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Posted on September 6, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters and A.I.
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Markets: Stocks started off Friday on a high note after a weak jobs report raised hopes that the Fed will cut interest rates this month. But the rally faded as the afternoon wore on, while 10-year bond yields tumbled to their lowest level since April.
Trade: President Trump said “fairly substantial” tariffs for semi-conductors are coming “very shortly,” but hinted that companies like Apple will be spared. He also clapped back at EU regulators for fines against Google.
Offbeat commodities: Raw sugar prices hit a two-month low as Brazilian producers churn out more of the sweet stuff, cocoa prices are expected to pop after Cargill paused production in Ivory Coast, and corn hit its highest price since July thanks to strong export demand.
Posted on September 4, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By A.I. and Staff Reporters
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Stocks: Markets slowed along yesterday with the S&P 500 and NASDAQ buoyed after a pivotal antitrust ruling for Alphabet pushed big tech stocks higher across the board.
Bonds: The 30-year Treasury pushed 5% yesterday as traders fret about the Fed’s independence and the odds of interest rate cuts.
Commodities: Oil sank on reports that OPEC+ is contemplating increasing its crude output next month, while gold reached yet another new record high as uncertainty swirling around the future of tariffs continued to rise. JPMorgan analysts now think the precious metal could climb as high as $4,250 by the end of next year.
Posted on April 24, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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Alphabet has been declared a monopoly for the second time in under a year. Analysts will have plenty of questions about the repercussions of the most recent ruling, but don’t expect a breakup of Google’s many businesses just yet.
And, the best business unit of them all these days is YouTube, which has seen a stunning surge in popularity lately that the search company will likely try to capitalize on, while it continues to tinker with its Gemini AI model. Consensus: $2.02 EPS, $89.25 billion in revenue.
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Intel seems like a bit of an also-ran in the AI race these days, with shares down over 40% in the last 12 months. But to bulls, that just means the stock is cheap, while the company itself has plenty of opportunities for growth ahead, including partnerships with Nvidia and TSMC.
And, don’t forget that Intel’s status as a dark horse lets it slip below the tariff radar—the domestic chip producer dodged the latest round of restrictions that hit Nvidia and AMD. Shareholders will be hoping to hear more good news ahead. Consensus: $0.09 EPS, $12.31 billion in revenue.
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The Medical Executive-Post is a news and information aggregator and social media professional network for medical and financial service professionals. Feel free to submit education content to the site as well as links, text posts, images, opinions and videos which are then voted up or down by other members. Comments and dialog are especially welcomed. Daily posts are organized by subject. ME-P administrators moderate the activity. Moderation may also conducted by community-specific moderators who are unpaid volunteers.
Posted on April 11, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters and Morning Brew
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Microsoft is celebrating its 50th birthday this week looking like a formerly washed up A-lister who’s suddenly rebounded and getting Oscar noms again.
Ever since Bill Gates and Paul Allen huddled in a garage in 1975 to start a company that’d define the experience of sitting in front of a boxy white PC monitor, Microsoft has had an uneven run. But after years of getting roasted for Internet Explorer, it now seems to be back on top—even briefly beating Apple as the world’s most valuable public company last year.
The tech giant can not only boast bonanza earnings, it also feels like a purveyor of the next big thing again, leading in the AI race through its partnership with OpenAI.
Windows washed
In the 1990s, it felt like Microsoft’s computer geeks were the overlords of tech. Windows powered most PCs, Internet Explorer became the go-to browser, and proficiency in Office tools became standard resume skills. But in the following decade, the company slept on internet tech and smartphones, ceding ground to Apple, Alphabet, and Meta.
It responded by going into midlife crisis mode, aka blowing cash on a series of questionable acquisitions to stay hip. That…didn’t help. By the 2010s, only grandparents could be reached @hotmail.com, Windows phones were a rarity, and no one used Bing as a verb.
When Gates stepped away from running the company in 2000, its new CEO Steve Ballmer grew its revenue threefold by the end of his tenure in 2013. He spearheaded Microsoft’s foray into gaming with the Xbox console and started its blockbuster cloud computing product Azure. But Microsoft’s profit growth slowed dramatically thanks to a massive cash bleed from its shopping spree.
It dropped $6.3 billion on the owner of ad tech platforms aQuantive to compete with Google’s ad business in 2007, only to write it off as a dud five years later.
The company burned at least $8 billion trying to make Windows phones a bigger force by buying Nokia’s cellphone division in 2014.
Microsoft paid $8.5 billion for Skype in 2011, which must’ve made it extra painful to announce that it was sunsetting the video calling service this winter.
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Cash-slinging comeback kid
When it blew out forty candles in 2015, the tech giant was looking past its prime. The stock was trading at around $35 a share, well below its $58 peak in 1999. Its net profit for the year was $12 billion. But investors who held on until now were rewarded with shares going for $374 on its birthday this week after the company reported a net profit of $88 billion in the last financial year.
Much of the revenue now comes from its Azure cloud computing business, which has been boosted by the booming AI industry ravenous for server power.
