DAILY UPDATE: Stocks, Commodities and Trade as Stock Markets End Mixed

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  • Stocks: Investors cheered the news of an EU & US trade deal over the weekend, pushing the S&P 500 above 6,400 for the first time ever. But the index gave up most of its gains late in the day as attention turned to a huge week of data ahead (more on that in a minute).
  • Trade: Today was the first day of discussions between US and Chinese negotiators in Stockholm to keep the trade war truce alive. Elsewhere, President Trump foresees a baseline 15% to 20% tariff rate for the rest of the world.
  • Commodities: Gold fell as trade deal hopes heightened investors’ risk appetite, while oil spiked higher after Trump gave Russia a 10- to 12-day deadline to sign a truce with Ukraine.

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According to Bloomberg, 83% of the S&P 500 companies that have reported earnings have outpaced Wall Street’s estimates, putting the index on pace for its best season of beats since the second quarter of 2021.

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Visualize: How private equity tangled banks in a web of debt, from the Financial Times.

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Stocks & Commodities

By A.I.

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  • Stocks: President Trump said there’s a “50/50 chance” of a deal with the EU ahead of next week’s deadline. Investors decided they like those odds, and pushed the NASDAQ and S&P 500 to yet another new closing record high—in fact, the S&P 500 set a new record every day this week. Meanwhile, trade deal talks with Brazil have reportedly stalled.
  • Commodities: Oil fell to a three-week low today as Iran signaled a willingness to come to the negotiating table with European powers for nuclear talks.
  • Hopes of trade deals and less need for a safe haven investment pushed gold prices lower.

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Commodities, Stocks and Bonds

By A.I.

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  • Stocks: Investors were pleased to hear about the trade deal with Japan yesterday and reports of an agreement with the EU coming soon kept the stock rally alive through market close. The S&P 500 notched its 12th new closing record this year, and the NASDAQ ended the day above 21,000 for the first time.
  • Bonds: Treasury yields rose a bit after an auction of 20-year notes was met with strong demand, indicating investor appetite for longer-term US debt.
  • Commodities: Oil inched higher while gold edged lower as investors hedge their bets in anticipation of more trade deals before the August 1st deadline.

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Stocks, Trade and the FOMC

By A.I.

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Stocks: Markets lost steam late in the trading session yesterday as investors awaited more earnings announcements, with the DJIA tumbling into the red. But the S&P 500 managed to end the day above 6,300 for the first time ever, while the NASDAQ enjoyed its sixth consecutive record close

FOMC: Over the weekend, President Trump disputed reports that Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent talked him out of firing Jerome Powell. Meanwhile, Bessent said that the entire Federal Reserve should be put under review.

Trade: Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick reiterated that August 1st will be the “hard deadline” for countries to make a deal with the US. Both negotiations and tensions with the EU are ramping up as Trump threatens to slap the bloc with 30% levies.

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Crypto-Currency and the Stock Markets

By A.I.

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  • Markets: Stocks slid lower today even as a preliminary survey revealed that consumer sentiment hit its highest point since February, while inflation expectations fell to pre-tariff levels. The selloff deepened on reports that President Trump wants 15% to 20% tariffs against the EU, though the NASDAQ managed to eke out a win.
  • Crypto: Although bitcoin fell after the president signed the GENIUS Act into law, ether rose to its highest price in six months today, while enthusiasm for the new legislation pushed total crypto assets above $4 trillion.

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Stocks and Commodities

By A.I.

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  • Stocks: Markets shrugged off President Trump’s weekend threat of 30% levies against the EU and Mexico, as well as his proposed 100% secondary tariffs against Russia today. Stocks eked out a win across the board, with the NASDAQ climbing to a new record close.
  • Commodities: Oil prices fell while gold took a breather, but the big winner was orange juice futures, which hit a four-month high thanks to Trump’s promise of 50% tariffs on all imports from Brazil. Coffee prices also climbed.

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Deals, Stocks and the FOMC

By A.I.

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  • Deals: Stocks popped at the open yesterday on the news that Canada has rescinded the digital services tax in order to lure the US back to the negotiating table. Meanwhile, Bloomberg reported that the EU will accept a 10% universal tariff in exchange for some key concessions.
  • Stocks: The S&P 500 and the NASDAQ both hit new record highs today, with the S&P 500 wrapping up its best quarter since Q4 20
  • The Fed: President Trump published a handwritten note asking Jerome Powell to cut interest rates, even as the White House considers new ways to replace the Fed Chair. Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs now sees the chances of the Fed cutting interest rates in September as “somewhat above 50%.”

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MARKETS: Weekly Recap

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Stock markets are coming off their worst week since April as President Trump’s tariff threats on Europe and Apple revived trade war jitters. The president has since delayed tariff threats on the EU, giving European stocks a boost yesterday, while Wall Street had the day off for Memorial Day.

