More on “Money Psychology” for Doctors

By Rick Kahler MS CFP® ChFC CCIM http://www.KahlerFinancial.com

Rick Kahler CFPAnyone who sent a check to the IRS last month certainly doesn’t need to be convinced that there is a relationship between money and feelings. I can personally attest that paying a hefty tax brings up a great deal of painful emotion.

Unification

The case for the union of money and psychology is overwhelming. Almost everyone experiences fear, sadness, grief, anger, or happiness around money events. Large life events like divorce, death, bankruptcy, losing a job, and selling a home clearly involve money and evoke emotions.

We may be less likely to notice the psychological aspects of smaller money events. Yet even acts like paying monthly bills, buying birthday gifts, or shopping for groceries have an emotional component.

The Research

Researchers like psychologist Daniel Kahneman PhD (who won the Nobel prize in economics) find that 90% of all financial decisions are made emotionally, not logically. Even the seemingly cold and calculating world of investing is driven by emotions. Economic theory is being set on its head as economist are slowly coming to realize that, regarding money, consumers often don’t make rational decisions that are in their best interests.

Yet decades after a small group of pioneering financial planners and therapists first met to explore the relationship of emotions and money, the field of financial psychology is still in its infancy. It’s really no wonder.

The Money Side

On the money side of the equation, we have institutions like large brokerage houses, insurance companies, and banks. Like all businesses, they need to be profitable. Any concern these institutions may have about the union of finance and psychology is likely to focus on ways to manipulate customers’ emotions in order to sell more of their goods and services.

The Emotional Side

On the emotional side, psychologists and therapists rarely mention money issues. When they do talk about money, it’s often in the context of their own fees. Their training doesn’t address the idea that both they and their clients may have emotional issues or beliefs around money that could be destructive.

Tax

The Gap

This leaves a big gap. In the middle of it are consumers who don’t know how to develop healthier patterns of behavior around money. They may overspend to relieve stress, feel overwhelmed by credit card debt, be unreasonably fearful about financial security, be overly trusting or overly suspicious, or give or lend too much to family members.

Some of these consumers have at least some idea that their destructive financial patterns are psychological. They may realize they need more than financial facts to change those patterns. Yet they may have no idea where to find the help they need.

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The Financial Planners

The one group of professionals that is moving to fill that need is client-focused financial planners. Unlike advisors who sell financial products, client-focused financial planners receive no commissions but charge fees for their advice. By law, they must act as fiduciaries and advocates for their clients.

Historically, financial planners have not embraced the notion of money psychology. Obtaining the Certified Financial Planner® designation still requires no formal training even in client communications or conflict resolution. Yet a small but growing group of client-centered financial planners is seeking out training in psychology and communication. A few even partner with financial therapists.

Assessment

The challenge for consumers is how to find these professionals. One source is the Financial Therapy Association, which has a list on its website at http://www.financialtherapyassociation.org.

Gradually, more consumers as well as professionals are realizing that it’s possible to combine financial knowledge and psychology to create more balanced relationships with money. This awareness is sure to increase the demand for financial psychology services. It will be exciting to watch this infant profession as it grows.

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Risk Management, Liability Insurance, and Asset Protection Strategies for Doctors and Advisors: Best Practices from Leading Consultants and Certified Medical Planners™8Comprehensive Financial Planning Strategies for Doctors and Advisors: Best Practices from Leading Consultants and Certified Medical Planners™

 

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DAILY UPDATE: Friday Before Memorial Day Weekend and the Stock Market Collapse

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The Friday before Memorial Day is never action packed, and this year is no exception as earnings season begins to wrap up and economic readings slow down. Two reports to watch for tomorrow: April Durable Goods Orders and University of Michigan’s May sentiment report.

Durable Goods Orders are big-ticket items with a shelf life of three or more years—think appliances and furniture for consumers, or machinery, equipment, and vehicles for businesses. More durable goods orders indicate a healthy economy, as consumers and companies alike wouldn’t spend as much if they weren’t confident they could afford it, and also provides insight into how strong the manufacturing industry is.

The University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment index is a survey of consumers via telephone to better understand how they feel about the economy, what they’re spending their money on, etc. The preliminary findings earlier this month weren’t great thanks to sticky inflation, and tomorrow’s finalized readings won’t change much. But with the latest CPI reading indicating inflation might yet be tamed, next month’s report could be much more illuminating.

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) fell 39.17 points (0.7%) to 5,267.84; the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 605.78 points (1.5%) to 39,065.26; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) shed 65.51 points (0.4%) to 16,736.03.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield rose more than 4 basis points to 4.479%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) rose 0.48 to 12.77.

Financial shares were among Thursday’s weakest performers amid ideas a “higher-for-longer” Fed rate outlook could pressure bank margins. The KBW Regional Bank Index (KRX) dropped almost 3% to a three-week low. Other interest-rate-sensitive sectors, including real estate and utilities, took pressure.

In other markets, WTI Crude Oil (/CL) futures fell for the fourth straight trading day and closed at a three-month low under $76 per barrel.

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Spot Ethereum ETFs were approved by the SEC in another big win for crypto, following the approval of spot bitcoin ETFs earlier this year.

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ASSET PROTECTION: Fundamentals for Physicians

Don’t Leave Yourself Unprotected

By Nicholas Efthemis CFP®

The largest concern facing physicians today is how to protect their wealth against the proliferation of malpractice claims and extraordinarily high jury verdicts. Malpractice insurance has become so expensive that physicians are greatly reducing their coverage.

Even worse, some carriers are dropping physicians that have poor claims history. When meeting with physicians my message is a simple one. Take action and do so now. Constructing a complete asset protection plan is the single most critical step towards attaining financial freedom. Physicians work hard and long hours to create wealth, and are potentially one medical malpractice claim or general negligence claim away from financial catastrophe. Detailing every asset protection strategy is beyond the scope of this article, however I will review some important concepts you should know.

Good asset protection will prevent lawsuits. Conversely, the more personal assets that remain unprotected the more likely an attorney is willing to go after you. In fact, a physician with very high malpractice coverage and unprotected assets has a target on his back. This can be avoided through lower policy limits and a complete Asset Protection Plan.

What is the Best Asset Protection Plan?

The best Asset Protection Plan for a physician or any high net worth client removes all assets from the client’s name. The worst plan has all the assets in the client’s name. You will need to work with a specialized attorney to find the ideal plan for you. In many cases your largest asset are the funds in your retirement plan or IRA. The good news is that creditors cannot reach ERISA qualified plan assets. Common ERISA plans include:

1. 401(k) 403(b) Plan

2. Profit Purchase Plan

3. Money Purchase Plan

4. New Comparability Plans

5. Defined Benefit Plan

Keep in mind IRAs are not considered ERISA qualified plans and have no federal protection from creditors. Many individual states have protected IRAs in part or in full. In my state, New York, IRAs are fully protected. If you live in a state where they are not you should seriously consider moving the money into an ERISA qualified plan. This can be accomplished even if you are retired.

What about my house?

It is never a good idea, from an asset protection standpoint to own property in just your name. If you get sued the property is almost entirely at risk. Owning the marital home jointly with your spouse can be effective. You will protect the home from each other’s individual creditors (though not joint creditors). You should not title many assets as tenants by the entirety for several reasons. Physicians suffer a higher divorce rate than the already high national average of fifty percent. Should a divorce occur you will have ensured the spouse will receive half of that asset. Also, you do nothing to protect the asset against joint creditors.

How should my other assets be held?

You will need to consult a specialized asset protection attorney. Most effective plans involve the use of a corporate structure, limited liability company, or family limited partnership. Keep in mind that the entity you choose will have its own unique asset protection and tax consequences.

  • Sole proprietorships and partnerships are the worst way to own a business. If a sole proprietor is found negligent in his duties for the business that injures a third person, the sole proprietor is personally liable. If a product or employee harm a third person or someone is harmed on the premises, the sole proprietor is personally liable. With a partnership you have all of the above risks coupled with a partner who can cause you even more liability.
  • Limited Liability Companies (LLCs), Family Limited Liability Companies (FLLCs) and Family Limited Partnerships (FLPs) are the most commonly used tools by asset protection specialists today. A creditor attempting to obtain assets of a debtor when the assets are in a LLC will likely have very limited success. In fact, a charging order is the only remedy a court can give a creditor. A charging order does not allow creditors to sell assets of the LLC or force distributions of income. It also cannot transfer interest in the LLC to the creditor. A creditor who obtains a charging order against an LLC may in fact receive a K-1 for income they never did and may never receive.

What should I consider holding in an LLC?

I advise my physician clients to consider holding rental real estate, after tax investment accounts, planes, boats and any personal assets of value in an LLC. Unless you are single and your home is titled in your name alone, the marital home may not be a good candidate for transfer to an LLC. By doing so, you forego the capital gains exemption of $250,000 per spouse. Brokerage accounts can be owned by an LLC, and when constructed correctly you will have full ability to invest as you desire. The investments within the account would then be protected. Assets such as planes and boats may be best held in their own LLCs to protect the rest of your estate from their unique risk profiles.

Example:

  • Personal Residence $750,000 Tenants by the entirety
  • Vacation Property $300,000 LLC #1
  • Investment Account $900,000 LLC #1
  • 401 (k) 2,400,000 ERISA plans are federally protected
  • Boat $55,000 LLC #2

Assessment

The topic of asset protection is vast and complicated, but I hope to break out additional topics such as off-shoring, accounts receivable leveraging, fiduciary duties, and insurance in subsequent articles. My hope is that I have given you enough ideas and motivation to act now. You cannot wait until there is an issue. It is critical that your financial planner, attorney and accountant are all very knowledgeable on asset protection. Do not rely on a generalist to navigate such a complex yet critical issue.

About the Author:

Nicholas Efthemis is a Certified Financial Planner™ who helps physicians plan wisely and live fully by creating a financial plan that helps them focus on their medical practice and live a better life.

Conclusion

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DAILY UPDATE: Uber Health, Lyft Healthcare, HHS Cyber Attacks as Markets Swoon

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index lost 14.40 points (0.3%) to 5,307.01; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) declined 201.95 points (0.5%) to 39,671.04; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) slipped 31.08 points (0.2%) to 16,801.54.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) rose more than 1 basis point to 4.426%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) increased 0.43 to 12.29.

Retailer shares were among the market’s weakest performers after Target’s (TGT) quarterly results, released before Wednesday’s open, fell short of expectations. Target shares tumbled 8% after the company reported revenue fell 3% in the first quarter from the year-earlier period. During the company’s earnings call, Target CEO Brian Cornell noted “continued soft trends in discretionary categories” contributed to the revenue decline.

Energy companies were also under pressure after WTI Crude Oil (/CL) futures closed at a three-month low just above $77 per barrel.

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Following a series of high-profileand costlycyberattacks against the healthcare industry, the federal government is stepping in with a $50+ million initiative intended to boost hospital cybersecurity, a division of the Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) announced on May 20th.

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Uber Health will begin rolling out a new solution designed for caregivers this summer, allowing individuals to add a caregiver to their Uber profile. That caregiver can then see and spend that person’s health benefits on eligible services, request rides to doctors’ appointments or order groceries. In the coming months, Uber Health will be working with Medicare Advantage, Medicaid and commercial plans to offer the solution.


