EXPLAINED: Medical “Bottle Neck” Accounting

VARIANCE AND BOTTLE-NECK ACCOUNTING

DR. DAVID E. MARCINKO MBA MEd CMP

Any healthcare organization usually has several processes involved in the utilization of its patient services. Unfortunately, bottlenecks may arise which constrain the amount of services any given healthcare entity can deliver. 

Accounting Definition 

An accounting “bottleneck” is a process that has a low output and limits total healthcare entity revenues. If a medical business entity wants to increase sales or revenues, it has to solve its bottleneck [ie., access management] problems. 

Traditional Variance Analysis Dilemma 

With traditional variance analysis [VA], managers and administrators analyze the difference between budgeted patient revenues and actual revenues. Typically, differences between budgeted revenues and actual revenues are analyzed as seen in the example below.

Initially postulated by Horngren and Foster for manufacturing processes, VA can now be modified for medical business entity use. 

Example: 

  Patient Service Units   Contract/UCR Fee    
Budgeted sales revenues 10,000,000 * 1,23 = $ 12,300,000
Actual sales revenues 9,000,000 * 1,21 = $ 10,890,000
          -/- —————-
Total variance         $ 1,410,000
Traditional Assessment
Actual patient revenues were lower than budgeted; and the unfavorable patient sales volume variance was (9,000,000 – 10,000,000) * $ 1,23 = – $ 1,230,000. 

  

The actual patient revenue price was lower than budgeted as the unfavorable price variance was: ($ 1,21 – $ 1,23) * 9,000,000 = – 180,000.

Traditional variance analysis however does not point out which of the processes were bottlenecks, which caused the negative volume variance.Thus, a normal variance analysis can’t be used to solve bottlenecks in a clinic, hospital or medical practice.

Enter B-N Accounting

In bottleneck accounting however, managers and healthcare administrators determine the bottlenecks in a medical organization.And, a bottleneck accounting report shows which process were bottlenecks occur and how much money is lost in each bottleneck.

Example:

Bottleneck Patient Sales Revenues $ 800,000
Bottleneck Dep. II $ 350,000
Other Bottlenecks $ 80,000
  + —————-
Total Volume Variance $ 1,230,000

Conclusion: 

The managerial accounting modification for “bottlenecks” not only points out the bottlenecks to solve, it also shows which bottleneck is to be handled first.

And so, what are your thoughts on this accounting machination? Please comment.

References: Horngren, C. T. and G. Foster, ‘Cost Accounting, A Managerial Emphasis’, Prentice-Hall, Inc. 1987. 

Speaker: If you need a moderator or speaker for an upcoming event, Dr. David E. Marcinko; MBA – Publisher-in-Chief of the Medical Executive-Post – is available for seminar or speaking engagements. Contact: MarcinkoAdvisors@msn.com 

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PSYCHOLOGICAL “TRAPS” of Investing

MIND TRAPS PHYSICIAN INVESTORS MUST REDUCE AND AVOID AT ALL COSTS

See the source image

By Dr. David E. Marcinko MBA MEd CMP®

SPONSOR: http://MarcinkoAssociates.com

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SPONSOR: http://www.CertifiedMedicalPlanner.org

As human beings, our brains are booby-trapped with psychological barriers that stand between making smart financial decisions and making dumb ones. The good news is that once you realize your own mental weaknesses, it’s not impossible to overcome them.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource/Title/0826102549

In fact, Mandi Woodruff, a financial reporter whose work has appeared in Yahoo! Finance, Daily Finance, The Wall Street Journal, The Fiscal Times and the Financial Times among others; related the following mind-traps in a September 2013 essay for the finance vertical Business Insider; as these impediments are now entering the lay-public zeitgeist.

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8 Psychological Traps All Stock Investors Should Avoid - YouTube

 Anchoring happens when we place too much emphasis on the first piece of information we receive regarding a given subject. For instance, when shopping for a wedding ring a salesman might tell us to spend three months’ salary. After hearing this, we may feel like we are doing something wrong if we stray from this advice, even though the guideline provided may cause us to spend more than we can afford.

 Myopia makes it hard for us to imagine what our lives might be like in the future. For example, because we are young, healthy, and in our prime earning years now, it may be hard for us to picture what life will be like when our health depletes and we know longer have the earnings necessary to support our standard of living. This short-sightedness makes it hard to save adequately when we are young, when saving does the most good.

 Gambler’s fallacy occurs when we subconsciously believe we can use past events to predict the future. It is common for the hottest sector during one calendar year to attract the most investors the following year. Of course, just because an investment did well last year doesn’t mean it will continue to do well this year. In fact, it is more likely to lag the market.

 Avoidance is simply procrastination. Even though you may only have the opportunity to adjust your health care plan through your employer once per year, researching alternative health plans is too much work and too boring for us to get around to it. Consequently, we stick with a plan that may not be best for us.

 Loss aversion affected many investors during the stock market crash of 2008. During the crash, many people decided they couldn’t afford to lose more and sold their investments. Of course, this caused the investors to sell at market troughs and miss the quick, dramatic recovery.

 Overconfident investing happens when we believe we can out-smart other investors via market timing or through quick, frequent trading. Data convincingly shows that people who trade most often underperform the market by a significant margin over time.

 Mental accounting takes place when we assign different values to money depending on where we get it from. For instance, even though we may have an aggressive saving goal for the year, it is likely easier for us to save money that we worked for than money that was given to us as a gift.

MORE: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2021/09/04/more-on-money-psychology/

RELATED: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2014/12/15/on-internet-investing-psychology/

 Herd mentality makes it very hard for humans to not take action when everyone around us does. For example, we may hear stories of people making significant profits buying, fixing up, and flipping homes and have the desire to get in on the action, even though we have no experience in real estate.

YOUR COMMENTS ARE APPRECIATED.

Thank You

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RISK MANAGEMENT: https://www.routledge.com/Risk-Management-Liability-Insurance-and-Asset-Protection-Strategies-for/Marcinko-Hetico/p/book/9781498725989

Risk Management, Liability Insurance, and Asset Protection Strategies for Doctors and Advisors : Best Practices from Leading Consultants and Certified Medical Planners™ book cover

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“ACTIVE” INVESTMENT STRATEGIES: For Physicians

And … why doctors are different?

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP

SPONSOR: http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA CMP

There are two distinct forms of financial analysis investment strategies often used by medical colleague investors who desire to pursue an active investment strategy.

Technical Analysis: Technical analysts, sometimes referred to as chartists, use historical price data and transaction volume data to identify mis-priced securities. A key belief shared by technical analysts is that stock prices follow recurring patterns and that once these historical patterns are identified, they can be used to identify future security prices. The heart of technical analysis is identifying significant shifts in the macro/micro economic supply and demand factors for a particular securities investment.

Skeptics of technical analysis generally subscribe to the notion that the markets efficiently and accurately price securities. In fact, the weak form of the Efficient Market Hypothesis [EMH] is based on the view that investors cannot consistently earn superior returns using historical data and technical analysis alone.

Fundamental Analysis: In contrast to technical analysis – which relies on historical market returns / transactions data – fundamental analysis focuses on the underlying company’s assets, earnings, risks, dividends and intrinsic security factors to identify mis-priced securities.

Furthermore, investors using fundamental analysis can use either a top-down or bottom-up approach:

  • The top-down investor starts with global economics, including both international and national economic indicators. These may include GDP growth rates, inflation, interest rates, exchange rates, productivity and energy prices. They subsequently narrow their search to regional / industry analysis of total sales, price levels, the effects of competing products, foreign competition and entry or exit from the industry. Often they refine their search to the best business in the area being studied.
  • The bottom-up investor starts with specific businesses, regardless of their industry / region, and proceeds in reverse of the top-down approach. Bottom-up investing is an approach that focuses on analyzing individual stocks and de-emphasizes the significance of macroeconomic and market cycles. In other words, bottom-up investing typically involves focusing on a specific company’s fundamentals, such as revenue or earnings, versus the industry or the overall economy. The bottom-up investing approach assumes individual companies can perform well even in an industry that is under performing, at least on a relative basis.

And so, a medical professional utilizing fundamental analysis is attempting to find securities that are trading at market prices below their intrinsic value. Skeptics suggest this is difficult or almost impossible to achieve.

Thus, while technical analysis focuses on market price history, a security’s intrinsic fundamental analysis is determined independent of the security’s market value. Of course, a combination of both fundamental and technical analysis can also be considered.

DOCTORS ARE DIFFERENT: https://marcinkoassociates.com/doctors-unique/

CMP: http://www.CertifiedMedicalPlanner.org

COMMENTS APPRECIATED

Thank You

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DAILY UPDATE: Abbvie, Treasuries, Gold, Copper and the NASDAQ Rally

MEDICAL EXECUTIVE-POST TODAY’S NEWSLETTER BRIEFING

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Essays, Opinions and Curated News in Health Economics, Investing, Business, Management and Financial Planning for Physician Entrepreneurs and their Savvy Advisors and Consultants

Serving Almost One Million Doctors, Financial Advisors and Medical Management Consultants Daily

A Partner of the Institute of Medical Business Advisors , Inc.

http://www.MedicalBusinessAdvisors.com

SPONSORED BY: Marcinko & Associates, Inc.

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The yield on the 10-year Treasury rose as investors wait for word from the FOMC on Wednesday, while oil initially rose on the news of the death of the president of Iran, though it fell back down to end the day lower after succession of the presidency was settled. But investors were clearly still feeling jittery as gold hit new highs on the back of geopolitical concerns. Copper also rose to a new all-time high.

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index gained 4.86 points (0.1%) to 5,308.13; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) lost 196.82 points (0.5%) to 39,806.77; the NASDAQ Composite rallied 108.91 points (0.7%) to 16,794.87.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) increased more than 2 basis points to 4.443%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) rose 0.15 to 12.14.

Nvidia’s gain helped push the PHLX Semiconductor Index (SOX) more than 2% to a two-and-a-half-month high and just under a record close posted in early March. The small-cap Russell 2000® Index (RUT) added 0.3% and ended slightly below a six-week high posted last Wednesday. 

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource

JPMorgan shares fell 4.5% as investors realized that they won’t have Jamie Dimon around forever—he told shareholders at a meeting today that his 5-year timetable for leaving the company no longer applies.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

After AbbVie’s Humira, the best-selling drug in the world, lost patent exclusivity in 2023, company executives placed their bets on two other AbbVie drugs, Skyrizi and Rinvoq, to make up for an anticipated steep decline in revenue.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/tj8smmes

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DAILY UPDATE: Jerome Powell, DJIA, Reddit and Life Insurance

MEDICAL EXECUTIVE-POST TODAY’S NEWSLETTER BRIEFING

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Essays, Opinions and Curated News in Health Economics, Investing, Business, Management and Financial Planning for Physician Entrepreneurs and their Savvy Advisors and Consultants

Serving Almost One Million Doctors, Financial Advisors and Medical Management Consultants Daily

A Partner of the Institute of Medical Business Advisors , Inc.

http://www.MedicalBusinessAdvisors.com

SPONSORED BY: Marcinko & Associates, Inc.

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http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com

Daily Update Provided By Staff Reporters Since 2007.
How May We Serve You?
© Copyright Institute of Medical Business Advisors, Inc. All rights reserved. 2024

REFER A COLLEAGUE: MarcinkoAdvisors@msn.com

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Young adults are delaying life insurance purchases due to financial constraints and a preference for spending on immediate experiences. The insurance industry is responding with digital-first strategies and more flexible products.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource

The DJIA closed above 40,000 for the first time after briefly crossing the milestone the day before and clinching its fifth winning week. Reddit shot up after announcing a partnership with OpenAI that lets the AI train on your posts and gives Reddit advertising dollars and the ability to use the tech to make new tools.

But, GameStop stock plunged after the recently reinvigorated meme stock filed to sell 45 million new shares and revealed that sales were down last quarter.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

Jerome Powell, chair of the Federal Reserve has tested positive for Covid. But the economy needn’t worry because he’s working from home.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/tj8smmes

COMMENTS APPRECIATED

PLEASE SUBSCRIBE: MarcinkoAdvisors@msns.com

Thank You

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RE-BROADCAST: An Interview with Fiduciary Bennett Aikin AIF®

On Financial Fiduciary Accountability

[By Dr. David E. Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™]

[By Ann Miller; RN, MHA]

Currently, there is a growing dilemma in the financial sales and services industry. It goes something like this:

  • What is a financial fiduciary?
  • Who is a financial fiduciary?
  • How can I tell if my financial advisor is a fiduciary?

Now, in as much as this controversy affects laymen and physician-investors alike, we went right to the source for up-to-date information regarding this often contentious topic, for an email interview and Q-A session, with Ben Aikin.ben-aikin

About Bennett Aikin AIF® and fi360.com

Bennett [Ben] Aikin is the Communications Coordinator for fi360.com. He oversees all communications for fi360. His responsibilities include messaging, brand management, copyrights and trademarks, and publications. Mr. Aikin received his BA in English from Virginia Tech in 2003 and is currently an MS candidate in Journalism from Ohio University.

Q. Medical Executive Post 

You have been very helpful and gracious to us. So, let’s get right to it, Ben. In the view of many; attorneys, doctors, CPAs and the clergy are fiduciaries; most all others who retain this title seem poseurs; sans documentation otherwise.

A. Mr. Aikin

You are correct. Attorneys, doctors and clergy are the prototype fiduciaries. They have a clear duty to put the best interests of their clients, patients, congregation, etc., above their own. [The duty of a CPA isn’t as clear to me, although I believe you are correct]. Furthermore, this is one of the first topics we address in our AIF training programs, and what we call the difference between a profession and an industry.  The three professions you name have three common characteristics that elevate them from an industry to a profession:

  1. Recognized body of knowledge
  2. Society depends upon practitioners to provide trustworthy advice
  3. Code of conduct that places the clients’ best interests first

Q. Medical Executive Post 

It seems that Certified Financial Planner®, Chartered Financial Analysts, Registered Investment Advisors and their representatives, Registered Representative [stock-brokers] and AIF® holders, etc, are not really financial fiduciaries, either by legal statute or organizational charter. Are we correct, or not? Of course, we are not talking ethics or morality here. That’s for the theologians to discuss.

A. Mr. Aikin

One of the reasons for the “alphabet soup”, as you put it in one of your white papers [books, dictionaries and posts] on financial designations, is that while there is a large body of knowledge, there is no one recognized body of knowledge that one must acquire to enter the financial services industry.  The different designations serve to provide a distinguisher for how much and what parts of that body of knowledge you do possess.  However, being a fiduciary is exclusively a matter of function. 

In other words, regardless of what designations are held, there are five things that will make one a fiduciary in a given relationship:

  1. You are “named” in plan or trust documents; the appointment can be by “name” or by “title,” such as CFO or Head of Human Resources
  2. You are serving as a trustee; often times this applies to directed trustees as well
  3. Your function or role equates to a professional providing comprehensive and continuous investment advice
  4. You have discretion to buy or sell investable assets
  5. You are a corporate officer or director who has authority to appoint other fiduciaries

So, if you are a fiduciary according to one of these definitions, you can be held accountable for a breach in fiduciary duty, regardless of any expertise you do, or do not have. This underscores the critical nature of understanding the fiduciary standard and delegating certain duties to qualified “professionals” who can fulfill the parts of the process that a non-qualified fiduciary cannot.

Q. Medical Executive Post 

How about some of the specific designations mentioned on our site, and elsewhere. I believe that you may be familiar with the well-known financial planner, Ed Morrow, who often opines that there are more than 98 of these “designations”? In fact, he is the founder of the Registered Financial Consultants [RFC] designation. And, he wrote a Foreword for one of our e-books; back-in-the-day. His son, an attorney, also wrote as a tax expert for us, as well. So, what gives?

A. Mr. Aikin

As for the specific designations you list above, and elsewhere, they each signify something different that may, or may not, lend itself to being a fiduciary: For example:

• CFP®: The act of financial planning does very much imply fiduciary responsibility.  And, the recently updated CFP® rules of conduct does now include a fiduciary mandate:

• 1.4 A certificant shall at all times place the interest of the client ahead of his or her own. When the certificant provides financial planning or material elements of the financial planning process, the certificant owes to the client the duty of care of a fiduciary as defined by CFP Board. [from http://www.cfp.net/Downloads/2008Standards.pdf]

•  CFA: Very dependent on what work the individual is doing.  Their code of ethics does have a provision to place the interests of clients above their own and their Standards of Practice handbook makes clear that when they are working in a fiduciary capacity that they understand and abide by the legally mandated fiduciary standard.

