Genworth Financial Reports on LTC

LTC Survey Results

[By Staff Reporters]

A new study by Genworth Financial Inc., suggests that costs for nursing homes, assisted living facilities and some in-home care services have increased for a fifth consecutive year, and could rise further if a shortage of long-term care workers isn’t resolved.

Results

The survey found that the average annual cost for a private room in a nursing home rose to $76,460, or $209 per day, this year. This was a 17 percent increase over the $65,185 cost in 2004. Meanwhile, nursing home costs this year ranged from $515 per day in Alaska to $125 per day in Louisiana.

###

Mature Woman

Assessment

The cost for assisted living facilities averaged $36,090 nationally, up 25 percent from $28,763 in 2004, while costs ranged from $4,921 per month in New Jersey to $1,981 per month in Arkansas. Obviously, this far exceeds the inflation rate.

Conclusion

And so, does LTC insurance still make sense; or is it better to save and invest privately for eldercare? Please opine, for-or-against this risk transfer insurance vehicle.

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Economic Headwinds for all Physicians

Cold Winds of Recession Ahead? – You Decide

Staff Writers

We previously hinted that there was a strong headwind for the economy with continued pressure on US strength. And, this may be truer in the healthcare industrial complex. In fact, if it has not already done so, the country may well be into a recession; ditto for doctors and medical providers.

Financially Surviving Recession

Some pundits feel that we are either are already in a recession, which may be substantiated by future GDP numbers, or we are sliding into one, slowly. The question for all medical professionals then becomes; “can your personal finances survive a recession”? 

Fortunately, there are several things you can do now to shore up your finances. If we miss a recession, then you are just that much further ahead.  Here are some of the things you need to take a look at:

1) Reduce your debt

It is very important to work as hard as you can to reduce your overall person and corporate debt levels. Existing debt is often the burden pushing us into bankruptcy when there is a change to present income or additional new expenses. Physicians and patients are not immune. Currently, the average American household has almost $10,000 in credit card debt. 

2) Build an emergency cash fund

This is true at any time, but might be more helpful in the near term. Some general economists say to keep 6 months of living-expenses in a cash savings account. This is all well and good in the academic world, but realistically you should shoot for 6-12 months as a partnered private physician, or 12-24 months as an employed doctor. Employment opportunities, or crises, change fast!

3) Review your portfolio

Consider a portfolio review by a professional fiduciary, and/or medically focused financial advisor, and/or health economist. You might be surprised by what a fresh set of eyes might discern. 

For example, are you choosing investments that are likely to make a good recovery? 

We don’t recommend market-timing, but there are strategies available to capitalize on current market conditions. 

Economic Indicators 

The headwinds against the economy keep getting stronger. They are sensed by the following economic indicators:

 

  • Last week, the Census Bureau reported that the number of vacant homes for sale hit a record high. The report showed that 2.9% of US homes, excluding rental properties, were vacant and up for sale in the first quarter. That translated to about 2.28 million properties or the highest quarterly number on record since 1956.  
  • Home prices posted another record decline, as most of the nation’s largest markets suffered double-digit drops last year.
  • Housing prices dropped in February at the fastest rate ever, showing that the housing slump is gaining momentum. 
  • Consumer confidence dropped in April on inflation and job worries. Eroding consumer [patient] confidence foreshadows weakening consumer spending, which could further hurt the already deteriorating economy, and your medical practice. Consumer spending accounts for more than two-thirds of the nation’s economic activity.   
  • Of course gasoline saw a 26% price increase in the cost, per gallon, since April 2007.
  • The dollar continued to drop against the Euro.

Assessment

In this “interesting time”, we have identified several strategies which may be prudent for readers and subscribers of the Executive-Post.

If you plan now, and take the appropriate steps, your personal finances should be able to survive current market conditions. Making the wrong financial moves could easily make you come up short. And, a wrong financial move does include “doing nothing”. 

Conclusion

And so, we welcome the opportunity for you to submit queries to our “Ask-an-Advisor” feature.

Hopefully, we might offer some ideas on how you can benefit from professional management and objective counsel; or use our books, texts, dictionaries, white-papers and/or institutional subscription services.

Not all questions will be answered, of course, but representative queries may be posted.  

Please be aware that you must register as a subscriber-member to “Ask-an-Advisor”.

But, don’t worry; registration is free!