U.S. Sens. Sheldon Whitehouse and Bill Cassidy, M.D., want to reform how primary care providers get paid through Medicare, and they also want to hear from the healthcare industry about the best way to do it. Together, they introduced a bipartisan bill, the Pay PCPs Act (S. 4338), last week to better support and improve pay for high-quality primary care providers. 


And… digital maternal health company Babyscripts announced a partnership with Lyft Healthcare to offer sponsored rides for people who are pregnant or postpartum and face barriers to transportation. The Lyft partnership will identify transportation-insecure patients and offer free rides to in-person appointments in traditional care settings and community-based healthcare services and programs.

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PHYSICIAN’S BEWARE: Psychological “INVESTING MIND TRAPS”

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP

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As, as human beings, our brains are booby-trapped with psychological barriers that stand between making smart financial decisions and making dumb ones. The good news is that once you realize your own mental weaknesses, it’s not impossible to overcome them. 

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In fact, psychiatrist and medical colleague Wes Boyd MD PhD MA related the following mind-traps and investing impediments that have yet to be appreciated by the financial planning community writ-large:

  • Anchoring happens when we place too much emphasis on the first piece of information we receive regarding a given subject. For instance, when shopping for a wedding ring a salesman might tell us to spend three months’ salary. After hearing this, we may feel like we are doing something wrong if we stray from this advice, even though the guideline provided may cause us to spend more or less than we can afford. Ditto for buy / sell stock recommendations without our own due diligence.
  • Myopia makes it hard for us to imagine what our lives might be like in the future. For example, because we are young, healthy, and in our prime medical practice earning years now, it may be hard for us to picture what life will be like when our health depletes and we know longer have the earnings necessary to support our standard of living. This short sighted thinking makes it hard to save adequately when we are young, when saving does the most good.
  • Gambler’s fallacy occurs when we subconsciously believe we can use past events to predict the future. It is common for the hottest sector during one calendar year to attract the most doctor investors the following year. Of course, just because an investment did well last year doesn’t mean it will continue to do well this year. In fact, it is more likely to lag the market.
  • Avoidance is simply procrastination. Even though you may only have the opportunity to adjust your health care plan through your employer once per year, researching alternative health plans is too much work and too boring for us to get around to it. Consequently, we stick with a plan that may not be best for us.
  • Loss aversion affected many investors during the stock market crash of 2008. During the crash, many doctors decided they couldn’t afford to lose more and sold their investments. Of course, this caused the investors to sell at market troughs and miss the quick, dramatic recovery.
  • Overconfident investing happens when we believe we can out-smart other investors via market timing or through quick, frequent trading. Data convincingly shows that people who trade most often under-perform the market by a significant margin over time.
  • Mental accounting takes place when we assign different values to money depending on where we get it from. For instance, even though we may have an aggressive saving goal for the year, it is likely easier for us to save money that we worked for than money that was given to us as a gift.
  • Herd mentality makes it very hard for humans to not take action when everyone around us does. For example, we may hear stories of people making significant profits buying, fixing up, and flipping homes and have the desire to get in on the action, even though we have no experience in real estate.

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DAILY UPDATE: Hims & Hers, MSFT-AI, Neuralink, FDIC and New Market Highs

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Microsoft unveiled new PCs with AI-powered features.

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Hims & Hers stock soared as much as 38% on the news that it’ll provide GLP-1 injections with the same active ingredient as Ozempic or Wegovy for just $199/month—an 85% discount compared to Wegovy’s ~$1,350 monthly price tag (without insurance).

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FDIC Chair Martin Gruenberg will resign after an investigation found widespread sexual harassment at the agency. But he won’t step down until a successor is named.

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The FDA granted Elon Musk’s neurotech company Neuralink, approval to place its brain chip into a second human test subject using a new method designed to correct issues that arose after its inaugural insertion in January, per the Wall Street Journal.

And, Optum Rx is shaking up its pharmacy model. The business says it will make drug costs more predictable and transparent for clients.

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  • All three indexes ended the day higher after Fed Governor Christopher Waller stopped by CNBC and mentioned he doesn’t think raising interest rates is in the cards, even if the Fed is waiting for more data before making cuts. The NASDAQ continued to hit new all-time highs today as investors place their bets before Nvidia’s earnings announcement tomorrow afternoon, and the S&P 500 hit yet another record.
  • Copper continued to rise as the market comes to terms with the metal’s importance, while oil fell on the news that the Biden administration will release 1 million barrels of gasoline this summer from the Northeast reserve. Meanwhile, ethereum continued to climb on the news that a new ETF may be joining the fray.

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index rose 13.28 points (0.3%) to 5,321.41; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) gained 66.22 points (0.2%) to 39,872.99; the NASDAQ Composite advanced 37.75 points (0.2%) to 16,832.62.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) lost more than 2 basis points to 4.414%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) fell 0.29 to 11.86.

Banking and consumer staples were among the market’s strongest performers Tuesday, while utility shares extended a sharp upswing over the past month. The Dow Jones Utility Average® ($DJU) added 0.5% and closed at a 12-month high. Transportation companies were among the weakest performers.

In other markets, Gold (/GC) futures slipped from Monday’s record high above $2,454 per ounce, while Silver (/SI) futures ended near a 12-year high around $32.21. Gold futures are still up 17% this year due to several factors, including reports of China’s central bank buying actual gold as well as escalating conflict in the Middle East. Gold is viewed by some as a safe-haven asset during periods of heightened geopolitical tension.

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PHYSICIANS & DENTISTS: Financial Consulting & Planning

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DAILY UPDATE: Abbvie, Treasuries, Gold, Copper and the NASDAQ Rally

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The yield on the 10-year Treasury rose as investors wait for word from the FOMC on Wednesday, while oil initially rose on the news of the death of the president of Iran, though it fell back down to end the day lower after succession of the presidency was settled. But investors were clearly still feeling jittery as gold hit new highs on the back of geopolitical concerns. Copper also rose to a new all-time high.

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index gained 4.86 points (0.1%) to 5,308.13; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) lost 196.82 points (0.5%) to 39,806.77; the NASDAQ Composite rallied 108.91 points (0.7%) to 16,794.87.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) increased more than 2 basis points to 4.443%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) rose 0.15 to 12.14.

Nvidia’s gain helped push the PHLX Semiconductor Index (SOX) more than 2% to a two-and-a-half-month high and just under a record close posted in early March. The small-cap Russell 2000® Index (RUT) added 0.3% and ended slightly below a six-week high posted last Wednesday. 

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JPMorgan shares fell 4.5% as investors realized that they won’t have Jamie Dimon around forever—he told shareholders at a meeting today that his 5-year timetable for leaving the company no longer applies.

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After AbbVie’s Humira, the best-selling drug in the world, lost patent exclusivity in 2023, company executives placed their bets on two other AbbVie drugs, Skyrizi and Rinvoq, to make up for an anticipated steep decline in revenue.

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15 YEAR JOURNEY: From Active to Passive Investing?

By Staff Reporters

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Historical Review

As can now be discerned 15 years later, two trends emerged from the aftermath of the 2008 financial crisis. One was a new type of investment that concentrated capital among a small number of firms. The other was left-wing activism in the style of Occupy Wall Street. Combined, these trends helped empower Wall Street behemoths to push much of the corporate wokeness that is so common today. The financial meltdown precipitated a transition from active to passive investment.

Definitions

Active investment is what one typically thinks of as investing — making risky stock purchases in an attempt to beat the market in the short-term.

More: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2023/03/06/understanding-active-asset-allocation/

Passive investment, on the other hand, requires much less effort. According to Investopedia, it is a long-term strategy where investors try to “replicate market performance by constructing well-diversified portfolios” (e.g. mutual funds) typically based on a “representative benchmark” like the S&P 500 index.  In other words, it bets on the market rather than against it.

More: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2015/03/19/more-on-passive-investing-for-physicians/

Dichotomy

Passive investing took off after the financial crisis when investors realized it wasn’t worth trying to beat the market. Why pay a broker a one to two percent fee every year to actively manage your assets, especially when the downturn revealed they often under-performed the regular market returns? Many opted for passive asset management that cost a fraction of a brokerage fee.

More: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2022/03/09/active-or-passive-investing-pursuits/

Today

In fact, one study found that between 2008 and 2015, active funds lost $800 billion while passive funds gained over $1 trillion in new investment. As of 2019, more money is now invested in passive than in active funds.

Cite: https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/business-and-politics/article/hidden-power-of-the-big-three-passive-index-funds-reconcentration-of-corporate-ownership-and-new-financial-risk/30AD689509AAD62F5B677E916C28C4B6

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PODCAST: Medicare Launched the First VBC Initiative 40 Years Ago!

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Value-Based Care Happened 40 Years

Why Was Medicare Able to Bring About So Much Value-Based Payment Change in 3 Years (’83-’86) Compared to the Relatively Little Change That Has Occurred in the 11 Years Since the Affordable Care Act?

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PODCAST: Healthcare Start-Up Accelerators and Incubators

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DAILY UPDATE: Jerome Powell, DJIA, Reddit and Life Insurance

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Young adults are delaying life insurance purchases due to financial constraints and a preference for spending on immediate experiences. The insurance industry is responding with digital-first strategies and more flexible products.

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The DJIA closed above 40,000 for the first time after briefly crossing the milestone the day before and clinching its fifth winning week. Reddit shot up after announcing a partnership with OpenAI that lets the AI train on your posts and gives Reddit advertising dollars and the ability to use the tech to make new tools.

But, GameStop stock plunged after the recently reinvigorated meme stock filed to sell 45 million new shares and revealed that sales were down last quarter.

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Jerome Powell, chair of the Federal Reserve has tested positive for Covid. But the economy needn’t worry because he’s working from home.

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DAILY UPDATE: Top Causes of Death, Narcan Saves Lives but Scientific Research Fraudulent as DJIA Tops 40,000

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Walgreens has released its own brand of naloxone, a medication that reverses the effects of an opioid overdose. Available online now, Walgreens Brand Naloxone HCl Nasal Spray comes with two doses for $34.99, about $10 cheaper than the name-brand version, Narcan. The over-the-counter medication will also be available in stores by the end of May in the pain aisle, according to a press release, making the life-saving nasal spray more accessible.

***

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index rose 6.17 points (0.1%) to 5,303.27, up 1.5% for the week; the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 134.21 points (0.3%) to 40,003.59, up 1.2% for the week; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) lost 12.35 points (0.1%) to 16,685.97, up 2.1% for the week.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) rose more than 4 basis points to 4.42%, down about 8 basis points for the week.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) fell 0.43 to 11.99.

Among major companies, Nvidia (NVDA) dropped 2% Friday but still posted a 2.9% advance for the week ahead of the semiconductor leader’s quarterly earnings Wednesday. Among sectors, energy shares led gainers behind a 1% jump in WTI Crude Oil (/CL) futures. The small-cap Russell 2000® Index (RUT) ended little changed but still gained 1.7% for the week.

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Fraudulent research papers have cost scientific journal publishers millions in lost revenue. (the Wall Street Journal)

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The 10 Top Causes of Adult Death in the U.S.A.

