The Medicare Cost-Control Efficiency Paradox

Essay on the Eight-Hundred Pound Gorilla in the Medical Treatment Room

By Dr. David E. Marcinko MBA MEd CMP

[Editor-in-Chief]

According to economist Austin Frakt PhD, and others, there is a school of thought that says Congress is incapable of controlling costs in the Medicare and Medicaid System [CMS].

And, then there is the reality known by all practicing medical professionals regardless of specialty orientation or degree designation. That is to say, CMS really can control healthcare costs and with great ferocity and efficiency, and to non-public sectors as well …. PARADOXICAL?

On Getting What You Wish For

Blogger Ezra Klein opines that one of the dirty little secrets of the health-care system is that Medicare has done a much better job controlling costs than private health insurers.

http://voices.washingtonpost.com/ezra-klein/2010/11/what_happens_when_medicare_con.html

A Forehead-Palm Moment

Of course, we doctors know that the real problem is that Medicare seemingly [think Seinfeld’s character George Costanza] controls costs all too well; but not really. It is just that CMS pays doctors too little and thus it appears costs are controlled. What really is happening is that physician fees are being reduced carte’ blanche.

Nevertheless, and regardless of semantics, CMS will never control costs much more efficiently than private insurance companies or doctors will simply abandon Medicare for related payment models like direct reimbursement or concierge medicine. This is happening right now. Physicians, osteopaths and podiatrists etc, are opting out of Medicare in increasingly large numbers. In a world where there’s only Medicare and Medicare to control costs, doctors can either take the pay cut or stop seeing patients, and stop being doctors. “Taking what they are given – because they’re working for a livin.”

So sorry that this seems like a forehead-palm moment for Ezra, but not for healthcare practitioners or the ME-P!

Too Much Demand Elsewhere

And, as we see from other countries, many young bright folks want to be doctors, even if being a doctor doesn’t make one particularly wealthy [high demand and high eventual supply produces lower provider costs in the long term?]. Think medical tourism.

Not so much the case anymore in this country [lower demand and lower eventual supply produces higher reimbursement costs to the doctor survivors in the very long term?].

Our Domestic World

But, we are not elsewhere. In fact, in our present domestic healthcare ecosystem, when Medicare decides to control costs, many doctors can simply stop accepting Medicare patients, and the politicians will lose their jobs. One political party then declares that Medicare is rationing and will hurt senior citizens. The other party capitulates and pays MDs more [SGR]. Then, the federal budget looks bad as it does now. The circle is complete when one party asserts that Medicare actually can’t contain costs but the private insurance companies will.  It all fails, in an unending circular Boolean-like loop of illogic.

Listen Up!

So, listen up AARP, politicians, CMS and seniors as I admonish you to be careful what you wish for [medical cost controls]. It might just come true. As Ezra rightly says; rinse, repeat – rinse, repeat – ad nausea. You simply can’t have it both ways.  You either choose to spend less and offend certain cohorts, or spend more and offend different factions.  Either way, you’re going to piss someone off. A good healthcare reimbursement system would try to make that decision rationally [a-politically]. But, at least it would make an economics driven decision; wouldn’t it?

Assessment

Is CMS really the eight hundred pound cost-controlled gorilla in the increasingly large Medicare treatment room? Why or why not? Now, relative to the ACA of 2010, please read: The Case for Public Plan Choice in National Health Reform [Key to Cost Control and Quality Coverage], by Jacob S. Hacker, PhD. Link: Jacob Hacker Public Plan Choice

Conclusion

And so, your thoughts and comments on this ME-P are appreciated. Do we have a Medicare cost control efficiency paradox? Or, are the economists just reveling in the publication banal? Feel free to review our top-left column, and top-right sidebar materials, links, URLs and related websites, too. Then, subscribe to the ME-P. It is fast, free and secure.

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PODCAST: What is the “Paradox of Thrift”

The Opposite of Consumerism During the Corona Pandemic!

Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA CMP©

Courtesy: www.CertifiedMedicalPlanner.org

The paradox of thrift (saving) states that an increase in autonomous saving leads to a decrease in aggregate demand and thus a decrease in gross output which will in turn lower total saving. The paradox is that total saving may fall because of individuals’ attempts to increase their saving, and, broadly speaking, that increase in saving may be harmful to an economy.

Both the narrow and broad claims are paradoxical within the assumption underlying the fallacy of composition, namely that which is true of the parts must be true of the whole. The narrow claim transparently contradicts this assumption, and the broad one does so by implication, because while individual thrift is generally averred to be good for the economy, the paradox of thrift holds that collective thrift may be bad for the economy.