• FA [Financial Advisor]: This is a generic term that you may find being used by a non-fiduciary, such as a broker, or a fiduciary, such as an RIA.

• RIA: Are fiduciaries.  Registered Investment Advisors are registered with the SEC and have obligations under the Investment Advisers Act of 1940 to provide services that meet a fiduciary standard of care.

• RR: Registered Reps, or stock-brokers, are not fiduciaries if they are doing what they are supposed to be doing.  If they give investment advice that crosses the line into “comprehensive and continuous investment advice” (see above), their function would make them a fiduciary and they would be subject to meeting a fiduciary standard in that advice (even though they may not be properly registered to give advice as an RIA).

• AIF designees: Have received training on a process that meets, and in some places exceeds, the fiduciary standard of care.  We do not require an AIF® to always function as a fiduciary. For example, we allow registered reps to gain and use the AIF® designation. In many cases, AIF designees are acting as fiduciaries, and the designation is an indicator that they have the full understanding of what that really means in terms of the level of service they provide.  We do expect our designees to clearly disclose whether they accept fiduciary responsibility for their services or not and advocate such disclosure for all financial service representatives.

Q. Medical Executive Post 

Your website, http://www.fi360.com, seems to suggest, for example, that banks/bankers are fiduciaries. We have found this not to be the case, of course, as they work for the best interests of the bank and stockholders. What definitional understanding are we missing?

A. Mr. Aikin

Banks cannot generally be considered fiduciaries.  Again, it is a matter of function. A bank may be a named trustee, in which case a fiduciary standard would generally apply.  Banks that sell products are doing so according to their governing regulations and are “prudent experts” under ERISA, but not necessarily held to a fiduciary standard in any broader sense.

Q. Medical Executive Post 

And so, how do we rectify the [seemingly intentional] industry obfuscation on this topic. We mean, our readers, subscribers, book and dictionary purchasers, clients and colleagues are all confused on this topic. The recent financial meltdown only stresses the importance of understanding same.

For example, everyone in the industry seems to say they are the “f” word. But, our outreach efforts to contact traditional “financial services” industry pundits, CFP® practitioners and other certification organizations are continually met with resounding silence; or worse yet; they offer an abundance of parsed words and obfuscation but no confirming paperwork, or deep subject-matter knowledge as you have kindly done. We get the impression that some FAs honesty do-not have a clue; while others are intentionally vague.

A. Mr. Aikin

All of the evidence you cite is correct.  But that does not mean it is impossible to find an investment advisor who will manage to a fiduciary standard of care and acknowledge the same. The best way to rectify confusion as it pertains to choosing appropriate investment professionals is to get fiduciary status acknowledged in writing and go over with them all of the necessary steps in a fiduciary process to ensure they are being fulfilled. There also are great resources out there for understanding the fiduciary process and for choosing professionals, such as the Department of Labor, the SEC, FINRA, the AICPA’s Personal Financial Planning division, the Financial Planning Association, and, of course, Fiduciary360.

We realize the confusion this must cause to those coming from the health care arena, where MD/DO clearly defines the individual in question; as do other degrees [optometrist, clinical psychologist, podiatrist, etc] and medical designations [fellow, board certification, etc.]. But, unfortunately, it is the state of the financial services industry as it stands now.

Q. Medical Executive Post 

It is as confusing for the medical community, as it is for the lay community. And, after some research, we believe retail financial services industry participants are also confused. So, what is the bottom line?

A. Mr. Aikin

The bottom line is that lay, physician and all clients have a right to expect and demand a fiduciary standard of care in the managing of investments. And, there are qualified professionals out there who are providing those services.  Again, the best way to ensure you are getting it is to have fiduciary status acknowledged in writing, and go over the necessary steps in a fiduciary process with them to ensure it is being fulfilled.

Q. Medical Executive Post 

The “parole-evidence” rule, of contract law, applies, right? In dealing with medical liability situations, the medics and malpractice attorneys have a rule: “if it wasn’t written down, it didn’t happen.”  

A. Mr. Aikin

An engagement contract accepting fiduciary status should trump a subsequent attempt to claim the fiduciary standard didn’t apply. But, to reiterate an earlier point, if someone acts in one of the five functional fiduciary roles, they are a fiduciary whether they choose to acknowledge it or not.  I have attached a sample acknowledgement of fiduciary status letter with copies of our handbook, which details the fiduciary process we instruct in our programs, and our SAFE, which is basically a checklist that a fiduciary should be able to answer “Yes” to every question to ensure the entire fiduciary process is being covered.

Q. Medical Executive Post 

It is curious that you mention checklists. We have a post arguing that very theme for doctors and hospitals as they pursue their medial error reduction, and quality improvement, endeavors. And, we applaud your integrity, and wish only for clarification on this simple fiduciary query?

A. Mr. Aikin

Simple definition: A fiduciary is someone who is managing the assets of another person and stands in a special relationship of trust, confidence, and/or legal responsibility.

Q. Medical Executive Post 

Who is a financial fiduciary and what, if any, financial designation indicates same?

A. Mr. Aikin

Functional definition: See above for the five items that make you a fiduciary.

Financial designations that unequivocally indicate fiduciary duty: Short answer is none, only function can determine who is a fiduciary. 

Q. Medical Executive Post 

Please repeat that?

A. Mr. Aikin

Financial designations that indicate fiduciary duty: none. It is the function that determines who is a fiduciary.  Now, having said that, the CFP® certification comes close by demanding their certificants who are engaged in financial planning do so to a fiduciary standard. Similarly, other designations may certify the holder’s ability to perform a role that would be held to a fiduciary standard of care.  The point is that you are owed a fiduciary standard of care when you engage a professional to fill that role or they functionally become one.  And, if you engage a professional to fill a non-fiduciary role, they will not be held to a fiduciary standard simply because they have a particular designation.  One of the purposes the designations serve is to inform you what roles the designation holder is capable of fulfilling.

It is also worth keeping in mind that just being a fiduciary doesn’t equate to a full knowledge of the fiduciary standard. The AIF® designation indicates having been fully trained on the standard.

Q. Medical Executive Post 

Yes, your website mentions something about fiduciaries that are not aware of same! How can this be? Since our business model mimics a medical model, isn’t that like saying “the doctor doesn’t know he is doctor?” Very specious, with all due respect!

A. Mr. Aikin

I think it is first important to note that this statement is referring not just to investment professionals.  Part of the audience fi360 serves is investment stewards, the non-professionals who, due to facts and circumstances, still owe a fiduciary duty to another.  Examples of this include investment committee members, trustees to a foundation, small business owners who start 401k plans, etc.  This is a group of non-sophisticated investors who may not be aware of the full array of responsibilities they have. 

However, even on the professional side I believe the statement isn’t as absurd as it sounds.  This is basically a protection from both ignorant and unscrupulous professionals.  Imagine a registered representative who, either through ignorance or design, begins offering comprehensive and continuous investment advice.  Though they may deny or be unaware of the fact, they have opened themselves up to fiduciary liability. 

Q. Medical Executive Post 

Please clarify the use of arbitration clauses in brokerage account contracts for us. Do these disclaim fiduciary responsibility? If so, does the client even know same?

A. Mr. Aikin

By definition, an engagement with a broker is a non-fiduciary relationship.  So, unless other services beyond the scope of a typical brokerage account contract are specified, fiduciary responsibility is inherently not applicable.  Unfortunately, I do imagine there are clients who don’t understand this. Furthermore, AIF® designees are not prohibited from signing such an agreement and there are some important points to understand the reasoning.

First, by definition, if you are entering into such an agreement, you are entering into a non-fiduciary relationship. So, any fiduciary requirement wouldn’t apply in this scenario.

Second, if this same question were applied into a scenario of a fiduciary relationship, such as with an RIA, this would be a method of dispute resolution, not a practice method. So, in the event of dispute, the advisor and investor would be free to agree to the method of resolution of their choosing. In this scenario, however, typically the method would not be discussed until the dispute itself arose.

Finally, it is important to know that AIF/AIFA designees are not required to be a fiduciary. It is symbolic of the individuals training, knowledge and ongoing development in fiduciary processes, but does not mean they will always be acting as a fiduciary.

Q. Medical Executive Post 

Don’t the vast majority of arbitration hearings find in favor of the FA; as the arbitrators are insiders, often paid by the very same industry itself?

A. Mr. Aikin

Actual percentages are reported here: http://www.finra.org/ArbitrationMediation/AboutFINRADR/Statistics/index.htm However, brokerage arbitration agreements are a dispute resolution method for disputes that arise within the context of the securities brokerage industry and are not the only means of resolving differences for all types of financial advisors.  Investment advisers, for example, are subject to respond to disputes in a variety of forums including state and federal courts.  Clients should look at their brokerage or advisory agreement to see what they have agreed to. If you wanted to go into further depth on this question, we would recommend contacting Brian Hamburger, who is a lawyer with experience in this area and an AIFA designee. Bio page: http://www.hamburgerlaw.com/attorneys/BSH.htm.

Q. Medical Executive Post 

What about our related Certified Medical Planner® designation, and online educational program for financial advisors and medical management consultants? Is it a good idea – reasonable – for the sponsor to demand fiduciary accountability of these charter-holders? Cleary, this would not only be a strategic competitive advantage, but advance the CMP™ mission to put medical colleagues first and champion their cause www.CertifiedMedicalPlanner.org above all else. 

A. Mr. Aikin

I think it is a good idea for any plan sponsor to demand fiduciary status be acknowledged from anyone engaged to provide comprehensive and continuous investment advice.  I also think it is a good idea to be proactive in verifying that the fiduciary process is being followed.

Q. Medical Executive Post 

Is there anything else that we should know about this topic?

A. Mr. Aikin

Yes, a further note about fi360’s standards. I wrote generically about the fiduciary standard, because there is one that is defined by multiple sources of regulation, legislation and case law.  The process defined in our handbooks, we call a Fiduciary Standard of Excellence, because it covers that minimum standard and also best practice standards that go above and beyond.  All of our Practices, which comprise that standard, are legally substantiated in our Legal Memoranda handbook, which was written by Fred Reish’s law firm, who is considered a leading ERISA attorney.

Additional resources:

Q. Medical Executive Post 

Thank you so much for your knowledge and willingness to frankly share it with the Medical-Executive-Post.

Assessment

All are invited to continue the conversation with Mr. Aikin, asynchronously online, or thru this contact information:

fi360.com
438 Division Street
Sewickley, PA 15143
412-741-8140 Phone
866-390-5080 Toll-free phone
412-741-8142 Fax

Conclusion

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DAILY UPDATE: Top Causes of Death, Narcan Saves Lives but Scientific Research Fraudulent as DJIA Tops 40,000

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Walgreens has released its own brand of naloxone, a medication that reverses the effects of an opioid overdose. Available online now, Walgreens Brand Naloxone HCl Nasal Spray comes with two doses for $34.99, about $10 cheaper than the name-brand version, Narcan. The over-the-counter medication will also be available in stores by the end of May in the pain aisle, according to a press release, making the life-saving nasal spray more accessible.

***

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index rose 6.17 points (0.1%) to 5,303.27, up 1.5% for the week; the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 134.21 points (0.3%) to 40,003.59, up 1.2% for the week; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) lost 12.35 points (0.1%) to 16,685.97, up 2.1% for the week.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) rose more than 4 basis points to 4.42%, down about 8 basis points for the week.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) fell 0.43 to 11.99.

Among major companies, Nvidia (NVDA) dropped 2% Friday but still posted a 2.9% advance for the week ahead of the semiconductor leader’s quarterly earnings Wednesday. Among sectors, energy shares led gainers behind a 1% jump in WTI Crude Oil (/CL) futures. The small-cap Russell 2000® Index (RUT) ended little changed but still gained 1.7% for the week.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource

Fraudulent research papers have cost scientific journal publishers millions in lost revenue. (the Wall Street Journal)

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

The 10 Top Causes of Adult Death in the U.S.A.

1.  Heart disease 267.2* 2.  Cancer 142.3 3.  Unintentional injuries 64.0 4.  COVID-19 44.5 5.  Stroke 39.5 6.  Chronic lower respiratory disease 34.3 7.  Alzheimer disease 28.9 8.  Diabetes 24.1  9   Kidney disease 13.8 10. Chronic liver disease and cirrhosis 13.8 Deaths per 100,000 population.

Source: Jeffrey Bendix, Medical Economics [5/15/24]

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PHYSICIANS BEWARE: Traditional Financial Planning “Rules of Thumb”

DOCTORS AND MEDICAL PROFESSIONALS BEWARE?

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  • While financial planning rules of thumbs are useful to people as general guidelines, they may be too oversimplified in many situations, leading to underestimating or overestimating an individual’s needs. This may be especially true for physicians and many medical professionals. Rules of thumb do not account for specific circumstances or factors occurring at a particular time, or that could change over time, which should be considered for making sound financial decisions.
  • Great Health Industry Resignation: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2021/12/12/healthcare-industry-hit-with-the-great-resignation-retirement/

For example, in a tight job market, an emergency fund amounting to six months of household expenses does not consider the possibility of extended unemployment. I’ve always suggested 2-3 years for doctors. Venture capitalist lay-offs of physicians during the pandemic confirm this often criticized benchmark opinion of mine.

As another example, buying life insurance based on a multiple of income does not account for the specific needs of the surviving family, which include a mortgage, the need for college funding and an extended survivor income for a non-working spouse. Again a huge home mortgage, or several children or dependents, may be the financial bane of physician colleagues and life insurance.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource/Title/082610254

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EXAMPLES: Old/New Rules

  • A home purchase should cost less than an amount equal to two and a half years of your annual income. I think physicians in practice for 3-5 years might go up to 3.5X annual income; ceteras paribus.
  • Save at least 10-15% of your take-home income for retirement. Seek to save 20% or more.
  • Have at least five times your gross salary in life insurance death benefit. Consider 10X this amount in term insurance if young, and/or with several children or other special circumstances.
  • Pay off your highest-interest credit cards first. Agreed.
  • The stock market has a long-term average return of 10%. Agreed, but appreciated risk adjusted rates of return..
  • You should have an emergency fund equal to six months’ worth of household expenses. Doctors should seek 2-3 years.
  • Your age represents the percentage of bonds you should have in your portfolio. Risk tolerance and assets may be more vital.
  • Your age subtracted from 100 represents the percentage of stocks you should have in your portfolio. Risk tolerance and assets may still be more vital.
  • A balanced portfolio is 60% stocks, 40% bonds. With historic low interest rates, cash may be a more flexible alternative than bonds; also avoid most bond mutual funds as they usually never mature.

There are also rules of thumb for determining how much net worth you will need to retire comfortably at a normal retirement age. Here is the calculation that Investopedia uses to determine your net worth:

Compensation in the Physician Specialties: Mostly Stable - NEJM  CareerCenter Resources

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DAILY UPDATE: Core CPI and ERISA while Markets Remain High with Walmart Up

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

America’s oldest popular stock index, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, hit a brief record high yesterday morning when it traded above 40,000, reflecting renewed hope for the market’s health after Wednesday’s promising inflation report.

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) fell 11.05 points (0.2%) to 5,297.10; the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 38.62 points (0.1%) to 39,869.38; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) shed 44.07 points (0.3%) to 16,698.32.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) rose more than 2 basis points to 4.381%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) dropped 0.03 to 12.42.

Walmart’s strength fueled a strong day for consumer staples shares. The S&P 500 Consumer Staples ($SP500#30), which includes Walmart as well as companies like Coca-Cola (KO) and Procter & Gamble (PG), surged 1.5% to its highest level in over two years. 

Among other companies, Applied Materials (AMAT) fell 1.6% ahead of the semiconductor industry supplier’s quarterly earnings report, which is expected after Thursday’s close.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource

And, Core CPI, which tracks the price of goods and services excluding volatile food and energy prices and is closely watched as an inflation indicator, rose 3.6% from the same period last year. That’s the smallest annual increase since April 2021. On a monthly basis, core CPI rose 0.3%, marking the first time in six months that its growth slowed from the prior month. Other good signs include:

  • Grocery prices dropped 0.2% from March, the first decrease in a year.
  • Health insurance and car insurance increased more slowly in April than in March.
  • A separate report released yesterday showed consumer spending stayed steady last month.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

Finally, Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.) and a group of Republican senators are moving to overturn a retirement investment planning rule that was finalized by the Labor Department last month. The Labor Department unveiled the new rule last month that would update the definition of an investment advice fiduciary under the Employee Retirement Income Security Act. Manchin and 15 Republican senators joined in co-sponsoring a Congressional Review Act (CRA) resolution that would overturn this new rule.

