BOARD CERTIFICATION EXAM STUDY GUIDES Lower Extremity Trauma
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Posted on June 8, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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Turkey’s lira plunged 7% to a record low yesterday in its biggest selloff since a historic 2021 crash, a move traders said is a “strong signal” that Ankara is moving away from state controls toward a freely traded currency. The currency has come under increasing pressure since President Tayyip Erdogan was re-elected on May 28. It was trading at 23.18 against the dollar at 1500 GMT, after touching a record low of 23.19, bringing its losses this year to around 20%.
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Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, in her first interview since the U.S. debt-ceiling was lifted last week by Congress, warned on Wednesday about the potential for banks to feel strain from their exposure to weakening commercial real estate valuations. Yellen was asked by CNBC “Squawk Box” host Andrew Ross Sorkin about if she’s worried about the state of estimated $20.7 trillion commercial real-estate market, particularly the office, and if weakness in the sector could potentially spark more bank failures.
“Well, I do think that there will be issues with respect to commercial real estate,” Yellen said. “Certainly, the demand for office space since we’ve seen such a big change in attitudes and behavior toward remote work has changed and especially in an environment of higher interest rates.”
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The equities market diverged today between a small handful of strong-performing mega-cap companies, which delivered most of the gains recently in the big benchmark indexes, and the lagging majority. Such concentration suggests a weakness below the headline numbers that could become a problem down the line.
Here is where the major benchmarks ended today:
The S&P 500® Index (SPX) was down 16.33 points (0.4%) at 4267.52; the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) was up 91.74 (0.3%) at 33,665.02; the NASDAQ Composite (COMPX) was down 171.52 (1.3%) at 13,104.90.
The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was up about 9 basis points at 3.791%.
CBOEs Volatility Index (VIX) was down 0.04 at 13.92.
Smaller financial companies were also in the spotlight again, with the KBW Regional Banking Index (KRX) continuing its rebound with a nearly 4% jump. Energy stocks were also strong as crude oil futures climbed more than 1%, and transportation companies also gained. Communication Services led decliners among S&P 500 sectors.
Posted on June 6, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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The Normandy landings were the landing operations and associated airborne operations on Tuesday, 6th June 1944 of the Allied invasion of Normandy in Operation Overlord during World War II. Code-named Operation Neptune and often referred to as D-Day, it was the largest seaborne invasion in history.
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It has also been 42 years since the CDC first reported on AIDS in the US, describing five Los Angeles-area patients with Pneumocystis jiroveci pneumonia. Today about 1.2 million people in the US live with HIV, the virus that causes AIDS, a condition that’s considered chronic but not necessarily fatal. Still, US leaders want to end the HIV epidemic by 2030.
Advocates are calling for gun violence to be considered as an “adverse childhood experience.”
Chicago health officials still recommend exercising caution over Mpox in the year following a major outbreak.
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With the drama of earnings season, the debt ceiling battle, and last Friday’s crucial jobs report in the rear-view mirror, Wall Street enters the week seeking new catalysts.
The S&P 500 Index (SPX) starts the week on the cusp of a new bull market. A close of 4,292 or above would represent approximately a 20% gain from the 2022 low close of 3,577 posted last October 12. A 20% gain from the bottom represents a new bull market. That said, the SPX is still down about 11% from its all-time high close of 4,796 posted January 3, 2022.
You may recall a strong rally last summer. But the 17% rally that lasted from mid-June 2022 through mid-August 2022 lifted the SPX just 17%—not enough to put it into bull market territory.
The 10-year Treasury note yield ($TNX) was down slightly to 3.68%. The U.S. Dollar Index ($DXY) is up slightly to 104.29. The Cboe Volatility Index® ($VIX) has been in positive territory all day today and was last seen up by 0.27 to 14.87. WTI Crude Oil (/CL) is up to $73.22 per barrel after Saudi Arabia said it would cut production.
Gold prices have traded in a range of $1,953.80 to $1,978.00 and were last seen trading higher by 0.17% to $1,973.00.
Natural Gas prices have traded in a range of $2.184-2.2301 so far today and were last seen trading higher by $0.077 (or + 3.55%) to $2.249/MMBtu.
Posted on June 5, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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Saudi Arabia said yesterday that it will reduce how much oil it sends to the global economy, taking a unilateral step to support the sagging cost of crude after two earlier production cuts by members of the OPEC+ alliance of major oil-producing countries failed to push prices higher. The announcement of the Saudi cuts of 1 million barrels per day, which will start in July, followed a meeting of the alliance at OPEC headquarters in Vienna. The rest of the OPEC+ producers agreed to extend earlier cuts in supply through the end of 2024.
The slump in oil prices has helped U.S. drivers fill their tanks more cheaply and given consumers worldwide some relief from inflation. That the Saudis felt another cut was necessary underlines the uncertain outlook for demand for fuel in the months ahead. And, there are still concerns about economic weakness in the U.S. and Europe, while China’s rebound from COVID-19 restrictions has been less robust than many had hoped.
However, some statistics from the US Chamber of Commerce show signs the situation is getting better: Leisure and hospitality lost 833,000 workers in July 2022, but 1.1 million people were hired into the industry that same month.
Posted on June 2, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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National Hurricane Season Commences
The Atlantic hurricane season is the period in a year, from June 1st through November 30th, when tropical or subtropical cyclones are most likely to form in the North Atlantic Ocean. These dates, adopted by convention, encompass the period in each year when most tropical cyclogenesis occurs in the basin. Even so, subtropical or tropical cyclogenesis is possible at any time of the year, and often does occur.
Interest Rates?
New US government data shows there were more open jobs last month than expected, raising the possibility that the Federal Reserve could keep hiking Interest Rates Up.
Banks
Shares of large and mid-sized U.S. banks sharply under performed the broader markets with worries about commercial real estate loans in focus among bank investors.
Companies
The e-commerce giant Amazon has agreed to shell out the cash to settle a pair of lawsuits lodged by the Federal Trade Commission. It will cough up $5.8 million to resolve claims that it let employees and contractors access footage from Ring doorbell cameras and another $25 million because Alexa allegedly improperly retained information from children. Amazon’s also facing criticism from its staff—hundreds of corporate employees walked out yesterday to protest the company’s layoffs, return to office mandate, and contributions to climate change.
Advance Auto Parts tanked after the car parts seller cut its dividend and outlook for the year.
The Markets
Here is where the major benchmarks ended, yesterday:
The S&P 500 Index was up 41.19 points (1.0%) at 4221.02; the Dow Jones industrial average (DJIA) was up 153.30 (0.5%) at 33,061.57; the NASDQ Composite was up 165.70 (1.3%) at 13,100.98.
The 10-year Treasurynoteyield (TNX) was down about 3 basis points at 3.603%.
CBOE’s Volatility Index (VIX) was down 2.25 at 15.69.
