BIAS: Of “Social Proof” and Influencers

INVESTING DEFINITION

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd

SPONSOR: http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com

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Social Proof is a subtle but powerful reality that having others agree with a decision one makes, gives that person more conviction in the decision, and having others disagree decreases one’s confidence in that decision. 

This bias is even more exaggerated when the other parties providing the validating/questioning opinions are perceived to be experts in a relevant field, or are authority figures, like doctors, attorneys, financial advisors, teachers and/or people on television.  In many ways, the short term moves in the stock market are the ultimate expression of social proof – the price of a stock one owns going up is proof that a lot of other people agree with the decision to buy, and a dropping stock price means a stock should be sold. 

According to colleague Dan Ariely PhD, when these stressors become extreme, it is of paramount importance that all participants in the financial planning and investing process have a clear understanding of what the long-term goals are, and what processes are in place to monitor the progress towards these goals. 

Without these mechanisms it is very hard to resist the enormous pressure to follow the crowd; think social media and related influences.

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Convertible Securities, Bonds and Corporate Securities

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd

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Convertible securities are those that can be converted at the investor’s choice into other investments, normally into shares of the issuer’s underlying common stock. Convertibles are typically issued as bonds or preferred stock.

Convertible bonds, which provide an ongoing stream of income, can be converted into a preset number of shares of the company’s common stock and have a maturity date. Unlike common stock, which pays a variable dividend depending on a corporation’s earnings, convertible preferred stock pays a fixed quarterly dividend. It can be converted into common stock at any time, but often are perpetual.

Corporate securities (corporate bonds and notes) are debt instruments issued by corporations, as distinct from those issued by governments, government agencies, or municipalities.

Corporate securities typically have the following features: 1) they are taxable, 2) they tend to have more credit (default) risk than government or municipal securities, so they tend to have higher yields than comparable-maturity securities in those sectors; and 3) they are traded on major exchanges, with prices published in newspapers.

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DAILY UPDATE: Healthcare Private Equity Prominent as Stocks Go Down

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Private equity (PE) dollars have become prominent in the US healthcare industry in recent decades, with PE firms now owning roughly 8% of all private hospitals in the country, according to nonprofit Private Equity Stakeholder Project. But studies have illustrated the financial model’s potential adverse effects, such one published in JAMA in December 2023 that found PE-owned hospitals are 25.4% more likely to report patient complications. Others have found that PE-owned healthcare companies represented more than one-fifth of healthcare company bankruptcies in 2023 and that PE-owned hospitals see their assets drop an average of 24% following an acquisition.

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STOCKS UP

Tapestry, parent company of luxury brands like Coach and Kate Spade, and Capri, parent company of luxury brands like Versace and Jimmy Choo, have announced they will mutually terminate their planned merger. Tapestry popped 12.80%, while Capri rose 4.43%.

  • Speaking of luxury brands, Burberry soared 18.04% after its CEO announced a turnaround plan designed to halt the company’s recent decline.
  • Semiconductor maker ASML plummeted last month on a profit warning, but rose 2.90% today on reassurances that it’s still on track to meet its 2030 revenue forecasts.

STOCKS DOWN

  • Super Micro Computer fell yet another 11.41% as it nears the November 16 deadline to report fiscal year earnings or be delisted from the Nasdaq.
  • Trump Media & Technology Group dropped 6.71% as investors digested news that company insiders are shedding shares, as well as in reaction to a number of President-elect Trump’s cabinet appointments.
  • Hims & Hers Health tumbled 24.46% on the news that Amazon is getting into the telehealth game, offering Prime members fixed prices on treatments for hair loss and erectile dysfunction.
  • Ibotta is a cashback rewards company, but its shareholders may want their cash back. The company beat on top and bottom line estimates last quarter, but the win wasn’t good enough, and shares sank 12.55%.

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) fell 36.21 points (–0.60%) to 5,949.17; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) lost 207.33 points (–0.47%) to 43,750.86; and the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) dropped 123.07 points (–0.64%) to 19,107.65. 
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield fell three basis points to 4.42%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) edged up to 14.17.

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Visualize: How private equity tangled banks in a web of debt, from the Financial Times.

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FINANCIAL YIELDS: All About Fixed Income Securities

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™

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Yield: For bonds and other fixed-income securities, yield is a rate of return on those securities. There are several types of yields and yield calculations. “Yield to maturity” is a common calculation for fixed-income securities, which takes into account total annual interest payments, the purchase price, the redemption value, and the amount of time remaining until maturity.

Yield curve: A line graph showing the yields of fixed income securities from a single sector (such as Treasuries or municipals), but from a range of different maturities (typically three months to 30 years), at a single point in time (often at month-, quarter- or year-end). Maturities are plotted on the x-axis of the graph, and yields are plotted on the y-axis. The resulting line is a key bond market benchmark and a leading economic indicator.

Yield to maturity [real yield to maturity]: Yield to maturity is a common performance calculation for fixed-income securities, which takes into account total annual interest payments, the purchase price, the redemption value, and the amount of time remaining until maturity. Real yield to maturity is simply yield to maturity minus any “inflation premium” that had been added/priced in. (See Real yield.)

Yield ratio: A ratio of one yield divided by another. Most often used as a relative value measurement.

Yield spread: A “spread,” in fixed income parlance, is simply a difference. Yield spreads measure yield differences, typically between debt securities with high credit ratings (which typically have lower yields) and those with lower ratings (which typically have higher yields). Yield spreads can also be measured between debt securities with different maturities (shorter-maturity securities typically have lower yields and longer-maturity securities typically have higher yields).

Yield trap: An investment that can lure investors with an attractive yield that may not be fundamentally sustainable, or that may lead to undesired price volatility. Yield traps can lurk in both the equity and fixed income markets. They have a tendency to prey on those who can least afford them, including retirement investors looking for increased relative income and stability, who may have been too focused on their income goals and not enough on stability.

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DAILY UPDATE: Bitcoin Fog as Chegg the DJIA and NASDAQ Drop

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The operator of the longest-running money laundering machine in dark web history, Bitcoin Fog, has been sentenced to 12 years and six months in US prison. Roman Sterlingov, 36, a Russian-Swedish national, was also ordered to repay more than half a billion dollars accrued from the cryptocurrency mixing service that he ran for a decade between 2011 and 2021.

