Stock Markets, Commodities and Crypto-Currency

By Staff Reporters and A.I.

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  • Stocks: Stock Market Indexes recovered yesterday from their losses, though the Dow remained in the red.
  • Commodities: Gold is rising above $4,200 to another new all-time high. Meanwhile, oil dropped to nearly a five-month low as trade tensions raised the specter of slowing economic growth.
  • Crypto: Bitcoin, ethereum, and altcoins of all shapes and sizes remain repressed after a massive selloff last weekend erased billions in crypto positions.

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The Economy, Stocks and Commodities

By. A.I. and Staff Reporters

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  • Economy: Headline PCE rose from 2.6% on an annual basis in July to 2.7% in August, while core PCE stayed flat at 2.9%—all in line with analyst expectations.
  • Stocks: Solid inflation numbers helped equities arrest their recent selloff and offset the latest batch of tariffs. However, all three major indexes still ended the week lower than where they started.
  • Commodities: Oil climbed as Ukrainian drones continue to strike Russian energy infrastructure. Meanwhile, gold hit another all-time high, and rose above $3,800 for the first time ever at one point today.

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Stocks, Crypto-Currency and Commodities

By A.I. and Staff Reporters

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  • Stocks: Equities climbed slowly but steadily yesterday as investors braced themselves for today’s all-important jobs report.
  • Crypto: Bitcoin fell as a selloff in cryptocurrencies associated with the Trump family pulled the entire crypto market lower.
  • Commodities: Gold remains in the spotlight as traders bulk up on bullion to protect their portfolios in case the FOMC loses its independence. If that does happen, Goldman Sachs analysts think gold could climb to $5,000.

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Stocks, Bonds and Commodities

By A.I. and Staff Reporters

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  • Stocks: Markets slowed along yesterday with the S&P 500 and NASDAQ buoyed after a pivotal antitrust ruling for Alphabet pushed big tech stocks higher across the board.
  • Bonds: The 30-year Treasury pushed 5% yesterday as traders fret about the Fed’s independence and the odds of interest rate cuts.
  • Commodities: Oil sank on reports that OPEC+ is contemplating increasing its crude output next month, while gold reached yet another new record high as uncertainty swirling around the future of tariffs continued to rise. JPMorgan analysts now think the precious metal could climb as high as $4,250 by the end of next year.

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Stocks, Bonds and Commodities

By A.I.

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Bonds
: Treasury yields rose yesterday as investors dug into a Federal appeals court ruling last Friday stating that most of President Trump’s tariffs are illegal. The 30-year yield closed in on the key 5% level.
Stocks: Equities tumbled across the board as technology stocks sold off and pulled the rest of the market down with them.
Commodities: Gold hit a new record high as traders hedged against tariff uncertainty and braced themselves for an extremely important US jobs report on Friday that could make or break the case for the Fed to start cutting rates.

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Stocks, Commodities and the FOMC

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  • Stocks: The final trading day of the summer was bad as a selloff in technology stocks took indexes down from recent all-time highs.
  • Fed drama: A judge did not issue a ruling on Fed Governor Lisa Cook’s bid for a temporary restraining order against President Trump, delaying it a few more days and leaving Cook in limbo.
  • Commodities: Gold hit a new all-time high as traders worried about the possibility of the Federal Reserve losing its independence.

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Stocks Up, Bond Yields Down as Commodities Rise and Fall

By A.I and ME-P Staff Reporters

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  • Stocks: The stock markets rose today after Jerome Powell opened the door to interest rate cuts. The Dow soared to a new all-time high, while small-cap stocks in the Russell 2000 had a banner day.
  • Bonds: Yields fell while the chances of a rate cut after the Fed’s next meeting in September rose to 83%.
  • Commodities: Gold rose on rate cut hopes while oil fell as peace talks between Ukraine and Russia stalled. But the biggest winner is coffee: prices have risen for six straight days to cap off its biggest weekly gain since 2021.

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Stocks, Commodities and Trade

By A.I.

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  • Stocks: Markets struggled to pick a direction as investors took a wait-and-see approach ahead of today’s CPI reading—even as Wall Street worries about the data’s reliability.
  • Trade: President Trump asked China, the world’s largest soybean buyer, to quadruple its soybean purchases from the US. He also extended the trade war truce with China by 90 days
  • Commodities: Gold had its worst day in three months as traders waited for the White House to clarify its new tariffs on the key commodity—only for Trump to announce that it won’t be tariffed at all. Meanwhile, Chinese battery giant CATL halted operations at a mine that produces 4% of the world’s lithium, sending prices of the precious metal soaring.

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MONEY ADDICTED PHYSICIANS: The Investing and Stock Trading Personality of Doctors

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP

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THE ADDICTIVE INVESTING / TRADING PERSONALITY OF DOCTORS

Dr. Donald J. Mandell, a pediatrician, always needs to leave the office fifteen minutes ahead of schedule. The reason is because it takes that long to make the necessary number of trips to ensure the front door is truly locked.

Dr. Kamela A. Shaw, a general surgeon, is constantly rushing to the bath room so that she can wash her hands. As far as she is concerned, it is not possible to get one’s hands clean enough considering the COVID pandemic or recent influenza outbreak.

Although the behaviors displayed by these two doctors are different, they are consistent in that each, to some degree, display behavior that might be called an obsessive-compulsive disorder [OCD].

COGNITIVE BIAS: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2025/06/22/investing-cognitive-biases-for-financial-advisors-to-know-and-understand/

[A] When Investing or Trading In No Longer Fun

An obsession is a persistent, recurring preoccupation with an idea or thought. A compulsion is an impulse that is experienced as irresistible.

Obsessive-compulsive individuals feel compelled to think thoughts that they say they do not want to think or to carry out actions that they say are against their will. These individuals usually realize that their behavior is irrational, but it is beyond their control. In general, these individuals are preoccupied with orderliness, perfectionism, and mental and interpersonal control, at the expense of flexibility, openness, and efficiency. Specifically, behaviors such as the following may be seen:

  • Preoccupation with details.
  • Perfectionism that interferes with task completion.
  • Excessive devotion to work and office productivity.
  • Scrupulous and inflexible about morality (not accounted for by cultural or religious identification);
  • Inability to discard worn-out or worthless objects without sentimental value;
  • Reluctance to delegate tasks or to work with others.
  • Adopts a miserly spending style toward both self and others.
  • Demonstrates a rigid, inflexible and stubborn nature.

Most people resort to some minor obsessive-compulsive patterns under severe pressure or when trying to achieve goals that they consider critically important. In fact, many individuals refer to this as superstitious behavior. The study habits required for medical students entail a good deal of compulsive behavior.

As the above examples suggest, there are a variety of addictions possible. Recent news accounts have pointed out that even high-level governmental officials can experience sex addiction. The advent of social-media has led to what is referred to as Internet addiction where an individual is transfixed to a computer, tablet PC or smart-phone, “working” for hours on end without a specific project in mind. The simple act of “surfing”, “tweeting-X”, “texting” or merely posting opinions offers the person afflicted with the addiction some degree of satisfaction.

Still another form of addictive behavior is that of the individual with gambling disorder (GD).

GD is recognized as a mental disorder in the American Psychiatric Association’s Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders-V. This is the behavior of an individual who is unable to resist the impulse to gamble. Many reasons have been posited for this type of behavior including the death instinct; a need to lose; a history of trauma; a wish to repeat a big win; identification with adults the “gambler” knew as an adolescent; and a desire for action and excitement. There are other explanations offered for this form of compulsive behavior. The act of betting allows the individual to express an immature bravery, courage, manliness, and persistence against unfavorable odds. By actually using money and challenging reality, he puts himself into “action” and intense emotion. By means of gambling, the addicted individual is able to pretend that he is favored by “lady luck,” specially chosen, successful, able to beat the system and escape from feelings of discontent.

Greed can also have addictive qualities. In fact, a poll conducted by the Chicago Tribune revealed that folks who earned less than $30,000 a year, said that $50,000 would fulfill their dreams, whereas those with yearly incomes of over $100,000 said they would need $250,000 to be satisfied. More recent studies confirm that goals keep getting pushed upward as soon as a lower level is reached.

PHYSICIAN IPS: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2025/07/30/investment-policy-statement-construction-for-physicians-and-medical-professionals/

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Question: So how much money is enough?

Answer: Just a little bit more.

Edward Looney, executive director of the Trenton, New Jersey based Council on Compulsive Gambling (CCG) reports that the number of individuals calling with trading-associated problems is doubling annually. In the mid 1980s, when the council was formed, the number of people calling the council’s hotline (1 – 800 Gambler) with stock-market gambling problems was approximately 1.5 percent of all calls received. In 1998 that number grew to 3 percent, and rose to 8 percent by 2012. Today, that number is largely unknown because of its pervasiveness, but Dr. Robert Custer, an expert on compulsive gambling reported, that stock market gamblers represent over 20 percent of the gamblers that he has diagnosed. It is evident that on-line trading presents a tremendous risk to the speculator.

