BOARD CERTIFICATION EXAM STUDY GUIDES Lower Extremity Trauma
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Posted on July 14, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By A.I.
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Stocks: Markets shrugged off President Trump’s weekend threat of 30% levies against the EU and Mexico, as well as his proposed 100% secondary tariffs against Russia today. Stocks eked out a win across the board, with the NASDAQ climbing to a new record close.
Commodities: Oil prices fell while gold took a breather, but the big winner was orange juice futures, which hit a four-month high thanks to Trump’s promise of 50% tariffs on all imports from Brazil. Coffee prices also climbed.
Posted on November 28, 2024 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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A “wave of inclement weather through the eastern two-thirds of the country” could throw travel into chaos this week, according to the Weather Prediction Center. TSA predicts 30 million people will fly over the holiday, an 11.5% increase from last year, putting a strain on a US aviation system struggling to keep up with demand.
One positive? Thanksgiving gas prices could be the cheapest they’ve been since 2020. Whether you’re flying, driving, taking the train, or awaiting the arrival of those who are, here are some tips to get through the next few days with minimal stress.
Posted on October 2, 2024 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
MEDICAL EXECUTIVE-POST–TODAY’SNEWSLETTERBRIEFING
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Essays, Opinions and Curated News in Health Economics, Investing, Business, Management and Financial Planning for Physician Entrepreneurs and their Savvy Advisors and Consultants
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The FTC said it would allow Chevron’s $53 billion purchase of Hess, but it barred Hess CEO John B. Hess from sitting on Chevron’s board over his communications with OPEC.
Soon, students may not need an extra year of college to attain CPA licensure. The AICPA and NASBA have proposed a “competency-based experience pathway” to licensure—with no post-bachelor’s coursework required.
Energy was the top-performing sector in the S&P 500 today thanks to rising fears of fighting between Iran and Israel. APA Corp. rose 4.91%, Halliburton climbed 3.10%, and Occidental Petroleum gained 3.33%.
Defensestocks rose for much the same reason, with Lockheed Martin up 3.66%, NorthropGrumman trading 3.04% higher, and L3Harris Technologies up 3.03%
Hess Corp. and Chevron rose after the FTC declared that, as long as John Hess isn’t allowed to sit on the board, the two companies might be allowed to merge. Shares of Hess gained 2.34%, while Chevron climbed 1.68%.
New Fortress Energy popped 6.49% on the news that it has priced a public offering of 46 million shares at $8.46 per share. That will go a long way to helping the struggling energy stock rake in some much-needed cash.
ArcosDorados, the world’s biggest McDonald’s franchisee, jumped 14.56% after it renewed its agreement with McDonald’s, locking down a flat royalty rate for the next decade.
What’s down
Signet Jewelers fell 7.91% on the news that CEO Virginia Drosos, who has led the company to strong success over the past seven years, will retire.
HP sank 3.09% after Citi analysts downgraded the company based on lower PC and printer demand in the years ahead.
Disney received a rare analyst downgrade today from Raymond James analysts, who think that theme park attendance will continue to slow in the next 12 to 18 months. Shares dropped 2.14%.
Amentum Holdings plummeted 20.16% only a day after the engineering services company debuted on the S&P 500.
Here’s where the major stock market benchmarks ended:
The S&P 500® index (SPX)fell 53.73 points (–0.93%) to 5,708.75; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) declined 173.18 points (–0.41%) to 42,156.97; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) lost 278.81 points (–1.53%) to 17,910.36.
The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) fell six basis points to 3.74%.
The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) jumped to 19.28, the highest in nearly a month.
The American economy is seemingly fairing so well that UBS has signaled a potential return to the glory days. The European finance giant believes Uncle Sam is inching closer to a ‘Roaring 20s’ scenario, placing the likelihood of an incoming booming economic cycle at 50%. The phrase goes back to the same decade a century ago, when massive economic growth prompted a construction boom and rising prosperity for families.
Posted on August 14, 2024 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
West Texas Intermediate
By Staff Reporters
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What it is: The North American crude oil benchmark, known as West Texas Intermediate (WTI), is one of three main oil benchmarks used around the globe. While WTI is sourced primarily from Texas, it’s considered one of the highest-quality oils and is often refined into gasoline.
How it works: WTI is the physical commodity behind oil futures contracts traded on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Oil futures = financial instruments that allow investors to buy “abstract oil.” When the futures contract expires, that investment is converted into IRL oil, cashed out, or rolled into a future futures contract.
Why it matters: Oil prices are affected by economic conditions, supply and demand, and geopolitical forces. The coronavirus pandemic caused a historic collapse in prices this spring, and while prices have stabilized, the outlook is shaky.
Posted on November 23, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
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Thanksgiving is a trading holiday. Both the New York Stock Exchange and the Nasdaq are closed. Black Friday, one of the biggest shopping days of the year, is a half day for the stock market. Both stock exchanges close at 1:00 p.m. ET, with eligible options trading until 1:15 p.m. Normal trading hours resume on the Monday after Thanksgiving, also known as Cyber Monday, when many online retailers host major sales.
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Thanks to plummeting prices at the pump, US drivers will save a collective $1.2 billion this Thanksgiving travel period, and day, compared to last year, according to GasBuddy. The average price per gallon is down nearly 46 cents from a year ago, and more than 50,000 stations now show gas prices at $2.99/gallon or less.
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Narrow traffic lanes are safer than wide ones. Researchers at Johns Hopkins analyzed more than 1,000 streets in seven major cities across the US and found that narrower roads mitigated traffic collisions in certain conditions. The study did not find a significant difference between roads 9-feet wide and those 10- or 11-feet wide, but it did conclude that traffic accidents increase 1.5x when a road widens from 9 feet to 12 feet. Traffic fatalities are the leading cause of death for Americans aged 1–54.
