DAILY UPDATE: Deutsche Bank, YouTube Health Initiative and the Markets

By Staff Reporters

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Regulators fined Deutsche Bank $186 million for not fixing anti-money laundering, due diligence, and sanctions controls. This is the third time since 2015 that the Federal Reserve has fined the troubled bank for internal control failures. (CNN Business)

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Under the YouTube Health Initiative, the company partnered with several healthcare organizations, including traditional health systems like Cleveland Clinic in Ohio and Mass General Brigham in Boston, as well as online health education platforms like Osmosis and Psych Hub. Other partners include the medical journal the New England Journal of Medicine, the World Health Organization, and the American Public Health Association.

These health organizations created videos on a range of health topics, which YouTube curates in what it calls “carousels” and labels to indicate that the information comes from reputable sources. If someone searches for information on diabetes, for example, they’ll get a carousel of videos from the health partners on diabetes.

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Here is where the major benchmarks ended yesterday and for the week:

  • The S&P 500 Index was up 1.47 points at 4,536.34, up 0.7% for the week and the benchmark’s eighth weekly gain in the past 10; the Dow Jones industrial average was up 2.51 points at 35,227.69, up 2.1% for the week; the NASDAQ Composite was down 30.50 points (0.2%) at 14,032.81, down 0.6% for the week.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was down about 2 basis points at 3.837%.
  • CBOE’s Volatility Index (VIX) was down 0.39 at 13.60.

Utility and health care shares were among the strongest performers Friday, which may reflect investors rotating into more “defensive” sectors, which haven’t participated as much in this year’s rally and may be seen as a “relative value” or “catch-up” play.

Energy stocks were also strong as crude oil futures jumped over 2% and posted a fourth straight weekly gain. Regional banks and communication services were among the weakest sectors, while the small-cap-focused Russell 2000 (RUT) fell slightly.

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DAILY UPDATE: Novartis AG Up, Verizon Down as Markets Surge

By Staff Reporters

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(Bloomberg) — Novartis AG raised its profit outlook and announced plans to buy back as much as $15 billion in shares as it prepares to spin off its Sandoz generics unit.  Operating profit excluding some items will likely grow by low double digits this year, the Swiss drug maker said in a statement, raising its forecast for a second time from a prior estimate of high single-digits gains. The stock rose as much as 4% in Zurich trading. 

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Shares of U.S. telecom giant Verizon (NYSE: VZ) fell 7.5% in trading on Monday after a series of articles in The Wall Street Journal highlighted the lead in cable sheathing that telecom companies used decades ago. Some analysts downgraded the stock, but the market sold before more details were available from the company. 

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Here is where the major market benchmarks ended:

U.S. stocks extended a rally as better-than-expected bank results boosted the S&P 500 and NASDAQ to fresh 15-month highs.

  • The S&P 500 Index was up 32.19 points (0.7%) at 4,554.98; the Dow Jones industrial average was up 366.58 points (1.1%) at 34,951.93; the NASDAQ Composite was up 108.69 points (0.8%) at 14,353.64.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was little changed at 3.793%.
  • CBOE’s Volatility Index (VIX) was down 0.16 at 13.32.

Financial stocks were among the strongest performers Tuesday, sending the KBW Regional Banking Index (KRX) up over 4%. Oilfield services shares were also strong as crude oil futures gained over 2%. The small-cap Russell 2000 (RUT) gained over 1% and posted a five-month high.

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DAILY UPDATE: Global Stock Earnings Reports Pending?

By Staff Reporters

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A near-$10 trillion rally for global stocks this year will face a make-or-break moment as hundreds of companies report earnings over the next few weeks.

S&P 500 firms are expected to post a 9% drop in profits in the second quarter, making it the worst season since 2020, according to data compiled by Bloomberg Intelligence.

In Europe, it may be even worse, with a projected 12% slump. But with the bar already low — and some indicators suggesting an earnings recovery next year — strategists are split on how the markets will react.

