DAILY UPDATE: Capital One Settles Litigation as S&P 500 Rises

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Capital One has agreed to pay $425 million to settle nationwide litigation accusing it of cheating savings account depositors out of much higher interest rates by not telling them they could move their money to higher-yielding accounts. A notice describing the preliminary settlement was filed on Friday evening in U.S. federal court in Alexandria, Virginia. The accord requires a judge’s approval.

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The S&P 500 is just 3% below its record high set in mid-February, when President Donald Trump launched a trade war that began with Canada and Mexico. That puts the index around bull market territory and marks a stunning rebound from just a month ago as markets crashed after Trump unveiled his “Liberation Day” tariffs.

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Stat: $159.4 million. That’s the total paid out to six CEOs at the country’s top payers in 2024. (Fierce Healthcare)

Quote:They couldn’t make the economics work quickly. Changing the way Americans receive healthcare services just looks like a very long slog.”—Julie Utterback, senior equity analyst at investment research firm Morningstar, on big retail chain investments in clinical care (Modern Healthcare)

Read: Could California’s experiment with near-universal healthcare be nearing its end? (KFF Health News)

Visualize: How private equity tangled banks in a web of debt, from the Financial Times.

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LANGUAGE: Cognitive Science & Linguistics Defined

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Cognitive science is the interdisciplinary study of the mind and cognition. According to linguistics Professor Mackenzie H. Marcinko PhD, it combines various aspects from neuroscience, computer science, psychology, philosophy, linguistics, anthropology, and other fields, into a comprehensive study on the nature of intelligence.

Cognitive Science: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2025/03/28/theory-linguistics-and-cognitive-sciences/

Linguistics is the scientific study of language and its structure, including the study of morphology, syntax, phonetics, and semantics. Specific branches of linguistics include sociolinguistics, dialectology, psycholinguistics, computational linguistics, historical-comparative linguistics and applied linguistics.

Healthcare Natural Language Processing: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2021/05/18/podcast-healthcare-artificial-intelligence-machine-learning-and-natural-language-processing/

Now, language and linguistics are closely related fields of study but they have distinct focuses.

Language refers to the system of communication used by humans, encompassing spoken, written, and signed forms. It is a means of expressing thoughts, ideas, and emotions.

On the other hand, linguistics is the scientific study of language itself. It examines the structure, sounds, meaning, and evolution of languages, as well as how they are acquired and used by individuals and communities.

While language is a broader concept that encompasses various forms of communication, linguistics delves into the intricate details and mechanics of language, aiming to understand its underlying principles and patterns.

Google Language: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2023/12/07/gemini-googles-large-language-model-released/

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DAILY UPDATE: PBMs, Cable Companies Merge as Stock Markets Rise

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Arkansas just passed a first-if-its-kind law banning vertical integration between pharmacy benefit managers (PBMs) and pharmacies. Arkansas Governor Sarah Huckabee Sanders on April 16th signed a law prohibiting any company that owns a PBM from also owning or operating pharmacies in the state. The goal of the law is to eliminate “conflicts of interest” that lead to higher drug prices and care delays, according to a press release.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

🟢 What’s up

  • Nvidia climbed 0.42% on reports that the US and United Arab Emirates are nearing a deal that would allow the UAE to import 500,000 chips per year. But shares lost some ground after the company denied reports that it will build a new R&D center in Shanghai.
  • Galaxy Digital made its long-awaited debut on the Nasdaq today, with the crypto/data center company climbing 4.06%. The company is reportedly in conversation with the SEC to tokenize its stock.
  • Virgin Galactic rocketed 43.28% higher on the space tourism company’s announcement that it will restart commercial spaceflights.
  • Coinbase climbed 9.01% after Oppenheimer analysts said the market’s reaction to recent news of a hack and an SEC probe were “overblown.”
  • CoreWeave soared 22.09% after Nvidia disclosed a larger stake in the data center provider than expected.
  • Quantum computing stocks popped on news that the company Quantum Computing has finished laying the groundwork for a quantum chip foundry. Shares of Quantum Computing rose 39.29%, while D-Wave Quantum gained 11.06%.
  • Archer Aviation soared 9.11% after being named the Official Air Taxi Provider of the 2028 Los Angeles Olympic and Paralympic Games, which sounds made up but is apparently very impressive.
  • Vistra Corp popped 3.06% on the news that it has acquired seven natural gas facilities from Lotus Infrastructure Partners for $1.9 billion.

What’s down

  • Novo Nordisk slipped 2.69% on the news that its CEO is stepping down after eight years at the helm, due to the pharma giant’s recent challenges.
  • Applied Materials sank 5.25% after the semiconductor maker’s revenue last quarter came in under analyst estimates.
  • Cava crumbled 2.27% thanks to financial forecasts of slower growth for the salad bowl chain in the coming year.
  • Take-Two Interactive Software lost 2.41% due to weaker-than-expected projections for net bookings this quarter and this year.
  • Doximity plunged 10.08% after the healthcare platform issued fiscal guidance for the current quarter and full year that came in below analyst expectations.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/tj8smmes

Two of the biggest cable companies in the United States have agreed to merge, marking a major milestone in consolidation as cord-cutters continue to ditch their pricey TV packages, thus forcing companies to adjust to their dwindling futures. Charter Communications, which operates under the Spectrum branding, is combining with its privately held rival Cox Communications, which it values at $34.5 billion including debt, the two companies announced Friday.

Visualize: How private equity tangled banks in a web of debt, from the Financial Times.

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Stock Markets Up Slightly, Recession Still Possible as Oil Tumbles

By Staff Reporters

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  • Markets started the day down yesterday but regained lost ground throughout the afternoon as investors decided that any day with no new tariff announcements is a good day.
  • Be advised: Fed Chair Jerome Powell warned that “supply shocks” pose a challenge for the economy, and that interest rates may need to remain higher for longer. Meanwhile, JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon said a recession is still on the table.
  • Oil took a tumble on comments by President Trump that the US is nearing a deal with Iran over its nuclear program that could lift sanctions against the country.

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SPEAKING: Dr. Marcinko will be speaking and lecturing, signing and opining, teaching and preaching, storming and performing at many locations throughout the USA this year! His tour of witty and serious pontifications may be scheduled on a planned or ad-hoc basis; for public or private meetings and gatherings; formally, informally, or over lunch or dinner. All medical societies, financial advisory firms or Broker-Dealers are encouraged to submit a RFP for speaking engagements: MarcinkoAdvisors@outlook.com 

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DAILY UPDATE: UnitedHealth Group Alert as Stocks End Slightly Mixed

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The Justice Department is investigating UnitedHealth Group for possible criminal Medicare fraud, the WSJ reported. The healthcare-fraud unit of the Justice Department’s criminal division is overseeing the investigation and it has been an active probe since at least last summer. Apparently the federal investigation is focusing on the company’s Medicare Advantage business practices. UnitedHealth said in a statement it hadn’t been notified by the Justice Department of the criminal investigation. The statement said the company stands “by the integrity of the Medicare Advantage program.”

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

🟢 What’s up

  • Foot Locker exploded 85.70% on the news that Dick’s Sporting Goods will acquire the footwear retailer for $2.4 billion. Dick’s shares sank 14.58%.
  • Speaking of shoes, Boot Barn soared 16.66% thanks to the Western footwear seller’s record revenue last quarter.
  • And in more shoe news, Birkenstock gained 5.89% after the purveyor of the world’s ugliest sandals missed revenue estimates but beat on profits.
  • Under Armour rose 4.47% after the sportswear retailer issued a “meh” earnings report and pulled its fiscal forecast.
  • Cisco climbed 4.85% after the networking company beat Wall Street analysts’ expectations and also issued better-than-expected fiscal guidance.
  • Hopefully you botta ’da stock: Ibotta rocketed 20.01% higher on strong earnings for the cash-back app.

What’s down

  • Apple fell 0.41% on news that President Trump scolded Tim Cook for trying to build iPhones in India.
  • Meta Platforms dropped 2.35% thanks to a Wall Street Journal report that the social media giant has delayed the debut of its flagship AI model.
  • UnitedHealth Group plummeted 10.93% on a Wall Street Journal report that the health insurer is being investigated for criminal Medicare fraud.
  • Ubisoft plunged 13.28% after the video game studio reported a 20.5% decline in net bookings last quarter.
  • Coinbase crumbled 7.20% on news that hackers bribed employees to steal customer information and that it will take $400 million to fix the mess.
  • DXC Technology sank 3.26% thanks to shockingly low fiscal guidance from the IT company.
  • Fiserv’s CFO said that the fintech’s retail payment system will see similar volume next quarter. Shareholders hoping for stronger growth were disappointed and pushed shares down 16.19%.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/tj8smmes

Visualize: How private equity tangled banks in a web of debt, from the Financial Times.

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DAILY UPDATE: Rite Aid and MSFT Down as Markets End Mixed

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Rite Aid has announced that it is set to close 115 stores as part of the Chapter 11 bankruptcy proceedings it began earlier this month. The company published a slate of 47 closing stores in an initial filing in the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the District of New Jersey and added 68 more locations in a May 9th filing. 

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🟢 What’s up

  • Nvidia climbed 3.97% on CEO Jensen Huang’s announcement of a partnership with Saudi Arabia-backed Humain to build a 500 megawatt data center.
  • Advanced Micro Devices popped 4.18% after it, too, revealed it’s helping Humain out. The chipmaker’s board also authorized a $6 billion stock buyback program.
  • Super Micro Computer continued to rally, soaring another 15.69% on the back of Raymond James analysts’ initiating their coverage with an “outperform” rating.
  • Boeing climbed 0.59% thanks to a $96 billion deal with Qatar Airlines to buy up to 210 aircraft.
  • Oklo jumped 14.12% after the nuclear power startup revealed a smaller-than-expected loss last quarter.
  • Exelixis soared 19.70% after the oncology company reported a shockingly strong beat-and-raise quarter.
  • Septerna exploded 28.97% on the news that Novo Nordisk will license its oral obesity pill candidate for $2.2 billion.

