Alphabet & Intel

By Staff Reporters

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Alphabet has been declared a monopoly for the second time in under a year. Analysts will have plenty of questions about the repercussions of the most recent ruling, but don’t expect a breakup of Google’s many businesses just yet.

And, the best business unit of them all these days is YouTube, which has seen a stunning surge in popularity lately that the search company will likely try to capitalize on, while it continues to tinker with its Gemini AI model. Consensus: $2.02 EPS, $89.25 billion in revenue.

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Intel seems like a bit of an also-ran in the AI race these days, with shares down over 40% in the last 12 months. But to bulls, that just means the stock is cheap, while the company itself has plenty of opportunities for growth ahead, including partnerships with Nvidia and TSMC.

And, don’t forget that Intel’s status as a dark horse lets it slip below the tariff radar—the domestic chip producer dodged the latest round of restrictions that hit Nvidia and AMD. Shareholders will be hoping to hear more good news ahead. Consensus: $0.09 EPS, $12.31 billion in revenue.

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DAILY UPDATE: Microsoft, Google and IMF Up Yesterday, as UPS and the Stock Markets Collapse Today

By Staff Reporters

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Microsoft and Google rode the AI wave to huge quarters. Microsoft posted revenues of ~$62 billion in its fiscal Q2 ending Dec. 31, a year over year increase of 17.6% and ahead of analyst’s expectations. That was its best revenue growth in seven quarters, thanks to the release of new AI-enabled Office products. Meanwhile, Google reported strong results, too: Ad revenue at YouTube skyrocketed to $9.2 billion in Q4 of last year, up from below $8 billion the year before. Alphabet CEO Sundar Pichai said YouTube is “already benefiting from our AI investments and innovation.” Alphabet’s total revenue was up 13% year over year to ~$86 billion.

UPS slashed 12k jobs. The shipping giant said it will require employees to return to the office five days a week this year as it changes how it operates amid a slowdown in demand. Revenue declined in Q4, while annual sales fell 9.3% in 2023. Amazon, its biggest customer, accounted for 11.8% of revenue last year, up from the year before, as revenue from other customers declined due to lower demand and more in-store pickups, executives said. UPS is also dealing with higher labor costs due to the deal it made with the Teamsters union to avoid a strike last summer.

The IMF has the US to thank for raising its global forecast. The International Monetary Fund—the UN’s flagship financial agency—said the global economy will grow 3.1% this year, a slight increase from its projection in October. That’s largely due to the strength of the US economy, which has defied economists’ expectations, growing 3.3% in the fourth quarter of 2023. But the improved outlook was also boosted by economic stimulus in China, which has faced deflation and a real estate crisis, among other issues. Other economies, including India, Brazil, and Russia, also performed better than expected, helping to juice the IMF’s forecast.

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500® index (SPX) fell 79.32 points (1.6%) to 4,845.65; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® (DJI) lost 317.01 points (0.8%) to 38,150.30; the NASDAQ Composite® (COMP) dropped 345.89 points (2.2%) to 15,164.01, a two-week low.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) decreased nearly 9 basis points to 3.969%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) jumped 1.03 to 14.34.

Regional banks led Wednesday’s declines after New York Community Bancorp (NYCB), which took over the failed Signature Bank last year, reported a fourth-quarter loss of $193 million, sending its shares down nearly 38%. The KBW Regional Banking Index (KRX) sank 6%. Communications services shares were also among the weakest performers. Energy companies were also under pressure as WTI Crude Oil futures (/CL) shed nearly 3%.

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DAILY UPDATE: Deutsche Bank, YouTube Health Initiative and the Markets

By Staff Reporters

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Regulators fined Deutsche Bank $186 million for not fixing anti-money laundering, due diligence, and sanctions controls. This is the third time since 2015 that the Federal Reserve has fined the troubled bank for internal control failures. (CNN Business)

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Under the YouTube Health Initiative, the company partnered with several healthcare organizations, including traditional health systems like Cleveland Clinic in Ohio and Mass General Brigham in Boston, as well as online health education platforms like Osmosis and Psych Hub. Other partners include the medical journal the New England Journal of Medicine, the World Health Organization, and the American Public Health Association.