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DAILY UPDATE: Healthcare Monopolies, Ark Invest and the Stock Markets Mega Rally

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More people are interested in determining their “heart age” using new tests and tech tools, but some skeptics say it’s not a healthy data point to focus on. (the Wall Street Journal)

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource

The Cathie Wood-led Ark Invest just made some significant trades. The most prominent among them were the increased stakes in Palantir Technologies Inc (NYSE:PLTR) and the reduced holdings in Coinbase Global Inc (NASDAQ: COIN).

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index rose 61.47 points (1.2%) to 5,308.15; the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 349.89 points (0.9%) to 39,908.00; the NASDAQ Composite rallied 231.21 points (1.4%) to 16,742.39.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield fell almost 10 basis points to 4.348%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) dropped 0.97 to 12.45.

Chipmaker shares led the way higher Wednesday, lifting the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) almost 3% to a 10-week high. Interest-rate-sensitive sectors like real estate and utilities were also strong. The small-cap Russell 2000® Index (RUT) advanced 1.1% to a seven-week high. The U.S. Dollar Index ($DXY) slumped to its weakest level in five weeks, reflecting expectations for lower interest rates that may reduce the appeal of U.S. fixed income assets.

Among companies, Cisco Systems (CSC) surged 1.5% ahead of its quarterly results expected after Wednesday’s close. Dow member Walmart (WMT) is expected to release results Thursday morning as the unofficial retail earnings season accelerates. 

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

And The U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) announced it has established a new task force to take on healthcare monopolies and collusion. The task force, made up of prosecutors, economists, healthcare industry experts and others, will guide the division’s enforcement strategy and policy approach in healthcare, including by facilitating policy advocacy, investigations and, where warranted, civil and criminal enforcement in healthcare markets.

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CUSTOMIZABLE e-PODIATRY CONSENT FORMS Now Available for 2024

Electronically CUSTOMIZABLE FOR EVERY FOOT / ANKLE / LEG SURGEON

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http://www.ePodiatryConsentForms.com

CUSTOMIZABLE CMS & AGENCY FOR HEALTHCARE RESEARCH AND QUALITY STYLED PROTOCOLS, CHECKLISTS AND TEMPLATES

.… Specifically for Podiatrists ….   

e-Podiatry Consent Forms™ is an innovative new suite of software programs from the Institute of Medical Business Advisors [iMBA, Inc]. Our products solve your informed consent problems and enhance the education, discussion and documentation of the informed consent process for all podiatrists performing foot, ankle and leg reconstructive surgical procedures.

THE PROBLEM

All podiatrists are being pressured by the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services [CMS], the Joint Commission on Accreditation of Healthcare Organizations [JCAHO], liability carriers and private insurance payers to make their consent process more patient-friendly, informed and easily understood. And, the pressure to standardize and comply is great.

Most recently, based on the need to make healthcare even safer, the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (AHRQ) undertook a major study to identify patient safety issues and develop recommendations for “best practices”.

The AHRQ Evidence Report

The AHRQ report identified the challenge of addressing shortcomings such as missed, incomplete or not fully comprehended informed consent, as a significant patient safety issue and opportunity for improvement.

The authors of the AHRQ report hypothesized that better informed patients:

“are less likely to experience errors by acting as another layer of protection.”

And, the AHRQ study ranked a “more interactive informed consent process” among the top 11 practices supporting more widespread implementation; especially for surgical consent forms.

THE SOLUTION

Why Us: https://epodiatryconsentforms.com/why-us/

One answer to the modern risk-management problem of “informed consent interactivity” may be e-Podiatry Consent Forms™  We license two core interactive surgical products, and a reference library, with related concepts and products in development:

  • Forefoot, Mid-Foot and Simple Rear-Foot Version
  • Complex Rear-Foot, Ankle and Lower Leg Version
  • Comprehensive content library for extreme customization.

Each e-Podiatry Consent Forms™ CD-ROM [secure email delivery is now available] is increasingly trusted as the simple solution to standardized communications across the entire office-enterprise; from managing-risk, informing-patients and complying with modern regulatory requirements through enhanced patient-centric informed consent encounters.

Thus, by improving the consistency, details, documentation and effectiveness of the informed consent process, e-Podiatry Consent Forms™ equips all podiatric surgeons with the tools needed to augment quality standards, reduce litigation potential and improve patient outcomes and safety.

http://www.ePodiatryConsentForms.com

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CAN: Doctor-Patient Intimacy be Electronic?

e Communication Tales from the Treatment Room

dem-2

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP®

www.CertifiedMedicalPlanner.org

Today’s electronic media makes physician-patient communication possible; yet there is another kind of intimacy. ICTs—information and communication technologies—enable 24/7 monitoring of basic information such as blood pressure, glucose levels, pulse, and respiration, etc.

Example:

In one study, an ICT not only made it easier for patients to stay in touch with their doctors, the outcomes were also significantly better.[i] Today, Hippocrates is no longer trailing patients around the house to keep track of their snacks and moods. But Hippocrates has gone digital in the form of a wearable device that records subtle changes in biological markers and communicates them instantaneously to a health provider.

While this is obviously a great advance, we suggest you pause for a moment before plugging in.

Why?

ICTs and social media tools can make a difference to one of the most important dimensions—physiological outcomes. But you can have the latest interactive technology at your disposal and still fail to be connected.

Example:

A story that a friend told me shows how.

***

One morning, her elderly father was touching up the paint on his sailboat. Nearby, another boat-owner, who happened to be an emergency medical technician, noticed her father was struggling to breathe and that his lips had turned purple. A trip to the local community hospital led to a barrage of high-tech tests and procedures, a diagnosis of emphysema, later complications with cerebral hematomas, and hospitalizations and re-hospitalizations that brought him into contact with a neurologist, a neurosurgeon, a cardiologist, and a pulmonologist.

Throughout her father’s medical ordeal, the team of specialists stayed in touch with each other and the primary care physician via various electronic media. But one person remained out of the loop—her father. One day, six months into the experience, the primary care physician phoned our friend’s mother to check on his patient. Her father recalls thinking, “Why was he calling her?”

The physician was communicating, but he was emotionally disconnected.

***

The Moral

The moral of the story: communication needs to be patient-centered in both electronic and psychological terms. That means understanding how someone likes to communicate and making sure the medium fits the message. Electronic media are just part of the equation. The other is the doctor-patient relationship. Once a relationship is established, it may be fine to use e-mail to send information about dosage.

But, delivering a new diagnosis may require the extra effort of scheduling a phone call or a face-to-face visit. Today, since you have so many Health 2.0 choices, it takes some effort to select the right way to communicate in a particular situation.

Use the Right Relationship Strategy

A colleague recently shared another story about an encounter with a specialist.

Example:

***

After an examination for a minor ailment, he was told that there might be a medicated lotion that could ameliorate his condition. The doctor thought for a moment, then swiveled around to the computer on his desk. As our colleague watched the screen, his physician typed a few words into a search engine. Up popped a list and he wrote out a script. “Try this,” his doctor concluded. “I think it will help.”

It did, almost overnight.

***

The Moral

Even though his physical problem had disappeared completely, our colleague felt there was something missing in the interaction. “It bothered me that my doctor turned to the Web for help at that moment. He found a cure, but I felt he wasn’t paying attention to me.”

The physician is supposed to be an authority who has a special relationship to the patient. “Anybody can Google,” our colleague complained. Was he being unreasonable? Maybe.

But; this story tells us something important about technology—it cuts both ways.

***

aahnofx

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Assessment

Everyone has their own preferences when it comes to how they want to interact with each other and with technology. If these preferences are explicit and aligned, the chances for a productive partnership are high. The preferences, however, are many and complex. You can easily get lost in the tangled thicket of interpersonal styles and virtual mediums.

In the Web 2.0 environment, it helps to narrow down the endless choices to just a few options.

MORE: Is Text Messaging being Overlooked as an Engagement Tool in Healthcare?

Conclusion

Your thoughts and comments on this ME-P are appreciated. Feel free to review our top-left column, and top-right sidebar materials, links, URLs and related websites, too. Then, subscribe to the ME-P. It is fast, free and secure.

Speaker: If you need a moderator or speaker for an upcoming event, Dr. David E. Marcinko; MBA – Publisher-in-Chief of the Medical Executive-Post – is available for seminar or speaking engagements. Contact: MarcinkoAdvisors@msn.com

OUR OTHER PRINT BOOKS AND RELATED INFORMATION SOURCES:

[i] Hanson, William M. The Edge of Medicine: The Technology That Will Change Our Lives. New York, NY: Palgrave Macmillan, 2008.

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DAILY UPDATE: Squarespace, Ark Invest & Hospitals as the Markets Rebound

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) rose 25.26 points (0.5%) to 5,246.68, the highest since a record close March 28; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) gained 126.60 points (0.3%) to 39,558.11; the NASDAQ Composite climbed 122.94 points (0.8%) to 16,511.18.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) fell more than 3 basis points to 4.449%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) decreased 0.18 to  13.42.

Among companies, Home Depot’s (HD) quarterly results reported earlier Tuesday kicked off the unofficial start of the retail earnings season. The home improvement retailer’s earnings topped expectations, but revenue missed forecasts, initially sending the company’s shares down sharply. 

Home Depot also reaffirmed its full-year guidance for a 1% decline in comparable-store sales and a 1% increase in total sales. The company’s shares bounced back to end with a 0.1% loss.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource

And, the Cathie Wood-led Ark Invest just made some significant trades. The most prominent among them were the increased stakes in Palantir Technologies Inc (NYSE PLTR) and the reduced holdings in Coinbase Global Inc (NASDAQ: COIN).

Moreover, the website-building platform Squarespace is to go private, which it announced it’ll be doing in an all-cash deal with Permira, a private equity firm. Squarespace, which was public for nearly three years, joins a group of other smaller tech companies like Qualtrics that have recently pulled themselves off the public market. (CNBC)

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

Employers and private insurers are paying hospitals more for inpatient and outpatient services than in previous years, a study from RAND Corporation finds. The American Hospital Association dismissed the report saying it offers a “skewed and incomplete picture.”


And finally … Kaiser Permanente began its 2024 earnings season with more than $2.7 billion in net income and $935 million in operating income, just months after sharing plans to lay off workers.

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DAILY UPDATE: Moderna Down with Mixed Markets

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) fell 1.26 points (0.02%) to 5,221.42; the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 81.33 points (0.2%) to 39,431.51; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) gained 47.37 points (0.3%) to 16,388.24.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) dropped almost 2 basis points to 4.487%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) surged 1.05 to 13.60.

Biotechnology and food and beverage shares were among the market’s strongest sectors Monday, while communication services stocks were among the biggest laggards. Energy shares took pressure despite a jump of 1.2% in WTI Crude Oil (/CL) futures, which ended above $79 per barrel after slumping last week to two-month lows.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource

Moderna is “bleeding money” as its forthcoming RSV vaccine doesn’t appear to deliver better results than other RSV shots already on the market. (Bloomberg)

***

It’s ChatGPT-4o’s time to shine. The “o” stands for omni, and it’s the latest iteration of OpenAI’s signature chatbot. According to the company, it’s much faster with enhanced “capabilities across text, vision, and audio.”

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23% is the average portion of the bill hospitals collected from patients before treatment in Q1 of this year, up 3% YoY. (the Wall Street Journal)

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REVIEW: Style-Based Stock Portfolio Performance Evaluations

Stock or Manager Relevance Comparisons and Philosophy

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA, MEd, CMP™

SPONSOR: http://www.CertifiedMedicalPlanner.org

[Publisher-in-Chief]

One relatively recent performance evaluation approach that was developed to help improve the relevance of comparisons is the separation of stock universes and managers by style. This classification method attempts to distinguish between stocks or manager philosophies based upon general financial characteristics of the investments.

The Managers

In very general terms, a manager is often a growth manager if the investment approach that the manager uses focuses on stocks showing growth and momentum in its earnings and price.

A value manager is generally considered to be a manager that attempts to identify under-valued securities based upon fundamental analysis of the company.  A stock may be considered either “growth” or “value” based on a given set of valuation measures such as price-to-earnings, price-to-book value, and dividend yield.

The Style

The goal of style-based performance comparisons is to take some of the biases of the market environment out of the comparison, since a portfolio’s returns will ideally be evaluated versus a universe of alternatives that represent similar investment characteristics facing the same basic market environment.  Thus, if the environment is one in which investors in stocks with strong past earnings and price momentum have generally performed better than those using fundamental analysis to find under-valued stocks, comparing the growth/momentum portfolio to a growth index or universe should help eliminate the bias.

Style-based universes can help the medical professional better understand the basic environment captured over a given performance time period.

However, there are significant limitations with the various approaches to constructing style-based stock and manager universes that should be understood if they are to be used in direct performance comparisons.  Taking style-based stock universes separately from style-based manager universe, one of the most significant issues regarding the categorization of stocks by “growth” and “value” styles is the lack of agreement in the specification of what a growth stock is versus a value stock.  With some universes divided by price-to-book value, others by price-to-earnings and/or dividend yields and some by combinations of similar variables, stocks are often classified very differently by two different stock universes.  Further, stocks move across a broad spectrum as their price and fundamentals change, resulting in stocks constantly moving between growth and value categories for any given universe.  If there is ambiguity in the rating of a given stock, then the difficulty is only compounded when we attempt to boil what may be complex investment processes of an investment manager or mutual fund portfolio manager to a simple classification of growth or value.  A beaten down cyclical stock that no self-respecting growth/momentum manager would purchase may be classified as “growth” because it has a high price-to-earnings ratio (i.e., from low earnings) or a high price-to-book value (i.e., from asset write-offs).  Value managers are not the only ones to own low valuation stocks that have improving earnings.

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The second problem with style categorization is that managers are often misclassified or they purposefully “game” the categorization of their own process in order to appear more competitive.  As an example, if a manager that typically looks for relatively strong earnings/price momentum is lagging in a period when “growth” managers are outperforming, the rank of the manager can be improved simply by claiming a “value” approach.  Morningstar’s “style box” classification of mutual funds by size and style of the current portfolio highlight this problem for any given fund by showing how their portfolio has changed its classification annually.

Current Events

The stock market has been booming lately. Up almost 100% since March 2009, after being down almost 50%. And so, perhaps this is a good time to re-evaluate the performance of your investment portfolio[s].

Assessment

However, this leads to an interesting question for the medical professional or his/her advisor: If a manager is still using the same basic investment philosophy and disciplines, but their “style” category has changed according to the ratings service, should you fire them?  If the answer is “yes”, then the burden of monitoring and the cost of manager turnover are an inevitable part of narrow style based performance comparisons.

But, if the answer is “no,” then it is easy to see the difficulty of fitting every management approach into a simple style box.  The more reasonable alternative is to use style-based stock and manager universes as a tool for understanding the environment, rather than an absolute performance benchmark.

Conclusion

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DAILY UPDATE: Ark Invest, Dell and “Buy Now-Pay Later”

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While Buy Now-Pay Later (BNPL) reduces friction when purchasing, it’s giving some economy watchers unease. As Americans’ budgets buckle under the weight of inflation and higher interest payments, some worry BNPL is more of an invisible burden than a boon, Bloomberg reports. Beware the “phantom debt,” a Wells Fargo economist recently warned, referring to the BNPL industry’s short-term loans, which go largely unaccounted for by those tracking Americans’ debt load. That’s because, unlike credit cards and auto loan providers, Afterpay, Affirm, Klarna, and other BNPL providers don’t usually report transactions to credit scoring agencies.

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The Cathie Wood-led Ark Invest just made some significant trades. The most prominent among them were the increased stakes in Palantir Technologies Inc (NYSE: PLTR) and her reduced holdings in Coinbase Global Inc (NASDAQ: COIN).

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Dell has recently seen a decline in its revenue. In its most recent earnings report, it revealed that its net revenue shrunk by 11% year-over-year during its fiscal 2024 fourth quarter. For full year 2023, the company’s revenue was down by 14% to $88.4 billion. Partly that was due to a weak personal-computer market and the costs associated with more than 6,000 layoffs. But investors are excited by Dell’s growth potential for its server and computer businesses because of artificial intelligence, the Motley Fool reported.

