HISTORY: Medical Education and Practice in the USA

Domestic Medical SCHOOL Education

Robert James Cimasi

Todd A. Zigrang

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U.S. medical education began in the late eighteenth century as an apprenticeship program in which physicians taught their trade to a few pupils, a pedagogical learning style which relied heavily upon the capacity, skills, and knowledge of the individual physician.[1] However, as learning newly discovered information and utilizing new technologies became more necessary to the industry’s practice, many physicians found the apprenticeship system no longer adequate as a manner of educating the next generation of physicians.[2] As a result, the conventional concept of medical education that originated in the U.S. in the 1750s was manifested through informal courses and demonstrations by private individuals or for-profit institutions. Those individuals who were not satisfied with a typical U.S. medical education, consisting of two identical 16-week lecture terms, might venture to Europe for a more formalized and detailed manner of learning.[3]

One of these students who studied in Europe was William Shippen, who began teaching an informal course on midwifery when he returned to the American colonies in 1762.[4] He later addressed the limitations of what might be taught in one informal course when he began teaching a lecture series on anatomy to help educate those who wished to be a physician, but could not travel abroad. John Morgan, a classmate of Shippen, noticed the potential of his friend’s endeavor and proposed the idea to create a professorship for the practice of medicine to the board of trustees of the College of Philadelphia.[5] Just across town, Thomas Bond, who conceived the idea of, and successfully established, the Pennsylvania Hospital with Benjamin Franklin, recognized the value to allowing medical students to participate in bedside training.[6] When Bond agreed to a partnership with the College of Philadelphia, the University of Pennsylvania became home to America’s first medical school.[7]

In 1893, Johns Hopkins University also made history by housing the first medical school that was able to operate out of a university-owned hospital.[8] The medical school not only encouraged clinical research to be performed by every member of their faculty, but the program also included a clinical research clerkship for every student during their rotation.[9] This program quickly became the model to which schools aspired and set the foundation for national medical education by connecting science and medical research with clinical medicine.[10]

With these early examples of medical schools, America’s field of medical education and clinical medicine made monumental strides. However, the societal pressures, caused by the U.S.’s population growth and demand for educated physicians,[11] did not allow many other universities to build on Johns Hopkins’ or the University of Pennsylvania’s foundation model, and led to the development of medical schools that had their own unique set of entrance and graduation requirements. While some focused entirely on medicine, other schools (termed Studia Generalia) also incorporated law, theology, and philosophy in their curricula.[12] In an attempt to both understand and make uniform the field of medical education, the American Medical Association (AMA) founded the Council on Medical Education (CME) in 1904.[13] The CME created minimum national educational standards for training physicians, and subsequently found that many schools did not meet these established standards.[14] However, the CME did not share the ratings of any of these medical schools “outside the medical fraternity.”[15]

In 1910, the AMA commissioned the Carnegie Foundation for Advancement of Teaching to conduct a study of medical education and schools.[16] Abraham Flexner conducted the inquiry and detailed his findings in what became known as The Flexner Report.[17] In his review of the U.S. medical education system, Flexner found that many of the proprietary medical schools met the AMA’s educational goals, but an imbalance existed between the pursuit of science and medical education.[18]  Professors were focused solely on student throughput, and did not ensure a high level of medical training that reflected the developments in the medical industry.[19] As aptly noted by Dr. John Roberts in his book entitled The Doctor’s Duty to the State, “[m]any of you remember the struggle to wrest from medical teachers the power to create medical practitioners with almost no real knowledge of medicine. The medical schools of that day were, in many instances, conducted merely as money-makers for the professors.”[20] As the AMA gained more influence over the provision of healthcare in the U.S., the value and power of medical education also gained recognition. Notably, teaching hospitals had the power to influence the development of their disciplines through their research initiatives, the quality of care they provided, and their ability to operate as an economy of scale, allowing them to dictate the evolution of medical education.[21]

Since the establishment of the first medical school in the U.S., medical education has been the foundation for shaping standards of care in the practice of medicine and defining medical errors as deviations from the norms of clinical care.[22] When Thomas Bond helped establish the University of Pennsylvania medical school, he envisioned a normal day where the physician:

…meets his pupils at stated times in the Hospital, and when a case presents adapted to his purpose, he asks all those Questions which lead to a certain knowledge of the Disease and parts affected; and if the Disease baffles the power of Art and the Patient falls a Sacrifice to it, he then brings his Knowledge to the Test, and fixes Honour [sic] or discredit on his Reputation by exposing all the Morbid parts to View, and Demonstrates by what means it produced Death, and if perchance he finds something unexpected, which Betrays an Error in Judgement [sic], he like a great and good man immediately acknowledges the mistake, and, for the benefit of survivors, points out other methods by which it might have been more happily treated.[23]

Originally, students were to study and learn from medical errors and adverse events through medical education as a means of improving the quality of care. However, it is difficult to effectively implement any significant advancement learned through the research and investigation of prior errors in a timely and cost-effective manner. Additionally, physician supply shortages have only increased the amount of patients that a physician must see daily, while simultaneously decreasing the amount of time they can spend with each patient. Although medical education continues to be one of the central underpinnings to the development of the medical industry, outside pressures that shape the clinical practice of physicians continue to limit physician effectiveness in providing quality care to patients.[24]

While improving the quality and rigor of medical education has been a constant focus throughout the history of U.S. medical education, the challenges of replicating it on a scale that produces enough qualified physicians to meet the growing demands of the U.S. population, with constantly changing technologies, has consistently been a central issue. Notably, in the 13 years preceding 1980, the ratio of actively practicing physicians to patients increased by 50%.[25] This increased physician-to-patient ratio led to concerns over quality of care and cost-effectiveness, which in turn caused the creation of a government committee to evaluate physician manpower allocation and distribution. The Graduate Medical Education National Advisory Committee (GMENAC) was first chartered in April 1976, and later extended through September 1980.[26] Its purpose was to “analyze the distribution among specialties of physicians and medical students and to evaluate alternative approaches to ensure an appropriate balance,”as well as to“encourage bodies controlling the number, types, and geographic location of graduate training positions to provide leadership in achieving the recommended balance.”[27] GMENAC produced seven volumes of recommendations regarding physician manpower supply,[28]  through the development of several models by which to determine the projected number of physicians that would be needed in the future by different subspecialties to achieve “a better balance of physicians.”[29] Ignoring critics of the report, U.S. medical schools adjusted their enrollment numbers in response to the GMENAC’s recommendations, causing a significant decrease in the supply of new physicians going into the 21st century.

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History of Conventional Medicine - 24 Hour Translation ...

[1]       “Healthcare Valuation: The Four Pillars of Healthcare Value,” Volume 1, Robert James Cimasi, MHA, ASA, FRRICS, MCBA, CVA, CM&AA, John Wiley & Sons, Hoboken, NJ: 2014, p. 22-23.RR

[2]       “Before There Was Flexner,” American Medical Student Association, 2014,

         http://www.amsa.org/AMSA/Homepage/MemberCenter/Premeds/edRx/Before.aspx (Accessed 1/7/15).

[3]       “Time to Heal: American Medical Education from the Turn of the Century to the Era of Managed Care,” By Kenneth M. Ludmerer, New York, NY:

          Oxford University Press, 1999, p. 4.

[4]       “The Flexner Report on Medical Education in the United States and Canada in 1910,” By Abraham Flexner, Bethesda, MD: Science and Health

         Publications, Inc., p. 3-5.

[5]       “The Flexner Report on Medical Education in the United States and Canada in 1910,” By Abraham Flexner, Bethesda, MD: Science and Health

         Publications, Inc., p. 3-5.

[6]       “The Flexner Report on Medical Education in the United States and Canada in 1910,” By Abraham Flexner, Bethesda, MD: Science and Health

         Publications, Inc., p. 3-5.

[7]       “Before There Was Flexner,” American Medical Student Association, 2014,

         http://www.amsa.org/AMSA/Homepage/MemberCenter/Premeds/edRx/Before.aspx (Accessed 1/7/15).

[8]       “Time to Heal: American Medical Education from the Turn of the Century to the Era of Managed Care,” By Kenneth M. Ludmerer, New York, NY:

          Oxford University Press, 1999, p. 18-19.

[9]       “Time to Heal: American Medical Education from the Turn of the Century to the Era of Managed Care,” By Kenneth M. Ludmerer, New York, NY:

          Oxford University Press, 1999, p. 18-19.

[10]     “Science and Social Work:  A Critical Appraisal,” By Stuart A. Kirk, and William James Reid, New York, NY: Columbia University Press, 2002, Chapter 1, p. 2-3.

[11]     “The Flexner Report on Medical Education in the United States and Canada in 1910,” By Abraham Flexner, Bethesda, MD: Science and Health

          Publications, Inc., p. 6-7.

[12]     “Western Medicine: An Illustrated History,” By Irvine Loudon, New York, NY: Oxford University Press, 1997, p. 58.

[13]     “Western Medicine: An Illustrated History,” By Irvine Loudon, New York, NY: Oxford University Press, 1997, p. 58.

[14]     “Western Medicine: An Illustrated History,” By Irvine Loudon, New York, NY: Oxford University Press, 1997, p. 58.

[15]     “Western Medicine: An Illustrated History,” By Irvine Loudon, New York, NY: Oxford University Press, 1997, p. 58.

[16]     “U.S. Health Policy and Politics: A Documentary History,” By Kevin Hillstrom, Thousand Oaks, CA: CQ Press, 2012, p. 141.

[17]     “The Flexner Report on Medical Education in the United States and Canada in 1910,” By Abraham Flexner, Bethesda, MD: Science and Health

         Publications, Inc., p. 3-19.

[18]     “The Flexner Report on Medical Education in the United States and Canada in 1910,” By Abraham Flexner, Bethesda, MD: Science and Health

         Publications, Inc., p. 3-19.

[19]     “The Flexner Report on Medical Education in the United States and Canada in 1910,” By Abraham Flexner, Bethesda, MD: Science and Health

         Publications, Inc., p. 3-19.

[20]     “The Doctor’s Duty to the State: Essays on The Public Relations of Physicians,” By John B. Roberts, AM, MD, Chicago, IL: American Medical Association Press, 1908, p. 23.

[21]     “Time to Heal: American Medical Education from the Turn of the Century to the Era of Managed Care,” By Kenneth M. Ludmerer, New York, NY:

          Oxford University Press, 1999, p. 19.

[22]     “Science and Social Work:  A Critical Appraisal,” By Stuart A. Kirk, and William James Reid, New York: Columbia University Press, 2002, Chapter 1, p. 2-3.

[23]     “Dr. Thomas Bond’s Essay on the Utility of Clinical Lectures,” By Carl Bridenbaugh, Journal of the History of Medicine (Winter 1947), p. 14; “The Flexner Report on Medical Education in the United States and Canada in 1910,” By Abraham Flexner, Bethesda, MD: Science and Health

         Publications, Inc., p. 4.