The CCG describes some of the consequences:

  • Dr. Fred B. is a 43-year-old Asian male physician with a salary above $150,000 and in debt for more than $150,000. He is married with two children. He was a day trader.   
  • Michael Q. is a 28-year-old Hispanic male registered nurse. He is married and the father of one (7 month old) child. He earns $65,000 and lost $50,000 savings in day trading and is in debt for $30,000. He has suicidal ideation.

[B] A Question of Suitability

Since online traders are in it for many reasons, investment suitability rarely enters the picture, according to Stuart Kaswell, general counsel of the Securities Industry Association, in Washington, DC.  The kind of question that has yet to be confronted, by day or online trading firms, is a statement, such as: “Equities look good this year. We favor technology stocks. We have a research report on our Web page that looks at the social media industry.” Those kinds of things are seldom considered because they do not involve a specific recommendation of a specific stock, like Apple, Google, Groupon, Facebook or Twitter.

However, if a firm makes a specific recommendation to an investor, whether over the cell-phone, iPad®, fax machine, face-to-face, instagram or over the Internet, or Twitter-X, suitability rules should apply. Opining similarly on the “know your customer” requirements is Steven Caruso, of Maddox, Koeller, Harget & Caruso of New York City. “The on-line firms obviously claim that they do not have a suitability responsibility because they do not want the liability for making a mistake as far as determining whether the investor was suitable or buying any security. I think that ultimately more firms are going to be required to make a suitability, [or eventually fiduciary] determination on every trade”.

[C] On-line Traders and Stock Market Gamblers

Some of the preferred areas of stock market gambling that attract the interest of compulsive gamblers include options, commodities, penny stocks and bit-coins, index investing, new stock offerings, certain types of CAT bonds, crowd-sourcing initiatives,  and some contracts for government securities. These online traders and investment gamblers think of themselves as cautious long-term investors who prefer blue chip or dividend paying varieties. What they fail to take into consideration is that even seemingly blue chips can both rise and precipitously drop in value again, as seen in the summer of 2003, the “crash” of 2008, or the “flash crash” of May 6, 2010.  On this day, the DJIA plunged 1000 points (about 9%) only to recover those losses within minutes. It was the second largest point swing 1,010.14 points, and the biggest one-day point decline, 998.5 points, on an intraday basis in Dow Jones Industrial Average history.

Regardless of investment choice, the compulsive investment gambler enjoys the anticipation of following the daily activity surrounding these investments. Newspaper, hourly radio and television reports, streaming computer, tablet and smart phone banners and hundreds of periodicals and magazines add excitement in seeking the investment edge. The name of the game is action. Investment goals are unclear, with many participating simply for the feeling it affords them as they experience the highs and lows and struggles surrounding the play.  And, as documented by the North American Securities Administrators Association’s president, and Indiana Securities Commissioner, Bradley Skolnik, most day or online traders lose money. “On-line brokerage was new and cutting edge and we enjoyed the best stock market in generations, until the crashes. The message of most advertisements was “just do it”, and you’ll do well. The fact is that research and common sense suggest the more you trade, the less well you’ll do”.

Most day or online traders are young males, some who quit their day jobs before the just mentioned debacles; or more recently with the dismal economy. Many ceased these risky activities but there is some anecdotal evidence that is re-surging again with 2013-14 technology boom and market rise. Most of them start every day not owning any stock, then buy and sell all day long and end the trading day again without any stock – – just a lot of cash. Dr. Patricia Farrell, a licensed clinical psychologist states that day traders are especially susceptible to compulsive behaviors and addictive personalities. Mark Brando, registered principal for Milestone Financial, a day trading firm in Glendale, California states, “People that get addicted to trading employ the same destructive habits as a gambler. Often, it’s impossible to tell if a particular trade comes from a problem gambler or a legitimate trader.”

VALUE STOCKS: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2025/02/28/value-stocks-bargain-hunting-investing-for-physicians/

Arthur Levitt, former Chairman of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in discussing the risks and misconceptions of investing are only amplified by on-line trading. In a speech before the National Press Club a few years ago, he attempted to impress individuals as to the risks and difficulties involved with day trading. Levitt cited four common misconceptions that knowledgeable medical professionals, and all investors, should know: 

  • Personal computers, tablets, mobile devices and smart-phones are not directly linked to the markets – Thanks to Level II computer software, day traders can have access to the same up-to-the-second information available to market makers on Wall Street.  “Although the Internet makes it seem as if you have a direct connection to the securities market, you don’t. Lines may clog; systems may break; orders may back-up.” 
  • The virtue of limit orders – “Price quotes are only for a limited number of shares; so only the first few investors will receive the currently quoted price. By the time you get to the front of the line, the price of the stock could be very different.” 
  • Canceling an order – “Another misconception is that an order is canceled when you hit ‘cancel’ on your computer. But, the fact is it’s canceled only when the market gets the cancellation. You may receive an electronic confirmation, but that only mean your request to cancel was received – not that your order was actually canceled”. 
  • Buying on margin – “if you plan to borrow money to buy a stock, you also need to know the terms of the loan your broker gave you. This is margin. In volatile markets, investors who put up an initial margin payment for a stock may find themselves required to provide additional cash if the price of the stock falls.

How then, can the medical professional or financial advisor tell if he or she is a compulsive gambler? A diagnostic may be obtained from Gamblers Anonymous. It is designed to screen for the identification of problem and compulsive gambling.

But, it is also necessary to provide a tool to be used by on-line traders. This questionnaire is as follows:

1. Are you trading in the stock market with money you may need during the next year?

2. Are you risking more money than you intended to?

3. Have you ever lied to someone regarding your on-line trading?

4. Are you risking retirement savings to try to get back your losses?

5. Has anyone ever told you that spend too much time on-line?

6. Is investing affecting other life areas (relationships, vocational pursuits, etc.)?

7. If you lost money trading in the market would it materially change your life?

8. Are you investing frequently for the excitement, and the way it makes you feel?

9. Have you become secretive about your on-line trading?

10. Do you feel sad or depressed when you are not trading in the market?

ALPHA: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2025/07/02/managing-for-endowment-portfolio-alpha/

NOTE: If you answer to any of these questions you may be moving from investing to gambling.

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The cost of compulsive gambling and day trading is high for the individual medical or lay professional, the family and society at large. Compulsive gamblers, in the desperation phase of their gambling, exhibit high suicide ideation, as in the case of Mark O Barton’s the murderous day-trader in Atlanta who killed 12 people and injured 13 more in July 29th 1999. His idea actually became a final act of desperation.

Less dramatically, for doctors, is a marked increase in subtle illegal activity. These acts include fraud, embezzlement, CPT® up-coding, medical over utilization, excessive full risk HMO contracting, Stark Law aberrations and other “white collar crimes.”  Higher healthcare and social costs in police, judiciary (civil and criminal) and corrections result because of compulsive gambling. The impact on family members is devastating. Compulsive gamblers cause havoc and pain to all family members. The spouses and other family members also go through progressive deterioration in their lives.

In this desperation phase, dysfunctional families are left with a legacy of anger, resentment, isolation, and in many instances, outright hate.    

[D] Day Trading Assessment

Internet day trading, like the Internet and telecommunications sectors, become something of a investment bubble a few years ago, suggesting that something lighter than air can pop and disappear in an instant. History is filled with examples: from the tulip mania of 1630 Holland and the British South Sea Bubble of the 1700’s; to the Florida land boom of the roaring twenties and the Great Crash of 1929; to the collapse of Japans stock and real estate market in early 1990’s; and to an all-time high of $1,926 for an ounce of commodity gold a few years ago. 

Today it is Ask: $3,388.30 USD Bid: $3,367.30 USD

CONCLUSION

To this list, one might again include smart-phone or mobile day trading.

Cite: Eugene Schmuckler PhD MBA MEd CTS

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SPEAKING: Dr. Marcinko will be speaking and lecturing, signing and opining, teaching and preaching, storming and performing at many locations throughout the USA this year! His tour of witty and serious pontifications may be scheduled on a planned or ad-hoc basis; for public or private meetings and gatherings; formally, informally, or over lunch or dinner. All medical societies, financial advisory firms or Broker-Dealers are encouraged to submit an RFP for speaking engagements: CONTACT: Ann Miller RN MHA at MarcinkoAdvisors@outlook.com -OR- http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com

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Commodities, Stock Markets and International Trade

By A.I.

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Trade: President Trump signed an executive order late yesterday unleashing a wave of new tariffs on 69 US trading partners that will go into effect on August 7th. Here’s a handy list of tariffs and their economic effects for anyone else having trouble keeping track of all these new numbers.

Markets: Stocks opened lower and kept falling thanks to a double whammy of new tariff rates and a shocking slowdown in the labor market, while bond yields tumbled.

