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Posted on May 20, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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ArkInvestment Management’s Cathie Wood says “exploding” inventories at major retailers like Walmart Inc. and Target Corp. paired with declining US consumer sentiment portend slower inflation on the horizon. The money manager was responding on Thursday to a tweet quoting world’s richest man Elon Musk saying the recent inflation surge was due to government pandemic stimulus, even as money velocity held constant.
Home sales slowed for the third consecutive month in April as mortgage rates surged, driving up borrowing costs for would-be buyers as home prices soared to new highs. Existing home sales fell 2.4% last month from March to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.61 million, the National Association of Realtors said Thursday.
And, in April, the median U.S.rent hit a record high for the 14th month in a row of $1,827, according to Realtor.com, a residential real estate information service. “If recent trends continue, we expect the typical U.S. asking rent to eclipse $2,000 by August,” it said. April rent increased 16.7% from a year earlier. That’s the third straight month in which year-over-year rent growth has dipped, down from 17.1% in January. Higher rents are taking money away from renters’ budgets for regular expenses and savings, Realtor.com said. Rent represents the biggest strain on renters’ overall finances, according to a Realtor.com survey.
Incidentally, a number of American corporate giants, including Walmart, Target, Bank of America, Charles Schwab, and Intel, hit 52-week lows yesterday.
Posted on May 19, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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Target Corp. is on pace for its worst stock drop since 1987’s Black Monday crash after becoming the second big retailer in two days to trim its profit forecast. A surge in costs during the first quarter shows little sign of easing, said Chief Executive Officer Brian Cornell. Operating profit will amount to only about 6% of sales this year, 2 percentage points below the previous forecast, Target said Wednesday. And the company’s first-quarter adjusted profit missed the lowest of 23 analyst estimates compiled by Bloomberg.
Netflix continues to hemorrhage subscribers, as the streaming service laid off 150 more employees representing 2% of its workforce. In a statement, a company rep clarified “the changes are primarily driven by business needs rather than individual performance.”
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And, socks plunged as deepening concern about the economic impact of high inflation and rising interest rates drove the Dow Jones Industrial Average to its worst day since March 2020.
The Dow closed with a loss of 1,161 points, dropping 3.6 percent Wednesday for its steepest one-day drop since the onset of the coronavirus pandemic. The S&P 500 closed 4 percent lower and the NASDAQ closed 4.7 percent lower Wednesday.
A failure by the CBOE Volatility Index [VIX] sometimes referred to as Wall Street’s fear gauge, to push above the mid-30 range was seen as one sign that investors hadn’t made the sort of “capitulation” that often clears the way for a sustained rebound. However, some positive market internals on the upside during Friday’s and Tuesday’s bounce have some analysts looking for some near-term upside, which could continue to confound market bears.
More Americans were considered “equity rich” in the first quarter of 2022 — meaning that they owed no more than 50% of their home’s total value — amid a rise in home prices, according to new data from ATTOM Data Solutions. The number of equity-rich homeowners grew to 44.9% of mortgage holders in the first quarter, up from 41.9% in the fourth quarter of 2021 and 31.9% in the first quarter of 2021, according to the company’s first-quarter 2022 U.S. Home Equity and Underwater Report.
Finally, Litecoin (LTC-USD) is getting ready for its newest upgrade on Thursday, May 19th. The MimbleWimble (MWEB) upgrade will turn the Litecoin crypto into a more fungible, private currency. Privacy coins like Monero (XMR-USD) and Zcash (ZEC-USD) have been hot investments in recent weeks
Posted on May 18, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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The Waltons are the the world’s richest family, and five of them own just under half of Walmart. They lost a combined $19 billion on Tuesday after Walmart posted disappointing quarterly results. The group is worth about $212 billion, according to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Economy: On the other, national retail spending in April increased for the fourth straight month, despite inflation nearing a 40-year high and consumer sentiment at an 11-year low. It’s an unusual time!
Gas priceshave risen above $4 a gallon in all 50 US states for the first time ever. Five states are averaging more than $5 a gallon, and one—California—hit a record of $6.02.
The FDA authorized a booster shot of Pfizer’s vaccine for kids ages 5–11.
Posted on May 17, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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The US COVID death toll officially reached 1 million, an amount greater than the combined populations of Boston and Orlando. Coming three months after the country reached 900,000 deaths and less than two and a half years after the first recorded US cases. It’s a reminder that despite dropped mask mandates and summer months approaching, the virus continues to be a threat.
New Omicron sub-variants that appear adept at eluding immunity from prior infections have caused yet another spike in reported cases and hospitalizations. US cases have jumped 60% over the past two weeks, to an average of 90,000 new cases every day.
That figure is far short of the real infection rate, as states have shuttered many large testing sites, and cases discovered from at-home tests often go unreported.
Here were a few floating around the internet this week, according to Neal Freyman:
When Matt Damon said, “Fortune favors the brave” in a Crypto.com commercial in October 2021. (It actually was kinda the top, because bitcoin peaked at $69,000 a few weeks later.)
When one investor went on CNBC last year to promote his investment in a lending platform called Upstart, he was asked what Upstart does. He hesitated, told the anchor his audio had cut out, and never responded.
When Dogecoin surged more than 10,000% to become the fourth most valuable cryptocurrency ahead of Elon Musk hosting SNL.
When electric vehicle startup Rivian was worth more than $110 billion and didn’t bring in any revenue.
