RULE 3-5-7: Investor Trading Strategy

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd

SPONSOR: http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com

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The 3-5-7 Rule is a trading strategy that helps investors manage risk and maximize gains by setting clear limits on losses and targets for profits. It’s a simple yet powerful framework for disciplined decision-making.

In the volatile world of trading, success often hinges not just on identifying opportunities but on managing risk with precision. The 3-5-7 Rule is a widely respected risk management strategy designed to help traders protect their capital while pursuing consistent returns. This rule provides a structured approach to trading by setting specific thresholds for risk exposure and profit expectations.

At its core, the 3-5-7 Rule breaks down into three key components:

  • 3% Risk Per Trade: Traders should never risk more than 3% of their total account value on a single trade. This limit ensures that even if a trade goes against them, the loss is manageable and doesn’t jeopardize their overall portfolio.
  • 5% Total Exposure Across All Positions: The rule advises that total exposure across all open positions should not exceed 5% of the account value. This prevents over-leveraging and reduces the impact of correlated losses during market downturns.
  • 7% Profit Target: For every trade, the goal is to achieve a profit that is at least 7% greater than the potential loss. This risk-to-reward ratio helps ensure that even with a lower win rate, traders can remain profitable over time.

The beauty of the 3-5-7 Rule lies in its simplicity and adaptability. It can be applied across various asset classes—stocks, forex, crypto—and suits both beginners and seasoned traders. By enforcing discipline, it helps traders avoid emotional decisions, such as chasing losses or holding onto losing positions too long. Moreover, this rule encourages thoughtful position sizing. Traders must calculate their entry and exit points carefully, factoring in stop-loss levels and account size. This analytical approach fosters better trade planning and reduces impulsive behavior.

Another advantage is its scalability. As a trader’s account grows, the percentages remain constant, but the dollar amounts adjust accordingly. This keeps the strategy relevant and effective regardless of portfolio size. In practice, the 3-5-7 Rule acts as a safety net. It doesn’t guarantee profits, but it significantly reduces the likelihood of catastrophic losses. It also promotes consistency, which is crucial for long-term success in trading.

In conclusion, the 3-5-7 Rule is more than just a guideline—it’s a mindset. It teaches traders to respect risk, plan strategically, and aim for favorable outcomes.

By adhering to this rule, traders can navigate the unpredictable markets with greater confidence and control.

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SPEAKING: Dr. Marcinko will be speaking and lecturing, signing and opining, teaching and preaching, storming and performing at many locations throughout the USA this year! His tour of witty and serious pontifications may be scheduled on a planned or ad-hoc basis; for public or private meetings and gatherings; formally, informally, or over lunch or dinner. All medical societies, financial advisory firms or Broker-Dealers are encouraged to submit an RFP for speaking engagements: CONTACT: Ann Miller RN MHA at MarcinkoAdvisors@outlook.com 

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HIGH-FREQUENCY TRADING: Algorithmic Computerized Stock Trading

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd

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High-frequency trading (HFT) is a form of algorithmic trading that uses powerful computers and complex programs to execute thousands of trades in fractions of a second. It has transformed modern financial markets by increasing speed, liquidity, and efficiency—but also raised concerns about fairness and stability.

High-frequency trading emerged in the early 2000s as technological advances allowed financial firms to process market data and execute trades faster than ever before. HFT firms use sophisticated algorithms to analyze multiple markets and identify short-term opportunities. These trades are often held for mere seconds or milliseconds, and profits are made by exploiting tiny price discrepancies across assets or exchanges.

One of the defining features of HFT is its reliance on speed. Firms invest heavily in infrastructure—such as co-location services near exchange servers and fiber-optic cables—to gain microsecond advantages over competitors. This race for speed has led to a technological arms race, where milliseconds can mean millions in profit.

HFT contributes significantly to market liquidity, meaning it helps ensure that buyers and sellers can transact quickly at stable prices. By constantly placing and updating orders, HFT firms narrow bid-ask spreads and reduce transaction costs for other market participants. This has made markets more efficient and accessible, especially for retail investors.

However, HFT is not without controversy. Critics argue that it creates an uneven playing field, where firms with access to advanced technology and capital can dominate markets. Concerns about market manipulation—such as quote stuffing (flooding the market with orders to slow competitors) or spoofing (placing fake orders to move prices)—have led to increased regulatory scrutiny.

The 2010 Flash Crash is often cited as a cautionary example of HFT’s potential risks. During this event, the Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged nearly 1,000 points in minutes before rebounding. Investigations revealed that automated trading systems, including HFT algorithms, contributed to the sudden loss of liquidity and extreme volatility.

Regulators have responded by implementing safeguards such as circuit breakers, which pause trading during extreme price movements, and requiring firms to register and disclose their trading strategies. The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) continue to monitor HFT’s impact on market integrity.

Despite its challenges, HFT remains a dominant force in global finance. It accounts for a significant portion of trading volume in equities, futures, and foreign exchange markets. Many institutional investors rely on HFT strategies to manage large portfolios and hedge risks.

In conclusion, high-frequency trading represents both the promise and peril of technological innovation in finance. While it enhances market efficiency and liquidity, it also introduces new risks and ethical dilemmas.

As markets evolve, balancing innovation with fairness and stability will be essential to ensuring that HFT serves the broader interests of investors and the economy.

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Stock Markets, Commodities and Crypto-Currency

By Staff Reporters and A.I.

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  • Stocks: Stock Market Indexes recovered yesterday from their losses, though the Dow remained in the red.
  • Commodities: Gold is rising above $4,200 to another new all-time high. Meanwhile, oil dropped to nearly a five-month low as trade tensions raised the specter of slowing economic growth.
  • Crypto: Bitcoin, ethereum, and altcoins of all shapes and sizes remain repressed after a massive selloff last weekend erased billions in crypto positions.

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What is the Dow Jones Industrial Average?

DEFINED

By A.I. and Staff Reporters

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The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), often referred to simply as “the Dow,” is one of the oldest and most well-known stock market indices in the world. It was created in 1896 by Charles Dow, the co-founder of The Wall Street Journal, and is designed to represent the performance of the broader U.S. stock market, specifically focusing on 30 large, publicly traded companies. These companies are considered leaders in their respective industries and serve as a barometer for the overall health of the U.S. economy.

The Composition of the DJIA

The DJIA includes 30 companies, which are selected by the editors of The Wall Street Journal based on various factors such as market influence, reputation, and the stability of the company. These companies represent a wide array of sectors, including technology, finance, healthcare, consumer goods, and energy. Notably, the companies chosen for the DJIA are not necessarily the largest companies in the U.S. by market capitalization, but rather those that are most indicative of the broader economy. Some of the prominent companies listed in the DJIA include names like Apple, Microsoft, Coca-Cola, and Johnson & Johnson.

However, the list of 30 companies is not static. Over time, companies may be added or removed to reflect changes in the economic landscape. For example, if a company experiences significant decline or no longer represents a leading sector, it might be replaced with another company that better reflects modern economic trends. This periodic reshuffling ensures that the DJIA continues to be a relevant measure of economic activity.

How the DJIA is Calculated

The DJIA is a price-weighted index, which means that the value of the index is determined by the share price of the component companies, rather than their market capitalization. To calculate the DJIA, the sum of the stock prices of all 30 companies is divided by a special divisor. This divisor adjusts for stock splits, dividends, and other corporate actions to maintain the integrity of the index over time. The price-weighted method means that higher-priced stocks have a greater impact on the movement of the index, regardless of the overall size or economic weight of the company.

For instance, if a company with a higher stock price like Apple experiences a significant change in value, it will influence the DJIA more than a company with a lower stock price, even if the latter has a larger market capitalization. This makes the DJIA somewhat different from other indices, like the S&P 500, which is weighted by market cap and gives more weight to larger companies in terms of their economic impact.