Commodities: Gold jumped as the likelihood of a rate cut rose due to the latest jobs report, while oil sank on reports that OPEC+ may announce a crude production boost as soon as this weekend.

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DAILY UPDATE: Stocks, Commodities and Trade as Stock Markets End Mixed

MEDICAL EXECUTIVE-POST TODAY’S NEWSLETTER BRIEFING

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Essays, Opinions and Curated News in Health Economics, Investing, Business, Management and Financial Planning for Physician Entrepreneurs and their Savvy Advisors and Consultants

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  • Stocks: Investors cheered the news of an EU & US trade deal over the weekend, pushing the S&P 500 above 6,400 for the first time ever. But the index gave up most of its gains late in the day as attention turned to a huge week of data ahead (more on that in a minute).
  • Trade: Today was the first day of discussions between US and Chinese negotiators in Stockholm to keep the trade war truce alive. Elsewhere, President Trump foresees a baseline 15% to 20% tariff rate for the rest of the world.
  • Commodities: Gold fell as trade deal hopes heightened investors’ risk appetite, while oil spiked higher after Trump gave Russia a 10- to 12-day deadline to sign a truce with Ukraine.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

According to Bloomberg, 83% of the S&P 500 companies that have reported earnings have outpaced Wall Street’s estimates, putting the index on pace for its best season of beats since the second quarter of 2021.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/tj8smmes

Visualize: How private equity tangled banks in a web of debt, from the Financial Times.

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Stocks & Commodities

By A.I.

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  • Stocks: President Trump said there’s a “50/50 chance” of a deal with the EU ahead of next week’s deadline. Investors decided they like those odds, and pushed the NASDAQ and S&P 500 to yet another new closing record high—in fact, the S&P 500 set a new record every day this week. Meanwhile, trade deal talks with Brazil have reportedly stalled.
  • Commodities: Oil fell to a three-week low today as Iran signaled a willingness to come to the negotiating table with European powers for nuclear talks.
  • Hopes of trade deals and less need for a safe haven investment pushed gold prices lower.

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Commodities, Stocks and Bonds

By A.I.

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  • Stocks: Investors were pleased to hear about the trade deal with Japan yesterday and reports of an agreement with the EU coming soon kept the stock rally alive through market close. The S&P 500 notched its 12th new closing record this year, and the NASDAQ ended the day above 21,000 for the first time.
  • Bonds: Treasury yields rose a bit after an auction of 20-year notes was met with strong demand, indicating investor appetite for longer-term US debt.
  • Commodities: Oil inched higher while gold edged lower as investors hedge their bets in anticipation of more trade deals before the August 1st deadline.

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Stocks and Commodities

By A.I.

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  • Stocks: Markets shrugged off President Trump’s weekend threat of 30% levies against the EU and Mexico, as well as his proposed 100% secondary tariffs against Russia today. Stocks eked out a win across the board, with the NASDAQ climbing to a new record close.
  • Commodities: Oil prices fell while gold took a breather, but the big winner was orange juice futures, which hit a four-month high thanks to Trump’s promise of 50% tariffs on all imports from Brazil. Coffee prices also climbed.

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Bitcoin, Stocks, Oil, Gold and Silver

By A.I.

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  • Stocks: The major Wall Street stock indexes languished. The S&P pulled back from its record high to close the week just a bit lower, but the NASDAQ managed to post a gain across the week.
  • Crypto: Bitcoin hit a new high-water mark above $118,000. Next week, July 14th, Congress hosts “Crypto Week” to discuss regulating the industry in a growth-oriented manner.
  • Commodities: Silver rose to its highest level since 2011, and it’s been even hotter than gold. The metal is up ~27% this year. Oil, meanwhile, ticked higher on speculation that President Trump will place more sanctions on Russia early next week.

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Stocks, Bonds and Safe Havens

By A.I.

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Stocks, Deals and Commodities

BY A.I.

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Stocks: The S&P 500 briefly traded a few cents above its February all-time closing high yesterday afternoon, but couldn’t sustain the gain and fell just short at the end of the day. The NASDAQ remains inches away from its record high as well.

Deals: The end of the 90-day tariff pause is less than two weeks away, but the White House said that the July 9th deadline “is not critical.”

Meanwhile, the Treasury Department is doing everything it can to make the dreaded “revenge tax” in the big, beautiful bill irrelevant.

Commodities: Gold and oil had muted moves upward but copper climbed to a three-month high after Goldman Sachs analysts warned of shortages ahead

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Stocks, US Dollar, Gold and Crypto

By AI

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  • Stocks: Markets rose tentatively to start the week after the US bombed three nuclear facilities in Iran over the weekend. The rally gained steam in the afternoon after Iran launched a missile strike against a US airbase in Qatar, leaving no US casualties and keeping a path to de-escalation intact.
  • Safe havens: The US dollar rose to its highest level in nearly a month this morning, up from a three-year low last week, as investors sought safety. Meanwhile, gold inched higher despite pressure from a stronger dollar, a sure sign of investor tension.
  • Crypto: Bitcoin fell dangerously close to the key support level of $100,000 before recovering later in the day as traders took a risk-on stance.

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Stocks, Economy and Commodities

By AI

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  • Stocks: Investors looked past the escalating conflict between Iran and Israel, even as President Trump mulled his options for a US intervention, and stocks rose ahead of today’s Federal Reserve meeting.
  • Economy: Trump called Jerome Powell “a stupid person” hours before the Fed Chair decided to keep interest rates where they were Stocks fell thanks to the Fed’s prediction that inflation will rise to 3.1% by the end of the year, above previous forecasts of 2.8%.
  • Commodities: Gold fell just a hair as analysts called the commodity’s top, while platinum climbed to a four-year high.

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DAILY UPDATE: Stock Markets Struggle

MEDICAL EXECUTIVE-POST TODAY’S NEWSLETTER BRIEFING

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Essays, Opinions and Curated News in Health Economics, Investing, Business, Management and Financial Planning for Physician Entrepreneurs and their Savvy Advisors and Consultants

Serving Almost One Million Doctors, Financial Advisors and Medical Management Consultants Daily

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  • Stocks: Markets sagged as fighting between Israel and Iran continued, with investors worried about escalation after President Trump called for the “unconditional surrender” of Iran’s Supreme Leader ​​Ali Khamenei. The Wall Street Journal reported that he is considering a potential US strike against Iran.
  • Commodities: Oil prices popped this morning after Trump warned that Tehran should be evacuated.
  • Bonds: Yields sank after US retail sales came in much lower than anticipated, raising fears of an economic slowdown.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

🟢 What’s up

  • Verve Therapeutics exploded 81.50% on the news that the gene-editing company will be acquired by Eli Lilly in a $1.3 billion deal.
  • Reddit popped 6.06% after the social media site rolled out new AI-powered tools for advertisers.
  • BGSF surged 34.25% after the staffing company announced it is selling its professional division to INSPYR Solutions for $99 million.
  • Jabil gained 8.80% thanks to a strong earnings report for the electronics parts supplier.
  • Oil stocks climbed as the conflict between Israel and Iran threatens to grow. Valero Energy rose 2.89%, Chevron gained 1.93%, and Hess added 1.79%.

What’s down

  • Microsoft fell 0.23% after the Wall Street Journal reported that its partnership with OpenAI is falling apart.
  • JetBlue Airways lost 7.88% on the news that it’s cutting costs, including reducing its number of flights, due to softer-than-expected travel demand.
  • Lennar sank 4.42% after the homebuilder beat revenue estimates last quarter but missed profit forecasts.
  • T-Mobile tumbled 4.14% on the news that major shareholder Softbank sold 21.5 million shares of the telecommunications company.
  • Airline stocks sank as the price of oil rose throughout the day. United Airlines lost 6.18%, while Delta Air Lines fell 4.33%.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/tj8smmes

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Stocks, Commodities and Bonds

By AI

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  • Stocks: Israel and Iran exchanged missile strikes for a fourth day, but investors are betting that the conflict will remain at least somewhat contained. Reports that Iran wants to de-escalate the conflict and even restart nuclear talks seemed to underline that idea, and markets rose strongly throughout the afternoon.
  • Commodities: Gold fell as hopes of a ceasefire between Israel and Iran made investors more bullish, while Iranian oil infrastructure was spared from the attacks, pushing crude prices lower.
  • Bonds: A $13 billion 20-year bond auction this afternoon yielded strong demand, rounding out a series of solid auctions over the last few days that seemingly point to renewed investor confidence in US fixed income.

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Stocks, Bonds and Commodities

By AI

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Tariffs, Private Sector Jobs, Interest Rates, Gold and the US Dollar

BREAKING NEWS!

