Will Fiscal Commission Consider a VAT to Reduce the Federal Deficit?

Moro on the National Commission on Fiscal Responsibility and Reform

By Robert Giese
bob.giese@chsfl.org

The National Commission on Fiscal Responsibility and Reform [NCFRR] continues to develop a comprehensive proposal to address the federal deficit. It has invited comments from members of Congress, leaders of all types of American organizations and private individuals.

We invite ME-P contributions, as well.

A Four- Point Proposal

James Q. Riordan, Sr. sent a letter this week to co-chair Alan K. Simpson, the former Senator from Wyoming. Mr. Riordan made four basic points about the fiscal problems and suggested a Value Added Tax (VAT) as a solution.

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First, he indicated that there is too much “unaffordable spending.” Even with limited spending growth, the income tax cannot be sufficiently increased to pay for current and future proposed spending without doing damage to the economy and increasing unemploymen.

Second, Riordan claims that the only potential solution is a VAT. However, because the VAT is a tax on consumption and would have great impact on middle and lower incomes, it needs to be accompanied by a progressive income tax.

His third point is that the new income tax would need to be very simple. In his view, there would be no deductions for home mortgage interest, charitable gifts or medical expenses.

Fourth, he would tax all income only once. There would presumably not be a corporate-level tax or an estate tax under this theory.

Inadequate Staff Resources

As the fiscal commission considers the options for reducing spending and increasing taxes, it has indicated that the current staff resources are inadequate. In response to a request by the commission, Senate Majority Reid sent a letter this week to the White House and requested additional staff support. The White House indicated that it will be pleased to “work with him” to provide additional assistance.

At a hearing on the financial challenges, Senator George Voinovich (R-OH) noted that the commission is under great pressure to develop an effective plan. He stated, “If we don’t get something out of that commission, we are over the cliff.”

Assessment

Senate Budget Committee Chair Kent Conrad (D-ND) was the prime supporter of the commission. He stated, “This is not a time to impose austerity in my judgment.” However, he indicated that austerity will be necessary in the future, and that budget cuts and tax increases “must be imposed in a way that is convincing.”

Editors Note: For now, we take no specific position on VAT or other tax and spending recommendations by the Fiscal Commission. This information is offered because potential Fiscal Commission plans may affect many of our ME-P physician readers, subscribers, consultants and advisors.

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Conclusion

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”Tremendous Upheaval” Over Estate Tax

An IRS Prediction by Senator Charles Grassley

By Robert Giese
bob.giese@chsfl.org

Senate Charles Grassley (R-IA) is the ranking Republican on the Senate Finance Committee. In a conference call with several reporters on June 2nd, 2010, he discussed the uncertain future of the estate tax.

The Proposal [Kyle-Lincoln Estate Tax Compromise]

Sen. Grassley noted that Sen. Jon Kyle (R-AZ) and Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D-AR) have proposed that the Senate Finance Committee pass an estate tax bill with a $5 million per person exemption and a 35% top estate tax rate.

However, Grassley expressed the opinion that “the Finance Committee would like to take up consideration of legislation, but we aren’t assured by the majority leader that the bill passed out of committee will be taken up on the floor.”

Senate Rules

Under the Senate rules, even if the Finance Committee were to pass the Kyle-Lincoln estate tax compromise, Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-NV) is not obligated to schedule a floor vote and could simply stall the legislation.

Assessment

In December of 2009, the House passed the Permanent Estate Tax Relief for Families, Farmers and Small Businesses Act of 2009. This makes permanent the 2009 estate exemption of $3.5 million and top estate tax rate of 45%. If the House and Senate are not able to take action on estate taxes by the end of 2010 then on January 1, 2011 the estate tax returns with a 55% top rate and an exemption of $1 million (plus indexed increases).

This would affect many medical professionals as well as hardworking Americans.

Conclusion

If this were to happen, Sen. Grassley stated that there will be a “tremendous upheaval at the grassroots of America.”

And so, we invite IRS head Douglas Shulman to respond. Your thoughts and comments on this ME-P are also appreciated. Feel free to review our top-left column, and top-right sidebar materials, links, URLs and related websites, too. Then, be sure to subscribe. It is fast, free and secure.

