PODCAST: Secret to Primary Care Profitability

By Eric Bricker MD

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HISTORY: Medical Education and Practice in the USA

Domestic Medical SCHOOL Education

Robert James Cimasi

Todd A. Zigrang

Health Capital Consultants - Healthcare Valuation

U.S. medical education began in the late eighteenth century as an apprenticeship program in which physicians taught their trade to a few pupils, a pedagogical learning style which relied heavily upon the capacity, skills, and knowledge of the individual physician.[1] However, as learning newly discovered information and utilizing new technologies became more necessary to the industry’s practice, many physicians found the apprenticeship system no longer adequate as a manner of educating the next generation of physicians.[2] As a result, the conventional concept of medical education that originated in the U.S. in the 1750s was manifested through informal courses and demonstrations by private individuals or for-profit institutions. Those individuals who were not satisfied with a typical U.S. medical education, consisting of two identical 16-week lecture terms, might venture to Europe for a more formalized and detailed manner of learning.[3]

One of these students who studied in Europe was William Shippen, who began teaching an informal course on midwifery when he returned to the American colonies in 1762.[4] He later addressed the limitations of what might be taught in one informal course when he began teaching a lecture series on anatomy to help educate those who wished to be a physician, but could not travel abroad. John Morgan, a classmate of Shippen, noticed the potential of his friend’s endeavor and proposed the idea to create a professorship for the practice of medicine to the board of trustees of the College of Philadelphia.[5] Just across town, Thomas Bond, who conceived the idea of, and successfully established, the Pennsylvania Hospital with Benjamin Franklin, recognized the value to allowing medical students to participate in bedside training.[6] When Bond agreed to a partnership with the College of Philadelphia, the University of Pennsylvania became home to America’s first medical school.[7]

In 1893, Johns Hopkins University also made history by housing the first medical school that was able to operate out of a university-owned hospital.[8] The medical school not only encouraged clinical research to be performed by every member of their faculty, but the program also included a clinical research clerkship for every student during their rotation.[9] This program quickly became the model to which schools aspired and set the foundation for national medical education by connecting science and medical research with clinical medicine.[10]

With these early examples of medical schools, America’s field of medical education and clinical medicine made monumental strides. However, the societal pressures, caused by the U.S.’s population growth and demand for educated physicians,[11] did not allow many other universities to build on Johns Hopkins’ or the University of Pennsylvania’s foundation model, and led to the development of medical schools that had their own unique set of entrance and graduation requirements. While some focused entirely on medicine, other schools (termed Studia Generalia) also incorporated law, theology, and philosophy in their curricula.[12] In an attempt to both understand and make uniform the field of medical education, the American Medical Association (AMA) founded the Council on Medical Education (CME) in 1904.[13] The CME created minimum national educational standards for training physicians, and subsequently found that many schools did not meet these established standards.[14] However, the CME did not share the ratings of any of these medical schools “outside the medical fraternity.”[15]

In 1910, the AMA commissioned the Carnegie Foundation for Advancement of Teaching to conduct a study of medical education and schools.[16] Abraham Flexner conducted the inquiry and detailed his findings in what became known as The Flexner Report.[17] In his review of the U.S. medical education system, Flexner found that many of the proprietary medical schools met the AMA’s educational goals, but an imbalance existed between the pursuit of science and medical education.[18]  Professors were focused solely on student throughput, and did not ensure a high level of medical training that reflected the developments in the medical industry.[19] As aptly noted by Dr. John Roberts in his book entitled The Doctor’s Duty to the State, “[m]any of you remember the struggle to wrest from medical teachers the power to create medical practitioners with almost no real knowledge of medicine. The medical schools of that day were, in many instances, conducted merely as money-makers for the professors.”[20] As the AMA gained more influence over the provision of healthcare in the U.S., the value and power of medical education also gained recognition. Notably, teaching hospitals had the power to influence the development of their disciplines through their research initiatives, the quality of care they provided, and their ability to operate as an economy of scale, allowing them to dictate the evolution of medical education.[21]

Since the establishment of the first medical school in the U.S., medical education has been the foundation for shaping standards of care in the practice of medicine and defining medical errors as deviations from the norms of clinical care.[22] When Thomas Bond helped establish the University of Pennsylvania medical school, he envisioned a normal day where the physician:

…meets his pupils at stated times in the Hospital, and when a case presents adapted to his purpose, he asks all those Questions which lead to a certain knowledge of the Disease and parts affected; and if the Disease baffles the power of Art and the Patient falls a Sacrifice to it, he then brings his Knowledge to the Test, and fixes Honour [sic] or discredit on his Reputation by exposing all the Morbid parts to View, and Demonstrates by what means it produced Death, and if perchance he finds something unexpected, which Betrays an Error in Judgement [sic], he like a great and good man immediately acknowledges the mistake, and, for the benefit of survivors, points out other methods by which it might have been more happily treated.[23]

Originally, students were to study and learn from medical errors and adverse events through medical education as a means of improving the quality of care. However, it is difficult to effectively implement any significant advancement learned through the research and investigation of prior errors in a timely and cost-effective manner. Additionally, physician supply shortages have only increased the amount of patients that a physician must see daily, while simultaneously decreasing the amount of time they can spend with each patient. Although medical education continues to be one of the central underpinnings to the development of the medical industry, outside pressures that shape the clinical practice of physicians continue to limit physician effectiveness in providing quality care to patients.[24]

While improving the quality and rigor of medical education has been a constant focus throughout the history of U.S. medical education, the challenges of replicating it on a scale that produces enough qualified physicians to meet the growing demands of the U.S. population, with constantly changing technologies, has consistently been a central issue. Notably, in the 13 years preceding 1980, the ratio of actively practicing physicians to patients increased by 50%.[25] This increased physician-to-patient ratio led to concerns over quality of care and cost-effectiveness, which in turn caused the creation of a government committee to evaluate physician manpower allocation and distribution. The Graduate Medical Education National Advisory Committee (GMENAC) was first chartered in April 1976, and later extended through September 1980.[26] Its purpose was to “analyze the distribution among specialties of physicians and medical students and to evaluate alternative approaches to ensure an appropriate balance,”as well as to“encourage bodies controlling the number, types, and geographic location of graduate training positions to provide leadership in achieving the recommended balance.”[27] GMENAC produced seven volumes of recommendations regarding physician manpower supply,[28]  through the development of several models by which to determine the projected number of physicians that would be needed in the future by different subspecialties to achieve “a better balance of physicians.”[29] Ignoring critics of the report, U.S. medical schools adjusted their enrollment numbers in response to the GMENAC’s recommendations, causing a significant decrease in the supply of new physicians going into the 21st century.

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History of Conventional Medicine - 24 Hour Translation ...

[1]       “Healthcare Valuation: The Four Pillars of Healthcare Value,” Volume 1, Robert James Cimasi, MHA, ASA, FRRICS, MCBA, CVA, CM&AA, John Wiley & Sons, Hoboken, NJ: 2014, p. 22-23.RR

[2]       “Before There Was Flexner,” American Medical Student Association, 2014,

         http://www.amsa.org/AMSA/Homepage/MemberCenter/Premeds/edRx/Before.aspx (Accessed 1/7/15).

[3]       “Time to Heal: American Medical Education from the Turn of the Century to the Era of Managed Care,” By Kenneth M. Ludmerer, New York, NY:

          Oxford University Press, 1999, p. 4.

[4]       “The Flexner Report on Medical Education in the United States and Canada in 1910,” By Abraham Flexner, Bethesda, MD: Science and Health

         Publications, Inc., p. 3-5.

[5]       “The Flexner Report on Medical Education in the United States and Canada in 1910,” By Abraham Flexner, Bethesda, MD: Science and Health

         Publications, Inc., p. 3-5.

[6]       “The Flexner Report on Medical Education in the United States and Canada in 1910,” By Abraham Flexner, Bethesda, MD: Science and Health

         Publications, Inc., p. 3-5.

[7]       “Before There Was Flexner,” American Medical Student Association, 2014,

         http://www.amsa.org/AMSA/Homepage/MemberCenter/Premeds/edRx/Before.aspx (Accessed 1/7/15).

[8]       “Time to Heal: American Medical Education from the Turn of the Century to the Era of Managed Care,” By Kenneth M. Ludmerer, New York, NY:

          Oxford University Press, 1999, p. 18-19.

[9]       “Time to Heal: American Medical Education from the Turn of the Century to the Era of Managed Care,” By Kenneth M. Ludmerer, New York, NY:

          Oxford University Press, 1999, p. 18-19.

[10]     “Science and Social Work:  A Critical Appraisal,” By Stuart A. Kirk, and William James Reid, New York, NY: Columbia University Press, 2002, Chapter 1, p. 2-3.

[11]     “The Flexner Report on Medical Education in the United States and Canada in 1910,” By Abraham Flexner, Bethesda, MD: Science and Health

          Publications, Inc., p. 6-7.

[12]     “Western Medicine: An Illustrated History,” By Irvine Loudon, New York, NY: Oxford University Press, 1997, p. 58.

[13]     “Western Medicine: An Illustrated History,” By Irvine Loudon, New York, NY: Oxford University Press, 1997, p. 58.

[14]     “Western Medicine: An Illustrated History,” By Irvine Loudon, New York, NY: Oxford University Press, 1997, p. 58.

[15]     “Western Medicine: An Illustrated History,” By Irvine Loudon, New York, NY: Oxford University Press, 1997, p. 58.

[16]     “U.S. Health Policy and Politics: A Documentary History,” By Kevin Hillstrom, Thousand Oaks, CA: CQ Press, 2012, p. 141.

[17]     “The Flexner Report on Medical Education in the United States and Canada in 1910,” By Abraham Flexner, Bethesda, MD: Science and Health

         Publications, Inc., p. 3-19.

[18]     “The Flexner Report on Medical Education in the United States and Canada in 1910,” By Abraham Flexner, Bethesda, MD: Science and Health

         Publications, Inc., p. 3-19.

[19]     “The Flexner Report on Medical Education in the United States and Canada in 1910,” By Abraham Flexner, Bethesda, MD: Science and Health

         Publications, Inc., p. 3-19.

[20]     “The Doctor’s Duty to the State: Essays on The Public Relations of Physicians,” By John B. Roberts, AM, MD, Chicago, IL: American Medical Association Press, 1908, p. 23.

[21]     “Time to Heal: American Medical Education from the Turn of the Century to the Era of Managed Care,” By Kenneth M. Ludmerer, New York, NY:

          Oxford University Press, 1999, p. 19.

[22]     “Science and Social Work:  A Critical Appraisal,” By Stuart A. Kirk, and William James Reid, New York: Columbia University Press, 2002, Chapter 1, p. 2-3.