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Stocks Up

  • r Elliott Investment Management is at it again, this time with a $5 billion stake in industrial conglomerate Honeywell. Shares gained 3.87% on the news.
  • Shopify announced its ninth consecutive quarter of beating analyst revenue expectations, pushing shares up 21.04%.
  • Bad news is good news: 40% of the workforce at 23andMe is getting laid off to cut costs. Shareholders cheered, and shares climbed 2.17%.
  • Where’s the beef? Tyson Foods popped 6.55% after announcing strong earnings thanks to higher beef and chicken prices last quarter.
  • Sentinel One climbed 2.01% after Deutsche Bank analysts upgraded the cybersecurity stock from “hold” to “buy,” noting it should profit from CrowdStrike’s outage earlier this year.

Stocks Down

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) fell 17.36 points (–0.29%) to 5,983.99; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) lost 382.15 points (–0.86%) to 43,910.98; and the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) decreased 17.36 points (–0.09%) to 19,281.40.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield added 12 basis points to 4.43%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) fell to 14.81, unusual on a day when stocks lost ground.

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Chegg is on the verge of collapse. Its stock is down 99% since 2021, the Wall Street Journal reported, wiping out nearly $15 billion in market value.

Visualize: How private equity tangled banks in a web of debt, from the Financial Times.

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DAILY UPDATE: About the Markets

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The S&P 500 closed above 6,000 for the first time. Chips fell on China trade tension. The US dollar rose. Treasuries were closed.

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  •  The SPX rose 5.81 points (0.10%) to 6,001.35; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) added 304.14 points (0.69%) to 44,293.13, a new all-time closing high; and the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) gained 11.99 points (0.06%) to 19,298.76.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) didn’t trade today due to the Veterans Day holiday.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) inched up to 15.05. 

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DAILY UPDATE: SPX Ends Just Short of 6,000

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Stocks up

  • In another daily double-digit swing, Trump Media & Technology Group jumped 15.22% after President-elect Trump announced he has no plans to sell shares of his social media company.
  • Toast isn’t just for breakfast anymore—it’s also a restaurant software company that’s making money hand over fist. Shares popped 14.93% on strong earnings news.
  • Axon Enterprise climbed 28.68% to a new all-time high thanks to an impressive quarter for the law enforcement technology company.
  • Upstart started up and stayed there, soaring 46.02% after the AI lending marketplace beat-and-raised analyst estimates last quarter.
  • Unless you’re a medical professional, you’ve probably never heard of digital platform Doximity, but doctors love it. Shares surged 34.06% on a stronger-than-expected quarter.

Stocks down

  • Pinterest plummeted after the social media site announced slowing user growth combined with lower ad pricing, a one-two combo that sent shares tumbling 14%.
  • Airbnb may have beaten revenue expectations, but shareholders punished it for missing on earnings estimates last quarter. Shares fell 8.66%.
  • Sweetgreen sank 6.01% after the fast casual eatery fell short of analyst estimates last quarter and Goldman Sachs lowered its rating from “buy” to “neutral.”
  • Redfin plunged 15.62% after it announced lower earnings than analysts expected, cut its forecasts, and revealed it’s losing ground to competitors.

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The SPX rose 22.44 points (0.38%) to 5,995.54 to end the week up 4.66%; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) added 259.65 points (0.59%) to 43,988.99 to end the week up 4.61%; and the NASDAQ Composite®($COMP) climbed 17.31 points (0.09%) to 19,286.78 to end the week up 5.74%.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) fell four basis points to 4.31%, but the 2-year yield added three basis points to 4.25%. Shorter-term yields, which are more closely connected to near-term rate policy, gained on longer-term ones this week.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) fell to 14.99, near a two-month low.

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Visualize: How private equity tangled banks in a web of debt, from the Financial Times.

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INVESTING NEWS: Stocks, Bonds, Oil, Gold, Bitcoin and Sectors Review Post Election

By Staff Reporters

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BREAKING NEWS!

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  • Stocks surged and stayed higher all yesterday day on news of Donald Trump’s presidential victory. The Dow rocketed over 1,350 points as soon as markets opened, and all three indexes ended the day at record highs.
  • Treasury yields have paralleled Trump’s chances of taking the White House for the last few weeks, and his election sent them soaring to over 4.46% at one point today.
  • Oil and gold both fell as the dollar rose after Trump’s win. The greenback popped on the promise of Trump’s protectionist tariff policies and the lower likelihood of the Fed cutting interest rates as fast as previously expected.
  • Bitcoin surged as traders celebrated the beginning of the new, friendlier regulatory environment that Trump promised during his campaign.

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Sector check-up

  • Financials were the biggest sector mover Wednesday, up 6.16%, hitting a new high.
  • Industrials were up 3.93% Wednesday, hitting a new high.
  • Energy was up 3.54% in the session. It’s now 4.28% from the April high.
  • Real Estate fell 2.64% during trading. It’s now 5.6% from the high. 
  • Consumer Staples fell 1.5%. The sector is 5.76% from the September high.
  • Utilities fell 1%. It’s now 5.72% from the mid-October high.
  • Duke Energy was flat over the past three months, and it is 6.3% from the October high.

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DAILY UPDATE: CVS Splits as Stocks Down in Slow Session

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Among consideration for CVS is splitting up its assets: CVS Pharmacy, pharmacy benefit manager CVS Caremark, and insurance arm Aetna. The company has reportedly been in talks with bankers about the move, Reuters reported early this month.

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STOCKS UP

  • Just as Nvidia will replace Intel, Sherwin Williams will replace Dow Inc. on the Dow (how embarrassing, getting kicked off an index you share a name with). Sherwin Williams popped 4.59%, while Dow Inc. fell 2.08%.
  • Chewy is also getting added to an index, replacing Stericycle on the MidCap 400. Shares rose 6.34%.
  • Peloton pedaled 3.59% higher on a double upgrade from Bank of America analysts, who like the bike company’s higher profit outlook and hiring of new CEO Peter Stern from Ford.
  • Yum! China, the company that operates Pizza Hut and KFC restaurants in China, climbed 7.12% after announcing that new store openings translated into better-than-expected revenue and earnings last quarter.