1.  Heart disease 267.2* 2.  Cancer 142.3 3.  Unintentional injuries 64.0 4.  COVID-19 44.5 5.  Stroke 39.5 6.  Chronic lower respiratory disease 34.3 7.  Alzheimer disease 28.9 8.  Diabetes 24.1  9   Kidney disease 13.8 10. Chronic liver disease and cirrhosis 13.8 Deaths per 100,000 population.

Source: Jeffrey Bendix, Medical Economics [5/15/24]

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SUBMITTED ESSAYS: Economics, Management and Finance from Advisors to Physicians

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Finance, economics and management essays of most current interest to all physicians and healthcare professionals

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Check back periodically for practical updates. Our catalogue library of major books, texts, case models and dictionaries is suggested for additional financial, economic, business and medical practice management information and education.

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DAILY UPDATE: Core CPI and ERISA while Markets Remain High with Walmart Up

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

America’s oldest popular stock index, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, hit a brief record high yesterday morning when it traded above 40,000, reflecting renewed hope for the market’s health after Wednesday’s promising inflation report.

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) fell 11.05 points (0.2%) to 5,297.10; the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 38.62 points (0.1%) to 39,869.38; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) shed 44.07 points (0.3%) to 16,698.32.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) rose more than 2 basis points to 4.381%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) dropped 0.03 to 12.42.

Walmart’s strength fueled a strong day for consumer staples shares. The S&P 500 Consumer Staples ($SP500#30), which includes Walmart as well as companies like Coca-Cola (KO) and Procter & Gamble (PG), surged 1.5% to its highest level in over two years. 

Among other companies, Applied Materials (AMAT) fell 1.6% ahead of the semiconductor industry supplier’s quarterly earnings report, which is expected after Thursday’s close.

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And, Core CPI, which tracks the price of goods and services excluding volatile food and energy prices and is closely watched as an inflation indicator, rose 3.6% from the same period last year. That’s the smallest annual increase since April 2021. On a monthly basis, core CPI rose 0.3%, marking the first time in six months that its growth slowed from the prior month. Other good signs include:

  • Grocery prices dropped 0.2% from March, the first decrease in a year.
  • Health insurance and car insurance increased more slowly in April than in March.
  • A separate report released yesterday showed consumer spending stayed steady last month.

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Finally, Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.) and a group of Republican senators are moving to overturn a retirement investment planning rule that was finalized by the Labor Department last month. The Labor Department unveiled the new rule last month that would update the definition of an investment advice fiduciary under the Employee Retirement Income Security Act. Manchin and 15 Republican senators joined in co-sponsoring a Congressional Review Act (CRA) resolution that would overturn this new rule.

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REIMBURSEMENT: Valuation of Accountable Care Organizations

By Health Capital Consultants, LLC

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Valuation of Accountable Care Organizations: Reimbursement

The U.S. healthcare payment and delivery system is increasingly moving to a value- and quality-based system. Accountable care organizations (ACOs) are at the forefront of delivering high-quality and cost-effective care to millions of Medicare beneficiaries and privately insured patients, incentivized by substantial shared savings for those who increase quality while containing costs.

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This third installment of a five-part series on the valuation of ACOs will discuss the reimbursement environment in which ACOs participate.(Read more…) 

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DAILY UPDATE: Healthcare Monopolies, Ark Invest and the Stock Markets Mega Rally

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More people are interested in determining their “heart age” using new tests and tech tools, but some skeptics say it’s not a healthy data point to focus on. (the Wall Street Journal)

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The Cathie Wood-led Ark Invest just made some significant trades. The most prominent among them were the increased stakes in Palantir Technologies Inc (NYSE:PLTR) and the reduced holdings in Coinbase Global Inc (NASDAQ: COIN).

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index rose 61.47 points (1.2%) to 5,308.15; the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 349.89 points (0.9%) to 39,908.00; the NASDAQ Composite rallied 231.21 points (1.4%) to 16,742.39.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield fell almost 10 basis points to 4.348%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) dropped 0.97 to 12.45.

Chipmaker shares led the way higher Wednesday, lifting the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) almost 3% to a 10-week high. Interest-rate-sensitive sectors like real estate and utilities were also strong. The small-cap Russell 2000® Index (RUT) advanced 1.1% to a seven-week high. The U.S. Dollar Index ($DXY) slumped to its weakest level in five weeks, reflecting expectations for lower interest rates that may reduce the appeal of U.S. fixed income assets.

Among companies, Cisco Systems (CSC) surged 1.5% ahead of its quarterly results expected after Wednesday’s close. Dow member Walmart (WMT) is expected to release results Thursday morning as the unofficial retail earnings season accelerates. 

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And The U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) announced it has established a new task force to take on healthcare monopolies and collusion. The task force, made up of prosecutors, economists, healthcare industry experts and others, will guide the division’s enforcement strategy and policy approach in healthcare, including by facilitating policy advocacy, investigations and, where warranted, civil and criminal enforcement in healthcare markets.

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DAILY UPDATE: Squarespace, Ark Invest & Hospitals as the Markets Rebound

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) rose 25.26 points (0.5%) to 5,246.68, the highest since a record close March 28; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) gained 126.60 points (0.3%) to 39,558.11; the NASDAQ Composite climbed 122.94 points (0.8%) to 16,511.18.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) fell more than 3 basis points to 4.449%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) decreased 0.18 to  13.42.

Among companies, Home Depot’s (HD) quarterly results reported earlier Tuesday kicked off the unofficial start of the retail earnings season. The home improvement retailer’s earnings topped expectations, but revenue missed forecasts, initially sending the company’s shares down sharply. 

Home Depot also reaffirmed its full-year guidance for a 1% decline in comparable-store sales and a 1% increase in total sales. The company’s shares bounced back to end with a 0.1% loss.

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And, the Cathie Wood-led Ark Invest just made some significant trades. The most prominent among them were the increased stakes in Palantir Technologies Inc (NYSE PLTR) and the reduced holdings in Coinbase Global Inc (NASDAQ: COIN).

Moreover, the website-building platform Squarespace is to go private, which it announced it’ll be doing in an all-cash deal with Permira, a private equity firm. Squarespace, which was public for nearly three years, joins a group of other smaller tech companies like Qualtrics that have recently pulled themselves off the public market. (CNBC)

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Employers and private insurers are paying hospitals more for inpatient and outpatient services than in previous years, a study from RAND Corporation finds. The American Hospital Association dismissed the report saying it offers a “skewed and incomplete picture.”


And finally … Kaiser Permanente began its 2024 earnings season with more than $2.7 billion in net income and $935 million in operating income, just months after sharing plans to lay off workers.

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Physician Electronic-Mail Bills

MY CHART”

By AMANDA SEITZ

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E-Mailing your Physician may Cost You like Your Attorneys!

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WASHINGTON (AP) — The next time you message your doctor to ask about a pesky cough or an itchy rash, you may want to check your bank account first — you could get a bill for the question.

Hospital systems around the country are rolling out fees for some messages that patients send to physicians, who they say are spending an increasing amount of time poring over online queries, some so complex that they require the level of medical expertise normally dispensed during an office visit. Patient advocates, however, worry these new fees may deter people from reaching out to their doctor and that they add another layer of complexity to the U.S. health care system’s already opaque billing process.

“This is a barrier that denies access and will result in hesitancy or fear to communicate and potentially harm patients with lower quality of care and outcomes at a much higher cost,” said Cynthia Fisher, the founder of Patient Rights Advocate, a Massachusetts-based nonprofit that pushes for hospital price transparency.

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The explosion of telehealth over the last three years — driven by the COVID-19 outbreak and relaxed federal regulations for online care — prompted many doctors to adopt more robust telecommunication with their patients. Consultations that once happened in an office were converted to computer or smart phone visits. And health care systems invited patients to use new online portals to message their doctors with a question at any time, American Medical Association president Jack Resneck Jr. told The Associated Press.

“When people figured out this is cool and could improve care, you saw hospitals and practice groups saying to patients, welcome to your portal … you can ping your physician with questions if you want,” Resneck said. “We found ourselves as physicians getting dozens and dozens of these a day and not having time built in to do that work.”

The charges vary for each patient and hospital system, with messages costing as little as $3 for Medicare patients to as much $160 for the uninsured. In some cases, the final bill depends on how much time the doctor spends responding.

READ HERE: https://my.clevelandclinic.org/online-services/mychart/messaging#msdynttrid=bAU8cKe-602S6wFIwSYop1KQswRcT2b2F5mRJ-92OEc

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PODCAST: Hospital Price Transparency Website

BILLY EATS MEDICAL BILLS

By Eric Bricker MD

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DAILY UPDATE: Moderna Down with Mixed Markets

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) fell 1.26 points (0.02%) to 5,221.42; the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 81.33 points (0.2%) to 39,431.51; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) gained 47.37 points (0.3%) to 16,388.24.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) dropped almost 2 basis points to 4.487%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) surged 1.05 to 13.60.

Biotechnology and food and beverage shares were among the market’s strongest sectors Monday, while communication services stocks were among the biggest laggards. Energy shares took pressure despite a jump of 1.2% in WTI Crude Oil (/CL) futures, which ended above $79 per barrel after slumping last week to two-month lows.

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Moderna is “bleeding money” as its forthcoming RSV vaccine doesn’t appear to deliver better results than other RSV shots already on the market. (Bloomberg)

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It’s ChatGPT-4o’s time to shine. The “o” stands for omni, and it’s the latest iteration of OpenAI’s signature chatbot. According to the company, it’s much faster with enhanced “capabilities across text, vision, and audio.”

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23% is the average portion of the bill hospitals collected from patients before treatment in Q1 of this year, up 3% YoY. (the Wall Street Journal)

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About Tombstone Securities Advertising and the “New Issue” Propsectus

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A Primer for Physician Investors and Medical Professionals

By: Dr. David Edward Marcinko; MBA, MEd, CMP™

[Editor-in-Chief]

[PART 2 OF 8]

BU Dr. Marcinko

NOTE: This is an eight part ME-P series based on a weekend lecture I gave more than a decade ago to an interested group of graduate, business and medical school students. The material is a bit dated and some facts and specifics may have changed since then. But, the overall thought-leadership information of the essay remains interesting and informative. We trust you will enjoy it.

Introduction

Despite the SEC restrictions, noted in Part I of this series, some idea of potential demand for a new security issue can be gauged and have a bearing on  pricing decisions.

For example, as CEO of a medical instrument company, or interested investor, would you rather see a great deal of interest in a potential new issue or not very much interest?  There is however, one kind of advertisement that the underwriter can publish during the cooling off period. It’s known as a tombstone ad.  The ad makes it clear that it is only an announcement and does not constitute an offer to sell or  solicit the issue, and that such an offering can only be made by  prospectus.  SEC Rule 134 of the 1933 Act  itself, refers to a tombstone ad as “communication not deemed a prospectus”  because it makes reference to the prospectus in the ad. Tombstones have received their name because of the sparse nature of details found in them.

However, the most popular use of the tombstone ad is to announce the effectiveness of a new issue, after it has been successfully issued. This promotes the success of  both he underwriter, as well as the company.