When NFT platform OpenSea raised money at a $13.3 billion valuation—more than the value of American Airlines.
Posted on May 14, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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Until recently, giga-cap technology stocks like Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) and Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) had large avoided the full brunt of the bear market in the NASDAQ, even as smaller companies lost 50% to 80% or more of their value.
However, over the past couple of months, some of the largest companies in the market, including Meta Platforms (NASDAQ: FB), Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX), and Amazon.com (NASDAQ: AMZN), started to move sharply lower. Those big-name moves put a bigger dent in market capitalization-weighted benchmarks.
BroaderMarkets: But, the good news is that stocks surged on the best day for the NASDAQ since November 2020. The bad news is the S&P is now in its longest weekly losing streak since 2011, and the Dow’s weekly losing streak is its longest since 2001.
Posted on May 13, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
It’s Friday the 13th
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The IRS destroyed data for an estimated 30 million filers in March 2021, according to the Treasury Inspector General for Tax Administration. The decision, prompted by a backlog of paper filings, has sparked anger in the tax community. “It just further damages the IRS’ reputation in the business community and in the public,” said Larry Harris, director of tax services at Parsec Financial.
More than $200 billion has been wiped off the cryptocurrency market today alone, as investors are sent into a panic. Ethereum, the world’s second largest digital currency plummeted by 20% in the space of 24 hours. Bitcoin, the original cryptocurrency started in 2009, dropped by 9%, but overall it is down 50% since its all time high in November. Chaos on the market has seen other currencies such as Shiba Inu and Dogecoin losing 30% and 25%, respectively. Meanwhile Terra Luna, which was among the top 10 most valuable cryptocurrencies had 98% of its value wiped out overnight, falling to below one dollar per coin.
Immediately after becoming the interim CEO of Starbucks (NASDAQ: SBUX), Howard Schultz suspended the company’s share-repurchase program. “This decision will allow us to invest more into our people and our stores — the only way to create long-term value for all stakeholders,” he said in a press release.
Snowflake, Meta, Microsoft and Uber — are all down from 20% to as much as 60% year to date. The technology stock sector, especially unprofitable firms and richly valued software names, have been hit the hardest as of late. The NASDAQ Composite slid more than 13% in April, dropping almost 30% from its all-time high.
President Biden, anticipating the milestone of one million American lives lost to Covid-19, said in a formal statement on Thursday that the United States must stay committed to fighting a virus that has “forever changed” the country.
Finally, Microsoft founder Bill Gatessaid on Tuesday that he tested positive for COVID-19 and is experiencing mild symptoms. In a series of tweets, the billionaire shared that he was “lucky to be vaccinated” and will be isolating until he’s healthy again.
Posted on May 11, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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Palantir Technologies Inc., Peter Thiel’s single-biggest equity position, plummeted as much as 23% Monday after it reported widening losses and slow revenue growth. The slump erased $270 million from the value of Thiel’s stake. So far this year he’s shed 19% of his net worth, now valued at $7.4 billion, according to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
10 Year T-Bond: 2.987%
Economy: The Consumer Price Index report will drop this morning and give us inflation data for April.
NOTE: The CPI is a price of an index or the price of a weighted average market basket of consumer goods and services purchased by households. Changes in measured CPI track changes in prices over time.
Posted on May 10, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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Bitcoinis now almost 50% off its all-time high. If bitcoin is a store of value, it certainly hasn’t proven itself yet. With bitcoin’s price falling below $30,000 for the first time since July 2021, at least 40% of bitcoin investors are underwater.
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Markets: The S&P fell below 4,000 points for the first time in more than a year as inflation concerns trampled a day down on Wall Street. Big Tech companies lost more than $1 trillion in market value over the past three trading sessions alone.
Posted on May 9, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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Last night, the Dow Jones Industrial Average futures lost 191 points, down 0.6%, while the S&P 500 futures declined 0.8% and NASDAQ Composite futures fell 0.9%.
Crude oil futures (West Texas Intermediate) fell 0.2%, to $109.54 a barrel.
Tiger Global, the hedge fund with the most investments in private billion-dollar startups, is going through one of the worst stretches of any hedge fund in history, falling 44% so far this year and 15% in April alone.
This week’s notableeconomic events include: On Tuesday, the National Federation of Independent Business releases its Small Business Optimism Index for April. On Wednesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports the consumer price index for April. On Thursday, the BLS releases the producer price index for April, and the Department of Labor reports initial jobless claims for the week ended on May 7. On Friday, the University of Michigan releases its Consumer Sentiment Index for May.
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Posted on May 7, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
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Markets: All three indexes closed lower (the Dow’s sixth-straight week) following the FOMC’s guidance on future interest rate hikes. Peloton shares fell to a record low yesterday with new CEO Barry McCarthy’s revival plan not inspiring confidence.
Economy: The April jobs report showed a labor market that continues to chug along. US employers added a more-than-expected 428,000 jobs and the unemployment rate remained low at 3.6%. The economy has recovered almost 95% of the jobs lost due to Covid pandemic.
Posted on May 4, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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Markets: Led by energy, stocks posted their second straight day of gains. But some see danger ahead given the FOMC raising interest rates with slowing growth [stagflation]. Hedge fund billionaire Paul Tudor Jones told CNBC, “You can’t think of a worse environment than where we are right now for financial assets.”
Posted on May 3, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
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By Staff Reporters
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Markets: Stocks rallied very late in the day to close in the positive green. It may be the start of a turnaround or just a rest before they resume their decline.
