BOARD CERTIFICATION EXAM STUDY GUIDES Lower Extremity Trauma
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Posted on August 21, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By A.I. and Staff Reporters
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Technology: Fears of an A.I. bubble continue to climb after MIT published a report that 95% of companies using generative A.I. programs have nothing to show for it, despite pouring billions of dollars into this space.
Stocks: Another day of technology stocks selling off pulled the S&P 500 and NASDAQ lower yesterday, with investors rotating out of some of the hottest names and sectors in the market.
FOMC Drama: President Trump demanded the resignation of Fed Governor Lisa Cook for allegations of mortgage fraud. Meanwhile, the minutes from the July FOMC meeting revealed a growing divide between central bankers.
US government mulls 10% stake in Intel as Softbank invests $2b.
According to Morning Brew, Bloomberg and the Wall Street Journal reported recently that the government is considering becoming one of the beleaguered chipmaker’s biggest shareholders by converting grants the company was given under the Biden-era Chips Act into an equity stake.
At Intel’s current valuation, a 10% stake would be worth ~$10.5 billion—though the exact size of the stake and whether the government will move forward with the plan remains to be determined.
Meanwhile, over in the private sector, Softbank agreed to buy $2 billion worth of Intel stock, giving it a ~2% stake. Intel has been trying to turn itself around after losing ground to other semiconductor companies
UnitedHealth Group soared almost 12%, its biggest one-day gain in nearly five years, after getting the “Buffett Bounce.” Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway revealed it bought ~5 million shares worth nearly $1.6 billion, giving a much-needed vote of confidence to the struggling health giant.
The White House is considering buying part of Intel, Bloomberg reported this week, which would be the latest big business deal the president pursues on behalf of the government. The Trump administration might acquire a stake in the struggling computer chip-maker using CHIPS Act funding—nearly $11 billion of which was already earmarked for Intel.
Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund took an $8 billion write-down on five mega-projects it’s building, due to lower oil prices and higher costs.
Pimco, the asset management giant, warned that President Trump’s plan to IPO Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac could push mortgage rates higher.
Posted on August 16, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By A.I.
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Stocks: The Dow climbed thanks to UnitedHealth and Warren Buffett while the rest of the market sank as the stock rally slowed. But, despite Friday’s decline, both the S&P 500 and NASDAQ wrapped up winning weeks.
Bonds: Both 10-year and 2-year Treasury yields continued to climb after Thursday’s PPI reading and Friday’s consumer confidence and retail sales data.
Commodities: All eyes were on Anchorage, Alaska as President Trump concluded talks with President Putin—discussions that will be crucial for crude’s future.
Posted on August 12, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By A.I.
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Stocks: Markets struggled to pick a direction as investors took a wait-and-see approach ahead of today’s CPI reading—even as Wall Street worries about the data’s reliability.
Trade: President Trump asked China, the world’s largest soybean buyer, to quadruple its soybean purchases from the US. He also extended the trade war truce with China by 90 days
Commodities: Gold had its worst day in three months as traders waited for the White House to clarify its new tariffs on the key commodity—only for Trump to announce that it won’t be tariffed at all. Meanwhile, Chinese battery giant CATL halted operations at a mine that produces 4% of the world’s lithium, sending prices of the precious metal soaring.
Posted on August 9, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By A.I.and Staff Reporters
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President Trump is set to sign an executive order allowing alternative assets such as cryptocurrency, private equity investments, and real estate in 401(k) accounts. Those accounts are a veritable gold mine—Americans have stashed approximately $12.5 trillion away for retirement, and alternative asset managers have been chomping at the bit to get a piece of that pie.
According to Brew Markets, the changes have been a long time coming. All the way back in his first term, Trump ordered the Labor Department to review how to incorporate private equity investments into retirement accounts, an effort that was later reversed under President Biden. This latest move expands beyond private equity, coinciding with Trump’s push to bring crypto mainstream.
Proponents argue that alternative assets in 401(k) accounts will enhance investment diversification and could provide retirees with greater profits. Detractors note that these assets are less liquid, less transparent, and generally more risky than investing retirement funds into publicly traded stocks and bonds.
In the early 1980s, Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tverskey proved in numerous experiments that the reality of decision making differed greatly from the assumptions held by economists. They published their findings in Prospect Theory: An analysis of decision making under risk, which quickly became one of the most cited papers in all of economics.
To understand the importance of their breakthrough, we first need to take a step back and explain a few things. Up until that point, economists were working under a normative model of decision making. A normative model is a prescriptive approach that concerns itself with how people should make optimal decisions. Basically, if everyone was rational, this is how they should act.
Amanda, an RN client, was just informed by her financial advisor that she needed to re-launch her 403-b retirement plan. Since she was leery about investing, she quietly wondered why she couldn’t DIY. Little does her Financial Advisor know that she doesn’t intend to follow his advice, anyway! So, what went wrong?
The answer may be that her advisor didn’t deploy a behavioral economics framework to support her decision-making. One such framework is the “prospect theory” model that boils client decision-making into a “three step heuristic.”
According to colleague Eugene Schmuckler PhD MBA MEd CTS, Prospect theory makes the unspoken biases that we all have more explicit. By identifying all the background assumptions and preferences that clients [patients] bring to the office, decision-making can be crafted so that everyone [family, doctor and patient] or [FA, client and spouse] is on the same page.
1. Simplify choices by focusing on the key differences between investment [treatment] options such as stock, bonds, cash, and index funds.
2. Understanding that clients [patients] prefer greater certainty when it comes to pursuing financial [health] gains and are willing to accept uncertainty when trying to avoid a loss [illness].
3. Cognitive processes lead clients and patients to overestimate the value of their choices thanks to survivor bias, cognitive dissonance, appeals to authority and hindsight biases.
CITE: Jaan E. Sidorov MD [Harrisburg, PA]
Assessment
Much like in healthcare today, the current mass-customized approaches to the financial services industry fall short of recognizing more personalized advisory approaches like prospect theory and assisted client-centered investment decision-making.
SPEAKING: Dr. Marcinko will be speaking and lecturing, signing and opining, teaching and preaching, storming and performing at many locations throughout the USA this year! His tour of witty and serious pontifications may be scheduled on a planned or ad-hoc basis; for public or private meetings and gatherings; formally, informally, or over lunch or dinner. All medical societies, financial advisory firms or Broker-Dealers are encouraged to submit an RFP for speaking engagements: CONTACT: Ann Miller RN MHA at MarcinkoAdvisors@outlook.com -OR-http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com
THE ADDICTIVE INVESTING / TRADING PERSONALITY OF DOCTORS
Dr. Donald J. Mandell, a pediatrician, always needs to leave the office fifteen minutes ahead of schedule. The reason is because it takes that long to make the necessary number of trips to ensure the front door is truly locked.
Dr. Kamela A. Shaw, a general surgeon, is constantly rushing to the bath room so that she can wash her hands. As far as she is concerned, it is not possible to get one’s hands clean enough considering the COVID pandemic or recent influenza outbreak.
Although the behaviors displayed by these two doctors are different, they are consistent in that each, to some degree, display behavior that might be called an obsessive-compulsive disorder [OCD].
An obsession is a persistent, recurring preoccupation with an idea or thought. A compulsion is an impulse that is experienced as irresistible.
Obsessive-compulsive individuals feel compelled to think thoughts that they say they do not want to think or to carry out actions that they say are against their will. These individuals usually realize that their behavior is irrational, but it is beyond their control. In general, these individuals are preoccupied with orderliness, perfectionism, and mental and interpersonal control, at the expense of flexibility, openness, and efficiency. Specifically, behaviors such as the following may be seen:
Preoccupation with details.
