DAILY UPDATE: The Metaverse, Nvidia, Tesla and Mixed US Equities

By Staff Reporters

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Microsoft (MSFT) ended a project that aimed to encourage the use of the Metaverse in industrial environments just four months after it was formed, according to a new report by The Information. The 100 members of the team have been laid off as the company wants to prioritize shorter-term projects over those needing longer to generate meaningful revenue.

Tech, led by Nvidia and Tesla, had it better than other sectors.

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U.S. equities finished mixed, as investors digested the highly anticipated Consumer Price Index report, and its potential impact on the Fed’s future monetary policy decisions. The headline rate and core rate—excludes food and energy—both rose in line with estimates, but on a year-over-year basis inflation came in slightly hotter than expected. In other economic news, small business optimism rose slightly less than anticipated, and remained below its 48-year average for the thirteenth month in a row.

Earnings results were mixed, as Marriot International and Dow component Coca-Cola both bested EPS estimates and provided upbeat outlooks, while Restaurant Brands International missed earnings expectations, but increased its quarterly dividend.

Treasury yields were higher following the inflation data, and the U.S. dollar nudged lower, while crude oil prices fell, and gold was modestly higher in choppy trading. Asian stocks were mostly higher as markets in the region awaited the CPI report, while European stocks mostly added to its strong year-to-date gains amid the inflation data.

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UPDATE: ARK Innovation, Dr. Burry, the Yield/Equity Push-Pull and Monkeypox

By Staff Reporters

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Cathie Wood’s ARK Innovation fund composed of high-growth tech stocks is up 17% since hitting rock bottom on May 11th compared to the S&P’s 4.4% gain over the same period.

Americans are burning through their savings and might virtually exhaust them within months. Colleague Michael Burry MD warned the US economy could suffer once consumers empty out their savings accounts. “The Big Short” investor expects rising debt and reduced savings to hit growth and company profits.

The push and pull between bond yields and equities continue with stock gains kept in check by a drop in Treasuries that pushed a swath of rates above 3%.

The CDC raised its alert level for Monkeypox to level 2 recommending that travelers wear masks, among other health measures.

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On Stock Market Volatility

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Putting it All into Perspective
By Sean G. Todd, Esq., M. Tax, CFP, CPA

The US stock market has taken investors on a bumpy ride in recent years. This volatility has tested investor discipline and prompted some doctors to question their commitment to equities. While no one knows the future, looking at the past may help you gain a better view of long-term market performance and put the recent market volatility in perspective.

Historical Performance

The historical distribution of US market returns since 1926 tells us that performance years are stacked in ascending order by return range. For example:

  • Market performance over the past two years has been extreme by historical standards. In 2008, US stocks experienced their second-worst calendar return in eighty-four years. Then, in 2009, stocks rebounded strongly to deliver a return in the top quartile of the historical distribution.
  • Over the long term, the market’s positive return years have outnumbered the negative return years. Since 1926, the market has experienced a positive return in almost three-quarters of the calendar years.
  • Not only are the positive years more numerous, there is a larger concentration of performance in the higher ranges of returns.
  • The sequence of calendar returns appears random, suggesting that accurately predicting future performance is a difficult task for any investor, physician or professional manager.

UPDATE: https://money.cnn.com/data/markets

Assessment

Over time, the market has rewarded investors who can bear the risk of stocks and stay committed through various periods of performance. And, professional counsel and advice goes a long way in helping you develop, implement and maintain your strategy.

Conclusion

The recent extreme market volatility has challenged many physician investors to rethink their investment strategy or to prompt them to initiate an investment strategy. And so, your thoughts and comments on this ME-P are appreciated. Feel free to review our top-left column, and top-right sidebar materials, links, URLs and related websites, too. Then, be sure to subscribe. It is fast, free and secure.

Conclusion

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Tax Efficient Investing

Friends and ME-P Readers,

By Sean G. Todd; Esq, M.Tax, CPA, CFP®

Summer is here for sure in Atlanta—90 degrees plus day after day. I’ve been enjoying the fresh sweet corn, a BLT and a large glass of sweet tea at dinner—now that is a fine meal. Why do I share this with you — because at mid-year, I think from time to time we have to step back from all that we are involved in, concerned with, and what we think is important to actually appreciate all that we have and not overlook the small things. Which brings me to the topic of this Medical Executive-Post and not overlooking the small things—like taxes. As a physician-investor, you have to keep an eye on the impact taxes have on your investment portfolio because it is what you keep after taxes that counts.