Bonds: Over in the bond market, the yield on the 10-year Treasury note touched 3% for the first time since 2018, continuing an upward trend that coincides with the Fed’s move to raise interest rates and shrink its balance sheet.
Economy: The US economy is projected to recover all of the 22 million jobs it lost at the beginning of COVID by this summer, according to Fitch Ratings. Back in the fall of 2020, Moody’s warned that the US wouldn’t recoup all of those jobs until 2024.
Posted on April 30, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
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By Staff Reporters
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DEFINITION:
In finance, a stock index, or stock market index, is an index that measures a stock market, or a subset of the stock market, that helps investors compare current stock price levels with past prices to calculate market performance.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, -2.77% dropped 939.18 points, or 2.8%, to close at 32,977.21.
The S&P 500 SPX, -3.63% dropped 155.57 points, or 3.6%, to finish at 4,131.93, re-entering correction territory.
The NASDAQ Composite COMP, -4.17% shed 536.89 points, or 4.2%, to end at 12,334.64.
Ironically, on Thursday, the Dow rose 614.46 points, or 1.9%, while the S&P 500 gained 2.5% and the NASDAQ Composite jumped 3.1%. The Dow and S&P 500 marked their best daily percentage climbs since March 9, while the NASDAQ saw its best day since March 16th, according to Dow Jones Market Data.
For the week, the Dow dropped 2.5%, the S&P 500 slumped 3.3% and the tech-laden NASDAQ lost 3.9%. In April, the Dow fell 4.9%, the S&P 500 tumbled 8.8% and the NASDAQ plunged 13.3%.
SCM: Supply chain bottlenecks are still stinging corporate giants. With China locking down cities at the first trace of Covid, American companies whose products are made in Chinese factories aren’t able to fulfill orders. Apple said Thursday that it would face up to $8 billion in losses due to restrictions in Shanghai.
Posted on April 29, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
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By Staff Reporters
The Big Tech earnings boom is officially over, but some of the world’s most powerful and valuable companies are breaking off from the pack.
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According to MarketWatch, profit increases are no longer a given for Big Tech. Collectively, Alphabet Inc. GOOGL, +3.70%GOOG, +3.82%, Amazon.com Inc. AMZN, +4.65%, Apple Inc. AAPL, +4.52%, Meta Platforms Inc. FB, +17.59% and Microsoft Corp. MSFT, +2.26% saw profit fall more than 17% year-over-year in the first quarter in earnings reports delivered this week, as they lapped the end of a pandemic boom that brought record results. But only three of the five actually saw earnings decrease individually, as Amazon’s surprising loss swayed the collective results.
But, it wasn’t good for the company Teladoc, which is one of investor Cathie Wood’s biggest holdings. Teladoc plunged 40% on a gloomy forecast. The pandemic winner is now down nearly 90% from its high in February 2021.
Posted on April 27, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 809 points, or 2.4 percent today, as investors sold stock amidst concerns of coming recession.
The Dow faced a significant decline since trading opened. By the market’s close, it had reached one of its lowest closing values in the past year. Similar declines were observed on other market indices – including the S&P 500, which fell by 2.8 percent, and the NASDAQ Composite (comprising technology company stock), which lost 4 percent of its value.
The National Review and most experts ascribed the loss to stocks by big technology companies, whose increases in value have come to represent a sizeable portion of market indices. Alphabet, Apple, Microsoft, and Twitter all declined by several points. Each of these companies was due to present earnings reports after the close of trading, which investors did not expect to bode well.
Alphabet, in particular, announced slower sales growth and a drop in earnings from ad-revenue on Google and its other platforms. Netflix, which reported a decline in subscribers on Friday, had previously experienced a 30 percent decline in its stock price amounting to a loss of $54 billion.
Posted on April 26, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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Dogecoin jumped more than 17% Monday following several reports that Twitter is poised to accept Elon Musk’s $43 billion bid, with the potential for the two parties to finalize a deal as soon as Monday. The meme token DOGEUSD, -3.99% gained 14% over the past 24 hours, trading at around $0.15, according to CoinDesk data. Still, it is down about 80% from its all-time high in May 2021.
Bitcoin BTCUSD, 0.88% was trading 0.02% lower from 24 hours ago to around $39,407. Ether ETHUSD, 0.22% was trading at around $2,928, up 0.1%, according to CoinDesk data.
And, after Musk, chief executive at Tesla TSLA, -0.70%, made a bid on April 14 to buy the remainder of Twitter TWTR, +5.66% stock that he didn’t already own at $54.20 per share without saying how he would pay for it, the social media giant’s board had been expected to reject Musk’s offer, as it adopted a so-called “poison pill” plan. However, the company took a dramatic turn after Musk said last week he lined up $46.5 billion in financing, The Wall Street Journal reported. Deal later done!
According to MarketWatch, Dogecoin supporters are hoping that Musk, the long-time backer for the Shiba Inu-themed token, could boost its usage after he takes over the social media platform.
Posted on April 25, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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After last week’s sharp decline, the S&P is down 5.7% so far in April and is on track for its worst monthly drop since March 2020, when the spreading COVID-19 pandemic blasted stocks.