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DAILY UPDATE: National Nurses Week, Multiplan Lawsuit, Rite Aid and Fatburger Down

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HAPPY MOTHER’S DAY 2024

Fat Brands is the parent company of Fatburger, Johnny Rockets, and a few other restaurant chains. Last year, former CEO Andy Wiederhorn stepped down after the Los Angeles Times reported that the federal government was investigating him for fraud. He has since stayed on as the company’s chairman, but on Friday the Justice Department charged him with perpetuating a $47 million fraud against his own shareholders.

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In a recent Becker’s Health Care Newsletter, it is reported that a large multi-state hospital system is suing Multiplan for illegal price fixing and automatic significant price reductions, in particular, for out-of-network providers. The story states that Multiplan, by bombarding healthcare providers with automatic reductions in pricing, has made it impossible for providers to deliver healthcare.

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National Nurses Week, which ends today on May 12th, Florence Nightingale’s birthday

Rite Aid has announced that 39 stores are set to close their doors for good, this follows the decision to declare Chapter 11 bankruptcy back in October, 2023.    

The strategy? Reduce the total number of stores to 1,600 nationwide. 

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HEDGE FUNDS: A Brief Review for Physicians

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A hedge fund in the United States is generally a limited partnership providing a limited number of qualified investors with access to general partner investment decisions with little restriction in the type of investments or use of leverage. While the flexibility available to a hedge fund from a regulatory standpoint implies a high degree of potential risk, there is a wide range of investment philosophies, strategies, security types and objectives captured under the broad title of hedge fund.

Thus, generalizations regarding the characteristics of hedge funds are even less appropriate than with mutual funds, and evaluation of the investment characteristics and merits of a hedge fund strategy must be on a case-by-case basis. Likewise, the cost structure of a hedge fund often includes a base management fee to the general partner plus a performance-based fee or percentage of the profits, and must be evaluated on a case-by-case basis.

Several different investment vehicles operate under the oversight of varying regulatory bodies which provide access to an investment-managers’ discretionary decisions. While each approach generally represents ownership of an underlying pool of securities, there is usually a great deal of flexibility for the manager to deviate from a specific asset class or investment approach. Also, the fee structure of each vehicle can vary greatly and be quite large once distribution fees and sales charges are taken into account.

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Thus, it is important for a medical professional to remember the following:

1. Evaluate the features and costs of an investment vehicle carefully;

2. Consider the cash flows and valuations of the securities that the manager or management approach will focus on as if the investments were being made directly, and above all;

3. Read the prospectus or agreement carefully before making any investment.

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PRISONER’S DILEMMA: In Health Economics

DEM white shirt

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP

Understanding the Prisoner’s Dilemma

[From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia]

As all economists and psychologists know, the prisoner’s dilemma is a standard example of a game analyzed in game theory that shows why two completely “rational” individuals might not cooperate, even if it appears that it is in their best interests to do so. It was originally framed by Merrill Flood and Melvin Dresher working at RAND in 1950. Albert W. Tucker formalized the game with prison sentence rewards and named it, “prisoner’s dilemma” (Poundstone, 1992), presenting it as follows:

Two members of a criminal gang are arrested and imprisoned. Each prisoner is in solitary confinement with no means of communicating with the other. The prosecutors lack sufficient evidence to convict the pair on the principal charge. They hope to get both sentenced to a year in prison on a lesser charge.

Simultaneously, the prosecutors offer each prisoner a bargain. Each prisoner is given the opportunity either to: betray the other by testifying that the other committed the crime, or to cooperate with the other by remaining silent.

The offer is:

  • If A and B each betray the other, each of them serves 2 years in prison
  • If A betrays B but B remains silent, A will be set free and B will serve 3 years in prison (and vice versa)
  • If A and B both remain silent, both of them will only serve 1 year in prison (on the lesser charge)

It is implied that the prisoners will have no opportunity to reward or punish their partner other than the prison sentences they get, and that their decision will not affect their reputation in the future. Because betraying a partner offers a greater reward than cooperating with him, all purely rational self-interested prisoners would betray the other, and so the only possible outcome for two purely rational prisoners is for them to betray each other.

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thats-outrageous-prisoners-rights-to-free-medical-care-af

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The interesting part of this result is that pursuing individual reward logically leads both of the prisoners to betray, when they would get a better reward if they both kept silent.

In reality, humans display a systemic bias towards cooperative behavior in this and similar games, much more so than predicted by simple models of “rational” self-interested action. A model based on a different kind of rationality, where people forecast how the game would be played if they formed coalitions and then they maximize their forecasts, has been shown to make better predictions of the rate of cooperation in this and similar games given only the payoffs of the game.

An extended “iterated” version of the game also exists, where the classic game is played repeatedly between the same prisoners, and consequently, both prisoners continuously have an opportunity to penalize the other for previous decisions. If the number of times the game will be played is known to the players, then (by backward induction) two classically rational players will betray each other repeatedly, for the same reasons as the single shot variant. In an infinite or unknown length game there is no fixed optimum strategy, and Prisoner’s Dilemma tournaments have been held to compete and test algorithms.

In Health Economics

Advertising is sometimes cited as a real-example of the prisoner’s dilemma.

When cigarette advertising was legal in the United States, competing cigarette manufacturers had to decide how much money to spend on advertising. The effectiveness of Firm A’s advertising was partially determined by the advertising conducted by Firm B. Likewise, the profit derived from advertising for Firm B is affected by the advertising conducted by Firm A. If both Firm A and Firm B chose to advertise during a given period, then the advertising cancels out, receipts remain constant, and expenses increase due to the cost of advertising. Both firms would benefit from a reduction in advertising.

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cigarette+smoke

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However, should Firm B choose not to advertise, Firm A could benefit greatly by advertising. Nevertheless, the optimal amount of advertising by one firm depends on how much advertising the other undertakes. As the best strategy is dependent on what the other firm chooses there is no dominant strategy, which makes it slightly different from a prisoner’s dilemma. The outcome is similar, though, in that both firms would be better off were they to advertise less than in the equilibrium. Sometimes cooperative behaviors do emerge in business situations.

For instance, cigarette manufacturers endorsed the making of laws banning cigarette advertising, understanding that this would reduce costs and increase profits across the industry. This analysis is likely to be pertinent in many other business situations involving advertising

Without enforceable agreements, members of a cartel are also involved in a (multi-player) prisoners’ dilemma. ‘Cooperating’ typically means keeping prices at a pre-agreed minimum level. ‘Defecting’ means selling under this minimum level, instantly taking business (and profits) from other cartel members. Anti-trust authorities want potential cartel members to mutually defect, ensuring the lowest possible prices for consumers.

More Healthcare Examples:

Assessment

The prisoner’s dilemma game can be used as a model for many real world situations involving cooperative behavior. In casual usage, the label “prisoner’s dilemma” may be applied to situations not strictly matching the formal criteria of the classic or iterative games: for instance, those in which two entities could gain important benefits from cooperating or suffer from the failure to do so, but find it merely difficult or expensive, not necessarily impossible, to coordinate their activities to achieve cooperation.

Conclusion

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DAILY UPDATE: Mortgage Rates, Ascension Healthcare Network Security Event with Mixed Markets

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Novavax, the Covid vaccine-maker’s value doubled after it announced a $1.2 billion deal to develop new shots with Sanofi.

And, Mortgage rates fell for the first time since March, to just over 7%.

Here’s where the major stock market benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index rose 8.60 points (0.2%) to 5,222.68, up 1.9% for the week; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) advanced 125.08 points (0.3%) to 39,512.84, up 2.2% for the week and its eighth straight daily gain; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) fell 5.40 points (0.03%) to 16,340.87, up 1.1% for the week.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) increased more than 5 basis points to 4.50%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) fell 0.14 to 12.55.

Chip makers ranked among top gainers Friday after Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) shares surged 4.5% after the company said its April revenue soared 60% behind AI-driven demand. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) climbed 1% and posted a 1.9% gain for the week. Consumer staples and transportation shares were also strong. Energy shares slipped behind a 1.2% drop in WTI Crude Oil (/CL) futures, though oil still ended slightly higher for the week.

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National hospital operator Ascension said a “cyber security event” has disrupted some of its clinical operations, according to a news release. Ascension, a St. Louis-based nonprofit and Catholic healthcare network, announced it had detected “unusual activity” on some of its systems. In response, the company kicked off an investigation and remediation efforts—including turning to outside cybersecurity firm Mandiant for help, as well as notifying the “appropriate authorities,” per the release.

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Planet Fitness to raise membership price for the first time since 1998. It’s going to take more than $10/month to join a gym once Planet Fitness raises the price of a basic membership for new members to $15 per month this summer. The $10 amount, which has held steady for 26 years, was considered a sweet spot where people were happy to sign up and wouldn’t bother to cancel once they gave up on their fitness goals. But after posting weaker-than-expected Q1 results, the gym chain decided it’s time to change, even though execs acknowledged that customers are looking to save rather than spend.

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DAILY UPDATE: Uber, Lyft and MSFT as the Stock Markets Rally

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index gained 26.41 points (0.5%) to 5,214.08; the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 331.37 points (0.9%) to 39,387.76; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) advanced 43.51 points (0.3%) to 16,346.26.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) lost more than 2 basis points to 4.459%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) fell 0.31 to 12.69.

Interest-rate-sensitive sectors, such as real estate and utilities, were among the strongest performers Thursday. Energy shares were also strong after WTI Crude Oil (/CL) futures rose for a second straight day after sinking to a two-month low earlier this week. Semiconductor shares were under pressure after disappointing revenue guidance from chip designer Arm Holdings (ARM) sent its shares down 2.3%.

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The Dow jumped for the seventh straight day while the S&P 500 closed above 5,200 for the first time in a month as stocks climbed across the board, possibly a reaction to data showing that the cooling labor market could translate into a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in a few months. But, Roblox, tanked 22% yesterday after the company cut its annual bookings forecast. The rough patch suggests that the game’s pandemic-induced popularity has likely peaked.

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Last year, Uber boasted its first full-year profit since going public. But yesterday, the company reported a surprise loss for the first quarter of 2024, dashing investors’ hopes for steady profits and sending its stock way down.

Meanwhile, Uber’s smaller rival Lyft appears to have its foot on the gas pedal. It posted better-than-expected quarterly results on Tuesday and saw a stock bump yesterday.

Microsoft plans to put the cash toward creating an AI data center. President Biden was on hand in Wisconsin to help announce the news—and not just to tout a big investment that’s expected to create jobs.

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BUDGETING: For Physicians

Personal Physician Budgeting Thoughts

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Although some doctors might view a budget as unnecessarily restrictive, sticking to a spending plan can be a useful tool in enhancing the wealth of a practice. And so, I will emphasize keys to smart budgeting and how to track spending and savings in these tough economic times; like today with the stock market busts, venture capitalists invading health care, corona virus the pandemic, aging baby boomer physicians and the great resignation; etc.

   There is an aphorism that suggests, “Money cannot buy happiness.” Well, this may be true enough but there is also a corollary that states, “Having a little money can sure reduces the unhappiness.”

   Unfortunately, today there is still more than a little financial unhappiness in all medical specialties. The challenges range from the commoditization of medicine, aging demographics, Medicare reimbursement cutbacks, ACA, and increased competition to floundering equity markets, the squeeze on credit and declines in the value of a practice. Few doctors seem immune to this “perfect storm” of economic woes. And then Covid-19, corona, and covid.

   Far too many physicians are hurting and it is not limited to above-average earning professionals. However, one can strive to reduce the pain by following some basic budgeting principles. By adhering to these principles, physicians can eliminate the “too many days at the end of the month” syndrome and instead develop a foundation for building real wealth and security, even in difficult economic climates like we face today.

   There are three major budget types. A flexible budget is an expenditure cap that adjusts for changes in the volume of expense items. A fixed budget does not. Advancing to the next level of rigor, a zero-based budget starts with essential expenses and adds items until the money is gone. Regardless of type, budgets can be extremely effective if one uses them at home or the office in order to spot money troubles before they develop.

   For the purpose of wealth building, doctors may think of this budget as a quantitative expression of an action plan. It is an integral part of the overall cost-control process for the individual, his or her family unit or one’s medical practice.1

How To Prepare A Personal Cash Flow Budget

   Preparing a net income statement (lifestyle cash flow budget) is often difficult because many doctors perceive it as punitive. Most doctors do not live a disciplined spending lifestyle and they view a budget as a compromise to it. However, a cash flow budget is designed to provide comfort when there is surplus income that can be diverted for other future needs. For example, if you treat retirement savings as just another periodic bill, you are more likely to save for it.

   You may construct a personal cash budget by recording each cash receipt and cash disbursement on a spreadsheet. Only the date, amount and a brief description of the transaction are necessary. The cash budget is a simple tool that even doctors who lack accounting acumen can use. Since it is possible to track the cash-in and cash-out in the same format used for a standard check register, most doctors find that the process takes very little time. Such a budget will provide a helpful look at how well you are staying within available resources for a given period.

   We then continue with an analysis of your operating checkbook and a review of various source documents such as one’s tax return, credit card statements, pay stubs and insurance policies. A typical statement will show all cash transactions that occur within one year. It is helpful to establish a monthly equivalent to all items of income and expense. For the purposes of getting started, note items of income and expense by the frequency you are accustomed to receiving or spending them.

What You Should Know About The ‘Action Plan’ Cash Budget

   For a medial office, the first operations budget item might be salary for the doctor and staff. Operating assets and other big ticket items come next. Some doctors/clients review their office P&L statements monthly, line by line, in an effort to reduce expenses. Then they add back those discretionary business expenses they have some control over.

   Now, do you still run out of money before the end of the month? If so, you had better cut back on entertainment, eating dinner out or that fancy, new but unproven piece of medical equipment. This sounds draconian until you remind yourself that your choice is either: live frugally later or live a simpler lifestyle now and invest the difference.

   As a young doctor, it may be a difficult trade-off. By mid-life, however, you are staring retirement in the face. That is why the action plan depends on your actions concerning monetary scarcity, a plan that one can implement and measure using simple benchmarks or budgeting ratios. By using these statistics, perhaps on an annual basis, the podiatrist can spot problems, correct them and continue planning actively toward stated goals like building long-term wealth.2

Useful Calculations To Assess Your Budgeting Success

   In the past, generic budgeting ratios would emphasize not spending more than 15 to 20 percent of your net salary on food or 8 percent on medical care. Now these estimates have given way to more rigorous numbers. Personal budget ratios, much like medical practice financial ratios, represent comparable benchmarks for parameters such as debt, income growth and net worth. Although these ratios are still broad, the following represent some useful personal budgeting ratios for physicians.

   • Basic liquidity ratio = liquid assets / average monthly expenses. Cash-on-hand should approach 12 to 24 months or more in the case of a doctor employed by a financially insecure HMO or fragile medical group practice. Yes, chances are you have heard of the standard notion of setting enough cash aside to cover three months in a rainy day scenario. However, we have decried this older laymen standard for many years in our textbooks, white papers and speaking engagements as being wholly insufficient for the competitively unstable environment of modern healthcare.

   • Debt to assets ratio = total debt / total assets. This percentage is high initially but should decrease with age as the doctor approaches a debt-free existence

   • Debt to gross income ratio = annual debt repayments / annual gross income. This represents the adequacy of current income for existing debt repayments. Doctors should try to keep this below 20 to 25 percent.

   • Debt service ratio = annual debt repayment / annual take-home pay. Physicians should aim to keep this ratio below 25 to 30 percent or face difficulty paying down debt.

   • Investment assets to net worth ratio = investment assets / net worth. This budget ratio should increase over time as retirement approaches.

   • Savings to income ratio = savings / annual income. This ratio should also increase over time as one retires major obligations like medical school debt, a practice loan or a home mortgage.

   • Real growth ratio = (income this year – income last year) / (income last year – inflation rate). This budget ratio should grow faster than the core rate of inflation.

   • Growth of net worth ratio = (net worth this year – net worth last year) / net worth last year – inflation rate). Again, this budgeting ratio should stay ahead of the specter of rising inflation.

   In other words, these ratios will help answer the question: “How am I doing?”

Pearls For Sticking To A Budget

   Far from the burden that most doctors consider it to be, budgeting in one form or another is probably one of the greatest tools for building wealth. However, it is also one of the greatest weaknesses among physicians who tend to live a certain lifestyle.3

   In fact, I have found that less than one in 10 medical professionals have a personal budget. Fear, or a lack of knowledge, is a major cause of procrastination. Fortunately, the following guidelines assist in reversing this microeconomic disaster.

   1. Set reasonable goals and estimate annual income. Do not keep large amounts of cash at home or office. Deposit it in an FDIC insured money-market account for safety. Do not deposit it in a money market mutual fund with net asset value (NAV) that may “break the buck” and fall below the one-dollar level. The new limit is $250,000. Track actual bills and expenses.

