DAILY UPDATE: Health Insurers & Hospital Mergers with Light Stock Market Trading

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) climbed slightly to 12.37.

The S&P 500 index®(SPX) rose 5.66points (0.1%) to 5,572.85; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) dropped 31.08 points (0.1%) to 39,344.79; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) gained 50.98 points (0.3%) to 18,403.74.

The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was roughly flat at 4.27%.

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What’s up

  • Intel popped 6.15% after an analyst at Melius Research declared the company could be one of the big AI winners in the second half of this year.
  • Morphic Holding skyrocketed 75.06% on the news that Eli Lilly will acquire the drugmaker for $3.2 billion in cash.
  • SolarEdge climbed 9.26% thanks to an upgrade from “underperform” to “neutral” by Bank of America analysts, who see big upside and few downside risks ahead.
  • Corning rose 11.98% after management raised earnings guidance for the coming quarter thanks to higher demand due to the AI boom.
  • Lucid rose 7.85% on the news that its deliveries rose 70% in the second quarter.

What’s down

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Stat: 27. That’s a tally of some of the hospital mergers, acquisitions, joint ventures, affiliations, and partnerships that have been canceled since January 2022. (Becker’s Hospital Review)

Read: Health insurers received $50 billion from Medicare for diseases that doctors did not treat over three years, according to a recent analysis. (Wall Street Journal)

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HEDGE FUNDS: Understanding Fees and Costs

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DEFINITION: A Hedge fund is an investment partnership with freer rein to invest aggressively in a wider variety of financial products than most mutual funds. A hedge fund’s purpose is to pool funds, maximize investor returns, and eliminate risk with hedging strategies. Hedge funds are generally considered more aggressive, risky, and exclusive than mutual funds. The hedge fund industry has grown tremendously since its inception. There are trillions of dollars of assets under management, more than 8,800 hedge fund managers, and over 27,000 funds globally

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Many physicians and other investors — even those that meet net worth guidelines — are surprised to learn that there exists a $500 – 999 billion, or more, alternative investment industry that is not generally marketed to the public. Such alternative investments have also been known as hedge funds or private investment funds.

Unlike mutual funds, these alternative investments can be structured in a wide variety of ways. Because of the very same regulations discussed above, these funds cannot be advertised, but they are far from illegal or illicit.

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DAILY UPDATE: Earnings Season, the FOMC, Threads and Boeing

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Wall Street is counting down the hours until Friday, which is when Q2 earnings season kicks off. Investors are hoping anyone besides Big Tech will post impressive results to keep the rally going. Although the stock market has set record after record this year, it’s mostly been the work of tech giants. As of Tuesday, about 40% of S&P 500 companies were in the red for 2024.

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Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will give updates on the economy to Congress on Tuesday and Wednesday, where he’ll likely be asked about the prospect of interest rate cuts. Those plans could become clearer on Thursday, when the consumer price index inflation report drops.

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Meta’s Twitter clone, Threads, has 175 million monthly users one year after its launch, CEO Mark Zuckerberg said.

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Boeing will plead guilty to a criminal fraud charge stemming from two fatal crashes of 737 Max planes and pay an additional $243.6 million fine, allowing it to avoid a criminal trial sought by victims’ families. More here.

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OUR TAKE: Private Equity and Venture Capital

By Lon Jefferies MBA CMP™ CFP®

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA CMP®

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Private equity and venture capital investments typically involve ownership of shares in a company and represent title to a portion of the company’s future earnings. However, private equity is an equity interest in a company or venture whose stock is not yet traded on a stock exchange.

Venture capital is typically a special case of private equity in which the investment is in a company or venture that has little financial history or is embarking on a high risk/high potential reward business strategy.

Like real estate, private equity and venture capital investments generally share a general lack of liquidity and a lack of comparability across different individual investments. The lack of liquidity comes from the fact that private equity and venture capital investments are typically not tradable on a stock exchange until the company has an IPO.

The lack of comparability is due to the fact that most private equity and venture capital investments are the result of direct negotiation between the investor/venture capitalist and the existing owners of the company  /venture.

With widely divergent terms and provisions across different investments, it is difficult to make general claims regarding the characteristics of private equity and venture capital investments.

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What is ADVERSE SELECTION in Health Insurance?

ADVERSE SELECTION

By staff reporters

The tendency of people who are less than standard health insurance risks to seek or continue insurance to a greater extent than other individuals.  This so called “selection against the insurer”, or “anti-selection”, is a form of stacking the deck and is also found in the tendency of policy owners to take advantage of favorable options in health insurance or managed care contracts.

Or, a particular health plan, whether indemnity or managed care, is selected against by the enrollee, and thus an inequitable proportion of enrollees requiring more medical services are found in that plan.

Example:   Low enrollee out-of-pocket costs might lure those individuals requiring more health services into an HMO rather than an indemnity-plan because the former does not have a deductible.

Therefore, the HMO would have a greater proportion of less-healthy enrollees, thereby driving up costs and increasing financial risks. Also occurs with one of the following:

  1. When a premium doesn’t cover costs. Some populations, perhaps due to age or health status, have a great potential for high utilization.
  2. Some population parameter such as age (e.g., a much greater number of 65-year-olds or older to young population) that increases the potential for higher utilization and often increases costs above those covered by a payer’s capitation rate.

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DAILY UPDATE: Home Health and Nurse Vacancies as Stock Markets Reach New Highs

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As home hospital programs continue to grow—employment in the home health industry is projected to increase by nearly 30% by 2029—so does the concern that home healthcare professionals are increasingly vulnerable to assault and harassment.

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index® (SPX)rose 30.17 points (0.54%) to 5,567.19; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) rose 67.87 points (0.17%) to 39,375.87; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) climbed 164.46 points (0.9%) to 18,352.76.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) dropped nearly seven basis points to just below 4.28%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) increased slightly to 12.45.

What’s up

  • Meta Platforms rose 5.88% a day after CEO Mark Zuckerberg posted a video of himself wearing a tux, holding an American flag and a beer, and wakeboarding. Shareholders apparently approve of such an absolute stud running the company.
  • Koss Corp. rose another 25.68% as the latest meme stock continues to rally for no reason at all.
  • Macy’s popped 9.48% after bidders looking to acquire the beleaguered retailer raised their offer from $6.6 billion to $6.9 billion.
  • Smith & Nephew rose 6.67% on the news that activist investor Cevian Capital has taken a 5% stake in the medical device maker.
  • Instructure Holdings rose 5.25% on the news that a bidding war is building for the education software company.

What’s down

  • Nvidia fell 1.91% after it received a rare analyst downgrade due to the company’s valuation.
  • Southwest sank 5.67% on the first full trading day after the company adopted a “poison pill” to fend off activist investor Elliott Management.
  • Budget airline companies took a blow after a Raymond James analyst downgraded the industry due to a “clear as mud” outlook for the third quarter. Frontier Group fell 6.79%, while Spirit Airlines dropped 8.70%.
  • Crypto-related stocks tumbled after bitcoin fell below $54,000 at one point today, though they recovered alongside the cryptocurrency later in the trading session. Coinbase Global fell 0.56%, Robinhood Markets dropped 0.98%, and MicroStrategy fell 1.56%.

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Stat: 9.9%. That’s the current vacancy rate for nurses in the US, down from 15.7% in 2023. (2024 NSI National Health Care Retention & RN Staffing Report)

PBMs: How pharmacy benefit managers are “driving up drug costs for millions of people, employers, and the government.” (the New York Times)

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LABOR DEPARTMENT: US Jobs

US ECONOMY

By Staff Reporters

The Labor Department just reported that the U.S. added 206,000 jobs last month, slightly beating expectations. But the unemployment rate ticked up to 4.1%, a sign of slack in a labor market that has been remarkably strong even in the face of high interest rates.

