DAILY UPDATE: CPI Up as Sock Markets End Mixed

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The consumer price index, a broad-based measure of goods and services costs, increased 0.3% on the month, putting the 12-month inflation rate at 2.7%, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Tuesday. The numbers were right in line with the Dow Jones consensus. Excluding volatile food and energy prices, core inflation picked up 0.2% on the month, with the annual rate moving to 2.9%, also matching the respective estimates.

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Stocks up

  • Citigroup gained 3.68% after the big bank reported better-than-expected earnings.
  • CoreWeave climbed 6.21% on the news that it will build a $6 billion AI data center in Pennsylvania.
  • Trade Desk jumped 6.59% thanks to its inclusion in the S&P 500, replacing the outgoing Ansys.
  • The Trump administration has launched a probe into drone imports. Drones use polysilicon, a key ingredient for solar panels, and tariffs on the material could help boost profitability for domestic manufacturers like First Solar, which rose 6.90%.
  • National Fuel Gas rose 5.65% after the energy company caught a rare double upgrade from Bank of America analysts, who like the energy company’s improved productivity.

Stocks down

  • BlackRock fell 5.86% after the world’s largest asset manager reported that a single client pulled $52 billion last quarter.
  • It wasn’t a great day for other big banks: Wells Fargo sank 5.43% after cutting its 2025 net interest income guidance, while JPMorgan Chase lost 0.74% despite beating sales and profit estimates.
  • Albertsons tumbled 5.02% even though the grocer reported a solid quarter thanks to strong pharmacy sales and digital revenue.
  • Newmont dropped 5.71% on the news that CFO Karyn Ovelmen is leaving the gold miner.

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Visualize: How private equity tangled banks in a web of debt, from the Financial Times.

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MAY: Jobs Report

BREAKING NEWS!

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Markets: Stocks fell yesterday as investors readied themselves for today’s jobs report. The May jobs report is expected to show hiring slowed while the unemployment rate held flat. The data release will come as investors closely watch for any further signs of slowing in the US labor market.

CPI: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2024/07/13/what-is-the-elderly-cpi/

The Bureau of Labor Statistics data is slated for release at 8:30 a.m. ET, today. Economists expect non-farm payroll to have risen by 125,000 in May and the unemployment rate to have held steady at 4.2%, according to consensus estimates compiled by Bloomberg.

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FINANCIAL ADVISORS: Usually Aren’t Millionaires

THE TRUTH MUST BE TOLD!

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP

http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com

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Financial Advisors and Financial Planners Usually Aren’t Millionaires

According to the most recent data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), financial advisors had a median annual salary of $99,580 in 2023, which is significantly higher than the national average of $65,470. Of course, salaries of financial advisors can differ significantly by their location and level of expertise. The client’s profile may also have an impact on their compensation. But, many are not rich.

REPLACE FINANCIAL PLANNERS: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2023/03/15/why-your-financial-planner-may-be-replaced/

This is unfortunate. Financial advisors and Financial planners don’t rank among the millionaire professions in Thomas J. Stanley and William D. Danko’s book The Millionaire Next Door. Many work as salaried employees rather than entrepreneurs, lacking the scalable income potential of business owners who reinvest profits.

Certified Medical Planner: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2024/12/17/certified-medical-planner-niche-advisors-thrive/

Stanley and Danko also stressed frugality, a challenge for advisors pressured to flaunt success—think luxury cars or upscale offices—making them “income-statement affluent” rather than “balance-sheet affluent.”

BEST DOG FINANCIAL ADVISOR: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2025/03/23/dog-nearly-fetches-prestigious-financial-advisor-honor/

CONCLUSION

The truth is that a Financial Advisors’ success isn’t measured in client returns. Instead it is measured in their ability to gather assets and retain clients. In other words; Financial Advisors do not need to be good with money.

Financial Advisors need to be good with marketing, advertising, sales and people.