Since distributing securities involves potential liability to the investment bank, it will do everything possible to protect itself.  So, near the end of the cooling off period, a meeting is held between the underwriter and the corporation. It is known as a due diligence meeting. At this meeting they both discuss amendments that are going to be necessary to make the registration statement complete and accurate. The corporate officers, and the underwriters sign, the final registration statement. They have civil liability for damages that result from omissions of material facts or

Mis-statements of fact. They also have criminal liability if the distribution is done by use of fraudulent, manipulative, or deceptive means. Due diligence takes on a whole new meaning when  incarceration from a half-hearted effort underwriting efforts can occur. The investment bank strives to ensure that there have been no material changes to the issuer or the terms of the issue since the registration statement was filed.

Again, as a physician, how would you feel if you were an investment banker raising capital for a new pharmaceutical company that had developed a drug product that was highly marketable. But, on the day after the issue was effective, there was a major news story indicating that the company was being sued for patent infringement? What effect do you think that would have on the market price of this new issue? It would probably plunge. How could this situation have been prevented? The due diligence meeting is more than a cocktail party or a gathering in a smoke filled room. Otherwise, the company would require specially trained people, to do a patent search lessening the likelihood of this scenario. At the due diligence meeting, work is done on the preparation of the final prospectus, but the investment bank does not set the public offering price or the effective date at this meeting. The SEC will eventually set the effective date for the registration and it is on that date that the final offering price will be determined.

Once the SEC sets the effective date, sales may be executed and money can be accepted by the investment bank. It is at this time that the final prospectus, similar to the red herring but without the red ink and with the missing numbers, is issued. A prospectus is an abbreviated form of the registration statement, distributed to purchasers, on and after the effective date of  the registration. It is not the same as the registration statement. A typical registration statement consists of papers that stand more than a foot high; rarely does a prospectus go beyond 40 or 50 pages. All purchasers will receive a final prospectus and then it becomes permissible for the underwriter to provide sales literature.

In addition to the requirement that a prospectus must be delivered to a purchaser of new issues no later than with confirmation of the trade, there are two other requirements that healthcare executives investors should know.

90-day: When an issuer has an initial public offering (IPO), there is generally a lack of publicly available material relating to the operations of that issuer.  Because of this, the SEC requires that all members of the underwriting group make available a prospectus on an IPO for a period of 90 days after the effective date.

4O-day: Once an issuer has gone public, there are a number of routine filings that must be made with the SEC so there is publicly available information regarding the financial condition of that issuer. Since additional information is now available, the SEC requires that, on all issues other than IPOs, any member of the underwriting group must make available a prospectus for a period of 40 days after the effective date.

In the event that the investment bankers misgauged the marketplace, and the issue moves quite slowly, it is possible that information contained in the prospectus would be rendered obsolete by the SEC. Specifically, the SEC requires that any prospectus used more than 9 months after the effective date, may not have any financial information more than 16 months old. It can however, be amended or stickered, with updated information, as needed.

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  Risk Management, Liability Insurance, and Asset Protection Strategies for Doctors and Advisors: Best Practices from Leading Consultants and Certified Medical Planners™8Comprehensive Financial Planning Strategies for Doctors and Advisors: Best Practices from Leading Consultants and Certified Medical Planners™

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Syndication Among Underwriters

Because the investment banking firm may be underwriting (distributing) a rather large dollar amount of securities, to spread its risk exposure, it may form a group made up of other investment bankers or underwriters, known as a syndicate. The syndicate is headed by a syndicate manager, or lead underwriter, and it is his job to decide whether to participate in the offering. If so, the managing underwriter will sign a non-binding agreement called a letter of intent. .

If all has gone well and the market place is sufficiently interested in the security, and the SEC has been satisfied with respect to the registration statement, it is time for all parties to the offering to formalize their relationships with a contract including the basic understandings reflected in the letter of intent. Three principal underwriting contracts are involved in the usual public offering, each serving a distinct purpose. These are the: Agreement among Underwriters, Underwriting Agreement, and the Dealer Agreement.

In the Agreement Among Underwriters (AAU), the underwriters committing to a portion of the issue, enter into an agreement establishing the nature and terms of their relationship with each other. It designates the syndicate manager to act on their behalf, particularly to enter into an Underwriting Agreement with the issuer, and to conduct the offering on behalf of each  of them. The AAU will designate the managing underwriter’s compensation (management fee) for managing the offering.

The authority to manage the offering includes the authority to: agree with the issuer as to the public offering price; decide when to commence the offering; modify the offering price and selling commission; control all advertising; and, control the timing and effectiveness of the registration statement by quickly responding to deficiency letters. Each underwriter agrees to purchase a portion of the underwritten securities, which is known as each under-writer’s allotment (allocation).  It is normally signed severally, but not jointly, meaning each underwriter is obligated to sell his allocation but bears no financial obligation for any unsold allotment of another underwriter. This is referred to as a divided account or a Western account. Much less frequently, an undivided or Eastern account, will be used. Each underwriter is responsible for unsold allotments of others, based upon a  proportionate share of the offering.

The above comments referred to firm commitment underwriting. Another type of underwriting commitment  however, is known as best efforts underwriting. Under the terms of  best efforts underwriting, the underwriters make no commitment to buy or sell the issue, they simply do the best they can, acting as an agent for the issuer, and having no liability to the issuer if none of the securities are sold. There is no syndicate formed with a best efforts underwriting. The investment bankers form a selling group, with each member doing his best to sell his allotment. Two variations of a best efforts underwriting are: the all-or-none, and the mini-max (part-or-none) underwriting. Under the provisions of an all-or-none offering, unless all of the shares can be distributed within a specified period of time, the offering will terminate and no subscriptions or orders will be accepted or filled. Under mini-max, unless a set minimum amount is sold, the offering will be terminated.

SEC Rule 15c2-4 requires the underwriter to set up an escrow account for any money received before the closing date, in the event that it is necessary to return the money to prospective purchasers. If the “minimum”, or the “all” contingencies are met, the monies in escrow go to the issuer with the underwriters retaining their appropriate compensation. In order to make sure that investors are properly protected, the escrow account must be maintained at a bank for the benefit of the investors until every appropriate event or contingency has occurred. Then, the funds are properly returned to the investors. If the money is to be placed into an interest bearing account, it must have a maturity date no later than the closing date of the offering, or the account must be redeemable at face with no prepayment penalty as regards principal.

Underwriter Compensation Hierarchy

As we have seen, in a firm commitment the underwriter buys the entire issue from the issuer and then attempts to resell it to the public. The price at which the syndicate offers the securities to the public is known as the public offering price. It is the price printed on the front page of the prospectus.

However, the managing underwriter pays the issuer a lower price than this for the securities. The difference between that lower price and the public offering price is known as the spread or underwriting discount. Everyone involved in the sale of a new issue is compensated by receiving part of the spread. The amount of the spread is the subject of negotiations between the issuer and the managing underwriter, but usually is within a range established by similar transactions between comparable issuers and underwriters. The spread is also subject to NASD [now FINRA] review and approval before sales may commence. The spread is broken down by the underwriters so that a portion of it is paid to the managing underwriter for finding and packaging the issue and managing the offering (usually called the manager’s fee); and a portion is retained by each underwriter (called the underwriting or syndicate allowance) to compensate the syndicate members for their expenses, use of money, and assuming the risk of the underwriting. The remaining portion is allocated to the selling group and is called selling concession. It is often useful to remember the compensation hierarchy pecking order in the following way:

  • Spread (syndicate manager).
  • Underwriters allowance (syndicate members)
  • Selling concession (selling group members)
  • Re-allowance (any other firm)

While the above deal with corporate equity, the only other significant item with respect to corporate debt is the Trust Indenture Act of 1939. This Federal law applies to public issues of debt securities in excess of $5,000,000. The thrust of this act is to require an indenture with an independent trustee (usually a bank or trust company) who will report to the holders of the debt securities on a regular basis.

Successful marketing of a new issue is a marriage between somewhat alien factors: compliance and numerous Federal, state, and self-regulatory rules and statutes; along with finely honed and profit-motivated sales techniques. It’s not too hard to see that there could be a real, or apparent, conflict of interest here. Most successful investment bankers have built their excellent reputations upon their ability to properly balance these two objectives consistently, year after year.

PART ONE:

Understanding investment banking rules, securities markets, brokerage accounts, margin and debt

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DAILY UPDATE: Ark Invest, Dell and “Buy Now-Pay Later”

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While Buy Now-Pay Later (BNPL) reduces friction when purchasing, it’s giving some economy watchers unease. As Americans’ budgets buckle under the weight of inflation and higher interest payments, some worry BNPL is more of an invisible burden than a boon, Bloomberg reports. Beware the “phantom debt,” a Wells Fargo economist recently warned, referring to the BNPL industry’s short-term loans, which go largely unaccounted for by those tracking Americans’ debt load. That’s because, unlike credit cards and auto loan providers, Afterpay, Affirm, Klarna, and other BNPL providers don’t usually report transactions to credit scoring agencies.

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The Cathie Wood-led Ark Invest just made some significant trades. The most prominent among them were the increased stakes in Palantir Technologies Inc (NYSE: PLTR) and her reduced holdings in Coinbase Global Inc (NASDAQ: COIN).

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Dell has recently seen a decline in its revenue. In its most recent earnings report, it revealed that its net revenue shrunk by 11% year-over-year during its fiscal 2024 fourth quarter. For full year 2023, the company’s revenue was down by 14% to $88.4 billion. Partly that was due to a weak personal-computer market and the costs associated with more than 6,000 layoffs. But investors are excited by Dell’s growth potential for its server and computer businesses because of artificial intelligence, the Motley Fool reported.

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VENTURE CAPITAL: Women’s Health Start-Ups

By Staff Reporters

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Women’s health startups are still closing multi million-dollar funding deals despite a challenging venture capital (VC) landscape in which VC dollars are on track to fall by 73% this year compared to last.

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For example, in the last year, virtual maternity care program Pomelo Care raised $33 million in seed and Series A rounds led by Andreessen Horowitz; Caraway Health, a digital mental, physical, and reproductive health services platform, raised almost $17 million in a Series A round led by Maveron and GV (formerly Google Ventures); and Intrinsic, which acquires brands that make women’s health products, announced a $15 million equity fund raise (which is when a company raises money by selling its shares).

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DAILY UPDATE: National Nurses Week, Multiplan Lawsuit, Rite Aid and Fatburger Down

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HAPPY MOTHER’S DAY 2024

Fat Brands is the parent company of Fatburger, Johnny Rockets, and a few other restaurant chains. Last year, former CEO Andy Wiederhorn stepped down after the Los Angeles Times reported that the federal government was investigating him for fraud. He has since stayed on as the company’s chairman, but on Friday the Justice Department charged him with perpetuating a $47 million fraud against his own shareholders.

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In a recent Becker’s Health Care Newsletter, it is reported that a large multi-state hospital system is suing Multiplan for illegal price fixing and automatic significant price reductions, in particular, for out-of-network providers. The story states that Multiplan, by bombarding healthcare providers with automatic reductions in pricing, has made it impossible for providers to deliver healthcare.

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National Nurses Week, which ends today on May 12th, Florence Nightingale’s birthday

Rite Aid has announced that 39 stores are set to close their doors for good, this follows the decision to declare Chapter 11 bankruptcy back in October, 2023.    