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DAILY UPDATE: Big Bank Earnings and the Markets

By Staff Reporters

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The biggest U.S. banks presented a picture of a resilient economy on Friday, with consumers and businesses continuing to spend and borrow even after a lightning-fast rise in interest rates.

JPMorgan Chase’s profit soared 67% in the second quarter from a year earlier and Wells Fargo’s jumped 57%, lifted by the income they earned lending out money at higher rates. Citigroup’s net interest income was a bright spot, though profit fell 36%. All three banks beat analysts’ expectations for profit and revenue.

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Here is where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 Index was down 4.62 points (0.1%) at 4,505.42, up 2.4% for the week; the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) was up 113.89 points (0.3%) at 34,509.03, up 2.3% for the week; the NASDAQ Composite was down 24.87 points (0.2%) at 14,113.70, up 3.3% for the week.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was up about 7 basis points at 3.828%.
  • CBOE’s Volatility Index (VIX) was down 0.29 at 13.32.

Energy shares were among the weakest performers Friday after crude oil futures retreated nearly 2% from 2½-month highs posted Thursday. Regional banks were also lower despite stronger-than-expected quarterly results from their larger peers.

Health care and Consumer Staples were among the strongest performers. The U.S. dollar gained slightly but remained near a 17-month low against the euro.

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DAILY UPDATE: Summer Trauma Season but Not for the Markets

By Staff Reporters

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We hope everyone is staying safe out there, especially because in healthcare, summertime is known as “trauma season.” Accidents nearly double for children, and adult injuries increase by almost 25%, with the main culprits being sports and recreational activities. So remember to put on a helmet, knee and elbow pads; etc.

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Stocks surged on Wednesday after a cooler-than-expected June consumer price index report eased some worries that the Federal Reserve may tip the economy into a recession as it fights to bring down sticky inflation.  

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite jumped 0.74% and 1.15%, respectively, to hit their highest closing levels since April 2022. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 86.01 points, or 0.25%.

Fundstrat’s Tom Lee told CNBC’s “Closing Bell: Overtime” on Wednesday that today’s CPI print, future expectations for easing and recent stock activity paint a market that is “behaving more like a soft landing” scenario that many deemed unreachable at the start of 2023.  

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DAILY UPDATE: Home Sales Slow Down

By Staff Reporters

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Want to know why there are seemingly no houses for sale in the US these days? These numbers should help explain:

The average rate on a 30-year mortgage climbed to 6.81% last week, its highest level of 2023, according to Freddie Mac. At the same time, almost 92% of US homeowners with mortgages have an interest rate of less than 6%, Redfin reported.

So, not many current homeowners are willing to ditch their lower mortgage rates for the higher one that would come with a new house.

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  • Markets: As Wall Street heads into another earnings season this week, no one has much of a clue where stocks will go from here. Bloomberg notes there’s a whopping 50% difference between the most bullish analyst forecast for the S&P 500 for the rest of 2023 and the most bearish.

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MID-YEAR: Stock Market Wrap-Up

By Staff Reporters

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Investors are coming out of the mid-year investing season enthused and thanks to an Artificial Intelligence fueled stock market rally that turned into an everything rally.

The NASDAQ posted its best H1 since 1983, and the S&P 500 had its best first-half performance since 2019.

But, don’t expect Wall Street fireworks for the next few days. The US stock market will close early today and shut down tomorrow for Independence Day.

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DAILY UPDATE: Stocks Down Again but Pickleball is Up!

By Staff Reporters

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The NASDAQ and S&P 500 fell to two-week lows, adding to last week’s declines, as investors continued to digest hawkish Fed comments and recession risks.

Here is where the major benchmarks ended today:

  • The S&P 500 Index was down 19.51 points (0.5%) at 4,328.82; the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) was down 12.72 points at 33, 714.71; the NASDAQ Composite was down 156.74 points (1.2%) at 13,335.78.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was down about 2 basis points at 3.714%.
  • CBOE’s Volatility Index (VIX) was up 0.77 at 14.21.