By Staff Reporters with AI Generation

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  • 50% tariffs on steel and aluminum went into effect today. To celebrate, President Trump hopped on Truth Social to put China’s President Xi on blast ahead of an expected call between the two heads of state. And, Temu lost 58% of its daily users thanks to tariffs.
  • The president also pushed Jerome Powell to “LOWER THE RATE” following terrible private sector job numbers. Stocks are seemingly immune to tough trade talk and interest rate rants at this point, but bond yields sank on fears of slower economic growth.
  • The US dollar slipped, propelling gold higher as investors sought safety.

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DAILY UPDATE: UnitedHealth Group and Crypto Up as Stock Markets Spike

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UnitedHealth Group improperly uses workers’ funds to reduce its own 401(k) contributions, according to a lawsuit against the nation’s largest health insurer that is seeking class-action status. The company denies the claims. It’s just one in a string of lawsuits facing the beleaguered company. 

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

🟢 What’s up

  • Boeing climbed 3.32% after CEO Kelly Ortberg laid out his turnaround plan for the struggling aircraft manufacturer, including ramping up production of its 737 Max.
  • C3.ai exploded 20.76% higher thanks to a smaller-than-expected loss last quarter and strong revenue growth for the enterprise AI company.
  • Veeva Systems soared 18.74% after the cloud computing company beat Wall Street estimates on both the top and bottom lines.
  • E.l.f. Beauty popped 23.58% thanks to better-than-expected earnings, as well as the news that it will acquire Haley Bieber’s beauty brand Rhode for up to $1 billion.
  • Moderna rose 3.38% despite the Trump administration pulling $766 million in funding for a new bird flu vaccine.
  • Li Auto climbed 2.11% after beating first-quarter forecasts, though the Chinese EV company issued disappointing guidance.

What’s down

  • Salesforce posted a beat-and-raise earnings report, but it wasn’t good enough for shareholders, and the software giant sank 3.30%.
  • HP reported solid revenue last quarter, but missed on profits and issued worse-than-expected guidance for the coming year, pushing shares down 8.27%
  • Kohl’s fell 0.74% after posting solid sales and a smaller-than-anticipated earnings loss.
  • Best Buy tumbled 7.27% after beating earnings estimates but missing on revenue and warning that it’s cutting its fiscal forecast and likely raising prices.
  • SentinelOne fell 11.59% after the cybersecurity company missed revenue estimates and issued a lower sales forecast than Wall Street wanted to see.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/tj8smmes

  • There are now 114 publicly listed companies that own bitcoin, up from 89 at the beginning of April, according to BitcoinTreasuries.net.
  • Bitcoin’s price jumped nearly 50% from a low of ~$75,000 to an all-time high of nearly $112,000 over roughly the same period.

Visualize: How private equity tangled banks in a web of debt, from the Financial Times.

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DAILY UPDATE: Gold Down as Stock Markets Sky Rocket

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Bonds breathed a sigh of relief after 30-year Treasury yields fell back below 5% as Japanese central bankers took precautionary measures to shore up their finances.

Gold tumbled as investors continue to throw money at risk assets, while bitcoin maintained its recent gains.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

What’s up

  • Informatica popped 6.08% after Salesforce acquired the cloud data manager for $8 billion.
  • US Steel gained 1.98% on reports that its acquisition by Nippon Steel is finally happening.
  • Oklo rose 10.29% thanks to the Trump seal of approval for nuclear energy.
  • CoreWeave can’t stop, won’t stop: The AI hyperscaler was downgraded by Barclays analysts, who think its near-term upside is limited, but shares still rose 20.66%.
  • VF Corp., the parent company of The North Face, JanSport, etc, rose 12.92% after disclosing that members of its C-suite splurged on the stock.
  • Soundhound AI is a retail trader favorite, and now Piper Sandler analysts like it,too: The AI voice platform jumped 16.05% on an upgrade.
  • Southwest gained 5.53% on reports that the airline is rolling out $35 baggage fees beginning tomorrow.
  • Movie theater stocks popped on a record-breaking Memorial Day weekend at the box office: AMC soared 23.77%, Cinemark climbed 3.82%, and Marcus Corp. gained 10.12%.

What’s down

  • PDD Holdings plunged 13.64% after the Chinese e-commerce retailer reported a hefty 47% decline in profits last quarter.
  • Trump Media & Technology Group tumbled 10.38% after the company announced it’s raising $2.5 billion to buy bitcoin.
  • Champion Homes sank 16.39% after the homebuilder missed Wall Street expectations last quarter by a mile.
  • Rocket Pharmaceuticals dropped 62.84% after the biotech reported that a patient participating in a gene therapy trial died over the weekend.

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DAILY UPDATE: Stock Markets Down Slightly

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  • The S&P 500 snapped a 6-day winning streak as the rally following the US & China tariff ceasefire faded and investors looked elsewhere for buying signals.
  • Federal Reserve speeches abound this week, with several central bankers warning of an economy under duress.
  • Both gold and bitcoin consolidated their recent gains, offering investors alternatives to suddenly not-so-safe bonds and a sagging US dollar.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

What’s up

  • Tesla climbed 0.51% after CEO Elon Musk committed to spending the next five years running the EV manufacturer.
  • Moderna popped 6.06% after the FDA announced new limits on Covid-19 vaccine approvals that were more lenient than expected.
  • Warby Parker soared 15.57% on news of a partnership with Google to create smart glasses.
  • Pony AI rose 5.74% after the Chinese auto maker posted impressive earnings and cited high demand for autonomous taxi rides.
  • Amer Sports surged 19.05% after the athletic equipment maker posted a strong beat-and-raise earnings announcement.
  • D-Wave Quantum soared 25.93% after the quantum computing company unveiled its newest computing system.
  • Levi Strauss & Co. rose 1.42% on the news that the jeans company is selling Dockers to Authentic Brands Group for $311 million.

What’s down

  • Home Depot fell just 0.61% after the home renovation retailer missed earnings estimates, beat revenue forecasts, kept its fiscal guidance intact, and said it won’t raise prices.
  • Airbnb tumbled 3.27% after Spain ordered the company to take down over 65,000 listings.
  • Uber sagged 0.66% despite an upgrade from JPMorgan analysts and the news that it’s partnering with Waymo to offer robotaxis in Atlanta.
  • Viking Holdings sank 4.99% despite earnings and sales beating estimates, but investors didn’t like hearing that the the cruise line operator transported fewer passengers last quarter than expected.
  • AES lost 4.05% after the solar stock was downgraded by Jefferies analysts, who are worried about lower demand for renewable energy.

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Visualize: How private equity tangled banks in a web of debt, from the Financial Times.

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DAILY UPDATE: Gold, VIX and Stock Markets Up as 23andMe is Sold

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  • When S&P downgraded the US’ credit rating in August 2011, it sparked the worst one-day decline in US stocks since the Great Financial Crisis. Today was the first day of trading after Moody’s downgraded the US’ credit rating, and while stocks sank at the open, they recovered a lot of lost ground after investors decided to buy the dip.
  • The downgrade pushed yields on 30-year Treasury bonds above 5% at the open, while 10-year yields rose to 4.55% at one point. But yields on both notes fell throughout the afternoon as buyers crept back into the bond market.
  • Gold was the big winner today as investors sought safety, while the CBOE Volatility Index, or VIX, popped higher.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

🟢 What’s up

  • Investors largely shrugged at Nvidia’s many announcements today, including the ability for customers to use non-Nvidia chips in Nvidia products. Shares rose just 0.13%.
  • UnitedHealth Group posted a 8.18% gain as investors turned their attention to the suddenly cheap health insurance giant.
  • Novavax exploded 15.01% higher thanks to the FDA’s approval of its new Covid-19 vaccine.
  • TXNM Energy popped 6.98% to an all-time high on the announcement that Blackstone will acquire the power provider for $11.5 billion.

What’s down

  • Tesla tumbled 2.25% after Chinese tech giant Xiaomi announced it will debut its Yu7 sports utility vehicle, a clear Tesla challenger in a key market, on Thursday.
  • Walmart lost 0.12% after Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent met with company leadership to discuss how the retailer could “eat the tariffs.”
  • Bath & Body Works sank 0.56% after the retailer named former Nike exec Daniel Heaf as its new CEO effective immediately.
  • Reddit fell 4.63% due to a downgrade from Wells Fargo analysts who think the social media platform will lose search traffic to Google AI.
  • Diageo is down 0.69% after the maker of Johnnie Walker whiskey said it will take an annual tariff hit of $150 million.
  • Alibaba dropped 0.40% on a New York Times report that the Trump Administration is concerned with Apple’s plan to use Alibaba AI on its iPhones.
  • JPMorgan fell 1% as shareholders at the bank’s investment division grapple with CEO Jamie Dimon’s departure.
  • Solar stocks sank after the Republican tax and spending bill moved forward with a commitment to end clean energy tax credits earlier than planned. First Solar fell 7.59%, SunRun lost 7.84%, and AES lost 4.10%.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/tj8smmes

Regeneron Pharmaceuticals will buy 23andMe for $256 million.