[24]     “Time to Heal: American Medical Education from the Turn of the Century to the Era of Managed Care,” By Kenneth M. Ludmerer, New York, NY:

          Oxford University Press, 1999, p. xxi.

[25]     “How many doctors are enough?” By J.E. Harris, Health Affairs, Vol. 5, No. 4 (1986), p.74.

[26]   “Report of the Graduate Medical Education National Advisory Committee to the Secretary, Department of Health and Human Services – Volume VII,” Graduate Medical Education National Advisory Committee, Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office, 1981, p. 5, 16.

[27]     “Report of the Graduate Medical Education National Advisory Committee to the Secretary, Department of Health and Human Services – Volume VII,” Graduate Medical Education National Advisory Committee, Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office, 1981, p. 73.

[28]     “Report of the Graduate Medical Education National Advisory Committee to the Secretary, Department of Health and Human Services – Volume VII,” Graduate Medical Education National Advisory Committee, Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office, 1981, p. 5-6.

[29]     “GMENAC: Its Manpower Forecasting Framework,” By D.R. McNutt, American Journal of Public Health, Vol. 71, No. 10 (October 1981), p. 1119.

[30]     “Crossing the Quality Chasm: A New Health System for the 21st Century,” Institute of Medicine, National Academy of Sciences, 2001, front matter.

[31]     “Overview of Medical Errors and Adverse Events,” By Maité Garrouste-Orgeas, et al., Annals of Intensive Care, Vol. 2, No. 2 (2012), p. 6.

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Low-income communities often struggle to access healthcare services, but a new analysis of federally qualified health centers (FQHCs)—which provide quality care to patients regardless of ability to pay—has helped nail down one reason. When it comes to screening for certain cancers, these nonprofit community health centers have fallen far behind the national average, according to a study led by cancer center researchers at the University of Texas MD Anderson and the University of New Mexico.

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Healthcare bankruptcies surged in 2023, and it turns out many of the companies that went under had one thing in common: private equity (PE) ownership. At least 21% of the 80 healthcare companies that filed for bankruptcy last year were PE-owned, according to a report from the nonprofit Private Equity Stakeholder Project (PESP).

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Warren Buffett on contemplated his own mortality at Berkshire’s meeting. Succession was the topic du jour at the Berkshire Hathaway shareholder meeting in Omaha last week. After his longtime business partner Charlie Munger died last year at 99, CEO Warren Buffett—who turns 94 in August—revealed his heir apparent, Greg Abel, will have the final say on investment decisions in his absence. Buffett ended his Q&A portion with the quip, “I not only hope you come next year. I hope I come next year.” Adding to the ominous vibes, Buffett said AI is a genie that “scares the hell out of me.”

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index climbed 52.95 points (1.0%) to 5,180.74; the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 176.59 points (0.5%) to 38,852.27; the NASDAQ Composite advanced 192.92 points (1.2%) to 16,349.25.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) fell about 1 basis  point to 4.491%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) was little changed at 13.48.

Semiconductors were among the strongest performers Monday behind Micron Technology (MU), whose shares rallied 4.7% after Robert W. Baird upgraded the chipmaker to “outperform” from “neutral.” Micron Technology was the top gainer in the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX), which advanced 2.2% to near a four-week high.

Small-cap stocks also got out of the gate strong this week. The Russell 2000® Index (RUT) gained 1.2% to end at a four-week high but is still up just 1.7% for the year, while the S&P 500 has gained 8.6%.

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A Brief History of Managed Medical Care in the USA

By National Council on Disability

The origins of managed care can be traced back to at least 1929, when Michael Shadid, a physician in Elk City, Oklahoma, established a health cooperative for farmers in a small community without medical specialists or a nearby general hospital. He sold shares to raise money to establish a local hospital and created an annual fee schedule to cover the costs of providing care. By 1934, 600 family memberships were supporting a staff that included Dr. Shadid, four newly recruited specialists, and a dentist. That same year, two Los Angeles physicians, Donald Ross and Clifford Loos, entered into a prepaid contract to provide comprehensive health services to 2,000 employees of a local water company

Development of Prepaid Health Plans

Other major prepaid group practice plans were initiated between 1930 and 1960, including the Group Health Association in Washington, DC, in 1937, the Kaiser-Permanente Medical Program in 1942, the Health Cooperative of Puget Sound in Seattle in 1947, the Health Insurance Plan of Greater New York in New York City in 1947, and the Group Health Plan of Minneapolis in 1957. These plans encountered strong opposition from the medical establishment, but they also attracted a large number of enrollees.

Today, such prepaid health plans are commonly referred to as health maintenance organizations (HMOs). The term “health maintenance organization,” however, was not coined until 1970, with the aim of highlighting the importance that prepaid health plans assign to health promotion and prevention of illness. HMOs are what most Americans think of when the term “managed care” is used, even though other managed care models have emerged over the past 40 years.

Public Managed Care Plans

The enactment of the Health Maintenance Organization Act of 1973 (P. L. 93-222) provided a major impetus to the expansion of managed health care. The legislation was proposed by the Nixon Administration in an attempt to restrain the growth of health care costs and also to preempt efforts by congressional Democrats to enact a universal health care plan. P. L. 93-222 authorized $375 million to assist in establishing and expanding HMOs, overrode state laws restricting the establishment of prepaid health plans, and required employers with 25 or more employees to offer an HMO option if they furnished health insurance coverage to their workers. The purpose of the legislation was to stimulate greater competition within health care markets by developing outpatient alternatives to expensive hospital-based treatment. Passage of this legislation also marked an important turning point in the U.S. health care industry because it introduced the concept of for-profit health care corporations to an industry long dominated by a not-for-profit business model.

In the decade following the passage of P. L. 93-222, enrollment in HMOs grew slowly. Stiff opposition from the medical profession led to the imposition of regulatory restrictions on HMO operations. But the continued, rapid growth in health care outlays forced government officials to look for new solutions. National health expenditures grew as a proportion of the overall gross national product (GNP) from 5.3 percent in 1960 to 9.5 percent in 1980. In response, Congress in 1972 authorized Medicare payments to free-standing ambulatory care clinics providing kidney dialysis to beneficiaries with end-stage renal disease. Over the following decade, the Federal Government authorized payments for more than 2,400 Medicare procedures performed on an outpatient basis.

Responding to the relaxed regulatory environment, physicians began to form group practices and open outpatient centers specializing in diagnostic imaging, wellness and fitness, rehabilitation, surgery, birthing, and other services previously provided exclusively in hospital settings. As a result, the number of outpatient clinics skyrocketed from 200 in 1983 to more than 1,500 in 1991, and the percentage of surgeries performed in hospitals was halved between 1980 (83.7%) and 1992.

mind-investing-behavioral-finance

The Influence of Medicare Prospective Payments

Health care costs, however, continued to spiral upward, consuming 10.8 percent of GNP by 1983. In an attempt to slow the growth rate, Congress in 1982 capped hospital reimbursement rates under the Medicare program and directed the secretary of HHS to develop a case mix methodology for reimbursing hospitals based on diagnosis-related groups (DRGs). As an incentive to the hospital industry, the legislation (the Tax Equity and Fiscal Responsibility Act (P. L. 97-248)) included a provision allowing hospitals to avoid a Medicare spending cap by reaching an agreement with HHS on implementing a prospective payment system (PPS) to replace the existing FFS system. Following months of intense negotiations involving federal officials and representatives of the hospital industry, the Reagan Administration unveiled a Medicare PPS. Under the new system, health conditions were divided into 468 DRGs, with a fixed hospital payment rate assigned to each group.

Once the DRG system was fully phased in, Medicare payments to hospitals stabilized. However, since DRGs applied to inpatient hospital services only, many hospitals, like many group medical practices, began to expand their outpatient services in order to offset revenues lost as a result of shorter hospital stays. Between 1983 and 1991, the percentage of hospitals with outpatient care departments grew from 50 percent to 87 percent. Hospital revenues derived from outpatient services doubled over the period, reaching 25 percent of all revenues by 1992

Since DRGs were applied exclusively to Medicare payments, hospitals began to shift unreimbursed costs to private health insurance plans. As a result, average per employee health plan premiums doubled between 1984 and 1991, rising from $1,645 to $3,605. With health insurance costs eroding profits, many employers took aggressive steps to control health care expenditures. Plan benefits were reduced. Employees were required to pay a larger share of health insurance premiums. More and more employers—especially large corporations—decided to pay employee health costs directly rather than purchase health insurance. And a steadily increasing number of large and small businesses turned to managed health care plans in an attempt to rein in spiraling health care outlays.

Managed Long-Term Services and Supports

Arizona became the first state to apply managed care principles to the delivery and financing of Medicaid-funded LTSS in 1987, when the federal Health Care Financing Administration (later renamed the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services) approved the state’s request to expand its existing Medicaid managed care program. Medicaid recipients with physical and developmental disabilities became eligible to participate in the Arizona Long-Term Care System as a result of this program expansion. Over the following two decades, a number of other states joined Arizona in providing managed LTSS, and by the summer of 2012, 16 states were operating Medicaid managed LTSS programsScientists at work

Growth of Commercial Managed Care Plans

During the late 1980s and early 1990s, managed care plans were credited with curtailing the runaway growth in health care costs. They achieved these efficiencies mainly by eliminating unnecessary hospitalizations and forcing participating physicians and other health care providers to offer their services at discounted rates. By 1993, a majority (51%) of Americans receiving health insurance through their employers were enrolled in managed health care plans. Eventually, however, benefit denials and disallowances of medically necessary services led to a public outcry and the enactment of laws in many states imposing managed care standards. According to one analysis, nearly 900 state laws governing managed health practices were enacted during the 1990s. Among the measures approved were laws permitting women to visit gynecologists and obstetricians without obtaining permission from their primary care physician, establishing the right of patients to receive emergency care, and establishing the right of patients to appeal decisions made by managed care firms. Congress even got into the act in 1997 when it passed the Newborns’ Mother Health Protection Act, prohibiting so-called “drive-through deliveries” (overly restrictive limits on hospital stays following the birth of a child).

Research studies have yielded little evidence that managed health care excesses have undermined the quality of health care services. For example, in a survey of 2,000 physicians, Remler and colleagues found that managed care insurance plans denied only about 1 percent of recommended hospitalizations, slightly more than 1 percent of recommended surgeries, and just over 2.5 percent of referrals to specialists. In another study, Franks and colleagues found that medical outcomes were similar for participants in HMOs versus FFS health plans. Franks also reported that HMO patients were hospitalized 40 percent less frequently than FFS patients, and the rate of inappropriate hospitalizations was lower among HMO patients.