What’s down

  • Airline stocks were down across the board after the FAA met with executives to discuss cutting flights in and out of Newark Airport. Delta Air Lines lost 4.32%, and United Airlines sank 3.51%.
  • American Eagle Outfitters tumbled 5.93% after the retailer cut its fiscal guidance, announced it’s writing down $75 million in merchandise, and forecast a decline in next quarter’s sales.
  • Grail plummeted 23.48% after the biotech’s revenue last quarter failed to meet Wall Street’s expectations.
  • Aurora Innovation fell 7.58% thanks to an announcement from Uber that it’s offering $1 billion in convertible notes that can be exchanged for Aurora shares.
  • JD.com lost 4.24% after the Chinese online retailer beat earnings expectations yesterday but still saw its price target cut by Morgan Stanley analysts.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/tj8smmes

Inflation rose by 2.3% in April, less than economists feared, though the rate likely still doesn’t show the full effect of tariffs.

Microsoft is cutting 3% of its workforce, or about 6,000 employees, in order to reduce layers of management, a spokesperson told CNBC.

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DAILY UPDATE: Inflation Down, Wage Garnishments Up but Stocks Finish Mixed

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Inflation fell by one tenth of a percentage point to 2.3% for the year ending in April, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Tuesday in an update to the consumer price index. Forecasters had expected inflation to hold at 2.4%. 

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

What’s up

  • Coinbase exploded 23.97% on the news that the crypto trading platform will be added to the S&P 500 next week.
  • Nvidia climbed back into the elite $3 trillion market cap club today, rising 5.63% on the announcement that it will send 18,000 AI chips to Saudi Arabia.
  • Solar stocks soared after early drafts of a Republican tax and spending bill revealed renewable energy cuts weren’t as bad as feared. First Solar climbed 22.66%, while SunRun popped 8.58%.
  • Super Micro Computer climbed 16.02% thanks to Raymond James analysts initiating their coverage of the server maker with an “outperform” rating.
  • Boeing rose 2.46% now that the Chinese government has removed its ban on domestic airlines accepting orders from the plane manufacturer.
  • Rising sentiment powered popular momentum stocks higher today: Palantir rose 8.14%, AppLovin climbed 6.38%, Robinhood Markets jumped 8.95%, and Hims & Hers Health gained 15.92%.

What’s down

  • Honda Motor fell 4.20% after the company warned that tariffs will ding its bottom line and postponed its plans to build an EV plant in Canada.
  • Hertz Global plunged 16.93% after it missed analyst estimates across the board and announced it will offer fewer cars for rentals this year.
  • Enphase Energy lost 4.82% on a downgrade from Barclays analysts, who foresee slower demand for residential solar power products.
  • Rigetti Computing dropped 14.59% after the quantum computing company failed to live up to the high expectations that strong results from its competitors had given shareholders.

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Wage garnishment for defaulted student loans to begin this summer.

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OMADA: Digital Health Company Files for IPO

By Staff Reporters

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Virtual chronic care provider Omada Health has filed to go public in the United States, the latest in a string of healthcare listings expected this year. Omada did not disclose the details as to how much it plans to raise from its IPO.

IPO: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2025/03/02/ipo-road-show-with-pros-and-cons/

The San Francisco, California-based company, which last raised $192 million in a Series E funding round in 2022, reported a 38% increase in revenue to $169.8 million for 2024, according to its IPO paperwork. For the first quarter of 2025, the company posted a 56.6% year-on-year jump in revenue to $55 million. Omada has applied to list its common stock on the NASDAQ under the symbol “OMDA”.

Healthcare IPOs on U.S. exchanges have fetched $7.1 billion in 2024, compared with $2.8 billion a year earlier, according to data compiled by LSEG.

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DAILY UPDATE: Medicare Advantage [Part C] Down as Stock Markets Blast Off

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During the 2024–25 Annual Enrollment Period, Medicare Advantage drew in only 1.3 million new members, compared to 2+ million in each of the five years prior, according to a March 25 report by consulting firm HealthScape Advisors. Traditional fee-for-service Medicare grew by about 200,000 after years of losing hundreds of thousands of members, according to HealthScape. During the 2023–24 AEP, it lost about 800,000.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

🟢 What’s up

  • Semiconductor stocks that looked like some of the biggest losers of the trade war just last week soared on today’s China/US deal. Nvidia popped 5.44%, TSMC rose 5.93%, AMD climbed 5.13%, Broadcom rose 6.43%, and Qualcomm gained 4.78%.
  • Magnificent Seven stocks also shot higher, particularly Apple (6.31%) and Amazon (8.07%), two companies that were bearing the brunt of higher tariffs.
  • Tesla jumped 6.75% on the tariff deal news, given a massive production plant that was responsible for 22% of Tesla’s total revenue last year is located in China.
  • US-listed Chinese stocks popped, for obvious reasons: JD.com gained 6.47%, Alibaba rose 5.82%, and Baidu climbed 5.08%.
  • Healthcare company Kindly MD soared 251.03% today after merging with Nakamoto, a bitcoin investment company founded by Trump’s crypto advisor David Bailey.
  • NRG Energy popped 26.21% after it agreed to acquire a slew of natural gas facilities from LS Power Equity Advisors.
  • Next Technology Holding soared 38.56% after the software company added 5,000 bitcoin to its portfolio and said it wants to add even more.

What’s down

  • EchoStar tumbled 16.58% today after the Wall Street Journal reported that the Federal Communications Commission was opening an investigation into the firm’s 5G network.
  • A slew of metal mining stocks fell today as gold declined on the tariff deal: AngloGold Ashanti fell 10.31%, Wheaton Precious Metals dropped 7.92%, Newmont Corporation lost 5.93%, and Gold Fields Limited sank 10.47%.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/tj8smmes

Visualize: How private equity tangled banks in a web of debt, from the Financial Times.

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Stocks and Alternative Investments

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The Dow Jones exploded 1,000 points in pre-market trading, and the rally never waned toay. Both the Dow and the S&P 500 are nearly back to even for the year, while the NASDAQ clawed its way out of bear market territory.

Bonds tumbled while yields soared as the market pushed the timing for the Fed to cut interest rates back from July to September.

Gold sank as traders passed right on by the go-to investment for safety and sprinted straight toward equities.

Crude oil popped on the hopes of stronger economic growth for both the US and China now that the two countries are finally engaging in trade discussions.

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World Lupus Day

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko; MBA MEd

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Every year on May 10th, the world comes together to observe World Lupus Day.

Lupus is a disease that occurs when your body’s immune system attacks your own tissues and organs (autoimmune disease). Inflammation caused by lupus can affect many different body systems — including your joints, skin, kidneys, blood cells, brain, heart and lungs. Lupus can be difficult to diagnose because its signs and symptoms often mimic those of other ailments. The most distinctive sign of lupus — a facial rash that resembles the wings of a butterfly unfolding across both cheeks — occurs in many but not all cases of lupus. Some people are born with a tendency toward developing lupus, which may be triggered by infections, certain drugs or even sunlight. While there’s no cure for lupus, treatments can help control symptoms.

In 2025, this important day continues its mission of raising awareness about lupus, supporting those affected, and promoting further research into this complex autoimmune condition.

READ: https://tinyurl.com/4bfcvjtx

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DAILY UPDATE: Stock Markets End Week Mixed as UnitedHealthcare Group is Sued

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  • Meta is reportedly developing a “super-sensing” mode for its AI glasses that could identify people by name.
  • De Beers, the South African-British diamond giant, is closing its lab-grown diamond business, the company announced, as the value of human-made gems declines.
  • Coinbase acquired Deribit, a popular trading platform for bitcoin and ether options, for $2.9 billion.
  • FEMA acting head Cameron Hamilton was fired yesterday, Politico reported, amid reports that President Trump could look to shrink the department or eliminate it entirely.
  • Match Group, which owns Hinge and Tinder, cut 13% of its workforce as it seeks a turnaround following several executive departures and pressure from activist investors.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

🟢 What’s up

  • Microchip Technology climbed 12.60% on a solid beat-and-raise quarter for the semiconductor stock.
  • Pinterest gained 4.84% thanks to higher-than-expected revenue last quarter and projected strong revenue growth in the current quarter.
  • Insulet popped 20.88% after the insulin device manufacturer crushed Wall Street’s estimates on the top and bottom lines and raised its fiscal forecast.
  • Trade Desk soared 18.60% thanks to an impressive first quarter for the digital marketing company, including EPS of $0.33 compared to forecasts of $0.25.
  • DraftKings rose 2.49% thanks to a smaller-than-expected loss last quarter due in part to fewer March Madness upsets than usual.
  • Cloudflare popped 6.32% on strong earnings after the cloud services provider inked its biggest contract ever last quarter.
  • Monster Beverage missed first-quarter revenue estimates, but the energy drink giant still managed to climb 1.43%.

What’s down

  • United Airlines lost 2.69% on the news that Newark Airport experienced its second major outage in two weeks.
  • Coinbase stumbled 3.48% lower on a surprise revenue miss last quarter, thanks to a 17% decline in consumer trading volume.
  • Expedia beat profit estimates, but lower revenue thanks to a travel spending slowdown still sank the stock 7.30%.
  • Sweetgreen was crushed by 16.25% due to full-year fiscal guidance that came in way worse than Wall Street anticipated.
  • Affirm may have done well in the third quarter, but the Buy Now, Pay Later company fell 14.47% thanks to lower revenue forecasts this quarter.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/tj8smmes

UnitedHealthcare Group was sued by shareholders claiming the company didn’t properly adjust its earnings outlook following the death of CEO Brian Thompson.

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“Sell in May” – Maybe Not?

By Staff Reporters and ChatGPT

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The phrase “sell in May and go away” suggests that investors should sell their stocks in May and avoid the market during the summer months, as historical data indicates poorer stock performance during this period.

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It’s Friday morning, so you’re probably clocking out once you’re done reading this ME-P. And who could blame you, after such a wild month of watching your portfolio zig & zag with every headline.