Visualize: How private equity tangled banks in a web of debt, from the Financial Times.

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Stocks and Alternative Investments

By Staff Reporters

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The Dow Jones exploded 1,000 points in pre-market trading, and the rally never waned toay. Both the Dow and the S&P 500 are nearly back to even for the year, while the NASDAQ clawed its way out of bear market territory.

Bonds tumbled while yields soared as the market pushed the timing for the Fed to cut interest rates back from July to September.

Gold sank as traders passed right on by the go-to investment for safety and sprinted straight toward equities.

Crude oil popped on the hopes of stronger economic growth for both the US and China now that the two countries are finally engaging in trade discussions.

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FEAR BASED GOLD FEVER: Protect Yourself

By Rick Kahler CFP

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On January 21, 1980, in what I thought was a brilliant financial move, I bought gold. At what was then an all-time high of $873 an ounce.

Fast forward 45 years, and here we are again. Gold is on a tear, priced just over $3,000 an ounce at the time of this writing. It needs to rise another 16% to reach its inflation-adjusted record and many analysts think it might just get there.

What’s driving this gold rally? The same thing that drove it in 1980—fear.

Back then, the U.S. was grappling with rising inflation, double-digit price increases, and interest rates in the high teens. Investors feared that the dollar and stock market would collapse, that their hard-earned savings would erode into oblivion, and that gold was a safe haven. Sound familiar?

Today, inflation is less dramatic and the stock market would have to go a long way down to even register as a bear market, but it’s still a major concern. Central banks are buying gold at record levels. Gold-backed ETFs, which had been seeing years of outflows, are finally pulling investors back in.

For most, gold isn’t just an investment, it’s an emotional hedge against uncertainty. Back in 1980, I wasn’t thinking about long-term strategy. I was reacting to fear. Inflation had hit 14%, and like many others, I was convinced the dollar would soon be worthless. Gold, I thought, was my best shot at preserving wealth.

The problem? Inflation eventually cooled; it had dropped to an average of 3.5% by the mid-1980s. Gold prices tumbled along with it. Investors who, like me, bought at the peak, 45 years later still haven’t broken even on an inflation-adjusted basis. (My $873 purchase price, adjusted for inflation, equates to $3,580 today.) If I had stuck with a well-diversified portfolio, I likely would have fared much better over time.

Over the years, I’ve come to realize that our financial decisions aren’t just about numbers. They’re deeply influenced by our Internal Financial System™, a framework that helps explain why we handle money the way we do. I now see that my decision to buy gold was a battle between different financial “parts” of myself.

One part panicked, convinced that money was about to become worthless. Another saw gold prices soaring and didn’t want to miss out. Yet another part convinced me that buying at the peak was still a smart move. Had I paused and examined these internal voices, I might have made a different decision.

My gold purchase shows why emotionally driven investment decisions rarely lead to great financial outcomes. Instead of asking, “Is gold a smart long-term investment?” I was asking, “How do I make sure I don’t lose everything?” Those are two very different questions.

If you’re thinking about buying gold, I urge you to consider these questions:

“Am I investing from a place of fear or strategy?” If you’re rushing in because you’re scared of inflation, pause and reassess.

“How does gold fit into my broader financial plan?” Gold can be a great hedge—if held in appropriate amounts in a diversified portfolio. It is best viewed as catastrophic financial insurance, rather than an investment.

“Am I reacting to headlines or making a well-thought-out decision?” The financial media loves a good gold rally. But remember, markets move in cycles. Today’s rally may be history repeating itself.

Back in 1980, fear persuaded me that gold was a sure thing. I forgot an essential caveat—there are no sure things in investing. If bad market timing were an Olympic sport, I’d have taken home the gold (pun intended) for least profitable performance.

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DAILY UPDATE: OpenAI, FDA, Roche & Rite Aid as Stocks Soar

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  • OpenAI would be open to buying Chrome if Google is forced by a federal court to sell the web browser, the company’s ChatGPT head said yesterday.
  • The FDA suspended milk quality tests in some dairy products due to reduced capacity stemming from federal workforce cuts, Reuters reported.
  • Roche, the Swiss pharmaceutical giant, is investing $50 billion in US manufacturing to circumvent President Trump’s tariffs, the company said yesterday.
  • Rite Aid is preparing to sell itself in pieces ahead of a possible second bankruptcy, Bloomberg reported.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

What’s up

  • Intel surged 5.54% on reports that the chipmaker plans to cut 20% of its workforce.
  • Oklo gained 8.60% after OpenAI CEO Sam Altman announced he’s stepping down as chairman of the board of the nuclear power startup.
  • Duolingo popped 10.01% after Morgan Stanley initiated coverage of the language learning company, calling it a “best-in-class consumer internet asset.”
  • Cava climbed 6.29% due to an upgrade from analysts at Bernstein, who think the bowl slop stock will not only survive but thrive in an economic downturn.
  • Amphenol rose 8.21% thanks to impressive earnings for the high-speed cable company, coupled with a solid fiscal outlook.
  • Vertiv Holdings jumped 8.60% after the data center company posted an impressive quarterly profit and raised its fiscal forecast.
  • SAP rose 7.47% following the software stock’s strong profit performance last quarter.
  • Novavax soared 19.52% on the news that the FDA has asked for more clinical data about its Covid vaccine.

What’s down

  • Enphase Energy plunged 15.65% thanks to a big miss on both the top and bottom lines for the solar tech stock.
  • Going down: Elevator manufacturer Otis Worldwide fell 6.64% on an earnings miss thanks to fewer orders from Chinese customers.
  • Online learning platform Chubb fell 2.17% after announcing a 38% decline in net income last quarter.
  • Baker Hughes may have beaten profit forecasts last quarter, but the oilfield operator’s revenue miss sent shares tumbling 6.44%.
  • Bristol Myers Squibb lost 2.59% after the pharma giant announced its schizophrenia drug Cobenfy performed poorly in Phase 3 trials.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/tj8smmes

  • Stocks surged first thing this morning after President Trump said the media blew things out of proportion and that he has “no intention” of firing Jerome Powell. He also said he would be “very nice” to China in tariff negotiations.
  • Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent also did some damage control, touting the opportunity for a “big deal” between the US and China.
  • The combination sent a relief rally sweeping through markets, and while the euphoria faded by mid-afternoon, all three indexes ended the day in the green.
  • Gold fell and bitcoin rose as investors took on more risk (see below), while oil dropped on reports that OPEC+ may hike its crude output after its meeting next month.

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DAILY UPDATE: US Stocks Close Mixed

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US stocks were mixed on Thursday in anticipation of Amazon’s (AMZN) quarterly results, as investors assessed the earnings season so far and eyed President Donald Trump’s fast-moving policy overhaul.

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The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) fell 0.3%. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) rose more than 0.3%, and the tech-heavy NASDAQ Composite (^IXIC) popped 0.5% on the heels of two winning days in a row for the major gauges.

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The tariff jitters that shook stocks earlier in the week may have eased, but markets are tracking incoming earnings for any company warnings. At the same time, tech- and chip-related results are being scrutinized for signals about the strength of AI demand.

Visualize: How private equity tangled banks in a web of debt, from the Financial Times.

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Stocks, Treasuries, Gold and Bitcoin

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  • Stocks sank yesterday on news that Russian President Vladimir Putin lowered the threshold for using nuclear weapons, retaliation against the US for allowing Ukraine to use American-made long-range missiles. The NASDAQ and S&P 500 managed to recover, but the DJIA stayed all day in the red.
  • Treasury yields dropped as bonds rose.
  • Gold popped as traders sought safety, as the commodity benefited from the US dollar pulling back from a recent one-year high.
  • Bitcoin continued to climb slowly but surely, reaching another new all-time high.

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INVESTING NEWS: Stocks, Bonds, Oil, Gold, Bitcoin and Sectors Review Post Election

By Staff Reporters

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BREAKING NEWS!

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  • Stocks surged and stayed higher all yesterday day on news of Donald Trump’s presidential victory. The Dow rocketed over 1,350 points as soon as markets opened, and all three indexes ended the day at record highs.
  • Treasury yields have paralleled Trump’s chances of taking the White House for the last few weeks, and his election sent them soaring to over 4.46% at one point today.
  • Oil and gold both fell as the dollar rose after Trump’s win. The greenback popped on the promise of Trump’s protectionist tariff policies and the lower likelihood of the Fed cutting interest rates as fast as previously expected.
  • Bitcoin surged as traders celebrated the beginning of the new, friendlier regulatory environment that Trump promised during his campaign.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource/Title/0826102549

Sector check-up

  • Financials were the biggest sector mover Wednesday, up 6.16%, hitting a new high.
  • Industrials were up 3.93% Wednesday, hitting a new high.
  • Energy was up 3.54% in the session. It’s now 4.28% from the April high.
  • Real Estate fell 2.64% during trading. It’s now 5.6% from the high. 
  • Consumer Staples fell 1.5%. The sector is 5.76% from the September high.
  • Utilities fell 1%. It’s now 5.72% from the mid-October high.
  • Duke Energy was flat over the past three months, and it is 6.3% from the October high.