And, battered U.S. stocks are facing a potentially painful stretch in the weeks ahead as hawkish Federal Reserve policy, rising bond yields, geopolitical uncertainty and the corporate earnings season fuel investor unease. For example:
REPORTINGCOMPANIES:
Monday: Germany business climate; Earnings from PepsiCo and Whirlpool
Tuesday: US consumer confidence; Earnings from 3M, General Electric, JetBlue, UPS, Warner Bros. Discovery, Alphabet, General Motors, Mondelez, Microsoft and Visa
Wednesday: Earnings from Boeing, Harley-Davidson, Kraft Heinz, Spotify, Ford Motor, Mattel, Meta and PayPal
Thursday: Bank of Japan policy decision; US first quarter GDP; Earnings from Caterpillar, Altria, Domino’s Pizza, Mastercard, Twitter, Amazon, Apple, Intel, Roku and Robinhood
Friday: Europe first quarter GDP and inflation data; US personal income and spending data; PCE Price Index; Earnings from ExxonMobil and Chevron
One measure of investor anxiety, the CBOE Volatility Index, known as Wall Street’s fear gauge, on Friday notched its largest one-day gain in about five months to close at a five-week high of 28.21.
Posted on April 24, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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According to FOX News, a New York physician was charged in an unsealed indictment on Thursday over an alleged $10 million health care fraud scheme. The Department of Justice announced that Elemer Raffai, 56, was charged with health care fraud for his alleged involvement in an alleged scheme between July 2016 and June 2017, signing prescriptions and other order forms for services that weren’t medically necessary, the Department of Justice states.
Raffai allegedly signed prescriptions and other order forms through telemedicine services for durable medical equipment that the Department of Justice claims were not medically necessary.
Justice says that Raffai was partially convinced to make the prescriptions and orders due by the payments of bribes and kickbacks. The indictment also alleges that Raffai and other individuals either submitted or caused $10 million in false and fraudulent claims to be submitted to Medicare, which paid more than $4 million on the claims.
If convicted, the physician faces a maximum of 10 years in prison
Posted on April 23, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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US stocks plunged yesterday with the Dow Jones falling nearly 1,000 points as investors grappled with new comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell that indicate bigger interest rate hikes ahead.
For the week, the Dow finished down 1.85%, the S&P 500 tumbled 2.7%, and the NASDAQ crashed 3.8%. The Dow Jones marked its fourth consecutive weekly decline, while the S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100 registered their third straight weekly drops.
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Despite the bearishness in the stock market, first-quarter corporate earnings continue to beat analyst estimates on both the top and bottom lines. According to data from Fundstrat, of the 95 companies that have reported so far, or 19% of the S&P 500, results are beating profit estimates by a median of 6%. Meanwhile, revenue estimates have been beating by a median of 3%.
Ukraine announced limits on bitcoin purchases Friday to protect against capital flight as Russia’s war on the country pushes into a third month. The National Bank of Ukraine is banning bitcoin purchases made with the hyrvnia and is capping purchases made with foreign currencies at $3,300 a month.
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China’s yuan was on track for its worst weekly drop since 2015 on Friday, as investors rushed back to the US. The offshore yuan, or renminbi, had fallen 2.4% over the week to 6.53 per dollar, according to Bloomberg data.
The S&P 500 dropped and erased earlier gains. The Dow Jones Industrial Average also turned lower. The NASDAQ fell more than 2% and extended losses when the tech-heavy index was weighed down by a slide in Netflix. Meanwhile, Tesla (TSLA) shares rose after the electric vehicle-maker handily exceeded expectations in its fiscal first-quarter results.
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Treasury bond yields climbed after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell suggested the case for front-loading interest rate hikes with 50 basis-point increases in order to quickly address persistent inflationary pressures. San Francisco Federal Reserve President Mary Daly also suggested in an interview with Yahoo Finance that she would back a larger-than-typical 50 basis point interest rate hike following the Fed’s May meeting given current price pressures.
China: The nation’s securities regulator issued investor guidance for the country’s giant social security fund, just as the benchmark CSI 300 Index was heading toward the lowest level since June 2020.
Posted on April 20, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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DEBT: At least 40,000 borrowers will now qualify for immediate debt cancellation under the Public Service Loan Forgiveness (PSLF) Program. This program eliminates the debts of government and nonprofit workers, such as teachers, health care workers, and military members, after 10 years of qualifying loan payments.
MARKETS:
NASDAQ: 13,619.66+2.15%
S&P 500: 4,462.21+1.61%
Dow: 34,911.20+1.45%
10-Year Treasury: 2.941%+8.0 bps
Bitcoin: $41,313.47+1.03%
Carnival: $19.91+4.57%
Markets: In a flip of 2022’s investing trends, the only sector in the S&P to not increase yesterday was…energy. Travel companies posted strong gains after the federal mask mandate for transportation was scrapped by a judge.
Posted on April 19, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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Markets: Stocks dipped to start off the week without many market-moving developments. Twitter’s use of a “poison pill” to prevent Elon Musk from taking over the company was a hit with investors, who sent shares soaring yesterday. The company’s stock is up more than 23% since Musk revealed he owned a 9.2% stake.
NASDAQ: 13,332.36-0.14%
S&P: 4,391.69-0.02%
Dow: 34,411.69
Commodities: Prices up. Corn hit a nine-year high in part due to the war in Ukraine, while US natural gas prices reached their highest level in 13 years ahead of an unusual April snowstorm hitting the Northeast. Natural gas prices have more than doubled so far this year.
Posted on April 18, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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Winners: While the broader S&P 500 fell in April, the health care, utilities, consumer staples, and real estate sectors have all gained.