In fact, why not just sell all your stocks and walk away entirely? You’ve got to admit, it’s tempting. After all, markets have completed an incredible round trip since Liberation Day—you could just call it even, start celebrating Cinco de Mayo a bit late, and maybe check your portfolio again sometime around August.

“Sell in May and go away” might sound like appealing advice these days, especially considering that the market usually spends the next six months under-performing: The S&P 500 gains just 1.8% on average from May through October, the worst-performing stretch of the year historically.

But Carson Research Chief Market Strategist Ryan Detrick says that would be a mistake. “

These ‘worst six months’ have gained in eight of the last 10 years,” he recently wrote. He continued: “Not to mention the month of May has been higher nine of the past 10 years, so maybe we should call it,

“Sell in June and go Away?”

***

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DAILY UPDATE: Elizabeth Holmes Down While Stock Markets Rise Up

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Former Theranos CEO Elizabeth Holmes on Thursday lost her bid to have an appeal of her 2022 fraud conviction reheard. The 9th Circuit U.S. Court of Appeals denied Holmes’ request for a rehearing before the original three-judge panel that upheld her conviction. At the same time, the court said no judge on the circuit court had asked for a vote on whether to have the full court rehear the appeal.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

🟢 What’s up

  • Boeing flew 3.31% higher after being named one of the direct beneficiaries of today’s US/UK trade deal.
  • AppLovin popped 11.88% after it revealed a 40% increase in revenue last quarter and announced it’s selling its mobile gaming unit.
  • Carvana jumped 10.17% thanks to record sales due to customers buying cars at higher rates last quarter to get ahead of tariffs.
  • Crocs climbed 9.82% on a strong earnings report, though the footwear icon pulled its fiscal guidance.
  • IonQ is one of the rare cases of a company in the quantum computing industry that reported solid financials. Shareholders rewarded it with a 9.27% gain today.
  • But it had nothing on D-Wave Quantum, which skyrocketed 51.34% thanks to record first-quarter revenue.
  • Axon Enterprise got a 14.13% jolt after the Taser maker reported strong earnings growth and upped its revenue guidance for the current quarter.
  • Crypto stocks had a great day thanks to bitcoin’s breakout (more on that later). MicroStrategy rose 5.58%, Coinbase climbed 5.06%, and Riot Platforms gained 7.65%.

What’s down

  • Arm Holdings fell 6.18% after the semiconductor manufacturer warned that both earnings and revenue will come in lower than Wall Street expected this year.
  • Peloton Interactive lost 6.73% thanks to a bigger-than-expected loss last quarter and a 13% decline in revenue.
  • Cleveland-Cliffs tumbled off a cliff on the news that the steelmaker is fully or partially pausing production at six of its facilities. Shares tumbled 15.78%.
  • Krispy Kreme crashed 24.71% after the donut chain paused its deal with McDonald’s, scrapped its dividend to save money, and pulled its fiscal guidance.
  • Fortinet dropped 8.41% after the cybersecurity company beat analyst forecasts but projected lower revenue in the current quarter than initially expected.
  • Pharma stocks fell across the board on reports that President Trump will slash drug costs with revisions to Medicare pricing. Eli Lilly lost 3.25%, Bristol Myers sank 1.55%, and AbbVie fell 1.33%.

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Visualize: How private equity tangled banks in a web of debt, from the Financial Times.

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OSTRICH BIAS: Negative Information

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Financial Advisor, Planner and Insurance Agent Information

By Staff Reporters

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Ostrich Bias is a behavioral phenomenon describing the tendency of individuals to avoid or ignore information that they perceive as negative or threatening. This term is derived from the popular but inaccurate belief that ostriches bury their heads in the sand when faced with danger, even though they do not exhibit such behavior.

Evidence: There is neuro-scientific evidence of the ostrich effect. Sharot et al. (2012) investigated the differences in positive and negative information when updating existing beliefs. Consistent with the ostrich effect, participants presented with negative information were more likely to avoid updating their beliefs; wills, estate plans, investment portfolios, and insurance policies, etc..

Moreover, they found that the part of the brain responsible for this cognitive bias was the left IFG – inferior frontal gyrus – by disrupting this part of the brain with TMS – transcranial magnetic stimulation – participants were more likely to accept the negative information provided.

EXAMPLE: The Ostrich Bias can cause someone to avoid looking at their bills, because they’re worried about seeing how far behind they are on home mortgage payments, credit cards, education or auto loans, etc.

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Daily posts are organized by subject. ME-P administrators moderate the activity. Moderation may also conducted by community-specific moderators who are unpaid volunteers.

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DAILY UPDATE: Fed Holds Interest Rates Steady as Stock Markets Rise

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The Federal Reserve is still firmly in wait-and-see mode.

The Fed left its key interest rate unchanged again Wednesday and gave no hint it plans to lower it soon as President Donald Trump’s sweeping tariffs raise the risks of both another inflation spike and recession. But officials signaled they’re growing increasingly concerned about both hazards.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

What’s up

  • Netflix rose 1.56% after the streamer revamped its homepage and rolled out new AI search tools.
  • Nvidia popped 3.10% on news that President Trump will rescind Biden-era global chip curbs.
  • Advanced Micro Devices rose just 1.76% despite the chipmaker beating earnings and forecasting solid growth ahead.
  • Lions Gate Entertainment soared 20.77% after it finalized the separation of its studio and STARZ business segments into two distinct companies.
  • Logitech rose 1.46% thanks to an upgrade from UBS analysts who say the device maker is well-positioned to capitalize on Gen Alpha, 94% of whom play video games.
  • Charles River Laboratories popped 18.81% after the pharmaceutical company raised its full-year guidance above Wall Street’s expectations.
  • Rockwell Automation gained 11.90% on a beat-and-raise quarter thanks to higher demand for domestic manufacturing.

What’s down

  • Super Micro Computer fell 1.40% after the AI server maker missed on revenue last quarter and forecast slower revenue growth this quarter.
  • WW International, better known as Weight Watchers, plummeted 43.04% on the news that the company is going bankrupt.
  • Marvell Technology plunged 8.02% after the data storage manufacturer postponed its investor day—never a good sign.
  • Rivian Automotive tumbled 5.78% on management’s forecast that vehicle deliveries will be lower than expected this year.
  • Arista Networks beat Wall Street’s estimates but fell 4.76% after it warned that its margins will be squeezed in the coming quarters.
  • Sarepta Therapeutics plummeted 21.45% after posting a bigger-than-expected loss last quarter and projecting slower revenue growth this quarter.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/tj8smmes

Visualize: How private equity tangled banks in a web of debt, from the Financial Times.

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DAILY UPDATE: U.S. GDP Down as Stock Markets Collapse

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🟢 What’s up

  • Ford managed to rise 2.45% despite the automaker suspending its 2025 fiscal guidance, citing “industrywide supply chain disruption impacting production.”
  • WeRide skyrocketed 31.68% on the news that it’s expanding its partnership with Uber to include rolling out robotaxis in 15 new cities. Pony AI soared 47.63% thanks to its bigger role helping Uber grow throughout the Middle East.
  • Hims & Hers Health gained 18.12% after the telehealth stock beat analyst forecasts last quarter,even though it provided lower-than-expected revenue guidance this quarter.
  • Celsius Holdings missed on both top and bottom line expectations, but shares of the energy drink maker still managed to bubble 4.81% higher.
  • Mattel rose 2.78% even though the toy company paused its fiscal guidance and warned it will raise prices in the US.
  • Upwork, everyone’s favorite side-gig platform, soared 18.02% as Americans brace for economic upheaval by finding second jobs.
  • Constellation Energy may have missed Wall Street forecasts last quarter, but shareholders pushed the stock 10.29% higher on upbeat fiscal guidance.
  • SolarEdge Technologies climbed 11.22% on a smaller-than-expected loss last quarter and projections that tariffs won’t be as bad as feared.
  • Neurocrine Biosciences popped 8.36% thanks to strong revenue growth due to high sales of its movement disorder treatment Ingrezza.

What’s down

  • Tesla fell 1.75% on the latest data showing its sales plummeted in Europe last month, including a 46% decline in Germany.
  • Pharma stocks took a beating after the FDA announced that industry critic Dr. Vinay Prasad will be named its top vaccine regulator. Moderna lost 12.25%, Novavax fell 3.19%, Merck sank 4.59%, and Pfizer fell 4.15%.
  • Clorox got taken to the cleaners, losing 2.41% after missing Wall Street’s profit forecasts.
  • Vertex Pharmaceuticals fell 10.03% thanks to big misses across the board last quarter due to higher costs.
  • Lattice Semiconductor lost 9.28% after management warned that tariffs will have indirect consequences on its business.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

  • US gross domestic product (GDP) contracted 0.3% in Q1, the Commerce Department reported yesterday, missing economists’ expectations of a 0.4% increase.
  • That drop can likely be attributed to a massive spike in imports (roughly a 41% increase from the previous quarter) from companies stocking up on goods and materials before President Trump’s tariffs took effect. The Commerce Department counts imports as a negative in GDP calculations as they represent spending on foreign goods.

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Visualize: How private equity tangled banks in a web of debt, from the Financial Times.

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NATIONAL: Teacher’s Day 2025

By Doctor David Edward Marcinko; MBA MEd

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National Teachers’ Day is observed on the first Tuesday of the first full week of May (May 6th) and we’re more than ready to show our appreciation to those who have taught us. Everyone has had that favorite teacher that has helped inspire them. This day meant to honor them was actually made by a teacher.

None other than First Lady Eleanor Roosevelt herself. Eleanor Roosevelt was more than Franklin D. Roosevelt’s wife, she has a history of civic duty and was an advocate for fellow teachers. Her love for education began at a young age when she was privately tutored and encouraged by her aunt Anna “Barnie” Roosevelt. No matter how high she rose on the social ladder, she never forgot where she came from.

