DAILY UPDATE: Intel CEO Out, Stellantis CEO Down and Mega Caps Up!

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The CEO Intel has been forced out after failing to return the American microchip company to the cutting edge, despite promises of billions from Joe Biden’s administration. Pat Gelsinger, who joined the Silicon Valley icon 45 years ago, said he had retired with immediate effect, three years after returning to the company with a pledge to resurrect US leadership in microchip technology.

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STOCKS UP

  • Super Micro Computer has been declared innocent of financial wrongdoing by…Super Micro Computer. Shares popped 26.86% on news that the company’s internal investigation revealed nothing wrong with its finances.
  • Gap continues its hot streak, rising 6.45% today thanks to an upgrade from JPMorgan analysts who think the retailer could gain another 20% from here.
  • Dana isn’t just the name of your favorite dental hygiene technician—it’s also an auto parts manufacturer that received an upgrade from Barclays analysts today. Shares gained 13.30%.
  • XPeng announced record car deliveries last month. Shares of the Chinese automaker jumped 5.31%.

STOCKS DOWN

  • Archer Aviation is a company that makes flying taxis. If that doesn’t sound like a good investment, a lot of investors would agree: Short interest is mounting, pushing shares down 23.72% today. Competitor Joby Aviation dropped 9.39% as well.
  • Upstart Holdings sank 14.47% after the AI-powered lending company received a downgrade from JPMorgan analysts. LendingClub was downgraded as well, and fell 4.93%.
  • Not all Chinese automakers had a great Monday: Li Auto fell 3.72% after announcing car deliveries dropped 5.25% month over month.

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) rose 14.77 points (0.24%) to 6,047.15; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) fell 128.65 points (–0.29%) to 44,782.00; and the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) added 185.78 points (0.97%) to 19,403.95.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield added two basis points to 4.20%. 
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX)eased to 13.44.

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Chrysler-parent Stellantis said CEO Carlos Tavares is stepping down, effective immediately, after the automaker’s sales and profit sharply declined this year. Shares dropped about 7% in Monday trading. Stellantis’s shares have fallen more than 40% this year. The company said Sunday that it wasn’t changing the financial guidance that it gave in October.

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DAILY UPDATE: Intel Suspends Dividend as Major Stock Index Climbs

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Computer company Intel didn’t just lower its dividend; it suspended it entirely earlier this year. The company’s CEO Pat Gelsinger said that the move was necessary due to liquidity needs and for the business to be able to “support the investments needed to execute our strategy.” Intel has been investing heavily in its foundry business, which has been a challenge. In the company’s most recent quarter, which ended on September 28th, the foundry business incurred an operating loss of $5.8 billion — more than four times the $1.4 billion loss it reported a year earlier.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The SPX gained 33.64 points (0.6%) to 6,032.38; the $DJI rose 188.59 points (0.4%) to 44,910.65; and the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) advanced 157.69 points (0.8%) to 19,218.17.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield fell five basis points to 4.19%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) gave back 0.59 points to 13.51.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/tj8smmes

Visualize: How private equity tangled banks in a web of debt, from the Financial Times.

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DAILY UPDATE: Intel, Tether as Technology Markets Lead Downturn

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HAPPY THANKSGIVING DAY 2024

Intel and the US government finalized a $7.9 billion grant from the CHIPS and Science Act that will help fund factory construction.

The cryptocurrency Tether is being used by organizations linked to Mexican drug cartels to launder tens of millions of dollars, 404 Media reported.

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STOCKS UP

  • Unusual Machines got an unusually strong boost today, soaring 84.51% after Donald Trump Jr. announced he’s joining the drone maker’s advisory board.
  • Ambarella continued to climb another 5.89% today after the semiconductor company announced a strong beat-and-raise quarter.
  • Urban Outfitters isn’t just where you go to buy overpriced beanies—it’s also where you go for strong holiday revenue expectations. Shares rose 18.31% after the retailer’s best third quarter ever.
  • SolarEdge Technologies will close its energy storage division and lay off hundreds of employees to cut costs. Shares popped 8.55% on the announcement.
  • Iris Energy jumped 29.71% after the bitcoin miner announced it’s growing so quickly that it may be able to distribute funds to shareholders sooner than previously thought.

STOCKS DOWN

  • Symbotic plummeted 35.86% after the robotics company announced it won’t meet its financial filing deadline thanks to some accounting errors.
  • Dell may have impressed with its AI offerings, but earnings came up short last quarter. That, plus management’s “meh” forecast for the coming quarter, sent shares tumbling 12.25%.
  • HP sank 11.36% after it, too, projected worse-than-expected profits next quarter.
  • Keeping the trend alive, cybersecurity company CrowdStrike also anticipates lower earnings next quarter—a sign that it still hasn’t fully recovered from this summer’s massive IT outage. Shares dropped 4.59%.
  • Nordstrom actually beat earnings expectations and announced a solid sales forecast—but apparently, it wasn’t good enough. The retailer still lost 8.09% today.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  •  The SPX fell 22.89 points (–0.38%) to 5,998.74; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) lost 138.25 points (–0.31%) to 44,722.06; and the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) dropped 115.10 points (–0.60%) to 19,060.48.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield dropped six basis points to 4.24%, a one-month low close. 
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX)was close to flat at 14.14.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/tj8smmes

Visualize: How private equity tangled banks in a web of debt, from the Financial Times.

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DAILY UPDATE: Morningstar, Amazon Anthropic and Private Equity Banks

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Amazon invests $4 billion more in Anthropic. The deal marks the second time in a year that Amazon has earmarked $4 billion for Anthropic as it seeks to keep pace with its main rival, OpenAI, which raised $6.6 billion in October.

