About the Phillips Curve

[By staff reporters]

An important concept in macroeconomics

When Federal Reserve officials meet to decide whether to raise interest rates again, one question will be front and center according to Neil Irwin?

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[Rate of Change of Wages against Unemployment

United Kingdom 1913–1948 from Phillips (1958)]

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Question: How much faith should be placed in a line on a graph first drawn by a New Zealand economist nearly six decades ago, based on data on wages and employment in Britain dating to the 1860s?

The 57-Year-Old Chart That Is Dividing the Fed

More:

Assessment

So, if you believe in the traditional Phillips curve, as some at the Fed do, inflation should be taking off any day now?

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J CURVE: The Economics Paradox

IN PRIVATE EQUITY AND MEDICINE

By Staff Reporters

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PRIVATE EQUITY

In private equity, the J curve is used to illustrate the historical tendency of private equity funds to deliver negative returns in early years and investment gains in the outlying years as the portfolios of companies mature.

And, according to Wikipedia, in the early years of the fund, a number of factors contribute to negative returns including management fees, investment costs and under-performing investments that are identified early and written down. Over time the fund will begin to experience unrealized gains followed eventually by events in which gains are realized (e.g., IPOs, mergers and acquisitions, leveraged recapitalizations).

Historically, the J curve effect has been more pronounced in the US, where private equity firms tend to carry their investments at the lower of market value or investment cost and have been more aggressive in writing down investments than in writing up investments. As a result, the carrying value of any investment that is under performing will be written down but the carrying value of investments that are performing well tend to be recognized only when there is some kind of event that forces the PE to mark up the investment.

The steeper the positive part of the J curve, the quicker cash is returned to investors. A private equity firm that can make quick returns to investors provides investors with the opportunity to reinvest that cash elsewhere. Of course, with a tightening of credit markets, private equity firms have found it harder to sell businesses they previously invested in. Proceeds to investors have reduced. J curves have flattened dramatically. This leaves investors with less cash flow to invest elsewhere, such as in other private equity firms. The implications for private equity could well be severe. Being unable to sell businesses to generate proceeds and fees means some in the industry have predicted consolidation among private equity firms.

MEDICINE

In medicine, the “J curve” refers to a graph in which the x-axis measures either of two treatable symptoms (blood pressure or blood cholesterol level) while the y-axis measures the chance that a patient will develop cardiovascular disease (CVD). It is well known that high blood pressure or high cholesterol levels increase a patient’s risk.

Paradoxically, what is less well known is that plots of large populations against CVD mortality often take the shape of a J curve which indicates that patients with very low blood pressure and/or low cholesterol levels are also at increased risk.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource

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PODCAST: The Economic “KUZNETS” Curve

The “KUZNETS” Curve

Courtesy: www.CertifiedMedicalPlanner.org

In economics, a Kuznets curve (/ˈkʌznɛts/) graphs the hypothesis that as an economy develops, market forces first increase and then decrease economic inequality.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource

The hypothesis was first advanced by economist Simon Kuznets in the 1950s and 1960s.

PODCAST: https://www.bing.com/videos/search?q=Kuznets+Curve&view=detail&mid=A5D7EFB417EC37F3CDFEA5D7EFB417EC37F3CDFE&FORM=VIRE

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DAILY UPDATE: Costco Gold, US Dock Workers & OpenAI Funding as Stocks Close Lower

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Costco, which found success selling gold bars, will now sell platinum ones, too.

US dock workers agreed to return to work after port operators sweetened their contract offer, ending a three-day strike that threatened to disrupt the American economy. The breakthrough Thursday came after port employers offered a 62% increase in wages over six years, according to people familiar with the matter.

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Stocks up

  • Nvidia gained 3.32% after CEO Jensen Huang said in an interview that demand for the company’s new Blackwell chips is “insane.”
  • EVgo soared 60.81% after the EV charging company received both a $1.05 billion loan from the Department of Energy and an upgrade from JP Morgan analysts.
  • Utility stocks soared in the third quarter thanks to higher electricity demand for AI, and it isn’t stopping anytime soon. Both Vistra Corp. and Constellation Energy surged 5.62% and 4.52%, respectively, on comments from Google CEO Sundar Pichai that the tech titan may utilize nuclear energy in the coming years.

Stocks down

  • Levi Strauss sank 7.69% after releasing subpar earnings, cutting its full-year sales forecast , and announcing it may sell its Dockers brand.
  • Tesla fell 3.35% after announcing a recall of over 27,000 Cybertrucks due to issues with their rearview camera.
  • Hims & Hers Health dropped 9.60% on the announcement that Eli Lilly’s weight-loss drugs are no longer on the FDA’s shortage list.
  • Joby Aviation tumbled 8.63%, giving up a portion of yesterday’s gains after the aviation startup received $500 million in additional funding from Toyota.
  • Stellantis, makers of Jeep, Dodge, and Chrysler vehicles, sank 4.11% to a new 52-week low today as a combination of terrible sales forecasts and a downgrade from Barclays analysts kicked the automaker while it’s already down.
  • Constellation Brands had strong beer sales but terrible wine and spirits sales last quarter, leading to a mixed earnings report that has shareholders worried about what the future holds. Shares sank 4.70%.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

Here’s where the major stock benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX)fell 10 points (–0.17%) to 5,699.96; the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DJI) dropped 185 points (–0.44%) to 42,011.59; the  NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) shed 7 points (–0.04%) to 17,918.48.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) added 7 basis points to 3.85%. 
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) rose 1.7 points to 20.59.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/tj8smmes

Microsoft, NVIDIA, and Apple were rumored to be among the investors to participate in OpenAI’s latest funding round, pushing its market cap well beyond $150 billion. However, Apple dropped out of the exercise at the eleventh hour for unclear reasons as OpenAI was about to close the funding round.

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What is a “Kinked” Demand Curve?

Modified Supply-Demand

[By staff reporters]

The Kinked-Demand curve theory is an economic theory regarding oligopoly and monopolistic competition.

When it was created, the idea fundamentally challenged classical economic tenets such as efficient markets and rapidly changing prices, ideas that underlie basic supply and demand models.

Kinked demand was an initial attempt to explain sticky prices.

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Risk Management, Liability Insurance, and Asset Protection Strategies for Doctors and Advisors: Best Practices from Leading Consultants and Certified Medical Planners™8Comprehensive Financial Planning Strategies for Doctors and Advisors: Best Practices from Leading Consultants and Certified Medical Planners™
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ECONOMICS: Price Gouging VS. Supply & Demand

NEBULOUS DEFINITIONS

By Staff Reporters

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The simplest model of a market involves two things, supply and demand, and the price and quantity of the goods sold in the market are a function of both. When a natural disaster hits like Hurricane Helene, the immediate effect can be two-fold. In such situations, it is not unusual that the demand for certain products may increase. For example, if everyone is trying to leave the area, demand for gas may rise. The other effect is that supply for certain products may decrease. And, it may be more costly to transport gas in areas affected by a natural disaster, thus decreasing the supply of gas and in turn, increasing the price.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource

When supply decreases, the price of the good increases. And when demand increases, again the price of the good increases. So we would predict that the market price of gas, for example, would increase in areas recently affected by a hurricane. And in fact we do see this.

Price-gouging occurs when companies raise prices to unfair levels. There is no rule for what qualifies as price-gouging, but it is not an uncommon occurrence. For example in medicine, EpiPen costs is a current example of price increases that have been labeled unfair. 

Note: An epinephrine auto-injector (or adrenaline auto-injector, also known by the trade mark EpiPen) is a medical device for injecting a measured dose or doses of epinephrine (adrenaline) by means of auto-injector technology. It is most often used for the treatment of anaphylaxis. The first epinephrine auto-injector was brought to market in 1983.

Cite: https://tinyurl.com/55kmum86


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About the Laffer Curve

What it is – How it works
By staff reporters

DEFINITION:

In economics, the Laffer curve is a representation of the relationship between rates of taxation and the resulting levels of government revenue.

The Laffer curve claims to illustrate the concept of taxable income elasticity—i.e., taxable income will change in response to changes in the rate of taxation.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource/Title/082610254

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HISTORY:

The Laffer Curve is a theory developed by supply-side economist Arthur Laffer to show the relationship between tax rates and the amount of tax revenue collected by governments.

The curve is used to illustrate Laffer’s main premise that the more an activity such as production is taxed, the less of it is generated. Likewise, the less an activity is taxed, the more of it is generated.

MORE: https://www.investopedia.com/terms/l/laffercurve.asp

Conclusion

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DAILY UPDATE: MSFT, J&J and CVS as Stock Markets Lag

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Rosh Hashanah, the Jewish New Year, begins tonight and ends on Friday. Shana Tova to those celebrating.

Microsoft overhauled its Copilot AI assistant, adding voice and vision capabilities to make it more personalized.


A new report from Deloitte reveals improving health equity could increase the country’s GDP by $2.8 trillion by 2040 and increase U.S.-based corporate profits by $763 billion.


And … Johnson & Johnson’s is not moving forward with implementation of its proposed rebate model after HRSA push-back.  

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource

What’s up stocks

  • Caesars Entertainment popped 5.27% after it announced it will buy back $500 million in common shares while also offering $1 billion in senior notes to raise money.
  • Joby Aviation surged 27.92% on the news that Toyota will invest another $500 million in the aviation startup as it attempts to build a flying electric taxi.
  • Lamb Weston Holdings rose 2.62% thanks to a strong earnings report and a comprehensive restructuring plan for the french fry titan.
  • Novavax soared 19.16% following a glowing report from Jefferies analysts citing the pharma company’s strong vaccine sales.

