FINANCIAL PLANNING: Strategies for Physicians and their Advisors

A Textbook Review

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Using Deposits and Withdrawals to Rebalance Your Portfolio

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Benefits of portfolio rebalancing well documented

[By Lon Jefferies MBA CFP®] http://www.NetWorthAdvice.com

Lon JefferiesThe benefits of rebalancing a portfolio are well documented. Constant and routine rebalancing forces a physician or any investor to lighten the portfolio positions that have recently performed well and use the resulting funds to buy more shares of the assets in the portfolio that have remained flat or even declined in value. In other words, rebalancing causes the investor to sell high and buy low.

Most financial professionals recommend rebalancing your portfolio at least once a year (I rebalance my clients’ portfolios on a semi-annual basis).

However, the tax status of an investment account can have a significant impact on a rebalancing strategy. While investments within a tax-advantaged account like a traditional or Roth IRA can be sold without tax implications, selling appreciated assets in a taxable investment accounts will create a capital gains liability.

Consequently, while rebalancing within a tax-advantaged account should be a no-brainer, investors should carefully consider the tax implications that may result from rebalancing a normal investment account.

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[Routine Portfolio Rebalancing]

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For this reason, investors should view every deposit to or withdrawal from a taxable investment account as a chance to rebalance. Depositing new money is a free opportunity to buy more of the positions in which the portfolio is underweight.

Example:

For example, suppose an investment account of $100,000 has a target asset allocation of 50% stocks and 50% bonds ($50,000 invested in both). After a year in which stocks made 10% and bonds were flat, the portfolio would consist of $55,000 of stocks and $50,000 of bonds, for a total account balance of $105,000. If at this point the investor would like to invest an additional $5,000, the entire contribution should be placed in bonds, bringing the actual portfolio allocation back to 50% stocks and 50% bonds ($55,000 in each).

Of course, this same strategy can be implemented regardless of the size of the additional contribution. If the investor wanted to contribute $10,000 in year two, the total account value would be $115,000 ($105k current balance + $10k new money). In order to get back to our 50% stock and 50% bond targets, we would want $57,500 in each position. With $55,000 already invested in stocks, we would only want to invest $2,500 of the new money into stocks and place the remaining $7,500 into bonds, bringing both portions of the portfolio up to their targets.

Taking withdrawals from a taxable investment account should also be viewed as an opportunity to rebalance. Rebalancing via withdrawals may not be free as it is when rebalancing is done when new funds are deposited because appreciated assets are likely sold, creating a tax liability. However, when a withdrawal is taken from a taxable account, it is still wise to sell overweight asset categories to produce the funds needed for the distribution.

Example:

Let’s return to our previous example of a 50% stock and 50% bond target portfolio that had grown to $55,000 of stock and $50,000 of bonds. If the investor then wanted to withdraw $10,000, he could take the entire distribution out of bonds which would allow him to free up the amount needed without creating a tax liability. However, the resulting portfolio would consist of $55,000 of stocks and $40,000 of bonds – a ratio of approximately 58% stocks and 42% bonds.

This is a significantly more volatile portfolio than the target 50% / 50% portfolio. For example, in 2008 a portfolio that consisted of 50% large cap stocks and 50% long term government bonds lost -7.16%. Meanwhile, a portfolio of 58% stocks and 42% bonds lost -11.93% over the same period – a 66.6% increase in volatility.

Alternatively, I’d suggest using the $10,000 withdrawal to rebalance the portfolio, bringing the resulting $95,000 portfolio back to 50% stocks and 50% bonds ($47,500 in each). Of course, to do this, the investor would liquidate $7,500 of stocks and $2,500 of bonds. Although this could potentially create a small capital gains tax liability, this is a tax bill that will need to be paid at some point anyhow, and the investor will maintain a portfolio with the target amount of volatility.

Further, remember that the long-term capital gains rate (which applies to any capital assets held for over a year) is a favorable tax rate. For single filers with a taxable income of less than $37,450 and joint filers with a taxable income of less than $74,900, the capital gains tax rate is actually 0%!

Additionally, for single filers with a taxable income of between $37,450 and $406,750 and joint filers with a taxable income of between $74,900 and $457,600, the capital gains tax rate is only 15%. Consequently, the investor can likely rebalance the portfolio back to the target allocation via the withdrawal while incurring only a nominal tax bill.

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Assessment

While rebalancing provides a significant increase in investment return over long time periods, tax implications should be considered when determining whether or not to rebalance a taxable investment account. However, depositing money to or withdrawing money from these accounts provides a favorable opportunity to obtain the return premium rebalancing creates while minimizing tax implications.

Conclusion

Your thoughts and comments on this ME-P are appreciated. Feel free to review our top-left column, and top-right sidebar materials, links, URLs and related websites, too. Then, subscribe to the ME-P. It is fast, free and secure.

Speaker: If you need a moderator or speaker for an upcoming event, Dr. David E. Marcinko; MBA – Publisher-in-Chief of the Medical Executive-Post – is available for seminar or speaking engagements. Contact: MarcinkoAdvisors@msn.com

OUR OTHER PRINT BOOKS AND RELATED INFORMATION SOURCES:

Risk Management, Liability Insurance, and Asset Protection Strategies for Doctors and Advisors: Best Practices from Leading Consultants and Certified Medical Planners™8Comprehensive Financial Planning Strategies for Doctors and Advisors: Best Practices from Leading Consultants and Certified Medical Planners™

Physicians are notoriously excellent at diagnosing and treating medical conditions. However, they are also notoriously deficient in managing the business aspects of their medical practices. Most will earn $20-30 million in their medical lifetime, but few know how to create wealth for themselves and their families. This book will help fill the void in physicians’ financial education. I have two recommendations: 1) every physician, young and old, should read this book; and 2) read it a second time!