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Morningstar Inc. has announced a change to the methodology for its Morningstar Medalist Rating system that it says provides a more precise assessment of investment alpha. The change, which will take effect on October 29th, will alter the medalist ratings of about 20% of the 200,000 funds Morningstar has rated, with most of those changes downgrades. For example, Morningstar expects around 40% of funds currently assigned Bronze ratings globally will be assigned Neutral ratings after the change.

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CHARGE MASTER: Medical Bills Paradox

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™

SPONSOR: http://www.CertifiedMedicalPlanner.org

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CHARGE MASTER MEDICAL BILLS

Classic Definition: A comprehensive review of a physician, clinic, facility, medical provider or hospital’s charges to ensure Medicare billing compliance through complete and accurate HCPCS/CPT and UB-92 revenue code assignments for all items including supplies and pharmaceuticals. The charge master captures the costs of each procedure, service, supply, prescription drug, and diagnostic test provided at the hospital, as well as any fees associated with services, such as equipment fees and room charges

Modern Circumstance: A charge master quizlet (charge description master [CDM]) document that contains a computer-generated list of procedures, services, and supplies with charges for each. Charge master rates are essentially the health care market equivalent of Manufacturer’s Suggested Retail Price (MSRP) in the car buying market. Poor charge master maintenance can lead to overpayments or underpayments. It can also lead to claim rejections from insurance companies, poor patient experience, or compliance violations.

Paradox Examples:

  • Superbills: An encounter form that is the financial record source document used by healthcare providers and other personnel to record treated diagnoses and services rendered to the patient during the current encounter. It is also called a superbill.
  • Payment rates: Almost no one actually pays the publicized charge master rates. The vast majority of health care consumers are represented by a payer of some kind, such as a commercial health insurance company, Medicaid, or Medicare. Commercial insurers negotiate the actual prices they pay during the process of contracting with providers. Medicare and Medicaid establish their own payment levels independent of hospitals’ charge master lists – Medicare through the federal government and Medicaid through state governments.
  • Cash pay: The sad irony of the charge master is that the uninsured are the most likely to be billed charge master rates because they are not represented by a third-party payer.
  • Problematic features: Other items also impede the ability of payers to have a comprehensive and accurate understanding of hospitals’ financial positions. For example, nonprofit hospitals are required to report charity care, bad debt expenses, community benefit initiatives, and uncompensated care. When these expenses are reported at the charge master level, expenses can be paradoxically overstated, potentially making a hospital’s financial position look worse than it actually is.

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DAILY UPDATE: Dermatology and Oura Rings as NASDAQ Rises

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How dermatology became the hottest field in medicine.

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STOCKS UP

  • Talk about cutting it close: Super Micro Computer filed a much-delayed financial plan at the 11th hour, avoiding a delisting from the Nasdaq. Shares soared 31.24%.
  • AI-enabled robotics company Symbotic surged 27.68% after announcing an impressive beat-and-raise quarter.
  • MicroStrategy climbed another 11.89% after yesterday’s huge surge. The crypto company announced it will continue to purchase more bitcoin in the weeks ahead.

STOCKS DOWN

  • More Trump Trade 2.0 developments: The newly formed Department of Government Efficiency is considering creating an app that allows Americans to file their taxes on a phone for free. Intuit sank 5.10%, and H&R Block dropped 8.31% on the news.
  • Speaking of Trump, platform Bakkt popped then dropped 0.67% following yesterday’s news that Trump Media & Technology Group may acquire the company. Trump Media shares fell 8.88%.
  • Kraft Heinz fell 1.58% on a Piper Sandler downgrade due to the company’s slow retail sales and the threat of new government regulations from the Health Department.
  • Lowe’s may have beaten top and bottom line expectations last quarter, but the home improvement retailer’s forecast of slower sales next year sent the stock falling 4.62%.
  • Incyte tumbled 8.33% after the pharma company announced it was pausing the Phase 2 trial of its new spontaneous hives treatment.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  •  The S&P 500® index (SPX) was up 23.36 points (0.4%) to 5916.98; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) dipped 120.66 points (0.28%) to 43,268.94; and the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) rose 195.66 points (1.04%) to 18,987.49.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield fell four basis points to 4.38%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) eased to 16.04 after an earlier pop above 17.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/tj8smmes

Oura rings will soon be integrated with glucose biosensors after a $75 million series D funding round with medical device maker Dexcom.

Visualize: How private equity tangled banks in a web of debt, from the Financial Times.

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DAILY UPDATE: Healthcare Private Equity Prominent as Stocks Go Down

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Private equity (PE) dollars have become prominent in the US healthcare industry in recent decades, with PE firms now owning roughly 8% of all private hospitals in the country, according to nonprofit Private Equity Stakeholder Project. But studies have illustrated the financial model’s potential adverse effects, such one published in JAMA in December 2023 that found PE-owned hospitals are 25.4% more likely to report patient complications. Others have found that PE-owned healthcare companies represented more than one-fifth of healthcare company bankruptcies in 2023 and that PE-owned hospitals see their assets drop an average of 24% following an acquisition.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource

STOCKS UP

Tapestry, parent company of luxury brands like Coach and Kate Spade, and Capri, parent company of luxury brands like Versace and Jimmy Choo, have announced they will mutually terminate their planned merger. Tapestry popped 12.80%, while Capri rose 4.43%.