Perfectionism that interferes with task completion.
Excessive devotion to work and office productivity.
Scrupulous and inflexible about morality (not accounted for by cultural or religious identification);
Inability to discard worn-out or worthless objects without sentimental value;
Reluctance to delegate tasks or to work with others.
Adopts a miserly spending style toward both self and others.
Demonstrates a rigid, inflexible and stubborn nature.
Most people resort to some minor obsessive-compulsive patterns under severe pressure or when trying to achieve goals that they consider critically important. In fact, many individuals refer to this as superstitious behavior. The study habits required for medical students entail a good deal of compulsive behavior.
As the above examples suggest, there are a variety of addictions possible. Recent news accounts have pointed out that even high-level governmental officials can experience sex addiction. The advent of social-media has led to what is referred to as Internet addiction where an individual is transfixed to a computer, tablet PC or smart-phone, “working” for hours on end without a specific project in mind. The simple act of “surfing”, “tweeting-X”, “texting” or merely posting opinions offers the person afflicted with the addiction some degree of satisfaction.
Still another form of addictive behavior is that of the individual with gambling disorder (GD).
GD is recognized as a mental disorder in the American Psychiatric Association’s Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders-V. This is the behavior of an individual who is unable to resist the impulse to gamble. Many reasons have been posited for this type of behavior including the death instinct; a need to lose; a history of trauma; a wish to repeat a big win; identification with adults the “gambler” knew as an adolescent; and a desire for action and excitement. There are other explanations offered for this form of compulsive behavior. The act of betting allows the individual to express an immature bravery, courage, manliness, and persistence against unfavorable odds. By actually using money and challenging reality, he puts himself into “action” and intense emotion. By means of gambling, the addicted individual is able to pretend that he is favored by “lady luck,” specially chosen, successful, able to beat the system and escape from feelings of discontent.
Greed can also have addictive qualities. In fact, a poll conducted by the Chicago Tribune revealed that folks who earned less than $30,000 a year, said that $50,000 would fulfill their dreams, whereas those with yearly incomes of over $100,000 said they would need $250,000 to be satisfied. More recent studies confirm that goals keep getting pushed upward as soon as a lower level is reached.
Edward Looney, executive director of the Trenton, New Jersey based Council on Compulsive Gambling (CCG) reports that the number of individuals calling with trading-associated problems is doubling annually. In the mid 1980s, when the council was formed, the number of people calling the council’s hotline (1 – 800 Gambler) with stock-market gambling problems was approximately 1.5 percent of all calls received. In 1998 that number grew to 3 percent, and rose to 8 percent by 2012. Today, that number is largely unknown because of its pervasiveness, but Dr. Robert Custer, an expert on compulsive gambling reported, that stock market gamblers represent over 20 percent of the gamblers that he has diagnosed. It is evident that on-line trading presents a tremendous risk to the speculator.
The CCG describes some of the consequences:
Dr. Fred B. is a 43-year-old Asian male physician with a salary above $150,000 and in debt for more than $150,000. He is married with two children. He was a day trader.
Michael Q. is a 28-year-old Hispanic male registered nurse. He is married and the father of one (7 month old) child. He earns $65,000 and lost $50,000 savings in day trading and is in debt for $30,000. He has suicidal ideation.
[B] A Question of Suitability
Since online traders are in it for many reasons, investment suitability rarely enters the picture, according to Stuart Kaswell, general counsel of the Securities Industry Association, in Washington, DC. The kind of question that has yet to be confronted, by day or online trading firms, is a statement, such as: “Equities look good this year. We favor technology stocks. We have a research report on our Web page that looks at the social media industry.” Those kinds of things are seldom considered because they do not involve a specific recommendation of a specific stock, like Apple, Google, Groupon, Facebook or Twitter.
However, if a firm makes a specific recommendation to an investor, whether over the cell-phone, iPad®, fax machine, face-to-face, instagram or over the Internet, or Twitter-X, suitability rules should apply. Opining similarly on the “know your customer” requirements is Steven Caruso, of Maddox, Koeller, Harget & Caruso of New York City. “The on-line firms obviously claim that they do not have a suitability responsibility because they do not want the liability for making a mistake as far as determining whether the investor was suitable or buying any security. I think that ultimately more firms are going to be required to make a suitability, [or eventually fiduciary] determination on every trade”.
[C] On-line Traders and Stock Market Gamblers
Some of the preferred areas of stock market gambling that attract the interest of compulsive gamblers include options, commodities, penny stocks and bit-coins, index investing, new stock offerings, certain types of CAT bonds, crowd-sourcing initiatives, and some contracts for government securities. These online traders and investment gamblers think of themselves as cautious long-term investors who prefer blue chip or dividend paying varieties. What they fail to take into consideration is that even seemingly blue chips can both rise and precipitously drop in value again, as seen in the summer of 2003, the “crash” of 2008, or the “flash crash” of May 6, 2010. On this day, the DJIA plunged 1000 points (about 9%) only to recover those losses within minutes. It was the second largest point swing 1,010.14 points, and the biggest one-day point decline, 998.5 points, on an intraday basis in Dow Jones Industrial Average history.
Regardless of investment choice, the compulsive investment gambler enjoys the anticipation of following the daily activity surrounding these investments. Newspaper, hourly radio and television reports, streaming computer, tablet and smart phone banners and hundreds of periodicals and magazines add excitement in seeking the investment edge. The name of the game is action. Investment goals are unclear, with many participating simply for the feeling it affords them as they experience the highs and lows and struggles surrounding the play. And, as documented by the North American Securities Administrators Association’s president, and Indiana Securities Commissioner, Bradley Skolnik, most day or online traders lose money. “On-line brokerage was new and cutting edge and we enjoyed the best stock market in generations, until the crashes. The message of most advertisements was “just do it”, and you’ll do well. The fact is that research and common sense suggest the more you trade, the less well you’ll do”.
Most day or online traders are young males, some who quit their day jobs before the just mentioned debacles; or more recently with the dismal economy. Many ceased these risky activities but there is some anecdotal evidence that is re-surging again with 2013-14 technology boom and market rise. Most of them start every day not owning any stock, then buy and sell all day long and end the trading day again without any stock – – just a lot of cash. Dr. Patricia Farrell, a licensed clinical psychologist states that day traders are especially susceptible to compulsive behaviors and addictive personalities. Mark Brando, registered principal for Milestone Financial, a day trading firm in Glendale, California states, “People that get addicted to trading employ the same destructive habits as a gambler. Often, it’s impossible to tell if a particular trade comes from a problem gambler or a legitimate trader.”
Arthur Levitt, former Chairman of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in discussing the risks and misconceptions of investing are only amplified by on-line trading. In a speech before the National Press Club a few years ago, he attempted to impress individuals as to the risks and difficulties involved with day trading. Levitt cited four common misconceptions that knowledgeable medical professionals, and all investors, should know:
Personal computers, tablets, mobile devices and smart-phones are not directly linked to the markets – Thanks to Level II computer software, day traders can have access to the same up-to-the-second information available to market makers on Wall Street. “Although the Internet makes it seem as if you have a direct connection to the securities market, you don’t. Lines may clog; systems may break; orders may back-up.”
The virtue of limit orders – “Price quotes are only for a limited number of shares; so only the first few investors will receive the currently quoted price. By the time you get to the front of the line, the price of the stock could be very different.”