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EDUCATION: Books

SPEAKING: Dr. Marcinko will be speaking and lecturing, signing and opining, teaching and preaching, storming and performing at many locations throughout the USA this year! His tour of witty and serious pontifications may be scheduled on a planned or ad-hoc basis; for public or private meetings and gatherings; formally, informally, or over lunch or dinner. All medical societies, financial advisory firms or Broker-Dealers are encouraged to submit a RFP for speaking engagements: MarcinkoAdvisors@outlook.com 

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DAILY UPDATE: Inflation Down, Wage Garnishments Up but Stocks Finish Mixed

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Inflation fell by one tenth of a percentage point to 2.3% for the year ending in April, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Tuesday in an update to the consumer price index. Forecasters had expected inflation to hold at 2.4%. 

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What’s up

  • Coinbase exploded 23.97% on the news that the crypto trading platform will be added to the S&P 500 next week.
  • Nvidia climbed back into the elite $3 trillion market cap club today, rising 5.63% on the announcement that it will send 18,000 AI chips to Saudi Arabia.
  • Solar stocks soared after early drafts of a Republican tax and spending bill revealed renewable energy cuts weren’t as bad as feared. First Solar climbed 22.66%, while SunRun popped 8.58%.
  • Super Micro Computer climbed 16.02% thanks to Raymond James analysts initiating their coverage of the server maker with an “outperform” rating.
  • Boeing rose 2.46% now that the Chinese government has removed its ban on domestic airlines accepting orders from the plane manufacturer.
  • Rising sentiment powered popular momentum stocks higher today: Palantir rose 8.14%, AppLovin climbed 6.38%, Robinhood Markets jumped 8.95%, and Hims & Hers Health gained 15.92%.

What’s down

  • Honda Motor fell 4.20% after the company warned that tariffs will ding its bottom line and postponed its plans to build an EV plant in Canada.
  • Hertz Global plunged 16.93% after it missed analyst estimates across the board and announced it will offer fewer cars for rentals this year.
  • Enphase Energy lost 4.82% on a downgrade from Barclays analysts, who foresee slower demand for residential solar power products.
  • Rigetti Computing dropped 14.59% after the quantum computing company failed to live up to the high expectations that strong results from its competitors had given shareholders.

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Wage garnishment for defaulted student loans to begin this summer.

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HEALTH ACTUARY: Medical Professions

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP®

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THE MEDICAL AND HEALTHCARE ACTUARY

Health actuaries analyze potential risks, profits and trends that will affect their employers, which are often in the health insurance, government health services and medical provider industries. They advise companies on issuing policies to consumers based on risks, calculated premiums and upcoming changes in health-care costs.

It’s common for an actuary to have a bachelor’s degree or higher in actuary studies, mathematics or statistics. Coursework on medical terminology and hierarchy of the medical field is also beneficial. In addition to academic education, certification is also necessary to reach “professional status,” which is required by most employers.

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The professional organization, Society of Actuaries, certifies actuaries in the health and medical field. Their statistical work is commonly done with predictive tables, probability tables and life tables that are created on customized statistical analysis software such as Stata or XLSTAT.

The actuary field as a whole is growing faster than other fields, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics [BLS]. In 2020, it expanded by 27 percent. The average annual salary for an actuary in 2010 was $87,650. More specifically, in the health insurance field, the salary was slightly higher at $91,000.

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CPI: February 2025

BREAKING NEWS

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The Consumer Price Index (CPI) for February found that the cost of goods and services rose 0.2% on the month. The annual rate of inflation was also up 2.8% — slightly less than expected.

Here’s a breakdown of several price changes for February:

  • Food: increase 0.2%
  • Energy: increase 0.2%
  • Electricity: increase 1.0%
  • New vehicles: decrease 0.1%
  • Used vehicles: increase 0.9%
  • Apparel: increase 0.6%
  • Shelter: increase 0.3%
  • Transportation: decrease 0.8%
  • Medical care services: increase 0.3%

The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that according to its indexes, over the month the cost of medical care rose 0.3%, physicians’ services were 0.4% higher, hospital services added 0.1%, and prescription-drug costs were unchanged. 