Dr. Neil Baum MD [Clinical Associate Professor of Urology, Tulane Medical School, New Orleans, Louisiana]

http://www.CertifiedMedicalPlanner.org

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Will Higher Taxes Damage Your Portfolio?

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Discussing Stock Market Performance

By Lon Jefferies CFP® MBA

Net Worth Advisory Group

Lon Jeffrieslon@networthadvice.com

www.networthadvice.com

Do higher taxes equate to negative stock market returns? Does anyone economic variable accurately predict stock market performance?

A number of our Net Worth Advisory Group physician and lay clients have indicated they are concerned about the impact higher taxes could have on the stock market. News organizations and campaign rhetoric create the impression that there is a cause and effect relationship between taxes (or whatever the hot discussion topic is) and stock market performance. Since 1926, the stock market has obtained positive returns during a calendar year 72% of the time.

Economic Variables

Here are the facts about how various economic variables have impacted investment returns:

  • PERSONAL INCOME TAXES: From 1926-2011 there were 20 years where personal income taxes (for incomes over $150,000, adjusted for inflation) increased over the previous year. The stock market went up 13 of those years, or 65% of the time.
  • CORPORATE TAXES: From 1926-2011 there were 11 years where corporate taxes increased over the previous year. The stock market went up 6 of those years, or 55% of the time.
  • LONG-TERM CAPITAL GAINS: From 1926-2011 there were 11 years where the long-term capital gains tax rate increased over the previous year. The stock market went up 9 of those years, or 82% of the time.
  • INTEREST RATES: From 1956-2011 there were 27 years where interest rates (measured by the Treasury Bill) increased over the previous year. The stock market went up 24 of those years, or 89% of the time.
  • INFLATION: From 1926-2011 there were 43 years where the inflation rate increased over the previous year. The stock market went up 33 of those years, or 77% of the time.
  • NATIONAL DEBT: From 1940-2011 there were 38 years where the national debt as a percentage of gross domestic product (GDP) increased over the previous year. The stock market went up 30 of those years, or 79% of the time.
  • DEFICITS SPENDING: From 1926-2011 there were 38 years where deficit spending increased over the previous year. The stock market went up 30 of those years, or 79% of the time.
  • COMPANY PROFITABILITY: From 1961-2011 there were 25 years where the earnings of S&P 500 companies increased over the previous year. The stock market went up 21 of those years, or 84% of the time.
  • COMPANY DIVIDENDS: From 1961-2011 there were 21 years where S&P 500 companies increased their dividends over the previous year. The stock market went up 17 of those years, or 81% of the time.
  • UNEMPLOYMENT: From 1948-2011 there were 20 years where the unemployment rate increased over the previous year. The stock market went up 9 of those years, or 45% of the time.

Investing and Taxes

Predictions?

As the data indicates, there is no single economic variable, positive or negative that consistently predicts stock market performance. The market may produce positive or negative returns in 2013, but it’s not likely to be because the personal income tax for high income families increased.

The Unemployment Figures

It’s worth noting that the only economic factor that led to a declining market more frequently than not is rising unemployment. While the unemployment rate remains at 7.8%, high by historical standards, it has been steadily decreasing since October of 2009 when it reached 10%.

Additionally, the only other individual indicator that seems to have even a marginally significant negative impact on stock market returns is an increase in the corporate tax rate; if President Obama can get Congress to agree with him, he would like to decrease that rate from 35% to 28% next year. Consequently, history indicates that neither rising unemployment nor increased corporate tax rates will apply in 2013 and should not hamper stock market returns.

Suggestions

History has taught us over and over again that time in the market is much more important than timing the market. It has also taught us that one of the biggest mistakes investors make is to say “these conditions have never existed before and this time is different.”

Need a recent example? Remember the general consensus investors reached about Europe near the beginning of the year? It may surprise you that Europe (as measured by the Vanguard MSCI Europe ETF) has returned over 17% year to date, significantly outpacing the growth of the S&P 500.

Assessment

I personally believe the best game plan for medical professionals is to develop a fundamentally sound diversified portfolio, only investing money you don’t anticipate spending for at least 10 years in stocks, and stay the course.

Conclusion

Your thoughts and comments on this ME-P are appreciated. Feel free to review our top-left column, and top-right sidebar materials, links, URLs and related websites, too. Then, subscribe to the ME-P. It is fast, free and secure.

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Speaker: If you need a moderator or speaker for an upcoming event, Dr. David E. Marcinko; MBA – Publisher-in-Chief of the Medical Executive-Post – is available for seminar or speaking engagements. Contact: MarcinkoAdvisors@msn.com

Our Other Print Books and Related Information Sources:

Health Dictionary Series: http://www.springerpub.com/Search/marcinko

Practice Management: http://www.springerpub.com/product/9780826105752

Physician Financial Planning: http://www.jbpub.com/catalog/0763745790

Medical Risk Management: http://www.jbpub.com/catalog/9780763733421

Hospitals: http://www.crcpress.com/product/isbn/9781439879900

Physician Advisors: www.CertifiedMedicalPlanner.org

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