Link: http://www.ncd.gov

More Recent Developments

Over the past 15 to 20 years, the public outcry against draconian managed care practices has waned, primarily due to the expanded out-of-network options afforded to participants in HMOs, PPOs, and POS health plans. But the perception that managed care represents an overly cost-conscious, mass market approach to delivering medical services lingers among the American public, even though more than 135 million people with health insurance coverage now receive their primary, preventive, and acute health services through a managed care plan. People with disabilities, especially high users of medical care and LTSS, share many of the same negative perceptions of managed care as the general public.

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DAILY UPDATE: Cooling Labor Markets with Unemployment Rate Uptick

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A cooling labor market raises hopes for a rate cut in the summer. The latest Labor Department data shows the US added 175,000 jobs in April, but much less than the 300,000 added in March and also less than economists expected. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate ticked up to 3.9% from 3.8% in March, and wages rose less than anticipated. All that bad news for us was music to the ears of investors who are holding out hope that the Federal Reserve might still cut interest rates this summer despite most recent economic data showing that inflation is sticking around.

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Rate cuts appear to be back on the 2024 menu following Friday’s softer-than-expected jobs report, fueling gains for all three major stock indexes last week. With the report calming worries that inflation is ticking back up, investors now project a 50% likelihood that the Federal Reserve will reduce rates in September.

Coinbase is benefiting from the hype around new bitcoin ETFs. The crypto exchange reported a $1.2 billion quarterly profit last week, and net revenue rose by 115%.

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PODCAST: Cost of Healthcare Bureaucracy

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DAILY UPDATE: Sleep, Starbucks and Cell Phone Education

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Happy Cinco de Mayo 2024

Starbucks – The coffee company known for consistently outperforming itself reported less-than-spectacular earnings this week, sending its stock plunging 12% on Tuesday evening last week on the news—nearly as much as when the company shut all its doors during Covid 19. For the first time since 2020, US same-store sales declined, falling 3% alongside a 7% decrease in foot traffic. Meanwhile, revenue fell 1.8% to $8.56 billion as sales in China—the chain’s second-biggest market—declined 11%, and Starbucks lowered its sales outlook for the year.

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Educators have long pushed back against distraction machines (aka phones), with 77% of schools banning them in the classroom as of 2020, according to a National Center for Education Statistics survey. School time still overlaps with screen time: 97% of students are on their phones during school hours, according to a study by Common Sense Media, a nonprofit that informs parents about technology. While much of students’ phone use might be at lunch or recess, teachers complain that kids aren’t waiting for the bell to take a discreet peek at their screens.

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Creatine may counteract sleep deprivation. The dietary supplement all over your Instagram feed might one day help workers who have to do a lot on small amounts of sleep, like ER staff, first responders, and anyone sharing a house with a baby.

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Doctors Order Less Laboratory Tests

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MAY THE FOURTH BE WITH YOU

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index rose 63.59 points (1.3%) to 5,127.79, up 0.6% for the week; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) gained 450.02 points (1.2%) to 38,675.68, up 1.1% for the week; the NASDAQ Composite surged 315.37 points (2.0%) to 16,156.33, up 1.4% for the week.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) fell about 7 basis points to 4.50%, down about 16 basis points for the week.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) fell 1.19 to 13.49.

Technology shares were among the strongest performers Friday behind a 6% rally in shares of Apple (AAPL), which late Thursday reported stronger-than-expected quarterly results and said it will repurchase $110 billion in shares. Amgen (AMGN) soared nearly 12%, leading Dow gainers after the biotechnology company beat earnings expectations.

In other markets, WTI Crude Oil futures (/CL) extended a week-long slump to end just above $78 per barrel, the lowest since mid-March. Crude futures dropped almost 7% this week, partly reflecting rising U.S. supplies and signs of slower fuel demand.

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FTC: Finalizes Ban on Non-Compete Agreements

By Health Capital Consultants LLC

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On April 23rd, 2024, the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) issued a final rule that would ban employers from imposing non-competes on their employees. The FTC asserts that this exploitative practice keeps wages low, and suppresses new ideas. Notably, while the final rule will affect all industries, not just healthcare, this proposal comes at a time when healthcare employers across the U.S. are struggling with staffing shortages.

Existing noncompetes for the majority of workers will no longer be enforceable after the rule goes into effect (i.e., 120 days after publication in the Federal Register); however, the FTC ban appears likely to face a legal challenge, and it could be years before it can take effect.

Under the final rule, noncompetes for senior executives can remain in force under the new ruling, but employers may not enter in or attempt to enforce any new noncompetes, even if that includes a senior executive. The Commission also recognizes that they have no jurisdiction over not-for-profit entities, however they reserve the right to evaluate any entity’s non-profit status. The FTC specifically stated that “some portion of the 58% of hospitals that claim tax-exempt status as nonprofits and the 19% of hospitals that are identified as State or local government hospitals in the data cited by AHA likely fall under the Commission’s jurisdiction and the final rule’s purview.”

While most healthcare employees and workers, including physicians, believe that the ruling is long overdue and that noncompetes “impede patient access to care, limit physicians’ ability to choose their employer, contribute to burnout and stifle competition,” the American Hospital Association (AHA), stated that the “FTC’s final rule banning non-compete agreements for all employees across all sectors of the economy is bad law, bad policy, and a clear sign of an agency run amok.

Look for next month’s (May 2024) Health Capital Topics article that will discuss, in more detail, the final rule, reactions from healthcare industry stakeholders, and potential implications for healthcare valuations (both business and compensation valuations).

MORE: (Read the FTC’s Press Release Here)

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APRIL 2024: US Hiring Slows

By Staff Reporters

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Job growth slowed and unemployment ticked higher last month, marking a break from a string of data showing surprising strength in the labor market.

U.S. employers added a seasonally adjusted 175,00 jobs in April, the Labor Department reported on Friday. That was far less than in March, when gains exceeded 300,000, and also below what economists had expected. The unemployment rate ticked up to 3.9% from March’s 3.8%.

According to the WSJ, wages also rose less than anticipated, increasing 3.9% from a year earlier after rising 4.1% in March.

Friday’s report today is sure to stir immediate debate among economists and investors about whether the labor market is merely cooling in a welcome fashion or starting to show more serious strains under the pressure of higher interest rates.

Treasury yields, which largely reflect investors’ expectations for short-term rates set by the Federal Reserve, fell after the report. The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note was 4.471% in recent trading, according to Tradeweb, down from 4.569% Thursday.

Stock futures climbed, suggesting investors were pleased with the data, which could increase optimism about the outlook for inflation.

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DAILY UPDATE: Stock Markets Up Beat!

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Yesterday, sales of Wegovy more than doubled last quarter, and at least 25,000 people are starting to take it in the US per week. It also posted a $3.65 billion net profit and increased its sales outlook for 2024. But its stock Novo Nordisk still dropped yesterday.

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iPhone sales are down but Apple share buybacks are up. Apple managed to keep investors happy, sending its stock shooting up after-hours yesterday, despite selling fewer iPhones last quarter. Sales of the signature phone dipped 10% year over year, and revenue fell 4.3% to $90.8 billion. But Apple also announced $110 billion in share buybacks, the largest in the company’s history, per CNBC. And sales in China, which has been a sore spot, came in at $16.4 billion, less than a year earlier but more than analysts had predicted.

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Stocks rose yesterday as investors digested Jerome Powell’s recent comments and decided they only had to fear fear itself—and not interest rate hikes. Investors changed into the fast lane to buy Carvana after the used car sales site reported its best earnings ever Wednesday evening.

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Stat: 16%. That’s the percentage by which CVS stocks plummeted Wednesday after the company reported earnings below expectations and cut its annual outlook, according to (CNBC).

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But Here’s where the major stock market benchmarks ended Thursday:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) rose 45.81 points (0.9%) to 5,064.20; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) added 322.37 points (0.9%) to 38,225.66; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) surged 235.48 points (1.5%) to 15,840.96.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) dropped about 1 basis point to 4.583%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) fell 0.71 to 14.68.

Transportation shares helped lead the market higher after C.H. Robinson (CHRW) reported stronger-than-expected quarterly results, sending the freight logistics and trucking company’s stock up 12%. The Dow Jones Transportation Average ($DJT) jumped 2.5%. Semiconductors were also strong after Qualcomm (QCOM) advanced 9.7% in the wake of the chip maker’s better-than-expected earnings.

Apple (AAPL) shares advanced 2.2% ahead of the company’s quarterly earnings report scheduled after Thursday’s close.

In other markets, WTI Crude Oil (/CL) futures bounced back to end with a slight gain after earlier dropping to a seven-week low under $78.50 per barrel.

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ESCHEW “C”: Medicare Advantage [Part C] Plans Now?

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP

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Medicare [Dis] Advantage Plans [Medicare Part C] commenced in 2003 or so and I have railed against them since then. First, for their low physician payments. And then as a patient advocate for the last decade. And, today, for both reasons. As a doctor and independent health insurance agent myself, believe me when I speak thusly.

READ: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2023/11/07/proposed-changes-medicare-advantage/

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Now, while Medicare Advantage plans are undoubtedly not the right choice for everyone, insurance companies still say there are some folks who will get exactly what they need from the plans and at a moderate price.

Nevertheless, Ernesto Jaboneta, the IT Director of California-based Medicare insurance agency Agent Pitstop, acknowledged there are many predatory salespeople who will jump to have you join a plan that doesn’t end up helping you in the long run. Still, there are precautions you can take to make falling into this trap less likely.

“The first thing anyone can do is invite along a family member or trusted friend to any appointments with an insurance agent,” Jaboneta told Newsweek. “Don’t feel pressured to decide right away.”

Before you commit to anything, you should compare plans and find out if your doctors will remain in your network. And if you’re unsure about some of the information you received from an insurance agent, you can also call 1-800-MEDICARE for more assistance.

Jaboneta also said there’s a big difference between captive insurance agents and independent agents, as well, and seniors should take note of this.

“A captive agent is an insurance agent who works directly for an insurance carrier,” Jaboneta said. “They have no incentive to compare options outside their own company, which is different than an independent agent who can compare all the options available. In many cases, when a beneficiary calls into an insurance company to find information, they will be talked into enrolling.”

The open enrollment period lasts from October 15th to December 8th, but there’s another enrollment period from January 1st to March 31st for anyone unhappy with their Medicare Advantage plan who wants to switch or revert to Medicare.

MORE: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2023/12/24/medicare-part-c-humana-used-a-i-tool-from-unitedhealth-to-deny-medicare-advantage-claims/

INVESTING UPDATE: Managed-care companies are reporting that seniors on Medicare Advantage Part C plans used far more medical services than expected in the final months of 2023. The announcements have sparked two separate selloffs over the past week: The first came January 12th, when UnitedHealth Group announced its fourth-quarter earnings. The second came after Humana just laid out preliminary fourth-quarter results, and said the high utilization trends would have a material impact on its 2024 performance “if current trends continue.”