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SEIU Economics

Challenging Medicare Economics Rule Changes

Staff Writers

According to Modern Physician, a union representing 12,000 medical interns and residents is the latest organization to get behind a lawsuit seeking to stop a Medicaid economics rule change that would crimp the flow of enhanced payments to safety net hospitals.

Amicus Brief*

In a friend-of-the-court brief filed in U.S. District Court in Washington, the SEIU Healthcare-affiliated Committee of Interns and Residents argues that “the ability to collect above-cost Medicaid payments allows governmental healthcare providers to fulfill Medicaid’s mission by making it possible for safety net hospitals and the medical residents that work in them to provide quality healthcare to the nation’s poorest and most vulnerable citizens.”

Assessment

The lawsuit was filed in March by a coalition led by the National Association of Public Hospitals and Health Systems and including the American Hospital Association and the parties are seeking a preliminary injunction to block the rule from taking effect.

Conclusion

Your comments are appreciated.  

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*Amicus Curiae briefs, a Latin term meaning “friend of the court”, is the name for a brief filed with the court by someone who is not a party to the case.

 

Disease Management Economics

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The Medicare Health Support Program

[By Staff Writer]

Doctor

The Medicare Health Support Program [MHSP] is a three-year experiment to determine if disease management [DM] can limit pathology and reduce expensive hospital visits for patients with chronic conditions. These typically include congestive heart failure, asthma and diabetes.

But, a new report suggests that this once highly-touted program may actually cost more than it saves.

Preliminary Outcomes

Since 2005, the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services [CMS] paid eight outside companies about $360 million to deliver DM services from nurses who periodically called patients to check on their diets, drug use, blood sugars, exercise patters and doctor appointments, etc.

Now, Medicare is still trying to figure out whether the program was able to keep folks healthier. Unfortunately, the New York Times reported that preliminary data indicates DM is unlikely to save money.

Mixed Opinions

Of course, at least two companies that specialize in disease management, Healthways and Health Dialog, are pressing Medicare to continue the project beyond the end of it term, saying the government mishandled the experiment.

But, CMS says the program so far has not reduced medical bills enough to offset the fees the companies are charging the government [about $2,000 per patient/per year].

Assessment

Final MHSP accounting is likely to come next year. And so, it seems that in this case, education and DM might not be “the best prescription.”

Channel Surfing the ME-P

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Conclusion

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Top 10 Diagnostic Related Groups

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High Volume Medicare DRGs

[Staff Writers]

The ten highest volume Medicare DRGs represent about 30% of total Medicare patients. Each of these higher volume DRGs represent from about 2% to 6% of total Medicare volume. 

***

  DRG DRG Description % Total Rel Wt
1 127 Heart Failure & Shock 5.99 1.0234
2 089 Simple Pneumonia & Pleurisy Age>17 w/CC1 3.85 1.1447
3 014 Specific Cerebrovascular Disorders except TIA 3.18 1.2056
4 430 Psychoses 3.18 0.9153
5 088 Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease 3.11 1.0067
6 209 Major Joint & Limb Reattachment Procedures, Lower Extremity 2.78 2.3491
7 140 Angina Pectoris 2.33 0.6241
8 182 Esophagitis, Gastroent & Misc Digest Disorders Age>17 w/CC1 2.09 0.7617
9 174 G.I. Hemorrhage w/CC1 2.07 0.9657
10 296 Nutritional & Misc Metabolic Disorders Age>17w/CC1 1.93 0.9313

Source: Health Care Financing Administration [CMS] 2005

Conclusion

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Introduction to Healthcare Economics

White-Paper: healthcare_economics

From the Public Health Management and Policy Department

By Ben Hagopian

By Matt Wilson

To understand health economics, it is first critical to understand the basics of economics; or the “dismal-science.”  

At its most basic level economics can be defined as the study of choices, made by individuals or groups, when resources are limited. The concept is better known as “scarcity” and is the backbone of all economic thinking. 

This white-paper on healthcare economics is a basic dissertation by two Master’s of Public Health [MPH] students from Case-Western Reserve University. 

Although theoretical in nature, it is a good review of fundamental principles with recent domestic policy changes; complete with illustrative figures. 

The one disappointment was its failure to mention or reference, Kenneth J. Arrow PhD – the youngest Nobel Prize winning economist – of 1972. For more than fifty years he has been one of the most listened to of all practicing economists and is arguably known as the father of “health economics.”  