   2. Do not pay bills early, do not have more taxes withheld from your salary than needed and develop spending estimates to pay fixed expenses first. Fixed expenses are usually contractual and usually include housing, utilities, food, Social Security, medical, debt repayments, homeowner’s or renter’s insurance, auto, life and disability insurance, etc. Reduce fixed expenses when possible. Ultimately, all expenses get paid and become variable in the long run.

   3. Make it a priority to reduce variable expenses. Variable expenses are not contractual and may include clothing, education, recreational, travel, vacation, gas, cable TV, entertainment, gifts, furnishings, savings, investments, etc. Trim variable expenses by 5 to 20 percent.

   4. Use “carve-outs or “set-asides” for big ticket items and differentiate true wants from frivolous needs.

   5. Calculate both income and expenses as a percentage of your total budget. Determine if there is a better way to allocate resources. Review the budget on a monthly basis to notice any variance. Determine if the variance was avoidable, unavoidable or a result of inaccurate assumptions. Take corrective action as needed.

   6. Know the difference between saving and investing. Savers tend to be risk adverse while investors understand risk and take steps to mitigate it. Watch mutual fund commissions and investment advisory fees, which cut into return-rates. Keep investments simple and diversified (stocks, bonds, cash, index, no-load mutual and exchange traded funds, etc.).4

How To Budget In The Midst Of A [Corona] Crisis

   Sooner or later, despite the best of budgeting intentions, something will go awry. A doctor will be terminated or may be the victim of a reduction-in-force (RIF) because of cost containment initiatives of the corona pandemic. A medical practice partnership may dissolve or a local hospital or surgery center may close, hurting your practice and livelihood. Someone may file a malpractice lawsuit against you, a working spouse may be laid off or you may get divorced. Regardless of the cause, budgeting crisis management encompasses two different perspectives: awareness and execution.

   First, if you become aware that you may lose your job, the following proactive steps will be helpful to your budget and overall financial condition.

   • Decrease retirement contributions to the required minimum for company/practice match.
   • Place retirement contribution differences in an after-tax emergency fund.
   • Eliminate unnecessary payroll deductions and deposit the difference to cash.
   • Replace group term life insurance with personal term or universal life insurance.
   • Take your old group term life insurance policy with you if possible.
   • Establish a home equity line of credit to verify employment.
   • Borrow against your pension plan only as a last resort.

   If you have lost your job or your salary has been depressed, negotiate your departure and get an attorney if you believe you lost your position through breach of contract or discrimination. Then execute the following steps to recalculate your budget and boost your wealth rebuilding activities.

   • Prioritize fixed monthly bills in the following order: rent or mortgage; car payments; utility bills; minimum credit card payments; and restructured long-term debt.

   • Consider liquidating assets to pay off debts in this order: emergency fund, checking accounts, investment accounts or assets held in your children’s names.

   • Review insurance coverage and increase deductibles on homeowner’s and automobile insurance for needed cash.

   • Then sell appreciated stocks or mutual funds; personal valuables such as furnishings, jewelry and real estate; and finally, assets not in pension or annuities if necessary.

   • Keep or rollover any lump sum pension or savings plan distribution directly to a similar savings plan at your new employer, if possible, when you get rehired.

   • Apply for unemployment insurance.

   • Review your medical insurance and COBRA coverage after a “qualifying event” such as job loss, firing or even after quitting. It is a bit expensive due to a 2 percent administrative fee surcharge but this may be well worth it for those with preexisting conditions or who are otherwise difficult to insure. One may continue COBRA for up to 18 months.

   • Consider a high deductible Health Savings Account (HSA), which allows tax-deferred dollars like a medical IRA, for a variety of costs not normally covered under traditional heath insurance plans. Self-employed doctors deduct both the cost of the premiums and the amount contributed to the HSA. Unused funds roll over until the age of 59½, when one can use the money as a supplemental retirement benefit.

   • Eliminate unnecessary variable, charitable and/or discretionary expenses, and become very frugal.

Final Notes

   The behavioral psychologist, Gene Schmuckler, PhD, MBA, sometimes asks exasperated doctors to recall the story of the old man who spent a day watching his physician son treating HMO patients in the office. The doctor had been working at his usual feverish pace all morning. Although he was working hard, he bitterly complained to his dad that he was not making as much money as he used to make. Finally, the old man interrupted him and said, “Son, why don’t you just treat the sick patients?” The doctor-son looked at his father with an annoyed expression and responded, “Dad, can’t you see, I do not have time to treat just the sick ones.”5

   Always remember to add a bit of emotional sanity into your budgeting and economic endeavors.6

   Regardless of one’s age or lifestyle, the insightful doctor realizes that it is never too late to take control of a lost financial destiny through prudent wealth building activities. Personal and practice budgeting is always a good way to start the journey.7

The Author:

Dr. Marcinko is a former university endowed chairman and professor, former certified financial planner and has been a medical management advisor for more than two decades. He is the CEO of www.MedicalBusinessAdvisors.com, a health economics and business finance consulting firm.

DEM avatar

References:

1. Marcinko DE (Ed). The Business of Medical Practice (Advanced Profit Maximizing Techniques for Savvy Doctors). Springer Publishers, New York, NY, 2000 and 2004 2. Marcinko DE (Ed). Financial Planning for Physicians and Advisors, Jones and Bartlett Publishers, Sudbury, MA, 2005 3. Marcinko DE (Ed). Risk Management and Insurance Panning for Physicians and Advisors, Jones and Bartlett Publishers, Sudbury, MA, 2006. 4. Marcinko DE, Hetico HR. The Dictionary of Health Insurance and Managed Care. Springer Publishing, New York, 2007. 5. Marcinko DE, Hetico HR. The Dictionary of Health Economics and Finance. Springer Publishing, New York, 2008. 6. Marcinko DE, Hetico HR. Healthcare Organizations (Financial Management Strategies). Standard Technical Publishers, Blaine, WA, 2009. Additional Reference 7. Schmuckler E. Bridging Financial Planning and Human and Human Psychology. In, Marcinko DE (Ed): Financial Planning for Physicians and Healthcare Professionals. Aspen Publications, New York, NY, 2001, 2002 and 2003.

DAILY UPDATE: Medicaid & CHIPS Unwind, Steward Health System Bankrupts as the Markets are Mixed

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It’s the first anniversary of the Medicaid unwinding for many states, a process that kicked off when federal rules that had kept people on Medicaid and the Children’s Health Insurance Program (CHIP) through the pandemic expired. And while states could redetermine eligibility again, things have “unwound” more than some experts predicted. Children were kicked off the rolls at higher rates than adults, according to a new study the Urban Institute released May 2. Twelve states—Montana, Iowa, South Dakota, Alabama, Idaho, Georgia, Texas, Arkansas, Oklahoma, Florida, Mississippi, Colorado—exceeded 100% of their total projections for disenrolling children.

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) was little changed at 5,187.67; the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 172.13 points (0.4%) to 39,056.39; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) declined 29.80 points (0.2%) to 16,302.76.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) rose more than 3 basis points to 4.496%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) fell 0.23 to 13.00.

Retail and real estate shares were among the weakest areas Wednesday, while banks and utilities were firm. Utility shares extended a nearly month-long rally, which may in part reflect greater expectations for Fed rate cuts. Lower interest rates can make utility shares with high dividend yields relative to Treasuries more appealing. The Dow Jones Utility Average ($DJU) rose 0.5% to end at its highest level since late July and is up 12% from a mid-April low.

And, Shopify’s value plunged by nearly $20 billion after the online payments company released a gloomy forecast for this quarter. It’s the latest pandemic darling to stumble: According to the Financial Times, the firms that skyrocketed during lockdowns have lost a collective $1.5 trillion in value since the end of 2020.

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Steward Health Care System, the largest U.S. physician-owned hospital operator, is expected to file for chapter 11 bankruptcy as soon as Sunday, according to a WSJ report, which cited people familiar with the matter. Steward Health Care is the largest tenant of Medical Properties Trust (NYSE: MPW). Steward Health Care hired restructuring advisers to improve its liquidity and restore its balance sheet in January 2024.  

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MENTAL ACCOUNTING: What is it?

By Dr. David E. Marcinko MBA CMP®

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DEFINITION: Mental accounting attempts to describe the process whereby people code, categorize and evaluate economic outcomes. The concept was first named by Richard Thaler. Mental accounting deals with the budgeting and categorization of expenditures. People budget money into mental accounts for expenses or expense categories

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Mental Accounting is the act of bucketizing investments and then reviewing the performance of the individual buckets separately (e.g. investing at low savings rate while paying high credit card interest rates).

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Mental Accounting • Money is

Examples of mental accounting are: (1) matching costs to benefits (wanting to pay for vacation before taking it and getting paid for work after it was done, even though from perspective of time value of money the opposite should be preferred0, (2) aversion to debt (don’t like long-term debt for short-term benefit), (3) sunk-cost effect (illogically considering non-recoverable costs when making forward-going decisions).

In investing, treating buckets separately and ignoring interaction (correlations) induces people not to sell losers (even though they get tax benefits), prevent them from investing in the stock market because it is too risky in isolation (however much less so when looked at as part of the complete portfolio including other asset classes and labor income and occupied real estate), thus they “do not maximize the return for a given level of risk taken).

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DAILY UPDATE: Robinhood’s SEC Enforcement with Mixed Stock Markets

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Here’s where the major stock market benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index rose 6.96 points (0.1%) to 5,187.70; the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 31.99 points (0.1%) to 38,884.26; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) eased 16.70 points (0.1%) to 16,332.56.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield dropped more than 3 basis points to 4.457%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) fell 0.26 to 13.23.

Interest-rate-sensitive sectors, such as real estate and utilities, were among the market’s strongest performers Tuesday. The Philadelphia Utility Index (UTY) rose 1.3%, its fifth straight daily gain, and hit its highest level in almost a year. The recent strength may in part reflect heightened expectations for lower interest rates, which may make utility shares with relatively high dividend yields compared to Treasuries more appealing. The utilities sector is also coming off a strong April, during which it was the only S&P 500 sector with a positive return, with chart patterns suggesting a bullish long-term momentum shift.

The semiconductor sector was among the weakest sectors Tuesday, partly behind a 1.7% drop in Nvidia (NVDA). The shares fell after billionaire investor Stanley Druckenmiller told CNBC he reduced his stake in the chipmaker in late March, saying that artificial intelligence may be a “little overhyped” for the short term.

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Peloton is reportedly being circled by private equity firms for a potential buyout of the enfeebled fitness company.

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The SEC is preparing to sue over Robinhood’s crypto business. Robinhood just revealed that it’s been notified that the SEC plans to bring an enforcement action against its crypto unit for alleged securities violations. But the online brokerage said it’s not sweating: “We firmly believe that the assets listed on our platform are not securities and we look forward to engaging with the SEC to make clear just how weak any case against Robinhood Crypto would be on both the facts and the law,” Dan Gallagher, Robinhood’s chief legal, compliance, and corporate affairs officer, wrote in a blog post. Such a notice doesn’t always mean a suit will follow, but crypto companies and the agency have been sparring for years over whether crypto tokens count as securities.

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The Biden administration were quick to praise a new report that extends the lifespan of the Hospital Insurance Trust Fund, but the report renewed calls for increasing physician payments.


Amwell, a telehealth company, continues to struggle in the stock market, and both its bottom- and top-line results in the first quarter missed Street analysts’ estimates.


And … between the Change Healthcare cyberattack and Medicare Advantage headwinds, major insurers faced unique challenges in the first quarter.

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Stat: 8.7%. That’s the level to which US consumers can expect the 30-year mortgage rate to rise over the next year, which marks a series high, according to a New York Federal Reserve survey (MarketWatch)

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HEDGE FUNDS: History in Brief

ABOUT | DAVID EDWARD MARCINKO

BY DR. DAVID E. MARCINKO MBA MEd CMP®

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The investment profession has come a long way since the door-to-door stock salesmen of the 1920s sold a willing public on worthless stock certificates. The stock market crash of 1929 and ensuing Great Depression of the 1930s forever changed the way investment operations are run. A bewildering array of laws and regulations sprung up, all geared to protecting the individual investor from fraud. These laws also set out specific guidelines on what types of investment can be marketed to the general public – and allowed for the creation of a set of investment products specifically not marketed to the general public. These early-mid 20th century lawmakers specifically exempted from the definition of “general public,” for all practical purposes, those investors that meet certain minimum net worth guidelines.

The lawmakers decided that wealth brings the sophistication required to evaluate, either independently or together with wise counsel, investment options that fall outside the mainstream. Not surprisingly, an investment industry catering to such wealthy individuals, such as doctors and healthcare professionals, and qualifying institutions has sprung up.

EARLY DAYS

The original hedge fund was an investment partnership started by A.W. Jones in 1949. A financial writer prior to starting his investment management career, Mr. Jones is widely credited as being the prototypical hedge fund manager. His style of investment in fact gave the hedge fund its name – although Mr. Jones himself called his fund a “hedged fund.” Mr. Jones attempted to “hedge,” or protect, his investment partnership against market swings by selling short overvalued securities while at the same time buying undervalued securities. Leverage was an integral part of the strategy. Other managers followed in Mr. Jones’ footsteps, and the hedge fund industry was born.

In those early days, the hedge fund industry was defined by the types of investment operations undertaken – selling short securities, making liberal use of leverage, engaging in arbitrage and otherwise attempting to limit one’s exposure to market swings. Today, the hedge fund industry is defined more by the structure of the investment fund and the type of manager compensation employed.

The changing definition is largely a sign of the times. In 1949, the United States was in a unique state. With the memory of Great Depression still massively influencing common wisdom on stocks, the post-war euphoria sparked an interest in the securities markets not seen in several decades. Perhaps it is not so surprising that at such a time a particularly reflective financial writer such as A.W. Jones would start an investment operation featuring most prominently the protection against market swings rather than participation in them. 

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Apart from a few significant hiccups – 1972-73, 1987 and 2006-07 being most prominent – the U.S. stock markets have been on quite a roll for quite a long time now. So today, hedge funds come in all flavors – many not hedged at all. Instead, the concept of a private investment fund structured as a partnership, with performance incentive compensation for the manager, has come to dominate the mindscape when hedge funds are discussed. Hence, we now have a term in “hedge fund” that is not always accurate in its description of the underlying activity. In fact, several recent events have contributed to an even more distorted general understanding of hedge funds.

During 1998, the high profile Long Term Capital Management crisis and the spectacular currency losses experienced by the George Soros organization both contributed to a drastic reversal of fortune in the court of public opinion for hedge funds. Most hedge fund managers, who spend much of their time attempting to limit risk in one way or another, were appalled at the manner with which the press used the highest profile cases to vilify the industry as dangerous risk-takers. At one point during late 1998, hedge funds were even blamed in the lay press for the currency collapses of several developing nations; whether this was even possible got short thrift in the press.

Needless to say, more than a few managers have decided they did not much appreciate being painted with the same “hedge fund” brush. Alternative investment fund, private investment fund, and several other terms have been promoted but inadequately adopted. As the memory of 1998 and 2007 fades, “hedge fund” may once again become a term embraced by all private investment managers.

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ASSESSMENT: Physicians, and all investors, should be aware, however, that several different terms defining the same basic structure might be used. Investors should therefore become familiar with the structure of such funds, independent of the label. The Securities Exchange Commission calls such funds “privately offered investment companies” and the Internal Revenue Service calls them “securities partnerships.”

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DAILY UPDATE: Cooling Labor Markets with Unemployment Rate Uptick

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A cooling labor market raises hopes for a rate cut in the summer. The latest Labor Department data shows the US added 175,000 jobs in April, but much less than the 300,000 added in March and also less than economists expected. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate ticked up to 3.9% from 3.8% in March, and wages rose less than anticipated. All that bad news for us was music to the ears of investors who are holding out hope that the Federal Reserve might still cut interest rates this summer despite most recent economic data showing that inflation is sticking around.

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Rate cuts appear to be back on the 2024 menu following Friday’s softer-than-expected jobs report, fueling gains for all three major stock indexes last week. With the report calming worries that inflation is ticking back up, investors now project a 50% likelihood that the Federal Reserve will reduce rates in September.

Coinbase is benefiting from the hype around new bitcoin ETFs. The crypto exchange reported a $1.2 billion quarterly profit last week, and net revenue rose by 115%.