STOCKS DOWN

Nuclear energy stocks took a big hit today after the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission ruled that Talen Energy could not increase the amount of energy its nuclear plant in Susquehanna, PA, produces in order to power an Amazon data center. Talen fell 2.23%, Vistra Corp sank 3.18%, and Constellation Energy plummeted 12.46%.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) dipped 16.11 points (–0.28%) to 5,712.69; the $DJI dropped 257.59 points (–0.61%) to 41,794.60; and the $COMP lost 59.93 points (–0.33%) to 18,179.98.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) fell five basis points to 4.31%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX)edged up to 22.11, still below last week’s peaks.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/tj8smmes

Visualize: How private equity tangled banks in a web of debt, from the Financial Times.

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DAILY UPDATE: Ford, Peloton and Starbucks as Stocks Climb

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Ford paused production of its F-150 Lightning electric truck from mid-November to early January as demand for the once-coveted EV dwindles.

Peloton named Peter Stern, the co-founder of Apple Fitness+, as its next CEO.

Starbucks is bringing back Sharpied names on cups for the first time in four years as new CEO Brian Niccol tries to shake up the struggling coffee chain.

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STOCKS UP

  • Boeing offered striking machinists yet another new contract offer, including a 38% pay raise over the next four years. The union will vote on the contract on Monday. Shares climbed 3.54%.
  • Avis Budget motored 10.92% higher despite missing forecasts on both earnings and revenue. Shareholders celebrated the rental car company’s strong growth expectations from management and took advantage of a cheap valuation.
  • Globalstar rocketed 32.38% after the satellite communications company announced an expanded deal with Apple.
  • Charter Communications soared 11.87% after losing fewer subscribers than expected, which is like a back-handed compliment in the investing world.

STOCKS DOWN

  • Trump Media & Technology Group remains on the roller coaster, falling another 13.53% today as early exit polls show Vice President Kamala Harris with a lead in several key states.
  • Wayfair may have met earnings expectations last quarter, but the online home goods retailer also lost customers and fulfilled fewer orders. Shares fell 6.26%.
  • Super Micro Computer continued to sell off after the resignation of its financial auditor, an almost-sure sign of fraud. Shares sank another 10.51%.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) rose 23.35 (0.41%) to 5,728.80 to end the week down 1.37%; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) added 288.73 points (0.69%) to 42,052.19 to end the week down 0.15%; and the NASDAQ Composite®($COMP) gained 144.76 points (0.80%) to 18,239.92 to end the week down 1.50%.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) climbed eight points to 4.36%, the highest since early July.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX)remained elevated at 21.88.

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Visualize: How private equity tangled banks in a web of debt, from the Financial Times.

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MOST VALUABLE: Stocks, Economic Indicators and Markets

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The five most valuable US companies in the S&P 500 report earnings this week, and updates on three key economic indicators are set to be released: 1. gross domestic product, 2. inflation, and 3. jobs report. Then, next week brings the election and another expected rate cut from the Federal Reserve.

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  • Markets: All three stock indexes rose to start a week that will be filled with high-stakes data.
  • Stock spotlight: Trump Media & Technology Group gained almost 22% on Monday, following the former president and current GOP candidate’s Madison Square Garden rally. The rose means that Trump Media, which includes Truth Social, is now more valuable than Elon Musk’s X.

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DAILY UPDATE: Health-Care’s Future as Stocks Climb

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Healthcare’s future as HSBC Innovation Banking collaborated with LINUS and HLTH to help prepare the healthcare ecosystem for the future. The Health 2035 report goes in depth with discussions between visionaries in the ecosystem and studies of young physicians’ forecasts for what the state of care will be in the year 2035. Download the report.

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Stocks Up

  • Trump Media & Technology Group soared 21.59% following a major rally at Madison Square Garden, an appearance on Joe Rogan’s podcast, and rising chances of winning the election. Fun fact: After this latest stock surge, Trump Media is now worth almost as much as social media network X.
  • Nio surged 10.46% thanks to an upgrade from Macquerie, whose analysts believe that the EV startup could see strong growth from new vehicle launches next year.
  • Spotify has earned a spot on Wells Fargo’s top pick playlist, with analysts confident the stock could rise over 20%. Shares rose 1.27%.
  • Lower oil prices hurt energy stock, but are a big boost for companies that spend a lot on fuel. Carnival Corp rose 4.83%, Royal Caribbean Cruises climbed 1.35%, and American Airlines popped 3.42%.

Stocks Down

  • Philips floundered 15.95% after the Dutch consumer goods manufacturer missed on earnings and lowered its full-year forecast.
  • Boeing continued to fall yet another 2.79%, this time on the news that it is raising $19 billion through a stock offering in the hopes that it fends off a credit rating downgrade.
  • Oil stocks took a beating thanks to a big decline for crude prices. Diamondback Energy fell 3.36%, APA Corp. dropped 4.51%, Exxon Mobil sank 0.49%, and BP lost 1.48%.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX)rose15.40points (0.27%) to 5,823.52; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) added 273.17 points (0.65%) to 42,387.57; and the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) gained 48.58 points (0.26%) to 18,567.19.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) climbed six basis points to 4.29%, the highest close since July 9.
  • The VIX fell to 19.53.

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Visualize: How private equity tangled banks in a web of debt, from the Financial Times.

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CORPORATE EARNINGS: Quarterly Reports

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Peak earnings season: Five of the Magnificent Seven Stocks will be among the 181 companies reporting their earnings this week. Alphabet is in the Mag Seven lead-off spot on Tuesday, Microsoft and Meta step to the plate on Wednesday, and Apple and Amazon rounding out the lineup and this baseball metaphor on Thursday. These companies account for almost 25% of the S&P 500, which is up 40% over the past year and not far off its record closing number from earlier this month. But, the approaching election, it could be a volatile week in the stock markets.

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  • Markets: Stocks are currently driving the narrative on Wall Street. Last week, bonds sold off in a big way (driving yields to their highest level since July) in a sign investors are dialing back expectations of more aggressive rate cuts from the Federal Reserve.
  • Stocks nevertheless handled the bond volatility with aplomb, and with help from Tesla’s 22% one-day rise, the NASDAQ is sitting within 2% of its record high.

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Challenging Investment Rules and Key Investor Traits

By Vitaliy Katenselson CFA

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Today, we’re diving into two thought-provoking questions:

1. What’s a famous investment rule I don’t agree with?
2. Which key characteristics should a good investor have?

1. A Famous Investment Rule I Don’t Agree With: “Buy and Hold”

Buy and hold becomes a religion during bull markets. Then, holding a stock because you bought it is often rewarded through higher and higher valuations. There’s a Pavlovian bull market reinforcement – every time you don’t sell (hold) a stock, it goes higher.