There were other signs as well that the job market continues to cool. Average hourly earnings were up 3.9% in June from a year earlier, marking their smallest gain since 2021. The jobs counts for both April and May were revised lower. The labor force participation rate, the share of working-age people who were employed or seeking work, ticked up—an indication that more people are entering the labor market.

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FROM BULL: To Sideways Markets to Nvidia

By Vitaliy Katsenelson CFA

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Today I am sharing with you an excerpt from a letter I wrote to IMA clients in the winter of 2023.

I discussed my condensed views on the stock market, economy, and our investment strategy. I think it is a good overview of where we are still today, almost a year and a half later. If you’ve read it before, skip to the end, where I share my updated thoughts on the Magnificent Seven and Nvidia.

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DAILY UPDATE: Walmart, HHS and Geriatrics as Companies and Stock Market Still Rise

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HAPPY JULY FOURTH

The S&P 500 broke above 5,500 yesterday and stayed there for the first time in market history, notching yet another all-time high for the index—its 32nd this year alone. With so much bullishness it’s understandable that investors may be wondering if we’re at the top yet, but chartists suggests gains tend to beget gains. The bulls have too much momentum to stop now—and if/when the FOMC cuts rates later this year, it seems likely that we’ll see more all-time highs in 2024? Any thoughts.

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The Biden administration has awarded $206.3 million of funding to clinician training programs across 42 universities and provider organizations to bolster the nation’s geriatrics care workforce. Programs will be able to integrate geriatrics training into primary care and will work to educate older adults’ families on their care needs. Health and Human Services, in its announcement, noted that primary care providers are a crucial source of care for much of the aging population.


As Walmart shutters its primary care clinics, the retail giant inked a deal to sell its MeMD telehealth business to health tech startup Fabric. Fabric provides a telemedicine platform for a range of customers, including provider groups, with the goal of improving the clinician and patient experience, as well as operational efficiency. The acquisition will expand its provider network, add virtual behavioral health to the company’s services and build on Fabric’s employer and payer solutions.


And…The U.S. Supreme Court has overturned the Chevron deference, stripping power from federal agencies to interpret and enforce regulations. Courts no longer have to defer to reasonable agency interpretations. One healthcare attorney told Fierce Healthcare he predicts the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services will be under a microscope from the courts going forward, and there will be more scrutiny towards provider reimbursement cuts, drug pricing regulation and the Inflation Reduction Act.

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index®(SPX)rose 28.01 points (0.51%) to 5,537.02; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) fell 23.85 points (-0.1%) to 39,308.00; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) gained 159.54 points (0.9%) to 18,188.30.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) dropped seven basis points to 4.36%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) held steady at 12.09.

What’s up

What’s down

  • First Foundation plummeted 23.81% after the bank announced it will raise $225 million to shore up a balance sheet burdened by commercial real estate loans.
  • Constellation Brands fell 3.76% after the alcoholic beverage maker reported stronger than expected earnings but missed Wall Street’s expectations on revenue.
  • Simulations Plus slid 14.87% after it reported strong third-quarter earnings but announced it’s cutting its dividend.
  • CureVac popped then dropped 6.59% after GSK bought the rights to the smaller pharma company’s Covid-19 and flu vaccines for $1.6 billion.

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DAILY UPDATE: Pitch-Book Health Companies, SCOTUS and the Peaking Stock Markets

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SCOTUS: Two technology company cases involving Texas and Florida laws challenging social-media companies’ content moderation were sent to lower courts. SCOTUS thus effectively granted the companies a victory. The Supreme Court isn’t willing to blow up the internet just yet.

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PitchBook released its analysis of digital health venture capital deals done in the first quarter. The first quarter saw downturns in telehealth and digital therapeutics, but opportunities exist in mental health chatbots and care search platforms.


Amedisys, a large home health provider, plans to divest a number of care centers to an affiliate of VitalCaring Group in advance of its planned merger with UnitedHealth Group later this year.


And … ACOs may soon be able to take a breath of fresh air, as CMS shared that it has no intention of punishing them for a $2 billion urinary catheter fraud scandal that rocked the industry.  

What’s up

  • Tesla rose another 10.06% today, continuing its push higher thanks to quarterly car deliveries that beat Wall Street’s expectations. Rivian Automotive rose 6.82% today after beating projections for their own deliveries as well.
  • Paramount Global rose 5.97% on a report from the New York Times that Barry Diller’s IAC may be exploring an acquisition of the embattled entertainment company. IAC fell just 0.26%.
  • Archer Aviation popped 8.92% after the air taxi manufacturer received a $55 million investment from Stellantis.
  • Oliveda International is up 19.81% today after the olive oil company announced massive quarterly revenue growth at a key subsidiary.

What’s down

  • Chewy fell yet another 2.24% as fallout from Roaring Kitty’s stake in the company continues to rattle investors.
  • Pure Storage plunged 4.15% after UBS analysts downgraded the stock to “sell,” citing its high valuation and overhyped AI potential.
  • Home builders took a beating after Citi analysts downgraded Lennar and D.R. Horton from “neutral” to “sell,” noting the housing market will remain soft in the second half of the year. Lennar dropped 1.61%, and D.R. Horton fell 1.35%.

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index rose 33.92 points (0.62%) to 5,509.01; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) climbed 162.33 points (0.41%) to 39,331.85; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) rallied 149.46 points (0.84%) to 18,028.76.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) dipped four basis points to 4.43%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) dropped to 12.03 after earlier trading at its lowest intraday level since late May.

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SCOTUS: Health policy leaders say patients, providers, and health systems should brace for more uncertainty and less stability in the healthcare system. Even routine government functions such as deciding the rate to pay doctors for treating Medicare beneficiaries could become embroiled in long legal battles that disrupt patient care or strain providers to adapt.

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DAILY UPDATE: Nurses & AI, Private Equity & CPAs, Public Companies and the Hot July Stock Markets

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Private equity gets a big accounting firm yet. The March story about private equity firm New Market Capital buying a $2.8 billion stake in accounting firm Grant Thorton was a big story. Private equity is gobbling up accounting firms, signaling a potential sea change in how accounting firms will operate in the future, with “more than half” of the top 20 accounting firms in talks with private equity.

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) rose 14.61 points (0.27%) to 5,475.09; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) climbed 50.66 points (0.13%) to 39,169.52; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) added 146.70 points (0.83%) to 17,879.30.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) rose 12 basis points to 4.47%, the highest level since May 30 and back above its 50-day moving average, a technically important move.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) slipped to 12.19.

Crude oil is up sharply over the last month amid rising Middle East tensions.

What’s up

What’s down

  • Chewy stock popped then dropped 6.63% after Roaring Kitty revealed a 6.6% stake in the pet products company.
  • GameStop shares fell 5.35% after CEO Ryan Cohen posted on Twitter/X for the first time in months to advertise a job opening.
  • Uber fell 2.17% and Lyft fell 0.92% on the news that Massachusetts now requires both companies to pay rideshare drivers $32.50 an hour, plus benefits.
  • Cruise stocks sank on the news that Hurricane Beryl is stronger than expected and will disrupt service throughout the Caribbean. Norwegian Cruise Line fell 5.86%, Carnival fell 5.40%, and Royal Caribbean fell 1.86%.

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The largest nursing union in the US, National Nurses United (NNU), is sounding the alarm about the use of artificial intelligence (AI) in healthcare. In April, the union’s affiliate California Nurses Association (CNA) protested an AI conference helmed by managed care consortium Kaiser Permanente. Like workers in other sectors who are worried about AI encroachment, the nurses fear that the tech is contributing to the devaluation of their skills amid what they say is already a “chronicunderstaffing crisis, nurses reported in an NNU survey of 2,300 registered nurses and members in early 2024.

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DAILY UPDATE: Wall Street Stocks, Dow Dogs, Commodities, Gold, the Fed, Yen and Bitcoin

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If you can believe it, Friday was the final trading day of the first half of 2024. It might be a good time to reflect on your New Year’s resolutions to see how you’re measuring up halfway through the year.

