VIX FEAR INDEX: Down

Posted on June 30, 2025 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™

By AI

CBOE Volatility Index

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There’s a lot of confidence in markets these days, and nowhere is that more apparent than in the VIX, aka the CBOE Volatility Index, aka aka the Fear Index.

According to Brew Markets, the VIX literally measures the market’s expectation of volatility based on S&P 500 index options, but it’s become a shorthand way of quantifying investors’ fear or confidence. Any time the VIX rises above 30, it’s taken as a sign of some serious trepidation in the market—but anytime it falls below 20, the market is calm, cool, and collected.

The VIX skyrocketed to over 50 on Liberation Day as investors fretted over what tariffs meant for their portfolios, but it’s been gradually falling ever since. As the chart above shows, the VIX just fell below its key support level of 17—a mark it has failed to break below recently, and a move that underlines investors’ confidence that the good times will keep rolling.

VIX: https://medicalexecutivepost.com/2025/04/20/vix-stock-market-fear-gauge-update/

Whether or not that confidence is misplaced remains to be seen.

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What is VIX Stock Market Volatility?

Posted on May 30, 2024 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™

What it is – How it works
[Courtesy Wikipedia and staff reporters]

AKA “The Fear Gauge”

The CBOE Volatility Index, known by its ticker symbol VIX, is a popular measure of the stock market’s expectation of volatility implied by S&P 500 index options, calculated and published by the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE). It is colloquially referred to as the fear index or the fear gauge.

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According to Wikipedia, the formulation of a volatility index, and financial instruments based on such an index, were developed by Menachem Brenner and Dan Galai in 1986 and described in academic papers. The authors stated the “volatility index, to be named Sigma Index, would be updated frequently and used as the underlying asset for futures and options. … A volatility index would play the same role as the market index play for options and futures on the index.”

In 1986, Brenner and Galai proposed to the American Stock Exchange the creation of a series of volatility indices, beginning with an index on stock market volatility, and moving to interest rate and foreign exchange rate volatility. In 1987, Brenner and Galai met with Joseph Levine and Deborah Clayworth at the Chicago Board of Options Exchange to propose various structures for a tradeable index on volatility; those discussions continued until 1991.

The current VIX concept formulates a theoretical expectation of stock market volatility in the near future. The current VIX index value quotes the expected annualized change in the S&P 500 index over the next 30 days, as computed from the options-based theory and current options-market data.

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Assessment

The CBOE retained consultant Robert Whaley in 1992 to develop a tradable volatility instrument based on index option prices.[4] Since 1993, CBOE has published VIX real-time data. Based on historical index option prices, Whaley has computed a data series of retrospective daily VIX levels from January 1986 onward.

Conclusion

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DAILY UPDATE: Markets Fall on Jerome Powell’s Testimony

Posted on June 22, 2023 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™

By Staff Reporters

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Wall Street’s major averages yesterday, on Wednesday, ended lower for a third straight session, weighed down by losses in growth stocks. And, sentiment was dampened by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s largely hawkish reiteration that more rate hikes were likely.

Powell in his published opening remarks to his two-day testimony to Congress said that nearly all policymakers expect that interest rates would have to be raised further by the end of the year. The Fed chief then, in responses to questions from lawmakers, said that it may “make sense” for the central bank to raise rates at a “more moderate pace” going forward.

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So, here is where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 Index was down 23.02 points (0.5%) at 4,365.69; the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) was down 102.35 (0.3%) at 33,951.52; the NASDAQ Composite was down 165.10 (1.2%) at 13,502.20.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was little changed at 3.727%.
  • Cboe’s Volatility Index (VIX) was  was down 0.68 at 13.19.

Technology shares were among the weakest performers Wednesday, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) dropping nearly 2% to near a two-week low. Regional banks were also lower.

Energy stocks led sector gainers as crude oil futures jumped nearly 2% to a two-week high on hopes for stronger demand from China. Volatility based on the VIX sank to its lowest level since January 2020.

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