businesses to generate proceeds and fees means some in the industry have predicted consolidation among private equity firms.

MEDICINE

In medicine, the “J curve” refers to a graph in which the x-axis measures either of two treatable symptoms (blood pressure or blood cholesterol level) while the y-axis measures the chance that a patient will develop cardiovascular disease (CVD). It is well known that high blood pressure or high cholesterol levels increase a patient’s risk.

Paradoxically, what is less well known is that plots of large populations against CVD mortality often take the shape of a J curve which indicates that patients with very low blood pressure and/or low cholesterol levels are also at increased risk.

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PODCAST: The Economic “KUZNETS” Curve

The “KUZNETS” Curve

Courtesy: www.CertifiedMedicalPlanner.org

In economics, a Kuznets curve (/ˈkʌznɛts/) graphs the hypothesis that as an economy develops, market forces first increase and then decrease economic inequality.

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The hypothesis was first advanced by economist Simon Kuznets in the 1950s and 1960s.

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DAILY UPDATE: Costco Gold, US Dock Workers & OpenAI Funding as Stocks Close Lower

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Costco, which found success selling gold bars, will now sell platinum ones, too.

US dock workers agreed to return to work after port operators sweetened their contract offer, ending a three-day strike that threatened to disrupt the American economy. The breakthrough Thursday came after port employers offered a 62% increase in wages over six years, according to people familiar with the matter.

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Stocks up

  • Nvidia gained 3.32% after CEO Jensen Huang said in an interview that demand for the company’s new Blackwell chips is “insane.”
  • EVgo soared 60.81% after the EV charging company received both a $1.05 billion loan from the Department of Energy and an upgrade from JP Morgan analysts.
  • Utility stocks soared in the third quarter thanks to higher electricity demand for AI, and it isn’t stopping anytime soon. Both Vistra Corp. and Constellation Energy surged 5.62% and 4.52%, respectively, on comments from Google CEO Sundar Pichai that the tech titan may utilize nuclear energy in the coming years.

Stocks down

  • Levi Strauss sank 7.69% after releasing subpar earnings, cutting its full-year sales forecast , and announcing it may sell its Dockers brand.
  • Tesla fell 3.35% after announcing a recall of over 27,000 Cybertrucks due to issues with their rearview camera.
  • Hims & Hers Health dropped 9.60% on the announcement that Eli Lilly’s weight-loss drugs are no longer on the FDA’s shortage list.
  • Joby Aviation tumbled 8.63%, giving up a portion of yesterday’s gains after the aviation startup received $500 million in additional funding from Toyota.
  • Stellantis, makers of Jeep, Dodge, and Chrysler vehicles, sank 4.11% to a new 52-week low today as a combination of terrible sales forecasts and a downgrade from Barclays analysts kicked the automaker while it’s already down.
  • Constellation Brands had strong beer sales but terrible wine and spirits sales last quarter, leading to a mixed earnings report that has shareholders worried about what the future holds. Shares sank 4.70%.

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Here’s where the major stock benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX)fell 10 points (–0.17%) to 5,699.96; the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DJI) dropped 185 points (–0.44%) to 42,011.59; the  NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) shed 7 points (–0.04%) to 17,918.48.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) added 7 basis points to 3.85%. 
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) rose 1.7 points to 20.59.

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Microsoft, NVIDIA, and Apple were rumored to be among the investors to participate in OpenAI’s latest funding round, pushing its market cap well beyond $150 billion. However, Apple dropped out of the exercise at the eleventh hour for unclear reasons as OpenAI was about to close the funding round.

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ECONOMICS: Price Gouging VS. Supply & Demand

NEBULOUS DEFINITIONS

By Staff Reporters

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The simplest model of a market involves two things, supply and demand, and the price and quantity of the goods sold in the market are a function of both. When a natural disaster hits like Hurricane Helene, the immediate effect can be two-fold. In such situations, it is not unusual that the demand for certain products may increase. For example, if everyone is trying to leave the area, demand for gas may rise. The other effect is that supply for certain products may decrease. And, it may be more costly to transport gas in areas affected by a natural disaster, thus decreasing the supply of gas and in turn, increasing the price.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource

When supply decreases, the price of the good increases. And when demand increases, again the price of the good increases. So we would predict that the market price of gas, for example, would increase in areas recently affected by a hurricane. And in fact we do see this.