Buying is a decision. So is holding, but it should not be a religion but a decision. The value of any company is the present value of its cash flows. When the present value of cash flows (per share) is less than the price of the stock, the stock should not be “held” but sold.

Warren Buffett is looked upon as the deity of buy and hold.

Look at Coca Cola when it hit $40 in 1999. Its earnings power at the time was about $0.80. It was trading at 50 times earnings. It was significantly overvalued, considering that most of the growth for this company was in the past.

Fast-forward almost a quarter of a century – literally a generation. Today the stock is at $60. It took more than a decade to reclaim its 1999 high. Today, Coke’s earnings power is around $1.50–1.90. Earnings have stagnated for over a decade. If you did not sell the stock in 1999, you collected some dividends, not a lot but some. The stock is still trading at 30–40x earnings. Unless they discover that Coke cures diabetes (not causes it), its earnings will not move much. It’s a mature business with significant health headwinds against it.

“Long-term” and “buy-and-hold” investing are often confused.

People should not own stocks unless they have a long-term time horizon. Long-term investing is an attitude, an analytical approach. When you build a discounted cash flow model, you are looking decades ahead. However, this doesn’t mean that you should stop analyzing the company’s valuation and fundamentals after you buy the stock, as they may change and affect your expected return. After you put in a lot of analytical work and buy the stock, you should not simply switch off your brain and become a mindless buy-and-hold investor.

This doesn’t mean you shouldn’t be patient, which I’ll discuss next; but holding, not selling, a stock is a decision.

2. Key Characteristics of a Good Investor

I’m going to sound a bit more preachy than usual, but it’s very difficult to answer this question in any other way.

You need three Ps – passion, patience, process.

Passion

Investing is not a 9-to-5 job; it’s a 24/7 adventure. Unlike flipping burgers or processing insurance claims, where you can clock in at 9 AM, fall into a stupor, and then reawaken at 5 PM when you clock out.

This should be your test: If you catch yourself treating investing as a 9-to-5 job, then you have little passion for it.

If this is the case, don’t do it (this probably applies to any choice of a profession). You don’t stand a chance against people for whom investing is a never-ending puzzle to be solved on their life’s journey. All of my investment friends are dripping with passion for investing; they are obsessed with it. None of them are in it only for the money.

You won’t last long in this profession if you’re not passionate about stocks.

Patience


Investing is like real life – the connection between effort and result is nonlinear. It is very loose.

You may be making all of the right rational decisions: You are buying stocks that lie within your EQ/IQ spectrum, and they are significantly undervalued, but the market simply doesn’t care. It just keeps sending your stocks down. To make things even more frustrating, while your stocks are declining, speculators who treat the stock market as a craps table at Caesars Palace are killing it, making money hand over fist. It’s painful. It is excruciatingly painful if you have the wrong client base.

This is where patience comes in. My father told me this story, which happened right before I was born.

My family lived in Murmansk, a city 125 miles north of the Arctic Circle in northwest Russia. My mom went to give birth to my brothers and me in Saratov, a city in central Russia, about 1200 miles from Murmansk. She wanted to be closer to her parents. My father could not leave work, so he stayed in Murmansk.

A few weeks before I was born, he went to visit his best friend, Alexander. He told him that he was worried about my mom and the birth. His friend told him something that I remember to this day (with a chuckle): “Naum, you did your part; you cannot go back and correct what you did. Now you just have to wait.”

Investing is patience punctuated by decisions.

As the French mathematician Blaise Pascal said, “All of humanity’s problems stem from man’s inability to sit quietly in a room alone.”

One more thought here: I try to take the temperature of my emotions and the mental activity of my brain. When I find myself overheating, with the stock market occupying my entire brain, I forcibly disconnect and unplug myself from it. The quality of my thoughts and decisions when my brain is overheating is likely to be low. So, I go for a walk in the park, read a fiction book, go see a movie, or visit an art museum.

Process


Managing someone else’s money is an incredible responsibility, which you may not fully appreciate during bull markets. But sideways and bear markets will remind you quickly.

I don’t want to over-glorify what we do – we are not curing cancer or saving people from burning buildings. But IMA clients entrust us with their life savings and tell me, “Vitaliy, please don’t screw it up.”

My decisions may determine whether our clients get to retire, pay for their medical expenses, or help their kids buy houses.

Staying rational when the world around you is melting up with greed or melting down in fear isn’t a capacity that one accidentally stumbles upon. You engineer it through a series of small, repeatable decisions – your investment process.

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DAILY UPDATE: UnitedHealth, PBMs, Walgreens and Edmunds as Stock Climb

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UnitedHealth posted $6 billion in profit and $100 billion in revenue, but the company’s stock is dipping this morning.


Walgreens is closing 1,200 stores by 2027 and a net loss of $3 billion, though the company beat Wall Street’s expectations.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource

Stocks Up

  • Chip stocks recovered lost ground today thanks to a strong earnings report from TSMC (more on that below). Nvidia led the group higher, rising 0.89% to yet another new all-time high.
  • Blackstone rose 6.30% to a new record high after the world’s largest alternative asset manager reported an excellent quarter.
  • Expedia popped 4.75% after a report by the Financial Times revealed that Uber had explored an acquisition of the travel site. Expedia shareholders cheered the news, while Uber shares sank 2.45%.

Stocks Down

  • Robinhood fell 2.27% after announcing its new Legend trading platform geared specifically toward advanced traders.
  • Lucid Group plummeted 17.99% on the news that the EV automaker is offering over 262 million shares of its common stock in an attempt to raise funds.
  • CSX dropped 6.71% after missing both top- and bottom-line estimates last quarter thanks in no small part to hurricanes Helene and Milton.
  • Health insurance stocks took a beating today due to a not-great earnings report from Elevance Health (more on that below, too). Centene Corp. fell 9.09%, while Molina Healthcare tumbled 12.55%.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) slipped 1.00point (–0.02%) to 5,841.47; the $DJI added 161.35 points (0.37%) to 43,239.05; and the NASDAQ Composite®($COMP) rose 6.53 points (0.04%) to 18,373.61. 
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) climbed eight basis points to 4.1%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) sank to 18.97 by late Thursday, a two-week low.