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Walgreens will close most of its pharmacies and stores on Thanksgiving Day for the first time in the company’s history, executives said last Thursday. The move to close more than 8,700 stores for the federal holiday comes as some Walgreens workers staged a three-day walkout this fall to push for improved working conditions and increased staffing numbers, Reuters reported.
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Here is where the major benchmarks ended on Wednesday:
The S&P 500 Index was up 18.43 points (0.4%) at 4,556.62, near a four-month high close; the Dow Jones Industrial Average®(DJI) was up 184.74 points (0.5%) at 35,273.03; the NASDAQ Composite was up 65.88 points (0.5%) at 14,265.86.
The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was down about 1 basis point at 4.41%, after earlier dropping to a two-month low under 4.37%.
CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) was down 0.50 at 12.85.
Communications services and technology were among the strongest performers Wednesday. Food and beverage companies were also firm. Energy shares were among the weakest performers Wednesday behind a drop of over 1% in WTI Crude Oil futures (/CL). ), which fell following reports OPEC delayed a weekend meeting until November 30th, a possible reflection of cartel members struggling to reach consensus over production cuts. WTI crude ended just under $77 a barrel, down 19% from a 2023 high above $95 in late October.
Posted on October 3, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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Thecost of oil continues on an upward trend, and Americans are seeing yet another increase in the average cost to fill up at the gasoline pump. The average cost across the nation is up twenty cents per gallon year-over-year, at around $3.88 as of yesterday’s data release.
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Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella said Monday that unfair tactics used by Google led to its dominance as a search engine, tactics that in turn have thwarted his company’s rival program, Bing.
Nadella testified in packed Washington, D.C., courtroom as part of the government’s landmark antitrust trial against Google’s parent company, Alphabet. The Justice Department alleges Google has abused the dominance of its ubiquitous search engine to throttle competition and innovation at the expense of consumers, allegations that echo a similar case brought against Microsoft in the late 1990s.
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Here is where the major benchmarks ended:
The S&P 500 Index ® (SPX) was up 0.34 point at 4,288.39; the Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 74.15 points (0.2%) at 33,433.35; the NASDAQ Composite (COMP) was up 88.45 points (0.7%) at 13,307.77.
The 10-year Treasury note yield was up about 12 basis points at 4.691%.
CBOE’s Volatility Index (VIX) was up 0.07 at 17.59.
Energy stocks were among the market’s weakest performers as crude oil futures dropped for a third-consecutive session to $90 a barrel. Financial shares were also lower, with the KBW Regional Bank Index (KRX) dropping more than 2% to a three-month low. Technology shares were among the few areas of strength.
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) strengthened to a 10-month high thanks to expectations that interest rates are likely to remain high for some time.
Posted on September 15, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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The forecast for next year’s Social Security increase rose to 3.2% from 3% on Wednesday after the government said inflation ticked up in August. Annual inflation in August rose to 3.7%, from 3.2% in July but off a 40-year high of 9.1% in June 2022. Without the volatile food and energy sectors, the so-called “core” inflation rate was 4.3%, down from July’s 4.7%.
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Illegal drugs are expected to be one of the biggest threats to national security in 2024 as overdose deaths topped 100,000 in the last year, according to the Department of Homeland Security’s annual threat study. In its report released Thursday, DHS said it expects illegal drugs produced in Mexico and sold in the United States will continue to kill more Americans than any other threat.
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U.S. stocks ended sharply higher and the greenback jumped on Thursday as robust economic data failed to budge expectations that the Federal Reserve will leave its key interest rate unchanged next week. The rally boosted a broad array of assets. All three major stock indexes ended higher, as did all 11 major sectors of the S&P 500. The dollar jumped to a six-month high, 10-year Treasury yields rose, and crude oil futures hit their highest this year, helping energy stocks outperform the broader market.
A spate of economic data released before the opening bell showed energy prices, specifically gasoline, were largely responsible for a hotter-than-expected producer prices print and a consensus-beating retail sales reading.
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Here is where the major benchmarks ended:
The S&P 500 Index was up 37.66 points (0.8%) at 4,505.10; the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 331.58 points (1.0%) at 34,907.11; the NASDAQ Composite (COMP) was up 112.47 points (0.8%) at 13,926.05.The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was up about 4 basis points at 4.286%. CBOE’s Volatility Index (VIX) was down 0.69 at 12.79.
Retailers were among the market’s strongest sectors Thursday in the wake of stronger-than-expected August retail sales reported by the Commerce Department. Energy companies also climbed as crude oil futures extended a rally and topped $90 a barrel for the first time since mid-November. Small-cap stocks joined the upswing, with the Russell 2000 Index (RUT) rising nearly 1.5% and ended at a one-week high. Volatility based on the VIX fell under 13.00 and near pre-pandemic levels of early 2020.
Posted on September 14, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
Yesterday was the first day of trade group America’s Health Insurance Plans 2023 Consumer Experience & Digital Health Forum, a two-day conference focused on emerging digital health innovations and how they’re changing the consumer experience of the US healthcare system.
According to Bankrate’s extensive research, the average cost of auto insurance in the U.S. is $2,014 per year. Minimum coverage, on the other hand, has an average annual cost of $622. However, car insurance is like a fingerprint. Although your circumstances may seem similar, your personalized rating factors will cause your premium to vary from that of friends, family and the national average. Still, knowing the average cost of car insurance might give you the information you need to ensure you’re not overpaying for this necessary financial protection.
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The average cost of new cars is now well over $48,000—up almost $6,000 from two years ago and about $10,000 from September 2020, according to Kelley Blue Book.