The strategy? Reduce the total number of stores to 1,600 nationwide. 

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HEDGE FUNDS: A Brief Review for Physicians

By Christopher J. Cummings CFA CFP™

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™

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A hedge fund in the United States is generally a limited partnership providing a limited number of qualified investors with access to general partner investment decisions with little restriction in the type of investments or use of leverage. While the flexibility available to a hedge fund from a regulatory standpoint implies a high degree of potential risk, there is a wide range of investment philosophies, strategies, security types and objectives captured under the broad title of hedge fund.

Thus, generalizations regarding the characteristics of hedge funds are even less appropriate than with mutual funds, and evaluation of the investment characteristics and merits of a hedge fund strategy must be on a case-by-case basis. Likewise, the cost structure of a hedge fund often includes a base management fee to the general partner plus a performance-based fee or percentage of the profits, and must be evaluated on a case-by-case basis.

Several different investment vehicles operate under the oversight of varying regulatory bodies which provide access to an investment-managers’ discretionary decisions. While each approach generally represents ownership of an underlying pool of securities, there is usually a great deal of flexibility for the manager to deviate from a specific asset class or investment approach. Also, the fee structure of each vehicle can vary greatly and be quite large once distribution fees and sales charges are taken into account.

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Thus, it is important for a medical professional to remember the following:

1. Evaluate the features and costs of an investment vehicle carefully;

2. Consider the cash flows and valuations of the securities that the manager or management approach will focus on as if the investments were being made directly, and above all;

3. Read the prospectus or agreement carefully before making any investment.

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PODCAST: “In-Elastic Demand” in Healthcare Economics

Economic Implications of Pain, Suffering and Imminent Death

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See the source image

By Eric Bricker MD

Examples of Inelastic Demand in Healthcare Are:
1) Emergencies
2) Patented Medications for Diseases That Have No Other Alternative Drugs
3) Doctor Specialties Where the Patient Has No Choice in the Services Such As Radiologists, Anesthesiologists and Pathologists [RAP]

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PRISONER’S DILEMMA: In Health Economics

DEM white shirt

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP

Understanding the Prisoner’s Dilemma

[From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia]

As all economists and psychologists know, the prisoner’s dilemma is a standard example of a game analyzed in game theory that shows why two completely “rational” individuals might not cooperate, even if it appears that it is in their best interests to do so. It was originally framed by Merrill Flood and Melvin Dresher working at RAND in 1950. Albert W. Tucker formalized the game with prison sentence rewards and named it, “prisoner’s dilemma” (Poundstone, 1992), presenting it as follows:

Two members of a criminal gang are arrested and imprisoned. Each prisoner is in solitary confinement with no means of communicating with the other. The prosecutors lack sufficient evidence to convict the pair on the principal charge. They hope to get both sentenced to a year in prison on a lesser charge.

Simultaneously, the prosecutors offer each prisoner a bargain. Each prisoner is given the opportunity either to: betray the other by testifying that the other committed the crime, or to cooperate with the other by remaining silent.

The offer is:

  • If A and B each betray the other, each of them serves 2 years in prison
  • If A betrays B but B remains silent, A will be set free and B will serve 3 years in prison (and vice versa)
  • If A and B both remain silent, both of them will only serve 1 year in prison (on the lesser charge)

It is implied that the prisoners will have no opportunity to reward or punish their partner other than the prison sentences they get, and that their decision will not affect their reputation in the future. Because betraying a partner offers a greater reward than cooperating with him, all purely rational self-interested prisoners would betray the other, and so the only possible outcome for two purely rational prisoners is for them to betray each other.

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thats-outrageous-prisoners-rights-to-free-medical-care-af

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The interesting part of this result is that pursuing individual reward logically leads both of the prisoners to betray, when they would get a better reward if they both kept silent.

In reality, humans display a systemic bias towards cooperative behavior in this and similar games, much more so than predicted by simple models of “rational” self-interested action. A model based on a different kind of rationality, where people forecast how the game would be played if they formed coalitions and then they maximize their forecasts, has been shown to make better predictions of the rate of cooperation in this and similar games given only the payoffs of the game.

An extended “iterated” version of the game also exists, where the classic game is played repeatedly between the same prisoners, and consequently, both prisoners continuously have an opportunity to penalize the other for previous decisions. If the number of times the game will be played is known to the players, then (by backward induction) two classically rational players will betray each other repeatedly, for the same reasons as the single shot variant. In an infinite or unknown length game there is no fixed optimum strategy, and Prisoner’s Dilemma tournaments have been held to compete and test algorithms.

In Health Economics

Advertising is sometimes cited as a real-example of the prisoner’s dilemma.

When cigarette advertising was legal in the United States, competing cigarette manufacturers had to decide how much money to spend on advertising. The effectiveness of Firm A’s advertising was partially determined by the advertising conducted by Firm B. Likewise, the profit derived from advertising for Firm B is affected by the advertising conducted by Firm A. If both Firm A and Firm B chose to advertise during a given period, then the advertising cancels out, receipts remain constant, and expenses increase due to the cost of advertising. Both firms would benefit from a reduction in advertising.

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cigarette+smoke

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However, should Firm B choose not to advertise, Firm A could benefit greatly by advertising. Nevertheless, the optimal amount of advertising by one firm depends on how much advertising the other undertakes. As the best strategy is dependent on what the other firm chooses there is no dominant strategy, which makes it slightly different from a prisoner’s dilemma. The outcome is similar, though, in that both firms would be better off were they to advertise less than in the equilibrium. Sometimes cooperative behaviors do emerge in business situations.

For instance, cigarette manufacturers endorsed the making of laws banning cigarette advertising, understanding that this would reduce costs and increase profits across the industry. This analysis is likely to be pertinent in many other business situations involving advertising

Without enforceable agreements, members of a cartel are also involved in a (multi-player) prisoners’ dilemma. ‘Cooperating’ typically means keeping prices at a pre-agreed minimum level. ‘Defecting’ means selling under this minimum level, instantly taking business (and profits) from other cartel members. Anti-trust authorities want potential cartel members to mutually defect, ensuring the lowest possible prices for consumers.

More Healthcare Examples:

Assessment

The prisoner’s dilemma game can be used as a model for many real world situations involving cooperative behavior. In casual usage, the label “prisoner’s dilemma” may be applied to situations not strictly matching the formal criteria of the classic or iterative games: for instance, those in which two entities could gain important benefits from cooperating or suffer from the failure to do so, but find it merely difficult or expensive, not necessarily impossible, to coordinate their activities to achieve cooperation.

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DAILY UPDATE: Mortgage Rates, Ascension Healthcare Network Security Event with Mixed Markets

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Novavax, the Covid vaccine-maker’s value doubled after it announced a $1.2 billion deal to develop new shots with Sanofi.

And, Mortgage rates fell for the first time since March, to just over 7%.

Here’s where the major stock market benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index rose 8.60 points (0.2%) to 5,222.68, up 1.9% for the week; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) advanced 125.08 points (0.3%) to 39,512.84, up 2.2% for the week and its eighth straight daily gain; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) fell 5.40 points (0.03%) to 16,340.87, up 1.1% for the week.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) increased more than 5 basis points to 4.50%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) fell 0.14 to 12.55.

Chip makers ranked among top gainers Friday after Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) shares surged 4.5% after the company said its April revenue soared 60% behind AI-driven demand. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) climbed 1% and posted a 1.9% gain for the week. Consumer staples and transportation shares were also strong. Energy shares slipped behind a 1.2% drop in WTI Crude Oil (/CL) futures, though oil still ended slightly higher for the week.

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National hospital operator Ascension said a “cyber security event” has disrupted some of its clinical operations, according to a news release. Ascension, a St. Louis-based nonprofit and Catholic healthcare network, announced it had detected “unusual activity” on some of its systems. In response, the company kicked off an investigation and remediation efforts—including turning to outside cybersecurity firm Mandiant for help, as well as notifying the “appropriate authorities,” per the release.

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Planet Fitness to raise membership price for the first time since 1998. It’s going to take more than $10/month to join a gym once Planet Fitness raises the price of a basic membership for new members to $15 per month this summer. The $10 amount, which has held steady for 26 years, was considered a sweet spot where people were happy to sign up and wouldn’t bother to cancel once they gave up on their fitness goals. But after posting weaker-than-expected Q1 results, the gym chain decided it’s time to change, even though execs acknowledged that customers are looking to save rather than spend.

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The M1 and M2 Money Supply

By Staff Reporters

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DEFINITION: In macro-economics, the money supply (or money stock) refers to the total volume of currency held by the public at a particular point in time. There are several ways to define “money”, but standard measures usually include currency in circulation (i.e. physical cash) and demand deposits (depositors’ easily accessed assets on the books of financial institutions . The Central Bank [FOMC] of a country may use a definition of what constitutes legal tender for its purposes.

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Though there are a few variations of money supply, most economists tend to focus on M1 and M2. The former takes into account cash and coins in circulation, as well as demand deposits in checking accounts and traveler’s checks. In other words, money that’s either in your hand or can be accessed very easily.

Meanwhile, M2 accounts for everything in M1 and adds savings accounts, money market funds, and certificates of deposit (CDs) below $100,000. It’s money you have access to, but it takes a little extra effort to put this capital to work. It’s M2 money supply that’s raising eyebrows on Wall Street and making history.

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What’s of interest is what’s happened to M2 money supply over the trailing year. Following a peak of $21.7 trillion in July 2022, M2 has fallen to a fresh reading of $20.81 trillion, as of May 2023. Although the May reading was higher than April and broke a nine-month downtrend, we’ve still witnessed a 4.1% aggregate drop in M2 from its all-time high. 

Considering that M2 enjoyed a historic expansion during the pandemic, it’s certainly possible that a 4.1% decline can be shrugged off as nothing more than money supply reverting back to the mean. But history suggests otherwise.

Though history rarely repeats itself on Wall Street, it often rhymes. We haven’t seen a meaningful year-over-year decline in M2 money supply since the Great Depression in 1933.

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And so, based on what we’re seeing from M2 money supply, commercial bank lending, and domestic banks tightening their lending standards for C&I loans, the ingredients for a U.S. recession are most definitely there. Stock losses have, historically, been most pronounced in the months that follow the official declaration of a recession by the eight-economist panel of the National Bureau of Economic Research.

However, Wall Street’s performance is largely dependent on your investment time frame. If you’re patient, these and other potentially worrisome money metrics represent nothing more than temporary white noise.

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What is Knightian Uncertainty in Economics?

About Frank Knight PhD

[By staff reporters]

In economics, Knightian uncertainty is a lack of any quantifiable knowledge about some possible occurrence, as opposed to the presence of quantifiable risk (e.g., that in statistical noise or a parameter’s confidence interval). The concept acknowledges some fundamental degree of ignorance, a limit to knowledge, and an essential unpredictability of future events.