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The average amount owed on “upside down” auto loans, in which the balance is more than the car is worth, hit a record high of $6,458 in the third quarter, according to Edmunds, a site that helps consumers research and buy cars

Diabetes advocates have officially joined the fight against pharmacy benefit managers (PBMs).

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DAILY UPDATE: Life Span, Earnings Reports, Oil, Gold and Bitcoin with Closing Stock Highs

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Maximum lifespans. The upper limit of human life expectancy is leveling out, according to a new study published in the journal Nature Aging. Back in 1990, life-extending tech and health measures were increasing the average global lifespan by about 2.5 years per decade, but that dropped to 1.5 years per decade in the 2010s and closer to zero in the US, where there are more drug overdoses, shootings, and medical care inequities.

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  • Stocks kicked off the first full week of earnings season at full throttle. The S&P 500 rose to a new intraday record, the Dow closed above 43,000 for the first time ever, and the NASDAQ climbed steadily throughout the trading session.
  • Bitcoin soared on the news of China’s additional stimulus spending that broke this weekend. Although the Chinese government’s plans are light on details at the moment, the promise of more support for the world’s second largest economy was enough to get crypto traders hyped.

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  • Interestingly enough, those same promises of Chinese stimulus sent oil tumbling to start the day. The selling was exacerbated by OPEC’s announcement that crude demand will fall lower than expected in 2024 and 2025.
  • Gold sank a hair today as traders weighed Chinese stimulus against a stronger dollar.

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) rose44.82points (0.77%) to 5,859.85, a new closing high; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) increased 201.36 points (0.47%) to 43,065.22, also a new closing high; and the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) added 159.74 points (0.87%) to 18,502.69.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) did not trade today due to the holiday. 
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) slipped to 19.9, its first drop below 20 since October 4.

A slate of corporate earnings reports coming from Goldman Sachs, Bank of America, and Citigroup in the financial sector, along with healthcare giants Johnson & Johnson, Walgreens, and UnitedHealth. And throughout the week: Morgan Stanley will report on Wednesday, Netflix reports on Thursday, and Procter & Gamble and American Express drop their financials on Friday. It’ll pose a big test for the stock market’s $8 trillion rally this year.

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COLUMBUS DAY 2024: Stocks, Bonds, Gold & Oil

By Staff Reporters

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U.S. stock markets, including the New York Stock Exchange and the NASDAQ remain open and follow a regular schedule today.

The bond markets will be closed, however.

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  • Stocks ended last week on a high note, closing out their fifth straight week of gains. The Dow was pushed to yet another new all-time high by strong earnings from JPMorgan, while the S&P 500 was in the green and rose to its own record close, and the NASDAQ clawed its way out of the red by early Friday afternoon.
  • Bond yields took a breather, falling below 4.1% thanks to a better-than-expected PPI report that helped offset inflation fears that had re-arisen after a worse-than-expected CPI report.
  • Gold rose as well on PPI news, since the data pointed to a better chance of more rate cuts ahead.
  • Oil fell a bit but gained over the last two weeks on geopolitical tensions and destruction in the Gulf of Mexico following the two major hurricanes.

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STOCK MARKET: A Zero Sum Bias?

By Staff Reporters

FINANCIAL / INVESTMENT ADVISORS & STOCK BROKERS

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According to colleague Dan Ariely PhD, a Zero Sum Bias [ZSB] is the mistaken belief that one person’s gain is another’s loss. It’s like thinking the world is a giant pie with only so many slices. This mindset fuels competition and jealousy, making us forget that collaboration can create more pie. It’s why we sometimes root against others instead of working together.

Question: Is the stock market a zero-sum game? You frequently hear media refer to games and markets as zero-sum games.

Answer: Well, yes, we define the stock market as a zero-sum game, both in the short and in the long term, although it technically is incorrect. A zero-sum game is where one person’s gain is another person’s loss – thus there is no wealth created and the overall benefit is zero. This doesn’t apply to stocks, but it’s a zero-sum game in relation to a stock market benchmark.

For example, short-term trading in stocks is theoretically not a zero-sum game, and neither is long-term investing. But short-term trading is close to a zero-sum game, and long-term investing is a zero-sum game if we use a broad index as a benchmark.

Essentially, in other words, the stock market functions as an expansive network of zero-sum transactions; each trade engages a buyer and a seller–their perspectives on a security’s future value contrasting. These opposing views propel market prices: they mirror not only risk transfer but also potential reward—a dynamic process indeed! Traders and investors must grasp the crucial zero-sum aspect; it underscores trading’s inherent competitiveness. Effectively anticipating market trends and actions from other participants: therein lies success in this environment. 

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So, next time you feel like someone else’s success diminishes your own, remember: there’s more than enough pie to go around.

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DAILY UPDATE: Pfizer Down While Stock Markets Ignite

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Activist investor takes $1 billion stake in Pfizer. The firm Starboard Value has amassed a stake in the pharma giant, which has struggled after reaching new heights during the pandemic, in hopes of turning the company around.

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What’s up

  • If you can’t beat ‘em, join ‘em: WW International, aka WeightWatchers, soared 46.95% after the company announced it will begin offering GLP-1 weight-loss drugs.
  • Nvidia rose 4.05% after the Foxconn CEO told CNBC that AI demand is still incredibly strong.
  • Trump Technology & Media Group soared 18.54% after Tesla CEO Elon Musk appeared alongside the former president at a rally in Pennsylvania over the weekend.
  • Palantir popped 6.58% after the CTO of the data analytics firm appeared on CNBC and told everyone that his company is making mad money.
  • Welcome to the club: S&P Global announced that DocuSign is replacing MDU Resources Group in the S&P MidCap 400 index, while MDU is moving to the S&P SmallCap 600 index. Docusign rose 6.55% on the news, while MDU gained 2.44%.
  • Humana finally caught a break when a Bernstein analyst upgraded the stock today, writing that the health insurer has been hurt enough. Shares rose 2.92%.