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PODCAST: Medicare Advantage [Part C] Fraud?

By Eric Bricker MD

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DAILY UPDATE: Walmart, Women’s Health Month, UnitedHealth and the Mixed Stock Markets

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Here’s where the major stock market benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) fell 17.30 points (0.3%) to 5,018.39; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) gained 87.37 points (0.2%) to 37,903.29; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) lost 52.34 points (0.3%) to 15,605.48.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) dropped more than 5 basis points to 4.63%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) decreased 0.28 to 15.37.

Banks and other financial shares led the market’s afternoon upswing, reflecting renewed optimism over the outlook for interest rates. The KBW Regional Bank Index (KRX) jumped 2.4% and posted its first gain in five days. Biotechnology and communication services were also strong.

Energy shares were among the weakest performers as WTI Crude Oil (/CL) futures extended a week-long nosedive and dropped under $80 per barrel for the first time since mid-March. Crude futures sank over 3% after the Energy Information Administration reported U.S. oil inventories surged 1.6% last week. 

Among top companies, Amazon (AMZN) gained 2.2% after reporting stronger-than-expected earnings and revenue late Tuesday. Starbucks (SBUX) tumbled 16% following unexpectedly soft quarterly results. Apple (AAPL) eased 0.6% ahead of its quarterly results, expected after Thursday’s close.

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Speaking of stock companies, however big you think UnitedHealth is, it’s bigger than that. For example:

  • With a market cap of nearly $450 billion, it’s the fourth-largest company in the US by revenue this year, beating out Alphabet and Microsoft.
  • The company is eyeing a $24.7 billion profit in 2024.
  • One analyst estimated that more than 5% of US GDP flows through UnitedHealth’s systems daily.

And so, lawmakers in Washington are prepared to grill UnitedHealth CEO Andrew Witty in two congressional hearings today, months after a cyberattack on a subsidiary of the healthcare giant, Change Healthcare, rattled the industry and left pharmacies, doctors, and hospitals in the dark. Change processes roughly half of all Americans’ medical claims. Congress wants Witty to clarify how UnitedHealth handled the breach of patient data. But beyond that, it wants to investigate whether the company—the nation’s largest private health insurer—has grown too big and taken on too much risk.

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Retailer Walmart announced plans Tuesday to shutter its network of 51 health clinics in five states, along with its telehealth business. The impending closures signify that Walmart is scuttling its initial plans to expand the services, citing escalating operation costs and “challenging reimbursement environment,” the company said in a news release.

Finally – Happy Women’s Health Month! Women and people assigned female at birth are disproportionately affected by a range of health conditions, including autoimmune diseases, chronic pain, and dementia. The month of May is intended to raise awareness of these disparities and educate women on steps they can take to improve their health, such as getting annual breast exams. For all our woman-identifying readers, take some time to prioritize your health this month!

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PODCAST: Traditional Medicare V. Medicare Advantage

By Eric BrickerMD

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DOJ: Antitrust Reportedly Investigating UnitedHealth Group

By Health Capital Consultants, LLC

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On February 27, 2024, the Wall Street Journal (WSJ) reported that the Department of Justice (DOJ) has launched an antitrust investigation into UnitedHealth Group (UHG), the owner of the biggest health insurer in the U.S. and the leading manager of drug benefits and one of the largest networks of physician groups. This investigation comes as the Biden administration’s antitrust enforcers have ramped up investigations into some of the biggest U.S. companies, including Amazon, Apple, and Google.

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This Health Capital Topics article reviews the reported government investigation. (Read more…)

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DAILY UPDATE: Lumeris Health Tech – MultiPlan, UnitedHealth, Aetna & CVS Payer Data – Stock Melt Down

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MAY FIRST DAY

May Day is a European festival of ancient origins marking the beginning of summer, usually celebrated on 1 May, around halfway between the Northern Hemisphere’s Spring equinox and June solstice. Festivities may also be held the night before, known as May Eve. Traditions often include gathering wildflowers and green branches, weaving floral garlands, crowning a May Queen and setting up a Maypole, May Tree or May Bush, around which people dance. Bonfires are also part of the festival in some regions.

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index fell 80.48 points (1.6%) to 5,035.69; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) lost 570.17 points (1.5%) to 37,815.92, down 5% for the month; the NASDAQ Composite declined 325.26 points (2.0%) to 15,657.82.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield jumped more than 7 basis points to 4.682%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) rose 0.98 to 15.65.

Energy shares were among the weakest performers Tuesday, behind a drop in WTI Crude Oil (/CL) futures, which fell a third consecutive session and briefly dropped under $81 per barrel. The Philadelphia Oil Service Index (OSX) tumbled 4.5% to a seven-week low. The small-cap Russell 2000® Index (RUT) shed 2.1% and ended with a loss of 7.1% for the month.

But, it was a better day for Mounjaro maker Eli Lilly, which climbed nearly 6% after its popular weight loss drugs pushed it to raise its 2024 forecast.

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Lumeris Health, a health tech company supporting value-based care operations, raised $100 million in a new funding round to support expansion.

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class-action complaint was filed against MultiPlan and major payers like UnitedHealth Group and CVS Health’s Aetna, arguing payers’ claims data was being used to generate low reimbursement rates.

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PODCAST: Cash Flow, Revenue & Entrepreneurial Leadership in Healthcare Business

THE ENTREPRENEURIAL M.D.

In this episode we are joined by Dr. Brent Jackson, Chief Medical Officer for Mercy General in Sacramento, CA to discuss the physician life-cycle, burnout, and transitioning into leadership within healthcare.

Play EpisodeDownload (40.4 MB)

Summary: Dr Brent Jackson discusses the flow of revenue throughout the medical industry.

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PODCAST: Healthcare Revenue Cycle Management Explained

By Eric Bricker MD

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THE CARTOON: Shrink

Cartoons on Topics in Psychiatry and Medicine

http://www.TheCartoonShrink.com

By Staff Reporters

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Emily Watters, M.D. is an adult psychiatrist. She lives and practices in the bay area. She works in both community psychiatry and in private practice. She loves to teach, especially through sketches and comics.

Questions contribute to understanding and you are welcome to reach out to her at: thecartoonshrink@gmail.com

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DAILY UPDATE: The CHIPS and Science Act & the FOMC as Stocks Edge Higher

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It’ll be a big week for hot takes on the US economy, after the Federal Reserve meeting Tuesday and Wednesday and the April jobs report dropping Friday. Because inflation has been sticking around, the FOMC is expected to hold interest rates steady at this meeting and for the foreseeable future. On the jobs front, economists are projecting another strong month for employment growth.

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In 2022, with bipartisan support, Congress passed the CHIPS and Science Act, an ambitious plan to juice domestic manufacturing of a product vital to national security: semiconductors. Two years later, the government has doled out more than half of the CHIPS Act’s $39 billion in incentives. According to the Financial Times

  • Chip companies and their suppliers have announced US investments of $327 billion over the next 10 years, per the Semiconductor Industry Association.
  • Construction of manufacturing facilities for computing and electronics devices has jumped 15x, government data shows.
  • By 2030, the US will likely produce around 20% of the world’s most advanced chips, according to USCommerce Secretary Gina Raimondo. Right now, it’s making 0%.

The proposed factories are massive and could transform regional economies. Micron, which received $6.1 billion in federal grants last week, plans to invest $100 billion in a manufacturing campus near Syracuse.

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) rose 16.21 points (0.3%) to 5,116.17, its highest close in over two weeks; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) gained 146.43 points (0.4%) to 38,386.09, the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) advanced 55.18 points (0.4%) to 15,983.08.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) fell more than 5 basis points to 4.616%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) declined 0.36 to  14.67.

Communication services shares were among the market’s weakest performers Monday, reversing last Friday’s upswing as Alphabet (GOOGL) dropped more than 3% and Meta Platforms (META) lost 2.4%. Banks and retailers were also soft. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) climbed for the sixth-straight day and ended near a three-week high even though its biggest member, Nvidia (NVDA), ended little changed.

In other markets, the U.S. Dollar Index ($DXY) faded from early gains but is still up about 1% in April, driven by expectations domestic rates will remain high. “The U.S. dollar’s strength continues to reflect the relative strength of the economy and the wide interest rate differentials between the United States and other major developed markets,” Schwab Center for Financial Research analysts said in a report.

Despite last week’s strength, the S&P 500 index and the NASAQ Composite are still down 2.6% and 2.4%, respectively, for April and on track to break five-month winning streaks.

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Humana expects to exit Medicare Advantage (MA) markets in 2025, company executives told investors. The company reported its first quarter earnings April 24th. Humana posted $741 million in net income in the first quarter of 2024, beating investor expectations, but pulled its 2025 earnings guidance. 

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MEDICARE PART C: Humana Used A.I. Tool from UnitedHealth to Deny Medicare Advantage Claims

LAWSUIT

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Humana Used AI Tool from UnitedHealth to Deny Medicare Advantage Claims 

Humana used an artificial intelligence tool owned by UnitedHealth Group to wrongfully deny Medicare Advantage [Part C] members’ medical claims, according to a class-action complaint filed on Dec. 12th. The lawsuit was filed in the U.S. District Court for the Western District of Kentucky and is the latest legal action against major insurers such as UnitedHealthcare and Cigna for allegedly using automated data tools to wrongfully deny members’ claims.

The complaint against Humana, the country’s second-largest Medicare Advantage insurer, accuses the company of using an AI tool called nH Predict to determine how long a patient will need to remain in post-acute care and overrides physicians’ determinations for the patient. The plaintiffs claim Humana set a goal to keep post-acute facility stay lengths for MA members within 1% of nH Predict’s estimations. Employees who deviate from the algorithm’s estimates are “disciplined and terminated, regardless of whether a patient requires more care,” the lawsuit alleges. When decisions made by the algorithm are appealed, they are allegedly overturned 90% of the time.

Source: Jakob Emerson  Becker’s Payer Issues [12/13/23]

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DAILY UPDATE: 24/7 NYSE Trading with Last Week’s Market Round-Up

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Last week stocks shrugged off the news that the Fed’s favorite inflation gauge ticked up last month as strong earnings reports from Big Tech pushed them higher giving the NASDAQ and the S&P 500 their best weeks since November. Google parent Alphabet had its best day since July 2015 after showing that some of its Artificial Intelligence investments are paying off for its first-ever dividend distribution.

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The New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) recently asked market participants to share how they’d feel about trading 24/7.

According to Morning Brew, The tradition-shattering proposal by the world’s busiest stock exchange, which operates from 9:30am to 4pm ET Monday–Friday, would make stocks no different from other assets that never stop trading, like crypto and government bonds.