[23]     “Dr. Thomas Bond’s Essay on the Utility of Clinical Lectures,” By Carl Bridenbaugh, Journal of the History of Medicine (Winter 1947), p. 14; “The Flexner Report on Medical Education in the United States and Canada in 1910,” By Abraham Flexner, Bethesda, MD: Science and Health

         Publications, Inc., p. 4.

[24]     “Time to Heal: American Medical Education from the Turn of the Century to the Era of Managed Care,” By Kenneth M. Ludmerer, New York, NY:

          Oxford University Press, 1999, p. xxi.

[25]     “How many doctors are enough?” By J.E. Harris, Health Affairs, Vol. 5, No. 4 (1986), p.74.

[26]   “Report of the Graduate Medical Education National Advisory Committee to the Secretary, Department of Health and Human Services – Volume VII,” Graduate Medical Education National Advisory Committee, Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office, 1981, p. 5, 16.

[27]     “Report of the Graduate Medical Education National Advisory Committee to the Secretary, Department of Health and Human Services – Volume VII,” Graduate Medical Education National Advisory Committee, Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office, 1981, p. 73.

[28]     “Report of the Graduate Medical Education National Advisory Committee to the Secretary, Department of Health and Human Services – Volume VII,” Graduate Medical Education National Advisory Committee, Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office, 1981, p. 5-6.

[29]     “GMENAC: Its Manpower Forecasting Framework,” By D.R. McNutt, American Journal of Public Health, Vol. 71, No. 10 (October 1981), p. 1119.

[30]     “Crossing the Quality Chasm: A New Health System for the 21st Century,” Institute of Medicine, National Academy of Sciences, 2001, front matter.

[31]     “Overview of Medical Errors and Adverse Events,” By Maité Garrouste-Orgeas, et al., Annals of Intensive Care, Vol. 2, No. 2 (2012), p. 6.

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DAILY UPDATE: FQHCs Down and Healthcare Bankruptcies Up as the Markets Extend Gains

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Low-income communities often struggle to access healthcare services, but a new analysis of federally qualified health centers (FQHCs)—which provide quality care to patients regardless of ability to pay—has helped nail down one reason. When it comes to screening for certain cancers, these nonprofit community health centers have fallen far behind the national average, according to a study led by cancer center researchers at the University of Texas MD Anderson and the University of New Mexico.

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Healthcare bankruptcies surged in 2023, and it turns out many of the companies that went under had one thing in common: private equity (PE) ownership. At least 21% of the 80 healthcare companies that filed for bankruptcy last year were PE-owned, according to a report from the nonprofit Private Equity Stakeholder Project (PESP).

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Warren Buffett on contemplated his own mortality at Berkshire’s meeting. Succession was the topic du jour at the Berkshire Hathaway shareholder meeting in Omaha last week. After his longtime business partner Charlie Munger died last year at 99, CEO Warren Buffett—who turns 94 in August—revealed his heir apparent, Greg Abel, will have the final say on investment decisions in his absence. Buffett ended his Q&A portion with the quip, “I not only hope you come next year. I hope I come next year.” Adding to the ominous vibes, Buffett said AI is a genie that “scares the hell out of me.”

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index climbed 52.95 points (1.0%) to 5,180.74; the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 176.59 points (0.5%) to 38,852.27; the NASDAQ Composite advanced 192.92 points (1.2%) to 16,349.25.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) fell about 1 basis  point to 4.491%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) was little changed at 13.48.

Semiconductors were among the strongest performers Monday behind Micron Technology (MU), whose shares rallied 4.7% after Robert W. Baird upgraded the chipmaker to “outperform” from “neutral.” Micron Technology was the top gainer in the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX), which advanced 2.2% to near a four-week high.

Small-cap stocks also got out of the gate strong this week. The Russell 2000® Index (RUT) gained 1.2% to end at a four-week high but is still up just 1.7% for the year, while the S&P 500 has gained 8.6%.

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FINANCIAL AND HEALTH ECONOMICS BENCH MARKING

Understanding the operational and financial status of your organization or practice

[By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™]

SPONSOR: http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com

Dr. DEMFinancial benchmarking can assist healthcare managers and professional financial advisors in understanding the operational and financial status of their organization or practice.

The general process of financial benchmarking analysis may include three elements: (1) Historical subject benchmarking; (2) Benchmarking to industry norms; and, (3) Financial ratio analysis.

History

Historical subject benchmarking compares a healthcare organization’s most recent performance with its reported performance in the past in order to: examine performance over time; identify changes in performance within the organization (e.g., extraordinary and non-recurring events); and, to predict future performance.

As a form of internal benchmarking, historical subject benchmarking avoids issues such as: differences in data collection and use of measurement tools; and, benchmarking metrics that often cause problems in comparing two different organizations.

However, it is necessary to common size data in order to account for company differences over time that may skew results.

Benchmarking

Benchmarking to industry norms, analogous to Fong and colleagues’ concept of industry benchmarking,   involves comparing internal company-specific data to survey data from other organizations within the same industry. This method of benchmarking provides the basis for comparing the subject entity to similar entities, with the purpose of identifying its relative strengths, weaknesses, and related measures of risk.

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Financial Ratio Analysis

The process of benchmarking against industry averages or norms will typically involve the following steps:

  1. Identification and selection of appropriate surveys to use as a benchmark, i.e., to compare with data from the organization of interest. This involves answering the question, “In which survey would this organization most likely be included?”;
  2. If appropriate, re-categorization and adjustment of the organization’s revenue and expense accounts to optimize data compatibility with the selected survey’s structure and definitions (e.g., common sizing); and,
  3. Calculation and articulation of observed differences of organization from the industry averages and norms, expressed either in terms of variance in ratio, dollar unit amounts, or percentages of variation.

Trends

Financial ratio analysis typically involves the calculation of ratios that are financial and operational measures representative of the financial status of an enterprise.  These ratios are evaluated in terms of their relative comparison to generally established industry norms, which may be expressed as positive or negative trends for that industry sector. The ratios selected may function as several different measures of operating performance or financial condition of the subject entity.

The Selected Ratios

Common types of financial indicators that are measured by ratio analysis include:

  1. Liquidity. Liquidity ratios measure the ability of an organization to meet cash obligations as they become due, i.e., to support operational goals. Ratios above the industry mean generally indicate that the organization is in an advantageous position to better support immediate goals. The current ratio, which quantifies the relationship between assets and liabilities, is an indicator of an organization’s ability to meet short-term obligations. Managers use this measure to determine how quickly assets are converted into cash.
  2. Activity. Activity ratios, also called efficiency ratios, indicate how efficiently the organization utilizes its resources or assets, including cash, accounts receivable, salaries, inventory, property, plant, and equipment. Lower ratios may indicate an inefficient use of those assets.
  3. Leverage. Leverage ratios, measured as the ratio of long-term debt to net fixed assets, are used to illustrate the proportion of funds, or capital, provided by shareholders (owners) and creditors to aid analysts in assessing the appropriateness of an organization’s current level of debt. When this ratio falls equal to or below the industry norm, the organization is typically not considered to be at significant risk.
  4. Profitability. Indicates the overall net effect of managerial efficiency of the enterprise. To determine the profitability of the enterprise for benchmarking purposes, the analyst should first review and make adjustments to the owner(s) compensation, if appropriate. Adjustments for the market value of the “replacement cost” of the professional services provided by the owner are particularly important in the valuation of professional medical practices for the purpose of arriving at an ”economic level” of profit.

Data Homogeneity

The selection of financial ratios for analysis and comparison to the organization’s performance requires careful attention to the homogeneity of data. Benchmarking of intra-organizational data (i.e., internal benchmarking) typically proves to be less variable across several different measurement periods.

However, the use of data from external facilities for comparison may introduce variation in measurement methodology and procedure. In the latter case, use of a standard chart of accounts for the organization or recasting the organization’s data to a standard format can effectively facilitate an appropriate comparison of the organization’s operating performance and financial status data to survey results.

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Operational Performance Benchmarking

Operational benchmarking is used to target non-central work or business processes for improvement.  It is conceptually similar to both process and performance benchmarking, but is generally classified by the application of the results, as opposed to what is being compared.  Operational benchmarking studies tend to be smaller in scope than other types of benchmarking, but, like many other types of benchmarking, are limited by the degree to which the definitions and performance measures used by comparing entities differ.  Common sizing is a technique used to reduce the variations in measures caused by differences (e.g., definition issues) between the organizations or processes being compared.

Common Sizing

Common sizing is a technique used to alter financial operating data prior to certain types of benchmarking analysis and may be useful for any type of benchmarking that requires the comparison of entities that differ on some level (e.g., scope of respective benchmarking measurements, definitions, business processes).  This is done by expressing the data for differing entities in relative (i.e., comparable) terms.

Example:

For example, common sizing is often used to compare financial statements of the same company over different periods of time (e.g., historical subject benchmarking), or of several companies of differing sizes (e.g., benchmarking to industry norms). The latter type may be used for benchmarking an organization to another in its industry, to industry averages, or to the best performing agency in its industry.  Some examples of common size measures utilized in healthcare include:

  1. Percent of revenue or per unit produced, e.g., relative value unit (RVU);
  2. Per provider, e.g., physician;
  3. Per capacity measurement, e.g., per square foot; or,
  4. Other standard units of comparison.

Assessment

As with any data, differences in how data is collected, stored, and analyzed over time or between different organizations may complicate the use of it at a later time.  Accordingly, appropriate adjustments must be made to account for such differences and provide an accurate and reliable dataset for benchmarking.

Conclusion

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HEDGE FUNDS: History in Brief

ABOUT | DAVID EDWARD MARCINKO

BY DR. DAVID E. MARCINKO MBA MEd CMP®

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The investment profession has come a long way since the door-to-door stock salesmen of the 1920s sold a willing public on worthless stock certificates. The stock market crash of 1929 and ensuing Great Depression of the 1930s forever changed the way investment operations are run. A bewildering array of laws and regulations sprung up, all geared to protecting the individual investor from fraud. These laws also set out specific guidelines on what types of investment can be marketed to the general public – and allowed for the creation of a set of investment products specifically not marketed to the general public. These early-mid 20th century lawmakers specifically exempted from the definition of “general public,” for all practical purposes, those investors that meet certain minimum net worth guidelines.

The lawmakers decided that wealth brings the sophistication required to evaluate, either independently or together with wise counsel, investment options that fall outside the mainstream. Not surprisingly, an investment industry catering to such wealthy individuals, such as doctors and healthcare professionals, and qualifying institutions has sprung up.

EARLY DAYS

The original hedge fund was an investment partnership started by A.W. Jones in 1949. A financial writer prior to starting his investment management career, Mr. Jones is widely credited as being the prototypical hedge fund manager. His style of investment in fact gave the hedge fund its name – although Mr. Jones himself called his fund a “hedged fund.” Mr. Jones attempted to “hedge,” or protect, his investment partnership against market swings by selling short overvalued securities while at the same time buying undervalued securities. Leverage was an integral part of the strategy. Other managers followed in Mr. Jones’ footsteps, and the hedge fund industry was born.

