CONSUMER PRICE INDEX: Down Mid-Year 2024

INFLATION EASING

By Staff Reporters

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For the first time since May 2020, the average cost of goods and services in the US made like a remote worker with wanderlust and dipped last month, the Labor Department just reported in July 2024, bolstering confidence that inflation is easing.

Carried by softening gas and rent prices, the consumer price index (CPI) decreased 0.1% in June, beating economists’ forecasts of a 0.1% monthly increase.

  • That dip brought down the annual CPI, which also beat expectations, to record a 3% year over year gain in June—a one-year price growth low and a rate last seen in early 2021.
  • Average gas prices fell 3.8% in June, after dropping 3.6% in May.
  • Shelter prices, which account for about one-third of the CPI, only rose 0.2% in June as rents cooled. It was the category’s smallest monthly rise in three years.

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INFLATION: Cools Down!

By Staff Reporters

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Inflation continues to cool

The Fed’s preferred inflation measure increased 3% in October, down from 3.4% in September and getting closer to the central bank’s much-ballyhooed target of 2%. A drop in gas prices—down 4.9% from the previous month—was a major factor. Increases in core prices, which strip out food and energy costs, also slowed last month. In the last six months, core inflation has grown at a 2.5% annual rate—down significantly from 5.1% last year.

The news means the Fed will likely keep interest rates unchanged at its final 2023 meeting on December 12t and 13th.

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DAILY UPDATE: Thanksgiving Travel Gas Prices Down – Narrow Traffic Lanes Safer – Walgreens Pharmacies Closed as the Stock Markets Roar

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Thanksgiving is a trading holiday. Both the New York Stock Exchange and the Nasdaq are closed. Black Friday, one of the biggest shopping days of the year, is a half day for the stock market. Both stock exchanges close at 1:00 p.m. ET, with eligible options trading until 1:15 p.m. Normal trading hours resume on the Monday after Thanksgiving, also known as Cyber Monday, when many online retailers host major sales.

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Thanks to plummeting prices at the pump, US drivers will save a collective $1.2 billion this Thanksgiving travel period, and day, compared to last year, according to GasBuddy. The average price per gallon is down nearly 46 cents from a year ago, and more than 50,000 stations now show gas prices at $2.99/gallon or less.

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Narrow traffic lanes are safer than wide ones. Researchers at Johns Hopkins analyzed more than 1,000 streets in seven major cities across the US and found that narrower roads mitigated traffic collisions in certain conditions. The study did not find a significant difference between roads 9-feet wide and those 10- or 11-feet wide, but it did conclude that traffic accidents increase 1.5x when a road widens from 9 feet to 12 feet. Traffic fatalities are the leading cause of death for Americans aged 1–54.

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Walgreens will close most of its pharmacies and stores on Thanksgiving Day for the first time in the company’s history, executives said last Thursday. The move to close more than 8,700 stores for the federal holiday comes as some Walgreens workers staged a three-day walkout this fall to push for improved working conditions and increased staffing numbers, Reuters reported.

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Here is where the major benchmarks ended on Wednesday:

  • The S&P 500 Index was up 18.43 points (0.4%) at 4,556.62, near a four-month high close; the Dow Jones Industrial Average®(DJI) was up 184.74 points (0.5%) at 35,273.03; the NASDAQ Composite was up 65.88 points (0.5%) at 14,265.86.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was down about 1 basis point at 4.41%, after earlier dropping to a two-month low under 4.37%.
  • CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) was down 0.50 at 12.85.

Communications services and technology were among the strongest performers Wednesday. Food and beverage companies were also firm. Energy shares were among the weakest performers Wednesday behind a drop of over 1% in WTI Crude Oil futures (/CL). ), which fell following reports OPEC delayed a weekend meeting until November 30th, a possible reflection of cartel members struggling to reach consensus over production cuts. WTI crude ended just under $77 a barrel, down 19% from a 2023 high above $95 in late October.

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AUGUST: Inflation is Up – Yet Again

It’s All About the [GAS] Pump!

By Staff Reporters

Inflation rose by an annual rate of 3.7% in August amid higher gasoline prices, marking the second consecutive month of rising costs. 

The Consumer Price Index, which tracks a basket of goods and services typically purchased by consumers, increased 0.6% from July, the Labor Department said Thursday. On an annual basis, the increase was higher than economists’ forecast of 3.6%, according to FactSet

Yet the so-called core CPI, which excludes volatile fuel and food costs, rose 4.3% from a year ago, matching the forecast from economists surveyed by FactSet.

By comparison, the core CPI had increased 7.3% in the past year, signaling that prices have cooled over that time.