What’s down

  • What goes up must come down: Chinese stocks, which have enjoyed an impressive rally recently, came tumbling back to Earth today after the country’s state planner didn’t announce any new stimulus measures. Bilibili fell 12.93%, JD.com lost 7.52%, Alibaba sold off 6.67%, and Nio dropped 8.10%.
  • Today’s oil selloff pummeled energy stocks: Valero Energy lost 5.31%, while Marathon Petroleum stumbled 7.66%.
  • Sphere Entertainment dropped 2.84% on the news that its CFO is leaving the company.
  • Super Micro Computer gave back 5.01% after its rally yesterday as investors pocketed their profits.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The SPX rose 55.19 points (0.97%) to 5,751.15; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) added 126.13 points (0.30%) to 42,080.37; and the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) gained 259.01 points (1.45%) to 18,182.92.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) rose one basis point to 4.03%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) sank to 21.24, still above its long-term average.

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Stocks, Oil, Gold and Bitcoin

By Staff Reporters

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  • October continues to be a tough month for stocks, with all three major indexes spending yesterday afternoon in the red. The Dow in particular had a horrible day and dropped over 500 points, while major tech stocks were pushed lower by a series of analyst downgrades.
  • Oil continued its hot streak yesterday, rising above $77 on the back of geopolitical conflict in the Middle East. That helped ensure that, while everything else fell, energy was the only positive sector in the S&P 500.
  • Gold has often found itself rising in tandem with crude, though it broke that habit, with the shiny safe haven dropping a hair as investors digest the idea that the Fed’s next interest rate cut may be smaller than they thought.
  • Bitcoin broke above $64,000 for a moment yesterday only to be yanked back down, as crypto traders ride out the recent volatility.

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DAILY UPDATE: PayPal, IRS, Flood Insurance and the US Hiring Pace as Stocks Roar Ahead

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PayPal completed its first transaction using its proprietary stablecoin to pay an invoice to Ernst & Young. It’s a milestone for the payments company’s advance into cryptocurrency.

The free IRS tax filing software, which was piloted in 12 states for the 2024 tax season, will be available in 24 states for 2025.

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Stocks Up

  • Your loss is our gain: Shares of airline stocks popped on the news of Spirit’s problems. Delta Air Lines ascended 3.84%, United Airlines climbed 6.47%, and Frontier Group Holdings soared 16.43%.
  • Albemarle popped 8.25% on the rumor that mining behemoth Rio Tinto may try to make an acquisition of the lithium miner. Other potential takeover targets rose as well, including Arcadium (up 10%) and SQM (up 3%).
  • Abercrombie & Fitch rose 9.10% thanks to an upgrade from JP Morgan analysts, who are bullish about the fashion retailer’s recent momentum.
  • Ubisoft Entertainment skyrocketed 29.87% on the news that the video game maker’s parent company and founders are considering a buyout.

Stocks down

  • Rivian Automotive tumbled 3.15% after the EV startup cut its 2024 production forecast and missed on Q3 deliveries.
  • Homebuilder stocks sank on today’s strong jobs report, which propelled treasury yields higher, which means that mortgage rates aren’t getting any lower. D.R. Horton dropped 2.91%, Lennar fell 2.52%, and Toll Brothers lost 2.57%.
  • Transportation stocks fell thanks to an agreement between port owners and longshoremen to put the recent strike on pause. Moller-Maersk lost 5.37%, while Zim Integrated Shipping Services stumbled 12.55%.

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Here’s where the major stock benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) climbed 51.13 points (0.9%) to 5,751.07 up 0.22% for the week;the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) added 341.16 points (0.81%) to 42,352.75, up 0.09% for the week; and the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) rose 219.37 points (1.22%) to 18,137.85, up 0.1% for the week. 
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) soared 13 basis points to 3.98%, finishing the week up 23 basis points. The 2-year yield rose 37 basis points this week.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX)fell to 18.58 but remains elevated from last month’s lows, likely on geopolitical concerns.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/tj8smmes

Only 2% of the homes hit by Hurricane Helene in Georgia, North Carolina, and South Carolina had a policy protecting them against catastrophic flooding, according to an analysis by Politico and E&E News.

The US Hiring Pace picked up strongly in September and the unemployment rate ticked down to 4.1%, signs the U.S. economy had continued momentum in a month the Federal Reserve delivered its first interest-rate cut in four years. U.S. employers added 254,000 jobs last month, the Labor Department said Friday.

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DAILY UPDATE: Health Plan Costs Up and Stock Markets Upbeat

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Despite inflation cooling down, employer health plan costs are heating up, according to a September analysis from consulting firm consulting firm Mercer.

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STOCKS UP

STOCKS DOWN

Stellantis, the European company behind Chrysler, Dodge, and Jeep sank 12.49% after it warned that sales in the second half of its fiscal year will come in lower than expected. The bad news pulled down shares of competitors Aston Martin (which fell 24.51%), Ford (a 2% drop), and GM (3.53% lower today).

  • Carnival beat top and bottom line estimates last quarter, and posted record revenue for the third quarter. But shares stumbled 0.32% on management’s forecast that earnings in the fourth quarter will disappoint. Rival cruise companies all dropped in sympathy: Royal Caribbean fell 0.10%, while Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings tumbled 2.10%.
  • Crypto stocks took a beating today after bitcoin’s latest rally fizzled out. Coinbase fell 6.83%, while MicroStrategy lost 4.32%.

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Here’s where the major stock market benchmarks ended:

  • The SPX gained 24.26 points (0.42%) to 5,762.48; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) rose 17.15 points (0.04%) to 42,330.15; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) added 69.58 points (0.38%) to 18,189.17.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) climbed five basis points to 3.8%, near the high of its recent range.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) eased to 16.66 after climbing above 17 earlier today but remains up from a week ago.

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HIDDEN RISKS: In “Religion” Stocks

By Vitaliy Katsenelson CFA

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INTRODUCTION
STOCK MARKET FAITH

A basic property of religion is that the believer takes a leap of faith: to believe without expecting proof. Often you find this property of religion in other, unexpected places – for example, in the stock market. It takes a while for a company to develop a “religious” following: only a few high-quality, well-respected companies with long track records ever become worshiped by millions of investors.

My partner, Michael Conn, calls these “religion stocks.” The stock has to make a lot of shareholders happy for a long period of time to form this psychological link.

READ HERE: The Hidden Risk in “Religion” Stocks

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DAILY UPDATE: Rite Aid, Stock Markets, Gold, Oil Bitcoin, Uber & Waymo

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Nearly a year after filing for Chapter 11, Rite Aid announced on September 3 that the company has exited the bankruptcy process and will move forward as a private company. The retail pharmacy chain filed for bankruptcy in October 2023 as it struggled to keep up with competitors CVS and Walgreens, in addition to mounting debt, falling revenue, and multimillion-dollar opioid settlements.