Knightian uncertainty is named after University of Chicago economist Frank Knight (1885–1972), who distinguished risk and uncertainty in his work Risk, Uncertainty, and Profit:[1]

“Uncertainty must be taken in a sense radically distinct from the familiar notion of Risk, from which it has never been properly separated…. The essential fact is that ‘risk’ means in some cases a quantity susceptible of measurement, while at other times it is something distinctly not of this character; and there are far-reaching and crucial differences in the bearings of the phenomena depending on which of the two is really present and operating…. It will appear that a measurable uncertainty, or ‘risk’ proper, as we shall use the term, is so far different from an unmeasurable one that it is not in effect an uncertainty at all.”

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PODCAST: History Applied to Health Economics

Divining the Future?

By Eric Bricker MD

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DAILY UPDATE: Uber, Lyft and MSFT as the Stock Markets Rally

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index gained 26.41 points (0.5%) to 5,214.08; the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 331.37 points (0.9%) to 39,387.76; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) advanced 43.51 points (0.3%) to 16,346.26.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) lost more than 2 basis points to 4.459%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) fell 0.31 to 12.69.

Interest-rate-sensitive sectors, such as real estate and utilities, were among the strongest performers Thursday. Energy shares were also strong after WTI Crude Oil (/CL) futures rose for a second straight day after sinking to a two-month low earlier this week. Semiconductor shares were under pressure after disappointing revenue guidance from chip designer Arm Holdings (ARM) sent its shares down 2.3%.

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The Dow jumped for the seventh straight day while the S&P 500 closed above 5,200 for the first time in a month as stocks climbed across the board, possibly a reaction to data showing that the cooling labor market could translate into a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in a few months. But, Roblox, tanked 22% yesterday after the company cut its annual bookings forecast. The rough patch suggests that the game’s pandemic-induced popularity has likely peaked.

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Last year, Uber boasted its first full-year profit since going public. But yesterday, the company reported a surprise loss for the first quarter of 2024, dashing investors’ hopes for steady profits and sending its stock way down.

Meanwhile, Uber’s smaller rival Lyft appears to have its foot on the gas pedal. It posted better-than-expected quarterly results on Tuesday and saw a stock bump yesterday.

Microsoft plans to put the cash toward creating an AI data center. President Biden was on hand in Wisconsin to help announce the news—and not just to tout a big investment that’s expected to create jobs.

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PODCAST: BUDGET MISTAKES: Kill Employee Health Plans

By Eric Bricker MD

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DAILY UPDATE: Medicaid & CHIPS Unwind, Steward Health System Bankrupts as the Markets are Mixed

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It’s the first anniversary of the Medicaid unwinding for many states, a process that kicked off when federal rules that had kept people on Medicaid and the Children’s Health Insurance Program (CHIP) through the pandemic expired. And while states could redetermine eligibility again, things have “unwound” more than some experts predicted. Children were kicked off the rolls at higher rates than adults, according to a new study the Urban Institute released May 2. Twelve states—Montana, Iowa, South Dakota, Alabama, Idaho, Georgia, Texas, Arkansas, Oklahoma, Florida, Mississippi, Colorado—exceeded 100% of their total projections for disenrolling children.

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) was little changed at 5,187.67; the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 172.13 points (0.4%) to 39,056.39; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) declined 29.80 points (0.2%) to 16,302.76.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) rose more than 3 basis points to 4.496%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) fell 0.23 to 13.00.

Retail and real estate shares were among the weakest areas Wednesday, while banks and utilities were firm. Utility shares extended a nearly month-long rally, which may in part reflect greater expectations for Fed rate cuts. Lower interest rates can make utility shares with high dividend yields relative to Treasuries more appealing. The Dow Jones Utility Average ($DJU) rose 0.5% to end at its highest level since late July and is up 12% from a mid-April low.

And, Shopify’s value plunged by nearly $20 billion after the online payments company released a gloomy forecast for this quarter. It’s the latest pandemic darling to stumble: According to the Financial Times, the firms that skyrocketed during lockdowns have lost a collective $1.5 trillion in value since the end of 2020.

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Steward Health Care System, the largest U.S. physician-owned hospital operator, is expected to file for chapter 11 bankruptcy as soon as Sunday, according to a WSJ report, which cited people familiar with the matter. Steward Health Care is the largest tenant of Medical Properties Trust (NYSE: MPW). Steward Health Care hired restructuring advisers to improve its liquidity and restore its balance sheet in January 2024.  

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MENTAL ACCOUNTING: What is it?

By Dr. David E. Marcinko MBA CMP®

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DEFINITION: Mental accounting attempts to describe the process whereby people code, categorize and evaluate economic outcomes. The concept was first named by Richard Thaler. Mental accounting deals with the budgeting and categorization of expenditures. People budget money into mental accounts for expenses or expense categories

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Mental Accounting is the act of bucketizing investments and then reviewing the performance of the individual buckets separately (e.g. investing at low savings rate while paying high credit card interest rates).

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Mental Accounting • Money is

Examples of mental accounting are: (1) matching costs to benefits (wanting to pay for vacation before taking it and getting paid for work after it was done, even though from perspective of time value of money the opposite should be preferred0, (2) aversion to debt (don’t like long-term debt for short-term benefit), (3) sunk-cost effect (illogically considering non-recoverable costs when making forward-going decisions).

In investing, treating buckets separately and ignoring interaction (correlations) induces people not to sell losers (even though they get tax benefits), prevent them from investing in the stock market because it is too risky in isolation (however much less so when looked at as part of the complete portfolio including other asset classes and labor income and occupied real estate), thus they “do not maximize the return for a given level of risk taken).

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PODCAST: Accounting for Healthcare Professionals

By Eric Bricker MD

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PODCAST: Accounting Deception in Health Care

Examples of Exploitation and Deception?

BY ERIC BRICKER MD

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DAILY UPDATE: Robinhood’s SEC Enforcement with Mixed Stock Markets

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Essays, Opinions and Curated News in Health Economics, Investing, Business, Management and Financial Planning for Physician Entrepreneurs and their Savvy Advisors and Consultants

Serving Almost One Million Doctors, Financial Advisors and Medical Management Consultants Daily

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Here’s where the major stock market benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index rose 6.96 points (0.1%) to 5,187.70; the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 31.99 points (0.1%) to 38,884.26; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) eased 16.70 points (0.1%) to 16,332.56.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield dropped more than 3 basis points to 4.457%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) fell 0.26 to 13.23.

Interest-rate-sensitive sectors, such as real estate and utilities, were among the market’s strongest performers Tuesday. The Philadelphia Utility Index (UTY) rose 1.3%, its fifth straight daily gain, and hit its highest level in almost a year. The recent strength may in part reflect heightened expectations for lower interest rates, which may make utility shares with relatively high dividend yields compared to Treasuries more appealing. The utilities sector is also coming off a strong April, during which it was the only S&P 500 sector with a positive return, with chart patterns suggesting a bullish long-term momentum shift.

The semiconductor sector was among the weakest sectors Tuesday, partly behind a 1.7% drop in Nvidia (NVDA). The shares fell after billionaire investor Stanley Druckenmiller told CNBC he reduced his stake in the chipmaker in late March, saying that artificial intelligence may be a “little overhyped” for the short term.

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Peloton is reportedly being circled by private equity firms for a potential buyout of the enfeebled fitness company.

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The SEC is preparing to sue over Robinhood’s crypto business. Robinhood just revealed that it’s been notified that the SEC plans to bring an enforcement action against its crypto unit for alleged securities violations. But the online brokerage said it’s not sweating: “We firmly believe that the assets listed on our platform are not securities and we look forward to engaging with the SEC to make clear just how weak any case against Robinhood Crypto would be on both the facts and the law,” Dan Gallagher, Robinhood’s chief legal, compliance, and corporate affairs officer, wrote in a blog post. Such a notice doesn’t always mean a suit will follow, but crypto companies and the agency have been sparring for years over whether crypto tokens count as securities.

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The Biden administration were quick to praise a new report that extends the lifespan of the Hospital Insurance Trust Fund, but the report renewed calls for increasing physician payments.


Amwell, a telehealth company, continues to struggle in the stock market, and both its bottom- and top-line results in the first quarter missed Street analysts’ estimates.


And … between the Change Healthcare cyberattack and Medicare Advantage headwinds, major insurers faced unique challenges in the first quarter.

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Stat: 8.7%. That’s the level to which US consumers can expect the 30-year mortgage rate to rise over the next year, which marks a series high, according to a New York Federal Reserve survey (MarketWatch)

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PODCAST: Secret to Primary Care Profitability

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HISTORY: Medical Education and Practice in the USA

Domestic Medical SCHOOL Education

Robert James Cimasi

Todd A. Zigrang

Health Capital Consultants - Healthcare Valuation

U.S. medical education began in the late eighteenth century as an apprenticeship program in which physicians taught their trade to a few pupils, a pedagogical learning style which relied heavily upon the capacity, skills, and knowledge of the individual physician.[1] However, as learning newly discovered information and utilizing new technologies became more necessary to the industry’s practice, many physicians found the apprenticeship system no longer adequate as a manner of educating the next generation of physicians.[2] As a result, the conventional concept of medical education that originated in the U.S. in the 1750s was manifested through informal courses and demonstrations by private individuals or for-profit institutions. Those individuals who were not satisfied with a typical U.S. medical education, consisting of two identical 16-week lecture terms, might venture to Europe for a more formalized and detailed manner of learning.[3]

One of these students who studied in Europe was William Shippen, who began teaching an informal course on midwifery when he returned to the American colonies in 1762.[4] He later addressed the limitations of what might be taught in one informal course when he began teaching a lecture series on anatomy to help educate those who wished to be a physician, but could not travel abroad. John Morgan, a classmate of Shippen, noticed the potential of his friend’s endeavor and proposed the idea to create a professorship for the practice of medicine to the board of trustees of the College of Philadelphia.[5] Just across town, Thomas Bond, who conceived the idea of, and successfully established, the Pennsylvania Hospital with Benjamin Franklin, recognized the value to allowing medical students to participate in bedside training.[6] When Bond agreed to a partnership with the College of Philadelphia, the University of Pennsylvania became home to America’s first medical school.[7]

In 1893, Johns Hopkins University also made history by housing the first medical school that was able to operate out of a university-owned hospital.[8] The medical school not only encouraged clinical research to be performed by every member of their faculty, but the program also included a clinical research clerkship for every student during their rotation.[9] This program quickly became the model to which schools aspired and set the foundation for national medical education by connecting science and medical research with clinical medicine.[10]

With these early examples of medical schools, America’s field of medical education and clinical medicine made monumental strides. However, the societal pressures, caused by the U.S.’s population growth and demand for educated physicians,[11] did not allow many other universities to build on Johns Hopkins’ or the University of Pennsylvania’s foundation model, and led to the development of medical schools that had their own unique set of entrance and graduation requirements. While some focused entirely on medicine, other schools (termed Studia Generalia) also incorporated law, theology, and philosophy in their curricula.[12] In an attempt to both understand and make uniform the field of medical education, the American Medical Association (AMA) founded the Council on Medical Education (CME) in 1904.[13] The CME created minimum national educational standards for training physicians, and subsequently found that many schools did not meet these established standards.[14] However, the CME did not share the ratings of any of these medical schools “outside the medical fraternity.”[15]

