Understanding 4 Key Financial Psychological Biases

By Staff Reporters

SPONSOR: http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com

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The following are 4 common financial psychological biases.  Some are learned while others are genetically determined (and often socially reinforced).  While this essay focuses on the financial and investing implications of these biases, they are prevalent in most areas in life.

STOCK MARKET: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2024/10/13/stock-market-a-zero-sum-bias/

Loss aversion affected many investors during the stock market crash of 2007-08 or the flash crash of May 6, 2010 also known as the crash of 2:45. During the crash, many people decided they couldn’t afford to lose more and sold their investments.

Of course, this caused the investors to sell at market troughs and miss the quick, dramatic recovery.

Overconfident investing happens when we believe we can out-smart other investors via market timing or through quick, frequent trading.

Data convincingly shows that people who trade most often under-perform the market by a significant margin over time.

Mental accounting takes place when we assign different values to money depending on where we got it.

For instance, even though we may have an aggressive saving goal for the year, it is likely easier for us to save money that we worked for than money that was given to us as a gift.

Herd mentality makes it very hard for humans to not take action when everyone around us does.

For example, we may hear stories of people making significant profits buying, fixing up, and flipping homes and have the desire to get in on the action, even though we have no experience in real estate.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource/Title/0826102549

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What is the S&P 500 Stock Index?

By A.I. and Staff Reporters

SPONSOR: http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com

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The S&P 500, short for the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index, is one of the most widely followed stock market indices in the world. It tracks the performance of 500 of the largest publicly traded companies in the United States, offering a broad snapshot of the overall health and direction of the U.S. economy. Created in 1957 by the financial services company Standard & Poor’s, the index has become a benchmark for investors, analysts, and economists alike.

Composition and Criteria The S&P 500 includes companies from a wide range of industries, such as technology, healthcare, finance, energy, and consumer goods. To be included in the index, a company must meet specific criteria: it must be based in the U.S., have a market capitalization of at least $14.5 billion (as of 2025), be highly liquid, and have a public float of at least 50% of its shares. Additionally, the company must have positive earnings in the most recent quarter and over the sum of its most recent four quarters.

Some of the most recognizable names in the S&P 500 include Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Johnson & Johnson, JPMorgan Chase, and ExxonMobil. These companies are selected by a committee that reviews eligibility and ensures the index remains representative of the broader market.

How It Works The S&P 500 is a market-capitalization-weighted index, meaning that companies with larger market values have a greater influence on the index’s performance. For example, a significant movement in Apple’s stock price will affect the index more than a similar movement in a smaller company’s stock. This weighting system helps reflect the real impact of large corporations on the economy.

The index is updated in real time during trading hours and is used by investors to gauge market trends. It also serves as the basis for many investment products, such as mutual funds and exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which aim to replicate its performance.

VIX: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2025/10/12/vix-the-stock-market-fear-gauge/

Why It Matters The S&P 500 is considered a leading indicator of U.S. equity markets and the economy as a whole. When the index rises, it often signals investor confidence and economic growth. Conversely, a decline may indicate uncertainty or economic slowdown. Because it includes companies from diverse sectors, the S&P 500 provides a more balanced view than narrower indices like the Dow Jones Industrial Average, which only tracks 30 companies.

Investment and Strategy Many investors use the S&P 500 as a benchmark to measure the performance of their portfolios. Passive investment strategies, such as index funds, aim to match the returns of the S&P 500 rather than beat it. This approach has gained popularity due to its low fees and consistent long-term performance.

In summary, the S&P 500 is more than just a number—it’s a powerful tool that reflects the pulse of the American economy. By tracking the performance of 500 major companies, it offers insights into market trends, investor sentiment, and economic health. Whether you’re a seasoned investor or just starting out, understanding the S&P 500 is essential to navigating the world of finance.

VIX Today: 20.81USD▲ +1.78 (+9.35%) today

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OCTOBER: The 2025 Stock Market Crash

By A.I. and Staff Reporters

SPONSOR: http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com

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The October 2025 Stock Market Crash: A Perfect Storm of Geopolitics and Investor Panic

The weekend of October 10–12, 2025, marked one of the most dramatic downturns in global financial markets in recent memory. What began as a series of unsettling headlines quickly snowballed into a full-blown market crash, sending shockwaves through economies and portfolios worldwide. This event was not the result of a single catalyst but rather a convergence of geopolitical tensions, speculative excess, and investor psychology.

At the heart of the crisis was a sudden escalation in U.S.–China trade relations. President Donald Trump abruptly canceled a scheduled diplomatic meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping and announced a sweeping 100% tariff on all Chinese imports. This move reignited fears of a prolonged trade war, reminiscent of the economic standoff that rattled markets in the late 2010s. Investors, already jittery from months of uncertainty, interpreted the announcement as a signal of deteriorating global cooperation and retaliatory economic measures to come.

VIX: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2025/10/12/vix-the-stock-market-fear-gauge/

The impact was immediate and severe. Major U.S. indices plummeted: the S&P 500 dropped 2.7%, the Nasdaq fell 3.6%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 1.9%. These declines marked the worst single-day performance since April and triggered automatic trading halts in several sectors. The selloff was not confined to the United States; European and Asian markets mirrored the panic, with steep losses across the board.

Compounding the crisis was a massive liquidation in the cryptocurrency market. As traditional assets tumbled, investors rushed to offload digital holdings, leading to the largest crypto wipeout in history. Trillions of dollars in value evaporated within hours, further destabilizing investor confidence and draining liquidity from the broader financial system.

Another underlying factor was growing concern over the valuation of artificial intelligence (AI) stocks. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) had recently issued a warning that the AI sector was exhibiting signs of a speculative bubble, drawing parallels to the dot-com era. With many AI companies trading at astronomical price-to-earnings ratios, the crash exposed the fragility of investor sentiment and the dangers of overexuberance in emerging technologies.

Perhaps most telling was the psychological shift among investors. The weekend saw widespread capitulation, with many choosing to exit the market entirely rather than weather further volatility. This behavior—marked by fear-driven decision-making and herd mentality—is often a hallmark of deeper financial crises. It underscores the importance of trust and stability in maintaining market equilibrium.

Abbvie: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2024/09/04/abbvie-the-economic-recession/

In conclusion, the October 2025 stock market crash was a multifaceted event driven by geopolitical shocks, speculative risk, and emotional contagion. It serves as a stark reminder of how interconnected and fragile global markets have become. As policymakers and investors assess the damage, the focus must shift toward restoring confidence, recalibrating risk, and ensuring that future growth is built on sustainable foundations rather than speculative fervor.

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SPEAKING: ME-P Editor Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd will be speaking and lecturing, signing and opining, teaching and preaching, storming and performing at many locations throughout the USA this year! His tour of witty and serious pontifications may be scheduled on a planned or ad-hoc basis; for public or private meetings and gatherings; formally, informally, or over lunch or dinner. All medical societies, financial advisory firms or Broker-Dealers are encouraged to submit an RFP for speaking engagements: CONTACT: Ann Miller RN MHA at MarcinkoAdvisors@outlook.com -OR- http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com

EDUCATION: Books

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VIX: The Stock Market “Fear Gauge”

By A.I. and Staff Reporters

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The VIX, or CBOE Volatility Index, is often called the “fear gauge” of the stock market. It measures the market’s expectations for volatility over the next 30 days, based on options prices for the S&P 500.

MORE: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2025/06/30/vix-fear-index-down/

When the VIX is high, it typically signals investor anxiety or uncertainty; when it’s low, it suggests confidence and stability.

Current VIX Snapshot 10/12/25

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What is the Dow Jones Industrial Average?

DEFINED

By A.I. and Staff Reporters

SPONSOR: http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com

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The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), often referred to simply as “the Dow,” is one of the oldest and most well-known stock market indices in the world. It was created in 1896 by Charles Dow, the co-founder of The Wall Street Journal, and is designed to represent the performance of the broader U.S. stock market, specifically focusing on 30 large, publicly traded companies. These companies are considered leaders in their respective industries and serve as a barometer for the overall health of the U.S. economy.

The Composition of the DJIA

The DJIA includes 30 companies, which are selected by the editors of The Wall Street Journal based on various factors such as market influence, reputation, and the stability of the company. These companies represent a wide array of sectors, including technology, finance, healthcare, consumer goods, and energy. Notably, the companies chosen for the DJIA are not necessarily the largest companies in the U.S. by market capitalization, but rather those that are most indicative of the broader economy. Some of the prominent companies listed in the DJIA include names like Apple, Microsoft, Coca-Cola, and Johnson & Johnson.

However, the list of 30 companies is not static. Over time, companies may be added or removed to reflect changes in the economic landscape. For example, if a company experiences significant decline or no longer represents a leading sector, it might be replaced with another company that better reflects modern economic trends. This periodic reshuffling ensures that the DJIA continues to be a relevant measure of economic activity.

How the DJIA is Calculated

The DJIA is a price-weighted index, which means that the value of the index is determined by the share price of the component companies, rather than their market capitalization. To calculate the DJIA, the sum of the stock prices of all 30 companies is divided by a special divisor. This divisor adjusts for stock splits, dividends, and other corporate actions to maintain the integrity of the index over time. The price-weighted method means that higher-priced stocks have a greater impact on the movement of the index, regardless of the overall size or economic weight of the company.

For instance, if a company with a higher stock price like Apple experiences a significant change in value, it will influence the DJIA more than a company with a lower stock price, even if the latter has a larger market capitalization. This makes the DJIA somewhat different from other indices, like the S&P 500, which is weighted by market cap and gives more weight to larger companies in terms of their economic impact.

Significance of the DJIA

The DJIA is widely regarded as a barometer of the U.S. stock market’s performance. Investors and analysts closely monitor the movements of the Dow to gauge the overall health of the economy. When the DJIA rises, it generally suggests that investors are optimistic about the economic outlook and that large companies are performing well. Conversely, when the DJIA falls, it often signals economic uncertainty or a downturn in market conditions.