Price-gouging occurs when companies raise prices to unfair levels. There is no rule for what qualifies as price-gouging, but it is not an uncommon occurrence. For example in medicine, EpiPen costs is a current example of price increases that have been labeled unfair. 

Note: An epinephrine auto-injector (or adrenaline auto-injector, also known by the trade mark EpiPen) is a medical device for injecting a measured dose or doses of epinephrine (adrenaline) by means of auto-injector technology. It is most often used for the treatment of anaphylaxis. The first epinephrine auto-injector was brought to market in 1983.

Cite: https://tinyurl.com/55kmum86


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About the Laffer Curve

What it is – How it works
By staff reporters

DEFINITION:

In economics, the Laffer curve is a representation of the relationship between rates of taxation and the resulting levels of government revenue.

The Laffer curve claims to illustrate the concept of taxable income elasticity—i.e., taxable income will change in response to changes in the rate of taxation.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource/Title/082610254

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HISTORY:

The Laffer Curve is a theory developed by supply-side economist Arthur Laffer to show the relationship between tax rates and the amount of tax revenue collected by governments.

The curve is used to illustrate Laffer’s main premise that the more an activity such as production is taxed, the less of it is generated. Likewise, the less an activity is taxed, the more of it is generated.

MORE: https://www.investopedia.com/terms/l/laffercurve.asp

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DAILY UPDATE: MSFT, J&J and CVS as Stock Markets Lag

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Rosh Hashanah, the Jewish New Year, begins tonight and ends on Friday. Shana Tova to those celebrating.

Microsoft overhauled its Copilot AI assistant, adding voice and vision capabilities to make it more personalized.


A new report from Deloitte reveals improving health equity could increase the country’s GDP by $2.8 trillion by 2040 and increase U.S.-based corporate profits by $763 billion.


And … Johnson & Johnson’s is not moving forward with implementation of its proposed rebate model after HRSA push-back.  

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What’s up stocks

  • Caesars Entertainment popped 5.27% after it announced it will buy back $500 million in common shares while also offering $1 billion in senior notes to raise money.
  • Joby Aviation surged 27.92% on the news that Toyota will invest another $500 million in the aviation startup as it attempts to build a flying electric taxi.
  • Lamb Weston Holdings rose 2.62% thanks to a strong earnings report and a comprehensive restructuring plan for the french fry titan.
  • Novavax soared 19.16% following a glowing report from Jefferies analysts citing the pharma company’s strong vaccine sales.

What’s down stocks

  • Tesla sank 3.49% after revealing that auto deliveries for the third quarter came in lower than analysts expected.
  • Ford fell 2.51% for pretty much the same reason, reporting disappointing sales growth in the third quarter.
  • It’s never a good thing when a company pulls its guidance, and that was certainly true for Nike today. Shares dropped 6.77% after the company postponed its investor day and reported a 10% year over year decline in sales.
  • Nike’s report was so bad that shares of Foot Locker and Dick’s Sporting Goods fell 2.97% and 0.23%, respectively.
  • Humana plummeted 11.79% on the news that membership in its 4 star-rated Medicare Advantage plans plunged 94%.
  • Conagra Brands dropped 8.07% after the packaged food giant missed on both sales and earnings estimates last quarter.

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX)was little changed at 5,709.54; the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DJI) rose 39.55 points (0.09%) to 42,196.52; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) gained 14.76 points (0.08%) to 17,925.12.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) added 5 basis points to 3.78%. 
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) edged 0.4 points lower to 18.86.

