DAILY UPDATE: Unemployment Rate, Banking Rules and Mental Health as the Markets Continue to Rise

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After rising for more than a year, the unemployment rate fell to 4.2% in August from 4.3% in July, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported. That dip matched Wall Street’s consensus forecast, but the 142,000 new jobs added fell short of the 160,000 that analysts had expected, according to FactSet data cited by CNN.

The Biden administration released a final rule this week that would require payers to cover behavioral health services, including addiction care, to the same extent that they’d cover all other forms of healthcare. The move comes amid a rising mental health crisis in the US and in light of the fact that the vast majority of people with substance use disorders don’t receive treatment.

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What’s up

  • Dave & Busters Entertainment popped 4.66% after announcing strong sales and earnings growth last quarter, along with opening 13 new locations (more tokens for everyone!).
  • Petco Health and Wellness roared 32.90% despite mixed earnings last quarter, though shareholders wagged their tails at new CEO Joel Anderson’s plans to improve profitability.
  • Viking Therapeutics rose 11.31% thanks to JP Morgan initiating coverage of the company with a bullish overweight rating.

What’s down

  • Bank of America slipped 0.71% after a new filing revealed that Warren Buffett sold more shares of the company last quarter.
  • Rentokil Initial plummeted 21.07% once the pest control company made it clear that slow sales and currency exchange rates will take a $105 million toll on full-year profits.

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Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The SPX rose 59 points (1.0%) to 5,554.13; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI) gained 125 points (0.3%) to 40,861.71; the NASDAQ Composite® ($COMP)rose 370 points (2.17%) to 17,395.53.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) climbed just under two basis points to 3.66%.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX) fell to 17.7, the lowest close so far this month.

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Planned Fed rules are a win for big banks. The likes of JPMorgan and Bank of America celebrated the Fed walking back some of its proposals for tighter banking rules yesterday

Visualize: How private equity tangled banks in a web of debt, from the Financial Times.

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DAILY UPDATE: Cooling Labor Markets with Unemployment Rate Uptick

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A cooling labor market raises hopes for a rate cut in the summer. The latest Labor Department data shows the US added 175,000 jobs in April, but much less than the 300,000 added in March and also less than economists expected. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate ticked up to 3.9% from 3.8% in March, and wages rose less than anticipated. All that bad news for us was music to the ears of investors who are holding out hope that the Federal Reserve might still cut interest rates this summer despite most recent economic data showing that inflation is sticking around.

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Rate cuts appear to be back on the 2024 menu following Friday’s softer-than-expected jobs report, fueling gains for all three major stock indexes last week. With the report calming worries that inflation is ticking back up, investors now project a 50% likelihood that the Federal Reserve will reduce rates in September.

Coinbase is benefiting from the hype around new bitcoin ETFs. The crypto exchange reported a $1.2 billion quarterly profit last week, and net revenue rose by 115%.

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