HEALTH CARE SPENDING: Projected to Exceed $8.5 Trillion by 2033

By Health Capital Consultants LLC

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On June 25th, 2025, the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) released its forecast on U.S. healthcare spending through 2033. The analysis, published in Health Affairs, estimated healthcare spending growth in 2024 and projected the growth into 2033. CMS found that overall healthcare spending growth has decreased slightly but is still elevated compared to pre-pandemic levels, and is expected to continue to moderately grow.

This Health Capital Topics article examines the factors underlying the forecasts. (Read more…) 

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HEALTHCARE: Spending Grew in 2022

By Health Capital Consultants, LLC

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On December 13, 2023, the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) released its annual report on healthcare spending in the U.S., highlighting the growth in private insurance and Medicaid spending in 2022, which was offset by the declines in supplemental federal funding as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic.

CITE: https://www.r2library.com/Resource/Title/082610254

This Health Capital Topics article reviews the notable healthcare spending findings in CMS’s report. (Read more…) 

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Average Annual Healthcare Growth Rates of Spending, Utilization and Price

By Staff Reporters

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Average Annual Growth Rates of Spending, Utilization, and Prices

 •  Spending per person: commercial insurers (3.2% per year); Medicare fee for service (1.8% per year)
 •  Utilization per person: commercial insurers (0.4% per year); Medicare fee for service (0.5% per year)
 •  Prices paid to providers: commercial insurers (2.7% per year); Medicare fee for service (1.3% per year).

Notes: For hospitals and physicians’ services, 2013-2018
Source: Congressional Budget Office – January 2022

“The Prices That Commercial Health Insurers and Medicare Pay for Hospitals’ and Physicians’ Services”
 

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Out-Patient Spending Trends

FY 2013- 2017

By http://www.MCOL.com

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[HOSPITAL OPERATIONS, ORGANIZATIONAL BEHAVIOR AND FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT COMPANION TEXTBOOK SET]

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[Foreword Dr. Phillips MD JD MBA LLM] *** [Foreword Dr. Nash MD MBA FACP]

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Shoppable Healthcare Spending

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For the USA in 2011

By http://www.MCOL.com

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Conclusion

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Example Total Expenditures on Health

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International Per Capita Total Spending

By: http://www.MCOL.com

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An Economic Picture of Domestic Healthcare Spending

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By the Numbers

The healthcare component of the U.S. economy continues to expand, with per-capita spending projected to reach $13,000 by 2020. But, at the same, the industry continues to create jobs: 10 of the fastest-growing occupations are in healthcare-related fields.

Driver of the Economy

As one of the largest segments of the US economy, health care accounts for trillions of dollars in spending, both by governments and private individuals. And so, Top Masters in Healthcare decided to take a closer look at where the money goes in this infographic

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health

[The Calculus]

Billing Department

So who does the spending?

  • 21% of healthcare spending is done by private businesses
  • 28% of healthcare spending is done by individual households
  • 16% of healthcare spending is done by state and local governments
  • 29% of healthcare spending is done by the Federal government

Where did the spending go?

  • 37% of healthcare spending went towards hospital care
  • 23.6% of healthcare spending went towards physician and clinical services
  • 5.9% of healthcare spending went towards other residential / health / personal care services
  • 4.9% was spent on dental services
  • 3.3% was spent on home health care
  • 3.2% was spent on “other” professional services

Per capita spending

Between 1960 and 2011, per capita health care spending rose by about 5,400 percent from $147 in 1960 to $8,311 in 2011. If other prices rose like that, here’s what it might look like today:

  • Family Dinner: $176.58
  • Tube of Toothpaste: $13.50
  • Volkswagen Beetle: $95,526
  • Gallon of gas: $13.50
  • Average income: $287,010
  • Electric can opener: $479.52

Emergency Department

The top 5 causes of death are heart disease (24.5%) cancer (23.3%) chronic lower respiratory diseases (5.6%) stroke (5.3%) accidents (4.8%) Alzheimer’s disease (3.2%).