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DAILY UPDATE: CVS Exits ACA Marketplace as Markets Flounder

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Aetna is waving goodbye to the ACA marketplace. Executives announced during CVS Health’s Q1 2025 earnings call on May 1 that the insurance giant is withdrawing from the individual marketplace created under the Affordable Care Act, as the company expects to lose as much as $400 million from that part of the business in 2025.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

Stocks sank a bit today while investors remain in wait-and-see mode. All eyes are on Jerome Powell & Co. this Wednesday: The market thinks the Fed will stay put until June, while some pros think the next rate cut will be in July.

Among the major indexes, the Dow Jones industrials fared best, though it was only up 0.1%. McDonald’s and UnitedHealth led blue chips with gains of more than 1%. Apple lagged most, dropping 2.6%. Chevron skidded more than 2%. The NASDAQ composite fell 0.4%. Trade Desk outperformed here, rallying more than 3%, while Charter Communications and Fortinet each rose nearly 3%. Meanwhile, On Semiconductor and Grail lagged, diving more than 8% and 4%, respectively. The S&P 500 dropped 0.4%. The benchmark index’s sectors were mixed, but with a slight downside bias. Energy and consumer discretionary were getting hit the hardest. Industrials and consumer staples made the best gains.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/tj8smmes

🟢 What’s up

  • Skechers exploded 24.35% after the footwear retailer inked a deal with 3G Capital to go private.
  • Electronic Arts climbed 2.41% on the news that it has teamed up with Major League Soccer to offer four matches via its mobile gaming platform this year.
  • United Airlines rose 1.07% despite its announcement that it’s cutting some flights out of Newark, New Jersey, where apparently flying is terrible.
  • Howard Hughes Holdings gained 2.81% thanks to a $900 million investment in the real estate company from Bill Ackman’s Pershing Square.

What’s down

  • Sunoco sank 5.64% on the oil & gas company’s plans to acquire Canadian gas station chain Parkland Corporation for $9.1 billion.
  • Shell fell 2.28% on reports that the company is considering ways to acquire rival BP.
  • ON Semiconductor lost 8.35% despite outpacing analysts’ estimates on both the top and bottom lines, as shareholders focused on warnings of weaker demand.
  • Tyson Foods fell 7.75% after the meat giant missed sales estimates and warned revenue will remain flat in the coming year.
  • Loews may have beaten analysts’ estimates on revenue, but the luxury hospitality stock still fell 1.77% after missing on profits.
  • Wolfspeed, which is a company name we will never get tired of writing, gave up another 8.52% following a wild short squeeze last week.

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DAILY UPDATE: Strong Labor Department as Stock Markets Soar Last Week but Stock and Oil Futures Drop Early Monday Morning

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U.S. stock futures declined after the S&P 500 notched its longest winning streak in more than 20 years last week. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures were down around 280 points, or 0.7%, as of 11 p.m. Eastern. S&P 500 futures and NASDAQ-100 futures were off about 0.8%.

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The labor market stayed strong. The US added 177,000 jobs in April, while unemployment stayed steady at 4.2%, new Labor Department data shows. That was slightly less job growth than the month before, but still more than expected, and it shows a resilient labor environment even as the president’s introduction of tariffs roiled the stock and bond markets and raised concerns about a recession. President Trump celebrated the news in a Truth Social post that once again urged the Fed to cut interest rates.

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Markets: Stocks soared like a balloon whose string a toddler couldn’t keep hold of yesterday. Unexpectedly strong jobs data for last month and reports that China is open to trade talks helped push the S&P 500 to its longest winning streak in more than 20 years (more on that later), erasing the losses from recent tariff turmoil. On its own impressive streak is Netflix, which hit an all-time high and finished its 11th day in the green for its longest positive run ever.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/tj8smmes

Crude oil futures dropped more than 3% Sunday after OPEC+ agreed to accelerate production increases for a second straight month in June by 411K bbl/day.

U.S. WTI crude (CL1:COM) for June delivery recently traded -3.4% at $56.28/bbl and July Brent crude (CO1:COM) -3.2% at $59.34/bbl, with both front-month contracts touching their lowest levels since April 9th.

Visualize: How private equity tangled banks in a web of debt, from the Financial Times.

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MEDICINE: Emergent Care

SOME PHYSICIAN WORK FOR FREE

By Staff Reporters

SPONSOR: http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com

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What is an Emergency Medicine Physician?

An emergency medicine physician is a medical doctor who specializes in the diagnosis, treatment, and management of acute and life-threatening medical conditions that require immediate intervention. These physicians work in hospital emergency departments, urgent care centers, and other acute care settings, where they provide rapid assessment, stabilization, and treatment to patients of all ages with a wide range of medical emergencies.

Emergency medicine physicians are trained to handle diverse medical emergencies, including trauma, cardiac emergencies, respiratory distress, severe infections, neurological emergencies, and obstetric emergencies, among others. They play a vital role in the front line management of medical emergencies, ensuring that patients receive prompt and appropriate care to improve outcomes and save lives.

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Classic: Emergent Room or Emergency Department care is the provision of immediate medical service offering outpatient care for the treatment of acute and chronic illness and injury. It requires a broad and comprehensive fund of knowledge to provide such care. Excellence in care for patients with complex and or unusual conditions is founded on the close communication and collaboration between the urgent care medicine physician, the specialists and the primary physicians.

Modern: Urgent care does not replace your primary care physician. An urgent care center is a convenient option when someone’s regular physician is on vacation or unable to offer a timely appointment. Or, when illness strikes outside of regular office hours, urgent care offers an alternative to waiting for hours in a hospital Emergency Room.

Examples: Chest pain, bleeding that cannot be stopped and loss of consciousness; etc.

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SOME ER DOCTORS WORK FOR FREE

The new president of emergency medicine for the Alberta Medical Association says Emergency Room physicians already coping with long hours, staff shortages and jammed waiting rooms are also being obligated, in some cases, to work for free. Dr. Warren Thirsk says the government has yet to follow through on a promise to reimburse emergency room doctors for so-called “good faith” payments.

“There’s been lots of excuses, but the bottom line is no one has actually received a penny for those suspended good-faith payments,” Thirsk said in an interview. “On average, every emergency physician in this province is out thousands of dollars for free work.” Good-faith payments reimburse ER doctors when they see patients who don’t have identification and can’t prove an Alberta Health Care Insurance Plan billing number.

Thirsk said the United Conservative government stopped those payments when it ripped up the master agreement with the AMA in early 2020. He said it promised to bring back those payments when the two sides agreed to a new deal in September 2022. But to date that hasn’t happened, he said.

“I’m legally and morally bound to look after you [if] you’re unidentified [as a patient],” said Thirsk, an emergency room doctor at Edmonton’s Royal Alexandra Hospital.

“I’m going to look after you because it’s the right thing to do no matter what the problem is.”

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DAILY UPDATE: Dr. Marty Makary Appointed to FDA as Stock Markets Continue Rise

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Stat: $1.5 billion. That’s how much a lawsuit alleged hospitals lost because of under funding for facilities serving low-income patients. The Supreme Court ruled against the push for more reimbursement. (Healthcare Dive)

Read: An exclusive interview with Marty Makary, the newly appointed FDA commissioner, on cuts, vaccines, and his future goals. (MedPage Today)

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

🟢 What’s up

  • Big day for Big Oil: Shell rose 2.81% on better-than-expected earnings, Chevron inched 1.73% higher after beating on profits but missing on revenue, and Exxon Mobil eked out a 0.38% gain after reporting a big boost in production thanks to a recent acquisition.
  • MicroStrategy climbed 3.35% despite reporting a bigger EPS loss than expected. Shareholders must have liked hearing CEO Michael Saylor call the company the Domino’s Pizza of crypto.
  • Maplebear, which does business as Instacart, rose 13.62% after missing analyst estimates but issuing strong fiscal guidance for the coming quarter.
  • Dexcom popped 16.17% on strong earnings for the glucose monitor manufacturer.
  • Five Below rose 11.88% after the discount retailer raised its revenue guidance for the quarter ahead.
  • Wolfspeed exploded 23.89% higher as shareholders cheered the departure of the semiconductor stock’s CFO and a short squeeze took traders by surprise.

What’s down

  • Take Two Interactive Software tumbled 6.66% after the video game maker announced the release of its highly anticipated Grand Theft Auto 6 will be delayed until next May.
  • Reddit fell 4.15% despite crushing analysts’ EPS estimates, while daily active users soared 31% year over year.
  • Block plummeted 20.43% after the company behind Square and Cash App missed earnings estimates and cut its fiscal forecast due to macro uncertainty.
  • Roku sank 8.50% despite beating analysts’ revenue estimates this quarter, but predicting a worse-than-expected quarter ahead.
  • Atlassian beat top and bottom line forecasts, but the software maker still sank 8.99% after issuing weak guidance for the current quarter.
  • GoDaddy lost 8.36% after the domain registrar projected lower revenue for the coming quarter than analysts expected.

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DAILY UPDATE: Meta, Eli Lilly, Microsoft, Amazon, Apple and the Roaring Markets

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Meta Platforms jumped 4.23% after the big tech giant reported that its advertising revenue came in at $41.39 billion, beating analyst projections of $40.44 billion, thanks to higher ad price growth than expected. Daily active users rose to 3.43 billion, up from 3.35 billion last quarter, while nearly 1 billion people use its digital AI assistant every month. Management expects Q2 sales to come in between $42.5 billion and $45.5 billion, in-line with analyst forecasts of $44.03 billion.

  • EPS: $6.43 per share, crushing estimates of $5.28
  • Revenue: $42.31 billion, above the $41.10 expected

Microsoft leaped 7.63% after reporting its profit jumped a staggering 18% from a year earlier. That wasn’t the only good news: Revenue from Microsoft’s Azure cloud software grew 33% year over year, higher than the 31% expected by analysts. But perhaps the best news of all was management’s upbeat guidance—Microsoft projected revenue between $73.15 billion and $74.25 billion for the current quarter, well above expectations of $72.26 billion.

