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Posted on October 28, 2024 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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Peak earnings season: Five of the Magnificent SevenStocks will be among the 181 companies reporting their earnings this week. Alphabet is in the Mag Seven lead-off spot on Tuesday, Microsoft and Meta step to the plate on Wednesday, and Apple and Amazon rounding out the lineup and this baseball metaphor on Thursday. These companies account for almost 25% of the S&P 500, which is up 40% over the past year and not far off its record closing number from earlier this month. But, the approaching election, it could be a volatile week in the stock markets.
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Markets: Stocks are currently driving the narrative on Wall Street. Last week, bonds sold off in a big way (driving yields to their highest level since July) in a sign investors are dialing back expectations of more aggressive rate cuts from the Federal Reserve.
Stocks nevertheless handled the bond volatility with aplomb, and with help from Tesla’s 22% one-day rise, the NASDAQ is sitting within 2% of its record high.
Posted on July 15, 2024 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
MEDICAL EXECUTIVE-POST–TODAY’SNEWSLETTERBRIEFING
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Essays, Opinions and Curated News in Health Economics, Investing, Business, Management and Financial Planning for Physician Entrepreneurs and their Savvy Advisors and Consultants
“Serving Almost One Million Doctors, Financial Advisors and Medical Management Consultants Daily“
A Partner of the Institute of Medical Business Advisors , Inc.
Americans are traveling in record numbers this summer, but Delta Air Lines said Thursday that it saw second-quarter profit drop 29% due to higher costs and discounting of base-level fares across the industry. The airline is also predicting a lower profit than Wall Street expects for the third quarter.
Markets: Stocks swung upward finishing the week strong. The Dow closed above 40,000 for the second time ever. And, investors expect the stock market to get a jolt of volatility this week following the assassination attempt on former President Trump, and trades linked to his victory in November (such as a rising US dollar) could see an uptick. For example, Trump has fashioned himself into a pro-crypto candidate, and bitcoin spiked above $62,000 after the shooting.
Finance: Big banks kicked off the Q2 earnings season, with JPMorgan, Citigroup, and Wells Fargo reporting. Investment banking revenue was up as deals have started coming back, even as continued high interest rates took a toll on their loan and deposit businesses. Wells Fargo, which relies most on the businesses hit by inflation, saw its profit drop year over year. Investors are wary: All three banks’ stock fell.
Alphabet is close to acquiring cybersecurity startup Wiz, according to the Wall Street Journal. The $23 billion purchase price would be the largest in the company’s history.
Posted on July 8, 2024 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
MEDICAL EXECUTIVE-POST–TODAY’SNEWSLETTERBRIEFING
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Essays, Opinions and Curated News in Health Economics, Investing, Business, Management and Financial Planning for Physician Entrepreneurs and their Savvy Advisors and Consultants
“Serving Almost One Million Doctors, Financial Advisors and Medical Management Consultants Daily“
A Partner of the Institute of Medical Business Advisors , Inc.
Wall Street is counting down the hours until Friday, which is when Q2 earnings season kicks off. Investors are hoping anyone besides Big Tech will post impressive results to keep the rally going. Although the stock market has set record after record this year, it’s mostly been the work of tech giants. As of Tuesday, about 40% of S&P 500 companies were in the red for 2024.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will give updates on the economy to Congress on Tuesday and Wednesday, where he’ll likely be asked about the prospect of interest rate cuts. Those plans could become clearer on Thursday, when the consumer price index inflation report drops.
Boeing will plead guilty to a criminal fraud charge stemming from two fatal crashes of 737 Max planes and pay an additional $243.6 million fine, allowing it to avoid a criminal trial sought by victims’ families. More here.
Markets: One week into 2024, stocks and bonds are off to their worst start in 21 years as investors maybe got a bit ahead of their skis in anticipating Fed rate cuts.
This week, Wall Street will be focused on fresh inflation data and the beginning of Q4 earnings season.
Bitcoin ETF cleared for launch? The first spot bitcoin ETF—could be approved by regulators this week in what would be a watershed moment for Wall Street’s embrace of digital tokens. The hype around these proposed funds, which would allow regular investors to gain exposure to bitcoin without buying it directly, drove bitcoin’s price up 162% over the past year.
Here is where the major benchmarks ended:
The S&P 500 Index was up 84.15 points (1.9%) at 4,495.70; the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) was up 489.83 points (1.4%) at 34,827.70; the NASDAQ Composite (COMP) was up 326.64 points (2.4%) at 14,094.38.
The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was down about 18 basis points at 4.453%.
CBOE’s Volatility Index (VIX) was down 0.60 at 14.16.
The small-cap focused Russell 2000 Index (RUT), which has lagged large-cap benchmarks for most of the year, jumped more than 5% Tuesday. Small-caps are often seen as being more exposed to the economic cycle and had suffered because of concerns that high interest rates could push the economy into recession.
Other interest rate-sensitive sectors, such as real estate, materials, and utilities, also saw outsize gains.
Posted on October 12, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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Markets: Stocks notched their fourth winning day in a row yesterday as investors digested the news that the Fed was split about future rate hikes at its last meeting while waiting for this morning’s report on how much consumer prices rose last month.
Ozempic continues eating into investors’ appetites for other industries. Its maker, Novo Nordisk, rose on the news that the diabetes drug may help treat kidney failure, but dialysis providers DaVita and Fresenius Medical Care plunged.