In those early days, the hedge fund industry was defined by the types of investment operations undertaken – selling short securities, making liberal use of leverage, engaging in arbitrage and otherwise attempting to limit one’s exposure to market swings. Today, the hedge fund industry is defined more by the structure of the investment fund and the type of manager compensation employed.

The changing definition is largely a sign of the times. In 1949, the United States was in a unique state. With the memory of Great Depression still massively influencing common wisdom on stocks, the post-war euphoria sparked an interest in the securities markets not seen in several decades. Perhaps it is not so surprising that at such a time a particularly reflective financial writer such as A.W. Jones would start an investment operation featuring most prominently the protection against market swings rather than participation in them. 

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Apart from a few significant hiccups – 1972-73, 1987 and 2006-07 being most prominent – the U.S. stock markets have been on quite a roll for quite a long time now. So today, hedge funds come in all flavors – many not hedged at all. Instead, the concept of a private investment fund structured as a partnership, with performance incentive compensation for the manager, has come to dominate the mindscape when hedge funds are discussed. Hence, we now have a term in “hedge fund” that is not always accurate in its description of the underlying activity. In fact, several recent events have contributed to an even more distorted general understanding of hedge funds.

During 1998, the high profile Long Term Capital Management crisis and the spectacular currency losses experienced by the George Soros organization both contributed to a drastic reversal of fortune in the court of public opinion for hedge funds. Most hedge fund managers, who spend much of their time attempting to limit risk in one way or another, were appalled at the manner with which the press used the highest profile cases to vilify the industry as dangerous risk-takers. At one point during late 1998, hedge funds were even blamed in the lay press for the currency collapses of several developing nations; whether this was even possible got short thrift in the press.

Needless to say, more than a few managers have decided they did not much appreciate being painted with the same “hedge fund” brush. Alternative investment fund, private investment fund, and several other terms have been promoted but inadequately adopted. As the memory of 1998 and 2007 fades, “hedge fund” may once again become a term embraced by all private investment managers.

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ASSESSMENT: Physicians, and all investors, should be aware, however, that several different terms defining the same basic structure might be used. Investors should therefore become familiar with the structure of such funds, independent of the label. The Securities Exchange Commission calls such funds “privately offered investment companies” and the Internal Revenue Service calls them “securities partnerships.”

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PODCAST: “Payvider” Health Insurance Payer and Providers Combined

By Eric Bricker MD

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A Brief History of Managed Medical Care in the USA

By National Council on Disability

The origins of managed care can be traced back to at least 1929, when Michael Shadid, a physician in Elk City, Oklahoma, established a health cooperative for farmers in a small community without medical specialists or a nearby general hospital. He sold shares to raise money to establish a local hospital and created an annual fee schedule to cover the costs of providing care. By 1934, 600 family memberships were supporting a staff that included Dr. Shadid, four newly recruited specialists, and a dentist. That same year, two Los Angeles physicians, Donald Ross and Clifford Loos, entered into a prepaid contract to provide comprehensive health services to 2,000 employees of a local water company

Development of Prepaid Health Plans

Other major prepaid group practice plans were initiated between 1930 and 1960, including the Group Health Association in Washington, DC, in 1937, the Kaiser-Permanente Medical Program in 1942, the Health Cooperative of Puget Sound in Seattle in 1947, the Health Insurance Plan of Greater New York in New York City in 1947, and the Group Health Plan of Minneapolis in 1957. These plans encountered strong opposition from the medical establishment, but they also attracted a large number of enrollees.

Today, such prepaid health plans are commonly referred to as health maintenance organizations (HMOs). The term “health maintenance organization,” however, was not coined until 1970, with the aim of highlighting the importance that prepaid health plans assign to health promotion and prevention of illness. HMOs are what most Americans think of when the term “managed care” is used, even though other managed care models have emerged over the past 40 years.

Public Managed Care Plans

The enactment of the Health Maintenance Organization Act of 1973 (P. L. 93-222) provided a major impetus to the expansion of managed health care. The legislation was proposed by the Nixon Administration in an attempt to restrain the growth of health care costs and also to preempt efforts by congressional Democrats to enact a universal health care plan. P. L. 93-222 authorized $375 million to assist in establishing and expanding HMOs, overrode state laws restricting the establishment of prepaid health plans, and required employers with 25 or more employees to offer an HMO option if they furnished health insurance coverage to their workers. The purpose of the legislation was to stimulate greater competition within health care markets by developing outpatient alternatives to expensive hospital-based treatment. Passage of this legislation also marked an important turning point in the U.S. health care industry because it introduced the concept of for-profit health care corporations to an industry long dominated by a not-for-profit business model.

In the decade following the passage of P. L. 93-222, enrollment in HMOs grew slowly. Stiff opposition from the medical profession led to the imposition of regulatory restrictions on HMO operations. But the continued, rapid growth in health care outlays forced government officials to look for new solutions. National health expenditures grew as a proportion of the overall gross national product (GNP) from 5.3 percent in 1960 to 9.5 percent in 1980. In response, Congress in 1972 authorized Medicare payments to free-standing ambulatory care clinics providing kidney dialysis to beneficiaries with end-stage renal disease. Over the following decade, the Federal Government authorized payments for more than 2,400 Medicare procedures performed on an outpatient basis.

Responding to the relaxed regulatory environment, physicians began to form group practices and open outpatient centers specializing in diagnostic imaging, wellness and fitness, rehabilitation, surgery, birthing, and other services previously provided exclusively in hospital settings. As a result, the number of outpatient clinics skyrocketed from 200 in 1983 to more than 1,500 in 1991, and the percentage of surgeries performed in hospitals was halved between 1980 (83.7%) and 1992.

mind-investing-behavioral-finance

The Influence of Medicare Prospective Payments

Health care costs, however, continued to spiral upward, consuming 10.8 percent of GNP by 1983. In an attempt to slow the growth rate, Congress in 1982 capped hospital reimbursement rates under the Medicare program and directed the secretary of HHS to develop a case mix methodology for reimbursing hospitals based on diagnosis-related groups (DRGs). As an incentive to the hospital industry, the legislation (the Tax Equity and Fiscal Responsibility Act (P. L. 97-248)) included a provision allowing hospitals to avoid a Medicare spending cap by reaching an agreement with HHS on implementing a prospective payment system (PPS) to replace the existing FFS system. Following months of intense negotiations involving federal officials and representatives of the hospital industry, the Reagan Administration unveiled a Medicare PPS. Under the new system, health conditions were divided into 468 DRGs, with a fixed hospital payment rate assigned to each group.

Once the DRG system was fully phased in, Medicare payments to hospitals stabilized. However, since DRGs applied to inpatient hospital services only, many hospitals, like many group medical practices, began to expand their outpatient services in order to offset revenues lost as a result of shorter hospital stays. Between 1983 and 1991, the percentage of hospitals with outpatient care departments grew from 50 percent to 87 percent. Hospital revenues derived from outpatient services doubled over the period, reaching 25 percent of all revenues by 1992

Since DRGs were applied exclusively to Medicare payments, hospitals began to shift unreimbursed costs to private health insurance plans. As a result, average per employee health plan premiums doubled between 1984 and 1991, rising from $1,645 to $3,605. With health insurance costs eroding profits, many employers took aggressive steps to control health care expenditures. Plan benefits were reduced. Employees were required to pay a larger share of health insurance premiums. More and more employers—especially large corporations—decided to pay employee health costs directly rather than purchase health insurance. And a steadily increasing number of large and small businesses turned to managed health care plans in an attempt to rein in spiraling health care outlays.

Managed Long-Term Services and Supports

Arizona became the first state to apply managed care principles to the delivery and financing of Medicaid-funded LTSS in 1987, when the federal Health Care Financing Administration (later renamed the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services) approved the state’s request to expand its existing Medicaid managed care program. Medicaid recipients with physical and developmental disabilities became eligible to participate in the Arizona Long-Term Care System as a result of this program expansion. Over the following two decades, a number of other states joined Arizona in providing managed LTSS, and by the summer of 2012, 16 states were operating Medicaid managed LTSS programsScientists at work

Growth of Commercial Managed Care Plans

During the late 1980s and early 1990s, managed care plans were credited with curtailing the runaway growth in health care costs. They achieved these efficiencies mainly by eliminating unnecessary hospitalizations and forcing participating physicians and other health care providers to offer their services at discounted rates. By 1993, a majority (51%) of Americans receiving health insurance through their employers were enrolled in managed health care plans. Eventually, however, benefit denials and disallowances of medically necessary services led to a public outcry and the enactment of laws in many states imposing managed care standards. According to one analysis, nearly 900 state laws governing managed health practices were enacted during the 1990s. Among the measures approved were laws permitting women to visit gynecologists and obstetricians without obtaining permission from their primary care physician, establishing the right of patients to receive emergency care, and establishing the right of patients to appeal decisions made by managed care firms. Congress even got into the act in 1997 when it passed the Newborns’ Mother Health Protection Act, prohibiting so-called “drive-through deliveries” (overly restrictive limits on hospital stays following the birth of a child).

Research studies have yielded little evidence that managed health care excesses have undermined the quality of health care services. For example, in a survey of 2,000 physicians, Remler and colleagues found that managed care insurance plans denied only about 1 percent of recommended hospitalizations, slightly more than 1 percent of recommended surgeries, and just over 2.5 percent of referrals to specialists. In another study, Franks and colleagues found that medical outcomes were similar for participants in HMOs versus FFS health plans. Franks also reported that HMO patients were hospitalized 40 percent less frequently than FFS patients, and the rate of inappropriate hospitalizations was lower among HMO patients.

Link: http://www.ncd.gov

More Recent Developments

Over the past 15 to 20 years, the public outcry against draconian managed care practices has waned, primarily due to the expanded out-of-network options afforded to participants in HMOs, PPOs, and POS health plans. But the perception that managed care represents an overly cost-conscious, mass market approach to delivering medical services lingers among the American public, even though more than 135 million people with health insurance coverage now receive their primary, preventive, and acute health services through a managed care plan. People with disabilities, especially high users of medical care and LTSS, share many of the same negative perceptions of managed care as the general public.

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DAILY UPDATE: Cooling Labor Markets with Unemployment Rate Uptick

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A cooling labor market raises hopes for a rate cut in the summer. The latest Labor Department data shows the US added 175,000 jobs in April, but much less than the 300,000 added in March and also less than economists expected. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate ticked up to 3.9% from 3.8% in March, and wages rose less than anticipated. All that bad news for us was music to the ears of investors who are holding out hope that the Federal Reserve might still cut interest rates this summer despite most recent economic data showing that inflation is sticking around.

