“BEAR” it …. So Says Leon Cooperman?

By Staff Reporters

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DEFINITION

A bear market is when a market experiences prolonged price declines. It typically describes a condition in which securities prices fall 20% or more from recent highs amid widespread pessimism and negative investor sentiment.

Bear markets are often associated with declines in an overall market or index like the S&P 500, but individual securities or commodities can also be considered to be in a bear market if they experience a decline of 20% or more over a sustained period of time—typically two months or more. Bear markets also may accompany general economic downturns such as a recession. Bear markets may be contrasted with upward-trending bull markets.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource/Title/082610254

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So, If you are feeling optimistic the new year will usher in a change in stock market dynamics and shift sentiment from bear to bull-forget about it!? Leon Cooperman has some bad news for you.

The billionaire investor has been a fully-fledged bear for a while now and 2023 has done little to change his stance. “Anybody looking for a new bull market any time soon is looking the wrong way,” Cooperman said.

In fact, Cooperman thinks there’s only a 5% chance the S&P 500 sees out 2023 above the 4,400 mark (up 13% from current levels), believing the stock market is far likelier to head back down from here.

Cooperman evidently knows a thing or two about investing in bear markets, and if we’re to heed his advice, it’s best to look for ‘safe havens’ to shield from further incoming volatility. OR- Maybe not!

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CRYPTO-CURRENCY: Worth Since 2020?

By Staff Reporters

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Winners Since March 2020:

Here’s how much $100 in each of the following cryptocurrencies and stocks back at the bottom of the U.S. market in March 2020 would be worth today:

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource/Title/0826102549

  • Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC): $405.67
  • Ethereum (CRYPTO: ETH): $1,268.90
  • Dogecoin (CRYPTO: DOGE): $4,731.19

DHIT: https://www.amazon.com/Dictionary-Health-Information-Technology-Security-ebook/dp/B005F84GF2/ref=sr_1_3?crid=2SQPPJMMUV55D&keywords=david+marcinko&qid=1674073311&sprefix=david+marcinko%2Caps%2C115&sr=8-3

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DAILY UPDATE: Cathie Wood, META and Index Futures

By Staff Reporters

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Cathie Wood and Ark’s flagship exchange-traded fund Ark Innovation ETF (NYSE: ARKK) bought 168,989 shares of Tesla on Friday, valued at $20.68 million at the session’s closing price. The stock ended Friday’s session down 0.94% at $122.40, according to Benzinga Pro data. At one point in the session, the loss was as much as 6.4%. For the week, the stock gained 8.26%.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource/Title/0826102549

Investing $1,000 in META Stock: Shares of Meta Platforms traded at $332.46 on June 4, 2021. A $1,000 investment could have purchased 3 shares of META stock. The $1,000 investment would be worth $410.94 today, based on a current price of $136.98 for Meta Platforms. This represents a loss of 58.9% in 19 months.

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European equities and US stock-index futures fell amid signs central banks will turn more hawkish and as investors focused on earnings reports from Wall Street banks.

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CRYPTO-CURRENCY: Trades 24/7/365

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The US stock and bond markets are closed today for MLK Day, so we’ll have to wait 24 more hours to see if this year-opening rally will continue for a third week.

But crypto currency trades 24/7, and the same hopeful inflation news that’s been lifting stocks has also given life to beaten-down cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin gained for the 11th straight day on Saturday, topping $20,000 for the first time in more than two months.

So, here are some ways in which the non-stop crypto market affects institutions — banks and exchanges, in particular.

The stock market takes a break every day, and every weekend. That gives all the players in the market — individual investors and institutions — a chance to assess and reposition their assets for their next moves. But since crypto trades all the time, there are stretches during the 24-hour day when banks and exchanges are effectively closed, and money isn’t being moved around as quickly or efficiently as it would during business hours.

This can cause lags — if a crypto trader is trying to deposit money into their crypto exchange account to execute a trade at, say, 2 am ET on a Sunday night, that money won’t actually move until the next day. That has the potential to cause some friction in the markets.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource/Title/0826102549

In short, there’s a mismatch between the standard business hours of many institutions and the 24-hour nature of the crypto markets, which may have an effect on the markets.

MORE: https://www.newsnow.co.uk/h/Business+&+Finance/Cryptocurrencies

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MORGAN STANLEY: S&P 500 May Drop Another 22% in 2023?