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DAILY UPDATE: Unemployment Rate, Banking Rules and Mental Health as the Markets Continue to Rise

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After rising for more than a year, the unemployment rate fell to 4.2% in August from 4.3% in July, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported. That dip matched Wall Street’s consensus forecast, but the 142,000 new jobs added fell short of the 160,000 that analysts had expected, according to FactSet data cited by CNN.

The Biden administration released a final rule this week that would require payers to cover behavioral health services, including addiction care, to the same extent that they’d cover all other forms of healthcare. The move comes amid a rising mental health crisis in the US and in light of the fact that the vast majority of people with substance use disorders don’t receive treatment.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource

What’s up

  • Dave & Busters Entertainment popped 4.66% after announcing strong sales and earnings growth last quarter, along with opening 13 new locations (more tokens for everyone!).
  • Petco Health and Wellness roared 32.90% despite mixed earnings last quarter, though shareholders wagged their tails at new CEO Joel Anderson’s plans to improve profitability.
  • Viking Therapeutics rose 11.31% thanks to JP Morgan initiating coverage of the company with a bullish overweight rating.

What’s down

  • Bank of America slipped 0.71% after a new filing revealed that Warren Buffett sold more shares of the company last quarter.
  • Rentokil Initial plummeted 21.07% once the pest control company made it clear that slow sales and currency exchange rates will take a $105 million toll on full-year profits.

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The SPX rose 59 points (1.0%) to 5,554.13; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) gained 125 points (0.3%) to 40,861.71; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP)rose 370 points (2.17%) to 17,395.53.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) climbed just under two basis points to 3.66%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) fell to 17.7, the lowest close so far this month.

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Planned Fed rules are a win for big banks. The likes of JPMorgan and Bank of America celebrated the Fed walking back some of its proposals for tighter banking rules yesterday

Visualize: How private equity tangled banks in a web of debt, from the Financial Times.

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DAILY UPDATE: The CPI, Korion Health and the Stock Markets Rebound

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The March Consumer Price Index, which the Bureau of Labor Statistics released last week, revealed that core inflation hit 3.8% Year over Year in March, rising for the first time in 12 months. That’s moving in the wrong direction for the Fed, whose goal is to bring inflation down to 2%.

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index rose 43.37 points (0.9%) to 5,010.60; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) gained 253.58 points (0.7%) to 38,239.98; the NASDAQ Composite advanced 169.30 points (1.1%) to 15,451.31.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was little changed at 4.617%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) fell 1.41 to 16.39.

Chipmaker strength lifted the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) up 1.7% Monday, partially reclaiming last week’s 9.2% tumble. Banking shares were also among the strongest sectors, while the Russell 2000® Index (RUT) advanced 1%. WTI crude futures earlier dropped to just a few cents above $82 per barrel, the lowest intraday price since late March.

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Telemedicine has a lot of potential to bridge barriers and make it convenient for people to access healthcare. But it’s limited by lack of tools. Your doctor can’t reach through the computer screen.”—Akshaya Anand, co-founder of Korion Health, on the startup’s efforts to create an electronic stethoscope for clinicians to record heart and lung movement (Maryland Today)

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DAILY UPDATE: Inflation Upticks as Big Pharma Blocks Medicare Price Negotiations and Stocks Soar with Nvidia and Oracle!

By Staff Reporters

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Big pharma sues over California drug price law

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Pharmaceutical companies have filed a slew of suits around the country to get federal judges to invalidate a government program aimed at lowering drug costs for seniors by allowing Medicare to negotiate prices, as is the norm in many other countries, according to the Washington Post. The companies argue it’s unconstitutional and would inhibit their ability to develop new treatments.