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CVS is laying off nearly 3,000. The healthcare giant is conducting a strategic review as its stock has fallen more than 20% this year, the Wall Street Journal reported

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California Passes Bill Regulating Private Equity Deals

By Health Capital Consultants, LLC

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On August 31, 2024, the California legislature passed a bill that may curb private equity (PE) healthcare transactions in the state. The legislation is now on Governor Gavin Newsom’s desk for signature, who must sign or veto the bill by September 30, 2024. If signed into law, California will have the strictest regulation of PE deals of any state in the country.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource

This Health Capital Topics article discusses the new law and reviews the status of both state and federal regulation of PE. (Read more...)

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DAILY UPDATE: Health Plan Costs Up and Stock Markets Upbeat

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Despite inflation cooling down, employer health plan costs are heating up, according to a September analysis from consulting firm consulting firm Mercer.

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STOCKS UP

STOCKS DOWN

Stellantis, the European company behind Chrysler, Dodge, and Jeep sank 12.49% after it warned that sales in the second half of its fiscal year will come in lower than expected. The bad news pulled down shares of competitors Aston Martin (which fell 24.51%), Ford (a 2% drop), and GM (3.53% lower today).

  • Carnival beat top and bottom line estimates last quarter, and posted record revenue for the third quarter. But shares stumbled 0.32% on management’s forecast that earnings in the fourth quarter will disappoint. Rival cruise companies all dropped in sympathy: Royal Caribbean fell 0.10%, while Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings tumbled 2.10%.
  • Crypto stocks took a beating today after bitcoin’s latest rally fizzled out. Coinbase fell 6.83%, while MicroStrategy lost 4.32%.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

Here’s where the major stock market benchmarks ended:

  • The SPX gained 24.26 points (0.42%) to 5,762.48; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) rose 17.15 points (0.04%) to 42,330.15; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) added 69.58 points (0.38%) to 18,189.17.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) climbed five basis points to 3.8%, near the high of its recent range.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) eased to 16.66 after climbing above 17 earlier today but remains up from a week ago.

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DAILY UPDATE: The Stock Markets and Meta

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  • Markets: It’s been a September to remember for the stock market after the S&P 500 and Dow Jones hit fresh highs last week. Thursday was the 42nd record-high close for the S&P 500 this year, and on Friday, the Dow notched its 32nd record-high close, per CNN Business. Recent data indicates that all the ingredients are coming together for a “soft landing”: The economy is staying strong while inflation has continued to fall. And more rate cuts are on their way.

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Stock spotlight: Meta’s rally this year has been fruitful for its CEO’s bank account. The net worth of Mark Zuckerberg, who owns a 13% stake in his company, climbed above $200 billion for the first time, per Bloomberg. He’s now the fourth-richest person in the world.

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DAILY UPDATE: Markets & Economy USA

By Staff Reporters

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  • Markets: Wall Street life was looking good last week as all the major indexes clinched their third consecutive winning week. Stocks were a mixed bag for Friday, but the Dow Jones scored another record close. Bristol Myers Squibb rose after the FDA approved its schizophrenia drug as the first new treatment for the condition in decades.
  • Economy: The FOMC’s favorite inflation gauge came in lower than expected for last month, likely clearing the way for Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve to keep cutting interest rates.

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ADVICE: Financial, Investment or Medical Practice Management Second Fiduciary Opinions

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MARCINKO & ASSOCIATES, Inc.

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FINANCIAL PLANNING

CAREER DEVELOPMENT

MEDICAL PRACTICE BUY IN / OUT

INVESTMENT ANALYSIS

PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT

MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS

PRACTICE APPRAISALS AND VALUATIONS

RETIREMENT PLANNING

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On DISPOSABLE and Other “Next-Gen” Credit Cards

Touring with Marcinko | The Leading Business Education ...

BY DR. DAVID EDWARD MARCINKO MBA CMP®

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‘Chip & Pin’ Technology

Disposable credit cards are the newest innovation to help reduce fraud and assumed identity scams on e-commerce based websites. As with traditional credit cards, these cards are numbered, but used only once. Then, electronically they are erased so that there is nothing left in the merchant’s database for hackers to steal.