When Microsoft’s current CEO Satya Nadella stepped into the role in 2014, he doubled down on Azure to make Microsoft into a B2B behemoth selling computing power to tech companies.
It is now the world’s second largest cloud provider after Amazon Web Services, with a 21% market share, according to Synergy Research Group.
Microsoft also bought some businesses that didn’t fail, including LinkedIn—the thought leadership hub with a user base that has soared to 1 billion since the 2016 acquisition. It also owns GitHub, the leading code-sharing platform for software developers. And in its biggest purchase yet, it snagged gaming IP giant Activision Blizzard that owns Call of Duty and World of Warcraft for a whopping $68 billion in 2022, hoping to make itself a dominant caterer to the Xbox joystick-wielding crowd.
It’s an AI company now
The not-quite-acquisition that really got Microsoft its groundbreaker’s glitz back was pouring $13 billion into OpenAI.
Having gotten in on the ground floor of the AI boom, Microsoft is harnessing OpenAI’s models to power its CoPilot AI agent, which it embedded into its Office tools and Teams app. This pits it against other tech giants betting that AI agents automating tasks will be the biggest in-cubicle revolution since Excel.
Posted on March 10, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
BREAKING NEWS
By Staff Reporters
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US stocks plunged on Monday as investors processed growing concerns about the health of the US economy after President Trump and his top economic officials acknowledged the possibility of a potential rough patch.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) fell nearly 900 points, or over 2%, while the benchmark S&P 500 (^GSPC) dropped around 2.7% after the index posted its worst week since September.
The tech-heavy NASDAQ Composite (^IXIC) fell 4% in its worst day since 2022, as the “Magnificent Seven” stocks led the sell-off. Tesla’s (TSLA) rout continued, plunging 15% and officially wiping out the gains it had made in the wake of Trump’s election win. Nvidia (NVDA), Apple (AAPL), Google parent Alphabet (GOOG), and Meta (META) all each lost more than 4%.
Posted on October 10, 2024 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
Today is the only day of the year we can use the line: “Hey ME-P readers – you’re a 10/10.”
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Markets: Another day, more all-time highs for the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
Whether this two-day rally could extend to three will likely depend on this morning’s consumer price index inflation report for September, which will help shape the path of future Federal Reserve interest rate cuts. While most Big Tech stocks gained, Alphabet sank after the Department of Justice said it was considering asking a judge to break it up as we previously reported on this ME-P.
Posted on July 25, 2024 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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What it is: The NASDAQ Composite is an index composed of 2,500+ stocks as well as other equities such as American Depository Receipts [ADRs] and Real Estate Investment Trusts [REITs].
How it works: Unlike the DJIA, the NASDAQ weights by market cap (number of outstanding shares a company has multiplied by the share price), a setup that gives extra-large companies an extra-large impact. The NASDAQ is also heavily skewed toward tech companies, which account for nearly half the index’s total value.
Why it matters: As the world’s first electronic [e]-exchange, the NASDAQ has historically attracted more tech-focused companies. While the index tracks more stocks than the S&P and Dow combined, tech’s heavy influence means the NASDAQ doesn’t always illustrate how other industries are faring. The index can also be volatile because it includes more small, speculative companies.
And so, Big Tech and the NASDAQ suffered big losses yesterday after Tesla and Alphabet posted disappointing quarterly results the day before.
The Magnificent Seven tech stocks lost a combined $750 billion in market cap for their worst day ever, while the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ had their worst days since 2022—with the S&P ending its longest streak without a 2% dip since the financial crisis began in 2007, as per Bloomberg.
Posted on July 15, 2024 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
MEDICAL EXECUTIVE-POST–TODAY’SNEWSLETTERBRIEFING
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Essays, Opinions and Curated News in Health Economics, Investing, Business, Management and Financial Planning for Physician Entrepreneurs and their Savvy Advisors and Consultants
“Serving Almost One Million Doctors, Financial Advisors and Medical Management Consultants Daily“
A Partner of the Institute of Medical Business Advisors , Inc.
Americans are traveling in record numbers this summer, but Delta Air Lines said Thursday that it saw second-quarter profit drop 29% due to higher costs and discounting of base-level fares across the industry. The airline is also predicting a lower profit than Wall Street expects for the third quarter.
Markets: Stocks swung upward finishing the week strong. The Dow closed above 40,000 for the second time ever. And, investors expect the stock market to get a jolt of volatility this week following the assassination attempt on former President Trump, and trades linked to his victory in November (such as a rising US dollar) could see an uptick. For example, Trump has fashioned himself into a pro-crypto candidate, and bitcoin spiked above $62,000 after the shooting.
Finance: Big banks kicked off the Q2 earnings season, with JPMorgan, Citigroup, and Wells Fargo reporting. Investment banking revenue was up as deals have started coming back, even as continued high interest rates took a toll on their loan and deposit businesses. Wells Fargo, which relies most on the businesses hit by inflation, saw its profit drop year over year. Investors are wary: All three banks’ stock fell.
Alphabet is close to acquiring cybersecurity startup Wiz, according to the Wall Street Journal. The $23 billion purchase price would be the largest in the company’s history.