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The Federal Reserve is looking for steady, reliable signs that inflation is simmering down before it cuts interest rates this year. So far, 2024 has not delivered. Data released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on Tuesday showed prices rose 3.2 percent over last year, slightly outpacing forecasts of 3.1 percent. Prices also rose 0.4 percent in February over the previous month — in line with expectations, but still hotter than economists would like to discern.

Stocks swung up on Tuesday as investors shrugged off a middling inflation report and looked ahead to next week’s Fed meeting. Meanwhile, Oracle went sky-high, posting its best day since 2021 after demand for AI prompted a huge increase in sales for its cloud computing business.

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) gained 57.33 points (1.1%) to 5,175.27; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) added 235.83 points (0.6%) to 39,005.49; the NASDAQ Composite® (COMP) climbed 246.36 points (1.5%) to 16,265.64.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) rose about 5 basis points to 4.155%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) fell 1.38 to 13.84.

Chip makers’ bounce-back helped boost the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) more than 2%, as it recovered part of a 5% drop the previous two trading days. Industry leader Nvidia (NVDA) jumped over 7%. Consumer discretionary and communications services shares were also among the strongest areas. Regional banks and real estate were among the weakest sectors as the CPI data spurred an upturn in Treasury yields.

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U.S. ECONOMY: Perhaps a “Soft Landing” After All?

YET- HEALTH CARE IS GROWING!

By Staff Reporters

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The US economy is looking like it could avoid a downturn and achieve a soft landing after all. US employers added a more-than-expected 199,000 workers to their payrolls last month, the Bureau of Labor Statistics said recently. The solid result calmed many analysts’ fears that a steeper economic slowdown is imminent due to the Federal Reserve’s earlier interest rate hikes. And, it brings us closer to the coveted “soft landing” scenario, in which the Fed tames inflation on the economy. For example:

  • The unemployment rate unexpectedly ticked down for the first time since July, to 3.7%.
  • Average hourly pay increased by 0.4% and is now up 4% for the year, beating the projected pace of annual price growth.
  • But the job market isn’t quite what it used to be

Last month’s 199-k jobs created were below the average of 240,000 added in the preceding 12 months. Plus, November hiring was confined to just a handful of industries:

  • Healthcare and the government were responsible for two-thirds of the headcount growth, adding 77,000 and 49,000 jobs, respectively.
  • The manufacturing sector gained 28,000 workers—but that was largely due to folks returning to work after striking against the Big Three automakers.
  • CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource/Title/082610254

Finally, in another sign that employers might be pulling back from on-boarding new people, the Labor Department reported earlier this week that job openings in late October were at their lowest since March 2021.

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DAILY UPDATE: The US Economy and Bureau of Labor Statistics Reports

By Staff Reporters

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The US kept adding jobs according to new data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The economy gained 339,000 pay-rolled employees in May, more than in each of the preceding three months and way more than the 190,000 Dow Jones predicted (to be fair, expert estimates low-balled 13 of the last 16 job reports, according to CNBC. This growth happened despite climbing interest rates, inflation, recent bank failures, and a nerve-racking debt ceiling standoff that threatened to destroy the economy And, Wall Street interpreted the data as a big green “buy” sign. For example:

Stocks leaped up last week as investors celebrated the deal to lift the debt ceiling being showed that the economy is still going strong. In fact, Lululemon stretched toward the heavens after beating earnings expectations thanks to a 24% year over year jump in sales.

But not all indications pointed to the hot streak continuing indefinitely.

The unemployment rate inched, wage growth slowed, and workers appear less self-assured in the labor market:

  • The self-employed lost 369,000 people from its ranks in May, a possible sign that folks might be ditching the self-employment for the security of a traditional employer.
  • And, recent data shows the quit rate has declined from an all-time high in late 2021, bringing an end to the pandemic job-hopping trend dubbed the Great Resignation.
  • Ultimately, the Fed will have to use the conflicting and mixed economic indicators to decide whether to further crank up interest rates at their next meeting. The Federal Reserve has been hinting that it might cease raising interest rates, and investors seem convinced the central bank will follow through and at least “skip” a hike this month even though the labor market is still radiating heat.