What’s down stocks

  • Tesla sank 3.49% after revealing that auto deliveries for the third quarter came in lower than analysts expected.
  • Ford fell 2.51% for pretty much the same reason, reporting disappointing sales growth in the third quarter.
  • It’s never a good thing when a company pulls its guidance, and that was certainly true for Nike today. Shares dropped 6.77% after the company postponed its investor day and reported a 10% year over year decline in sales.
  • Nike’s report was so bad that shares of Foot Locker and Dick’s Sporting Goods fell 2.97% and 0.23%, respectively.
  • Humana plummeted 11.79% on the news that membership in its 4 star-rated Medicare Advantage plans plunged 94%.
  • Conagra Brands dropped 8.07% after the packaged food giant missed on both sales and earnings estimates last quarter.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX)was little changed at 5,709.54; the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DJI) rose 39.55 points (0.09%) to 42,196.52; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) gained 14.76 points (0.08%) to 17,925.12.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) added 5 basis points to 3.78%. 
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) edged 0.4 points lower to 18.86.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/tj8smmes

CVS is laying off nearly 3,000. The healthcare giant is conducting a strategic review as its stock has fallen more than 20% this year, the Wall Street Journal reported

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What is the “S” Logistics Chart Curve?

SIGMOID CURVE

By Staff Reporters

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DEFINITION

The S curve refers to a chart that is used to describe, visualize, and predict the performance of a project or business overtime. More specifically, it is a logistic curve that plots the progress of a variable by relating it to another variable over time. 

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource/Title/0826102549

The term S curve was developed as a result of the shape that the data takes. Projects on the S curve often experience a slow growth at the beginning, rapid growth in the middle, and slow growth and at the end. The maximum point of acceleration is called the point of inflexion. It is at this point that the project or business returns to the initial slow growth it started from. 

MATH PROOF: https://mathworld.wolfram.com/SigmoidFunction.html

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PODCAST: Health Insurance Company Subsidies

By Eric Bricker MD

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California Passes Bill Regulating Private Equity Deals

By Health Capital Consultants, LLC

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On August 31, 2024, the California legislature passed a bill that may curb private equity (PE) healthcare transactions in the state. The legislation is now on Governor Gavin Newsom’s desk for signature, who must sign or veto the bill by September 30, 2024. If signed into law, California will have the strictest regulation of PE deals of any state in the country.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource

This Health Capital Topics article discusses the new law and reviews the status of both state and federal regulation of PE. (Read more...)

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PODCAST: The Opioid Crisis Exposed By Mises Senior Fellow Dr. Mark Thornton

By Free Man Beyond the Wall

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We welcomes Senior Mises Institute Fellow Dr. Mark Thornton to the show. Dr. Thornton recently gave a talk at the Mises Institute Supporters Summit on the opioid crisis that is plaguing the United States. Dr. Thornton lays out a short history of this tragic epidemic that is taking lives every day.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource/Title/0826102549

He addresses how doctors prescribe these drugs, how government regulates them and explains what happens when people are forced into the “black market” to sustain their addiction.

CITE: https://www.amazon.com/Dictionary-Health-Insurance-Managed-Care/dp/0826149944/ref=sr_1_4?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1275315485&sr=1-4

PODCAST HERE: https://freemanbeyondthewall.libsyn.com/episode-169-the-opioid-crisis

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DAILY UPDATE: Health Plan Costs Up and Stock Markets Upbeat

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Despite inflation cooling down, employer health plan costs are heating up, according to a September analysis from consulting firm consulting firm Mercer.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource

STOCKS UP

STOCKS DOWN

Stellantis, the European company behind Chrysler, Dodge, and Jeep sank 12.49% after it warned that sales in the second half of its fiscal year will come in lower than expected. The bad news pulled down shares of competitors Aston Martin (which fell 24.51%), Ford (a 2% drop), and GM (3.53% lower today).

  • Carnival beat top and bottom line estimates last quarter, and posted record revenue for the third quarter. But shares stumbled 0.32% on management’s forecast that earnings in the fourth quarter will disappoint. Rival cruise companies all dropped in sympathy: Royal Caribbean fell 0.10%, while Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings tumbled 2.10%.
  • Crypto stocks took a beating today after bitcoin’s latest rally fizzled out. Coinbase fell 6.83%, while MicroStrategy lost 4.32%.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

Here’s where the major stock market benchmarks ended:

  • The SPX gained 24.26 points (0.42%) to 5,762.48; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) rose 17.15 points (0.04%) to 42,330.15; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) added 69.58 points (0.38%) to 18,189.17.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) climbed five basis points to 3.8%, near the high of its recent range.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) eased to 16.66 after climbing above 17 earlier today but remains up from a week ago.

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Big Data and Health Economics: S.W.O.Ts.

By Brendan Collins

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Read Here: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/big-data.pdf

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource/Title/082610254

HIT: https://www.amazon.com/Dictionary-Health-Information-Technology-Security/dp/0826149952/ref=sr_1_5?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1254413315&sr=1-5

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MOOCs & MOODLES – Are You a Teaching and Educational Futurist?

On Massive Open Online Courses

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA M.Ed

Courtesy: www.CertifiedMedicalPlanner.org

Today, colleges and universities are beginning to identify students who are adept at learning online and reward top achievers and professors. Employers, graduate and business schools are beginning to troll MOOCs [massive open online courses] seeking viable job, and academic, candidates.

Definition

A massive open online course ( MOOC / m uː k / ) is an online course aimed at unlimited participation and open access via the web.  In addition to traditional course materials such as filmed lectures, readings, and problem sets , many MOOCs provide interactive courses with user forums to support community interactions among students, professors, and teaching assistants (TAs) as well as immediate feedback to quick quizzes and assignments.

Dictionary: https://www.amazon.com/Dictionary-Health-Information-Technology-Security/dp/0826149952/ref=sr_1_5?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1254413315&sr=1-5

Update

In fact, when I last checked, the nation’s graduate, B-school and MBA students were enrolled in more than 118 online MBA/MPH/MSH healthcare administration programs. MOOCs offer greater access for a larger number of students, at significantly lower costs than on-site programs.

By the same token, technology like Blackboard®, Cengage, eXplorance, BANNER and Kalture must be used to full potential. Smart phones, PCs and tablets, videos, interactive games, A.I. simulators and apps with Skype®-like virtual classrooms and cloud storage are obvious embellishments to online initiatives.

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Definition

A Moodle is a free and open-source learning management system written in PHP and distributed under the GNU General Public License. Developed on pedagogical principles, Moodle is used for blended learning, distance education, flipped classroom and other e-learning projects in schools, universities, workplaces and other sectors.

Note: PHP is a popular general-purpose scripting language that is especially suited to web development. Fast, flexible and pragmatic, PHP powers everything from your blog to the most popular websites in the world.

Dictionary: https://www.amazon.com/Dictionary-Health-Information-Technology-Security/dp/0826149952/ref=sr_1_5?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1254413315&sr=1-5

ASSESSMENT: Your thoughts are appreciated. Are you a didactic educational futurist? MOOCs or MOODLES anyone?

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“Fiduciary Financial Planning for Physicians” https://tinyurl.com/y7f5pnox

“Business of Medical Practice 2.0” https://tinyurl.com/yb3x6wr8

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DAILY UPDATE: The Stock Markets and Meta

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  • Markets: It’s been a September to remember for the stock market after the S&P 500 and Dow Jones hit fresh highs last week. Thursday was the 42nd record-high close for the S&P 500 this year, and on Friday, the Dow notched its 32nd record-high close, per CNN Business. Recent data indicates that all the ingredients are coming together for a “soft landing”: The economy is staying strong while inflation has continued to fall. And more rate cuts are on their way.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

Stock spotlight: Meta’s rally this year has been fruitful for its CEO’s bank account. The net worth of Mark Zuckerberg, who owns a 13% stake in his company, climbed above $200 billion for the first time, per Bloomberg. He’s now the fourth-richest person in the world.

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Hospital Operations Finally Rebound Post-COVID

By Health Capital Consultants, LLC

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For the first time since the COVID-19 pandemic, hospitals are finally reporting sustained, improved financial and operational performance. To date in 2024, hospitals have seen better margins, increased patient utilization, and a more stabilized workforce. Another result of this improved performance has been an increase in hospital transactional activity.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource

This Health Capital Topics article reviews the hospital sector performance to date, factors driving this improvement, and the impact on hospital transactional activity. (Read more...) 

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BENEFICIARIES: Assigned to MSSP Accountable Care Organizations [ACOs]

Number of Beneficiaries Assigned to MSSP ACOs, 2012-2013 to 2022

By Charlene Ice

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  1. 2012/2013: 3.2 million
  2. 2014: 4.9 million
  3. 2015: 7.3 million
  4. 2016: 7.7 million
  5. 2017: 9 million
  6. 2018: 10.5 million
  7. 2019: 10.4 million
  8. 2020: 11.2 million
  9. 2021: 10.7 million
  10. 2022: 11 million

Notes: “MSSP” denotes the Medicare Shared Savings Program
Source: Statista, June 20, 2022
Source URL: https://www.statista.com/statistics/1278948/number-of-benefi…

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DAILY UPDATE: Markets & Economy USA

By Staff Reporters

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  • Markets: Wall Street life was looking good last week as all the major indexes clinched their third consecutive winning week. Stocks were a mixed bag for Friday, but the Dow Jones scored another record close. Bristol Myers Squibb rose after the FDA approved its schizophrenia drug as the first new treatment for the condition in decades.
  • Economy: The FOMC’s favorite inflation gauge came in lower than expected for last month, likely clearing the way for Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve to keep cutting interest rates.