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Dogs of the Dow: The 139-year-old index has never looked more its age, with components Nike, Intel, and Boeing all down more than 30% in 2024. The Dow has gained less than 4% this year.

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But, the S&P 500 gained a sublime 15% in H1, and Nvidia alone was responsible for more than a third of that gain. The maker of AI chips surged ~150% since Jan. 1st to become the most valuable company in the USA at one point.

Going into 2024, investors were expecting the Fed to cut interest rates six times. There hasn’t been a single rate cut yet, but that hasn’t stopped the S&P from notching 31 all-time closing highs, good for the second-best tally of records this century. Stocks have overcome the Fed’s delay thanks to strong earnings, a sturdy economy, and AI fever.

Commodities soar and a currency plummets. Cocoa boomed nearly 85% over shortage concerns. Gold hit a record high last month. The Japanese yen has slumped to a 38-year low against the US dollar.

Bitcoin got a boost from new ETFs, but it’s getting boring.

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DAILY UPDATE: Stock Market Review

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The S&P 500 and NASDAQ shot to record highs last week on a solid PCE reading. But all three indexes spent Friday hovering around flat levels before they all fell into the red by the end of the trading session.

Treasury yields and gold prices alike popped higher on PCE news, with traders hoping that the Fed now has good reason to cut interest rates sooner rather than later. Despite this decline, oil wrapped up a fantastic month, with prices rising for a third straight week on higher demand this summer in the US and higher risks to supply given geopolitical turmoil between Israel and Lebanon.

But, Bitcoin continued to fall, with the crypto inching closer to the all-important $60,000 price point—a line in the sand that traders are desperate not to cross for fear of further declines.

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DAILY UPDATE: Walgreens, Healthcare Fraud and Opioids as Stock Markets Hurt

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In an interview with the Wall Street Journal, CEO Tim Wentworth said the pharmacy chain Walgreens will shutter a significant share of its 8,600 locations in the US. The closures are part of a broader attempt to boost the ailing company, which also includes reducing its stake in the primary care business VillageMD. Wentworth said the company can reassign most employees instead of conducting layoffs. Shares cratered yesterday after Walgreens whiffed on Wall Street’s earnings projections due to weak consumer spending.

And, read how some counties reduced opioid overdose deaths during the pandemic. (Politico)

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What’s up

  • Oliveda International, which makes beauty products from olive oil, rose 38.33% for no apparent reason. Maybe people just really like the feel of extra virgin olive oil on their skin?
  • Infinera popped 16.38% after Nokia announced it would acquire the telecommunications hardware manufacturer for $2.3 billion.
  • Synchrony Financial rose 6.17% after a Baird analyst initiated coverage of the financial services company with an outperform rating.
  • Regional banking stocks rose on the hopes that a good PCE reading means a better chance of the Fed cutting rates soon. Regions Financial rose 3.83%, while Citizens Financial Group rose 3.16%.

What’s down

A late round of selling in the Treasury market sent yields to fresh highs as the day ended so here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) dipped 22.39 points (0.41%) to 5,460.48; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) fell 45.20 points (0.12%) to 39,118.86; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) lost 126.08 points (0.71%) to 17,732.6.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield climbed nine basis points to 4.38%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) moved up slightly to 12.43.

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Nearly 200 people have been charged for their roles in various health care fraud schemes across the U.S. that federal authorities say amounted to over $2.7 billion in intended losses, the Justice Department announced. Attorney General Merrick Garland said charges against 193 people, including 76 doctors, nurse practitioners, and other licensed medical professionals in 32 different federal districts. The defendants were charged over a two-week sweep involving numerous law enforcement agencies nationwide, resulting in the seizure of more than “$231 million in cash, luxury vehicles, gold, and other assets,” according to Garland.

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BEWARE FINANCIAL ADVISORS: ChatGPT and A.I. is Coming for Your Job?

Finance Jobs (Financial Analysts, Personal Financial Advisors and Consultants, etc.)

By Staff Reporters

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Like market research analysts, financial analysts, personal financial advisors, and other jobs in personal finance that require manipulating significant amounts of numerical data can be affected by Artificial Intelligence, Mark Muro, a researcher at The Brookings Institute, said recently.

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“AI can identify trends in the market, highlight what investments in a portfolio are doing better and worse, communicate all that, and then use various other forms of data by, say, a financial company to forecast a better investment mix.” 

These analysts make a lot of money, he said, but parts of their jobs are auto-matable.

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DAILY UPDATE: Tenet, Rivian, Yen, Public Companies and the Light Stock Markets

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Stat: 40%. That’s how much Tenet Healthcare’s shares jumped in Q1. (Yahoo Finance)

Stat: 12%. This is how much the yen has weakened so far this year against the US dollar, which has people wondering whether the Japanese government will need to intervene. (Bloomberg)

Quote: “We believe the opportunity ahead is significant.”—RJ Scaringe, CEO and co-founder of Rivian, commenting on Volkswagen Group’s plans to invest as much as $5 billion in the EV company. (CNBC)

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What’s up

  • McCormick & Co rose 4.34% after the company posted spicy earnings results, absolutely crushing estimates.
  • Arista Networks rose 3.92% after Citigroup reiterated its buy rating for the cloud company but increased its price target from $330 to $385.
  • BlackBerry is still a company, and rose 10.41% after a berry good first quarter.

What’s down

  • Walgreens Boots Alliance plummeted 22.16% due to a worse-than-expected earnings report that saw the company slash its full-year guidance.
  • Hims & Hers dropped 7.19% after Hunter Growth Capital accused the company of using a shady supplier for its new weight-loss drugs.
  • Levi Strauss crashed 15.27% in a denim downfall for the ages, with second quarter earnings missing expectations after consumers spent less on blue jeans.
  • Micron Technology slid 7.12% despite beating analyst expectations in the third quarter. Unfortunately, management isn’t as bullish as analysts about the rest of the year.
  • Chewy fell 0.03% despite a tweet from Roaring Kitty of a cartoon dog—which is apparently all it takes to move markets these days.

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The U.S. government’s final gross domestic product (GDP) estimate announced early Thursday included a downward revision to quarterly consumer spending.

Treasury yields could move on the data, especially if the report is “hotter” than expected. Yields fell Thursday following mostly soft U.S. economic readings this morning.

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) rose 4.97 points (0.1%) to 5,482.87; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) rose 36.26 points (0.1%) to 39,164.06; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) rose 53.53 points (0.3%) to 17,858.68.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield lost two basis points to 4.29%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) fell to 12.29, its lowest close since June 13.

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DAILY UPDATE: MSFT Teams, Deloitte, HealthcCare Cyber Attacks as Markets Lift

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The EU says Microsoft violated its antitrust laws by bundling Teams with Office, potentially setting the stage for a major fine.

And, Deloitte has billions of dollars’ worth of Medicaid contracts, but the consultancy’s eligibility systems are full of errors. (KFF Health News)

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) rose 8.6 points (0.16%) to 5,477.9; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) added 15.64 points (0.04%) to 39,127.8; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) climbed 87.5 points (0.49%) to 17,805.16.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield rose 8 points to 4.32%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) eased to 12.5

What’s up

What’s down

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The disastrous ransomware attacks on Change Healthcare and Ascension this year ran up staggering costs and put a spotlight on the healthcare sector’s vulnerability. But healthcare orgs are hardly new to eye-popping bills after a major hack. Analyzing attacks on organizations in 16 countries, IBM/Ponemon Institute has shown healthcare to be the industry with the highest cost per data breach for over a decade, coming in at an average hit of $10.93 million in 2023.