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DAILY UPDATE: BLS and Machine Learning

By Staff Reporters

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Increases in the shelter, food, and medical care indexes were the largest of many contributors to the monthly seasonally adjusted all items increase.”—Bureau of Labor Statistics’s Consumer Price Index Summary

According to Betterment, one of the world’s largest robo-advisors, whose consumer-facing investment offerings make virtually no use of machine learning. [Emerging Tech]

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The “Fair Health” Study of Private Healthcare Claims

By Staff Reporters

Three [3] Key Findings

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 •  Among patients aged 19-35, mental health conditions were the most common diagnosis associated with emergency ground ambulance in the period 2016-2020.
 •  Throughout the period 2016-2020, advanced-life-support (ALS) accounted for a larger percentage of emergency ground ambulance claim lines than basic-life-support (BLS) services. For example, in 2020, 51.5% of emergency ground ambulance claim lines were associated with ALS compared to 48.5% associated with BLS.
 •  Individuals 65 years and older were consistently the largest age group associated with emergency ground ambulance services, though their share of the distribution decreased from 37.7% in 2016 to 34% in 2020.

Source: Fair Health Via PR Newswire, “Ground Ambulance Services in the United States,” February 23, 2022

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Are Interest Rates expected to increase in December?

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And, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) said …

Art

By Arthur Chalekian GEPC
[Financial Consultant]

U.S. job growth surpassed expectations in October. About 271,000 jobs were created across diverse industries: professional and business services, health care, retail, construction, and others. That was a significantly higher number than predicted by economists who participated in a survey conducted by The Wall Street Journal. They expected to see 183,000 new jobs for October.

BLS revised

The BLS revised August and September jobs numbers higher overall and reported improvement on the wage front, too. Average hourly earnings increased by nine cents during October. For the year, hourly earnings are up 2.5 percent. Rising wages and a 5 percent unemployment rate “appear to indicate the labor market has reached full employment,” reported Barron’s.

Strong employment data supports the idea the Fed will begin to lift the Fed funds rate this year. On Friday, former Chairman of the Federal Reserve Ben Bernanke wrote in his blog:

“Wednesday was something of a trifecta for Fed watchers: Chair Yellen, Board Vice-Chair Stanley Fischer, and Federal Reserve Bank of New York president Bill Dudley (who is also the vice chair of the Federal Open Market Committee) all made public appearances. Moreover, the comments by all three members of the Fed’s leadership explicitly or implicitly supported the idea that a December rate increase by the FOMC is a distinct possibility. (The possibility of a rate increase is even more distinct with this morning’s strong job market report.)”

Markets responded swiftly, according to The Wall Street Journal, as investors repositioned their portfolios in anticipation of a rate hike. While stock market indices remained relatively steady, there was considerable volatility within certain sectors. An expert cited by the publication commented:

“…one of the big rotation trades on Friday was investors taking money out of companies such as utilities and real-estate-investment trusts, and putting it into those that are expected to benefit from higher rates, such as financial companies.”

Conclusion

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Speaker: If you need a moderator or speaker for an upcoming event, Dr. David E. Marcinko; MBA – Publisher-in-Chief of the Medical Executive-Post – is available for seminar or speaking engagements. Contact: MarcinkoAdvisors@msn.com

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Macro-Economics and What the ‘Chained CPI’ Could Mean for Social Security?

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Definition of Chain-Weighted CPI

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA

Dr David E Marcinko MBAAn alternative BLS measurement for the Consumer Price Index (CPI), removing the biases associated with new products, changes in quality and discounted prices.

The chain weighted CPI incorporates the average changes in the quantity of goods purchased, along with standard pricing effects. This allows the chain weighted CPI to reflect situations where customers shift the weight of their purchases from one area of spending to another.