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PODCAST: The Altman Corporate Bankruptcy ZETA Score Model

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By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP®

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What Is the Zeta Model Altman Score?

The Zeta Model is a mathematical model that estimates the chances of a public company going bankrupt within a two-year time period. The number produced by the model is referred to as the company’s Z-score (or zeta score) and is considered to be a reasonably accurate predictor of future bankruptcy.

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The model was published in 1968 by New York University professor of finance Edward I. Altman. The resulting Z-score uses multiple corporate income and balance sheet values to measure the financial health of a company.

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Altman's Z-Score Model - Overview, Formula, Interpretation

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DAILY UPDATE: Stock Markets Rally

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MAY THE FOURTH BE WITH YOU

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index rose 63.59 points (1.3%) to 5,127.79, up 0.6% for the week; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) gained 450.02 points (1.2%) to 38,675.68, up 1.1% for the week; the NASDAQ Composite surged 315.37 points (2.0%) to 16,156.33, up 1.4% for the week.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) fell about 7 basis points to 4.50%, down about 16 basis points for the week.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) fell 1.19 to 13.49.

Technology shares were among the strongest performers Friday behind a 6% rally in shares of Apple (AAPL), which late Thursday reported stronger-than-expected quarterly results and said it will repurchase $110 billion in shares. Amgen (AMGN) soared nearly 12%, leading Dow gainers after the biotechnology company beat earnings expectations.

In other markets, WTI Crude Oil futures (/CL) extended a week-long slump to end just above $78 per barrel, the lowest since mid-March. Crude futures dropped almost 7% this week, partly reflecting rising U.S. supplies and signs of slower fuel demand.

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DAILY UPDATE: Stock Markets Up Beat!

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Yesterday, sales of Wegovy more than doubled last quarter, and at least 25,000 people are starting to take it in the US per week. It also posted a $3.65 billion net profit and increased its sales outlook for 2024. But its stock Novo Nordisk still dropped yesterday.

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iPhone sales are down but Apple share buybacks are up. Apple managed to keep investors happy, sending its stock shooting up after-hours yesterday, despite selling fewer iPhones last quarter. Sales of the signature phone dipped 10% year over year, and revenue fell 4.3% to $90.8 billion. But Apple also announced $110 billion in share buybacks, the largest in the company’s history, per CNBC. And sales in China, which has been a sore spot, came in at $16.4 billion, less than a year earlier but more than analysts had predicted.

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Stocks rose yesterday as investors digested Jerome Powell’s recent comments and decided they only had to fear fear itself—and not interest rate hikes. Investors changed into the fast lane to buy Carvana after the used car sales site reported its best earnings ever Wednesday evening.

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Stat: 16%. That’s the percentage by which CVS stocks plummeted Wednesday after the company reported earnings below expectations and cut its annual outlook, according to (CNBC).

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But Here’s where the major stock market benchmarks ended Thursday:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) rose 45.81 points (0.9%) to 5,064.20; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) added 322.37 points (0.9%) to 38,225.66; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) surged 235.48 points (1.5%) to 15,840.96.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) dropped about 1 basis point to 4.583%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) fell 0.71 to 14.68.

Transportation shares helped lead the market higher after C.H. Robinson (CHRW) reported stronger-than-expected quarterly results, sending the freight logistics and trucking company’s stock up 12%. The Dow Jones Transportation Average ($DJT) jumped 2.5%. Semiconductors were also strong after Qualcomm (QCOM) advanced 9.7% in the wake of the chip maker’s better-than-expected earnings.

Apple (AAPL) shares advanced 2.2% ahead of the company’s quarterly earnings report scheduled after Thursday’s close.

In other markets, WTI Crude Oil (/CL) futures bounced back to end with a slight gain after earlier dropping to a seven-week low under $78.50 per barrel.

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ESCHEW “C”: Medicare Advantage [Part C] Plans Now?

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP

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Medicare [Dis] Advantage Plans [Medicare Part C] commenced in 2003 or so and I have railed against them since then. First, for their low physician payments. And then as a patient advocate for the last decade. And, today, for both reasons. As a doctor and independent health insurance agent myself, believe me when I speak thusly.

READ: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2023/11/07/proposed-changes-medicare-advantage/

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Now, while Medicare Advantage plans are undoubtedly not the right choice for everyone, insurance companies still say there are some folks who will get exactly what they need from the plans and at a moderate price.

Nevertheless, Ernesto Jaboneta, the IT Director of California-based Medicare insurance agency Agent Pitstop, acknowledged there are many predatory salespeople who will jump to have you join a plan that doesn’t end up helping you in the long run. Still, there are precautions you can take to make falling into this trap less likely.

“The first thing anyone can do is invite along a family member or trusted friend to any appointments with an insurance agent,” Jaboneta told Newsweek. “Don’t feel pressured to decide right away.”

Before you commit to anything, you should compare plans and find out if your doctors will remain in your network. And if you’re unsure about some of the information you received from an insurance agent, you can also call 1-800-MEDICARE for more assistance.

Jaboneta also said there’s a big difference between captive insurance agents and independent agents, as well, and seniors should take note of this.

“A captive agent is an insurance agent who works directly for an insurance carrier,” Jaboneta said. “They have no incentive to compare options outside their own company, which is different than an independent agent who can compare all the options available. In many cases, when a beneficiary calls into an insurance company to find information, they will be talked into enrolling.”

The open enrollment period lasts from October 15th to December 8th, but there’s another enrollment period from January 1st to March 31st for anyone unhappy with their Medicare Advantage plan who wants to switch or revert to Medicare.

MORE: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2023/12/24/medicare-part-c-humana-used-a-i-tool-from-unitedhealth-to-deny-medicare-advantage-claims/

INVESTING UPDATE: Managed-care companies are reporting that seniors on Medicare Advantage Part C plans used far more medical services than expected in the final months of 2023. The announcements have sparked two separate selloffs over the past week: The first came January 12th, when UnitedHealth Group announced its fourth-quarter earnings. The second came after Humana just laid out preliminary fourth-quarter results, and said the high utilization trends would have a material impact on its 2024 performance “if current trends continue.”

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource/Title/082610254

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What is Hospital WACC?

By Calvin Weise CPA and Dr. David E. Marcinko MBA MEd CMP

SPONSOR: http://www.CertifiedMedicalPlanner.org

The Weighted Average Cost of Capital 

It is critical to understand and to measure the total cost of capital. Lack of understanding and appreciation of the total cost of capital is widespread, particularly among not-for-profit hospital executives. The capital structure includes long-term debt and equity; total capital is the sum of these two. Each of these components has cost associated with it. For the long-term debt portion, this cost is explicit: it is the interest rate plus associated costs of placement and servicing.

Equity portion

For the equity portion, the cost is not explicit and is widely misunderstood. In many cases, hospital capital structures include significant amounts of equity that has accumulated over many years of favorable operations. Too many executives wrongly attribute zero cost to the equity portion of their capital structure. Although it is correct that generally accepted accounting principles continue to assign a zero cost to equity, there is opportunity cost associated with equity that needs to be considered. This cost is the opportunity available to utilize that capital in alternative ways.

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In general, the cost attributed to equity is the return expected by the equity markets on hospital equity. This can be observed by evaluating the equity prices of hospital companies whose equity is traded on public stock exchanges. Usually the equity prices will imply cost of equity in the range of 10% to 14%.

Almost always, the cost of equity implied by hospital equity prices traded on public stock exchanges will substantially exceed the cost of long-term debt. Thus, while many hospital executives will view the cost of equity to be substantially less than the cost of debt (i.e., to be zero), in nearly all cases, the appropriate cost of equity will be substantially greater than the cost of debt.

http://www.HealthDictionarySeries.org

Hospitals need to measure their weighted average cost of capital (WACC).

WACC is the cost of long-term debt multiplied by the ratio of long-term debt to total capital plus the cost of equity multiplied by the ratio of equity to total capital (where total capital is the sum of long-term debt and equity).

WACC is then used as the basis for capital charges associated with all capital investments. Capital investments should be expected to generate positive returns after applying this capital charge based on the WACC. Capital investments that don’t generate returns exceeding the WACC consume enterprise value; those that generate returns exceeding WACC increase enterprise value.

Assessment

Hospital executives need to be rewarded for increasing enterprise value. 

Conclusion

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DAILY UPDATE: Walmart, Women’s Health Month, UnitedHealth and the Mixed Stock Markets

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Here’s where the major stock market benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) fell 17.30 points (0.3%) to 5,018.39; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) gained 87.37 points (0.2%) to 37,903.29; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) lost 52.34 points (0.3%) to 15,605.48.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) dropped more than 5 basis points to 4.63%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) decreased 0.28 to 15.37.

Banks and other financial shares led the market’s afternoon upswing, reflecting renewed optimism over the outlook for interest rates. The KBW Regional Bank Index (KRX) jumped 2.4% and posted its first gain in five days. Biotechnology and communication services were also strong.

Energy shares were among the weakest performers as WTI Crude Oil (/CL) futures extended a week-long nosedive and dropped under $80 per barrel for the first time since mid-March. Crude futures sank over 3% after the Energy Information Administration reported U.S. oil inventories surged 1.6% last week. 

Among top companies, Amazon (AMZN) gained 2.2% after reporting stronger-than-expected earnings and revenue late Tuesday. Starbucks (SBUX) tumbled 16% following unexpectedly soft quarterly results. Apple (AAPL) eased 0.6% ahead of its quarterly results, expected after Thursday’s close.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource

Speaking of stock companies, however big you think UnitedHealth is, it’s bigger than that. For example:

  • With a market cap of nearly $450 billion, it’s the fourth-largest company in the US by revenue this year, beating out Alphabet and Microsoft.
  • The company is eyeing a $24.7 billion profit in 2024.
  • One analyst estimated that more than 5% of US GDP flows through UnitedHealth’s systems daily.

And so, lawmakers in Washington are prepared to grill UnitedHealth CEO Andrew Witty in two congressional hearings today, months after a cyberattack on a subsidiary of the healthcare giant, Change Healthcare, rattled the industry and left pharmacies, doctors, and hospitals in the dark. Change processes roughly half of all Americans’ medical claims. Congress wants Witty to clarify how UnitedHealth handled the breach of patient data. But beyond that, it wants to investigate whether the company—the nation’s largest private health insurer—has grown too big and taken on too much risk.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

Retailer Walmart announced plans Tuesday to shutter its network of 51 health clinics in five states, along with its telehealth business. The impending closures signify that Walmart is scuttling its initial plans to expand the services, citing escalating operation costs and “challenging reimbursement environment,” the company said in a news release.

Finally – Happy Women’s Health Month! Women and people assigned female at birth are disproportionately affected by a range of health conditions, including autoimmune diseases, chronic pain, and dementia. The month of May is intended to raise awareness of these disparities and educate women on steps they can take to improve their health, such as getting annual breast exams. For all our woman-identifying readers, take some time to prioritize your health this month!

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What is a Hospital CHARGE MASTER?

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By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP

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According to George Washington University, a hospital chargemaster is a comprehensive list of a hospital’s products, procedures, and services. Everything from prescription drugs to supplies for diagnostic tests has a unique price listing in the chargemaster, making it a go-to document for hospital administrators such as CFOs, clinical documentation improvement specialists, and revenue directors.

Chargemaster usage dates back to the mid-20th century. At that time, fee-for-service (FFS) health insurance plans, which allow patients to direct their medical care by choosing physicians and facilities and paying a portion of the billed total, had just emerged in the U.S. healthcare system.

The chargemaster originally served as something akin to an FFS dictionary, with an entry for virtually anything billable under that economic model of healthcare.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource/Title/082610254

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Over time, FFS itself has evolved and been challenged by alternatives like value-based care (VBC). Chargemasters built for FFS have changed accordingly, and they remain fixtures of the modern hospital revenue cycle. A standard chargemaster is a large electronic file containing multiple elements for each entry. These attributes usually include:

  • The charge for a single unit of the service in question
  • A Current Procedural Terminology (CPT) code; CPT is the official medical code set of the American Medical Association
  • Potentially, a Healthcare Common Practice Coding System (HCPCS) code; HCPCS is based on CPT
  • Alternative CPT and HCPCS codes if needed, e.g. one corresponding only to specific payers
  • A revenue code associated with the charge
  • Flag(s) indicating if the entry is scheduled for deletion, active or inactive
  • An internal reference number within the ledger for accounting purposes

LINK: https://revcycleintelligence.com/features/the-role-of-the-hospital-chargemaster-in-revenue-cycle-management

MORE: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2013/09/26/some-modern-issues-impacting-hospital-revenue-cycles/

RCC: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2013/03/06/a-better-approach-to-hospital-cost-estimation/

***

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BUSINESS: https://www.amazon.com/Business-Medical-Practice-Transformational-Doctors/dp/0826105750/ref=sr_1_9?ie=UTF8&qid=1448163039&sr=8-9&keywords=david+marcinko

HEALTH INSURANCE: https://www.amazon.com/Dictionary-Health-Insurance-Managed-Care/dp/0826149944/ref=sr_1_4?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1275315485&sr=1-4

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PODCAST: Cash Flow, Revenue & Entrepreneurial Leadership in Healthcare Business

THE ENTREPRENEURIAL M.D.

In this episode we are joined by Dr. Brent Jackson, Chief Medical Officer for Mercy General in Sacramento, CA to discuss the physician life-cycle, burnout, and transitioning into leadership within healthcare.

Play EpisodeDownload (40.4 MB)

Summary: Dr Brent Jackson discusses the flow of revenue throughout the medical industry.

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DAILY UPDATE: The CHIPS and Science Act & the FOMC as Stocks Edge Higher

MEDICAL EXECUTIVE-POST TODAY’S NEWSLETTER BRIEFING

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It’ll be a big week for hot takes on the US economy, after the Federal Reserve meeting Tuesday and Wednesday and the April jobs report dropping Friday. Because inflation has been sticking around, the FOMC is expected to hold interest rates steady at this meeting and for the foreseeable future. On the jobs front, economists are projecting another strong month for employment growth.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource

In 2022, with bipartisan support, Congress passed the CHIPS and Science Act, an ambitious plan to juice domestic manufacturing of a product vital to national security: semiconductors. Two years later, the government has doled out more than half of the CHIPS Act’s $39 billion in incentives. According to the Financial Times

  • Chip companies and their suppliers have announced US investments of $327 billion over the next 10 years, per the Semiconductor Industry Association.
  • Construction of manufacturing facilities for computing and electronics devices has jumped 15x, government data shows.
  • By 2030, the US will likely produce around 20% of the world’s most advanced chips, according to USCommerce Secretary Gina Raimondo. Right now, it’s making 0%.

The proposed factories are massive and could transform regional economies. Micron, which received $6.1 billion in federal grants last week, plans to invest $100 billion in a manufacturing campus near Syracuse.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) rose 16.21 points (0.3%) to 5,116.17, its highest close in over two weeks; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) gained 146.43 points (0.4%) to 38,386.09, the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) advanced 55.18 points (0.4%) to 15,983.08.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) fell more than 5 basis points to 4.616%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) declined 0.36 to  14.67.

Communication services shares were among the market’s weakest performers Monday, reversing last Friday’s upswing as Alphabet (GOOGL) dropped more than 3% and Meta Platforms (META) lost 2.4%. Banks and retailers were also soft. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) climbed for the sixth-straight day and ended near a three-week high even though its biggest member, Nvidia (NVDA), ended little changed.

In other markets, the U.S. Dollar Index ($DXY) faded from early gains but is still up about 1% in April, driven by expectations domestic rates will remain high. “The U.S. dollar’s strength continues to reflect the relative strength of the economy and the wide interest rate differentials between the United States and other major developed markets,” Schwab Center for Financial Research analysts said in a report.

Despite last week’s strength, the S&P 500 index and the NASAQ Composite are still down 2.6% and 2.4%, respectively, for April and on track to break five-month winning streaks.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/tj8smmes

Humana expects to exit Medicare Advantage (MA) markets in 2025, company executives told investors. The company reported its first quarter earnings April 24th. Humana posted $741 million in net income in the first quarter of 2024, beating investor expectations, but pulled its 2025 earnings guidance. 

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Modern Portfolio Theory and Asset Allocation [Not Correlation]

THE CORRELATION HOT TOPIC

SPONSOR: http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA CMP©

SPONSOR: http://www.CertifiedMedicalPlanner.org

CMP logo

Modern Portfolio Theory approaches investing by examining the complete market and the full economy. MPT places a great emphasis on the correlation between investments. 