Bonds: The 40-year bull market in bonds could be on its last legs as interest rates continue to rise as higher interest rates often translate into lower stock prices. Now the widely-followed 10-year US Treasury yield is pushing against its 40-year downtrend line that starts with the 1981 peak in interest rates of 15.81%.
Ten Year Treasury bond: 2.843%
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If the 10-year US Treasury yield decisively breaks above its 40-year downtrend, that could be seen as the start of a new uptrend, which would mean a continued rise in interest rates and ongoing pressure on stock prices.
But if the 10-year yield gets firmly rejected at the downward sloping trend line, one could expect a continuation of lower interest rates for longer, which could help boost valuations for risk assets and drive stock prices higher.
Covid-19: Cases are rising in more than half of all states due to the new coronavirus subvariant, but White House Covid-19 advisor Dr. Ashish Jha said Sunday the vaccines are still “holding up” against the virus and the new strain does not cause more severe infection.
Posted on April 17, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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Russia: Shut its stock market all week in a bid to curb panic-selling after the invasion of Ukraine. The ruble cratered to trade below 1 cent as Western sanctions effectively weaponized the financial system.
Posted on April 16, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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Corporate funding: Earlier this week, Stripe, Alphabet, Shopify, Meta, and McKinsey Sustainability announced they would spend a collective $925 million over the next nine years on permanent carbon removal. They created Frontier, an advanced market commitment that will work to ensure future demand by enabling large organizations to purchase high-quality carbon removal from startups developing promising technology.
On Frontier’s website, its founders say they want to send a “strong demand signal” to the industry and help accelerate the increase in the supply of CO2 removal.
Policy moves: Following the release of the IPCC report, Reps. Paul Tonko (D-NY) and Scott Peters (D-Calif.) introduced legislation in Congress that would provide federal support for CDR tech.
The bill would require the US Department of Energy (DOE) to remove an increasing amount of CO2 each year and invest in smaller CDR projects and emerging carbon removal technologies.
The New York Legislature introduced a bill with a similar aim earlier this year. The Carbon Dioxide Removal Leadership Act would direct the state to purchase at least 10,000 tonnes of CO2 removal in 2024 and then double that target each following year for a five-year period.
Venture capital: Direct air-capture startup Climeworks raised $650 million earlier this month—the largest round ever for a CDR company. The Swiss startup operates the world’s largest DAC plant in Iceland, which can pull about 4,000 tonnes of CO2 out of the atmosphere each year.
NOTE: The markets were closed yesterday Good Friday April 15th, 2022. But, according to a Bank of America survey, 71% of investors expect a weaker economy over the next 12 months—the highest share on record. Plus, 64% think the S&P will drop 10% before it tops 5,000 points (it’s at 4,392.59 currently). The ten year US T-bond finished at 2.830%.
Posted on April 14, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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OneNFT: In March 2021, a crypto-currency entrepreneur bought an NFT of Twitter founder Jack Dorsey’s first tweet for $2.9 million. Last week he listed it for $48 million, promising to donate half of the proceeds to charity. But when the auction closed yesterday, the top bid was just … $277.
DEFINITION: NFT stands for non-fungible token. It’s generally built using the same kind of programming as cryptocurrency, like Bitcoin or Ethereum, but that’s where the similarity ends. Physical money and cryptocurrencies are “fungible,” meaning they can be traded or exchanged for one another.
Ten Year Bond Yield: 2.701%
Markets: The S&P and NASDAQ snapped their three-day losing streaks, and airline shares boomed after Delta said it would report a Q2 profit. And, Peloton’s shares are down nearly 30% this year and have lost virtually all of their pandemic gains.
JPMorgan’s profit dropped 42% last quarter and it wrote down almost $1.5 billion in assets it linked to the war in Ukraine and inflation.
Posted on April 13, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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Markets: Stocks blew a lead in the afternoon for the NASDAQ’s and S&P’s third straight losing session. Blame a red-hot inflation report that took another bite out of stocks.
DIGITS: Money is about to enter a new era of competition and digital technology is poised to change our relationship with money and, for some countries, the ability to manage their economies.
Posted on April 12, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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Today’s consumer price index [CPI] reading is expected to show that March prices surged 8.4% over last year.
Treasury yields rose and stocks dropped in anticipation of higher interest rates and a cooling economy. The tech-heavy NASDAQ lost more than $1 trillion in market value in just the past five trading sessions.
US average gas prices sank to their lowest level in more than a month, at $4.11 a gallon. The easing is likely a reaction to the White House’s big release of crude reserves and lock-downs in China reducing overall demand for fuel.
US digital health company investment financing experienced a dip in Q1 of 2022, dropping to $6 billion from the $6.7 billion invested in Q1 2021. In addition, the average size of each investment deal dropped from $46 million last year to just shy of $33 million.
Posted on April 11, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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Last week was a bit rudderless with anecdotal stories in the stock market — like Elon Musk buying a big chunk of Twitter (TWTR) — pushing and pulling market sentiment.
But, as with the heart of any earnings season, the big banks will be among the first to put up Q1 numbers. According to Zacks Director of Research Sheraz Mian in his latest Earnings Trends piece this week, all the big banks, including JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Bank of America (BAC), Citigroup (C) and Wells Fargo (WFC), have seen lower revisions ahead of the reports. This is especially true with Citi, which has higher exposure to Russia.