Significance of the DJIA

The DJIA is widely regarded as a barometer of the U.S. stock market’s performance. Investors and analysts closely monitor the movements of the Dow to gauge the overall health of the economy. When the DJIA rises, it generally suggests that investors are optimistic about the economic outlook and that large companies are performing well. Conversely, when the DJIA falls, it often signals economic uncertainty or a downturn in market conditions.

Despite being a narrow index, with only 30 companies, the DJIA holds substantial sway in financial markets. It is widely covered in the media and is often cited in discussions about the state of the economy. In fact, the performance of the DJIA is considered a key indicator of investor sentiment and economic confidence.

However, the DJIA has its limitations. Since it only includes 30 companies, it does not necessarily represent the broader market or capture the performance of smaller companies. Other indices, like the S&P 500, which includes 500 companies, offer a more comprehensive view of the market’s performance.

Conclusion

The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a key metric for understanding the state of the U.S. economy and the stock market. Although it has evolved over the years, it continues to provide valuable insights into the performance of large, influential companies. While it is not a perfect reflection of the market as a whole, the DJIA remains one of the most important and widely recognized indices in global finance. Through its historical significance and its role in shaping market sentiment, the Dow has cemented its place as a cornerstone of financial analysis.

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SEPTEMBER: Stock Markets

By A.I.

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2025: With just two days left in September—and the third quarter—stocks rose throughout a month that is historically the worst any for the market.

RELATED: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2025/09/29/sell-rosh-hashana-buy-yom-kippur/

The major indexes ticked lower last week, though, as artificial intelligence names like Oracle got hit after some analysts expressed concerns over the eye-watering costs of the AI build-out.

MORE: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2025/09/10/stock-market-beware-manipulation-schemes/

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How Investment Banking Works for Corporations

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd

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SPONSOR: http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com

Investment bankers are not really bankers at all. The fact that the word banker appears in the name is partially responsible for the false impressions that exist in the medical community regarding the functions they perform.

For example, they are not permitted to accept deposit, provide checking accounts, or perform other activities normally construed to be commercial banking activities. An investment bank is simply a firm that specializes in helping other corporations obtain money they need under the most advantageous terms possible. When it comes to the actual process of having securities issued, the corporation approaches an investment banking firm, either directly, or through a competitive selection process and asks it to act as adviser and distributor.

MORE: https://www.amazon.ca/Management-Liability-Insurance-Protection-Strategies/dp/1498725988

Investment bankers, or under writers, as they are sometimes called, are middlemen in the capital markets for corporate securities. The corporation requiring the funds discusses the amount, type of security to be issued, price and other features of the security, as well as the cost to issuing the securities. All of these factors are negotiated in a process known as negotiated underwriting. If mutually acceptable terms are reached, the investment banking firm will be the middle man through which the securities are sold to the general public. Since such firms have many customers, they are able to sell new securities, without the costly search that individual corporations may require to sell its own security.

Thus, although the firm in need of additional capital must pay for the service, it is usually able to raise the additional capital at less expense through the use of an investment banker, than by selling the securities itself. The agreement between the investment banker and the corporation may be one of two types. The investment bank may agree to purchase, or underwrite, the entire issue of securities and to re-offer them to the general public. This is known as a firm commitment.

When an investment banker agrees to underwrite such a sale; it agrees to supply the corporation with a specified amount of money. The firm buys the securities with the intention to resell them. If it fails to sell the securities, the investment banker must still pay the agreed upon sum.

Thus, the risk of selling rests with the underwriter and not with the company issuing the securities.

INVESTMENT BANKING: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2024/04/17/understanding-tnvestment-banking-rules-securities-markets-brokerage-accounts-margin-and-debt/

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The alternative agreement is a best efforts agreement in which the investment banker makes his best effort to sell the securities acting on behalf of the issuer, but does not guarantee a specified amount of money will be raised. When a corporation raises new capital through a public offering of stock, one might inquire where the stock comes from. The only source the corporation has is authorized, but previously un-issued stock. Anytime authorized, but previously un-issued stock (new stock) is issued to the public, it is known as a primary offering.

If it’s the very first time the corporation is making the offering, it’s also known as the Initial Public Offering (IPO). Anytime there is a primary offering of stock, the issuing corporation is raising additional equity capital.

A secondary offering, or distribution, on the other hand, is defined as an offering of a large block of outstanding stock. Most frequently, a secondary offering is the sale of a large block of stock owned by one or more stockholders. It is stock that has previously been issued and is now being re-sold by investors. Another case would be when a corporation re-sells its treasury stock.

STOCK BROKERS: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2024/09/04/understanding-traditional-full-service-brokers/

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SPEAKING: Dr. Marcinko will be speaking and lecturing, signing and opining, teaching and preaching, storming and performing at many locations throughout the USA this year! His tour of witty and serious pontifications may be scheduled on a planned or ad-hoc basis; for public or private meetings and gatherings; formally, informally, or over lunch or dinner. All medical societies, financial advisory firms or Broker-Dealers are encouraged to submit an RFP for speaking engagements: CONTACT: Ann Miller RN MHA at MarcinkoAdvisors@outlook.com -OR- http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com

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INTRODUCTION: Meme DORK Stocks

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Stock Markets, Trade Tariffs and Commodities

By Staff Reporters and A.I.

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  • Markets: Stocks started off Friday on a high note after a weak jobs report raised hopes that the Fed will cut interest rates this month. But the rally faded as the afternoon wore on, while 10-year bond yields tumbled to their lowest level since April.
  • Trade: President Trump said “fairly substantial” tariffs for semi-conductors are coming “very shortly,” but hinted that companies like Apple will be spared. He also clapped back at EU regulators for fines against Google.
  • Offbeat commodities: Raw sugar prices hit a two-month low as Brazilian producers churn out more of the sweet stuff, cocoa prices are expected to pop after Cargill paused production in Ivory Coast, and corn hit its highest price since July thanks to strong export demand.

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DAILY UPDATE: Both ACA Premiums and Stock Markets Rise

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What’s up

  • Krispy Kreme and GoPro got caught up in the new meme stock craze—the donut maker jumped 4.60%, while the wearable camera company leaped 12.41%.
  • Nintendo rose 2.36% after the company’s new Switch 2 console sold 1.6 million units in June, making it the fastest-selling console in US history.
  • GE Vernova gained 14.58% thanks to an impressive beat-and-raise earnings report for the power equipment manufacturer.
  • USANA Health Sciences soared 12.37% after the nutritional supplement maker crushed earnings estimates.
  • Cal-Maine Foods, the biggest egg producer in the country, added 13.80% after profiting from the high cost of eggs over the previous quarter.
  • Lamb Weston sizzled 16.31% higher as shareholders applauded the french fry giant’s strong earnings report and new cost-cutting program.

What’s down

  • Texas Instruments tumbled 13.34% after the semiconductor company revealed a disappointing third-quarter earnings forecast.
  • Enphase Energy plunged 14.16% thanks to weak earnings guidance, with the solar company’s management blaming tariffs for squeezing its margins.
  • SAP lost 5.03% after the enterprise software company missed Q2 revenue estimates.
  • Fiserv may have beaten analyst forecasts last quarter, but the fintech still sank 13.85% due to weaker-than-expected financial guidance.
  • Going down: Otis Worldwide dropped 12.38% after the elevator manufacturer lowered its fiscal guidance due to weak demand.

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Insurers selling plans on ACA exchanges are expected to hike premiums next year as subsidies on them are set to expire, with the average person expected to be paying 75% more, according to an analysis from the nonpartisan research group KFF.

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STOCK MARKETS: Rally Onward!

By A.I.

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Markets: That feeling when you have a $10 trillion rally. To wit:

The S&P 500 closed at a record high this week despite a brief dip as trade tensions with Canada ratcheted up. That puts the index about 20% up from its April low, when the broad tariff announcement sent it spiraling, and up ~5% for the year.

NVIDIA also hit an all-time high, and it keeps edging closer to becoming the first company to hit a $4 trillion valuation.

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DAILY UPDATE: SPACs Defined as Stock Markets Surge!

