EDGAR: What it Is & How it Works?

Electronic Data Gathering, Analysis, and Retrieval

By Staff Reporters

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EDGAR (Electronic Data Gathering, Analysis, and Retrieval) is an internal database system operated by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) that performs automated collection, validation, indexing, and accepted forwarding of submissions by companies and others who are required by law to file forms with the SEC. The database contains a wealth of information about the commission and the securities industry which is freely available to the public via the Internet.

In September 2017, SEC Chairman Jay Clayton revealed the database had been hacked and that companies’ data may have been used by criminals for insider trading.

MORE: https://www.sec.gov/edgar/search/

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EDUCATION: Books

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PT BARNUM: Forer Bias Effect

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™

SPONSOR: http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com

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As in the case of Declinism, to better understand the Forer effect (commonly known as the Barnum Effect), it’s helpful to acknowledge that people like their world to make sense. If it didn’t, we would have no pre-existing routine to fall back on and we’d have to think harder to contextualise new information.

Note: Phineas Taylor Barnum (July 5, 1810 – April 7, 1891) was an American showman, businessman, and politician remembered for promoting celebrated hoaxes and founding with Jim Bailey the Ringling Bros. and Barnum & Bailey Circus. He was also an author, publisher, and philanthropist although he said of himself: “I am a showman by profession … and all the gilding shall make nothing else of me.” According to Barnum’s critics, his personal aim was “to put money in his own coffers”. According to Wikipedia, the adage “there’s a sucker born every minute” has frequently been attributed to him, although no evidence exists that he had coined the phrase

With that, if there are gaps in our thinking of how we understand things, we will try to fill those gaps in with what we intuitively think makes sense, subsequently reinforcing our existing schema(s). As our minds make such connections to consolidate our own personal understanding of the world, it is easy to see how people can tend to process vague information and interpret it in a manner that makes it seem personal and specific to them. Given our egocentric nature (along with our desire for nice, neat little packages and patterns), when we process vague information, we hold on to what we deem meaningful to us and discard what is not. Simply, we better process information we think is specifically tailored to us, regardless of ambiguity.

More specifically, according to colleague Dan Ariely PhD, the Forer effect refers to the tendency for people to accept vague and general personality descriptions as uniquely applicable to themselves without realizing that the same description could be applied to just about everyone else (Forer, 1949). For example, when people read their horoscope, even vague, general information can seem like it’s advising something relevant and specific to them.

Remember, we make thousands of decisions every day, some more important than others. Make sure that the ones that do matter are not made based on bias, but rather on reflective judgment and critical thinking.

EDUCATION: Books

SPEAKING: Dr. Marcinko will be speaking and lecturing, signing and opining, teaching and preaching, storming and performing at many locations throughout the USA this year! His tour of witty and serious pontifications may be scheduled on a planned or ad-hoc basis; for public or private meetings and gatherings; formally, informally, or over lunch or dinner. All medical societies, financial advisory firms or Broker-Dealers are encouraged to submit a RFP for speaking engagements: MarcinkoAdvisors@outlook.com 

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TIME VALUE MONEY: Present Dollars – Future Dollars

BY DR. DAVID EDWARD MARCINKO; MBA MEd CMP™

SPONSOR: http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com

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[A] Marketability and Liquidity

Marketability and liquidity are two concepts that are interrelated but often confused by the medical professional. Marketability deals with the speed at which an asset can be turned into cash. Liquidity, on the other hand, deals with an asset that can be turned to cash without a significant loss of value. A physician’s practice may still be good investment, but is it not particularly marketable or liquid. A common stock traded on the New York Stock Exchange can be easily sold for its quoted fair market value.

[B] The Time Value of Money

To the young physician starting a career, the time value of money is not a primary concern. It involves spending dollars in the future compared with spending today. Paying off high student loans while earning a relatively low salary leaves barely enough for present personal consumption. In the past, the rationale to spend today, forsaking the future, was not only a function of necessity but stemmed from the probability that future income would grow appreciably higher. Today, this is no longer a given for medical professionals.

In the simplest terms, a dollar today is worth more than a dollar tomorrow. The supply and demand for a dollar today to be paid back in the future is what determines interest rates.  This calls for an understanding of the concepts of present and future value.