Of the Markets

During my last post—I indicated that I was not sure if the recent reprieve in the markets was sustainable. And, we did experience a mild reversal recently. But, did you know that doing nothing is actually doing something? I’m pretty certain that the past investment strategies are not going to work going forward and I share these with ME-P readers as to why I believe this is true; and how best to position your portfolio going forward. Other professionals agree—the rules have changed — have you changed anything? Let’s move on to the real reason you continue to read our posts: To be able to make the right long-term decision during these difficult times. In this post we need to focus on the importance of tax-efficient investing.  We are confident that you and your friends and colleagues whom you choose to share this ME-P will benefit from the information discussed, as well.

Why Tax Efficient Investing is Important

Physicians and all investors have experienced some turbulent times over the last 12 months and it appears more rough waters lie ahead. As a physician-investor, you are unable to control the markets but there are certainly things you can control and should. One of these is taxes. Given the level of government spending, additional tax revenues will be needed which equates to higher taxes. You cannot plan your taxes on April 15th but you have to implement a tax strategy plan during the year so you can capture the benefit on April 15th. With increased taxes on the horizon, tax-efficient investment is going to be more important than ever. Brokers or the 1-800 do-it-yourself brokerage firms are not licensed to give you tax advice, but CPAs and EAs, are. The old saying goes, “It’s not what you make, but what you keep after taxes that counts”. This statement will become even more important going forward.

Returns Lost to Taxes

Have you thought of the impact on your portfolio that taxes have on your investment returns? Good financial advisors should as these are still some of the most important decisions you face as an investor.

Take for example a physician-investor in the top tax bracket earned an average return of 15% on actively managed mutual funds in a taxable account from 1981 to 2001. After taxes, average return dwindled to roughly 12% – which means our investor lost an average of 2.4% in return to taxes (the numbers reflect a compound rate of return). Investment return lost to taxes don’t just affect mutual fund investors — you have to look at your entire holdings in your taxable accounts and how you manage your investments, because, investors in individual stocks and bonds are vulnerable too. Like I indicated, you do have a lot of control over your taxes and should actively control them given the significant impact on your total investment return. Something for consideration: Diversification and asset allocation are great tools for helping to reduce portfolio volatility, but we’re still going to be subject to the short-term whims of the market, no matter how diligent we might be in setting up our portfolios and selecting our individual investments. One of the areas that we have the greatest degree of control is the area of tax-efficient implementations. Doesn’t it make sense that where we can exercise the most control, we do so?

Tax-Efficient Investing is More Important than Ever

Work with me here. If we assume that over the next 20 years annual compound returns for the broad stock market average between 8% and 10%, and bonds average about half that, then average portfolio returns would be less than what we enjoyed over the last 20 years. What this actually means is that any return lost to taxes will be a much bigger deal. In other words, losing 2.4% per year to taxes may not have seemed like much if you were making 15-20% annual returns. But if you only expect to make 9% on your investments, keeping as much of that return as possible, can be vital to achieving your long-term goals. The real impact– 2.4% tax impact will cause you to lose 26% of your 9% gain. Thinking you got a 9% gain but your real after-tax gain is only 6.6%. This is a big annual difference and a significant compound difference.

The second reason tax efficiency is more important than ever is because of the changes to the tax rules in 2003. A notable provision: the 15% tax rate on qualified dividend income. Often a missed opportunity! Previously it might have made sense to hold dividend-paying stocks in a tax-deferred account such as an IRA instead of a taxable account. Either way, dividends were taxed at your ordinary income tax rate between 28% and 39.6% prior to 2001. The thought was the IRA offered tax-deferred potential growth.

Currently, qualified dividends in a taxable account are taxed at a maximum rate of 15%. Those save dividends would be taxed at the ordinary rate—currently as high as 35% when withdrawn from your tax-deferred account. As a result, the value of putting dividend-paying stocks in taxable accounts has grown significantly.

What Investments Go Where?

I need to speak in general terms here, investment that tend to lose less of their return to income taxes are good selections to go into taxable accounts. With that said the opposite should be true: Investments that lose more of their return to taxes could go into tax-deferred accounts. Here’s where tax-smart investors might want to place their investments.

Taxable Accounts Tax-Deferred accounts – Traditional IRAs, 401(k)s and deferred annuities
Ideally place…
Individual Stocks you plan to hold more than one year Individual stocks you plan to hold one year or less
Tax-managed stock funds, index funds, low turnover stock funds Actively managed funds that generate significant short-term capital gains
Stocks or mutual funds that pay qualified dividends Taxable bond funds, zero-coupon bonds, inflation protected bonds or high yield bond funds
Municipal bonds, I bonds Reits

DISCLOSURE: This assumes you hold investments in both types of accounts. A different set of rules would apply if you held all your investments in a taxable account or a tax-deferred account.