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When Medical Doctors are Entrepreneurs

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By Michael Accad MD

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In this article, I wish to introduce the reader to the theory of entrepreneurship advanced by Frank Knight (1885–1972), and show that the common, everyday work of the physician could be considered a form of entrepreneurial activity in the Knightian sense.

FRANK KNIGHT PhD: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2019/06/12/what-is-knightian-uncertainty-in-economics/

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READ: https://mises.org/library/when-medical-doctors-are-entrepreneurs

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ADVICE: Financial, Investment or Medical Practice Management Second Fiduciary Opinions

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Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP®

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FINANCIAL PLANNING

CAREER DEVELOPMENT

MEDICAL PRACTICE BUY IN / OUT

INVESTMENT ANALYSIS

PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT

MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS

PRACTICE APPRAISALS AND VALUATIONS

RETIREMENT PLANNING

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CONTACT: Ann Miller RN MHA

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On DISPOSABLE and Other “Next-Gen” Credit Cards

Touring with Marcinko | The Leading Business Education ...

BY DR. DAVID EDWARD MARCINKO MBA CMP®

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SPONSOR: http://www.CertifiedMedicalPlanner.org

‘Chip & Pin’ Technology

Disposable credit cards are the newest innovation to help reduce fraud and assumed identity scams on e-commerce based websites. As with traditional credit cards, these cards are numbered, but used only once. Then, electronically they are erased so that there is nothing left in the merchant’s database for hackers to steal.

But, in 2014, Congress began looking at new ways to keep personal credit card information safe after several high-profile security breaches at some of America’s top retailers.

WHY? Current credit cards use easy to hack magnetic strip technology from the 1960s. Many consumers want more secure “pin & chip” cards which have been in use in Europe for years. Even though micro-chip technology costs billions to implement, merchants are moving in that direction as they issue new cards to consumers. Most modern polls show nearly half of all people surveyed are extremely concerned about the safety of their personal credit card information.

Burner Cards: Similar to a burner phone or “throwaway” social media account, burner credit cards are temporary, virtual credit cards that are not your “main” credit card. The bank or burner card app will give you a temporary number that links back to your main credit card which you can use for online purchases.

An ANonymous Credit Card provides an extreme degree of privacy and prevents the tracking of your expenses by a spouse, people with bad intentions or government monitoring agencies. It is important to realize that there are plenty of legitimate reasons for wanting to buy something discreetly through an Anonymous Credit Card.

Credit Card Mistakes to Avoid

No number has as far-reaching an impact on your money as your credit scores.

Here are some obstacles, physicians and all of us, should dodge on the road to financial security:

  • Don’t pay for a credit card repair service.
  • Don’t miss a payment.
  • Don’t max out your card.
  • Don’t take a cash-advance.
  • Don’t skip using your cards.
  • Don’t chase interest rates.
  • Don’t apply for several credit cards all at once.
  • Don’t co-sign a loan.
  • Don’t spread our car or mortgage payments.

Citation: https://www.r2library.com/Resource/Title/0826102549

Denied Credit

If you are denied a credit card, you have the right to obtain a credit report free from the agency which denied you. Your request must be made in writing and within thirty-sixty days. Consumer credit is governed by the Fair Credit Reporting Act (FCRA).  The regulations are issued by and enforced by the Federal Trade Commission. Certain states offer consumers additional rights.  Credit reporting agencies are referred to as a “consumer reporting agency”.

ASSESSMENT: Your thoughts are appreciated.

Comprehensive Financial Planning Strategies for Doctors and Advisors: Best Practices from Leading Consultants and Certified Medical Planners™

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DAILY UPDATE: MyChart, Meta, Zelle and Acadia as the DJIA Rises

MEDICAL EXECUTIVE-POST TODAY’S NEWSLETTER BRIEFING

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Essays, Opinions and Curated News in Health Economics, Investing, Business, Management and Financial Planning for Physician Entrepreneurs and their Savvy Advisors and Consultants

Serving Almost One Million Doctors, Financial Advisors and Medical Management Consultants Daily

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Stat: 150. That’s how many health systems use AI to help draft replies on MyChart, sometimes without disclosing this to patients. (the New York Times)

Contained in a roughly 200-page quarterly filing from JPMorgan Chase last month were eight words that underscore how contentious the bank’s relationship with the government has become. The lender disclosed that the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau could punish JPMorgan for its role in Zelle, the giant peer-to-peer digital payments network. The bank is accused of failing to kick criminal accounts off its platform and failing to compensate some scam victims.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource

Stocks Up

Bristol-Myers Squibb rose 1.56% after the FDA approved its new drug for schizophrenia, the first new treatment of its kind in decades. Some analysts expect the drug, Cobenfy, to bring in $6 billion in peak annual revenue.

  • Trump Media gained 5.58% despite a co-founder of its Truth Social platform cashing out nearly all of his shares—worth about $100 million at current prices.
  • Chinese EV maker Nio added another 12.80% to bring its weekly gains to nearly 25%. It’s benefiting from the overall euphoria around Chinese stocks and anticipation over its quarterly delivery numbers due next week.
  • Speaking of the Chinese government’s stimulus measures, investors are wagering that the Macau locations of Las Vegas Sands Corp. (up 5.59%) and Wynn Resorts (up 7.24%) will see more visitors.
  • IonQ, a quantum computing company based in College Park, MD (go Terps), shot up 20.47% after inking a contract with the US Air Force Research Lab.

Stocks down

  • Nvidia dropped 2.17%. Bloomberg reported that the Chinese government is ramping up the pressure on local tech companies to move away from using Nvidia AI chips and lean more on domestic suppliers.
  • WeightWatchers, whose shares are down more than 90% this year, booted its CEO Sima Sistani, who pivoted the company to weight-loss drugs. Investors aren’t betting a change at the top will lead to a turnaround, sending shares 2.11% lower on the day.
  • Globe Life sank 4.74% after the US Equal Employment Opportunity Commission found that the life insurance company tolerated a “pervasive pattern of harassing conduct” at one of its top sales agencies, per Business Insider.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) lost 7.20 points (–0.13%) to 5,738.17 to end the week up 0.62%; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) added 137.89 points (0.33%) to 42,313.00 to end the week up 0.59%; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) fell 70.70 points (–0.39%) to 18,119.59 to end the week up 0.95%.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) fell four basis points to 3.75%, up two basis points for the week.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) jumped to 16.64.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/tj8smmes

Meta is facing a fine of $102 million for storing some users’ passwords in “plaintext”. The social media giant has admitted to poor password management.

Acadia and the Department of Justice just reached a ~$20M agreement to settle accusations that the company billed Medicare, Medicaid, and TRICARE for medically unnecessary inpatient mental health services. Acadia found itself under pressure after a New York Times investigation published earlier in September allegedly found that the company kept patients in facilities against their will to maximize insurance payments.

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CMS: A New Primary Care Medicine Model

“MAKING CARE PRIMARY”

By Health Capital Consultants, LLC

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CMS Announces New Primary Care Model

On June 8, 2023, the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) announced the establishment of Making Care Primary (MCP) Model, a voluntary primary care model that will be tested in Colorado, Massachusetts, Minnesota, New Mexico, North Carolina, New York, New Jersey, and Washington.

Launched on July 1, 2024, the 10 ½ year model will seek to improve the coordination and management of care, enable primary care clinicians to form relationships with healthcare specialists, and form community-based connections to address the health needs of patients, as well as health-related social needs such as nutrition and housing.
CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource

This Health Capital Topics article will discuss the new MCP Model and its implications for the healthcare industry. (Read more...)

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TROPICAL STORM HELENE: And “Stonk” Stocks

BREAKING NEWS

By Staff Reporters

Tropical Storm Helene made landfall in Florida last night as a Category 4 hurricane, the strongest to ever hit the state’s Big Bend. It is a huge and powerful storm—with a wind field that could span the distance between tjhe State of Maryland/Washington, DC, and Indianapolis/Chicago—that has already caused historic flooding to some of Florida’s coastal communities.

How bad is it? The Waffle House Index, which has been used by FEMA as an indicator of a storm’s severity, closed all of its locations in Tallahassee, Florida. The Waffle House Index [WHI] is an informal metric named after the Waffle House restaurant chain, headquartered in Georgia, and used by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) to determine the effect of a storm and the likely scale of assistance required for disaster recovery.

And, as of 8am EST, Helene has weakened to a Category 1 as it’s moved into Atlanta, Georgia. Nearly 2 million customers are without power across Florida, Georgia, and North/South Carolina. You can get real-time updates here, as we hope everyone in the region is staying safe.

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Stock market yesterday: The S&P 500 clinched a fresh new record amid GDP data and micro chip stock gains.and Stonk Stocks. Stonk, a deliberate misspelling of stock (meaning “a share of the value of a company which can be bought, sold, or traded as an investment”), was coined in a 2017 meme. The word is often used humorously on the internet to imply a vague understanding of financial transactions or poor financial decisions.

Upbeat GDP data and new stimulus measures in China were largely to thank. One of the day’s big winners was Southwest Airlines, which soared after executives announced plans to revitalize the business.

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Designated a Doody’s Core Title!