MORE: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2025/05/26/financial-paradox-compounding-interest-and-time/

No such relief appears to be coming for Apple, which has fallen 8% so far this month, and is the only Magnificent Seven member in the red for May, per FactSet.

Mag 7: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2024/07/30/the-magnificent-7-and-the-dangers-of-stock-market-hype/

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MAASTRICHT Treaty

By Staff Reporters

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The Maastricht Treaty, signed February 7th, 1992, in Maastricht, the Netherlands, created the European Union (EU) and led to the creation of the euro(€); the single currency adopted by most EU member states.

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DAILY UPDATE: Apple, Uber, Temu, Papa John’s, Icahn Enterprises & NFL Private Equity as Stock Markets Nudge Upward

MEDICAL EXECUTIVE-POST TODAY’S NEWSLETTER BRIEFING

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Essays, Opinions and Curated News in Health Economics, Investing, Business, Management and Financial Planning for Physician Entrepreneurs and their Savvy Advisors and Consultants

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The National Football League is expected to vote to allow private equity ownership of franchises, marking a significant change to its ultra-exclusive ownership club. The vote, all but guaranteed to pass, is a historic softening by the NFL, which will be the last of the major sports leagues in North America to permit private equity ownership. The NBA, MLB and NHL currently allow PE to own up to 30% of a team, while the NFL’s expected cap is 10%.

And, the stock of PDD Holdings, parent company of the fast-growing Temu shopping app, sank more than 30% on Monday, losing more than $50 billion in market value, after the e-commerce giant posted disappointing revenue results and executives warned of rapid competition and non-business challenges that may dampen growth and profits going forward.

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What’s up

  • Costco (+1.84%) hit an all-time high and topped $900/share for the first time. Don’t be surprised if it becomes the latest retailer to announce a stock split after Chipotle, Walmart, and Williams-Sonoma, according to Barron’s.
  • Hain Celestial Group, the better-for-you food company that makes those veggie straw snacks in your office pantry, popped 18.59% after beating profit expectations for the latest quarter.

What’s down

  • Hims & Hers, the direct-to-consumer provider of generics, fell 7.51% after Eli Lilly announced a cheaper version of its weight loss drug Zepbound.
  • Paramount Global dropped 7.15% after billionaire Edgar Bronfman Jr. decided he wouldn’t pursue an acquisition of the legacy media company. That leaves Skydance Media poised for an $8 billion takeover.
  • Cannabis stocks including Curaleaf Holdings (-13.52%), Canopy Growth (-9.56%), and Green Thumb Industries (-10.76%) went up in smoke when the DEA said it would hold its hearing over changing the classification of cannabis on Dec. 2—after the election.
  • Cava got bowled over 6.10% after its CEO and other insiders revealed stock sales.

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) rose 8.96 points (0.16%) to 5,625.80; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) rose 9.98 (0.02%) to 41,250.50; the NASDAQ Composite®($COMP) added 29.05 points (0.16%) to 17,754.82.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) increased nearly two basis points to 3.83%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) slipped to 15.42.

About half of S&P 500 sectors finished in the green today. Financials have been on a roll lately amid rate cut hopes and continued their solid performance Tuesday, while energy did a 180 Tuesday as crude oil lost ground.

Treasury yields remained in their recent trading range, with the gap narrowing further between the 2-year and 10-year Treasury note yields to roughly seven basis points. The inversion, in which two-year yields hold a premium to 10-year yields, reached 100 basis points a year ago as the Fed rapidly raised rates. The 10-year yield got some traction today from a solid Consumer Confidence report.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/tj8smmes

Apple has announced “it’s glowtime” for a Sept. 9th event during which the company is expected to debut the iPhone 16.

And, Uber was fined 290 million euros ($347 million) by Dutch regulators for transferring driver data from the EU to the US. It’s one of the biggest fines ever issued under the EU’s data privacy law.

Icahn Enterprises L.P.’s stock tumbled 11.5% Monday to close at a roughly 21-year low, after billionaire Carl Icahn’s publicly traded investing arm filed to sell up to $400 million of its depositary units in an “at-the-market offering.” The news comes after Icahn and his company agreed last week to pay $2 million in civil penalties for failing to make required disclosures relating to personal margin loans worth billions of dollars. The stock closed at $14.07, its lowest level since it closed at $14.04 on Nov. 25, 2003.

Papa John’s (NASDAQ:PZZA) rose 4% and then surged amid some takeover speculation concerning Restaurants Brands (QSR), the parent of Burger King and Tim Hortons. 

Visualize: How private equity tangled banks in a web of debt, from the Financial Times.

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DAILY UPDATE: “Digital Markets Act” Violations as Stocks Slide

By Staff Reporters

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The European Union is investigating Meta, Apple, and Alphabet for potential violations of its Digital Markets Act. And its regulators have started looking into Amazon as well.

The Digital Markets Act is the EU’s law to make the markets in the digital sector fairer and more contestable. In order to do so, the Digital Markets Act (“DMA”) establishes a set of clearly defined objective criteria to identify “gatekeepers”.