By Staff Reporters

Many investors were happy to wave goodbye to 2022, Wall Street’s worst year since 2008. The S&P finished down 19.4%, while the tech centered NASDAQ shed 33.1%. The blue-chip focused Dow Jones did better, losing just 8.8% across the year. Unfortunately, a number of senior investment bankers predict 2023 could bring more stock market woes. Most recently, in fact, Morgan Stanley Chief U.S. Equity Strategist & Chief Investment Officer, Michael Wilson, said he thought the S&P 500 could drop by another 22% in 2023.

Wilson wrote in a note this week that next year’s losses could be more significant than many are expecting. According to Bloomberg, Wilson thinks a peak in inflation would be “very negative for profitability.” He added, “The consensus could be right directionally, but wrong in terms of magnitude.”

Some analysts think that when inflation peaks, the Federal Reserve will ease up on its aggressive rate hikes and the stock market will recover. But Wilson argues this is only part of the picture. He thinks falling prices would have a knock-on effect on company profits, and the subsequent drop in margins would outweigh any benefit from a change in the Fed’s stance.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource/Title/0826102549

Wilson also alerted clients to the risk that companies would be caught “off guard” by a combination of falling demand and a catch up in supply. Supply chain issues, caused by a mix of COVID-19 lock downs, labor shortages, and other factors, have contributed to price increases and had a negative impact on production. If the supply chain starts to recover at the same time as recession-induced drops in consumption levels, he thinks the stock market could fall further.

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DAILY UPDATE: Elon Musk Wins but SPACS Do Not

By Staff Reporters

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A judge just ruled that a group of laid-off Twitter employees suing the business over their severance compensation, have to pursue their claims individually rather than as part of a class action, according to a Bloomberg report. About 500 of the roughly 3,700 Twitter employees Elon Musk laid off since taking control of the company last year have already filed individual arbitration claims, according to Shannon Liss-Riordan, the lawyer who filed those claims on the workers’ behalf.

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SPAC SEEKING SPAC: Money-losing companies that recently went public via SPAC are combining with other SPACs to secure more funding and stay afloat. The ultimate goal is one giant SPAC?

DEFINITION: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2022/06/13/spac-v-direct-listing-v-ipo/

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource/Title/0826102549

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SUMMER SPEAKS of “False Dawns”

By Staff Reporters

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Former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers is worried that investors and economists are becoming overly optimistic after year-over-year inflation cooled to 6.5% in December.

“One has to be careful of false dawns. If you think about it, the good news was inflation running in the 6’s, and that’s still inconceivably high by the standards of two or three years ago,” he told Bloomberg on Friday, adding that his forecast is still that a “recession this year is more likely than not.” 

Since March, Federal Reserve officials have raised interest rates seven times in hopes of taming inflation without sparking a recession, and all the while, economists and Wall Street analysts have debated whether they’ll be successful. Summers has repeatedly found himself in the bears’ camp. In October, he told the Financial Times that it would take “a recession” and “unemployment towards the 6% range” to ensure U.S. inflation is truly gone. 

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource/Title/0826102549

But the economist admitted on Friday that the latest inflation report was “good news”—and it came even though the unemployment rate was just 3.5% in December. He argued that this is evidence that wages aren’t rising too dramatically, which means the Fed may be able to change tactics soon. 

So, what do you think?

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Wither STOCK SPLITS?

By Staff Reporters

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A stock split occurs when a company breaks up its existing shares to create a higher number of lower-value shares. Stock splits have the effect of reducing the trading price of a stock, which makes it more liquid and more affordable for investors.

Companies that engage in stock splits often have a nominally high share price, which is typically achieved by executing and innovating on the operating front. Companies within this list have high potential for a stock split, given their nominally high stock price.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource/Title/082610254

Last year, well over 200 companies announced and implemented stock splits. However, the type of split that excites investors most is a forward stock split. This is where the share price of a company is reduced and its outstanding share count increases by the same magnitude, Thus, there’s no change in market cap. Companies that enact forward stock splits are usually firing on all cylinders and out-innovating their competition.

Reverse: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2022/10/08/what-is-a-reverse-stock-split/

As we go boldly forward into a new year, two stock-split stocks stand out as amazing values that can confidently be bought hand over fist. Alphabet and Amazon? Meanwhile, another widely owned stock-split stock looks to be worth avoiding in 2023. Tesla?