To keep up with the ever-changing field of health care, we must learn new and re-learn old terminology in order to correctly apply it to practice. By bringing together the most up-to-date abbreviations, acronyms, definitions, and terms in the health care industry, the Dictionary offers a wealth of essential information that will help you understand the ever-changing policies and practices in health insurance and managed care today.

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PODCAST: Patient Trust In Healthcare

By Eric Bricker MD

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What is the “Butterfly” Effect?

What is it – How it works

[By Dr. David E. Marcinko MBA MEd and staff reporters]

The butterfly effect refers to a concept that small causes can have large effects. Initially, it was used with weather prediction but later the term became a metaphor used in and out of science.

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[Copyright 2019 iMBA, Inc. All rights reserved. USA.]

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The term, closely associated with the work of Edward Lorenz, is derived from the metaphorical example of the details of a tornado (the exact time of formation, the exact path taken) being influenced by minor perturbations such as the flapping of the wings of a distant butterfly several weeks earlier. Lorenz discovered the effect when he observed that runs of his weather model with initial condition data that was rounded in a seemingly inconsequential manner would fail to reproduce the results of runs with the unrounded initial condition data. A very small change in initial conditions had created a significantly different outcome.

NOTE: Edward Lorenz is not to be confused with the scientist Max Lorenz: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2018/01/26/about-the-lorenz-curve/

In Chaos Theory

In chaos theory, the butterfly effect is the sensitive dependence on initial conditions in which a small change in one state of a deterministic nonlinear system can result in large differences in a later state.

In Psychology / Psychiatry

Although I first learned about the Butterfly Effect is high school physics class, I also later learned that it relates to psychological/psychiatry in medical school. It seems the effect serves as a metaphor for life in a chaotic world. Specifically, it suggests that small events can have very large psychological / psychiatric effects.

In Insurance and Risk Management

As a health economist, and  former financial advisor, I also know that the Butterfly Effect is related to the insurance and financial service industries; as weill as risk management theory in general.

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Risk Management, Liability Insurance, and Asset Protection Strategies for Doctors and Advisors: Best Practices from Leading Consultants and Certified Medical Planners™

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DAILY UPDATE: State Farm & Berkshire Hathaway as ESG Retreats and Markets Rise

MEDICAL EXECUTIVE-POST TODAY’S NEWSLETTER BRIEFING

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Essays, Opinions and Curated News in Health Economics, Investing, Business, Management and Financial Planning for Physician Entrepreneurs and their Savvy Advisors and Consultants

Serving Almost One Million Doctors, Financial Advisors and Medical Management Consultants Daily

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Stat: Over 90%. That’s the percentage of the insurance industry’s uptick in fossil fuel securities investment coming from just two firms, State Farm and Berkshire Hathaway. (The Wall Street Journal)

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource

Stocks up

  • Southwest Airlines ascended 5.42% after the company laid out its growth plans in an attempt to fend off an activist investor attack.
  • Starbucks climbed 1.93% thanks to an upgrade from Bernstein analysts who foresee a “grande comeback” for the coffee chain.
  • CarMax revved 5% higher after posting strong second-quarter earnings, beating both top and bottom line forecasts.
  • Jabil jumped 11.65% after the electronics parts manufacturer announced impressive earnings and revealed plans to cut costs.
  • Bilibili, which sounds like you’re trying to get your friend William’s attention, popped 15.44% after Goldman Sachs analysts upgraded the Chinese internet company.

Stocks down

  • Super Micro Computer plunged 12.17% on the news that the Department of Justice is launching a probe into the tech company, a few weeks after note short seller Hindenburg Research published a report alleging “accounting manipulation.”
  • Sonos, makers of your favorite subwoofer, sank 4.45% after a rare “double downgrade” by Morgan Stanley analysts, who demoted the stock from a positive “overweight” all the way to a negative “underweight.”
  • Oil stocks took a big hit today after Saudi Arabia announced it will increase its oil production next month. Diamondback Energy fell 6.46%, Shell dropped 3.91%, and ConocoPhillips lost 3.23%.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) rose 23.11 points (0.40%) to 5,745.37; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) added 260.36 points (0.62%) to 42,175.11; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) increased 108.08 points (0.60%) to 18,190.29.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) climbed one basis point to 3.79%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) was steady at 15.57.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/tj8smmes

A retreat from ESG is due to backlash from conservatives who are critical of the idea that fund managers should be considering any other factor but a company’s shareholders in their investment decisions. Accusations of “greenwashing” have also plagued many ESG funds, which is when an asset management firm charges higher fees for a specific thematic fund without actually delivering a unique investment strategy.

Visualize: How private equity tangled banks in a web of debt, from the Financial Times.

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Dr. Richard H. Thaler and Behavioral Economics

A behavioral scientist

By Rick Kahler MS CFP®

Human beings make most of our decisions—including financial ones—emotionally, not logically. Unfortunately, too much of the time, our emotions lead us into financial choices that aren’t good for our financial well-being. This is hardly news to financial planners or financial therapists. Nor is it a surprise to any parent who has ever struggled to teach kids how to manage money wisely.

Economic Model Assumptions

Yet many of the economic models and theories related to investing are based on assumptions that, when it comes to money, people act rationally and in their own best interests. There’s a wide gulf between the way economists assume people behave around money and the way people actually make money choices. This doesn’t encourage financial advisors to rely on what economists say about financial patterns, trends, and what to expect from markets or consumers.

2017 Nobel Prize in Economics

It’s significant, then, that the 2017 Nobel Prize in Economics went to Dr. Richard H. Thaler, professor of behavioral science and economics at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business. Dr. Thaler’s work has focused on the differences between logical economic assumptions and real-world human behavior. His research not only demonstrates that people behave emotionally when it comes to money; it also shows that in many ways our irrational economic behavior is predictable.

This predictability can help advisors and organizations find ways to encourage people to make financial decisions in their own better interest. The book Nudge, by Dr. Thaler and Cass R. Sunstein, describes some of those methods.

Example:

One example is making participation the default option for company retirement programs like 401(k)’s. Employees are free to opt out, of course, but they need to actively choose to do so.

A second example is the “Save More Tomorrow” plan, which offers employees the option of automatically increasing their savings whenever they receive raises in the future.

Both of these examples rely on a predictable behavior—human inertia. Most of us tend to postpone, ignore, or forget to take action even when that action would be good for us. So if a system is set up so not taking action leaves us with the choice that serves us better, we are “nudged” toward helping ourselves toward a healthier financial future.

Integration

As one of the pioneers in integrating the emotional aspect of money behavior into the practice of financial planning, I’ve long since come to understand that managing money is about much more than numbers. The world of investing may seem to be cold and calculating, but it’s actually driven by emotions. I’m familiar with the work of researchers who have demonstrated that some 90% of all financial decisions are made emotionally rather than logically.

I was pleased in 2002 when one of those researchers, psychologist Daniel Kahneman, won the Nobel prize in economics for his studies of human behavioral biases and systematic irrational behaviors. (That research was done jointly with psychologist Amos Tversky, who died in 1996.)

I’m even more pleased to see the economics Nobel prize go to a behavioral researcher for the second time. Maybe the realm of economics is beginning to integrate the untidy realities of human emotions into its theories. Eventually, this might lead to new economic models that take into account the emotions that shape people’s money decisions and the fact that money is one of the most emotionally charged aspects of our lives.

Assessment

Perhaps economists are beginning to appreciate the truth of the statement Dr. Thaler made at a news conference after his prize was announced. “In order to do good economics, you have to keep in mind that people are human.”

Conclusion

Your thoughts and comments on this ME-P are appreciated. Feel free to review our top-left column, and top-right sidebar materials, links, urls and related websites, too. Then, subscribe to the ME-P. It is fast, free and secure.

Speaker: If you need a moderator or speaker for an upcoming event, Dr. David E. Marcinko; MBA – Publisher-in-Chief of the Medical Executive-Post – is available for seminar or speaking engagements.

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MICRO-CERTIFICATIONS: Financial Advisors Seeking Physician-Client Niche Success?

Micro-Credentials on the Rise

KNOWLEDGE RICHES IN NICHES

DR. DAVID EDWARD MARCINKO MBA MEd CMP

SPONSOR: http://www.CertifiedMedicalPlanner.org

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Do you ever wish you could acquire specific information for your career activities without having to complete a university Master’s Degree or finish our entire Certified Medical Planner™ professional designation program? Well, Micro-Certifications from the Institute of Medical Business Advisors, Inc., might be the answer. Read on to learn how our three Micro-Certifications offer new opportunities for professional growth in the medical practice, business management, health economics and financial planning, investing and advisory space for physicians, nurses and healthcare professionals.

Micro-Certification Basics

Stock-Brokers, Financial Advisors, Investment Advisors, Accountants, Consultants, Financial Analyists and Financial Planners need to enhance their knowledge skills to better serve the changing and challenging healthcare professional ecosystem. But, it can be difficult to learn and demonstrate mastery of these new skills to employers, clients, physicians or medical prospects. This makes professional advancement difficult. That’s where Micro-Certification and Micro-Credentialing enters the online educational space. It is the process of earning a Micro-Certification, which is like a mini-degree or mini-credential, in a very specific topical area.

Micro-Certification Requirements

Once you’ve completed all of the requirements for our Micro-Certification, you will be awarded proof that you’ve earned it. This might take the form of a paper or digital certificate, which may be a hard document or electronic image, transcript, file, or other official evidence that you’ve completed the necessary work.