  • EPS: $3.46 per share, beating forecasts of $3.22
  • Revenue: $70.07 billion, above the $68.42 billion projected

Eli Lilly dropped 11.66% today, despite the fact that the pharmaceutical giant reported that sales skyrocketed 45% year over year thanks to its lucrative GLP-1 drugs, Zepbound and Mounjaro. Two things spooked investors today: The company lowered its profit outlook well below its preview estimate due its acquisition of a cancer drug from Scorpion Therapeutics, and CVS Health dropped Zepbound from its preferred drug list in lieu of arch-rival Novo Nordisk’s Wegovy this morning.—LB

  • EPS: $3.34 adjusted, beating the $3.02 expected
  • Revenue: $12.73 billion, compared to the $12.67 projected

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🟢 What’s up

  • Kohls popped 7.76% after the retailer fired its brand-new CEO for unethical behavior.
  • CVS Health not only beat earnings expectations but raised its fiscal guidance, pushing shares of the pharmacy chain up 4.11%.
  • Wayfair rose 3.65% on surprisingly strong earnings for an online furniture seller that analysts were convinced would be hit hard by tariffs.
  • Roblox gained 2.91% as people checked out of reality and hit the metaverse in higher numbers than ever.
  • CoreWeave popped 7.31% thanks to key customer Microsoft’s strong capex guidance.
  • Carrier Global climbed 11.61% after the air conditioning company boosted its fiscal forecast. Turns out everyone needs AC regardless of economic uncertainty.
  • People also need straight teeth: Dental products manufacturer Align Technology rose 1.98% on solid earnings.
  • Quanta Services gained 9.99% after the construction engineering company beat Wall Street estimates on both the top and bottom line.

What’s down

  • Qualcomm may have beaten earnings expectations, but shares fell 8.92% after investors were disappointed by the chipmaker’s lower guidance.
  • GM was in the same boat: Earnings beat forecasts, but poor guidance and warnings that tariffs could cost the company up to $5 billion this year pushed shares 0.42% lower.
  • Robinhood Markets enjoyed a 50% increase in revenue last quarter as traders played the volatile market, but the stock still sank 5.07%.
  • Moderna fell 5.29% after the vaccine maker missed revenue expectations and said it’s planning another $1.5 billion in cost cuts.
  • Church & Dwight, maker of household goods like Arm & Hammer Baking Soda, missed revenue forecasts last quarter and sank 6.87%.
  • Becton Dickinson & Co. lost 18.13% after the medical device maker warned of the adverse effects of, what else, tariffs.

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Amazon plans to invest about $4 billion into its rural delivery network across the US.

Apple is in hot water after a judge ruled it violated a court order to reform the App Store.

The Department of Justice sued several big health insurers, alleging they used illegal kickbacks to nudge members into Medicare programs.

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Visualize: How private equity tangled banks in a web of debt, from the Financial Times.

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DAILY UPDATE: Sutter Heath & Medicare as Stock End Up Mixed

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🟢 What’s up

  • Seagate Technology popped 11.56% thanks to a beat-and-raise quarter and promises from management that tariff disruption would be minimal.
  • WingStop can’t stop, won’t stop: The purveyor of fried chicken rose 14.48% after posting an incredible earnings report.
  • Humana climbed 0.92% after the health insurer beat earnings expectations and kept its fiscal guidance intact.
  • GE HealthCare Technologies managed to rise 3.29% despite cutting its forward guidance.
  • Caterpillar eked out a 0.54% gain after raising its fiscal 2025 revenue forecast, but the construction giant warned that it will eat about $350 million in extra tariff-related costs.

What’s down

  • Super Micro Computer plunged 11.50% after reporting terrible preliminary earnings and warned of weaker results still to come.
  • Nvidia was pulled down just 0.09% by its very first “sell” rating from Wall Street analysts.
  • Etsy beat revenue expectations last quarter, but fell 5.74% after missing profit forecasts as the number of buyers and sellers using its platform continued to fall.
  • Snap tumbled 12.43% after the social media stock warned that economic uncertainty could hurt its advertising business and refused to issue a fiscal forecast.
  • Chili’s parent company Brinker International fell 1.89% despite posting solid earnings as investors worry about slowing consumer spending.
  • Norwegian Cruise Line sank 7.77% after missing earnings and warning of a slowdown in demand.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

Stat: $228 million. That’s how much Sacramento-based Sutter Health—one of the largest health systems in the US—agreed to pay to settle allegations of inflating insurance premiums. (Reuters)

Read: Here’s what some say the new Medicare director, a former tech CEO, is likely to focus on. (Stat)

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DAILY UPDATE: Stocks Mixed and End Flat

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What’s up

  • Plug Power soared 25.68% on the news that the hydrogen fuel cell manufacturer has signed a deal that allows it to issue $525 million in secured debentures.
  • Tesla eked out a 0.33% gain as investors took profits following the EV company’s strong week in spite of terrible earnings.
  • IBM rose 1.61% after the tech company pledged to invest $150 billion in US manufacturing over the next five years.
  • Peloton climbed 4.93% thanks to an upgrade from Truist analysts, who said the home workout company has cleaned up the “BS.”
  • MGM Resorts International gained 1.71% after reporting an impressive 34% increase in revenue last quarter thanks to its BetMGM platform.
  • ADMA Biologics popped 12.12% on FDA approval of its new production process that draws 20% more usable material from donated plasma than current methods.

What’s down

  • Nvidia sank 2.05% on the news that China’s Huawei Technologies is preparing to test a new semiconductor that could rival Nvidia’s most powerful tech.
  • Coinbase fell 2.08% on a double downgrade from Compass Point analysts, who cited a decline in retail trading activity.
  • DraftKings dropped 1.51% after Mizuho analysts lowered their price target on the company, cutting their expectations for the gambling stock’s EBITDA.

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STOCKS: Bounce Back Like a House

By Staff Reporters

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Much like a springy inflatable structure often resembling a four-sided building and used by children for jumping for sport and fun, stocks staged a much-needed bounce-house back week on hopes that the trade war would de-escalate, with the S&P 500 climbing for four straight days to close 4.6% higher.

Whether the rally continues this week may depend on the Magnificent Seven earnings on tap—each of those Big Tech stocks has fallen at least 6.5% this year, shedding a combined $2.5 trillion in market value, per the Wall Street Journal.

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NEWS IN BRIEF: Financial, Investing, Economics and IT

BREAKING NEWS

By Staff Reporters

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  • Spot bitcoin ETFs saw their highest inflows since January over the last few days, sparking a crypto rally.
  • The Federal Reserve withdrew its guidance for banks about engaging in crypto-related business.
  • California is now the fourth-largest economy in the world.
  • OpenAI expects its revenue to reach $125 billion in 2029, up from $3.7 billion last year.
  • The median pay for CEOs rose to a record $16.8 million in 2024.
  • Meta Platforms is laying off staff working in its virtual reality division.
  • Apple announced it’s shifting its iPhone production from China to India.

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DAILY UPDATE: Elevance Health, Health Start-Ups and Rising Stock Markets

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Despite rising Medicare Advantage (MA) utilization, Elevance Health has come out of Q1 2025 unscathed. The company reported adjusted diluted earnings per share of $11.97 and stuck to its prediction of $34.15 to $34.85 adjusted earnings per share for 2025. This contrasts with peer UnitedHealth Group, which lowered its earnings predictions for the year in its call last week following a disappointing quarter. (Elevance released a preview of its earnings in a Form 8-K on April 17, hours after UnitedHealth detailed its surprisingly bad quarter, to reassure investors.)

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

What’s up

  • Tesla gained 9.80% following a White House announcement yesterday that it will loosen US regulations around self-driving cars.
  • Boston Beer popped 2.26% thanks to strong light beer sales offsetting lower craft beer revenue.
  • Charter Communications climbed 11.43% after it lost fewer internet customers than last year and beat estimates on both the top and bottom line.
  • VeriSign rose 8% following strong results for the internet infrastructure company, as well as the announcement of a new dividend.
  • SoFi Technologies got a 4.63% boost from Citizens JMP analysts, who initiated coverage of the fintech stock with an “outperform” rating and called the company “a compelling long-term investment opportunity.”

What’s down

  • T-Mobile tumbled 11.22% after the cell carrier added 495,000 new wireless phone subscribers last quarter, below Wall Street’s forecasts.
  • Gilead Sciences sank 2.81% due to a revenue miss in the first quarter thanks to lower sales of its cancer and Covid treatments.
  • Avantor plummeted 16.58% after the lab chemicals manufacturer missed estimates, cut its forecast, and announced its CEO is departing.
  • Saia plunged 30.66% thanks to an enormous first-quarter miss from the shipping company due to customer pullback amid tariff uncertainty.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/tj8smmes

Investments are soaring: A new SVB report found that women’s health startups saw a whopping 55% increase in VC investments in 2024. Learn about the factors driving this record-breaking funding and the sector’s long-term potential.*

Visualize: How private equity tangled banks in a web of debt, from the Financial Times.

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DAILY UPDATE: Merck and the Surging Stock Markets

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Merck rose 1.40% today after beating earnings expectations. The problem is that the pharma giant expects a $200 million hit to its bottom line due to tariffs. And that doesn’t count the potential additional pharmaceutical levies Trump has indicated he’s planning.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

🟢 What’s up

  • Alphabet warned some remote employees that they must return to the office three days a week or lose their jobs. Shareholders clearly approve: The stock gained 2.53%.
  • Amazon and Nvidia executives made it clear that contrary to popular belief, demand for AI data centers isn’t slowing down. Amazon rose 3.29%, while Nvidia climbed 3.62%.
  • Newmont gained 4.80% after the gold miner reported strong earnings thanks to gold’s incredible run.
  • ServiceNow soared 15.49% after the enterprise tech company posted a beat-and-raise earnings report.
  • Texas Instruments popped 6.56% thanks to a strong first quarter and healthy fiscal guidance from the domestic semiconductor company.
  • Chipotle eked out a 1.60% gain despite a mixed quarter that saw same-store sales fall for the first time since 2020.