Posted on September 1, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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UBS, the Swiss lender posted the highest quarterly profit ever for a bank in Q2—$29 billion—thanks to its controversial rescue of rival Credit Suisse in March. That acquisition is looking like “one of the biggest steals in financial history,” per the Financial Times, considering the skimpy $3.6 billion price UBS paid for Credit Suisse. While UBS execs have a challenging road ahead integrating Credit Suisse’s businesses into its own, investors seem to think it can pull it off: UBS shares jumped to their highest level since the 2008 financial crisis, making it the second-largest bank in Europe behind HSBC.
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Here is where the major benchmarks ended:
The S&P 500® Index (SPX) was down 7.21 points (0.2%) at 4,507.66, down 1.8% for the month; the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) was down 168.33 points (0.5%) at 34,721.91, down 2.4% for the month; the NASDAQ Composite was up 15.66 points (0.1%) at 14,034.97, down 2.2% for the month.
The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was down about 2 basis points at 4.098%.
CBOE’s Volatility Index (VIX) was down 0.31 at 13.57.
As was the case for much of the late-August rally, technology shares helped lead gains, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) up nearly 1% and ending at a four-week high. Retail and consumer discretionary were also among the strongest-performing sectors.
Transportation and utilities lagged. In other markets, WTI crude oil futures extended a week-long rally and ended at a three-week high above $83 a barrel.
Posted on August 19, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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Things are looking up for Home Depot. After a gloomy first quarter during which sales fell 4.2%, the retailer performed better than expected in Q2. It reported revenue of $42.92 billion for the quarter, higher than the $42.23 billion it projected earlier in the year. Its earnings per share came in at $4.65, better than the expected $4.45.
But the company is maintaining its guidance for the full year and anticipates a 2%–5% drop in sales for the fiscal year. In its earnings call, CEO Ted Decker struck a cautious note, stating that the home improvement market has entered a period of “moderation” after the pandemic-era DIY boom. Consumers appear to be deferring big-ticket discretionary purchases, such as patio furniture and appliances, Billy Bastek, executive vice president of merchandising, said. Sales of $1,000 or more are down 5.5% YoY. The movement away from large purchases continues a trend that began in Q4 2022.
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Here is where the major benchmarks ended:
The S&P 500® Index edged down a little less than a point to 4,369.71 and was down about 2.1% for the week; the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) rose 26 points (0.08%) to 34,500.66 and was down about 2.2% for the week; the NASDAQ Composite dropped 26 points (0.2%) to 13,290.78 and was down about 2.6% for the week.
The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) pulled back three basis points to 4.250%.
CBOE’s Volatility Index (VIX) fell 3.9% to 17.19.
Energy was the top-performing S&P market sector Friday, as crude oil futures rose more than 1%. Communications services—home to such market heavyweights as Google-parent Alphabet (GOOG) and Facebook-parent Meta Platforms (META)—was the weakest performer, followed by consumer discretionary—home to Amazon (AMZN) and Tesla (TSLA). These sectors tend to do best when the economy has a clear runway for growth and interest rates are lower.
Posted on August 18, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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Mortgage rates have climbed to their highest levels in 21 years, according to data released by Freddie Mac on Thursday. The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 7.09% over the week ending on Thursday, marking a significant increase from 6.96% the week prior, the data showed.
The Federal Reserve has put forward an aggressive string of interest rate hikes as it tries to slash inflation by slowing the economy and choking off demand. That means borrowers face higher costs for everything from car loans to credit card debt to mortgages.
When the Fed imposed its first rate hike of the current series in March 2022, the average 30-year fixed mortgage stood at just 4.45%, Mortgage News Daily data shows.
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Here is where the major benchmarks ended:
The S&P 500 Index was down 33.97 points (0.8%) at 4,370.36; the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) was down 290.91 points (0.8%) at 34,474.83; the NASDAQ Composite was down 157.70 points (1.2%) at 13,316.93.
The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was up about 3 basis points at 4.286%.
CBOE’s Volatility Index (VIX) was up 1.22 at 18.00.
Consumer discretionary and retail were among the weakest sectors Thursday. Technology shares were also under pressure, even after Cisco Systems (CSCO) reported better-than-expected quarterly results.
Energy stocks held up somewhat better as crude oil futures rose about 1% after the Energy Department reported an unexpectedly large decline in U.S. supplies.
Posted on August 17, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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U.S. stocks were lower after the close on Wednesday, as losses in the Consumer Goods, Technology and Oil&Gas sectors led shares lower.
At the close in NYSE, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.52%, while the S&P 500 index lost 0.76%, and the NASDAQ Composite index lost 1.15%.
The best performers of the session on the Dow Jones Industrial Average were The Travelers Companies Inc (NYSE:TRV), which rose 1.19% or 1.94 points to trade at 165.42 at the close. Meanwhile, Home Depot Inc (NYSE:HD) added 0.28% or 0.92 points to end at 333.06 and Merck&Company Inc (NYSE:MRK) was up 0.06% or 0.07 points to 108.73 in late trade.
The worst performers of the session were Intel Corporation (NASDAQ:INTC), which fell 3.57% or 1.24 points to trade at 33.53 at the close. Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc (NASDAQ:WBA) declined 1.43% or 0.41 points to end at 28.19 and Caterpillar Inc (NYSE:CAT) was down 1.03% or 2.86 points to 274.51.
The S&P 500 Index was down 33.53 points (0.8%) at 4,404.33; the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) was down 180.65 points (0.5%) at 34,765.74; the NASDAQ Composite (COMP) was down 156.42 points (1.2%) at 13,474.63.
The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was up about 5 basis points at 4.27%.
CBOE’s Volatility Index (VIX) was up 0.28 at 16.74.
Chipmakers remained weak, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) down nearly 2% to a 10-week low. Energy companies also slipped as crude oil futures extended a week-long slide by dropping under $80 a barrel to a three-week closing low. Utilities were among the few sectors posting gains.
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) hit a six-week high on expectations U.S. rates will remain elevated.