But, in 2014, Congress began looking at new ways to keep personal credit card information safe after several high-profile security breaches at some of America’s top retailers.

WHY? Current credit cards use easy to hack magnetic strip technology from the 1960s. Many consumers want more secure “pin & chip” cards which have been in use in Europe for years. Even though micro-chip technology costs billions to implement, merchants are moving in that direction as they issue new cards to consumers. Most modern polls show nearly half of all people surveyed are extremely concerned about the safety of their personal credit card information.

Burner Cards: Similar to a burner phone or “throwaway” social media account, burner credit cards are temporary, virtual credit cards that are not your “main” credit card. The bank or burner card app will give you a temporary number that links back to your main credit card which you can use for online purchases.

An ANonymous Credit Card provides an extreme degree of privacy and prevents the tracking of your expenses by a spouse, people with bad intentions or government monitoring agencies. It is important to realize that there are plenty of legitimate reasons for wanting to buy something discreetly through an Anonymous Credit Card.

Credit Card Mistakes to Avoid

No number has as far-reaching an impact on your money as your credit scores.

Here are some obstacles, physicians and all of us, should dodge on the road to financial security:

  • Don’t pay for a credit card repair service.
  • Don’t miss a payment.
  • Don’t max out your card.
  • Don’t take a cash-advance.
  • Don’t skip using your cards.
  • Don’t chase interest rates.
  • Don’t apply for several credit cards all at once.
  • Don’t co-sign a loan.
  • Don’t spread our car or mortgage payments.

Citation: https://www.r2library.com/Resource/Title/0826102549

Denied Credit

If you are denied a credit card, you have the right to obtain a credit report free from the agency which denied you. Your request must be made in writing and within thirty-sixty days. Consumer credit is governed by the Fair Credit Reporting Act (FCRA).  The regulations are issued by and enforced by the Federal Trade Commission. Certain states offer consumers additional rights.  Credit reporting agencies are referred to as a “consumer reporting agency”.

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DAILY UPDATE: MyChart, Meta, Zelle and Acadia as the DJIA Rises

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Essays, Opinions and Curated News in Health Economics, Investing, Business, Management and Financial Planning for Physician Entrepreneurs and their Savvy Advisors and Consultants

Serving Almost One Million Doctors, Financial Advisors and Medical Management Consultants Daily

A Partner of the Institute of Medical Business Advisors , Inc.

http://www.MedicalBusinessAdvisors.com

SPONSORED BY: Marcinko & Associates, Inc.

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Stat: 150. That’s how many health systems use AI to help draft replies on MyChart, sometimes without disclosing this to patients. (the New York Times)

Contained in a roughly 200-page quarterly filing from JPMorgan Chase last month were eight words that underscore how contentious the bank’s relationship with the government has become. The lender disclosed that the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau could punish JPMorgan for its role in Zelle, the giant peer-to-peer digital payments network. The bank is accused of failing to kick criminal accounts off its platform and failing to compensate some scam victims.

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Stocks Up

Bristol-Myers Squibb rose 1.56% after the FDA approved its new drug for schizophrenia, the first new treatment of its kind in decades. Some analysts expect the drug, Cobenfy, to bring in $6 billion in peak annual revenue.

  • Trump Media gained 5.58% despite a co-founder of its Truth Social platform cashing out nearly all of his shares—worth about $100 million at current prices.
  • Chinese EV maker Nio added another 12.80% to bring its weekly gains to nearly 25%. It’s benefiting from the overall euphoria around Chinese stocks and anticipation over its quarterly delivery numbers due next week.
  • Speaking of the Chinese government’s stimulus measures, investors are wagering that the Macau locations of Las Vegas Sands Corp. (up 5.59%) and Wynn Resorts (up 7.24%) will see more visitors.
  • IonQ, a quantum computing company based in College Park, MD (go Terps), shot up 20.47% after inking a contract with the US Air Force Research Lab.