In 1910, the AMA commissioned the Carnegie Foundation for Advancement of Teaching to conduct a study of medical education and schools.[16] Abraham Flexner conducted the inquiry and detailed his findings in what became known as The Flexner Report.[17] In his review of the U.S. medical education system, Flexner found that many of the proprietary medical schools met the AMA’s educational goals, but an imbalance existed between the pursuit of science and medical education.[18]  Professors were focused solely on student throughput, and did not ensure a high level of medical training that reflected the developments in the medical industry.[19] As aptly noted by Dr. John Roberts in his book entitled The Doctor’s Duty to the State, “[m]any of you remember the struggle to wrest from medical teachers the power to create medical practitioners with almost no real knowledge of medicine. The medical schools of that day were, in many instances, conducted merely as money-makers for the professors.”[20] As the AMA gained more influence over the provision of healthcare in the U.S., the value and power of medical education also gained recognition. Notably, teaching hospitals had the power to influence the development of their disciplines through their research initiatives, the quality of care they provided, and their ability to operate as an economy of scale, allowing them to dictate the evolution of medical education.[21]

Since the establishment of the first medical school in the U.S., medical education has been the foundation for shaping standards of care in the practice of medicine and defining medical errors as deviations from the norms of clinical care.[22] When Thomas Bond helped establish the University of Pennsylvania medical school, he envisioned a normal day where the physician:

…meets his pupils at stated times in the Hospital, and when a case presents adapted to his purpose, he asks all those Questions which lead to a certain knowledge of the Disease and parts affected; and if the Disease baffles the power of Art and the Patient falls a Sacrifice to it, he then brings his Knowledge to the Test, and fixes Honour [sic] or discredit on his Reputation by exposing all the Morbid parts to View, and Demonstrates by what means it produced Death, and if perchance he finds something unexpected, which Betrays an Error in Judgement [sic], he like a great and good man immediately acknowledges the mistake, and, for the benefit of survivors, points out other methods by which it might have been more happily treated.[23]

Originally, students were to study and learn from medical errors and adverse events through medical education as a means of improving the quality of care. However, it is difficult to effectively implement any significant advancement learned through the research and investigation of prior errors in a timely and cost-effective manner. Additionally, physician supply shortages have only increased the amount of patients that a physician must see daily, while simultaneously decreasing the amount of time they can spend with each patient. Although medical education continues to be one of the central underpinnings to the development of the medical industry, outside pressures that shape the clinical practice of physicians continue to limit physician effectiveness in providing quality care to patients.[24]

While improving the quality and rigor of medical education has been a constant focus throughout the history of U.S. medical education, the challenges of replicating it on a scale that produces enough qualified physicians to meet the growing demands of the U.S. population, with constantly changing technologies, has consistently been a central issue. Notably, in the 13 years preceding 1980, the ratio of actively practicing physicians to patients increased by 50%.[25] This increased physician-to-patient ratio led to concerns over quality of care and cost-effectiveness, which in turn caused the creation of a government committee to evaluate physician manpower allocation and distribution. The Graduate Medical Education National Advisory Committee (GMENAC) was first chartered in April 1976, and later extended through September 1980.[26] Its purpose was to “analyze the distribution among specialties of physicians and medical students and to evaluate alternative approaches to ensure an appropriate balance,”as well as to“encourage bodies controlling the number, types, and geographic location of graduate training positions to provide leadership in achieving the recommended balance.”[27] GMENAC produced seven volumes of recommendations regarding physician manpower supply,[28]  through the development of several models by which to determine the projected number of physicians that would be needed in the future by different subspecialties to achieve “a better balance of physicians.”[29] Ignoring critics of the report, U.S. medical schools adjusted their enrollment numbers in response to the GMENAC’s recommendations, causing a significant decrease in the supply of new physicians going into the 21st century.

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History of Conventional Medicine - 24 Hour Translation ...

[1]       “Healthcare Valuation: The Four Pillars of Healthcare Value,” Volume 1, Robert James Cimasi, MHA, ASA, FRRICS, MCBA, CVA, CM&AA, John Wiley & Sons, Hoboken, NJ: 2014, p. 22-23.RR

[2]       “Before There Was Flexner,” American Medical Student Association, 2014,

         http://www.amsa.org/AMSA/Homepage/MemberCenter/Premeds/edRx/Before.aspx (Accessed 1/7/15).

[3]       “Time to Heal: American Medical Education from the Turn of the Century to the Era of Managed Care,” By Kenneth M. Ludmerer, New York, NY:

          Oxford University Press, 1999, p. 4.

[4]       “The Flexner Report on Medical Education in the United States and Canada in 1910,” By Abraham Flexner, Bethesda, MD: Science and Health

         Publications, Inc., p. 3-5.

[5]       “The Flexner Report on Medical Education in the United States and Canada in 1910,” By Abraham Flexner, Bethesda, MD: Science and Health

         Publications, Inc., p. 3-5.

[6]       “The Flexner Report on Medical Education in the United States and Canada in 1910,” By Abraham Flexner, Bethesda, MD: Science and Health

         Publications, Inc., p. 3-5.

[7]       “Before There Was Flexner,” American Medical Student Association, 2014,

         http://www.amsa.org/AMSA/Homepage/MemberCenter/Premeds/edRx/Before.aspx (Accessed 1/7/15).

[8]       “Time to Heal: American Medical Education from the Turn of the Century to the Era of Managed Care,” By Kenneth M. Ludmerer, New York, NY:

          Oxford University Press, 1999, p. 18-19.

[9]       “Time to Heal: American Medical Education from the Turn of the Century to the Era of Managed Care,” By Kenneth M. Ludmerer, New York, NY:

          Oxford University Press, 1999, p. 18-19.

[10]     “Science and Social Work:  A Critical Appraisal,” By Stuart A. Kirk, and William James Reid, New York, NY: Columbia University Press, 2002, Chapter 1, p. 2-3.

[11]     “The Flexner Report on Medical Education in the United States and Canada in 1910,” By Abraham Flexner, Bethesda, MD: Science and Health

          Publications, Inc., p. 6-7.

[12]     “Western Medicine: An Illustrated History,” By Irvine Loudon, New York, NY: Oxford University Press, 1997, p. 58.

[13]     “Western Medicine: An Illustrated History,” By Irvine Loudon, New York, NY: Oxford University Press, 1997, p. 58.

[14]     “Western Medicine: An Illustrated History,” By Irvine Loudon, New York, NY: Oxford University Press, 1997, p. 58.

[15]     “Western Medicine: An Illustrated History,” By Irvine Loudon, New York, NY: Oxford University Press, 1997, p. 58.

[16]     “U.S. Health Policy and Politics: A Documentary History,” By Kevin Hillstrom, Thousand Oaks, CA: CQ Press, 2012, p. 141.

[17]     “The Flexner Report on Medical Education in the United States and Canada in 1910,” By Abraham Flexner, Bethesda, MD: Science and Health

         Publications, Inc., p. 3-19.

[18]     “The Flexner Report on Medical Education in the United States and Canada in 1910,” By Abraham Flexner, Bethesda, MD: Science and Health

         Publications, Inc., p. 3-19.

[19]     “The Flexner Report on Medical Education in the United States and Canada in 1910,” By Abraham Flexner, Bethesda, MD: Science and Health

         Publications, Inc., p. 3-19.

[20]     “The Doctor’s Duty to the State: Essays on The Public Relations of Physicians,” By John B. Roberts, AM, MD, Chicago, IL: American Medical Association Press, 1908, p. 23.

[21]     “Time to Heal: American Medical Education from the Turn of the Century to the Era of Managed Care,” By Kenneth M. Ludmerer, New York, NY:

          Oxford University Press, 1999, p. 19.

[22]     “Science and Social Work:  A Critical Appraisal,” By Stuart A. Kirk, and William James Reid, New York: Columbia University Press, 2002, Chapter 1, p. 2-3.

[23]     “Dr. Thomas Bond’s Essay on the Utility of Clinical Lectures,” By Carl Bridenbaugh, Journal of the History of Medicine (Winter 1947), p. 14; “The Flexner Report on Medical Education in the United States and Canada in 1910,” By Abraham Flexner, Bethesda, MD: Science and Health

         Publications, Inc., p. 4.

[24]     “Time to Heal: American Medical Education from the Turn of the Century to the Era of Managed Care,” By Kenneth M. Ludmerer, New York, NY:

          Oxford University Press, 1999, p. xxi.

[25]     “How many doctors are enough?” By J.E. Harris, Health Affairs, Vol. 5, No. 4 (1986), p.74.

[26]   “Report of the Graduate Medical Education National Advisory Committee to the Secretary, Department of Health and Human Services – Volume VII,” Graduate Medical Education National Advisory Committee, Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office, 1981, p. 5, 16.

[27]     “Report of the Graduate Medical Education National Advisory Committee to the Secretary, Department of Health and Human Services – Volume VII,” Graduate Medical Education National Advisory Committee, Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office, 1981, p. 73.

[28]     “Report of the Graduate Medical Education National Advisory Committee to the Secretary, Department of Health and Human Services – Volume VII,” Graduate Medical Education National Advisory Committee, Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office, 1981, p. 5-6.

[29]     “GMENAC: Its Manpower Forecasting Framework,” By D.R. McNutt, American Journal of Public Health, Vol. 71, No. 10 (October 1981), p. 1119.

[30]     “Crossing the Quality Chasm: A New Health System for the 21st Century,” Institute of Medicine, National Academy of Sciences, 2001, front matter.

[31]     “Overview of Medical Errors and Adverse Events,” By Maité Garrouste-Orgeas, et al., Annals of Intensive Care, Vol. 2, No. 2 (2012), p. 6.

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DAILY UPDATE: FQHCs Down and Healthcare Bankruptcies Up as the Markets Extend Gains

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Low-income communities often struggle to access healthcare services, but a new analysis of federally qualified health centers (FQHCs)—which provide quality care to patients regardless of ability to pay—has helped nail down one reason. When it comes to screening for certain cancers, these nonprofit community health centers have fallen far behind the national average, according to a study led by cancer center researchers at the University of Texas MD Anderson and the University of New Mexico.

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Healthcare bankruptcies surged in 2023, and it turns out many of the companies that went under had one thing in common: private equity (PE) ownership. At least 21% of the 80 healthcare companies that filed for bankruptcy last year were PE-owned, according to a report from the nonprofit Private Equity Stakeholder Project (PESP).

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Warren Buffett on contemplated his own mortality at Berkshire’s meeting. Succession was the topic du jour at the Berkshire Hathaway shareholder meeting in Omaha last week. After his longtime business partner Charlie Munger died last year at 99, CEO Warren Buffett—who turns 94 in August—revealed his heir apparent, Greg Abel, will have the final say on investment decisions in his absence. Buffett ended his Q&A portion with the quip, “I not only hope you come next year. I hope I come next year.” Adding to the ominous vibes, Buffett said AI is a genie that “scares the hell out of me.”

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index climbed 52.95 points (1.0%) to 5,180.74; the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 176.59 points (0.5%) to 38,852.27; the NASDAQ Composite advanced 192.92 points (1.2%) to 16,349.25.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) fell about 1 basis  point to 4.491%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) was little changed at 13.48.