  • Speaking of luxury brands, Burberry soared 18.04% after its CEO announced a turnaround plan designed to halt the company’s recent decline.
  • Semiconductor maker ASML plummeted last month on a profit warning, but rose 2.90% today on reassurances that it’s still on track to meet its 2030 revenue forecasts.

STOCKS DOWN

  • Super Micro Computer fell yet another 11.41% as it nears the November 16 deadline to report fiscal year earnings or be delisted from the Nasdaq.
  • Trump Media & Technology Group dropped 6.71% as investors digested news that company insiders are shedding shares, as well as in reaction to a number of President-elect Trump’s cabinet appointments.
  • Hims & Hers Health tumbled 24.46% on the news that Amazon is getting into the telehealth game, offering Prime members fixed prices on treatments for hair loss and erectile dysfunction.
  • Ibotta is a cashback rewards company, but its shareholders may want their cash back. The company beat on top and bottom line estimates last quarter, but the win wasn’t good enough, and shares sank 12.55%.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) fell 36.21 points (–0.60%) to 5,949.17; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) lost 207.33 points (–0.47%) to 43,750.86; and the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) dropped 123.07 points (–0.64%) to 19,107.65. 
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield fell three basis points to 4.42%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) edged up to 14.17.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/tj8smmes

Visualize: How private equity tangled banks in a web of debt, from the Financial Times.

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California Passes Bill Regulating Private Equity Deals

By Health Capital Consultants, LLC

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On September 28th, 2024, California Governor Gavin Newsom vetoed Assembly Bill (AB) 3129, which sought to regulate private equity (PE) transactions involving healthcare organizations by requiring certain transactions to be reviewed by, and to receive approval from, the California Attorney General (AG).

In his veto message, Governor Newsom stated that the state’s Office of Health Care Affordability (OHCA), established in 2022, has the power to review and evaluate healthcare transactions (including the ones at issue in AB 3129). While OHCA does not have the power to block proposed transactions, as the AG would have had under AB 3129, it can refer transactions to the AG for further examination. Put simply, the governor’s veto seems to stem from concern that taking power away from the newly-created OHCA could muddy the waters in healthcare transaction regulation.

While there is a possibility that the California legislature could override Governor Newsom’s veto, it appears unlikely as of the publication of this Alert. However, the overall popularity of this bill in the legislature (as evidenced by the fairly wide margins with which it passed) indicates that PE groups looking to transact in the healthcare space – both in California and across the U.S. – should be on high alert, as regulators are increasingly turning their focus on the role of PE in healthcare.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource/Title/0826102549

For more information on AB 3129, as well as the status of state and federal regulation of PE, see the September 2024 Health Capital Topics article entitled, California Passes Bill Regulating Private Equity Deals.”

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DAILY UPDATE: New Highs for NASDAQ

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STOCKS UP

Trump Media & Technology Group rocketed higher at the opening bell, prompting the Nasdaq to halt trading on what has quickly become the meme stock du jour. Shares ended the day 8.76% higher.

  • 23andMe clawed 1.86% higher after introducing three new board members about a month after the entire board resigned.
  • VF Corp, parent company of clothing brands JanSport, Vans, and North Face, surged 27.01% thanks to an impeccable earnings report that revealed its turnaround plans are coming to fruition.
  • Trex, the stuff your dad built an awesome deck out of, saw sales fall last quarter but still managed to beat earnings expectations. Shares popped 6.19%.

STOCKS DOWN

  • JetBlue Airways sank 17.08% in spite of reporting a smaller loss than analysts expected. The problem is all the turbulence that lies ahead.
  • D.R. Horton is the largest homebuilder by market cap, so when it says that 2025 will be a bad year, investors should listen. Shares dropped 7.29% on the news.
  • Crocs stumbled 19.17% after beating earnings but announcing that its fiscal year would be bogged down by poor sales of its HeyDude shoe brand.
  • Stanley Black & Decker fell 8.77% after missing on both profits and sales, citing weaker consumer spending.
  • Xerox plummeted 17.41% after the company that can’t make a printer that works for longer than 3 months without needing a new ink cartridge announced weaker sales than expected.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) rose 9.40(0.16%) to 5,832.92; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) fell 154.52 points (–0.36%) to 42,233.05; and the $COMP added points 145.55 (0.78%) to 18,712.75.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) finished unchanged at 4.27% after reaching nearly 4.34% earlier today.
  • The VIX fell slightly to 19.49.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/tj8smmes

Visualize: How private equity tangled banks in a web of debt, from the Financial Times.

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DAILY UPDATE: Health-Care’s Future as Stocks Climb

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Healthcare’s future as HSBC Innovation Banking collaborated with LINUS and HLTH to help prepare the healthcare ecosystem for the future. The Health 2035 report goes in depth with discussions between visionaries in the ecosystem and studies of young physicians’ forecasts for what the state of care will be in the year 2035. Download the report.

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Stocks Up

  • Trump Media & Technology Group soared 21.59% following a major rally at Madison Square Garden, an appearance on Joe Rogan’s podcast, and rising chances of winning the election. Fun fact: After this latest stock surge, Trump Media is now worth almost as much as social media network X.
  • Nio surged 10.46% thanks to an upgrade from Macquerie, whose analysts believe that the EV startup could see strong growth from new vehicle launches next year.
  • Spotify has earned a spot on Wells Fargo’s top pick playlist, with analysts confident the stock could rise over 20%. Shares rose 1.27%.
  • Lower oil prices hurt energy stock, but are a big boost for companies that spend a lot on fuel. Carnival Corp rose 4.83%, Royal Caribbean Cruises climbed 1.35%, and American Airlines popped 3.42%.

