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RECESSION: A Heightened Risk in 2026?

Posted on December 13, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd

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SPONSOR: http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com

The U.S. faces a heightened risk of recession in 2026, with economic indicators, expert forecasts, and global instability contributing to widespread concern. While some analysts remain cautiously optimistic, the probability of a downturn is significant.

The potential for a U.S. recession in 2026 is a topic of growing concern among economists, policymakers, and investors. According to UBS, the probability of a recession has surged to 93% based on hard data analysis, including employment trends, industrial production, and credit market signals. This alarming figure reflects a convergence of economic stressors that could culminate in a downturn by the end of 2026.

One of the most prominent warning signs is the inverted yield curve, a historically reliable predictor of recessions. When short-term interest rates exceed long-term rates, it suggests that investors expect weaker growth ahead. This inversion, coupled with elevated federal debt and persistent inflationary pressures, has led many analysts to forecast a slowdown in consumer spending and business investment.

Despite these concerns, some sectors—particularly artificial intelligence (AI)—are providing temporary buoyancy. The AI infrastructure boom has fueled GDP growth and market optimism, with global AI investment projected to reach $500 billion by 2026.

However, experts warn that this surge may be masking underlying economic fragility. If AI-driven investment slows, the economy could quickly lose momentum, revealing vulnerabilities in other sectors such as manufacturing and retail.

Global factors also play a critical role. Trade tensions, geopolitical instability, and fluctuating oil prices have created an unpredictable environment. The lingering effects of tariff pass-throughs and policy uncertainty are expected to intensify in 2026, further straining the U.S. economy. Additionally, speculative forecasts—like those from mystic Baba Vanga—have captured public imagination by predicting a “cash crush” that could disrupt both virtual and physical currency systems, although such claims lack empirical support. Not all forecasts are dire. Oxford Economics suggests that while growth will moderate, the U.S. may avoid a full-blown recession thanks to continued investment incentives and robust AI-related spending. Their above-consensus GDP forecast hinges on the assumption that business confidence remains stable and that fiscal policy supports non-AI sectors effectively.

Nevertheless, the risks are real and multifaceted. The Polymarket prediction platform currently estimates a 43% chance of a U.S. recession by the end of 2026, based on criteria such as two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth or an official declaration by the National Bureau of Economic Research.

In conclusion, while the U.S. economy may continue to navigate “choppy waters,” the potential for a recession in 2026 is substantial. Policymakers must remain vigilant, balancing stimulus with fiscal discipline, and addressing structural weaknesses before temporary growth drivers fade.

The coming year will be pivotal in determining whether the U.S. can steer clear of recession or succumb to the mounting pressures.

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SPEAKING: Dr. Marcinko will be speaking and lecturing, signing and opining, teaching and preaching, storming and performing at many locations throughout the USA this year! His tour of witty and serious pontifications may be scheduled on a planned or ad-hoc basis; for public or private meetings and gatherings; formally, informally, or over lunch or dinner. All medical societies, financial advisory firms or Broker-Dealers are encouraged to submit an RFP for speaking engagements: CONTACT: Ann Miller RN MHA at MarcinkoAdvisors@outlook.com -OR- http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com

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Filed under: "Ask-an-Advisor", economics, finance, Funding Basics, Glossary Terms, Investing, Portfolio Management | Tagged: AI, artificial heart, artificial intelligence, Baba Vanga, economics, economy, finance, GDP, Inverted yield curve, Investing, National Bureau Economic Research, NBER, Oxford economics, recession, UBS | Leave a comment »

FINRA: Role and Importance

Posted on November 22, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd

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The Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA) is a cornerstone of the U.S. financial system, serving as a self-regulatory organization that oversees brokerage firms and their registered representatives. Established in 2007 through the consolidation of the National Association of Securities Dealers (NASD) and the regulatory arm of the New York Stock Exchange, FINRA plays a critical role in maintaining market integrity, protecting investors, and ensuring that the securities industry operates fairly and transparently.

Origins and Mission

FINRA’s creation was driven by the need for a unified regulatory body that could streamline oversight of broker-dealers. Its mission is straightforward yet vital: to safeguard investors and promote market integrity. Unlike government agencies such as the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), FINRA is a non-governmental organization, but it operates under the SEC’s supervision. This unique structure allows FINRA to act with agility while still being accountable to federal oversight.

Core Responsibilities

FINRA’s responsibilities are broad and multifaceted.

Licensing and Registration: FINRA ensures that brokers and brokerage firms meet professional standards before they can operate. This includes administering qualification exams such as the Series 7 and Series 63.
Rulemaking and Enforcement: FINRA develops rules that govern broker-dealer conduct and enforces them through disciplinary actions when violations occur.
Market Surveillance: FINRA monitors trading activity across U.S. markets to detect fraud, manipulation, or other irregularities.
Investor Education: Through initiatives like BrokerCheck, FINRA provides investors with tools to research brokers and firms, empowering them to make informed decisions.

Each of these functions contributes to a safer and more transparent marketplace.

Protecting Investors

Investor protection lies at the heart of FINRA’s mission. By enforcing ethical standards and monitoring trading practices, FINRA reduces the risk of misconduct such as insider trading, excessive risk-taking, or misleading investment advice. Its arbitration and mediation services also provide investors with avenues to resolve disputes with brokers outside of lengthy court proceedings. This combination of proactive regulation and accessible dispute resolution strengthens public trust in financial markets.

Challenges and Criticisms

Like any regulatory body, FINRA faces challenges. Critics argue that as a self-regulatory organization, it may be too close to the industry it oversees, raising concerns about conflicts of interest. Others question whether its penalties are sufficient to deter misconduct. Additionally, the rapid evolution of financial technology, cryptocurrency markets, and complex trading algorithms presents new regulatory hurdles. FINRA must continually adapt its rules and surveillance systems to keep pace with innovation.

Impact on the Financial System

Despite these challenges, FINRA’s impact is undeniable. By maintaining standards of conduct and transparency, it helps ensure that capital markets remain efficient and trustworthy. Investors, from individuals saving for retirement to institutions managing billions, rely on FINRA’s oversight to protect their interests. Broker-dealers, meanwhile, benefit from clear rules that create a level playing field and reduce systemic risk.

Conclusion

In summary, FINRA is an essential pillar of the U.S. financial regulatory framework. Its blend of licensing, rulemaking, enforcement, and investor education fosters confidence in the securities industry. While it must continue to evolve in response to technological and market changes, its mission remains constant: protecting investors and promoting integrity. Without FINRA’s presence, the risk of misconduct and instability in financial markets would be far greater. As the financial landscape grows more complex, FINRA’s role will only become more critical in ensuring that markets remain fair, transparent, and resilient.

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Filed under: "Ask-an-Advisor", finance, Funding Basics, Glossary Terms, Investing, Portfolio Management, Touring with Marcinko | Tagged: business, david marcinko, finance, Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, FINRA, Investing, NASDAQ, National Association of Securities Dealers, personal-finance, SEC, Technology | Leave a comment »

MONEY SUPPLY: Measurement Tools

Posted on November 21, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd

BASIC DEFINITIONS

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Money supply measures—M0, M1, M2, and M3—are essential tools used by economists and policymakers to assess liquidity, guide monetary policy, and understand economic health. Each measure reflects a different level of liquidity and plays a unique role in financial analysis.

The money supply refers to the total amount of monetary assets available in an economy at a specific time. It includes various forms of money, ranging from physical currency to more liquid financial instruments. To better understand and manage economic activity, central banks and economists categorize money into different measures based on liquidity: M0, M1, M2, and M3.

M0, also known as the monetary base or base money, includes all physical currency in circulation—coins and paper money—plus reserves held by commercial banks at the central bank. It represents the most liquid form of money and is directly controlled by the central bank through tools like open market operations and reserve requirements.

M1 builds on M0 by adding demand deposits (checking accounts) and other liquid deposits that can be quickly converted into cash. It includes:

Physical currency held by the public
Traveler’s checks
Demand deposits at commercial banks

M1 is a key indicator of immediate spending power in the economy. A rapid increase in M1 can signal rising consumer activity, while a decline may indicate tightening liquidity.

M2 expands further by including near-money assets—those that are not as liquid as M1 but can be converted into cash relatively easily. M2 includes:

All components of M1
Savings deposits
Money market securities
Certificates of deposit (under $100,000)

M2 is widely used by economists and the Federal Reserve to gauge intermediate-term economic trends. It reflects both spending and saving behavior, making it a critical tool for forecasting inflation and guiding interest rate decisions.

M3, though no longer published by the Federal Reserve since 2006, includes M2 plus large time deposits, institutional money market funds, and other larger liquid assets. M3 provides a broader view of the money supply, especially useful for analyzing long-term investment trends and credit expansion. Some countries, like the UK and India, still track M3 for macroeconomic planning.

These measures are not just academic—they have real-world implications. For instance, during the COVID-19 pandemic, the U.S. saw a historic surge in M2 due to stimulus payments and quantitative easing. This expansion raised concerns about future inflation, which materialized in subsequent years. Monitoring money supply helps central banks adjust monetary policy to maintain price stability and support economic growth.

In conclusion, money supply measures offer a layered view of liquidity in the economy, from the most liquid (M0) to broader aggregates (M3).

Understanding these categories helps policymakers, investors, and businesses anticipate economic shifts, manage inflation, and make informed financial decisions.

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Filed under: "Ask-an-Advisor", Financial Planning, Funding Basics, Glossary Terms, Investing, Marcinko Associates, Portfolio Management | Tagged: base money, bonds, CASH, david marcinko, demand deposits, economy, fed, finance, FOMC, Investing, large time deposits, liquidity, MMFs, monetary base, money supply, money supply liquidity, stock market, stocks | Leave a comment »

RISK ARBITRAGE: In Financial Markets

Posted on November 20, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd

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Risk arbitrage, often referred to as merger arbitrage, is a specialized investment strategy that seeks to exploit pricing inefficiencies arising during corporate mergers, acquisitions, or other restructuring events. Unlike traditional arbitrage, which involves risk-free profit opportunities from price discrepancies across markets, risk arbitrage carries inherent uncertainty because it depends on the successful completion of corporate transactions. Despite its name, it is not risk-free; rather, it is a calculated approach to profiting from the probability of deal closure.

At its core, risk arbitrage involves buying the stock of a company being acquired and, in some cases, shorting the stock of the acquiring company. For example, if Company A announces it will acquire Company B at $50 per share, but Company B’s stock trades at $47, arbitrageurs may purchase shares of Company B, betting that the deal will close and the stock will rise to the agreed acquisition price. The $3 difference represents the potential arbitrage profit. However, this spread exists precisely because of uncertainty: regulatory approval, financing challenges, shareholder resistance, or unforeseen market conditions could derail the transaction, leaving arbitrageurs exposed to losses.

The practice of risk arbitrage has a long history in Wall Street. It gained prominence in the mid-20th century, particularly during the wave of conglomerate mergers in the 1960s and leveraged buyouts in the 1980s. Hedge funds and specialized arbitrage desks at investment banks became key players, using sophisticated models to assess the likelihood of deal completion. Today, risk arbitrage remains a central strategy for event-driven funds, which focus on corporate actions as catalysts for investment opportunities.

One of the defining features of risk arbitrage is its reliance on probability analysis. Investors must evaluate not only the financial terms of the deal but also the legal, regulatory, and political environment. For instance, antitrust regulators may block a merger if it reduces competition, or foreign investment committees may intervene in cross-border acquisitions. Arbitrageurs often assign probabilities to deal completion and calculate expected returns accordingly. A deal with high regulatory risk may offer a wider spread, but the probability of failure tempers the attractiveness of the trade.

Risk arbitrage also plays an important role in market efficiency. By narrowing the spread between target company stock prices and acquisition offers, arbitrageurs help align market prices with expected outcomes. Their activity provides liquidity to shareholders of target firms and signals market confidence—or skepticism—about deal success. In this sense, arbitrageurs act as informal referees of corporate transactions, reflecting collective judgment about feasibility.

Nevertheless, risk arbitrage is not without controversy. Critics argue that it can encourage speculative behavior and amplify volatility around merger announcements. Moreover, when deals collapse, arbitrageurs can suffer significant losses, as seen in high-profile failed mergers. The strategy requires not only financial acumen but also resilience in managing downside risk.

In conclusion, risk arbitrage is a sophisticated investment strategy that blends financial analysis with legal and regulatory insight. While it offers opportunities for profit, it demands careful risk management and a deep understanding of corporate dynamics. Far from being risk-free, it is a calculated gamble on the successful execution of complex transactions. For investors willing to navigate uncertainty, risk arbitrage remains a compelling, though challenging, avenue in modern financial markets.

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Filed under: "Ask-an-Advisor", finance, Glossary Terms, Investing, Portfolio Management, Touring with Marcinko | Tagged: arbitrageurs, CASH, david marcinko, event drivien funds, finance, Investing, liquidity, merger arbitrage, personal-finance, probability analysis., risk arbitrage, stock market, stock trades, stocks | Leave a comment »

SPACs: Special Purpose Acquisition Companies

Posted on November 19, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd

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A Special Purpose Acquisition Company (SPAC) is a corporate entity created solely to raise capital through an initial public offering (IPO) with the intention of merging with or acquiring an existing private company. Unlike traditional firms, SPACs have no commercial operations at the time of their IPO. They exist as shell companies, holding investor funds in trust until a suitable target is identified. This unique structure has earned them the nickname “blank check companies.”

How SPACs Work

The lifecycle of a SPAC typically unfolds in three stages:

Formation and IPO: Sponsors—often experienced investors or industry executives—form the SPAC and take it public, raising funds from investors.
Target Search: The SPAC has a limited time frame, usually 18–24 months, to identify and negotiate with a private company to merge with.
De-SPAC Transaction: Once a merger is completed, the private company effectively becomes public, bypassing the traditional IPO process.

This process allows private firms to access public markets more quickly and with fewer regulatory hurdles compared to conventional IPOs.

Advantages of SPACs

SPACs gained traction because they offered several benefits:

Speed and Certainty: Traditional IPOs can be lengthy and uncertain, while SPACs provide a faster route to public markets.
Flexibility in Valuation: Unlike IPOs, SPACs can negotiate valuations directly with target companies.
Access to Expertise: Sponsors often bring industry knowledge and networks that can help the acquired company grow.
Investor Opportunity: Investors can participate early, with the option to redeem shares if they dislike the proposed merger.

Risks and Criticisms

Despite their appeal, SPACs are not without controversy:

Sponsor Incentives: Sponsors typically receive a significant stake (often 20%) at a low cost, which can misalign their interests with ordinary investors.
Uncertain Targets: Investors commit funds without knowing which company will be acquired, creating risk.
Performance Concerns: Studies show that many SPACs underperform after completing mergers, with share prices often declining.
Regulatory Scrutiny: Authorities have warned investors to carefully evaluate SPACs, especially regarding projections of future performance, which are less restricted than in IPOs.

Historical Context and Trends

SPACs first appeared in the 1990s but remained niche until the early 2020s, when they experienced a boom. In 2020 and 2021, hundreds of SPAC IPOs raised billions of dollars, fueled by market liquidity and investor enthusiasm. High-profile deals, such as DraftKings and Virgin Galactic, brought attention to the model. However, by the mid-2020s, enthusiasm cooled due to poor post-merger performance and tighter regulations.

Conclusion

SPACs represent a fascinating innovation in financial markets, offering an alternative to traditional IPOs. Their advantages in speed, flexibility, and access to capital made them attractive during periods of market optimism. Yet, their risks—misaligned incentives, uncertain outcomes, and regulatory challenges—have tempered investor enthusiasm. While SPACs are unlikely to disappear entirely, their future will depend on whether they can evolve into a more transparent and sustainable mechanism for taking companies public.

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Filed under: "Ask-an-Advisor", finance, Investing, Portfolio Management | Tagged: david marcinko, De-SPAC, finance, Investing, IPO, IPOs, personal-finance, SPAC, SPACs, SPACs: Special Purpose Acquisition Companies, stock market, stocks | Leave a comment »

BUTTERFLY SPREAD INVESTING

Posted on November 17, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd

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Investing in Butterfly Spreads

Options trading provides investors with a wide range of strategies to suit different market conditions. One of the more refined approaches is the butterfly spread, a strategy designed to profit from stability in the price of an underlying asset. It combines multiple option contracts at different strike prices to create a position with limited risk and limited reward. The name comes from the shape of its profit-and-loss diagram, which resembles the wings of a butterfly.