Posted on April 30, 2024 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
MEDICAL EXECUTIVE-POST–TODAY’SNEWSLETTERBRIEFING
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Essays, Opinions and Curated News in Health Economics, Investing, Business, Management and Financial Planning for Physician Entrepreneurs and their Savvy Advisors and Consultants
“Serving Almost One Million Doctors, Financial Advisors and Medical Management Consultants Daily“
A Partner of the Institute of Medical Business Advisors , Inc.
It’ll be a big week for hot takes on the US economy, after the Federal Reserve meeting Tuesday and Wednesday and the April jobs report dropping Friday. Because inflation has been sticking around, the FOMC is expected to hold interest rates steady at this meeting and for the foreseeable future. On the jobs front, economists are projecting another strong month for employment growth.
In 2022, with bipartisan support, Congress passed the CHIPS and Science Act, an ambitious plan to juice domestic manufacturing of a product vital to national security: semiconductors. Two years later, the government has doled out more than half of the CHIPS Act’s $39 billion in incentives. According to the Financial Times …
Chip companies and their suppliers have announced US investments of $327 billion over the next 10 years, per the Semiconductor Industry Association.
Construction of manufacturing facilities for computing and electronics devices has jumped 15x, government data shows.
By 2030, the US will likely produce around 20% of the world’s most advanced chips, according to USCommerce Secretary Gina Raimondo. Right now, it’s making 0%.
The proposed factories are massive and could transform regional economies. Micron, which received $6.1 billion in federal grants last week, plans to invest $100 billion in a manufacturing campus near Syracuse.
The S&P 500® index (SPX) rose 16.21 points (0.3%) to 5,116.17, its highest close in over two weeks; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) gained 146.43 points (0.4%) to 38,386.09, the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) advanced 55.18 points (0.4%) to 15,983.08.
The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) fell more than 5 basis points to 4.616%.
The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) declined 0.36 to 14.67.
Communication services shares were among the market’s weakest performers Monday, reversing last Friday’s upswing as Alphabet (GOOGL) dropped more than 3% and Meta Platforms (META) lost 2.4%. Banks and retailers were also soft. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) climbed for the sixth-straight day and ended near a three-week high even though its biggest member, Nvidia (NVDA), ended little changed.
In other markets, the U.S. Dollar Index ($DXY) faded from early gains but is still up about 1% in April, driven by expectations domestic rates will remain high. “The U.S. dollar’s strength continues to reflect the relative strength of the economy and the wide interest rate differentials between the United States and other major developed markets,” Schwab Center for Financial Research analysts said in a report.
Despite last week’s strength, the S&P 500 index and the NASAQ Composite are still down 2.6% and 2.4%, respectively, for April and on track to break five-month winning streaks.
Humana expects to exit Medicare Advantage (MA) markets in 2025, company executives told investors. The company reported its first quarter earnings April 24th. Humana posted $741 million in net income in the first quarter of 2024, beating investor expectations, but pulled its 2025 earnings guidance.
Posted on April 29, 2024 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
MEDICAL EXECUTIVE-POST–TODAY’SNEWSLETTERBRIEFING
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Essays, Opinions and Curated News in Health Economics, Investing, Business, Management and Financial Planning for Physician Entrepreneurs and their Savvy Advisors and Consultants
“Serving Almost One Million Doctors, Financial Advisors and Medical Management Consultants Daily“
A Partner of the Institute of Medical Business Advisors , Inc.
Last week stocks shrugged off the news that the Fed’s favorite inflation gauge ticked up last month as strong earnings reports from Big Tech pushed them higher giving the NASDAQ and the S&P 500 their best weeks since November. Google parent Alphabet had its best day since July 2015 after showing that some of its Artificial Intelligence investments are paying off for its first-ever dividend distribution.
The New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) recently asked market participants to share how they’d feel about trading 24/7.
According to Morning Brew, The tradition-shattering proposal by the world’s busiest stock exchange, which operates from 9:30am to 4pm ET Monday–Friday, would make stocks no different from other assets that never stop trading, like crypto and government bonds.
The NYSE’s curiosity comes as the startup 24 Exchange, backed by Mets owner Steve Cohen, is seeking SEC permission to launch a round-the-clock stock exchange. 24 Exchange wants to cater to the growing contingent of amateur investors, some of whom prefer to trade after their kids go to bed. If the NYSE decides to become an exchange that never sleeps, it’d likely upend the day-to-day of the pros on Wall Street. So, let’s consider what 24/7 trading would look like, who’d be in the green, and who’s kept up at night by the prospect. For example:
The NYSE currently allows people to trade stocks outside regular hours from 4am until the market opens and after the closing bell until 8pm, but there are fewer participants trading, and those transactions often come with higher fees. Meanwhile, brokerages like Robinhood and Interactive Brokers have found success in letting investors put in orders for many stocks and stock indexes overnight.
Robinhood recently said its overnight trading options are a hit, with trading outside of the NYSE’s regular hours accounting for as much as 25% of activity on the platform.