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SPACs, or special purpose acquisition companies, are shell companies that are created just to acquire or merge with an existing company, allowing that company to enter public markets without going through an IPO. The catch, however, is the SPAC sponsors have a small window of time—usually within two years—to find a suitable company to acquire.

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What’s up

Carnival popped 6.91% after the cruise line reported impressive earnings and reiterated its healthy financial guidance.
If you can’t beat ‘em, join ‘em: Mastercard rose 2.80% on the news that it will integrate Fiserv’s new stablecoin into its products. Fiserv gained 1.24%.
Lyft gained 6.09% after TD Cowen analysts upgraded the stock, calling the ride-sharing company their “Best SMIDcap Idea for 2025.”
Falling oil prices helped airline stocks soar today: Frontier Group jumped 7.56%, JetBlue Airways rose 4.15%, and American Airlines added 4.31%.
Ambarella soared 20.61% on reports that the chip designer may be exploring a sale.
Nektar Therapeutics exploded 156.29% thanks to strong results in the Phase 2 trial of its new eczema treatment.
Crypto miners rose as investors took on more risk following a ceasefire in the Middle East: CleanSpark climbed 13.45%, Riot Platforms rose 8.09%, and MARA Holdings gained 4.94%.

What’s down

Oil prices fell on news of a ceasefire between Israel and Iran, pulling oil stocks down with them: Exxon Mobil lost 3.04%, Chevron dropped 2.25%, and Occidental Petroleum fell 3.34%.
The ceasefire also sent defense contractors tumbling: Lockheed Martin lost 2.59%, RTX dropped 2.72%, and Northrup Grumman fell 3.20%.
Krispy Kreme fell 0.76% on the news that its deal with McDonald’s has fallen apart due to rising costs.

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DAILY UPDATE: Stock Markets Blast Off!

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What’s up

  • Tesla climbed 8.23% thanks to a successful robotaxi debut in Austin this weekend
  • Northern Trust popped 8.01% on reports that Bank of New York Mellon is considering acquiring the financial services company.
  • The stablecoin adoption wave continues to hit markets, with Fiserv up 4.38% after announcing it made deals with Circle and PayPal to roll out a stablecoin and digital-asset platform for banking clients. Circle climbed another 9.64%.
  • Nuclear energy stocks climbed on the news that New York will build the first major new US nuclear plant in more than 15 years. Constellation Energy rose 3.37%, while Centrus Energy climbed 1.16% and Uranium Energy gained 2.01%.
  • SpartanNash exploded 50.62% higher after C&S Wholesale Grocers agreed to acquire the wholesale grocer for $1.77 billion.

What’s down

  • Tough first day at work: Stellantis sank 0.48% on the day that new CEO Antonio Filosa took the helm at the struggling automaker.
  • Novo Nordisk lost 5.49% after the pharma giant announced disappointing trial results for its newest weight-loss drug.
  • Super Micro Computer fell 9.77% on the news that it will raise money by offering $2 billion in convertible senior notes.
  • Wolfspeed plummeted 31.85% after the chipmaker said it plans to file for bankruptcy.

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DAILY UPDATE: Medicaid, HIV Vaccine, CDC and the Rising Stock Markets

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Stat: 2%. That’s the portion of Medicaid expansion enrollees who were either not working or in school due to “lack of interest” in finding a job. (Robert Wood Johnson Foundation)

Quote: “It’s just devastating. So much human toil has gone into this. Just when it looked like we could beat this virus, we’re going to give up.”—Dennis Burton, a Scripps Research Institute immunologist, on how a new HIV vaccine was about to start clinical trials before federal funding cuts (NPR)

Read: A look at HHS Secretary RFK Jr.’s new appointees to the CDC vaccine advisory panel. (Stat)

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🟢 What’s up

  • The wait is finally over: US Steel climbed 5.10% after President Trump signed an executive order approving its takeover by Nippon Steel.
  • Roku jumped 10.43% after announcing a partnership with Amazon that gives advertisers the ability to reach roughly 80% of American households with connected TVs.
  • Advanced Micro Devices rose 8.81% on an upgrade from Piper Sandler analysts, who think the semi stock’s AI business will boom.
  • EchoStar exploded 49.11% after Trump pushed the FCC to resolve its ongoing spectrum dispute with the satellite company.
  • Victoria’s Secret rose 2.36% on reports that the struggling retailer has attracted the attention of an activist investor.
  • Sage Therapeutics soared 35.37% on the news that it will be acquired by Supernus Pharmaceuticals in a $795 million deal.
  • MGM Resorts climbed 8.10% after the casino company revealed that its Bet MGM online gambling platform is expected to pull in more revenue than previously thought.
  • Kering, the parent company of Gucci, Yves Saint Laurent, and other luxury brands, popped 12.37% on the news that it has convinced Renault’s CEO to run the company.

What’s down

  • Sarepta Therapeutics plunged 42.12% after the pharma company reported a second death of a patient taking its Duchenne muscular dystrophy treatment Elevidys.
  • Reports that Iran wants to end hostilities pushed oil prices lower this afternoon, hurting shares of energy stocks like APA Corp (down 2.43%), Devon Energy (down 1.45%) and ConocoPhillips (down 2.02%).

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MARCINKO ASSOCIATES: How our Second Investment Portfolio Opinions are Different?

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We make second investment portfolio opinions affordable

Approximately 1 million allopathic physicians, 150,000 dentists, 200,000 osteopaths, 15,000 podiatrists and 6 million nurses often find it difficult to get an unbiased and fiduciary second opinion on their retirement or brokerage accounts. By offering second opinions for a flat fee, the monetary barriers that prevented colleagues from receiving a second opinion in the past have been removed.

We make second investment portfolio opinions convenient

Here’s how we work: you book an initial appointment with us, answer a few preliminary questions and email us your portfolio information. We then provide a second opinion. It is then up to you to incorporate or not.

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We make second investment portfolio opinions timely

Financial markets, jobs and colleague age change like the weather. It is not always okay to wait a week, year or more, to seek a professional second financial portfolio opinion. You need to receive an opinion now. That’s where we come in. We are standing by, ready to take your email [MarcinkoAdvisors@outlook.com] and schedule a free initial consultation within two or three days, or less.

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We make second investment portfolio opinions accurate

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DAILY UPDATE: Kennedy on Vaccines & Google Search as Stock Markets Rise!

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Robert F. Kennedy Jr. appointed eight new members to a panel that advises the government on vaccines after firing the entire 17-member group.

Google offered buyouts to US employees in its Search and other divisions as it looks to cut costs.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

🟢 What’s up

  • Oracle popped 13.31% after the cloud computing giant beat Wall Street forecasts on both the top and bottom lines last quarter.
  • Cardinal Health climbed 4.55% after the healthcare products maker raised its fiscal guidance for the year.
  • CureVac NV exploded 37.59% on the news that BioNTech will acquire the pharma company in an all-stock deal worth $1.25 billion.
  • Datadog rose 3.43% thanks to an upgrade from analysts at Wolfe Research, who think the cybersecurity company has an opportunity for rapid growth thanks to AI.

What’s down

  • Boeing sank 4.79% after an Air India 787 flying from Ahmedabad to London crashed with 242 people aboard. Engine maker GE Aerospace fell 2.25% as well.
  • GameStop plummeted 22.45% after the video game retailer announced late yesterday that it will sell $1.75 billion in convertible bonds to buy more bitcoin.
  • Speaking of raising money, nuclear startup Oklo fell 5.22% on the news that it will sell $400 million of common stock in a public offering.
  • Oxford Industries, parent company of Tommy Bahama and Lily Pulitzer, dropped 14.03% after cutting its fiscal guidance due to tariffs.

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Visualize: How private equity tangled banks in a web of debt, from the Financial Times.

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MARKETS: Wall Street

By AI

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Wall Street is stable right now as the technology trade has come roaring back.

The S&P 500 climbed above 6,000 points for the first time since February, while all three indexes posted their fifth winning week in the last seven. The S&P is now just over 2% from its all-time high.