Semiconductors were among the strongest performers Monday behind Micron Technology (MU), whose shares rallied 4.7% after Robert W. Baird upgraded the chipmaker to “outperform” from “neutral.” Micron Technology was the top gainer in the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX), which advanced 2.2% to near a four-week high.

Small-cap stocks also got out of the gate strong this week. The Russell 2000® Index (RUT) gained 1.2% to end at a four-week high but is still up just 1.7% for the year, while the S&P 500 has gained 8.6%.

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A Brief History of Managed Medical Care in the USA

By National Council on Disability

The origins of managed care can be traced back to at least 1929, when Michael Shadid, a physician in Elk City, Oklahoma, established a health cooperative for farmers in a small community without medical specialists or a nearby general hospital. He sold shares to raise money to establish a local hospital and created an annual fee schedule to cover the costs of providing care. By 1934, 600 family memberships were supporting a staff that included Dr. Shadid, four newly recruited specialists, and a dentist. That same year, two Los Angeles physicians, Donald Ross and Clifford Loos, entered into a prepaid contract to provide comprehensive health services to 2,000 employees of a local water company

Development of Prepaid Health Plans

Other major prepaid group practice plans were initiated between 1930 and 1960, including the Group Health Association in Washington, DC, in 1937, the Kaiser-Permanente Medical Program in 1942, the Health Cooperative of Puget Sound in Seattle in 1947, the Health Insurance Plan of Greater New York in New York City in 1947, and the Group Health Plan of Minneapolis in 1957. These plans encountered strong opposition from the medical establishment, but they also attracted a large number of enrollees.

Today, such prepaid health plans are commonly referred to as health maintenance organizations (HMOs). The term “health maintenance organization,” however, was not coined until 1970, with the aim of highlighting the importance that prepaid health plans assign to health promotion and prevention of illness. HMOs are what most Americans think of when the term “managed care” is used, even though other managed care models have emerged over the past 40 years.

Public Managed Care Plans

The enactment of the Health Maintenance Organization Act of 1973 (P. L. 93-222) provided a major impetus to the expansion of managed health care. The legislation was proposed by the Nixon Administration in an attempt to restrain the growth of health care costs and also to preempt efforts by congressional Democrats to enact a universal health care plan. P. L. 93-222 authorized $375 million to assist in establishing and expanding HMOs, overrode state laws restricting the establishment of prepaid health plans, and required employers with 25 or more employees to offer an HMO option if they furnished health insurance coverage to their workers. The purpose of the legislation was to stimulate greater competition within health care markets by developing outpatient alternatives to expensive hospital-based treatment. Passage of this legislation also marked an important turning point in the U.S. health care industry because it introduced the concept of for-profit health care corporations to an industry long dominated by a not-for-profit business model.

In the decade following the passage of P. L. 93-222, enrollment in HMOs grew slowly. Stiff opposition from the medical profession led to the imposition of regulatory restrictions on HMO operations. But the continued, rapid growth in health care outlays forced government officials to look for new solutions. National health expenditures grew as a proportion of the overall gross national product (GNP) from 5.3 percent in 1960 to 9.5 percent in 1980. In response, Congress in 1972 authorized Medicare payments to free-standing ambulatory care clinics providing kidney dialysis to beneficiaries with end-stage renal disease. Over the following decade, the Federal Government authorized payments for more than 2,400 Medicare procedures performed on an outpatient basis.

Responding to the relaxed regulatory environment, physicians began to form group practices and open outpatient centers specializing in diagnostic imaging, wellness and fitness, rehabilitation, surgery, birthing, and other services previously provided exclusively in hospital settings. As a result, the number of outpatient clinics skyrocketed from 200 in 1983 to more than 1,500 in 1991, and the percentage of surgeries performed in hospitals was halved between 1980 (83.7%) and 1992.

mind-investing-behavioral-finance

The Influence of Medicare Prospective Payments

Health care costs, however, continued to spiral upward, consuming 10.8 percent of GNP by 1983. In an attempt to slow the growth rate, Congress in 1982 capped hospital reimbursement rates under the Medicare program and directed the secretary of HHS to develop a case mix methodology for reimbursing hospitals based on diagnosis-related groups (DRGs). As an incentive to the hospital industry, the legislation (the Tax Equity and Fiscal Responsibility Act (P. L. 97-248)) included a provision allowing hospitals to avoid a Medicare spending cap by reaching an agreement with HHS on implementing a prospective payment system (PPS) to replace the existing FFS system. Following months of intense negotiations involving federal officials and representatives of the hospital industry, the Reagan Administration unveiled a Medicare PPS. Under the new system, health conditions were divided into 468 DRGs, with a fixed hospital payment rate assigned to each group.

Once the DRG system was fully phased in, Medicare payments to hospitals stabilized. However, since DRGs applied to inpatient hospital services only, many hospitals, like many group medical practices, began to expand their outpatient services in order to offset revenues lost as a result of shorter hospital stays. Between 1983 and 1991, the percentage of hospitals with outpatient care departments grew from 50 percent to 87 percent. Hospital revenues derived from outpatient services doubled over the period, reaching 25 percent of all revenues by 1992

Since DRGs were applied exclusively to Medicare payments, hospitals began to shift unreimbursed costs to private health insurance plans. As a result, average per employee health plan premiums doubled between 1984 and 1991, rising from $1,645 to $3,605. With health insurance costs eroding profits, many employers took aggressive steps to control health care expenditures. Plan benefits were reduced. Employees were required to pay a larger share of health insurance premiums. More and more employers—especially large corporations—decided to pay employee health costs directly rather than purchase health insurance. And a steadily increasing number of large and small businesses turned to managed health care plans in an attempt to rein in spiraling health care outlays.

Managed Long-Term Services and Supports

Arizona became the first state to apply managed care principles to the delivery and financing of Medicaid-funded LTSS in 1987, when the federal Health Care Financing Administration (later renamed the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services) approved the state’s request to expand its existing Medicaid managed care program. Medicaid recipients with physical and developmental disabilities became eligible to participate in the Arizona Long-Term Care System as a result of this program expansion. Over the following two decades, a number of other states joined Arizona in providing managed LTSS, and by the summer of 2012, 16 states were operating Medicaid managed LTSS programsScientists at work

Growth of Commercial Managed Care Plans

During the late 1980s and early 1990s, managed care plans were credited with curtailing the runaway growth in health care costs. They achieved these efficiencies mainly by eliminating unnecessary hospitalizations and forcing participating physicians and other health care providers to offer their services at discounted rates. By 1993, a majority (51%) of Americans receiving health insurance through their employers were enrolled in managed health care plans. Eventually, however, benefit denials and disallowances of medically necessary services led to a public outcry and the enactment of laws in many states imposing managed care standards. According to one analysis, nearly 900 state laws governing managed health practices were enacted during the 1990s. Among the measures approved were laws permitting women to visit gynecologists and obstetricians without obtaining permission from their primary care physician, establishing the right of patients to receive emergency care, and establishing the right of patients to appeal decisions made by managed care firms. Congress even got into the act in 1997 when it passed the Newborns’ Mother Health Protection Act, prohibiting so-called “drive-through deliveries” (overly restrictive limits on hospital stays following the birth of a child).

Research studies have yielded little evidence that managed health care excesses have undermined the quality of health care services. For example, in a survey of 2,000 physicians, Remler and colleagues found that managed care insurance plans denied only about 1 percent of recommended hospitalizations, slightly more than 1 percent of recommended surgeries, and just over 2.5 percent of referrals to specialists. In another study, Franks and colleagues found that medical outcomes were similar for participants in HMOs versus FFS health plans. Franks also reported that HMO patients were hospitalized 40 percent less frequently than FFS patients, and the rate of inappropriate hospitalizations was lower among HMO patients.

Link: http://www.ncd.gov

More Recent Developments

Over the past 15 to 20 years, the public outcry against draconian managed care practices has waned, primarily due to the expanded out-of-network options afforded to participants in HMOs, PPOs, and POS health plans. But the perception that managed care represents an overly cost-conscious, mass market approach to delivering medical services lingers among the American public, even though more than 135 million people with health insurance coverage now receive their primary, preventive, and acute health services through a managed care plan. People with disabilities, especially high users of medical care and LTSS, share many of the same negative perceptions of managed care as the general public.

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DAILY UPDATE: Cooling Labor Markets with Unemployment Rate Uptick

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A cooling labor market raises hopes for a rate cut in the summer. The latest Labor Department data shows the US added 175,000 jobs in April, but much less than the 300,000 added in March and also less than economists expected. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate ticked up to 3.9% from 3.8% in March, and wages rose less than anticipated. All that bad news for us was music to the ears of investors who are holding out hope that the Federal Reserve might still cut interest rates this summer despite most recent economic data showing that inflation is sticking around.

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Rate cuts appear to be back on the 2024 menu following Friday’s softer-than-expected jobs report, fueling gains for all three major stock indexes last week. With the report calming worries that inflation is ticking back up, investors now project a 50% likelihood that the Federal Reserve will reduce rates in September.

Coinbase is benefiting from the hype around new bitcoin ETFs. The crypto exchange reported a $1.2 billion quarterly profit last week, and net revenue rose by 115%.

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DAILY UPDATE: Sleep, Starbucks and Cell Phone Education

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Happy Cinco de Mayo 2024

Starbucks – The coffee company known for consistently outperforming itself reported less-than-spectacular earnings this week, sending its stock plunging 12% on Tuesday evening last week on the news—nearly as much as when the company shut all its doors during Covid 19. For the first time since 2020, US same-store sales declined, falling 3% alongside a 7% decrease in foot traffic. Meanwhile, revenue fell 1.8% to $8.56 billion as sales in China—the chain’s second-biggest market—declined 11%, and Starbucks lowered its sales outlook for the year.

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Educators have long pushed back against distraction machines (aka phones), with 77% of schools banning them in the classroom as of 2020, according to a National Center for Education Statistics survey. School time still overlaps with screen time: 97% of students are on their phones during school hours, according to a study by Common Sense Media, a nonprofit that informs parents about technology. While much of students’ phone use might be at lunch or recess, teachers complain that kids aren’t waiting for the bell to take a discreet peek at their screens.

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Creatine may counteract sleep deprivation. The dietary supplement all over your Instagram feed might one day help workers who have to do a lot on small amounts of sleep, like ER staff, first responders, and anyone sharing a house with a baby.

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MAY THE FOURTH BE WITH YOU

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index rose 63.59 points (1.3%) to 5,127.79, up 0.6% for the week; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) gained 450.02 points (1.2%) to 38,675.68, up 1.1% for the week; the NASDAQ Composite surged 315.37 points (2.0%) to 16,156.33, up 1.4% for the week.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) fell about 7 basis points to 4.50%, down about 16 basis points for the week.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) fell 1.19 to 13.49.

Technology shares were among the strongest performers Friday behind a 6% rally in shares of Apple (AAPL), which late Thursday reported stronger-than-expected quarterly results and said it will repurchase $110 billion in shares. Amgen (AMGN) soared nearly 12%, leading Dow gainers after the biotechnology company beat earnings expectations.

In other markets, WTI Crude Oil futures (/CL) extended a week-long slump to end just above $78 per barrel, the lowest since mid-March. Crude futures dropped almost 7% this week, partly reflecting rising U.S. supplies and signs of slower fuel demand.

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