The NYSE’s curiosity comes as the startup 24 Exchange, backed by Mets owner Steve Cohen, is seeking SEC permission to launch a round-the-clock stock exchange. 24 Exchange wants to cater to the growing contingent of amateur investors, some of whom prefer to trade after their kids go to bed. If the NYSE decides to become an exchange that never sleeps, it’d likely upend the day-to-day of the pros on Wall Street. So, let’s consider what 24/7 trading would look like, who’d be in the green, and who’s kept up at night by the prospect. For example:

The NYSE currently allows people to trade stocks outside regular hours from 4am until the market opens and after the closing bell until 8pm, but there are fewer participants trading, and those transactions often come with higher fees. Meanwhile, brokerages like Robinhood and Interactive Brokers have found success in letting investors put in orders for many stocks and stock indexes overnight.

  • Robinhood recently said its overnight trading options are a hit, with trading outside of the NYSE’s regular hours accounting for as much as 25% of activity on the platform.
  • Many customers aren’t used to waiting around for the NYSE to “ding a bell two times a day,” Robinhood’s Chief Brokerage Officer Steve Quirk told Bloomberg.

Many of these nocturnal transactions on brokerage apps happen because of the time difference with the Asia Pacific region, where investors are increasingly eager to tap into the US stock market when most Americans are asleep. The trades are enabled by organizations like Blue Ocean, which are seeing skyrocketing demand for cross-border services. Having the NYSE run 24/7 would make it easier for investors in different time zones to participate in the US stock market.

Proponents also say it could make morning trading less volatile by allowing investors to react to big news (like an Elon Musk tweet about Tesla) as soon as it happens rather than waiting for markets to open.

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Meanwhile, stocks popped off last week thanks to Big Tech’s impressive earnings, with the S&P 500 and NASDAQ posting their best weeks since November. Nvidia notched its best weekly gain in almost a year (up 15%), adding nearly $290 billion in market capitalization.

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Hedging the Portfolio with Weapons of Mass Destruction

A SPECIAL REPORT

By Vitaliy N. Katsenelson CFA

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Uber’s business is doing extremely well. It has reached escape velocity – the company’s expenses have grown at a slow rate while its revenues are growing at 22% a year. This caused profit margins to expand and earnings and free cash flows to skyrocket. Our investment in Uber was based on the assumption that its services would become a utility – just like water and electricity. The company’s name is synonymous with ride sharing. 

I must confess that the biggest risk to our investment in Uber is me. Yes, you read that right. Uber has an incredible growth runway. It is not just going after ride sharing and food delivery, where it still has plenty of room to grow, it is also making serious inroads into the grocery market. It has terrific management that is putting a lot of daylight between Uber and its competitors.

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FTC: Non-Competition Contract Clause Agreements?

By Staff Reporters

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FTC Votes 3-2  to Ban Non-Compete Agreements, but Legal Challenges Expected

The Federal Trade Commission (FTC) just voted 3-2 to issue a final rule striking new non-compete agreements for all workers and phasing out existing non-competes for all but senior executives across “most employers.” The ban does not apply to non-profits including many of the country’s healthcare provider organizations due to the limitations of the FTC’s jurisdiction, one of several points of contention that has been raised by hospital industry groups that have opposed the ban.

The final rule will take effect 120 days after its publication in the Federal Register. To be in compliance, impacted employers will need to stop enforcing existing non-competes with workers other than senior executives, inform those who are no longer bound by existing non-competes and stop initiating new non-competes for all workers going forward, FTC staff said during an open meeting on the final rule held last week.

Source: Dave Muoio, Fierce Healthcare [4/23/24]

Moreover, the stay-or-pay contract practice requires nurses to put in a certain amount of time “or be required to pay money to their employer for an alleged debt, which could be tied to so-called training, a sign-on bonus, or other costs their employer claims are related to their employment,” according to National Nurses United (NNU), a union that represents about a quarter of a million registered nurses (RNs).

“The new FTC rule is a step in the right direction for nurses and those aspiring to take on this critical role in our communities,” NNU President Nancy Hagans said in a statement.

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Behavioral Finance for Doctors?

On the Psychology of Investing [Book Review]

By Peter Benedek, PhD CFA

Founder: www.RetirementAction.com

Some of the pioneers of behavioral finance are Drs. Kahneman, Twersky and Thaler. This short introduction to the subject is based on John Nofsinger’s little book entitled “Psychology of Investing” an excellent quick read for all medical professionals or anyone who is interested in learning more about behavioral finance.

Rational Decisions?

Much of modern finance is built on the assumption that investors “make rational decisions” and “are unbiased in their predictions about the future”, however this is not always the case.

Cognitive errors come from (1) prospect theory (people feel good/bad about gain/loss of $500, but not twice as good/bad about a gain/loss of $1,000; they feel worse about a $500 loss than feel good about a $500 gain); (2) mental accounting (meaning that people tend to create separate buckets which they examine individually), (3) Self-deception (e.g. overconfidence), (4) heuristic simplification (shortcuts) and (4) mood can affect ability to reach a logical conclusion.

John Nofsinger’s Book

The following are some of the major chapter headings in Nofsinger’s book, and represent some of the key behavioral finance concepts.

Overconfidence leads to: (1) excessive trading (which in turn results in lower returns due to costs incurred), (2) underestimation of risk (portfolios of decreasing risk were found for single men, married men, married women, and single women), (3) illusion of knowledge (you can get a lot more data nowadays on the internet) and (4) illusion of control (on-line trading).

Pride and Regret leads to: (1) disposition effect (not only selling winners and holding on to the losers, but selling winners too soon- confirming how smart I was, and losers to late- not admitting a bad call, even though selling losers increases one’s wealth due to the tax benefits), (2) reference points (the point from where one measures gains or losses is not necessarily the purchase price, but may perhaps be the most recent 52 week high and it is most likely changing continuously- clearly such a reference point will affect investor’s judgment by perhaps holding on to “loser” too long when in fact it was a winner.)

Considering the Past in decisions about the future, when future outcomes are independent of the past lead to a whole slew of more bad decisions, such as: (1) house money effect (willing to increase the level of risk taken after recent winnings- i.e. playing with house’s money), (2) risk aversion or snake-bite effect (becoming more risk averse after losing money), (3) trying to break-even (at times people will increase their willing to take higher risk to try to recover their losses- e.g. double or nothing), (4) endowment or status quo effect (often people are only prepared to sell something they own for more than they would be willing to buy it- i.e. for investments people tend to do nothing, just hold on to investments they already have) (5) memory and decision making ( decisions are affected by how long ago did the pain/pleasure occur or what was the sequence of pain and pleasure), (6) cognitive dissonance (people avoid important decisions or ignore negative information because of pain associated with circumstances).

Mental Accounting is the act of bucketizing investments and then reviewing the performance of the individual buckets separately (e.g. investing at low savings rate while paying high credit card interest rates).

Examples of mental accounting are: (1) matching costs to benefits (wanting to pay for vacation before taking it and getting paid for work after it was done, even though from perspective of time value of money the opposite should be preferred0, (2) aversion to debt (don’t like long-term debt for short-term benefit), (3) sunk-cost effect (illogically considering non-recoverable costs when making forward-going decisions). In investing, treating buckets separately and ignoring interaction (correlations) induces people not to sell losers (even though they get tax benefits), prevent them from investing in the stock market because it is too risky in isolation (however much less so when looked at as part of the complete portfolio including other asset classes and labor income and occupied real estate), thus they “do not maximize the return for a given level of risk taken).

In building portfolios, assets included should not be chosen on basis of risk and return only, but also correlation; even otherwise well educated individuals make the mistake of assuming that adding a risky asset to a portfolio will increase the overall risk, when in fact the opposite will occur depending on the correlation of the asset to be added with the portfolio (i.e. people misjudge or disregard interactions between buckets, which are key determinants of risk).

This can lead to: (1) building behavioral portfolios (i.e. safety, income, get rich, etc type sub-portfolios, resulting in goal diversification rather than asset diversification), (2) naïve diversification (when aiming for 50:50 stock:bond allocation implementing this as 50:50 in both tax-deferred (401(k)/RRSP) accounts and taxable accounts, rather than placing the bonds in the tax-deferred and stocks in taxable accounts respectively for tax advantages), (3) naïve diversification in retirement accounts (if five investment options are offered then investing 1/5th in each, thus getting an inappropriate level of diversification or no diversification depending on the available choices; or being too heavily invested in one’s employer’s stock).

Representativenes may lead investors to confusing a good company with a good investment (good company may already be overpriced in the market; extrapolating past returns or momentum investing), and familiarity to over-investment in one’s own employer (perhaps inappropriate as when stock tanks one’s job may also be at risk) or industry or country thus not having a properly diversified portfolio.

Emotions can affect investment decisions: mood/feelings/optimism will affect decision to buy or sell risky or conservative assets, even though the mood resulted from matters unrelated to investment. Social interactions such as friends/coworkers/clubs and the media (e.g. CNBC) can lead to herding effects like over (under) valuation.

Financial Strategies

Nofsinger finishes with a final chapter which includes strategies for:

(i) beating the biases: (1) Understand the biases, (2) define your investment objectives, (3) have quantitative investment criteria, i.e. understand why you are buying a specific investor (or even better invest in a passive fashion), (4) diversify among asset classes and within asset classes (and don’t over invest in your employer’s stock), and (5) control your investment environment (check on stock monthly, trade only monthly and review progress toward goals annually).

(ii) using biases for the good: (1) set new employee defaults for retirement plans to being enrolled, (2) get employees to commit some percent of future raises to automatically go toward retirement (save-more-tomorrow).

Assessment

Buy the book (you can get used copies through Amazon). As indicated it is a quick read and occasionally you may even want to re-read it to insure you avoid the biases or use them for the good. Also, the book has long list of references for those inclined to delve into the subject more deeply.

You might even ask “How does all this Behavioral Finance coexist with Efficient Market theory?” and that’s a great question that I’ll leave for another time.

More: SSRN-id2596202

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DAILY UPDATE: Cannabis, Healthcare and the Stock Market Rally!

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Here’s where the major stock market benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index gained 51.54 points (1.0%) to 5,099.96, up 2.7% for the week; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) increased 153.86 points (0.4%) to 38,239.66, up 0.7% for the week; the NASDAQ Composite jumped 316.14 points (2.0%) to 15,927.90, up 4.2% for the week.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) lost about 4 basis points to 4.665%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) fell 0.34 to 15.03.

Alphabet’s rally helped communication services reverse Thursday’s downturn, which was driven by disappointing quarterly results from Meta Platforms (META). The S&P 500 Communication Services index ($SP500#50) surged 4.7% Friday and ended the week with a 2.7% gain. Semiconductor shares were also strong, led by a 6% gain in Nvidia (NVDA). The Russell 2000® Index (RUT) added 1.1% Friday and posted a 2.8% advance for the week.