In general, holding tax-efficient investment in taxable account and less tax-efficient investment in tax-advantaged account should add value over time. It appears that the above serves as a simple set of guidelines to go by but there are additional considerations before making the above allocation.

Additional Considerations

Reallocation of your Portfolio

To maintain your strategic asset allocation will cause additional tax drag on return, to the extent you rebalance in taxable accounts. You may want to focus on your rebalancing efforts on your tax-advantaged accounts, including your taxable accounts only when necessary. Keep in mind, adding new money to underweighted asset classes in also a tax-efficient way to help keep your portfolio allocation in balance.

Active Trading

Active trading by individuals or by mutual funds, when successful tends to be less tax efficient and better suited for tax-advantaged accounts. A caveat: Realized losses in your tax-advantaged accounts cannot be recognized to offset realized gains on your tax return.

Liquidity Preference

If an investor wanted liquidity, then they might be holding bonds in their taxable accounts, even if it makes more sense to form a tax perspective to hold them in tax advantaged accounts. In other situations, it may be impractical to implement all of your portfolio’s fixed income allocation using taxable bonds in tax-advantaged accounts. If so, compare the after-tax return on taxable bonds to the tax-exempt return on municipal bonds to see which makes the most sense on an after-tax basis.

Estate Planning Issues

One cannot overlook the estate planning issues in deciding which account will hold a given type of investment. Also, what is the philanthropic intent of the doctor or investor? Stocks held in taxable accounts receive a step-up in cost basis at death (something heirs greatly appreciate) which is not the same for tax-advantaged accounts. Additionally, highly appreciated stocks held in taxable accounts more than a year might be well-suited for charitable giving.

Roth IRA

This type of account might just be an exception to all of the above. The rules are different when investors involve a Roth IRA. Since qualified distributions are tax free, assets you believe will have the greatest potential for higher return are best placed inside a Roth IRA, when possible.

Conclusion

And so, your thoughts and comments on this Medical Executive-Post are appreciated. Tell us what you think. Feel free to review our top-left column, and top-right sidebar materials, links, URLs and related websites, too. Then, be sure to subscribe to the ME-P. It is fast, free and secure.

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Types of Common Stock

Physician Investing Basics

 [By Julia O’Neal; MA, CPA]

fp-book1There are several different types of common stock listed below, and more. 

Utilities: Utilities are companies in public-service businesses, such as electric utilities, natural gas delivery, or telephones, which pay high dividends and are often used by investors for income. 

Blue chips: These are high-quality, well-known, large-capitalization, dividend-paying companies with long track records of steady, secure earnings.  

Capitalization: Market price × Number of shares outstanding. Usually market cap of less than $500 million is considered “small capitalization,” but in recent years, companies between $500 million and $1 billion are also being considered “small caps.” 

Growth: Companies with earnings growth in excess of industry or market averages. Although these companies have strong earnings, they usually reinvest them into research or expansion rather than pay them out as dividends. 

Emerging growth: Smaller capitalization companies with even stronger earnings potential. Smaller companies are on the early part of the growth curve. While the start-up phase is the riskiest, the expansion phase follows, where growth is the fastest. Small companies may be in new businesses or new markets, and they often have the advantage of being able to react quickly to change. Some investors look especially for smaller companies that are “under-owned by institutions”—that have not been discovered by the big professional investors. 

Cyclical: Companies in businesses providing basic materials or products that are subject to the economic cycle; profits are based on increased consumer demand for high-cost items that can be deferred in tough economic times. Some examples are steel, autos, and building materials. These may be big, strong, mature companies that pay dividends, but they are not blue chips because the possibility exists that earnings may slump drastically and dividends may disappear during economic downturns. 

Defensive: Companies that continue to produce earnings in all economic cycles because they provide a necessary product or service (for example utilities, healthcare and food companies). 

Assessment 

Of course, stocks are further subdivided by industry type, from retailing (department stores and other direct sellers to consumers) to restaurants to technology to steel. The list is long, and sectors are often classified differently.

New areas, such as bio and nano-technology and networking software, are constantly being added. 

Conclusion 

And so, do you prefer common stocks, mutual funds, index funds or ETFs, and why?

Your thoughts and comments on this ME-P are appreciated. Feel free to review our top-left column, and top-right sidebar materials, links, URLs and related websites, too. Then, subscribe to the ME-P. It is fast, free and secure.

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