Despite being a narrow index, with only 30 companies, the DJIA holds substantial sway in financial markets. It is widely covered in the media and is often cited in discussions about the state of the economy. In fact, the performance of the DJIA is considered a key indicator of investor sentiment and economic confidence.

However, the DJIA has its limitations. Since it only includes 30 companies, it does not necessarily represent the broader market or capture the performance of smaller companies. Other indices, like the S&P 500, which includes 500 companies, offer a more comprehensive view of the market’s performance.

Conclusion

The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a key metric for understanding the state of the U.S. economy and the stock market. Although it has evolved over the years, it continues to provide valuable insights into the performance of large, influential companies. While it is not a perfect reflection of the market as a whole, the DJIA remains one of the most important and widely recognized indices in global finance. Through its historical significance and its role in shaping market sentiment, the Dow has cemented its place as a cornerstone of financial analysis.

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Stocks, Commodities and Bonds

By Staff Reporters and A.I.

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*Stock data as of market close. Here’s what these numbers mean.
Stocks: The Russell 2000 went 967 days without hitting a new record high until Thursday. But, it looks like it will have to keep waiting for the next one—the small-cap-focused index fell, even as the DJIA, NASDAQ and S&P 500 rose to new closing highs on Friday.*
Bonds: 2-year yields and 10-year yields both hit two-week intra-day highs even after the FOMC cut interest rates, indicating that traders still aren’t sure how the economy will perform in the months ahead.
Commodities: Arabica futures fell on reports that lawmakers will introduce a bipartisan bill to exempt coffee from tariffs.

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Understanding the Capital Asset Pricing Model

CAP-M

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By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MED CMP

SPONSOR: http://www.CertifiedMedicalPlanner.org

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Dr. Harry Markowitz is credited with developing the framework for constructing investment portfolios based on the risk-return tradeoff. William Sharpe, John Lintner, and Jan Mossin are credited with developing the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM).

CAPM is an economic model based upon the idea that there is a single portfolio representing all investments (i.e., the market portfolio) at the point of the optimal portfolio on the Capital Market Line (CML) and a single source of systematic risk, beta, to that market portfolio.  The resulting conclusion is that there should be a “fair” return investors should expect to receive given the level of risk (beta) they are willing to assume. 

The excess return, or return above the risk-free rate, that may be expected from an asset is equal to the risk-free return plus the excess return of the market portfolio times the sensitivity of the asset’s excess return to the market portfolio excess return.  Beta, then, is a measure of the sensitivity of an asset’s returns to the market as a whole.  A particular security’s beta depends on the volatility of the individual security’s returns relative to the volatility of the market’s returns, as well as the correlation between the security’s returns and the markets returns. 

While a stock may have significantly greater volatility than the market, if that stock’s returns are not highly correlated with the returns of the overall market (i.e., the stock’s returns are independent of the overall market’s returns), then the stock’s beta would be relatively low.  A beta in excess of 1.0 implies that the security is more exposed to systematic risk than the overall market portfolio, and likewise, a beta of less 1.0 means that the security has less exposure to systematic risk than the overall market. 

MPT has helped focus investors on two extremely critical elements of investing that are central to successful investment strategies. 

First, MPT offers the first framework for investors to build a diversified portfolio.  Furthermore, an important conclusion that can be drawn from MPT is that diversification does in fact help reduce portfolio risk. 

Thus, MPT approaches are generally consistent with the first investment rule of thumb, “understand and diversify risk to the extent possible.” 

Additionally, the risk/return tradeoff (i.e., higher returns are generally consistent with higher risk) central to MPT based strategies has helped investors recognize that if it looks too good to be true, it probably is.

Passive Investing

Passive investing is a monetary plan in which an investor invests in accordance with a pre-determined strategy that doesn’t necessitate any forecasting of the economy or an individual company’s prospects.  The primary premise is to minimize investing fees and to avoid the unpleasant consequences of failing to correctly predict the future. The most accepted method to invest passively is to mimic the performance of a particular index. Investors typically do this today by purchasing one or more ‘index funds’. By tracking an index, an investor will achieve solid diversification with low expenses. 

An ivestor could potentially earn a higher rate of return than an investor paying higher management fees.  Passive management is most widespread in the stock markets.  But  with the explosion of exchange traded funds on the major exchanges, index investing has become more popular in other categories of investing.  There are now literally hundreds of different index funds.  

Passive management is based upon the Efficient Market Hypothesis theory.  The Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) states that securities are fairly priced based on information regarding their underlying cash flows and that investors should not anticipate to consistently out-perform the market over the long-term.

The Efficient Market Hypothesis evolved in the 1960s from the Ph.D. dissertation of Eugene Fama.  Fama persuasively made the case that in an active market that includes many well-informed and intelligent investors, securities will be appropriately priced and reflect all available information. If a market is efficient, no information or analysis can be expected to result in out-performance of an appropriate benchmark. There are three distinct forms of EMH that vary by the type of information that is reflected in a security’s price:

  • Weak Form

This form holds that investors will not be able to use historical data to earn superior returns on a consistent basis.  In other words, the financial markets price securities in a manner that fully reflects all information contained in past prices. 

  • Semi-Strong Form

This form asserts that security prices fully reflect all publicly available information.  Therefore, investors cannot consistently earn above normal returns based solely on publicly available information, such as earnings, dividend, and sales data. 

  • Strong Form

This form states that the financial markets price securities such that, all information (public and non-public) is fully reflected in the securities price; investors should not expect to earn superior returns on a consistent basis, no matter what insight or research they may bring to the table.

While a rich literature has been established regarding whether EMH actually applies in any of its three forms in real world markets, probably the most difficult evidence to overcome for backers of EMH is the existence of a vibrant money management and mutual fund industry charging value-added fees for their services. 

The notion of passive management is counterintuitive to many investors.  Passive investing proponents follow the strong market theory of EMH.  These proponents argue several points including;

  1. In the long term, the average investor will have a typical before-costs performance equal to the market average. Therefore the standard investor will gain more from reducing investment costs than from attempting to beat the market over time. 
  • The efficient-market hypothesis argues that equilibrium market prices fully reflect all existing market information.  Even in the case where some of the market information is not currently reflected in the price level, EMH indicates that an individual investor still cannot make use of that information. It is widely interpreted by many academics that to try and systematically “beat the market” through active management is a fools game.

Not everyone believes in the efficient market.  Numerous researchers over the previous decades have found stock market anomalies that indicate a contradiction with the hypothesis.  The search for anomalies is effectively the hunt for market patterns that can be utilized to outperform passive strategies.  Such stock market anomalies that have been proven to go against the findings of the EMH theory include;

  1. Low Price to Book Effect
  2. January Effect
  3. The Size Effect
  4. Insider Transaction Effect
  5. The Value Line Effect

All the above anomalies have been proven over time to outperform the market.  For example, the first anomaly listed above is the Low Price to Book Effect.  The first and most discussed study on the performance of low price to book value stocks was by Dr. Eugene Fama and Dr. Kenneth R. French.  The study covered the time period from 1963-1990 and included nearly all the stocks on the NYSE, AMEX and NASDAQ. The stocks were divided into ten subgroups by book/market and were re-ranked annually. In the study, Fama and French found that the lowest book/market stocks outperformed the highest book/market stocks by a substantial margin (21.4 percent vs. 8 percent).  Remarkably, as they examined each upward decile, performance for that decile was below that of the higher book value decile.  Fama and French also ordered the deciles by beta (measure of systematic risk) and found that the stocks with the lowest book value also had the lowest risk. 

Today, most researchers now deem that “value” represents a hazard feature that investors are compensated for over time.  The theory being that value stocks trading at very low price book ratios are inherently risky, thus investors are simply compensated with higher returns in exchange for taking the risk of investing in these value stocks. The Fama and French research has been confirmed through several additional studies.  In a Forbes Magazine 5/6/96 column titled “Ben Graham was right–again,” author David Dreman published his data from the largest 1500 stocks on Compustat for the 25 years ending 1994. He found that the lowest 20 percent of price/book stocks appreciably outperformed the market.  

One item a medical professional should be aware of is the strong paradox of the efficient market theory.   If each investor believes the stock market were efficient, then all investors would give up analyzing and forecasting.  All investors would then accept passive management and invest in index funds.  But if this were to happen, the market would no longer be efficient because no one would be scrutinizing the markets.  In actuality, the efficient market hypothesis actually depends on active investors attempting to outperform the market through diligent research.

The case for passive investing and in favor of the EMH is that a preponderance of active managers do actually underperform the markets over time.  The latest study by Standard and Poor’s (S&P) confirms this fact.  S&P recently compared the performance of actively-managed mutual funds to passive market indexes twice per year. The 2012 S&P study indicated that indexes were once again outperforming actively-managed funds in nearly every asset class, style and fund category. The lone exception in the 2012 report was international equity, where active outperformed the index that S&P chose.  The study examined one-year, three-year and five-year time periods. Within the U.S. equity space, active equity managers in all the categories failed to outperform the corresponding benchmarks in the past five year period.  More than 65 percent of the large-cap active managers lagged behind the S&P 500 stock index.  More than 81 percent of mid-cap mutual funds were outperformed by the S&P MidCap 400 index. 

Lastly, 77 percent of the small-cap mutual funds were outperformed by the S&P SmallCap 600 index.  U.S. bond active managers fared no better that equity managers over a five year period. More than 83 percent of general municipal mutual funds under-performed the S&P National AMT-Free Municipal Bond index, 93 percent of government long-term funds under-performed the Barclays Long Government index, nearly 95 percent of high yield corporate bond funds under-performed the Barclays High Yield index.  Although the performance measurements for index investing are very strong, many analysts find three negative elements of passive investing;

  1. Downside Protection:  When the stock market collapses like in 2008, an index investor will assume the same loss as the market.  In the case of 2008, the S&P 500 stock index fell by more than 50 percent, offering index investors no downside protection.
  • Portfolio Control:  An index investor has no control over the holdings in the fund. In the event that a certain sector becomes over-owned (i.e. technology stocks in 2000), an index investor maintains the same weight as the index.
  • Average Returns:  An index investor will never have the opportunity to outperform the market, but will always follow.  Although the markets are very efficient, an investor can perhaps take advantage of market anomalies and invest with those managers who have maintained a long-term performance edge over the respective index. 