Structure of the Strategy

A typical butterfly spread involves four options contracts with three strike prices. In a long call butterfly spread, the investor buys one call at a lower strike, sells two calls at a middle strike, and buys one call at a higher strike. This creates a payoff that peaks if the underlying asset closes at the middle strike price. Losses are capped at the initial premium paid, while profits are capped at the difference between the strikes minus the premium.

Variations of Butterfly Spreads

Butterfly spreads can be built with calls, puts, or a mix of both:

Long Call Butterfly: Profits if the asset stays near the middle strike.
Long Put Butterfly: Similar structure but using puts.
Iron Butterfly: Combines calls and puts, selling an at-the-money straddle and buying protective wings.
Reverse Iron Butterfly: Designed to benefit from sharp price movements and volatility.

Each variation adapts to different market expectations, but all share the principle of balancing risk and reward.

Benefits of Butterfly Spreads

Defined Risk: The maximum loss is known upfront.
Cost Efficiency: Requires less capital than outright buying options.
Neutral Outlook: Works best when the investor expects little price movement.
Flexibility: Can be tailored to different market conditions with calls, puts, or combinations.

Drawbacks and Risks

Limited Profit Potential: Gains are capped, which may not appeal to aggressive traders.
Dependence on Timing: The strategy works only if the asset closes near the middle strike at expiration.
Complexity: Requires careful planning of strike prices and expiration dates.

Example in Practice

Suppose a stock trades at $100, and the investor expects it to remain near that level. They could set up a butterfly spread with strikes at $95, $100, and $105. If the stock closes at $100, the strategy delivers maximum profit. If the stock moves significantly away from $100, the investor’s loss is limited to the premium paid. This makes the butterfly spread particularly useful in calm, low-volatility markets.

Conclusion

The butterfly spread is a disciplined options strategy that thrives in stable markets. It offers a balance between risk control and profit potential, making it attractive to traders who prefer structured outcomes. While the rewards are capped, the defined risk and cost efficiency make butterfly spreads a valuable tool for investors who anticipate minimal price movement and want to manage their exposure carefully.

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Filed under: "Ask-an-Advisor", finance, Financial Planning, Funding Basics, Glossary Terms, Investing, Portfolio Management, Touring with Marcinko | Tagged: butterfly spread, BUTTERFLY SPREAD INVESTING, david marcinko, finance, Investing, iron butterfly, long call, long put, options, personal-finance, stock market, stocks, strike price | Leave a comment »

CASH BALANCE PLANS: Hybrid Retirement Savings for Physicians

Posted on November 17, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd

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Retirement planning has evolved significantly over the past several decades, with employers and employees seeking solutions that balance security, flexibility, and predictability. Among the various retirement plan options available today, cash balance plans stand out as a hybrid design that combines features of both traditional defined benefit pensions and defined contribution plans. Their unique structure makes them an attractive choice for employers aiming to provide meaningful retirement benefits while maintaining financial predictability.

At their core, cash balance plans are a type of defined benefit plan. Unlike traditional pensions, which promise retirees a monthly income based on years of service and final salary, cash balance plans define the benefit in terms of a hypothetical account balance. Each participant’s account grows annually through two components: a “pay credit” and an “interest credit.” The pay credit is typically a percentage of the employee’s salary or a flat dollar amount, while the interest credit is either a fixed rate or tied to an index such as U.S. Treasury yields. Although the account is hypothetical—meaning the funds are not actually segregated for each employee—the structure provides participants with a clear, understandable statement of their retirement benefit.

One of the primary advantages of cash balance plans is their transparency. Employees can easily track the growth of their account balance, much like they would with a 401(k). This clarity helps workers better understand the value of their retirement benefits and fosters a sense of ownership. Additionally, cash balance plans are portable: when employees leave a company, they can roll over the vested balance into an IRA or another qualified plan, ensuring continuity in retirement savings.

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From the employer’s perspective, cash balance plans offer several benefits as well. Traditional pensions often create unpredictable liabilities, as they depend on factors such as longevity and investment performance. Cash balance plans, by contrast, provide more predictable costs because the employer commits to specific pay and interest credits. This predictability makes them easier to manage and budget for, particularly in industries where workforce mobility is high. Moreover, cash balance plans can be designed to reward long-term employees while still appealing to younger workers who value portability.

Despite these advantages, cash balance plans are not without challenges. Because they are defined benefit plans, employers bear the investment risk and must ensure the plan is adequately funded. Regulatory requirements, including nondiscrimination testing and funding rules, add complexity and administrative costs. Additionally, while cash balance plans are generally more equitable across generations of workers, transitions from traditional pensions to cash balance designs have sometimes sparked controversy, particularly among older employees who may perceive a reduction in benefits.

In recent years, cash balance plans have gained popularity among professional firms, such as law practices and medical groups, as well as small businesses seeking tax-efficient retirement solutions. These plans allow owners and highly compensated employees to accumulate larger retirement savings than would be possible under defined contribution limits, while still providing benefits to rank-and-file workers. As such, they serve as a valuable tool for both talent retention and financial planning.

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Filed under: "Ask-an-Advisor", Accounting, Ask a Doctor, finance, Financial Planning, Glossary Terms, Investing, Portfolio Management, Retirement and Benefits, Taxation, Touring with Marcinko | Tagged: cash balance plans, david marinko, defined benefit plans, doctors, Financial Planning, Investing, personal-finance, physicians, retirement planning, retirement plans, tax, taxes | Leave a comment »

VOLATILITY INDICES: In Financial Markets

Posted on November 15, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd

SPONSOR. http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com

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The Role of Volatility Indices in Financial Markets

Volatility is often described as the pulse of financial markets, reflecting the collective emotions of investors as they respond to uncertainty, risk, and opportunity. Among the many tools designed to measure this phenomenon, the CBOE Volatility Index, or VIX, stands out as the most widely recognized. Dubbed the “fear gauge,” the VIX captures market expectations of near-term volatility in the S&P 500, derived from options pricing. Its movements often mirror investor sentiment: rising sharply during periods of crisis and falling when confidence returns. Yet, the VIX is not alone. A family of volatility indices exists across global markets, each offering unique insights into sector-specific or regional risk.

The importance of volatility indices lies in their ability to quantify uncertainty. Traditional measures such as historical volatility look backward, analyzing past price fluctuations. In contrast, indices like the VIX are forward-looking, reflecting implied volatility based on options markets. This distinction makes them invaluable for traders, portfolio managers, and policymakers. For example, a sudden spike in the VIX often signals heightened fear, prompting investors to hedge positions or reduce exposure to equities. Conversely, a low VIX suggests complacency, though it can also precede unexpected shocks.

Beyond the VIX, other indices provide complementary perspectives. The VXN tracks volatility in the Nasdaq-100, often dominated by technology stocks. Because the tech sector is highly sensitive to innovation cycles and regulatory changes, the VXN can diverge significantly from the VIX, highlighting sector-specific risks. Similarly, the RVX measures volatility in the Russell 2000, offering a window into small-cap stocks that are more vulnerable to domestic economic conditions. Internationally, indices such as the VSTOXX in Europe and India VIX extend this framework globally, allowing investors to compare risk sentiment across regions. Together, these indices form a mosaic of market psychology, enabling a more nuanced understanding of global financial stability.

Volatility indices also play a crucial role in risk management. Derivatives linked to these indices, such as futures and exchange-traded products, allow investors to hedge against sudden downturns. For instance, during the 2008 financial crisis, demand for VIX futures surged as investors sought protection from extreme market swings. More recently, volatility products have become popular among retail traders, though their complexity and tendency to lose value over time make them risky for long-term holding.

Critics argue that volatility indices can be misleading. A low VIX does not guarantee stability, and a high VIX does not always signal disaster. Moreover, the rise of volatility-linked products has occasionally amplified market stress, as seen during the “Volmageddon” event of February 2018, when inverse volatility ETFs collapsed. These episodes underscore the need for caution: volatility indices are powerful tools, but they must be used with a clear understanding of their limitations.

In conclusion, volatility indices such as the VIX serve as vital instruments for gauging investor sentiment and managing risk. They provide a forward-looking measure of uncertainty, complementing traditional metrics and offering insights across sectors and regions. While not infallible, their role in modern finance is undeniable.

For traders, analysts, and policymakers alike, these indices are more than numbers on a screen—they are reflections of the market’s collective psyche, guiding decisions in times of both calm and crisis.

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MONEY: Macro-Economic Velocity

Posted on November 14, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd

BASIC DEFINITIONS

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The velocity of money is a fundamental concept in macroeconomics that measures how quickly money circulates through the economy. It reflects the frequency with which a unit of currency is used to purchase goods and services within a given time period. This metric is crucial for understanding economic activity, inflation, and the effectiveness of monetary policy.

At its core, the velocity of money is calculated using the formula:

Velocity = GDPMoney Supply\text{Velocity} = \frac{\text{GDP}}{\text{Money Supply}}

This equation shows how many times money turns over in the economy to support a given level of economic output. For example, if the GDP is $20 trillion and the money supply (say, M2) is $10 trillion, the velocity is 2—meaning each dollar is used twice in a year to purchase goods and services.

There are different measures of money supply used in this calculation, most commonly M1 and M2. M1 includes the most liquid forms of money, such as cash and checking deposits, while M2 includes M1 plus savings accounts and other near-money assets. The choice of which measure to use depends on the context and the specific economic analysis being conducted.

The velocity of money is influenced by several factors:

Consumer and business confidence: When people feel optimistic about the economy, they are more likely to spend rather than save, increasing velocity.
Interest rates: Higher interest rates can encourage saving and reduce spending, lowering velocity. Conversely, lower rates can stimulate borrowing and spending.
Inflation expectations: If people expect prices to rise, they may spend more quickly, increasing velocity.
Technological and structural changes: Innovations in digital payments and shifts in consumer behavior can also affect how quickly money moves.

Historically, the velocity of money has fluctuated with economic cycles. During periods of economic expansion, velocity tends to rise as spending increases. In contrast, during recessions or periods of uncertainty, velocity often falls as consumers and businesses hold onto cash. For instance, during the 2008 financial crisis and the early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic, velocity dropped sharply due to reduced consumer spending and increased saving.

In recent years, the U.S. has experienced persistently low velocity, even amid significant increases in the money supply. This phenomenon has puzzled economists and raised questions about the effectiveness of monetary policy. Despite aggressive stimulus measures, much of the new money has remained in savings or financial markets rather than circulating through the real economy.

Understanding the velocity of money is essential for policymakers. A low velocity may signal weak demand and justify expansionary fiscal or monetary policies. Conversely, a high velocity could indicate overheating and the need for tightening measures to prevent inflation.

In conclusion, the velocity of money is a dynamic indicator of economic vitality. It helps economists and central banks assess the flow of money, the strength of demand, and the potential for inflation.

While often overlooked by the public, it plays a vital role in shaping economic policy and understanding the broader health of the economy.

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PHYSICIAN: Car Repossessions Rise!

Posted on November 12, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd

SPONSOR: http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com

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Physicians are increasingly facing car repossessions in 2025 due to rising debt, high vehicle prices, and economic pressures that are reshaping the financial landscape for medical professionals.

Traditionally viewed as financially secure, doctors are now among the growing number of Americans struggling to keep up with auto loan payments. The surge in car repossessions—expected to reach a record 10.5 million assignments by the end of 2025—has not spared the medical community. While physicians often earn higher-than-average incomes, they also carry significant financial burdens, including student loan debt, practice overhead, and personal expenses. These pressures are being amplified by macroeconomic forces such as inflation, high interest rates, and stagnant reimbursement rates.

One of the key contributors to this trend is the soaring cost of vehicles. In 2025, the average price of a new car in the U.S. surpassed $50,000, a dramatic increase from just a decade ago. For physicians who rely on vehicles for commuting between hospitals, clinics, and private practices, owning a reliable car is not a luxury—it’s a necessity. However, the combination of high sticker prices and elevated interest rates—averaging 7.3% for used cars and 11.5% for new cars—has made financing increasingly difficult.

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Even high-income professionals are not immune to the broader auto loan crisis. Subprime auto loan delinquencies reached 6.6% in early 2025, the highest rate in over 30 years.While physicians typically fall into the prime or super-prime credit categories, many are still affected by cash flow disruptions, especially those in private practice or rural areas where patient volumes and insurance reimbursements have declined. Additionally, younger doctors with substantial student debt may find themselves overleveraged, making it harder to keep up with car payments.

The emotional and professional toll of a car repossession can be significant. Beyond the embarrassment and logistical challenges, losing a vehicle can disrupt a physician’s ability to provide care, attend emergencies, or maintain a consistent work schedule. This can lead to further income loss, creating a vicious cycle of financial instability.

To combat this trend, some physicians are turning to financial advisors to restructure their debt, refinance auto loans, or downsize to more affordable vehicles. Others are advocating for systemic reforms, such as student loan forgiveness, higher Medicare reimbursements, and better financial literacy training during medical education.

In conclusion, the rise in car repossessions among doctors is a stark reminder that no profession is immune to economic volatility. As the cost of living continues to climb and financial pressures mount, even those in traditionally stable careers must adapt to protect their assets and livelihoods.

Addressing this issue requires both individual financial planning and broader policy changes to ensure that physicians can continue to serve their communities without the looming threat of personal financial collapse.

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Say’s Law in Classical Economics

Posted on November 12, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd

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Say’s Law, named after the French economist Jean‑Baptiste Say, is a foundational idea in classical economics. Often summarized as “supply creates its own demand,” the law suggests that the act of producing goods and services inherently generates the income necessary to purchase them. This principle shaped economic thought throughout the 19th century and continues to influence debates about markets, government intervention, and the causes of economic crises.

Origins and Meaning Jean‑Baptiste Say introduced his law in the early 1800s in his Treatise on Political Economy. He argued that production is the source of demand: when producers create goods, they pay wages, rents, and profits, which in turn become purchasing power. In this view, general overproduction is impossible because every supply of goods corresponds to an equivalent demand. If imbalances occur, they are temporary and limited to specific sectors, not the economy as a whole.

Core Principles Say’s Law rests on several assumptions:

Markets are self‑correcting: Any surplus in one area leads to adjustments in prices and production.
Money is neutral: It serves only as a medium of exchange, not as a driver of demand.
Production drives prosperity: Economic growth depends on increasing output, not stimulating consumption.
No long‑term unemployment: Since supply creates demand, workers displaced in one industry will eventually find employment elsewhere.

These ideas aligned with classical economists’ belief in minimal government intervention and the efficiency of free markets.

Influence on Classical Economics Say’s Law became a cornerstone of classical economics, reinforcing the belief that recessions or depressions were temporary and self‑correcting. Economists like David Ricardo and John Stuart Mill adopted versions of the law, using it to argue against policies aimed at stimulating demand. The law supported laissez‑faire approaches, suggesting that governments should avoid interfering with markets, as production itself would ensure economic balance.

Criticism and Keynesian Revolution Say’s Law faced its greatest challenge during the Great Depression of the 1930s. Widespread unemployment and idle factories contradicted the idea that supply automatically generates demand. John Maynard Keynes famously rejected Say’s Law in his General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money (1936). Keynes argued that demand, not supply, drives economic activity. He showed that insufficient aggregate demand could lead to prolonged recessions, requiring government intervention through fiscal and monetary policies.

Keynes’s critique marked a turning point in economics. While Say’s Law emphasized production, Keynesian economics highlighted consumption and demand management. This shift reshaped economic policy, leading to active government roles in stabilizing economies.

Modern Perspectives Today, Say’s Law is not accepted in its original form, but elements of it remain relevant. Supply‑side economists, for example, argue that policies encouraging production—such as tax cuts and deregulation—can stimulate growth. In contrast, Keynesians stress the importance of demand management. The debate reflects a broader tension in economics: whether prosperity depends more on producing goods or ensuring people have the means and willingness to buy them.

Conclusion: Say’s Law was a bold attempt to explain the self‑sustaining nature of markets. While its claim that “supply creates its own demand” proved too simplistic in the face of modern economic realities, it remains a vital part of the history of economic thought. The controversy surrounding Say’s Law highlights the evolving nature of economics, where theories are tested against real‑world crises and adapted to new circumstances. Even today, discussions of supply‑side versus demand‑side policies echo the enduring influence of Say’s original insight.