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DAILY UPDATE: Gun Violence, Health & Public Companies as Technology Stocks Rebound

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The U.S. surgeon general just declared gun violence a public health crisis, driven by the fast-growing number of injuries and deaths involving firearms in the country. The advisory issued by Dr. Vivek Murthy, the nation’s top doctor, came as the U.S. grappled with another summer weekend marked by mass shootings that left dozens of people dead or wounded.

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index rose 21.43 points (0.39%) to 5,469.30; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) fell 299.05 points (0.76%) to 39,112.6; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) gained 220.84 points (1.26%) to 17,717.65.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) fell slightly to 4.24%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) dropped to 12.84. 

What’s up

  • Nvidia rose 6.76% as investors realized they could buy shares of the world’s biggest semiconductor company at a discounted price.
  • Trump Media & Technology Group rose another 8.50% today on the hopes of a cash infusion, as well as hype ahead of Thursday’s presidential debate.
  • Carnival popped 8.85% after it beat analyst expectations for the second quarter, and raised its profit forecast for the rest of the year.
  • Novo Nordisk rose 3.25% after its weight-loss drug Wegovy was approved in China.
  • Enovix soared 35.05% on the news that it signed a major deal to provide VR headset batteries for an as-yet-unnamed California company.

What’s down

  • Pool Corp., maker of…pools, fell 8.04% today after cutting guidance for the year ahead.
  • SolarEdge Technologies dropped 20.60% through no fault of its own—instead, a key customer declared bankruptcy, and will be unable to pay the solar power company the $11.4 million it is owed.
  • Airbus fell 9.41% after the company announced it is cutting financial guidance for the remainder of 2024 thanks to supply chain snarls and higher costs.
  • Auto dealer stocks continue to suffer the effects of a massive cyberattack on CDK, a key supplier of dealership management software. The company says its systems will remain down until June 30, but in the meantime shares of Autonation fell 2.04%, Sonic Automotive dropped 2.56%, and Group 1 Automotive slid 2.49%.

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Digital health company Sharecare has agreed to be acquired by private equity firm Altaris for $1.43 in cash per share, or about $518 million.


Nearly three months after Kaiser Permanente’s Risant Health acquired Geisinger Health, the group has now agreed to terms with Cone Health in North Carolina.


And ... UnitedHealthcare says its Surest unit improves spending and utilization across all age groups and for people with various conditions.

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PODCASTS: Avoid 5 Marketing Mistakes Financial Advisors Make Engaging Doctors & More!

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Have you been frustrated in your efforts to attract, engage and serve doctors? In this episode, colleague Dr. Vicki Rackner shares 5 common mistake financial advisors make; with more.

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RIP: Medical Debt!

By Staff Reporters

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Casey McIntyre, a 38-year-old book publisher and mother of one, helped wipe out more than $30 million in unpaid medical bills for other people…without being alive to see it. McIntyre’s husband posted a message on her behalf after she died of ovarian cancer last year, asking people to participate in a “debt jubilee” that pays off the medical bills of others. The response has been overwhelming:

As of recently, the nonprofit RIP Medical Debt has received more than $300,000 in donations through McIntyre’s campaign. The organization relieves $10,000 of medical debt for every $100

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DAILY UPDATE: Dental Staffing, Various Companies & the Stock Markets

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index lost 16.75 points (0.31%) to 5,447.87; the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DJI) gained 260.88 points (0.67%) to 39,411.21; the NASDAQ Composite ($COMP) dropped 192.54 points (1.09%) to 17,496.82.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) fell one basis point to 4.25%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) ended slightly up at 13.47, the highest close since May 30.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource

What’s up

What’s down

  • Nvidia dropped 6.68% as the semiconductor stock continues to fall, with the stock entering correction territory earlier today—a sentence we never thought we’d write.
  • Eli Lilly’s weight-loss drug Zepbound can also help people with sleep apnea, cutting into the sleep-aid market, sending shares of ResMed down 11.40% and Inspire Medical Systems down 16.45% on the news.
  • Bitcoin-connected stocks are taking a hit as the crypto selloff continues. Coinbase Global fell 6%, while MicroStrategy fell 7.52%.

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The dental industrylike other parts of healthcare—is facing significant staffing challenges. The US is in need of nearly 10,000 dental professionals and has more than 6,800 health professional shortage areas (HPSAs), which the US Department of Health and Human Services defines as “a geographic area, population, or facility with a shortage of primary care, dental, or mental health providers and services.”

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BEWARE FAKE: U.S. Savings Bonds!

Fake savings bond scheme leads to $50M in losses and issues for legitimate savers

By Staff Reporters

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Authorities claimed that $1 million in counterfeit savings bonds showed up at South Texas banks as part of one crackdown on a scheme to steal money by cashing phony savings bonds, including inflation-indexed or I Bonds, according to the U.S. Attorney’s Office for the Southern District of Texas.

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DAILY UPDATE: Genome Testing, the Stock Markets and Microsoft, Apple & Meta

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Apple and Meta are considering an AI partnership. The two tech giants are discussing integrating Meta’s generative AI model into Apple’s new AI platform, Apple Intelligence, the WSJ reports. Instead of building an in-house AI model, Apple opted for the partnership route and previously announced a deal with OpenAI to bring ChatGPT to iPhones. Apple has also reportedly held talks with AI startups Anthropic and Perplexity to fuse their AI models with Apple Intelligence and get that sweet, sweet distribution Apple provides.

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Genome testing can spot rare disease risks at birth. Newborn babies typically get blood tested for dozens of diseases, but some parents living in North Carolina and New York have recently been able to get their bundles of joy screened for hundreds of potentially life-threatening medical conditions that regular tests can’t catch thanks to a growing field called genomic medicine. Early results from two ongoing studies are very promising, the Washington Post reported, but scaling the new type of testing could be tricky: A full genome read (which covers all of your DNA) costs around $1,000 per patient. Still, research into the cost-benefit of genome sequencing has found that it can ultimately save families money on hospital care.

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Markets: Sweating the upcoming election? Investors aren’t. The S&P 500 is on track for its best first-half performance in an election year going back to 1976, per Dow Jones Market Data. And as trading begins Monday morning, Microsoft is back on the Iron Throne as the US’ most valuable company following Nvidia’s stumbles at the end of last week.

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BANKS: Eight Types; plus 1

DOCTORS NEED TO KNOW

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A general understanding of these bank types is suggested for any medical professional prior to launching a self-directed [ME, Inc] medical practice, clinic, guided investment strategy, personal financial plan or wealth building portfolio effort; etc.

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ZOMBIE: Banks?

By Staff Reporters

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  • A zombie bank is an insolvent financial institution that is able to continue operating thanks to explicit or implicit support from the government.
  • Zombie banks are kept afloat to prevent panic from spreading to healthier banks.
  • The term zombie bank was first coined by Edward Kane of Boston College in 1987, in reference to the savings and loan crisis (S&L).

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DAILY UPDATE: Reverse Aging, Credit Card Competition Act, Nvidia and a Market Re-Cap

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The de-aging biz: Time to pull back the hospital curtain and see who’s behind the booming longevity market. This article, sponsored by Timeline, lays out who’s making $$$ on “reverse aging.*

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  • The S&P 500 and NASDAQ have often outperformed the Dow in recent years thanks to their focus on tech, as well as their market-cap weighting vs the Dow’s price weighting. When tech stocks roar higher, the younger indexes rise above their older peer—but the last few days have seen a sell off of tech stocks led by NVIDIA, bringing the S&P 500 and NASDAQ lower to end the week while the Dow has continued to rise.
  • Bonds remained unchanged for most of the day, ending the trading session flat as investors parse through a week of economic data and prepare for next week’s PCE report.
  • Gold plunged after the dollar rose, making it more expensive for gold bugs to hold the precious metal.
  • As for oil, read on to learn why crude has high hopes today but may not be a smart investment tomorrow.