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SPEAKING: Dr. Marcinko will be speaking and lecturing, signing and opining, teaching and preaching, storming and performing at many locations throughout the USA this year! His tour of witty and serious pontifications may be scheduled on a planned or ad-hoc basis; for public or private meetings and gatherings; formally, informally, or over lunch or dinner. All medical societies, financial advisory firms or Broker-Dealers are encouraged to submit an RFP for speaking engagements: CONTACT: Ann Miller RN MHA at MarcinkoAdvisors@outlook.com -OR- http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com

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FORENSIC PODIATRY: Previously Unknown But Now in the Forefront

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd

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BREAKING NEWS

Law enforcement officials in Utah released a video of the suspected shooter in the assassination of Turning Point USA co-founder and CEO Charlie Kirk, saying that the person wore Converse tennis shoes and left a hand print and a shoe print at the scene.

The suspect in Charlie Kirk’s assassination has been identified as Tyler Robinson, a 22-year-old Utah resident. Law enforcement sources told the Daily Mail that Robinson was taken into custody as the alleged assassin who killed Kirk at a rally at Utah Valley University on Wednesday.

PODIATRY EDUCATION: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2025/09/11/education-md-do-and-dpm/

Forensic Podiatry on TV

Before today, forensic podiatry has even made it into the public zeitgeist with the hit TV show “Bones” which premiered on September 13, 2005, and concluded on March 28, 2017, airing for 246 episodes over 12 seasons. The show was based on forensic anthropology and forensic archaeology, with each episode focusing on the mystery behind human body remains brought in for examination and identification.

PODIATRY TYPES: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2025/07/28/podiatrist-types-specialization-and-salary/

In one show, eight pairs of dismembered feet washed ashore after a flood on the U.S.-Canada border, but things didn’t add up when only seven pairs of feet were identified as research corpses from a nearby university body farm.

When the fictional Canadian forensic podiatrist Dr. Douglas Filmore took the remains back to Canada, he had to form a jurisdictional alliance with the United States to match the pairs of feet and identify the victims. A rare and expensive pair of sneakers led the team to the victim’s murderer.

In 2016, an actual forensic podiatry club was started at the Barry University School of Podiatric Medicine. And, a formal class covering aspects of forensic podiatry is held at the New York College of Podiatric Medicine. Students exit the class with an in depth knowledge of forensic podiatry and other legal knowledge applicable to current cases.

More expertly, real-life colleague Michael Steven Nirenberg DPM actually testified in the murder trial of defendants Kailie Brackett and Donnell Dana with the state calling three witnesses to testify, including the podiatrist who claimed Brackett’s footprints match the ones found in blood at the apartment of the victim, Kimberly Neptune. The forensic podiatrist focused on the footprints discovered at Neptune’s apartment, using prints and images of the defendant’s feet taken by law enforcement. After study, he claimed the prints at the scene bore a resemblance to Kailie Brackett’s in the width of the foot. The defense questioned the field of forensic podiatry and pressed Dr. Nirenberg on whether the measurements would be altered depending on how thick the sock covering the foot was woven.

Dr. Nirenberg was also interviewed on National Public Radio’s Morning Edition on April 14th 2023 about the gait of the bombing suspect associated with the capital riot on Wednesday January 6th, 2021. Dr. Nirenberg is president of the American Society of Forensic Podiatry and co-editor of the textbook: “Forensic Gait Analysis: Principles and Practice”. The bombing suspect had placed bombs at the DNC and RNC headquarters in Washington, DC on the night before. NPR asked Dr. Nirenberg to comment on the features of the person’s gait.

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Additionally, Nirenberg was interviewed by Nancy Grace on her TV show Crime Stories. Grace interviewed Nirenberg about his forensic podiatry work in helping to solve the murder of a mother of 3 who was killed in a church. The case remains unsolved. The episode, “Fitness-Mom Missy Bevers Bludgeoned Dead in Creekside Church” aired June 6th, 2024 and is available online at Merit+ TV.

And, Netflix’s 2023 docu-series, “Till Murder Do Us Part”, recounts the killings of Derek and Nancy Haysom by including a series of interviews with a cast of real people. The four-part docu-series revolves around the unpacking of how a wealthy couple was murdered in Virginia in 1985. It also focuses on how the suspects, Elizabeth Haysom, and her boyfriend, Jens Soehring, betrayed each other during the trial.  Dr. Sarah Reel DPM was the forensic podiatrist who was involved with Jens’ and Elizabeth’s footprint examination. Dr. Reel pointed out that, statistically, there was no difference “between a bare footprint and a socked footprint.” The doctor suggested that Jens’ reference footprint matched closely with the crime scene footprint. 

Cite: Aeron Mer Eclarinal, The Direct [11/9/23]

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SPEAKING: Dr. Marcinko will be speaking and lecturing, signing and opining, teaching and preaching, storming and performing at many locations throughout the USA this year! His tour of witty and serious pontifications may be scheduled on a planned or ad-hoc basis; for public or private meetings and gatherings; formally, informally, or over lunch or dinner. All medical societies, financial advisory firms or Broker-Dealers are encouraged to submit an RFP for speaking engagements: CONTACT: Ann Miller RN MHA at MarcinkoAdvisors@outlook.com -OR- http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com

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Stocks, Bonds and Commodities

By A.I. and Staff Reporters

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  • Stocks: The NASDAQ rose to its fifth record high of the week, while the S&P 500 and the Dow sank late in the day as investors turned their attention to the FOMC meeting next week.
  • Bonds: While equities climbed all week long, the bond market has been sending signals that weak economic data really isn’t great news.
  • Commodities: Oil rallied after President Trump expressed his growing frustration with Vladimir Putin and threatened further energy and financial sanctions. Meanwhile, the US may ask its G7 counterparts to apply 100% tariffs against China and India for purchasing Russian crude.

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DOCTORS: Early Investing Needed for Retirement

NEW FINANCIAL STRATEGIES?

By A.I. and Dr. David Edward Marcinko; MBA MEd CMP

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SPONSOR: http://www.CertifiedMedicalPlanner.org

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Starting early is key to saving for retirement

Although 97% of people aren’t yet millionaires, many could eventually meet that target if they start investing sooner rather than later; especially doctors [MD, DO, DPM, DDS or DMD].

BROKE DOCTORS: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2025/08/02/doctors-going-broke-and-living-paycheck-to-paycheck/

A 20-year-old, for instance, needs to invest just $330 a month into an asset class that delivers a 7% to 8% annual return to reach $1.26 million by the time s/he turns 65 years old. The luxury of time significantly boosts your chances of becoming a millionaire.

This doesn’t mean it’s too late for middle-aged savers to reach that millionaire milestone, but it will take a significantly greater investment. If a 50-year-old doctor hasn’t started saving for retirement, s/he would need to invest $3,958 a month at a steady 7% return to reach $1.26 million by retirement.

MONEY ADDICTION: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2025/08/07/moiney-addicted-physicians-the-investing-and-trading-personality-of-doctors/

However, according to one Goldman Sachs report, investors could expect the S&P 500 to deliver just 3% annualized nominal returns over the next 10 years.

After an average 13% yearly return for the past decade, a new strategy outside of the stock market may be needed for that level of outsized gain, especially if you’re late to investing.

RETIREMENT VISION: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2025/08/04/physicians-determine-your-retirement-vision/

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Stocks, Bonds and Commodities

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  • Stocks: Markets slowed along yesterday with the S&P 500 and NASDAQ buoyed after a pivotal antitrust ruling for Alphabet pushed big tech stocks higher across the board.
  • Bonds: The 30-year Treasury pushed 5% yesterday as traders fret about the Fed’s independence and the odds of interest rate cuts.
  • Commodities: Oil sank on reports that OPEC+ is contemplating increasing its crude output next month, while gold reached yet another new record high as uncertainty swirling around the future of tariffs continued to rise. JPMorgan analysts now think the precious metal could climb as high as $4,250 by the end of next year.

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Stocks Up, Bond Yields Down as Commodities Rise and Fall

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  • Stocks: The stock markets rose today after Jerome Powell opened the door to interest rate cuts. The Dow soared to a new all-time high, while small-cap stocks in the Russell 2000 had a banner day.
  • Bonds: Yields fell while the chances of a rate cut after the Fed’s next meeting in September rose to 83%.
  • Commodities: Gold rose on rate cut hopes while oil fell as peace talks between Ukraine and Russia stalled. But the biggest winner is coffee: prices have risen for six straight days to cap off its biggest weekly gain since 2021.

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Stocks, Technology and FOMC Drama

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  • Technology: Fears of an A.I. bubble continue to climb after MIT published a report that 95% of companies using generative A.I. programs have nothing to show for it, despite pouring billions of dollars into this space.
  • Stocks: Another day of technology stocks selling off pulled the S&P 500 and NASDAQ lower yesterday, with investors rotating out of some of the hottest names and sectors in the market.
  • FOMC Drama: President Trump demanded the resignation of Fed Governor Lisa Cook for allegations of mortgage fraud. Meanwhile, the minutes from the July FOMC meeting revealed a growing divide between central bankers.

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Stocks, Bonds and Commodities

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  • Stocks: The Dow climbed thanks to UnitedHealth and Warren Buffett while the rest of the market sank as the stock rally slowed. But, despite Friday’s decline, both the S&P 500 and NASDAQ wrapped up winning weeks.
  • Bonds: Both 10-year and 2-year Treasury yields continued to climb after Thursday’s PPI reading and Friday’s consumer confidence and retail sales data.
  • Commodities: All eyes were on Anchorage, Alaska as President Trump concluded talks with President Putin—discussions that will be crucial for crude’s future.