Present value is what you have today. So a dollar is a worth a dollar.Future value is what that dollar will grow to when compounded at a given interest rate. If you started with 100 dollars and earned 10 percent for five years, you would end up with 161 dollars.

Year                  Paying                  Interest                 Ending                Interest

                      Amount of                 Factor                 Amount              (annual)

1                       $ 100                       1.10                  $ 110.00                 $ 10.00

2                          110                       1.10                     121.00                    11.00

3                          121                       1.10                     133.10                    12.10                               

4                          133.10                  1.10                     146.41                    13.31

5                          146.41                  1.10                     161.05                    14.64      

                                                                                                                 $ 61.05

Whenever you do not have a financial calculator, such as a Hewlett-Packard 12-C, Texas Instruments BA III plus, apps, SAAS, or computer spreadsheet or handy, you can figure future value with this formula.

FV = PV (1 + i)^N

FV is future value and PV is present value. The periodic interest rate is represented by the i. The number of periods being compounded is the n. The N means to the power of some number. In the example above, the equation would appear as follows:

FV = $100(1+.1)^2

FV = $100(1.21)

FV = $121

                                                                                                   N

Likewise, the formula for present value is: PV = amount / (1 + i )

Other time value of money concepts, easily determined with a calculator, or interest table include the future value of multiple (equal) cash flows (ordinary annuity); conversion to an annuity due; the present value of multiple (equal) cash flows (ordinary annuity); and the conversion to an annuity due.

Example: Determining a Funding Amount

Dr. Smith has a daughter who plays the piano very well. He wishes to accumulate funds for his daughter Mackenzie’s advanced music education. He estimates that she will need $6,000 per year in today’s dollars, and will start school at age 18. She is 10 years old now. Costs are expected to increase 6 percent annually. Dr. Smith and his financial advisor believe that he can earn 9 percent after tax on his funds. How much is required?

Step # 1: Determine the future value of $6,000, 8 years from now. Or, what will Mackenzie’s first-year piano school cost, considering inflation?

Using a financial calculator, such as the HP 12-C: @ 8n (years), 6i (interest rate); $ 6,000 PV; the future value is $9,563

Step # 2: Next, determine the lump sum necessary to provide the above amount at the start of each year (present value annuity due).

Again, using the HP12-C @ $9,563 PMT; g7 (PVAD); 4 N; 1.09/1.06 i; the present value is $36, 702.  

Step # 3: Compute the annual savings required at the end of each year (ordinary annuity) to provide the lump sum needed at age 18.

Finally, calculate with the HP 12-C @ g8 (ordinary annuity); $ 36,702 FV; 8N; 9i, and solve for PMT = $ 3,328.

EDUCATION: Books

SPEAKING: Dr. Marcinko will be speaking and lecturing, signing and opining, teaching and preaching, storming and performing at many locations throughout the USA this year! His tour of witty and serious pontifications may be scheduled on a planned or ad-hoc basis; for public or private meetings and gatherings; formally, informally, or over lunch or dinner. All medical societies, financial advisory firms or Broker-Dealers are encouraged to submit a RFP for speaking engagements: MarcinkoAdvisors@outlook.com 

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DAILY UPDATE: Pharmacies v. PBMs as Stock Markets Tank!

MEDICAL EXECUTIVE-POST TODAY’S NEWSLETTER BRIEFING

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Essays, Opinions and Curated News in Health Economics, Investing, Business, Management and Financial Planning for Physician Entrepreneurs and their Savvy Advisors and Consultants

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Independent pharmacies and pharmacy benefit managers (PBMs) are at odds over a proposed rule change from the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) over the Medicare Part D program. Pharmacies vs. PBMs

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

US stocks plummeted on Monday afternoon, as selling accelerated in the last hour of trading after President Trump indicated there was “no room left” for tariff negotiations with Canada and Mexico, with levies against both countries set to go into effect tomorrow.

The S&P 500 (^GSPC) fell 1.7% while the tech-heavy NASDAQ Composite (^IXIC) dropped 2.6%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) fell more than 600 points, or almost 1.5%, as the major US indexes came off a volatile week and a losing February.

Tech led the sell-off with shares of Nvidia (NVDA) tanking more than 8%. All of the “Magnificent 7” stocks declined.

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Visualize: How private equity tangled banks in a web of debt, from the Financial Times.

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