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HINDSIGHT BIAS: The “Curse of Knowledge”

By Staff Reporters

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The Curse of Knowledge and Hindsight Bias

Similar in ways to the availability heuristic (Tversky & Kahneman, 1974) and to some extent, the false consensus effect, once you (truly) understand a new piece of information, that piece of information is now available to you and often becomes seemingly obvious. It might be easy to forget that there was ever a time you didn’t know this information and so, you assume that others, like yourself, also know this information: the curse of knowledge.

Cite: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2022/11/18/what-is-the-dunning-kruger-effect/

However, according to colleague Dan Ariely PhD, it is often an unfair assumption that others share the same knowledge. The hindsight bias is similar to the curse of knowledge in that once we have information about an event, it then seems obvious that it was going to happen all along.

I should have seen it [divorce, stock market crash/soar my smoking & lung cancer, unemployment, etc] coming!

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DAILY UPDATE: Life Span, Earnings Reports, Oil, Gold and Bitcoin with Closing Stock Highs

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Maximum lifespans. The upper limit of human life expectancy is leveling out, according to a new study published in the journal Nature Aging. Back in 1990, life-extending tech and health measures were increasing the average global lifespan by about 2.5 years per decade, but that dropped to 1.5 years per decade in the 2010s and closer to zero in the US, where there are more drug overdoses, shootings, and medical care inequities.

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  • Stocks kicked off the first full week of earnings season at full throttle. The S&P 500 rose to a new intraday record, the Dow closed above 43,000 for the first time ever, and the NASDAQ climbed steadily throughout the trading session.
  • Bitcoin soared on the news of China’s additional stimulus spending that broke this weekend. Although the Chinese government’s plans are light on details at the moment, the promise of more support for the world’s second largest economy was enough to get crypto traders hyped.

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  • Interestingly enough, those same promises of Chinese stimulus sent oil tumbling to start the day. The selling was exacerbated by OPEC’s announcement that crude demand will fall lower than expected in 2024 and 2025.
  • Gold sank a hair today as traders weighed Chinese stimulus against a stronger dollar.

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) rose44.82points (0.77%) to 5,859.85, a new closing high; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) increased 201.36 points (0.47%) to 43,065.22, also a new closing high; and the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) added 159.74 points (0.87%) to 18,502.69.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) did not trade today due to the holiday. 
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) slipped to 19.9, its first drop below 20 since October 4.

A slate of corporate earnings reports coming from Goldman Sachs, Bank of America, and Citigroup in the financial sector, along with healthcare giants Johnson & Johnson, Walgreens, and UnitedHealth. And throughout the week: Morgan Stanley will report on Wednesday, Netflix reports on Thursday, and Procter & Gamble and American Express drop their financials on Friday. It’ll pose a big test for the stock market’s $8 trillion rally this year.

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COLUMBUS DAY 2024: Stocks, Bonds, Gold & Oil

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U.S. stock markets, including the New York Stock Exchange and the NASDAQ remain open and follow a regular schedule today.

The bond markets will be closed, however.

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  • Stocks ended last week on a high note, closing out their fifth straight week of gains. The Dow was pushed to yet another new all-time high by strong earnings from JPMorgan, while the S&P 500 was in the green and rose to its own record close, and the NASDAQ clawed its way out of the red by early Friday afternoon.
  • Bond yields took a breather, falling below 4.1% thanks to a better-than-expected PPI report that helped offset inflation fears that had re-arisen after a worse-than-expected CPI report.
  • Gold rose as well on PPI news, since the data pointed to a better chance of more rate cuts ahead.
  • Oil fell a bit but gained over the last two weeks on geopolitical tensions and destruction in the Gulf of Mexico following the two major hurricanes.

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Stocks, Oil, Gold and Bitcoin

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  • October continues to be a tough month for stocks, with all three major indexes spending yesterday afternoon in the red. The Dow in particular had a horrible day and dropped over 500 points, while major tech stocks were pushed lower by a series of analyst downgrades.
  • Oil continued its hot streak yesterday, rising above $77 on the back of geopolitical conflict in the Middle East. That helped ensure that, while everything else fell, energy was the only positive sector in the S&P 500.
  • Gold has often found itself rising in tandem with crude, though it broke that habit, with the shiny safe haven dropping a hair as investors digest the idea that the Fed’s next interest rate cut may be smaller than they thought.
  • Bitcoin broke above $64,000 for a moment yesterday only to be yanked back down, as crypto traders ride out the recent volatility.

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DAILY UPDATE: Costco Gold, US Dock Workers & OpenAI Funding as Stocks Close Lower

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Costco, which found success selling gold bars, will now sell platinum ones, too.

US dock workers agreed to return to work after port operators sweetened their contract offer, ending a three-day strike that threatened to disrupt the American economy. The breakthrough Thursday came after port employers offered a 62% increase in wages over six years, according to people familiar with the matter.

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Stocks up

  • Nvidia gained 3.32% after CEO Jensen Huang said in an interview that demand for the company’s new Blackwell chips is “insane.”
  • EVgo soared 60.81% after the EV charging company received both a $1.05 billion loan from the Department of Energy and an upgrade from JP Morgan analysts.
  • Utility stocks soared in the third quarter thanks to higher electricity demand for AI, and it isn’t stopping anytime soon. Both Vistra Corp. and Constellation Energy surged 5.62% and 4.52%, respectively, on comments from Google CEO Sundar Pichai that the tech titan may utilize nuclear energy in the coming years.

Stocks down

  • Levi Strauss sank 7.69% after releasing subpar earnings, cutting its full-year sales forecast , and announcing it may sell its Dockers brand.
  • Tesla fell 3.35% after announcing a recall of over 27,000 Cybertrucks due to issues with their rearview camera.
  • Hims & Hers Health dropped 9.60% on the announcement that Eli Lilly’s weight-loss drugs are no longer on the FDA’s shortage list.
  • Joby Aviation tumbled 8.63%, giving up a portion of yesterday’s gains after the aviation startup received $500 million in additional funding from Toyota.
  • Stellantis, makers of Jeep, Dodge, and Chrysler vehicles, sank 4.11% to a new 52-week low today as a combination of terrible sales forecasts and a downgrade from Barclays analysts kicked the automaker while it’s already down.
  • Constellation Brands had strong beer sales but terrible wine and spirits sales last quarter, leading to a mixed earnings report that has shareholders worried about what the future holds. Shares sank 4.70%.

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Here’s where the major stock benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX)fell 10 points (–0.17%) to 5,699.96; the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DJI) dropped 185 points (–0.44%) to 42,011.59; the  NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) shed 7 points (–0.04%) to 17,918.48.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) added 7 basis points to 3.85%. 
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) rose 1.7 points to 20.59.

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Microsoft, NVIDIA, and Apple were rumored to be among the investors to participate in OpenAI’s latest funding round, pushing its market cap well beyond $150 billion. However, Apple dropped out of the exercise at the eleventh hour for unclear reasons as OpenAI was about to close the funding round.

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DAILY UPDATE: Rite Aid, Stock Markets, Gold, Oil Bitcoin, Uber & Waymo

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Nearly a year after filing for Chapter 11, Rite Aid announced on September 3 that the company has exited the bankruptcy process and will move forward as a private company. The retail pharmacy chain filed for bankruptcy in October 2023 as it struggled to keep up with competitors CVS and Walgreens, in addition to mounting debt, falling revenue, and multimillion-dollar opioid settlements.

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Stocks wrapped up a comeback last week, with all three major indexes ending the trading session on a high note. Both the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ enjoyed five straight winning days, and both indexes had their best week of the year. Gold continued to break records today, as the double whammy of forthcoming rate cuts and a declining dollar sent the precious metal soaring. Oil rose a bit today after Hurricane Francine passed over the Gulf of Mexico and output began to normalize. Bitcoin staged a late afternoon rally to end the week over 9% higher than where it started, as investors embraced risk and optimism swept through markets.

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Uber riders will be able to flag Waymo robotaxis in Austin and Atlanta in 2025 as the companies expand their partnership.

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GOLD: Commodity Bullion

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What it is: With its use as a commodity tracing back to Ancient Lydian merchants over 2,500 years ago, gold has the most staying power of any indicator on this list. When investors talk about gold prices today, they’re most likely referring to the price per ounce of gold bullion.

How it works: Gold is priced in U.S. dollars around the world. Investors can buy physical gold in the form of bullion or coins or go for more intangible gold securities, such as futures, ETF shares, or investments in gold mining companies.

Why it matters: In a 21st century economy where currencies aren’t pegged to the gold standard and credit cards are the medium of exchange, some investors argue gold is a relic. But others turn to the metal for diversification or as a “safe-haven asset”—something to buy during times of geopolitical or economic uncertainty because it holds onto its value.