Nvidia faltered for the second day in a row, falling off the world’s most valuable company perch and shedding $220+ billion in market cap. But the S&P 500 has gone 377 days without a 2.05% sell-off, the longest streak since the 2008 financial crisis, per CNBC.

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The Credit Card Competition Act is proposed legislation in Congress that could fundamentally change credit card systems. If passed, it could devastate the future of cash-back and travel rewards.

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17 Math Equations that Changed the World

How many do you know?

via Ian Stewart

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[Click image to enlarge]

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Editor’s Note:

I have a bit of math background in algebra, geometry and trigonometry as well as integral and differential calculus, and parametric and non-parametric statistics.  So, this ME-P was a no-brainer. Enjoy with thanks to Ian.

So, how many equations do you know? Please tell us?

Dr. David E. Marcinko MBA MEd CMP

Conclusion

Your thoughts and comments on this ME-P are appreciated. Feel free to review our top-left column, and top-right sidebar materials, links, URLs and related websites, too. Then, subscribe to the ME-P. It is fast, free and secure.

Speaker: If you need a moderator or speaker for an upcoming event, Dr. David E. Marcinko; MBA – Publisher-in-Chief of the Medical Executive-Post – is available for seminar or speaking engagements. Contact: MarcinkoAdvisors@msn.com

OUR OTHER PRINT BOOKS AND RELATED INFORMATION SOURCES:

Risk Management, Liability Insurance, and Asset Protection Strategies for Doctors and Advisors: Best Practices from Leading Consultants and Certified Medical Planners™8Comprehensive Financial Planning Strategies for Doctors and Advisors: Best Practices from Leading Consultants and Certified Medical Planners™

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DAILY UPDATE: Amazon Pharmacy, Healthcare Spending Boom, Companies and the Bi-Hybrid Markets

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Amazon Pharmacy announced on June 18 that, effective immediately, its RxPass medication delivery service will be available to more than 50 million Medicare beneficiaries, a move the company says could save up to $2 billion annually for the federal health insurance program.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index fell 8.55 points (0.2%) to 5,464.62, up 0.6% for the week; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) gained 15.57 points (0.04%) to 39,150.33, up 1.5% for the week; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) shed 32.23 points (0.2%) to 17,689.36, little changed for the week.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was little changed at 4.255%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) dipped 0.06 to 13.22.

What’s up

  • Sarepta Therapeutics soared 30.14% thanks to FDA approval of Elevidys, its new Duchenne muscular dystrophy treatment.
  • Zealand Pharma rose 18.62% after Phase 1b trial results revealed its new weight-loss drug could compete with Ozempic.
  • Asana jumped 14.95% on the news that its board has approved a share repurchase program of up to $150 million of its own stock.
  • CarMax shares rose 0.37% after the company reported first-quarter earnings. The number isn’t big, but the performance is impressive considering the used car company posted a 33% decline in profits.
  • Hertz Global popped 15.95% after the company announced it was raising the size of its bond offering to $1 billion as it looks to update its fleet of rental cars.

What’s down

  • Nvidia fell another 3.22% today as the sell off continued, with investors taking profits after a record run higher.
  • Smith & Wesson Brands dropped 12.87% after the gun maker beat earnings forecasts but announced that next quarter’s sales will be lower than expected.
  • LendingTree slid 2.48% after a Bloomberg report revealed that hackers are auctioning off stolen customer data.
  • Palantir fell 6.78% after the company earned an analyst downgrade for its “gluttonous valuation,” a phrase you never want to hear as an investor.
  • Bitcoin mining stocks took a hit today, selling off after popping higher yesterday after bitcoin prices rallied. Marathon Digital Holdings dropped 7.02%, Riot Platforms fell 8.35%, and CleanSpark sank 9.81%.

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With a record number of people insured and seeking healthcare services post-pandemic, US health spend growth is outpacing GDP growth, and is expected to keep doing so through 2032, according to a June 12 report from actuaries at the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS). By 2032, CMS actuaries project healthcare spending will total $7.7 trillion and make up 19.7% of total US GDP, compared to $4.8 trillion and 17.6% of GDP in 2023.

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DAILY UPDATE: Bilt, Mortgage Rates, Private Equity in Behavioral Health and the Stock Markets

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Wells Fargo is losing $10 million per month on its partnership with Bilt, whose credit card offers users reward points for paying rent, and is looking to renegotiate, the WSJ reports. Apple has stopped offering its buy now, pay later program, Apple Pay Later, after partnering with outside companies, including Affirm.

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Private equity (PE) is all over healthcare, with investment firms owning more than 400 hospitals around the US. But as the country faces a mental health crisis—US Surgeon General Vivek Murthy called it the “the defining public health crisis of our time”—PE has its sights set on one of the fastest-growing areas of the industry: behavioral health care. PE has accounted for over 60% of all behavioral health deal flow since 2018, and firms like Thurston Group and Five Points Capital now own about a quarter of facilities offering behavioral health care in some states, according to a recent cross-sectional study published in JAMA Psychiatry.

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U.S. markets were closed Wednesday for the Juneteenth holiday. Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index fell 13.86 points (0.3%) to 5,473.17; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) gained 299.90 points (0.8%) to 39,134.76; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) dropped 140.64 points (0.8%) to 17,721.59.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) climbed about 4 basis points to 4.257%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) rose 0.80 to 13.28.

What’s up

  • Gilead jumped 8.46% after clinical data revealed that its new twice-a-year shot prevents 100% of HIV cases.
  • Penn Entertainment rose 9.93% on the news that Boyd Gaming has approached its competitor with an acquisition offer.
  • Accenture rose 7.30% after the IT consulting company missed earnings estimates but more than made up for it with bullish bookings data thanks to AI.
  • Darden Restaurants rose 1.53% after a mixed earnings report. Its acquisition of Ruth’s Chris Steak House propped up earnings, while Olive Garden’s same-store sales came in flat, probably because I eat several hundred free breadsticks there every month.

What’s down

  • Trump Media & Technology Group fell 14.56% after the SEC ruled that early shareholders can resell their stock in the company, diluting new shareholders—though providing upward of $247 million in funding for the beleaguered company.
  • Nikola plummeted 31.46% after the company announced a 1-for-30 stock split in a bid to stay listed on the Nasdaq.
  • Kroger fell 3.27% despite beating analyst revenue estimates in its fiscal first quarter as investors digest the chances of the company sealing a deal to buy Albertsons.
  • Tempest Therapeutics dropped 29.47% upon the release of the latest trial data for its liver cancer treatment.
  • Jabil fell 11.45% today after the electronics supplier beat earnings estimates but warned of softer growth in the year ahead.

Mortgage rates fell below 7% last week to their lowest level since March, but this didn’t spur much extra demand.

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DAILY UPDATE: Nvidia, Golden Goose and the Summer Solstice

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HAPPY SUMMER SOLSTICE

Today is the first day of summer in the Northern Hemisphere, aka summer solstice. It’s also the longest day of the year.

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The markets were closed yesterday for Juneteenth, but they’ll be back today to see if they can keep their hot streak going.

But, the company known for selling shoes that look like they’ve been dragged through mud postponed its IPO, putting a pause on what has been a big year for European companies going public. Golden Goose announced Tuesday it wouldn’t go public in Milan on Friday as planned due to fraught market conditions in Europe stemming from parliamentary elections across the Continent.

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Nvidia is now the most valuable company in the world. The chipmaker passed Microsoft to become the world’s most valuable public company, topping $3.3 trillion in market cap. Earlier this month, it reached the $3 trillion mark for the first time, flying past Apple for second place. The AI boom has propelled Nvidia—which owns about 80% of the industry’s data center chip market—to new heights, enriching investors and CEO Jensen Huang along the way. Huang has added nearly $100 billion to his net worth in less than two years, making him the 13th richest person in the world as of June.