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PROFESSIONAL DESIGNATION: Certified Medical Planner™

By Ann Miller RN MHA CMP

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[WHERE LEARNING IS A plus+]

Career Development, Products and Services

“The informed voice of a new generation of fiduciary advisors for healthcare”

http://www.CertifiedMedicalPlanner.org 

CMP

[Best Practices from Leading Consultants and Certified Medical Planners™]

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“BY DOCTORS – FOR DOCTORS – PEER REVIEWED – FIDUCIARY FOCUSED”

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ODD LOT: Stock Trading

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA CMP™

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SPONSOR: http://www.CertifiedMedicalPlanner.org

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Most of the thousands of buy and sell orders executed on a typical day on the NYSE are in 100 share or multi-100 share lots. These are called round lots. Some of the inactive stocks traded at post 30, the non-horseshoe shaped post in the northwest corner of the exchange, are traded in 70 share round lots due to their inactivity. So, while a round lot is normally 700 shares, there are cases where it could be 10 shares. Any trade for less than a round lot is known as an odd lot. The execution of odd lot orders is somewhat different than round lots and needs explanation.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource/Title/082610254

When a stock broker receives an odd lot order from one of his doctor customers, the order is processed in the same manner as any other order. However, when it gets to the floor, the commission broker knows that this is an order that will not be part of the regular auction market. He takes the order to the specialist in that stock and leaves the order with the specialist. One of the clerks assisting the specialist records the order and waits for the next auction to occur in that particular stock. As soon as a round lot trade occurs in that particular stock as a result of an auction at the post, which may occur seconds later, minutes later, or maybe not until the next day, the clerk makes a record of the trade price.

Every odd lot order that has been received since the last round lot trade, whether an order to buy or sell, is then executed at the just noted round lot price, the price at which the next round lot traded after receipt of the customer’s odd lot order, plus or minus the specialist’s “cut “.  Just like everything else he does, the specialist doesn’t work for nothing. Generally, he will add 1/8 of a point to the price per share of every odd lot buy order and reduce the proceeds of each odd lot sale order by 1/8 per share. This is the compensation he earns for the effort of breaking round lots into odd lots. Remember, odd lots are never auctioned but, there can be no odd lot trade unless a round lot trades after receipt of the odd lot order.

SHELF: About Securities “Shelf Registration”

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METAVERSE: In Banking and the Financial Services Industry

By Staff Reporters

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Practical applications in financial services

Among practical applications provided by the Metaverse, its ability to create virtual environments for people to connect may severely impact the financial industry. The employment of VR and AR during COVID-19 and remote work conditions enabled greater collaboration in teleconferencing where professionals used annotating, chatting and screen-sharing features, allowing them to work efficiently while not in the same physical space.

VR and AR can also be used by financiers in individual capacities, particularly with data visualization, aiding them in analyzing financial risks, providing more precise services to customers. This raises the bar on their expectations, stimulating competition and innovation in the market.

Moreover, virtual environments can be used in consumer-oriented manners. The creation of digital shopping environments in the Metaverse acts as a hub for companies to reach a wider range of consumers without geographical constraints, allowing for greater exposure. Such virtual shopping hubs can employ digital payment means so that transactions take place entirely within the realm of the Metaverse.

Through digital means, financial advisors can provision for greater convenience, signifying a shift in the industry, and broadening the scope of the services clients can be provided with, such as AR being used to simulate different financial scenarios so that customers can visualize them with ease. With the progression of the Metaverse in finance and banking, the next developments could see the creation of fully-digital bank branches, diminishing or perhaps eliminating the need for physical ones. Such client centric developments can either build upon existing consumer experiences or create entirely new ones.

A main attractive feature of using VR or AR is the ability to superimpose a wider range of information digitally, which mobile devices or computer screens would not accommodate. Thereby, complementing existing mobile banking apparatus, such as apps that showcase customers’ account balances or direct them to the nearest bank branches using AR.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource/Title/082610254

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Why are Banks Entering the Metaverse?

Some people are concerned about whether there is anything for banks to benefit from entering the metaverse. There are a host of new opportunities for banks in the metaverse. So, tet’s look at the most important ones

Firstly, they are working with the idea that being the early adopters by entering the field before others will give them an advantage over latecomers in the future. That is why they are investing in potentially strategic locations in the metaverse.