And, for a more pragmatic approach to augment this primer – with real world case models – the listed resources are suggested. 

Nevertheless, all readers and ‘”Executive-Post” subscribers are encouraged to review this understandable treatise. It will be well worth your time. 

Hope Rachel Hetico; RN, MHA, Certified Medical Planner

iMBA, Inc – Atlanta, Georgia USA

www.MedicalBusinessAdvisors.com 

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Thomas E. Getzen; PhD

ABOUT

Dictionary of Healthcare Economics and Finance   

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Why the Dictionary of Healthcare Economics and Finance?  

Every business and healthcare administration student I’ve ever taught over the last three decades has struggled to decipher the alphabet soup of medical economics (i.e., OPHCOO, ALOS, DRG, RBRVS, behavioral health, acuity, etc), while those coming from clinical medicine struggled to internalize the lingo of finance (i.e., call premium, cost benefit ratios, IGARCH, aacpd, IBNR ABCM, internal rate of return, accounts receivable days outstanding, etc.).  

Until we have a common language however, medical and business professionals cannot possess a shared vision, nor can we communicate successfully to create healthcare entities that provide quality care to patients and reasonable profits to medical practitioners.  

Of course, no single tool can meet all needs and there are many fine books on healthcare economics and finance, along with a legion of consulting firms, management associations and university programs.

Yet, to effectively use these resources, one needs to have the right words, and to use seemingly everyday terms in a way that economists and healthcare financial experts speak. 

Unfortunately, healthcare service costs continued to rise more rapidly than wages during the last decade, and consumed an ever-larger share of Gross Domestic Product (GDP), creating hardships for both employers and employees.  

For example, health spending accounted for 15.3 percent of the nation’s economy or $2.05 trillion in 2006, averaging $6,175 for every American. Health insurance premiums rose 8.8% to more than $14,500 for family coverage, and by 2013, the US government forecasts health spending will reach 18.4 percent of gross domestic product.

It is no wonder that controlling costs is the top concern of fringe benefit specialists, according to Deloitte Consulting and the International Society of Certified Employee Benefit Specialists.

More than one-third of the rise was due to a 13.6% increase in outpatient spending. Higher utilization rates accounted for 43% of the increase, fueled by increased demand, more intense medical treatment and defensive medicine, according to PricewaterhouseCooper.

And, let us not forget that one in seven Americans lack health insurance; that’s 46 million people or 15.7 percent.

At the same time, medical professionals struggled to maintain adequate income levels. While some specialties flourished, others like primary care barely moved forward, not even incrementally keeping up with inflation.  

In the words of Atul Gawande, MD, a surgical resident at Brigham and Women’s Hospital in Boston, and one of the best young medical writers in America, “Doctors quickly learn that how much they make has little to do with how good they are. It largely depends on how they handle the business side of their practice”. 

Increasing, some physicians have become more aggressive in seeking out business opportunities. For example, Neurosurgeon Larry Teuber MD, built a specialty hospital in Rapid City SD, and earned $9 million dollars in a single year.  Investors also became wealthy, and the hospital where he previously practiced and some former colleagues were not so fortunate or happy; even suggesting that he stepped “over the line.” 

While it is difficult to fully understand a complex situation from a brief overview, it is vital for medical professionals to have definitions that clarify “the line,” and for businesses to define the forces and implicit understandings that underlie medical ethics. 

Alas, the Dictionary of Healthcare Economics and Finance cannot solve these problems, just as the rule-of-law cannot answer the question of whether or not Dr. Teuber did “the right thing.”

What the Dictionary can do however, is set the context, and clarify the terms of debate. Consumers also need to know what these terms and conditions mean.  If this was not evident until now, passage of Medicare Part D has made it painfully obvious that clarity is needed, and that continuing education in the economic and financial terminology of healthcare is a lifetime task. 

Once drug co-payments, corridor deductibles and exclusions are mastered, one can begin to sort out the limits on long-term care insurance, homecare and hospice benefits, and the ever-changing levels of hospital and physician reimbursement dictated by SGA (sustainable growth adjustments) … and there is still much more to study and learn. It takes knowledge to practice medicine and to earn capital, assume risk and invest in emerging healthcare entities.