Stocks down

  • Nvidia dropped 2.17%. Bloomberg reported that the Chinese government is ramping up the pressure on local tech companies to move away from using Nvidia AI chips and lean more on domestic suppliers.
  • WeightWatchers, whose shares are down more than 90% this year, booted its CEO Sima Sistani, who pivoted the company to weight-loss drugs. Investors aren’t betting a change at the top will lead to a turnaround, sending shares 2.11% lower on the day.
  • Globe Life sank 4.74% after the US Equal Employment Opportunity Commission found that the life insurance company tolerated a “pervasive pattern of harassing conduct” at one of its top sales agencies, per Business Insider.

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) lost 7.20 points (–0.13%) to 5,738.17 to end the week up 0.62%; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) added 137.89 points (0.33%) to 42,313.00 to end the week up 0.59%; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) fell 70.70 points (–0.39%) to 18,119.59 to end the week up 0.95%.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) fell four basis points to 3.75%, up two basis points for the week.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) jumped to 16.64.

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Meta is facing a fine of $102 million for storing some users’ passwords in “plaintext”. The social media giant has admitted to poor password management.

Acadia and the Department of Justice just reached a ~$20M agreement to settle accusations that the company billed Medicare, Medicaid, and TRICARE for medically unnecessary inpatient mental health services. Acadia found itself under pressure after a New York Times investigation published earlier in September allegedly found that the company kept patients in facilities against their will to maximize insurance payments.

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DAILY UPDATE: State Farm & Berkshire Hathaway as ESG Retreats and Markets Rise

MEDICAL EXECUTIVE-POST TODAY’S NEWSLETTER BRIEFING

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Essays, Opinions and Curated News in Health Economics, Investing, Business, Management and Financial Planning for Physician Entrepreneurs and their Savvy Advisors and Consultants

Serving Almost One Million Doctors, Financial Advisors and Medical Management Consultants Daily

A Partner of the Institute of Medical Business Advisors , Inc.

http://www.MedicalBusinessAdvisors.com

SPONSORED BY: Marcinko & Associates, Inc.

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Daily Update Provided By Staff Reporters Since 2007.
How May We Serve You?
© Copyright Institute of Medical Business Advisors, Inc. All rights reserved. 2024

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Stat: Over 90%. That’s the percentage of the insurance industry’s uptick in fossil fuel securities investment coming from just two firms, State Farm and Berkshire Hathaway. (The Wall Street Journal)

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Stocks up

  • Southwest Airlines ascended 5.42% after the company laid out its growth plans in an attempt to fend off an activist investor attack.
  • Starbucks climbed 1.93% thanks to an upgrade from Bernstein analysts who foresee a “grande comeback” for the coffee chain.
  • CarMax revved 5% higher after posting strong second-quarter earnings, beating both top and bottom line forecasts.
  • Jabil jumped 11.65% after the electronics parts manufacturer announced impressive earnings and revealed plans to cut costs.
  • Bilibili, which sounds like you’re trying to get your friend William’s attention, popped 15.44% after Goldman Sachs analysts upgraded the Chinese internet company.

Stocks down

  • Super Micro Computer plunged 12.17% on the news that the Department of Justice is launching a probe into the tech company, a few weeks after note short seller Hindenburg Research published a report alleging “accounting manipulation.”
  • Sonos, makers of your favorite subwoofer, sank 4.45% after a rare “double downgrade” by Morgan Stanley analysts, who demoted the stock from a positive “overweight” all the way to a negative “underweight.”
  • Oil stocks took a big hit today after Saudi Arabia announced it will increase its oil production next month. Diamondback Energy fell 6.46%, Shell dropped 3.91%, and ConocoPhillips lost 3.23%.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) rose 23.11 points (0.40%) to 5,745.37; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) added 260.36 points (0.62%) to 42,175.11; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) increased 108.08 points (0.60%) to 18,190.29.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) climbed one basis point to 3.79%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) was steady at 15.57.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/tj8smmes

A retreat from ESG is due to backlash from conservatives who are critical of the idea that fund managers should be considering any other factor but a company’s shareholders in their investment decisions. Accusations of “greenwashing” have also plagued many ESG funds, which is when an asset management firm charges higher fees for a specific thematic fund without actually delivering a unique investment strategy.