Posted on August 5, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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Hiring roughly held steady in July as employers added 187,000 jobs despite high interest rates and inflation. The unemployment rate, which is calculated from a separate survey of households, dipped from 3.6% to 3.5%, the Labor Department said Friday. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg had estimated that 200,000 jobs were added last month.
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The geopolitics: Major oil producer Saudi Arabia said yesterday it would extend its output cuts into September and could even deepen those cuts after that, according to state media. By curbing supply, Saudi Arabia hopes to prop up the price of oil—which gives it critical revenue to spend on futuristic cities. But the cuts are angering the White House because they could lead to an uptick in US inflation.
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Apple’s sales are slumping. The iPhone-maker reported its third straight quarter of revenue declines as fewer people join the blue-text mafia. But while Apple is struggling to sell iPhones, it’s doing a great job monetizing its existing customers. The services unit—home to the App Store, Apple TV+, Apple Music, and more—hit a record $21 billion in sales. Amazon was the other Big Tech company to report earnings yesterday: Its glowing financials knocked Wall Street’s socks off.
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Here is where the major benchmarks ended for the day and week:
The S&P 500 Index ended 24 points lower (0.53%) at 4,478.03 and was down 2.27% for the week; the Dow Jones Industrial Average ended 150 points lower (0.43%) at 35,065.62 and was down 1.11% for the week; the NASDAQ Composite ended 50 points lower (0.36%) at 13,909.24 and was down nearly 3% for the week.
The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) pulled back 12 points to 4.055%.
CBOE’s Volatility Index (VIX) rose 1 point to 17.33.
Posted on August 4, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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Markets: Stocks held steady despite a jump in bond yields (which typically sends equities lower). Gas station, oil prices continued their upward march.
Economy: Jobs Report at 8:30am ET today, as the government will drop the employment situation for July. It is expected to show a softening—but still healthy—labor market. Economists will be especially dialed in to wage growth for insights on the future trajectory of inflation. Workers getting big raises could put upward pressure on prices.
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Here is where the major benchmarks ended yesterday:
The S&P 500® Index (SPX) was down 11.50 points (0.3%) at 4,501.89; the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) was down 66.63 points (0.2%) at 35,215.89; the NASDAQ Composite (COMP) was down 13.73 points (0.1%) at 13,959.72.
The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was up about 11 basis points at 4.185%.
CBOE’s Volatility Index (VIX) was down 0.11 at 15.98.
Energy was among the strongest sectors Thursday as crude oil futures surged nearly 3%. Consumer Discretionary shares and regional bank stocks recovered some of their losses from the day before.
Utilities were among the weakest sectors, with the Philadelphia Utility Index (UTY) dropping near a four-week low.
Posted on August 1, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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This week executives from Pfizer, Moderna, AmerisourceBergen, Cigna, and other health companies are set to update investors on their latest financials and product offerings.
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Markets: Stocks ended the day in the green closing out a July where all three major indexes ticked up—the NASDAQ most of all. It was the S&P 500’s fifth-straight month of gains, giving the index its best streak since 2021.
Palantir became the latest company to get a big AI boost after one analyst dubbed it the “Messi of A.I.” because the software company is poised to become a major player.
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The Biden administration just announced it is forming a new Office of Long COVID Research and Practice to study the condition and help those who have been diagnosed with it. The office, which will be under the Department of Health and Human Services, “is charged with on-going coordination of the whole-of-government response to the longer-term effects of COVID-19,” according to a news release.
Posted on July 30, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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The average price for a gallon of gasoline in the US just rose to an eight-month high of $3.71, as per AAA. While that’s far below last summer’s peak of $5.02 per gallon, gas prices have been creeping up due to refineries going offline unexpectedly and higher demand for oil at a time when supply isn’t there to meet it.
Bloomberg Opinion’s oil guru, Javier Blas, notes that global oil consumption has likely reached a record high.
Posted on July 7, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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When markets closed Friday, Apple’s market capitalization was over $3 trillion, making it the most valuable company — ever. It’s a massive milestone for the tech giant, which warned investors in May that its current quarter revenue was expected to decline. But Friday’s stock price increasing by just over 2 percent to close at $193.97 per share suggests that investors are still confident in the company, a bright spot in an industry that has otherwise been rocked by layoffs over the past year.
Curiously, Goldman Sachs is considering exiting its partnership with Apple, the Wall Street Journal reported on Friday, citing sources familiar with the matter.
The iPhone-maker and Goldman Sachs started rolling out a virtual credit card in 2019. The bank is in talks with American Express to take over its Apple credit card and other ventures with the tech giant, the report added.
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Here is where the major benchmarks ended:
The S&P 500 Index was up 53.94 points (1.2%) at 4,450.38, a gain of 16% for the first half of 2023. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) was up 283.18 points (0.8%) at 34,407.60, up 3.8% in the first half. The NASDAQ Composite was up 196.59 points (1.5%) at 13,787.92 for a first-half gain of 32%.
The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was down about 2 basis points at 3.837%.
CBOE’s Volatility Index (VIX) was down 0.15 at 13.39.
Oilfield services companies and others in energy led sector gainers Friday, after crude oil futures rose 1% (though oil prices are down 12% so far this year).
Technology and Consumer Discretionary stocks were also strong performers, while regional banks were among the laggards. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) eased slightly. It is down about 0.5% for the first half.
Posted on July 4, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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July Fourth is Today
If you haven’t bought supplies for your cookout yet, you’ll find that sirloin steak and processed cheese for your burger are more expensive than last July Fourth, but chicken and eggs are cheaper, according to Wells Fargo’s Chief Agricultural Economist Michael Swanson.
Plus, filling up your gas tank will cost you about $1.30 less per gallon than a year ago, per AAA.
Jobs Report Incoming
The June jobs report highlights a relatively slow week for economic data. Once again, like in every month before it since January 2021, the report is expected to show that companies are still on the hiring grind, adding an estimated 225,000 new jobs last month.