Meanwhile, recent IPOs are party rocking, especially the stablecoin issuer Circle that went public last Thursday.

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DAILY UPDATE: The Gap is Down but Stock Markets are Up

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🟢 What’s up

  • Meta Platforms popped 3.62% on a report in the Wall Street Journal that the company is going all-in on using AI to create advertisements.
  • Applied Digital skyrocketed 48.46% after the data center operator announced two 15-year leases with CoreWeave that will bring in $7 billion in new revenue. CoreWeave rose 7.99%.
  • BioNTech soared 18.05% on news of a multibillion-dollar collaboration with Bristol Myers Squibb to develop cancer treatments. Bristol Myers Squibb rose 1.06%.
  • Moderna gained 1.84% thanks to the FDA’s approval of its new Covid vaccine, though it’s only for certain patients.
  • Blueprint Medicines exploded 26.09% after the biopharma company agreed to be acquired by Sanofi for $9.5 billion.

What’s down

  • Tesla slipped 1.09% after vehicle deliveries across Europe continued to drop, including a 67% decline in France last month.
  • Auto stocks suffered from fears of higher pricing thanks to President Trump’s steel tariff hike. General Motors tumbled 3.87%, Ford fell 3.86%, and Stellantis slid 3.55%.
  • Sports-betting stocks took a loss after Illinois lawmakers decided to tax the companies $0.25 per wager made on their apps. DraftKings lost 5.99%, and Flutter Entertainment dropped 2.74%.
  • Advertising stocks sank on Meta Platforms’ announcement of AI advances in its advertisements. Omnicom Group lost 4.02%, and WPP Group fell 2.45%.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

Markets: Stocks closed out a winning month Friday with the S&P 500 having its best one since 2023. But the markets are still rattled by the trade war, and stocks wavered during the day after President Trump accused China of breaching its recent trade deal with the US. Investors declined to fall into the Gap after the retail chain said tariffs would cost it up to $150 million this fiscal year.

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DAILY UPDATE: Gold Down as Stock Markets Sky Rocket

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Bonds breathed a sigh of relief after 30-year Treasury yields fell back below 5% as Japanese central bankers took precautionary measures to shore up their finances.

Gold tumbled as investors continue to throw money at risk assets, while bitcoin maintained its recent gains.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

What’s up

  • Informatica popped 6.08% after Salesforce acquired the cloud data manager for $8 billion.
  • US Steel gained 1.98% on reports that its acquisition by Nippon Steel is finally happening.
  • Oklo rose 10.29% thanks to the Trump seal of approval for nuclear energy.
  • CoreWeave can’t stop, won’t stop: The AI hyperscaler was downgraded by Barclays analysts, who think its near-term upside is limited, but shares still rose 20.66%.
  • VF Corp., the parent company of The North Face, JanSport, etc, rose 12.92% after disclosing that members of its C-suite splurged on the stock.
  • Soundhound AI is a retail trader favorite, and now Piper Sandler analysts like it,too: The AI voice platform jumped 16.05% on an upgrade.
  • Southwest gained 5.53% on reports that the airline is rolling out $35 baggage fees beginning tomorrow.
  • Movie theater stocks popped on a record-breaking Memorial Day weekend at the box office: AMC soared 23.77%, Cinemark climbed 3.82%, and Marcus Corp. gained 10.12%.

What’s down

  • PDD Holdings plunged 13.64% after the Chinese e-commerce retailer reported a hefty 47% decline in profits last quarter.
  • Trump Media & Technology Group tumbled 10.38% after the company announced it’s raising $2.5 billion to buy bitcoin.
  • Champion Homes sank 16.39% after the homebuilder missed Wall Street expectations last quarter by a mile.
  • Rocket Pharmaceuticals dropped 62.84% after the biotech reported that a patient participating in a gene therapy trial died over the weekend.

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Visualize: How private equity tangled banks in a web of debt, from the Financial Times.

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MARKETS: Weekly Recap

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Stock markets are coming off their worst week since April as President Trump’s tariff threats on Europe and Apple revived trade war jitters. The president has since delayed tariff threats on the EU, giving European stocks a boost yesterday, while Wall Street had the day off for Memorial Day.

MORE: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2025/05/26/financial-paradox-compounding-interest-and-time/

No such relief appears to be coming for Apple, which has fallen 8% so far this month, and is the only Magnificent Seven member in the red for May, per FactSet.

Mag 7: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2024/07/30/the-magnificent-7-and-the-dangers-of-stock-market-hype/

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Stock Markets Up Slightly, Recession Still Possible as Oil Tumbles

By Staff Reporters

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  • Markets started the day down yesterday but regained lost ground throughout the afternoon as investors decided that any day with no new tariff announcements is a good day.
  • Be advised: Fed Chair Jerome Powell warned that “supply shocks” pose a challenge for the economy, and that interest rates may need to remain higher for longer. Meanwhile, JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon said a recession is still on the table.
  • Oil took a tumble on comments by President Trump that the US is nearing a deal with Iran over its nuclear program that could lift sanctions against the country.

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SPEAKING: Dr. Marcinko will be speaking and lecturing, signing and opining, teaching and preaching, storming and performing at many locations throughout the USA this year! His tour of witty and serious pontifications may be scheduled on a planned or ad-hoc basis; for public or private meetings and gatherings; formally, informally, or over lunch or dinner. All medical societies, financial advisory firms or Broker-Dealers are encouraged to submit a RFP for speaking engagements: MarcinkoAdvisors@outlook.com 

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STOCK MARKETS: Overnight Futures Soaring!

BREAKING NEWS

By Staff Reporters

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Markets: After stomach-churning ups and downs this spring, the stock market calmed down last week with all three major indexes holding steady and closing just a bit lower. This week, investors will be glued to the details of the trade agreement with China, an inflation report, and more earnings.

Breaking News Overnight: After talks in Switzerland this weekend, the US and China agreed to a large reduction in tariffs on each other. The US is lowering its tariffs on China from 145% to 30%, while China is lowering its tariffs on the US from 125% to 10%. The new tariff rates will be in effect for 90 days while the two sides continue talking.

Stocks are Soaring. Dow Futures (7:50 AM, EST)

Dow Futures 42,340.00

Fair Value 41,321.34

Change + 1,017.002.46%

Implied Open + 1,018.66

S&P 500 Futures 5,848.25

Fair Value 5,676.70

Change + 170.253.00%

Implied Open + 171.55

NASDAQ Futures 20,911.50

Fair Value 20,133.56

Change + 774.753.85%

Implied Open + 777.94

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DAILY UPDATE: Strong Labor Department as Stock Markets Soar Last Week but Stock and Oil Futures Drop Early Monday Morning

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U.S. stock futures declined after the S&P 500 notched its longest winning streak in more than 20 years last week. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures were down around 280 points, or 0.7%, as of 11 p.m. Eastern. S&P 500 futures and NASDAQ-100 futures were off about 0.8%.

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The labor market stayed strong. The US added 177,000 jobs in April, while unemployment stayed steady at 4.2%, new Labor Department data shows. That was slightly less job growth than the month before, but still more than expected, and it shows a resilient labor environment even as the president’s introduction of tariffs roiled the stock and bond markets and raised concerns about a recession. President Trump celebrated the news in a Truth Social post that once again urged the Fed to cut interest rates.

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Markets: Stocks soared like a balloon whose string a toddler couldn’t keep hold of yesterday. Unexpectedly strong jobs data for last month and reports that China is open to trade talks helped push the S&P 500 to its longest winning streak in more than 20 years (more on that later), erasing the losses from recent tariff turmoil. On its own impressive streak is Netflix, which hit an all-time high and finished its 11th day in the green for its longest positive run ever.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/tj8smmes

Crude oil futures dropped more than 3% Sunday after OPEC+ agreed to accelerate production increases for a second straight month in June by 411K bbl/day.

U.S. WTI crude (CL1:COM) for June delivery recently traded -3.4% at $56.28/bbl and July Brent crude (CO1:COM) -3.2% at $59.34/bbl, with both front-month contracts touching their lowest levels since April 9th.