Visualize: How private equity tangled banks in a web of debt, from the Financial Times.

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Dr. Richard H. Thaler and Behavioral Economics

A behavioral scientist

By Rick Kahler MS CFP®

Human beings make most of our decisions—including financial ones—emotionally, not logically. Unfortunately, too much of the time, our emotions lead us into financial choices that aren’t good for our financial well-being. This is hardly news to financial planners or financial therapists. Nor is it a surprise to any parent who has ever struggled to teach kids how to manage money wisely.

Economic Model Assumptions

Yet many of the economic models and theories related to investing are based on assumptions that, when it comes to money, people act rationally and in their own best interests. There’s a wide gulf between the way economists assume people behave around money and the way people actually make money choices. This doesn’t encourage financial advisors to rely on what economists say about financial patterns, trends, and what to expect from markets or consumers.

2017 Nobel Prize in Economics

It’s significant, then, that the 2017 Nobel Prize in Economics went to Dr. Richard H. Thaler, professor of behavioral science and economics at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business. Dr. Thaler’s work has focused on the differences between logical economic assumptions and real-world human behavior. His research not only demonstrates that people behave emotionally when it comes to money; it also shows that in many ways our irrational economic behavior is predictable.

This predictability can help advisors and organizations find ways to encourage people to make financial decisions in their own better interest. The book Nudge, by Dr. Thaler and Cass R. Sunstein, describes some of those methods.

Example:

One example is making participation the default option for company retirement programs like 401(k)’s. Employees are free to opt out, of course, but they need to actively choose to do so.

A second example is the “Save More Tomorrow” plan, which offers employees the option of automatically increasing their savings whenever they receive raises in the future.

Both of these examples rely on a predictable behavior—human inertia. Most of us tend to postpone, ignore, or forget to take action even when that action would be good for us. So if a system is set up so not taking action leaves us with the choice that serves us better, we are “nudged” toward helping ourselves toward a healthier financial future.

Integration

As one of the pioneers in integrating the emotional aspect of money behavior into the practice of financial planning, I’ve long since come to understand that managing money is about much more than numbers. The world of investing may seem to be cold and calculating, but it’s actually driven by emotions. I’m familiar with the work of researchers who have demonstrated that some 90% of all financial decisions are made emotionally rather than logically.

I was pleased in 2002 when one of those researchers, psychologist Daniel Kahneman, won the Nobel prize in economics for his studies of human behavioral biases and systematic irrational behaviors. (That research was done jointly with psychologist Amos Tversky, who died in 1996.)

I’m even more pleased to see the economics Nobel prize go to a behavioral researcher for the second time. Maybe the realm of economics is beginning to integrate the untidy realities of human emotions into its theories. Eventually, this might lead to new economic models that take into account the emotions that shape people’s money decisions and the fact that money is one of the most emotionally charged aspects of our lives.

Assessment

Perhaps economists are beginning to appreciate the truth of the statement Dr. Thaler made at a news conference after his prize was announced. “In order to do good economics, you have to keep in mind that people are human.”

Conclusion

Your thoughts and comments on this ME-P are appreciated. Feel free to review our top-left column, and top-right sidebar materials, links, urls and related websites, too. Then, subscribe to the ME-P. It is fast, free and secure.

Speaker: If you need a moderator or speaker for an upcoming event, Dr. David E. Marcinko; MBA – Publisher-in-Chief of the Medical Executive-Post – is available for seminar or speaking engagements.

EDITOR

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MICRO-CERTIFICATIONS: Financial Advisors Seeking Physician-Client Niche Success?