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UnitedHealth Group related more people were using the healthcare system (bad news for insurers), and no one exactly knew why. Then yesterday, the sleuths at UBS published a note with a clever hypothesis: Rising healthcare utilization rates could be fueled by…pickleball injuries.

UBS calculated that the game’s surging popularity—among seniors, in particular—will contribute $377 million in medical costs this year for procedures like hip replacements and knee surgeries, Bloomberg reported.

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DAILY UPDATE: NASDAQ Down but U.S. Dollar Up

By Staff Reporters

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Last week, the NASDAQ snapped its eight-week winning streak, but it’s still on pace for its best and has nearly erased its total losses from 2022. Over in the media world, everyone (Disney, Warner Bros. Discovery, Paramount Global) is struggling except Netflix.

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But, the U.S. dollar rose to a 15-month high against the ruble this Monday after dramatic weekend events in Russia, which saw an aborted mutiny by heavily armed mercenaries. The dollar index also found some safe-haven support on lingering worries that the protracted monetary tightening cycles from major central banks would further hurt the global economic outlook.

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DAILY UPDATE: RIP OceanGate Titan as Stocks Rise a Bit

By Staff Reporters

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The marine mystery that captivated the world this week had a tragic conclusion: Authorities confirmed yesterday that they found broken pieces of the OceanGate Titan submersible near the Titanic wreckage it was en route to explore, meaning its five passengers are dead.

They are OceanGate CEO Stockton Rush, British explorer Hamish Harding, Titanic expert Paul-Henri Nargeolet, British-Pakistani businessman Shahzada Dawood, and his son, Suleman Dawood (who, according to his aunt, was “terrified” of the trip but ultimately went to please his dad for Father’s Day).

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Here is where the major benchmarks ended yesterday

The S&P and NASDAQ found their way back into the green after a three-day losing streak, though the market overall has been a little sleepy this week.

Yesterday’s winner goes to Overstock which jumped after the online retailer agreed to buy Bed Bath & Beyond’s IP, name and digital assets for $21.5 million. But BB&B, which went bankrupt in April, won’t be able to keep its stores open as part of the deal.

And, the 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was little changed at 3.727%.

While, CBOE’s Volatility Index (VIX) was  was down 0.68 at 13.19.

Technology shares were among the weakest performers Wednesday, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) dropping nearly 2% to near a two-week low.

Regional banks were also lower. Energy stocks led sector gainers as crude oil futures jumped nearly 2% to a two-week high on hopes for stronger demand from China.

Volatility based on the VIX sank to its lowest level since January 2020.

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DAILY UPDATE: Stocks Slow in Late Day Trading

By Staff Reporters

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Here is where the major benchmarks ended; yesterday

  • The S&P 500 Index was down 16.25 points (0.4%) at 4,409.59; the Dow Jones industrial average was down 108.94 (0.3%) at 34,299.12; the NASDAQ Composite was down 93.25 (0.7%) at 13,689.57.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was up about 4 basis points at 3.769%.
  • CBOE’s Volatility Index (VIX) was down 0.97 at 13.53.

Retailers and regional banks were among the weakest performers Friday, and the Russell 2000 ended with a loss of about 1%.

Energy companies were among the strongest sectors thanks to crude oil futures extending a recent rally above $70 a barrel.

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DAILY UPDATE: UnitedHealth Group Down as Markets Up after FOMC Pause

By Staff Reporters

UnitedHealth Group expects to spend more of its members’ premiums on medical care in the second quarter, driven by a rise in outpatient care for Americans 65 and older in Medicare plans, CFO John Rex said Tuesday at a Goldman Sachs investor conference. Speaking at a Goldman Sachs healthcare conference, Tim Noel, CEO of UnitedHealth’s Medicare and retirement business, pointed to elevated demand for outpatient procedures from Medicare patients, per Reuters. 