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DAILY UPDATE: Wells Fargo, Public Companies as Stock Markets Extend Rally

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Wells Fargo is losing $10 million per month on its partnership with Bilt, whose credit card offers users reward points for paying rent, and is looking to renegotiate, the WSJ reports. Apple has stopped offering its buy now, pay later program, Apple Pay Later, after partnering with outside companies, including Affirm.

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index gained 13.80 points (0.3%) to 5,487.03; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) added 56.76 points (0.2%) to 38,834.86; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) rose 5.21 points (0.03%) to 17,862.23, a record close for the seventh day in a row.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) dipped more than 6 basis points to 4.215%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) fell 0.45 to 12.30.

What’s up

What’s down

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And … precision medicine company Tempus AI is going public, raising $410.7 million through its initial public offering.

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DAILY UPDATE: Microsoft & Google Cyber Security Discounts as Stock Markets Rally

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  • Microsoft. According to a same-day announcement on its site, the company will give “nonprofit pricing and discounts for its security products optimized for smaller organizations, providing up to a 75% discount,” along with free cybersecurity training, assessments, and—for at least one year, the company says—Windows 10 security updates.
  • Google. The White House said that Google will “provide endpoint security advice to rural hospitals and nonprofit organizations at no cost,” as well as a pilot program designed to help rural facilities “develop a packaging of security capabilities that fit these hospitals’ unique needs.”

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What’s up

What’s down

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index gained 41.63 points (0.8%) to 5,473.23; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) added 188.94 points (0.5%) to 38,778.10; the NASDAQ Composite advanced 168.14 points (1.0%) to 17,857.02.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) rose more than 6 basis points to 4.279%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) increased 0.10 to 12.76.

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DAILY UPDATE: Done Global TeleHealth

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The NASDAQ nabbed its fifth-straight record close last week, and the S&P 500 snapped its four-day streak. Both were up for the week as investors digested data that showed inflation cooling. Adobe became the latest company to soar thanks to AI, spiking after delivering better-than-expected earnings and forecasts.

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Those who rely on ADHD medication got some bad news last week when the CDC issued a health advisory alerting patients that there may be possible “increased risks for injury and overdose,” after two executives at Done Global, a telehealth company, were arrested for fraud linked to allegedly selling Adderall over the internet. The CDC warned that as many as 30,000 to 50,000 adult patients could be affected. https://tinyurl.com/3rf5py6c

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DAILY UPDATE: Father’s Day, Medical Debt and USAA

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HAPPY FATHER’S DAY

News 4 in San Antonio Texas organized a video call with several USAA members who lost funds due to fraud — and have been left with little to no recourse. Some of them also belong to the Facebook group, USAA Fraud and Victims, which has 2,900 members. A few USAA members even reported being asked by the institution to cover the negative balances on their accounts after their money was stolen.

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The race to a $3 trillion market cap seemed like it would always be between Apple and Microsoft. But over the last twelve months, Nvidia has come roaring to the front of the pack, neck and neck with the big tech incumbents. In the last two weeks alone it has replaced Apple in the #2 spot, only to be supplanted earlier this week when Apple’s AI plans propelled it back ahead. Now, it’s anybody’s race to the next big benchmark: a $4 trillion market cap.

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In a move that could be good for patients but bad for hospitals, the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) on Tuesday proposed regulation that would wipe medical debt from many consumers’ credit reports. The rule is meant to help the 15 million people in the US who creditors say still have a combined $49 billion of medical debt that negatively affects their credit scores, Rohit Chopra, director of the CFPB, said during a June 11 press briefing. About 100 million people in the US have some amount of medical debt, which totals roughly $220 billion, according to data from the Peterson-KFF Health System Tracker. The proposed regulation comes after three credit-reporting conglomeratesEquifax, Experian, and TransUnion—removed paid-off medical debt and medical debts under $500 from credit reports in 2022 and 2023, respectively.

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DAILY UPDATE: Sat Healthcare Private Equity, Elder Abuse Awareness Day

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Quote: “​​When private equity gets hold of healthcare systems, it is literally a matter of life and death, so if you drive a hospital like Steward into bankruptcy, putting patients and communities at risk, you should face real consequences.”—Sen. Elizabeth Warren on a proposed federal bill to impose jail time on executives who “loot” health systems, leading to patient harm (Fierce Healthcare)

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index fell 2.14 points (0.04%) to 5,431.60, up 1.6% for the week; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) lost 57.94 points (0.2%) to 38,589.16, down 0.5% for the week; the NASDAQ Composite gained 21.32 points (0.1%) to 17,688.88, up 3.2% for the week.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) fell more than 2 basis points to 4.215%, after earlier dropping under 4.19%, its lowest since late March.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) rose 0.72 to 12.66.

What’s up

  • Adobe soared 14.51% today after crushing analyst expectations when it announced earnings late yesterday.
  • Shopify rose 4.59% after it received yet another analyst upgrade. JPMorgan analysts gave the stock an overweight rating on June 11, while today Evercore analysts upgraded the company to outperform.
  • Hasbro popped 6% after the toy maker earned an upgrade to “buy” from Bank of America predicated on the company’s digital gaming strategy.

What’s down

  • Cruise stocks took a major blow today after a Bank of America report revealed that there was softer-than-expected pricing across the industry in May. Carnival fell 7.09%, Norwegian Cruise Line dropped 7.43%, and Royal Caribbean fell 4.35%.
  • RH plummeted 17% after the furniture maker reported a larger-than-expected loss in the previous quarter.
  • Stellantis fell 4.08% after the company’s CEO announced it will cut costs to compete with Chinese EV makers.
  • Penn Entertainment sank 8.66% on the news that competitor Boyd Gaming has voted in an M&A expert to its board of directors, which, combined with activist investors pushing Penn to put itself up for sale, could indicate an acquisition ahead.

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June 15th marks an important day on our calendar – Elder Abuse Awareness Day. It is a day for communities worldwide to unite in bringing attention to the challenges and difficulties faced by elders and our collective responsibility to protect and support them.

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DAILY UPDATE: Flag Day, KKR, Wells Fargo and the S&P 500

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HAPPY FLAG DAY

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Wells Fargo found that some of its employees were pretending to work — and sent them packing. More than a dozen employees in the bank’s wealth and investment management divisions were discharged last month “after review of allegations involving simulation of keyboard activity creating impression of active work,” Bloomberg reported citing disclosures filed with the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA).

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index gained 12.71 points (0.2%) to 5,433.74; the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 65.11 points (0.2%) to 38,647.10; the NASDAQ Composite rose 59.12 points (0.3%) to 17,66756.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) fell about 5 basis points to 4.246%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) declined 0.10 to 11.94.

What’s up

What’s down

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On Monday, private equity giant KKR jumped 12% after S&P Dow Jones Indices announced the company would be joining the index yesterday, along with CrowdStrike and GoDaddy, which saw their stocks jump 9% and 2%, respectively. The additions will be incorporated June 24.

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DOCTOR: What is Your Investment Philosophy for [Second-Half] 2024?

HERE IS MINE IN BRIEF

DR. DAVID EDWARD MARCINKO MBA MEd CMP

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We have produced Investment Policy Statements of a hundred pages or more for our esteemed physician clients and colleagues. Or, others were just a few pages or a conversation.

ISP: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2023/03/02/selecting-money-managers/

But, before deciding on any investment direction and philosophy in brief, however, we typically first focus on how much medical clients need to live on. For the income part of a client’s portfolio, that entails locking in rates of at least 4-5%, whether through municipal and corporate bonds, certificates of deposits, Treasury ladders, utilities or conservative dividend producing equities or ETFs, etc.

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Once income requirements are fulfilled, whatever money is left over gets diversified into a portfolio of growth and value stocks—with some alternative investments. We limit making tactical shifts like putting money into cash when markets fell last year, or more recently, buying CDs and Treasuries as rates went up.  But, we do re-direct cash income, rather than sell assets in real time, as our philosophy trends to a “Buy and Hold” strategy.