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SINGULARITY: In Finance and Investing

Posted on November 11, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd

SPONSOR: http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com

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The singularity promises to revolutionize medicine by accelerating diagnostics, treatment, and longevity—but it also demands ethical vigilance and systemic transformation.

The concept of the technological singularity refers to a hypothetical future moment when artificial intelligence (AI) surpasses human intelligence, triggering exponential advances in technology. In medicine, this could mark a turning point where AI-driven systems outperform human clinicians in diagnosis, treatment planning, and even biomedical research. While the singularity remains speculative, its implications for healthcare are profound and multifaceted.

One of the most promising impacts is in diagnostics and precision medicine. AI systems trained on vast datasets of medical images, genetic profiles, and patient histories could detect diseases earlier and more accurately than human doctors. For example, algorithms already outperform radiologists in identifying certain cancers from imaging scans. As we approach the singularity, these systems may evolve into autonomous diagnostic agents capable of real-time analysis and personalized recommendations, tailored to each patient’s unique biology.

Another transformative area is drug discovery and development. Traditional pharmaceutical research is slow and costly, often taking over a decade to bring a new drug to market. AI could dramatically shorten this timeline by simulating molecular interactions, predicting therapeutic targets, and optimizing clinical trial designs. With superintelligent systems, the pace of innovation could accelerate to the point where treatments for currently incurable diseases—like Alzheimer’s or certain cancers—become feasible within months.

The singularity also opens doors to radical longevity and human enhancement. Advances in nanotechnology, genomics, and regenerative medicine may converge to extend human lifespan significantly. AI could help decode the aging process, identify biomarkers of cellular decline, and engineer interventions that slow or reverse it. Some theorists even envision a future where aging is treated as a curable condition, and mortality becomes a choice rather than a biological inevitability.

However, these breakthroughs come with serious ethical and societal challenges. Data privacy, algorithmic bias, and access inequality are critical concerns. If singularity-level AI is controlled by a few corporations or governments, it could exacerbate global health disparities. Moreover, the replacement of human clinicians with machines raises questions about empathy, trust, and accountability in care. Who is responsible when an AI makes a life-altering mistake?

To navigate this future responsibly, medicine must embrace interdisciplinary collaboration. Ethicists, technologists, clinicians, and policymakers must work together to ensure that AI systems are transparent, equitable, and aligned with human values. Regulatory frameworks must evolve to keep pace with innovation, and medical education must prepare practitioners to work alongside intelligent machines.

In conclusion, the singularity represents both a promise and a peril for medicine. It offers unprecedented opportunities to enhance human health, but also demands careful stewardship to avoid unintended consequences.

As we edge closer to this horizon, the challenge will be not just technological, but deeply human: to harness intelligence beyond our own in service of healing, compassion, and justice.

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SPEAKING: Dr. Marcinko will be speaking and lecturing, signing and opining, teaching and preaching, storming and performing at many locations throughout the USA this year! His tour of witty and serious pontifications may be scheduled on a planned or ad-hoc basis; for public or private meetings and gatherings; formally, informally, or over lunch or dinner. All medical societies, financial advisory firms or Broker-Dealers are encouraged to submit a RFP for speaking engagements: MarcinkoAdvisors@outlook.com

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Understanding the Series 63 Exam: Key Insights

Posted on November 11, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™

By A. I. and FINRA

SPONSOR: http://www.CertifiedMedicalPlanner.org

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The Series 63 exam — the Uniform Securities State Law Examination — is a North American Securities Administrators Association (NASAA) exam administered by FINRA.

The exam consists of 60 scored questions and 5 unscored questions. Candidates have 75 minutes to complete the exam. In order for a candidate to pass the Series 63 exam, they must correctly answer at least 43 of the 60 scored questions.

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PHYSICIAN NET WORTH: Versus Average Family

For additional information about this exam, including the content outline, please visit the exams page on the NASAA website.

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BAD MONEY MOVES of Physicians!

Posted on November 11, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd

SPONSOR: http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com

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Money is a powerful tool. It can provide security, open opportunities, and help build a fulfilling life. Yet, when mismanaged, it can quickly become a source of stress and regret. Understanding the worst ways to use money is essential for anyone who wants to avoid financial pitfalls and build lasting stability.

1. Impulse Spending

One of the most damaging habits is spending without thought. Buying items on impulse—whether it’s clothes, gadgets, or luxury goods—often leads to regret and wasted resources. These purchases rarely align with long‑term goals and can drain savings meant for emergencies or investments.

2. High‑Interest Debt

Credit cards and payday loans can trap people in cycles of debt. Paying 20% or more in interest means that even small purchases balloon into massive financial burdens. Using debt irresponsibly is one of the fastest ways to erode wealth.

3. Ignoring Savings and Investments

Failing to save for the future is another critical mistake. Without an emergency fund, unexpected expenses like medical bills or car repairs can derail financial stability. Similarly, neglecting investments means missing out on compound growth that builds wealth over time.

4. Chasing Get‑Rich‑Quick Schemes

From pyramid schemes to speculative “hot tips,” chasing unrealistic returns is a recipe for disaster. These schemes prey on greed and impatience, often leaving participants with nothing but losses. Sustainable wealth comes from patience and discipline, not shortcuts.

5. Overspending on Status

Many people waste money trying to impress others—buying luxury cars, designer clothes, or extravagant experiences they cannot afford. This pursuit of status often leads to debt and financial insecurity, while providing only fleeting satisfaction.

6. Neglecting Insurance

Skipping health, auto, or home insurance to save money may seem smart in the short term, but it can be catastrophic when disaster strikes. Without protection, one accident or emergency can wipe out years of savings.

7. Failing to Budget

Living without a plan is like sailing without a map. Without a budget, it’s easy to overspend, miss bills, or fail to allocate money toward goals. Budgeting is not restrictive—it’s empowering, because it ensures money is used intentionally.

8. Ignoring Education and Skills

Spending money without investing in personal growth is another hidden mistake. Education, training, and skill development often yield lifelong returns. Neglecting these opportunities can limit earning potential and financial independence.

Conclusion

The worst things to do with money often stem from short‑term thinking, lack of discipline, or the desire for instant gratification. Impulse spending, high‑interest debt, chasing schemes, and neglecting savings all undermine financial health. By avoiding these traps and focusing on budgeting, investing wisely, and protecting against risks, money can serve as a foundation for security and freedom rather than a source of stress.

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Effective Marketing: Using Loss Leaders in Financial Services

Posted on November 10, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™

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SPONSOR: http://www.CertifiedMedicalPlanner.org

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In the competitive world of financial services, attracting and retaining clients is a constant challenge. To stand out, many financial advisors employ strategic marketing tactics known as “loss leaders”—free or discounted services designed to showcase value and build trust. These offerings serve as entry points for potential clients, allowing advisors to demonstrate expertise and initiate long-term relationships.

One of the most common loss leaders is the free initial consultation. This no-obligation meeting gives prospective clients a chance to discuss their financial goals, ask questions, and get a feel for the advisor’s approach. For the advisor, it’s an opportunity to assess the client’s needs and present tailored solutions. While no revenue is generated from this meeting, it often leads to paid engagements once the client feels confident in the advisor’s capabilities.

Another popular tactic is offering a complimentary financial plan or portfolio review. These services provide tangible insights into a client’s current financial situation and suggest improvements. By delivering real value upfront, advisors build credibility and demonstrate their analytical skills. Clients who receive actionable advice are more likely to continue working with the advisor on a paid basis.

Educational content also plays a key role in loss leader strategy. Advisors frequently host free webinars, workshops, or seminars on topics like retirement planning, tax strategies, or investment basics. These events not only educate attendees but also position the advisor as a thought leader. Attendees often leave with a better understanding of their financial needs and a desire to seek personalized guidance.

In the digital realm, advisors may offer free tools and assessments on their websites. These include retirement readiness calculators, risk tolerance quizzes, and budgeting templates. Such tools engage users and provide personalized feedback, creating a natural segue into one-on-one consultations. Additionally, offering free newsletters or eBooks helps advisors stay top-of-mind while delivering ongoing value.

Some advisors go further by waiving fees for introductory services, such as account setup or the first few months of investment management. This lowers the barrier to entry and encourages hesitant clients to try the service. Once clients experience the benefits, they’re more likely to commit long-term.

Loss leaders are not limited to high-net-worth individuals. Advisors targeting younger or less affluent clients may offer free debt management plans or budgeting assistance. These services address immediate concerns and build loyalty among clients who may become more profitable as their financial situations improve.

Ultimately, loss leaders are about building relationships. By offering something of value without immediate compensation, financial advisors demonstrate their commitment to helping clients succeed. This fosters trust, encourages engagement, and often leads to lasting partnerships. In a field where reputation and reliability are paramount, loss leaders serve as powerful tools for growth and differentiation.

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DI-WORSIFICATION: Stock Portfolio Pitfalls

Posted on November 8, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd

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SPONSOR: http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com

Diworsification is a term coined by Peter Lynch to describe when investors over‑diversify their portfolios, adding too many holdings and ultimately reducing returns instead of improving them.

Diversification has long been heralded as one of the cornerstones of sound investing. By spreading capital across different asset classes, industries, and geographies, investors can reduce risk and protect themselves against the volatility of individual securities. Yet, as with many strategies, there exists a point where the benefits diminish and the practice becomes counterproductive. This phenomenon, known as diworsification, was popularized by legendary investor Peter Lynch to describe the tendency of investors and corporations to dilute their strengths by expanding too broadly.

At its core, diworsification occurs when the pursuit of safety leads to excessive complexity. For individual investors, this often manifests in portfolios bloated with dozens or even hundreds of stocks, mutual funds, or exchange‑traded funds. While the intention is to minimize risk, the result is frequently a portfolio that mirrors the market index but with higher costs and less focus. Instead of achieving superior returns, the investor ends up with average performance weighed down by management fees, trading expenses, and the difficulty of monitoring so many positions. In essence, the investor has sacrificed the potential for meaningful gains in exchange for a false sense of security.

Corporations are not immune to this trap. In the corporate world, diworsification describes the tendency of firms to expand into unrelated businesses, diluting their competitive advantage. A company that excels in consumer electronics, for example, may attempt to branch into unrelated industries such as food services or real estate. Without the expertise, synergies, or strategic fit, these ventures often fail to deliver value, distracting management and eroding shareholder wealth. History is replete with examples of conglomerates that grew too large, too fast, only to later divest their non‑core businesses in recognition of the inefficiencies created.

The dangers of diworsification are not merely theoretical. They highlight the importance of discipline in both investing and corporate strategy. For investors, the lesson is clear: diversification should be purposeful, not indiscriminate. A well‑constructed portfolio might include a mix of equities, bonds, and alternative assets, but each holding should serve a specific role—whether it is growth, income, or risk mitigation. Beyond a certain point, adding more securities does not reduce risk meaningfully; instead, it complicates decision‑making and reduces the chance of outperforming the market.

Similarly, for corporations, strategic focus is paramount. Expansion should be guided by core competencies and long‑term vision rather than the allure of short‑term growth. Firms that resist the temptation to chase every opportunity are better positioned to strengthen their brand, innovate within their domain, and deliver sustainable value to shareholders.

In conclusion, diworsification serves as a cautionary tale against the excesses of diversification. While spreading risk is essential, overdoing it can undermine performance and clarity. Both investors and corporations must strike a balance between breadth and focus, ensuring that every addition to a portfolio or business strategy enhances rather than dilutes overall strength. In other words, “diversification means you will always have to say you’re sorry.”

True wisdom lies not in owning everything, but in owning the right things.

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Understanding Dow Jones Weighting of Stocks

Posted on November 7, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™

By Staff Reporters

SPONSOR: http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com

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Dow Jones Companies

The thirty companies included in the Dow Jones Industrial Average are listed in the updated chart below.

The list is sorted by each component’s weight in the index. The weight of each company is determined by the price of the stock. A $100 stock will be weighted more than a $30 stock. If a stock splits its corresponding weighting in the Dow Jones will be reduced as its price will be about half of what it was prior to the split.

CHART: https://www.slickcharts.com/dowjones

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Understanding NASDAQ: The Digital Revolution in Stock Trading

Posted on November 7, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™

By A.I. and Staff Reporters

SPONSOR: http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com

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The NASDAQ, short for the National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotations, is one of the largest and most influential stock exchanges in the world. Founded in 1971, it was the first electronic stock market, revolutionizing how securities were traded by replacing traditional floor-based systems with computerized trading platforms. This innovation made transactions faster, more transparent, and accessible to a broader range of investors.

Unlike the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), which historically operated through physical trading floors, the NASDAQ is entirely virtual. It connects buyers and sellers through a sophisticated network of computers, allowing for rapid execution of trades. This digital-first approach has made it particularly attractive to technology companies and growth-oriented firms, earning it a reputation as the go-to exchange for innovative and high-tech businesses.

Companies Listed on the NASDAQ The NASDAQ is home to some of the most prominent and influential companies in the world. Giants like Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Google (Alphabet), Meta (formerly Facebook), and Tesla all trade on the NASDAQ. These companies are part of the NASDAQ-100, an index that tracks the performance of the 100 largest non-financial companies listed on the exchange. The NASDAQ Composite Index, which includes over 3,000 stocks, provides a broader snapshot of the market’s overall health and direction.

How It Works The NASDAQ operates as a dealer’s market, meaning transactions are facilitated by market makers—firms that stand ready to buy or sell securities at publicly quoted prices. These market makers help maintain liquidity and ensure that trades can be executed efficiently. Prices are determined by supply and demand, and the electronic nature of the exchange allows for real-time updates and high-speed trading.

Significance in the Global Economy The NASDAQ plays a vital role in the global financial system. It provides companies with access to capital by allowing them to issue shares to the public, and it offers investors a platform to buy and sell those shares. The performance of the NASDAQ is often seen as a barometer for the health of the technology sector and, more broadly, the innovation economy. When the NASDAQ rises, it typically signals investor confidence in growth and future earnings; when it falls, it may reflect concerns about economic stability or company performance.

Global Reach and Influence Though based in the United States, the NASDAQ’s influence extends worldwide. Many international companies choose to list on the NASDAQ to gain exposure to U.S. investors and benefit from the prestige associated with being part of a leading global exchange. Its technological infrastructure and regulatory standards make it a model for other exchanges around the world.

NASDAQ 100: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2023/07/24/nasdaq-100-re-balanced-index/

In summary, the NASDAQ is more than just a stock exchange—it’s a symbol of innovation, speed, and global connectivity. Its pioneering approach to electronic trading has reshaped the financial landscape, and its roster of companies continues to drive technological progress and economic growth across the globe.

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RULE 3-5-7: Investor Trading Strategy

Posted on November 6, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd

SPONSOR: http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com

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The 3-5-7 Rule is a trading strategy that helps investors manage risk and maximize gains by setting clear limits on losses and targets for profits. It’s a simple yet powerful framework for disciplined decision-making.

In the volatile world of trading, success often hinges not just on identifying opportunities but on managing risk with precision. The 3-5-7 Rule is a widely respected risk management strategy designed to help traders protect their capital while pursuing consistent returns. This rule provides a structured approach to trading by setting specific thresholds for risk exposure and profit expectations.

At its core, the 3-5-7 Rule breaks down into three key components:

3% Risk Per Trade: Traders should never risk more than 3% of their total account value on a single trade. This limit ensures that even if a trade goes against them, the loss is manageable and doesn’t jeopardize their overall portfolio.
5% Total Exposure Across All Positions: The rule advises that total exposure across all open positions should not exceed 5% of the account value. This prevents over-leveraging and reduces the impact of correlated losses during market downturns.
7% Profit Target: For every trade, the goal is to achieve a profit that is at least 7% greater than the potential loss. This risk-to-reward ratio helps ensure that even with a lower win rate, traders can remain profitable over time.

The beauty of the 3-5-7 Rule lies in its simplicity and adaptability. It can be applied across various asset classes—stocks, forex, crypto—and suits both beginners and seasoned traders. By enforcing discipline, it helps traders avoid emotional decisions, such as chasing losses or holding onto losing positions too long. Moreover, this rule encourages thoughtful position sizing. Traders must calculate their entry and exit points carefully, factoring in stop-loss levels and account size. This analytical approach fosters better trade planning and reduces impulsive behavior.