Many customers aren’t used to waiting around for the NYSE to “ding a bell two times a day,” Robinhood’s Chief Brokerage Officer Steve Quirk told Bloomberg.
Many of these nocturnal transactions on brokerage apps happen because of the time difference with the Asia Pacific region, where investors are increasingly eager to tap into the US stock market when most Americans are asleep. The trades are enabled by organizations like Blue Ocean, which are seeing skyrocketing demand for cross-border services. Having the NYSE run 24/7 would make it easier for investors in different time zones to participate in the US stock market.
Proponents also say it could make morning trading less volatile by allowing investors to react to big news (like an Elon Musk tweet about Tesla) as soon as it happens rather than waiting for markets to open.
Meanwhile, stocks popped off last week thanks to Big Tech’s impressive earnings, with the S&P 500 and NASDAQ posting their best weeks since November. Nvidia notched its best weekly gain in almost a year (up 15%), adding nearly $290 billion in market capitalization.
Posted on April 26, 2024 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
MEDICAL EXECUTIVE-POST–TODAY’SNEWSLETTERBRIEFING
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Essays, Opinions and Curated News in Health Economics, Investing, Business, Management and Financial Planning for Physician Entrepreneurs and their Savvy Advisors and Consultants
“Serving Almost One Million Doctors, Financial Advisors and Medical Management Consultants Daily“
A Partner of the Institute of Medical Business Advisors , Inc.
New GDP numbers out yesterday show a worrying combo of stubborn inflation + waning growth that dampens hopes for a potential interest rate cut. Per the latest data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis, the first quarter of 2024 was a confounding one:
GDP increased at a 1.6% annualized rate, far below projections of 2.4% and notably down from 3.4% at the end of 2023.
While slow growth would typically signal that the Fed could cut rates, another metric complicates matters: Consumer prices (excluding volatile categories), a solid indicator of inflation, shot up to a much higher than anticipated 3.7%.
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Meta reported record Q1 revenue yesterday, but it was overshadowed by the billions of dollars the company is spending in its efforts to win the Artificial Intelligence race and make the Metaverse happen. Investors were unhappy with the company’s forecast that its spending will rise by $10 billion dollars to support Artificial Intelligence development, sending Meta’s stock price down 15% after hours.
Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:
The S&P 500 index fell 23.21 points (0.5%) to 5,048.42; the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 375.12 points (1.0%) to 38,085.80; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) shed 100.99 points (0.6%) to 15,611.76.
The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) rose about 5 basis points to 4.704%.
The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) fell 0.64 to 15.33.
Communication services shares were the weakest S&P 500 sector Thursday behind the plunge in Meta Platforms. Late Wednesday, the Facebook parent provided lighter-than-expected second-quarter revenue guidance, while CEO Mark Zuckerberg discussed spending in currently unprofitable pursuits such as artificial intelligence (AI) and mixed reality. Meta’s first-quarter earnings and revenue both came above analysts ‘ estimates, however.
Meta’s slump helped send the S&P 500 Communication Services index ($SP500#50) down 4%. Banks were also particularly soft amid concern that persistently high interest rates may compress lender margins. Semiconductor and transportation shares were among the few pockets of strength.
But, Alphabet, Microsoft, and Snap reported Q1 earnings yesterday, and were generally good. Alphabet issued its first-ever dividend and authorized $70 billion in stock buybacks, after it beat Wall Street’s revenue expectations. Microsoft also beat revenue forecasts on the strength of its cloud services. And Snap shares soared after it topped estimates and impressed investors with its 422 million global daily active users. It was a much-needed boost for the sector after Meta spooked the market with how much it’s spending on AI.
Posted on April 23, 2024 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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Busy earnings week will focus on the Magnificent Seven
Big Tech is leading the stock-market rout, but in the coming days, it has the opportunity to turn things around. Magnificent Seven members Microsoft, Meta, Alphabet, and Tesla are among the 178 S&P 500 companies scheduled to report their earnings this jam-packed week.
Other blue-chip stocks reporting include GM, Boeing, IBM, and PepsiCo.
Posted on February 2, 2024 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
LEAP YEAR: This February month is a Leap Year. It’s stuffed with 29 days for 2024. If we didn’t have leap years, then our seasons would completely flip every ~750 years!
GROUND HOG DAY: A tradition observed in the United States and Canada on February 2nd of every year. It derives from the Pennsylvania Dutchsuperstition that if a ground hog emerges from its burrow on this day and sees its shadow, it will retreat to its den and winter will go on for six more weeks; if it does not see its shadow, spring will arrive early.
The S&P 500® index (SPX) rose 60.54 points (1.3%) to 4,906.19; the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) gained 369.54 points (1.0%) to 38,519.84; the NASDAQ Composite® (COMP) added 197.63 points (1.3%) to 15,361.64.
The 10-year Treasury note fell over 10 basis points to 3.86%.
The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) fell 0.47 to 13.88.
