Elon Musk and Mike Burry MD Speak Out & About Consumer Debt

WARNING – WARNING

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP

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Echoing Elon Musk and my colleague medical Michael Burry MD has warned about American consumers’ debt woes.

Echoing the likes of Tesla’s Elon Musk and “The Big Short” investor Michael Burry, a veteran economist has warned that American households have racked up historic amounts of debt — and the economy will pay the price.

“Consumers are just waking up to the fact that they’re financing their spending by running up their credit cards, and that the interest on those credit cards is over the top, out of control, and off the hook right now,” Carl Weinberg told CNBC. Record credit-card debt threatens to spark a consumer-spending slowdown soon, Carl Weinberg said.

“That’s going to lead to a retrenchment in consumer spending as we get into the new year” the chief economist at High Frequency Economics said. Weinberg expects the US economy to cool but not slide into recession, and he sees inflation fading.

PS: Mike Burry contributed to our 800 page textbook on investing for physicians.

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MORE: https://www.routledge.com/Comprehensive-Financial-Planning-Strategies-for-Doctors-and-Advisors-Best/Marcinko-Hetico/p/book/9781482240283

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PODCAST: How Does Medical Debt Impact Your Credit Report?

By Eric Bricker MD

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BITCOIN: “Halving”

BITCOIN MINER HALVING

By Staff Reporters

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DEFINITION: After the network mines 210,000 blocks—roughly every four years—the block chain reward given to Bitcoin miners for processing transactions is cut in half. This event is called halving because it cuts the rate at which new bitcoins are released into circulation in half. This rewards system will continue until about 2140, when the proposed limit of 21 million coins is reached. At that point, miners will be rewarded with fees for processing transactions, which network users will pay. These fees ensure miners are still incentivized to participate and keep the network going.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource

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And, so, the total value of the world’s most popular cryptocurrency surpassed $1 trillion yesterday for the first time since 2021. The overall crypto market, meanwhile, broke $2 trillion in market cap, fueled by investor confidence. If crypto were a publicly traded company, it would be the fourth-largest in the world behind Microsoft, Apple, and Saudi Aramco.

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HALVING – The quadrennial event, expected to take place today or tomorrow, was built into bitcoin’s original code to cut the amount of new coins going into circulation in half every four years. The purpose is to thwart inflation and increase the currency’s value. Bitcoin’s mysterious creator, Satoshi Nakamoto, designed the crypto so that only 21 million bitcoins would ever exist. It will take about a century to hit that number, but as it approaches the cutoff, the crypto hose slowly constricts. No one’s sure what happens next

Historically, halvings have coincided with big jumps in price—the coin’s first halving in 2012 saw the price jump from $12.35 to $127 within five months, according to Time. But critics argue that the narrative around halving is much stronger than the actual event. Even bitcoin experts aren’t sure what will happen with the volatile asset. It already hit a record high of over $73,750 in March, thanks to the spot bitcoin ETF approval. And, lest we forget, the whole FTX thing happened since the last halving.

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DAILY UPDATE: Apollo, Constellation Energy & the US Health System as S&P 500 Hits New High

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Private equity giant Apollo has offered an investment of up to $5 billion in Intel, a sign of support for its comeback efforts, according to Bloomberg.

Stat: 9 out of 10. That’s where the US healthcare system ranked on efficiency among 10 high-income countries. (Axios)

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What’s up

  • Intel is suddenly looking like the belle of the ball. Shares rose 3.30% after Apollo Global Management reportedly offered to make an investment of up to $5 billion, even as Qualcomm hints it wants to acquire the old school tech giant.
  • Palantir surged 2.02% during its first day of trading on the S&P 500, in spite of a downgrade from a Raymond James analyst.
  • Southwest Airlines ascended 2.03% after management told employees that “tough decisions” lie ahead, implying forthcoming job cuts as the company focuses on profitability.
  • Boeing popped 1.96% on hopes that a labor dispute will be over soon after the company issued its “final” offer to striking machinists, including a 30% raise over the next four years.
  • Tesla revved 4.93% higher thanks to an analyst upgrade from Barclays focused on higher delivery expectations and near-term catalysts like the upcoming Robotaxi event.

What’s down

  • General Motors sank 1.70% after receiving an analyst downgrade from Bernstein citing “earnings headwinds.”
  • Ulta Beauty fell 2.03% thanks to an analyst downgrade from the folks at TD Cowen, who don’t like the rising costs the makeup company will have to pay to stay competitive.
  • Trump Media & Technology Group tumbled to a new all-time low, falling 10.33% as worries arise that former President Donald Trump will sell a portion of his stake in the social media company.

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) added 16.02 points (0.28%) to 5,718.57; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) increased 61.29 points (0.15%) to 42,124.65; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP) rose 25.94 points (0.14%) to 17,974.27.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX)added one basis point to 3.74%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) fell to 15.82, closing at another new low for September.

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Stat: $1.6 billion. That’s how much Constellation Energy is investing in reopening facilities at nuclear power plant Three Mile Island. The company is restarting the infamous plant to sell power to Microsoft data centers. (CNBC)

Visualize: How private equity tangled banks in a web of debt, from the Financial Times.

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