Posted on June 15, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
UnitedHealth Group expects to spend more of its members’ premiums on medical care in the second quarter, driven by a rise in outpatient care for Americans 65 and older in Medicare plans, CFO John Rex said Tuesday at a Goldman Sachs investor conference. Speaking at a Goldman Sachs healthcare conference, Tim Noel, CEO of UnitedHealth’s Medicare and retirement business, pointed to elevated demand for outpatient procedures from Medicare patients, per Reuters.
“We’re seeing that more seniors are just more comfortable accessing services for things that they might have pushed off a bit like knees and hips,” Noel reportedly said at the conference. The elevated demand is expected to increase the company’s second-quarter costs and premiums look set to lag spending on claims. As a result, UnitedHealth said it expects its medical loss ratio for full-year 2023 to be in the upper end of its prior outlook.
But, following the news, RBC Capital analyst Ben Hendrix reiterated UnitedHealth with an Outperform and maintained its $592 price target. Mizuho analyst Ann Hynes also reiterated UnitedHealth with a Buy and a $600 price target.
The S&P 500 Index was up 3.58 points (0.1%) at 4,372.59; the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) was down 232.79 (0.7%) at 33,979.33; the NASDAQ Composite was up 53.16 (0.4%) at 13,626.48.
The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was down about 4 basis points at 3.80%.
Cboe’s Volatility Index (VIX) was down 0.74 at 13.87.
Regional banks and retail were among the weakest sectors Wednesday. The KBW Regional Banking Index (KRX) tumbled from a 14-month high earlier in the day, ending down nearly 3%. Small-caps stocks also took a hit, as the Russell 2000 Index (RUT) fell 1.2%. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) rebounded sharply from a four-week low, boosted by the indications rates will stay higher for longer.
Posted on June 14, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
FLAG DAY 2023
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Measured year over year, inflation slowed to just 4 per cent in May — the lowest 12-month figure in over two years and well below April’s 4.9 per cent annual rise. The pullback was driven by tumbling gas prices and smaller increases in grocery prices and other items.
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Here is where the major benchmarks ended, today:
The S&P 500® Index was up 30.08 points (0.7%) at 4,369.01; the Dow Jones industrial average was up 145.79 (0.4%) at 34,212.12; the NASDAQ Composite was up 111.40 (0.8%) at 13,573.32.
The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was up about 6 basis points at 3.829%.
CBOE’s Volatility Index (VIX) was down 0.4 at 14.61.
Regional banks and oilfield services stocks led the gainers Tuesday. Crude oil futures rose 3% on expectations of stronger demand from China. Small-caps were also strong, with the Russell 2000 Index (RUT) rising more than 1% to its highest level since early March. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) fell to its lowest level in more than three weeks thanks to expectations interest rates could be near their peak.
Posted on June 9, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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Former President Trump says he has been indicted on federal charges that emerged out of Special Counsel Jack Smith’s months-long investigation.
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Middle income home buyers in the United States are finding little on the market to buy, even if they can qualify and afford a mortgage. These would-be buyers face the most severe housing shortage of any other income bracket, according to a new analysis from the National Association of Realtors and Realtor.com that found the market is short more than 300,000 affordable homes for these buyers.
The report defined a middle-income home buyer as someone in a household earning up to $75,000 a year, the median household income in the United States. Given that income, these buyers can purchase homes valued up to $256,000 without being overburdened with housing costs. And there are a lot fewer homes in this category than a few years ago. Middle-income buyers can afford to buy less than a quarter — only 23% — of listings that are currently on the market. Five years ago, this income group could afford to buy half of all available homes, according to the report.
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Here is where the major benchmarks ended yesterday:
The S&P 500 Index was up 26.41 points (0.6%) at 4293.93; the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) was up 168.59 (0.5%) at 33,833.61; the NASDAQ Composite (COMPX) was up 134 points (1.02%) at 13,238.52.
The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was little changed at 3.714%.
CBOE’s Volatility Index (VIX) was down 0.29 at 13.65.
Retail and Consumer Discretionary stocks led gains Thursday among S&P 500 sectors, while technology stocks were also strong. Small-cap stocks eased, but the Russell 2000 (RUT) is still up 2.7% for the week. Energy stocks slumped after reports of a possible nuclear deal between the U.S. and Iran sent WTI crude oil futures down nearly 2%. Volatility fell near a two-year low.
Posted on April 30, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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Eli Lilly (NYSE: LLY) investors continued to be in a good mood about their stock on Friday. Following the estimates-beating first quarter reported by the big pharmaceutical company the previous morning, they traded the shares up by 1.4% on the final trading day of the week. That eclipsed the 0.8% gain of the S&P 500 index.
Researchers at MIT have created a new type of tabletop printer that spits out vaccine doses on demand in the form of thumbnail-size microneedle patches. Once scaled, this mobile technology could produce hundreds of doses per day, revolutionizing pandemic response. And in a boon for warmer or more remote parts of the world, the vaccine patches can be stored at room temperature for months before they’re slapped on—no refrigeration or professional administering required.
Posted on April 20, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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Meta Platforms, the billionaire’s social media empire, will reportedly cut thousands more jobs. And the bloodbath is not over, according to the latest reports. Meta plans to eliminate thousands more jobs. According to Bloomberg News, an internal memo has been sent to managers, asking them to prepare for tough new announcements. The job cuts, which total 4,000, are expected to affect Facebook, WhatsApp and Instagram. They would also affect Reality Labs, the division that houses the group’s Metaverse projects — Quest virtual-reality headsets. In 2021 and 2022, Reality Labs, which is supposed to build the company’s next big thing, recorded a cumulative loss of nearly $24 billion, including $13.7 billion just last year.