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PHYSICIANS: Determine Your Retirement Vision

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko; MBA MEd CMP™

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Determining Retirement Vision

There’s an aspect to retirement that many physicians do not plan for … the transition from work and practice to retirement.  Your work has been an important part of your life.  That’s why the emotional adjustments of retirement may be some of the most difficult ones.

For example, what would you like to do in retirement? Your retirement vision will be unique to you. You are retiring to something not from something that you envisioned. When you have more time, you would like to do more traveling, play golf or visit more often, family and friends. Would you relocate closer to your kids?  Learn a new art or take a new class? Fund your grandchildren’s education? Do you have philanthropic goals? Perhaps you would like to help your church, school or favorite charity? If your net worth is above certain limits, it would be wise to take a serious look at these goals. With proper planning, there might be some tax benefits too. Then you have to figure how much each goal is going to cost you.

If you have a list of retirement goals, you need to prioritize which goal is most important. You can rate them on a scale of 1 to 10; 10 being the most important. Then, you can differentiate between wants and needs. Needs are things that are absolutely necessary for you to retire; while wants are things that still allow retirement but would just be nice to have.

RETIREMENT SCAMS: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2025/04/15/online-scams-retirement-accounts/

Recent studies indicate there are three phases in retirement, each with a different spending pattern [Richard Greenberg CFP®, Gardena CA, personal communication]. The three phases are:

  1. The Early Retirement Years. There is a pent-up demand to take advantage of all the free time retirement affords. You can travel to exotic places, buy an RV and explore forty-nine states, go on month-long sailing vacations. It’s possible during these years that after-tax expenses increase during these initial years, especially if the mortgage hasn’t been paid off yet. Usually the early years last about ten years until most retirees are in their 70’s.
  • Middle Years. People decide to slow down on the exploration.  This is when people start simplifying their life.  They may sell their house and downsize to a condo or townhouse.  They may relocate to an area they discovered during their travels, or to an area close to family and friends, to an area with a warm climate or to an area with low or no state taxes.  People also do their most important estate planning during these years.  They are concerned about leaving a legacy, taking care of their children and grandchildren and fulfilling charitable intent. This a time when people spend more time in the local area.  They may start taking extension or college classes.  They spend more time volunteering at various non-profits and helping out older and less healthy retirees. People often spend less during these years. This period starts when a retiree is in his or her mid to late 70’s and can last up to 20 years, usually to mid to late-80’s.
  • Late Years. This is when you may need assistance in our daily activities.  You may receive care at home, in a nursing home or an assisted care facility.  Most of the care options are very expensive.  It’s possible that these years might be more expensive than your pre-retirement expenses.  This is especially true if both spouses need some sort of assisted care. This period usually starts when the retiree is their 80’s; however they can sometimes start in the middle to the late 70’s.

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[A] Planning issues – early career

Most retirement lifestyle issues do not have to be addressed at this point.  Keeping a healthy, balanced lifestyle will help to ensure a more productive retirement.  This is the time to focus on the financial aspects of retirement planning.

[B] Planning issues – mid career

If early retirement is a major objective, start thinking about activities that will fill up your time during retirement.  Maintaining your health is more critical, since your health habits at this time will often dictate how healthy you will be in retirement

 [C] Planning issues – late career

Three to five years before you retire, start making the transition from work to retirement. 

  • Try out different hobbies;
  • Find activities that will give you a purpose in retirement;
  • Establish friendships outside of the office or hospital;
  • Discuss retirement plans with your spouse.
  • If you plan to relocate to a new place, it is important to rent a place in that area and stay for few months and see if you like it. Making a drastic change like relocating and then finding you don’t like the new town or state might be very costly mistake. The key is to gradually make the transition.

RETIREMENT INCOME: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2024/10/18/fast-facts-retirement-income-in-the-usa/

Conclusion

For physicians, like most folks, retirement is the stage in life when one chooses to leave the workforce and live off sources of income or savings that do not require active work. The age at which a person retires, their lifestyle during retirement, and the way they fund that lifestyle, will vary from one person to the next, depending on individual preferences and financial planning. Usually it is age 65.

Some doctors may opt for early retirement to enjoy their hobbies and travel, while others may continue working part-time to stay engaged and supplement their income. Effective retirement planning often involves a combination of savings, investments, and possibly pension benefits to ensure a comfortable and secure post-work life.

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SPEAKING: ME-P Editor Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd will be speaking and lecturing, signing and opining, teaching and preaching, storming and performing at many locations throughout the USA this year! His tour of witty and serious pontifications may be scheduled on a planned or ad-hoc basis; for public or private meetings and gatherings; formally, informally, or over lunch or dinner. All medical societies, financial advisory firms or Broker-Dealers are encouraged to submit an RFP for speaking engagements: CONTACT: Ann Miller RN MHA at MarcinkoAdvisors@outlook.com -OR- http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com

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DAILY UPDATE: Stocks, Commodities and Trade as Stock Markets End Mixed

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  • Stocks: Investors cheered the news of an EU & US trade deal over the weekend, pushing the S&P 500 above 6,400 for the first time ever. But the index gave up most of its gains late in the day as attention turned to a huge week of data ahead (more on that in a minute).
  • Trade: Today was the first day of discussions between US and Chinese negotiators in Stockholm to keep the trade war truce alive. Elsewhere, President Trump foresees a baseline 15% to 20% tariff rate for the rest of the world.
  • Commodities: Gold fell as trade deal hopes heightened investors’ risk appetite, while oil spiked higher after Trump gave Russia a 10- to 12-day deadline to sign a truce with Ukraine.

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According to Bloomberg, 83% of the S&P 500 companies that have reported earnings have outpaced Wall Street’s estimates, putting the index on pace for its best season of beats since the second quarter of 2021.

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DAILY UPDATE: United Health Investigated as Stock Markets Climb

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UnitedHealth confirmed it’s being investigated. The healthcare giant said in a securities filing that it’s cooperating with the Justice Department in civil and criminal investigations following recent reports from the Wall Street Journal that the DOJ was looking into the company’s Medicare billing practices. WSJ reported that UnitedHealth had added unnecessary diagnoses to Medicare patients’ records that increased payments. It’s the latest setback for a company that ousted its CEO in May after its stock price cratered.

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What’s up

  • Tesla arrested its latest decline and gained 3.52% on the news that it will roll out its new robotaxi program in San Francisco as soon as this weekend.
  • Palantir rose 2.54% to become the 20th most valuable company in the country by market value.
  • Deckers Outdoor, the maker of Hoka and Ugg shoes, soared 11.35% on the back of stronger-than-expected earnings thanks to impressive international sales.
  • Newmont climbed 6.89% after a quarter of surging gold prices helped propel the miner’s earnings to new heights.
  • Managed care provider Centene added 6.09% despite marked declines in its Medicaid and Medicare membership, as well as soaring costs.
  • Boston Beer rose 6.54% as shareholders raised a toast to management’s effort to keep tariff costs low.

What’s down

  • Intel fell 8.53% on the news that it’s cutting costs by laying off 15% of its workforce and scaling back its chip foundry plans.
  • Puma plummeted 15.67% after the European footwear company warned of the high cost of tariffs.
  • Charter Communications plunged 18.49% in its worst day of trading ever after reporting that it lost 117,000 broadband subscribers last quarter. It was so bad that other cable stocks like Comcast sank 4.78% and Altice lost 9.46%.
  • Lyft announced it’s rolling out new autonomous shuttles, but shares still fell 0.56% as shareholders realized it’s just trying to keep up with Uber.

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Stocks & Commodities

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  • Stocks: President Trump said there’s a “50/50 chance” of a deal with the EU ahead of next week’s deadline. Investors decided they like those odds, and pushed the NASDAQ and S&P 500 to yet another new closing record high—in fact, the S&P 500 set a new record every day this week. Meanwhile, trade deal talks with Brazil have reportedly stalled.
  • Commodities: Oil fell to a three-week low today as Iran signaled a willingness to come to the negotiating table with European powers for nuclear talks.
  • Hopes of trade deals and less need for a safe haven investment pushed gold prices lower.

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DAILY UPDATE: Medicare Advantage Payment Delays as Stock Markets Split

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Stat: $3+ million. That’s how much Medicare and Medicare Advantage drug plans have been ordered to pay for “inappropriately delaying or denying” services in the first four months of this year—more than the past four years combined, one analysis finds. (Healthcare Dive)

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What’s up

  • Las Vegas Sands added 4.31% after crushing analyst estimates last quarter.
  • Deutsche Bank rose 7.83% to a decade high after shareholders applauded the financial firm’s turnaround efforts.
  • T-Mobile US gained 5.8% thanks to a better-than-expected quarter for the telecom giant.
  • Bloom Energy popped 22.95% on the news that it made a deal with Oracle to provide the tech company’s AI data centers with power.
  • Enterprise software maker ServiceNow jumped 4.16% on management’s promise of more AI growth ahead.
  • West Pharmaceutical Services soared 22.78% on the news that demand for GLP-1 products remains strong.

What’s down

  • IBM dropped 7.62% despite beating analysts expectations on the top and bottom lines last quarter. Shareholders didn’t like to hear management warn of slowing software sales.
  • UnitedHealth Group fell 4.76% on reports that the health insurer is cooperating with the DOJ’s investigation into its Medicare billing practices.
  • Tough day for airlines: American Airlines sank 9.62% after lowering its forward guidance, and Southwest Airlines lost 11.16% after missing analyst earnings estimates.
  • Luxury goods maker LVMH sank 3.66% after sales fell 4% last quarter as the high-fashion industry gets hit with tariff turmoil.
  • Union Pacific fell 4.43% after it confirmed it’s in talks to acquire smaller rival Norfolk Southern, which also lost 0.81%.
  • Honeywell International beat-and-raised earnings last quarter, but the stock still stumbled 6.18% lower.

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Commodities, Stocks and Bonds

By A.I.