Currently, we’re sitting on the sidelines with cash, some of which we are getting ready to deploy into the market as we position for any pullbacks later this 2024 year.

So, what is your investing philosophy for today, and or, tomorrow?

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DAILY UPDATE: Moody, CME Fedwatch and Ever Rising Stock Markets

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On Monday, private equity giant KKR jumped 12% after S&P Dow Jones Indices announced the company would be joining the index on Friday, along with CrowdStrike and GoDaddy, which saw their stocks jump 9% and 2%, respectively. The additions will be incorporated June 24.

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Stat: 99.4%. That’s the likelihood that interest rates will stay the same after the Fed’s meeting, according to the CME Fedwatch Tool. So it looks to be more “hurry up and wait” for interest rates to start coming down. 🫤 (Business Insider)

Quote: “It’s hard to think of a time when the US economy has diverged so fundamentally from its peers.”—Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics, on the strength of the US economy compared to the weakness of other major economies. The US economy is continuing to grow while economies like Germany, Japan, and Canada are falling into recession. (The Atlantic)

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index rose 45.71 points (0.9%) to 5,421.03; the Dow Jones Industrial Average  lost 35.21 points (0.1%) to 38,712.21; the NASDAQ Composite gained 264.89 points (1.5%) to 17,608.44.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) fell more than 7 basis points to 4.326%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) declined 0.81 to  12.04.

What’s up

What’s down

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PODCAST: Corporate Practice of Medicine Laws

Private Equity Owning Doctor Practices

LEGALITY?

By Eric Bricker MD

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PODCAST: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2epmk4_-kUI

These Laws Were Put Into Place So That Doctors Would Not Put Shareholders Before Patients and So That Corporations Would Not Interfere with Doctor Judgement.

Corporate Practice of Medicine Laws are at the State Level, NOT the Federal Level.

Each State Has Its Own Exceptions Such as 1) Doctors Can Work for Companies That Are Owned by Other Doctors and 2) Doctors Can Work for Hospitals.

Accordingly, Private Equity Firms Have Been on a Physician Practice Buying Binge.

Private Equity Firms Bought 355 Physician Practices from 2013 – 2016.

Two of the Largest Purchases Were KKR’s Purchase of Envision’s 25,000 Doctors for Almost $10 Billion and Blackstone’s Purchase of Team Health’s 20,000 Doctors for $6 Billion.

If Corporate Practice of Medicine Laws Say that Doctors Cannot Work for a Corporation, How are Private Equity Purchases of Physician Practices Legal?

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PODCAST: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DgWEybUSiuo

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DAILY UPDATE: Apple AI, Addus HomeCare, Waystar and the Rising Markets

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Essays, Opinions and Curated News in Health Economics, Investing, Business, Management and Financial Planning for Physician Entrepreneurs and their Savvy Advisors and Consultants

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index rose 14.53 points (0.3%) to 5,375.32; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) declined 120.62 points (0.3%) to 38,747.42; the NASDAQ Composite gained 151.02 points (0.9%) to 17,343.55.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) fell about 7 basis points to 4.398%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) rose 0.13 to 12.87.

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What’s up

  • Apple shares rose 7.26%, hitting a new all-time high on hopes that the company’s AI innovations can make up for lost ground. Today’s surge reaffirmed its position as the second-largest publicly traded company in the US, retaking the #2 spot from Nvidia.
  • Affirm popped 11.04% as Apple’s newest partner, with its buy-now-pay-later loans to be embedded in Apple Pay.
  • FMC Corp rose 4% on the news that its president and CEO has stepped down. It can’t feel good when your company’s stock rises after you announce you’re leaving.
  • Calavo Growers was up 8.24% after the avocado producer announced strong second quarter results thanks to high avocado prices. Those darn millennials eating their avocado toast strike again!

What’s down

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The “A” in AI stands for Apple, the techies attending Apple’s annual Worldwide Developers Conference (WWDC) were told yesterday. CEO Tim Cook and Co. unveiled Apple Intelligence, a host of AI-powered features that will debut on iPhones, iPads, and Macs this fall.

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Addus HomeCare is making a major move to expand its business with plans to buy Gentiva’s personal care business for $350 million.


Healthcare payment software maker Waystar debuted on the public market Friday, raising $967.5 million, and marking the biggest health tech IPO since 2022. The company plans on paying off existing debt.

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About LOW Debt to Equity Ratios

WHAT AND WHY?

Low Debt / Equity Ratios

What? – Debt to Equity displays the financial leverage a company takes on to grow and support their operations. – It gives investors a glimpse if a company is raising capital through debt products more than they are using equity provided by investors.

Why? – If a company is highly leverage (i.e., having copious amounts of debt) then they are more susceptible to risk to their operations if any economic downturn occurs of if interests’ rates increase. Yet, they can grow at a faster pace and use the capital provided by investors on other growth projects.

If a company is uses equity, then they are less susceptible to risk to their operations if any economic downturn occurs of if interests’ rates increase. However, they cannot grow their business as fast as a company that uses more debt.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource/Title/0826102549

Now What? Compare the stocks within this list to equally sized stocks within a similar industry sector.

For example, Compare Small Cap tech stocks with one another. Determine if they are trying to grow their business or if they are trying to save the business by lending capital to turnaround their company and avoid bankruptcy.

RELATED: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2021/10/10/what-is-medical-practice-financial-ratio-analysis/

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3 FINANCIAL SLANG “T” Terms

DEFINITIONS Physician-Investors Need to Know

By. Dr. David E. Marcinko MBA MEd CMP®

CMP logo


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Trading AheadUnethical and illegal trading by specialists or market makers.
A specialist may buy a stock for themselves from Dr. John Q. Public even though a better price is available from another seller. The specialist can view bid and ask prices and then manually mis-match them, or see ahead to a less favorable price. It happens in this editor’s experience, by observing how long it takes for a stop order to execute after the stop price was reached.
This practice is a form of shimming.
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Trading ImbalanceA situation where a large block of stock is put up for sale, but not enough buyers are available for purchase, and a market maker is unable to buy the imbalance. Lightly traded and tightly held stocks are considered temporarily illiquid during such imbalances.
On occasion, a trading halt is put into place until enough buyers are available to purchase the deficit. On rare occasion, a handful of buyers can buy the stock at a huge discount if the stock was not halted during the imbalance.
On the New York Stock Exchange, large stocks usually have a “delayed open” for such imbalances, as a trading specialist will fill the order by lining up buyers for the block, and then open trading for the stock for the day.
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Triple Witching HourThe final hour of trading on a Friday when stock index futures, stock index options, and stock options all expire. This happens on the third Friday in March, June, September, and December. See Quadruple Witching Hour.
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What is “Shelf Registration” for Securities?

What is “Shelf Registration” for Securities?

Dr. David E. Marcinko MBA CMP

http://www.MARCINKOASSOCIATES.com

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A relatively new method of registration under the Act of ’33 is known as shelf registration.

Under this rule, an issuer may register any amount of securities that, at the time the registration statement becomes effective, is reasonably expected to be offered and sold within two years of the initial effective date of the registration.

Once registered, the securities may be sold continuously or periodically within 2 years without any waiting period for a registration to clear issuers generally like shelf registration because of the flexibility it gives them to take advantage of changing market conditions.

LINK: https://www.crcpress.com/Comprehensive-Financial-Planning-Strategies-for-Doctors-and-Advisors-Best/Marcinko-Hetico/p/book/9781482240283

In addition, the legal, accounting, and printing costs involved in issuance are reduced, since a single registration statement suffices for multiple offerings within the 2 year period. In effect, what the issuer does is register securities that will meet its financing needs for the next 2 years.

It issues what it needs at the current time, and puts the balance on the “shelf” to be taken off the shelf as needed.