In other markets, WTI Crude Oil (/CL) futures rose slightly Friday, ending around $83.65 per barrel and shutting down a three-week losing streak.

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  • Midi Health, a health clinic geared toward women in midlife, raised $60 million in Series B funding to expand its network to 150 clinicians by the end of the year, among other efforts. (MobiHealthNews)
  • “We’re fooling ourselves if we think that’s cheap or can be done less expensively.”—Carmela Coyle, president and CEO of the California Hospital Association, on hospital finances and cutting costs (AP)
  • The federal government implemented new staffing rules to improve patient care, but most nursing homes won’t be able to meet that demand. (KFF Health News/NPR)

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The Biden administration is considering a change that would downgrade cannabis from a Schedule I drug to a Schedule III drug this year. The reclassification would have major effects on the business of cannabis, but for that to happen, the Drug Enforcement Agency needs proof of medical effectiveness.

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DAILY UPDATE: GDP Worries as Markets Stumble with Meta but other Technology Stocks are Good

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New GDP numbers out yesterday show a worrying combo of stubborn inflation + waning growth that dampens hopes for a potential interest rate cut. Per the latest data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis, the first quarter of 2024 was a confounding one:

  • GDP increased at a 1.6% annualized rate, far below projections of 2.4% and notably down from 3.4% at the end of 2023.
  • While slow growth would typically signal that the Fed could cut rates, another metric complicates matters: Consumer prices (excluding volatile categories), a solid indicator of inflation, shot up to a much higher than anticipated 3.7%.

***

Meta reported record Q1 revenue yesterday, but it was overshadowed by the billions of dollars the company is spending in its efforts to win the Artificial Intelligence race and make the Metaverse happen. Investors were unhappy with the company’s forecast that its spending will rise by $10 billion dollars to support Artificial Intelligence development, sending Meta’s stock price down 15% after hours.

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index fell 23.21 points (0.5%) to 5,048.42; the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 375.12 points (1.0%) to 38,085.80; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) shed 100.99 points (0.6%) to 15,611.76.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) rose about 5 basis points to 4.704%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) fell 0.64 to 15.33.

Communication services shares were the weakest S&P 500 sector Thursday behind the plunge in Meta Platforms. Late Wednesday, the Facebook parent provided lighter-than-expected second-quarter revenue guidance, while CEO Mark Zuckerberg discussed spending in currently unprofitable pursuits such as artificial intelligence (AI) and mixed reality. Meta’s first-quarter earnings and revenue both came above analysts ‘ estimates, however.

Meta’s slump helped send the S&P 500 Communication Services index ($SP500#50) down 4%. Banks were also particularly soft amid concern that persistently high interest rates may compress lender margins. Semiconductor and transportation shares were among the few pockets of strength.

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But, Alphabet, Microsoft, and Snap reported Q1 earnings yesterday, and were generally good. Alphabet issued its first-ever dividend and authorized $70 billion in stock buybacks, after it beat Wall Street’s revenue expectations. Microsoft also beat revenue forecasts on the strength of its cloud services. And Snap shares soared after it topped estimates and impressed investors with its 422 million global daily active users. It was a much-needed boost for the sector after Meta spooked the market with how much it’s spending on AI.

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MICROSOFT: The Artificial Intelligence Revolution

By Staff Reporters

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Microsoft is looking at a broader AI future than just OpenAI

Microsoft has been at the forefront of the AI revolution through its $13 billion stake in the ChatGPT-maker, but recently it showed it’s also making other Artificial Intelligence bets, announcing it will pursue several partnerships and is investing $2.1 billion in French startup Mistral AI. Mistral’s tech will be available to Microsoft Azure users.

And then Microsoft President Brad Smith told Axios that OpenAI CEO Sam Altman is “brilliant”, but …… Read Axios Story.

Perhaps even to counter Mark Zuckerbergs META Platform.

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PODCAST: Artificial Intelligence in Medicine

MACHINE LEARNING AND NATURAL LANGUAGE PROCESSING

By Eric Bricker MD

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US INCOME GAP: A New Reality Check for Doctors NOT Going Broke!

Sobering News for all Medical Professionals

To Be Thankful

By Ann Miller RN MHA CMP

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Poverty in America

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Assessment

Conclusion

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FOR 4 BIG BANKS: A Big Quarter

By Staff Reporters

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An uptick in corporate dealmaking fueled investment banking growth at the four largest US banksJPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, Wells Fargo, and Citibank—as well as at Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley. The result was “one of [investment banking’s] best quarters” since the Fed began hiking rates in 2022, the Wall Street Journal reported. Their earnings releases over the last week either matched or beat the consensus forecasts for revenue and earnings per share, according to the WSJ.

“It’s clear that we’re in the early stages of a reopening of the capital markets,” Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon said in an earnings call last Monday. Goldman reported that growth in its investment banking and trading pushed its net income up 28% year over year, beating analyst expectations. Solomon said he expects more M&A activity will keep boosting the demand for debt underwriting at Goldman, which saw a 32% Year over Year jump in internet-banking revenue.

Solomon’s sunny outlook was beclouded the next day by Fed Chair Jerome Powell. The Fed had hoped inflation reports would show it could cut rates soon without overheating the economy, but instead inflation has continued to tick up.

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DOCTOR: Money “Disorders”

Behavioral Finance –  Are You Guilty?

By Rick Kahler MS CFP® ChFC CCIM www.KahlerFinancial.com

As a young adult, what could you spend money on that would be a wise investment in your financial future? A home? Medical school education? A money management class?

Well, all of these may be good ideas, but there’s something else you can buy that could make an even greater difference in your long-term financial health: counseling.

Behavioral Finance

What does psychological counseling have to do with money? Sometimes; a lot!

For example, I was recently interviewed by a reporter for an article about money disorders. The conversation reminded me just how many problems can result from dysfunctional money beliefs and behaviors. Money disorders can impair people’s functioning and disrupt their lives just as significantly as disorders like alcoholism or other addictions.

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Common Maladies

Some common money disorders include the following:

  • Compulsive Spending is a consuming focus on spending. It can include buying things you can’t afford as well as shopping where no money is actually spent
  • Financial Enabling is a codependent attempt to help others that actually does more harm than good. A pattern of bailing kids out financially is a good example.
  • Hoarding is compulsively buying and storing things that you don’t need or will never use.
  • Financial Infidelity is keeping money secrets (such as spending, saving, or investment mistakes) from your partner because you would be ashamed to have them find out.
  • Financial Incest is inappropriate sharing of worries or financial details in ways that violate the boundaries between children and adults.
  • Workaholism, especially medical professionals, is a consuming focus on work or earning to a point of damaging your relationships.
  • Under-spending is frugality taken to extremes, such as inadequate spending on health care, nutrition, shelter, or clothing even when you can afford them.

Not about Money

How many of the above “disorders” are you guilty of?

All these disorders have one thing in common: fundamentally, they aren’t about the money. A given pattern of behavior around money can be someone’s unconscious response to emotional pain, in the same way addiction or anger might be.

For that particular person, the money behavior may just happen to be the medicator that works to cope with deep emotional stress. While one person may find relief in alcohol or drugs and another may find it in work, someone else might use shopping or hoarding as a way to feel better and function in the world.

An Addiction?

Just like addictions, however, money disorders only relieve pain for a short time. In the long term, they only cause more pain. The result is an escalating cycle of destructive behavior that has many negative consequences, including financial ones.

Rag Mags

To see how emotional health and financial health are linked, all you have to do is read a celebrity magazine or look around at the people you know. I’ve seen high-earning doctors and other medical professionals who have a negative self-worth because they can’t control their spending. We all know people who bounce from one financial mess to another, never seeming to learn from their money mistakes. Some very capable and intelligent doctors struggle financially and in their careers because of emotional issues that have nothing directly to do with money.

Counseling

Counseling to resolve emotional issues may seem to be a low-priority expense that comes far down the list after basic needs like housing, food, and transportation. Yet for anyone who struggles to overcome destructive patterns of behavior—even those that aren’t directly about money—counseling can pay off in very real monetary ways.

Assessment

Emotionally healthy and confident people make better choices about relationships, careers, and other major aspects of their lives. They also make better choices about money. This is why counseling is more than an investment in your emotional health. It can also make a measurable difference in your financial health.

Conclusion

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DAILY UPDATE: Retirement Security Rule, National Drug Take Back Day, Spotify, Cleveland Clinic, NAR and the Mixed Stock Markets

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Otherwise known as “National Prescription Drug Take Back Day,” National Drug Take Back Day on April 25th is sponsored by the Drug Enforcement Agency. Its goal is to keep the public aware of the dangers of prescription drug use and misuse. Many Americans don’t know how to safely dispose of the prescription drugs that have been sitting in the medicine cabinet past their prime. Using these expired drugs, or using someone else’s, is dangerous and puts both the public and the environment at risk.

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Spotify made money in Q1. According to Morning Brew, the streaming music giant grew its revenue last quarter by 20% to $3.8 billion on a record $180 million in profit, it announced yesterday. The smash report comes after Spotify cut costs last year, which included laying off more than a quarter of its workforce. The company also raised prices in 2023 for the first time in a decade as it further expanded beyond music into audio books and other categories. Spotify shares soared ~11% following the news.

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index® (SPX) rose 1.08 points (0.02%) to 5,071.63; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) fell 42.77 points (0.1%) to 38,460.92; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) added 16.11 points (0.1%) to 15,712.75.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield rose more than 4 basis points to 4.644%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) rose 0.28 to 15.97.

Transportation shares were among the market’s weakest performers Wednesday behind a drop of more than 10% in Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL), which reported lighter-than-expected quarterly revenue. The shipper’s nosedive helped send the Dow Jones Transportation Average ($DJT) down 2.3%. Consumer staples, semiconductors, and utilities posted moderate advances. The Dow Jones Utility Index ($DJU) gained for the sixth straight day and ended at a three-and-a-half-month high.

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The National Association of Realtors’ $418 million settlement over an alleged conspiracy to inflate commissions received preliminary approval yesterday. It’s a new world order: Sellers won’t have to pay buyers’ agents anymore. There’s been talk of a metaphorical death of real estate agents, or a mass extinction; the jury is still out, but RE/MAX cofounder and chairman Dave Liniger doesn’t seem too concerned. 

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The Labor Department announced it has finalized its Retirement Security Rule, which aims to protect American workers who are saving for retirement and relying on advice from fiduciaries for it. The new rule will update the definition of an investment advice fiduciary under the Employee Retirement Income Security Act and the Internal Revenue Code.

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Clinicians don’t always get it right, and their mistakes can be costly: Studies show misdiagnoses lead to roughly 800,000 patient deaths or permanent disabilities each year in the US and cost the healthcare system an estimated $20 billion annually. Cleveland Clinic is using telehealth to try to combat misdiagnoses via its virtual second opinions program, which has saved an average of $8,705 per patient by avoiding unnecessary treatments, according to an analysis released in March.