Canceling an order – “Another misconception is that an order is canceled when you hit ‘cancel’ on your computer. But, the fact is it’s canceled only when the market gets the cancellation. You may receive an electronic confirmation, but that only mean your request to cancel was received – not that your order was actually canceled”.
Buying on margin – “if you plan to borrow money to buy a stock, you also need to know the terms of the loan your broker gave you. This is margin. In volatile markets, investors who put up an initial margin payment for a stock may find themselves required to provide additional cash if the price of the stock falls.
How then, can the medical professional or financial advisor tell if he or she is a compulsive gambler? A diagnostic may be obtained from Gamblers Anonymous. It is designed to screen for the identification of problem and compulsive gambling.
But, it is also necessary to provide a tool to be used by on-line traders. This questionnaire is as follows:
1. Are you trading in the stock market with money you may need during the next year?
2. Are you risking more money than you intended to?
3. Have you ever lied to someone regarding your on-line trading?
4. Are you risking retirement savings to try to get back your losses?
5. Has anyone ever told you that spend too much time on-line?
6. Is investing affecting other life areas (relationships, vocational pursuits, etc.)?
7. If you lost money trading in the market would it materially change your life?
8. Are you investing frequently for the excitement, and the way it makes you feel?
9. Have you become secretive about your on-line trading?
10. Do you feel sad or depressed when you are not trading in the market?
NOTE: If you answer to any of these questions you may be moving from investing to gambling.
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The cost of compulsive gambling and day trading is high for the individual medical or lay professional, the family and society at large. Compulsive gamblers, in the desperation phase of their gambling, exhibit high suicide ideation, as in the case of Mark O Barton’s the murderous day-trader in Atlanta who killed 12 people and injured 13 more in July 29th 1999. His idea actually became a final act of desperation.
Less dramatically, for doctors, is a marked increase in subtle illegal activity. These acts include fraud, embezzlement, CPT® up-coding, medical over utilization, excessive full risk HMO contracting, Stark Law aberrations and other “white collar crimes.” Higher healthcare and social costs in police, judiciary (civil and criminal) and corrections result because of compulsive gambling. The impact on family members is devastating. Compulsive gamblers cause havoc and pain to all family members. The spouses and other family members also go through progressive deterioration in their lives.
In this desperation phase, dysfunctional families are left with a legacy of anger, resentment, isolation, and in many instances, outright hate.
[D] Day Trading Assessment
Internet day trading, like the Internet and telecommunications sectors, become something of a investment bubble a few years ago, suggesting that something lighter than air can pop and disappear in an instant. History is filled with examples: from the tulip mania of 1630 Holland and the British South Sea Bubble of the 1700’s; to the Florida land boom of the roaring twenties and the Great Crash of 1929; to the collapse of Japans stock and real estate market in early 1990’s; and to an all-time high of $1,926 for an ounce of commodity gold a few years ago.
Today it is Ask: $3,388.30 USD Bid: $3,367.30 USD
CONCLUSION
To this list, one might again include smart-phone or mobile day trading.
SPEAKING: Dr. Marcinko will be speaking and lecturing, signing and opining, teaching and preaching, storming and performing at many locations throughout the USA this year! His tour of witty and serious pontifications may be scheduled on a planned or ad-hoc basis; for public or private meetings and gatherings; formally, informally, or over lunch or dinner. All medical societies, financial advisory firms or Broker-Dealers are encouraged to submit an RFP for speaking engagements: CONTACT: Ann Miller RN MHA at MarcinkoAdvisors@outlook.com -OR-http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com
One of the major concepts that most investors should be aware of is the relationship between the risk and the return of a financial asset. It is common knowledge that there is a positive relationship between the risk and the expected return of a financial asset. In other words, when the risk of an asset increases, so does its expected return. What this means is that if an investor is taking on more risk, he/she is expected to be compensated for doing so with a higher return. Similarly, if the investor wants to boost the expected return of the investment, he/she needs to be prepared to take on more risk.
Harry Max Markowitz (August 24, 1927 – June 22, 2023) was an American economist who was a professor of finance at the Rady School of Management at UCSD. He is best known for his pioneering work in modern portfolio theory, studying the effects of asset risk, return, correlation and diversification on probable investment portfolio returns.
One important thing to understand about Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT) is Markowitz’s calculations treat volatility and risk as the same thing. In layman’s terms, Dr. Markowitz uses risk as a measurement of the likelihood that an investment will go up and down in value – and how often and by how much. The theory assumes that investors prefer to minimize risk. The theory assumes that given the choice of two portfolios with equal returns, investors will choose the one with the least risk. If investors take on additional risk, they will expect to be compensated with additional return.
According to MPT, risk comes in two major categories:
Systematic risk – the possibility that the entire market and economy will show losses negatively affecting nearly every investment; also called market risk
Unsystematic risk – the possibility that an investment or a category of investments will decline in value without having a major impact upon the entire market.
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Diversification generally does not protect against systematic risk because a drop in the entire market and economy typically affects all investments. However, diversification is designed to decrease unsystematic risk. Since unsystematic risk is the possibility that one single thing will decline in value, having a portfolio invested in a variety of stocks, a variety of asset classes and a variety of sectors will lower the risk of losing much money when one investment type declines in value. Thus putting together assets with low correlations can reduce unsystematic risks.
Although broad risks can be quickly summarized as “the failure to achieve spending and inflation-adjusted growth goals,” individual assets may face any number of other subsidiary risks:
Call risk – The risk, faced by a holder of a callable bond that a bond issuer will take advantage of the callable bond feature and redeem the issue prior to maturity. This means the bondholder will receive payment on the value of the bond and, in most cases, will be reinvesting in a less favorable environment (one with a lower interest rate)
Capital risk – The risk an investor faces that he or she may lose all or part of the principal amount invested.
Commodity risk – The threat that a change in the price of a production input will adversely impact a producer who uses that input.
Company risk – The risk that certain factors affecting a specific company may cause its stock to change in price in a different way from stocks as a whole.
Concentration risk – Probability of loss arising from heavily lopsided exposure to a particular group of counterparties
Counterparty risk – The risk that the other party to an agreement will default.
Credit risk – The risk of loss of principal or loss of a financial reward stemming from a borrower’s failure to repay a loan or otherwise meet a contractual obligation.
Currency risk – A form of risk that arises from the change in price of one currency against another.
Deflation risk – A general decline in prices, often caused by a reduction in the supply of money or credit.
Economic risk – the likelihood that an investment will be affected by macroeconomic conditions such as government regulation, exchange rates, or political stability.
Hedging risk – Making an investment to reduce the risk of adverse price movements in an asset.
Inflation risk – The uncertainty over the future real value (after inflation) of your investment.
Interest rate risk – Risk to the earnings or market value of a portfolio due to uncertain future interest rates.
Legal risk – risk from uncertainty due to legal actions or uncertainty in the applicability or interpretation of contracts, laws or regulations.
Liquidity risk – The risks stemming from the lack of marketability of an investment that cannot be bought or sold quickly enough to prevent or minimize a loss.
SPEAKING: Dr. Marcinko will be speaking and lecturing, signing and opining, teaching and preaching, storming and performing at many locations throughout the USA this year! His tour of witty and serious pontifications may be scheduled on a planned or ad-hoc basis; for public or private meetings and gatherings; formally, informally, or over lunch or dinner. All medical societies, financial advisory firms or Broker-Dealers are encouraged to submit an RFP for speaking engagements: CONTACT: Ann Miller RN MHA at MarcinkoAdvisors@outlook.com -OR-http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com
In order to create and monitor an investment portfolio for personal or institutional use, the physician executive, financial advisor, wealth manager, or healthcare institutional endowment fund manager, should ask three questions:
How much do we have invested?