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Stocks wrapped up a comeback last week, with all three major indexes ending the trading session on a high note. Both the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ enjoyed five straight winning days, and both indexes had their best week of the year. Gold continued to break records today, as the double whammy of forthcoming rate cuts and a declining dollar sent the precious metal soaring. Oil rose a bit today after Hurricane Francine passed over the Gulf of Mexico and output began to normalize. Bitcoin staged a late afternoon rally to end the week over 9% higher than where it started, as investors embraced risk and optimism swept through markets.

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Uber riders will be able to flag Waymo robotaxis in Austin and Atlanta in 2025 as the companies expand their partnership.

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“ACTIVE” INVESTMENT STRATEGIES: For Physicians

And … why doctors are different?

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP

SPONSOR: http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA CMP

There are two distinct forms of financial analysis investment strategies often used by medical colleague investors who desire to pursue an active investment strategy.

Technical Analysis: Technical analysts, sometimes referred to as chartists, use historical price data and transaction volume data to identify mis-priced securities. A key belief shared by technical analysts is that stock prices follow recurring patterns and that once these historical patterns are identified, they can be used to identify future security prices. The heart of technical analysis is identifying significant shifts in the macro/micro economic supply and demand factors for a particular securities investment.

Skeptics of technical analysis generally subscribe to the notion that the markets efficiently and accurately price securities. In fact, the weak form of the Efficient Market Hypothesis [EMH] is based on the view that investors cannot consistently earn superior returns using historical data and technical analysis alone.

Fundamental Analysis: In contrast to technical analysis – which relies on historical market returns / transactions data – fundamental analysis focuses on the underlying company’s assets, earnings, risks, dividends and intrinsic security factors to identify mis-priced securities.

Furthermore, investors using fundamental analysis can use either a top-down or bottom-up approach:

  • The top-down investor starts with global economics, including both international and national economic indicators. These may include GDP growth rates, inflation, interest rates, exchange rates, productivity and energy prices. They subsequently narrow their search to regional / industry analysis of total sales, price levels, the effects of competing products, foreign competition and entry or exit from the industry. Often they refine their search to the best business in the area being studied.
  • The bottom-up investor starts with specific businesses, regardless of their industry / region, and proceeds in reverse of the top-down approach. Bottom-up investing is an approach that focuses on analyzing individual stocks and de-emphasizes the significance of macroeconomic and market cycles. In other words, bottom-up investing typically involves focusing on a specific company’s fundamentals, such as revenue or earnings, versus the industry or the overall economy. The bottom-up investing approach assumes individual companies can perform well even in an industry that is under performing, at least on a relative basis.

And so, a medical professional utilizing fundamental analysis is attempting to find securities that are trading at market prices below their intrinsic value. Skeptics suggest this is difficult or almost impossible to achieve.

Thus, while technical analysis focuses on market price history, a security’s intrinsic fundamental analysis is determined independent of the security’s market value. Of course, a combination of both fundamental and technical analysis can also be considered.

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DAILY UPDATE: “Soft Economic Landing” and Paramount Pictures Corporation

By Staff Reporters

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The S&P 500 heads into the week at its highest level of the year after Friday’s solid jobs report suggested that the Fed could be all clear for a “soft landing”—bringing inflation back to normal without sending the economy into a recession. The S&P and Dow have posted gains for six straight weeks, their longest streak since 2019.

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But, the week’s big winner was Paramount, which spiked on reports that Shari Redstone might sell the entertainment giant.

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LAWSUITS: Amazon, Facebook and Google

By Staff Reporters

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Stocks are diving recently, giving the Dow its worst day since March as new data on declining home sales and consumer confidence gave investors the recession-could-be-coming jitters again.

And, Amazon dipped after the FTC filed its long-awaited anti-monopoly suit against the company. The FTC and 17 states delivered a sweeping lawsuit accusing the trillion-dollar e-commerce company of being an illegal monopoly. It’s the fourth lawsuit levied by the FTC against Amazon this year and easily the one with the most profound consequences for US antitrust legislation. The FTC and state attorneys general allege that Amazon abused its power by punishing sellers if they offered lower prices on other platforms, a practice that led to higher prices for consumers. Sellers on the marketplace were also allegedly coerced to use Amazon’s logistics and advertising services or face penalties like reduced visibility.

Meanwhile the FTC is also looking to break up both Google and Facebook but it is unclear if that’s the real goal here. The FTC asked for a permanent injunction to stop alleged misconduct. Bad news for Google which celebrates its’ 25th birthday today.

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DAILY UPDATE: Recession and the Markets

By Staff Reporters

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There are certain types of stocks, bonds and mutual funds that perform better when the market is in decline. Seasoned investors tend to survive bear markets by focusing on the stocks of companies that make products necessary for daily life. Companies that often thrive in a recessionary environment are defensive stocks that provide products and services people simply cannot live without. Stocks included in this list are considered to be defensive by Wall Street analysts.

These type of stocks have performed -5.35% over the past year. By comparison, the S&P 500 is 7.13% over the same period. These types of stocks include: 30.00% of Consumer Cyclical stocks, 30.00% of Consumer Non-Cyclical stocks, 20.00% of Healthcare stocks, 10.00% of Technology stocks and 10.00% of Energy stocks.

Bear markets and recessions also tend to present themselves when market prices have been rising for a time; and investors are feeling irrationally exuberant. But, some markets have seen downturns in 2022 and 2023.

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Here is where the major benchmarks ended yesterday:

  • The S&P 500® Index fell 60 points (1.35%) to 4,376.31; the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) fell 374 points (1.08%) to 34,099.42; the NASDAQ Composite fell 257 points (1.87%) to 13,463.97.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) rose 4 basis points to 4.236%.
  • CBOE’s Volatility Index (VIX) rose roughly 1 point to 17.08.

Consumer discretionary was the weakest sector Thursday, as heavyweight constituents Amazon (AMZN) and Tesla (TSLA) both slid around 2.5%, with communication services and tech right behind. No sector was higher for the day.