DEFINITION:

Correlation is a measure of how frequently one event tends to happen when another event happens. High positive correlation means two events usually happen together – high SAT scores and getting through college for instance. High negative correlation means two events tend not to happen together – high SATs and a poor grade record.

No correlation means the two events are independent of one another. In statistical terms two events that are perfectly correlated have a “correlation coefficient” of 1; two events that are perfectly negatively correlated have a correlation coefficient of -1; and two events that have zero correlation have a coefficient of 0.

Correlation has been used over the past twenty years by institutions and financial advisors to assemble portfolios of moderate risk.  In calculating correlation, a statistician would examine the possibility of two events happening together, namely:

  • If the probability of A happening is 1/X;
  • And the probability of B happening is 1/Y; then
  • The probability of A and B happening together is (1/X) times (1/Y), or 1/(X times Y).

There are several laws of correlation including;

  1. Combining assets with a perfect positive correlation offers no reduction in portfolio risk.  These two assets will simply move in tandem with each other.
  2. Combining assets with zero correlation (statistically independent) reduces the risk of the portfolio.  If more assets with uncorrelated returns are added to the portfolio, significant risk reduction can be achieved.
  3. Combing assets with a perfect negative correlation could eliminate risk entirely.   This is the principle with “hedging strategies”.  These strategies are discussed later in the book.

Citation: https://www.r2library.com/Resource/Title/0826102549

BUT – CORRELATION IS NOT CAUSATION

https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2021/02/05/correlation-is-not-causation/

In the real world, negative correlations are very rare 

Most assets maintain a positive correlation with each other.  The goal of a prudent investor is to assemble a portfolio that contains uncorrelated assets.  When a portfolio contains assets that possess low correlations, the upward movement of one asset class will help offset the downward movement of another.  This is especially important when economic and market conditions change.

As a result, including assets in your portfolio that are not highly correlated will reduce the overall volatility (as measured by standard deviation) and may also increase long-term investment returns. This is the primary argument for including dissimilar asset classes in your portfolio. Keep in mind that this type of diversification does not guarantee you will avoid a loss.  It simply minimizes the chance of loss. 

In the table provided by Ibbotson, the average correlation between the five major asset classes is displayed. The lowest correlation is between the U.S. Treasury Bonds and the EAFE (international stocks).  The highest correlation is between the S&P 500 and the EAFE; 0.77 or 77 percent. This signifies a prominent level of correlation that has grown even larger during this decade.   Low correlations within the table appear most with U.S. Treasury Bills.

Historical Correlation of Asset Classes

Benchmark                             1          2          3         4         5         6            

1 U.S. Treasury Bill                  1.00    

2 U.S. Bonds                          0.73     1.00    

3 S&P 500                               0.03     0.34     1.00    

4 Commodities                         0.15     0.04     0.08      1.00      

5 International Stocks              -0.13    -0.31    0.77      0.14    1.00       

6 Real Estate                           0.11      0.43    0.81     -0.02    0.66     1.00

Table Source: Ibbotson 1980-2012

Comprehensive Financial Planning Strategies for Doctors and Advisors: Best Practices from Leading Consultants and Certified Medical Planners™

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HOSPITALS: “Weighted Average Cost of Capital”

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA CMP

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SPONSOR: http://www.MARCINKOASSOCIATES.com

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The Cost of Hospital Capital Is “WACC”

It is critical for physician executives to understand and to measure the total cost of hospital capital. Lack of understanding and appreciation of the total cost of capital is widespread, particularly among not-for-profit hospital and physician executives. The capital structure includes long-term debt and equity; total capital is the sum of these two, and, each of these components has cost associated with it.

For the long-term debt portion, this cost is explicit—it is the interest rate plus associated costs of placement and servicing. For the equity portion, the cost is not explicit and is widely misunderstood. In many cases, hospital capital structures include significant amounts of equity that has accumulated over many years of favorable operations.

Far too many executives wrongly attribute zero cost to the equity portion of their capital structure. Although it is correct that generally accepted accounting principles continue to assign a zero cost to equity, there is opportunity cost associated with equity that needs to be considered. This cost is the opportunity available to utilize that capital in alternative ways.

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In general, the cost attributed to equity is the return expected by the equity markets on hospital equity. This can be observed by evaluating the equity prices of hospital companies whose equity is traded on public stock exchanges. Usually, the equity prices will imply cost of equity in the range of 10%–14%. Almost always, the cost of equity implied by hospital equity prices traded on public stock exchanges will substantially exceed the cost of long-term debt. Thus, while many hospital executives will view the cost of equity to be substantially less than the cost of debt (i.e., to be zero) in nearly all cases, the appropriate cost of equity will be substantially greater than the cost of debt.

Hospitals need to measure their weighted average cost of capital (WACC). WACC is the cost of long-term debt multiplied by the ratio of long-term debt to total capital plus the cost of equity multiplied by the ratio of equity to total capital (where total capital is the sum of long-term debt and equity).

WACC is then used as the basis for capital charges associated with all capital investments. Capital investments should be expected to generate positive returns after applying this capital charge based on the WACC. Capital investments that do not generate returns exceeding the WACC consume enterprise value; those that generate returns exceeding WACC increase enterprise value. Therefore, physician and hospital executives need to be rewarded for increasing enterprise value.

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DAILY UPDATE: Cannabis, Healthcare and the Stock Market Rally!

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Here’s where the major stock market benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index gained 51.54 points (1.0%) to 5,099.96, up 2.7% for the week; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) increased 153.86 points (0.4%) to 38,239.66, up 0.7% for the week; the NASDAQ Composite jumped 316.14 points (2.0%) to 15,927.90, up 4.2% for the week.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) lost about 4 basis points to 4.665%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) fell 0.34 to 15.03.

Alphabet’s rally helped communication services reverse Thursday’s downturn, which was driven by disappointing quarterly results from Meta Platforms (META). The S&P 500 Communication Services index ($SP500#50) surged 4.7% Friday and ended the week with a 2.7% gain. Semiconductor shares were also strong, led by a 6% gain in Nvidia (NVDA). The Russell 2000® Index (RUT) added 1.1% Friday and posted a 2.8% advance for the week.

In other markets, WTI Crude Oil (/CL) futures rose slightly Friday, ending around $83.65 per barrel and shutting down a three-week losing streak.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource

  • Midi Health, a health clinic geared toward women in midlife, raised $60 million in Series B funding to expand its network to 150 clinicians by the end of the year, among other efforts. (MobiHealthNews)
  • “We’re fooling ourselves if we think that’s cheap or can be done less expensively.”—Carmela Coyle, president and CEO of the California Hospital Association, on hospital finances and cutting costs (AP)
  • The federal government implemented new staffing rules to improve patient care, but most nursing homes won’t be able to meet that demand. (KFF Health News/NPR)

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The Biden administration is considering a change that would downgrade cannabis from a Schedule I drug to a Schedule III drug this year. The reclassification would have major effects on the business of cannabis, but for that to happen, the Drug Enforcement Agency needs proof of medical effectiveness.

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DAILY UPDATE: GDP Worries as Markets Stumble with Meta but other Technology Stocks are Good

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Essays, Opinions and Curated News in Health Economics, Investing, Business, Management and Financial Planning for Physician Entrepreneurs and their Savvy Advisors and Consultants

Serving Almost One Million Doctors, Financial Advisors and Medical Management Consultants Daily

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New GDP numbers out yesterday show a worrying combo of stubborn inflation + waning growth that dampens hopes for a potential interest rate cut. Per the latest data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis, the first quarter of 2024 was a confounding one:

  • GDP increased at a 1.6% annualized rate, far below projections of 2.4% and notably down from 3.4% at the end of 2023.
  • While slow growth would typically signal that the Fed could cut rates, another metric complicates matters: Consumer prices (excluding volatile categories), a solid indicator of inflation, shot up to a much higher than anticipated 3.7%.

***

Meta reported record Q1 revenue yesterday, but it was overshadowed by the billions of dollars the company is spending in its efforts to win the Artificial Intelligence race and make the Metaverse happen. Investors were unhappy with the company’s forecast that its spending will rise by $10 billion dollars to support Artificial Intelligence development, sending Meta’s stock price down 15% after hours.

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index fell 23.21 points (0.5%) to 5,048.42; the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 375.12 points (1.0%) to 38,085.80; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) shed 100.99 points (0.6%) to 15,611.76.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) rose about 5 basis points to 4.704%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) fell 0.64 to 15.33.

Communication services shares were the weakest S&P 500 sector Thursday behind the plunge in Meta Platforms. Late Wednesday, the Facebook parent provided lighter-than-expected second-quarter revenue guidance, while CEO Mark Zuckerberg discussed spending in currently unprofitable pursuits such as artificial intelligence (AI) and mixed reality. Meta’s first-quarter earnings and revenue both came above analysts ‘ estimates, however.

Meta’s slump helped send the S&P 500 Communication Services index ($SP500#50) down 4%. Banks were also particularly soft amid concern that persistently high interest rates may compress lender margins. Semiconductor and transportation shares were among the few pockets of strength.

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But, Alphabet, Microsoft, and Snap reported Q1 earnings yesterday, and were generally good. Alphabet issued its first-ever dividend and authorized $70 billion in stock buybacks, after it beat Wall Street’s revenue expectations. Microsoft also beat revenue forecasts on the strength of its cloud services. And Snap shares soared after it topped estimates and impressed investors with its 422 million global daily active users. It was a much-needed boost for the sector after Meta spooked the market with how much it’s spending on AI.

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DAILY UPDATE: Retirement Security Rule, National Drug Take Back Day, Spotify, Cleveland Clinic, NAR and the Mixed Stock Markets

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Otherwise known as “National Prescription Drug Take Back Day,” National Drug Take Back Day on April 25th is sponsored by the Drug Enforcement Agency. Its goal is to keep the public aware of the dangers of prescription drug use and misuse. Many Americans don’t know how to safely dispose of the prescription drugs that have been sitting in the medicine cabinet past their prime. Using these expired drugs, or using someone else’s, is dangerous and puts both the public and the environment at risk.

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Spotify made money in Q1. According to Morning Brew, the streaming music giant grew its revenue last quarter by 20% to $3.8 billion on a record $180 million in profit, it announced yesterday. The smash report comes after Spotify cut costs last year, which included laying off more than a quarter of its workforce. The company also raised prices in 2023 for the first time in a decade as it further expanded beyond music into audio books and other categories. Spotify shares soared ~11% following the news.

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index® (SPX) rose 1.08 points (0.02%) to 5,071.63; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) fell 42.77 points (0.1%) to 38,460.92; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) added 16.11 points (0.1%) to 15,712.75.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield rose more than 4 basis points to 4.644%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) rose 0.28 to 15.97.

Transportation shares were among the market’s weakest performers Wednesday behind a drop of more than 10% in Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL), which reported lighter-than-expected quarterly revenue. The shipper’s nosedive helped send the Dow Jones Transportation Average ($DJT) down 2.3%. Consumer staples, semiconductors, and utilities posted moderate advances. The Dow Jones Utility Index ($DJU) gained for the sixth straight day and ended at a three-and-a-half-month high.

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The National Association of Realtors’ $418 million settlement over an alleged conspiracy to inflate commissions received preliminary approval yesterday. It’s a new world order: Sellers won’t have to pay buyers’ agents anymore. There’s been talk of a metaphorical death of real estate agents, or a mass extinction; the jury is still out, but RE/MAX cofounder and chairman Dave Liniger doesn’t seem too concerned. 

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

The Labor Department announced it has finalized its Retirement Security Rule, which aims to protect American workers who are saving for retirement and relying on advice from fiduciaries for it. The new rule will update the definition of an investment advice fiduciary under the Employee Retirement Income Security Act and the Internal Revenue Code.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/tj8smmes

Clinicians don’t always get it right, and their mistakes can be costly: Studies show misdiagnoses lead to roughly 800,000 patient deaths or permanent disabilities each year in the US and cost the healthcare system an estimated $20 billion annually. Cleveland Clinic is using telehealth to try to combat misdiagnoses via its virtual second opinions program, which has saved an average of $8,705 per patient by avoiding unnecessary treatments, according to an analysis released in March.

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DAILY UPDATE: Nike Lay-Offs & Retirement “Rule of 55” as Stock Markets Zoom Upward

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Stat: 740. That’s how many employees Nike will lay off at its Oregon HQ before the end of June. In February, Nike CEO John Donahoe informed employees of the company’s plan to reduce 2% of its workforce, which would mean around 1,600 employees in total. (USA Today)

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Let’s say you leave your job at any time during or after the calendar year you turn 55 (or age 50 if you’re a public safety employee with a government defined-benefit plan). Under a little-known separation-of-service provision, often referred to as the “rule of 55,” you may be able take distributions (though some plans may allow only one lump-sum withdrawal) from your 401(k), 403(b), or other qualified retirement plan free of the usual 10% early-withdrawal penalties. However, be aware that you’ll still owe ordinary income taxes on the amount distributed.  This exception applies only to the plan (including any consolidated accounts) that you were contributing to when you separated from service. It does not extend to IRAs.

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index rose 59.95 points (1.2%) to 5,070.55; the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 263.71 points (0.7%) to 38,503.69; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) surged 245.33 points (1.6%) to 15,696.64.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) decreased about 2 basis points to 4.602%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) fell 1.25 to 15.69.

Similar to Monday, chipmakers were among the market’s strongest areas, carrying the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) to a 2.2% advance. Retailers and communication services shares were also strong. The Dow Jones Utility Index ($DJU) gained for the fifth straight day and ended at its highest level in over three months. The Russell 2000® Index (RUT) surged nearly 2%. 

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DAILY UPDATE: BoA “De-Banks”, Hospitals Merge and Walmart Health Grows as the NASDAQ Dives

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A group of 15 financial officers representing 13 states issued a warning to Bank of America over its alleged practices of “politicized de-banking” targeting conservatives. In a letter to Bank of America CEO Brian Moynihan, the officials said the bank’s practices threaten its own financial health and reputation with customers while simultaneously harming the U.S. economy and Americans’ civil liberties. They pointed to examples of Bank of America shuttering the accounts belonging to Christian groups and leaders and joining a net-zero climate alliance in addition to its poor viewpoint diversity rating.

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Texas and Missouri will soon have about two dozen Walmart health centers, the retail giant announced this month, adding to its 50-site roster. The company plans to open eight clinics in the Houston metro area, 10 sites in the Dallas-Fort Worth area, and four facilities in Kansas City by the end of 2024, Modern Healthcare reported.

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Hospitals reported the strongest quarter of mergers and acquisitions since 2020, according to consulting firm Kaufman Hall. Four of the 20 announced transactions in the first quarter of 2024 were “megamergers” and brought in $12 billion in revenue in that time period, per the firm’s analysis. The era of consolidation is here.

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index fell 43.89 points (0.9%) to 4,967.23, down 3% for the week; the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 211.02 points (0.6%) to 37,986.40, little changed for the week; the NASDAQ Composite lost 319.49 points (2.1%) to 15,282.01, down 5.5% for the week.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) dropped more than 2 basis points to 4.623%, still up about 10 basis points for the week.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) rose 0.71 to 18.71.

Nvidia (NVDA) plunged 10% to lead the chip sector lower, sending the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) down 4.1% to a two-and-a-half-month low. Communication Services shares were also among the weakest sectors, fueled by Netflix weakness. There were several pockets of strength, however. Banking shares posted firm gains Friday behind stronger-than-expected quarterly results from some regional lenders. Utilities also advanced.

The S&P 500 has fallen 5.5% from a record close March 28, more than halfway to the 10% threshold that’s traditionally viewed as a correction. The NASDAQ Composite is down 7.1% from a record close on April 11th.

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DAILY UPDATE: Stark Laws & 23andMe as Wall Street Pulls Back

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If the practice makes a reasonable effort to collect from a patient who is experiencing financial hardship (e.g., job loss due to COVID-19), providers may be able to offer a discount (e.g., settle for 70% of the amount owed) without violating Stark Law, says Reed Tinsley, CPA, healthcare consultant in Houston, Texas. “But remember that just because even if someone doesn’t have a job, they could still have money,” he adds. “There are a lot of people out there with big savings accounts.”