Oilfield services providers and other energy companies led sector gains, as crude oil futures rallied nearly 3% and pushed back above $70 barrel despite higher-than-expected U.S. inventories reported Thursday. Semiconductor makers and other tech companies continued their recent show of strength. The U.S. Dollar Index ($DXY) fell to its lowest level in more than a week amid ideas the Fed may soon “pause” its sharp rate hikes of the past year.
Posted on June 1, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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According to ABC News, the US House of Representatives just approved a bill to raise the nation’s debt ceiling while cutting some government spending over the next two years, in a major victory for both the White House and Republican leaders as the country tip-toes closer to a historic default on its bills. The final vote was 314-117. Now, the deal moves to the Senate, where Majority Leader Chuck Schumer has promised to work to pass it quickly.
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Here is where the major benchmarks ended yesterday:
The S&P 500 Index was down 25.69 points (0.6%) at 4179.83; the Dow Jones industrial average was down 134.51 (0.4%) at 32,908.27; the NASDAQ Composite was down 82.14 (0.6%) at 12,935.29.
The 10-year Treasury yield was down about 5 basis points at 3.641%.
CBOE’s Volatility Index was up 0.26 at 17.74.
Regional banks were among the weakest performers Wednesday, while energy stocks also slumped as crude oil futures extended a recent sell-off.
The utilities and healthcare sectors were among the few gainers.
Despite weakness in technology, the NASDAQ still ended with a gain of 5.8% for the month, while the S&P 500 was up 0.3%. The U.S. dollar index rose to a 2½-month high.
Posted on May 25, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
New Financial Product – or Societal Economic Hammer
By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA CMP™
At a time when government finances are stretched there is growing interest in finding new ways to fund public services [healthcare, for example] which improve social outcomes [public health]. And, one new funding model currently being tested, for the past decade in the United Kingdom, is Social Impact Bonds (SIBs).
Definition
A SIB is a form of payment by results (PBR) in which funding is obtained from private investors to pay for interventions to improve social outcomes. If these interventions succeed in improving outcomes, they should result in savings to the Government and provide wider benefits to society. Of course, as part of a SIB, the Government agrees to pay a proportion of these savings back to the investors. If outcomes do not improve, investors do not receive a return on their investment.
Wall Street can securitize almost any asset for a commission, or to hold it for profit or loss. Remember David Bowie bonds?
“Securitization” is the process through which an issuer creates a financial instrument by combining other financial assets and then marketing different tiers of the repackaged instruments to investors. The process can encompass any type of financial asset and promotes liquidity in the marketplace.
SIBs may be an example of securitization. By combining small debt into one large pool, the issuer can divide the large pool into smaller pieces based on each individual bond’s inherent risk of default, and then sell those smaller pieces to investors. The process creates liquidity by enabling smaller investors to purchase shares in a larger asset pool. Individual retail buyers, like physician-investors and others, are able to purchase portions the bond. Without the securitization, retail investors might not be able to afford to buy into a large pool of bonds.
This is the first time we’ve discussed SIBs on this ME-P. But, they should get much more attention from our CPA, investment advisor [IA] and financial advisory [FA] readers now that President Obama has announced his support for this British idea like getting private investors to pay for public services such as housing for the homeless, health care for vulnerable populations; or even education. It could work for anything that can save the Government money in the long run, but costs money up front, as long as we can measure it.
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A collateralized debt obligation (CDO) is a type of structured asset-backed security (ABS). Originally developed as instruments for the corporate debt markets, after 2002 CDOs became vehicles for refinancing mortgage-backed securities (MBS).
Like other private label securities backed by assets, a CDO can be thought of as a promise to pay investors in a prescribed sequence, based on the cash flow the CDO collects from the pool of bonds or other assets it owns. Distinctively, CDO credit risk is typically assessed based on a probability of default (PD) derived from ratings on those bonds or assets.
A CMO is a debt security backed by mortgages. These mortgage pools are usually separated into different maturity classes called tranches (from the French word for “slice”). The securities were issued by private issuers, as well as the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation (Freddie Mac). As the mortgages were usually government-guaranteed, CMOs usually carried AAA ratings until their current financial meltdown. The early versions of CMOs were known as “plain vanilla,” but recent developments gave us PACs (planned amortization certificates) and TACs (targeted amortization certificates); among too many others. They were all variations on how principal repayments in advance of maturity date were treated.
Posted on May 17, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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The Federal Trade Commission said on Tuesday [yesterday] it will try to block an effort by bio-pharmaceutical leader Amgen Inc. from purchasing Horizon Therapeutics for $28.3 billion, charging the move could force insurance companies to favor their products. The FTC said the coupling of Amgen and Horizon could have allowed Amgen to leverage its portfolio of top-selling drugs to entrench a monopoly position in treatments for thyroid eye disease and chronic refractory gout. The watchdog agency said Amgen could force insurance companies and pharmacy benefit managers, or PBMs, into favoring Horizon’s two monopoly products. It said Tepezza is used to treat thyroid eye disease, while Krystexxa is used to treat chronic refractory gout. The agency said neither of the treatments has competition in the pharmaceutical marketplace.
And, the CME FedWatch Tool shows an 82% probability of the Fed leaving rates where they are, versus an 18% chance of another rate hike. As for rate cuts, Liz Ann Sonders of Schwab said they remain unlikely “unless the banking crisis significantly worsens and/or the economy or labor market sinks notably.” “Otherwise, the most likely outcome is for the Fed to pause and hold,” she added.
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So, here is where the major benchmarks ended yesterday:
The S&P 500® Index was down 26.38 points (0.64%) at 4,109.90; the Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 336.46 (1.01%) at 33,012.14; the NASDAQ Composite was down 22.16 (0.18%) at 12,343.05.
The 10-year Treasury yield was up about 4 basis points at 3.541%.
CBOE’s Volatility Index was up 90 basis points at 18.02.
The energy sector was one of the weakest performers Tuesday, as WTI Crude Oil futures dipped. The Dow Jones U.S. Oil & Gas Total Stock Market Index was down more than 2%, while the S&P Global Oil Index shed 2.5%. Real estate and utilities also lagged. Communication services and tech were the strongest performers.
Posted on May 16, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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The executive branch of the European Union said Monday that Microsoft has offered enough remedies to address antitrust concerns, paving the way for the proposed $69 billion acquisition of gaming giant Activision Blizzard. The acquisition was opposed by rival game developer and PlayStation console maker Sony over fears it would see Microsoft’s Xbox platform push it out of the market. Market regulators globally, meanwhile, expressed concern over whether Microsoft would come to dominate the cloud-gaming market through the acquisition. On Monday, however, the European Commission, the executive arm of the EU, said Microsoft had done enough to allay concerns on cloud gaming specifically to warrant a positive decision on the merger.
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Here is where the major benchmarks ended [yesterday] Monday:
The S&P 500 Index was up 12.20 points (0.30%) at 4,136.28; the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 47.98 (0.14%) at 33,348.60; the NASDAQ Composite was up 80.47 (0.66%) at 12,365.21.
The 10-year Treasury yield was up 3 basis points at 3.50%.