How much did we make on our investments?
How much risk did we take to get that rate of return?
Introduction to the IPS
Most doctors, and hospital endowment fund executives, know how much money they have invested. If they don’t, they can add a few statements together to obtain a total. But, few can answers the questions above or actually know the rate of return achieved last year; or so far this year. Everyone can get this number by simply subtracting the ending balance from the beginning balance and dividing the difference. But, few take the time to do it. Why? A typical response to the question is, “We’re doing fine.”
Now, ask how much risk is in the portfolio and help is needed [risk adjusted rate of return]. In fact, Nobel laureate Harry Markowitz, Ph.D. said, “If you take more risk, you deserve more return.” Using standard deviation, he referred to the “variability of returns;” in other words, how much the portfolio goes up and down, its volatility [Markowitz, H: Portfolio Selection. Journal of Finance, March, 1952].
SPEAKING: Dr. Marcinko will be speaking and lecturing, signing and opining, teaching and preaching, storming and performing at many locations throughout the USA this year! His tour of witty and serious pontifications may be scheduled on a planned or ad-hoc basis; for public or private meetings and gatherings; formally, informally, or over lunch or dinner. All medical societies, financial advisory firms or Broker-Dealers are encouraged to submit an RFP for speaking engagements: CONTACT: Ann Miller RN MHA at MarcinkoAdvisors@outlook.com -OR-http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com
Posted on July 29, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
MEDICAL EXECUTIVE-POST–TODAY’SNEWSLETTERBRIEFING
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Essays, Opinions and Curated News in Health Economics, Investing, Business, Management and Financial Planning for Physician Entrepreneurs and their Savvy Advisors and Consultants
“Serving Almost One Million Doctors, Financial Advisors and Medical Management Consultants Daily“
A Partner of the Institute of Medical Business Advisors , Inc.
Stocks: Investors cheered the news of an EU & US trade deal over the weekend, pushing the S&P 500 above 6,400 for the first time ever. But the index gave up most of its gains late in the day as attention turned to a huge week of data ahead (more on that in a minute).
Trade: Today was the first day of discussions between US and Chinese negotiators in Stockholm to keep the trade war truce alive. Elsewhere, President Trump foresees a baseline 15% to 20% tariff rate for the rest of the world.
Commodities: Gold fell as trade deal hopes heightened investors’ risk appetite, while oil spiked higher after Trump gave Russia a 10- to 12-day deadline to sign a truce with Ukraine.
According to Bloomberg, 83% of the S&P 500 companies that have reported earnings have outpaced Wall Street’s estimates, putting the index on pace for its best season of beats since the second quarter of 2021.
Posted on July 25, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By A.I.
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Stocks: President Trump said there’s a “50/50 chance” of a deal with the EU ahead of next week’s deadline. Investors decided they like those odds, and pushed the NASDAQ and S&P 500 to yet another new closing record high—in fact, the S&P 500 set a new record every day this week. Meanwhile, trade deal talks with Brazil have reportedly stalled.
Commodities: Oil fell to a three-week low today as Iran signaled a willingness to come to the negotiating table with European powers for nuclear talks.
Hopes of trade deals and less need for a safe haven investment pushed gold prices lower.
Medpace isn’t a meme stock, but it still soared 54.67% yesterday. It was all thanks to a seriously impressive beat-and-raise earnings report for the clinical researcher.
It was also a great day for healthcare stocks: IQVIA climbed 17.92% after beating Wall Street forecasts last quarter.
DR Horton popped 17.02% after the homebuilder crushed Q3 earnings expectations.
It was also a great day for other homebuilders: Pultegroup rose 11.52% despite lower home closings last quarter, and management is optimistic that sales will bounce back next quarter.
NorthropGrumman gained 9.41% after a strong quarter, including an 18% increase in international sales for the defense contractor.
What’s down
LockheedMartin dropped 10.81% after the legacy defense contractor revealed big losses in its classified aeronautics program.
It wasn’t that great a day for defense contractors in general: RTX fell 1.58% after the company cut its earnings guidance.
General Motors may have beaten earnings expectations last quarter and kept its fiscal forecast intact, but investors didn’t like to hear about the $1.1 billion in tariff costs. Shares of the automaker stumbled 8.12%
Coca-Cola lost 0.59% after strong European sales helped the soft drink titan beat earnings estimates, but shareholders weren’t happy about weakness everywhere else.
Equifax tumbled 8.18% thanks to disappointing guidance for the current quarter from the consumer credit company.
Stocks: The multi-day rally wavered this afternoon as investors turned their attention to big tech earnings tomorrow. The S&P 500 closed at a record high, while the NASDAQ finally broke its hot streak.
FOMC: Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent sees no reason for Jerome Powell to step down, while President Trump tempered his outrage against the Fed chair. Instead, well-known economist Mohamed El-Erian took up the gauntlet.
Trade: Bessent said China may get an extension to make a true trade deal, while promising a “rash of trade deals” in the coming days. Speaking of, Trump declared the US has made a deal with the Philippines capping import levies at 19%.
Posted on July 22, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By A.I.
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Stocks: Markets lost steam late in the trading session yesterday as investors awaited more earnings announcements, with the DJIA tumbling into the red. But the S&P 500 managed to end the day above 6,300 for the first time ever, while the NASDAQ enjoyed its sixth consecutive record close
FOMC: Over the weekend,President Trump disputed reports that Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent talked him out of firing Jerome Powell. Meanwhile, Bessent said that the entire Federal Reserve should be put under review.
Trade: Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick reiterated that August 1st will be the “hard deadline” for countries to make a deal with the US. Both negotiations and tensions with the EU are ramping up as Trump threatens to slap the bloc with 30% levies.
As we plan for our financial future, I think it’s helpful to be cognizant of these paradoxes. While there’s nothing we can do to control or change them, there is great value in being aware of them, so we can approach them with the right tools and the right mindset.
Here are just seven of the paradoxes that can bedevil financial planning and investment decision-making:
There’s the paradox that all of the greatest fortunes—Carnegie, Rockefeller, Buffett, Gates—have been made by owning just one stock. And yet the best advice for individual investors is to do the opposite: to own broadly diversified index funds.
There’s the paradox that the stock market may appear overvalued and yet it could become even more overvalued before it eventually declines. And when it does decline, it may be to a level that is even higher than where it is today.
There’s the paradox that we make plans based on our understanding of the rules—and yet Congress can change the rules on us at any time, as it did just a few weeks ago.
There’s the paradox that we base our plans on historical averages—average stock market returns, average interest rates, average inflation rates and so on—and yet we only lead one life, so none of us will experience the average.
There’s the paradox that we continue to be attracted to the prestige of high-cost colleges, even though a rational analysis that looks at return on investment tells us that lower-cost state schools are usually the better bet.
There’s the paradox that early retirement seems so appealing—and has even turned into a movement—and yet the reality of early retirement suggests that we might be better off staying at our desks.
There’s the paradox that retirees’ worst fear is outliving their money and yet few choose the financial product that is purpose-built to solve that problem: the single-premium immediate annuity.
Assessment
QUESTION: How should you respond to these paradoxes? As you plan for your financial future, embrace the concept of “loosely held views.” In other words, make financial plans, but continuously update your views, question your assumptions and rethink your priorities.