And, global venture funding dropped 19% from Q4 2021 to the first quarter of this year—the steepest drop in at least four years, according to CB Insights. The number of companies that nabbed “unicorn” status (a valuation of at least $1 billion) fell to a five-quarter low.
Finally, the average number of US COVID-19 cases has hit its highest level in a month, but due to the draw-down in testing centers and the uptick of at-home tests, experts assume that many cases are going unreported. Dr. Fauci opined that we must assess our own risk levels, which reflects the US’ shift in strategy to treat Covid like an endemic disease.
Posted on April 10, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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U.S. stocks ended mixed the past week with the technology-laden NASDAQ Composite and S&P 500 closing lower as investors continued to digest the Federal Reserve’s plans to aggressively raise interest rates and shrink its balance sheet. Key inflation data and corporate earnings reports loom next week.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 137.55 points, or 0.4%, to close at 34,721.12.
The S&P 500 slipped 11.93 points, or 0.3%, to finish at 4,488.28.
The NASDAQ Composite shed 186.30 points, or 1.3%, to end at 13,711.
For the week, the Dow declined 0.3%, the S&P 500 fell 1.3% and the NASDAQ dropped 3.9%. The S&P 500 and NASDAQ each snapped a three-week winning streak while the Dow fell for a second week in a row, according to Dow Jones Market Data.
Posted on April 9, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.40%, or 137 points, The S&P 500 fell 0.20%, the NASDAQ slipped 1.3%. All three major averages ended the week in the red.
Technology stocks snapped a three-week winning streak, keeping the broader market in the red as investors remain wary of growth sectors of the market in the wake of surging Treasury yields.
The 10-year Treasury yield jumped above 2.7% for the first time in more than three years on expectations for aggressive Federal Reserve tightening to stem inflation.
DEFINITION: In economics, a commodity is an economic good, usually a resource, that has full or substantial fungibility: that is, the market treats instances of the good as equivalent or nearly so with no regard to who produced them.
Gold Futures for June delivery were down 0.34% or 6.60 to $1,931.20 a troy ounce. Elsewhere in commodities trading, Crude oil for delivery in May rose 0.31% or 0.30 to hit $96.33 a barrel, while the June Brent oil contract rose 0.14% or 0.14 to trade at $100.72 a barrel.
Posted on April 8, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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Wall Street’s main stock benchmarks closed higher Thursday after two days of declines.
St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said the central bank is “behind the curve” on fighting inflation.
Stocks appeared to take in stride Bullard’s view that the Fed needs to raise rates by 3 percentage points this year.
The NASDAQ Composite recovered a portion of the 2% slump it suffered on Wednesday, and the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average joined the tech-concentrated index in rising for the first time in three sessions.
Stocks overcame earlier losses and appeared to absorb remarks by St. Louis Fed President James Bullard who reportedly said on Thursday the Fed is “behind the curve” in curbing inflation. He said the central bank will need to raise interest rates another 3 percentage points by the end of 2022, according to Reuters. The Fed in March raised its fed funds rate by 25 basis points from near zero.
Judge Ketanji Brown Jackson will become the first Black woman to ever serve on the US Supreme Court, after being confirmed by the Senate in a 53–47 vote. She’ll replace Justice Stephen Breyer, who is retiring this summer.
Posted on April 7, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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Stocks ended lower but off their worst levels, with the tech-heavy NASDAQ Composite bearing the brunt of selling pressure for a second session Wednesday after minutes of the Federal Reserve’s March policy meeting outlined plans for shrinking the central bank’s nearly $9 trillion balance sheet.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average ended with a loss of around 145 points, or 0.4%, near 34,497, according to preliminary figures, while the S&P 500 sank around 44 points, or 1%. to finish near 4,481. The NASDAQ Composite shed around 315 points, or 2.2%, closing near 13,889.
And, the 10-year treasury yield, which indicates the level of investor confidence in the markets, jumped to 2.62% which was the highest level since March, 2019. The move higher is partly due to continued momentum from Tuesday’s 28.19% rise, which was propelled by U.S. Federal Reserve Governor Lael Brainard’s hawkish comments. However, the 5-year yield remained inverted and higher then the 30-year yield. The spike higher in bond yields
Posted on April 4, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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It sure has been a wild ride for investors over the past few weeks, with the benchmark S&P 500 rising 10% from March 8th through March 30th. But the broader stock market is still down for 2022. Below is a list of 10 stocks that have fallen at least 20% this year, but are expected by analysts to rise as much as 66% over the next 12 months.
Posted on April 3, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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The Biden administration will release 1 million barrels of oil every day for the next six months but also to flood the market with supply and tamp down spiking gas prices. This release from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) is the biggest ever announced by the US, and it underscores just how politically sensitive the issue of gas prices remain.
Oil prices were already on the rise before the war in Ukraine, but when Russia launched its invasion, a portion of its energy supplies were shunned by many Western governments—causing prices to go vertical.
The national average price for a gallon of gas has shot up from $2.87 last year to $4.23 currently.
The SPR was created in 1975 following another major shock to the US economy: the Arab oil embargo. To ensure the US never had to suffer through shortages like that again, the government amassed a huge stockpile of crude oil along the Gulf Coast for rainy days.
The US has tapped the SPR three times in the last six months to support thirsty energy markets.
Posted on March 30, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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STOCKS: The Dow and S&P have put together a four-day win streak as the first quarter comes to a close. And, Robinhood stock soared after the company said it would extend trading hours.