Another advantage is its scalability. As a trader’s account grows, the percentages remain constant, but the dollar amounts adjust accordingly. This keeps the strategy relevant and effective regardless of portfolio size. In practice, the 3-5-7 Rule acts as a safety net. It doesn’t guarantee profits, but it significantly reduces the likelihood of catastrophic losses. It also promotes consistency, which is crucial for long-term success in trading.

In conclusion, the 3-5-7 Rule is more than just a guideline—it’s a mindset. It teaches traders to respect risk, plan strategically, and aim for favorable outcomes.

By adhering to this rule, traders can navigate the unpredictable markets with greater confidence and control.

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Understanding Parkinson’s Law: Importance vs Attention

Posted on November 6, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™

The Attention a Problem Gets is Inverse to its’ Importance

Courtesy: http://www.CertifiedMedicalPlanner.org

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA, MEd CMP

Historian Cyril Parkinson’s wrote in his book Parkinson’s Law,

“The time spent on any item of the agenda will be in inverse proportion to the sum [of money] involved.”

EXAMPLE: Parkinson described a fictional finance committee with three tasks: approval of a $10 million nuclear reactor, $400 for an employee bike shed, and $20 for employee refreshments in the break room.

The committee approves the $10 million nuclear reactor immediately, because the number is too big to contextualize, alternatives are too daunting to consider, and no one on the committee is an expert in nuclear power.

Bike Shed Effect: The bike shed gets considerably more debate. Committee members argue whether a bike rack would suffice and whether a shed should be wood or aluminum, because they have some experience working with those materials at home.

Employee refreshments take up two-thirds of the debate, because everyone has a strong opinion on what’s the best coffee, the best cookies, the best chips, etc.

Absurd: The world is filled with these absurdities. In personal finance, Ramit Sethi recently said we should stop asking $3 questions (should I buy coffee?) and ask more $30,000 questions (should I buy a smaller home?). Most people don’t, because it’s hard and intimidating. In any given moment the easiest way to deal with a big problem is to ignore it and fill your time thinking about a smaller one.

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Assessment: Your thoughts and comments related to the post Corona Virus Pandemic, meetings and time management and psychology are appreciated.

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K-SHAPED ECONOMY: An Uneven and Divided World

Posted on November 4, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd

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The term “K-shaped economy” emerged during the COVID-19 pandemic to describe a recovery marked by stark divergence—where some sectors and social groups rebound rapidly while others continue to decline. Unlike traditional V-shaped or U-shaped recoveries, which imply uniform economic improvement, the K-shaped model reflects a split trajectory: the upward arm of the “K” represents those who thrive, while the downward arm captures those left behind. This phenomenon has profound implications for economic policy, social equity, and long-term stability.

At the heart of the K-shaped economy is inequality. High-income individuals, white-collar professionals, and large corporations often benefit from technological advances, remote work flexibility, and access to capital. For example, tech giants like Apple, Microsoft, and Alphabet saw record profits during the pandemic, fueled by digital transformation and cloud services. Meanwhile, lower-income workers—especially in hospitality, retail, and service industries—faced job losses, reduced hours, and limited access to healthcare or financial safety nets. This divergence widened existing income and wealth gaps, exacerbating social tensions.

Sectoral performance also illustrates the K-shaped divide. Industries such as e-commerce, software, and logistics surged, while travel, entertainment, and small businesses struggled. The rise of automation and artificial intelligence further tilted the scales, favoring companies that could invest in innovation while displacing low-skilled labor. In education, students from affluent families adapted to online learning with ease, while those from disadvantaged backgrounds faced digital barriers and learning loss. These disparities underscore how economic recovery is not just uneven—it’s structurally imbalanced.

Geography plays a role too. Urban centers with diversified economies and strong tech sectors rebounded faster than rural or manufacturing-heavy regions. Housing markets in affluent areas soared, driven by low interest rates and remote work migration, while renters and first-time buyers faced affordability crises. Even within cities, neighborhoods with better infrastructure and public services recovered more quickly, deepening the urban-suburban divide.

Policymakers face a daunting challenge in addressing the K-shaped recovery. Traditional stimulus measures may not reach the most vulnerable populations without targeted interventions. Expanding access to education, healthcare, and digital infrastructure is essential to leveling the playing field. Progressive taxation, wage support, and small business aid can help bridge the gap, but require political will and fiscal discipline. Central banks must balance inflation control with inclusive growth, avoiding policies that disproportionately benefit asset holders.

The long-term consequences of a K-shaped economy are significant. Persistent inequality can erode trust in institutions, fuel populism, and hinder social mobility. Economic growth may slow if large segments of the population remain underemployed or financially insecure. To build a resilient and inclusive future, governments, businesses, and civil society must collaborate to ensure that recovery lifts all boats—not just the yachts.

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Understanding the Edgeworth Paradox in Economics

Posted on November 4, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™

By Staff Reporters

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Irish economist Frances Edgeworth put forward the Edgeworth Paradox in his paper “The Pure Theory of Monopoly”, published in 1897.

It describes a situation in which two players cannot reach a state of equilibrium with pure strategies, i.e. each charging a stable price. A fact of the Edgeworth Paradox is that in some cases, even if the direct price impact is negative and exceeds the conditions, an increase in cost proportional to the quantity of an item provided may cause a decrease in all optimal prices. Due to the limited production capacity of enterprises in reality, if only one enterprise’s total production capacity can be supplied cannot meet social demand, another enterprise can charge a price that exceeds the marginal cost for the residual social need.

And so, according to colleague Dan Ariely PhD, the Edgeworth Paradox suggests that with capacity constraints, there may not be an equilibrium.

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The Hidden Risk of Trusting Friends in Finance

Posted on November 2, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™

Here’s a risk to your financial health that may surprise you!

Rick Kahler MS CFP

By Rick Kahler CFP™

There are two reasons for this.

First, we tend to trust and rely on people we know.

Second, research finds that humans have a deep-seated desire to meet the needs of others, so “helping” a relative or friend get started in their financial sales career is just human nature. Unfortunately, brokerage and insurance companies know this. They train their new agents that the easiest sales to make when getting started are to relatives and friends.

Any time I find an ill-advised financial product a client has purchased from a relative or friend, I cringe, anticipating the client’s resistance to canceling it. Regardless of how bad the advice was or how outrageous the fees of an investment product may be, the deeper the relationship the more difficulty there will be in changing course.

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Here’s a typical example

Jim and Sofia, two young professionals, married at around the same time Jim’s uncle went to work for a financial services company. The uncle sold Jim a $250,000 Variable Universal Life (VUL) policy with a $500 monthly premium. Jim and Sofia were happy, thinking they had made a prudent choice to start saving for retirement and help out a relative at the same time.

When Sofia became pregnant, the couple decided to engage a fee-only financial planner. She found they were under insured to provide for a family and also that the VUL policy was incredibly expensive and ill-advised for their needs. She recommended canceling the VUL policy with its $500 monthly premium, instead paying $300 monthly for two $1 million term life insurance policies and putting $200 a month into a tax-free Roth IRA.

Sofia and Jim told this to their uncle, who was “shocked” at the planner’s “poor advice.”

He contended that any competent financial planner would know a person needs permanent insurance as a foundation to “raise their child in the case of a premature death, fund their retirement, pay estate taxes and just like a Roth, it is tax free.”
Sadly, the uncle was unwilling to admit that $250,000 of insurance wouldn’t be enough to raise their child, fund their retirement, and pay estate taxes; nor was it truly tax free. He also didn’t mention that he had a vested interest in their keeping the policy. While he probably earned 55% to 100% of the first year’s commission, it is common practice that an agent will also receive 10-15% of the annual premium from years 2-10.

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Sofia and Jim agreed with the financial planner’s recommendation. They could see the sense in having $1 million of insurance on each of them instead of $250,000 on just Jim for almost half the price, plus the tax-free growth of $200 a month in the Roth IRA.

Yet they didn’t follow the planner’s advice, because they didn’t want to upset their uncle. They chose to weaken their financial health, plus risk the well-being of their family if one of them died prematurely, in order to enrich their uncle for fear of offending him.

This happens more frequently than you would think. And it isn’t limited to life insurance. I’ve seen clients invest in a variety of “opportunities,” based on advice from a family member, that were not in their best interest.

Assessment

Next time a friend or family member offers to sell you a financial product or give you some great advice, you may want to do yourself a favor and decline. If you really want to help them out, invite them over for dinner.

Conclusion
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Contact: MarcinkoAdvisors@outlook.com

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Understanding Managerial Accounting Concepts

Posted on November 1, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™

By Staff Reporters

SPONSOR: http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com

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Product Costing and Valuation

Product costing deals with determining the total costs involved in the production of a good or service. Costs may be broken down into subcategories, such as variable, fixed, direct, or indirect costs. Cost accounting is used to measure and identify those costs, in addition to assigning overhead to each type of product created by the company.

Managerial accountants calculate and allocate overhead charges to assess the full expense related to the production of a good. The overhead expenses may be allocated based on the number of goods produced or other activity drivers related to production, such as the square footage of the facility. In conjunction with overhead costs, managerial accountants use direct costs to properly value the cost of goods sold and inventory that may be in different stages of production.

Marginal costing (sometimes called cost-volume-profit analysis) is the impact on the cost of a product by adding one additional unit into production. It is useful for short-term economic decisions. The contribution margin of a specific product is its impact on the overall profit of the company. Margin analysis flows into break-even analysis, which involves calculating the contribution margin on the sales mix to determine the unit volume at which the business’s gross sales equals total expenses. Break-even point analysis is useful for determining price points for products and services.

Cash Flow Analysis

Managerial accountants perform cash flow analysis in order to determine the cash impact of business decisions. Most companies record their financial information on the accrual basis of accounting. Although accrual accounting provides a more accurate picture of a company’s true financial position, it also makes it harder to see the true cash impact of a single financial transaction. A managerial accountant may implement working capital management strategies in order to optimize cash flow and ensure the company has enough liquid assets to cover short-term obligations.

When a managerial accountant performs cash flow analysis, he will consider the cash inflow or outflow generated as a result of a specific business decision. For example, if a department manager is considering purchasing a company vehicle, he may have the option to either buy the vehicle outright or get a loan. A managerial accountant may run different scenarios by the department manager depicting the cash outlay required to purchase outright upfront versus the cash outlay over time with a loan at various interest rates.

Inventory Turnover Analysis

Inventory turnover is a calculation of how many times a company has sold and replaced inventory in a given time period. Calculating inventory turnover can help businesses make better decisions on pricing, manufacturing, marketing, and purchasing new inventory. A managerial accountant may identify the carrying cost of inventory, which is the amount of expense a company incurs to store unsold items.

If the company is carrying an excessive amount of inventory, there could be efficiency improvements made to reduce storage costs and free up cash flow for other business purposes.

Constraint Analysis

Managerial accounting also involves reviewing the constraints within a production line or sales process. Managerial accountants help determine where bottlenecks occur and calculate the impact of these constraints on revenue, profit, and cash flow. Managers then can use this information to implement changes and improve efficiencies in the production or sales process.

Financial Leverage Metrics

Financial leverage refers to a company’s use of borrowed capital in order to acquire assets and increase its return on investments. Through balance sheet analysis, managerial accountants can provide management with the tools they need to study the company’s debt and equity mix in order to put leverage to its most optimal use.

Performance measures such as return on equity, debt to equity, and return on invested capital help management identify key information about borrowed capital, prior to relaying these statistics to outside sources. It is important for management to review ratios and statistics regularly to be able to appropriately answer questions from its board of directors, investors, and creditors.

Accounts Receivable (AR) Management

Appropriately managing accounts receivable (AR) can have positive effects on a company’s bottom line. An accounts receivable aging report categorizes AR invoices by the length of time they have been outstanding. For example, an AR aging report may list all outstanding receivables less than 30 days, 30 to 60 days, 60 to 90 days, and 90+ days.

Through a review of outstanding receivables, managerial accountants can indicate to appropriate department managers if certain customers are becoming credit risks. If a customer routinely pays late, management may reconsider doing any future business on credit with that customer.

Budgeting, Trend Analysis, and Forecasting

Budgets are extensively used as a quantitative expression of the company’s plan of operation. Managerial accountants utilize performance reports to note deviations of actual results from budgets. The positive or negative deviations from a budget also referred to as budget-to-actual variances, are analyzed in order to make appropriate changes going forward.

Managerial accountants analyze and relay information related to capital expenditure decisions. This includes the use of standard capital budgeting metrics, such as net present value and internal rate of return, to assist decision-makers on whether to embark on capital-intensive projects or purchases. Managerial accounting involves examining proposals, deciding if the products or services are needed, and finding the appropriate way to finance the purchase. It also outlines payback periods so management is able to anticipate future economic benefits.

Managerial accounting also involves reviewing the trendline for certain expenses and investigating unusual variances or deviations. It is important to review this information regularly because expenses that vary considerably from what is typically expected are commonly questioned during external financial audits. This field of accounting also utilizes previous period information to calculate and project future financial information. This may include the use of historical pricing, sales volumes, geographical locations, customer tendencies, or financial information.

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Understanding Paradoxes in Modern Medicine

Posted on November 1, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™

SPONSOR: http://www.CertifiedMedicalPlanner.org

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What is a Paradox?

A paradox is a figure of speech that can seem silly or contradictory in form, yet it can still be true, or at least make sense in the context given. This is sometimes used to illustrate thoughts or statements that differ from traditional ideas. So, instead of taking a given statement literally, an individual must comprehend it from a different perspective. Using paradoxes in speeches and writings can also add wit and humor to one’s work, which serves as the perfect device to grab a reader or a listener’s attention.

But paradoxes can be quite difficult to explain by definition alone, which is why it is best to refer to a few examples to further your understanding.

A good paradox example is in the famous television show House. Here, Dr. House is a rude, selfish, and narcissistic character who alienates everyone around him, even his own colleagues. However, he is also a brilliant doctor who is committed to saving lives. Regardless of his mean exterior, Dr. House is a moral and compassionate man who cares about his patients. The paradox here is how the character strives to save people’s lives despite his ruthless personality and behavior.

Modern health care appears to be rich in contradictions, and it is claimed to be paradoxical in a number of ways. In particular health care is held to be a paradox itself: it is supposed to do good; but is also accused of doing harm.

The expression “first do no harm,” which is a Latin phrase, is not part of the original or modern versions of the Hippocratic Oath, which was originally written in Greek (“primum non nocere,” the Latin translation from the original Greek.)
The Hippocratic Oath, written in the 5th century BCE, does contain language suggesting that the physician and his assistants should not cause physical or moral harm to a patient.
The first known published version of “do no harm” dates to medical texts from the mid-19th century, and is attributed to the 17th century English physician Thomas Sydenham.

Difference between Paradox and Oxymoron

Most people tend to confuse a paradox with an oxymoron, and it’s not hard to see why. Most oxymoron examples appear to be compressed version of a paradox, in which it is used to add a dramatic effect and to emphasize contrasting thoughts. Although they may seem greatly similar in form, there are slight differences that set them apart.

A paradox consists of a statement with opposing definitions, while an oxymoron combines two contradictory terms to form a new meaning. But because an oxymoron can play out with just two words, it is often used to describe a given object or idea imaginatively. As for a paradox, the statement itself makes you question whether something is true or false. It appears to contradict the truth, but if given a closer look, the truth is there but is merely implied.

The Paradox in Medicine and Health Care

Dr. Bernard Brom [Editor: SA Journal of Natural Medicine] suggests modem medicine is riddled with paradoxes. Most doctors live with these paradoxes without being aware of the conflict of interest that these paradoxes represent. Intrinsic to a general understanding of science is the idea that science frees us from misunderstanding and guides us towards clear decision making.

Most veteran doctors with experience know that medical science still does not give definitive answers, that each individual is unique, that one can never be sure how a patient will respond to a particular drug, or what the outcome of a particular operation will be. Human beings are not machines and therefore do not respond according to Newtonian logic, and therefore a paradox in medicine is not surprising. Medicine is an art which uses scientific techniques and approaches. It is, however, important to face these paradoxes. It is both humbling and enlightening, enriching those who consider the implications deeply enough.

The Compensation versus Value Paradox

Regardless of specialty, degree designation or delivery model, private practice physician salary is traditionally inversely related to independent medical practice business value.

SALARY: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2024/07/21/medicare-doctor-salary-rates-would-cut-pay-3/

In other words, the more a doctor takes home in compensation from his practice, the less ownership in a private practice is worth, and vice versa.