Stocks Down

  • Philips floundered 15.95% after the Dutch consumer goods manufacturer missed on earnings and lowered its full-year forecast.
  • Boeing continued to fall yet another 2.79%, this time on the news that it is raising $19 billion through a stock offering in the hopes that it fends off a credit rating downgrade.
  • Oil stocks took a beating thanks to a big decline for crude prices. Diamondback Energy fell 3.36%, APA Corp. dropped 4.51%, Exxon Mobil sank 0.49%, and BP lost 1.48%.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX)rose15.40points (0.27%) to 5,823.52; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) added 273.17 points (0.65%) to 42,387.57; and the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) gained 48.58 points (0.26%) to 18,567.19.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) climbed six basis points to 4.29%, the highest close since July 9.
  • The VIX fell to 19.53.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/tj8smmes

Visualize: How private equity tangled banks in a web of debt, from the Financial Times.

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DAILY UPDATE: Boeing, NASDAQ and 401(k)s V. Pension Plans

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Boeing is exploring a sale of its space business, the Wall Street Journal reported, as part of a strategy to streamline.

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Stocks were mixed to close out the week, with the NASDAQ rebounding after a bad few days for the tech sector.

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401(k) vs. pension: There’s pros and cons to both. While pension plans guarantee a steady income stream, payments sometimes aren’t indexed by inflation, which can erode their value over time. On the flip side, 401(k)s are subject to market fluctuations and require financial literacy.

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DAILY UPDATE: Stocks Finish with New NASDAQ High

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The SPX fell 1.74 points (–0.03%) to 5,808.12 to end the week down 0.96%; the $DJI lost 259.96 points (–0.61%) to 42,114.40 to end the week down 2.68%; and the $COMP rose 103.12 points (0.56%) to 18,518.61 to end the week up 0.16%.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) added three basis points to 4.23%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) climbed sharply to 19.95, nearing recent highs. The 20 level is an area to watch next week, as it traditionally signals more volatile markets.

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Stocks Up

  • Pick a direction already: On Wednesday, Spirit Airlines soared 30% on news of a possible merger with Frontier. On Thursday, shares plunged 21% as investors took their profits. Today, shares are back up 15.05% after Spirit announced it will cut jobs and sell planes in an effort to boost profits.
  • Texas Roadhouse sizzled like a porterhouse T-bone, rising 3.58% after announcing that earnings rose 32% last quarter.
  • Deckers Outdoor popped 10.57% thanks to soaring demand for Hoka shoes, helping the footwear company beat earnings estimates and raise forecasts.
  • Newell Brands may not be a household name, but they make household goods like Sharpies, Elmer’s Glue, and Crock-Pot—all things that people bought a ton of last quarter, which is why shares soared 21.59% today.
  • Apple is just fine, thanks: The Market Cap King got a rare analyst downgrade from KeyBanc, which is worried about lower demand from China. Shareholders were unfazed, and the stock rose 0.36%.

STOCKS DOWN

  • AutoNation hasn’t shaken off the aftereffects of a major cyberattack in July just yet, which is why revenue and earnings both missed estimates last quarter. Shares fell 4.46% today.
  • Colgate-Palmolive announced a beat-and-raise quarter, but it wasn’t enough to impress shareholders, who pushed the consumer staples giant down 4.14%.
  • Mohawk Industries was the worst-performing stock on the market at one point today, falling 13.70% after the flooring manufacturer reported disappointing earnings and lowered its fiscal forecast.
  • Online education company Coursera got an F from shareholders after the company lowered its revenue guidance for the full fiscal year. Shares dropped 9.83%.
  • Newmont had its worst day in over a decade yesterday after the gold miner reported shockingly bad earnings, with higher costs offsetting the rising price of gold. Shares continued to fall 1.69% today.

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DAILY UPDATE: MBAs, Apple and Goldman Sachs as Stock Markets Mixed

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Applications to MBA programs are up 12% in 2024 after declining for two years, according to the Graduate Management Admission Council, which surveys business school admissions offices.

Apple and Goldman Sachs were ordered to pay $89 million by the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau for failing to address thousands of consumer disputes of Apple Card transactions.

Apple is cutting production of Vision Pro due to slow sales. The tech giant is scaling down production of its $3,500 Vision Pro VR headset and might halt assembly of new ones next month,

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STOCKS UP

  • UPS delivered a strong earnings report, with revenue beating analyst expectations for the first time in two years. Shares popped 5.28%.
  • ServiceNow rose 5.41% to a new all-time high thanks to a beat-and-raise third-quarter earnings report powered by higher AI demand for the enterprise software company.
  • Whirlpool climbed 11.20% after announcing solid earnings and reiterating guidance for the rest of the fiscal year, reassuring worried shareholders.
  • Molina Healthcare soared 17.67% after beating both top and bottom line estimates in the third quarter, thanks to the health insurer reaping the rewards of higher Medicaid payouts.

STOCKS DOWN

  • IBM dropped 6.17% on disappointing third-quarter results, missing on both top and bottom line forecasts thanks to lower consulting and infrastructure revenue.
  • Peloton pedaled higher yesterday after Greenlight Capital’s David Einhorn declared that the company was undervalued while he was pedaling on a Peloton. The stunt only worked for a quick sprint, though, with shares back down 2.07% today.
  • TKO Group Holdings got hit with a piledriver after the owner of the WWE and UFC announced it is acquiring several entertainment companies, including Professional Bull Riders. Investors bucked shares off 8.69%.
  • Keurig Dr. Pepper fizzled 4.80% thanks to lower sales last quarter, though the company is trying to bolster revenue by acquiring energy drink maker Ghost.
  • Air taxi startup Lilium crashed 61.50% on the news that its main subsidiaries have run out of cash and are filing for insolvency.