Micro-Credentials on the Rise

KNOWLEDGE RICHES IN NICHES

DR. DAVID EDWARD MARCINKO MBA MEd CMP

SPONSOR: http://www.CertifiedMedicalPlanner.org

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Do you ever wish you could acquire specific information for your career activities without having to complete a university Master’s Degree or finish our entire Certified Medical Planner™ professional designation program? Well, Micro-Certifications from the Institute of Medical Business Advisors, Inc., might be the answer. Read on to learn how our three Micro-Certifications offer new opportunities for professional growth in the medical practice, business management, health economics and financial planning, investing and advisory space for physicians, nurses and healthcare professionals.

Micro-Certification Basics

Stock-Brokers, Financial Advisors, Investment Advisors, Accountants, Consultants, Financial Analyists and Financial Planners need to enhance their knowledge skills to better serve the changing and challenging healthcare professional ecosystem. But, it can be difficult to learn and demonstrate mastery of these new skills to employers, clients, physicians or medical prospects. This makes professional advancement difficult. That’s where Micro-Certification and Micro-Credentialing enters the online educational space. It is the process of earning a Micro-Certification, which is like a mini-degree or mini-credential, in a very specific topical area.

Micro-Certification Requirements

Once you’ve completed all of the requirements for our Micro-Certification, you will be awarded proof that you’ve earned it. This might take the form of a paper or digital certificate, which may be a hard document or electronic image, transcript, file, or other official evidence that you’ve completed the necessary work.

Uses of Micro-Certifications

Micro-Certifications may be used to demonstrate to physicians prospective medical clients that you’ve mastered a certain knowledge set. Because of this, Micro-Certifications are useful for those financial service professionals seeking medical clients, employment or career advancement opportunities.

Examples of iMBA, Inc., Micro-Certifications

Here are the three most popular Micro-Certification course from the Institute of Medical Business Advisors, Inc:

  • 1. Health Insurance and Managed Care: To keep up with the ever-changing field of health care physician advice, you must learn new medical practice business models in order to attract and assist physicians and nurse clients. By bringing together the most up-to-date business and medical prctice models [Medicare, Medicaid, PP-ACA, POSs, EPOs, HMOs, PPOs, IPA’s, PPMCs, Accountable Care Organizations, Concierge Medicine, Value Based Care, Physician Pay-for-Performance Initiatives, Hospitalists, Retail and Whole-Sale Medicine, Health Savings Accounts and Medical Unions, etc], this iMBA Inc., Mini-Certification offers a wealth of essential information that will help you understand the ever-changing practices in the next generation of health insurance and managed medical care.
  • 2. Health Economics and Finance: Medical economics, finance, managerial and cost accounting is an integral component of the health care industrial complex. It is broad-based and covers many other industries: insurance, mathematics and statistics, public and population health, provider recruitment and retention, health policy, forecasting, aging and long-term care, and Venture Capital are all commingled arenas. It is essential knowledge that all financial services professionals seeking to serve in the healthcare advisory niche space should possess.
  • 3. Health Information Technology and Security: There is a myth that all physician focused financial advisors understand Health Information Technology [HIT]. In truth, it is often economically misused or financially misunderstood. Moreover, an emerging national HIT architecture often puts the financial advisor or financial planner in a position of maximum uncertainty and minimum productivity regarding issues like: Electronic Medical Records [EMRs] or Electronic Health Records [EHRs], mobile health, tele-health or tele-medicine, Artificial Intelligence [AI], benefits managers and human resource professionals.

Other Topics include: economics, finance, investing, marketing, advertising, sales, start-ups, business plan creation, financial planning and entrepreneurship, etc.

How to Start Learning and Earning Recognition for Your Knowledge

Now that you’re familiar with Micro-Credentialing, you might consider earning a Micro-Certification with us. We offer 3 official Micro-Certificates by completing a one month online course, with a live instructor consisting of twelve asynchronous lessons/online classes [3/wk X 4/weeks = 12 classes]. The earned official completion certificate can be used to demonstrate mastery of a specific skill set and shared with current or future employers, current clients or medical niche financial advisory prospects.

