CMMI’s Evolving Strategy: Initial Indications from Recent Actions

By Health Capital Consultants, LLC

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On May 13th, 2025, the CMS Center for Medicare & Medicaid Innovation (CMMI) introduced a new strategic plan for its models going forward. After ending four payment models early and canceling two not-yet-implemented models in March 2025, the agency had promised to release a new strategy. Nearly two weeks later, CMMI released that strategy, as well as a preliminary evaluation of, and changes to, one of its core payment models.

This Health Capital Topics article will review CMMI’s recent actions and what initial indications these actions provide. (Read more…) 

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INSURANCE: Long Term Care Economics

LTC

By Anonymous Insurance Agent

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Some retired people live on a fixed income and many of them live right on the edge of their financial capability.  At some time in their life, they may have to make a choice regarding many purchases.  In this case, we will illustrate “choice” using a couple’s purchase of Long-Term-Care Insurance [LTCI].

Of course, economics is the study of choice; wants, needs and scarcity, etc. In our case, if they decide to make the purchase they commit to a lifetime of premium payments. The financial tradeoff is this; if they make the commitment to purchase LTCI, they must give up something else.

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Example: In order to maintain a monthly premium of $100 ($1,200per year), an elderly patient, retired layman or couple must essentially relegate about $30,000 of financial assets to generate the $100 necessary to make an average premium payment (assumes a 7% rate of return with 4% withdrawal rate) or [4% X $30,000 = $1,200 year]. Thus, if the monthly premium cost is $500 per month, the elder must give up the use of $150,000 of retirement asset just to generate enough cash flow to pay for the LTC insurance. 

The married elder couple has to make the decision among lifestyle (dinners, vacations, gifts to children, prescription drugs, medical care or food and shelter) versus paying an insurance premium to provide for nursing home coverage for a need, which may be very real, but will not occur until sometime in the ambiguous future. 

And so, when faced with such a tough economics, neither of which delivers peace of mind or a respectable solution; many will simply decide that, in either case, they may already end up impoverished. 

Thus, many will often opt for the better lifestyle now … while they can enjoy it … together. 

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Financial “Planning” versus Financial “Preparing”

Understanding the Difference

By Rick Kahler CFP®

Retirement planning is one of the issues that commonly lead clients to consult financial advisers.

One of its essential aspects is creating a plan to save and invest in order to provide a comfortable retirement income. Ideally, this starts many years ahead of retirement, even as early as your first paycheck.

As retirement comes closer, planning for it expands to take in a host of other considerations, such as deciding when to retire, where to live, and what kind of lifestyle you hope to have. When retirement becomes a reality, the focus shifts to carrying out the plan.

Preparing

All of this planning is crucial. Yet, for both financial advisers and clients, it’s good to keep in mind that planning has its limits. In the post-retirement years, it may be helpful to think in terms of preparing for old age rather than planning for it.

The older we get, the more important this distinction between planning and preparing becomes. Too many life-changing things can happen without regard to our best-laid plans. Often they occur unexpectedly, resulting in emergency situations where urgent decisions have to be made. A stroke or a fall, a diagnosis of terminal illness, a broken hip that leaves someone unable to go back to independent living—and suddenly, right now, the family needs to find an assisted living facility, arrange for live-in help, or sell a home.

What are some of the ways to prepare for these contingencies?

  1. Explore housing options well ahead of time. Find out what assisted living, home care, and nursing home services and facilities are available where you live and whether they have waiting lists. Have family conversations about possibilities like relocating or sharing households:
  2. Research the financial side of these options. Investigate the cost of hiring help at home, assisted living facilities, and nursing care centers. Find out what is and is not covered by Medicare and long-term care insurance. For example, people are sometimes surprised to learn that Medicare does not pay for nursing home care other than short-term medical stays.
  3. Designate someone to take over decision-making, and do the paperwork. Execute documents like a living will, medical power of attorney, and contingent power of attorney. Update them as necessary, and give copies to your doctors, your financial planner, and appropriate family members.
  4. Start relatively early to downsize. Well before you’re ready to let go of possessions or move into smaller housing, start considering what to do with your “stuff.” Focus on the decisions rather than the distribution. There’s no need to get rid of possessions prematurely, but decide what you want to do with them—and put in writing. Do this while it’s still your choice, rather than something your family members do while you’re in the hospital or nursing home
  5. Do your best to practice flexibility and acceptance. No matter how strongly you want to live in your own home until the end of your life, for example, it may not be possible. The physical limitations of aging can limit our choices, and even the best options available may not be what we would like them to be. It is a profound gift to yourself and your family members to accept these realities with as much grace as you can muster.