And, stocks were headed for a great Tuesday before investors sent stock indexes back down and leaving the Dow largely unchanged. Meanwhile, Donald Trump’s social media company, Truth Social, surged 16% in its first day of trading, just as the former president must pay $175 million as part of his civil fraud trial.

Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 index lost 14.61 points (0.3%) to 5,203.58; the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 31.31 points (0.1%) to 39,282.33; the NASDAQ Composite tumbled 68.76 points (0.4%) to 16,315.70. 
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) fell two basis points to 4.23%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index edged up 0.05 to 13.24.

In terms of sector performance, utilities, information technology, and energy were the weakest. Health care and financials saw relative strength.

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META: Busted and Fined!

By Staff Reporters

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LONDON (AP) — The European Union just slapped Meta with a record $1.3 billion privacy fine today and ordered it to stop transferring user data across the Atlantic by October, the latest salvo in a decadelong case sparked by U.S. cybersnooping fears.

The penalty fine of 1.2 billion euros from Ireland’s Data Protection Commission is the biggest since the EU’s strict data privacy regime took effect five years ago, surpassing Amazon’s 746 million euro penalty in 2021 for data protection violations.

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USA nears DEFAULT while Europe INFLATES!

By Staff Reporters

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Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen warned yesterday that the US could run out of money to pay all its bills as early as June 1st if Congress does not raise or suspend the debt limit before then. The US’ first-ever default would be disastrous for financial markets, economists say.

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Meanwhile, Europe’s painful inflation has inched higher, extending the squeeze on households and keeping pressure on the European Central Bank to unleash what could be another large interest rate increase. Consumer prices in the 20 countries using the euro currency jumped 7% in April from a year earlier, just up from the annual rate of 6.9% in March, the European Union statistics agency Eurostat said today. Food price inflation eased a little, falling to an annual rate of 13.6% from March’s 15.5%, while energy prices rose a more modest 2.5%. Core inflation, which excludes volatile food and fuel, slowed slightly but was still high at 5.6%, underlining the expectation that the ECB will press ahead with its campaign to beat inflation into submission with rate hikes.

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On the Financial Rain in Spain for Physician Investors

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Understanding European Woes and the Global Financial Crisis

By Daniel Minihan

Spain has been the focus of the latest woes in Europe over the past few weeks. And, the key issue surrounding their banks is over lending into a property market that has fallen sharply. So, I thought the chart below best summed up their predicament.

GFC Confidence

In the lead up to the GFC, Spanish confidence was riding high and was directly correlated to retail spending, which is not dissimilar to where the USA was (and currently is).

But, after the property market tanked, so did confidence and with it went the desire to spend. With unemployment in Spain approaching 25% of the workforce, household spending is dropping which perpetuates a cycle of higher unemployment which in turn puts more pressure on the property market and the banks that lent into it

Assessment

The Spanish bank rally fizzled yesterday.

Link: http://money.msn.com/market-news/post.aspx?post=ee6e272d-7247-4e14-b33a-d8e82d337ffa

Not sure where this one will end. How about you?

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Who Admires the EU Healthcare Model?

Not so Fast – Old Man 

By Darrell K. Pruitt; DDS – el Viejo

Here’s something interesting I found on Courthouse News.com about Germany’s mandatory retirement age for dentists.

“EU Court OK’s Age Limits for Firefighters, Dentists” (no byline).

http://www.courthousenews.com/2010/01/14/European_Courts.htm

European Court of Justice  

“The European Court of Justice released a ruling reconciling a ban on age discrimination with German age limits for firefighting and dentistry.”  

The article continues:

“For dentists, the high court agreed with the national court that an age limit is justified by the need to protect patients from declining performance.”

As we wait for octogenarian Gordon Christensen DDS to discover and describe the lame “declining performance” claim in that statement, let me focus on the rest of the paragraph:

“But it said that such a limit must apply across the board, not only for panel-certified dentists within the public sector, but also for private practitioners.”

Touting the Next Generation of Dentists  

It gets worse. The EU openly states that it intends to hand young dentists (and mid-level providers?) an immediate chance at making swell money with a huge demand for dental care that will arise when thousands of thriving dental practices across Europe close.

“The Court of Justice also agreed that such a limit is reasonable to provide work positions for young dentists, but only if it can be proven to fulfill this purpose.”

Assessment 

Hell, I’ll probably still have kids in college if US HIT stakeholders fall in love with this plan. Not only that, but since thousands of dental practices like mine will be up for sale at the same time, the business I’ve built over the last 27 years will be worthless on the open market. 

So what are my plans? I hope the ADA is adequately protecting Americans from such folly.

And – if not?

Porque hablo español, tengo la intención de mover el culo viejo a una ciudad en la costa en México y sacar dientes a los extranjeros ilegales a su regreso desde el norte. ¡Viva el NAFTA!

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