Regional bank shares remained under pressure in the wake of poorly received quarterly results earlier this week from New York Community Bancorp (NYCB), which took over the failed Signature Bank in 2023. The bank’s shares fell another 11% on top of a 38% drop Wednesday while the KBW Regional Banking Index (KRX) sank 2.3% to a two-month low. The bank weakness was offset by strength in several other sectors, including retail and consumer discretionary.
Posted on January 29, 2024 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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Tech giants highlight busiest earnings week of the season: Five of the Magnificent Seven—Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Meta, and Alphabet—will deliver their Q4 results, and we advise you against taking a shot every time AI is mentioned. On Wednesday, Boeing is scheduled to give an update on how the 737 Max 9 debacle will impact its 2024 forecasts. In all, 106 S&P 500 companies will report this week, including Starbucks, Pfizer, GM, and Big Oil.
Fed meeting and jobs report: As if those earnings won’t keep Wall Street on its toes, the Fed will wrap up its first meeting of the year on Wednesday and the January jobs report will drop on Friday. Chair Jerome Powell will almost certainly keep interest rates unchanged for now, but investors are keen to hear whether he predicts a rate cut in March. On the jobs front, US employers are expected to have continued hiring briskly in January, despite the wave of high-profile layoff announcements.
Driving much of the tech slump was a 4% drop by Apple’s stock, a dive precipitated by an analyst downgrade questioning why the $2.9 trillion (market capitalization) company is trading at such an expensive valuation considering its negative earnings and profit growth.
Other members of the “magnificent seven” tech stocks, which gained a collective $5.1 trillion in market cap last year, also flailed Tuesday. Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia and Meta each fell 1.6% or more, while Tesla was the sole magnificent seven member in the green, as its shares slipped less than 1% after reporting more fourth-quarter electric vehicle deliveries than fore-casted.
Here is where the major benchmarks ended:
The S&P 500 index was down 27.00 points (0.6%) at 4,742.83; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® (DJI) was up 25.50 points (0.1%) at 37,715.04; the NASDAQ Composite was down 245.41 points (1.6%) at 14,765.94.
The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was up about 7 basis points at 3.931%.
The CBOE® Volatility Index (VIX) was up 0.73 at 13.18.
Semiconductor companies led the way lower Tuesday after Bloomberg reported Netherlands-based ASML Holding NV (ASML) canceled shipments of some of its machines to China at the request of U.S. President Biden’s administration weeks before export bans on the high-end chipmaking equipment came into effect. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) tumbled 3.7%. Health care and energy sectors were among the few areas of strength, the latter gaining despite a 1.6% drop in crude oil futures.
Markets: The Magnificent Seven technology mega-cap stocks—Microsoft, Apple, Alphabet, Nvidia, Tesla, Meta, and Amazon—have surged 75% this year, while the other 493 companies in the S&P 500 have gained 12%. The Magnificent Seven now account for nearly 30% of the entire index’s value, per the WSJ.
Stock spotlight: Speaking of the S&P 500, it’s getting a prominent new member—Uber will join the index today. With a market cap of $127 billion, Uber is the most valuable company that hadn’t yet been included in the S&P 500, and it celebrated by notching a 52-week high last week.
Posted on October 25, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
ByStaff Reporters
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Google and Microsoft, the two tech giants, reported big jumps in earnings revenue, another sign that Big Tech’s growth has rebounded following last year’s downturn?
Google parent Alphabet reported 11% revenue growth to about $77 billion for the third quarter, thanks mainly to increased advertising sales.
Meanwhile, Microsoft’s revenue jumped 13% to $56.5 billion as AI created more demand for its products. Still, it wasn’t all rosy: Alphabet shares fell in extended trading after it missed on revenue estimates for its cloud division.
Meta reports its third-quarter earnings today, and Amazon posts tomorrow.
Markets: The Dow is on a run for the ages, extending its winning streak to 12 days. But, Spotify revealing widening losses due to its failed podcasting investments and projected lower revenues. And its stock plunge came despite adding a record number of new subscribers.
Economy: All eyes are on the FOMC today: With another rate hike pretty much a lock, investors will seek Jerome Powell’s comments to see whether the Fed is considering any more increases.
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Alphabet, which declared a “code red” for Google Search late last year as rivals like ChatGPT and Microsoft’s AI-equipped Bing came on the scene, is chugging right along. Google’s search advertising sales grew to a better-than-expected $42.6 billion. And, most people haven’t made ChatGPT their default search engine.
Microsoft beat expectations on its top- and bottom lines and told investors that it had spent, and would continue spending, gobs of money to build out AI infrastructure.
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Snap. The social media platform just rolled out an AI chatbot, My AI, and boasted that 150+ million users have sent over 10 billion messages to it. But, still fighting against the likes of TikTok for ad spending in a sluggish market, Snap’s sales dropped for the second straight quarter, causing shares to plummet 19% after-hours.
Conference calls: Meta reports earnings today, and Amazon and Apple report next week.
Posted on July 25, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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The good news continued for the Dow, which notched its 11th straight day of gains yesterday—its best streak since February 2017. But there is much coming that could impact the markets this week, from Big Tech earnings (Microsoft and Alphabet report today) to a likely rate hike from the Fed tomorrow.