Visualize: How private equity tangled banks in a web of debt, from the Financial Times.

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DAILY UPDATE: Meta, Eli Lilly, Microsoft, Amazon, Apple and the Roaring Markets

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Meta Platforms jumped 4.23% after the big tech giant reported that its advertising revenue came in at $41.39 billion, beating analyst projections of $40.44 billion, thanks to higher ad price growth than expected. Daily active users rose to 3.43 billion, up from 3.35 billion last quarter, while nearly 1 billion people use its digital AI assistant every month. Management expects Q2 sales to come in between $42.5 billion and $45.5 billion, in-line with analyst forecasts of $44.03 billion.

  • EPS: $6.43 per share, crushing estimates of $5.28
  • Revenue: $42.31 billion, above the $41.10 expected

Microsoft leaped 7.63% after reporting its profit jumped a staggering 18% from a year earlier. That wasn’t the only good news: Revenue from Microsoft’s Azure cloud software grew 33% year over year, higher than the 31% expected by analysts. But perhaps the best news of all was management’s upbeat guidance—Microsoft projected revenue between $73.15 billion and $74.25 billion for the current quarter, well above expectations of $72.26 billion.

  • EPS: $3.46 per share, beating forecasts of $3.22
  • Revenue: $70.07 billion, above the $68.42 billion projected

Eli Lilly dropped 11.66% today, despite the fact that the pharmaceutical giant reported that sales skyrocketed 45% year over year thanks to its lucrative GLP-1 drugs, Zepbound and Mounjaro. Two things spooked investors today: The company lowered its profit outlook well below its preview estimate due its acquisition of a cancer drug from Scorpion Therapeutics, and CVS Health dropped Zepbound from its preferred drug list in lieu of arch-rival Novo Nordisk’s Wegovy this morning.—LB

  • EPS: $3.34 adjusted, beating the $3.02 expected
  • Revenue: $12.73 billion, compared to the $12.67 projected

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource

🟢 What’s up

  • Kohls popped 7.76% after the retailer fired its brand-new CEO for unethical behavior.
  • CVS Health not only beat earnings expectations but raised its fiscal guidance, pushing shares of the pharmacy chain up 4.11%.
  • Wayfair rose 3.65% on surprisingly strong earnings for an online furniture seller that analysts were convinced would be hit hard by tariffs.
  • Roblox gained 2.91% as people checked out of reality and hit the metaverse in higher numbers than ever.
  • CoreWeave popped 7.31% thanks to key customer Microsoft’s strong capex guidance.
  • Carrier Global climbed 11.61% after the air conditioning company boosted its fiscal forecast. Turns out everyone needs AC regardless of economic uncertainty.
  • People also need straight teeth: Dental products manufacturer Align Technology rose 1.98% on solid earnings.
  • Quanta Services gained 9.99% after the construction engineering company beat Wall Street estimates on both the top and bottom line.

What’s down

  • Qualcomm may have beaten earnings expectations, but shares fell 8.92% after investors were disappointed by the chipmaker’s lower guidance.
  • GM was in the same boat: Earnings beat forecasts, but poor guidance and warnings that tariffs could cost the company up to $5 billion this year pushed shares 0.42% lower.
  • Robinhood Markets enjoyed a 50% increase in revenue last quarter as traders played the volatile market, but the stock still sank 5.07%.
  • Moderna fell 5.29% after the vaccine maker missed revenue expectations and said it’s planning another $1.5 billion in cost cuts.
  • Church & Dwight, maker of household goods like Arm & Hammer Baking Soda, missed revenue forecasts last quarter and sank 6.87%.
  • Becton Dickinson & Co. lost 18.13% after the medical device maker warned of the adverse effects of, what else, tariffs.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

Amazon plans to invest about $4 billion into its rural delivery network across the US.

Apple is in hot water after a judge ruled it violated a court order to reform the App Store.

The Department of Justice sued several big health insurers, alleging they used illegal kickbacks to nudge members into Medicare programs.

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Visualize: How private equity tangled banks in a web of debt, from the Financial Times.

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INTRA-DAY: Stock Markets Crash!

BREAKING NEWS

Artificial Intelligence Enhanced

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Markets drop as tariff concerns shake the market

Key takeaways (1:30 EST)

  • The Dow Jones Industrial Average experienced a significant drop of more than 1,100 points, reflecting investor anxiety over tariff policies finance. The S&P was down 150 and the NASDAQ was down 550.
  • This decline is part of a broader trend affecting the S&P 500 and NASDAQ, as geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties weigh heavily on market sentiment finance.yahoo.com .
  • Investors are closely monitoring developments regarding trade policies and their potential impact on the economy, leading to heightened volatility in the stock market

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MLK Jr. & INAUGURATION DAY: Markets Closed Monday

By Staff Reporters

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U.S. Markets will be closed for Martin Luther King Jr. Day this Monday

The U.S. Markets will be closed on Monday, January 20th, 2025. Please be aware that, when making transactions after 4 p.m. EST on Friday, January 17th, 2025, you will receive the closing price as of Tuesday, January 21st 2025.

Martin Luther King Jr. Day is observed in the United States on the third Monday of January. This year coincides with the inauguration of President-elect Donald Trump.

Banks and government offices

Martin Luther King Jr. Day is a federal holiday, which means banks will be closed and government services as well, such as city offices, animal services, administrative offices of the police department, and administrative offices of fire department.

The U.S. Postal Service will not operate on Monday, along with other shipping services.

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EMBRACING Stock Market Stoicism

By Vitaliy Katsenelson CFA

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Embracing Stock Market Stoicism 

2024 brought me back to a core Stoic principle that I hold close to my heart: the dichotomy of control. Here’s the gist: Some things are within our power—our values, our character, our decisions—and some aren’t—like your brother-in-law’s random (and possibly dumb) comment, your spouse’s mood, or the fact that every traffic light turns red right as you pull up.

In investing, it’s the same. We can control:

  • The quality of our research—being logical and thorough in our research
  • Our decisions and discipline—systematically following our research
  • Our reactions—how we react to the news and external environmental pressure (I will discuss this at the end of the letter)

The market can price our stocks however it pleases on a month-to-month—or even year-to-year—basis. That’s the part we can’t control. We have to remember that these market prices are merely opinions, not final verdicts. The Stoics teach us to focus our energy on what we can influence (our process) and accept what we can’t (the market’s whims).

This probably sounds straightforward, but there’s a twist that makes it harder for you, the client, to see how this all plays out in real time. You can easily check the portfolio’s value—my decisions, not so much. In theory, I could make subpar investments and hide behind fancy Stoic talk.

That’s exactly the why of these very detailed letters: to show you our thinking, walk you through our individual decisions. I write, you read—that’s our agreement. You’re the judge of whether my process makes sense. But I can’t do that part for you.

CONTINUE READING: https://investor.fm/embracing-stock-market-stoicism/?mc_cid=25f3bd9eb4&mc_eid=7a63a03234

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DAILY UPDATE: Stock Markets Slide

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The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) was down and the S&P 500 (^GSPC) were both about 0.5%. The tech-heavy NASDAQ Composite (^IXIC) fell roughly 0.6% while shares of Apple (AAPL) rallied less than 1% to close at a record high.

In bonds, the 10-year Treasury yield (^TNX) added 5 basis points to hit 4.32%, its highest closing level since November 22nd.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

On a day where President-elect Donald Trump rang the opening bell at the New York Stock Exchange, Wall Street failed to build on a furious rally that has picked up steam after his election win. In focus was fresh inflation data, which helped cast doubt on investor confidence for the path of interest rates ahead.

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STOCK MARKET: Capitalization, Depth, Maker, Neutral and Order

By Staff Reporters

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Market Capitalization: Market capitalization is the market value of all the equity of a company’s common and preferred shares. It is usually estimated by multiplying the stock price by the number of shares for each share class and summing the results.