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Rate cuts appear to be back on the 2024 menu following Friday’s softer-than-expected jobs report, fueling gains for all three major stock indexes last week. With the report calming worries that inflation is ticking back up, investors now project a 50% likelihood that the Federal Reserve will reduce rates in September.

Coinbase is benefiting from the hype around new bitcoin ETFs. The crypto exchange reported a $1.2 billion quarterly profit last week, and net revenue rose by 115%.

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PODCAST: The Altman Corporate Bankruptcy ZETA Score Model

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What Is the Zeta Model Altman Score?

The Zeta Model is a mathematical model that estimates the chances of a public company going bankrupt within a two-year time period. The number produced by the model is referred to as the company’s Z-score (or zeta score) and is considered to be a reasonably accurate predictor of future bankruptcy.

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The model was published in 1968 by New York University professor of finance Edward I. Altman. The resulting Z-score uses multiple corporate income and balance sheet values to measure the financial health of a company.

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Altman's Z-Score Model - Overview, Formula, Interpretation

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READ: https://pages.stern.nyu.edu/~ealtman/ZETA-Analysis.pdf

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PODCAST: Cost of Healthcare Bureaucracy

By Eric Bricker MD

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PODCAST: Doctor Hospital Co-Owned Ambulatory Surgery Centers (ASC)

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By Eric Bricker MD

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DAILY UPDATE: Sleep, Starbucks and Cell Phone Education

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Happy Cinco de Mayo 2024

Starbucks – The coffee company known for consistently outperforming itself reported less-than-spectacular earnings this week, sending its stock plunging 12% on Tuesday evening last week on the news—nearly as much as when the company shut all its doors during Covid 19. For the first time since 2020, US same-store sales declined, falling 3% alongside a 7% decrease in foot traffic. Meanwhile, revenue fell 1.8% to $8.56 billion as sales in China—the chain’s second-biggest market—declined 11%, and Starbucks lowered its sales outlook for the year.

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Educators have long pushed back against distraction machines (aka phones), with 77% of schools banning them in the classroom as of 2020, according to a National Center for Education Statistics survey. School time still overlaps with screen time: 97% of students are on their phones during school hours, according to a study by Common Sense Media, a nonprofit that informs parents about technology. While much of students’ phone use might be at lunch or recess, teachers complain that kids aren’t waiting for the bell to take a discreet peek at their screens.

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Creatine may counteract sleep deprivation. The dietary supplement all over your Instagram feed might one day help workers who have to do a lot on small amounts of sleep, like ER staff, first responders, and anyone sharing a house with a baby.

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PODCASTS: Hospital Posts Laboratory Prices to Physician EMRs

Doctors Order Less Laboratory Tests

By Eric Bricker MD

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FDA: Regulation of Laboratory Tests

By Staff Reporters

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The Food and Drug Administration wants to make sure that if someone is analyzing your blood and urine, it’s worth your time, so the agency just finalized regulations to govern the $10 billion lab test industry. Tests designed by laboratories have long gone without government scrutiny, but the FDA said the time has come to ensure these tests are accurate—though the new standards will be phased in over several years.

There are currently about 80,000 medical tests available from ~1,200 labs, per the FDA, and those will mostly be grandfathered in. Still, the industry has pushed back, saying the regulations will inhibit innovation, and could sue to block the rules from taking effect.

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On Physician Employment Contracts

DR. DAVID EDWARD MARCINKO MBA MEd CMP

Review:

  • The standard physician employment agreement is a mythical creature
  • Don’t sign a letter of intent intending on changing the terms when you sign the employment contract
  • Don’t be afraid to negotiate – if they’ve made an offer to you, they are serious and usually will negotiate
  • The meek may inherit the earth, but they rarely obtain the best compensation packages.

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ESSAYS:

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DAILY UPDATE: Stock Markets Rally

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MAY THE FOURTH BE WITH YOU

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index rose 63.59 points (1.3%) to 5,127.79, up 0.6% for the week; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) gained 450.02 points (1.2%) to 38,675.68, up 1.1% for the week; the NASDAQ Composite surged 315.37 points (2.0%) to 16,156.33, up 1.4% for the week.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) fell about 7 basis points to 4.50%, down about 16 basis points for the week.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) fell 1.19 to 13.49.

Technology shares were among the strongest performers Friday behind a 6% rally in shares of Apple (AAPL), which late Thursday reported stronger-than-expected quarterly results and said it will repurchase $110 billion in shares. Amgen (AMGN) soared nearly 12%, leading Dow gainers after the biotechnology company beat earnings expectations.

In other markets, WTI Crude Oil futures (/CL) extended a week-long slump to end just above $78 per barrel, the lowest since mid-March. Crude futures dropped almost 7% this week, partly reflecting rising U.S. supplies and signs of slower fuel demand.

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PODCAST: “All OR Nothing” Hospital Contracts

By Eric Bricker MD

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FTC: Finalizes Ban on Non-Compete Agreements

By Health Capital Consultants LLC

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On April 23rd, 2024, the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) issued a final rule that would ban employers from imposing non-competes on their employees. The FTC asserts that this exploitative practice keeps wages low, and suppresses new ideas. Notably, while the final rule will affect all industries, not just healthcare, this proposal comes at a time when healthcare employers across the U.S. are struggling with staffing shortages.

Existing noncompetes for the majority of workers will no longer be enforceable after the rule goes into effect (i.e., 120 days after publication in the Federal Register); however, the FTC ban appears likely to face a legal challenge, and it could be years before it can take effect.

Under the final rule, noncompetes for senior executives can remain in force under the new ruling, but employers may not enter in or attempt to enforce any new noncompetes, even if that includes a senior executive. The Commission also recognizes that they have no jurisdiction over not-for-profit entities, however they reserve the right to evaluate any entity’s non-profit status. The FTC specifically stated that “some portion of the 58% of hospitals that claim tax-exempt status as nonprofits and the 19% of hospitals that are identified as State or local government hospitals in the data cited by AHA likely fall under the Commission’s jurisdiction and the final rule’s purview.”

While most healthcare employees and workers, including physicians, believe that the ruling is long overdue and that noncompetes “impede patient access to care, limit physicians’ ability to choose their employer, contribute to burnout and stifle competition,” the American Hospital Association (AHA), stated that the “FTC’s final rule banning non-compete agreements for all employees across all sectors of the economy is bad law, bad policy, and a clear sign of an agency run amok.

Look for next month’s (May 2024) Health Capital Topics article that will discuss, in more detail, the final rule, reactions from healthcare industry stakeholders, and potential implications for healthcare valuations (both business and compensation valuations).

MORE: (Read the FTC’s Press Release Here)

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APRIL 2024: US Hiring Slows

By Staff Reporters

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Job growth slowed and unemployment ticked higher last month, marking a break from a string of data showing surprising strength in the labor market.

U.S. employers added a seasonally adjusted 175,00 jobs in April, the Labor Department reported on Friday. That was far less than in March, when gains exceeded 300,000, and also below what economists had expected. The unemployment rate ticked up to 3.9% from March’s 3.8%.

According to the WSJ, wages also rose less than anticipated, increasing 3.9% from a year earlier after rising 4.1% in March.

Friday’s report today is sure to stir immediate debate among economists and investors about whether the labor market is merely cooling in a welcome fashion or starting to show more serious strains under the pressure of higher interest rates.

Treasury yields, which largely reflect investors’ expectations for short-term rates set by the Federal Reserve, fell after the report. The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note was 4.471% in recent trading, according to Tradeweb, down from 4.569% Thursday.

Stock futures climbed, suggesting investors were pleased with the data, which could increase optimism about the outlook for inflation.

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DAILY UPDATE: Stock Markets Up Beat!

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Yesterday, sales of Wegovy more than doubled last quarter, and at least 25,000 people are starting to take it in the US per week. It also posted a $3.65 billion net profit and increased its sales outlook for 2024. But its stock Novo Nordisk still dropped yesterday.

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iPhone sales are down but Apple share buybacks are up. Apple managed to keep investors happy, sending its stock shooting up after-hours yesterday, despite selling fewer iPhones last quarter. Sales of the signature phone dipped 10% year over year, and revenue fell 4.3% to $90.8 billion. But Apple also announced $110 billion in share buybacks, the largest in the company’s history, per CNBC. And sales in China, which has been a sore spot, came in at $16.4 billion, less than a year earlier but more than analysts had predicted.

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Stocks rose yesterday as investors digested Jerome Powell’s recent comments and decided they only had to fear fear itself—and not interest rate hikes. Investors changed into the fast lane to buy Carvana after the used car sales site reported its best earnings ever Wednesday evening.

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Stat: 16%. That’s the percentage by which CVS stocks plummeted Wednesday after the company reported earnings below expectations and cut its annual outlook, according to (CNBC).

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But Here’s where the major stock market benchmarks ended Thursday:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) rose 45.81 points (0.9%) to 5,064.20; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) added 322.37 points (0.9%) to 38,225.66; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) surged 235.48 points (1.5%) to 15,840.96.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) dropped about 1 basis point to 4.583%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) fell 0.71 to 14.68.

Transportation shares helped lead the market higher after C.H. Robinson (CHRW) reported stronger-than-expected quarterly results, sending the freight logistics and trucking company’s stock up 12%. The Dow Jones Transportation Average ($DJT) jumped 2.5%. Semiconductors were also strong after Qualcomm (QCOM) advanced 9.7% in the wake of the chip maker’s better-than-expected earnings.

Apple (AAPL) shares advanced 2.2% ahead of the company’s quarterly earnings report scheduled after Thursday’s close.

In other markets, WTI Crude Oil (/CL) futures bounced back to end with a slight gain after earlier dropping to a seven-week low under $78.50 per barrel.

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ESCHEW “C”: Medicare Advantage [Part C] Plans Now?

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP

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Medicare [Dis] Advantage Plans [Medicare Part C] commenced in 2003 or so and I have railed against them since then. First, for their low physician payments. And then as a patient advocate for the last decade. And, today, for both reasons. As a doctor and independent health insurance agent myself, believe me when I speak thusly.

READ: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2023/11/07/proposed-changes-medicare-advantage/

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Now, while Medicare Advantage plans are undoubtedly not the right choice for everyone, insurance companies still say there are some folks who will get exactly what they need from the plans and at a moderate price.

Nevertheless, Ernesto Jaboneta, the IT Director of California-based Medicare insurance agency Agent Pitstop, acknowledged there are many predatory salespeople who will jump to have you join a plan that doesn’t end up helping you in the long run. Still, there are precautions you can take to make falling into this trap less likely.

“The first thing anyone can do is invite along a family member or trusted friend to any appointments with an insurance agent,” Jaboneta told Newsweek. “Don’t feel pressured to decide right away.”

Before you commit to anything, you should compare plans and find out if your doctors will remain in your network. And if you’re unsure about some of the information you received from an insurance agent, you can also call 1-800-MEDICARE for more assistance.

Jaboneta also said there’s a big difference between captive insurance agents and independent agents, as well, and seniors should take note of this.