VALUE: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2008/01/11/how-to-maximize-medical-practice-value/

Higher doctor salary equals lower practice appraisal value.

BROKE DOCTORS: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2025/08/02/doctors-going-broke-and-living-paycheck-to-paycheck/

This is the difference between a short-term and long-term compensation strategy.

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Understanding the Halloween Indicator Strategy

Posted on October 31, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™

SELL IN MAY – AND GO AWAY

By Staff Reporters

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Essentially, the HALLOWEEN INDICATOR is a market-timing strategy. It argues that, by buying into the stock market after Halloween and selling at the end of April, investors would generate a better annual return on their portfolio than if they had remained invested throughout the year. Sell in May and go away is an investment strategy for stocks based on a theory that the period from November to April inclusive has significantly stronger stock market growth on average than the other months

The practice of abandoning stocks beginning in May of each year is widely thought to have its origins in the United Kingdom. The privileged class would leave London and head to their country estates for the summer months, where they would largely ignore their investment portfolios. To this day, many stock market watchers have postulated that the corresponding impact of summer vacations on market liquidity and investors’ risk aversion is at least partly responsible for the difference in seasonal returns.

In what is considered to be a seminal piece of research on the subject, “The Halloween Indicator, ‘Sell in May and Go Away’: Another Puzzle,” authors Sven Bouman and Ben Jacobsen were among the first to document a strong seasonal effect in global stock markets. In 36 of the 37 developed and emerging markets they studied between 1973 and 1998, the authors found returns in the November through April period to be, on average, significantly higher than those in the May through October period, even after taking transaction costs into account. What puzzled the authors was the fact that, while the anomaly was widely known and seemed to offer considerable economic rewards, it had not been arbitraged away.

More recently, Jacobsen partnered with Cherry Zhang on a follow up study, titled, “The Halloween Indicator: Everywhere and All the Time,” and extended the research to 108 stock markets using all historical data available. The result was a sample of 55,425 monthly observations (including more than 300 years of UK data), which helped to rebut any criticisms of data mining and sample selection bias. The results were compelling, as the November through April “winter” period delivered returns that were, on average, 4.52% higher than the “summer” returns. The Halloween effect was evident in 81 out of 108 countries. The size of the Halloween effect varied across geographies. It was found to be stronger in developed and emerging markets than in frontier markets.

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MORE: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2021/10/30/the-halloween-index-investment-strategy/

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NEPO BABIES: Broke Too Often!

Posted on October 31, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd

SPONSOR: http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com

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Nepo babies often go broke due to a mix of financial mismanagement, lack of resilience, and the illusion of inherited success. Their privileged upbringing can mask the need for discipline, adaptability, and long-term planning—traits essential for sustaining wealth.

The term nepo baby—short for nepotism baby—refers to children of celebrities or influential figures who benefit from family connections to launch careers, especially in entertainment, fashion, or media. While these individuals often start with significant advantages, including wealth, fame, and access, many struggle to maintain financial stability over time. The reasons are complex and rooted in both personal and systemic factors.

First, many nepo babies lack financial literacy. Growing up in environments where money flows freely, they may never learn budgeting, investing, or the value of money. Without these skills, they’re prone to overspending, poor investments, and unsustainable lifestyles. Lavish purchases—designer clothes, luxury cars, expensive homes—can quickly drain even sizable inheritances if not managed wisely.

Second, the illusion of guaranteed success can be dangerous. Nepo babies often enter industries where their family name opens doors, but that doesn’t guarantee longevity. Fame is fickle, and public interest can fade. If they don’t develop their own talents or work ethic, they may find themselves unemployable once the novelty wears off. This overreliance on family reputation can lead to complacency, making it harder to adapt when challenges arise.

Third, many nepo babies face identity crises and public scrutiny. Constant comparisons to their successful parents can erode confidence and create pressure to live up to unrealistic expectations. Some rebel by distancing themselves from their family’s legacy, while others try to prove themselves in unrelated fields. Either way, this struggle can lead to erratic career choices and unstable income streams.

Fourth, fame without privacy can fuel destructive habits. The entertainment world is rife with stories of young stars—many of them nepo babies—falling into substance abuse, reckless behavior, or toxic relationships. These issues not only affect mental health but also lead to legal troubles and financial loss. Without strong support systems or accountability, it’s easy to spiral.

Finally, inherited wealth can disappear quickly without proper estate planning. Trust funds and inheritances may be mismanaged or depleted by taxes, lawsuits, or poor financial advisors. Some nepo babies assume the money will last forever and fail to plan for long-term sustainability. Others are exploited by opportunistic friends or partners who take advantage of their naivety.

In contrast, those who succeed often do so by acknowledging their privilege, developing their own skills, and surrounding themselves with trustworthy mentors. They treat their inherited platform as a launchpad—not a safety net—and work to build something lasting.

In short, nepo babies go broke not because they lack opportunity, but because opportunity without discipline is a recipe for downfall. Wealth and fame are fleeting without the grit to sustain them. The lesson here isn’t just about celebrity—it’s a universal truth: success inherited must still be earned.

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How a Broke 50-Year-Old Doctor Can Still Retire at 65?

Posted on October 29, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd

SPONSOR: http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com

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Turning 50 with little to no savings can be daunting, especially for a doctor who has spent decades in a demanding profession. Yet, all is not lost. With strategic planning, discipline, and a willingness to adapt, a broke 50-year-old physician can still build a solid retirement foundation by age 65.

First, it’s essential to confront the financial reality. This means calculating current income, expenses, debts, and any assets, however small. A clear picture allows for realistic goal-setting. The target should be to save aggressively—ideally 30–50% of income—over the next 15 years. While this may seem steep, doctors often have above-average earning potential, even in their later years, which can be leveraged.

Next, lifestyle adjustments are crucial. Downsizing housing, eliminating unnecessary expenses, and avoiding new debt can free up significant cash flow. If possible, relocating to a lower-cost area or refinancing existing loans can also help. Every dollar saved should be redirected into retirement accounts such as a 401(k), IRA, or a solo 401(k) if self-employed. Catch-up contributions for those over 50 allow for higher annual deposits, which can accelerate growth.

Investing wisely is non-negotiable. A diversified portfolio with a mix of stocks, bonds, and alternative assets can provide both growth and stability. Working with a fiduciary financial advisor ensures that investments align with retirement goals and risk tolerance. Time is limited, so the focus should be on maximizing returns without taking reckless risks.

DYING BROKE: Frugality OR Freedom

Increasing income is another powerful lever. Many doctors can boost earnings through side gigs like telemedicine, consulting, teaching, or locum tenens work. These flexible options can add tens of thousands annually without requiring a full career shift. Additionally, monetizing expertise—writing, speaking, or creating online courses—can generate passive income streams.

Debt reduction must be prioritized. High-interest loans, especially credit card debt, can erode savings potential. Paying off these balances aggressively while avoiding new liabilities is key. For student loans, exploring forgiveness programs or refinancing options may offer relief.

Finally, mindset matters. Retirement at 65 doesn’t have to mean complete cessation of work. It can mean transitioning to part-time roles, passion projects, or advisory positions that provide income and fulfillment. The goal is financial independence, not necessarily total inactivity.

In conclusion, while starting late is challenging, a broke 50-year-old doctor can still retire comfortably at 65. It requires a blend of financial discipline, income optimization, smart investing, and lifestyle changes. With focus and determination, the next 15 years can be transformative—turning a precarious situation into a secure and dignified retirement.

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Transform Your Financial Insights into Lasting Change

Posted on October 26, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™

Turn Financial A-Ha Moments Into Lasting Change With Memory Re-Consolidation

By Rick Kahler MSFS CFP™

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Have you ever had a light bulb moment about money?

Maybe you leave a workshop, a therapy session, or a conversation with a financial advisor, feeling as if you have finally cracked the code. You understand why you keep overspending. You see the pattern that keeps you procrastinating about saving and investing. You feel the reason you panic about money, even when you know you are okay. In that moment, it all seems so clear.

Yet a week later, you are right back at it. Swiping the credit card. Avoiding the budget. Losing sleep over the same worries you thought you had just solved. What happened to that breakthrough? Why did it not last?

BRAIN ANCHORING: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2024/10/22/anchoring-initial-mental-brain-trickery/

I’ve experienced this myself, more times than I’d like to admit. Recently, I found a book that explains why: Unlocking the Emotional Brain by Bruce Ecker, Robin Ticic, and Laurel Hulley. The authors explain that lasting change happens through something called “memory re-consolidation.” It is the brain’s way of updating emotional patterns we have carried for years—often since childhood.

Most of us have old money stories tucked away in our emotional memory. Suppose, for example, as a child you were scolded for asking a neighbor how much money they earned. This and other similar experiences that left you feeling shamed or dismissed taught you that it was rude to talk about money.

Such early experiences are filed away as emotional truths. They shape what feels true, even years later as an adult, whether or not that “truth” is still relevant.

NEUROLINK: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2023/03/07/neurolink-brain-chips-rejected-by-the-fda/

As an adult, you may have come to understand that talking about money is often essential for your emotional and financial well being. But when the moment comes to have a money conversation, your body still freezes up. That is not weakness. That is your brain pulling up the old file.

Here is where memory re-consolidation comes in. The brain does not update the file just because you think new thoughts. It updates when you have a new experience that feels different. Maybe someone listens without judgment, or you realize you are talking about money and still feel safe. That emotional mismatch tells the brain, “Maybe this file is not true anymore.”

But the update is not finished. To make the change stick, you have to hold both the old belief and the new experience together for a little while. It is like showing your brain two pictures: here is how it used to feel, and here is how it feels now. That moment of holding both is when the rewrite happens.

Even more interesting, the brain keeps the file open for several hours after the shift. What you do in that window can help the change settle in—or not. If you rush back into busyness or distractions, you might accidentally let the old version save itself again.

BRAIN HEALTH: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2025/02/19/brain-health-bilingualism/

So what can we do to give those shifts a better chance of sticking? I have noticed that insights gained during a retreat or workshop, with ample time to focus and reflect, are more likely to last. Even in our everyday lives, we can slow down, even for a few minutes, to write about what we felt, check in with our bodies, or talk with someone who supports us. We can protect a little bit of quiet space before diving back into the noise.

The next time you have a money breakthrough, try giving yourself that space. Consciously notice both the old belief and the new experience. Give the re-consolidation time to settle in.

Then, the next time your brain pulls up that old money story, you’ll have access to the updated, more accurate version.

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MEDICAL SCHOOLS: What They Do Not Teach About Money!

Posted on October 26, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd

SPONSOR: http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com

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WARNING! WARNING! All DOCTORS

What Medical School Didn’t Teach Doctors About Money

Medical school is designed to mold students into competent, compassionate physicians. It teaches anatomy, pathology, pharmacology, and clinical skills with precision and rigor. Yet, despite the depth of medical knowledge imparted, one critical area is often overlooked: financial literacy. For many doctors, the transition from student to professional comes with a steep learning curve—not in medicine, but in money. From managing debt to understanding taxes, investing, and retirement planning, medical school leaves a financial education gap that can have long-term consequences.

The Debt Dilemma

One of the most glaring omissions in medical education is how to manage student loan debt. The average medical student graduates with over $200,000 in debt, yet few are taught how to navigate repayment options, interest accrual, or loan forgiveness programs. Many doctors enter residency with little understanding of income-driven repayment plans or Public Service Loan Forgiveness (PSLF), missing opportunities to reduce their financial burden. Without guidance, some make costly mistakes—such as refinancing federal loans prematurely or choosing repayment plans that don’t align with their career trajectory.

Income ≠ Wealth

Medical students often assume that a high salary will automatically lead to financial security. While physicians do earn more than most professionals, income alone doesn’t guarantee wealth. Medical school rarely addresses the importance of budgeting, saving, and investing. As a result, many doctors fall into the “HENRY” trap—High Earner, Not Rich Yet. They spend lavishly, assuming their income will always cover expenses, only to find themselves living paycheck to paycheck. Without a solid financial foundation, even high earners can struggle to build net worth.

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Taxes and Business Skills

Doctors are also unprepared for the complexities of taxes. Whether employed by a hospital or running a private practice, physicians face unique tax challenges. Medical school doesn’t teach how to track deductible expenses, optimize retirement contributions, or navigate self-employment taxes. For those who open their own clinics, the lack of business education is even more pronounced. Understanding profit margins, payroll, insurance billing, and compliance regulations is essential—but rarely covered in medical training.

Investing and Retirement Planning

Another blind spot is investing. Medical students are rarely taught the basics of compound interest, asset allocation, or retirement accounts. Many don’t know the difference between a Roth IRA and a traditional 401(k), or how to evaluate mutual funds and index funds. This lack of knowledge delays retirement planning and can lead to missed opportunities for long-term growth. Some doctors rely on financial advisors without understanding the fees or conflicts of interest involved, putting their wealth at risk.

Insurance and Risk Management

Medical school also fails to educate students on insurance—life, disability, malpractice, and health. Doctors need robust coverage to protect their income and assets, but many don’t know how to evaluate policies or understand terms like “own occupation” or “elimination period.” Inadequate coverage can leave physicians vulnerable to financial disaster in the event of illness, injury, or litigation.

Emotional and Behavioral Finance

Beyond technical knowledge, medical school overlooks the emotional side of money. Physicians often face pressure to maintain a certain lifestyle, especially after years of sacrifice. The desire to “catch up” can lead to impulsive spending, luxury purchases, and financial stress. Without tools to manage money mindset and behavioral habits, doctors may struggle with guilt, anxiety, or burnout related to finances.

The Case for Financial Education

Fortunately, awareness of this gap is growing. Organizations like Medics’ Money and podcasts such as “Docs Outside the Box” are working to fill the void by offering financial education tailored to physicians.

These resources cover everything from budgeting and debt management to investing and entrepreneurship. Some medical schools are beginning to incorporate financial literacy into their curricula, but progress is slow and inconsistent.

Conclusion

Medical school equips doctors to save lives, but it doesn’t prepare them to secure their own financial future. The lack of financial education leaves many physicians vulnerable to debt, poor investment decisions, and lifestyle inflation. To thrive both professionally and personally, doctors must seek out financial knowledge beyond the classroom. Whether through self-study, mentorship, or professional guidance, understanding money is as essential as understanding medicine. After all, financial health is a cornerstone of overall well-being—and every doctor deserves to master both.

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Filed under: "Ask-an-Advisor", finance, Financial Planning, Funding Basics, Glossary Terms, Health Economics, Health Insurance, Healthcare Finance, Insurance Matters, Investing, Marcinko Associates, Portfolio Management, Retirement and Benefits, Risk Management | Tagged: Accounting, budgeting, business skills, david marcinko, DDS, debt, DMD, DO, doctors, DPM, finance, financial future, HENRY, Income, insurance, Investing, MD, medical school, money, personal-finance, physicians, Risk Management, taxes, Wealth, wealth management | Leave a comment »

MEME STOCK: Prices

Posted on October 25, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd

SPONSOR: http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com

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According to the Daily Beast, First Lady Melania Trump was allegedly used as “window dressing” in a multi-million-dollar memecoin scheme that deceived investors and enriched its crypto creators, according to a lawsuit filed in federal court. The suit involves the $Melania coin, which the 55-year-old First Lady promoted to her social media on the eve of President Donald Trump’s inauguration in January, writing, “The Official Melania Meme is live! You can buy $MELANIA now.” Many of Trump’s supporters purchased the coin, pushing it to trade at an all-time high price of $13.73 apiece. $Melania was trading at less than 10 cents per coin by Wednesday—a staggering crash in value. Investors in the coin filed a federal class action lawsuit in April against Benjamin Chow, co-founder of crypto exchange Meteora, and Hayden Davis, co-founder of crypto venture capital firm Kelsier Labs, among others, WIRED reported Tuesday.

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Meme stock prices have shown dramatic volatility, with the Roundhill MEME ETF reflecting sharp swings driven by retail investor sentiment and social media hype.

The phenomenon of meme stocks—equities that gain popularity through online communities rather than traditional financial metrics—has reshaped market dynamics since early 2021. Companies like GameStop and AMC became emblematic of this trend, as retail investors coordinated on platforms like Reddit to drive prices to unprecedented highs. To capture this movement, the Roundhill Meme Stock ETF (ticker: MEME) was launched, bundling popular meme stocks into a single investment vehicle.