Elderly CPI: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2023/02/19/what-is-the-elderly-cpi/

MAY CPI: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2023/06/14/cpi-report-may-round-up-2023/

Gas TAX: https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/kemp-suspends-georgia-gas-tax-declares-state-of-emergency/ar-AA1gBR6i?ocid=U521DHP&pc=U521&cvid=e3a3f5f1dca44f8eb173cbee39340249&ei=57

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GASOLINE: Prices Slowly Rising Again!

By Staff Reporters

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The average price for a gallon of gasoline in the US just rose to an eight-month high of $3.71, as per AAA. While that’s far below last summer’s peak of $5.02 per gallon, gas prices have been creeping up due to refineries going offline unexpectedly and higher demand for oil at a time when supply isn’t there to meet it.

Bloomberg Opinion’s oil guru, Javier Blas, notes that global oil consumption has likely reached a record high.

LIFESTYLE: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2022/09/28/my-jaguar-mechanic-vs-doctor-story/

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GAS PRICES: Up Again!

By Staff Reporters

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Gas prices are continuing to rise to start 2023, and experts say prices are “unlikely to turn around any time soon.” And, the current average for a regular gallon of gas $3.50, according to AAA.

While it’s nowhere near the record $5.01 reached in June, its far more than what the average was heading into New Year’s Day and what prices were one year ago.

And, experts say it’s possible the average price reaches $4 later this year.

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UPDATE: The Markets, Gasoline, Recession and the Bear

By Staff Reporters

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For the domestic markets, the S&P 500 closed down 151 points, or 3.88%. It’s down nearly 22% since January. The Dow was down 876 points (2.79%) and the NASDAQ dropped 530 points (4.68%). And, investors were disappointed to learn that inflation is moving in the wrong direction. U.S. consumer prices surged 8.6% year-over-year in May, to a fresh 40-year high, led by higher prices for energy, food and housing.

For the first time in history, a gallon of regular gasoline now costs $5 on average nationwide, according to AAA, and experts predict gas prices could average $6 a gallon by August.

Moreover, nearly 70% of leading economists expect the US to tumble into a recession as the country grapples with inflation. In a Financial Times poll, the bulk of economists said they expect a recession to be declared in the first half of 2023. The poll comes after US inflation soared to 8.6% in May, outstripping economists’ expectations and piling the pressure on the Fed.

Finally, S&P Global says a 20% decline in the S&P 500 on a closing basis from its previous peak is all it takes to define a bear market. Which means that this bear market is already more than five months old, since the S&P 500 all-time high came on January 3rd, 2022.

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Historic Gas Prices versus Major Events

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A 45 Year Journey

Source: www.DaveManuel.com

Assessment

Update as of 9 a.m. on Oct. 6, 2012: Record high gas prices were set across Southern California. For example, in Los Angeles County, the price of a gallon of regular unleaded was $4.66 and just a penny less in Orange County.

Click here to read more.

Dr. Marcinko with a McLaren F1 — unadorned, undisguised and entirely unofficial

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Tips from a Doctor for Optimizing Automobile Fuel Efficiency to Save Money

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Here’s How I Can Afford Gasoline for My Vintage Jaguar XJ-8-LWB

Dr. Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA CMP

[Editor-in-Chief]

Dammit Spock! I’m a doctor – not an auto mechanic!

But, as the cost of fuel increases, more and more physician drivers are thinking about ways to maximize their gas mileage. As well as reducing the cost of fuel in the doctor’s pocket, optimizing fuel efficiency helps reduce the environmental impact of driving and conserves a resource that is only getting scarcer. This is especially true when you drive a luxury European touring sedan that has been said to be one of the finest in the world – like me!

There are a number of different ways drivers can increase their gas mileage. Advice and tips on fuel efficiency fall into a number of key categories.

My Tips and Pearls 

1. The car that you drive can make a big difference when it comes to fuel efficiency. Clearly, the larger and more powerful the vehicle is, the lower its gas mileage is likely to be. Car manufacturers are increasingly looking to new technology to help improve fuel efficiency, and if your car is quite old then it might be time to consider switching to a new model. Fuel efficiency statistics are now commonly published and compared on driving websites, and you should consider this before buying a new, or used, car.

2. Ensuring that your car is well-maintained is also a significant factor in the fuel efficiency that you will experience. Something as small and innocuous as spark plugs, for example, can reduce your gas mileage by as much as 12%. Over the course a year, the cost of the gas you waste is likely to be far more than the cost of replacing the part. If you are in doubt, talk to a trusted mechanic about maintenance, and alway have your car serviced at the recommended intervals.

3. Tire pressure can also have a significant impact on fuel efficiency. Low tire pressure can affect the vehicle’s performance, reducing gas mileage markedly. At the same time, it is also worth remembering that having the pressure too high can also have a negative effect. Ensure that you check your tire pressure on a regular basis. Talk to your mechanic if you are unsure about the optimum pressure value for your tires.