“A captive agent is an insurance agent who works directly for an insurance carrier,” Jaboneta said. “They have no incentive to compare options outside their own company, which is different than an independent agent who can compare all the options available. In many cases, when a beneficiary calls into an insurance company to find information, they will be talked into enrolling.”

The open enrollment period lasts from October 15th to December 8th, but there’s another enrollment period from January 1st to March 31st for anyone unhappy with their Medicare Advantage plan who wants to switch or revert to Medicare.

MORE: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2023/12/24/medicare-part-c-humana-used-a-i-tool-from-unitedhealth-to-deny-medicare-advantage-claims/

INVESTING UPDATE: Managed-care companies are reporting that seniors on Medicare Advantage Part C plans used far more medical services than expected in the final months of 2023. The announcements have sparked two separate selloffs over the past week: The first came January 12th, when UnitedHealth Group announced its fourth-quarter earnings. The second came after Humana just laid out preliminary fourth-quarter results, and said the high utilization trends would have a material impact on its 2024 performance “if current trends continue.”

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ENDING MEDICARE ADVANTAGE: Humana Dis-advantage

By Staff Reporters

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Millions of Americans on Humana’s Medicare Advantage plans could see their health care benefits cut after the company makes major profit-boosting adjustments to its plans.

Humana said it would be ending some plans and cutting benefits for patients in 2025 as it hopes to boost its financial performance. Altogether, 6 million Americans are insured through Humana’s Medicare Advantage.

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What is Hospital WACC?

By Calvin Weise CPA and Dr. David E. Marcinko MBA MEd CMP

SPONSOR: http://www.CertifiedMedicalPlanner.org

The Weighted Average Cost of Capital 

It is critical to understand and to measure the total cost of capital. Lack of understanding and appreciation of the total cost of capital is widespread, particularly among not-for-profit hospital executives. The capital structure includes long-term debt and equity; total capital is the sum of these two. Each of these components has cost associated with it. For the long-term debt portion, this cost is explicit: it is the interest rate plus associated costs of placement and servicing.

Equity portion

For the equity portion, the cost is not explicit and is widely misunderstood. In many cases, hospital capital structures include significant amounts of equity that has accumulated over many years of favorable operations. Too many executives wrongly attribute zero cost to the equity portion of their capital structure. Although it is correct that generally accepted accounting principles continue to assign a zero cost to equity, there is opportunity cost associated with equity that needs to be considered. This cost is the opportunity available to utilize that capital in alternative ways.

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In general, the cost attributed to equity is the return expected by the equity markets on hospital equity. This can be observed by evaluating the equity prices of hospital companies whose equity is traded on public stock exchanges. Usually the equity prices will imply cost of equity in the range of 10% to 14%.

Almost always, the cost of equity implied by hospital equity prices traded on public stock exchanges will substantially exceed the cost of long-term debt. Thus, while many hospital executives will view the cost of equity to be substantially less than the cost of debt (i.e., to be zero), in nearly all cases, the appropriate cost of equity will be substantially greater than the cost of debt.

http://www.HealthDictionarySeries.org

Hospitals need to measure their weighted average cost of capital (WACC).

WACC is the cost of long-term debt multiplied by the ratio of long-term debt to total capital plus the cost of equity multiplied by the ratio of equity to total capital (where total capital is the sum of long-term debt and equity).

WACC is then used as the basis for capital charges associated with all capital investments. Capital investments should be expected to generate positive returns after applying this capital charge based on the WACC. Capital investments that don’t generate returns exceeding the WACC consume enterprise value; those that generate returns exceeding WACC increase enterprise value.

Assessment

Hospital executives need to be rewarded for increasing enterprise value. 

Conclusion

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DAILY UPDATE: Walmart, Women’s Health Month, UnitedHealth and the Mixed Stock Markets

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Here’s where the major stock market benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) fell 17.30 points (0.3%) to 5,018.39; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) gained 87.37 points (0.2%) to 37,903.29; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) lost 52.34 points (0.3%) to 15,605.48.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) dropped more than 5 basis points to 4.63%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) decreased 0.28 to 15.37.

Banks and other financial shares led the market’s afternoon upswing, reflecting renewed optimism over the outlook for interest rates. The KBW Regional Bank Index (KRX) jumped 2.4% and posted its first gain in five days. Biotechnology and communication services were also strong.

Energy shares were among the weakest performers as WTI Crude Oil (/CL) futures extended a week-long nosedive and dropped under $80 per barrel for the first time since mid-March. Crude futures sank over 3% after the Energy Information Administration reported U.S. oil inventories surged 1.6% last week. 

Among top companies, Amazon (AMZN) gained 2.2% after reporting stronger-than-expected earnings and revenue late Tuesday. Starbucks (SBUX) tumbled 16% following unexpectedly soft quarterly results. Apple (AAPL) eased 0.6% ahead of its quarterly results, expected after Thursday’s close.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource

Speaking of stock companies, however big you think UnitedHealth is, it’s bigger than that. For example:

  • With a market cap of nearly $450 billion, it’s the fourth-largest company in the US by revenue this year, beating out Alphabet and Microsoft.
  • The company is eyeing a $24.7 billion profit in 2024.
  • One analyst estimated that more than 5% of US GDP flows through UnitedHealth’s systems daily.

And so, lawmakers in Washington are prepared to grill UnitedHealth CEO Andrew Witty in two congressional hearings today, months after a cyberattack on a subsidiary of the healthcare giant, Change Healthcare, rattled the industry and left pharmacies, doctors, and hospitals in the dark. Change processes roughly half of all Americans’ medical claims. Congress wants Witty to clarify how UnitedHealth handled the breach of patient data. But beyond that, it wants to investigate whether the company—the nation’s largest private health insurer—has grown too big and taken on too much risk.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

Retailer Walmart announced plans Tuesday to shutter its network of 51 health clinics in five states, along with its telehealth business. The impending closures signify that Walmart is scuttling its initial plans to expand the services, citing escalating operation costs and “challenging reimbursement environment,” the company said in a news release.

Finally – Happy Women’s Health Month! Women and people assigned female at birth are disproportionately affected by a range of health conditions, including autoimmune diseases, chronic pain, and dementia. The month of May is intended to raise awareness of these disparities and educate women on steps they can take to improve their health, such as getting annual breast exams. For all our woman-identifying readers, take some time to prioritize your health this month!

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PODCAST: Traditional Medicare V. Medicare Advantage

By Eric BrickerMD

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DOJ: Antitrust Reportedly Investigating UnitedHealth Group

By Health Capital Consultants, LLC

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On February 27, 2024, the Wall Street Journal (WSJ) reported that the Department of Justice (DOJ) has launched an antitrust investigation into UnitedHealth Group (UHG), the owner of the biggest health insurer in the U.S. and the leading manager of drug benefits and one of the largest networks of physician groups. This investigation comes as the Biden administration’s antitrust enforcers have ramped up investigations into some of the biggest U.S. companies, including Amazon, Apple, and Google.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource

This Health Capital Topics article reviews the reported government investigation. (Read more…)

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What is a Hospital CHARGE MASTER?

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By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP

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According to George Washington University, a hospital chargemaster is a comprehensive list of a hospital’s products, procedures, and services. Everything from prescription drugs to supplies for diagnostic tests has a unique price listing in the chargemaster, making it a go-to document for hospital administrators such as CFOs, clinical documentation improvement specialists, and revenue directors.

Chargemaster usage dates back to the mid-20th century. At that time, fee-for-service (FFS) health insurance plans, which allow patients to direct their medical care by choosing physicians and facilities and paying a portion of the billed total, had just emerged in the U.S. healthcare system.

The chargemaster originally served as something akin to an FFS dictionary, with an entry for virtually anything billable under that economic model of healthcare.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource/Title/082610254

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Over time, FFS itself has evolved and been challenged by alternatives like value-based care (VBC). Chargemasters built for FFS have changed accordingly, and they remain fixtures of the modern hospital revenue cycle. A standard chargemaster is a large electronic file containing multiple elements for each entry. These attributes usually include:

  • The charge for a single unit of the service in question
  • A Current Procedural Terminology (CPT) code; CPT is the official medical code set of the American Medical Association
  • Potentially, a Healthcare Common Practice Coding System (HCPCS) code; HCPCS is based on CPT
  • Alternative CPT and HCPCS codes if needed, e.g. one corresponding only to specific payers
  • A revenue code associated with the charge
  • Flag(s) indicating if the entry is scheduled for deletion, active or inactive
  • An internal reference number within the ledger for accounting purposes

LINK: https://revcycleintelligence.com/features/the-role-of-the-hospital-chargemaster-in-revenue-cycle-management

MORE: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2013/09/26/some-modern-issues-impacting-hospital-revenue-cycles/

RCC: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2013/03/06/a-better-approach-to-hospital-cost-estimation/

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HEALTH INSURANCE: https://www.amazon.com/Dictionary-Health-Insurance-Managed-Care/dp/0826149944/ref=sr_1_4?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1275315485&sr=1-4

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DAILY UPDATE: Lumeris Health Tech – MultiPlan, UnitedHealth, Aetna & CVS Payer Data – Stock Melt Down

MEDICAL EXECUTIVE-POST TODAY’S NEWSLETTER BRIEFING

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MAY FIRST DAY

May Day is a European festival of ancient origins marking the beginning of summer, usually celebrated on 1 May, around halfway between the Northern Hemisphere’s Spring equinox and June solstice. Festivities may also be held the night before, known as May Eve. Traditions often include gathering wildflowers and green branches, weaving floral garlands, crowning a May Queen and setting up a Maypole, May Tree or May Bush, around which people dance. Bonfires are also part of the festival in some regions.

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index fell 80.48 points (1.6%) to 5,035.69; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) lost 570.17 points (1.5%) to 37,815.92, down 5% for the month; the NASDAQ Composite declined 325.26 points (2.0%) to 15,657.82.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield jumped more than 7 basis points to 4.682%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) rose 0.98 to 15.65.

Energy shares were among the weakest performers Tuesday, behind a drop in WTI Crude Oil (/CL) futures, which fell a third consecutive session and briefly dropped under $81 per barrel. The Philadelphia Oil Service Index (OSX) tumbled 4.5% to a seven-week low. The small-cap Russell 2000® Index (RUT) shed 2.1% and ended with a loss of 7.1% for the month.

But, it was a better day for Mounjaro maker Eli Lilly, which climbed nearly 6% after its popular weight loss drugs pushed it to raise its 2024 forecast.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource

Lumeris Health, a health tech company supporting value-based care operations, raised $100 million in a new funding round to support expansion.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5


class-action complaint was filed against MultiPlan and major payers like UnitedHealth Group and CVS Health’s Aetna, arguing payers’ claims data was being used to generate low reimbursement rates.