The price history of the MEME ETF illustrates the volatility inherent in meme stock investing. In October 2025 alone, the ETF experienced dramatic fluctuations. On October 13, it closed at $10.85, marking a 14.57% gain from the previous day. Just three days later, on October 16, it dropped to $9.97, an 8.95% decline. These swings reflect the influence of social media sentiment, short squeezes, and speculative trading rather than company fundamentals.

Over the past year, the MEME ETF has seen a 74.5% decline, underscoring the risks of investing in stocks driven by hype rather than earnings or growth potential. Despite occasional rallies, the overall trend has been downward, with the ETF trading around $8.93 as of the latest close.

This price history highlights the speculative nature of meme stocks. While they can offer short-term gains, they are highly susceptible to rapid reversals. Investors drawn to meme stocks should be aware of the emotional and social dynamics that drive their prices, and consider whether such volatility aligns with their risk tolerance and investment goals.

In essence, meme stock price history is a story of community-driven market disruption, where traditional valuation models are often sidelined in favor of viral momentum.

The MEME ETF serves as a barometer for this cultural shift, capturing both the excitement and the instability of this new investing frontier.

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Filed under: "Ask-an-Advisor", Alternative Investments, Ethics, Funding Basics, Glossary Terms, Investing, Marcinko Associates, Portfolio Management | Tagged: AMC, Ben Chow, daily beast, david marcinko, dmca, GameStop, Hayden Davis, melania trump, meme, MEME ETF, Meteora, Roundhill MEME ETF, Wired | Leave a comment »

The Risks of Dual Registration in Financial Advice

Posted on October 24, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™

And … How We Can Fix It

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP®

www.CertifiedMedicalPlanner.org

The Rules As I Understand Them

Securities industry Regulations and Regulators recognize that (registered) investment advisors give advice, while stock brokers sell brokerage products. Thus, the Series 65 license is required to become a financial advisor, while Series 7 licensed stock-brokers are not (and cannot) be fiduciary advisors.

So, advice is subject to a fiduciary duty, while product sales (brokerage) activity is not. The ratio of fiduciary advice to brokerage sales is about 1:99. So, what does that tell you?

A Contentious and Complicated Issue

This issue is so contentious and complicated today that lawyers are needed to define each and every term, engagement, transaction, brokerage or advisory contract, etc. It is far too amazingly contorted and complicated for most; including me; and we have even discussed the industry machinations and political double-talk on this ME-P previously; from some vary sharp industry experts, too.

The Fiduciary Conundrum

The “work-around” for these rules is industry “dual-registration”. Simply put, just get licensed to do both; as I did. Charge a commission when selling stuff and charge a fee for advice. And ideally, do both at the same time; while getting paid for both sides.

As a naïve luddite, I learned this little truism in financial planning school decades ago, and as a doctor and fiduciary for my patients at all times, almost vomited.

Of course, there were more sophisticated students in our classes who regurgitated the standard industry opinion: “We’ll give the client a financial plan for free IF we can sell commissioned products.”

Ideally this meant a fat and fully commissioned wrap account, whole-life insurance policy, LTCI policy; etc. Or, sell products and collect fat ongoing, and often unrecognizable AUM fees [fee-only], too!

From the stock broker-advisor’s POV, it was “Heads I win – tails you loose” for the client. Now, you know why I am a former or reformed certified financial planner.

The Physics Split

Know that as a pre-medical college student years earlier, I leaned about the Werner Heisenberg Uncertainty Principle, in physics class.

Of course, true Advice – is not Sales … and Sales is not Advice. Both should never be; simultaneously. So, let’s ditch dual registration and decide which to pursue … and then proceed accordingly. Both sales and advice have risks and benefits to client and producer; both have advantages and disadvantages to both; as well.

WHY? Just like the Werner Heisenberg Uncertainty Principle; it shouldn’t [shan’t] be both; at once.

NOTE: In quantum mechanics, the Heisenberg uncertainty principle is any of a variety of mathematical inequalities asserting a fundamental limit to the precision with which certain pairs of physical properties of a particle, known as complementary variables, such as position x and momentum p, can be known simultaneously.

R.I.P: Stephen Hawking [Age-76]

So, in physics, I can tell you where you are -OR- how fast you are going; but not both. Thus, if it is product sales; it is not advice.

Today, since “dual registration” is still allowed, my suggestion to clients is to seek a fiduciary in all matters 24/7/354; get it in writing, and try to avoid arbitration and “best interest” or BICE clauses! Run from [fee-based and fee-only] AUM fees, too.

PS: I am not against Series #7 representatives and product sales. Salesmen/women often provide a valuable service and should be appropriately compensated. I only object when fees, costs, charges and commissions are duplicative, excessive and/or not fully disclosed to the client. Since excessive is an arbitrary term; full disclosure is the key ingredient.

Assessment

So – How am I wrong, mistaken and/or what did I miss? Do tell! Should We – Can We – Ditch Dual Registration [DDR]?

Oh! In the future, I also hope that State fiduciary standards will potentially cover both non-ERISA and ERISA situations, and employee plan participants will have access to full discovery rights, the one thing the industry fears most.

But, that’s a discussion for another day and time.

On the Department of Labor “Fiduciary Rule”

Conclusion

Your thoughts and comments on this ME-P are appreciated. Feel free to review our top-left column, and top-right sidebar materials, links, URLs and related websites, too. Then, subscribe to the ME-P. It is fast, free and secure.

Contact: MarcinkoAdvisors@msn.com

BOOKS

https://www.crcpress.com/Risk-Management-Liability-Insurance-and-Asset-Protection-Strategies-for/Marcinko-Hetico/p/book/9781498725989

https://www.crcpress.com/Comprehensive-Financial-Planning-Strategies-for-Doctors-and-Advisors-Best/Marcinko-Hetico/p/book/9781482240283

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Filed under: Ethics, iMBA, Inc., Investing | Tagged: DOL fiduciary rules, dual-registration, ERISE, fiduciary, financial advisors, FINRA, RIA, SEC, Series 65, Series 7, stock-brokers | 5 Comments »

NFT: Non-Fungible Tokens Defined

Posted on October 23, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd

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NFTs, or Non-Fungible Tokens, are unique digital assets stored on a blockchain that represent ownership of a specific item or piece of content. Unlike cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin or Ethereum, which are fungible and interchangeable, NFTs are one-of-a-kind and cannot be exchanged on a one-to-one basis.

In recent years, Non-Fungible Tokens (NFTs) have emerged as a groundbreaking innovation in the digital world, revolutionizing how we perceive ownership, art, and value online. At their core, NFTs are cryptographic tokens that represent a unique digital item or asset. These tokens are stored on a blockchain—a decentralized digital ledger—which ensures that each NFT is verifiable, traceable, and immutable.

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NFTs 101: Taxes, Risks, and More

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The term “non-fungible” means that each token is distinct and cannot be replaced with another token of equal value. This contrasts with fungible assets like dollars or cryptocurrencies, where each unit is identical and interchangeable. For example, one Bitcoin is always equal to another Bitcoin. However, each NFT has its own metadata, ownership history, and attributes, making it unique and often valuable.

NFTs can represent a wide range of digital content, including artwork, music, videos, virtual real estate, gaming items, and even tweets. Artists and creators have embraced NFTs as a new way to monetize their work, bypassing traditional gatekeepers like galleries and record labels. By minting their creations as NFTs, they can sell them directly to collectors and fans, often earning royalties from future resales thanks to smart contracts embedded in the blockchain.

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IRS: Tax Treatment of NFTs and Crypto-Currency

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One of the most popular blockchains for NFTs is Ethereum, which supports smart contracts and has a robust ecosystem for digital assets. Platforms like OpenSea, Rarible, and Foundation have become marketplaces where users can buy, sell, and trade NFTs. These platforms often require users to have a digital wallet and use cryptocurrency to complete transactions.

The rise of NFTs has sparked debates about their environmental impact, speculative nature, and long-term value. Critics argue that the energy consumption of blockchain networks can be significant, especially those using proof-of-work mechanisms. Others worry that the NFT market is driven by hype and may not sustain its current levels of interest and investment. Nonetheless, proponents believe that NFTs offer a new paradigm for digital ownership and creativity, empowering artists and reshaping industries from gaming to fashion.

In conclusion, NFTs represent a fusion of technology, art, and commerce, offering a novel way to own and trade digital assets. As the technology matures and adoption grows, NFTs may become a standard part of our digital lives, influencing how we interact with content, creators, and each other in the virtual world.

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Filed under: "Ask-an-Advisor", Accounting, economics, Investing, Taxation | Tagged: Bitcoin, blockchain, crypto, cryptocurrency, david marcinko, digital asset, Etherium, foundation, metadata, NFT, NFTs, non-fungible tokens, OpenSea, Rarible | Leave a comment »

Dynamic Strategies in Broker-Dealer Recruitment

Posted on October 22, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™

By Staff Reporter and A.I.

SPONSOR: http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com

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The Evolving Landscape of Broker-Dealer Recruitment

Broker-dealer recruitment has become a dynamic and competitive arena within the financial services industry. As firms vie for top talent, the strategies and incentives used to attract and retain financial advisors have evolved significantly. In an environment shaped by regulatory changes, technological innovation, and shifting advisor expectations, broker-dealers must continuously refine their recruitment approaches to remain competitive and relevant.

Understanding Stockbrokers: Roles and Responsibilities

At the heart of broker-dealer recruitment is the pursuit of experienced financial advisors who bring with them established client relationships and significant assets under management. These advisors are highly sought after because they can generate immediate revenue and enhance a firm’s market presence. According to recent industry reports, firms like LPL Financial, Commonwealth, and Cetera have ramped up their recruitment efforts by investing in platform enhancements, rebranding initiatives, and technology upgrades to appeal to both seasoned professionals and the next generation of advisors.

One of the most significant trends in broker-dealer recruitment is the emphasis on value-added services. Advisors today are not merely looking for the highest payout or signing bonus; they are increasingly drawn to firms that offer robust support systems, including compliance assistance, marketing resources, and advanced technology platforms. Broker-dealers that can demonstrate a commitment to advisor growth and client service excellence are more likely to attract top-tier talent.

Another key factor influencing recruitment is the cultural fit between the advisor and the firm. Advisors often seek environments that align with their personal values and business philosophies. As such, firms are placing greater emphasis on showcasing their culture, leadership, and long-term vision during the recruitment prhttps://medicalexecutivepost.com/2024/09/05/beware-the-brokerage-accounts/ocess. This cultural alignment can be a decisive factor in an advisor’s decision to join or remain with a firm.https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2024/09/05/beware-the-brokerage-accounts/

The competitive nature of the industry has also led to the rise of aggressive recruitment tactics, including lucrative transition packages and equity offers. While these financial incentives can be effective, they are increasingly being supplemented by strategic differentiators such as flexible affiliation models, access to alternative investment platforms, and opportunities for practice acquisition or succession planning.

Who Does a Stock Broker Work for – Really?

Moreover, the recruitment landscape is being reshaped by broader economic and regulatory forces. The implementation of Regulation Best Interest (Reg BI) and the ongoing impact of high interest rates have prompted advisors to reassess their affiliations and seek firms that provide clarity, stability, and strategic guidance. Broker-dealers that proactively address these concerns and offer transparent, advisor-centric solutions are better positioned to succeed in the recruitment race.

How Stock-Brokers Execute Trades

In conclusion, broker-dealer recruitment is no longer just about offering the biggest check. It is about creating a compelling value proposition that resonates with advisors’ professional goals and personal values. Firms that invest in technology, culture, and advisor support—while remaining agile in response to industry trends—will be best equipped to attract and retain the talent necessary for long-term success.

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Filed under: "Advisors Only", Financial Planning, Funding Basics, Investing, Marketing & Advertising, Portfolio Management | Tagged: broker-dealer recruitment, broker-dealers, Cetera, education, fee based, financial, financial advisor, financial advisors, financial planners, LPL Financial, Reg BI, Regulation Best Interests, RIA, stock brokers, tax | Leave a comment »

Essential Investing Tips for New Physicians

Posted on October 21, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™

HOW TO COMMENCE THE FINE ART OF MONEY

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By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™

SPONSOR: http://www.CertifiedMedicalPlanner.org

Investing may seem complicated, but today there are many ways for the newly minted physician [MD, DO, DPM, DMD or DDS] to begin, even with minimal knowledge and only a small amount to invest. Starting as soon as possible will help you get closer to the retirement you deserve.

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Why is investing important?

Investing often feels like a luxury reserved for the already wealthy physician. Many of us find it difficult to think about investing for the future when there are so many things we need that money for right now; medical school loans, auto, home and children; etc. But, at some point, we’re going to want to stop working and enjoy retirement. And simply put, retirement is expensive.

Most calculations advise that you aim for enough savings to give you 70% to 80% of your pre-retirement income for 20 years or more. Depending on your goals for retirement, that means you could need between $500,000 and $1 million in savings by the time you retire. That may not sound attainable, but with the power of compounding growth, it’s not as hard to achieve as you think. The key is starting as soon as possible and making smart choices.

INVESTMENT TYPES: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2025/08/26/

When should you start investing?

The short answer is “now,” no matter what your age. Due to the way the gains in investments can compound, the earlier you start the better. Money invested in your 20s could very easily grow over 20 times before you retire, without you having to do much.That is powerful. Even if you’re in your 50s or older, you can still make significant progress toward meeting your goals in retirement.

How much should you invest per month?

Most financial experts say you should invest 10% to 15% of your annual income for retirement. That’s the goal, but you don’t have to get there immediately. Whatever you can start investing today is going to help you down the road.

So, if 10% to 15% is too much right now, start small and build toward that goal over time. You can actually start investing with $5 if you want. And you should. Some investment products require a minimum investment, but there are plenty that don’t, and a lot of online brokerage accounts can be started for free.

BROKE DOCTORS: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2025/08/02/doctors-going-broke-and-living-paycheck-to-paycheck/

Good beginner investments.

The best investments for you are going to depend on your age, goals, and strategy. The important thing is to get started. You’ll learn as you go. If you have questions, a dedicated DIYer or investment advisor can help give you the guidance and options you need.

ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2022/06/06/risk-aversion-and-investment-alternatives/

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Filed under: "Ask-an-Advisor", Ask a Doctor, finance, Financial Planning, Funding Basics, Investing, Marcinko Associates, Portfolio Management | Tagged: budgeting, CMP, DDS, DO, DPM, finance, Investing, Marcinko, MD, money art, personal-finance, physician investing, retirement, young doctors, young physicians | Leave a comment »

STOCK MARKET INDEX OPTIONS: Puts and Calls

Posted on October 21, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd

SPONSOR: http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com

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Understanding Stock Market Options: A Strategic Investment Tool

Stock market options are financial instruments that offer investors a versatile way to participate in the equity markets. Unlike traditional stock trading, options provide the right—but not the obligation—to buy or sell an underlying asset at a predetermined price within a specified time frame. This flexibility makes options a powerful tool for hedging, speculation, and income generation.

There are two primary types of options: calls and puts. A call option gives the holder the right to buy a stock at a specific price, known as the strike price, before the option expires. Investors typically purchase call options when they anticipate a rise in the stock’s price. Conversely, a put option grants the right to sell a stock at the strike price, and is used when an investor expects the stock to decline. Each option contract typically represents 100 shares of the underlying stock.

Options are traded on regulated exchanges such as the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE), and their prices are influenced by several factors. These include the underlying stock’s price, the strike price, time until expiration, volatility, and prevailing interest rates. The premium, or cost of the option, reflects these variables and represents the maximum loss for the buyer.

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One of the most compelling uses of options is hedging. Investors can use options to protect their portfolios against adverse price movements. For example, owning put options on a stock can offset potential losses if the stock’s value drops. This strategy is akin to purchasing insurance and is especially valuable during periods of market uncertainty.

Options also enable speculative strategies with limited capital. Traders can leverage options to bet on price movements without owning the underlying asset. While this can lead to significant gains, it also carries substantial risk, particularly if the market moves against the position. Therefore, understanding the mechanics and risks of options is crucial before engaging in such trades.

Another popular strategy involves writing options, or selling them to collect premiums. Covered call writing, for instance, involves holding a stock and selling call options against it. This generates income but caps potential upside if the stock surges beyond the strike price. Similarly, cash-secured puts allow investors to earn premiums while potentially acquiring stocks at a discount.