Uses of Micro-Certifications

Micro-Certifications may be used to demonstrate to physicians prospective medical clients that you’ve mastered a certain knowledge set. Because of this, Micro-Certifications are useful for those financial service professionals seeking medical clients, employment or career advancement opportunities.

Examples of iMBA, Inc., Micro-Certifications

Here are the three most popular Micro-Certification course from the Institute of Medical Business Advisors, Inc:

  • 1. Health Insurance and Managed Care: To keep up with the ever-changing field of health care physician advice, you must learn new medical practice business models in order to attract and assist physicians and nurse clients. By bringing together the most up-to-date business and medical prctice models [Medicare, Medicaid, PP-ACA, POSs, EPOs, HMOs, PPOs, IPA’s, PPMCs, Accountable Care Organizations, Concierge Medicine, Value Based Care, Physician Pay-for-Performance Initiatives, Hospitalists, Retail and Whole-Sale Medicine, Health Savings Accounts and Medical Unions, etc], this iMBA Inc., Mini-Certification offers a wealth of essential information that will help you understand the ever-changing practices in the next generation of health insurance and managed medical care.
  • 2. Health Economics and Finance: Medical economics, finance, managerial and cost accounting is an integral component of the health care industrial complex. It is broad-based and covers many other industries: insurance, mathematics and statistics, public and population health, provider recruitment and retention, health policy, forecasting, aging and long-term care, and Venture Capital are all commingled arenas. It is essential knowledge that all financial services professionals seeking to serve in the healthcare advisory niche space should possess.
  • 3. Health Information Technology and Security: There is a myth that all physician focused financial advisors understand Health Information Technology [HIT]. In truth, it is often economically misused or financially misunderstood. Moreover, an emerging national HIT architecture often puts the financial advisor or financial planner in a position of maximum uncertainty and minimum productivity regarding issues like: Electronic Medical Records [EMRs] or Electronic Health Records [EHRs], mobile health, tele-health or tele-medicine, Artificial Intelligence [AI], benefits managers and human resource professionals.

Other Topics include: economics, finance, investing, marketing, advertising, sales, start-ups, business plan creation, financial planning and entrepreneurship, etc.

How to Start Learning and Earning Recognition for Your Knowledge

Now that you’re familiar with Micro-Credentialing, you might consider earning a Micro-Certification with us. We offer 3 official Micro-Certificates by completing a one month online course, with a live instructor consisting of twelve asynchronous lessons/online classes [3/wk X 4/weeks = 12 classes]. The earned official completion certificate can be used to demonstrate mastery of a specific skill set and shared with current or future employers, current clients or medical niche financial advisory prospects.

Mini-Certification Tuition, Books and Related Fees

The tuition for each Mini-Certification live online course is $1,250 with the purchase of one required dictionary handbook. Other additional guides, white-papers, videos, files and e-content are all supplied without charge. Alternative courses may be developed in the future subject to demand and may change without notice.

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Contact: For more information, or to speak with an academic representative, please contact Ann Miller RN MHA CMP™ at: MarcinkoAdvisors@msn.com [24/7].

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Selecting Financial Advisors the Risky Way

Physician Due Diligence is Important

[By Daniel B. Moisand; CFP®, and the ME-P Staff]Tall Shadows

While the merits of hiring the right financial advisor [FA] may be clear, hiring the wrong one can be devastating. Medical professionals still tend to have higher incomes and are an attractive target for most financial institutions and scam artists. This fear is a poor excuse for not getting the assistance necessary. Advice about who to engage for financial assistance comes from a hodge-podge of disjointed sources. This leads to good intentions and bad results. Take caution when using the following as sources of advice.

Relying on Family and Friends

By far more people seek financial advice from trusted family members and friends than any other source.  This is only natural. It is essential to trust that you are getting advice from a source that means well. It is also important that you get along well with your advisors. Hesitating to communicate with your advisor, even a great advisor, can cause problems even more problematic that getting bad advice from someone you like. While these sources have a good handle on the essential elements of trust and rapport, it is the competence of the advice that is most often the issue. The life and money experiences of those who are close to you certainly have value, but they are not necessarily relevant to your unique goals and circumstances. THINK: Bernie Madoff.

Media

A few years ago, the dominant media force in consumer oriented financial matters was the print media.  Magazines and newsletters proliferated with the bull market. More recently however, television has supplanted print even in the bear market. For example, a study now estimates that 80 percent of what the average American knows about current events comes from TV. Why wait three weeks for the next issue when you can get a commentary instantly on the television? There is nothing wrong with watching shows that cover the markets or subscribing to a consumer finance magazine. It is certainly a good idea to be informed. However, be wary of the quality and applicability of information put out by the media.

The Internet

It is easy to run across an ad for prescriptions drugs on television. Images prance across the screen followed by a litany of potential side effects and the obligatory, “Ask your doctor about”. With the expansion of the information superhighway, more and more companies are going direct to the consumer in some manner or another.

Financially speaking this information can be of great benefit but should also generate more concern. It is very easy to project a particular image via the web. The webmaster controls the interaction from what you see to what you hear. One of the results of this is that the Internet has already garnered a reputation as a breeding ground for new scams. More prevalent, however, is the presentation of information meant to be useful that is simply wrong, misinterpreted, or misapplied. The most terrifying source of misinformation on the net is the chat rooms. Here the entire interaction is clouded by anonymity. Some people enter chat rooms because there is a comfort in anonymity when asking a question. There is also a danger in an anonymous answer. When it comes to something as important as your finances or your health, the prudent course should be to take all the advice with a grain of salt. A great deal of consideration to the quality of the source is in order. It is also essential that one understand the level of accountability a source may possess.   fp-book2

Assessment

Much has been written on financial advisor selection, here on the ME-P and elsewhere; but little on how not to select an advisor. We trust this information will be of assistance to the medical professional in some small increment. Send in your FA stories; both good and bad.

Channel Surfing the ME-P

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Conclusion

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Speaker: If you need a moderator or speaker for an upcoming event, Dr. David E. Marcinko; MBA – Publisher-in-Chief of the Medical Executive-Post – is available for seminar or speaking engagements. Contact: MarcinkoAdvisors@msn.com

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Comprehensive Financial Planning Strategies for Doctors and Advisors: Best Practices from Leading Consultants and Certified Medical Planners™

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PODCAST: Suicide Financial Crisis Risk?

By Rick Kahler MS CFP

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I lost over $450,000, I cannot pay the bank, I’ll become homeless. Suicide is the only way out.”

This desperate plea summarizes one of the top posts a few months ago on a Reddit forum for the cryptocurrency Terra Luna. Like other cryptocurrencies, it has recently lost more than 99% of its value.

Over the past five years I have written several columns and given a number of media interviews on the risks of speculating in cryptocurrencies. My most recent one generated a conversation with several of my financial planning peers about the recent crypto meltdown. One of them called my attention to the discussions about suicide on cryptocurrency forums, where some members were posting suicide prevention phone numbers.

READ HERE: https://kahlerfinancial.com/financial-awakenings/money-psychology/financial-crisis-and-the-risk-of-suicide

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DAILY UPDATE: Visa, Coca-Cola, Cardinal & Advocate Health and Obesity as Markets Fall

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Cardinal Health has agreed in principle to acquire Integrated Oncology Network for more than $1.1 billion.


And … Advocate Health announced it will wipe clean more than 11,500 judgment liens on patients’ homes and real estate.

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What’s up

  • Flutter Entertainment, parent company of betting app FanDuel, popped 5.06% after it revealed its impressive growth plans.
  • Hewlett Packard Enterprise rose 5.05% thanks to an upgrade from Barclays analysts who think that rising AI demand will increase the company’s server revenue.
  • Trump Media & Technology Group gained 10.48% after shareholders panicked that the end of its lockup period would mean big selling by insiders, fears that haven’t materialized.
  • Progress Software climbed 11.85% after a strong beat-and-raise earnings report.

What’s down

  • Southwest Airlines stumbled 4.57% after announcing it will cut service to and from Atlanta, a major hub for air travel, as it looks to save money ahead of a showdown with activist investor Elliott Investment Management.
  • Bank of America fell just 0.51% on the revelation that Warren Buffett can’t stop selling the stock.
  • KB Home sank 5.35% after the homebuilder beat revenue estimates but missed on earnings. It also issued a downbeat forecast for the rest of its fiscal year.
  • Global Payments dropped 6.37% thanks to a downgrade from BTIG analysts who were unimpressed by the payment provider’s near-term growth plans.

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  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) fell 10.68 points (–0.19%) to 5,722.25; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) dropped 293.47 points (–0.70%) to 41,914.75; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) added 7.68 points (0.04%) to 18,082.21.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) climbed five basis points to 3.78% and seems stuck in a range between 3.7% and 3.8%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) rose slightly to 15.51, still near its September lows.

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Coca-Cola pulled its new flavor, Spiced, from shelves after just six months because of dis-interest in it.

Visa was sued by the Justice Department for antitrust violations. The DOJ alleged in a complaint filed in Manhattan federal court that the payments giant is illegally monopolizing the debit card market by penalizing merchants who try to use alternatives, Bloomberg reported.

For the first time in more than a decade, the nationwide number of people with obesity hasn’t gone up, according to new CDC data showing that the condition appears in about 40% of US adults.

Visualize: How private equity tangled banks in a web of debt, from the Financial Times.

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What is Corporate “ENTERPRISE” Financial Value?