4. The way you drive your car also impacts your overall gas mileage. The official U.S. government website for fuel economy recommends that you always observe the speed limit, noting that for each 5 mph that you drive over a 60-mph speed limit, you are likely to paying an additional $0.29 per gallon of gas. Aggressive driving can reduce your gas mileage by as much as 33% on the highway. Carrying unnecessary weight in your car also uses more fuel, and you should always turn off your engine when the car is idle.

5. By changing the way in which you use your car, you can also save money. By combining multiple short trips into single, multi-purpose outings, you can prevent wasted mileage. Commuters can consider car sharing schemes, whereby drivers take it in turns to provide transport for fellow workers, reducing the number of cars on the road. You may even choose to switch to public transport on certain days of the week, to reduce the burden on your car.

6. You can even improve gas mileage by being careful about where and when you purchase fuel. Gas is at its densest during the coolest times of day. That means that by purchasing fuel early in the morning, or after dark, the volume of gas that the pump dispenses per unit will be moderately higher than at other, warmer times of day. Be savvy about prices in your local area too, keeping an eye out for the cheapest gas stations, but don’t go out of your way to purchase fuel. The money that you save at the pump is likely to be wasted on the additional mileage spent driving to the station.

7. As the cost of gas fluctuates on such a frequent basis, learning to optimize your fuel efficiency is a great way to ensure that you get the most out of the money you spend on fuel. Ensure that your vehicle is as efficient as possible, moderate your driving behavior, and moderate the amount of driving that you do to see the biggest improvements in your gas mileage.

Assessment

This ME-P is a follow-up, by reader request, of a prior popular essay of mine. How Smart Doctors Can Save Big at the Pump I appreciate your interest.

More photos: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/04/dems-jaguar.pdf

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How Smart Doctors Can Save Big at the Pump

Easing the Pain of High Gas Prices

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA CMP®

[Editor-in-Chief]

We published a popular post on Easter Sunday 2012 about high gas prices. It was well received. So, since medical professionals often drive expensive, and inefficient cars [read expensive gas guzzlers], I thought it might be a good idea to relay my personal driving tips on how medical and all ME-P colleagues [MDs and FAs], can save big [or at least a bit] at the gas pump.

Link: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2012/04/08/pain-at-the-2012-easter-sunday-pump/

Guilty – as Charged?

Look, I am a doctor and financial advisor, as well as journalist, editor, surgeon and expert legal witness. I wear many hats and my one indulgence is my pearl white Jaguar XJ-V8-LWB. This classic baby was a gift from my wife who bought it from a singular previous owner [software mogul] in pristine physical and engineering condition after years of meticulous and loving garaged care.

In other words, she let some someone else take the huge depreciation hit on a luxury European touring vehicle that originally sold for up to $100,000 direct from Coventry England. Fortunately, this is not a primary vehicle and I use it only on the weekends, weather permitting. What a joy to drive. Smooth and quiet; just like a hybrid vehicle. And, it is not unusual for nearby folks to stop, stare and even wave at me as I drive by.

 

Why?

So, if rising gas prices are making a huge dent in your wallet, I have a solution to save you money at the pump! Try these simple tips and you’ll find the savings quickly add up.

Tips and Quips

* At least once a month, make sure your tires are properly inflated according to the vehicle’s specifications. Over-inflating tires by even a pound or two might improve fuel mileage in the short run, but it causes tires to wear prematurely. The money you save in fuel is less than what you would pay to replace the tires. But, I am guilty of this tactic because I have Pirelli tires on my Jag.

* Buy the right octane. Look in your vehicle’s owner’s manual for the correct octane level for your car’s engine. Odds are that it will be regular unleaded. Your vehicle should run just fine on regular if that’s what the manual recommends; and it costs less. Again, I use and need 93 plus Octane.

* An annual full-vehicle inspection, including the air conditioning system, may help you avoid costly repairs. I detail and check out my automobile every quarter.

* Vehicles use less fuel the more slowly they travel. Try dropping your highway speed by 10 mph to see big savings at the pump. Here, I follow the rules.

* Extra weight in your vehicle makes it work harder, hence less fuel mileage. If you have a trunk full of junk, empty it out for better fuel economy and to save money. My Jag weighs 4,800 pounds.

* Nothing can put a damper on spring travel plans more than unpredictable gas prices. Search for the best price before you go to fill up. I use a smart-phone and auto navigation system for this chore.

Assessment

With such gorgeous weather, driving your car with sunroof open might be the first thing on your mind. So, just by taking a few small steps, you’ll save money on your vehicle, meaning more money stays in your wallet – while enjoying it more.

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More photos: DEM’s JAGUAR