Despite their advantages, options are not suitable for all investors. Their complexity and potential for rapid loss require a solid grasp of financial concepts and disciplined risk management. Regulatory bodies and brokerages often require investors to pass suitability assessments before granting access to options trading.

In conclusion, stock market options are dynamic instruments that offer a range of strategic possibilities. Whether used for hedging, speculation, or income, they provide flexibility that traditional stock trading cannot match. However, their effective use demands education, experience, and a clear understanding of market behavior. For informed investors, options can be a valuable addition to a diversified financial toolkit.

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Filed under: "Ask-an-Advisor", finance, Glossary Terms, Investing, Portfolio Management | Tagged: calls, finance, index options, Investing, options, put and callas, puts, stock calls, stock market, stock options, stock puts, trading | Leave a comment »

Unlock Your Career with Micro-Certifications

Posted on October 19, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™

Micro-Credentials on the Rise

KNOWLEDGE RICHES IN SPECIALTY NICHES

DR. DAVID EDWARD MARCINKO MBA MEd CMP™

SPONSOR: http://www.CertifiedMedicalPlanner.org

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Do you ever wish you could acquire specific information for your career activities without having to complete a university Master’s Degree or finish our entire Certified Medical Planner™ professional designation program? Well, Micro-Certifications from the Institute of Medical Business Advisors, Inc., might be the answer. Read on to learn how our three Micro-Certifications offer new opportunities for professional growth in the medical practice, business management, health economics and financial planning, investing and advisory space for physicians, nurses and healthcare professionals.

Micro-Certification Basics

Stock-Brokers, Financial Advisors, Investment Advisors, Accountants, Consultants, Financial Analyists and Financial Planners need to enhance their knowledge skills to better serve the changing and challenging healthcare professional ecosystem. But, it can be difficult to learn and demonstrate mastery of these new skills to employers, clients, physicians or medical prospects. This makes professional advancement difficult. That’s where Micro-Certification and Micro-Credentialing enters the online educational space. It is the process of earning a Micro-Certification, which is like a mini-degree or mini-credential, in a very specific topical area.

Micro-Certification Requirements

Once you’ve completed all of the requirements for our Micro-Certification, you will be awarded proof that you’ve earned it. This might take the form of a paper or digital certificate, which may be a hard document or electronic image, transcript, file, or other official evidence that you’ve completed the necessary work.

Uses of Micro-Certifications

Micro-Certifications may be used to demonstrate to physicians prospective medical clients that you’ve mastered a certain knowledge set. Because of this, Micro-Certifications are useful for those financial service professionals seeking medical clients, employment or career advancement opportunities.

Examples of iMBA, Inc., Micro-Certifications

Here are the three most popular Micro-Certification course from the Institute of Medical Business Advisors, Inc:

1. Health Insurance and Managed Care: To keep up with the ever-changing field of health care physician advice, you must learn new medical practice business models in order to attract and assist physicians and nurse clients. By bringing together the most up-to-date business and medical prctice models [Medicare, Medicaid, PP-ACA, POSs, EPOs, HMOs, PPOs, IPA’s, PPMCs, Accountable Care Organizations, Concierge Medicine, Value Based Care, Physician Pay-for-Performance Initiatives, Hospitalists, Retail and Whole-Sale Medicine, Health Savings Accounts and Medical Unions, etc], this iMBA Inc., Mini-Certification offers a wealth of essential information that will help you understand the ever-changing practices in the next generation of health insurance and managed medical care.
2. Health Economics and Finance: Medical economics, finance, managerial and cost accounting is an integral component of the health care industrial complex. It is broad-based and covers many other industries: insurance, mathematics and statistics, public and population health, provider recruitment and retention, health policy, forecasting, aging and long-term care, and Venture Capital are all commingled arenas. It is essential knowledge that all financial services professionals seeking to serve in the healthcare advisory niche space should possess.
3. Health Information Technology and Security: There is a myth that all physician focused financial advisors understand Health Information Technology [HIT]. In truth, it is often economically misused or financially misunderstood. Moreover, an emerging national HIT architecture often puts the financial advisor or financial planner in a position of maximum uncertainty and minimum productivity regarding issues like: Electronic Medical Records [EMRs] or Electronic Health Records [EHRs], mobile health, tele-health or tele-medicine, Artificial Intelligence [AI], benefits managers and human resource professionals.

Other Topics include: economics, finance, investing, marketing, advertising, sales, start-ups, business plan creation, financial planning and entrepreneurship, etc.

How to Start Learning and Earning Recognition for Your Knowledge

Now that you’re familiar with Micro-Credentialing, you might consider earning a Micro-Certification with us. We offer 3 official Micro-Certificates by completing a one month online course, with a live instructor consisting of twelve asynchronous lessons/online classes [3/wk X 4/weeks = 12 classes]. The earned official completion certificate can be used to demonstrate mastery of a specific skill set and shared with current or future employers, current clients or medical niche financial advisory prospects.

Mini-Certification Tuition, Books and Related Fees

The tuition for each Mini-Certification live online course is $1,250 with the purchase of one required dictionary handbook. Other additional guides, white-papers, videos, files and e-content are all supplied without charge. Alternative courses may be developed in the future subject to demand and may change without notice.

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Contact: For more information, or to speak with an academic representative, please contact Ann Miller RN MHA CMP™ at Email: MarcinkoAdvisors@msn.com [24/7].

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Filed under: "Advisors Only", "Ask-an-Advisor", Book Reviews, Career Development, CMP Program, Experts Invited, Financial Planning, Glossary Terms, Health Economics, Health Insurance, Health Law & Policy, Healthcare Finance, Information Technology, Investing, Op-Editorials, Touring with Marcinko | Tagged: accountants, certifications, certified medical planner, CMP, financial advisors, financial planners, investment advisors, Marcinko, micro, micro-certifications, micro-credentials | Leave a comment »

Understanding 4 Key Financial Psychological Biases

Posted on October 19, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™

By Staff Reporters

SPONSOR: http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com

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The following are 4 common financial psychological biases. Some are learned while others are genetically determined (and often socially reinforced). While this essay focuses on the financial and investing implications of these biases, they are prevalent in most areas in life.

STOCK MARKET: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2024/10/13/stock-market-a-zero-sum-bias/

Loss aversion affected many investors during the stock market crash of 2007-08 or the flash crash of May 6, 2010 also known as the crash of 2:45. During the crash, many people decided they couldn’t afford to lose more and sold their investments.

Of course, this caused the investors to sell at market troughs and miss the quick, dramatic recovery.

Overconfident investing happens when we believe we can out-smart other investors via market timing or through quick, frequent trading.

Data convincingly shows that people who trade most often under-perform the market by a significant margin over time.

Mental accounting takes place when we assign different values to money depending on where we got it.

For instance, even though we may have an aggressive saving goal for the year, it is likely easier for us to save money that we worked for than money that was given to us as a gift.

Herd mentality makes it very hard for humans to not take action when everyone around us does.

For example, we may hear stories of people making significant profits buying, fixing up, and flipping homes and have the desire to get in on the action, even though we have no experience in real estate.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource/Title/0826102549

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Stock Markets, Commodities and Crypto-Currency

Posted on October 16, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™

By Staff Reporters and A.I.

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Stocks: Stock Market Indexes recovered yesterday from their losses, though the Dow remained in the red.
Commodities: Gold is rising above $4,200 to another new all-time high. Meanwhile, oil dropped to nearly a five-month low as trade tensions raised the specter of slowing economic growth.
Crypto: Bitcoin, ethereum, and altcoins of all shapes and sizes remain repressed after a massive selloff last weekend erased billions in crypto positions.

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The Role of Market Makers in Financial Markets

Posted on October 16, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™

By Staff Reporters

SPONSOR: http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com

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A Market Maker exists to “create a market” for specific company securities by being willing to buy and sell those securities at a specified displayed price and quantity to broker-dealer firms that are members of the exchange.

These firms help keep financial markets liquid by making it easier for investors to buy and sell securities–they ensure that there is always someone to buy and sell to at the time of trade.

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What is the S&P 500 Stock Index?

Posted on October 15, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™

By A.I. and Staff Reporters

SPONSOR: http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com

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The S&P 500, short for the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index, is one of the most widely followed stock market indices in the world. It tracks the performance of 500 of the largest publicly traded companies in the United States, offering a broad snapshot of the overall health and direction of the U.S. economy. Created in 1957 by the financial services company Standard & Poor’s, the index has become a benchmark for investors, analysts, and economists alike.

Composition and Criteria The S&P 500 includes companies from a wide range of industries, such as technology, healthcare, finance, energy, and consumer goods. To be included in the index, a company must meet specific criteria: it must be based in the U.S., have a market capitalization of at least $14.5 billion (as of 2025), be highly liquid, and have a public float of at least 50% of its shares. Additionally, the company must have positive earnings in the most recent quarter and over the sum of its most recent four quarters.

Some of the most recognizable names in the S&P 500 include Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Johnson & Johnson, JPMorgan Chase, and ExxonMobil. These companies are selected by a committee that reviews eligibility and ensures the index remains representative of the broader market.

How It Works The S&P 500 is a market-capitalization-weighted index, meaning that companies with larger market values have a greater influence on the index’s performance. For example, a significant movement in Apple’s stock price will affect the index more than a similar movement in a smaller company’s stock. This weighting system helps reflect the real impact of large corporations on the economy.

The index is updated in real time during trading hours and is used by investors to gauge market trends. It also serves as the basis for many investment products, such as mutual funds and exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which aim to replicate its performance.

VIX: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2025/10/12/vix-the-stock-market-fear-gauge/

Why It Matters The S&P 500 is considered a leading indicator of U.S. equity markets and the economy as a whole. When the index rises, it often signals investor confidence and economic growth. Conversely, a decline may indicate uncertainty or economic slowdown. Because it includes companies from diverse sectors, the S&P 500 provides a more balanced view than narrower indices like the Dow Jones Industrial Average, which only tracks 30 companies.

Investment and Strategy Many investors use the S&P 500 as a benchmark to measure the performance of their portfolios. Passive investment strategies, such as index funds, aim to match the returns of the S&P 500 rather than beat it. This approach has gained popularity due to its low fees and consistent long-term performance.

In summary, the S&P 500 is more than just a number—it’s a powerful tool that reflects the pulse of the American economy. By tracking the performance of 500 major companies, it offers insights into market trends, investor sentiment, and economic health. Whether you’re a seasoned investor or just starting out, understanding the S&P 500 is essential to navigating the world of finance.

VIX Today: 20.81USD▲ +1.78 (+9.35%) today

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Understanding Investment Fees: A Guide for Physicians

Posted on October 14, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™

SPONSOR: http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™

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MEDICAL COLLEAGUES BEWARE!

Investment fees still matter for physicians and all of us, despite dropping dramatically over the past several decades due to computer automation, algorithms and artificial intelligence, etc. And, they can make a big difference to your financial health. So, before buying any investment thru a financial advisor, planner, manager, stock broker, etc., it’s vital to understand these two often confusing costs.

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Fee Only: Paid directly by clients for their services and can’t receive other sources of compensation, such as payments from fund providers. Act as a fiduciary, meaning they are obligated to put their clients’ interests first

Fee Based: Paid by clients but also via other sources, such as commissions from financial products that clients purchase. Brokers and dealers (registered representatives) are simply required to sell products that are “suitable” for their clients. Not a fiduciary.

EDUCATION: Books

SPEAKING: Dr. Marcinko will be speaking and lecturing, signing and opining, teaching and preaching, storming and performing at many locations throughout the USA this year! His tour of witty and serious pontifications may be scheduled on a planned or ad-hoc basis; for public or private meetings and gatherings; formally, informally, or over lunch or dinner. All medical societies, financial advisory firms or Broker-Dealers are encouraged to submit a RFP for speaking engagements: MarcinkoAdvisors@outlook.com

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Essential Critical Thinking Skills for Financial Advisors

Posted on October 13, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™

FOR ETHICAL PHYSICIAN CLIENT ACQUISITION SUCCESS

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko; MBA MEd CMP™

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SPONSOR: http://www.CertifiedMedicalPlanner.org

Critical thinking allows a Financial Advisor [FA] to analyze information and make an objective judgment. By impartially evaluating the facts related to a matter, Financial Planners [FPs] can draw realistic conclusions that will help make a sound decision. The ability of being able to properly analyze a situation and come up with a logical and reasonable conclusion is highly valued by employers, as well as current and potential clients.

Now, according to Indeed, we present the six main critical thinking and examples that will help you evaluate your own thought process as a FA, FP or Wealth Manager, etc.

What is critical thinking?

Critical thinking is the ability to objectively analyze information and draw a rational conclusion. It involves gathering information on a subject and determining which pieces of information apply to the subject and which don’t, based on deductive reasoning. The ability to think critically helps people in both their personal and professional lives and is valued by most clients and employers.

Why do employers value critical thinking?

Critical thinking skills are a valuable asset for an employee, as employers, brokerages and Registered Investment Advisors [RIAs] typically appreciate candidates who can correctly assess a situation and come up with a logical resolution. Time is a valuable resource for most managers, and an employee able to make correct decisions without supervision will save both that manager and the whole company much valuable time.

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Six main types of critical thinking skills

There are six main critical thinking skills you can develop to successfully analyze facts and situations and come up with logical conclusions:

1. Analytical thinking

Being able to properly analyze information is the most important aspect of critical thinking. This implies gathering information and interpreting it, but also skeptically evaluating data. When researching a work topic, analytical thinking helps you separate the information that applies to your situation from that which doesn’t.

2. Good communication

Whether you are gathering information or convincing others that your conclusions are correct, good communication is crucial in the process. Asking people to share their ideas and information with you and showing your critical thinking can help step further towards success. If you’re making a work-related decision, proper communication with your coworkers can help you gather the information you need to make the right choice.

3. Creative thinking

Being able to discover certain patterns of information and make abstract connections between seemingly unrelated data helps improve your critical thinking. When analyzing a work procedure or process, you can creatively come up with ways to make it faster and more efficient. Creativity is a skill that can be strengthened over time and is valuable in every position, experience level and industry.

4. Open-mindedness

Previous education and life experiences leave their mark on a person’s ability to objectively evaluate certain situations. By acknowledging these biases, you can improve your critical thinking and overall decision process. For example, if you plan to conduct a meeting in a certain way and your firm suggests using a different strategy, you should let them speak and adjust your approach based on their input.

5. Ability to solve problems

The ability to correctly analyze a problem and work on implementing a solution is another valuable skill.

6. Asking thoughtful questions:

In both private and professional situations, asking the right questions is a crucial step in formulating correct conclusions. Questions can be categorized in various forms as mentioned below:

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* Open-ended questions

Asking open-ended questions can help the person you’re communicating with provide you with relevant and necessary information. These are questions that don’t allow a simple “yes” or “no” as an answer, requiring the respondent to elaborate on the answer.

* Outcome-based questions

When you feel like another person’s experience and skills could help you work more effectively, consider asking outcome-based questions. Asking someone how they would act in a certain hypothetical situation, such as a stock market correction, can give you an insight into their perspective, helping you see things you hadn’t thought about before.

Reflective questions

You can gain insight by asking a client to reflect and evaluate an experience and explain their thought processes during that time. This can help you develop your critical thinking by providing you real-world examples.

* Structural questions

An easy way to understand something is to ask how something works. Any working system results from a long process of trial and error, and properly understanding the steps that needed to be taken for a positive result could help you be more efficient in your own endeavors.

CONCLUSION

Critical thinking is like a muscle that can be exercised and built over time. It is a skill that can help propel your career to new heights. You’ll be able to solve workplace issues, use trial and error to troubleshoot ideas, and more.

EDUCATION: Books

SPEAKING: Dr. Marcinko will be speaking and lecturing, signing and opining, teaching and preaching, storming and performing at many locations throughout the USA this year! His tour of witty and serious pontifications may be scheduled on a planned or ad-hoc basis; for public or private meetings and gatherings; formally, informally, or over lunch or dinner. All medical societies, financial advisory firms or Broker-Dealers are encouraged to submit a RFP for speaking engagements: MarcinkoAdvisors@outlook.com

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OCTOBER: The 2025 Stock Market Crash

Posted on October 13, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™

By A.I. and Staff Reporters

SPONSOR: http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com

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The October 2025 Stock Market Crash: A Perfect Storm of Geopolitics and Investor Panic

The weekend of October 10–12, 2025, marked one of the most dramatic downturns in global financial markets in recent memory. What began as a series of unsettling headlines quickly snowballed into a full-blown market crash, sending shockwaves through economies and portfolios worldwide. This event was not the result of a single catalyst but rather a convergence of geopolitical tensions, speculative excess, and investor psychology.