What’s down

  • IBM topped analyst expectations on sales and profits, but the tech stock fell 6.58% thanks to a poor performance from its consulting and its mainframe businesses.
  • Nokia tumbled 8.65% following a big earnings miss last quarter, and warned that tariffs will take a serious toll on its business this quarter.
  • Fiserv plunged 18.52% after the software provider beat expectations for profits but missed on revenue.
  • Procter & Gamble outpaced Wall Street’s forecast for earnings but fell short on revenue and cut its fiscal guidance, pushing shares of the consumer goods giant down 3.74%.
  • Comcast also beat analyst estimates on both the top and bottom lines, but sank 3.71% after reporting it lost 199,000 broadband customers last quarter.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/tj8smmes

  • Warren Buffett owns 5% of all Treasury bills—more than the Federal Reserve
  • A list of every company that’s announced it’s moving manufacturing to the US
  • Home sales fell 5.9% in March, their biggest drop since 2022
  • The $TRUMP crypto surged over 50% after President Trump invited the coin’s top 220 holders to a private dinner
  • Durable goods orders, AKA purchases of big-ticket items like autos and aircraft, popped 9.2% as people rushed to buy ahead of tariffs
  • Speaking of, US liquor exports surged 10% to a record $2.4 billion

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DAILY UPDATE: OpenAI, FDA, Roche & Rite Aid as Stocks Soar

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  • OpenAI would be open to buying Chrome if Google is forced by a federal court to sell the web browser, the company’s ChatGPT head said yesterday.
  • The FDA suspended milk quality tests in some dairy products due to reduced capacity stemming from federal workforce cuts, Reuters reported.
  • Roche, the Swiss pharmaceutical giant, is investing $50 billion in US manufacturing to circumvent President Trump’s tariffs, the company said yesterday.
  • Rite Aid is preparing to sell itself in pieces ahead of a possible second bankruptcy, Bloomberg reported.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

What’s up

  • Intel surged 5.54% on reports that the chipmaker plans to cut 20% of its workforce.
  • Oklo gained 8.60% after OpenAI CEO Sam Altman announced he’s stepping down as chairman of the board of the nuclear power startup.
  • Duolingo popped 10.01% after Morgan Stanley initiated coverage of the language learning company, calling it a “best-in-class consumer internet asset.”
  • Cava climbed 6.29% due to an upgrade from analysts at Bernstein, who think the bowl slop stock will not only survive but thrive in an economic downturn.
  • Amphenol rose 8.21% thanks to impressive earnings for the high-speed cable company, coupled with a solid fiscal outlook.
  • Vertiv Holdings jumped 8.60% after the data center company posted an impressive quarterly profit and raised its fiscal forecast.
  • SAP rose 7.47% following the software stock’s strong profit performance last quarter.
  • Novavax soared 19.52% on the news that the FDA has asked for more clinical data about its Covid vaccine.

What’s down

  • Enphase Energy plunged 15.65% thanks to a big miss on both the top and bottom lines for the solar tech stock.
  • Going down: Elevator manufacturer Otis Worldwide fell 6.64% on an earnings miss thanks to fewer orders from Chinese customers.
  • Online learning platform Chubb fell 2.17% after announcing a 38% decline in net income last quarter.
  • Baker Hughes may have beaten profit forecasts last quarter, but the oilfield operator’s revenue miss sent shares tumbling 6.44%.
  • Bristol Myers Squibb lost 2.59% after the pharma giant announced its schizophrenia drug Cobenfy performed poorly in Phase 3 trials.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/tj8smmes

  • Stocks surged first thing this morning after President Trump said the media blew things out of proportion and that he has “no intention” of firing Jerome Powell. He also said he would be “very nice” to China in tariff negotiations.
  • Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent also did some damage control, touting the opportunity for a “big deal” between the US and China.
  • The combination sent a relief rally sweeping through markets, and while the euphoria faded by mid-afternoon, all three indexes ended the day in the green.
  • Gold fell and bitcoin rose as investors took on more risk (see below), while oil dropped on reports that OPEC+ may hike its crude output after its meeting next month.

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ANNUITIES: Three Types of Insurance Products

By Staff Reporters

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An annuity is a contract between you and an insurance company.  When you purchase an annuity, you make a lump-sum contribution or a series of contributions, generally each month.  In return, the insurance company makes periodic payments to you beginning immediately or at a pre-determined date in the future.  These periodic payments may last for a finite period, such as 20 years, or an indefinite period, such as until both you and your spouse are deceased.  Annuities may also include a death benefit that will pay your beneficiary a specified minimum amount, such as the total amount of your contributions.

The growth of earnings in your annuity is typically tax-deferred; this could be beneficial as you may be in a lower tax bracket when you begin taking distributions from the annuity. 

Warning: A word of caution: Annuities are intended as long-term investments. If you withdraw your money early from an annuity, you may pay substantial surrender charges to the insurance company as well as tax penalties to the IRS and state.

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There are three basic types of annuities — fixed, indexed, and variable

1. With a fixed annuity, the insurance company agrees to pay you no less than a specified (fixed) rate of interest during the time that your account is growing. The insurance company also agrees that the periodic payments will be a specified (fixed) amount per dollar in your account.

2. With an indexed annuity, your return is based on changes in an index, such as the S&P. Indexed annuity contracts also state that the contract value will be no less than a specified minimum, regardless of index performance.

3. A variable annuity allows you to choose from among a range of different investment options, typically mutual funds. The rate of return and the amount of the periodic payments you eventually receive will vary depending on the performance of the investment options you select. 

READ: SEC’s publication, Variable Annuities: What You Should Know.

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Feel free to submit education content to the site as well as links, text posts, images, opinions and videos which are then voted up or down by other members. Comments and dialog are especially welcomed.

Daily posts are organized by subject. ME-P administrators moderate the activity. Moderation may also conducted by community-specific moderators who are unpaid volunteers.

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DAILY UPDATE: Bitcoin and Stock Markets Soar

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Bitcoin climbed above $90,000 for the first time since March as investors search for alternatives anywhere they can find them.

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Stocks came off of their highs yesterday afternoon trading after US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent reportedly said in a private speech for JPMorgan Chase that talks between the United States and China had yet to formally start and that negotiations will likely be a “slog.”

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Still, US stocks soared on Tuesday following a bruising day on Wall Street, as investors built hope for deescalation on several fronts of President Trump’s trade battles.

Still, markets delivered solid gains with Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) adding over 1,000 points as the benchmark S&P 500 (^GSPC) and tech-heavy NASDAQ (^IXIC) each rose around 2.5% and 2.7%, respectively.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/tj8smmes

Prior to Bessent’s reported comments, stocks hit earlier session highs as Bloomberg reported the treasury secretary told a closed-door investor summit Tuesday that “the tariff standoff with China is unsustainable and that he expects the situation to de-escalate.”

🟢 What’s up

  • Amazon rose 3.5% a day after Wells Fargo analysts revealed that the tech giant has paused some of its data center leases, the latest sign of an AI trade slowdown.
  • The DOJ has called for a breakup of Alphabet’s business. Investors don’t seem to mind: Shares of the search giant rose 2.57%.
  • Boeing gained 2% after announcing it will sell portions of its digital aviation solutions business to Thoma Bravo for $10.55 billion.
  • Ford is up 1.90% a day after reports emerged that it has stopped shipping cars to China.
  • 3M gained 8.12% after the industrial manufacturing giant beat Wall Street’s expectations in the first quarter.
  • Coreweave rose 8.74% after several Wall Street analysts initiated coverage of the newly public cloud computing company. While the pros lean toward bullish, the stock’s reception has been largely mixed.
  • Equifax soared 13.84% following strong results for the credit rating company, as well as its announcement of a $3 billion buyback program.
  • BP managed to gain 2.81% after regulatory filings revealed that Elliott Investment Management has accrued a 5% stake in the oil giant.
  • Verizon eked out a 0.61% gain after it beat Wall Street forecasts for the first quarter but lost more postpaid net phone subscribers than expected.

What’s down

  • Halliburton disappointed shareholders with a decline in both revenue and profits last quarter, sending the oil service company’s shares 5.57% lower.
  • Defense contractors tumbled after reporting mixed earnings. RTX lost 9.81%, and Northrop Grumman sank 12.66%.
  • Medpace Holdings crumbled 2.32% after the clinical research company revealed a 19% decline in net new business awards last quarter.

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CPA, CMA, CFA and Enrolled Agents

DEFINITIONS

By Staff Reporters

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Certified Public Accountant

A Certified Public Accountant (CPA) is a licensed professional who has passed an examination administered by a state’s Board of Accountancy. State CPA exams are created under guidelines issued by The American Institute of Certified Public Accountants (AICPA). The Uniform CPA Exam can only be taken by accountants who already have professional experience in the field and a bachelor’s degree.CPAs are not fiduciaries.

Not all accountants are CPAs. Accountants who are CPAs are licensed by their state’s Board of Accountancy after passing the Uniform CPA Exam. CPAs prepare reports that accurately reflect the business dealings of the companies and individuals that hire them. Many prepare tax returns for individuals or businesses and advise them on ways to minimize taxes. Obtaining the CPA designation requires a bachelor’s degree, typically with a major in business administration, finance, or accounting. Other majors are acceptable if the applicant meets the minimum requirements for accounting courses.  

Enrolled Agent

Although not a CPA, an Enrolled Agent [EA] is a person who has earned the privilege of representing taxpayers before the Internal Revenue Service [IRS]. This is done by either passing a three-part comprehensive IRS test covering individual and business tax returns, or through experience as a former IRS employee. Enrolled agent status is the highest credential the IRS awards. Individuals who obtain this elite status must adhere to ethical standards and complete 72 hours of continuing education courses every three years.

Certified Managerial Accountant

A Certified Management Accountant (CMA), which is issued by the Institute of Management Accountants (IMA), builds on financial accounting proficiency by adding management skills that aid in making strategic business decisions based on financial data.

Oftentimes, the reports and analyses prepared by certified management accountants (CMAs) will go above and beyond those required by generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP). 