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) rose 12.44 points (0.21%) to 5,809.86; the $DJI fell 140.59 points (–0.33%) to 42,374.36; and the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) added 138.83 points (0.76%) to 18,415.49.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield fell four basis points to 4.20%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) was about flat at 19.18.

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DAILY UPDATE: 2025 IRS Tax Brackets as Stock Markets Barely Budge

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The IRS has announced the annual inflation adjustments for the year 2025, including tax rate schedules, tax tables and cost-of-living adjustments. These are the official numbers for the tax year 2025—that tax year begins January 1, 2025. These are not the numbers that you’ll use to prepare your 2024 tax returns in 2025 (you’ll find those official 2024 tax numbers here). These are the numbers that you’ll use to prepare your 2025 tax returns in 2026.

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STOCKS UP

  • Philip Morris International was smoking hot today, rising 10.47% to a record high thanks to strong demand for its Zyn nicotine pouches.
  • Americans just love a pickup truck: General Motors revved 9.85% higher on an impressive beat-and-raise earnings report.
  • Trump Media & Technology Group rose 9.87% to its highest level since July as the “Trump trade” wagering on the former president to regain the White House picks up steam.
  • Quest Diagnostics isn’t just a sad, windowless building where you get your blood drawn—it’s also been a pretty profitable investment. Shares rose 6.88% on strong earnings and revenue growth.

STOCKS DOWN

  • Stop us if you’ve heard this one before: Target is cutting the price of 2,000 products ahead of the holiday season. Shares sank 1.13% as shareholders digest what appears to be a desperate move to boost sales.
  • Verizon Communications dropped 5.03% after missing on both revenue and earnings estimates. But the real problem was slowing customer growth and phone sales.
  • Defense contractors were in the earnings spotlight today, and none of them did well. GE Aerospace tumbled 9.07% despite beating analyst forecasts and Lockheed Martin fell 6.12% after sales missed estimates.
  • Genuine Parts, better known as NAPA Auto Parts, plummeted 20.96% after earnings missed estimates and the company announced lower fiscal year forecasts.

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The SPX fell 2.78 points (–0.05%) to 5,851.20; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) lost 6.71 points (–0.02%) to 42,924.89; and the $COMP gained 33.12 points (0.18%) to 18,573.13.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) added two basis points to 4.2%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) fell to 18.15, down from above 20 a week ago.

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Visualize: How private equity tangled banks in a web of debt, from the Financial Times.

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DAILY UPDATE: CVS Health and AI Healthcare Chatbots as Stocks Reach New Highs

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CVS Health may be breaking up…with itself. The board of directors at CVS Health—the parent company of CVS Pharmacy, pharmacy benefit manager CVS Caremark, and insurance unit Aetna—are working with a group of bankers to review the company’s strategy, which according to Reuters, may lead to a split between its pharmacy division and Aetna.

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Stocks Up

  • Apple climbed 1.23% on a Bloomberg report that iPhone 16 demand has been shockingly strong in China.
  • Verizon Communications will purchase $1 billion worth of US Cellular’s wireless spectrum licenses. Verizon rose just 0.34%—but it’s a huge deal for US Cellular, which popped 7.22%, and Telephone and Data Systems, which owns 82% of US Cellular, and soared 15.40%.
  • Intuitive Surgical rose to a new all-time high, climbing 10.01% on strong earnings powered by sales of its da Vinci device.
  • Lamb Weston, the company behind the french fries you overindulge in every time you go out to dinner, is being pushed by activist investor Jana Partners toward exploring a sale. Shareholders rejoiced, and the stock rose 10.17%.

Stocks Down

CVS Health sank 5.23% on the news that CEO Karen Lynch will be replaced by David Joyner after three years at the helm of the struggling pharmacy/retailer. Joyner ran the company’s pharmacy service business for the last two years.

  • WD-40 seems like the staple of all consumer staples, but the company missed on both revenue and earnings estimates last quarter. Shares fell 4.79% on the news.
  • American Express dropped 3.15% after the credit card company reported a rare miss today, beating bottom-line estimates but missing revenue forecasts last quarter.
  • MGP Ingredients makes all the booze you drink under different brand names, but people aren’t drinking enough. The beverage maker issued preliminary earnings that included a 24% drop in sales. Shares tanked 24.16%.

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Here’s where the major stock market benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX)rose 23.20 points (0.40%) to 5,864.67, a new record high close, to end the week up 0.85%; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) added 36.86 points (0.09%) to 43,275.91, also another record high finish, to end the week up 0.96%; and the $COMP gained 115.94 points (0.63%) to 18,489.55 to end the week up 0.80%.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) fell two basis points to 4.07%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) fell to 18.17, the lowest since September 30.

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A new survey results may prompt health systems to second-guess some of their future plans. A recent University of Michigan survey found 74% of adults ages 50+ have “very little or no trust” in health info generated by AI. Maybe it’s not time to roll out chatbots on patient portals just yet.

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DAILY UPDATE: Goldman Sachs, Starbucks and Walgreens as Stock Markets Boost Up

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Goldman Sachs’ profit jumped 45% in monster quarter. The investment bank made $3 billion of profit on revenue of nearly $13 billion in Q3, it reported yesterday, surpassing even the rosiest of expectations. Bloomberg reported that it was the best quarter ever for Goldman’s stock trading unit, putting the group on track for a record year.