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The GOLD and Gold Miners Chart-Book

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COMMODITIES UTILITY: Gold v. Silver

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Commodities trading means you’re buying and selling raw materials rather than finished products (like a house) or financial assets (like stocks and bonds). Commodities are assets like corn, coffee, lumber and ore. One common form of commodities trading is investing in precious metals, namely gold and silver. As an investment asset, gold and silver have very different properties and uses in a portfolio.

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Gold vs. Silver: Utility

The biggest thing that differentiates precious metal investing from other commodity investing is utility. For most other commodities, investors judge value based on supply and consumer demand. If you want to invest in coffee beans, for example, you can judge prices by how much coffee people are currently drinking, how tastes are changing, etc.

Precious metals are different in that they have relatively low commercial utility. Compared with other metals, here are relatively few consumer or industrial uses for assets like gold and silver.

However, silver does have much more industrial and commercial use than gold. Approximately half of all silver bought and sold on the market is used commercially, with applications ranging from dentistry to electronics. (This is still quite small compared to other metals, which are almost entirely used for production.)

By contrast, gold has very few commercial applications aside from jewelry. This gives investors a basis on which to judge and predict price movements for silver, since you can make decisions based on factors such as industry need and how the global economy is moving.

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DAILY UPDATE: Public Companies and the Stock Market Software Snafu Wraps Up Worst Week Since April

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42,500. That’s how many people died in car accidents in 2022, which experts believe was exacerbated during the Covid-19 pandemic, as reckless driving worsened and traffic enforcement decreased. (KFF)

“These attacks and breaches of data can literally mean the difference between life and death for patients, significantly impact hospital operations, and—with the average hack costing millions to address—increase healthcare prices across the board.”—Sen. Angus King about a bill he co-sponsored to improve cybersecurity in healthcare (Healthcare Dive)

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) dropped 39.59 points (–0.7%) to 5,505.00 and ended down 1.97% for the week, its worst weekly performance in three months; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) slipped 377.49 points (–0.9%) to 40,287.53 on Friday and finished up less than 1% for the week; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP)fell 144.28 points (–0.81%) on Friday to 17,726.94 and lost 3.65% for the week.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) rose four basis points to nearly 4.24% and finished up for the week, partly on worries about possible U.S. tariffs and their potential impact on inflation.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index closed at 16.47 after climbing above 17 intraday for the first time since late April.
  • Markets sagged under the weight of a massive IT outage, accentuating a selloff that was already in motion. All three indexes spent the day in the red, with the S&P 500 capping off its worst week since April and the NASDAQ snapping its six-week win streak.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index, a gauge of investor fear, rose to its highest level since April. The VIX is up over 25% in the last five days alone, as the small-cap rotation rally sputtered to a halt.
  • Oil took a big blow today as US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken said a cease-fire between Israel and Hamas is nearly complete.
  • Gold sold off as well as investors not only took profits after the commodity hit a new all-time high this week, but also began to rotate into riskier assets in light of a likely Fed rate cut.

What’s up

What’s down

  • SunPower transformed into a stock submarine, sinking 55.01% after the company made it clear it’s about to go out of business.
  • American Express fell faster than a greased pig on skates, sliding 2.68% after beating bottom line expectations but missing on revenue.
  • Plug Power turned into a lead balloon, descending 13.87% after management declared a $200 million stock offering.
  • Halliburton crumbled like a cookie, dropping 5.63% following a mixed earnings report that saw the fracking giant fall short of revenue expectations.
  • Travelers journeyed to the center of the Earth, burrowing 7.73% after beating earnings expectations, missing on revenue, and revealing that catastrophe losses came in higher than hoped.
  • Comerica sank like a stone, plummeting 10.50% due to lower net interest income last quarter and forecasts of lower interest income in the quarters ahead.

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It’s common for patients to delay or skip medical care due to high costs in the US—but data shows that fewer adults have done so in recent years.

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DAILY UPDATE: Public Companies and the Stock Market Technology Sell-Off

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The S&P 500 and NASDAQ both continued to sink under the weight of a tech selloff today, with semiconductors leading the way down. But even the Dow and Russell 2000, which have been the clear winners of the recent rally, took a beating today as investors assessed what a market rotation really means for them. 10-year Treasury yields bounced from recent lows as investors try to read between the lines of a full week of Fedspeak. Gold and oil both sold off a bit more today, though both remain near recent highs.

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What’s up

What’s down

  • Domino’s Pizza sank 13.42% after it missed earnings expectations last quarter and warned it will open fewer stores for the rest of 2024.
  • Beyond Meat tanked 10.32% on a report from the Wall Street Journal that management is in talks to restructure the company’s debt.
  • Eli Lilly slid another 6.24% as its selloff continues thanks to news that rival Roche Holdings is on its way to developing a weight-loss pill.
  • Nokia dropped 7.05% after posting its worst quarterly sales since 2015. Seems like nobody is buying phones with the shape and durability of a brick any more.

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index fell 43.68 points (–0.78%) to 5,544.59; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) lost 533.06 points (–1.29%) to 40,665.02; the NASDAQ Composite gave up 125.70 points (–0.7%) to 17,871.22.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) rose about four basis points to 4.18%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index climbed sharply to 15.9, its highest close since late April.

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DAILY UPDATE: UnitedHealth, Aetna, Long Covid and Physician Burnout as NASDAQ Collapses

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The Dow surged another 240 points as the cyclical rotation continues, sending the index to its 22nd record closing high of the year. The S&P 500 had its worst day since late April, while the NASDAQ slumped to its worst finish since December 2022. The last time the Dow rose on the same day the S&P 500 fell by more than 1% was all the way back in 1999. Gold hit a record high yesterday on hopes of a rate cut, not a hike. Oil bubbled up thanks to an Energy Information Administration report highlighting higher demand and lower crude inventories. Bond yields stayed steady throughout the trading session before sinking slightly 20-year Treasury bond auction.

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) fell 78.93 points (–1.39%) to 5,588.27; the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 243.6 points (0.59%) to 41,198.08; the NASDAQ Composite plunged 512.41 points (–2.77%) to 17,996.92.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) dropped just below 4.15%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index jumped sharply to 14.48.

What’s up

  • VF Corp. rose 13.64% on the news that it is selling its Supreme brand to EssilorLuxottica for $1.5 billion.
  • Roche soared 7.55% after the Swiss pharmaceutical company announced it has made strides in developing a weight-loss and diabetes treatment that uses a pill rather than an injection. Competitors sank on the news, with Eli Lilly declining 3.78% and Novo Nordisk falling 3.87%.
  • GitLab popped 9.34% on a report that the software developer is exploring a sale, potentially to cloud company Datadog, whose shares fell 7.35%.
  • Johnson & Johnson rose a tepid 3.67% thanks to a mixed earnings announcement that included beating expectations this quarter but warning of lower profits ahead.

What’s down

  • Spirit Airlines descended 10.76% to a new all-time low after warning that both earnings and revenue will come in lower than expected this coming quarter.
  • Five Below plummeted 25.05% after its CEO, who has helmed the company for over a decade, announced his departure smack in the middle of a very difficult year.
  • J.B. Hunt tanked 6.88% thanks to a poor second-quarter earnings report in which earnings and revenue came in well below analyst expectations.
  • Charles Schwab fell yet another 5.34% as the hits keep coming. Today, the culprit was a price target downgrade from Bank of America analysts.
  • Elevance Health slipped 5.96% despite beating analyst expectations this quarter, but warning that Medicaid membership declined.

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UnitedHealth Group has bounced back in the second quarter, reaffirming its guidance for the year as it posts a profit of $4.2 billion


An audit of Aetna Health of Texas found significant errors in how the health plan calculated the qualifying payment amount for air ambulance services, raising more questions over broader noncompliance in the industry for the No Surprises Act.


And … clinical decision software company Regard pocketed $61 million in series B funding to scale its reach in healthcare as investors have a growing appetite for AI-powered startups.

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A study published in JAMA this month found that nearly 7% of the US population (or roughly 18 million people) have had long Covid. Symptoms of the condition vary widely, but often include fatigue, brain fog, and post-exertional malaise (meaning symptoms worsen after minimal exertion), according to the CDC. Booster shots may help protect against long Covid, the JAMA study suggested.

And, President Joe Biden tested positive for COVID-19 while campaigning in Las Vegas with ‘mild symptoms’.

Physician burnout is on the decline after spiking to unprecedented levels during the Covid-19 pandemic, according to a survey from professional group the American Medical Association (AMA).