Market Depth: The degree to which a market can execute large market orders without impacting the price of a security. For example, a “deep” market for a stock will have a sufficient number of both bid and ask orders to keep a big order from significantly moving the security’s price.

Market Maker: A market maker exists to “create a market” for specific company securities by being willing to buy and sell those securities at a specified displayed price and quantity to broker-dealer firms that are members of the exchange. These firms help keep financial markets liquid by making it easier for investors to buy and sell securities–they ensure that there is always someone to buy and sell to at the time of trade.

Market Neutral: Equity market neutral strategies seek to eliminate the risks of the equity market by holding up to 100% of net assets in long equity positions and up to 100% of net assets in short equity positions. These strategies attempt to exploit differences in stock prices by being long and short in stocks within the same sector, industry, market capitalization, etc. If successful, these strategies should generate returns independent of the equity market. Equity market neutral portfolios have two key sources of return:

  • the Treasury Bill return (the interest on proceeds from short sales held in cash as collateral)
  • the difference (the “spread”) between the return on the long positions and the return on the short positions. Stock picking, rather than broad market moves, should drive most of a market-neutral strategy’s total return (save for any return from the 100% cash position).

It’s important to point out that here is the risk of theoretical unlimited amount of loss with short selling, (i.e. the price of the short-sold stocks increases; the long position can only go down to $0).

Market Order: An order placed with a bank or brokerage firm to immediately buy or sell a security at the best available current price. May also be referred to as an “unrestricted order.”

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NAVIGATING STOCK MARKET CYCLES: From Bulls to Nvidia [AI Edition]

By Viataliy Katsenelson CFA

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I’m embarking on something I’ve never done before—I’ve enlisted AI to inform, educate, and maybe even entertain you. I took several essays I wrote and asked my bestie AI to transform them into a radio show-style conversation between two hosts. (The AI tool I used is Notebook LM, a product created by Google.) I didn’t write the scripts myself.

Here were my instructions to the AI: “Here’s my essay. I’m taking a break from writing. Educate, inform and entertain my readers.” That’s it. If what you hear doesn’t surprise you—or even shock you to your socks—I don’t know what will. The future is here.

These essays are just as relevant today as when I first wrote them this summer. You can read the original of the first essay here. Be sure to leave your comments about the conversation you’re about to hear, and feel free to share it with friends, enemies, or even random strangers.
Navigating Market Cycles: From Bulls to Nvidia – AI Edition
In this episode, my AI friends will discuss stock market math, sideways markets, the role of P/E in market cycles, impact of interest rates on P/E, economic analysis, Magnificent Seven stocks, NVIDIA, and a lot more.

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DAILY UPDATE: Dermatology and Oura Rings as NASDAQ Rises

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How dermatology became the hottest field in medicine.

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STOCKS UP

  • Talk about cutting it close: Super Micro Computer filed a much-delayed financial plan at the 11th hour, avoiding a delisting from the Nasdaq. Shares soared 31.24%.
  • AI-enabled robotics company Symbotic surged 27.68% after announcing an impressive beat-and-raise quarter.
  • MicroStrategy climbed another 11.89% after yesterday’s huge surge. The crypto company announced it will continue to purchase more bitcoin in the weeks ahead.

STOCKS DOWN

  • More Trump Trade 2.0 developments: The newly formed Department of Government Efficiency is considering creating an app that allows Americans to file their taxes on a phone for free. Intuit sank 5.10%, and H&R Block dropped 8.31% on the news.
  • Speaking of Trump, platform Bakkt popped then dropped 0.67% following yesterday’s news that Trump Media & Technology Group may acquire the company. Trump Media shares fell 8.88%.
  • Kraft Heinz fell 1.58% on a Piper Sandler downgrade due to the company’s slow retail sales and the threat of new government regulations from the Health Department.
  • Lowe’s may have beaten top and bottom line expectations last quarter, but the home improvement retailer’s forecast of slower sales next year sent the stock falling 4.62%.
  • Incyte tumbled 8.33% after the pharma company announced it was pausing the Phase 2 trial of its new spontaneous hives treatment.

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  •  The S&P 500® index (SPX) was up 23.36 points (0.4%) to 5916.98; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) dipped 120.66 points (0.28%) to 43,268.94; and the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) rose 195.66 points (1.04%) to 18,987.49.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield fell four basis points to 4.38%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) eased to 16.04 after an earlier pop above 17.

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Oura rings will soon be integrated with glucose biosensors after a $75 million series D funding round with medical device maker Dexcom.

Visualize: How private equity tangled banks in a web of debt, from the Financial Times.

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STOCK MARKETS: Roaring and Soaring!

BREAKING FINANCIAL NEWS

By Staff Reporters

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Stocks just roared out of the gate this Wednesday morning following news that former President Donald Trump has secured a second term in the White House and Republicans won a majority in the Senate.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1,341 points, or about 3.1 percent, as the market opened, reaching a record high. It was the first time it has jumped more than 1,000 points in a single day since November 2022.

The S&P 500 also gained 1.9 percent, and the NASDAQ climbed 1.8 percent.

Despite concern from big business about Trump’s plan to impose blanket tariffs on imports to the U.S., Wall Street is anticipating tax cuts and deregulation during a second Trump presidency.

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MOST VALUABLE: Stocks, Economic Indicators and Markets

By Staff Reporters

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The five most valuable US companies in the S&P 500 report earnings this week, and updates on three key economic indicators are set to be released: 1. gross domestic product, 2. inflation, and 3. jobs report. Then, next week brings the election and another expected rate cut from the Federal Reserve.

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  • Markets: All three stock indexes rose to start a week that will be filled with high-stakes data.
  • Stock spotlight: Trump Media & Technology Group gained almost 22% on Monday, following the former president and current GOP candidate’s Madison Square Garden rally. The rose means that Trump Media, which includes Truth Social, is now more valuable than Elon Musk’s X.

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UNITEDHEALTHGROUP: Recent Pros and Cons of UNH

By Staff Reporters

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A class action lawsuit has been filed in Minnesota against UnitedHealth Group (NYSE:UNH) over allegations that the health insurer and its subsidiary, NaviHealth, used a faulty algorithm to deny rehabilitation care for Medicare Advantage beneficiaries. California-based Clarkson Law Firm filed the lawsuit in the U.S. District Court of Minnesota on Tuesday following an investigative report published by the health-focused news site Stat.

It alleges that UnitedHealth and its subsidiary, NaviHealth, used the computer algorithm named nH Predict to “systematically deny claims” of patients recovering from debilitating illnesses in nursing homes. According to the lawsuit, despite its 90% error rate, the company used the algorithm to deny claims, knowing that only 0.2% would appeal its decision. According to Stat, Humana (HUM), the nation’s second-largest player in the Medicare Advantage market behind UnitedHealth (UNH), also uses nH Predict. UnitedHealth (UNH) denied it used the NaviHealth predict tool to arrive at coverage decisions.

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Ironically, UnitedHealth’s (NYSE:UNH) Optum Rx unit announced plans to move eight insulin products to “preferred” status on formularies to further expand the number of patients benefiting from $35 or less monthly out-of-pocket costs for the lifesaving therapy.

Optum Rx, UNH’s pharmacy benefit manager (PBM), said that effective January 1, 2024, all short- and rapid-acting insulins will move to Tier 1 in commercial formularies, a list of drugs the company maintains to indicate coverage for insured patients.

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LABOR DAY: Year 2024

By Staff Reporters

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The first Labor Day holiday was celebrated on Sept. 5th, 1882, in New York City, in accordance with the plans of the Central Labor Union. President Grover Cleveland signed a law on June 28th, 1894, that made the first Monday in September of each year a national holiday, according to the Department of Labor.

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The financial markets will be closed today Monday, September 2nd, for Labor Day, 2024. Most brokerages will process transaction requests received after 4 p.m., Eastern time, on Friday as if received before 4 p.m., Eastern time, on Tuesday, September 3rd, 2024.