Markets: Stocks slid lower today even as a preliminary survey revealed that consumer sentiment hit its highest point since February, while inflation expectations fell to pre-tariff levels. The selloff deepened on reports that President Trump wants 15% to 20% tariffs against the EU, though the NASDAQ managed to eke out a win.
Crypto: Although bitcoin fell after the president signed the GENIUS Act into law, ether rose to its highest price in six months today, while enthusiasm for the new legislation pushed total crypto assets above $4 trillion.
Yes, you can contribute to both a Roth IRA and a 401(k), provided you don’t exceed annual contribution limits for each account.
Determining whether to contribute to a Roth IRA, 401(k), or both can be an important step in planning for your retirement. Here are the key differences, including tax advantages, employer contributions, and investment options.
Eligibility requirements are the first consideration when contributing to a Roth IRA and a 401(k). For Roth IRA contributions, your eligibility is determined by your income. Specifically, if your modified adjusted gross income (MAGI) exceeds certain thresholds, your ability to contribute to a Roth IRA may be reduced or eliminated. However, there are no income limits for contributing to a 401(k), making it accessible to anyone with earned income.
IRS rules do allow for contributions to both a Roth IRA and a 401(k), provided you adhere to the annual contribution limits for each account.
This means you can take advantage of the higher contribution limits of a 401(k) while also benefiting from the tax-free growth of a Roth IRA. This dual approach can be a strategy for maximizing your retirement savings. The advantages to contributing to both accounts present some key benefits, such as:
Tax diversification in retirement, allowing for better management of taxable income.
Potential reduction of overall tax burden.
Maximization of savings potential by taking full advantage of the benefits each account offers.3
Balancing contributions between a Roth IRA and a 401(k) requires careful planning. You might start by contributing enough to your 401(k) to receive the full employer match, which is essentially free money, if your employer offers this. Once you’ve secured the match, consider maxing out your Roth IRA contributions, if you’re eligible.
Posted on July 18, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
MEDICAL EXECUTIVE-POST–TODAY’SNEWSLETTERBRIEFING
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Lucid exploded 36.24% higher on the news that the EV maker is partnering with Uber to roll out the ridesharing company’s new robotaxis.
PepsiCo popped 7.45% thanks to a strong quarter for the snack and soda giant, while shareholders cheered the details of its turnaround plan.
UnitedAirlines may have missed Wall Street’s revenue forecast, but its profits were enough to impress investors. Shares rose 3.11%.
Reports that Union Pacific is thinking about acquiring a rival sent shares of fellow train operators CSX and NorfolkSouthern up 3.73% and 3.65%, respectively.
Sarepta Therapeutics soared 19.53% after the biotech announced it will lay off 500 employees and restructure its entire business.
Quantumscape continued its hot streak, rising yet another 19.82% thanks to its recent battery breakthrough.
Speaking of hot streaks, OpenDoorTechnologies rose another 10.74% as retail traders pour into what is quickly becoming the next big meme stock.
Stocks down
GE Aerospace crushed earnings expectations and raised its fiscal guidance, but it still wasn’t enough to impress investors, who pushed shares of the engine maker down 2.10%.
USBancorp sank 1.03% after revenue and net interest income missed forecasts last quarter.
AbbottLaboratories beat on both top and bottom line guidance, but still fell 8.53% after the pharma company narrowed its fiscal forecasts.
President Trump is expected to sign an executive order in the coming days designed to help make private-market investments more available to U.S. retirement plans, according to people familiar with the matter. The order would instruct the Labor Department and the Securities and Exchange Commission to provide guidance to employers and plan administrators on including investments like private assets in 401(k) plans.
Stocks: Markets started the day on a high note thanks to a fifth straight decline in weekly initial jobless claims and surprisingly strong monthly retail sales. The NASDAQ hit its 10th record closing high of 2025 and the S&P 500 hit its ninth high.
Commodities: Lithium prices popped around the globe after the Chinese government ordered domestic producer Zangge Mining to halt operations. Plus, the US is reportedly set to impose 93.5% tariffs on Chinese imports of graphite, a key component.
The Fed Drama: A White House official said President Trump will likely fire Jerome Powell soon. Stockssank at the thought of the Fed head being shown the door, offsetting the pleasant surprise of a flat wholesale inflation reading.
Markets: Stocks managed to recoup their losses after Trump said it’s “highly unlikely” that he will fire Powell, but bonds remained shaken.
Crypto: Bitcoin bounced higher after the crypto bills currently under consideration in the House of Representatives cleared a key hurdle.
Posted on July 16, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
MEDICAL EXECUTIVE-POST–TODAY’SNEWSLETTERBRIEFING
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Essays, Opinions and Curated News in Health Economics, Investing, Business, Management and Financial Planning for Physician Entrepreneurs and their Savvy Advisors and Consultants
“Serving Almost One Million Doctors, Financial Advisors and Medical Management Consultants Daily“
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The consumer price index, a broad-based measure of goods and services costs, increased 0.3% on the month, putting the 12-month inflation rate at 2.7%, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Tuesday. The numbers were right in line with the Dow Jones consensus. Excluding volatile food and energy prices, core inflation picked up 0.2% on the month, with the annual rate moving to 2.9%, also matching the respective estimates.
The Trump administration has launched a probe into drone imports. Drones use polysilicon, a key ingredient for solar panels, and tariffs on the material could help boost profitability for domestic manufacturers like FirstSolar, which rose 6.90%.
National Fuel Gas rose 5.65% after the energy company caught a rare double upgrade from Bank of America analysts, who like the energy company’s improved productivity.
Stocks down
BlackRock fell 5.86% after the world’s largest asset manager reported that a single client pulled $52 billion last quarter.
It wasn’t a great day for other big banks: WellsFargo sank 5.43% after cutting its 2025 net interest income guidance, while JPMorgan Chase lost 0.74% despite beating sales and profit estimates.
Albertsons tumbled 5.02% even though the grocer reported a solid quarter thanks to strong pharmacy sales and digital revenue.
Newmont dropped 5.71% on the news that CFO Karyn Ovelmen is leaving the gold miner.
Posted on July 15, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
MEDICAL EXECUTIVE-POST–TODAY’SNEWSLETTERBRIEFING
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Essays, Opinions and Curated News in Health Economics, Investing, Business, Management and Financial Planning for Physician Entrepreneurs and their Savvy Advisors and Consultants
“Serving Almost One Million Doctors, Financial Advisors and Medical Management Consultants Daily“
A Partner of the Institute of Medical Business Advisors , Inc.
Drug and medical device companies paid at least $13.2 billion to medical professionals in 2024, according to CMS data released June 30th. There’s been steady growth in these payments over the last few years, which include everything from research payments to free meals to promotional or conference fees. Drug and medical device companies paid out $13.1 billion in 2023, $13.1 in 2022, and $12.6 in 2021. If you’re a medical provider, you’ve probably gotten one of those perks from a drug or medical device company and thought it wouldn’t affect your decision-making.
But research suggests physicians are more likely to prescribe drugs from companies that pay them, with some studies specifically associating this with drugs that are costlier to patients. “Really well-trained people who affirm an oath to do no harm can be influenced, and are,” Neil Jay Sehgal, associate professor of health systems and population health at the University of Washington School of Public Health, told Healthcare Brew.
Bitcoin is booming, and crypto stocks climbed along with it. MicroStrategy rose 3.86%, RobinhoodMarkets added 1.67%. and Coinbase gained 1.80%.