THE E.V. MATH FORMULA

CMP logo

By Dr. David E. Marcinko MBA MEd CMP®

SPONSOR: http://www.CertifiedMedicalPlanner.org

The enterprise value [EV] tends to be thought of as a theoretical takeover price if a company were to be bought. It is calculated as market capitalization plus debt, minority interest and preferred shares, minus total cash and cash equivalents.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource/Title/0826102549

Enterprise value = common equity at market value (this line item is also known as “market cap”) + debt at market value (here debt refers to interest-bearing liabilities, both long-term and short-term) + minority interest at market value, if any + preferred equity at market value + unfunded pension liabilities and other debt-deemed provisions – value of associate companies – cash and cash equivalents.

MORE: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Enterprise_value

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What is ABSOLUTE [Intrinsic] VALUE?

A MATH AND FINANCIAL-INVESTING TERM

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By Dr. David E. Marcinko MBA MEd CMP®

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In mathematics, the absolute value or modulus of a real number x, denoted |x|, is the non-negative value of x without regard to its sign. Namely, |x| = x if x is positive, and |x| = −x if x is negative (in which case −x is positive), and |0| = 0. For example, the absolute value of 3 is 3, and the absolute value of −3 is also 3. The absolute value of a number may be thought of as its distance from zero.

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In finance, absolute value, also known as an intrinsic value, refers to a business valuation method that uses discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis to determine a company’s financial worth. The absolute value method differs from the relative value models that examine what a company is worth compared to its competitors. Absolute value models try to determine a company’s intrinsic worth based on its projected cash flows.

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In investing, the key issues are as follows:

  • Absolute value refers to a business valuation method that uses discounted cash flow analysis to determine a company’s financial worth.
  • Investors can determine if a stock is currently under or overvalued by comparing what a company’s share price should be given its absolute value to the stock’s current price.
  • There are some challenges with using the absolute value analysis including forecasting cash flows, predicting accurate growth rates, and evaluating appropriate discount rates.
  • Absolute value, unlike relative value, does not call for the comparison of companies in the same industry or sector.

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HIDDEN RISKS: In “Religion” Stocks

By Vitaliy Katsenelson CFA

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INTRODUCTION
STOCK MARKET FAITH

A basic property of religion is that the believer takes a leap of faith: to believe without expecting proof. Often you find this property of religion in other, unexpected places – for example, in the stock market. It takes a while for a company to develop a “religious” following: only a few high-quality, well-respected companies with long track records ever become worshiped by millions of investors.

My partner, Michael Conn, calls these “religion stocks.” The stock has to make a lot of shareholders happy for a long period of time to form this psychological link.

READ HERE: The Hidden Risk in “Religion” Stocks

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DAILY UPDATE: Exxon Mobil, Medicare Part C, Boeing and UniCredit as Stocks Rise

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California state officials filed a lawsuit against one of the world’s top oil giants accusing Exxon Mobil of driving global pollution by running a “decades-long campaign of deception” that dramatically overstated the effectiveness of plastic recycling. The suit seeks “multiple billions of dollars” in civil damages from Exxon Mobil—a main producer of the petrochemicals used to make single-use plastics—California Attorney General Rob Bonta said.

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What’s up

  • Smartsheet popped 6.47% on the news that Blackstone and Vista Equity Partners will pay $8.4 billion in cash to take the software maker private.
  • Freeport-McMoRan gained 7.95% after the Chinese government announced stimulus plans. Shareholders are hopeful that more economic activity means more business for the copper miner.
  • Liberty Broadband soared 25.92% thanks to its counterproposal to Charter Communications, asking for a higher payout before an acquisition takes place. Charter shares fell 2.49%.
  • Thor Industries rose 6.18% after the RV company announced stronger-than-expected earnings.

What’s down

  • Visa fell 5.36% as the US government sued it over an alleged debit card monopoly.
  • Regeneron Pharmaceuticals dropped 4.21% due to a federal judge’s ruling that it cannot block a new product from rival pharma company Amgen that mimics its eye-care drug Eylea.

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) added 14.36 points (0.25%) to 5,732.93; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) rose 83.57 points (0.20%) to 42,208.22; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) gained 100.25 points (0.56%) to 18,074.52.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) finished unchanged at 3.74%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) keeps setting new lows for September, dropping to 15.49.

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Boeing offers 30% raise in attempt to end strike. With 30,000 factory workers on strike and 737 production halted for a second week, the embattled aviation company offered to hike wages for union members higher than the original 25% increase over four years they voted to reject.

Seniors could see large increases to their Medicare Advantage costs in 2025 as major changes are underway for prescription plans.

German Chancellor Olaf Scholz warned Italian bank UniCredit against “unfriendly” acts after the bank upped its stake in Germany’s Commerzbank, eclipsing the country as its largest shareholder.

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Elon Musk and Mike Burry MD Speak Out & About Consumer Debt

WARNING – WARNING

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP

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Echoing Elon Musk and my colleague medical Michael Burry MD has warned about American consumers’ debt woes.

Echoing the likes of Tesla’s Elon Musk and “The Big Short” investor Michael Burry, a veteran economist has warned that American households have racked up historic amounts of debt — and the economy will pay the price.

“Consumers are just waking up to the fact that they’re financing their spending by running up their credit cards, and that the interest on those credit cards is over the top, out of control, and off the hook right now,” Carl Weinberg told CNBC. Record credit-card debt threatens to spark a consumer-spending slowdown soon, Carl Weinberg said.

“That’s going to lead to a retrenchment in consumer spending as we get into the new year” the chief economist at High Frequency Economics said. Weinberg expects the US economy to cool but not slide into recession, and he sees inflation fading.

PS: Mike Burry contributed to our 800 page textbook on investing for physicians.

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PODCAST: How Does Medical Debt Impact Your Credit Report?

By Eric Bricker MD

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BITCOIN: “Halving”

BITCOIN MINER HALVING

By Staff Reporters

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DEFINITION: After the network mines 210,000 blocks—roughly every four years—the block chain reward given to Bitcoin miners for processing transactions is cut in half. This event is called halving because it cuts the rate at which new bitcoins are released into circulation in half. This rewards system will continue until about 2140, when the proposed limit of 21 million coins is reached. At that point, miners will be rewarded with fees for processing transactions, which network users will pay. These fees ensure miners are still incentivized to participate and keep the network going.

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And, so, the total value of the world’s most popular cryptocurrency surpassed $1 trillion yesterday for the first time since 2021. The overall crypto market, meanwhile, broke $2 trillion in market cap, fueled by investor confidence. If crypto were a publicly traded company, it would be the fourth-largest in the world behind Microsoft, Apple, and Saudi Aramco.

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HALVING – The quadrennial event, expected to take place today or tomorrow, was built into bitcoin’s original code to cut the amount of new coins going into circulation in half every four years. The purpose is to thwart inflation and increase the currency’s value. Bitcoin’s mysterious creator, Satoshi Nakamoto, designed the crypto so that only 21 million bitcoins would ever exist. It will take about a century to hit that number, but as it approaches the cutoff, the crypto hose slowly constricts. No one’s sure what happens next

Historically, halvings have coincided with big jumps in price—the coin’s first halving in 2012 saw the price jump from $12.35 to $127 within five months, according to Time. But critics argue that the narrative around halving is much stronger than the actual event. Even bitcoin experts aren’t sure what will happen with the volatile asset. It already hit a record high of over $73,750 in March, thanks to the spot bitcoin ETF approval. And, lest we forget, the whole FTX thing happened since the last halving.

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DAILY UPDATE: Apollo, Constellation Energy & the US Health System as S&P 500 Hits New High

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Private equity giant Apollo has offered an investment of up to $5 billion in Intel, a sign of support for its comeback efforts, according to Bloomberg.

Stat: 9 out of 10. That’s where the US healthcare system ranked on efficiency among 10 high-income countries. (Axios)

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What’s up

  • Intel is suddenly looking like the belle of the ball. Shares rose 3.30% after Apollo Global Management reportedly offered to make an investment of up to $5 billion, even as Qualcomm hints it wants to acquire the old school tech giant.
  • Palantir surged 2.02% during its first day of trading on the S&P 500, in spite of a downgrade from a Raymond James analyst.
  • Southwest Airlines ascended 2.03% after management told employees that “tough decisions” lie ahead, implying forthcoming job cuts as the company focuses on profitability.
  • Boeing popped 1.96% on hopes that a labor dispute will be over soon after the company issued its “final” offer to striking machinists, including a 30% raise over the next four years.
  • Tesla revved 4.93% higher thanks to an analyst upgrade from Barclays focused on higher delivery expectations and near-term catalysts like the upcoming Robotaxi event.

What’s down

  • General Motors sank 1.70% after receiving an analyst downgrade from Bernstein citing “earnings headwinds.”
  • Ulta Beauty fell 2.03% thanks to an analyst downgrade from the folks at TD Cowen, who don’t like the rising costs the makeup company will have to pay to stay competitive.
  • Trump Media & Technology Group tumbled to a new all-time low, falling 10.33% as worries arise that former President Donald Trump will sell a portion of his stake in the social media company.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) added 16.02 points (0.28%) to 5,718.57; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) increased 61.29 points (0.15%) to 42,124.65; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) rose 25.94 points (0.14%) to 17,974.27.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX)added one basis point to 3.74%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) fell to 15.82, closing at another new low for September.

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Stat: $1.6 billion. That’s how much Constellation Energy is investing in reopening facilities at nuclear power plant Three Mile Island. The company is restarting the infamous plant to sell power to Microsoft data centers. (CNBC)

Visualize: How private equity tangled banks in a web of debt, from the Financial Times.