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DAILY UPDATE: Nike Lay-Offs & Retirement “Rule of 55” as Stock Markets Zoom Upward

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Stat: 740. That’s how many employees Nike will lay off at its Oregon HQ before the end of June. In February, Nike CEO John Donahoe informed employees of the company’s plan to reduce 2% of its workforce, which would mean around 1,600 employees in total. (USA Today)

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Let’s say you leave your job at any time during or after the calendar year you turn 55 (or age 50 if you’re a public safety employee with a government defined-benefit plan). Under a little-known separation-of-service provision, often referred to as the “rule of 55,” you may be able take distributions (though some plans may allow only one lump-sum withdrawal) from your 401(k), 403(b), or other qualified retirement plan free of the usual 10% early-withdrawal penalties. However, be aware that you’ll still owe ordinary income taxes on the amount distributed.  This exception applies only to the plan (including any consolidated accounts) that you were contributing to when you separated from service. It does not extend to IRAs.

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index rose 59.95 points (1.2%) to 5,070.55; the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 263.71 points (0.7%) to 38,503.69; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) surged 245.33 points (1.6%) to 15,696.64.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) decreased about 2 basis points to 4.602%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) fell 1.25 to 15.69.

Similar to Monday, chipmakers were among the market’s strongest areas, carrying the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) to a 2.2% advance. Retailers and communication services shares were also strong. The Dow Jones Utility Index ($DJU) gained for the fifth straight day and ended at its highest level in over three months. The Russell 2000® Index (RUT) surged nearly 2%. 

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DAILY UPDATE: The CPI, Korion Health and the Stock Markets Rebound

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Happy Shakespeare Day

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The March Consumer Price Index, which the Bureau of Labor Statistics released last week, revealed that core inflation hit 3.8% Year over Year in March, rising for the first time in 12 months. That’s moving in the wrong direction for the Fed, whose goal is to bring inflation down to 2%.

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index rose 43.37 points (0.9%) to 5,010.60; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) gained 253.58 points (0.7%) to 38,239.98; the NASDAQ Composite advanced 169.30 points (1.1%) to 15,451.31.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was little changed at 4.617%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) fell 1.41 to 16.39.

Chipmaker strength lifted the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) up 1.7% Monday, partially reclaiming last week’s 9.2% tumble. Banking shares were also among the strongest sectors, while the Russell 2000® Index (RUT) advanced 1%. WTI crude futures earlier dropped to just a few cents above $82 per barrel, the lowest intraday price since late March.

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Telemedicine has a lot of potential to bridge barriers and make it convenient for people to access healthcare. But it’s limited by lack of tools. Your doctor can’t reach through the computer screen.”—Akshaya Anand, co-founder of Korion Health, on the startup’s efforts to create an electronic stethoscope for clinicians to record heart and lung movement (Maryland Today)

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DAILY UPDATE: Anti-Competitive Practices in Healthcare and the NASDAQ and S&P 500 Losing Streak!

HAPPY EARTH DAY

By Staff Reporters

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Feds Open Online Portal for Reporting AntiCompetitive Practices in Healthcare

Federal agencies want to hear from the public about monopolistic and anticompetitive behavior within the healthcare industry. Last Thursday, the Federal Trade Commission (FTC), the Department of Justice (DOJ) and the Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) unveiled HealthyCompetition.gov, an online portal where anyone can submit a healthcare competition complaint for potential investigation.

These submissions, the agencies said, can help the agencies ensure healthcare organizations provide quality care and pay their employees a fair wage.

Source: Dave Muoio, Fierce Healthcare [4/18/24]

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The S&P 500 just had its worst week in more than a year, and the NASDAQ is on a four-week losing streak. Blame skepticism that AI will meaningfully boost profits: Since the NASDAQ peaked last month, the largest US tech companies have lost more than $930 billion in market value. NVIDIA alone lost $212 billion in value on Friday, its biggest plunge since March 2020.

PS: Exxon Mobil is worth more than Tesla for the first time in more than a year.

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PODCAST: CVS Corporate History

By Eric Bricker MD

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Why the Survival and Dominance of Car Manufacturers is Far from Certain

A SPECIAL REPORT

(In case you missed it)

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#12: Vitaliy Katsenelson, Value Investor (invest like Buffett, stocks ...

By Vitaliy Katsenelson CFA

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I am going to share with you excerpts from a research paper I wrote in 2018 about Tesla and electrical vehicles (EVs), which I have turned into a small book for reader convenience (it is available for free, here). I want to share these essays with you today because we are at a pivotal moment for traditional carmakers, and these essays, which I have not updated, present an important thinking framework about the industry.

It is easier to convince shareholders and the board of directors to invest money into new factories when the demand for EVs is growing, even if you are losing money per vehicle. At least there is hope that once you get to scale and perfect new technology, the losses will turn into profits.

However, when the demand for electrical vehicles stutters and your inventory of EVs starts piling up – which is exactly what is happening right now – investing in EVs becomes very difficult (I wrote about it here).

Retreating to what you know, what has worked for almost a century, what doesn’t generate huge losses with every vehicle sold, and what your current workforce is trained for, and comfortable producing, seems like a natural decision. The decisions traditional carmakers will make over the next year or two will be very important for what their future looks like a decade or two from now.
Why the Survival and Dominance of Car Manufacturers is Far from Certain

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DAILY UPDATE: BoA “De-Banks”, Hospitals Merge and Walmart Health Grows as the NASDAQ Dives

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A group of 15 financial officers representing 13 states issued a warning to Bank of America over its alleged practices of “politicized de-banking” targeting conservatives. In a letter to Bank of America CEO Brian Moynihan, the officials said the bank’s practices threaten its own financial health and reputation with customers while simultaneously harming the U.S. economy and Americans’ civil liberties. They pointed to examples of Bank of America shuttering the accounts belonging to Christian groups and leaders and joining a net-zero climate alliance in addition to its poor viewpoint diversity rating.

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Texas and Missouri will soon have about two dozen Walmart health centers, the retail giant announced this month, adding to its 50-site roster. The company plans to open eight clinics in the Houston metro area, 10 sites in the Dallas-Fort Worth area, and four facilities in Kansas City by the end of 2024, Modern Healthcare reported.

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Hospitals reported the strongest quarter of mergers and acquisitions since 2020, according to consulting firm Kaufman Hall. Four of the 20 announced transactions in the first quarter of 2024 were “megamergers” and brought in $12 billion in revenue in that time period, per the firm’s analysis. The era of consolidation is here.

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index fell 43.89 points (0.9%) to 4,967.23, down 3% for the week; the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 211.02 points (0.6%) to 37,986.40, little changed for the week; the NASDAQ Composite lost 319.49 points (2.1%) to 15,282.01, down 5.5% for the week.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) dropped more than 2 basis points to 4.623%, still up about 10 basis points for the week.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) rose 0.71 to 18.71.

Nvidia (NVDA) plunged 10% to lead the chip sector lower, sending the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) down 4.1% to a two-and-a-half-month low. Communication Services shares were also among the weakest sectors, fueled by Netflix weakness. There were several pockets of strength, however. Banking shares posted firm gains Friday behind stronger-than-expected quarterly results from some regional lenders. Utilities also advanced.

The S&P 500 has fallen 5.5% from a record close March 28, more than halfway to the 10% threshold that’s traditionally viewed as a correction. The NASDAQ Composite is down 7.1% from a record close on April 11th.

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DAILY UPDATE: Stark Laws & 23andMe as Wall Street Pulls Back

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If the practice makes a reasonable effort to collect from a patient who is experiencing financial hardship (e.g., job loss due to COVID-19), providers may be able to offer a discount (e.g., settle for 70% of the amount owed) without violating Stark Law, says Reed Tinsley, CPA, healthcare consultant in Houston, Texas. “But remember that just because even if someone doesn’t have a job, they could still have money,” he adds. “There are a lot of people out there with big savings accounts.”

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Source: Lisa A. Eramo, MA, Keith A. Reynolds, Physicians Practice [4/3/24]

  • 23andMe cofounder and CEO Anne Wojcicki wants to take the once-hot DNA company private. 23andMe said a Special Committee would evaluate the proposal in light of other options. The company’s valuation has tumbled since its stock market debut in 2021. The struggling DNA company once valued in the billions — was essentially worthless as of Wednesday.
  • But,shares soared Thursday less than three years after it began selling shares. Wojcicki told board members she is proposing to acquire the company in a potential go-private transaction, according to a filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index fell 11.09 points (0.2%) to 5,011.12; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) rose 22.07 points (0.1%) to 37,775.38; the NASDAQ Composite lost 81.88 points (0.5%) to 15,601.50.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) gained almost 5 basis points to 4.633%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) dropped 0.22 to 17.99.

Weakness in chip maker shares pushed the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) down 1.7% to a two-month low. Biotechnology and consumer discretionary shares were also among the weakest sectors. Energy companies eroded as WTI Crude Oil (/CL) futures dropped for a third straight trading day and closed at a three-week low. 

The S&P 500 is on track for its third consecutive weekly decline, its weakest stretch since September, while the NASDAQ Composite appears headed for a fourth straight weekly slide.

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StubHub! Plans to Go Public?

By Staff Reporters

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StubHub is an American ticket exchange and resale company. It provides services for buyers and sellers of tickets for sports, concerts, theater, and other live entertainment events. By 2015, it was the world’s largest ticket marketplace. While the company does not currently disclose its financials, in 2015 it had over 16 million unique visitors and nearly 10 million live events per month. StubHub was founded in 2000 by Eric Baker and Jeff Fluhr. The company was acquired by eBay for $310 million in 2007, and again acquired in 2020 by Viagogo.

StubHub reportedly plans to go public this summer?

According to The Information, the ticketing giant was last valued at $16.5 billion in 2021, but could still call off the public listing if it fails to land that figure.

The news comes amid a post-pandemic resurgence for live events, boosted by massive tours from Beyoncé and Taylor Swift. Though StubHub revenue jumped 40% in 2023 from the year before, it’s saddled with more than $2 billion in debt, which could test investors’ willingness to buy.

Rival ticketing service SeatGeek is also said to be mulling an IPO later this year.

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PODCAST: Statistics in Health Care Finance

By Eric Bricker MD

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Specificity versus Sensitivity: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2020/03/20/medical-laboratory-sensitivity-versus-specificity/

Correlation versus Causation: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2021/02/05/correlation-is-not-causation/?preview_id=239347&preview_nonce=a2cdc51424&preview=true

False Positives and Negatives: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2019/09/14/what-are-false-positive-and-false-negative-tests/

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Risk Management, Liability Insurance, and Asset Protection Strategies for Doctors and Advisors: Best Practices from Leading Consultants and Certified Medical Planners™

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DAILY UPDATE: PBM Pricing Structure and UnitedHealth Cyber Fury as Stock Markets Tumble

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Pharmacy Benefits Managers often need more transparency regarding their pricing structures and the rebates they negotiate with drug manufacturers. Some argue that PBMs might receive hidden fees or undisclosed profits from drug manufacturers in exchange for favorable positioning on their formularies (lists of covered medications). This can be seen as a form of kickback, which is illegal.