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  • Stocks: Investors were pleased to hear about the trade deal with Japan yesterday and reports of an agreement with the EU coming soon kept the stock rally alive through market close. The S&P 500 notched its 12th new closing record this year, and the NASDAQ ended the day above 21,000 for the first time.
  • Bonds: Treasury yields rose a bit after an auction of 20-year notes was met with strong demand, indicating investor appetite for longer-term US debt.
  • Commodities: Oil inched higher while gold edged lower as investors hedge their bets in anticipation of more trade deals before the August 1st deadline.

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Stocks, the FOMC and Trade Deals

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By A.I.

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  • Stocks: The multi-day rally wavered this afternoon as investors turned their attention to big tech earnings tomorrow. The S&P 500 closed at a record high, while the NASDAQ finally broke its hot streak.
  • FOMC: Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent sees no reason for Jerome Powell to step down, while President Trump tempered his outrage against the Fed chair. Instead, well-known economist Mohamed El-Erian took up the gauntlet.
  • Trade: Bessent said China may get an extension to make a true trade deal, while promising a “rash of trade deals” in the coming days. Speaking of, Trump declared the US has made a deal with the Philippines capping import levies at 19%.

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Stocks, Trade and the FOMC

By A.I.

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Stocks: Markets lost steam late in the trading session yesterday as investors awaited more earnings announcements, with the DJIA tumbling into the red. But the S&P 500 managed to end the day above 6,300 for the first time ever, while the NASDAQ enjoyed its sixth consecutive record close

FOMC: Over the weekend, President Trump disputed reports that Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent talked him out of firing Jerome Powell. Meanwhile, Bessent said that the entire Federal Reserve should be put under review.

Trade: Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick reiterated that August 1st will be the “hard deadline” for countries to make a deal with the US. Both negotiations and tensions with the EU are ramping up as Trump threatens to slap the bloc with 30% levies.

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DAILY UPDATE: “Crypto-Week” as Stock Markets End Mixed

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“Crypto Week” got back on track after House GOP lawmakers convinced the holdouts in their party to help advance a series of crypto-friendly bills.

Crypto: Although bitcoin fell after the president signed the GENIUS Act into law, ether rose to its highest price in six months today, while enthusiasm for the new legislation pushed total crypto assets above $4 trillion.

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What’s up stocks

  • Talen Energy soared 24.48% on the news that the independent energy producer is acquiring two new power plants.
  • Interactive Brokers surged 7.77% after the broker increased the number of customer accounts by 32% last quarter as traders played market volatility.
  • Speaking of trading, Charles Schwab gained 2.87% after opening more than 1 million new brokerage accounts last quarter gave it a 23% boost in trading revenue.
  • Burberry popped 4.42% thanks to a turnaround in the luxury goods maker’s business, including a 4% increase in American sales last quarter.
  • Quantumscape continued to climb yet again, rising another 7.65% as investors pour money into the battery maker.
  • Invesco jumped 15.28% on reports that the asset manager is asking shareholders of its popular QQQ fund to let it revamp its fund structure to increase fee revenue.
  • Crypto companies continued to have a great week as key legislation passed its final barrier in Congress. Coinbase climbed 2.2%, Robinhood Markets rose 4.07%, and Galaxy Digital gained 4.19%.

What’s down stocks

  • Netflix fell 5.1% after the streaming giant reported a strong quarter but warned that its operating margin will take a hit in the second half of the year.
  • Sarepta Therapeutics plunged 35.94% after the biotech reported a third patient death during its Phase 1 study of its new gene therapy.
  • American Express sank 2.35% despite a strong quarter of spending among cardholders that helped the credit card company notch record quarterly revenue.
  • 3M also fell 3.65% in spite of beating Wall Street’s forecasts and raising its earnings guidance.

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DAILY UPDATE: Private Market Investment Retirement Plans Up Along with Stock Markets

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Stocks up

  • Lucid exploded 36.24% higher on the news that the EV maker is partnering with Uber to roll out the ridesharing company’s new robotaxis.
  • PepsiCo popped 7.45% thanks to a strong quarter for the snack and soda giant, while shareholders cheered the details of its turnaround plan.
  • United Airlines may have missed Wall Street’s revenue forecast, but its profits were enough to impress investors. Shares rose 3.11%.
  • Reports that Union Pacific is thinking about acquiring a rival sent shares of fellow train operators CSX and Norfolk Southern up 3.73% and 3.65%, respectively.
  • Sarepta Therapeutics soared 19.53% after the biotech announced it will lay off 500 employees and restructure its entire business.
  • Quantumscape continued its hot streak, rising yet another 19.82% thanks to its recent battery breakthrough.
  • Speaking of hot streaks, OpenDoor Technologies rose another 10.74% as retail traders pour into what is quickly becoming the next big meme stock.

Stocks down

  • GE Aerospace crushed earnings expectations and raised its fiscal guidance, but it still wasn’t enough to impress investors, who pushed shares of the engine maker down 2.10%.
  • US Bancorp sank 1.03% after revenue and net interest income missed forecasts last quarter.
  • Abbott Laboratories beat on both top and bottom line guidance, but still fell 8.53% after the pharma company narrowed its fiscal forecasts.
  • Elevance Health tumbled 12.22% af

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President Trump is expected to sign an executive order in the coming days designed to help make private-market investments more available to U.S. retirement plans, according to people familiar with the matter. The order would instruct the Labor Department and the Securities and Exchange Commission to provide guidance to employers and plan administrators on including investments like private assets in 401(k) plans.

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COMMODITIES and STOCKS

By A.I.

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Stocks: Markets started the day on a high note thanks to a fifth straight decline in weekly initial jobless claims and surprisingly strong monthly retail sales. The NASDAQ hit its 10th record closing high of 2025 and the S&P 500 hit its ninth high.

Commodities: Lithium prices popped around the globe after the Chinese government ordered domestic producer Zangge Mining to halt operations. Plus, the US is reportedly set to impose 93.5% tariffs on Chinese imports of graphite, a key component.

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DAILY UPDATE: Medicaid Cuts as Stock Markets Rise

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US measles cases have reached a 33-year high. A little more than halfway into 2025, the US has reported 1,288 measles cases, marking the highest yearly total since 1992, according to data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

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What’s up

  • VC powerhouse and diehard Tolkien fan Peter Thiel revealed he’s taken a 9% stake in bitcoin miner BitMine Immersion Technologies. Shares popped 12.11%, while fellow miners that have also recently invested in ether soared in tandem: SharpLink Gaming added 29.03%, and Bit Digital gained 19.45%.
  • In fact, most crypto stocks had a good day thanks to renewed optimism that Crypto Week isn’t over in Congress. MicroStrategy climbed 3.07% and MARA Holdings jumped 3.62%.
  • Johnson & Johnson rose 6.19% after the consumer goods giant reported impressive earnings last quarter and raised its forward guidance.
  • BrightHouse Financial popped 6.23% on reports that the insurer may be bought by private equity firm Aquarian Holdings.
  • Tesla gained 3.50% after the EV maker revealed the new six-seat Model Y it will begin selling in China this fall.

What’s down

  • ASML dropped 8.33% after the chipmaker warned that growth might be completely flat next year.
  • Ford fell 2.85% on the news that the automaker is recalling nearly 700,000 crossover SUVs due to fuel leaks.
  • GrabAGun Digital Holdings, the online gun seller backed by Donald Trump, Jr., made its market debut today. Investor reception was scathing, and the stock slid 24.19%.

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Though Medicaid cuts in the Trump administration’s budget bill shocked hospitals, providers may start singing its praises after learning they’re due for a pay bump next year. On Monday, the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) shared its proposed 2026 physician fee schedule, which determines Medicare payments based on the amount of resources in provider services like office visits, hospice, diagnostic testing, ambulance care, and more.

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DAILY UPDATE: CPI Up as Sock Markets End Mixed

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The consumer price index, a broad-based measure of goods and services costs, increased 0.3% on the month, putting the 12-month inflation rate at 2.7%, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Tuesday. The numbers were right in line with the Dow Jones consensus. Excluding volatile food and energy prices, core inflation picked up 0.2% on the month, with the annual rate moving to 2.9%, also matching the respective estimates.

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Stocks up

  • Citigroup gained 3.68% after the big bank reported better-than-expected earnings.
  • CoreWeave climbed 6.21% on the news that it will build a $6 billion AI data center in Pennsylvania.
  • Trade Desk jumped 6.59% thanks to its inclusion in the S&P 500, replacing the outgoing Ansys.
  • The Trump administration has launched a probe into drone imports. Drones use polysilicon, a key ingredient for solar panels, and tariffs on the material could help boost profitability for domestic manufacturers like First Solar, which rose 6.90%.
  • National Fuel Gas rose 5.65% after the energy company caught a rare double upgrade from Bank of America analysts, who like the energy company’s improved productivity.

Stocks down

  • BlackRock fell 5.86% after the world’s largest asset manager reported that a single client pulled $52 billion last quarter.
  • It wasn’t a great day for other big banks: Wells Fargo sank 5.43% after cutting its 2025 net interest income guidance, while JPMorgan Chase lost 0.74% despite beating sales and profit estimates.
  • Albertsons tumbled 5.02% even though the grocer reported a solid quarter thanks to strong pharmacy sales and digital revenue.
  • Newmont dropped 5.71% on the news that CFO Karyn Ovelmen is leaving the gold miner.

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DAILY UPDATE: Big Pharma Payouts as Stock Markets Eke Out Rise

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Drug and medical device companies paid at least $13.2 billion to medical professionals in 2024, according to CMS data released June 30th. There’s been steady growth in these payments over the last few years, which include everything from research payments to free meals to promotional or conference fees. Drug and medical device companies paid out $13.1 billion in 2023, $13.1 in 2022, and $12.6 in 2021. If you’re a medical provider, you’ve probably gotten one of those perks from a drug or medical device company and thought it wouldn’t affect your decision-making.

But research suggests physicians are more likely to prescribe drugs from companies that pay them, with some studies specifically associating this with drugs that are costlier to patients. “Really well-trained people who affirm an oath to do no harm can be influenced, and are,” Neil Jay Sehgal, associate professor of health systems and population health at the University of Washington School of Public Health, told Healthcare Brew.