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PODCAST: Cash Flow, Revenue & Entrepreneurial Leadership in Healthcare Business

THE ENTREPRENEURIAL M.D.

In this episode we are joined by Dr. Brent Jackson, Chief Medical Officer for Mercy General in Sacramento, CA to discuss the physician life-cycle, burnout, and transitioning into leadership within healthcare.

Play EpisodeDownload (40.4 MB)

Summary: Dr Brent Jackson discusses the flow of revenue throughout the medical industry.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource/Title/0826102549

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PODCAST: Healthcare Revenue Cycle Management Explained

By Eric Bricker MD

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THE CARTOON: Shrink

Cartoons on Topics in Psychiatry and Medicine

http://www.TheCartoonShrink.com

By Staff Reporters

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Emily Watters, M.D. is an adult psychiatrist. She lives and practices in the bay area. She works in both community psychiatry and in private practice. She loves to teach, especially through sketches and comics.

Questions contribute to understanding and you are welcome to reach out to her at: thecartoonshrink@gmail.com

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DAILY UPDATE: The CHIPS and Science Act & the FOMC as Stocks Edge Higher

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It’ll be a big week for hot takes on the US economy, after the Federal Reserve meeting Tuesday and Wednesday and the April jobs report dropping Friday. Because inflation has been sticking around, the FOMC is expected to hold interest rates steady at this meeting and for the foreseeable future. On the jobs front, economists are projecting another strong month for employment growth.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource

In 2022, with bipartisan support, Congress passed the CHIPS and Science Act, an ambitious plan to juice domestic manufacturing of a product vital to national security: semiconductors. Two years later, the government has doled out more than half of the CHIPS Act’s $39 billion in incentives. According to the Financial Times

  • Chip companies and their suppliers have announced US investments of $327 billion over the next 10 years, per the Semiconductor Industry Association.
  • Construction of manufacturing facilities for computing and electronics devices has jumped 15x, government data shows.
  • By 2030, the US will likely produce around 20% of the world’s most advanced chips, according to USCommerce Secretary Gina Raimondo. Right now, it’s making 0%.

The proposed factories are massive and could transform regional economies. Micron, which received $6.1 billion in federal grants last week, plans to invest $100 billion in a manufacturing campus near Syracuse.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) rose 16.21 points (0.3%) to 5,116.17, its highest close in over two weeks; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) gained 146.43 points (0.4%) to 38,386.09, the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) advanced 55.18 points (0.4%) to 15,983.08.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) fell more than 5 basis points to 4.616%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) declined 0.36 to  14.67.

Communication services shares were among the market’s weakest performers Monday, reversing last Friday’s upswing as Alphabet (GOOGL) dropped more than 3% and Meta Platforms (META) lost 2.4%. Banks and retailers were also soft. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) climbed for the sixth-straight day and ended near a three-week high even though its biggest member, Nvidia (NVDA), ended little changed.

In other markets, the U.S. Dollar Index ($DXY) faded from early gains but is still up about 1% in April, driven by expectations domestic rates will remain high. “The U.S. dollar’s strength continues to reflect the relative strength of the economy and the wide interest rate differentials between the United States and other major developed markets,” Schwab Center for Financial Research analysts said in a report.

Despite last week’s strength, the S&P 500 index and the NASAQ Composite are still down 2.6% and 2.4%, respectively, for April and on track to break five-month winning streaks.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/tj8smmes

Humana expects to exit Medicare Advantage (MA) markets in 2025, company executives told investors. The company reported its first quarter earnings April 24th. Humana posted $741 million in net income in the first quarter of 2024, beating investor expectations, but pulled its 2025 earnings guidance. 

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MEDICARE PART C: Humana Used A.I. Tool from UnitedHealth to Deny Medicare Advantage Claims

LAWSUIT

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Humana Used AI Tool from UnitedHealth to Deny Medicare Advantage Claims 

Humana used an artificial intelligence tool owned by UnitedHealth Group to wrongfully deny Medicare Advantage [Part C] members’ medical claims, according to a class-action complaint filed on Dec. 12th. The lawsuit was filed in the U.S. District Court for the Western District of Kentucky and is the latest legal action against major insurers such as UnitedHealthcare and Cigna for allegedly using automated data tools to wrongfully deny members’ claims.

The complaint against Humana, the country’s second-largest Medicare Advantage insurer, accuses the company of using an AI tool called nH Predict to determine how long a patient will need to remain in post-acute care and overrides physicians’ determinations for the patient. The plaintiffs claim Humana set a goal to keep post-acute facility stay lengths for MA members within 1% of nH Predict’s estimations. Employees who deviate from the algorithm’s estimates are “disciplined and terminated, regardless of whether a patient requires more care,” the lawsuit alleges. When decisions made by the algorithm are appealed, they are allegedly overturned 90% of the time.

Source: Jakob Emerson  Becker’s Payer Issues [12/13/23]

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HUMANA: Exits Medicare Part C Plan Markets

By Staff Reporters

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Humana Plans to Leave Some Medicare Advantage Markets in 2025

Humana expects to exit Medicare Advantage (MA) markets in 2025, company executives told investors. The company reported its first quarter earnings April 24th. Humana posted $741 million in net income in the first quarter of 2024, beating investor expectations, but pulled its 2025 earnings guidance. 

On an April 24th 2024 call with investors, Humana executives said it will look to pull back benefits and exit some markets, as CMS continues phasing in risk adjustment changes. CMS published its final MA rate notice for 2025 earlier this month. The agency slightly cut benchmark payments and continued phasing in coding changes. Humana previously said the agency’s rates were lower than its expectations.

Other payers have signaled they will likely cut benefits to accommodate the rate notice. 

Source: Rylee Wilson, Becker’s Payer Issues [4/25/24]

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National Supply Chain Management Day: Health Care “White Paper”

By Staff Reporters

Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP

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National Supply Chain Management Day is celebrated on April 29th every year to mark the binding importance of the global supply chain in the everyday lives of people. National Supply Chain Day brings all stakeholders together to share recent developments in the field. Introduced in 2020 by a Georgia-based packaging outlet, this holiday aims to raise awareness about the way a supply chain affects all of us, and how we can be better partners and benefactors of the global supply chain management system.

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One of the most iconic symbols of the COVID economy was the epic backlog of container ships waiting to dock at the ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach. At one point this year, that backup was longer than the line at Trader Joe’s on a Saturday, stretching 109 ships deep and almost 60 miles from the coast.

But now, the shipping situation is almost back to normal. As of last week, the number of ships waiting to drop off their goods stood at just four, according to the WSJ. Plus, the cost of sending a 40-foot container from Shanghai to LA has plummeted from its peak of more than $12,000 to almost $2,000, nearing its pre-COVID average.

The fact that goods are once again flowing smoothly through US ports is a hopeful sign that inflation, which was instigated in part by supply chain snarls, could start to abate.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource/Title/082610254

READ MORE: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2011/06/09/supply-chain-management-in-healthcare

WHITE PAPER: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/06/scm-dr.-dem-sample.pdf

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DAILY UPDATE: 24/7 NYSE Trading with Last Week’s Market Round-Up

MEDICAL EXECUTIVE-POST TODAY’S NEWSLETTER BRIEFING

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Last week stocks shrugged off the news that the Fed’s favorite inflation gauge ticked up last month as strong earnings reports from Big Tech pushed them higher giving the NASDAQ and the S&P 500 their best weeks since November. Google parent Alphabet had its best day since July 2015 after showing that some of its Artificial Intelligence investments are paying off for its first-ever dividend distribution.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource

The New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) recently asked market participants to share how they’d feel about trading 24/7.

According to Morning Brew, The tradition-shattering proposal by the world’s busiest stock exchange, which operates from 9:30am to 4pm ET Monday–Friday, would make stocks no different from other assets that never stop trading, like crypto and government bonds.

The NYSE’s curiosity comes as the startup 24 Exchange, backed by Mets owner Steve Cohen, is seeking SEC permission to launch a round-the-clock stock exchange. 24 Exchange wants to cater to the growing contingent of amateur investors, some of whom prefer to trade after their kids go to bed. If the NYSE decides to become an exchange that never sleeps, it’d likely upend the day-to-day of the pros on Wall Street. So, let’s consider what 24/7 trading would look like, who’d be in the green, and who’s kept up at night by the prospect. For example:

The NYSE currently allows people to trade stocks outside regular hours from 4am until the market opens and after the closing bell until 8pm, but there are fewer participants trading, and those transactions often come with higher fees. Meanwhile, brokerages like Robinhood and Interactive Brokers have found success in letting investors put in orders for many stocks and stock indexes overnight.

  • Robinhood recently said its overnight trading options are a hit, with trading outside of the NYSE’s regular hours accounting for as much as 25% of activity on the platform.
  • Many customers aren’t used to waiting around for the NYSE to “ding a bell two times a day,” Robinhood’s Chief Brokerage Officer Steve Quirk told Bloomberg.

Many of these nocturnal transactions on brokerage apps happen because of the time difference with the Asia Pacific region, where investors are increasingly eager to tap into the US stock market when most Americans are asleep. The trades are enabled by organizations like Blue Ocean, which are seeing skyrocketing demand for cross-border services. Having the NYSE run 24/7 would make it easier for investors in different time zones to participate in the US stock market.

Proponents also say it could make morning trading less volatile by allowing investors to react to big news (like an Elon Musk tweet about Tesla) as soon as it happens rather than waiting for markets to open.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

Meanwhile, stocks popped off last week thanks to Big Tech’s impressive earnings, with the S&P 500 and NASDAQ posting their best weeks since November. Nvidia notched its best weekly gain in almost a year (up 15%), adding nearly $290 billion in market capitalization.

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Modern Portfolio Theory and Asset Allocation [Not Correlation]

THE CORRELATION HOT TOPIC

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By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA CMP©

SPONSOR: http://www.CertifiedMedicalPlanner.org

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Modern Portfolio Theory approaches investing by examining the complete market and the full economy. MPT places a great emphasis on the correlation between investments. 

DEFINITION:

Correlation is a measure of how frequently one event tends to happen when another event happens. High positive correlation means two events usually happen together – high SAT scores and getting through college for instance. High negative correlation means two events tend not to happen together – high SATs and a poor grade record.

No correlation means the two events are independent of one another. In statistical terms two events that are perfectly correlated have a “correlation coefficient” of 1; two events that are perfectly negatively correlated have a correlation coefficient of -1; and two events that have zero correlation have a coefficient of 0.

Correlation has been used over the past twenty years by institutions and financial advisors to assemble portfolios of moderate risk.  In calculating correlation, a statistician would examine the possibility of two events happening together, namely:

  • If the probability of A happening is 1/X;
  • And the probability of B happening is 1/Y; then
  • The probability of A and B happening together is (1/X) times (1/Y), or 1/(X times Y).