CBOE’s Volatility Index was up 17 basis points at 17.20.
Financial companies were among the leaders Monday, with regional lenders Citizens Bank (CFG), PacWest Bancorp (PACW), Western Alliance (WAL), and Zions Bancorporation (ZION) all bouncing higher after a punishing stretch for the banks last week. The materials and technology sectors were also up, while utilities and real estate lagged.
Posted on May 15, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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The US is experiencing the biggest decline in worker productivity since 1948, according to research from EY-Parthenon, and many executives have been quick to single out remote work as the main culprit.
This is what they cite to prove their point.:
A study published in Nature Human Behaviour found that working remotely made Microsoft’s remote workers miss important learning opportunities by not rubbing elbows with coworkers who aren’t part of their immediate team.
More recent research showed that interacting through a screen can make workers less likely to generate ideas. That’s a problem for tech companies needing to out-innovate the competition.
For many industry leaders, accessing a wider talent pool outside of traditional tech hubs isn’t enough to make up for those drawbacks. And as widespread labor shortages subside and layoffs sweep through Silicon Valley, companies are no longer in a perk war to recruit and retain the brightest minds.
Finally, the Big Tech office pushed mirrors broader thru white-collar labor market dynamics; according to Morning Brew. In December, 13% of LinkedIn postings were for remote jobs, compared to 20% nine months prior.
Posted on May 13, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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Here is where the major benchmarks ended this week:
The S&P 500 Index was down 6.54 points (0.2%) at 4124.08; the Dow Jones industrial average was down 8.89 at 33,300.62; the NASDAQ Composite was down 43.76 (0.4%) at 12,284.74.
The 10-year Treasury yield was up about 7 basis points at 3.464%.
CBOE’s Volatility Index was up 0.10 at 17.03.
Consumer Discretionary Socks led the declines Friday among S&P 500 sectors, with financials and energy shares also weaker. Worries over the potential for more trouble in the banking sector helped send the KBW Regional Bank Index to its lowest close since late 2020. Utilities and Consumer Staples were among the stronger performers.
Jerome Powell May Get a New No. 2. President Biden said yesterday that he would nominate economist Philip Jefferson, who is already on the Fed’s board, to become second-in-command at the central bank, replacing Lael Brainard. He also plans to nominate the current US rep to the World Bank, Adriana Kugler, to an empty board seat. She would be the Fed’s first Latina governor. If confirmed by the Senate, the pair will jump into their new roles as the Fed continues to try to curb inflation without tipping the economy into a recession.
Posted on May 11, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Health Capital Consultants, LLC
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On January 30th, 2023, President Joseph Biden announced that the public health emergency (PHE) and national emergency declaration related to the COVID-19 pandemic will finally end on May 11, 2023, after being in place for over three years.
And so, this Health Capital Topics article will discuss the changes that will take place after both declarations cease, and the implications for stakeholders. (Read more…)
Posted on May 11, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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Because the inflation data came in roughly as expected, Wall Street sees the door still open for the Federal Reserve to leave interest rates alone at its next meeting in June. That would be the first time it hasn’t raised rates at a meeting in more than a year, and a pause would offer some breathing room for the economy and financial markets.
Today is the last day of the US Covid-19 public health emergency, which has been in place since Jan. 31st, 2020. With it comes the end of certain Covid-era rules, though some telehealth protections have been extended through the end of 2024. Here’s to all the medical professionals who got us through, and a remembrance for the millions who lost their lives to Covid.
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Brightline, a California-based mental health startup, laid off 20% of its staff this week following a data breach. North Carolina is the latest state to consider changes to the prior authorization process that advocates say delays care. A board member at Geisinger claims that consolidation prompted the healthcare provider to sell to Kaiser Permanente. Texas Gov. Greg Abbottsaid the state should address mental health issues in the wake of a shopping mall mass shooting, but did not call for gun control reform.
Finally, here is where the major benchmarks ended yesterday:
The S&P 500 Index was up 18.47 points (0.5%) at 4137.64; the Dow Jones industrial average was down 30.48 (0.1%) at 33,531.33; the NASDAQ Composite was up 126.89 (1.0%) at 12,306.44.
The 10-year Treasury yield was down about 8 basis points at 3.441%.
CBOE’s Volatility Index was down 0.80 at 16.91.
Oilfield services providers and other energy companies were among the laggards Wednesday, pressured by a more-than 1% drop in WTI crude oil futures.
Financial sector stocks struggling to escape the effects of the bank volatility earlier this spring helped push the KWB Regional Bank Index back near a 2½-year low reached last week.
Posted on May 8, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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The S&P 500 and the Dow are coming off their worst weeks since March. And even with the Fed signaling the end of interest rate hikes, analysts don’t expect the market to perk up all of a sudden. Goldman Sachs, Bank of America, and Morgan Stanley predict the S&P will end the year lower than its current level. US oil prices, meanwhile, have fallen for three consecutive weeks over economic concerns.
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We mentioned the annual “Woodstock for Capitalists” meeting last week on this ME-P. Here are the highlights.
On the regional banking crisis: W. Buffett bashed leaders at the banks that failed this spring (First Republic, SVB, etc.), saying they “should suffer” and face “punishment.” But he also blamed the “totally crazy” bank regulations that incentivize bad behavior and “very poor” messaging around the debacle from politicians and the media. Buffett thinks the government was right to intervene to protect SVB depositors, claiming, “It would have been catastrophic” otherwise.
On the status of the dollar: “We are the reserve currency. I see no option for any other currency to be the reserve currency,” Buffett said. He called the notion of bitcoin or other tokens dethroning the dollar a “joke.”
On Berkshire’s investment in Apple: The value of Berkshire’s stake in Apple has ballooned to $151 billion, amounting to nearly half the value of its entire stock portfolio. “It just happens to be a better business than any we own,” Buffett said.
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US ends Covid-19 public health emergency: Like Title 42, the US public health emergency for Covid-19 will end on this Thursday. That may limit access to testing for millions of Americans, but it won’t affect the availability of treatments and vaccines.
Posted on April 26, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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DEFINITION: Startups areyoung companies or ventures that are founded to develop a unique or innovative product, service, or platform, and bring it to market. They are typically in the early stages of their development and face high uncertainty and failure rates. They are usually self-funded by the founders or seek external funding from investors or loans. They aim to grow large beyond the solo founder and disrupt existing industries or create new one.
SVB was relatively small—it had 40,000 customers compared to JPMorgan Chase’s 66 million—but it claimed to bank nearly half of all US tech and life sciences startups last year, including household names like Etsy, Roblox, and Roku. The cultural cachet of having a relationship with SVB as a venture-backed startup was like sporting a New Yorker tote at Whole Foods.
But the reason its loss will leave such a gaping hole in the startup community isn’t that it was cool to name-drop at a networking event. Because the bank was created in 1983 specifically to cater to venture-backed startups, it helped them in ways that most banks can’t—or won’t.