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Stocks Up

  • Bitcoin is booming, and crypto stocks climbed along with it. MicroStrategy rose 3.86%, Robinhood Markets added 1.67%. and Coinbase gained 1.80%.
  • Boeing rose 1.64% on preliminary reports that investigators have found no evidence of malfunction in the plane that crashed in India last month. Engine-maker GE Aerospace also gained 2.71%.
  • Warner Bros Discovery climbed 2.39% thanks to a strong opening weekend for the new Superman movie.
  • Autodesk popped 5.05% on the news that it is not pursuing an acquisition of rival software maker PTC. PTC fell 1.25%.
  • Kenvue, the company behind Band Aids and Listerine, gained 2.18% after kicking its CEO to the curb.
  • PayPal climbed 3.55% despite the news that JPMorgan will start charging the fintech fees for access to customer data.

Stocks Down

  • Starbucks sank 1.60% on news that employees will have to return to the office four days a week. Shareholders were also unimpressed with the coffee giant’s new secret menu.
  • Synopsys stumbled 1.74% after getting regulatory approval from Chinese authorities to acquire software designer Ansys for $35 billion. Ansys rose 3.03% on the news.
  • Waters plunged 13.81% on the news that it will merge with Becton Dickinson’s bioscience and diagnostic solutions business in a $17.5 billion deal.
  • Rivian Automotive lost 2.15% thanks to a downgrade from Guggenheim analysts, who forecast soft sales for the automaker’s latest models.

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Bitcoin, Stocks, Oil, Gold and Silver

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  • Stocks: The major Wall Street stock indexes languished. The S&P pulled back from its record high to close the week just a bit lower, but the NASDAQ managed to post a gain across the week.
  • Crypto: Bitcoin hit a new high-water mark above $118,000. Next week, July 14th, Congress hosts “Crypto Week” to discuss regulating the industry in a growth-oriented manner.
  • Commodities: Silver rose to its highest level since 2011, and it’s been even hotter than gold. The metal is up ~27% this year. Oil, meanwhile, ticked higher on speculation that President Trump will place more sanctions on Russia early next week.

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DAILY UPDATE: CVS & Merck as Stock Markets Struggle

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CVS has threatened to close 23 pharmacies in Arkansas after the state passed a law banning companies that own pharmacy benefit managers (PBMs) from also operating pharmacies starting in 2026.

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What’s up stocks

  • Kraft Heinz jumped 2.53% following a WSJ report it was preparing to break itself up (but not back to Kraft and Heinz).
  • Companies in the drone sector rose after the Pentagon introduced measures to supercharge production and deployment. Red Cat rose 26.40%, AeroVironment 11.04%, and Kratos Defense & Security Solutions 11.76%.
  • Performance Food Group jumped 4.84% to a record after reportedly being eyed by US Foods Holding for a takeover. A combined company would become the top foodservice distributor in the US with combined sales of ~$100 billion.
  • AMC Entertainment popped 11% on an upgrade from Wedbush. It’s tired of IMAX hogging the Brew Markets spotlight…

What’s down stocks

  • Delta (-0.23%) and United (-4.34%) took a breather after their big celebration on Thursday post-Delta earnings.
  • Penn Entertainment got hit 7.62% when gaming revenue for Iowa and Indiana came in soft.
  • Sunrun’s up-and-down week ended…down, with the solar stock falling 7%.

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Stat: $10 billion. That’s how much Merck is paying to buy UK-based biopharmaceutical Verona Pharma. (CNBC)

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DAILY UPDATE: Measles Cases Up as Stock Markets Rise

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US measles cases have reached a 33-year high. A little more than halfway into 2025, the US has reported 1,288 measles cases, marking the highest yearly total since 1992, according to data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

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Stocks up

  • Cereal legend WK Kellogg popped 30.57% after chocolate giant Ferrero agreed to acquire it for north of $3 billion.
  • Tesla (+4.73%) continued to rebound from its plunge on Monday. Elon Musk said that Tesla’s robotaxi service would expand into the Bay Area “probably in a month or two” and that his AI chatbot Grok is coming to Tesla vehicles by next week.
  • Estée Lauder gained 6.32% after Bank of America slapped a buy rating on the stock, implying a 27% upside from Wednesday’s closing price. 
  • ProKidney continued its remarkable rally, rising another 19.35%, after the biotech announced positive trial results for its diabetes treatment. It’s gone from a penny stock to a $1.55 billion market cap in the past four days.
  • Copper companies Freeport-McMoRan (+3.51%) and Southern Copper (+2.34%) gained thanks to Trump’s announcement that copper tariffs would begin on August 1.

Stocks down

  • Biotech partners Ultragenyx (-25.11%) and Mereo BioPharma Group (-42.52%) plunged after issuing a disappointing update on their trial of a treatment for a rare genetic bone condition.
  • Vertiv, the maker of liquid cooling equipment, declined 5.96% when Amazon said it was rolling out a new liquid cooling system for its AI servers.
  • Hydro Flask owner Helen of Troy tumbled 22.71% after reporting a $450 million loss in its fiscal first quarter. CEO Brian Grass said “tariff-related impacts” were its Achilles heel.
  • Autodesk fell 6.89% after Bloomberg reported on Wednesday it was weighing a takeover of rival engineering software company PTC.

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DAILY UPDATE: Stock Markets Surge!

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Nvidia: Worth 4-trillion dollars.

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Stocks up

  • Hims & Hers Health gained 4.62% after announcing it will sell generic semaglutide in Canada when Novo Nordisk’s patent for Ozempic and Wegovy expires in January.
  • Merck shareholders applauded its move to buy respiratory drugmaker Verona Pharma for $10 billion, sending its stock up 2.88%.
  • Rhythm Pharmaceuticals popped 36.63% thanks to a promising new trial for its oral obesity treatment.
  • AES, a renewable power company that counts Microsoft among its clients, jumped 19.87% after Bloomberg reported it was considering a sale.
  • Fashion names Ralph Lauren (+2.10%) and Coach owner Tapestry (+3.31%) hit record highs.

Stocks down

  • WPP cut its guidance and watched its stock fall 18.11% as a result. The ad giant is dealing with a laundry list of challenges, from AI disrupting the industry to clients spending less to finding a new CEO.
  • Medical device maker RxSight plunged 37.84% after slashing its full-year revenue forecast.
  • T-Mobile ticked 1.55% lower after getting a downgrade from KeyBanc, which said its weakness in fiber internet would prevent it from catching up to rival AT&T.
  • Mobileye, which makes self-driving tech and was spun out of Intel, fell 7.08% when Intel said it was selling 45 million shares.

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DAILY UPDATE: Women’s Health, and Commodities, as Stock Markets Struggle

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Record VC investments for women’s health: Venture-backed women’s health startups experienced unprecedented investment last year, according to a new SVB report. The report examines the factors driving such record-breaking funding—like growing recognition of how various health conditions affect women differently and disproportionately, plus the causes and biological drivers behind this imbalance. Read it here.

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  • Stocks: Investors mostly yawned and the major indexes held steady a day after President Trump reignited his trade war by announcing higher tariffs would go into effect on 14 countries starting August 1st. Wall Street banks don’t seem concerned either, as Goldman Sachs and Bank of America became the latest strategists to raise their year-end target for the S&P 500.
  • Commodities: Copper futures popped as much as 17% to a new record, the largest intra-day gain since at least 1988, after Trump said he plans to place a 50% tariff on copper imports.

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DAILY UPDATE: FBI and FDA as Stock Markets Crash

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  • The FBI has uncovered $14.6 billion worth of fraudulent claims submitted to Medicare, Medicaid and other government health care programs, the agency said on Monday in conjunction with the Department of Justice (DOJ). The investigation resulted in 324 defendants being charged, including 96 medical professionals.
  • Now, the DOJ, FBI and HHS say they are collaborating to create a health care data fusion center that will help them identify, investigate and prosecute health care fraud.
  • And yesterday, the entities announced a DOJ-HHS False Claims Act Working Group, in which HHS will refer potential False Claims Act violations to the DOJ. Read more about the working group, its members and its goals here.

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Stocks: US equities tumbled from record highs, dragged down by megacaps, as President Trump reignited the dormant trade war with fresh tariff warnings against major trading partners (more on that in a sec). Meanwhile, the dollar bounced 0.5% against a basket of other currencies.

Commodities: Oil gained despite OPEC+ deciding to raise crude production by 548,000 barrels per day beginning in August, a larger-than-expected increase. Ultimately, Wall Street analysts expect oil futures to drop below $60 a barrel by the end of the year due to the increase in production.

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Read: FDA Commissioner Marty Makary MD is revamping the agency, with plans to use more AI assistance. (the Wall Street Journal)

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DAILY UPDATE: OpenAI & Microsoft as Stock Markets Surge

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OpenAI is giving its employees a mandatory week long vacation to stave off a poaching spree launched by Meta.

Microsoft announced another round of layoffs—its largest in years—expected to impact thousands of workers across Xbox and other divisions, including 830 from its Redmond, Washington, HQ.

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The S&P 500 and NASDAQ Composite tallied fresh record closing highs on Thursday, buoyed by a stronger-than-expected jobs report that helped dampen expectations for a Federal Reserve interest-rate cut in July. But after lagging their trendier rivals earlier in the year, the Russell 2000 and Dow Jones Industrial Average are finally starting to play catch up. On Thursday, the Russell 2000 turned positive for 2025 for the first time since February, as a rally that started in June has accelerated in July.

Many investors have been waiting patiently for small-cap stocks to break out. But aside from a few false starts over the past two years, they have mostly continued to lag their large-cap rivals. However, some investors believe things could finally be changing.