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HODL: Crypto-Currency Investing Strategy?

By Staff Reporters

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In the cryptocurrency world, people who HODL are usually inexperienced traders but who have a lot of faith in the future of Bitcoin. These traders believe that one day, Bitcoin will become a mainstream currency with a six-figure value. That is why they can’t risk losing any of their investments for short-term trading gratifications. These traders argue that given Bitcoin’s limited supply, the price will always rise as fewer and fewer coins remain in circulation and more investors and institutions recognize it as a store of value. 

In a nutshell, HODL is now used to describe an investing strategy where investors are discouraged from trading based on short-term price swings. The approach basically stems from the rationale that inexperienced traders are more likely to lose their investment in short-term trading since they cannot correctly read and interpret vital signals. The safest approach for them, therefore, is to simply HODL and wait until their investments become highly profitable when the price goes up.  Hodling can also help traders avoid two common mistakes in the cryptocurrency market. These are: 

  • The Fear of Missing Out (FOMO) that can cause traders to buy high 
  • Fear, Uncertainty, and Doubt (FUD) that can cause traders to sell low, also known as SODling. 

Hodlers believe that cryptocurrencies will someday supplant fiat currencies and become insanely valuable. They, ideally, do not believe in exchanging cryptocurrencies for traditional money. 

There is one popular meme that perfectly captures this maximalist philosophy. The meme is a satirical version of the Matrix Movie where Neo asks Orpheus “ “What are you trying to tell me, that I can trade my bitcoin for millions someday?” and Orpheus responds, “No Neo, I’m trying to tell you that when you’re ready … you won’t have to.”

That, according to Hodlers, means that a time will come when you won’t have to sell your Bitcoin for fiat money because there won’t be any fiat money but only Bitcoin. 

READ MORE: https://trading-education.com/what-is-cryptocurrency-hodling

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INTERVIEW: A Healthcare Financing Solution for Entrepreneurs?

Former: CEO and Founder
Superior Consultant Company, Inc.
[SUPC-NASD]

EDITOR’S NOTE: I first met Rich in B-school, when I was a student, back in the day. He was the Founder and CEO of Superior Consultant Holdings Corp. Rich graciously wrote the Foreword to one of my first textbooks on financial planning for physicians and healthcare professionals. Today, Rich is a successful entrepreneur in the technology, health and finance space.

-Dr. David E. Marcinko MBA MEd CMP®

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Staff & Contributors - CHAMPIONS OF WAYNE

By Richard Helppie

Today for your consideration – How to fix the healthcare financing methods in the United States?

I use the term “methods” because calling what we do now a “system” is inaccurate. I also focus on healthcare financing, because in terms of healthcare delivery, there is no better place in the world than the USA in terms of supply and innovation for medical diagnosis and treatment. Similarly, I use the term healthcare financing to differentiate from healthcare insurance – because insurance without supply is an empty promise.

This is a straightforward, 4-part plan. It is uniquely American and will at last extend coverage to every US citizen while not hampering the innovation and robust supply that we have today. As this is about a Common Bridge and not about ideology or dogma, there will no doubt be aspects of this proposal that every individual will have difficulty with. However, on balance, I believe it is the most fair and equitable way to resolve the impasse on healthcare funding . . . .

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource/Title/0826102549

Let me start in an area sure to raise the ire of a few. And that is, we have to start with eliminating the methods that are in place today. The first is the outdated notion that healthcare insurance is tied to one’s work, and the second is that there are overlapping and competing tax-supported bureaucracies to administer that area of healthcare finance.

Step 1 is to break the link between employment and health insurance. Fastest way to do that is simply tax the cost of benefits for the compensation that it is. This is how company cars, big life insurance policies and other fringe benefits were trimmed. Eliminating the tax-favored treatment of employer-provided healthcare is the single most important change that should be made.

Yes, you will hear arguments that this is an efficient market with satisfied customers. However, upon examination, it is highly risky, unfair, and frankly out of step with today’s job market.

Employer provided health insurance is an artifact from the 1940’s as an answer to wage freezes – an employer could not give a wage increase, but could offer benefits that weren’t taxed. It makes no sense today for a variety of reasons. Here are a few:

1. Its patently unfair. Two people living in the same apartment building, each making the same income and each have employer provided health insurance. Chris in unit 21 has a generous health plan that would be worth $25,000 each year. Pays zero tax on that compensation. Pat, in unit 42 has a skimpy plan with a narrow network, big deductibles and hefty co-pays. The play is worth $9,000 each year. Pat pays zero tax.

3. The insurance pools kick out the aged. Once one becomes too old to work, they are out of the employer plan and on to the retirement plan or over to the taxpayers (Medicare).

4. The structure is a bad fit. Health insurance and healthy living are longitudinal needs over a long period of time. In a time when people change careers and jobs frequently, or are in the gig economy, they are not any one place long enough for the insurance to work like insurance.

5. Creates perverse incentives. The incentives are weighted to have employers not have their work force meet the standards of employees so they don’t have to pay for the health insurance. Witness latest news in California with Uber and Lyft.

6. Incentives to deny claims abound. There is little incentive to serve the subscriber/patient since the likelihood the employer will shop the plan or the employee will change jobs means that stringing out a claim approval is a profitable exercise.

7. Employers have difficulty as purchasers. An employer large enough to supply health insurance has a diverse set of health insurance needs in their work force. They pay a lot of money and their work force is still not 100% happy.

Net of it, health insurance tied to work has outlived its usefulness. Time to end the tax-favored treatment of employer-based insurance. If an employer wants to provide health insurance, they can do it, but the value of that insurance is reflected in the taxable W-2 wages – now Pat and Chris will be treated equally.

Step 2 is to consolidate the multiple tax-supported bureaus that supply healthcare. Relieve the citizens from having to prove they are old enough, disabled enough, impoverished enough, young enough. Combine Medicare, Medicaid, CHIP, Tricare and even possibly the VA into a single bureaucracy. Every American Citizen gets this broad coverage at some level. Everyone pays something into the system – start at $20 a year, and then perhaps an income-adjusted escalator that would charge the most wealthy up to $75,000. Collect the money with a line on Form 1040.

I have not done the exact math. However, removing the process to prove eligibility and having one versus many bureaucracies has to generate savings. Are you a US Citizen? Yes, then here is your base insurance. Like every other nationalized system, one can expect longer waits, fewer referrals to a specialist, and less innovation. These centralized systems all squeeze supply of healthcare services to keep their spend down. The reports extolling their efficiencies come from the people whose livelihoods depend on the centralized system. However, at least everyone gets something. And, for life threatening health conditions, by and large the centralized systems do a decent job. With everyone covered, the fear of medical bankruptcy evaporates. The fear of being out of work and losing healthcare when one needs it most is gone.

So if you are a free market absolutist, then the reduction of vast bureaucracies should be attractive – no need for eligibility requirements (old enough, etc.) and a single administration which is both more efficient, more equitable (everyone gets the same thing). And there remains a private market (more on this in step 3) For those who detest private insurance companies a portion of that market just went away. There is less incentive to purchase a private plan. And for everyone’s sense of fairness, the national plan is funded on ability to pay. Bearing in mind that everyone has to pay something. Less bureaucracies. Everyone in it together. Funded on ability to pay.

Step 3 is to allow and even encourage a robust market for health insurance above and beyond the national plan – If people want to purchase more health insurance, then they have the ability to do so. Which increases supply, relieves burden on the tax-supported system, aligns the US with other countries, provides an alternative to medical tourism (and the associated health spend in our country) and offers a bit of competition to the otherwise monopolistic government plan.

Its not a new concept, in many respects it is like the widely popular Medigap plans that supplement what Medicare does not cover.

No one is forced to make that purchase. Other counties’ experience shows that those who choose to purchase private coverage over and above a national plan often cite faster access, more choice, innovation, or services outside the universal system, e.g., a woman who chooses to have mammography at an early age or with more frequency than the national plan might allow.  If the insurance provider can offer a good value to the price, then they will sell insurance. If they can deliver that value for more than their costs, then they create a profit. Owners of the company, who risk their capital in creating the business may earn a return.

For those of you who favor a free market, the choices are available. There will be necessary regulation to prevent discrimination on genetics, pre-existing conditions, and the like. Buy the type of plan that makes you feel secure – just as one purchases automobile and life insurance.For those who are supremely confident in the absolute performance of a centralized system to support 300+ million Americans in the way each would want, they should like this plan as well – because if the national plan is meeting all needs and no one wants perhaps faster services, then few will purchase the private insurance and the issuers will not have a business. Free choice. More health insurance for those who want it. Competition keeps both national and private plans seeking to better themselves.

Step 4 would be to Permit Access to Medicare Part D to every US Citizen, Immediately

One of the bright spots in the US Healthcare Financing Method is Medicare Part D, which provides prescription drug coverage to seniors. It is running at 95% subscriber satisfaction and about 40% below cost projections.

Subscribers choose from a wide variety of plans offered by private insurance companies. There are differences in formularies, co-pays, deductibles and premiums.

So there you have it, a four part plan that would maintain or increase the supply of healthcare services, universal insurance coverage, market competition, and lower costs. Its not perfect but I believe a vast improvement over what exists today. To recap:

1. Break the link between employment and healthcare insurance coverage, by taxing the benefits as the compensation they are.