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The stock market has had a strong 2024 so far, but that doesn’t mean investors won’t enjoy the long weekend. The Dow Jones Industrial Average has gained 11% this year, while the S&P 500 has climbed 15% and the NASDAQ Composite has moved 21% higher. A handful of tech stocks, such as Nvidia (ticker: NVDA) and Meta Platforms (META), have led the charge as traders bet on the future of artificial intelligence.

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DAILY UPDATE: Data Breach Up, Novo Nordisk Down as Stock Markets Stumble

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You might be affected by one of the biggest data breaches ever and not even know it. A recent class action lawsuit filed against Jerico Pictures Inc., a background check company that does business under the name National Public Data, claims that the company was breached by hackers earlier this year.

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The SPX dipped 40.5 points (0.8%) to 5,199.5; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) fell 234.2 points (0.6%) to 38,763.45 the NASDAQ Composite ($COMP) fell 171 points (1.1%) to 16,195.8. 
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) rose to 3.96%.
  • The Cboe Volatility Index® (VIX) inched up to 27.8, still very elevated.

What’s Up

What’s down

  • Super Micro Computer dropped 20.14% thanks to an earnings miss, as well as the announcement of a 10-for-1 stock split.
  • AirBnB tumbled 13.38% after not only missing analyst estimates last quarter, but warning of slowing demand in the coming quarter.
  • Lyft drove 17.23% lower in spite of strong ridership in the second quarter. Shareholders, however, did not like management’s dour financial forecast for the third quarter.
  • CVS Health sank 3.19% after it slashed its profit guidance for the full year, though it also announced a new cost-cutting program.
  • TripAdvisor took a trip south today, falling 16.61% due to a mixed earnings report and dire warnings of lower revenue in the coming quarter.
  • Amgen stumbled 5% after the biotech company missed Wall Street forecasts in the second quarter.

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Novo Nordisk sales thinned on Ozempic earnings miss. Shares of Danish pharmaceutical giant Novo Nordisk sank 8.27% today after the company missed expectations on its sales of popular weight-loss drugs Ozempic and Wegovy. Novo reported $1.7 billion in Wegovy sales, below the $2 billion analysts expected, while Ozempic sales came in $0.2 billion lower than analyst estimates. Overall, the company reported a net profit of $1.86 billion in the second quarter.

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Stock Markets, Magnificent 7, Nikkei and DuckDuckGo

By Staff Reporters

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Stock Markets seesawed up yesterday, making back some of the ground lost to Monday’s sell-off. Analysts say the market could remain volatile until September, when the Fed is widely expected to cut interest rates—barring an emergency cut before then. One of the day’s big winners was Uber, which revved up after smashing Q2 revenue expectations thanks to unexpectedly strong consumer demand.

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One day after the S&P 500’s worst session since 2022, stocks partially rebounded, putting fears of a recession on hold. Tuesday started well, with Japan’s Nikkei—which had cratered on Monday—logging its best day since 2008, giving US investors some positive energy From there, US stocks, including Magnificent Seven stalwarts like Microsoft and Nvidia, and both major cryptocurrencies, moved up. “Get used to the volatility,” one Bank of America analyst told Bloomberg. The S&P 500 is still up over 10% this year despite this week’s turbulence.

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Finally, DuckDuckGo might soon get its time to shine. A federal judge just ruled that Google has a monopoly over the search engine business, creating the potential for curbs to its power that could change how you look up people you just met online. Google said it will appeal the ruling, but that’s just on one front. It faces another lawsuit questioning whether it abused its monopoly on online advertising technology.

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SPAC v. Direct Listing v. IPO?

What’s the difference between an IPO, a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC), and a direct listing?

[By staff reporters]

IPOs are a 6–12 month journey where a company works with investment banks and underwriters, who buy a bunch of shares and then sell them to investors in the public market during the actual IPO. Early investors are able to liquidate their shares, and the company raises new funds.

Direct listings skip the underwriting hullabaloo. But without that stability guarantee, direct listings can result in a more volatile opening. Some companies, like Coinbase, find that it’s worth it to keep their hard-earned money out of bankers’ hands.

SPACs, aka “blank-check companies,” offer yet another alternative path to public markets. A SPAC is a shell company that raises money through the traditional IPO process, then merges with a private company and takes it public. 

MORE: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2019/06/24/what-is-a-direct-listing-process-on-wall-street/

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DAILY UPDATE: Markets, Cue Health Down, Blue Kansas Part C and the FOMC

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Markets: Stocks dropped ever so slightly to end last week as investors tried to make sense of the big jobs report. Lots of jobs = good, but lots of jobs also = interest rates likely staying the same for awhile longer (more below). AMC had a rough day, tumbling 15% as the latest meme stock craze started to fizzle.

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Blue Kansas City Exiting MA Market by 2025 Due to ‘Regulatory Demands’

Blue Cross and Blue Shield of Kansas City (Blue KC) is leaving the Medicare Advantage (MA) market at the end of 2024, the insurer announced recently. The company blamed “heightened regulatory demands and rising market and financial pressures” for the decision but said it is still focused on employer-sponsored health plans, and Medicare supplement and Affordable Care Act plans in the state.

“We explored every alternative path for our MA members and are disappointed we must exit this line of business,” said Erin Stucky, Blue KC President and CEO, in a statement. “We value our MA members and are committed to providing uninterrupted, quality service to our current MA membership through the end of 2024.”

Source: Noah Tong, Fierce Healthcare [6/3/24]

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Cue Health, founded in 2010, started with great hopes as it promised a way to accurately test for Covid-19 without needing a lab. “We designed and developed a new molecular testing platform bringing lab complexity to an easy-to-use, portable device. Now you can get the best of lab molecular testing — speed, accuracy, and versatility – at home, the office, or on the go,” the company shared on its website. The company went public (with the ticker  (HLTH) ) in 2021 at $16 and rose to $20.55 and carried that massive $2.3 billion valuation. Through 2023 and into this year, Cue unsuccessfully tried to shore up operations, get new products to market, and find new capital.

In May, however, the FDA advised customers not to use two of its products at all because they did not deliver accurate results. Finally, its board and executives threw in the towel. On May 28th, the company announced it was ceasing operations and filed for bankruptcy in Delaware’s U.S. Bankruptcy Court. The company’s assets will be sold off at an undetermined date, and the proceeds will be distributed to creditors.       

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Inflation data from the Fed meeting on Wednesday: Inflation data for May arrives in the morning, and it’s expected to show price growth held steady at 3.4% annually. In the afternoon, the FOMC will wrap up its meeting with a Jerome Powell press conference. The Fed is pretty much a lock to hold interest rates at their current level.

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DAILY UPDATE: Uber, Lyft and MSFT as the Stock Markets Rally

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index gained 26.41 points (0.5%) to 5,214.08; the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 331.37 points (0.9%) to 39,387.76; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) advanced 43.51 points (0.3%) to 16,346.26.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) lost more than 2 basis points to 4.459%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) fell 0.31 to 12.69.

Interest-rate-sensitive sectors, such as real estate and utilities, were among the strongest performers Thursday. Energy shares were also strong after WTI Crude Oil (/CL) futures rose for a second straight day after sinking to a two-month low earlier this week. Semiconductor shares were under pressure after disappointing revenue guidance from chip designer Arm Holdings (ARM) sent its shares down 2.3%.

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The Dow jumped for the seventh straight day while the S&P 500 closed above 5,200 for the first time in a month as stocks climbed across the board, possibly a reaction to data showing that the cooling labor market could translate into a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in a few months. But, Roblox, tanked 22% yesterday after the company cut its annual bookings forecast. The rough patch suggests that the game’s pandemic-induced popularity has likely peaked.

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Last year, Uber boasted its first full-year profit since going public. But yesterday, the company reported a surprise loss for the first quarter of 2024, dashing investors’ hopes for steady profits and sending its stock way down.

Meanwhile, Uber’s smaller rival Lyft appears to have its foot on the gas pedal. It posted better-than-expected quarterly results on Tuesday and saw a stock bump yesterday.