Stocks spotlight: Mattel, IMAX, and AMC (boosted from a recent ruling blocking a planned stock conversion) were all up.
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Here is where the major benchmarks ended yesterday:
The S&P 500 Index was up 18 points (0.4%) at 4,554.64; the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 184 points (0.5%) at 35,411.24; the NASDAQ Composite was up 26 points (0.2%) at 14,058.87.
The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was up about 3 basis points at 3.870%.
CBOE’s Volatility Index (VIX) was up 0.29 at 13.89.
Energy was the strongest sector as crude oil futures added to their recent rally with another 2.3% rise to end near $79 per barrel. Financials were also higher, while utilities and health care lagged.
Posted on May 11, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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Stocks were a mixed bag yesterday after the consumer price index showed prices rose 4.9% last month, marking the 10th month in a row of cooling inflation and the first time inflation has dipped below 5% in two years. That’s still higher than the Fed’s 2% target, but it leaves space for Jerome Powell to chill out a bit. Tech stocks got a boost from that news, especially Google’s parent, Alphabet, which also benefited from rolling out its new AI.
Economists polled by the Wall Street Journal had forecast the CPI increasing 0.4% and advancing 5.0% over the past year. The core inflation rate rose 0.4% in April for the second straight month, in line with economists forecasts. For the year, the core inflation rate, excluding food and energy prices, increased 5.5% down from a 5.6% rise in March.
“The below 5% headline CPI number is a sigh of relief to a market on edge,” said Alexandra Wilson-Elizondo, co-head of portfolio management for multi asset solutions at Goldman Sachs Asset Management.
Traders hoped that the lower-than-expected inflation data may leave room for the U.S. central bank to refrain from raising interest rates further at its June meeting.
“The data today will be interpreted as not hot enough to force the Fed’s hand in June … We do not think this one data point will determine the outcome of the June FOMC meeting because we still have a string of economic data to process between now and then,” wrote Wilson-Elizondo.
“The details of the print suggest that we are still a meaningful distance from the Fed’s 2% target, giving little reason for the Fed to cut this year.”
Investors priced in the Federal Reserve beginning to trim borrowing costs in coming months, a hope that is seen underpinning stocks of late and helping the S&P 500 index move towards the top of the 3,800 to 4,200 range its has held all year.
Posted on April 14, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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Yesterday, the S&P notched its highest close since February with a boost from Big Tech names such as Amazon, Meta, Alphabet, and Netflix, which each gained at least 2.7% (FAANG).
This morning however, all eyes are on bank earnings as JPMorgan, Citigroup, and Wells Fargo report before the opening bell.
Posted on February 17, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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Susan Wojcicki, the CEO of YouTube for the last nine years, is stepping down. The video site has exploded under her watch, and its $29.2 billion in ad revenue last year accounted for about 10% of Google parent company Alphabet’s total sales.
But Wojcicki’s time at the company far predates YouTube—in fact, she was Google’s 16th employee. She was also its first landlord: In 1998, Wojcicki rented out her garage in Menlo Park, CA, to Google’s co-founders for $1,700 a month.
Posted on February 10, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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GitHub, owned by Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) is reportedly letting go 10% of its employee base and will become fully remote when its lease ends. The layoffs and cost cutting were laid out in a memo from CEO Thomas Dohmke to his staff, The Information reported, citing a person with knowledge of the situation. Last month, Microsoft (MSFT) said it would let go 10,000 employees in its fiscal second-quarter and take a $1.2B charge related to the layoffs. In conjunction with the layoffs, Microsoft (MSFT) added it would initiate “lease consolidation as we create higher density across our work spaces.”
GitHub competitor GitLab (GTLB) said Thursday morning that the company would lay off 7% of its employees due to a “tough” macroeconomic environment.
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The rally in US stocks could be stunted by a rebounding dollar, according to a Bloomberg market technician.
“We don’t think there’s a ton of downside for the dollar, and if there’s not a lot of downside for the dollar, it’s tough to see a lot of upside for equities,” Jonathan Krinksky said.
US stocks and the dollar have an inverse relationship, so a stronger dollar tends to push stocks down.
US Markets: After another down day for stocks, the major indexes are on track to close out the week in the red. Alphabet has been slumping hard since its AI chatbot underwhelmed in its public debut. In the past two trading sessions, the tech giant has lost a total of $173 billion in market cap.
Posted on February 8, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
The AI Gloves are Coming Off?
By Staff Reporters
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Google (GOOG, GOOGL) just announced several new AI-powered features for its Search, Maps, and Lens apps. The announcement comes just a day after rival Microsoft (MSFT) rolled out a new version of its Bing search engine complete with generative AI capabilities, bringing a rare threat to Google’s search supremacy.
But, shares of Google parent company Alphabet were down more than 7% today as investors expressed skepticism about these new features.
Posted on February 4, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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Treasury yields jumped after a much stronger-than-expected U.S. January jobs report clouded investor expectations for the Federal Reserve to end its interest rate hiking cycle in coming months. Treasury Yields and debt prices move opposite each other:
The yield on the 2-year Treasury note rose 14.9 basis points to 4.233%.