SVB chill loans: According to the MorningBrew, SVB would offer loans to startups more readily than large banks, basing the loans on a company’s ability to raise venture capital funds, not to turn a profit. SVB was also known for being flexible—even if startups breached their loan terms. “They were the easiest money for an unprofitable, early stage to mid-stage tech company,” Irving Investors founder Jeremy Abelson told The Information. And, even small startups received hand-holding services, such as guidance on how to set up their financial infrastructure. Its bankers personally called startups when they secured their first rounds of funding, according to The Information.
Startups now have to deal with big banks
Several founders who previously banked with SVB told Bloomberg that they’re moving their money to Chase and Bank of America, banks considered “too big to fail.”
Startups’ experience at big banks won’t be like their time at SVB. Not only is Jamie Dimon unlikely to call a startup to congratulate them on their Series A, but big banks are also expected to be more tight-fisted with their loans. The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, a regulator that oversees large US banks, disapproves of loans to companies that are further out than one year from profitability, according to Crunchbase.
The loss of SVB is therefore expected to have a chilling effect on loans to venture-backed startups, aka “venture debt,” which SVB handed out more of than any other bank.
Posted on April 24, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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Moody’s research released on Friday suggests that the industry is experiencing greater instability from several bank failures and high inflation, calling “into question whether some banks’ assumed high stability of deposits and their operational nature, should be reevaluated,”
The Wall Street Journal reported. Six U.S. banks were placed on Moody’s review list in March, per Reuters. All six banks put for review failed and were downgraded with the new study, including Comerica Inc., First Republic Bank, Intrust Financial Corporation, UMB Financial Corp, Western Alliance Bancorp and Zions Bancorporation.
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Apple’s latest product launch, in partnership with Goldman Sachs, is a savings account that will yield a meaty 4.15% in annual interest just for parking your money in it. The details:
You can open the savings account via the Wallet app on your iPhone, but you’ll need an Apple Card (Apple’s credit card) to be eligible.
No minimum deposit is required, the max balance is $250,000, and all of your funds are FDIC-insured.
Posted on April 22, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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Earth Day is celebrated on April 22nd annually. The day was born out of a massive oil spill in Santa Barbara, California and carried forward today by the Earth Day Network. Earth day was created to help bring awareness and support for environmental protection around the world. Arbor Day is another popular observance to help the environment by encouraging individuals to plant trees and other plants in an effort to take care of our environment.
LYFT plans to cut 1,200 jobs as the latest cuts could impact 30% or more of its’ 4,000 employees.The company planned to announce the move after a board meeting next week but did so sooner. The cuts could help Lyft slash 50% of its costs as it doesn’t count drivers as employees.
The S&P 500® Index was up 3.73 points at 4133.52; the Dow Jones industrial average was up 22.34 at 33,808.96; the NASDAQ Composite was up 12.90 (0.1%) at 12,072.46.
The 10-year Treasury yield was up about 2 basis points at 3.566%.
CBOE Volatility Index was down 0.44 at 16.73.
Consumer Discretionary and Consumer Staples led gainers among S&P 500 sectors, while energy companies continued to slump in the wake of this week’s sell-off in crude oil prices. The PHLX Oil Service index sank 4% this week and ended at a three-week low. WTI crude futures rose slightly Friday but still dropped almost 6% for the week.
Earnings Round-Up
Major companies reporting quarterly results over the past day included:
Procter & Gamble (PG) reported Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $1.37 per share for the first quarter, about 5 cents above analysts’ forecasts, as well as stronger-than-expected revenue of $20.7 billion. The company also raised its outlook for 2023 organic sales growth to 6% from its earlier forecast of 4% to 5%. Its shares rose more than 3%.
Regions Financial (RF), the latest smaller U.S. bank to report, fell short of EPS forecasts, though revenue met expectations and deposits remained stable. The company’s shares fell about 3%.
CSX Corp. (CSX) reported first-quarter EPS of 48 cents, surpassing analysts’ expectations by about 5 cents, and revenue of $3.71 billion also topped forecasts. The railroad company’s shares rose more than 3%.
Schlumberger (SLB) reported net income of 63 cents per share, beating analysts’ forecasts of 61 cents, as well as higher-than-expected revenue. However, the oilfield service company’s shares more than 4% after suggesting the North American onshore market may plateau this year.
Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) reported a profit of 46 cents per share, which was better than analysts’ were expecting but still down by about half from a year earlier. The company’s mining volumes and supply chains were hampered by extreme weather and protests in Peru. The company’s shares fell more than 4%.
HCA Healthcare (HCA) reported EPS of $4.85, beating expectations by about 70 cents, and raised its earnings and revenue forecasts for the full year. Its shares jumped nearly 4%.
Posted on April 22, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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FTX is acryptocurrency exchange that was launched in 2018. It specializes in trading products such as derivatives, leveraged tokens, options, and volatility products. It supports most commonly traded cryptocurrencies and is powered by a top liquidity provider. FTX stands for Futures Exchange, a market where users can invest in commodities and foreign exchange.
Quote: “We sometimes find $50m of assets lying around that we lost track of; such is life.”
The sudden collapse of FTX might have been a lot less surprising if you’d been privy to Sam Bankman-Fried’s messages to his fellow executives.
According to a report by the bankrupt crypto exchange’s new management, SBF allegedly found the company’s lack of proper accounting amusing. The report says he described the company’s related hedge fund Alameda Research as “hilariously beyond any threshold of any auditor being able to even get partially through an audit” and joked about misplacing millions.
Posted on April 21, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
(Bloomberg) — A US debt default would threaten “a basic anchor” of the global financial system and “must not happen,” BlackRock Inc. Vice Chairman Philipp Hildebrand warned Thursday at the Bloomberg New Economy Gateway Europe forum.
“All we can do is to pray that everyone in the United States understands how important the sanctity of the sovereign signature of the leading currency, of the leading bond market, of the leading economy in the world is,” Hildebrand, a former president of the Swiss central bank, said during an on-stage interview. “This is not something you want to mess with.”
The 10-year Treasury yield hit a four-week high above 3.60% earlier this week, up from a seven-month low of 3.278% on April 4th.
The S&P 500 Index was down 24.73 (0.6%) at 4129.79; the Dow Jones industrial average was down 110.39 (0.3%) at 33,786.62; the NASDAQ Composite was down 97.67 (0.8%) at 12,059.56.
The 10-year Treasury yield was down about 7 basis points at 3.534%.
CBOEs Volatility Index was up 0.73 at 17.19.
Energy companies were among the weakest performers Thursday, as crude oil prices extended this week’s sell-off, with benchmark WTI futures down more than 2% to under $78 per barrel—a low for the month.
The real estate and technology sectors also lagged, while consumer staples and transportation sectors held up better.