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Assessment

Finally, please don’t underestimate the importance of planning financially for retirement. Because the bottom line is that you can’t plan for all the things that might happen as you age, but you can prepare to deal with them. One of the most useful tools to cope with those contingencies is having enough money.

Conclusion

Your thoughts and comments on this ME-P are appreciated. Feel free to review our top-left column, and top-right sidebar materials, links, URLs and related websites, too. Then, subscribe to the ME-P. It is fast, free and secure.

Speaker: If you need a moderator or speaker for an upcoming event, Dr. David E. Marcinko; MBA – Publisher-in-Chief of the Medical Executive-Post – is available for seminar or speaking engagements. Contact: MarcinkoAdvisors@msn.com

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Long-Term Care Insurance

A Review for Doctors and Advisors

By Gary A. Cook; MSFS, CLU, ChFC, LUTC, RHU, CFP®, CMP™ (Hon)

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Long-term care (LTC) insurance is considered one of the newest forms of personal coverage insurance.  LTC insurance is designed to transfer the financial risk associated with the inability to care for oneself because of a prolonged illness, disability, or the effects of old age.  In particular, it is designed to insure against the financial cost of an extended stay in a nursing home, assisted living facility, Adult Day Care Center, hospice or home health care.  It has been estimated that two out of every five Americans now over the age of 65 will spend time in a nursing home.  As life expectancy increases, so does the potential need for LTC. One unfortunate consequence of being the “new kid on the block” is the lack of actuarial data specifically collected for this style of policy.  This results in policy premiums being underpriced to sustain the claims currently being experienced.  During the first half of 2003, at least three insurance companies stopped writing these policies because of their losses.  Those insurers remaining in this market are expected to increase premiums quickly.  Unless these policies can be profitable for the company, their future will be an uncertain one.

Medicare

Any discussion of LTC must begin with an understanding of what Medicare is designed to cover.  Currently, the only nursing home care that Medicare covers is skilled nursing care and it must be provided in a Medicare-certified skilled nursing facility.  Custodial care is not covered. Most LTC policies have been designed with these types of coverage, or the lack thereof, in mind. To qualify for Medicare Skilled Nursing Care, an individual must meet the following conditions: 

  • Be hospitalized for at least three days within the 30 days preceding the nursing home admission;
  • Be admitted for the same medical condition which required the hospitalization; and
  • The skilled nursing home care must be deemed rehabilitative.

Once these requirements are met, Medicare will pay 100 percent of the costs for the first 20 days.  Medicare covers days 21 to 100 along with a daily co-payment, which is indexed annually.  After the initial 100 days, there is no additional Medicare coverage. Medicare Home Health Services cover part-time or intermittent skilled nursing care, physical therapy, medical supplies and some rehabilitative equipment.  These are generally paid for in full and do not require a hospital stay prior to home health service coverage.

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Critical LTC Policy Features

According to the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services and the Health Insurance Association of America, there are seven features that should always be included in a good long LTC policy: 

  • Guaranteed renewable (as long as premiums are paid, the policy cannot be canceled).
  • Covers all levels of nursing care (skilled, intermediate and custodial care).
  • Premiums remain level (individual premiums cannot be raised due to health or age, but can be raised only if all other LTC policies as a group are increased).
  • Benefits never reduced.
  • Offers inflation protection.
  • Full coverage for Alzheimer’s Disease (earlier contracts tried to eliminate this coverage).
  • Waiver of premium (during a claim period, further premium payments will not be required).

In addition, there are another seven features considered to be worthwhile and are included in the better LTC policies: 

  • Home health care benefits
  • Adult day care and hospice care
  • Assisted living facility care
  • No prior hospital stay required
  • Optional elimination periods
  • Premium discounts when both spouses are covered
  • Medicare approval not a prerequisite for coverage.