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Slow, Steady Progress on Estate Tax and Extenders

Increased Exemption Possible?
By Robert Giese
bob.giese@chsfl.org

Senate Finance Chair Max Baucus (D-MT) has been in intensive negotiations with Sen. Jon Kyl (R-AZ) and Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D-AR) over the estate tax. Sen. Kyl and Sen. Lincoln have proposed increasing the $3.5 million exemption that was applicable in 2009 to $5 million per person. In addition, the previous estate tax rate of 45% would be reduced to 35%.

Ongoing Negotiations

Negotiations have been ongoing for several weeks. On May 11, 2010, Sen. Kyl reported, “We have an agreement about how we would like to move forward and an agreement on many of the offsets.” He continued by observing that the offsets are still subject to discussion. It is estimated that the offsets will be from $60 billion to $80 billion.

An Option

While the details of the proposed compromise have not been released, several aides suggested that it may include an estate tax option in 2010. If the option is enacted, lawyers, financial and estate planners could choose either the repeal of estate tax and lose part of the step-up in basis under the 2010 rules or select the new compromise estate exemption and estate tax rate.

Assessment

It may occur that the tax extenders and the estate tax are combined in one legislative bill. Senate Budget Chair Kent Conrad (D-ND) observed this week, “You have got 13 legislative weeks. It seems to me it would be wise to put all the tax measures together.”

Conclusion

The House proposal for the offsets for the tax extenders (including the IRA charitable rollover) is to change the “carried interests” of hedge fund managers from being taxed at capital gain rates to ordinary rates. It now is possible that the change in the law will occur, but it may be phased in over a number of years.

Editor’s Note: The Senate continues to attempt to complete work on the estate tax and the tax extenders by early June. The estate planning community and the charitable community are both hopeful that the Senate will resolve the current great uncertainty in planning by passing compromise legislation in both areas.

And so, your thoughts and comments on this ME-P are appreciated. Feel free to review our top-left column, and top-right sidebar materials, links, URLs and related websites, too. Then, be sure to subscribe. It is fast, free and secure.

Speaker: If you need a moderator or speaker for an upcoming event, Dr. David E. Marcinko; MBA – Publisher-in-Chief of the Medical Executive-Post – is available for seminar or speaking engagements. Contact: MarcinkoAdvisors@msn.com

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Should the Government Mandate 401(k) Annuities?

About the Guaranteed Retirement Accounts Proposal
By Robert Giese
bob.giese@chsfl.org

Recent hearings in the House and Senate have focused on the need for 401(k) and IRA accounts to provide better retirement income. Vice President Joe Biden referred to these discussions in the White House Task Force on the Middle Class. He suggested creating “Guaranteed Retirement Accounts [GRAs].”

The guaranteed retirement accounts may replace conventional 401(k)s and could eventually provide annuity income to individuals.

Response to GAO Report

In response to a White House request, the General Accounting Office (GAO) released a report on April 28, 2010 that discussed some of these retirement issues. The GAO noted that a couple age 62 has at least a 47% probability that one of the two spouses will live to age 90. While life expectancy is in the mid-to-late 70s when one is born, the age at maturity increases as we grow older. Therefore, the average retirement age couple in America has a reasonable prospect that the survivor will live to be age 90.

GAO reports that Social Security is the primary support for lower income retired Americans. For the median retired person, Social Security is expected to provide approximately 47% of retirement income. The balance will come from savings or investments, a qualified plan such as a 401(k) or IRA and retirement earnings from employment.

Better than Conservative Investments?

The GAO report notes that an annuity may provide more income than a conservative investment, such as a bond or CD.

Assessment

Republican lawmakers this week wrote a letter to Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner and expressed concern about the guaranteed retirement accounts. They noted that a number of the witnesses before the various committees would “dismantle the present private-sector 401(k) system” and replace it with the GRA.
Their letter expressed concern and opposition to any effort to “nationalize” the 401(k) system. The Republican lawmakers continued by noting that over 90% of households have a favorable opinion of 401(k) or IRA accounts.

Conclusion

And so, your thoughts and comments on this ME-P are appreciated. Is this new vehicle really better than a bond or CD? Is it the correct vehicle for a long-term retirement strategy? Is it even appropriate for physicians and medical professionals?

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