For example, in addition to a company’s required GAAP financial statements, CMAs may prepare additional management reports that provide specific insights useful to corporate decision-makers, such as performance metrics on specific company departments, products, or even employees.

Certified Financial Analyst

A Certified Financial Analyst [CFA] is a globally-recognized professional designation offered by the CFA Institute, an organization that measures and certifies the competence and integrity of financial analysts. Candidates are required to pass three levels of exams covering areas such as accounting, economics, ethics, money management, and security analysis. From 1963 through November 2023, more than 3.7 million candidates had taken the CFA exam. The overall pass rate was 45%. From 2014 through 2023, the 10-year average pass rate was 43%.1

CFA Institute. The CFA Institute was formerly the Association for Investment Management and Research (AIMR).

The CFA charter is one of the most respected designations in finance and is widely considered to be the gold standard in the field of investment analysis. To become a charter holder, candidates must pass three difficult exams, have a bachelors degree, and have at least 4,000 hours of relevant professional experience over a minimum of three years. Passing the CFA Program exams requires strong discipline and an extensive amount of studying. 

There are more than 200,000 CFA charter holders worldwide in 164 countries.The designation is handed out by the CFA Institute, which has 11 offices worldwide and 160 local member societies.

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DAILY UPDATE: Meta Anti-Trust Trial and Drug Price Negotiations with Few UP and Many DOWN Stocks

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Meta’s antitrust trial resumes: The FTC is accusing CEO Mark Zuckerberg of purchasing Instagram and WhatsApp to gain an unfair monopoly in the social media space, while the defense is expected to argue that the success of those apps is a product of Meta’s acquisition. Testimony will continue this week, with one Vanderbilt law professor telling Quartz that she expects to hear more expert testimony: “Judges tend to put a lot of stock in expert opinion in antitrust cases, especially when it comes to market definition and monopoly power.”

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

🟢 What’s up

  • Netflix rose 1.57% on a strong vote of confidence from Wall Street pros: After last week’s earnings blowout, the streaming service received price target upgrades from JPMorgan, Wells Fargo, Goldman Sachs, Evercore ISI, Morgan Stanley and Piper Sandler today.
  • Discover Financial Services climbed 3.53% after its merger with Capital One got the greenlight from regulators. Capital One rose 1.54%.
  • MicroAlgo exploded 74.93% after the tech holding company became the latest hot penny stock du jour.
  • Gold miners continue to mint big gains as the hot commodity broke yet another record. Barrick Gold gained 1.39%, while Anglogold Ashanti climbed 2.13%.

What’s down

  • Chipotle sank 3.48% after announcing plans to open its first restaurant in Mexico.
  • Hertz Global gave up some of last week’s big gains today, dropping 4.98% as investors took profits following Bill Ackman’s hint that the rental car company may team up with Uber.
  • Speaking of, Uber fell 3.08% after the FTC sued the ride-hailing company for “deceptive billing and cancellation practices.”
  • Amazon lost 3.11% thanks to a downgrade from Raymond James analysts. They believe the e-commerce titan’s retail and advertising businesses are too exposed to tariffs.
  • Salesforce stumbled 4.45% on a downgrade from DA Davidson analysts, who say the SAAS company is too focused on AI and not on its core business.
  • Deutsche Post AG, better known as DHL, announced it is suspending shipments worth over $800 as the international shipping company struggles with tariffs. Shares fell 1%.
  • Comerica lost 4.36% after the regional bank forecast lower loans and deposits in 2025.

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Now that the US government is negotiating drug prices directly with manufacturers, states want to get in on the action, too. These efforts vary by state, but generally involve creating a board to review drugs’ affordability and sometimes setting upper price limits (UPLs). While none have implemented UPLs as of April, as the idea gains momentum, there are questions about UPLs and boards’ legality, practicality, and whether they will actually lower costs for patients.

Visualize: How private equity tangled banks in a web of debt, from the Financial Times.

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The DOCTOR EFFECT

Dr. David Edward Marcinko; MBA MEd CMP™

Medical Colleagues Beware the Advisors

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SPONSOR: http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com

Several years ago a group of highly trusted and deeply  experienced financial advisors, insurance service professionals and estate planners noted that far too many of their mature retiring physician clients, using traditional stock brokers, management consultants and financial advisors, seemed to be less successful than those who went it alone. These Do-it-Yourselfers [DIYs] had setbacks and made mistakes, for sure. But, the ME Inc doctors seemed to learn from their mistakes and did not incur the high management and service fees demanded from general or retail one-size-fits-all “advisors.”

In fact, an informal inverse related relationship was noted, and dubbed the Doctor Effect.” In others words, the more consultants an individual doctor retained; the less well they did in all disciplines of the financial planning and medical practice management, continuum.

Of course, the reason for this discrepancy eluded many of them as Wall Street brokerages and wire-houses flooded the media with messages, infomercials, print, radio, TV, texts, tweets, dinners and internet ads to the contrary. Rather than self-learn the basics, the prevailing sentiment seemed to purse the holy grail of finding the “perfect financial advisor.”  This realization confirmed the industry culture which seemed to be:

Bread for the advisor – Crumbs for the client!

And so, Marcinko Associates formed a cadre’ of technology focused and highly educated multi-degreed doctors, nurses, financial advisors, attorneys, accountants, psychologists and educational visionaries who decided there must be a better way for their healthcare colleagues to receive financial planning advice, products and related advisory services within a culture of fiduciary responsibility.

We trust you agree with this specific niche knowledge, and collegial consulting philosophy, as illustrated thru our firm and these two books.

EDUCATION: Books

SPEAKING: Dr. Marcinko will be speaking and lecturing, signing and opining, teaching and preaching, storming and performing at many locations throughout the USA this year! His tour of witty and serious pontifications may be scheduled on a planned or ad-hoc basis; for public or private meetings and gatherings; formally, informally, or over lunch or dinner. All medical societies, financial advisory firms or Broker-Dealers are encouraged to submit a RFP for speaking engagements: MarcinkoAdvisors@outlook.com 

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DAILY UPDATE: Red Stocks, United Airlines and the Capital One-Discover Merger

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HAPPY EASTER 2025

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  • Markets: The markets were closed for Good Friday giving investors time to take a breather amid tariff-induced volatility after all three major indexes finished the short trading week in the red.
  • Stock spotlight: As a sign of just how confusing it is out there, United Airlines stock rose this week after the company released two different forecasts—one for a stable economy and one for a possible US recession.

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A $35 billion merger between Capital One and Discover that would make Capital One the nation’s largest credit card issuer cleared a major regulatory hurdle this week, according to multiple outlets, as the Justice Department told antitrust officials it did not find reasons to block the deal, paving the way for a potentially historic shakeup of the American credit card space.

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DAILY UPDATE: Measles, Mental Health and Lab Tests

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Stat: $30,000–$50,000. That’s the estimated cost to address one case of measles, making the growing outbreak quite pricey for the US public health system, a CDC official said Tuesday. (NBC)

Quote: “These are still children with illnesses, and they want to be in their home city, where their family can visit them.”—Cynthia Rogers, a pediatric psychiatrist at St. Louis Children’s Hospital, on resistance against pediatric mental health hospitals being built in some communities (KFF)

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Read: An FDA effort to better regulate laboratory-developed tests (LDTs) has hit a major hurdle. (Medtech Dive)

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DAILY UPDATE: Stocks End Short Week on Mixed Note

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USPS open, as usual, today

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  • Stocks ended the shortened trading week on a mixed note.
  • The Dow sank all day long, while the NASDAQ and S&P 500 struggled to stay out of negative territory. The S&P 500 squeaked by with a win, but the NASDAQ fell into the red just before the closing bell.
  • The VIX is up.
  • US sanctions on a Chinese refinery that imported $1 billion worth of Iranian oil helped crude wrap the week with a win.
  • The WSJ reported that President Trump has explored firing Jerome Powell for months now. “If I want him out he’ll be out of there real fast, believe me,” Trump told reporters at the White House today.

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PRIVATE EQUITY COMPENSATION: Carried Interest [Pros and Cons]

DEFINITION

By Staff Reporters

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Carried interest accounts for the bulk of private equity fund managers’ compensation. It is calculated as a share of fund profits, historically 20% above a threshold rate of return for limited partners.

In contrast with most other forms of employment compensation and business income, carried interest earned from fund investments held for at least three years is taxed as a long-term capital gain at a rate below the top marginal income tax rate.

Critics of the provision contend it taxes highly compensated private equity managers at a lower rate than comparably paid providers of labor or business services.

Defenders of carried interest argue taxing it as income would be unfair because it represents capital gains even if they’re not derived from recipients’ capital.

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AOMB: Assignment of Medical Benefits

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Classic: An arrangement by which a patient requests that their health benefit payments be made directly to a designated person or facility, such as a physician or hospital. It is a legally binding agreement between patient and Insurance company asking them to send your reimbursement checks directly to your doctor.
 
Modern: To accept assignment means that the provider agrees to accept what ever the insurance company allows or approves as payment in full for the claim. The patient signs paperwork requiring his health insurance provider to pay his physician or hospital directly.
 
EXAMPLES:
 
CMS: The approved amount, also known as the Medicare-approved amount, is the fee that Medicare sets as how much a provider or supplier should be paid for a particular service or item. Original Medicare calls this “assignment.”
 
Tardiness: When a medical office accepts an assignment of benefits, the insured patients may have to wait several months for their insurance reimbursement to arrive.

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DAILY UPDATE: Zuck’s Testimony and Pfizer’s Liver as Stocks Fizzle Out

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Mark Zuckerberg testified as the trial for the FTC’s antitrust case against Meta over its purchases of Instagram and WhatsApp began yesterday.

Pfizer said it would end development of its daily weight loss pill after a patient reported liver damage.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

  • Stocks started the day strong but the rally eventually fizzled out as reports of trade talks between the US and EU making “little progress” left all three major indexes in the red.
  • The dreaded death cross has arrived: The S&P 500’s 50-day moving average is now below the 200-day moving average for the first time since 2022, a bearish technical indicator that has investors worried.
  • 10-year Treasury yields fell to a one-week low, letting traders breathe a small sigh of relief after tariffs upended the status quo last week.