ADLs

Most LTC policies provide benefits for covered insured’s with a cognitive impairment or the inability to perform a specified number of Activities of Daily Living (ADLs). These ADLs generally include those listed below and the inability to perform two of six is generally sufficient to file a claim:

1. Bathing:  Washing oneself in either a tub or shower, or by sponge bath, and includes the task the getting into and out of the tub or shower without hands-on assistance of another person.

2. Dressing:  Putting on or taking off all necessary and appropriate items of clothing and/or any necessary braces or artificial limbs without hands-on assistance of another person.

3. Toileting:  Getting to and from the toilet, getting on and off the toilet, and performing associated personal hygiene without hands-on assistance of another person.

4. Transferring:  Moving in and out of a bed, chair or wheelchair without hands-on assistance of another person.

5. Eating:  The ability to get nourishment into the body without hands-on assistance of another person once it has been prepared and made available.       

6. Continence:  The ability to voluntarily maintain control of bowel and/or bladder function, or in the event of incontinence, the ability to maintain a reasonable level of personal hygiene without hands-on assistance of another person.

Other Issues

Another issue concerning ADLs is whether the covered insured requires “hands-on” assistance or merely needs someone to “stand-by” in the event of difficulty.  Obviously, LTC policies that read the latter are considered more liberal.

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Long-Term Care Taxation

Some LTC policies have been designed to meet the required provisions of the Kassenbaum-Kennedy health reform bill, passed in 1996, and subsequently are “Tax Qualified Policies”.  Insured’s who own policies meeting the requirements are permitted to tax deduct some of the policy’s premium, based on age, income and the amount of total itemized medical expenses.  The major benefit of the tax-qualified LTC policy is that the benefit, when received, is not considered taxable income.  There are several initiatives in Congress, however, which would expand and simplify these deductibility rules. 

Assessment

Regardless, the medical professional or financial advisor [FA] should investigate the opportunity afforded them through their current form of business, or client use, for any purchase of a LTC policy. And, small businesses may be permitted to deduct LTC premiums on a discriminatory basis.

Conclusion

And so, your thoughts and comments on this Medical Executive-Post are appreciated. What have we missed, and who might wish to update this post?

Speaker: If you need a moderator or speaker for an upcoming event, Dr. David E. Marcinko; MBA – Publisher-in-Chief of the Executive-Post – is available for seminar or speaking engagements. Contact: MarcinkoAdvisors@msn.com  or Bio: www.stpub.com/pubs/authors/MARCINKO.htm

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At-Home or Nursing-Home for Long Term Care [Part I]

Cost and Duration of Long-Term Care at Home

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko; FACFAS, M.B.A., CPHQ™, CMP™

By Thomas A. Muldowney; M.S.F.S., CLU, ChFC, CFP® CMP™

By Hope Rachel Hetico; R.N., M.H.A., CPHQ™, CMPdr-david-marcinko

This is the first post in an exclusive four part series for the ME-P titled: At-Home or Nursing Home Care for Long-Term Care.”

Remaining at Home

It is not surprisingly, eighty-five percent of married elders prefer to remain at home instead of moving to a nursing home or some other senior care facility. Staying at home is easier, more comfortable, and less traumatic. Home care statistics are limited, but three years is the estimated average number of years that elders will require custodial care services. This estimate also may combine home care followed by nursing home care. And, the anecdotal healthcare experience of two authors [DEM and HRH] confirms this period length.

Incremental LT Cost Approach

Quantifying the annual incremental costs of LTC home custodial services is difficult. Today, a high percentage of home care services are provided by unpaid family members, friends, or volunteer organizations. In the future, however, there will be fewer available unpaid caregivers, and more elders will have to pay for home custodial care.

Because of this potential shortage of caregivers, new business opportunities are springing up and, as usual, let the buyer beware. Many of these new businesses, for a fee, contract with a family that needs home LTC for a family member.  Upon contract, the new LTC business owner begins a search for a candidate caregiver who will live in your house and care for your parent or spouse. Often the in-home caregivers have difficulty speaking the language or may not be familiar with local customs.

Furthermore, many of them wish to be paid in cash rather than by check. As you might imagine, background checks, tax compliance and other legal considerations are of utmost importance.  Career education and career experience are also very important. Be sure that if you look for such a caregiver, you must exercise thorough due diligence so that your loved one will be cared for properly.