And, Walt Disney Company plans to cut thousands of jobs next week, in another lay-off round that includes about 15% of the staff in its entertainment division, according to people familiar with the plans. Disney Entertainment will bear a significant chunk of the job cuts – with approximately 15% of the division’s staffers set to exit next week, according to a report. Disney has more than 200,000 employees across its various businesses.
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And now, the Markets:
The S&P 500 Index fell 0.35 point to 4154.52; the Dow Jones industrial average was down 79.62 (0.2%) at 33,897.01; the NASDAQ Composite was up 3.81 at 12,157.23.
The 10-year Treasury yield was up about 2 basis points at 3.60%.
CBOE’s Volatility Index was down 0.37 at 16.46.
Transportation was one of the top gainers among S&P 500 sectors yesterday, thanks in part to strength in United Airlines (UAL) and other top carriers. Real estate and financials were also higher, while oilfield services stocks were among the weakest performers due to a sharp drop in crude oil prices. WTI futures fell below $80, their lowest level in nearly three weeks.
Oil prices rallied at the start of this month after members of OPEC+ announced a production cut.
The domestic stock markets owe much of their resilience today to the strength of the biggest companies, which investors tend to favor when recessions appear likely, though financial stocks have lagged most of the year, according to Liz Ann Sonders, chief investment strategist at the Schwab Center for Financial Research. Indeed, small-cap stocks were notable laggards yesterday, with the Russell 2000 index falling more than 1%.
The markets appear convinced the Fed will raise its benchmark interest rate by another quarter of a point in May, taking it to a range of 5%–5.25%, even after the larger-than-expected de-celerations in both consumer and producer prices reported earlier this week.
The following is a round-up of yesterday’s market activity:
The S&P 500 Index was down 8.58 (0.2%) at 4137.64; the Dow Jones industrial average was down 143.22 (0.4%) at 33,886.47; the NASDAQ Composite was down 42.81 (0.4%) at 12,123.47.
The 10-year Treasury yield was up about 6 basis points at 3.515%.
CBOE’s Volatility Index was down 0.73 at 17.07.
Among S&P 500 sectors, real estate and utilities were among the weaker performers yesterday. Notwithstanding the day’s weakness, volatility expectations as measured by the VIX dropped to its lowest level since late 2021.
WTI crude oil futures rose modestly and have surged about 24% over the past four weeks, illustrating still-present inflationary forces.
Posted on March 9, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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CREDIT SUISSE:
Equities revenue plummeted 95% in the fourth quarter
CS earlier informally looked at options for unit -sources
CS declined comment on ‘rumors and speculation’, and
In the latest piece of troubling news, the beleaguered Swiss bank delayed the publication of its 2022 annual report following a “late call” from the US Securities and Exchange Commission on Wednesday evening. The SEC got in touch over revisions the bank had previously made to its cash flow statements for 2019 and 2020,
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U.S. equities finished mixed following yesterday’s rout, as investors digested a second day of testimony from Fed Chair Jerome Powell. The Chairman remained hawkish in his commentary, where he suggested rates may need to accelerate more than initially expected and may need to stay higher for longer than originally anticipated. Adding to the uncertainty, the afternoon release of the Fed’s Beige Book showed little change from the last installment.
Treasury yields were mixed with the yield curve inversion worsening, and the U.S. dollar was flat after yesterday’s rally. Crude oil prices were lower, and gold was little changed in choppy action. News on the equity front was light, as CrowdStrike topped quarterly earnings estimates and offered upbeat guidance, while UPS reiterated its full-year outlook.
The economic calendar was tilted toward labor data, as job openings dipped but remained elevated, and ADP’s private sector employment report bested forecasts ahead of Friday’s key non-farm payroll release.
Elsewhere, mortgage applications snapped a three-week losing streak, and the trade deficit came in slightly smaller than projected. Asia finished mixed and Europe also diverged, as the global markets processed the testimony from Fed Chairman Powell.
Posted on February 17, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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Gasoline prices have unexpectedly risen in January, at a time when Americans normally stay put and demand remains relatively flat. Last week, the national average price for regular gas crept up to $3.51 a gallon, according to the American Automobile Association (AAA), jumping up by 12 cents compared to a week before and 41 cents in December. As of today, regular gas was on average $3.49 a gallon. It was a dark surprise for American consumers wary of the skyrocketing prices experienced last summer when gas reached a record height of $5.02 a gallon on average nationwide
U.S. equities declined sharply following another hotter-than-expected read on inflation, as well as hawkish commentary from Fed officials, which seemed to complicate the outlook for further monetary policy tightening. January’s Producer Price Index (PPI) came in above estimates, causing more Fed uncertainty that had already ramped up following this week’s elevated consumer inflation report, and yesterday’s much stronger-than-anticipated retail sales data. A busy day of economic data also included a lower-than-projected level of jobless claims, softer-than-forecasted housing construction activity, and an unexpected tumble in manufacturing activity out of Philadelphia.
Treasury yields were higher following the inflation report, and the U.S. dollar increased, while crude oil prices nudged lower, and gold was little changed. Q4 earnings season continued to roll on, with Dow member Cisco Systems topping forecasts, though Shopify offered disappointing revenue guidance, and Paramount missed expectations.
Asian and European stocks finished higher for the most part, as investors grappled with the U.S. inflation data and monetary policy uncertainty.
Posted on December 2, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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The cost of gasoline is falling so fast that it is beginning to put real money back in the pockets of drivers, defying earlier projections and offering an unexpected gift for the holidays.Filling up is now as cheap as it was in February, just before Russia’s invasion of Ukraine touched off a global energy crisis. AAA reported the average nationwide price of a gallon of regular Wednesday was $3.50, and gas price tracking company GasBuddy projected it could drop below $3 by Christmas. And all of that relief probably helped drive robust shopping over Thanksgiving weekend.