Secondly, some digital banks imagine that the metaverse has the potential for the banking industry to reinvent transactions for a three-dimensional (3D) world. That is why they are experimenting with it. The primary objective has been to learn new ways of meeting the needs of their customers who are crazy about trending technologies. With metaverse, it could be possible to enable customers to pay bills, check balances, and transfer money using VR or AR channels.

Thirdly, as the younger generations are becoming more attracted to crypto-friendly banksNFT marketplaces, and other blockchain-based platforms, digital banks are looking for unconventional ways to improve their brand image. So, a smart marketing strategy is to create the presence of their brands in the metaverse and win the hearts of their customers through their show of modernity.

Fourthly, the metaverse can offer new ways for banks to engage with their customers. A customer could stay at home and interact with an avatar concerning any business they have with their bank. This technology can be used to deliver personalized financial advice, product recommendations, and even financial planning.

Finally, entering the metaverse is a way for digital banks to pool highly talented employees. It makes them attractive to professionals such as data scientists, developers, and other IT experts who have been working in this developing field and are looking for job opportunities that can bring out the best in them. For example, the metaverse has the potential for use in on-boarding remote workers and training employees on safety and other aspects of their jobs using simulated environments.

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IRS: Tax Changes to Know for 2022

By Staff Reporters

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Here are eight things to keep in mind as you prepare to file your 2022 taxes

1. Income tax brackets shifted somewhat

There are still seven tax rates, but the income ranges (tax brackets) for each rate shifted slightly to account for inflation. For 2022, the following rates and income ranges apply:

Taxable income brackets

Tax rate  Single filers Married couples filing jointly (and qualifying widows or widowers)
10% $0 to $10,275$0 to $20,550
12%$10,276 to $41,775$20,551 to $83,550
22% $41,776 to $89,075$83,551 to $178,150
24%$89,076 to $170,050$178,151 to $340,100
32% $170,051 to $215,950$340,101 to $431,900
35% $215,951 to $539,900$431,901 to $647,850
37% $539,901 or more$647,851 or more

2. The standard deduction increased somewhat

After an inflation adjustment, the 2022 standard deduction increases to $12,950 for single filers and married couples filing separately and to $19,400 for single heads of household, who are generally unmarried with one or more dependents. For married couples filing jointly, the standard deduction rises to $25,900.

3. Itemized deductions remain essentially the same

For most filers, taking the higher standard deduction is more practical and saves the hassle of keeping track of receipts. But if you have enough tax-deductible expenses, you might benefit from itemizing.

  • State and local taxes: The deduction for state and local income taxes, property taxes, and real estate taxes is capped at $10,000.
  • Mortgage interest deduction: The mortgage interest deduction is limited to $750,000 of indebtedness. But people who had $1,000,000 of home mortgage debt before December 16, 2017 will still be able to deduct the interest on that loan.
  • Medical expenses: Only medical expenses that exceed 7.5% of adjusted gross income (AGI) can be deducted in 2022.
  • Charitable donations: The deductions for charitable donations are not as generous as they were in 2021. In 2022, the annual income tax deduction limits for gifts to public charities1 are 30% of AGI for contributions of non-cash assets—if held for more than one year—and 60% of AGI for contributions of cash.
  • Miscellaneous deductions: No miscellaneous itemized deductions are allowed.

4. IRA contribution limits remain the same and 401(k) limits are slightly higher

The traditional IRA and Roth contribution limits in 2022 remain the same as the prior year. Individuals can contribute up to $6,000 to an IRA, and those age 50 and older also qualify to make an additional $1,000 catch-up contribution. If you’re able to max out your IRA, consider doing so—you may qualify to deduct some or all of your contribution.

However, the 2022 contribution limits for 401(k) accounts have increased to $20,500. If you’re age 50 or older, you qualify to make an additional $6,500 catch-up contribution for this tax year as well.

5. You can save a bit more in your health savings account (HSA)

For 2022, the maximum you can contribute to an HSA is $3,650 for an individual (up $50 from 2021) and $7,300 for a family (up $100). People age 55 and older can contribute an extra $1,000 catch-up contribution.

To be eligible for an HSA, you must be enrolled in a high-deductible health plan (which usually has lower premiums as well). Learn more about the benefits of an HSA.