Walgreens said it will close 1,200 US stores, about one in seven locations, by 2027. The retailer will shutter 500 stores by the end of next year.

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UP STOCKS

Trump Media & Technology Group has had a wild week, falling nearly 10% yesterday before trading of the stock was halted, then popping 15.52% today. Election hype, a Trump-sponsored cryptocurrency, and Truth+, a new streaming service, are keeping shareholders on their toes.

  • Abbott Laboratories rose 1.53% thanks to a stronger-than-expected earnings report powered by the company’s impressive medical device sales.
  • Aspen Aerogels makes insulating material for batteries, which sounds boring to everyone but the Department of Energy. The DOE signed a conditional commitment to loan the company up to $670 million, sending shares 13.24% higher.

DOWN STOCKS

  • Novavax plummeted 19.44% after the FDA put a hold on the pharma company’s flu and Covid vaccine combination.
  • ASML Holding NV dropped another 6.42% today as the semiconductor selloff continues.
  • Interactive Brokers enjoyed higher revenue and more trading from its user base last quarter, but earnings per share came in under expectations, and shares sank 4.05%.

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The SPX rose27.21points (0.47%) to 5,842.47; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) added 337.28 points (0.79%) to 43,077.70; and the NASDAQ Composite®($COMP) increased 51.49 points (0.28%) to 18.367.08. 
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) fell two basis points to just below 4.02%, the lowest close since October 4.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) dropped moderately to 19.58, still elevated considering stock market strength.

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Starbucks is reportedly pivoting from discounts and promotions to refocus on selling premium coffee and seasonal drinks

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MARCINKO & ASSOCIATES: Financial Planning and Business Management Education for Physicians

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP

CONSULTING ADVICE – NOT SALES

“AT YOUR SERVICE”

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Marcinko & Associates is financial guide. We help answer your questions in an empowering way. We educate and guide medical colleagues to understand their financial picture and to make better financial decisions. We strive to simplify everything, clear up confusion, and address specific needs and goals.

Simply put, we’re a financial services company on a mission to empower financial freedom for all healthcare professionals; only. We work with doctors, nurses, medical providers, individuals and all sizes of organizations to offer investment, wealth management and retirement solutions so everyone can have a clear and simple understanding of where their finances and career is today and where it is headed tomorrow.

Whatever your financial situation, we do not shame, criticize, or sell. We enrich, educate and empower. We work only with medical colleagues at every stage of their financial journey [students, interns, residents, practitioners, mid-career and mature physicians], through big life personal changes to annual employment reviews, in order to help them understand, invest, and protect their money and lifestyle.

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For example, the following are current issues of review need for each Fall and Winter:

  • Financial planning reviews: 401-k, insurance, budget plans, investing, debt and savings, etc
  • Assess, develop, and align financial retirement and estate planning goals
  • Risk Management: Malpractice, home, life, medical, auto and personal indemnity
  • Life Insurance Need Reviews: whole, universal and term  
  • Business, operations, HR, employment negotiations and medical practice management
  • Annuity Need Reviews: Indexed and Fixed [Pros and Cons].

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At Marcinko & Associates we discuss specific needs and answer specific questions. We educate and make personalized recommendations that you are free to use, incorporate or disregard. Referrals to trusted specialists and strategic alliance partners then occur if – and as – needed [pro re nata].

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DAILY UPDATE: Boeing, Nobel Peace Prize, Tesla, JPMorgan and Wells Fargo

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Yom Kippur. Wishing a meaningful and easy fast to our readers who observe.

Boeing plans to lay off 10% of its workforce, or ~17,000 people, to cut costs as its factory workers’ strike continues.

The Nobel Peace Prize was awarded to Nihon Hidankyo, a Japanese organization of survivors of the atomic bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki, that advocates against nuclear weapons.

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  • Markets: After big banks—which are often viewed as a proxy for the economy’s health—kicked off earnings season strong, the S&P 500 and the Dow hit new records, capping off stocks’ fifth winning week in a row.

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Stock spotlight: Elon Musk’s presentation of Tesla’s long-awaited Robocab didn’t go as badly as that time the Cybertruck’s “unbreakable” window got smashed on stage, but investors were unimpressed by its lack of key details.

Hailing the news were Uber and Lyft, which rose after Tesla failed to present a looming threat.

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JPMorgan says the soft landing is here. Reporting its first quarterly earnings since the Fed’s big interest rate cut, America’s biggest bank earned more than expected from loans and boosted what it forecasts it’ll earn for the year.

In other banking news, Wells Fargo also beat earnings expectations.

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J CURVE: The Economics Paradox

IN PRIVATE EQUITY AND MEDICINE

By Staff Reporters

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PRIVATE EQUITY

In private equity, the J curve is used to illustrate the historical tendency of private equity funds to deliver negative returns in early years and investment gains in the outlying years as the portfolios of companies mature.

And, according to Wikipedia, in the early years of the fund, a number of factors contribute to negative returns including management fees, investment costs and under-performing investments that are identified early and written down. Over time the fund will begin to experience unrealized gains followed eventually by events in which gains are realized (e.g., IPOs, mergers and acquisitions, leveraged recapitalizations).

Historically, the J curve effect has been more pronounced in the US, where private equity firms tend to carry their investments at the lower of market value or investment cost and have been more aggressive in writing down investments than in writing up investments. As a result, the carrying value of any investment that is under performing will be written down but the carrying value of investments that are performing well tend to be recognized only when there is some kind of event that forces the PE to mark up the investment.