Conclusion:

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DAILY UPDATE: Tele-Health, Fortune 500, Companies and the Stocks Markets

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The end has come for the Covid-19-era federal Affordable Connectivity Program, which some critics say will make telehealth access challenging for millions in rural and tribal areas. (NPR/KFF Health News)

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended yesterday:

  • The S&P 500 index rose 13.80 points (0.3%) to 5,360.79; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) gained 69.05 points (0.2%) to 38,868.04; the NASDAQ Composite added 59.40 points (0.4%) to 17,192.53.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) rose almost 4 basis points to 4.467%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) rose 0.52 to 12.74.

What’s up

  • Diamond Offshore Drilling rose 10.91% after fellow offshore drilling company Noble Corp. announced it would acquire Diamond in a cash and stock deal worth $1.6 billion total. Noble shares rose 6.08% on the news as well.
  • Crowdstrike, GoDaddy, and KKR will be added to the S&P 500 when the index rebalances at the end of the quarter. Crowdstrike rose 7.29%, GoDaddy rose 1.94%, and KKR was up 11.22% on the news.
  • Texas Pacific Land Corporation shares also rose 24.57% on the news that the company will be inducted into the S&P MidCap 400.

What’s down

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Stat: 42. That’s how many healthcare industry companies were named on the latest Fortune 500, which lists the largest corporations in the US based on revenue for fiscal year 2023. (Advisory Board)

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What is an Unregistered Security?

By Staff Reporters

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A security, most simply, is a financial instrument traded for profit. They form the basis of investment contracts for thinks like equities, debt, and derivatives.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource/Title/0826102549

The SEC points to the Howey Test to determine if an asset can be classed as a security. This test has four prongs, all of which need to be passed to be determined a security: [1] An investment of money [2] in a common enterprise [3] with expectations of a profit [4] to be derived from the efforts of others.

In the US, if an asset is deemed to be a security it needs to be registered with the SEC. For example, an initial public offering (IPO) of a stock newly listed on the stock exchange represents the first offering of its freshly registered securities. Securities need to be registered as it gives the issuing company the relevant shareholder information to pay dividends and provide relevant stock-related information. It also helps reduce fraud by keeping on record the legitimate owner of the security.

According to the SEC, an unregistered security is simply one that hasn’t been rubber-stamped by the regulator. 

Unregistered securities have been the subject of several scams, with the SEC saying their hallmarks include the promise of high yields with no risk, aggressive sales tactics, and are backed by unqualified investment professionals. As such, their use is limited.

Only accredited investors, defined as those with a net worth higher than $1 million or an annual income exceeding $200,000, can trade unregistered securities, essentially locking out most retail investors. The threshold is seen as a gauge of financial sophistication and suggests a buffer for eligible investors against potential losses.

RELATED: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2022/01/14/the-private-placement-regulation-d-securities-exemption/

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DAILY UPDATE: Markets, Cue Health Down, Blue Kansas Part C and the FOMC

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Essays, Opinions and Curated News in Health Economics, Investing, Business, Management and Financial Planning for Physician Entrepreneurs and their Savvy Advisors and Consultants

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Markets: Stocks dropped ever so slightly to end last week as investors tried to make sense of the big jobs report. Lots of jobs = good, but lots of jobs also = interest rates likely staying the same for awhile longer (more below). AMC had a rough day, tumbling 15% as the latest meme stock craze started to fizzle.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

Blue Kansas City Exiting MA Market by 2025 Due to ‘Regulatory Demands’

Blue Cross and Blue Shield of Kansas City (Blue KC) is leaving the Medicare Advantage (MA) market at the end of 2024, the insurer announced recently. The company blamed “heightened regulatory demands and rising market and financial pressures” for the decision but said it is still focused on employer-sponsored health plans, and Medicare supplement and Affordable Care Act plans in the state.

“We explored every alternative path for our MA members and are disappointed we must exit this line of business,” said Erin Stucky, Blue KC President and CEO, in a statement. “We value our MA members and are committed to providing uninterrupted, quality service to our current MA membership through the end of 2024.”

Source: Noah Tong, Fierce Healthcare [6/3/24]

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/tj8smmes

Cue Health, founded in 2010, started with great hopes as it promised a way to accurately test for Covid-19 without needing a lab. “We designed and developed a new molecular testing platform bringing lab complexity to an easy-to-use, portable device. Now you can get the best of lab molecular testing — speed, accuracy, and versatility – at home, the office, or on the go,” the company shared on its website. The company went public (with the ticker  (HLTH) ) in 2021 at $16 and rose to $20.55 and carried that massive $2.3 billion valuation. Through 2023 and into this year, Cue unsuccessfully tried to shore up operations, get new products to market, and find new capital.

In May, however, the FDA advised customers not to use two of its products at all because they did not deliver accurate results. Finally, its board and executives threw in the towel. On May 28th, the company announced it was ceasing operations and filed for bankruptcy in Delaware’s U.S. Bankruptcy Court. The company’s assets will be sold off at an undetermined date, and the proceeds will be distributed to creditors.       

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Inflation data from the Fed meeting on Wednesday: Inflation data for May arrives in the morning, and it’s expected to show price growth held steady at 3.4% annually. In the afternoon, the FOMC will wrap up its meeting with a Jerome Powell press conference. The Fed is pretty much a lock to hold interest rates at their current level.

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DAILY UPDATE: Payroll Jobs and Longevity Up

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People whose job it is to watch the economy are shocked at how many jobs the economy added last month: Payrolls added 272,000 more jobs in May, according to employer stats the government dropped yesterday, vastly exceeding the 190,000 increase that analysts predicted.

  • The biggest job gains were in healthcare (68k jobs), government (43k), and hospitality (42k).
  • The average hourly pay increased by 0.4% from the previous month and 4.1% over the year, also exceeding analysts’ predictions.

The surprisingly strong employment gains are prompting some head-scratching since they come amid slowing economic growth as consumers pull back on spending. The job market’s resilience has dashed hopes among investors and anyone planning to take out a loan that the Fed will lower interest rates soon. For example:

  • The unemployment rate ticked up to 4% from 3.9% in April, breaking its historic streak of 27 months under 4%.
  • A survey of households revealed that the number of Americans working dropped by 408,000 from April to May.

Some economists claim the household survey fails to properly account for immigrant workers, who have been the main driver of working population growth in recent years. But others say it checks out given the general cool-down vibes in the labor market: Job openings were at a three-year low in April, and many recent college grads have struggled to find work.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

While some companies would be thrilled if everyone started living to 120, it could spell trouble for the rest of us. Experts believe that centenarians becoming anything more than an anomaly would put the world in an economic pickle and require a societal overhaul to adapt. Even without futuristic tech that enables ultra-longevity, many developed countries are already in an economic bind due to aging populations and declining birth rates. The US Census Bureau projects that people older than 64 will reach 23% of the population by 2060 (compared to 17% in 2020), which means higher retirement and healthcare costs with fewer workers to offset them.

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What is IMPLIED Stock Volatility?

By Staff Reporters

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Implied open attempts to predict the prices at which various stock indexes will open at 9:30 am EST. It is frequently shown on various cable television channels and websites prior to the start of the next business day.  This is a powerful tool that gives traders an indication on whether they should be bullish or bearish during the market for SPX, NDX, and RUT.

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What is Implied Volatility?

Implied volatility shows how much movement the market is expecting in the future.

Options with high levels of implied volatility suggest that investors in the underlying stocks are expecting a big move in one direction or the other. It could also mean there is an event coming up soon that may cause a big rally or a huge sell-off.

MORE: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2022/03/18/options-and-derivatives-glossary/

However, implied volatility is only one piece of the puzzle when putting together an options trading strategy.

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RELATED: https://www.amazon.com/Comprehensive-Financial-Planning-Strategies-Advisors/dp/1482240289/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1418580820&sr=8-1&keywords=david+marcinko

VIX: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2022/09/01/what-up-vix/

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