LTC Costs Vary Widely

LTC home care cost estimates vary widely by location and type of service. At present, the average annual cost for a live-in, full-time aide in the United States (especially if part-time help to relieve a full-time aide is added) is estimated at $40,000, the same as the estimated cost of staying at a nursing home for a year. If living expenses are added to costs for custodial aides, LTC home care costs can be more expensive than nursing home costs.

For three shifts of paid LTC custodial services, home care costs may exceed $100,000 annually; more than triple the current estimated cost for nursing home care. These numbers should not be surprising.  In a nursing home environment, one caregiver may be able to provide care for multiple patient/residents. This reduces the cost per patient. In your private home, your personal caregiver can give only care to a single patient.

Custodial Aide Costs

Costs for custodial aides in the fragmented, rapidly expanding, competitive home care industry may increase at a faster rate than the Consumer Price Index [CPI]. Employed aides will replace family caregivers. The Bureau of Labor Statistics [BLS] indicates that jobs for home health aides, human service workers, and personal and home care aides are expected to grow faster than any other industry in terms of total jobs.

In the next decade, there will be more than 2 million home care jobs, and they will become a larger component of total gross domestic product expenditures. Using an estimated three-year home care requirement and current estimated costs, and allowing for 15 years of inflation at 5 percent, $225,000 per person is a reasonable estimate to use for financial planning purposes.

Assessment

However, in some metropolitan or suburban areas, such as New York City, the cost should be increased by at least 100 percent. Of course, three years of required care is an estimate. About one-third of the people who require nursing home care will need it for more than three years. Presumably, nursing home care will be preceded by home care. Moreover, only one full-time aide was assumed. Some elders also will require additional part-time help.

And so, your thoughts and comments on this Medical Executive-Post, which represents the first in a series of four parts on: At Home or Nursing Home Care for Long Term Care, are appreciated. Comments from physicians and LTC insurance agents are especially valued.

Conclusion

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Superannuation Demographics and LTCI

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“PAYING TO AGE”

  • By Dr. David Edward Marcinko; MBA, MEd CMP™
  • By Thomas A. Muldowney; MSFS, CLU, ChFC, CFP®, AIF®, CMP™
  • By Hope Rachel Hetico; RN, MHA, CPHQ™, CMP™ 

According to the US Bureau of the Census, there were almost 49 million people in the United States who were over age 60 in 2001. There are approximately 4,000,000 people over the age of 85 living in the US and there are over 60,000 people older than age 100 estimated as of July 1st 2004. For every 100 middle aged people in the US there at present about 114 persons over the age of 65. This statistic will change as we move forward through time. In the year 2025, there will be about 253 people over age 65 for every 100 middle aged people. Today, there are more than 55 million over age 60.

The Ticking Clock

Beginning on January 1st, 2006 at midnight and every 12 seconds thereafter for fifteen years, a baby boomer will have a birthday and cross over the age threshold of age 60. In the next 30 years, the 60+ age group will more than double, becoming 25 percent of the total population, and will have to be supported by a proportionately smaller workforce.  Research published in June 2005 by AARP (based on data from 2002) estimates that: “In 2002, roughly $140 Billion was spent on nursing home and home health care, with 24% of these costs being paid out of pocket (O’Brien and Elias, 2004)

Baby Boomers

As the baby boom generation ages, their care needs will expand precipitously. Add to this, scientific and technological improvements in healthcare. These very same people will need more expensive healthcare, more expensive custodial care and they will need it for an even longer period of time. Who will pay for this expanded need is not so clear. What is clear is that it will take money and lots of it to make these payments.

Financial Variables

There are only three variables associated with the accumulation or preservation of money:  “Time, Money and Rate of Return.”  Time is reduced to the following two questions “How long until I will need my money?” and “How long will I live?” an uncertainty to be sure.  Rate of return is either a function of the financial markets or the successful maintenance of an LTC plan. Because of the volatility in the financial markets, the “money” question is equally as uncertain.  In order to accumulate sufficient assets a client must ‘tradeoff’ many other alternatives such as ‘lifestyle.”

Assessment

What is certain is this…financial planning is important.  More important is the implementation or funding of an accumulation strategy or a Long-Term-Care [LTC] investment strategy to overcome these hurdles.

Conclusion

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