6. The Child Tax Credit is lower after a one-year bump

Tax credits, which reduce the tax you owe dollar for dollar, are normally better than deductions, which reduce how much of your income is subject to tax.

In 2021, the American Rescue Plan Act (ARPA) temporarily enlarged the Child Tax Credit. But in 2022, the credit returns to $2,000 per child age sixteen or younger. The credit is also subject to a phase-out starting at $400,000 for joint filers and $200,000 for single filers. For other qualified dependents, you can claim a $500 credit.

7. The alternative minimum tax (AMT) exemption is higher

Until the AMT exemption enacted by the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act expires in 2025, the AMT will continue to affect mostly households with incomes over $500,000. For 2022, the AMT exemptions are $75,900 for single filers and $118,100 for married taxpayers filing jointly. The phase-out thresholds are $1,079,800 for married taxpayers filing a joint return and $539,900 for all other taxpayers. (Once your income for the AMT hits the phase-out threshold, your AMT exemption begins to phase out at 25 cents for every dollar over the threshold.)

8. The estate tax exemption is even higher

The estate and gift tax exemption, which is indexed to inflation, rises to $12.06 million for 2022. But the now-higher exemption is set to expire at the end of 2025, meaning it could be essentially cut in half at that time if Congress doesn’t act.

The annual gift exclusion, which allows you to give money to your loved ones each year without incurring any tax liability or using up any of your lifetime estate and gift tax exemption, increases to $16,000 per recipient (up $1,000 from 2021).

Don’t get caught

Finally, if you’re age 72 or older, make sure you’ve taken your required minimum distribution (RMD) from your retirement accounts before the end of the year or else you face a 50% penalty on any undistributed funds (unless it’s your first RMD, in which case you can wait until April 1, 2023).

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource/Title/082610254

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Front Matter with Foreword by Jason Dyken MD MBA

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IRS: Lifetime Estate and Gift Tax Exemptions

By Staff Reporters

SPONSOR: http://www.CertifiedMedicalPlanner.org

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Remember, in 2023, do not trigger the US estate and gift tax. Last year’s inflation, the highest in decades, means married couples can now hand their heirs almost $26 million tax-free, $1.7 million more than in 2022 and $2.4 million more than in 2021.

The hike in the lifetime estate-and-gift tax exemption — adjusted for price growth annually by the Internal Revenue Service — is the largest since 2018, when the amount was doubled by Republican-passed legislation signed by former President Donald Trump the prior year. As a result, the individual exemption, which is easily shared between spouses, has rocketed to $12.9 million from $5 million in 2011.

But, richer Americans may be running out of time to pass on this much wealth. The exemption is slated to be cut in half in three years, when provisions of Trump’s tax law are set to expire. While even $26 million is a drop in the bucket for the ultra-rich, the exemption’s size shows why generational wealth transfers — estimated by research firm Cerulli to total almost $73 trillion in the US through 2045 — go largely untouched by the government.

Plus, financial advisors may use loopholes and leverage to multiply the amount of tax-free money available to heirs. 

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Recession OR Not … You Decide?

A ME-P Reader Opinion Poll

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DEFINITION: NBER defines a recession as “a significant decline in economic activity that is spread across the economy and that lasts more than a few months.” That definition encompasses a range of economic factor but is based on three main criteria: The depth, diffusion and duration of a downturn.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource/Title/082610254

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Former Federal Reserve Chair Alan Greenspan recently said a US recession is the “most likely outcome” in 2023 as the central bank tightens monetary policy to curb inflation. 

So – Tell Us What You Think.

FELL FREE TO PONTIFICATE

LEAVE A COMMENT BELOW

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SHORT: Tesla Stock?

SHORT SALE

By Staff Reporters

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DEFINITION: Short selling involves borrowing a security whose price you think is going to fall from your brokerage and selling it on the open market. Your plan is to then buy the same stock back later, hopefully for a lower price than you initially sold it for, and pocket the difference after repaying the initial loan.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource/Title/082610254

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Good news for anyone who was busy shorting Tesla

Tesla’s stock plummeted more than 12% yesterday for its worst trading session in more than two years. The proximate cause: Though the EV manufacturer sent out a record 405,278 vehicles in the last quarter of 2022, it missed analyst expectations and its own growth goal for the year.

Tesla’s brutal selloff was the continuation of a dramatic downward trend: The most valuable automaker in the world lost 65% of its value in 2022.