Cardiology

  • 470,000 is the number of people who have a second or subsequent heart attack
  • 785,000 is the annual estimate of the number of people who have their first heart attack
  • $444 billion is the cost of heart disease, from health care services to medications to lost job productivity

Oncology

  • One in two men will get cancer during their lifetimes
  • One in three women will get cancer in their lifetimes
  • $226 billion is the annual cost of cancer, including treatment and lost income

Ongoing Care

  • Nearly 1 billion annual physician visits per year. If you had a doctor visit every minute of every day, it would take 1,902 years to have that many trips.
  • One out of 2 adults has a chronic illness
  • Seven out of every ten deaths are a result of a chronic illness

Obesity

  • The heaviest states by obesity rate are Mississippi (34.4%) West Virginia (32.2%) Alabama (32.3%) Tennessee (31.9%) and Louisiana (31.6%)
  • The lightest states by obesity rate are Hawaii (23.1%) Massachusetts (22.3%) Connecticut (21.8%) District of Columbia (21.7%) and Colorado (19.8%)

Diabetes

  • Diabetes can lead to a slew of other serious health problems including neverous system diseases, blindness and eye problems, heart disease and stroke, kidney disease and hypertension.
  • 25.8 million people are current affected by diabetes, 8.3% of the population.
  • 35% of people older than 20 have pre-diabetes
  • $174 billion is the total cost of treating and ealing with diabetes each year

Personnel Department

  • Healthcare provided 14.3 million jobs in 2008. And that number is only going to grow. In fact, health care is expected to be the single fastest-growing sector of the US economy through 2018.
  • Ten of the twenty fastest growing occupations are in healthcare related fields.
  • 4.01 million new jobs are expected to be created in the health care industry by 2018. Compare that to 2.67 million in science/engineering, 1.68 million in education, 1.43 million in administration support and waste management and 1.3 million in construction.
  • Healthcare professionals earned a combined $886 billion in total salaries in 2010

IT Department

  • As our world becomes more connected by technology, doctors and patients are increasingly using the Internet and data storage.
  • 57% of doctor’s offices use electronic medical records.
  • 6 out of 10 adults have looked up health information online.

Pharmacy Department

  • Almost half of Americans take at least one prescription drug.
  • $35.22 is the average price of a brand name drug which is almost 4x as much as the generic price.
  • Spending on prescription drugs has gone from $40.3 billion in 1990 to $259 billion in 2010 and is expected to grow to $457.8 billion by 2019.
  • The cost to bring a new drug to market is between $55 million and $1 billion
  • The cost of patented drugs in the United States is 35-55% higher than other industrialized nations
  • 80% of FDA approved drugs have a generic counterpart
  • Only 23% of doctor visits don’t include a prescription.

Assessment

The impact of the healthcare industry on everyday Americans continues to grow, whether they see it in their insurance bill or whether they earn their salaries from the health care industry. The issue also continues to dominate the political conversation… there’s no escaping it.

Conclusion

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Higher Spending on Healthcare Doesn’t Always Deliver Quality

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Law of Diminishing Returns

[By Staff Reporters] 

Health plans that spend the most on care don’t always deliver the best quality, concludes a new report from the National Committee for Quality Assurance (NCQA).

The Costly Chronic Illnesses

Insurers said they spend most on five costly, common chronic illnesses–asthma, cardiovascular disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, diabetes and hypertension.

However, there was a high degree of variation among plans and no clear correlation between resource use and quality.

Quality Medial Management

Assessment

Sources:

http://www.fiercehealthpayer.com/story/insurers-high-spending-care-doesnt-always-deliver-quality/2010-10-15?utm_medium=nl&utm_source=internal

http://theincidentaleconomist.com/wordpress/how-do-we-rate-the-quality-of-the-us-health-care-system-%e2%80%93-infrastructure/?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+TheIncidentalEconomist+%28The+Incidental+Economist+%28Posts%29%29

Is this like the domestic public education system, or a modification of the Laffer Curve in economics?

Conclusion

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