Microsoft plans to put the cash toward creating an AI data center. President Biden was on hand in Wisconsin to help announce the news—and not just to tout a big investment that’s expected to create jobs.

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DAILY UPDATE: Weak Sock Markets Following a Good Week

By Staff Reporters

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Investors slowed their roll yesterday but the Dow still pulled off its best week of the year. Lululemon reported a disappointing forecast and slowing US sales growth. The athleisure company suffered its worst day since March 2020.

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index sank 7.35 points (0.1%) to 5,234.18, up 2.3% for the week; the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 305.47 points (0.8%) to 39,475.90, up 2% for the week; the NASDAQ Composite rose 26.98 points (0.2%) to 16,428.82, up 2.9% for the week. 
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield dipped five basis points to 4.22%, down nearly nine basis points for the week.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index edged up 0.14 to 13.06, falling 1.34 points for the week.

Utilities, information technology, and communication services were among the strongest sectors. Real estate and financials saw relative weakness Friday.

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DAILY UPDATE: Consumer Spending Down While CVS Earnings Up

By Staff Reporters

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To See What’s Next For Consumer Spending, Take a Closer Look at High ...
  • Stat: 0.8%. That’s how much consumer spending fell in January 204—a much bigger dip than expected (CNBC).

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CVS reported strong results for its healthcare segment in 2023, showing a 10.2% increase in revenue compared to the prior year. Still, executives lowered the segment’s 2024 guidance in anticipation of rising medical costs, according to earnings released this month.

Finally, the US stock market reopens today after the long weekend, and everyone’s still talking about the Magnificent Seven. That’s because, according to a new report from Deutsche Bank, profits at these seven tech giants are greater than the profits of all publicly traded companies in nearly every G20 country. And in terms of market value, they’d be the second-largest national stock exchange in the world. Goldman Sachs sees this party lasting all night: It raised its 2024 target for the S&P 500 for the second time.

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DAILY UPDATE: The Magnificent Seven Stocks

By Staff Reporters

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Tech giants highlight busiest earnings week of the season: Five of the Magnificent Seven—Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Meta, and Alphabet—will deliver their Q4 results, and we advise you against taking a shot every time AI is mentioned. On Wednesday, Boeing is scheduled to give an update on how the 737 Max 9 debacle will impact its 2024 forecasts. In all, 106 S&P 500 companies will report this week, including Starbucks, Pfizer, GM, and Big Oil.

Fed meeting and jobs report: As if those earnings won’t keep Wall Street on its toes, the Fed will wrap up its first meeting of the year on Wednesday and the January jobs report will drop on Friday. Chair Jerome Powell will almost certainly keep interest rates unchanged for now, but investors are keen to hear whether he predicts a rate cut in March. On the jobs front, US employers are expected to have continued hiring briskly in January, despite the wave of high-profile layoff announcements.

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DAILY UPDATE: U.S. GDP and Microsoft

By Staff Reporters

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The US GDP grew 3.3% in Q4, per the Commerce Department, annihilating Wall Street’s expectations of 2% growth. For the year, the US economy expanded 2.5% in 2023, up from 1.9% in 2022. That also outpaced Wall Street’s estimates from the beginning of the year. The growth was driven by strong consumer spending made possible by rising wages and a sturdy job market, even as the country dealt with inflation. That, too, improved in Q4: Prices increased 2.7% on an annual basis, down from a 5.9% increase the year prior. The GDP smash adds more fuel to the expectation that the Fed will cut interest rates this year.

The cuts across Xbox and Activision Blizzard account for 8% of Microsoft’s video game division. The tech giant closed on its $69 billion acquisition of Call of Duty-maker Activision Blizzard in October and has since made several leadership changes. CEO Bobby Kotick stepped down in December, and now Blizzard President Mike Ybarra has decided to leave, according to an internal memo obtained by The Verge. An upcoming survival game has also been canceled. The cuts come as several gaming-related companies, including Twitch, Discord, Unity, and Riot Games, have conducted layoffs.

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DAILY UPDATE: Canadian Drugs, ACA and the Mixed Stock Markets

By Staff Reporters

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States that have long pushed the FDA to allow drug importation from Canada touted the move as a major step forward in their efforts to lower prescription drug spending and rein in healthcare costs. But while the idea of importing drugs from Canada is new for states, some businesses have been using existing drug import pathways to help consumers save money on certain high-cost medications.

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More than 20 million US residents—a record number, according to the Biden administration—have signed up for health insurance through the Affordable Care Act’s marketplaces. (the New York Times)

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

Stocks were a mixed bag yesterday as investors pored over the first big earnings reports and new data showing that wholesale prices surprisingly went down in December. Airlines took a hit after Delta beat earning expectations but lowered its profit forecast.

  • The S&P 500 index rose 3.59 points (0.1%) to 4,783.83, up 1.8% for the week; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® (DJI) fell 118.04 points (0.3%) to 37,592.98, up 0.3% for the week; the NASDAQ Composite rose 2.57 points to 14,972.76, up 3.1% for the week.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) fell about 3 basis points to 3.943%.
  • The CBOE® Volatility Index (VIX) rose 0.26 to 12.70.

Retailers and consumer discretionary shares were among the market’s weakest performers Friday, and regional banks were also under pressure. The KBW Regional Banking Index (KRX) fell 2% for the week and ended at a one-month low. Energy shares led gainers behind strength in crude oil futures. The small-cap-focused Russell 2000® Index (RUT) ended little-changed for the week but is still down 3.8% so far this year.

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DAILY UPDATE: Stock Markets Rocket Upward

By Staff Reporters

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Investors are a day away from an inflation report that may offer some direction in a young year that has seen markets meander, with a brief sell-off and a partial rally back. More action may come as Wall Street banks kick off earnings season on Friday.

Here is where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index rose 26.95 points (0.6%) to 4,783.45, a two-year closing high; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® (DJI) increased 170.57 points (0.5%) to 37,695.73; the NASDAQ Composite gained 111.94 points (0.8%) to 14,969.65.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) added about 2 basis points to 4.04%.
  • The CBOE® Volatility Index (VIX) fell 0.06 to 12.70.

Among market sectors, the S&P 500 Communication Services Index (SP500#50), which includes “mega-cap” tech companies like Google parent Alphabet (GOOGL) and Facebook parent Meta Platforms (META), gained 1.2% and ended near a two-year high. Consumer discretionary shares were also firm. Energy stocks were one of the weakest performers behind a 1.3% drop in crude oil futures.

Peterson noted strength in tech shares may in part reflect news from this week’s Consumer Electronics Show in Las Vegas, with escalating bullishness surrounding artificial intelligence (AI) driving further gains in Nvidia (NVDA) and other chip companies capable of serving the most advanced forms of AI. Nvidia has jumped more than 10% so far this week and posted a record high for the third straight day.

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DAILY UPDATE: Stocks Rocket Back for Highest 2024 Close as Key Inflation Updates Loom

By Staff Reporters

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Here is where the major benchmarks ended:

Bond yields and stock prices often move inversely to each other, in part because higher interest rates on virtually risk-free bonds lower the premium investors can expect from riskier assets like stocks, making it less appealing to buy equities. Last week, the 10-year Treasury yield briefly increased to 4.10%, near a three-week high, before dropping back near 4% Monday.

  • The S&P 500 index was up 66.30 points (1.4%) at 4,763.54; the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 216.90 points (0.6%) at 37,683.01; the NASDAQ Composite was up 319.70 points (2.2%) at 14,843.77.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was down about 3 basis points at 4.015%.
  • The CBOE® Volatility Index (VIX) was down 0.28 at 13.07.

Semiconductors shares were among the strongest performers, helped by a surge of 6.4% in Nvdia Corp. (NVDA), the top 2023 performer in the S&P 500 with a gain of 239%. Small-cap stocks were also firm as were consumer discretionary and communication services. The Russell 2000® Index (RUT) gained 1.9% to partly climb back from last week’s 3.7% drop.

Energy shares were soft because crude oil futures sank nearly 4% following reports Saudi Arabia lowered its prices.

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