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/tj8smmes

Source: Lisa A. Eramo, MA, Keith A. Reynolds, Physicians Practice [4/3/24]

  • 23andMe cofounder and CEO Anne Wojcicki wants to take the once-hot DNA company private. 23andMe said a Special Committee would evaluate the proposal in light of other options. The company’s valuation has tumbled since its stock market debut in 2021. The struggling DNA company once valued in the billions — was essentially worthless as of Wednesday.
  • But,shares soared Thursday less than three years after it began selling shares. Wojcicki told board members she is proposing to acquire the company in a potential go-private transaction, according to a filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index fell 11.09 points (0.2%) to 5,011.12; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) rose 22.07 points (0.1%) to 37,775.38; the NASDAQ Composite lost 81.88 points (0.5%) to 15,601.50.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) gained almost 5 basis points to 4.633%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) dropped 0.22 to 17.99.

Weakness in chip maker shares pushed the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) down 1.7% to a two-month low. Biotechnology and consumer discretionary shares were also among the weakest sectors. Energy companies eroded as WTI Crude Oil (/CL) futures dropped for a third straight trading day and closed at a three-week low. 

The S&P 500 is on track for its third consecutive weekly decline, its weakest stretch since September, while the NASDAQ Composite appears headed for a fourth straight weekly slide.

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DAILY UPDATE: PBM Pricing Structure and UnitedHealth Cyber Fury as Stock Markets Tumble

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Pharmacy Benefits Managers often need more transparency regarding their pricing structures and the rebates they negotiate with drug manufacturers. Some argue that PBMs might receive hidden fees or undisclosed profits from drug manufacturers in exchange for favorable positioning on their formularies (lists of covered medications). This can be seen as a form of kickback, which is illegal.

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Lawmakers Express Fury Toward UnitedHealth in Change Attack Hearing on the fallout surrounding the unprecedented cyberattack on Change Healthcare in late February. Individuals representing the American Hospital Association, private cybersecurity groups and providers testified before members of the House Energy and Commerce Committee on April 16th to discuss the healthcare industry’s response to the attack and how the federal government should act.

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In March, the cyber criminal organization received $22 million in bitcoins, though UnitedHealth Group has not addressed whether the company paid the ransom. On April 15th, ransomware group RansomHub posted files on its dark web leak site comprising of personal and protected health information on patients whose data was taken in the hack. The files also include contracts and agreements between Change and its clients, marking the first time hackers have posted data from the attack.

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Source: Jakob Emerson, Becker’s Hospital Review

Stocks started the day strong yesterday but ended up slumping before the market closed as investors pulled back on tech stocks, including Nvidia. United Airlines took off after releasing a strong forecast for the year despite saying it took a $200 million hit because of Boeing’s troubles.

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index lost 29.20 points (0.6%) to 5,022.21; the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 45.66 points (0.1%) to 37,753.31; the NASDAQ Composite dropped 181.88 points (1.2%) to 15,683.37.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) decreased more than 7 basis points to 4.585%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) fell 0.20 to 18.20.

ASML’s slump helped send the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) down 3.3% to its lowest level since late February. Transportation shares were also under pressure after trucking company J.B. Hunt Transport Services (JBHT) dropped 8.1% in the wake of disappointing quarterly numbers. Energy shares slipped as WTI Crude Oil (/CL) futures fell 3% to a three-week low. 

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CERTIFIED MEDICAL PLANNER™ Niche Financial Advisor Professional Designation

Think Different – Be Different  – Thrive

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Dear Physician Focused Financial Advisors

Did you know that desperate doctors of all ages are turning to knowledgeable financial advisors and medical management consultants for help? Symbiotically too, generalist advisors are finding that the mutual need for knowledge and extreme niche synergy is obvious.

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But, there was no established curriculum or educational program; no corpus of knowledge or codifying terms-of-art; no academic gravitas or fiduciary accountability; and certainly no identifying professional designation that demonstrated integrated subject matter expertise for the increasingly unique healthcare focused financial advisory niche … Until Now! 

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So, if you are looking to supplement your knowledge, income and designations; and find other qualified professionals you may want to consider the CMP® program.

Enter the Certified Medical Planner™ charter professional designation. And, CMPs™ are FIDUCIARIES, 24/7.

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FINANCIAL ADVISORS: Finally Website Posting Their Fees?

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Many financial planning websites mention fees, as required, but still remain opaque to potential clients because the advisor wants to control the discussion and understandably wishes to avoid the website shopper phenomenon.

But, physicians and all investors can still control the discussion, and still provide transparency, because posting up front pricing information doesn’t mean presenting information in a vacuum!

For example, a 1%/year fee doesn’t have to just be 1%; it can be 1%, compared to an industry average cost of X%, where the average cost of an actively managed mutual fund is Y%.

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See the source image

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Similarly, it doesn’t have to be a retainer fee of $1,000/year; it can be a retainer fee for less than the cost of a monthly cable bill! And, a financial plan doesn’t cost $1,500; it costs 8-12 hours of staff time to craft extensive, customized solutions; but saves the doctor-client so much more!

And, if services have a range of potential prices, they might be provided with some insight into the factors that impact the price. Modern young and internet savvy doctors expect this sort of information.

ASSESSMENT: Your thoughts are appreciated.

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INVESTMENT BANKING UPDATE: Rules, securities markets, brokerage accounts, margin and debt review

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A Primer for Investors and Entrepreneurial Medical Professionals

Dr. David Edward Marcinko; MBA, CMP™

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Investment banking is so back. All of the biggest banks have reported their first-quarter 2024 results, and their earnings have been as good as, if not better than, expected. Higher interest rates ate into the spoils—Bank of America reported yesterday that its profit dropped 18% compared to the same period last year—but investment banking arms did well, especially since many banks increased their fees, and deal making and IPOs started to pick up again. But despite perking up, investment banking activity is still below where it used to be. Strong consumer spending also helped banks out, with credit card income rising and people and businesses continuing to need loans.

[PART 1 OF 8]

BC Dr. Marcinko

NOTE: This is an eight part ME-P series based on a weekend lecture I gave more than a decade ago to an interested group of graduate, business and medical school students. The material is a bit dated and some facts and specifics may have changed since then. But, the overall thought-leadership information of the essay remains interesting and informative. We trust you will enjoy it.

Introduction

The history, function and processes of the investment banking industry, and the rules and regulations of the securities industry and their respective markets, as well as the use of  brokerage accounts, margin and debt, will be briefly reviewed in this ME-P series.

An understanding of these concepts is required of all doctors and medical professionals as they pursue a personal investment strategy.

INVESTMENT BANKING AND SECURITIES UNDERWRITING

New economy corporate events of the past several years have provided many financial signs and symptoms that indicate a creeping securitization of the for-profit healthcare industrial complex. Similarly, fixed income medical investors should understand how Federal and State regulations impact upon personal and public debt needs. For, without investment banking firms, it would be almost impossible for private industry, medical corporations and government to raise needed capital.

Introduction

When a corporation such as a physician practice management company (PPMC), or similar entity needs, to raise capital for growth or expansion, there are two methods. Raising debt or equity. If equity is used, the corporation can market securities directly to the public by contacting its current stockholders and asking them to purchase the new securities in a  rights offering, by advertising or by hiring salespeople. Although this last example is somewhat exaggerated, it illustrates that there is a cost to selling new securities, which may be considerable if the firm itself undertakes the task.

For this reason, most corporations employ help in marketing new securities by using the services of investment bankers who sell new securities to the general public.  Although the investment banking is an exciting and vital industry, many SEC rules regulating it are not. Nevertheless, it is important for all physician executives to understand basic concepts of the industry if raising public money is ever a possibility or anticipated goal. It is also important for individual healthcare investors  to understand something about securities underwriting to reduce the likelihood of fraudulent investment schemes or ill-conceived transactions which ultimately result in monetary loss.

Fundamentals of the Investment Banking Industry

Investment bankers are not really bankers at all. The fact that the word banker appears in the name is partially responsible for the  false impressions that exist in the medical community regarding the functions they perform.

For example, they are not permitted to accept deposit, provide checking accounts, or perform other activities normally construed to be commercial banking activities. An investment bank is simply a firm that specializes in helping other corporations obtain the money they need under the most advantageous terms possible.

When it comes to the actual process of having securities issued, the corporation approaches an investment banking firm, either directly, or through a competitive selection process and asks it to act as adviser and distributor.  Investment bankers, or under writers, as they are sometimes called, are middlemen in the capital markets for corporate securities.

The medical corporation requiring the funds discuss the amount, type of security to be issued, price and other features of the security, as well as the cost to issuing the securities. All of these factors are negotiated in a process known as known as negotiated underwriting. If mutually acceptable terms are reached, the investment banking firm will be the middle man through which the securities are sold to the general public. Since such firms have many customers, they are able to sell new securities, without the costly search that individual corporations may require to sell its own security. Thus, although the firm in need of  additional capital must pay for the service, it is usually able to raise the additional capital at less expense through the use of an investment banker, than by selling the securities itself.

The agreement between the investment banker and the corporation may be one of two types. The investment bank may agree to purchase, or underwrite, the entire issue of securities and to re-offer them to the general public. This is  known as a firm commitment.

When an investment banker agrees to underwrite such a sale,  it  agrees to supply the corporation with a specified amount of money. The firm buys the securities with the intention to resell them. If it fails to sell the securities, the investment banker must still pay the agreed upon sum. Thus, the risk of selling rests with the underwriter and not with the company issuing the securities.

The alternative agreement is a best efforts agreement in which the investment banker makes his best effort to sell the securities acting on behalf of the issuer, but does not guarantee a specified amount of money will be raised.

When a corporation raises new capital through a public offering of stock, on might inquire from where does the stock come? The only source the corporation has is authorized, but previously un-issued stock. Anytime authorized, but previously un-issued stock (new stock) is issued to the public, it is known as a primary offering. If it’s the very first time the corporation is making the offering, it’s also known as the Initial Public Offering (IPO). Anytime there is a primary offering of stock, the issuing corporation is raising additional equity capital.

A secondary offering, or distribution, on the other hand, is defied as an offering of a large block of outstanding stock. Most frequently, a secondary offering is the sale of a large block of stock owned by one or more stockholders. It is stock that has previously been issued and is now being re-sold by investors. Another case would be when a corporation re-sells its treasury stock.

Prior to any further discussions of investment banking, there are several industry terms that’s should  be defined.

For example, an agent buys or sells securities for the account and risk of another party, and charges a commission. In the securities business, the terms broker and agent are used synonymously. This is not true of the insurance industry.

On the other hand, a principal is one who acts as a dealer rather than an agent or broker. A dealer buys and sells for his own account Finally, the dealer makes money by buying at one price and selling at a higher price. Thus, it is easy to understand how an investment banking firm earns money handling a best efforts offering; they make a commission on every share they sell.

  Comprehensive Financial Planning Strategies for Doctors and Advisors: Best Practices from Leading Consultants and Certified Medical Planners™

The Securities Act of 1933 (Act of Full Disclosure)

When a corporation makes a public offering of its stock, it is bound by the provisions of the Securities Act of 1933, which is also known as the Act of Full Disclosure. The primary requirement of  the Act is that the corporation must file a registration statement (full disclosure) with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC); containing some of the following items:

  • Description of the business entity raising the money.
  • Biographical data regarding officers and directors of the issuer.
  • Listing of share holdings of officers, directors, and holders of more than 10% of the issuer’s securities (insiders).
  • Financial statements including a breakdown of existing capitalization (existing debt and equity structure).
  • Intended use of offering proceeds.
  • Legal proceedings involving the issuer, such as suits, antitrust actions or strikes.

Acting in its capacity as an adviser to the corporation, the investment banking firm files out the registration statement with the SEC. It then takes the SEC a period of time to review the information in the registration statement. This is the “cooling off period” and the issue is said to be “in registration” during this time. When the Act written in 1933, Congress thought that 20 days would be enough time from the filing date, until the effective date the sale of  securities is permitted.

In reality, it frequently takes much longer than 20 days for the SEC to complete its review. But, regardless of how long it lasts, it’s known as the cooling off period. At the end of the cooling off period, the SEC will either accept the issue or they will send a letter back to the issuer, and the underwriter, explaining that there is incomplete information in the registration statement. This letter is known as a deficiency letter. It will postpone the effectiveness of the registration statement until the deficiency is remedied. Even if initially, or eventually approved, an effective registration does not mean that the SEC has approved the issue.

For example, the following well known disclaimer statement written in bold red ink, is required to be placed in capital letters on the front cover page of every prospectus:

###

THESE SECURITIES HAVE NOT BEEN APPROVED OR DISAPPROVED BY THE SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION NOR HAS THE COMMISSION PASSED UPON THE ACCURACY OR ADEQUACY OF THIS PROSPECTUS. ANY REPRESENTATION TO THE CONTRARY IS A CRIMINAL OFFENSE.

###

During the cooling off period, the investment bank tries to create interest in the market place for the issue. In order to do that, it distributes a preliminary prospectus, more commonly known as a “red herring”. It is known as a red herring because of the red lettering on the front page.  The statement on the very top with the date is printed in red as well as the statements on the left hand margin of the preliminary prospectus.

The cost of printing the red herring is borne by the investment bank, since they are  trying to market it.. The red herring includes information from the registration statement that will be most helpful for potential medical investors trying to make a decision. It describes the company and the securities to be issued; includes the firm’s financial statements; its current activities; the regulatory bodies to which it is subject; the nature of its competition; the management of the corporation, and what the expected proceeds will be used for. Two very important items  missing from the red herring are the public offering price and the effective date of the issue, as neither are known for certain at this point in time.

The public offering price is generally determined on the date that the securities become effective for sale (effective date). Waiting until the last minute enables the investment bankers to price the new issue in line with current market conditions. Since the investment banker uses the red herring to try to create interest in the market place, stock brokers [aka: Registered Representatives (RRs) with a Series # 7 general securities license –  After a 2 hour multiple-choice computerize test, I held this license for a decade ) will send copies of the red herring to their clients for whom they feel the issue is a suitable investment. The SEC is very strict on what can be said about an issue, in registration.

In fact, during the pre-filing period (the time when the negotiations are going on between the issuer\and underwriter), absolutely nothing can be said about it to anyone.  For example, if the regulators find out that your stock broker discussed with you  the fact that his firm was negotiating with an issuer for a possible public offering, he could be fined, or jailed.

During the cooling off period (the time when the red herring is being distributed), nothing may be sent to you; not a research report, nor a recommendation from another firm, or even the sales literature. The only thing you are permitted to receive is the red herring. The red herring is used to acquaint prospects with essential information about the offering. If you are interested in purchasing the security, then you will receive an “indication of interest”, but you can still not make a purchase or send money.

No sales may be made until the effective date; all that can be used to generate interest is the red herring.

Conclusion

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DAILY UPDATE: Tesla Lay Offs, Mammograms, Physician Pay, UnitedHealth and Tele-Health as Stock Markets Close Mixed

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Stat: 10%. That’s the percentage of Tesla employees that will be impacted by its global workforce reduction. Elon Musk sent an email to employees on Monday informing them of the layoffs, which he said were made to “reduce costs and increase productivity,” according to the WSJ. The move comes as the electric vehicle maker deals with a wider slowdown in EV sales. (the Wall Street Journal)

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UnitedHealth Group, reeling from the Change cyberattack, recorded a loss of $1.4 billion in the first quarter. Still, its EPS exceeded expectations and the stock is trading up.


The Florida Medicaid market is a big prize for insurers. Just three plans earned statewide contracts, starting in October.


And … physicians made steady pay gains last year, but increases were undercut by inflation rates. See how other specialties fared, according to a report from Medscape.

The social determinants of health can impact a woman’s chance of being up to date with her mammogram, according to a recent Centers for Disease Control and Prevention report. Women are less likely to get a mammogram if they feel socially isolated, have lost a job or don’t have reliable transportation.


And…A major House subcommittee is considering whether to issue another short-term extension on telehealth flexibilities as they continue to evaluate cost and quality issues or to enact permanent changes to virtual care reimbursement.  The American Telemedicine Association is pushing Congress to make permanent the Medicare telehealth flexibilities implemented during the COVID-19 pandemic.

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) declined 10.41 points (0.2%) to 5,051.41, its lowest close in almost two months; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) advanced 63.86 points (0.2%) to 37,798.97; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) eased 19.77 points (0.1%) to 15,865.25.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield gained almost 4 basis points to 4.667%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) fell 0.83 to 18.40.

Scaled-back expectations for Fed rate cuts continued to burden interest-rate-sensitive sectors, such as banks and utilities. The KBW Regional Bank Index (KRX) lost 1.4% and ended near a five-month low. The small-cap Russell 2000® Index (RUT) dropped 0.4% and ended at a two-month low.

In other markets, the U.S. dollar index (DXY) strengthened for the fifth consecutive trading day and hit its highest level since late October, reflecting expectations rates will stay elevated. 

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