U.S. stocks ended mixed in a choppy trading session. The market struggled to continue yesterday’s surge, which came as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell provided some less hawkish commentary. The Fed Chief suggested that the Central Bank could slow the pace of its aggressive rate hiking campaign as early as this month.
The economic front provided some reports that shaped market action, as personal income and spending rose solidly and inflation cooled off but remained elevated, while jobless claims moderated more than expected. However, the ISM Manufacturing Index fell into contraction territory for the first time since May 2020, and construction spending declined more than expected. Earnings reports continued to pour in, as Kroger topped expectations, while Costco Wholesale’s November sales growth came in below predictions, and Dollar General missed earnings estimates while also providing some disappointing guidance.
Additionally, Dow member Salesforce’s billings performance missed, and the company announced that its co-CEO will step down.
Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar extended yesterday’s drops, while crude oil and gold prices rallied.
Asian stocks gained ground and European stocks ended mostly higher, as the global markets appeared to get some relief from the Fed Chair’s commentary but economic data was lackluster.
Posted on November 8, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
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By Staff Reporters
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The outcome of today’s midterm elections could be influenced by something the government has little control over: the cost of filling up your car with gas. Since the 1970s, presidential approval ratings have tended to sag when gas prices rise. And that correlation has been especially pronounced this year as inflation has run rampant and gas prices have spiked.
The Washington Post found that the share of Americans who said the country was on the right track has moved remarkably in sync with gas prices.
Since gas prices peaked in June, the correlation between Democratic generic-ballot polling and the price of gas clocked in at minus-.91, nearly a perfect inverse correlation (which is minus-1).
NOTE: Recall that correlation is NOT causation!
Why are gas prices so powerful?
Gas prices are the only consumer good whose price we’re reminded of virtually every time we leave the house, experts say. Unlike salmon fish or outdoor patio furniture, ties, shirts or sneakers, the price of gas is advertised in size-500 font on huge signs that you can’t help but notice. In fact, gas prices have been so beaten into us that they can change our behavior over decades. Researchers at the University of Pennsylvania discovered that people who experienced raging gas prices in their formative driving years in the 1970s seemed less likely to drive to work 20 years later than other age cohorts.
The curious part about the link between voter sentiment and gas prices is that gas prices have very little to do with the White House. Gas prices are largely influenced by the price of crude oil, which is a globally traded commodity. That commodity has been dealt a shock this year by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, technical snags with refineries in the US, and OPEC+’s production cuts.
Still, President Biden’s team is fully aware of the importance of gas prices, which explains his incessant attacks on oil companies’ windfall profits, his releasing of crude from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, and his visit to Saudi Arabia, a major oil producer.
Price check?
The current national average for a gallon of unleaded gas is $3.80, per AAA. That’s roughly the same as a month ago, down significantly from the record of more than $5, but about 38 cents more than a year ago.
Posted on September 12, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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Coal is making a comeback as Europe races to find alternatives to Russian natural gas. The price of coal is 5 times higher than normal as countries try to secure energy supply for winter. Surging natural gas prices and a hydro-power crunch are other factors, too.
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Gasoline prices fell sharply in August, airfares dropped and used cars and hotels ebbed, while rent increases also gave hints of slowing, according to private firms that track such data.
Still, food prices continued to soar this past month and prices for a range of goods and services remained much higher than a year earlier, the figures show.
The path of inflation could influence looming decisions by the Federal Reserve about how high to lift interest rates. Inflation could also shape midterm elections as voters assess their pocketbooks.
Posted on July 18, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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West Texas Intermediate crude for August delivery rose $1.81, or 1.9%, to close at $97.59 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The U.S. benchmark suffered a 6.9% weekly fall.
September Brent crude the global benchmark, gained $2.06, or 2.1%, to settle at $101.16 a barrel on ICE Futures Europe. Brent fell 5.5% for the week.
Back on Nymex, August gasoline rose 0.8% to end at $3.2132 a gallon, while August heating oil rose 1.4% to $3.699 a gallon. Gasoline rose 6.8% for the week, while heating oil was up 0.7%.
August natural gas rose 6.3% to $7.016 per million British thermal units, pushing it to a 16.3% weekly gain.
Posted on June 23, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
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The rate of inflation rose again in May, remaining at 40-year highs, the Office for National Statistics revealed. The rate of Consumer Prices Index [CPI] inflation rose slightly to 9.1 per cent in May from 9 per cent in April, according to the ONS. The increase matches what analysts had expected. And, supply constraints, exacerbated by Russia’s war in Ukraine account for about half of the surge in US inflation, with demand currently making up a third of the increase, according to new research from the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
US gasoline futures are about 13% below the record high seen earlier this month and pump prices have dropped for more than seven days straight — the biggest run of losses since April — after rising to a fresh peak early last week, as recession concerns grip the market. Oil prices have tumbled toward $100 a barrel as traders fear that sharply higher interest rates would slow down economic growth and lead to demand destruction. The AAA reports that the average price of a gallon of regular gas slipped 6 cents since last week, to $4.955.
U.S. online trading firms specializing in crypto were hit hard after BinanceUS, an arm of the word’s biggest digital currency exchange, eliminated its bitcion spot trading fees. BinanceUS will now allow its users to trade bitcoin, the biggest cryptocurrency, against assets such as the U.S. dollar, tether, and other dollar-backed stablecoins for free, eliminating its prior levy of 0.1% on transaction valued at less than $50,000.00.
Altria’s big tumble—the tobacco company owns a 35% stake in Juul, and a WSJ report suggested the FDA could order Juul to yank its products off the market imminently.
