MARKETS: Wall Street

By AI

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Wall Street is stable right now as the technology trade has come roaring back.

The S&P 500 climbed above 6,000 points for the first time since February, while all three indexes posted their fifth winning week in the last seven. The S&P is now just over 2% from its all-time high.

Meanwhile, recent IPOs are party rocking, especially the stablecoin issuer Circle that went public last Thursday.

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DAILY UPDATE: Federal Health Agencies and PBMs as Technology Stock Plunge!

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Essays, Opinions and Curated News in Health Economics, Investing, Business, Management and Financial Planning for Physician Entrepreneurs and their Savvy Advisors and Consultants

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Federal health agencies are canceled—well, their meetings are at least. In the days following his inauguration, President Donald Trump’s administration asked officials within the Department of Health and Human Services (HHS)—which has a $1.7 trillion budget and includes the FDA, the CDC, and the National Institutes of Health (NIH)—to stop all external communication, according to an internal memo. This means no new health advisories, social media posts, or website posts.

“As the new administration considers its plan for managing the federal policy and public communications processes, it is important that the president’s appointees and designees have the opportunity to review and approve any regulations, guidance documents, and other public documents and communications (including social media),” the memo read. The pause began on Jan. 21st, and according to the memo, will remain in effect until Feb. 1st

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The FTC’s second interim staff report on consolidated pharmacy benefit managers (PBMs) found that the three largest of these middlemen—CVS Health’s Caremark Rx, Cigna Group’s Express Scripts, and UnitedHealth Group’s OptumRx—”marked up two specialty generic cancer drugs by thousands of percent and then paid their affiliated pharmacies hundreds of millions of dollars of dispensing revenue in excess of estimated acquisition costs for each drug annually.”

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

The NASDAQ tanked on Monday as a Chinese startup rattled faith in US leadership and profitability in AI, taking a hammer to Nvidia (NVDA), wiping out a record $589 billion in market value. The NASDAQ Composite (^IXIC) sank more than 3%, while the S&P 500 (^GSPC) dropped nearly 1.5%. The blue-chip Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI), which is less dependent tech stocks gained more than 0.6% as investors flocked to defensive sectors. Shares of Apple (AAPL) and software giant Salesforce (CRM) also bucked the tech rout.

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Visualize: How private equity tangled banks in a web of debt, from the Financial Times.

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ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE: Big Technology Stocks

By Staff Reporters

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After its AI-related earnings disappointed Wall Street last quarter, Big Tech doubled down in the latest period:

  • Amazon spent $22.6 billion on property and equipment like data centers and chips. That’s an 81% spike from the same time last year.
  • Meta raised its low-end guidance for capex (capital expenditures), which could reach $40 billion by the end of the year. It beat earnings estimates, even with AR glasses subsidiary Reality Labs costing $4.4 billion in operating losses.
  • Apple is still betting on Apple Intelligence to boost sales. Most revenue came from the new iPhone 16, Apple Watch, and AirPods, but Apple services like TV+ and iCloud also grew massively to account for a quarter of the business.
  • Google crushed earnings estimates and revealed that more than 25% of all new code it writes is generated by AI (and reviewed by engineers).

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The “Magnificent 7” and the Dangers of Stock Market Hype

By Vitaliy Katsenelson CFA

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The Magnificent 7 and the Dangers of Market Hype
You can also listen to a professional narration of this article on iTunes & online.
Despite the S&P 500 showing gains in the mid-teens, the average stock on the market is either up slightly or flat for the year. Most of the gains in the index came from the Magnificent 7 stocks, which constitute 35% of the index! The equal-weighted index, where the Magnicent 7 have only a 1.4% weight, is up only about 4% this year (as of this writing). 

The Magnificent 7 are starting to look like the Nifty Fifty stocks from the 1970s (Kodak, Polaroid, Avon, Xerox, and others) – stocks you “had to own” or you were left behind – until all your gains were taken away or you faced a decade or two of no returns. Forty years later, it’s easy to dismiss these companies as has-beens. They’ve all either gone bankrupt or become irrelevant.

But back then, they were the stars of corporate America, just like the Magnificent 7 are today.
As an investor, it’s crucial to know which games you play and which ones you don’t.

Let me explain: The Magnificent 7 and the Dangers of Market Hype

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DAILY UPDATE: Technology Stocks

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Essays, Opinions and Curated News in Health Economics, Investing, Business, Management and Financial Planning for Physician Entrepreneurs and their Savvy Advisors and Consultants

Serving Almost One Million Doctors, Financial Advisors and Medical Management Consultants Daily

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http://www.MedicalBusinessAdvisors.com

SPONSORED BY: Marcinko & Associates, Inc.