Posted on April 20, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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Meta Platforms, the billionaire’s social media empire, will reportedly cut thousands more jobs. And the bloodbath is not over, according to the latest reports. Meta plans to eliminate thousands more jobs. According to Bloomberg News, an internal memo has been sent to managers, asking them to prepare for tough new announcements. The job cuts, which total 4,000, are expected to affect Facebook, WhatsApp and Instagram. They would also affect Reality Labs, the division that houses the group’s Metaverse projects — Quest virtual-reality headsets. In 2021 and 2022, Reality Labs, which is supposed to build the company’s next big thing, recorded a cumulative loss of nearly $24 billion, including $13.7 billion just last year.
And, Walt Disney Company plans to cut thousands of jobs next week, in another lay-off round that includes about 15% of the staff in its entertainment division, according to people familiar with the plans. Disney Entertainment will bear a significant chunk of the job cuts – with approximately 15% of the division’s staffers set to exit next week, according to a report. Disney has more than 200,000 employees across its various businesses.
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And now, the Markets:
The S&P 500 Index fell 0.35 point to 4154.52; the Dow Jones industrial average was down 79.62 (0.2%) at 33,897.01; the NASDAQ Composite was up 3.81 at 12,157.23.
The 10-year Treasury yield was up about 2 basis points at 3.60%.
CBOE’s Volatility Index was down 0.37 at 16.46.
Transportation was one of the top gainers among S&P 500 sectors yesterday, thanks in part to strength in United Airlines (UAL) and other top carriers. Real estate and financials were also higher, while oilfield services stocks were among the weakest performers due to a sharp drop in crude oil prices. WTI futures fell below $80, their lowest level in nearly three weeks.
Oil prices rallied at the start of this month after members of OPEC+ announced a production cut.
Posted on April 19, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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First quarter earnings from big lending institutions painted something of a mixed picture, with Bank of America posting healthy returns as Goldman Sachs on Tuesday saw headwinds from its loan portfolio.
The following is a round-up of yesterday’s market activity:
The S&P 500 Index was up 3.55 points (0.1%) at 4154.87; the Dow Jones industrial average was down 10.55 at 33,976.63; the NASDAQ Composite was down 4.31 at 12,153.41.
The 10-year Treasury yield was down about 2 basis points at 3.574%.
CBOEs Volatility Index was down 0.12 at 16.83.
Small-cap stocks, which tend to suffer more from recession concerns than their large-cap peers, were among the weakest performers with the Russell 2000 falling about 0.4%. Communications services and utilities were laggards among S&P 500 sectors, while industrials and consumer staples were stronger.
Volatility as measured by the VIX continued to drop to the lowest levels since late 2021.
Posted on April 18, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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Tax deadline — April 18, 2023 — is today.
Did you know that the probability of being audited by the IRS is generally low, with less than 1% of tax returns receiving a second look? The average chance of being audited is 1 in 333, or 0.3%. But, certain factors can increase the likelihood of being audited, such as earning a lot of money or claiming complex deductions.
For example, the audit rate among filers with income of $10 million or more is 6.66%, while the audit rate for filers with incomes between $25,000 and $500,000 is roughly 0.5%. If selected for an audit, the taxpayer must demonstrate that the information on their tax return is correct
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The following is a round-up of yesterday’s market activity:
The S&P 500 Index was up 13.68 points (0.3%) at 4151.32; the Dow Jones industrial average was up 100.71 (0.3%) at 33,987.18; the NASDAQ Composite was up 34.26 (0.3%) at 12,157.72.
The 10-year Treasury yield was up about 8 basis points at 3.3.60%.
CBOE’s Volatility Index was down 0.13 at 16.94.
Among S&P 500 sectors, real estate stocks led advancers, while financials and industrials were also higher. Small-caps rose, with the Russell 2000 up about 1%. Communication services companies were among the weakest performers, and energy companies slumped as crude oil futures dropped nearly 2%.
The U.S. dollar index strengthened slightly, and equity market volatility remained subdued, with the VIX extending a decline to the lowest levels since late 2021.
Posted on April 13, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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Stock share spotlight
Alibaba shares dipped yesterday thanks to China’s efforts to crack down on AI chatbots and fell even further after-hours when the Financial Times reported that SoftBank has sold off most of its stake in the company.
Posted on April 10, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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We trust everyone had a good weekend as Easter, Ramadan, and Passover were all overlapping. This typically happens only three times a century.
So, as investors head back to work after the three-day weekend, today’s stock moves will focus on Friday’s solid jobs numbers. Checking in on the S&P’s 2023 performance suggests that almost 90% of the index’s gains this year is accounted for by just 20 stocks, Nvidia, Apple, and Meta among them, the Financial Times notes.
And, corporate earnings pick back up this week and will influence the direction of the stock market for the next several months. Big banks, including JPMorgan and Citigroup, will drop their Q1 results on Friday, so we’ll learn how the collapse of SVB impacted them.
Finally, even as the US demands ByteDance to sell TikTok, fresh numbers show why it’s determined to hold on. The Chinese tech giant posted record underlying profit last year (EBIDTA) and is now more profitable than fellow Chinese tech giants Alibaba and Tencent, per the Financial Times. ByteDance grew sales 30% in 2022 to $85 billion, and its profits surged 79% to $25 billion. Worth $300 billion last year, ByteDance is the world’s most valuable private company.
Posted on April 8, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
U.S. Department of Labor
By Staff Reporters
It is Easter Weekend Saturday which was a stock market holiday weekend but not a federal holiday. That results in a highly unusual scenario when the government released the pivotal jobs report yesterday. Good Friday, the stock market didn’t open to react to it. Investors will have to spend three days before placing their wagers on Monday.
Nevertheless, the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ (BLS) report yesterday [Friday] was on par with what economists had expected from the jobs market as the Fed hiked interest rates. March saw about 75,000 fewer jobs added to the economy compared with February, which was already a drop compared with the 504,000 jobs that were added in January. The unemployment rate dropped 0.1% to 3.5%. Fewer jobs were added to leisure and hospitality and healthcare than in previous months, though the industries are still trending up in job availability. Government and professional and business services continued to grow at similar paces as previous months. Ahead of the government’s job survey other reports gave hints that the labor market, while still growing, is cooling from highs seen over the last two years. BLS’ Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey last week showed that employers are starting to slow the pace of hiring. There were less than 10 million active job openings by the end of February for the first time in nearly two years.
Friday’s jobs report provided data that will heavily influence the Fed’s decision to either halt or continue interest rate hikes at its next board meeting in early May.
Posted on April 5, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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Happy Passover to all those celebrating tonight
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Johnson & Johnson proposes monster $8.9 billion talc settlement. The healthcare giant offered $8.9 billion to settle lawsuits from tens of thousands of people who claim that its talc-based powders and other products gave them cancer. It’s a huge increase from the $2 billion J&J originally offered and would be one of the largest product liability settlements in history, according to the WSJ. To clinch the settlement, J&J needs support from more than 75% of the voting claimants—and it thinks it has it.
And here’s how the major indexes performed yesterday, Tuesday:
The S&P 500 Index fell 23.91 points (0.6%) to 4,100.60; the Dow Jones industrial average fell 198.77 (0.6%) to 33,402.38; the NASDAQ Composite fell 63.13 (0.5%) to 12,126.33.