Posted on June 22, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
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Cathie Wood warned that the Federal Reserve could cause a recession if it keeps hiking interest rates. The US central bank is ignoring three indicators that might show inflation easing, according to the Ark Invest CIO. First, aggressive hikes are unnecessary because inflation is already easing. Second, she pointed to the stagnating prices of gold and lumber, which are often seen as leading inflation indicators. “After soaring from $1,350/ounce pre-COVID to a peak of nearly $2,000 [an ounce] during 2020, the gold price has dropped back to $1,840 [an ounce] during the past two years. “The lumber price has dropped more than 50%.” Finally, Wood said fuel prices have likely peaked as Americans increasingly turn to electric vehicles. Surging oil prices have been one of the main drivers of inflation this year, with Brent crude up 48.3% to over $115 a barrel.
The IRS says it is climbing out from under the unprecedented stack of tax returns that piled up after the agency had to scale back its operations and close facilities in 2020 following the onset of the pandemic. The agency announced that by the end of this week it will have cleared all original individual tax returns that were filed in 2021 and that didn’t contain any major mistakes. “Due to issues related to the pandemic and staffing limitations, the IRS began 2022 with a larger than usual inventory of paper tax returns and correspondence filed during 2021,” the IRS said in a statement. “The IRS took a number of steps to address this, and the agency is on track to complete processing of originally filed Form 1040 (individual tax returns without errors) received in 2021 this week.”
Another record for US single-family rents, which jumped 14% year-over-year in April, marking the 13th period of record-breaking annual gains.
Markets: Stocks bounced yesterday after their worst week in two years, led by energy stocks and Big Tech companies. Cypto even rose. Today, investors will be glued to Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s testimony on Capitol Hill. They want to know whether Powell expects to hike interest rates by another 75 basis points next month.
Posted on June 12, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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The price of gas rose to $5.01, according to AAA. Gas hit the $5 mark for the first time ever as part of a record setting run. The average price jumped 18 cents in the previous week, and was $1.92 higher than this time last year.
Development of a smartwatch that was going to feature dual cameras was stopped by MetaPlatforms (META) – Get Meta Platforms Inc. Report, the parent company of Facebook, a source told Bloomberg. But, the social media company is working on the development of other devices that will be worn on the wrist.
In May, the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers rose 1.0 percent, seasonally adjusted, and rose 8.6 percent over the last 12 months, not seasonally adjusted. The index for all items less food and energy increased 0.6 percent in May (SA); up 6.0 percent over the year (NSA).
The Securities and Exchange Commission is aiming to shake up the mechanics of US stock trading in the wake of last year’s meme-stock frenzy, and some experts in the markets say changes could lead to a shift back to retail investors paying commissions to make trades. Proposed changes to market-structure rules could lead to retail investors paying commissions on trades again. SEC Chairman Gensler is proposing the agency consider sending retail stock orders to auctions.
Finally, sales of luxury homes in the U.S. fell by 17.8% as compared to the year before, according to Redfin, for the three months ending April 30th. In contrast, non-luxury homes fell by 5.4% over the same period.
Posted on June 8, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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Economist Paul Krugman just compared the cryptocurrency boom to the mid-2000s housing bubble. According to BIA, the Nobel laureate noted that, just like during the housing boom, it seems ridiculous to question an asset class that has become so valuable and attracted so many influential promoters. It sounds absurd to suggest crypto is “a house built not on sand, but on nothing at all.” Yet Krugman’s assessment is precisely that. “If you ask me, it looks as if we’ve gone from the Big Short to the Big Scam.”
The SEC is considering sending retail stock orders to auctions under a new proposal. Trading firms could be forced to compete in auctions to execute retail stock orders under the planned proposals. It comes after the regulator focused on payment-for-order flow as a barrier to market efficiency.
Cathie Wood’s Ark Investment Management is suffering a steeper drop in assets than almost any other US exchange-traded fund issuer this year. Ark’s lineup holds $15.3 billion across nine ETFs, a 48% decrease from the start of 2022, according to data compiled by Bloomberg Intelligence through June 1st. That’s the biggest collapse in assets among the 25 largest US issuers.
The average price per gallon of gasoline in the U.S. reached a new high of $4.92. In Michigan the average sits higher at $5.17 per gallon, according to AAA’s tracker.
The World Bank released a grim forecast for the global economy, concluding that “for many countries, recession will be hard to avoid.” Disruptions from the war in Ukraine, Covid lockdowns in China, and ongoing supply shortages could lead to 1970s-style “stagflation”—and hit low- and middle-income countries the hardest.
Posted on April 19, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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Markets: Stocks dipped to start off the week without many market-moving developments. Twitter’s use of a “poison pill” to prevent Elon Musk from taking over the company was a hit with investors, who sent shares soaring yesterday. The company’s stock is up more than 23% since Musk revealed he owned a 9.2% stake.
NASDAQ: 13,332.36-0.14%
S&P: 4,391.69-0.02%
Dow: 34,411.69
Commodities: Prices up. Corn hit a nine-year high in part due to the war in Ukraine, while US natural gas prices reached their highest level in 13 years ahead of an unusual April snowstorm hitting the Northeast. Natural gas prices have more than doubled so far this year.
Posted on March 6, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
Gas prices just keep climbing higher, and a gallon of regular gas in the U.S. will likely average $4 before the end of the weekend. The national average for a gallon of regular gasoline rose to $3.92 Saturday, up from $3.84 on Friday, according to AAA.
Prices had risen 11 cents Friday, up from $3.73 on Thursday. That followed an 11-cent increase between Monday and Thursday. Prices averaged $3.60 a week ago and $3.44 a month ago. And, this week’s increases suggest it is likely the national average “could creep over $4/gallon tomorrow” .
Moreover, don’t look for gas prices to hold at $4 nationally. Many places are seeing gas of $5 or more already. The average price per gallon in California has surpassed $5 at $5.18, the most expensive market in the U.S., the AAA said.
Several other states have already surpassed the average $4 per gallon, according to AAA:
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S&P: 4,391.69-0.02%
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