DAILY UPDATE: Wegovy, Home Health Medicare, Federal Budget Deficit and Organ Transplants as Stock Markets Set New Highs

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Kamala Harris announced a plan to broaden Medicare to cover home healthcare for the first time in an effort to help the “sandwich generation” of Americans who are taking care of both their children and their parents.

WeightWatchers said it will offer cheaper copycat versions of Novo Nordisk’s weight loss drug, Wegovy.

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Stocks up

  • Reddit gained 0.31% thanks to Jefferies analysts, who debuted their coverage of the social media stock with a “buy” rating, praising the company’s AI potential.
  • Biogen climbed 1.90% after the FDA gave its treatment for kidney transplant patients a special Breakthrough Therapy Designation.
  • Cruise stocks sailed higher today, in spite of the oncoming hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico. Norwegian Cruise Line, Carnival, and Royal Caribbean popped 10.91%, 7.05%, and 5.26%, respectively, on upgrades from Citi analysts.
  • Astera Labs jumped 15.60% after it debuted a new family of data center switches built specifically for AI.
  • Helen of Troy soared 17.88% thanks to a stronger-than-expected earnings report from the struggling consumer goods manufacturer.
  • Arcadium Lithium continued to rocket higher today after mining behemoth Rio Tinto announced it’s buying the lithium miner for $5.85 per share. Arcadium shares rose 30.90%.

Stocks down

  • Boeing just can’t catch a break: Talks with striking machinists broke down and the airplane manufacturer withdrew its recent contract offer. Shares sank 3.41% on the news.
  • US-traded shares of German life sciences company Bayer dropped 6.96% after a US court decided it will hear arguments that products from Bayer brand Monsanto allegedly harmed people.
  • Trump Media & Technology Group finally settled down after a wild rally following a wild rally in Pennsylvania featuring Elon Musk, falling 5.64% today.

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) rose 40.91 points (0.71%) to 5,792.04, a new record-high close; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) added 431.63 points (1.03%) to 42,512.00, also a new closing high; and the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) increased 108.70 points (0.60%) to 18,291.62.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) climbed three basis points to 4.06%, the highest since late July.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) eased to 20.8.

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In 2023, about 36% of Hispanic or Latino candidates waiting for a transplant received one, compared to 58% of non-Hispanic white candidates, according to the US Department of Health and Human Services Office of Minority Health.

Stat: $1.8 trillion. That eye-watering number is the federal budget deficit as of September 30th, according to the Congressional Budget Office. Higher interest rates, and increases in Social Security and Medicare, are driving the budget gap. (the Wall Street Journal)

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ELI LILLY: Zepbound and Mounjaro

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Eli Lilly said its weight loss drugs can prevent diabetes

Taking Zepbound or Mounjaro can cut the risk of developing Type 2 diabetes by 94% in overweight and pre-diabetic patients, according to a new study from the US drug maker.

The drugs, similar to Ozempic and Wegovy from rival company Novo Nordisk, cost more than $1,000 a month and have fueled Eli Lilly’s stock since hitting the market in recent years. The pharma giant sold ~$3.1 billion of Mounjaro last quarter, up from $980 million in the same period last year.

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DAILY UPDATE: Data Breach Up, Novo Nordisk Down as Stock Markets Stumble

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You might be affected by one of the biggest data breaches ever and not even know it. A recent class action lawsuit filed against Jerico Pictures Inc., a background check company that does business under the name National Public Data, claims that the company was breached by hackers earlier this year.

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The SPX dipped 40.5 points (0.8%) to 5,199.5; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) fell 234.2 points (0.6%) to 38,763.45 the NASDAQ Composite ($COMP) fell 171 points (1.1%) to 16,195.8. 
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) rose to 3.96%.
  • The Cboe Volatility Index® (VIX) inched up to 27.8, still very elevated.

What’s Up

What’s down

  • Super Micro Computer dropped 20.14% thanks to an earnings miss, as well as the announcement of a 10-for-1 stock split.
  • AirBnB tumbled 13.38% after not only missing analyst estimates last quarter, but warning of slowing demand in the coming quarter.
  • Lyft drove 17.23% lower in spite of strong ridership in the second quarter. Shareholders, however, did not like management’s dour financial forecast for the third quarter.
  • CVS Health sank 3.19% after it slashed its profit guidance for the full year, though it also announced a new cost-cutting program.
  • TripAdvisor took a trip south today, falling 16.61% due to a mixed earnings report and dire warnings of lower revenue in the coming quarter.
  • Amgen stumbled 5% after the biotech company missed Wall Street forecasts in the second quarter.

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Novo Nordisk sales thinned on Ozempic earnings miss. Shares of Danish pharmaceutical giant Novo Nordisk sank 8.27% today after the company missed expectations on its sales of popular weight-loss drugs Ozempic and Wegovy. Novo reported $1.7 billion in Wegovy sales, below the $2 billion analysts expected, while Ozempic sales came in $0.2 billion lower than analyst estimates. Overall, the company reported a net profit of $1.86 billion in the second quarter.