The 10-year Treasury yield fell about 9 basis points to 3.346%.
Small-cap stocks were among the weakest performers Tuesday, with the Russell 2000 index sinking more than 2%. Industrial, energy, and financial stocks led decliners among S&P 500 sectors. Gold futures surged to a 13-month high, while the U.S. dollar index slipped.
Shares of Walmart fell as the largest U.S. retailer began its investor meeting Tuesday. Comments from Walmart executives could offer indications on the overall financial health and spending patterns of U.S. consumers. The company said in February that high prices and weak demand for discretionary items could be headwinds.
Posted on March 30, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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CVS expects to finalize its $8 billion acquisition of Signify Health this week, the retail pharmacy giant said yesterday. CVS beat out both Amazon and UnitedHealth Group to buy Signify, a value-based provider network. The company announced the deal last September, and executives said they expect it to close “on or around March 29th.”
In a phone call following the deal announcement, Shawn Guertin, EVP and CFO at CVS, said the company anticipates that acquiring Signify will “generate attractive returns” for CVS. The acquisition strengthens CVS’s goal of becoming a value-based healthcare company and could give it a leg up over rival Walgreens. Both companies have doubled down on value-based care in the last couple of years, making several multi-billion dollar deals, such as Walgreens’s $5.2 billion VillageMD acquisition in 2021 and CVS’s $10.6 billion takeover of Oak Street Health.
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The U.S. Food and Drug Administration has approved NARCAN, an overdose-reversing nasal spray, for over-the-counter, non-prescription sale, the agency just announced. The FDA green light marks the first naloxone product approved for use without a prescription. Naloxone rapidly reverses the effects of an opioid overdose, including situations where fentanyl is involved. In the 12-month period ending in October 2022, the United States recorded 101,750 overdose deaths, primarily from opioids including fentanyl, according to the FDA.
“Today’s action paves the way for the life-saving medication to reverse an opioid overdose to be sold directly to consumers in places like drug stores, convenience stores, grocery stores and gas stations, as well as online,” the agency said in a news release.
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Here’s how the major indexes performedyesterday:
The S&P 500® Index rose roughly 57 points (1.42%) to 4027.83; the Dow Jones industrial average was up 323 points (1.0%) at 32717.73; the NASDAQ Composite was up 210 points (1.79%) at 11926.24.
The 10-year Treasury yield was little changed at 3.575%.
CBOEs Volatility Index was down 80 basis points (4.01%) at 19.17.
Posted on March 30, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
Connecting the future of dentistry in 3D
By Staff Reporters
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Dentaverse was born in the heart of Europe between young professionals. A combination of Dental, Finance, 3D and web professionals coming together to connect dental dots. In doing so Dentaverse has grown in to a deep integration of dental know-how and innovative technologies like: Metaverse (VR), blockchain, web3 tech and education.
Accelerating personal and professional growth by connecting dental students, universities, professionals and suppliers in virtual reality.
Posted on March 27, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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Ark’s Back-to-Back Sale: Ark Invest’s Ark Innovation ETF (NYSE: ARKK) and Ark Next Generation Internet ETF (NYSE: ARKW) sold 119,151 and 11,547 shares of Tesla, respectively, on Friday, daily trade information from the company showed. Friday’s disposals totaled 130,698 shares, valued at $24.98 million. On Thursday, Ark’s ARKK and ARKW cumulatively sold 139,000 shares valued at $26.8 million. Wood’s firm divested $51.78 million worth of Tesla stock this week.
Ark has been a buyer of Tesla shares since the stock’s decline late last year. The last sale by the firm ahead of this past week’s liquidation was in early September. 2022. On the other hand, Elon Musk is reportedly handing out stock awards to Twitter employees at a valuation of ~$20 billion. He bought the company for $44 billion last year.
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SVB was finally sold. Well, at least a large portion of it. First Citizens BancShares, a Raleigh-based regional bank, is scooping up SVB’s deposits, loans, and 17 branches that will reopen today under new ownership. About $90 billion of SVB’s assets will remain with the FDIC, which took control of SVB following its epic collapse over two weeks ago. The sale is meant to “instill confidence in the banking system,” the CEO of First Citizens said, and it seems to be working for now: Regional lenders like First Republic Bank are surging premarket.
Posted on March 26, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
Tim Berners-Lee of the WWW
By Staff Reporters
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* Profits are down, and they’re set to plummet even further. (Wired $) * A hedge fund that invested heavily in FTX is shutting down. (FT $) * Tim Berners-Lee thinks crypto is comparable to gambling. (CNBC)
Over the past decade, the Federal Reserve has manipulated asset prices by interfering with free markets by deciding what both short-term and long-term interest rates should be. This resulted in an increase in risk-taking behavior among investors.
Risk became a four-letter word uttered only by curmudgeons; the only thing investors feared was being left out. The more risk you took, the more money you made – until you lost it all.
Posted on March 22, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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The following is a round-up of yesterday’s market activity:
The S&P 500 Index was up 51.3 (1.3%) at 4002.87, its highest close since March 6th; the Dow Jones industrial average was up 316.02 (1.0%) at 32,560.60; the NASDAQ Composite was up 184.57 (1.6%) at 11,869.11, the highest close since February 15th.
Treasury yield was up about 12 basis points at 3.594%.
Posted on March 21, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Vitaliy Katsenelson CFA
Crypto currency was touted as antidote to central banking.
But with its own flaws, is the system itself to blame for this crypto market crash?
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Cryptocurrencies were supposed to offer a new, virtual alternative to the current, mundane, “corrupt” system, in which a few dozen bureaucrats in conference rooms around the world – central bankers – manipulate the most important commodity of all – interest rates – the price of money.
The collapse of FTX (a cryptocurrency exchange that was valued at $30 billion just a few months ago) and the subsequent bankruptcies revealed what may have started as a kernel of sincere libertarian ideas to stand up to endless money printing and debt creation in our financial system, has been hijacked by what appears to be an immutable flaw of the human condition: our greed and desire to get rich fast.
Posted on March 20, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
When Does Spring Start?
By Staff Reporters
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In 2023, the official first day of spring is today Monday, March 20th. This date marks the “spring equinox” in the Northern Hemisphere. So, what is the spring equinox and is it always on the 20th? Read on to learn more—plus, enjoy ideas on how to celebrate the season!
UBS agreed to buy its embattled rivalCredit Suisse for 3 billion Swiss francs ($3.25 billion) yesterday, with Swiss regulators playing a key part in the deal as governments looked to stem a contagion threatening the global banking system.
“With the takeover of Credit Suisse by UBS, a solution has been found to secure financial stability and protect the Swiss economy in this exceptional situation,” read a statement from the Swiss National Bank, which noted the central bank worked with the Swiss government and the Swiss Financial Market Supervisory Authority to bring about the combinationof the country’s two largest banks.