The steeper the positive part of the J curve, the quicker cash is returned to investors. A private equity firm that can make quick returns to investors provides investors with the opportunity to reinvest that cash elsewhere. Of course, with a tightening of credit markets, private equity firms have found it harder to sell businesses they previously invested in. Proceeds to investors have reduced. J curves have flattened dramatically. This leaves investors with less cash flow to invest elsewhere, such as in other private equity firms. The implications for private equity could well be severe. Being unable to sell businesses to generate proceeds and fees means some in the industry have predicted consolidation among private equity firms.

MEDICINE

In medicine, the “J curve” refers to a graph in which the x-axis measures either of two treatable symptoms (blood pressure or blood cholesterol level) while the y-axis measures the chance that a patient will develop cardiovascular disease (CVD). It is well known that high blood pressure or high cholesterol levels increase a patient’s risk.

Paradoxically, what is less well known is that plots of large populations against CVD mortality often take the shape of a J curve which indicates that patients with very low blood pressure and/or low cholesterol levels are also at increased risk.

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DAILY UPDATE: MSFT, J&J and CVS as Stock Markets Lag

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Rosh Hashanah, the Jewish New Year, begins tonight and ends on Friday. Shana Tova to those celebrating.

Microsoft overhauled its Copilot AI assistant, adding voice and vision capabilities to make it more personalized.


A new report from Deloitte reveals improving health equity could increase the country’s GDP by $2.8 trillion by 2040 and increase U.S.-based corporate profits by $763 billion.


And … Johnson & Johnson’s is not moving forward with implementation of its proposed rebate model after HRSA push-back.  

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource

What’s up stocks

  • Caesars Entertainment popped 5.27% after it announced it will buy back $500 million in common shares while also offering $1 billion in senior notes to raise money.
  • Joby Aviation surged 27.92% on the news that Toyota will invest another $500 million in the aviation startup as it attempts to build a flying electric taxi.
  • Lamb Weston Holdings rose 2.62% thanks to a strong earnings report and a comprehensive restructuring plan for the french fry titan.
  • Novavax soared 19.16% following a glowing report from Jefferies analysts citing the pharma company’s strong vaccine sales.

What’s down stocks

  • Tesla sank 3.49% after revealing that auto deliveries for the third quarter came in lower than analysts expected.
  • Ford fell 2.51% for pretty much the same reason, reporting disappointing sales growth in the third quarter.
  • It’s never a good thing when a company pulls its guidance, and that was certainly true for Nike today. Shares dropped 6.77% after the company postponed its investor day and reported a 10% year over year decline in sales.
  • Nike’s report was so bad that shares of Foot Locker and Dick’s Sporting Goods fell 2.97% and 0.23%, respectively.
  • Humana plummeted 11.79% on the news that membership in its 4 star-rated Medicare Advantage plans plunged 94%.
  • Conagra Brands dropped 8.07% after the packaged food giant missed on both sales and earnings estimates last quarter.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX)was little changed at 5,709.54; the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DJI) rose 39.55 points (0.09%) to 42,196.52; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) gained 14.76 points (0.08%) to 17,925.12.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) added 5 basis points to 3.78%. 
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) edged 0.4 points lower to 18.86.

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CVS is laying off nearly 3,000. The healthcare giant is conducting a strategic review as its stock has fallen more than 20% this year, the Wall Street Journal reported

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DAILY UPDATE: The Stock Markets and Meta

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Essays, Opinions and Curated News in Health Economics, Investing, Business, Management and Financial Planning for Physician Entrepreneurs and their Savvy Advisors and Consultants

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  • Markets: It’s been a September to remember for the stock market after the S&P 500 and Dow Jones hit fresh highs last week. Thursday was the 42nd record-high close for the S&P 500 this year, and on Friday, the Dow notched its 32nd record-high close, per CNN Business. Recent data indicates that all the ingredients are coming together for a “soft landing”: The economy is staying strong while inflation has continued to fall. And more rate cuts are on their way.

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Stock spotlight: Meta’s rally this year has been fruitful for its CEO’s bank account. The net worth of Mark Zuckerberg, who owns a 13% stake in his company, climbed above $200 billion for the first time, per Bloomberg. He’s now the fourth-richest person in the world.

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DAILY UPDATE: Visa, Coca-Cola, Cardinal & Advocate Health and Obesity as Markets Fall

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Cardinal Health has agreed in principle to acquire Integrated Oncology Network for more than $1.1 billion.


And … Advocate Health announced it will wipe clean more than 11,500 judgment liens on patients’ homes and real estate.

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What’s up

  • Flutter Entertainment, parent company of betting app FanDuel, popped 5.06% after it revealed its impressive growth plans.
  • Hewlett Packard Enterprise rose 5.05% thanks to an upgrade from Barclays analysts who think that rising AI demand will increase the company’s server revenue.
  • Trump Media & Technology Group gained 10.48% after shareholders panicked that the end of its lockup period would mean big selling by insiders, fears that haven’t materialized.
  • Progress Software climbed 11.85% after a strong beat-and-raise earnings report.