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How May We Serve You?
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A magnificent earnings week is on tap: Four of the Magnificent Seven—Microsoft, Meta, Amazon, and Apple—will drop their reports throughout this week.

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Technology stocks were down last week but investors are encouraged by signs that 2024’s rally—which had been underpinned by a handful of Big Tech companies—is spreading to a broader swath of the market. For instance, the industrial focused Dow Jones Industrial Average has gained for four straight weeks, and the small-cap Russell 3000 is now up 14% this year. All eyes will be on the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting and the busiest earnings week of the season.

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Donald Trump pledges to make the US “the crypto capital of the planet.” The former president pitched himself as the pro-crypto candidate in a keynote speech at the Bitcoin 2024 conference in Nashville. He told the audience that, if elected, he’d fire SEC Chair Gary Gensler (whom the crypto community accuses of waging a war on crypto) and install regulators friendly to digital tokens. He also said he’d create a strategic national crypto stockpile as part of a plan to make the US the “bitcoin superpower of the world.”

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Consider two numbers: $568.34 and $60.09. The first is Zoom’s highest closing stock price, from October 2020; the second is its stock price today. That’s an 89% decline, caused by more workers heading back into the office (even Zoom employees) and competition from rival products by Microsoft and Google.

Visualize: How private equity tangled banks in a web of debt, from the Financial Times.

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DAILY UPDATE: Markets Mixed as Technology Stocks Remains Under Pressure

By Staff Reporters

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) rose 6.29 points (0.1%) to 4,981.80; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® (DJI) added 48.44 points (0.1%) to 38,612.24; the NASDAQ Composite dropped 49.91 points (0.3%) to 15,580.87.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) rose more than 4 basis points to 4.319%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) fell 0.05 to 15.37.

Chipmakers continue to be among the softest performers this week, which sent the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) lower for the fourth-straight day. Small caps also remained under pressure as the Russell 2000® Index (RUT) declined 0.5%, its third-straight daily decline. Energy shares were among upside leaders with an assist from a jump of more than 1.3% in WTI crude oil (/CL)futures.

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DAILY UPDATE: Recession and the Markets

By Staff Reporters

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There are certain types of stocks, bonds and mutual funds that perform better when the market is in decline. Seasoned investors tend to survive bear markets by focusing on the stocks of companies that make products necessary for daily life. Companies that often thrive in a recessionary environment are defensive stocks that provide products and services people simply cannot live without. Stocks included in this list are considered to be defensive by Wall Street analysts.

These type of stocks have performed -5.35% over the past year. By comparison, the S&P 500 is 7.13% over the same period. These types of stocks include: 30.00% of Consumer Cyclical stocks, 30.00% of Consumer Non-Cyclical stocks, 20.00% of Healthcare stocks, 10.00% of Technology stocks and 10.00% of Energy stocks.

Bear markets and recessions also tend to present themselves when market prices have been rising for a time; and investors are feeling irrationally exuberant. But, some markets have seen downturns in 2022 and 2023.

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Here is where the major benchmarks ended yesterday:

  • The S&P 500® Index fell 60 points (1.35%) to 4,376.31; the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) fell 374 points (1.08%) to 34,099.42; the NASDAQ Composite fell 257 points (1.87%) to 13,463.97.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) rose 4 basis points to 4.236%.
  • CBOE’s Volatility Index (VIX) rose roughly 1 point to 17.08.

Consumer discretionary was the weakest sector Thursday, as heavyweight constituents Amazon (AMZN) and Tesla (TSLA) both slid around 2.5%, with communication services and tech right behind. No sector was higher for the day.

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DAILY UPDATE: Google CFO and the Markets

By Staff Reporters

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Google Chief Financial Officer Ruth Porat will become president and chief investment officer of parent company Alphabet, ending an eight-year run during which she helped pitch the company to Wall Street.

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Here is where the major benchmarks ended yesterday:

  • The S&P 500 Index was up about 13 points (0.28%) at 4,567.46; the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up about 27 points (0.08%) at 35,438.07; the NASDAQ Composite was up 86 points (0.61%) at 14,144.56.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was little changed at 3.883%.
  • CBOE’s Volatility Index (VIX) was up 0.09 at 14.00.

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“Big-Tech” Market Capitalization Round-Up

 Round-UpCIRCA 2010 – 2019

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Risk Management, Liability Insurance, and Asset Protection Strategies for Doctors and Advisors: Best Practices from Leading Consultants and Certified Medical Planners™8Comprehensive Financial Planning Strategies for Doctors and Advisors: Best Practices from Leading Consultants and Certified Medical Planners™