There are several laws of correlation including;

  1. Combining assets with a perfect positive correlation offers no reduction in portfolio risk.  These two assets will simply move in tandem with each other.
  2. Combining assets with zero correlation (statistically independent) reduces the risk of the portfolio.  If more assets with uncorrelated returns are added to the portfolio, significant risk reduction can be achieved.
  3. Combing assets with a perfect negative correlation could eliminate risk entirely.   This is the principle with “hedging strategies”.  These strategies are discussed later in the book.

Citation: https://www.r2library.com/Resource/Title/0826102549

BUT – CORRELATION IS NOT CAUSATION

https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2021/02/05/correlation-is-not-causation/

In the real world, negative correlations are very rare 

Most assets maintain a positive correlation with each other.  The goal of a prudent investor is to assemble a portfolio that contains uncorrelated assets.  When a portfolio contains assets that possess low correlations, the upward movement of one asset class will help offset the downward movement of another.  This is especially important when economic and market conditions change.

As a result, including assets in your portfolio that are not highly correlated will reduce the overall volatility (as measured by standard deviation) and may also increase long-term investment returns. This is the primary argument for including dissimilar asset classes in your portfolio. Keep in mind that this type of diversification does not guarantee you will avoid a loss.  It simply minimizes the chance of loss. 

In the table provided by Ibbotson, the average correlation between the five major asset classes is displayed. The lowest correlation is between the U.S. Treasury Bonds and the EAFE (international stocks).  The highest correlation is between the S&P 500 and the EAFE; 0.77 or 77 percent. This signifies a prominent level of correlation that has grown even larger during this decade.   Low correlations within the table appear most with U.S. Treasury Bills.

Historical Correlation of Asset Classes

Benchmark                             1          2          3         4         5         6            

1 U.S. Treasury Bill                  1.00    

2 U.S. Bonds                          0.73     1.00    

3 S&P 500                               0.03     0.34     1.00    

4 Commodities                         0.15     0.04     0.08      1.00      

5 International Stocks              -0.13    -0.31    0.77      0.14    1.00       

6 Real Estate                           0.11      0.43    0.81     -0.02    0.66     1.00

Table Source: Ibbotson 1980-2012

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Hedging the Portfolio with Weapons of Mass Destruction

A SPECIAL REPORT

By Vitaliy N. Katsenelson CFA

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Uber’s business is doing extremely well. It has reached escape velocity – the company’s expenses have grown at a slow rate while its revenues are growing at 22% a year. This caused profit margins to expand and earnings and free cash flows to skyrocket. Our investment in Uber was based on the assumption that its services would become a utility – just like water and electricity. The company’s name is synonymous with ride sharing. 

I must confess that the biggest risk to our investment in Uber is me. Yes, you read that right. Uber has an incredible growth runway. It is not just going after ride sharing and food delivery, where it still has plenty of room to grow, it is also making serious inroads into the grocery market. It has terrific management that is putting a lot of daylight between Uber and its competitors.

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DAILY UPDATE: Republic First Bank Seized and Sold to Fulton Bank

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Republic First Bank. The FDIC said regulators seized the troubled Philadelphia-based bank and agreed to sell it to Fulton Bank. While news of a regional bank failure might take you back to March 2023 when Silicon Valley Bank bit the dust, Republic First was much smaller than SVB (and much smaller than the similarly named First Republic, which ultimately got absorbed by JPMorgan Chase as regional banks struggled). And, because there’s already a buyer, there are no lingering questions about the safety of deposits.

So, while the first bank failure of the year is a sign that regional banks are still in a bad way, it’s unlikely to spur a larger crisis.

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HOSPITALS: “Weighted Average Cost of Capital”

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA CMP

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The Cost of Hospital Capital Is “WACC”

It is critical for physician executives to understand and to measure the total cost of hospital capital. Lack of understanding and appreciation of the total cost of capital is widespread, particularly among not-for-profit hospital and physician executives. The capital structure includes long-term debt and equity; total capital is the sum of these two, and, each of these components has cost associated with it.

For the long-term debt portion, this cost is explicit—it is the interest rate plus associated costs of placement and servicing. For the equity portion, the cost is not explicit and is widely misunderstood. In many cases, hospital capital structures include significant amounts of equity that has accumulated over many years of favorable operations.

Far too many executives wrongly attribute zero cost to the equity portion of their capital structure. Although it is correct that generally accepted accounting principles continue to assign a zero cost to equity, there is opportunity cost associated with equity that needs to be considered. This cost is the opportunity available to utilize that capital in alternative ways.

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In general, the cost attributed to equity is the return expected by the equity markets on hospital equity. This can be observed by evaluating the equity prices of hospital companies whose equity is traded on public stock exchanges. Usually, the equity prices will imply cost of equity in the range of 10%–14%. Almost always, the cost of equity implied by hospital equity prices traded on public stock exchanges will substantially exceed the cost of long-term debt. Thus, while many hospital executives will view the cost of equity to be substantially less than the cost of debt (i.e., to be zero) in nearly all cases, the appropriate cost of equity will be substantially greater than the cost of debt.

Hospitals need to measure their weighted average cost of capital (WACC). WACC is the cost of long-term debt multiplied by the ratio of long-term debt to total capital plus the cost of equity multiplied by the ratio of equity to total capital (where total capital is the sum of long-term debt and equity).

WACC is then used as the basis for capital charges associated with all capital investments. Capital investments should be expected to generate positive returns after applying this capital charge based on the WACC. Capital investments that do not generate returns exceeding the WACC consume enterprise value; those that generate returns exceeding WACC increase enterprise value. Therefore, physician and hospital executives need to be rewarded for increasing enterprise value.

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Medical [Dental] Anti-Defamation Contracts and Doctor Accountability

Was the ADA Complicit?

By D. Kellus Pruitt DDS

If you were to walk into my dental office with a toothache, and I told you that before I relieve your pain, you have to agree not to say bad things about me on the internet, how badly would the tooth have to be hurting to keep you from walking out the door?

The article, “Toothache lawsuit may stifle medical gag orders against online rants”, by JoNel Aleccia, was posted on MSN.com years ago.

[Robert Lee, 42] who had a bad toothache has filed a class-action lawsuit against his New York dentist after she required him to sign a contract promising not to trash-talk her online — and then fined him thousands of dollars trying to enforce it.”

Aleccia adds: “[Dr. Stacy Makhnevich] was among hundreds of medical professionals nationwide in recent years who refused to care for patients unless they signed anti-defamation contracts. In the contracts, the doctors and dentists promised not to evade federal patient privacy protections in exchange for patients’ agreeing not to post public comments about them.”

The Dentist

Other than its obvious ineffectiveness for this particular Manhattan dentist, whose practice is on the 69 th. floor of the Chrysler Building, Lexington Avenue at East 42St., (212) 697-4400, what’s wrong with this business plan?

First of all, aside from the insult, if a dentist required you to sign a contract forfeiting your right to express your opinion about the quality of care even before being seen, how confident would it make you feel about the doctor’s abilities?

The HIPAA Question

Then there’s HIPAA. It’s sad that healthcare providers on the 69th.  floor of the Chrysler Building would take advantage of vulnerable Americans who don’t understand that their right to privacy isn’t something that can be withheld – even as part of a twisted “copyright” deal intended to enable a dentist to dodge accountability. It seems to me like the Office of Civil Rights as well as the Attorney General should be alerted. How is threatening a patient’s privacy in return for direly-needed treatment different than extortion?

The Gotcha!

Mr. Lee had forgotten the contract until months later when he allegedly discovered that Dr. Makhnevich had overcharged him by about $4,000, improperly filed the insurance and then refused to provide him with the documents he needed to file the claim himself. That’s when he started posting rants on sites like Yelp and DoctorBase, such as, “Avoid at all cost! Scamming their customers!” and “Honestly, how do you live with yourself? Just try being a decent human being.”

“Within days, Makhnevich demanded that the sites remove the comments and threatened to sue Lee. She also said he was infringing on her copyright provisions and started sending invoices for fines of $100 a day. By October, the total topped $4,600, he said.”

The Service

Since the dentist purchased the right to use Medical Justice Inc. anti-defamation contracts to prevent complaints from dis-satisfied customers from being discussed on the internet, I say she is due a refund. What’s more, if she’s given any trouble about it, she should get on the internet and complain – if she didn’t forfeit that right as part of the agreement.

The ADA

So where did Dr. Stacy Makhnevich learn about Medical Justice Inc.’s ineffective, unethical and probably illegal anti-defamation contract service? Of all places, it may well have been in ADA Headquarters, 211 E. Chicago Ave., Chicago, (312) 440-2500

Dr. Jeffrey Segal [MD, JD], the neurosurgeon and founder of Medical Justice Services Inc. which sold providers like Dr. Makhnevich the right to use his company’s contracts, was a featured speaker at the American Dental Association’s [ADA] annual Benefits Conference last year.

The ADA leadership’s decision to invite Dr. Segal to advertise his product at a benefits conference (?) reveals the old timers’ underlying paranoia that makes them prefer silence from members as well as their own dental patients.

Assessment

Since the ADA effectively put its stamp of approval on Medical Justice’s anti-defamation contracts, don’t you think the ADA News should at least post a warning about the liability to members who attended Dr. Segal’s presentation in ADA Headquarters? Let’s watch dentistry’s leaders ignore the abysmal results of yet another half-baked blunder caused by people too proud to listen.

Conclusion

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FTC: Non-Competition Contract Clause Agreements?

By Staff Reporters

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FTC Votes 3-2  to Ban Non-Compete Agreements, but Legal Challenges Expected

The Federal Trade Commission (FTC) just voted 3-2 to issue a final rule striking new non-compete agreements for all workers and phasing out existing non-competes for all but senior executives across “most employers.” The ban does not apply to non-profits including many of the country’s healthcare provider organizations due to the limitations of the FTC’s jurisdiction, one of several points of contention that has been raised by hospital industry groups that have opposed the ban.

The final rule will take effect 120 days after its publication in the Federal Register. To be in compliance, impacted employers will need to stop enforcing existing non-competes with workers other than senior executives, inform those who are no longer bound by existing non-competes and stop initiating new non-competes for all workers going forward, FTC staff said during an open meeting on the final rule held last week.

Source: Dave Muoio, Fierce Healthcare [4/23/24]

Moreover, the stay-or-pay contract practice requires nurses to put in a certain amount of time “or be required to pay money to their employer for an alleged debt, which could be tied to so-called training, a sign-on bonus, or other costs their employer claims are related to their employment,” according to National Nurses United (NNU), a union that represents about a quarter of a million registered nurses (RNs).

“The new FTC rule is a step in the right direction for nurses and those aspiring to take on this critical role in our communities,” NNU President Nancy Hagans said in a statement.

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Behavioral Finance for Doctors?