Posted on March 19, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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Bitcoin prices climbed to as high as $27,293 last week, wrapping up the cryptocurrency’s best week since January 2021. And it has Silicon Valley Bank and friends to thank for it. Crypto diehards claim bitcoin’s gains are the result of people losing faith in traditional banking after SVB and Signature imploded (though it’s worth noting that Signature was a big player in the crypto world).
However, after the second-and third-biggest bank failures in history, economists started second-guessing whether the Fed would stick to the plan to hike interest rates again or change course to protect the rest of the very fragile banking industry. That could mean the crypto market, which slid into the dreaded Crypto Winter in the first half of last year because of macroeconomic factors like the Fed’s rate hikes, might finally be approaching spring.
So, according to MorningBrew, the Fed’s interest rate decision next week will likely serve as crypto’s redeux. And despite the banking industry hoping Jerome Powell pauses the interest rate hikes, February’s inflation numbers showed that the Fed may need to stick to its original plan to keep inflation in check.
Posted on March 1, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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Three cities that saw the steepest home price declines on a seasonally-adjusted, month-over-month basis include Las Vegas, Phoenix, and Portland, with drops of 1.5%, 1.3%, and 1.3%, respectively.
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U.S. equities finished lower in choppy action amid the backdrop of uncertainty regarding the ultimate impact of aggressive monetary policy tightening.
Treasury yields were little changed, and the U.S. dollar was slightly higher, while crude oil and gold prices gained ground. Q4 earnings season continues to wrap up this week, with Target topping forecasts but offering disappointing guidance, while Zoom Video Communications bested forecasts but delivered a mixed outlook.
The economic calendar showed home prices dipped compared to the prior month, while the trade deficit widened more than expected, and wholesale inventories unexpectedly declined. Additionally, consumer confidence and manufacturing activity in the Chicago region unexpectedly declined in February.
Asia finished mixed and Europe also diverged, with the markets continuing to grapple with monetary policy uncertainty.
Posted on February 20, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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GlaxoSmithKline
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GSK (GSK) American Depository Shares lost ~2% pre-market yesterday after a new report from Bloomberg Businessweek claimed that the British drug maker chose to keep quiet on the cancer risks of the recalled heartburn medication Zantac. Zantac, also known as ranitidine, was pulled from the U.S. market in 2020 amid concerns over the unacceptable levels of potential human carcinogen, N-nitrosodimethylamine (NDMA).
Since then, the makers of Zantac generics, including Sanofi (SNY) (OTCPK:SNYNF), GSK (GSK), Pfizer (PFE), and Boehringer Ingelheim GmbH, have faced thousands of lawsuits for failure to adequately warn health risks of the antacid.
Citing court filings, studies, FDA transcripts, and new drug applications obtained through the Freedom of Information Act requests, Bloomberg said that the FDA considered the cancer risks when green lighting the medication, but GSK (GSK) withheld key study data.
Posted on February 17, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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Gasoline prices have unexpectedly risen in January, at a time when Americans normally stay put and demand remains relatively flat. Last week, the national average price for regular gas crept up to $3.51 a gallon, according to the American Automobile Association (AAA), jumping up by 12 cents compared to a week before and 41 cents in December. As of today, regular gas was on average $3.49 a gallon. It was a dark surprise for American consumers wary of the skyrocketing prices experienced last summer when gas reached a record height of $5.02 a gallon on average nationwide
U.S. equities declined sharply following another hotter-than-expected read on inflation, as well as hawkish commentary from Fed officials, which seemed to complicate the outlook for further monetary policy tightening. January’s Producer Price Index (PPI) came in above estimates, causing more Fed uncertainty that had already ramped up following this week’s elevated consumer inflation report, and yesterday’s much stronger-than-anticipated retail sales data. A busy day of economic data also included a lower-than-projected level of jobless claims, softer-than-forecasted housing construction activity, and an unexpected tumble in manufacturing activity out of Philadelphia.
Treasury yields were higher following the inflation report, and the U.S. dollar increased, while crude oil prices nudged lower, and gold was little changed. Q4 earnings season continued to roll on, with Dow member Cisco Systems topping forecasts, though Shopify offered disappointing revenue guidance, and Paramount missed expectations.
Asian and European stocks finished higher for the most part, as investors grappled with the U.S. inflation data and monetary policy uncertainty.
AMERICAN DEPOSITORY RECEIPT (ADR) = A receipt evidencing shares of a foreign corporation held on deposit or under the control of a U. S. banking institution; it is used to facilitate transactions and expedite transfer of beneficial ownership for a foreign security in the U.S. Everything is done in dollars and the ADR holder doesn’t have voting rights; essentially the same as an American Depository Share (ADS).
A Standard & Poor’s Depositary Receipt, or SPDR, is a type of exchange traded fund that began trading on the American Stock Exchange (AMEX) in 1993 when State Street Global Advisors’ investment management group first issued shares of the SPDR 500 Trust (SPY).
Posted on February 16, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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Stocks Rise as Investors Digest Economic Data
THE DATA: U.S. retail sales jumped 3% in January as consumers broadly boosted spending on vehicles, furniture, clothing and dining out, adding to signs that economic growth picked up at the start of the year. Last month’s seasonally adjusted spending increase was the biggest since March 2021 and followed two months of declines at the end of last year, the Commerce Department said yesterday. Job growth surged and high inflation cooled slightly in January after rising prices, increased borrowing costs and uncertainty about the economy caused households to pull back on spending late last year.
The unexpectedly strong employment report last month and still solid wage gains bode well for consumer spending, and some economists think economic growth could be picking up. The Federal Reserve has raised interest rates aggressively since last March in an attempt to slow the economy and bring down inflation. The consumer-price index climbed 6.4% in January from a year earlier, down slightly from 6.5% in December but still well above the Federal Reserve’s 2% inflation target.
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THE MARKETS: U.S. stocks were higher to end the day, as investors continued to wrestle with the implications of persisting inflation and a tight labor market on Fed monetary policy actions. The economic calendar came in heavy, as retail sales rose much more than anticipated in January, which may be further complicating Fed perception, home-builder sentiment improved by the most since the summer of 2013, and business inventories continued to rise.
However, industrial production came in below forecasts, mortgage applications dropped, and New York manufacturing remained in contraction territory. Q4 earnings season continued to roll on, with AirBnB topping estimates and offering upbeat guidance, and Kraft Heinz also exceeding earnings estimates, while Devon Energy missed profit projections.
Treasury yields were mostly higher, and the U.S. dollar rallied, while crude oil and gold prices were lower.
Asian stocks finished mostly lower, and markets in Europe traded higher as investors digested further inflation data in the region.
Posted on February 12, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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Nelson Peltz, the activist investor and head of Trian Fund Management, called a cease-fire after a month long proxy fight with Disney. Peltz said he was happy with the restructuring plan CEO Bob Iger announced and will no longer try to grab a seat on the board of directors. Along with his restructuring plan, Disney said that Toy Story, Frozen, and Zootopia will all get more sequels in an effort to boost the company’s streaming numbers.