APPLE: Gained for 11 straight trading days, its longest streak since 2003 (before it released the iPhone). Now, it is just $3/share shy of its record closing high and is staring down a $3 trillion market cap.
FOMC: Embarked on the high-stakes campaign of hiking interest rates while not inducing a recession. Chairman Jerome Powell said he’s not worried about a downturn in the near future.
Posted on March 29, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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BILLIONAIRE TAX: President Biden is introducing a “Billionaire Minimum Income Tax” as part of his 2023 budget. It’s the first time Biden has directly called for a wealth tax. The proposal would require US households worth more than $100 million to pay at least 20% in tax on their income. Controversially, this covers both traditional income and unrealized gains on investments—which are how billionaires manage to minimize their tax obligations in the first place. In the current system, you only pay capital gains tax once an asset is sold.
TECHNOLOGY STOCK UPDATES:
Waymo said it’s ready to go driverless in San Francisco, but didn’t say if it has the proper permits yet.
Softbank is seeking a $60 billion valuation for Arm’s IPO, after Nvidia’s deal to buy the company for $40 billion was opposed by competition authorities in the US and UK.
Apple is working on a subscription service for hardware, including the iPhone.
The EU agreed to a comprehensive set of antitrust regulationscalled the Digital Markets Act. The rules, which have not yet passed, are aimed at reining in Big Tech.
The UK wants to build 300,000 EV charging stations by 2030.
Posted on March 25, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
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By Staff Reporters
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COVID-19: The White House said it will end the reimbursement program, which was set up in March 2020 under then-President Trump, because it has exhausted its funding. Money from the program went toward paying hospitals and other health care providers for the treatment, testing and vaccination of those without insurance, regardless of immigration status.
STOCKS: US stocks moved higher recovering from Wednesday’s sell-off, after weekly jobless claims fell to their lowest level in 52 years.
JOBS: Jobless claims fell to 187,000 last week, down 28,000 from the previous week and ahead of economist’s estimates of 210,000. Filings hit the lowest level since September 1969, highlighting the underlying strength of a job market that is still recovering from the COVID-19 pandemic.
COMMODITIES: Meanwhile, commodity prices cooled with oil prices falling more than 2%. The drop in oil came on the same day President Joe Biden traveled to Europe to meet with other Western countries regarding the ongoing invasion of Ukraine by Russia, and called for Russia to be removed from G20.
Lapsus$: Cybersecurity experts tracked down the group’s alleged ringleader, a 16 year old, in Oxford, England, who reportedly amassed $14 million from his after-school hacking job. Lapsus$ targeted companies like Microsoft, Nvidia, and Okta.
Posted on March 24, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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STOCKS: The S&P 500 fell 55 points. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 447 points and the NASDAQ fell 186 points. The losses were broad, with technology, health care and financial stocks among the biggest weights on the benchmark S&P 500 index. Microsoft fell 1.2% and Abbott Laboratories slid 3.5%. Retailers and communications companies also lost ground.
OIL: Energy stocks rose as crude oil prices climbed more than 4%. Hess rose 2.8%.
MOSCOW: Russia’s central bank has decided to gradually resume trading on the Moscow Exchange in the equity markets after the country’s longest trading halt began on February 24th. Federal loans and bond trading resumed on Monday. Bidding will be held from 10:00 to 11:00 Moscow time in the discrete auction mode, then from 13:00 to 17:00 Moscow time in the usual mode. Short selling on such instruments will be prohibited.
GIF: Stephen Wilhite, the creator of the GIF died at age 74. The Graphics Interchange Format, dates back to the 1980s, when Wilhite was looking for a way to send high-quality graphics in color during the early stages of the internet.
Posted on March 23, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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US stocks: Rebounded to close firmly higher Tuesday as investors shrugged off hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and continued to monitor the war in Ukraine.
The S&P 500 rose 1.1% to 4,511.81, and Dow Jones Industrial Average [DJIA] jumped more than 250 points, or about 0.7%, to 34,807.86. The NASDAQ Composite was up nearly 2% to 14,108.82. The moves come on the back of a choppy session Monday that saw all three indexes cap last week’s winning streak to close lower after Powell signaled the central bank was prepared to act more aggressively to rein in inflation.
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T-Note: Meanwhile, the 10-year U.S. Treasury climbed to yield 2.372%
Posted on March 22, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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According to London (CNN Business), Russia has sent the clearest signal yet that it will soon default — the first time it will have failed to meet its foreign debt obligations since the Bolshevik revolution more than a century ago.
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Russian Debt: The S&P 500 slashed Russia’s debt to junk status as there are 30 corporate ‘fallen angels’ as a result of the war.
S&P: The S&P 500 slipped less than 0.1% after giving up an early gain and bouncing around for much of the day. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.6%, while the NASDAQ composite slid 0.4%. The indecisive trading came a day after the market posted its best week since November 2020 and as Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said the central bank was prepared to move more aggressively if need be to contain inflation.
Posted on March 18, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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Markets: Stocks have gone up and to the right for three days running propelled by the Federal Reserve’s determination to curb inflation with a series of rate hikes this year.
Oil: The big crash in oil prices reversed somewhat and crude jumped again to more than $100 a barrel.
Mortgage Rates: The average rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage topped 4% for the first time since May 2019, a big jump from its record low of 2.65% in January 2021.