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Lawmakers Express Fury Toward UnitedHealth in Change Attack Hearing on the fallout surrounding the unprecedented cyberattack on Change Healthcare in late February. Individuals representing the American Hospital Association, private cybersecurity groups and providers testified before members of the House Energy and Commerce Committee on April 16th to discuss the healthcare industry’s response to the attack and how the federal government should act.

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In March, the cyber criminal organization received $22 million in bitcoins, though UnitedHealth Group has not addressed whether the company paid the ransom. On April 15th, ransomware group RansomHub posted files on its dark web leak site comprising of personal and protected health information on patients whose data was taken in the hack. The files also include contracts and agreements between Change and its clients, marking the first time hackers have posted data from the attack.

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Source: Jakob Emerson, Becker’s Hospital Review

Stocks started the day strong yesterday but ended up slumping before the market closed as investors pulled back on tech stocks, including Nvidia. United Airlines took off after releasing a strong forecast for the year despite saying it took a $200 million hit because of Boeing’s troubles.

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index lost 29.20 points (0.6%) to 5,022.21; the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 45.66 points (0.1%) to 37,753.31; the NASDAQ Composite dropped 181.88 points (1.2%) to 15,683.37.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) decreased more than 7 basis points to 4.585%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) fell 0.20 to 18.20.

ASML’s slump helped send the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) down 3.3% to its lowest level since late February. Transportation shares were also under pressure after trucking company J.B. Hunt Transport Services (JBHT) dropped 8.1% in the wake of disappointing quarterly numbers. Energy shares slipped as WTI Crude Oil (/CL) futures fell 3% to a three-week low. 

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JAMIE DIMON: Speaks on the Economy and Artificial Intelligence

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Jamie Dimon is bearish on a soft landing but bullish on AI

In his annual letter to shareholders, JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon just said that the odds interest rates return to the Fed’s target of 2% without triggering a recession are “a lot lower” than the 70%–80% chance that several markets seem to have priced in.

Dimon said JPMorgan is preparing for interest rates to possibly spike to 8% in the coming years, citing geopolitical risks, the green transition, and higher energy costs (but he’s notorious for having cautious outlooks). Artificial intelligence also topped Dimon’s list of pressing issues, and he’s “completely convinced” that AI’s impact will be “extraordinary”—maybe even as revolutionary as the printing press or the steam engine.

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DAILY UPDATE: Tesla Lay Offs, Mammograms, Physician Pay, UnitedHealth and Tele-Health as Stock Markets Close Mixed

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Stat: 10%. That’s the percentage of Tesla employees that will be impacted by its global workforce reduction. Elon Musk sent an email to employees on Monday informing them of the layoffs, which he said were made to “reduce costs and increase productivity,” according to the WSJ. The move comes as the electric vehicle maker deals with a wider slowdown in EV sales. (the Wall Street Journal)

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UnitedHealth Group, reeling from the Change cyberattack, recorded a loss of $1.4 billion in the first quarter. Still, its EPS exceeded expectations and the stock is trading up.


The Florida Medicaid market is a big prize for insurers. Just three plans earned statewide contracts, starting in October.


And … physicians made steady pay gains last year, but increases were undercut by inflation rates. See how other specialties fared, according to a report from Medscape.

The social determinants of health can impact a woman’s chance of being up to date with her mammogram, according to a recent Centers for Disease Control and Prevention report. Women are less likely to get a mammogram if they feel socially isolated, have lost a job or don’t have reliable transportation.


And…A major House subcommittee is considering whether to issue another short-term extension on telehealth flexibilities as they continue to evaluate cost and quality issues or to enact permanent changes to virtual care reimbursement.  The American Telemedicine Association is pushing Congress to make permanent the Medicare telehealth flexibilities implemented during the COVID-19 pandemic.

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) declined 10.41 points (0.2%) to 5,051.41, its lowest close in almost two months; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) advanced 63.86 points (0.2%) to 37,798.97; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) eased 19.77 points (0.1%) to 15,865.25.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield gained almost 4 basis points to 4.667%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) fell 0.83 to 18.40.

Scaled-back expectations for Fed rate cuts continued to burden interest-rate-sensitive sectors, such as banks and utilities. The KBW Regional Bank Index (KRX) lost 1.4% and ended near a five-month low. The small-cap Russell 2000® Index (RUT) dropped 0.4% and ended at a two-month low.

In other markets, the U.S. dollar index (DXY) strengthened for the fifth consecutive trading day and hit its highest level since late October, reflecting expectations rates will stay elevated. 

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16th NATIONAL: Healthcare Decision Day 2024

By Staff Reporters

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National Healthcare Decisions Day (NHDD) is an annual initiative celebrated on April 16th. Its purpose is to inspire, educate, and empower the public and healthcare providers about the importance of advance care planningNHDD encourages individuals to express their wishes regarding healthcare, and it emphasizes that providers and facilities should respect those wishes, whatever they may be.

Here are some key points about NHDD:

Let’s continue spreading awareness about advance care planning and making informed decisions about our health and well-being.

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Investment Adviser v. Mutual Fund Manager

“What’s the difference … and why pay fees to both?”

By Rick Kahler MS CFP®

http://www.KahlerFinancial.com

Rick Kahler MS CFPQuestions – from doctors – like these remind me that the workings of the financial services industry which I tend to take for granted but can be confusing to people outside the field.

The following analogy may help to explain.

Orchestra Analogy

Think of an orchestra. The investment adviser is the equivalent of the director/conductor and the money managers are the instrumentalists. Each one is a specialist who plays a particular type of instrument, and it takes a variety of these specialists to make up the orchestra.

Specialists

The broad specialties are the types of instruments, such as strings, brass, winds, and percussion. These are the equivalent of fund managers who specialize in asset classes like equities, bonds, real estate, commodities, and absolute returns.

Sub-Specialists

Within each specialty are a variety of subspecialists. Winds, for example, include clarinets, oboes, and saxophones—which are further divided into alto, soprano, tenor, and bass. The brass section has French horns, trumpets, and trombones. The divisions and sub-divisions go on and on. Similarly, within the various asset classes are a great many mutual fund managers who specialize in narrower subcategories.

Conductor

The task of the orchestra conductor-director is to pick, not just the best musicians, but the best mix of musicians. A group with only trumpets or every subspecialty of percussion, no matter how skilled, isn’t an orchestra. Before auditioning a single musician, the director’s first task is to clarify the purpose of the ensemble being created. A different mix of instruments will be required for a symphony, a marching band, an intimate chamber group, or a dance band. It all depends on what the audience wants.

The conductor-director needs to weigh the various musicians’ abilities against their cost and their specific specialties against the needs of the orchestra. When the right mix of players has been chosen, the director needs to pick the appropriate music, assemble the group, and rehearse. The director’s talent, experience, and leadership skills all serve to help the right players produce the right sound for their audiences.

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It takes similar coordination and skill to put together the right mix of asset classes and mutual fund managers to produce the best results for various clients, especially since there are some 17,000 mutual funds to choose from.

Fees

Just as both the orchestra director and the musicians are paid based on their skills and their work, both mutual fund managers and investment advisers are paid based on the assets they manage. Mutual fund managers earn 0.05% to 3.0%. Financial advisers earn 0.30% to 3.0%. An informed consumer could pay as low as 0.35% while an uninformed consumer could pay up to 6% a year, which would eat up most of the investment returns.

One essential responsibility for an adviser, then, is to choose mutual fund managers whose fees are low.

However, the cost of the mutual fund manager isn’t the be-all and end-all. One must also weigh performance, just as an orchestra director might pay more to get an outstanding musician who would add significant value to the performances.

Example:

For example, my firm’s overall average fee for mutual fund managers is 0.5%. We could get that as low as 0.1%, which might be impressive at first glance.

However, we would give up 0.25% to 1.00% of net return in some areas, resulting in poorer outcomes for the clients.

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INV_03_15_XMIT.indd

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Assessment

Skilled direction of an orchestra is obviously more art than science. Skilled coordination of mutual fund managers is the same. Both require knowledge, integrity, and commitment to the quality of the final product.

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DAILY UPDATE: Dental and Digital Health Start-Ups as Stock Markets Collapse Again!

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Here’s where the major stock market benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index fell 61.59 points (1.2%) to 5,061.82; the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 248.13 points (0.7%) to 37,735.11; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) dropped 290.08 points (1.8%) to 15,885.02.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) surged almost 12 basis points to 4.618%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) rose 1.92 to 19.23.

Interest-rate-sensitive sectors like real estate and utilities were among the weakest performers Monday. Technology shares were also under pressure. The small-cap Russell 2000® Index (RUT) shed 1.4% and ended at a two-month low.

In other markets, the U.S. dollar index (DXY) strengthened for the fourth consecutive trading day and hit its highest level since early November, reflecting expectations rates will stay elevated. Volatility based on the VIX jumped near 19.50, its highest level since late October.

Monday’s session also produced technical damage on the charts of benchmarks like the S&P 500, which closed under its 50-day simple moving average, currently around 5,114, for the first time since early November. The S&P 500 has dropped almost 4% from a record intraday high posted March 28th.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource

And, after a tough funding year for digital health startups, the first quarter of 2024 saw a flurry of deals announced—a “positive signal” that the funding landscape is looking up, according to Adriana Krasniansky, head of research at digital health strategy group and venture fund Rock Health’s advisory arm. Overall, the number of digital health funding deals (133) that closed in Q1 was the highest in six quarters, though the average deal size ($20.6 million) was smaller, according to a Rock Health report. Total funding for digital health startups was $2.7 billion, the lowest level since 2019. An increase in the frequency of deals—even if they’re smaller—is a good sign, according to Krasniansky.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

Dental startup Tend aims to simplify the patient billing process via a partnership with health tech startup Cedar, the companies announced on April 11th, 2024. The US spends roughly $165 billion per year on dental services as of 2022, according to professional organization the American Dental Association—but the payment experience can be “opaque” and “confusing,” Matthew Fitzgerald, chief marketing officer at Tend, told Healthcare Brew. “From the outset, Tend has sought to innovate the dental experience by leveraging technology and hospitality to build a company around the patient,” Tend CEO Troy Bage said in a statement. “By partnering with Cedar, we’ll be able to streamline and simplify the payment process for all our members—further enhancing their overall experience with Tend, while unlocking new ways for us to elevate engagement.”

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/tj8smmes

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