2020: Stock Markets Party Like It’s 1999?

2020: Party Like It’s 1999?

By Vitaliy Katsenelson CFA

The stock market marched higher for the year even though US companies as a whole did not become more valuable, just more expensive, as earnings failed to grow from 2018 to 2019. Earnings are estimated to be up about 5% for 2020 (though these estimates are usually revised down as the year progresses).

If you look at the quality of this non-growth, then the rose-tinted glasses of the average stock market investor quickly prove inadequate. Corporate debt is up 5% in 2019, and a good chunk of the increase went into stock buybacks. As stocks become  expensive their benefit from earnings per share growth diminishes.

LINK: https://contrarianedge.com/2020-party-like-its-1999/?utm_source=IMA++-+Main+Articles&utm_campaign=ef3ee0520d-2020_PARTY_1999&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f1c90406d1-ef3ee0520d-55139025

Assessment: Your thoughts are appreciated.

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THANK YOU

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