Mini-Certification Tuition, Books and Related Fees

The tuition for each Mini-Certification live online course is $1,250 with the purchase of one required dictionary handbook. Other additional guides, white-papers, videos, files and e-content are all supplied without charge. Alternative courses may be developed in the future subject to demand and may change without notice.

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Contact: For more information, or to speak with an academic representative, please contact Ann Miller RN MHA CMP™ at: MarcinkoAdvisors@msn.com [24/7].

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PODCAST: Suicide Financial Crisis Risk?

By Rick Kahler MS CFP

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I lost over $450,000, I cannot pay the bank, I’ll become homeless. Suicide is the only way out.”

This desperate plea summarizes one of the top posts a few months ago on a Reddit forum for the cryptocurrency Terra Luna. Like other cryptocurrencies, it has recently lost more than 99% of its value.

Over the past five years I have written several columns and given a number of media interviews on the risks of speculating in cryptocurrencies. My most recent one generated a conversation with several of my financial planning peers about the recent crypto meltdown. One of them called my attention to the discussions about suicide on cryptocurrency forums, where some members were posting suicide prevention phone numbers.

READ HERE: https://kahlerfinancial.com/financial-awakenings/money-psychology/financial-crisis-and-the-risk-of-suicide

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DAILY UPDATE: Visa, Coca-Cola, Cardinal & Advocate Health and Obesity as Markets Fall

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Essays, Opinions and Curated News in Health Economics, Investing, Business, Management and Financial Planning for Physician Entrepreneurs and their Savvy Advisors and Consultants

Serving Almost One Million Doctors, Financial Advisors and Medical Management Consultants Daily

A Partner of the Institute of Medical Business Advisors , Inc.

http://www.MedicalBusinessAdvisors.com

SPONSORED BY: Marcinko & Associates, Inc.

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Daily Update Provided By Staff Reporters Since 2007.
How May We Serve You?
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Cardinal Health has agreed in principle to acquire Integrated Oncology Network for more than $1.1 billion.


And … Advocate Health announced it will wipe clean more than 11,500 judgment liens on patients’ homes and real estate.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource

What’s up

  • Flutter Entertainment, parent company of betting app FanDuel, popped 5.06% after it revealed its impressive growth plans.
  • Hewlett Packard Enterprise rose 5.05% thanks to an upgrade from Barclays analysts who think that rising AI demand will increase the company’s server revenue.
  • Trump Media & Technology Group gained 10.48% after shareholders panicked that the end of its lockup period would mean big selling by insiders, fears that haven’t materialized.
  • Progress Software climbed 11.85% after a strong beat-and-raise earnings report.

What’s down

  • Southwest Airlines stumbled 4.57% after announcing it will cut service to and from Atlanta, a major hub for air travel, as it looks to save money ahead of a showdown with activist investor Elliott Investment Management.
  • Bank of America fell just 0.51% on the revelation that Warren Buffett can’t stop selling the stock.
  • KB Home sank 5.35% after the homebuilder beat revenue estimates but missed on earnings. It also issued a downbeat forecast for the rest of its fiscal year.
  • Global Payments dropped 6.37% thanks to a downgrade from BTIG analysts who were unimpressed by the payment provider’s near-term growth plans.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) fell 10.68 points (–0.19%) to 5,722.25; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) dropped 293.47 points (–0.70%) to 41,914.75; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) added 7.68 points (0.04%) to 18,082.21.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) climbed five basis points to 3.78% and seems stuck in a range between 3.7% and 3.8%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) rose slightly to 15.51, still near its September lows.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/tj8smmes

Coca-Cola pulled its new flavor, Spiced, from shelves after just six months because of dis-interest in it.

Visa was sued by the Justice Department for antitrust violations. The DOJ alleged in a complaint filed in Manhattan federal court that the payments giant is illegally monopolizing the debit card market by penalizing merchants who try to use alternatives, Bloomberg reported.

For the first time in more than a decade, the nationwide number of people with obesity hasn’t gone up, according to new CDC data showing that the condition appears in about 40% of US adults.

Visualize: How private equity tangled banks in a web of debt, from the Financial Times.

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