Boeing rose 1.64% on preliminary reports that investigators have found no evidence of malfunction in the plane that crashed in India last month. Engine-maker GEAerospace also gained 2.71%.
Warner Bros Discovery climbed 2.39% thanks to a strong opening weekend for the new Superman movie.
Autodesk popped 5.05% on the news that it is not pursuing an acquisition of rival software maker PTC. PTC fell 1.25%.
Kenvue, the company behind Band Aids and Listerine, gained 2.18% after kicking its CEO to the curb.
PayPal climbed 3.55% despite the news that JPMorgan will start charging the fintech fees for access to customer data.
Stocks Down
Starbucks sank 1.60% on news that employees will have to return to the office four days a week. Shareholders were also unimpressed with the coffee giant’s new secret menu.
Synopsys stumbled 1.74% after getting regulatory approval from Chinese authorities to acquire software designer Ansys for $35 billion. Ansys rose 3.03% on the news.
Waters plunged 13.81% on the news that it will merge with Becton Dickinson’s bioscience and diagnostic solutions business in a $17.5 billion deal.
RivianAutomotive lost 2.15% thanks to a downgrade from Guggenheim analysts, who forecast soft sales for the automaker’s latest models.
Overconfident Investing Bias happens when we believe we can out-smart other investors via market timing or through quick, frequent trading. This causes the results of a study to be unreliable and hard to reproduce in other research settings.
Example: Data convincingly shows that people and financial planners/advisors and wealth managers who trade most often under-perform the market by a significant margin over time. Active traders lose money.
Example: Overconfidence Investing Bias moreover leads to: (1) excessive trading (which in turn results in lower returns due to costs incurred), (2) underestimation of risk (portfolios of decreasing risk were found for single men, married men, married women, and single women), (3) illusion of knowledge (you can get a lot more data nowadays on the internet) and (4) illusion of control (on-line trading).
Stocks: The major Wall Street stock indexes languished. The S&P pulled back from its record high to close the week just a bit lower, but the NASDAQ managed to post a gain across the week.
Crypto: Bitcoin hit a new high-water mark above $118,000. Next week, July 14th, Congress hosts “Crypto Week” to discuss regulating the industry in a growth-oriented manner.
Commodities: Silver rose to its highest level since 2011, and it’s been even hotter than gold. The metal is up ~27% this year. Oil, meanwhile, ticked higher on speculation that President Trump will place more sanctions on Russia early next week.
Stocks: Jobless claims came in lower than expected, the 30-year US bond auction met with strong demand, and Delta Airlines unofficially kicking off earnings season with a solid report. The S&P 500 and the NASDAQhit record highs.
Crypto: Bitcoin reached a record high for the second day in a row, hitting $113,863.31 today. The crypto’s price has stayed above $100k for 60 consecutive days.
Commodities: Coffee futures in New York climbed as much as 3.5% in response to President Trump’s threat to slap 50% tariffs on Brazil, which is the top producer of higher-end arabica coffee.
Stocks: The major indexes plowed higher with the minutes of the last FOMC meeting showing that officials were not at all united about when to begin cutting rates. Investors also treated more tariff letters sent by President Trump to seven more countries including Iraq and the Philippines as not vital.
Bonds: US Treasuries snapped a five-day losing streak after a $39 billion sale of 1-year notes was met with solid demand.
Posted on July 3, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By A.I.
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Stocks: Markets wrapped the trading day with another win thanks to a shockingly strong jobs report this morning. Both the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ hit new record highs.
Posted on July 2, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
MEDICAL EXECUTIVE-POST–TODAY’SNEWSLETTERBRIEFING
***
Essays, Opinions and Curated News in Health Economics, Investing, Business, Management and Financial Planning for Physician Entrepreneurs and their Savvy Advisors and Consultants
“Serving Almost One Million Doctors, Financial Advisors and Medical Management Consultants Daily“
A Partner of the Institute of Medical Business Advisors , Inc.
Power station: Crude oil prices reversed as tensions in the Middle East cooled, but AI likely raises electricity demand over the longer term, creating investment opportunities and risks.
Oil supplies now exceed demand, noted Michelle Gibley, director of international research at the Schwab Center for Financial Research, in her latest analysis, though “AI is transforming the energy sector,” raising power shortage concerns.
Solar stocks got a reprieve today after the Senate dropped the excise tax on clean energy projects. Sunrun soared 10.51%, EnphaseEnergy rose 3.18%, SolarEdgeTechnologies popped 7.16%, and ArrayTechnologies climbed 12.54%.
Apple tumbled this summer after investors were disappointed by its AI rollout, but rose 1.29% on the news that the company may pivot to using Anthropic or OpenAI in iPhones instead of building something in-house.
Wolfspeed, the best name for a company that makes computer chips, exploded 98.09% after the company officially filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy.
Hasbro got a nice 4.29% bump thanks to Goldman Sachs analysts, who are big old nerds who think Magic: The Gathering will boost the toymaker’s sales.
Ford popped 4.61% after the automaker reported an impressive 14% increase in sales last quarter.
Casino stocks soared on the news that gaming revenue in Macau rose 19% in June. WynnResorts climbed 8.85%, Las Vegas Sands added 8.95%, and MGMResorts gained 7.24%.
What’s down
AMC Entertainment tumbled 9.03% after the one-time meme stock announced its new debt restructuring plan.
ProgressSoftware sank 13.03% after the business application software company reported mixed results last quarter, beating on profit but missing on revenue.
JobyAviation fell 7.01% after traders took profits following the air taxi company’s big pop yesterday.
AeroVironment dropped 11.42% after defense contractor announced it’s offering $750 million in common stock and $600 million in convertible senior notes to pay off its debt.
Diabetes device makers tumbled on the news that the government may change the reimbursement rate for glucose monitors and insulin pumps. Insulet lost 4.52%, Dexcom fell 4.25%, and BetaBionics sank 4.26%.
Stocks: The S&P 500 and the NASDAQ started the second half of the year on the wrong foot, while the Dow climbed despite investors’ trepidation about conflict in Congress. But the Senate passed its version of the big, beautiful bill this afternoon, potentially getting us one step closer to ending all the drama.
Bonds: 10-year Treasury yields fell to their lowest level in two months this morning ahead of Jerome Powell’s appearance at a central banking conference today. There, Powell demurred on the possibility of a July rate cut, reiterating his wait-and-see approach.
Safe havens: The US dollar gained ground after a terrible first half of the year, while gold rose as investors braced themselves for the big jobs report on Friday.
Named after Monte Carlo, Monaco, which is famous for its games of chance, MCS is a software technique that randomly changes a variable over numerous iterations in order to simulate an outcome and develop a probability forecast of successfully achieving an outcome.
Endowment Fund Perspective
In private portfolio and fund endowment management, MCS is used to demonstrate the probability of “success” as defined by achieving the endowment’s asset growth and payout goals. In other words, MCS can provide the endowment manager with a comfort level that a given payout policy and asset allocation success will not deplete the real value of the endowment.
Divorce from Judgment
The problem with many quantitative software and other tools is the divorce of judgment from their use. Although useful, both mean variance optimization MVO and MCS have limitations that make it so they should not supplant the physician investor or endowment manager’s experience. MVO generates an efficient frontier by relying upon several inputs: expected return, expected volatility, and correlation coefficients. These variables are commonly input using historical measures as proxies for estimated future performance. This poses a variety of problems.
Problems with MCS
First, the MVO will generally assume that returns are normally distributed and that this distribution is stationary. As such, asset classes with high historical returns are assumed to have high future returns.