On the Psychology of Investing [Book Review]

By Peter Benedek, PhD CFA

Founder: www.RetirementAction.com

Some of the pioneers of behavioral finance are Drs. Kahneman, Twersky and Thaler. This short introduction to the subject is based on John Nofsinger’s little book entitled “Psychology of Investing” an excellent quick read for all medical professionals or anyone who is interested in learning more about behavioral finance.

Rational Decisions?

Much of modern finance is built on the assumption that investors “make rational decisions” and “are unbiased in their predictions about the future”, however this is not always the case.

Cognitive errors come from (1) prospect theory (people feel good/bad about gain/loss of $500, but not twice as good/bad about a gain/loss of $1,000; they feel worse about a $500 loss than feel good about a $500 gain); (2) mental accounting (meaning that people tend to create separate buckets which they examine individually), (3) Self-deception (e.g. overconfidence), (4) heuristic simplification (shortcuts) and (4) mood can affect ability to reach a logical conclusion.

John Nofsinger’s Book

The following are some of the major chapter headings in Nofsinger’s book, and represent some of the key behavioral finance concepts.

Overconfidence leads to: (1) excessive trading (which in turn results in lower returns due to costs incurred), (2) underestimation of risk (portfolios of decreasing risk were found for single men, married men, married women, and single women), (3) illusion of knowledge (you can get a lot more data nowadays on the internet) and (4) illusion of control (on-line trading).

Pride and Regret leads to: (1) disposition effect (not only selling winners and holding on to the losers, but selling winners too soon- confirming how smart I was, and losers to late- not admitting a bad call, even though selling losers increases one’s wealth due to the tax benefits), (2) reference points (the point from where one measures gains or losses is not necessarily the purchase price, but may perhaps be the most recent 52 week high and it is most likely changing continuously- clearly such a reference point will affect investor’s judgment by perhaps holding on to “loser” too long when in fact it was a winner.)

Considering the Past in decisions about the future, when future outcomes are independent of the past lead to a whole slew of more bad decisions, such as: (1) house money effect (willing to increase the level of risk taken after recent winnings- i.e. playing with house’s money), (2) risk aversion or snake-bite effect (becoming more risk averse after losing money), (3) trying to break-even (at times people will increase their willing to take higher risk to try to recover their losses- e.g. double or nothing), (4) endowment or status quo effect (often people are only prepared to sell something they own for more than they would be willing to buy it- i.e. for investments people tend to do nothing, just hold on to investments they already have) (5) memory and decision making ( decisions are affected by how long ago did the pain/pleasure occur or what was the sequence of pain and pleasure), (6) cognitive dissonance (people avoid important decisions or ignore negative information because of pain associated with circumstances).

Mental Accounting is the act of bucketizing investments and then reviewing the performance of the individual buckets separately (e.g. investing at low savings rate while paying high credit card interest rates).

Examples of mental accounting are: (1) matching costs to benefits (wanting to pay for vacation before taking it and getting paid for work after it was done, even though from perspective of time value of money the opposite should be preferred0, (2) aversion to debt (don’t like long-term debt for short-term benefit), (3) sunk-cost effect (illogically considering non-recoverable costs when making forward-going decisions). In investing, treating buckets separately and ignoring interaction (correlations) induces people not to sell losers (even though they get tax benefits), prevent them from investing in the stock market because it is too risky in isolation (however much less so when looked at as part of the complete portfolio including other asset classes and labor income and occupied real estate), thus they “do not maximize the return for a given level of risk taken).

In building portfolios, assets included should not be chosen on basis of risk and return only, but also correlation; even otherwise well educated individuals make the mistake of assuming that adding a risky asset to a portfolio will increase the overall risk, when in fact the opposite will occur depending on the correlation of the asset to be added with the portfolio (i.e. people misjudge or disregard interactions between buckets, which are key determinants of risk).

This can lead to: (1) building behavioral portfolios (i.e. safety, income, get rich, etc type sub-portfolios, resulting in goal diversification rather than asset diversification), (2) naïve diversification (when aiming for 50:50 stock:bond allocation implementing this as 50:50 in both tax-deferred (401(k)/RRSP) accounts and taxable accounts, rather than placing the bonds in the tax-deferred and stocks in taxable accounts respectively for tax advantages), (3) naïve diversification in retirement accounts (if five investment options are offered then investing 1/5th in each, thus getting an inappropriate level of diversification or no diversification depending on the available choices; or being too heavily invested in one’s employer’s stock).

Representativenes may lead investors to confusing a good company with a good investment (good company may already be overpriced in the market; extrapolating past returns or momentum investing), and familiarity to over-investment in one’s own employer (perhaps inappropriate as when stock tanks one’s job may also be at risk) or industry or country thus not having a properly diversified portfolio.

Emotions can affect investment decisions: mood/feelings/optimism will affect decision to buy or sell risky or conservative assets, even though the mood resulted from matters unrelated to investment. Social interactions such as friends/coworkers/clubs and the media (e.g. CNBC) can lead to herding effects like over (under) valuation.

Financial Strategies

Nofsinger finishes with a final chapter which includes strategies for:

(i) beating the biases: (1) Understand the biases, (2) define your investment objectives, (3) have quantitative investment criteria, i.e. understand why you are buying a specific investor (or even better invest in a passive fashion), (4) diversify among asset classes and within asset classes (and don’t over invest in your employer’s stock), and (5) control your investment environment (check on stock monthly, trade only monthly and review progress toward goals annually).

(ii) using biases for the good: (1) set new employee defaults for retirement plans to being enrolled, (2) get employees to commit some percent of future raises to automatically go toward retirement (save-more-tomorrow).

Assessment

Buy the book (you can get used copies through Amazon). As indicated it is a quick read and occasionally you may even want to re-read it to insure you avoid the biases or use them for the good. Also, the book has long list of references for those inclined to delve into the subject more deeply.

You might even ask “How does all this Behavioral Finance coexist with Efficient Market theory?” and that’s a great question that I’ll leave for another time.

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DAILY UPDATE: Cannabis, Healthcare and the Stock Market Rally!

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Here’s where the major stock market benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index gained 51.54 points (1.0%) to 5,099.96, up 2.7% for the week; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) increased 153.86 points (0.4%) to 38,239.66, up 0.7% for the week; the NASDAQ Composite jumped 316.14 points (2.0%) to 15,927.90, up 4.2% for the week.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) lost about 4 basis points to 4.665%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) fell 0.34 to 15.03.

Alphabet’s rally helped communication services reverse Thursday’s downturn, which was driven by disappointing quarterly results from Meta Platforms (META). The S&P 500 Communication Services index ($SP500#50) surged 4.7% Friday and ended the week with a 2.7% gain. Semiconductor shares were also strong, led by a 6% gain in Nvidia (NVDA). The Russell 2000® Index (RUT) added 1.1% Friday and posted a 2.8% advance for the week.

In other markets, WTI Crude Oil (/CL) futures rose slightly Friday, ending around $83.65 per barrel and shutting down a three-week losing streak.

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  • Midi Health, a health clinic geared toward women in midlife, raised $60 million in Series B funding to expand its network to 150 clinicians by the end of the year, among other efforts. (MobiHealthNews)
  • “We’re fooling ourselves if we think that’s cheap or can be done less expensively.”—Carmela Coyle, president and CEO of the California Hospital Association, on hospital finances and cutting costs (AP)
  • The federal government implemented new staffing rules to improve patient care, but most nursing homes won’t be able to meet that demand. (KFF Health News/NPR)

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The Biden administration is considering a change that would downgrade cannabis from a Schedule I drug to a Schedule III drug this year. The reclassification would have major effects on the business of cannabis, but for that to happen, the Drug Enforcement Agency needs proof of medical effectiveness.

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DAILY UPDATE: GDP Worries as Markets Stumble with Meta but other Technology Stocks are Good

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New GDP numbers out yesterday show a worrying combo of stubborn inflation + waning growth that dampens hopes for a potential interest rate cut. Per the latest data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis, the first quarter of 2024 was a confounding one:

  • GDP increased at a 1.6% annualized rate, far below projections of 2.4% and notably down from 3.4% at the end of 2023.
  • While slow growth would typically signal that the Fed could cut rates, another metric complicates matters: Consumer prices (excluding volatile categories), a solid indicator of inflation, shot up to a much higher than anticipated 3.7%.

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Meta reported record Q1 revenue yesterday, but it was overshadowed by the billions of dollars the company is spending in its efforts to win the Artificial Intelligence race and make the Metaverse happen. Investors were unhappy with the company’s forecast that its spending will rise by $10 billion dollars to support Artificial Intelligence development, sending Meta’s stock price down 15% after hours.

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index fell 23.21 points (0.5%) to 5,048.42; the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 375.12 points (1.0%) to 38,085.80; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) shed 100.99 points (0.6%) to 15,611.76.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) rose about 5 basis points to 4.704%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) fell 0.64 to 15.33.

Communication services shares were the weakest S&P 500 sector Thursday behind the plunge in Meta Platforms. Late Wednesday, the Facebook parent provided lighter-than-expected second-quarter revenue guidance, while CEO Mark Zuckerberg discussed spending in currently unprofitable pursuits such as artificial intelligence (AI) and mixed reality. Meta’s first-quarter earnings and revenue both came above analysts ‘ estimates, however.

Meta’s slump helped send the S&P 500 Communication Services index ($SP500#50) down 4%. Banks were also particularly soft amid concern that persistently high interest rates may compress lender margins. Semiconductor and transportation shares were among the few pockets of strength.

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But, Alphabet, Microsoft, and Snap reported Q1 earnings yesterday, and were generally good. Alphabet issued its first-ever dividend and authorized $70 billion in stock buybacks, after it beat Wall Street’s revenue expectations. Microsoft also beat revenue forecasts on the strength of its cloud services. And Snap shares soared after it topped estimates and impressed investors with its 422 million global daily active users. It was a much-needed boost for the sector after Meta spooked the market with how much it’s spending on AI.

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MICROSOFT: The Artificial Intelligence Revolution

By Staff Reporters

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Microsoft is looking at a broader AI future than just OpenAI

Microsoft has been at the forefront of the AI revolution through its $13 billion stake in the ChatGPT-maker, but recently it showed it’s also making other Artificial Intelligence bets, announcing it will pursue several partnerships and is investing $2.1 billion in French startup Mistral AI. Mistral’s tech will be available to Microsoft Azure users.

And then Microsoft President Brad Smith told Axios that OpenAI CEO Sam Altman is “brilliant”, but …… Read Axios Story.

Perhaps even to counter Mark Zuckerbergs META Platform.

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PODCAST: Artificial Intelligence in Medicine

MACHINE LEARNING AND NATURAL LANGUAGE PROCESSING

By Eric Bricker MD

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US INCOME GAP: A New Reality Check for Doctors NOT Going Broke!

Sobering News for all Medical Professionals

To Be Thankful

By Ann Miller RN MHA CMP

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Poverty in America

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Assessment

Conclusion

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