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STOCK MARKET: Update

By Staff Reporters

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Stocks kept the good vibes going for a second trading day yesterday with tech companies like Apple rising as investors reacted to the weekend’s news that smartphones and computers would be temporarily exempt from “reciprocal” tariffs—at least until new semiconductor tariffs are imposed.

Car companies also jumped after President Trump suggested he wanted to “help” as automakers try to transition their production to the US in the face of 25% auto tariffs.

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DAILY UPDATE: UnitedHealth Group Members Appear Sicker as Stock Markets Edge Up

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A recent study published in the Annals of Internal Medicine found that in 2021, UnitedHealth Group received just under $14 billion in extra Medicare Advantage payments after using a code that made its members appear sicker. It’s another tough break for the plan and provider that has faced allegations of illegally taking additional money from patients and taxpayers, especially after its CEO was fatally shot in early December.

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US stocks edged higher on Monday as investors focused on tech’s temporary reprieve from President Trump’s tariffs.

The S&P 500 (^GSPC) trimmed bigger gains to rise a healthy 0.8%. The tech-heavy NASDAQ (^IXIC) also closed off its session high, up 0.6%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) was up around 0.7%, or more than 300 points.

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PHYSICIAN: Financial Education Lacking in Medical School

FRANKLY SPEAKING MY MIND!

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP

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The vast majority of physicians and medical professionals major in one of the hard science while in college; biology, engineering, chemistry, mathematics, computer science or physics; etc. Few take undergraduate courses in finance, business management, securities analysis, accounting or economics; although this paradigm is changing with modernity. These course are not particularly difficult for the pre-medical baccalaureate major, they are just not on the radar screen for time compressed and highly competitive students; nor are they needed for medical or nursing school admission, or the many related allied health professional schools.

In fact, William C. Roberts MD, originally from Emory University in Atlanta, and former editor for the Baylor University Medical Center Proceedings and The American Journal of Cardiology, opined just a decade ago:

“Of the 125 medical schools in the USA, only one of them to my knowledge offers a class related to saving or investing money.”

And so, it is important to review some basic principles of economics, finance and accounting as they relate to financial planning in thees two textbooks; and this ME-P.

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DAILY UPDATE: Dow & S&P 500 Post Best Week Since 2023

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US stocks turned higher on Friday to cap a chaotic week on Wall Street, as investors weighed the latest tariff-related developments in the trade war between the US and China.

The S&P 500 (^GSPC) rose 1.8% after seesawing earlier in the session. The tech-heavy NASDAQ Composite (^IXIC) climbed 2.1%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) advanced 1.5%, about 600 points.

Trump’s fast-moving tariff policy has whiplashed stocks this week with historic gains during Wednesday’s session but sharp losses on Thursday.

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In the end, the S&P 500 and Dow had their best weeks since 2023, while the NASDAQ’s 7% weekly gain was its best since 2022.

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DAILY UPDATE: Stocks Crushed Again!

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US stocks got crushed on Thursday, pulling back from the previous day’s historic rally amid concerns that President Trump’s broad trade offensive has become a direct confrontation with China.

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The S&P 500 (GSPC) dropped almost 3.5%, while the tech-heavy NASDAQ Composite (IXIC) tumbled 4.3%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) fell about 1,000 points, or 2.5%. The 10-year Treasury yield (^TNX), in high focus amid bond market whiplash, ended the day flat around 4.39%.

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The major averages sank to session lows after the White House confirmed updated tariff figures released on Thursday brings the total increased levies on Chinese goods to 145%, not 125% as previously stated.

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FINANCIAL MODELING TERMS: All Physicians Should Review and Know

By Staff Reporters

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Financial Modeling is one of the most highly valued, but thinly understood, skills in financial analysis. The objective of financial modeling is to combine accounting, finance, and business metrics to create a forecast of a company’s future results.

According to Jeff Schmidt, a financial model is simply a spreadsheet, usually built in Microsoft Excel, that forecasts a business’s financial performance into the future. The forecast is typically based on the company’s historical performance and assumptions about the future and requires preparing an income statement, balance sheet, cash flow statement, and supporting schedules (known as a three-statement model, one of many types of approaches to financial statement modeling). From there, more advanced types of models can be built such as discounted cash flow analysis (DCF model), leveraged buyout (LBO), mergers and acquisitions (M&A), and sensitivity analysis

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DEFINED TERMS

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF): A valuation method used to estimate the value of an investment based on its expected future cash flows, adjusted for the time value of money. It’s like deciding whether a treasure chest is worth diving for now, based on the gold coins you’ll be able to cash in later.

Sensitivity Analysis: This involves changing one variable at a time to see how it affects an outcome. Imagine tweaking your coffee-to-water ratio each morning to achieve the perfect brew strength.

Budget – A budget is the amount of money a department, function, or business can spend in a given period of time. Usually, but not always, finance does this annually for the upcoming year.

Rolling ForecastA rolling forecast maintains a consistent view over a period of time (often 12 months). When one period closes, finance adds one more period to the forecast.

Topside – A topside adjustment is an overlay to a forecast. This is typically completed by the corporate or headquarter team. As individual teams submit a forecast, the consolidated result might not make sense or align with expectations. When this occurs, the high-level teams use a topside adjustment to streamline or adjust the consolidated view.

Monte Carlo Simulation: Picture yourself at the casino, but instead of gambling your savings away, you’re using this technique to predict different outcomes of your business decisions based on random variables. It’s like playing financial roulette with the odds in your favor.

What-If Analysis: Ever daydream about what would happen if you took that leap of faith with your business? This tool allows you to explore various scenarios without risking a dime. It’s like trying on outfits in a virtual dressing room before making a purchase.

Leveraged Buyout (LBO) Model: This is a bit like orchestrating a heist, but legally. It’s about acquiring a company using borrowed money, with plans to pay off the debts with the company’s own cash flows. High stakes, high rewards.

Mergers and Acquisitions (M&A) Model: Picture two puzzle pieces coming together. This model evaluates how combining companies can create a new, more valuable entity. It’s the corporate version of a matchmaker.

Three Statement Model: The holy trinity of financial modeling, linking the income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement. It’s like weaving a tapestry where each thread is crucial to the overall picture.

Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM): A formula that calculates the expected return on an investment, considering its risk compared to the market. It’s like choosing the best roller coaster in the park, balancing thrill and safety.

Cash Flow Forecasting: This is your financial weather forecast, predicting the cash flow climate of your business. It helps you plan for sunny days and save for the rainy ones.

Cost of Capital: The price of financing your business, whether through debt or equity. It’s like the interest rate on your growth engine, pushing you to maximize every dollar invested.

Debt Schedule: A timeline of your business’s debts, showing when and how much you owe. It’s your roadmap to becoming debt-free, one milestone at a time.

Equity Valuation: Determining the value of a company’s shares. It’s like assessing the worth of a rare gemstone, ensuring investors pay a fair price for a piece of the treasure.

Financial Leverage: Using debt to amplify returns on investment. It’s like using a lever to lift a heavy object, increasing force but also risk.

Forecast Model: A crystal ball for your finances, projecting future performance based on past and present data. It’s your guide through the financial wilderness, helping you navigate with confidence.

Operating Model: A detailed blueprint of how a business generates value, mapping out operational activities and their financial impact. It’s like laying out the inner workings of a clock, ensuring every gear turns smoothly.

Revenue Growth Model: This tracks potential increases in sales over time, charting a course for expansion. It’s like plotting your ascent up a mountain, anticipating the effort required to reach the summit.

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DAILY UPDATE: Medicare Rates and Indian Health Service as Stocks Markets Experience Explosive Surge!

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Stat: 5.06%. That’s how much Medicare payment rates will increase for 2026, doubling what was previously proposed. (the Wall Street Journal)

Quote: “The move displays the utmost disrespect for public service. It is clearly designed to force talented scientists and health experts to leave government. It is also an insult to those healthcare professionals in the Indian Health Service who dedicate their lives to providing healthcare services on tribal lands.”—Richard Besser, CEO of the nonprofit Robert Wood Johnson Foundation, on offers to reassign HHS workers on administrative leave to the Indian Health Service (NPR)

Read: Some psychologists are offering free or low-cost therapy for federal healthcare workers. (Stat)

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

US stocks rocketed higher on Wednesday as President Trump announced a 90-day pause on tariffs for most countries, yet at the same time upped increasingly ballooning levies on China.

The benchmark S&P 500 (^GSPC) roared up over 9.5%, posting its best day since 2008. The tech-heavy NASDAQ Composite (^IXIC) rallied a whopping 12% for its second-best day on record and its biggest gain since 2001. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) was up over 7.8%, or roughly 3,000 points.

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Visualize: How private equity tangled banks in a web of debt, from the Financial Times.

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DAILY UPDATE: Medical Un-Affordability as Stock Market Rebound Collapses

MEDICAL EXECUTIVE-POST TODAY’S NEWSLETTER BRIEFING

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Stat: 11%. That’s the share of US residents who said they couldn’t afford medical care or medication over a three-month period, according to a new Gallup survey. (the New York Times)

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

An epic stock-market bounce turned into a historic fizzle, extending the bruising selloff sparked by President Donald Trump’s sweeping tariff measures to a fourth straight session.

SPX-1.57% saw an intra-day gain of 4.05% evaporate to end with a loss of 1.6%, marking its biggest blown percentage gain since Oct. 14th, 2008, during the darkest days of the 2007-09 financial crisis. And it’s the first time the S&P 500 was up more than 4% at its intra-day high but finished with a loss of more than 1%, based on data going back to 1978, according to Dow Jones Market Data.

DJIA-0.84% rallied 1,461 points, or 3.85%, at its intra-day peak, but ended the day down more than 400 points, its biggest erased percentage gain since April 2020.The tech-heavy NASDAQ Composite.

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Visualize: How private equity tangled banks in a web of debt, from the Financial Times.

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