Second, an MVO optimizer is not generally time sensitive. In other words, the optimizer may ignore current environmental conditions that would cause a secular shift in a given asset class returns.
Finally, an MVO optimizer may be subject to selection bias for certain asset classes. For example, private equity firms that fail will no longer report results and will be eliminated from the index used to provide the optimizer’s historical data [1].
Example:
As an example, David Loeper, CEO of Wealthcare Capital Management, made the following observation regarding optimization:
Take a small cap “bet” for our theoretical [endowment] with an S&P 500 investment policy. It is hard to imagine that someone in 1979, looking at a 9% small cap stock return premium and corresponding 14% higher standard deviation for the last twenty years, would forecast the relationship over the next twenty years to shift to small caps under-performing large caps by nearly 2% and their standard deviation being less than 2% higher than the 20-year standard deviation of large caps in 1979 [2].
Table: Compares the returns, standard deviations for large and small cap stocks for the 20-year periods ended in 1979 and 1999. Twenty Year Risk & Return Small Cap vs. Large Cap (Ibbotson Data).
1979
1999
Risk
Return
Correlation
Risk
Return
Correlation
Small Cap Stocks
30.8%
17.4%
78.0%
18.1%
16.9%
59.0%
Large Cap Stocks
16.5%
8.1%
13.1%
18.6%
*Reproduced from “Asset Allocation Math, Methods and Mistakes.” Wealthcare Capital Management White Paper, David B. Loeper, CIMA, CIMC (June 2, 2001).
More Problems with MCS
David Nawrocki identified a number of problems with typical MCS as being that most optimizers assume “normal distributions and correlation coefficients of zero, neither of which are typical in the world of financial markets.”
Dr. Nawrocki subsequently describes a number of other issues with MCS including nonstationary distributions and nonlinear correlations.
Finally, Dr. Nawrocki quotes Harold Evensky who eloquently notes that “[t]he problem is the confusion of risk with uncertainty.
Risk assumes knowledge of the distribution of future outcomes (i.e., the input to the Monte Carlo simulation).
Uncertainty or ambiguity describes a world (our world) in which the shape and location of the distribution is open to question.
Contrary to academic orthodoxy, the distribution of U.S. stock market returns is far from “normal”. Other critics have noted that many MCS simulators do not run enough iterations to provide a meaningful probability analysis.
Assessment
Some of these criticisms have been addressed by using MCS simulators with more robust correlation assumptions and with a greater number of iterative trials. In addition, some simulators now combine MVO and MCS to determine probabilities along the efficient frontier.
Conclusion
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The S&P 500 closed within a hair of a new record yesterday marking an enormous comeback that followed the April announcement of “Liberation Day” tariffs.
Despite a persistent vibe of uncertainty related to US economic policy and geopolitics:
The S&P 500 closed less than 0.1% away from a record high which it notched in February before cratering nearly 20% in April. The index has regained ground in fits and starts since then and briefly surpassed its record in intra-day trading yesterday.
On Monday, the tech-heavy NASDAQ 100 one-upped the broader market and logged its highest-ever close. It came after President Trump said Israel and Iran agreed to a ceasefire, which eased investors’ concerns about a potential oil crisis.
According to Morning Brew, between unresolved geopolitical conflicts and President Trump’s still-unfolding tariff policies, a portfolio manager with Capital Wealth Planning, Kevin Simpson, told CNBC that he was “surprised by the magnitude of the rebound.”
Deals: Stocks popped at the open yesterday on the news that Canada has rescinded the digital services tax in order to lure the US back to the negotiating table. Meanwhile, Bloomberg reported that the EU will accept a 10% universal tariff in exchange for some key concessions.
Stocks: The S&P 500 and the NASDAQ both hit new record highs today, with the S&P 500 wrapping up its best quarter since Q4 20
The Fed: President Trump published a handwritten note asking Jerome Powell to cut interest rates, even as the White House considers new ways to replace the Fed Chair. Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs now sees the chances of the Fed cutting interest rates in September as “somewhat above 50%.”
Posted on June 30, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By AI
CBOE Volatility Index
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There’s a lot of confidence in markets these days, and nowhere is that more apparent than in the VIX, aka the CBOE Volatility Index, aka aka the Fear Index.
According to Brew Markets, the VIX literally measures the market’s expectation of volatility based on S&P 500 index options, but it’s become a shorthand way of quantifying investors’ fear or confidence. Any time the VIX rises above 30, it’s taken as a sign of some serious trepidation in the market—but anytime it falls below 20, the market is calm, cool, and collected.
The VIX skyrocketed to over 50 on Liberation Day as investors fretted over what tariffs meant for their portfolios, but it’s been gradually falling ever since. As the chart above shows, the VIX just fell below its key support level of 17—a mark it has failed to break below recently, and a move that underlines investors’ confidence that the good times will keep rolling.
Posted on June 28, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By A.I.
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Deals: The US and China revealed the details of their trade deal framework, easing restrictions on rare earth metals and semiconductor chips. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick promised up to 10 more deals are on their way ahead of the July 9th tariff-pause deadline, but that probably won’t include Canada: President Trump ended all trade discussions with the country thanks to a dispute over the digital services tax.
Stocks: Indexes climbed at the open thanks to the deal with China, but they tumbled on news of a fallout with Canada. Still, the S&P 500 managed to post its 1,245th new all-time high, while the NASDAQ booked its own record close. The Dow trundled higher as well, though it’s still about 1,600 points below its previous record.
Posted on June 28, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
MEDICAL EXECUTIVE-POST–TODAY’SNEWSLETTERBRIEFING
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Essays, Opinions and Curated News in Health Economics, Investing, Business, Management and Financial Planning for Physician Entrepreneurs and their Savvy Advisors and Consultants
“Serving Almost One Million Doctors, Financial Advisors and Medical Management Consultants Daily“
A Partner of the Institute of Medical Business Advisors , Inc.
A June 11th report from global professional services firm Alvarez & Marsal (A&M) predicts that more beneficiaries might soon ditch insurance coverage for options like short-term, limited duration plans or healthcare sharing ministries (HCSMs), which aren’t regulated like health insurance and aren’t required to comply with ACA protections like covering maternity care or pre-existing conditions.
Nvidia extended its winning streak to five days, rising another 1.73% as the AI trade continues to recover.
EchoStar climbed 13.16% after the parent company of Dish TV disclosed that President Trump did in fact prod the FCC to make a deal.
Cyngn soared another 20.07% following a big day of gains after the company that makes self-driving tech for industrial vehicles announced a partnership with Nvidia.
Strong earnings from Nike (more on that later) propelled sporting goods stocks higher today. ONHoldings rose 1.74%, while Dick’s Sporting Goods climbed 3.59%.
Domestic power producers popped on reports that Trump is planning to issue an executive order increasing energy production to meet AI demand. Vistra gained 2.44%, GE Vernova climbed 2.54%, and Vertiv added 2.71%.
What’s down
Coinbase Global ended its winning streak, tumbling 5.77% after GENIUS Act hype propelled the crypto stock skyward all week long. Traders took profits in Circle as well, pushing the stablecoin stock down 15.54%.
Chinese EV maker LiAuto fell 1.93% on its weaker-than-expected deliveries forecast for the second quarter.
Fellow Chinese EV maker Xiaomi stunned markets with reports that it received 240,000 orders for its new SUV within 18 hours of its debut, but shares still sank 4%.