At the heart of the crisis was a sudden escalation in U.S.–China trade relations. President Donald Trump abruptly canceled a scheduled diplomatic meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping and announced a sweeping 100% tariff on all Chinese imports. This move reignited fears of a prolonged trade war, reminiscent of the economic standoff that rattled markets in the late 2010s. Investors, already jittery from months of uncertainty, interpreted the announcement as a signal of deteriorating global cooperation and retaliatory economic measures to come.

VIX: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2025/10/12/vix-the-stock-market-fear-gauge/

The impact was immediate and severe. Major U.S. indices plummeted: the S&P 500 dropped 2.7%, the Nasdaq fell 3.6%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 1.9%. These declines marked the worst single-day performance since April and triggered automatic trading halts in several sectors. The selloff was not confined to the United States; European and Asian markets mirrored the panic, with steep losses across the board.

Compounding the crisis was a massive liquidation in the cryptocurrency market. As traditional assets tumbled, investors rushed to offload digital holdings, leading to the largest crypto wipeout in history. Trillions of dollars in value evaporated within hours, further destabilizing investor confidence and draining liquidity from the broader financial system.

Another underlying factor was growing concern over the valuation of artificial intelligence (AI) stocks. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) had recently issued a warning that the AI sector was exhibiting signs of a speculative bubble, drawing parallels to the dot-com era. With many AI companies trading at astronomical price-to-earnings ratios, the crash exposed the fragility of investor sentiment and the dangers of overexuberance in emerging technologies.

Perhaps most telling was the psychological shift among investors. The weekend saw widespread capitulation, with many choosing to exit the market entirely rather than weather further volatility. This behavior—marked by fear-driven decision-making and herd mentality—is often a hallmark of deeper financial crises. It underscores the importance of trust and stability in maintaining market equilibrium.

Abbvie: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2024/09/04/abbvie-the-economic-recession/

In conclusion, the October 2025 stock market crash was a multifaceted event driven by geopolitical shocks, speculative risk, and emotional contagion. It serves as a stark reminder of how interconnected and fragile global markets have become. As policymakers and investors assess the damage, the focus must shift toward restoring confidence, recalibrating risk, and ensuring that future growth is built on sustainable foundations rather than speculative fervor.

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SPEAKING: ME-P Editor Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd will be speaking and lecturing, signing and opining, teaching and preaching, storming and performing at many locations throughout the USA this year! His tour of witty and serious pontifications may be scheduled on a planned or ad-hoc basis; for public or private meetings and gatherings; formally, informally, or over lunch or dinner. All medical societies, financial advisory firms or Broker-Dealers are encouraged to submit an RFP for speaking engagements: CONTACT: Ann Miller RN MHA at MarcinkoAdvisors@outlook.com -OR- http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com

EDUCATION: Books

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Understanding Stockbrokers: Roles and Responsibilities

Posted on October 12, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™

DEFINITION

By Staff Reporters

SPONSOR: http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com

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Buying or selling stocks requires access to one of the major exchanges, such as the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) or the National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotations (NASDAQ). To trade on these exchanges, you must be a member of the exchange or belong to a member firm. Member firms and many individuals who work for them are licensed as brokers or broker-dealers by the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA).

INSURANCE AGENT: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2025/04/27/insurance-agents-v-brokers/

And so, a stockbroker executes orders in the market on behalf of clients. A stockbroker may also be known as a registered representative or investment advisor. Most stockbrokers work for a brokerage firm and handle transactions for several individual and institutional customers. Stockbrokers are often paid on commission, although compensation methods vary by employer.

Remember: SBs work for their firm and not the client. Stock brokers are not fiduciaries.

FINANCIAL ADVISOR: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2025/04/01/financial-advisors-vital-critical-thinking-skills-to-master/

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The Medical Executive-Post is a news and information aggregator and social media professional network for medical and financial service professionals.

Feel free to submit education content to the site as well as links, text posts, images, opinions and videos which are then voted up or down by other members. Comments and dialog are especially welcomed.

Daily posts are organized by subject. ME-P administrators moderate the activity. Moderation may also conducted by community-specific moderators who are unpaid volunteers.

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What is the Dow Jones Industrial Average?

Posted on October 10, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™

DEFINED

By A.I. and Staff Reporters

SPONSOR: http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com

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The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), often referred to simply as “the Dow,” is one of the oldest and most well-known stock market indices in the world. It was created in 1896 by Charles Dow, the co-founder of The Wall Street Journal, and is designed to represent the performance of the broader U.S. stock market, specifically focusing on 30 large, publicly traded companies. These companies are considered leaders in their respective industries and serve as a barometer for the overall health of the U.S. economy.

The Composition of the DJIA

The DJIA includes 30 companies, which are selected by the editors of The Wall Street Journal based on various factors such as market influence, reputation, and the stability of the company. These companies represent a wide array of sectors, including technology, finance, healthcare, consumer goods, and energy. Notably, the companies chosen for the DJIA are not necessarily the largest companies in the U.S. by market capitalization, but rather those that are most indicative of the broader economy. Some of the prominent companies listed in the DJIA include names like Apple, Microsoft, Coca-Cola, and Johnson & Johnson.

However, the list of 30 companies is not static. Over time, companies may be added or removed to reflect changes in the economic landscape. For example, if a company experiences significant decline or no longer represents a leading sector, it might be replaced with another company that better reflects modern economic trends. This periodic reshuffling ensures that the DJIA continues to be a relevant measure of economic activity.

How the DJIA is Calculated

The DJIA is a price-weighted index, which means that the value of the index is determined by the share price of the component companies, rather than their market capitalization. To calculate the DJIA, the sum of the stock prices of all 30 companies is divided by a special divisor. This divisor adjusts for stock splits, dividends, and other corporate actions to maintain the integrity of the index over time. The price-weighted method means that higher-priced stocks have a greater impact on the movement of the index, regardless of the overall size or economic weight of the company.

For instance, if a company with a higher stock price like Apple experiences a significant change in value, it will influence the DJIA more than a company with a lower stock price, even if the latter has a larger market capitalization. This makes the DJIA somewhat different from other indices, like the S&P 500, which is weighted by market cap and gives more weight to larger companies in terms of their economic impact.

Significance of the DJIA

The DJIA is widely regarded as a barometer of the U.S. stock market’s performance. Investors and analysts closely monitor the movements of the Dow to gauge the overall health of the economy. When the DJIA rises, it generally suggests that investors are optimistic about the economic outlook and that large companies are performing well. Conversely, when the DJIA falls, it often signals economic uncertainty or a downturn in market conditions.

Despite being a narrow index, with only 30 companies, the DJIA holds substantial sway in financial markets. It is widely covered in the media and is often cited in discussions about the state of the economy. In fact, the performance of the DJIA is considered a key indicator of investor sentiment and economic confidence.

However, the DJIA has its limitations. Since it only includes 30 companies, it does not necessarily represent the broader market or capture the performance of smaller companies. Other indices, like the S&P 500, which includes 500 companies, offer a more comprehensive view of the market’s performance.

Conclusion

The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a key metric for understanding the state of the U.S. economy and the stock market. Although it has evolved over the years, it continues to provide valuable insights into the performance of large, influential companies. While it is not a perfect reflection of the market as a whole, the DJIA remains one of the most important and widely recognized indices in global finance. Through its historical significance and its role in shaping market sentiment, the Dow has cemented its place as a cornerstone of financial analysis.

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Understanding Behavioral Finance Paradoxes

Posted on October 9, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™

By Staff Reporters

SPONSOR: http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com

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“THE INVESTOR’S CHIEF problem—even his worst enemy—is likely to be himself.” So wrote Benjamin Graham, the father of modern investment analysis.

With these words, written in 1949, Graham acknowledged the reality that investors are human. Though he had written an 800 page book on techniques to analyze stocks and bonds, Graham understood that investing is as much about human psychology as it is about numerical analysis.

In the decades since Graham’s passing, an entire field has emerged at the intersection of psychology and finance. Known as behavioral finance, its pioneers include Daniel Kahneman, Amos Tversky and Richard Thaler. Together, they and their peers have identified countless human foibles that interfere with our ability to make good financial decisions. These include hindsight bias, recency bias and overconfidence, among others. On my bookshelf, I have at least as many volumes on behavioral finance as I do on pure financial analysis, so I certainly put stock in these ideas.

At the same time, I think we’re being too hard on ourselves when we lay all of these biases at our feet. We shouldn’t conclude that we’re deficient because we’re so susceptible to biases. Rather, the problem is that finance isn’t a scientific field like math or physics. At best, it’s like chaos theory. Yes, there is some underlying logic, but it’s usually so hard to observe and understand that it might as well be random. The world of personal finance is bedeviled by paradoxes, so no individual—no matter how rational—can always make optimal decisions.

As we plan for our financial future, I think it’s helpful to be cognizant of these paradoxes. While there’s nothing we can do to control or change them, there is great value in being aware of them, so we can approach them with the right tools and the right mindset.

Here are just seven of the paradoxes that can bedevil financial decision-making:

There’s the paradox that all of the greatest fortunes—Carnegie, Rockefeller, Buffett, Gates—have been made by owning just one stock. And yet the best advice for individual investors is to do the opposite: to own broadly diversified index funds.
There’s the paradox that the stock market may appear overvalued and yet it could become even more overvalued before it eventually declines. And when it does decline, it may be to a level that is even higher than where it is today.
There’s the paradox that we make plans based on our understanding of the rules—and yet Congress can change the rules on us at any time, as it did just last year.
There’s the paradox that we base our plans on historical averages—average stock market returns, average interest rates, average inflation rates and so on—and yet we only lead one life, so none of us will experience the average.
There’s the paradox that we continue to be attracted to the prestige of high-cost colleges, even though a rational analysis that looks at return on investment tells us that lower-cost state schools are usually the better bet.
There’s the paradox that early retirement seems so appealing—and has even turned into a movement—and yet the reality of early retirement suggests that we might be better off staying at our desks.
There’s the paradox that retirees’ worst fear is outliving their money and yet few choose the financial product that is purpose-built to solve that problem: the single-premium immediate annuity.

How should you respond to these paradoxes? As you plan for your financial future, embrace the concept of “loosely held views.”

In other words, make financial plans, but continuously update your views, question your assumptions and rethink your priorities.

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https://www.amazon.com/Comprehensive-Financial-Planning-Strategies-Advisors/dp/1482240289/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1418580820&sr=8-1&keywords=david+marcinko

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Stocks, Commodities, Japan & France

Posted on October 7, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™

By A.I.

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Stocks: The S&P 500 hit its seventh record close in a row today, its longest win streak since May. The NASDAQ was buoyed by big tech, while the DJIA fell.
Commodities: Oil climbed thanks to a decision by OPEC+ to boost crude production at a more modest rate than experts expected. Gold continued its record run, rising above $3,900 for the first time ever, while bitcoin hovered just below a new all-time high.
Japan and France: Japanese stocks rose after the country elected its first female prime minister, and French stocks dropped after its prime minister quit less than a month into the job.

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Understanding Population Health: Trends and Impacts

Posted on October 6, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™

A Different Perspective on Population Health

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP®

SPONSOR: http://www.CertifiedMedicalPlanner.org

Definition

Population health has been defined as “the health outcomes of a group of individuals, including the distribution of such outcomes within the group”. It is an approach to health that aims to improve the health of an entire human population or cohort. http://www.HealthDictionarySeries.org

History

In fact, the nominal “father of population health” is colleague and Dean David B. Nash MD MBA of Jefferson Medical School in Philadelphia. And, although I attended Temple University down the street, David still wrote the Foreword to my textbook years later; Financial Management Strategies for Hospitals and Healthcare Organizations [Tools, Techniques, Checklists and Case Studies].

https://www.amazon.com/Financial-Management-Strategies-Healthcare-Organizations/dp/1466558733/ref=sr_1_3?ie=UTF8&qid=1380743521&sr=8-3&keywords=david+marcinko

Factors

Now age, income, location, race, gender and education are just a few characteristics that differentiate the world’s population. These are called ”disparities” and they have a major impact on people’s lives; especially their healthcare. And, I’ve written about them before. Perform a ME-P “search” for more.

So, it’s only natural that we’re keeping an eye on two major demographic trends: aging baby boomers and maturing Millennials [1982-2002 approximately].

Why it’s important

The impact of large population shifts propagate throughout an economy benefitting certain sectors more than others and influencing a country’s growth prospects; tantalizing investing ideas?

Example:

For example, as baby boomers retire, we’ll likely see higher spending on health care, but less on education and raising children. Likewise, tech-savvy Millennials will likely prioritize consumption on experiences over cars and houses [leading economic indicator].

So, can we profit from these trends?

Assessment

Well maybe – maybe not! Overall economic prospects may not be completely affected by these trends. Spending habits on combined goods and services will shift, rather than rise or decline.

So, be careful. What matters most for your investment success is your demographics and investing according to your personal circumstances and goals [paradox-of-thrift].

Conclusion

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Understanding Hedge Funds: A Comprehensive Guide

Posted on October 5, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™

By Staff Reporters

SPONSOR: http://www.CertifiedMedicalPlanner.org

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SPONSOR: http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com

QUESTION: What is a Hedge Fund?

A hedge fund is a limited partnership of private investors whose money is pooled and managed by professional fund managers. These managers use a wide range of strategies, including leverage (borrowed money) and the trading of nontraditional assets, to earn above-average investment returns. A hedge fund investment is often considered a risky, alternative investment choice and usually requires a high minimum investment or net worth. Hedge funds typically target wealthy investors.

MANAGERS: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2025/05/23/hedge-fund-hiring-separate-managers/

The hedge fund manager I am considering also runs an offshore fund under a “master feeder” arrangement.

A PHYSICIAN’S QUESTION: What does this mean? In which fund should I invest?

The master feeder arrangement is a two-tiered investment structure whereby investors invest in the feeder fund. The feeder fund in turn invests in the master fund. The master fund is therefore the one that is actually investing in securities. There may be multiple feeder funds under one master fund. Feeder funds under the same master can differ drastically in terms of fees charged, minimums required, types of investors, and many other features – but the investment style will be the same because only the master actually invests in the market.

A master feeder structure is a very popular arrangement because it allows a portfolio manager to pool both onshore and offshore assets into one investment vehicle (the master fund) that allocates gains and losses in an asset-based, proportional manner back to the onshore and offshore investors. All investors, both offshore and onshore, get the same return. In this manner, the portfolio manager, despite offering more than one fund with different characteristics to different populations, is not faced with the dilemma of which fund to favor with the best investment ideas.

PENSION PLANS: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2025/05/18/medical-practice-pension-plan-hedge-fund-difficulties/

A manager may offer an offshore fund because there is demand for that manager’s skill either abroad, where investors may wish to preserve anonymity, or more commonly where investors simply do not wish to become entangled with the United States tax code. American citizens should generally avoid the offshore fund, since American citizens are taxed on their allocated share of offshore corporation profits whether or not a distribution occurs. Therefore, there is no benefit for most American taxpayers investing in an offshore fund.

Tax-exempt institutions, such as medical foundations, in the United States may have reason to consider an offshore hedge fund, however. Domestic tax-exempt organizations are generally not subject to unrelated business taxable income (UBTI) – the portion of hedge fund income that comes about as a result of the use of leverage – when investing with an offshore corporation. If the same tax-exempt organization were to invest in a domestic fund, and if UBTI was generated, then the organization would have to pay taxes on that UBTI. Most domestic hedge funds generate UBTI.

FEES: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2025/04/05/hedge-fund-wrap-fees/

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Filed under: "Ask-an-Advisor", CMP Program, Experts Invited, Financial Planning, Funding Basics, Glossary Terms, Investing, Marcinko Associates, Portfolio Management | Tagged: Alternative Investments, CMP, Health Insurance, hedge funds, life insurance, Marcinko, master feeder, Mike Burry MD, mutual fund, nifty, personal-finance, retirement, suiability, UBTI, unrelated business taxable income | Leave a comment »

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