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Microsoft Corp., implementing the layoff of 10,000 workers announced cut jobs in units including Surface devices, HoloLens mixed reality hardware and Xbox, according to Bloomberg and people familiar with the matter.
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Shares of ride-hailing firm Lyft plunged following a downbeat profit forecast. In fact, Lyft had its worst day ever after it shared a dismal outlook during its earnings call this week. Wedbush analyst Dan Ives called it “a Top 3 worst call” out of the thousands he’s listened in 22 years. The company’s shares fell about 36% after forecasting it’ll make between $5 million and $15 million this quarter—rather than the $85 million that analysts expected. Meanwhile, Uber is coming off its “strongest quarter ever,” according to CEO Dara Khosrowshahi.
Yields on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note rose to their highest in more than a month following an auction on Thursday of 30-year bonds that saw weak demand. [US].
Finally the S&P 500 gained 8.99 points, or 0.22%, to end at 4,090.49 points, while the NASDAQ Composite lost 71.12 points, or 0.60%, to 11,718.46. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 169.88 points, or 0.50%, to 33,869.76. The NASDAQ posted its first weekly fall this year, while the S&P 500 ended the week lower in a week dominated by hawkish commentary from U.S. Federal Reserve officials and earnings reports from more than half of the S&P 500 constituents.
Posted on February 7, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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Stocks Lower to Kick off the Week
U.S. stocks declined, continuing losses that came in the wake of a much stronger-than-expected key labor report, which caused FOMC uncertainty to flare back up. The uncertainty came as the employment data followed a decelerated rate hike, and some seemingly less hawkish commentary from the Fed.
The economic calendar will deliver some reports today that may garner attention, including data on the trade deficit and consumer credit. Additionally, the FOMC will be headlined by today’s speech from Fed Chair Jerome Powell. Q4 earnings season remained in high gear this week, as Tyson Foods kicked things off in lackluster fashion by missing expectations.
In other equity news, Dell Technologies announced that it plans to reduce its workforce by about 5.0%, or 6,500 jobs, while Public Storage made a hostile takeover bid for Life Storage.
Treasury yields rose, and the U.S. dollar increased, along with crude oil and gold prices. Asia finished mixed, as geopolitical tensions remain elevated after the U.S. shot down what was believed to be a Chinese spy balloon floating over U.S. soil.
Additionally, markets in Europe were mostly lower, trimming some of its strong start to the year.
Posted on February 3, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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US employers in January announced the most job cuts since 2020, according to data compiled by Challenger, Gray & Christmas, Inc. Businesses reported 102,943 cuts in the month, more than twice those announced in December and up 440% from January 2022. The technology sector made up 41% of the planned reductions. Announced layoffs at retailers and financial companies also climbed from a year ago.
Meanwhile, U.S. stocks ended the day mixed, with the S&P 500 and NASDAQ adding to yesterday’s rally that came as the Fed hiked rates by a decelerated amount and suggested that it may be nearing the end of its tightening cycle. The global markets also reacted to 50-basis point rate increases from the European Central Bank and Bank of England.
Earnings continued to pour in, with Meta Platform jumping after some upbeat guidance, and Eli Lilly and Company saw pressure after some softer-than-expected revenue growth. The economic calendar delivered some positive news, with Q4 productivity much stronger than expected and unit labor costs slowing more than anticipated, and jobless claims continued to slide, while factory orders missed estimates.
Treasury yields were unchanged, and the U.S. dollar gained ground, while crude oil and gold prices declined. Asian stocks finished mixed following the Fed’s decision, and markets in Europe were mostly higher in the wake of the monetary policy decisions in the region.
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Finally, a Japanese maker of flying motorbikes will list on the NASDAQ stock exchange and start trading in New York, making it the fifth company from the Asian nation to join the tech-heavy bourse, according to Bloomberg. Tokyo-based ALI Technologies Inc. is going public through a merger with the blank-check firm Pono Capital Corp. Under terms of the deal, ALI Technologies will become a fully owned unit of its US arm, Aerwins Technologies, the people said, asking not to be named because the information isn’t yet public. Its market cap is expected to be at least $600 million, in line with its target last year despite a market selloff. Its ticker will be AWIN.
Posted on February 1, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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Foreign-exchange volatility hammered North America’s corporate profits by a record in the third quarter, though signs of relief are on the horizon. Currency oscillations cost North American companies $43.2 billion in the July to September period — an all-time high since data tracking started a decade ago — according to Kyriba Corp. That’s a 26% spike from the previous quarter, also a record, according to the corporate-treasury management software company. And, public companies pointed to the euro, Canadian dollar and ruble as the currencies weighing the most on profits in the period, followed by the Chinese yuan and the Japanese yen, according to Kyriba’s report. The euro and the loonie had also earned top mentions in the firm’s second-quarter report.
U.S. equities ended a choppy trading session higher, as investors sifted through a host of earnings and economic data, and awaited tomorrow’s monetary policy decision from the Federal Reserve. Several Dow members were in focus, as McDonald’s beat earnings estimates, and Caterpillar missed expectations due to unfavorable foreign currency impacts.
In other equity news, UPS posted higher-than-expected earnings, declared a new quarterly dividend, and revamped its share repurchase program, while Pfizer beat forecasts but issued lower-than-anticipated guidance, and General Motors trounced expectations and offered an upbeat full-year outlook.
The economic calendar heated up, with the Q4 Employment Cost Index coming in lower than expected, and home prices declining by a smaller amount than anticipated in November. More reports came out after the opening bell, as January’s consumer confidence unexpectedly declined, and the Chicago PMI fell further into contraction territory.
Treasury yields were lower, and the U.S. dollar dipped, while crude oil prices increased, as did gold. Asian stocks were mostly lower amid a swarm of economic reports.
European markets finished mixed following the economic data, and as investors awaited monetary policy decisions from the European Central Bank and Bank of England later this week.
Posted on January 31, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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Gas prices are continuing to rise to start 2023, and experts say prices are “unlikely to turn around any time soon.” And, the current average for a regular gallon of gas $3.50, according to AAA.
While it’s nowhere near the record $5.01 reached in June, its far more than what the average was heading into New Year’s Day and what prices were one year ago.
And, experts say it’s possible the average price reaches $4 later this year.
Posted on January 20, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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The bankruptcy of Barry Silbert’s Genesis Global may not have pummeled crypto markets like the implosion of Sam Bankman-Fried’s FTX did, but it features a list of top creditors with similarly large claims topping $3 billion in total.
According to Bloomberg, Genesis’s Chapter 11 filing on Thursday listed seven creditors owed at least $100 million. By far the biggest one is a $766 million claim related to customers of crypto exchange Gemini, who have money stuck with Genesis’s lending unit. FTX-linked entities have 10 claims of more than $100 million, according to a redacted list filed Saturday.
In all, Genesis owes its top 50 creditors $3.4 billion; for FTX, that figure stands at $3.1 billion. While some of the names of Genesis’ biggest creditors have been redacted in the filing, below is a list of major names.
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