“We’re seeing that more seniors are just more comfortable accessing services for things that they might have pushed off a bit like knees and hips,” Noel reportedly said at the conference. The elevated demand is expected to increase the company’s second-quarter costs and premiums look set to lag spending on claims. As a result, UnitedHealth said it expects its medical loss ratio for full-year 2023 to be in the upper end of its prior outlook. 

But, following the news, RBC Capital analyst Ben Hendrix reiterated UnitedHealth with an Outperform and maintained its $592 price target. Mizuho analyst Ann Hynes also reiterated UnitedHealth with a Buy and a $600 price target.

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THE MARKETS

Here is where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 Index was up 3.58 points (0.1%) at 4,372.59; the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) was down 232.79 (0.7%) at 33,979.33; the NASDAQ Composite was up 53.16 (0.4%) at 13,626.48.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was down about 4 basis points at 3.80%.
  • Cboe’s Volatility Index (VIX) was down 0.74 at 13.87.

Regional banks and retail were among the weakest sectors Wednesday. The KBW Regional Banking Index (KRX) tumbled from a 14-month high earlier in the day, ending down nearly 3%. Small-caps stocks also took a hit, as the Russell 2000 Index (RUT) fell 1.2%. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) rebounded sharply from a four-week low, boosted by the indications rates will stay higher for longer.

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DAILY UPDATE: The Turkish Lira Plunges, Janet Yellen Speaks and the Markets Diverge

By Staff Reporters

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Turkey’s lira plunged 7% to a record low yesterday in its biggest selloff since a historic 2021 crash, a move traders said is a “strong signal” that Ankara is moving away from state controls toward a freely traded currency. The currency has come under increasing pressure since President Tayyip Erdogan was re-elected on May 28. It was trading at 23.18 against the dollar at 1500 GMT, after touching a record low of 23.19, bringing its losses this year to around 20%.

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Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, in her first interview since the U.S. debt-ceiling was lifted last week by Congress, warned on Wednesday about the potential for banks to feel strain from their exposure to weakening commercial real estate valuations. Yellen was asked by CNBC “Squawk Box” host Andrew Ross Sorkin about if she’s worried about the state of estimated $20.7 trillion commercial real-estate market, particularly the office, and if weakness in the sector could potentially spark more bank failures.

“Well, I do think that there will be issues with respect to commercial real estate,” Yellen said. “Certainly, the demand for office space since we’ve seen such a big change in attitudes and behavior toward remote work has changed and especially in an environment of higher interest rates.”

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The equities market diverged today between a small handful of strong-performing mega-cap companies, which delivered most of the gains recently in the big benchmark indexes, and the lagging majority. Such concentration suggests a weakness below the headline numbers that could become a problem down the line.

Here is where the major benchmarks ended today:

  • The S&P 500® Index (SPX) was down 16.33 points (0.4%) at 4267.52; the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) was up 91.74 (0.3%) at 33,665.02; the NASDAQ Composite (COMPX) was down 171.52 (1.3%) at 13,104.90.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was up about 9 basis points at 3.791%.
  • CBOEs Volatility Index (VIX) was down 0.04 at 13.92.

Smaller financial companies were also in the spotlight again, with the KBW Regional Banking Index (KRX) continuing its rebound with a nearly 4% jump. Energy stocks were also strong as crude oil futures climbed more than 1%, and transportation companies also gained. Communication Services led decliners among S&P 500 sectors.

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DAILY UPDATE: MAXIM Data Breach, Gold and the Markets

By Staff Reporters

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Thousands of clients of Maxim Healthcare Services are about to receive a payment of up to $5,000 in compensation for a data breach. According to information obtained by The Sun, the private medical personnel company based in Columbia, Maryland; agreed to pay 2020 data breach claims filed in a class action lawsuit by residents of the state of California.