Pony.ai lost 6.31% on a report that Uber is considering helping its founder Travis Kalanick fund his acquisition of the US subsidiary of the Chinese autonomous vehicle company.
Gold miners tumbled while the price of the precious metal fell as investors took a risk-on stance. Newmont lost 4.11%, BarrickMining fell 3.44%, and KinrossGold shed 6.18%.
Today’s trade deal reopens the door for Chinese rare earth imports, bad news for US producers like MPMaterials (down 8.59%) and USA Rare Earth (down 12.14%).
If you’re looking at this tab, chances are you are fed up with your financial brokerage accounts, thinking of finances, investing, retirement or all of the above.
And so, we can help
An investment portfolio second opinion, also called a “ portfolio review,” is an analysis of your financial holdings and associated strategies, allocations, fees and performance to determine whether the most effective instruments and methodologies are being utilized to reach your goals.
No Worries! You may have come to the right place.
E-Mail Ann Miller RN MHA CPHQ for an Initial Appointment: MarcinkoAdvisors@outlook.com
The purpose of this initial appointment is for you to ask a lot of questions to make sure you are comfortable with potentially working with us. It also helps if you are prepared to provide a verbal summary of your current situation.
Here are some questions to consider asking us during your first meeting:
1) Can you tell us about your financial qualifications, experience, education and training; if any?
2) Can you provide some information about your current financial advisory team?
3) On what type of investments do you typically purchase and own?
5) How much do pay your financial management firm?
6) How long have you been working with your current financial management firm?
8) What other services does your financial team provide?
Posted on June 27, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
BY A.I.
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Stocks: The S&P 500 briefly traded a few cents above its February all-time closing high yesterday afternoon, but couldn’t sustain the gain and fell just short at the end of the day. The NASDAQ remains inches away from its record high as well.
Deals: The end of the 90-day tariff pause is less than two weeks away, but the White House said that the July 9th deadline “is not critical.”
Meanwhile, the Treasury Department is doing everything it can to make the dreaded “revenge tax” in the big, beautiful bill irrelevant.
Commodities: Gold and oil had muted moves upward but copper climbed to a three-month high after Goldman Sachs analysts warned of shortages ahead
Posted on June 26, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By AI
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Stocks: The S&P 500 and NASDAQ started the day inches away from their all-time highs, but the market rally faltered in mid-afternoon as relief from an Israel/Iran ceasefire faded and investors turned their attention to Friday’s PCE report.
Economy: Speaking of inflation, Jerome Powell stuck to his guns during his second day of congressional testimony, endorsing a wait-and-see mentality. President Trump is apparently tired of waiting, and says he has “3 or 4” candidates in mind to replace Powell.
Commodities: Oil bounced back after posting its biggest two-day decline since 2022.
Posted on June 24, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By AI
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Stocks: Markets rose tentatively to start the week after the US bombed three nuclear facilities in Iran over the weekend. The rally gained steam in the afternoon after Iran launched a missile strike against a US airbase in Qatar, leaving no US casualties and keeping a path to de-escalation intact.
Safe havens: The US dollar rose to its highest level in nearly a month this morning, up from a three-year low last week, as investors sought safety. Meanwhile, gold inched higher despite pressure from a stronger dollar, a sure sign of investor tension.
Crypto: Bitcoin fell dangerously close to the key support level of $100,000 before recovering later in the day as traders took a risk-on stance.
Posted on June 24, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By A.I.
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Markets: Stocks climbed yesterday as oil prices fell, with investors reacting positively to what appeared to be limited retaliation from Iran in response to the US bombing its nuclear facilities over the weekend.
Meanwhile, Tesla had its biggest jump in two months following the successful, albeit limited, rollout of its robotaxi service in Austin.
Posted on June 23, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By A.I.
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As economist Jason Furman pointed out, 250 years ago the Continental Congress created a brand-new currency and authorized the printing of $2 million worth to help George Washington pay his soldiers and procure weapons and supplies for the war effort.
Markets: Until now, Wall Street has mostly shrugged off the Israel–Iran conflict in the Middle East, with the S&P 500 and NASDAQ closing just a hair lower for the week on Friday. But, investors’ thinking might—or might not—change this coming week, after the US entered the war on Saturday with strikes on key Iranian nuclear infrastructure.
And, eyes are on oil prices, which, due to the war, are having their most volatile stretch since Russia invaded Ukraine in 2022.
Posted on June 21, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By AI
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Stocks: Markets kicked off Friday trading on a high note thanks to comments from Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller that the central bank could lower interest rates as soon as next month.
Commodities: Oil prices tumbled at the open after President Trump pushed back his decision to involve the US in the conflict between Israel and Iran by two weeks.
Trade: Stocks gave up their early gains on reports that Japan has canceled high-level meetings with the US after President Trump told the country to spend more on defense.
Assets under management (AUM) is a significant parameter in the financial world. It answers financial questions like – how many investments does a company manage? What is the net value of the investments that the company manages? Finally, how many investors have trusted their assets with the company? The higher the answer to these three questions, the more glory to the company.
A wealthy investor who is not concerned by higher fees but wants maximum returns of their asset will probably choose an asset manager based on its AUM. Thus, the AUM indicates the financial performance of the firm. Also, based on the funds under management, the firm collects fees from other clients.
So, what are the investments which qualify as AUM? Any liquid asset of the investor they have entrusted the asset manager with monitoring and control. For example, bank deposits, cash balances, equity shares, bonds, mutual funds, and other investments.
What are the services an asset manager provides to their clients? The most important function is decision-making. With the constant fluctuations and rapid movements in the market, an asset manager has to make decisions about holding or selling an investment. The firm communicates with the investors and advises them about the necessary action.
Once the decision is taken, the firm acts on the decision, i.e., the investor does not have to enter the field. In addition, the asset management company will buy, sell, and make any other transactions on behalf of the investor. Finally, the firm also renders services like accounting, tax reporting, proxy voting (equity shares), client reporting, and other financial services.
What are Assets Under Advisement?
Assets under advisement refer to assets on which your firm provides advice or consultation but for which your firm does either does not have discretionary authority or does not arrange or effectuate the transaction. Such services would include financial planning or other consulting services where the assets are used for the informational purpose of gaining a full perspective of the client’s financial situation, but you are not actually placing the trade.
Assets under advisement could also be those which you monitor for a client on a non-discretionary basis, where you may make recommendations but where the client is the party responsible for arranging or effecting the purchase or sale. A common example of this scenario is when an adviser reviews a participant’s 401(k) allocations. If the adviser does not have the authority or ability to effect changes in the portfolio, these assets are likely considered assets under advisement rather than regulatory assets under management.
Assets under advisement are permitted to be disclosed on Form ADV Part 2A as a separate asset figure from the assets under management. There is no requirement to disclose the assets under advisement figure, but some advisers opt to include the figure to give prospective clients a more complete picture of the firm’s responsibilities. If you choose to report your assets under advisement, be sure to make a clear distinction between this figure and your regulatory assets under management.
Posted on June 20, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By AI
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Stocks: Investors looked past the escalating conflict between Iran and Israel, even as President Trump mulled his options for a US intervention, and stocks rose ahead of today’s Federal Reserve meeting.
Economy: Trump called Jerome Powell “a stupid person” hours before the Fed Chair decided to keep interest rates where they were Stocks fell thanks to the Fed’s prediction that inflation will rise to 3.1% by the end of the year, above previous forecasts of 2.8%.
Commodities: Gold fell just a hair as analysts called the commodity’s top, while platinum climbed to a four-year high.
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