A team of strategists at Barclays pointed out on Wednesday that a proposed increase to interest-expense tax deductions in President Trump’s budget bill could boost small-cap companies’ earnings by double digits, due to their higher interest burdens. “This market broadening out is a heathy sign,” said Craig Johnson, chief market technician at Piper Sandler, during an interview with MarketWatch on Thursday. More small-cap participation inevitably means investors are developing more of a taste for stocks beyond information technology, which powered much of the market’s gains in 2023 and 2024.

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Friday, July 4, 2025

  • All U.S. markets will be closed in observance of Independence Day.
  • There will be no Pre-Market or After-Hours trading sessions.

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DAILY UPDATE: Human Genome Project as the Dow and NASDAQ Diverge

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When it comes to scientific achievements that have advanced the practice of medicine, you’d be hard-pressed to find one more influential than the Human Genome Project. The project, a federally funded collaboration between scientists around the globe, began in October 1990 with the goal of improving our knowledge of human biology by sequencing an entire human genome, which is the complete set of DNA in a cell. Nearly 13 years and $2.7 billion later, the project wrapped up in April 2003, and scientists around the world now use the reference human genome to study genetics, biology, and more. Today, the entire human genome can be sequenced in as little as five hours and costs as little as $600. Learn more about the Human Genome Project’s impact here.

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🟢 What’s up

  • Jack in the Box popped like a…well, you know…after activist investor Biglari Capital reportedly accrued a 10% stake in the fast-food company. Shares rose 7.86%.
  • Robinhood Markets climbed 6.12% on speculation that it may be added to the S&P 500 to fill the spot left by Juniper Networks.
  • Rigetti Computing rose 15.45% after Cantor Fitzgerald analysts initiated their coverage of the quantum computing company with an “overweight” rating.
  • Verint Systems jumped 15.33% on reports that the customer service software maker may be acquired by Thoma Bravo.
  • Corona parent company Constellation Brands gained 4.48% after it reiterated its fiscal guidance, assuring shareholders that aluminum tariffs will only cost the company about $20 million.
  • Crypto companies gained across the board after bitcoin miner BitMine Immersion Technologies announced it’s pivoting to ethereum. BitMine rose 21.17%, MARA Holdings gained 13.38%, and CleanSpark climbed 12.64%.

What’s down

  • Centene plunged 40.37% after the health insurer rescinded its fiscal 2025 guidance, warning that EPS will come in lower than anticipated.
  • Centene’s news pulled the rest of the health insurance industry down with it. UnitedHealth Group lost 5.70%, CVS Health fell 4.28%, Elevance Health stumbled 11.50%, and Molina Healthcare dropped 21.97%.
  • Paramount Global sank 2.43% after the company settled its 60 Minutes lawsuit with President Trump for $16 million.
  • Marvell Technology slipped 2.61% on reports that Microsoft is cutting back on manufacturing AI chips in-house.
  • Intel lost 4.25% on the news that it may be shifting the strategy behind its foundry business.

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Stocks, Bonds & Commodities

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DAILY UPDATE: Crude Oil Prices Reverse as Stock Markets Diverge

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Power station: Crude oil prices reversed as tensions in the Middle East cooled, but AI likely raises electricity demand over the longer term, creating investment opportunities and risks.

Oil supplies now exceed demand, noted Michelle Gibley, director of international research at the Schwab Center for Financial Research, in her latest analysis, though “AI is transforming the energy sector,” raising power shortage concerns.

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🟢 What’s up

  • Solar stocks got a reprieve today after the Senate dropped the excise tax on clean energy projects. Sunrun soared 10.51%, Enphase Energy rose 3.18%, SolarEdge Technologies popped 7.16%, and Array Technologies climbed 12.54%.
  • Apple tumbled this summer after investors were disappointed by its AI rollout, but rose 1.29% on the news that the company may pivot to using Anthropic or OpenAI in iPhones instead of building something in-house.
  • Wolfspeed, the best name for a company that makes computer chips, exploded 98.09% after the company officially filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy.
  • Hasbro got a nice 4.29% bump thanks to Goldman Sachs analysts, who are big old nerds who think Magic: The Gathering will boost the toymaker’s sales.
  • Ford popped 4.61% after the automaker reported an impressive 14% increase in sales last quarter.
  • Casino stocks soared on the news that gaming revenue in Macau rose 19% in June. Wynn Resorts climbed 8.85%, Las Vegas Sands added 8.95%, and MGM Resorts gained 7.24%.

What’s down

  • AMC Entertainment tumbled 9.03% after the one-time meme stock announced its new debt restructuring plan.
  • Progress Software sank 13.03% after the business application software company reported mixed results last quarter, beating on profit but missing on revenue.
  • Joby Aviation fell 7.01% after traders took profits following the air taxi company’s big pop yesterday.
  • AeroVironment dropped 11.42% after defense contractor announced it’s offering $750 million in common stock and $600 million in convertible senior notes to pay off its debt.
  • Diabetes device makers tumbled on the news that the government may change the reimbursement rate for glucose monitors and insulin pumps. Insulet lost 4.52%, Dexcom fell 4.25%, and Beta Bionics sank 4.26%.

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Financial Monte Carlo Simulation’s FLAW and FIXES

Physicians Must Understand Deus ex Machina

[By Wayne J. Firebaugh Jr; CPA, CFP®, CMP™]

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wayne-firebaughNamed after Monte Carlo, Monaco, which is famous for its games of chance, MCS is a software technique that randomly changes a variable over numerous iterations in order to simulate an outcome and develop a probability forecast of successfully achieving an outcome.

Endowment Fund Perspective

In private portfolio and fund endowment management, MCS is used to demonstrate the probability of “success” as defined by achieving the endowment’s asset growth and payout goals. In other words, MCS can provide the endowment manager with a comfort level that a given payout policy and asset allocation success will not deplete the real value of the endowment.

Divorce from Judgment

The problem with many quantitative software and other tools is the divorce of judgment from their use. Although useful, both mean variance optimization MVO and MCS have limitations that make it so they should not supplant the physician investor or endowment manager’s experience. MVO generates an efficient frontier by relying upon several inputs: expected return, expected volatility, and correlation coefficients. These variables are commonly input using historical measures as proxies for estimated future performance. This poses a variety of problems.

Problems with MCS 

First, the MVO will generally assume that returns are normally distributed and that this distribution is stationary. As such, asset classes with high historical returns are assumed to have high future returns.

Second, an MVO optimizer is not generally time sensitive. In other words, the optimizer may ignore current environmental conditions that would cause a secular shift in a given asset class returns.

Finally, an MVO optimizer may be subject to selection bias for certain asset classes. For example, private equity firms that fail will no longer report results and will be eliminated from the index used to provide the optimizer’s historical data [1].

Example:

As an example, David Loeper, CEO of Wealthcare Capital Management, made the following observation regarding optimization:

Take a small cap “bet” for our theoretical [endowment] with an S&P 500 investment policy. It is hard to imagine that someone in 1979, looking at a 9% small cap stock return premium and corresponding 14% higher standard deviation for the last twenty years, would forecast the relationship over the next twenty years to shift to small caps under-performing large caps by nearly 2% and their standard deviation being less than 2% higher than the 20-year standard deviation of large caps in 1979 [2].

Table: Compares the returns, standard deviations for large and small cap stocks for the 20-year periods ended in 1979 and 1999.  Twenty Year Risk & Return Small Cap vs. Large Cap (Ibbotson Data).

1979 1999
Risk Return Correlation Risk Return Correlation
Small Cap Stocks 30.8% 17.4% 78.0% 18.1% 16.9% 59.0%
Large Cap Stocks 16.5% 8.1% 13.1% 18.6%

*Reproduced from “Asset Allocation Math, Methods and Mistakes.” Wealthcare Capital Management White Paper, David B. Loeper, CIMA, CIMC (June 2, 2001).

More Problems with MCS

David Nawrocki identified a number of problems with typical MCS as being that most optimizers assume “normal distributions and correlation coefficients of zero, neither of which are typical in the world of financial markets.”

Dr. Nawrocki subsequently describes a number of other issues with MCS including nonstationary distributions and nonlinear correlations.

Finally, Dr. Nawrocki quotes Harold Evensky who eloquently notes that “[t]he problem is the confusion of risk with uncertainty.

Risk assumes knowledge of the distribution of future outcomes (i.e., the input to the Monte Carlo simulation).

Uncertainty or ambiguity describes a world (our world) in which the shape and location of the distribution is open to question.

Contrary to academic orthodoxy, the distribution of U.S. stock market returns is far from “normal”. Other critics have noted that many MCS simulators do not run enough iterations to provide a meaningful probability analysis.

Assessment 

Some of these criticisms have been addressed by using MCS simulators with more robust correlation assumptions and with a greater number of iterative trials. In addition, some simulators now combine MVO and MCS to determine probabilities along the efficient frontier.

Conclusion

Your thoughts and comments on this ME-P are appreciated. Feel free to review our top-left column, and top-right sidebar materials, links, URLs and related websites, too. Then, subscribe to the ME-P. It is fast, free and secure.

Speaker: If you need a moderator or speaker for an upcoming event, Dr. David E. Marcinko; MBA – Publisher-in-Chief of the Medical Executive-Post – is available for seminar or speaking engagements. Contact: MarcinkoAdvisors@msn.com

OUR OTHER PRINT BOOKS AND RELATED INFORMATION SOURCES:

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FINANCE: Financial Planning for Physicians and Advisors

References:

1. Clark, S.E. and Yates, T.T., Jr. “How Efficient is your Frontier?” Commonfund Institute White Paper (November 2003).

2. Loeper, D.B., CIMA, CIMC. “Asset Allocation Math, Methods, and Mistakes.” Wealthcare Capital Management White Paper (June 2001).

3. Nawrocki, D., Ph.D. “The Problems with Monte Carlo Simulation.” FPA Journal (November 2001).

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Liberation Day Comeback

By A.I.

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The S&P 500 closed within a hair of a new record yesterday marking an enormous comeback that followed the April announcement of “Liberation Day” tariffs.