PODCAST: https://www.bing.com/videos/search?q=paradoxofthrift&&view=detail&mid=F4F1B9C1E87276A8E2B3F4F1B9C1E87276A8E2B3&&FORM=VRDGAR&ru=%2Fvideos%2Fsearch%3Fq%3Dparadoxofthrift%26FORM%3DHDRSC3

Assessment: Your thoughts and comments are appreciated.

DICTIONARIES FOR DOCTORS & FINANCIAL ADVISORS

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DAILY UPDATE: Costco Gold, CPI, US Stamps and the Mexican Peso as Technology Stocks Rise and Private Equity Takes on Medicine

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Costco started selling gold bars to its members last August, and Wells Fargo analysts believe that the product is now bringing in between $100 million and $200 million a month. The retailer doesn’t reveal the price of the 1-ounce bullion to nonmembers online, but it’s estimated to be ~2% above the spot price gold trades at, per CNBC—and that price has soared since Costco got into the gold game. The price of gold has gone up 13% this year and reached record highs as investors pile in amid inflation worries.

The big numbers from the Consumer Price Index data released on Thursday

  • In March, inflation rose 3.5% from the year before, up from 3.2% in February.
  • The “core” CPI reading, which excludes volatile food and fuel prices, came in even higher, rising 3.8% on an annual basis. That’s the same as in February, but this time it’s serious.
  • Half of the increases came from rising gas prices and housing.

After seeing inflation fall by 3% over the course of 2023, Fed officials believed that higher inflation readings in January and February 2024 represented a hiccup in an otherwise downward trajectory. However, with the March reading also coming in hotter than anticipated, analysts say this is more than a fluke. That means hopes for a June interest rate cut are dashed. Even the US Postal Service plans to raise the price of “forever” stamps to $0.73 in July. Get yours now. And the Mexican peso is on an absolute tear, leaving the US dollar behind.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource/Title/082610254

Here’s where the major stock benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) advanced 38.42 points (0.7%) to 5,199.06; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) lost 2.43 points to 38,459.08; the NASDAQ Composite gained 271.84 points (1.7%) to 16,442.20.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) rose nearly 2 basis points to 4.578%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) fell 0.89 to 14.91.

Chip maker strength lifted the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) more than 2% and extended the benchmark’s year-to-date gain to more than 17%. Communications services and transportation shares were also among the strongest sectors. Financial shares were mixed ahead of expected quarterly results Friday from some major banks including JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Citigroup (C), and Wells Fargo (WFC). 

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/2h47urt5

  • Big businesses such as hospital systems, insurers, and PE firms are gobbling up medical clinics.
  • Some doctors and industry experts fear corporate owners could prioritize profits ahead of patients.
  • The federal government is dialing up scrutiny of PE firms and other corporate owners in healthcare.

CITE: https://tinyurl.com/tj8smmes

QUESTION: Are Independent doctors almost a thing of the past?

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The PROSPERITY Paradox

Paradox of Prosperity

“A paradox of prosperity is revealed and shown to be stable in the cycles of economic advancement between generations. I would put the matter this way: If one accepts, for example, that Mr. Brokaw’s ‘Greatest Generation’ were characterized by prudence, diligence, and patriotism in deed rather than word, that very generation produced its opposite in the generation that followed it. That is to say, I have found it repeated across the ages and across cultures, that the more diligent a previous generation, as a natural propensity, the more licentious the generation that follows. Invariably therefore, the generation that exhibits the more cogent properties of character for the best sort of citizenship fails to produce a generation of the same or similar characteristics.”

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“Paradox of Prosperity” was applied as a term of analysis in the recent New York Times, Wall Street Journal bestseller Rescue America: Our best America is only one generation away (published October 2011), which Professor Morris co-authored with Chris Salamone. There the inter-generational breakdown is given a fuller exposition. Morris, who has been a careful reader of Thorstein Veblen, particularly Veblen’s masterpiece The Theory of the Leisure Class, says his own advancement of this inter-generational thesis was influenced by Veblen. “I think”, says Morris, “Veblen gave some insight as to what is produced in the generation which follows one such as Tom Brokaw described. The Greatest Generations – if by that we mean a generation characterized by prudence and sacrifice – nearly always produces a generation which can be characterized as a leisure class. They consume without manufacturing. They project feelings over principles. In general terms, they lack a spirit of sacrifice because they abhor the notion of “Objective Values” and so lack the will to re-create or advance the social ethos created by their parent’s generation.” In cultural terms, the generation that followed the “Greatest Generation” were the baby boomers (essentially, the children of the Greatest Generation between 1945–1965). The “Boomers” fit the classic definition of a “leisure class”, which Veblen described as being characterized by Conspicuous Consumption.  To quote their description of their leisure class “they move values toward behavior, rather than behavior toward values”.

LINK: https://www.amazon.com/Dictionary-Health-Economics-Finance-Marcinko/dp/0826102549/ref=sr_1_6?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1254413315&sr=1-6

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