And while it may be easy to pin the blame on CEO Elon Musk’s fascination with his shiny new toy, Twitter, the problems go beyond a distracted boss:

  • Production has slowed down due to Covid shutdowns in China.
  • Demand has cooled for its vehicles due to lower gas prices, interest rate hikes, and increased competition.
  • It has suffered from logistical issues that were at least partially to blame for its inability to deliver all of the vehicles that it produced.

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What is a CENTRAL BANK DIGITAL CURRENCY?

By Staff Reporters

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DEFINITION: A CBDC is a digital form of central bank money that is widely available to the general public.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource/Title/082610254

“Central bank money” refers to money that is a liability of the central bank. In the United States, there are currently two types of central bank money: physical currency issued by the Federal Reserve and digital balances held by commercial banks at the Federal Reserve.

While Americans have long held money predominantly in digital form—for example in bank accounts, payment apps or through online transactions—a CBDC would differ from existing digital money available to the general public because a CBDC would be a liability of the Federal Reserve, not of a commercial bank.

MORE: https://www.federalreserve.gov/faqs/what-is-a-central-bank-digital-currency.htm

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HAPPY NEW [Recessionary] YEAR 2023?

By Staff Reporters

The Fed hikes interest rates, sending economy teetering toward a recession?

If everyone was an opinionated virologist in 2020, then 2022 turned us all into macro-economists. In an effort to fight historic inflation, the Fed raised its benchmark interest rate seven times this year, pushing it to a 15-year high. Chair Jerome Powell’s hawkish turn slowed the economy and was a major catalyst for the brutal sell-off in stocks, particularly in the tech sector. This year, Amazon became the first public company to lose $1 trillion in market value.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource/Title/082610254

EVEN HOUSING MARKETS DOWN

The U.S. housing market is experiencing its second-biggest home price correction of the post-World War II era. Macro Trends Advisors founding partner Mitch Roschelle attributed the massive correction to Americans’ uncertainty for the markets and their “uneasiness” regarding the economy. He explained on “Varney & Co.” that the “shoe to drop” would be if the nation starts to see a rise in unemployment, which could cause a “leg down” in the housing market.

Finis?

So what’s ahead for 2023? According to MorningBrew, Economists think that a recession is likely, but a few are holding out hope that the Fed can achieve a so-called “soft landing,” where it brings inflation down to normal levels without causing the economy to shrink. Recent months have brought cautiously hopeful news: Annual inflation has cooled from a peak of 9.1% to 7.1%, so rate hikes are expected to be much less aggressive next year.

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Comprehensive Financial Planning Strategies for Doctors and Advisors: Best Practices from Leading Consultants and Certified Medical Planners™

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“Pity” the Poor Billionaires in 2022

NO SANTA CLAUSE RALLY THIS YEAR!

By Staff Reporters

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Tesla CEO Elon Musk’s net worth has shrunk by an astounding $140 billion, slashing his wealth to $130 billion as of 2022, according to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index. The sharp decline reflects the roughly 70% drop in Tesla stock this year, driven by investors swapping technology stocks for safer assets, worrying that running Twitter is a costly distraction for Musk, and fearing a US economic downturn and overseas headwinds will hit the automaker’s growth.

Meanwhile, Amazon founder Jeff Bezos’ wealth has fallen by $86 billion, while Alphabet cofounders Larry Page and Sergey Brin have seen their fortunes shrink by a combined $91 billion. Microsoft cofounder Bill Gates’ net worth has also tumbled by $29 billion, while former CEO Steve Ballmer has taken a $21 billion hit.

Similarly, Oracle cofounder and Tesla investor Larry Ellison has suffered a $17 billion blow to his fortune, while Warren Buffett’s wealth has only dropped by $3 billion. The eight Americans, along with LVMH’s Bernard Arnault, Adani Group’s Gautam Adani, and Reliance Industries’ Mukesh Ambani, hold the top 11 spots in Bloomberg’s global wealth rankings.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource/Title/082610254

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FACEBOOK & GOOGLE: A “Duopoly” in Decline?

By Staff Reporters

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Facebook and Google appear to be an empire in decline.