Despite a persistent vibe of uncertainty related to US economic policy and geopolitics:

  • The S&P 500 closed less than 0.1% away from a record high which it notched in February before cratering nearly 20% in April. The index has regained ground in fits and starts since then and briefly surpassed its record in intra-day trading yesterday.
  • On Monday, the tech-heavy NASDAQ 100 one-upped the broader market and logged its highest-ever close. It came after President Trump said Israel and Iran agreed to a ceasefire, which eased investors’ concerns about a potential oil crisis.

According to Morning Brew, between unresolved geopolitical conflicts and President Trump’s still-unfolding tariff policies, a portfolio manager with Capital Wealth Planning, Kevin Simpson, told CNBC that he was “surprised by the magnitude of the rebound.”

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DAILY UPDATE: 23andMe as Stock Markets Rise

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Stat: $305 million. That’s how much 23andMe co-founder and former CEO Anne Wojcicki’s nonprofit paid to acquire the genetics company. (CNN)

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What’s up

  • Building products distributor GMS soared 11.73% on the news that Home Depot will acquire the company for $4.3 billion. Home Depot fell 0.50%.
  • Moderna climbed 1.58% after reporting positive late-stage trial results for its experimental flu vaccine.
  • Palantir rose 4.27% after announcing that Accenture will help federal government clients implement the defense tech company’s AI offerings. Accenture rose 1.16% as well.
  • Joby Aviation flew 11.76% higher after the eVTOL company delivered its first flying taxi to the UAE.
  • Oracle jumped 3.99% thanks to regulatory filings that revealed a new $30 billion annual cloud deal that should prop up its finances quite nicely.
  • Hewlett Packard Enterprise popped 11.08% after the Department of Justice settled its lawsuit with the server maker, clearing the way for it to acquire Juniper Networks for $14 billion. Juniper jumped 8.45% on the news.
  • Robinhood Markets rose 12.77% as the trading app makes a big international push with tokenized equities for European investors.

What’s down

  • Tesla tumbled 1.84% on the news that the Senate version of the tax bill will end credits for EV purchases after September. Elon Musk was not pleased.
  • Gotta pay for that wedding somehow: Amazon sank 1.75% after founder Jeff Bezos announced he’s selling $5.4 billion worth of shares.
  • Boeing’s financial outlook was upgraded to “stable” by Fitch, but the stock still fell 2.32% on news that its acquisition of Spirit Aerosystems faces antitrust scrutiny in the UK.

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Deals, Stocks and the FOMC

By A.I.

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  • Deals: Stocks popped at the open yesterday on the news that Canada has rescinded the digital services tax in order to lure the US back to the negotiating table. Meanwhile, Bloomberg reported that the EU will accept a 10% universal tariff in exchange for some key concessions.
  • Stocks: The S&P 500 and the NASDAQ both hit new record highs today, with the S&P 500 wrapping up its best quarter since Q4 20
  • The Fed: President Trump published a handwritten note asking Jerome Powell to cut interest rates, even as the White House considers new ways to replace the Fed Chair. Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs now sees the chances of the Fed cutting interest rates in September as “somewhat above 50%.”

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VIX FEAR INDEX: Down

By AI

CBOE Volatility Index

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There’s a lot of confidence in markets these days, and nowhere is that more apparent than in the VIX, aka the CBOE Volatility Index, aka aka the Fear Index.

According to Brew Markets, the VIX literally measures the market’s expectation of volatility based on S&P 500 index options, but it’s become a shorthand way of quantifying investors’ fear or confidence. Any time the VIX rises above 30, it’s taken as a sign of some serious trepidation in the market—but anytime it falls below 20, the market is calm, cool, and collected.

The VIX skyrocketed to over 50 on Liberation Day as investors fretted over what tariffs meant for their portfolios, but it’s been gradually falling ever since. As the chart above shows, the VIX just fell below its key support level of 17—a mark it has failed to break below recently, and a move that underlines investors’ confidence that the good times will keep rolling.

VIX: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2025/04/20/vix-stock-market-fear-gauge-update/

Whether or not that confidence is misplaced remains to be seen.

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STOCK MARKETS: Rally Onward!

By A.I.

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Markets: That feeling when you have a $10 trillion rally. To wit:

The S&P 500 closed at a record high this week despite a brief dip as trade tensions with Canada ratcheted up. That puts the index about 20% up from its April low, when the broad tariff announcement sent it spiraling, and up ~5% for the year.

NVIDIA also hit an all-time high, and it keeps edging closer to becoming the first company to hit a $4 trillion valuation.

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Stocks and Deals

By A.I.

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  • Deals: The US and China revealed the details of their trade deal framework, easing restrictions on rare earth metals and semiconductor chips. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick promised up to 10 more deals are on their way ahead of the July 9th tariff-pause deadline, but that probably won’t include Canada: President Trump ended all trade discussions with the country thanks to a dispute over the digital services tax.
  • Stocks: Indexes climbed at the open thanks to the deal with China, but they tumbled on news of a fallout with Canada. Still, the S&P 500 managed to post its 1,245th new all-time high, while the NASDAQ booked its own record close. The Dow trundled higher as well, though it’s still about 1,600 points below its previous record.

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DAILY UPDATE: Health Insurance Options as Bull Market Edges Upward

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A June 11th report from global professional services firm Alvarez & Marsal (A&M) predicts that more beneficiaries might soon ditch insurance coverage for options like short-term, limited duration plans or healthcare sharing ministries (HCSMs), which aren’t regulated like health insurance and aren’t required to comply with ACA protections like covering maternity care or pre-existing conditions.

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🟢 What’s up

  • Nvidia extended its winning streak to five days, rising another 1.73% as the AI trade continues to recover.
  • EchoStar climbed 13.16% after the parent company of Dish TV disclosed that President Trump did in fact prod the FCC to make a deal.
  • Cyngn soared another 20.07% following a big day of gains after the company that makes self-driving tech for industrial vehicles announced a partnership with Nvidia.
  • Strong earnings from Nike (more on that later) propelled sporting goods stocks higher today. ON Holdings rose 1.74%, while Dick’s Sporting Goods climbed 3.59%.
  • Domestic power producers popped on reports that Trump is planning to issue an executive order increasing energy production to meet AI demand. Vistra gained 2.44%, GE Vernova climbed 2.54%, and Vertiv added 2.71%.

What’s down

  • Coinbase Global ended its winning streak, tumbling 5.77% after GENIUS Act hype propelled the crypto stock skyward all week long. Traders took profits in Circle as well, pushing the stablecoin stock down 15.54%.
  • Chinese EV maker Li Auto fell 1.93% on its weaker-than-expected deliveries forecast for the second quarter.
  • Fellow Chinese EV maker Xiaomi stunned markets with reports that it received 240,000 orders for its new SUV within 18 hours of its debut, but shares still sank 4%.
  • Pony.ai lost 6.31% on a report that Uber is considering helping its founder Travis Kalanick fund his acquisition of the US subsidiary of the Chinese autonomous vehicle company.
  • Gold miners tumbled while the price of the precious metal fell as investors took a risk-on stance. Newmont lost 4.11%, Barrick Mining fell 3.44%, and Kinross Gold shed 6.18%.
  • Today’s trade deal reopens the door for Chinese rare earth imports, bad news for US producers like MP Materials (down 8.59%) and USA Rare Earth (down 12.14%).

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Stocks, Deals and Commodities

BY A.I.

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Stocks: The S&P 500 briefly traded a few cents above its February all-time closing high yesterday afternoon, but couldn’t sustain the gain and fell just short at the end of the day. The NASDAQ remains inches away from its record high as well.

Deals: The end of the 90-day tariff pause is less than two weeks away, but the White House said that the July 9th deadline “is not critical.”

Meanwhile, the Treasury Department is doing everything it can to make the dreaded “revenge tax” in the big, beautiful bill irrelevant.

Commodities: Gold and oil had muted moves upward but copper climbed to a three-month high after Goldman Sachs analysts warned of shortages ahead

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DAILY UPDATE: Nvidia and MSFT Reach New Highs as Stock Markets Surge!

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🟢 What’s up

  • Nvidia and Microsoft both set new record highs as the AI trade continues to revive. Nvidia rose 0.46%, while Microsoft climbed 1.05%.
  • Core Scientific exploded 33.01% on reports from the Wall Street Journal that the bitcoin miner may be acquired by AI company CoreWeave.
  • Serve Robotics gained 9.87% after the delivery robot maker launched its service on the streets of Atlanta today.
  • McCormick is looking spicy: The consumer goods company rose 5.31% after earnings outpaced analyst forecasts.
  • Penn Entertainment rose 4.94% after the gambling company was upgraded by analysts at Citizens, who think the stock’s underperformance is about to reverse.
  • Solar stocks may be thrown a lifeline by the Senate, which is considering keeping some clean energy tax credits in the spending bill. Enphase Energy popped 12.83%, SunRun rose 6.46%, and SolarEdge Technologies climbed 5.11%.
  • Copper miners popped as prices of the precious metal rose today. FreeportMcMoRan jumped 6.85%, Southern Copper Corp. climbed 7.79%, and Anglo American plc added 7.16%.

What’s down

  • Micron Technology lost 0.98% despite the chipmaker reporting fiscal third quarter results that beat Wall Street’s expectations.
  • Kratos Defense and Security Solutions sank 2.36% after the military tech company announced it will sell $500 million worth of stock to raise money for capital spending.
  • Equinix crumbled another 9.56% after a terrible fiscal outlook pushed Raymond James and BMO analysts to downgrade the internet services company.

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Stocks, Economics & Commodities

By AI

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  • Stocks: The S&P 500 and NASDAQ started the day inches away from their all-time highs, but the market rally faltered in mid-afternoon as relief from an Israel/Iran ceasefire faded and investors turned their attention to Friday’s PCE report.
  • Economy: Speaking of inflation, Jerome Powell stuck to his guns during his second day of congressional testimony, endorsing a wait-and-see mentality. President Trump is apparently tired of waiting, and says he has “3 or 4” candidates in mind to replace Powell.
  • Commodities: Oil bounced back after posting its biggest two-day decline since 2022.

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