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Earnings season is back: PepsiCo, Delta, Dominos, and big banks headline the start of earnings season, one that will have investors looking at how slowing inflation has affected the ability of companies to pad their profit margins. Pepsi’s report will be closely watched as its snack division, Frito-Lay, could be tested by the increasing popularity of weight-loss drugs like Wegovy. Major banks like JPMorgan are expected to post strong results.
US consumer spending: Has remained surprisingly strong despite rising interest rates, and a senior spending spree could explain it. According to the Department of Labor, Americans aged 65 and older accounted for 22% of consumer spending last year, the highest percentage since records began in 1972. It also helps that 17.7% of the US population is 65 and older, the highest on record dating to 1920. Better health, longer lifespans, and changes in attitude toward saving for a rainy day after the pandemic have boomers feeling OK about their finances.
Posted on July 18, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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Earnings season picks up: The Q2 reports will come fast and furious this week from companies including Bank of America, Tesla, major airlines, and American Express. But the most tea is expected to be spilled by Netflix, which will give an update on its password-sharing crackdown and discuss how the Hollywood strikes are impacting its business.
A new study reports Eli Lilly’s Alzheimer’s drug slowed cognitive and functional decline for people with early stages of the disease. The data, published Monday in the Journal of the American Medical Association, found the experimental drug Donanemab slowed decline by 35% compared to a placebo group based on a measure of daily activities such as driving, managing finances and talking about current events. Researchers also shared the data at the Alzheimer’s Association International Conference in Amsterdam.
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Lilly said it submitted an application for traditional Food and Drug Administration approval earlier this year and expects the agency will act before the end of the year.
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Finally, technology shares were among the strongest performers yesterday, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) surging over 2% to its highest level since January 2022. Smaller companies also performed well, with the small-cap focused Russell 2000 (RUT) up over 1% to end at a five-month high. Financial shares remained robust following mostly better-than-expected results from big banks last week. Here is where the major benchmarks ended:
The S&P 500 Index was up 17.37 points (0.4%) at 4,522.79; the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 76.32 points (0.2%) at 34,585.35; and the NASDAQ Composite was up 131.25 points (0.9%) at 14,244.95.
The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was down about 2 basis points at 3.805%.
CBOE’s Volatility Index (VIX) was up 0.14 at 13.48.
Posted on July 10, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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Miss seeing terms like “adjusted profits” and “forward guidance” in the ME-P?
They’re coming back as earnings season got underway on Friday with big banks reporting. Tech companies, in particular, will have to impress to justify their expensive share prices.
Posted on October 10, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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Inflation data incoming. Thursday’s consumer price index release will show how much we got clobbered by inflation in September. Last month, inflation came in hotter than expected, leading to a market rout. Economists hope to see some cooling in “core CPI,” which strips out food and gas prices, this time around.
Earnings season is back. A stock market that’s already on edge could get another jolt of volatility this week as corporations begin to report their Q3 earnings, starting with PepsiCo on Wednesday. These reports will reveal how companies are coping with the Fed’s interest rate hikes.
The World Bank and the International Monetary Fund will hold their annual meetings in Washington, DC, this week amid great macroeconomic uncertainty.
Posted on August 1, 2022 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™
By Staff Reporters
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According to founder and real estate investing company CARROLL, his company has raised rents up to 30% over the past year. Of course, costs are going up as well. “So as our costs go up — our costs of interest, our costs of renovations, our cost of our employees,” Carroll told Fox Business. “We need to push those increases along through rent increase.” Because of rising property prices, renting has become the only option for a lot of people. “We are seeing a supply-demand imbalance,” he adds. “And now they have a lack of buyers because of mortgage rates. So, again, this has all kind of been a perfect storm for the multifamily business.” While it’s hard to say whether rent increases are sustainable, Carroll says that his company’s occupancy rates are at all-time high.
The stock market could be gearing up for new record highs before year-end as the 2022 bear market is over, Fundstrat’s Tom Lee just said. The biggest takeaway for me on events of this week? Convincing and arguably decisive evidence the ‘bottom is in’ — the 2022 bear market is over.” Lee’s confidence stems from the fact that between a negative GDP print, another 75-basis-point interest rate hike from the Fed, and more natural gas volatility due to Russia’s Nord Stream pipeline drama, a lot of bad news occurred this week and yet the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 managed to stage a 3% rally. “When bad news doesn’t take down markets, it is time for investors to assess.” In fact, despite a strong US dollar and heightened economic uncertainty, companies are reporting better-than-feared results. With 52% of the S&P 500 having reported second-quarter earnings already, 73% beat profit estimates by a median 7%.
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Meanwhile, investors will be closely monitoring July’s Nonfarm Payrolls print, with analysts estimating a slowdown in hiring, forecasting the addition of 250K jobs which would be the lowest since December of 2020, while the unemployment rate is expected to hold steady at 3.6%. Other important economic data include final S&P Global PMIs, ISM Manufacturing and Non-Manufacturing PMIs, exports, imports, JOLTS job openings, construction spending and factory orders. Finally, the earnings season continues with a slew of major companies reporting quarterly results, including Eli Lilly and Company (NYSE:LLY), Gilead Sciences Inc (NASDAQ:GILD), Uber Technologies Inc (NYSE:UBER), Caterpillar Inc (NYSE:CAT) and Amgen Inc (NASDAQ:AMGN).
Finally, Bitcoin gained 19% since the beginning of July, which caused the crypto’s Relative Strength Index to correct from 29% on July 1 to the 60% level as of press time. The momentum coming back into Bitcoin has caused the fear and green index measurement to improve slightly from “extreme fear” in June, measuring in at 11, to “fear” in July, measuring in at 39.