The 10-year Treasury note yield jumped 9.9 basis points to 3.498%.
The 30-year Treasury bond yield was up 6.9 basis points at 3.626%.
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U.S. equities declined in a choppy trading session following a stronger-than-expected January labor report, and some uninspiring earnings results from mega-cap stocks. Non farm payroll additions beat estimates by a large amount, and the unemployment rate declined, solidifying the notion of a tight job market.
Meanwhile, a read on domestic services sector activity moved back into expansion territory. Mega-cap stocks were in focus today, as Dow member Apple missed estimates and posted its first quarterly decline in revenues since 2019, and Alphabet also posted discouraging quarterly results, while Qualcomm bested EPS estimates by a penny, but fell short on the revenue side.
Notably, the retail giant Amazon is finally starting to feel the economic pinch. The e-commerce company, which most people thought was unstoppable, has reportedly had its first unprofitable year since 2014. The company released this week that it has lost over $2 billion in 2022, despite holiday-season sales increasing by 9%.
Asian and European stocks finished mixed, as the markets continued to process the week’s monetary policy decisions, as well as some services sector data across the globe.
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Elon Musk was found not liable for investors’ losses in a securities fraud trial over his 2018 tweet that he had “funding secured” to take Tesla private at $420 per share, continuing the tech mogul’s streak of favorable verdicts over his erratic behavior. Plaintiff Glen Littleton and fellow members of the class action sued Musk and Tesla, including its board of directors, over the tweet and Musk’s subsequent statements, alleging the notion that financing was in place had been false. They said shareholders suffered steep financial harms because of panicked sales in the 10 days following the tweet, as Tesla and Musk engaged in damage control.
Posted on January 21, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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The S&P 500 rose 1.9%. Despite the gains, the benchmark index still ended with its first weekly loss in the last three. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1% and the NASDAQ composite closed 2.7% higher still.
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And so, U.S. equities ended higher for the day and mixed for the week, with the Dow and S&P 500 posting their first weekly declines of the new year.
Equity news remained focused on earnings, as Netflix fell well short of estimates but easily beat the Street’s forecasts for subscribers, and PPG Industries bested expectations. Meanwhile, Alphabet announced it will slash its workforce by 12,000 jobs. Economic news was on the light side today, with the lone report showing an eleventh-straight month-over-month decline in existing home sales.
Treasury yields ended higher, and the U.S. dollar dipped slightly, while crude oil and gold prices rose.
Asian and European stocks saw gains across the board, as investors digested economic data in their respective regions.
Posted on January 11, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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A stock split occurs when a company breaks up its existing shares to create a higher number of lower-value shares. Stock splits have the effect of reducing the trading price of a stock, which makes it more liquid and more affordable for investors.
Companies that engage in stock splits often have a nominally high share price, which is typically achieved by executing and innovating on the operating front. Companies within this list have high potential for a stock split, given their nominally high stock price.
Last year, well over 200 companies announced and implemented stock splits. However, the type of split that excites investors most is a forward stock split. This is where the share price of a company is reduced and its outstanding share count increases by the same magnitude, Thus, there’s no change in market cap. Companies that enact forward stock splits are usually firing on all cylinders and out-innovating their competition.
As we go boldly forward into a new year, two stock-split stocks stand out as amazing values that can confidently be bought hand over fist. Alphabet and Amazon? Meanwhile, another widely owned stock-split stock looks to be worth avoiding in 2023. Tesla?
Posted on October 26, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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Stocks are hot and posted their third straight day of gains on hope that the FOMC might end its rate hikes at some point in the future. But that streak could end today.
Alphabet shares took a tumble in late trading after the company revealed its fifth consecutive quarter of slower revenue growth. Cracks are emerging in some of its core properties: Google search and YouTube. YouTube revenue declined for the first time since Google started reporting the division’s earnings separately.
Alphabet’s total quarterly revenue growth drastically declined from 41% to 6%.
The growth rate of Microsoft’s search and news advertising business has been shrinking each quarter of the past year, coinciding with the general downward trajectory of the entire online advertising market.
Posted on April 27, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 809 points, or 2.4 percent today, as investors sold stock amidst concerns of coming recession.
The Dow faced a significant decline since trading opened. By the market’s close, it had reached one of its lowest closing values in the past year. Similar declines were observed on other market indices – including the S&P 500, which fell by 2.8 percent, and the NASDAQ Composite (comprising technology company stock), which lost 4 percent of its value.
The National Review and most experts ascribed the loss to stocks by big technology companies, whose increases in value have come to represent a sizeable portion of market indices. Alphabet, Apple, Microsoft, and Twitter all declined by several points. Each of these companies was due to present earnings reports after the close of trading, which investors did not expect to bode well.
Alphabet, in particular, announced slower sales growth and a drop in earnings from ad-revenue on Google and its other platforms. Netflix, which reported a decline in subscribers on Friday, had previously experienced a 30 percent decline in its stock price amounting to a loss of $54 billion.