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DAILY UPDATE: Stock Markets Up Beat!

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Yesterday, sales of Wegovy more than doubled last quarter, and at least 25,000 people are starting to take it in the US per week. It also posted a $3.65 billion net profit and increased its sales outlook for 2024. But its stock Novo Nordisk still dropped yesterday.

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iPhone sales are down but Apple share buybacks are up. Apple managed to keep investors happy, sending its stock shooting up after-hours yesterday, despite selling fewer iPhones last quarter. Sales of the signature phone dipped 10% year over year, and revenue fell 4.3% to $90.8 billion. But Apple also announced $110 billion in share buybacks, the largest in the company’s history, per CNBC. And sales in China, which has been a sore spot, came in at $16.4 billion, less than a year earlier but more than analysts had predicted.

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Stocks rose yesterday as investors digested Jerome Powell’s recent comments and decided they only had to fear fear itself—and not interest rate hikes. Investors changed into the fast lane to buy Carvana after the used car sales site reported its best earnings ever Wednesday evening.

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Stat: 16%. That’s the percentage by which CVS stocks plummeted Wednesday after the company reported earnings below expectations and cut its annual outlook, according to (CNBC).

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But Here’s where the major stock market benchmarks ended Thursday:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) rose 45.81 points (0.9%) to 5,064.20; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) added 322.37 points (0.9%) to 38,225.66; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) surged 235.48 points (1.5%) to 15,840.96.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) dropped about 1 basis point to 4.583%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) fell 0.71 to 14.68.

Transportation shares helped lead the market higher after C.H. Robinson (CHRW) reported stronger-than-expected quarterly results, sending the freight logistics and trucking company’s stock up 12%. The Dow Jones Transportation Average ($DJT) jumped 2.5%. Semiconductors were also strong after Qualcomm (QCOM) advanced 9.7% in the wake of the chip maker’s better-than-expected earnings.

Apple (AAPL) shares advanced 2.2% ahead of the company’s quarterly earnings report scheduled after Thursday’s close.

In other markets, WTI Crude Oil (/CL) futures bounced back to end with a slight gain after earlier dropping to a seven-week low under $78.50 per barrel.

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WEIGHT LOSS DRUGS FOR KIDS: Stocks for Adults?

By Staff Reporters

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The already booming market for weight loss treatments like Ozempic might get even bigger as drug companies seek to make them available for children. The CDC estimates that ~20% of kids 6+ in the US have obesity, and manufacturers are working to make their weight loss drugs available for that age group.

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According to Bloomberg, Novo Nordisk is testing its Saxenda in kids as young as six, and Eli Lilly is getting ready for similar trials of Mounjaro. That could give the companies lifelong customers since the drugs only keep weight off as long as people take them—and Goldman Sachs’s recent estimate that the drug category would make $100 billion by 2030 didn’t even take sales to children into account.

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EARNINGS SEASON: Consumer Spending

By Staff Reporters

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  • Markets: Stocks notched their fourth winning day in a row yesterday as investors digested the news that the Fed was split about future rate hikes at its last meeting while waiting for this morning’s report on how much consumer prices rose last month.
  • Ozempic continues eating into investors’ appetites for other industries. Its maker, Novo Nordisk, rose on the news that the diabetes drug may help treat kidney failure, but dialysis providers DaVita and Fresenius Medical Care plunged.

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Earnings season is back: PepsiCo, Delta, Dominos, and big banks headline the start of earnings season, one that will have investors looking at how slowing inflation has affected the ability of companies to pad their profit margins. Pepsi’s report will be closely watched as its snack division, Frito-Lay, could be tested by the increasing popularity of weight-loss drugs like Wegovy. Major banks like JPMorgan are expected to post strong results.

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US consumer spending: Has remained surprisingly strong despite rising interest rates, and a senior spending spree could explain it. According to the Department of Labor, Americans aged 65 and older accounted for 22% of consumer spending last year, the highest percentage since records began in 1972. It also helps that 17.7% of the US population is 65 and older, the highest on record dating to 1920. Better health, longer lifespans, and changes in attitude toward saving for a rainy day after the pandemic have boomers feeling OK about their finances.

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WEIGHT LOSS: Financially Hot!

By Staff Reporters

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The company that makes Ozempic and Wegovy, Novo Nordisk, just became Europe’s most valuable, eclipsing luxury conglomerate LVMH. The Danish drugmaker had a value of $428 billion when European markets closed yesterday (compared to LVMH’s $419 billion), putting it on top of the heap. Its share price rose on the introduction of Wegovy into the UK market—where it costs much less than in the US.

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The company’s success has had a big impact on Denmark’s economy: The nation recently boosted its economic growth forecast for the year as a result.

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