Read more: http://www.investopedia.com/terms/c/chain-linked-cpi.asp#ixzz2FdiMs25f

information

Investopedia Example:

The chain weighted CPI incorporates changes in both the quantities and prices of products. For example, let’s examine clothing purchases between two years. Last year you bought a sweater for $40 and two t-shirts at $35 each. This year, two sweaters were purchased at $35 each and one t-shirt for $45.

Standard CPI calculations would produce an inflation level of 13.64% 

((1 x 35 + 2 x 45)/ (1 x 40 + 2 x 35)) =1.1364

The chain weighted approach estimates inflation to be 4.55%

((2 x 35 + 1 x 45)/ (1 x 40 + 2 x 35)) =1.0455.

Using the chain weighted approach reveals the impact of a customer purchasing more sweaters than t-shirts.

Read more: http://www.investopedia.com/terms/c/chain-linked-cpi.asp#ixzz2FdiceVyv

BLS Application

  • What is the C-CPI-U and when did the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) begin publishing it?

BLS began publishing the Chained Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers effective with the release of July 2002 CPI data. Designated the C-CPI-U, the index supplements the existing indexes already produced by the BLS: the CPI for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) and the CPI for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W).

The C-CPI-U employs a formula that reflects the effect of substitution that consumers make across item categories in response to changes in relative prices.

Read more: C-CPI-U data can be found on the BLS web site at http://data.bls.gov/cgi-bin/surveymost?su

Substitution Bias

  • What is substitution and substitution bias? And does the C-CPI-U eliminate it?

Traditionally, the CPI was considered an upper bound on a cost-of-living index in that the CPI did not reflect the changes in consumption patterns that consumers make in response to changes in relative prices.

Since January 1999, a geometric mean formula has been used to calculate most basic indexes within the CPI; this formula allows for a modest amount of substitution within item categories as relative price changes.

The geometric mean formula, though, does not account for consumer substitution taking place between CPI item categories. For example, pork and beef are two separate CPI item categories. If the price of pork increases while the price of beef does not, consumers might shift away from pork to beef. The C-CPI-U is designed to account for this type of consumer substitution between CPI item categories. In this example, the C-CPI-U would rise, but not by as much as an index that was based on fixed purchase patterns.

With the geometric mean formula in place to account for consumer substitution within item categories, and the C-CPI-U designed to account for consumer substitution between item categories, any remaining substitution bias would be quite small.

Assessment 

Link: What ‘chained CPI’ could mean for Social Security

White Paper: http://www.bls.gov/cpi/super_paris.pdf

Conclusion

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Consultants and Hospital Employment Statistics

Economic Conditions Better than Other Major Industries

By Staff Reporters

horizontal-nurses1According to Richard Pizzi, on March 9th, Healthcare Finance Newsweek reported that employment at US hospitals climbed 0.14 percent in February to a seasonally adjusted 4,719,300 people.

Bureau of Labor Statistics

Responding to just issued BLS data, the number employed was 6,800 more than in January and 131,800 more than in February 2008. Without seasonal adjustments, which remove the effects of fluctuations due to seasonal events, hospitals employed 4,703,700 people in February 2009, 2,200 more than in January and 130,100 more than a year ago.

Impact on Healthcare Consultants

This was good news for financial advisors, insurance agents and accountants; medical management consultants and health economists; HIT suppliers and related DME vendors, etc.

Assessment

The news was not so good in other areas of the American economy, however, as the national unemployment rate rose from 7.6 percent to 8.1 percent. The US economy shed an additional 651,000 jobs in February 2009. But, according to Rachel Pentin-Maki; RN, MHA of www.MedicalBusinessAdvisors.com

“Employment continues to be strong in almost all aspects of the healthcare industrial complex. This includes professionals, technicians, nurses and para-professionals, as well. However, in the long-term, we believe that medicine will not attract the best and brightest young minds in the future. The economic, political and competitive demographics are just not favorable.” 

Conclusion

And so, your thoughts and comments on this Medical Executive-Post are appreciated. Is healthcare really a recession proof industry? What about those bright young minds; where will they go for professional careers, instead?

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