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DAILY UPDATE: Apple, Macy’s, Goldman, Banks, Companies and the Roaring DJIA

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  • The Dow jumped 700 points at one point today, its biggest single-day surge this year. The S&P 500 spent the entire trading session in positive territory, ending the afternoon at another record close, while the NASDAQ was flat most of the day as tech stocks sat out the rally.
  • Bitcoin continued to surge, rising as high as $65,191 as predictions of a second Trump presidency helped erase the cryptocurrency’s recent losses.
  • Gold hit a new record as hopes of a rate hike continue to rise, while oil sank on the news of slower economic growth in China translating to lower demand for crude.
  • The Russell 2000 enjoyed its 5th straight gain of 1% or more for the first time since 1979 as small caps make their comeback (more on that below).

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Apple released public beta versions of the newest software for iPhone, Mac, iPad, and Apple Watch. Macy’s ended talks of a buyout with investment firms Arkhouse Management and Brigade Capital Management after months of wrangling. Goldman Sachs was the latest big bank to benefit from rebounding investment banking fees as deals start making a comeback.

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Despite such challenges as high interest rates, a sluggish M&A market, and increased regulatory scrutiny, bank executives are feeling optimistic about the road ahead. That’s according to KPMG’s 2024 US Banking Industry Outlook Survey, published last month, which polled 200 senior executives at US banks of varying sizes in March 2024.

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) rose 35.98 points (0.64%) to 5,667.20; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) climbed 742.76 points (1.85%) to 40,954.48; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) added 36.77 points (0.2%) to 18,509.34.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) fell slightly to just under 4.17%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) ticked up to 13.19, still near three-week highs.

What’s up

  • Match Group climbed 7.46% after activist investor Starboard Value revealed it has taken a 6.6% stake in the matchmaking company.
  • Bank of America rose 5.35% on strong earnings, and management’s expectation that the bank’s net interest income will rise this year.
  • UnitedHealth Group popped 6.49% after beating analyst earnings estimates, missing revenue expectations, and most importantly, avoided higher costs after a recent cyberattack.
  • Shopify surged 8.57% thanks to an analyst upgrade from “neutral” to “buy” on the company’s turnaround efforts. Shares of Etsy rose 6.33% in sympathy.
  • GRAIL boomed 24.76% on the news that it is kicking off the clinical trials of its new cancer detection test.
  • Home builders’ hot streak continues: Hopes of a rate cut are fueling a rally for home builder stocks, with D.R. Horton up 6.64%, Lennar rising 6.55%, KB Home gaining 7.17%, and Builders FirstSource popping 8.11%.

What’s down

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DAILY UPDATE: Pfizer, MSFT and the NASDAQ Collapse

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As drugs like Wegovy and Zepbound that help people slim down have enlarged its competitors’ bottom lines, Pfizer has struggled to keep up. But now it’s moving forward with the development of a once-daily version.

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index fell 49.37 points (0.8%) to 5,584.54; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) rose 32.39 points (0.1%) to 39,753.75; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) collapsed and lost 364.04 points (1.95%) to 18,283.41 but remains up 22% year to date. The SPX is still up 17% this year.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield dropped eight basis points to 4.19%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) climbed to 12.99.

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  • More specifically, the S&P 500 and NASDAQ broke their winning streaks today, closing in the red for the first time in over a week—though both did hit intraday highs at one point. The Dow finished the afternoon in the green, just barely.
  • Gold breached $2,400, and is closing in on a record high of $2,449.89 set back in May.
  • Oil rose on today’s CPI news, with the idea being that if inflation slows and the Fed cuts rates then economic activity will pick up, as will demand for crude.
  • Bond yields sank on CPI data while prices rose.

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According to the Wall Street Journal, Microsoft abandoned its post as an observer on the board after realizing it was bothering antitrust officials who were looking into the relationship between the two companies. Apple, which was expected to take a similar seat on the OpenAI board, will reportedly no longer do s

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DAILY UPDATE: Tesla, PBMs, Medicare Part C and the Hot Stock Markets

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A day before the June CPI report, major indexes extended their rally amid growing demand for semiconductors and rate cut hopes.

  • The S&P 500 rose above 5,600 for the first time ever, only a few short days after breaking above 5,500, with the index hitting a new record for the last seven straight trading sessions. The NASDAQ also enjoyed a solid day as well thanks to strong performances by tech stocks, while even the Dow got in on the action and ended the session in the green.
  • Bond yields stayed almost right where they’ve been all week as investors hold their breath ahead of tomorrow’s key CPI reading.
  • Gold rose as investors hope for a strong CPI report to point the Fed toward more rate cuts, while oil rose as well thanks to a stronger-than-expected outlook on global demand from OPEC.

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The Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) announced in June it would recalculate 2024 Medicare Advantage (MA) star ratings for all plans after two court rulings called into question the agency’s method for determining this year’s ratings. The decision is estimated to cost the federal agency roughly $1 billion in additional bonus payments for insurers, according to healthcare analytics firm Cotiviti. The move comes after several large insurers laid off employees in late 2023 after their star ratings decreased.

HIPAA: Some groups are disputing a proposed federal rule that would require hospitals to report cybersecurity incidents, saying they want it to also include insurers and third-party vendors. (Healthcare Dive)

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What’s up

  • Taiwan Semiconductor rose 3.54% after it reported that its June revenue fell 10% month over month, but its sales rose roughly 33% year over year.
  • Advanced Micro Devices popped 3.87% on the news it is acquiring Silo AI, the largest private artificial intelligence lab in Europe, for $665 million.
  • Carvana drove 4.21% higher after Needham analysts upgraded the stock from “hold” to “buy” due in part to new features at checkout highlighting EVs. Competitor CarMax jumped 6.42% in sympathy.
  • Aehr Test Systems rocketed 24.01% after the semiconductor testing equipment maker raised earnings guidance thanks to strong AI demand.
  • Smart Global Holdings rose 26.27% thanks to earnings that beat Wall Street expectations in the third quarter and a strong outlook for the rest of the year.

What’s down

  • LegalZoom plummeted 25.35% to a new all-time low after the company cut its outlook and its CEO stepped down.
  • HubSpot sank 12.24% on a report that Alphabet is no longer interested in acquiring the company.
  • Intuit dropped 2.57% on the news that the tax prep company is cutting 10% of its workforce.
  • Deckers Outdoor fell 4.86% after M Science analysts published a note cautioning that sales for key brands UGG and HOKA fell in June.
  • Ziff Davis fell 10.32% after the digital media company tried to get ahead of the bad news and pre-announced that second-quarter earnings will fall below analyst expectations.
  • Fast-casual restaurant stocks continued to sink today as investors grow more concerned about lower consumer spending and higher valuations. CAVA Group fell 5.47%, Sweetgreen dropped 1.72%, and Dutch Bros fell 4.34%.

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Tesla’s US electric car market share fell below 50% in Q2 for the first time, according to estimates by the research firm Cox Automotive.

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In a scathing report, the Federal Trade Commission accused [PBMs] pharmacy benefit managers—the companies that act as go-betweens for drug makers and consumers—of jacking up drug prices

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DAILY UPDATE: Stock Market Review

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The S&P 500 and NASDAQ shot to record highs last week on a solid PCE reading. But all three indexes spent Friday hovering around flat levels before they all fell into the red by the end of the trading session.

Treasury yields and gold prices alike popped higher on PCE news, with traders hoping that the Fed now has good reason to cut interest rates sooner rather than later. Despite this decline, oil wrapped up a fantastic month, with prices rising for a third straight week on higher demand this summer in the US and higher risks to supply given geopolitical turmoil between Israel and Lebanon.

But, Bitcoin continued to fall, with the crypto inching closer to the all-important $60,000 price point—a line in the sand that traders are desperate not to cross for fear of further declines.

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DAILY UPDATE: Reverse Aging, Credit Card Competition Act, Nvidia and a Market Re-Cap

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The de-aging biz: Time to pull back the hospital curtain and see who’s behind the booming longevity market. This article, sponsored by Timeline, lays out who’s making $$$ on “reverse aging.*

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  • The S&P 500 and NASDAQ have often outperformed the Dow in recent years thanks to their focus on tech, as well as their market-cap weighting vs the Dow’s price weighting. When tech stocks roar higher, the younger indexes rise above their older peer—but the last few days have seen a sell off of tech stocks led by NVIDIA, bringing the S&P 500 and NASDAQ lower to end the week while the Dow has continued to rise.
  • Bonds remained unchanged for most of the day, ending the trading session flat as investors parse through a week of economic data and prepare for next week’s PCE report.
  • Gold plunged after the dollar rose, making it more expensive for gold bugs to hold the precious metal.
  • As for oil, read on to learn why crude has high hopes today but may not be a smart investment tomorrow.

Nvidia faltered for the second day in a row, falling off the world’s most valuable company perch and shedding $220+ billion in market cap. But the S&P 500 has gone 377 days without a 2.05% sell-off, the longest streak since the 2008 financial crisis, per CNBC.

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The Credit Card Competition Act is proposed legislation in Congress that could fundamentally change credit card systems. If passed, it could devastate the future of cash-back and travel rewards.

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