Considered for years to be a “duopoly” over the advertising industry, they are on track to account for only 48.4% of US ad revenues this year. It’s the first time their market share has fallen below 50% since 2014, per Insider Intelligence.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource/Title/082610254

And, some suggest TikTok, Apple, Amazon, and Microsoft are slowly and successfully clawing away business from the duopoly.

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ORDER: https://www.amazon.com/Dictionary-Health-Information-Technology-Security/dp/0826149952/ref=sr_1_5?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1254413315&sr=1-5

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DAILY UPDATE: Unemployment Up, Amazon Down as Markets Quiet

By Staff Reporters

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Initial claims for state unemployment benefits rose 9,000 to a seasonally adjusted 225,000 for the week ending December 24th, the Labor Department reported, in line with the median estimate among economists polled by Reuters. Meanwhile, the number of people receiving benefits after an initial week of aid rose 41,000 to 1.710 million in the week ending December, 17th, 2022.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource/Title/082610254

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Meanwhile, Amazon stock closed the December 22 trading session at $83.79, which represents a 49.7% drop compared to December 31, 2021. This is the lowest closing level for the Amazon stock since March 12, 2019. Basically, the group, founded by Jeff Bezos, has completely erased all the gains during the two years when strict restrictions were put in place to limit the spread of COVID-19. It closed today at $84.18.

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Finally, U.S. stocks rose sharply, ending a two-session losing streak, though trading volumes remain subdued in the final days of the year. The heavyweight Information Technology sector led the rally, rebounding from a recent drop that has weighed on the markets this week. The equity front continued to offer little in terms of headlines, though shares of Cal-Maine Foods fell after the company missed earnings estimates.

The economic calendar introduced labor data, as jobless claims ticked slightly higher compared to the prior week.

Treasury yields were mixed, the U.S. dollar dropped, crude oil prices were lower, and gold traded higher.

Asian stocks finished mostly lower after yesterday’s downturn in the U.S., while markets in Europe were higher despite uncertainty regarding the ultimate global impact of aggressive monetary policy tightening across the world.

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FTX: Celebrities Named in Lawsuit

SUSPICIOUS AFFINITY MARKETING?

By Staff Reporters

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DEFINITION: Affinity marketing is a concept that consists of a partnership between a company and an organization that gathers persons sharing the same interests to bring a greater consumer base to their service, product or opinion. This partnership is known as an affinity group.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource/Title/082610254

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So, after the collapse of Sam Bankman-Fried’s crypto exchange FTX, a number of celebs who had acted as ambassadors for the company were named as defendants in a class-action suit against it.

Comedian and Seinfeld creator Larry David, Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Tom Brady, and basketball stars Shaquille O’Neal and Stephen Curry were likely trading lawyer recommendations in the A-lister group chat.

Beware celebrity and affinity marketing!

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VALUE STOCKS: Now Seeking Bargains?

Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA CMP

SPONSOR: http://www.CertifiedMedicalPlanner.org

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The bargain-hunting value style is looking for shares that are under priced in relation to the company’s future potential. A value investor will invest in a company in the expectation that its shares will increase in value over time. Value investing is based essentially on quantitative criteria; asset values, cash flow, and discounted future earnings. The key properties of value shares are low Price/Earnings, Price/Sales ratios, and normally higher dividend yields. 

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No Christmas Rally this year!

So, on observing a company’s earnings growth, a value manager will decide whether to buy shares based on the company’s consistency or recovery prospects. The key research questions are: 1) Does the current P/E ratio warrant an investment in a slow growth company or, 2) Is the company a higher growth candidate that has dropped in price due to a temporary problem.  If this is the case, will the company’s earnings growth recover, and if so, when? The key to value investing is to find bargain shares (priced low historically or for temporary and/or irrational reasons), avoiding shares that are merely cheap (priced low because the company is failing).

The buying opportunity is identified when a company undergoing some immediate problems is perceived to have good chances of recovery in the medium to long term.  If there is a loss in market confidence in the company, the share price may fall, and the value investor can step in. Once the share price has achieved a suitable value, reflecting the predicted turnaround in company performance, the shareholding is sold, realizing a capital gain. A potential risk in value investing is that the company may not turn around, in which case the share price may stay static or fall.

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DAILY UPDATE: Christmas Tax Loss Harvesting and Lost Shareholder Wealth in 2022

By Staff Reporters

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Investors pulled a record $41.9 billion from equities last week to engage in tax-loss harvesting according to Bank of America. 