What’s down

  • Southwest Airlines stumbled 4.57% after announcing it will cut service to and from Atlanta, a major hub for air travel, as it looks to save money ahead of a showdown with activist investor Elliott Investment Management.
  • Bank of America fell just 0.51% on the revelation that Warren Buffett can’t stop selling the stock.
  • KB Home sank 5.35% after the homebuilder beat revenue estimates but missed on earnings. It also issued a downbeat forecast for the rest of its fiscal year.
  • Global Payments dropped 6.37% thanks to a downgrade from BTIG analysts who were unimpressed by the payment provider’s near-term growth plans.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) fell 10.68 points (–0.19%) to 5,722.25; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) dropped 293.47 points (–0.70%) to 41,914.75; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) added 7.68 points (0.04%) to 18,082.21.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) climbed five basis points to 3.78% and seems stuck in a range between 3.7% and 3.8%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) rose slightly to 15.51, still near its September lows.

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Coca-Cola pulled its new flavor, Spiced, from shelves after just six months because of dis-interest in it.

Visa was sued by the Justice Department for antitrust violations. The DOJ alleged in a complaint filed in Manhattan federal court that the payments giant is illegally monopolizing the debit card market by penalizing merchants who try to use alternatives, Bloomberg reported.

For the first time in more than a decade, the nationwide number of people with obesity hasn’t gone up, according to new CDC data showing that the condition appears in about 40% of US adults.

Visualize: How private equity tangled banks in a web of debt, from the Financial Times.

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DE MARCINKO & ASSOCIATES: Financial, Business & Management Education and Advisory Opinions for Physicians

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP

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Marcinko & Associates is financial guide. We help answer your questions in an empowering way. We educate and guide medical colleagues to understand their financial picture and to make better financial decisions. We strive to simplify everything, clear up confusion, and address specific needs and goals.

Simply put, we’re a financial services company on a mission to empower financial freedom for all healthcare professionals; only. We work with doctors, nurses, medical providers, individuals and all sizes of organizations to offer investment, wealth management and retirement solutions so everyone can have a clear and simple understanding of where their finances and career is today and where it is headed tomorrow.

Whatever your financial situation, we do not shame, criticize, or sell. We enrich, educate and empower. We work only with medical colleagues at every stage of their financial journey [students, interns, residents, practitioners, mid-career and mature physicians], through big life personal changes to annual employment reviews, in order to help them understand, invest, and protect their money and lifestyle.

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For example, the following are current issues of review need for each Fall and Winter:

  • Financial planning reviews: 401-k, insurance, budget plans, investing, debt and savings, etc
  • Assess, develop, and align financial retirement and estate planning goals
  • Risk Management: Malpractice, home, life, medical, auto and personal indemnity
  • Life Insurance Need Reviews: whole, universal and term  
  • Business, operations, HR, employment negotiations and medical practice management
  • Annuity Need Reviews: Indexed and Fixed [Pros and Cons].

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At Marcinko & Associates we discuss specific needs and answer specific questions. We educate and make personalized recommendations that you are free to use, incorporate or disregard. Referrals to trusted specialists and strategic alliance partners then occur if – and as – needed [pro re nata].

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MEDICAL SCHOOLS: Why They Don’t Teach Business and How it’s Costing Doctors?

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[THE MILLION DOLLAR MISTAKE]

By Curtis G. Graham MD

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The fact that every physician in private medical practice, without a business education, leaves approximately a million dollars on the table and is unaware of it is well known to business experts who work with medical doctors experiencing financial difficulties.

Business experts such as Dan S. Kennedy, Peter Drucker, Michael Gerber, Maxwell Maltz, Neil Baum, William Hanson, Huss and Coleman, Steven Hacker, Thomas Stanley, Chris Hurn, Napoleon Hill, and Dave Ramsey, among others, understand the financial problems faced by medical practices and how to solve them.

READ HERE: https://www.kevinmd.com/2023/01/the-million-dollar-mistake-why-medical-schools-dont-teach-business-and-how-its-costing-physicians.html

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DAILY UPDATE: 2023 Business Start-Up Failure Review with Stock Market Gains

By Staff Reporters

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3,200 business startups failed in 2023, according to PitchBook data. Those startups raised more than $27 billion combined, or roughly the 2022 GDP of Cambodia. (Business Insider).

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index was up 6.83 points (0.1%) at 4,781.58; the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 111.19 points (0.3%) at 37,656.52; the NASDAQ Composite® (COMP) was up 24.60 points (0.2%) at 15,099.18.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield was down over 9 basis points at 3.791%.
  • The CBOE® Volatility Index (VIX) was down 0.49 at 12.50.

Small-cap stocks continued a strong finish to the year as the Russell 2000® Index (RUT) gained 0.3% to settle at its highest level since April 2022. Retailer shares were among the market’s strongest performers amid reports of strong holiday sales. The S&P Retail Select Industry Index (SPSIRE) rose 0.6% and ended near an 11-month high.

In other markets, the U.S. dollar traded around $1.11 versus the euro (EUR/USD), its weakest level since late July and a reflection of expectations that lower rates in the United States will prompt investors to seek higher returns elsewhere.

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CASE MODELS: Healthcare Business Entities

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The Marcinko & Associates case study and white-paper compendium is a teaching vehicle that presents potential clients with a critical management issue that serves as a spring board to lively debate in which participants present and defend their analysis and prescriptions. The average case is 2 to 100 pages long (prose, tables, graphs, charts, spread sheets and figures, etc).

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CASE MODELS: Healthcare Business Entities

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The Marcinko & Associates case study and white-paper compendium is a teaching vehicle that presents potential clients with a critical management issue that serves as a spring board to lively debate in which participants present and defend their analysis and prescriptions. The average case is 2 to 100 pages long (prose, tables, graphs, charts, spread sheets and figures, etc).

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PODCAST: The Business of Doctoring

By Eric Bricker MD

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