These health organizations created videos on a range of health topics, which YouTube curates in what it calls “carousels” and labels to indicate that the information comes from reputable sources. If someone searches for information on diabetes, for example, they’ll get a carousel of videos from the health partners on diabetes.

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Here is where the major benchmarks ended yesterday and for the week:

  • The S&P 500 Index was up 1.47 points at 4,536.34, up 0.7% for the week and the benchmark’s eighth weekly gain in the past 10; the Dow Jones industrial average was up 2.51 points at 35,227.69, up 2.1% for the week; the NASDAQ Composite was down 30.50 points (0.2%) at 14,032.81, down 0.6% for the week.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was down about 2 basis points at 3.837%.
  • CBOE’s Volatility Index (VIX) was down 0.39 at 13.60.

Utility and health care shares were among the strongest performers Friday, which may reflect investors rotating into more “defensive” sectors, which haven’t participated as much in this year’s rally and may be seen as a “relative value” or “catch-up” play.

Energy stocks were also strong as crude oil futures jumped over 2% and posted a fourth straight weekly gain. Regional banks and communication services were among the weakest sectors, while the small-cap-focused Russell 2000 (RUT) fell slightly.

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YouTube: CEO Susan Wojcicki Logs Off

By Staff Reporters

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Susan Wojcicki, the CEO of YouTube for the last nine years, is stepping down. The video site has exploded under her watch, and its $29.2 billion in ad revenue last year accounted for about 10% of Google parent company Alphabet’s total sales.

But Wojcicki’s time at the company far predates YouTube—in fact, she was Google’s 16th employee. She was also its first landlord: In 1998, Wojcicki rented out her garage in Menlo Park, CA, to Google’s co-founders for $1,700 a month.

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FLASH ALERT: “Alphabet” Stock Shares!

By Staff Reporters

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  • Stocks are hot and posted their third straight day of gains on hope that the FOMC might end its rate hikes at some point in the future. But that streak could end today.
  • Alphabet shares took a tumble in late trading after the company revealed its fifth consecutive quarter of slower revenue growth. Cracks are emerging in some of its core properties: Google search and YouTube. YouTube revenue declined for the first time since Google started reporting the division’s earnings separately.
  • Alphabet’s total quarterly revenue growth drastically declined from 41% to 6%.
  • The growth rate of Microsoft’s search and news advertising business has been shrinking each quarter of the past year, coinciding with the general downward trajectory of the entire online advertising market.

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Is there an IRS Smart Phone App for Taxes?

Yep –  Now Doctors Can Get IRS2GO

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By Children’s Home Society of Florida Foundation

IRS Commissioner Doug Shulman was pleased to just announce a substantially enhanced application for iPhone and Android phones.  The IRS2GO application was first announced in 2011 and had 350,000 downloads.  Commissioner Shulman expects the new application to be widely used.

He stated, “The new smartphone app provides an easy way for people to get helpful information about their taxes.  IRS2GO reflects a wider commitment at the IRS to find innovative ways to serve taxpayers in a rapidly changing world.”

The Top Five [5]

The new version has five major sections:

1. YouTube – The smartphone app includes links to many short YouTube videos.  The videos have titles such as “Tax Tips: Taxable and Non-Taxable Income,” “Tax Tips: When Will I Get My Refund,” “Healthcare: Small Business Healthcare Tax Credit,” and “Free Help Preparing Your Tax Return.”

2. News – The IRS periodically produces news releases.  These news items may be viewed on your iPhone or Android phone.

3. Get My Tax Record – By entering your Social Security Number and other identifying information, you may have access to your personal tax records.

4. Get My Refund Status – By entering your Social Security Number and other information, it is possible to obtain your refund status.

5. Follow Us – If you so desire, you may follow the IRS on Twitter.

Editor’s Note:  The IRS has developed a good smartphone application.  It is easy to use and includes very helpful content.  This updated IRS application will be very popular with taxpayers.  Finally, it is not very often that your editor uses the words “IRS” and “popular” in the same sentence.

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