Posted on April 16, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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Corporate funding: Earlier this week, Stripe, Alphabet, Shopify, Meta, and McKinsey Sustainability announced they would spend a collective $925 million over the next nine years on permanent carbon removal. They created Frontier, an advanced market commitment that will work to ensure future demand by enabling large organizations to purchase high-quality carbon removal from startups developing promising technology.
On Frontier’s website, its founders say they want to send a “strong demand signal” to the industry and help accelerate the increase in the supply of CO2 removal.
Policy moves: Following the release of the IPCC report, Reps. Paul Tonko (D-NY) and Scott Peters (D-Calif.) introduced legislation in Congress that would provide federal support for CDR tech.
The bill would require the US Department of Energy (DOE) to remove an increasing amount of CO2 each year and invest in smaller CDR projects and emerging carbon removal technologies.
The New York Legislature introduced a bill with a similar aim earlier this year. The Carbon Dioxide Removal Leadership Act would direct the state to purchase at least 10,000 tonnes of CO2 removal in 2024 and then double that target each following year for a five-year period.
Venture capital: Direct air-capture startup Climeworks raised $650 million earlier this month—the largest round ever for a CDR company. The Swiss startup operates the world’s largest DAC plant in Iceland, which can pull about 4,000 tonnes of CO2 out of the atmosphere each year.
NOTE: The markets were closed yesterday Good Friday April 15th, 2022. But, according to a Bank of America survey, 71% of investors expect a weaker economy over the next 12 months—the highest share on record. Plus, 64% think the S&P will drop 10% before it tops 5,000 points (it’s at 4,392.59 currently). The ten year US T-bond finished at 2.830%.
Posted on March 14, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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A mountain of economic data and earnings news emerged over the past month for two popular FAANG stocks that announced they’d be enacting stock splits.
First up was Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOGL) (NASDAQ: GOOG), the parent company of internet search engine Google and streaming platform YouTube. Alphabet announced a 20-for-1 forward stock split that, as of the closing bell on March 9th, would bring its share price down to around $133 (for the Class A shares, GOOGL). Shareholders still need to vote to approve the split, which is expected to take effect in mid-July.
And, last week e-commerce giant Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) followed suit with a 20-for-1 forward stock split announcement of its own. Assuming it receives shareholder approval, Amazon’s lofty share price will come down to around $139, based on its March 9th close. This will be Amazon’s first stock split since September 1999.
Finally, the Federal Reserve is expected to raise its target fed funds rate by a quarter percentage point from zero at the end of its two-day meeting Wednesday. Investors are also looking to the central bank for its new forecasts for rates, inflation and the economy, given the uncertainty from the escalated geopolitical tensions.
Posted on February 7, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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DEFINITION: A stock split or stock divide increases the number of shares in a company. For example, after a 2-for-1 split, each investor will own double the number of shares, and each share will be worth half as much. A stock split causes a decrease of market price of individual shares, but does not change the total market capitalization of the company: stock dilution does not occur.
Google parent company Alphabet said it would split its stock 20–1. That means in July 2022, Alphabet shareholders will receive 19 more shares for every one that they own. It doesn’t mean they’ll be 20x richer—the price of the stock they hold will drop a proportional amount. If the stock split were to happen now, Alphabet’s share price would fall from $2,865 to $143.
Why does it matter?
In many ways, it doesn’t. A stock split does not change the value of the company. It’s simply a way to increase the number of shares outstanding.
Think of it like slicing a pizza. At a share price of almost $3,000, Alphabet’s slices were a wide a monstrosity. With the stock split, it’s cutting company ownership into smaller portions. But, in the end, the pizza isn’t growing—there are just more slices to be shared.
So why do it? By making the slices of its company smaller, it hopes that more people will look at them and say, “Well I guess one couldn’t hurt.” Alphabet said the goal of the stock split is to attract more small-time investors who might have been intimidated by buying in at such a steep share price.
Only 27 other stocks in the S&P 500 have share prices above $500 besides Alphabet.
And, there’s evidence this bit of corporate inception can be effective. To see why, let’s look at what happened when two other tech giants, Tesla and Apple, split their stock recently.
When Apple split its stock 4–1 in July 2020, retail investors upped their purchases from $150 million per week to nearly $1 billion, according to Vanda Research.
When Tesla split its stock 5–1 in August 2020, retail investing jumped from $30–$40 million/week to $700 million.
There may be another play for Alphabet here—and that is to pad its resume for inclusion in the iconic Dow Jones Industrial Average. Because the Dow is weighted by share price (an antiquated system, to be sure), Alphabet at its current price would overwhelm all of the companies. It would become the Alphabet Industrial Average. At $247, it becomes a much more attractive candidate for the Dow.
Posted on December 13, 2021 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
ALL TIME HIGHS?
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Markets: The S&P begins the week after closing at an all-time high last Friday. The index has closed at a record more times this year (67) than in any other year since 1995. It needs 10 more to tie the mark.
More S&P fun facts: Microsoft, Alphabet, Apple, Nvidia, and Tesla alone account for over a third of the S&P’s gains this year.
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