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DAILY UPDATE: UnitedHealth Group Down as Markets Up after FOMC Pause

By Staff Reporters

UnitedHealth Group expects to spend more of its members’ premiums on medical care in the second quarter, driven by a rise in outpatient care for Americans 65 and older in Medicare plans, CFO John Rex said Tuesday at a Goldman Sachs investor conference. Speaking at a Goldman Sachs healthcare conference, Tim Noel, CEO of UnitedHealth’s Medicare and retirement business, pointed to elevated demand for outpatient procedures from Medicare patients, per Reuters. 

“We’re seeing that more seniors are just more comfortable accessing services for things that they might have pushed off a bit like knees and hips,” Noel reportedly said at the conference. The elevated demand is expected to increase the company’s second-quarter costs and premiums look set to lag spending on claims. As a result, UnitedHealth said it expects its medical loss ratio for full-year 2023 to be in the upper end of its prior outlook. 

But, following the news, RBC Capital analyst Ben Hendrix reiterated UnitedHealth with an Outperform and maintained its $592 price target. Mizuho analyst Ann Hynes also reiterated UnitedHealth with a Buy and a $600 price target.

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THE MARKETS

Here is where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 Index was up 3.58 points (0.1%) at 4,372.59; the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) was down 232.79 (0.7%) at 33,979.33; the NASDAQ Composite was up 53.16 (0.4%) at 13,626.48.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was down about 4 basis points at 3.80%.
  • Cboe’s Volatility Index (VIX) was down 0.74 at 13.87.

Regional banks and retail were among the weakest sectors Wednesday. The KBW Regional Banking Index (KRX) tumbled from a 14-month high earlier in the day, ending down nearly 3%. Small-caps stocks also took a hit, as the Russell 2000 Index (RUT) fell 1.2%. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) rebounded sharply from a four-week low, boosted by the indications rates will stay higher for longer.

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DAILY UPDATE: The US Economy and Bureau of Labor Statistics Reports

By Staff Reporters

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The US kept adding jobs according to new data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The economy gained 339,000 pay-rolled employees in May, more than in each of the preceding three months and way more than the 190,000 Dow Jones predicted (to be fair, expert estimates low-balled 13 of the last 16 job reports, according to CNBC. This growth happened despite climbing interest rates, inflation, recent bank failures, and a nerve-racking debt ceiling standoff that threatened to destroy the economy And, Wall Street interpreted the data as a big green “buy” sign. For example:

Stocks leaped up last week as investors celebrated the deal to lift the debt ceiling being showed that the economy is still going strong. In fact, Lululemon stretched toward the heavens after beating earnings expectations thanks to a 24% year over year jump in sales.

But not all indications pointed to the hot streak continuing indefinitely.

The unemployment rate inched, wage growth slowed, and workers appear less self-assured in the labor market:

  • The self-employed lost 369,000 people from its ranks in May, a possible sign that folks might be ditching the self-employment for the security of a traditional employer.
  • And, recent data shows the quit rate has declined from an all-time high in late 2021, bringing an end to the pandemic job-hopping trend dubbed the Great Resignation.
  • Ultimately, the Fed will have to use the conflicting and mixed economic indicators to decide whether to further crank up interest rates at their next meeting. The Federal Reserve has been hinting that it might cease raising interest rates, and investors seem convinced the central bank will follow through and at least “skip” a hike this month even though the labor market is still radiating heat.

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FACEBOOK & GOOGLE: A “Duopoly” in Decline?

By Staff Reporters

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Facebook and Google appear to be an empire in decline.

Considered for years to be a “duopoly” over the advertising industry, they are on track to account for only 48.4% of US ad revenues this year. It’s the first time their market share has fallen below 50% since 2014, per Insider Intelligence.

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And, some suggest TikTok, Apple, Amazon, and Microsoft are slowly and successfully clawing away business from the duopoly.

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DAILY UPDATE: Five Stocks to Watch?

By Staff Reporters

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Here are some of the companies the Yahoo Finance team suggests you watch?

Kraft Heinz (KHC) may be on the road to recovery. It announced stronger-than-expected earnings, with CEO Miguel Patricio saying that the company is making “good progress” on identifying the problems with its past performance. But he admitted they’re still delivering results “below our potential.”

Altria’s (MO) third-quarter earnings beat Wall Street estimates but the company revealed it is writing down a third of its investment in Juul. The company wrote-down $4.5 billion of its $12.8 billion investment in the vaping company. Juul is facing lawsuits and potential new regulations after an outbreak of vaping related illnesses.

Ford (F) and the UAW have reached an agreement to hold-off a strike. The new contract includes $6 billion worth of investment in U.S. facilities and adding 8,500 jobs to Ford’s workforce. This deal is expected to follow the same guidelines as the GM contract and include lump-sum payments and wage increases.

Former Secretary of State and Exxon Mobile (XOM) CEO Rex Tillerson is insisting that Exxon Mobile did not lie about the company’s plan for the financial risks of climate change. Tillerson testified for three and a half hours in the securities fraud trial in New York, denying that the company’s plans were meant to dupe investors. Exxon Mobile earnings are due out tomorrow before the opening bell.

Finally, it could be a very Merry X-mass for Hershey (HSY). A recent survey found Reese’s Peanut Butter Cups, made by Hershey, are the No. 1 favorite candy for Halloween. Snickers, made by privately-owned Mars, were a distant second. The National Retail Federation says Americans will spend $2.6 billion on Halloween candy this year.

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DAILY UPDATE: Another Lower Week for the Stock Markets

By Staff Reporters

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U.S. equities declined, posting a second-straight weekly loss, as recession worries have ratcheted higher in the wake of a host of global central bank actions earlier this week. The Fed’s mid-week 50 basis point rate increase was followed by similar actions from the European Central Bank, the Bank of England, and Swiss National Bank. The moves came amid an evident slowdown in global economic growth, with data released today showing most manufacturing and services PMIs domestically and across the globe continue to see a contraction in activity, adding fuel to the recessionary fears.

Treasury yields diverged, and the U.S. dollar was little changed, while crude oil prices fell, and gold traded to the upside. The equity front was relatively quiet, but Adobe’s quarterly results beat the Street on the top line, and the company reaffirmed its guidance, while shares of Darden Restaurants fell despite posting better-than-expected earnings and an upbeat outlook.

Asian stocks were mixed and European stocks saw widespread losses, as the global markets continued to digest the flood of monetary policy decisions around the world.

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