DAILY UPDATE: Home Prices and 23andMe as Stock Markets Wobble

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The median home price jumped 1.6% YoY last month and is sitting at $431,931. Meanwhile, mortgage rates for a 30-year fixed loan (the most common) are still hovering just under 7%. The chief economist of the National Association of Realtors said lower mortgage rates are the key to getting buyers to buy homes again.

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What’s up

  • Ulta Beauty is sitting pretty, up 11.78% after the cosmetics retailer crushed earnings expectations and raised its fiscal guidance for the year ahead.
  • Costco Wholesale rose 3.12% after beating Wall Street’s earnings expectations, though same-store sales did slip a bit.
  • Zscaler climbed 9.79% on strong earnings for the cybersecurity company, including 23% revenue growth.
  • Palantir popped 7.73% on a report from the New York Times that the Trump administration has asked the company to help the government compile data on US citizens.

What’s down

  • Nvidia slipped 2.92% as rhetoric between the US and China over semiconductor import restrictions reignited investor fears.
  • Gap plunged 20.18% after the retailer revealed that tariffs will cost between $100 and $150 million.
  • Marvell Technology fell 5.55% after the chip maker barely beat Wall Street expectations last quarter, failing to impress shareholders.
  • Regeneron Pharmaceuticals tumbled 19.01% thanks to mixed results for its new respiratory drug in late stage trials. The medication is made in partnership with Sanofi, which also dropped 5.61%.
  • Dell Technologies sank 2.08% after missing earnings expectations last quarter, though it did manage to beat on revenue.
  • Elastic NV beat analyst forecasts last quarter, but still fell 12.09% after the software company issued lower-than-expected revenue guidance.
  • PagerDuty, which is in fact a cloud computing company and not a seller of 1990s tech, lost 11.43% after issuing lower second-quarter guidance than Wall Street forecast.

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23andMe peaked at a $6 billion valuation in 2021 but never made a profit. It filed for bankruptcy on March 23rd and was put up for auction.

Visualize: How private equity tangled banks in a web of debt, from the Financial Times.

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MORTGAGE RATES: Elevated on Black Friday!

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Elevated mortgage rates are set to keep sellers of previously owned homes out of the market heading into next year, but sales will “bottom out” in early 2024, Fannie Mae said this week, before a rebound the following year.

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Mortgage rates hovered near 8 percent as recently as October, the highest level it has hit since the turn of the millennium, which has scared used homeowners from selling their homes as many prefer to stay in lower rates secured in years past. This “lock in effect,” as Fannie Mae analysts describe it, has added to a depleted supply of homes available for buyers and helped push up prices.

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FALLING: Home Prices are Going Down!

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An index tracking US home prices posted a monthly drop in July for the first time since 2012, signaling the end of a decade long bull market that went sky-high during Covid-19.

Expensive West Coast metros—San Francisco, Seattle, and San Diego—saw the biggest declines.

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UPDATE: The Markets, COVID and Home Prices

By Staff Reporters

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  • Markets: Yesterday was a tale of two markets. The Dow, which is home to blue-chip corporations like P&G, gained, while the NASDAQ, comprised of tech stocks, fell. Netflix is now the worst performing stock in the S&P this year.
  • Covid: The DOJ appealed a judge’s ruling that overturned a federal mask mandate for transportation. The move came at the suggestion of the CDC, which determined that people should still wear masks in indoor public transportation settings.
  • Homes: The median existing-home price in the US hit an all-time high of $375,300 in March, up 15% from the year before. With surging mortgage rates and higher home prices, the average borrower is paying ~38% more than they would have for the same home a year ago, according to Realtor.com.

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Is it Better to Buy or Rent?

The New Price of Homes in 2012

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Here is an infographic comparing prices of home sales and renting. This is an overview of housing prices from the start of the recession in 2008 until now.

Source: foreclosuredeals.com

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