MORE: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2022/11/25/more-tax-loss-harvesting/

Tax-loss harvesting is a strategy to lower investment taxes that involves selling securities at a loss to offset capital gains. BofA said investors in the past week also pulled out $10 billion from bonds.

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Amazon.com Inc. has erased more shareholder wealth than any other publicly traded company in 2022. In total, investors in Amazon have lost $804.6 billion this year. The stock is down 48% in 2022.

Apple Inc. and Microsoft Corp. have also suffered larger market-cap declines than Tesla, by virtue of their sheer size.

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VALUE INVESTING: Great Again!

By Vitaliy Katsenelson CFA

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The stock market bubble that I’ve been writing about for the last few years is finally bursting. For the first time in almost a decade, it feels like common sense has stopped being a painful headwind and is turning into a tailwind. 

Paying any price for the stocks of companies that were growing revenues but had no hint of profitability and were diluting shareholders by giving away 10% of shares in stock-based compensation every year is an approach that has stopped working. 

Investors are discovering that the price you pay matters, eventually. Many of these companies are down 70-80% from their highs and are still expensive. 

Rising interest rates are making value investing great again! 


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DAILY UPDATE: Winter Solstice, Tele-Health, Retiree Withdrawal Rates, Crypto and the Markets

By Staff Reporters

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The Winter Solstice, or the December Solstice, is the point at which the path of the sun in the sky is farthest south. At the Winter Solstice, the sun travels the shortest path through the sky resulting in the day of the year with the least sunlight and therefore, the longest night.

Telehealth extension: Tucked in the new Congress’ spending bill is an extension of HHS rules that made telehealth more accessible during the pandemic. But the provision, which extends the flexibility through the end of 2024, falls far short of a push from some lawmakers who wanted to make that flexibility permanent.

Traditional guidance says not to spend more than 4% of your retirement savings in the first year to protect yourself from running out of money in your golden years. A new recommendation puts that figure at 3.8% with a 30-year time horizon, according to researchers at Morningstar Inc., a half-point higher than the 3.3% withdrawal they recommended in 2022 due to expectations for lower future investment returns. That means if you retire this year with a $640,000 portfolio invested 50% in stocks and 50% in bonds, you should take out no more than $24,320 in 2023.

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Following the downfall of Sam Bankman-Fried and FTX in November, cryptocurrency trading volumes plummeted 50%. Since last year, crypto’s market cap has lost nearly three-fourths of its value, with bitcoin and ethereum, both down nearly 75% from their record-highs in November of 2021.

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U.S. equities finished higher in choppy action, posting the first gains in four sessions, as investors digested a host of monetary policy decisions from central banks in Asia. The Bank of Japan and People’s Bank of China kept their respective benchmark interest rates unchanged, but the former surprisingly tweaked its yield curve control policy.

Equity news was on the light side today, as General Mills beat earnings estimates and raised its full-year guidance, and shares of Steel Dynamics gained ground after it was announced that it would replace ABIOMED in the S&P 500.

On the economic front, housing starts declined less than anticipated, while building permits fell much more than expectations. Treasury yields rose, particularly on the long end of the curve, while the U.S. dollar fell, crude oil prices saw a modest increase, and gold prices rallied.

Asian stocks finished broadly lower and market in Europe diverged amid the host of monetary policy decisions.

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RULE: Know Your [Financial Services] Customer

By Staff Reporters

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Know Your Customer (KYC) guidelines in financial services require that professionals make an effort to verify the identity, suitability, and risks involved with maintaining a business relationship. The procedures fit within the broader scope of a bank’s anti-money laundering (AML) policy.

MORE: https://www.businessinsider.com/personal-finance/know-your-customer

KYC processes are also employed by companies of all sizes for the purpose of ensuring their proposed customers, agents, consultants, or distributors are anti-bribery compliant, and are actually who they claim to be. Banks, insurers, export creditors, and other financial institutions are increasingly demanding that customers provide detailed due diligence information.

RELATED: https://www.swift.com/news-events/news/how-bnp-paribas-and-basf-are-streamlining-their-kyc-information-collection-process

Initially, these regulations were imposed only on the financial institutions but now the non-financial industry, fintech, virtual assets dealers, and even non-profit organizations are liable to oblige.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource/Title/082610254

MORE: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2022/12/18/ftx-scandal-who-is-john-j-ray-iii/

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