2. Establish a single, universal plan that covers all US citizens paid for via personal income taxes on an ability-to-pay basis.  Eliminate all the other tax-funded plans in favor of this new one.

3. For those who want it, private, supplemental insurance to the national system, ala major industrialized nations.

4. Open Medicare Part D (prescription drugs) to every US citizen. Today.

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HOSPITALS: https://www.amazon.com/Financial-Management-Strategies-Healthcare-Organizations/dp/1466558733/ref=sr_1_3?ie=UTF8&qid=1380743521&sr=8-3&keywords=david+marcinko

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HEALTHCARE: https://www.amazon.com/Hospitals-Healthcare-Organizations-Management-Operational/dp/1439879907/ref=sr_1_4?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1334193619&sr=1-4

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DAILY UPDATE: FTC Insulin Prices, Open AI Funding, Disney Slack Hack and Private Equity Banks

MEDICAL EXECUTIVE-POST TODAY’S NEWSLETTER BRIEFING

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Essays, Opinions and Curated News in Health Economics, Investing, Business, Management and Financial Planning for Physician Entrepreneurs and their Savvy Advisors and Consultants

Serving Almost One Million Doctors, Financial Advisors and Medical Management Consultants Daily

A Partner of the Institute of Medical Business Advisors , Inc.

http://www.MedicalBusinessAdvisors.com

SPONSORED BY: Marcinko & Associates, Inc.

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The Federal Trade Commission hit the three largest companies that negotiate drug prices with a lawsuit claiming they’ve artificially inflated the cost of insulin for patients. The companies—UnitedHealth Group’s Optum Rx, CVS Health’s Caremark, and Cigna’s Express Scripts—together administer ~80% of all US prescriptions, the agency said. The suit alleges they increased profits by steering patients toward higher-priced insulin with bigger rebates so they could pocket the cash that drug companies gave back.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource

OpenAI has so many interested investors it’ll have to turn some away from an expected $6.5 billion funding round that values the company at $150 billion.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

Disney employees will have to stop using Slack in the wake of a hack that leaked the company’s chat logs.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/tj8smmes

Visualize: How private equity tangled banks in a web of debt, from the Financial Times.

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Individuals Working in Health Care Management Rose by 63.8%

By Staff Reporters

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Individuals Working in Care Management Rose by 63.8% Nearly 100 entities responded to the Sixth Annual Survey of Healthcare Consumer Engagement Practices. According to the survey: 

•  65.8% of respondents reported that member experience was within the scope of their role in 2021:
 •  40.5% of respondents indicated their role included some responsibility for on-boarding and retention
 •  Individuals working in care management rose by 63.8%
 •  Individuals working in digital transformation rose by 50.4%
 •  Individuals working in population health grew by 47.1%
Source: Engagys, December 16, 2021
CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource/Title/082610254

Related: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2018/02/28/growth-of-physicians-and-administrators-1970-2009/

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CASH FLOW ANALYSIS: Real Life ACO Accounting Example

ACCOUNTABLE CARE ORGANIZATION EXAMPLE

Touring with Marcinko | The Leading Business Education ...

BY DR. DAVID EDWARD MARCINKO MBA MEd CMP®

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SPONSOR: http://www.CertifiedMedicalPlanner.org

What is an ACO?

ACOs are groups of doctors, hospitals, and other health care providers, who come together voluntarily to give coordinated high-quality care to their Medicare patients. The goal of coordinated care is to ensure that patients get the right care at the right time, while avoiding unnecessary duplication of services and preventing medical errors.

When an ACO succeeds both in delivering high-quality care and spending health care dollars more wisely, the ACO will share in the savings it achieves for the Medicare program.

Citation: https://www.r2library.com/Resource/Title/0826102549

Case Model

Now, suppose that in a new Accountable Care Organization [ACO] contract, a certain medical practice was awarded a new global payment or capitation styled contract that increased revenues by $100,000 for the next fiscal year. The practice had a gross margin of 35% that was not expected to change because of the new business. However, $10,000 was added to medical overhead expenses for another assistant and all Account’s Receivable (AR) are paid at the end of the year, upon completion of the contract.

Cost of Medical Services Provided (COMSP):

The Costs of Medical Services Provided (COMSP) for the ACO business contract represents the amount of money needed to service the patients provided by the contract.  Since gross margin is 35% of revenues, the COMSP is 65% or $65,000.  Adding the extra overhead results in $75,000 of new spending money (cash flow) needed to treat the patients. Therefore, divide the $75,000 total by the number of days the contract extends (one year) and realize the new contract requires about $ 205.50 per day of free cash flows.

Assumptions

Financial cash flow forecasting from operating activities allows a reasonable projection of future cash needs and enables the doctor to err on the side of fiscal prudence. It is an inexact science, by definition, and entails the following assumptions:

  • All income tax, salaries and Accounts Payable (AP) are paid at once.
  • Durable medical equipment inventory and pre-paid advertising remain constant.
  • Gains/losses on sale of equipment and depreciation expenses remain stable.
  • Gross margins remain constant.
  • The office is efficient so major new marginal costs will not be incurred.

Physician Reactions:

Since many physicians are still not entirely comfortable with global reimbursement, fixed payments, capitation or ACO reimbursement contracts; practices may be loath to turn away short-term business in the ACA era.  Physician-executives must then determine other methods to generate the additional cash, which include the following general suggestions:

1. Extend Account’s Payable

Discuss your cash flow difficulties with vendors and emphasize their short-term nature. A doctor and her practice still has considerable cache’ value, especially in local communities, and many vendors are willing to work them to retain their business

2. Reduce Accounts Receivable

According to most cost surveys, about 30% of multi-specialty group’s accounts receivable (ARs) are unpaid at 120 days. In addition, multi-specialty groups are able to collect on only about 69% of charges. The rest was written off as bad debt expenses or as a result of discounted payments from Medicare and other managed care companies. In a study by Wisconsin based Zimmerman and Associates, the percentages of ARs unpaid at more than 90 days is now at an all time high of more than 40%. Therefore, multi-specialty groups should aim to keep the percentage of ARs unpaid for more than 120 days, down to less than 20% of the total practice. The safest place to be for a single specialty physician is probably in the 30-35% range as anything over that is just not affordable.

The slowest paid specialties (ARs greater than 120 days) are: multi-specialty group practices; family practices; cardiology groups; anesthesiology groups; and gastroenterologists, respectively. So work hard to get your money, faster. Factoring, or selling the ARs to a third party for an immediate discounted amount is not usually recommended.

3. Borrow with Short-Term Bridge Loans

Obtain a line of credit from your local bank, credit union or other private sources, if possible in an economically constrained environment. Beware the time value of money, personal loan guarantees, and onerous usury rates. Also, beware that lenders can reduce or eliminate credit lines to a medical practice, often at the most inopportune time.

4. Cut Expenses

While this is often possible, it has to be done without demoralizing the practice’s staff.

5.  Reduce Supply Inventories

If prudently possible; remember things like minimal shipping fees, loss of revenue if you run short, etc.

6. Taxes

Do not stop paying withholding taxes in favor of cash flow because it is illegal.

Hyper-Growth Model:

Now, let us again suppose that the practice has attracted nine more similar medical contracts. If we multiple the above example tenfold, the serious nature of potential cash flow problem becomes apparent. In other words, the practice has increased revenues to one million dollars, with the same 35% margin, 65% COMSP and $100,000 increase in operating overhead expenses.  Using identical mathematical calculations, we determine that $750,000 / 365days equals $2,055.00 per day of needed new free cash flows!  Hence, indiscriminate growth without careful contract evaluation and cash flow analysis is a prescription for potential financial disaster.

ASSESSMENT: Your comments are appreciated.

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KITCHEN SINK: Stock Market Disclosures

By Staff Reporters

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Technavio has announced its latest market research report titled Kitchen Sinks Market by End-user and Geography – Forecast and Analysis 2022-2026

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Kitchen Sink stock market disclosures are a communication technique commonly used by political parties, public companies and businesses, although it’s not so well known by the public. The idea is to release all of your bad news at the same time rather than creating a drip-drip effect over an extended period of time.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource

Steven Barnett, professor of communications at the University of Westminster, says it’s used by organizations when they have some really shocking news they know they are not going to get away with burying. “You’re saying: ‘Let’s just sweep up every piece of bad news we’ve got, put it all in one place, take all of the flak and deal with it at the same time'”. “When you’re announcing the worst figures in your corporate history, you know it’s never going to be a page two story.”

It’s the opposite of the “dead cat” strategy where you distract people from something that is garnering a lot of attention. The idea being that, by placing a dead cat on the table, you make people look in a different direction.

CITE: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2022/09/29/what-is-a-dead-cat-bounce/

“If you know that you have pretty appalling news, it makes absolute sense to get it all out at the same time because the speed and intensity of the news cycle demands that the agenda moves on so you know you’ll be out of the spotlight within 48 hours.”

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“ENTERPRISE METAVERSE” Innovation and Entrepreneurship

WHAT IS IT?

On an earnings call last year Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella said the term “enterprise metaverse.”

By [Avatar] Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA

DEFINITION: The Metaverse is a collective virtual shared space, created by the convergence of virtually enhanced physical reality and physically persistent virtual space, including the sum of all virtual worlds, augmented reality, and the Internet.

The word “metaverse” is made up of the prefix “meta” (meaning beyond) and the stem “verse” (a back formation from “universe“); the term is typically used to describe the concept of a future iteration of the internet, made up of persistent, shared, 3D virtual spaces linked into a perceived virtual universe.

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