Posted on March 17, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Eric Bricker MD
An accumulator is a running total of money you’ve paid towards your out-of-pocket max for covered services. This includes any copayments, coinsurance, and other health care costs, but not your monthly premium payments.
Posted on March 16, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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MARKETS: The S&P 500 rose 2.1%, ending a three-day losing streak, after a report showed inflation’s rapid acceleration paused at the wholesale level last month. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1.8% and the tech-heavy NASDAQ composite rose 2.9%.
The wilder action was in oil and Asian stock markets, where tightened anti-COVID measures in China are raising worries about demand for energy and about disruptions to manufacturing and global trade. Oil prices tumbled more than 6%, taking some pressure off the world’s high inflation, and a barrel of U.S. crude fell below $97 after starting the week above $109. Stocks in Hong Kong sank more than 5% for a second straight day after the neighboring city of Shenzhen was ordered into a shutdown.
STOCKS: Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: MSFT), Nio, Inc (NYSE: NIO) and Snap, Inc (NASDAQ: SNAP) are all trading higher in strong downtrends. A downtrend occurs when a stock consistently makes a series of lower lows and lower highs on the chart.
Posted on March 15, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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Domestic: The S&P 500 gave up an early gain and closed 0.7% lower after another choppy day of trading on Wall Street. The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed essentially flat and the NASDAQ composite fell 2%. The pullback came as the yield on the 10-year Treasury touched its highest level since the summer of 2019.
World: European markets climbed, while stocks fell sharply in Hong Kong after the neighboring city of Shenzhen was ordered into a shutdown to combat China’s worst COVID-19 outbreak in two years.
Oil: Prices tumbled to take some pressure off the high inflation sweeping the world, with a barrel of U.S. crude falling toward $100 after touching $130 last week.
Microsoft: Closed at $276.44 in the latest trading session, marking a -1.3% move from the prior day. This change lagged the S&P 500’s 0.74% loss on the day. Heading into today, shares of the software maker had lost 5.07% over the past month, outpacing the Computer and Technology sector’s loss of 7.96% and lagging the S&P 500’s loss of 4.6% in that time.
FOMC: High inflation makes it a near certainty that the FOMC central bank will move to “tighten” its policies of printing money, by raising the target federal funds rate (the benchmark for short-term interest rates) by 0.25%. The uncertainty for Fed policy lies in how aggressive the central bank will move after the first interest rate increase. Concerns are building that the Fed may not be able to credibly bring inflation back down to its 2% level. Prices rose by 7.9% on a year-over-year basis in February, a 40-year high.
Posted on March 14, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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A mountain of economic data and earnings news emerged over the past month for two popular FAANG stocks that announced they’d be enacting stock splits.
First up was Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOGL) (NASDAQ: GOOG), the parent company of internet search engine Google and streaming platform YouTube. Alphabet announced a 20-for-1 forward stock split that, as of the closing bell on March 9th, would bring its share price down to around $133 (for the Class A shares, GOOGL). Shareholders still need to vote to approve the split, which is expected to take effect in mid-July.
And, last week e-commerce giant Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) followed suit with a 20-for-1 forward stock split announcement of its own. Assuming it receives shareholder approval, Amazon’s lofty share price will come down to around $139, based on its March 9th close. This will be Amazon’s first stock split since September 1999.
Finally, the Federal Reserve is expected to raise its target fed funds rate by a quarter percentage point from zero at the end of its two-day meeting Wednesday. Investors are also looking to the central bank for its new forecasts for rates, inflation and the economy, given the uncertainty from the escalated geopolitical tensions.
Posted on March 12, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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Markets: Another losing week for Wall Street’s three main indexes, and the fifth down week in a row for the Dow. Despite ticking up yesterday, oil prices have actually fallen over the last five days thanks to assurances that producers could plug the supply gap left by Russia.
Ukraine: As Russian forces expanded their assault on new cities in Ukraine, President Biden once again ruled out deploying US troops to the country. “A direct confrontation between NATO and Russia is World War III,” he said.
Stress: More than 80% of Americans said that the invasion of Ukraine and inflation are significant sources of stress, according to a new survey from the American Psychological Association. That share is higher than for any other issue asked about since the survey began in 2007. Meanwhile, US consumer confidence fell to its lowest level in almost 11 years in early March.
Posted on March 11, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
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By Staff Reporters
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Markets: Wednesday’s surge was brief as stocks sank yet again following failed peace talks between Russian and Ukrainian officials. RIVIAN investors lost about $117 billion in market capitalization in the last four months due to concerns around its production capabilities.
Government: The Senate approved a $1.5 trillion spending bill that will fund the government for the current fiscal year and provide $13.6 billion in aid for Ukraine.
WHO: In the US…March 25th, the day Hawaii—the only remaining state with an indoor mask mandate—lifts its mask requirements and April 18th, when the CDC’s loosened guidance for mask mandates on public transportation is expected to take effect. These moves would mean virtually all Covid restrictions would be lifted, marking the unofficial end of the pandemic in the states. Globally…the WHO has been meeting every three months to decide whether or not to continue calling Covid a “pandemic.” The group is expected to keep the label through April—and most likely June as well—and with it, a number of programs that directly help low-income countries. But if the WHO removes the label, then projects like Covax to help vaccinate low-income nations and pledges from drug companies to leave patents off Covid drugs could disappear. And, Harvard epidemiologist Caroline Buckee told Science that the ultimate decision to end the pandemic would come down to “an opinion-based consensus” from within the the WHO.
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