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Gold futures tallied a third consecutive session decline settling at their lowest in nearly a week as further strength in the U.S. dollar pressured prices for the precious metal. Gold gave up early gains that had been driven by uncertainty surrounding a U.S. debt-ceiling deal in Congress.

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And, here is where the major benchmarks ended yesterday:

  • The S&P 500 Index was down 30.34 points (0.7%) at 4115.24; the Dow Jones industrial average was down 255.59 (0.8%) at 32,799.92; the NASDAQ Composite was down 76.08 (0.6%) at 12,484.16.
  • The 10-year Treasury yield was up about 4 basis points at 3.742%.
  • CBOEs Volatility Index was up 1.52 at 20.04.

Technology and regional bank stocks were among the weakest sectors, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index down more than 2%. Energy was one of the few gainers among S&P 500 sectors as crude oil futures climbed to a three-week high of near $74 a barrel. The U.S. dollar index rose a third straight day to a two-month high.

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DAILY UPDATE: Stocks Up, Again!

By Staff Reporters

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  • Markets: Stocks climbed for the second straight day as a last-minute deal to raise the debt ceiling begins to take shape. GOP House Speaker Kevin McCarthy and Democratic Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer signaled their chambers could vote next week on an agreement that would avert the US’ first-ever default.
  • Stock spotlight: Netflix shares popped after the streamer said its cheaper ad-supported plan is off to a hot start. Earlier this week, Netflix said that 25% of its new subscribers opted for the ad tier in regions where it’s available.

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Here is where the major benchmarks ended yesterday:

  • The S&P 500 Index was up 39.28 points (0.9%) at 4198.05; the Dow Jones industrial average was up 115.14 (0.3%) at 33,535.91; the NASDAQ Composite was up 188.27 (1.5%) at 12,688.84.
  • The 10-year Treasury yield was up about 7 basis point at 3.65%.
  • CBOE’s Volatility Index was down 0.78 at 16.09.

The tech sector continued to be one of the market’s strongest performers, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index jumping nearly 3% and the Nasdaq-100 closing at a 13-month high. Real estate led decliners among S&P 500 sectors.

Also, the U.S. dollar index surged near a two-month high amid growing confidence the Fed won’t be lowering rates any time soon.

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The CPI Report and Inflation

By Staff Reporters

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Stocks were a mixed bag yesterday after the consumer price index showed prices rose 4.9% last month, marking the 10th month in a row of cooling inflation and the first time inflation has dipped below 5% in two years. That’s still higher than the Fed’s 2% target, but it leaves space for Jerome Powell to chill out a bit. Tech stocks got a boost from that news, especially Google’s parent, Alphabet, which also benefited from rolling out its new AI.

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What drove the markets?

Economists polled by the Wall Street Journal had forecast the CPI increasing 0.4% and advancing 5.0% over the past year. The core inflation rate rose 0.4% in April for the second straight month, in line with economists forecasts. For the year, the core inflation rate, excluding food and energy prices, increased 5.5% down from a 5.6% rise in March.

“The below 5% headline CPI number is a sigh of relief to a market on edge,” said Alexandra Wilson-Elizondo, co-head of portfolio management for multi asset solutions at Goldman Sachs Asset Management.

Traders hoped that the lower-than-expected inflation data may leave room for the U.S. central bank to refrain from raising interest rates further at its June meeting.

“The data today will be interpreted as not hot enough to force the Fed’s hand in June … We do not think this one data point will determine the outcome of the June FOMC meeting because we still have a string of economic data to process between now and then,” wrote Wilson-Elizondo.

“The details of the print suggest that we are still a meaningful distance from the Fed’s 2% target, giving little reason for the Fed to cut this year.”

Investors priced in the Federal Reserve beginning to trim borrowing costs in coming months, a hope that is seen underpinning stocks of late and helping the S&P 500 index move towards the top of the 3,800 to 4,200 range its has held all year.

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