And, none of us can escape the responsibility of knowing what the terms of engagement are.  In times of great flux, such as the revolution in reimbursement and payment systems occurring today, codified information protects us all.

The Dictionary of Healthcare Economics and Finance provides that protection by bringing stability to the nomenclature of healthcare fiscal and economic concerns.

With 10,000 definitions, acronyms, illustrations, cliometric equations and industry notables, the Dictionary is an authoritative and comprehensive guide to better healthcare administration transactions. 

Dr. David Edward Marcinko, Academic Provost for the Institute of Medical Business Advisors, Inc, and a Certified Medical Planner© should be complimented for conceiving and completing this ambitious project.  

The Dictionary of Healthcare Economics and Finance spells out the terms of reference and the principle players in the contemporaneous healthcare industrial complex.  Having such a compendium readily at hand and sharing it with others, is a way for patients, accountants, financial planners and insurance agents, medical practitioners, nurse managers and healthcare executives to improve economic efficiency and clinical quality. 

Of course, it may even help restore fiscal enterprise-wide sanity, as well.  

Simply put, my suggestion is to refer to the Dictionary of Healthcare Economics and Finance frequently, and “reap”.  

  1. The New Yorker, April 4, p.47, 2005.
  2. Wall St. Journal, Aug 2, 2005.
  3. Reuters, Jan 31, 2006.
  4. Modern Healthcare Jan 31, 2006.

Thomas E. Getzen, PhD

Executive Director, International Health Economics Association

Professor of Risk, Insurance and Healthcare Management

The Fox School of Business – Temple University

Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA 19122 

More Terms – Health Dictionary Series:

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Job_Index_Inforgraphic

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Medical Practice Profit Maximization

Moving Toward a More Perfectly Competitive Marketplace

Dr. David Edward Marcinko; MBA, CMP™

Publisher-in-Chiefbiz-book1

Some believe it is now time to consider how medical marketplace externalities can be applied to achieve a profit maximizing medical practice.  Realize that the imperfect fee-for-service marketplace is moving to become more perfectly competitive in the managed care environment. 

Medical Economic Scenarios 

For example, consider the following health economic scenarios.  

1. A glut of good physicians causes them to become “price takers”, selling a homogenous(commoditized) service. An appendectomy is an appendectomy; or is it? 

Financially, many doctors are “taking what they’re given (by MCOs), because they’re working for a living”. Younger doctors under 40 are especially inclined to work for less since they have had little exposure to fee-for-service compensation.  Perhaps providers need to “differentiate” themselves from the competition?  Ponder the MD vs. DO controversy, since one of the fastest growing areas of specialization is osteopathic family medicine.

Or, consider the potential economic impact of any willing provider laws? 

2. Physicians have an increasing smaller share of the medical marketplace because of extended care providers. Does this help or hinder them?

Price information is freely available to all MCO’s because of computerization; and increasingly to consumers and HD-HCPs. 

3. Doctors have been defeated in their ability to influence the marketplace by selling a quality, but nevertheless standardized, service. Consider the economic effects of practice guidelines in this light? 

4. As medical care becomes efficient, each doctor becomes a perfect substitute for the other. This may either be an accolade, or a curse since patient demand becomes perfectly elastic at the HMO’s capitated set price.  

This being the case, there is no incentive to lower fees in an attempt to attract more patients, since doctors would not be able treat any more patients than they would otherwise. The price decrease just lowers income, but has no effect number of patients treated.  It simply decreases profits. 

5. Since marginal revenue is the fee obtained from seeing one extra patient, marginal revenue becomes equal to HMO price, and marginal profit is zero when marginal revenue just equals marginal cost.

Will the MD still want to wait another hour just to see that last late HMO or Medicaid patient? 

6. A profit maximizing office will operate at a short-term loss as long as its minimum average cost is less than its minimum possible average variable cost.  But, just how long is “short term”, anyway? 

7. Efficiency prevails when medical services are made available just up to the point that marginal benefits equal marginal costs. When efficiency is achieved, it is not possible to make more money without decreasing another doctor’s income in a risk pool situation.  Voila – managed competition, anyone?

It is estimated that more than a quarter of all physicians may leave practice by the year 2015. 

Assessment 

Regardless of the technical nature of the above health economic arguments, practical attention must be directed toward the possibility of governmental (national healthcare) intervention or marketplace (HMO) intercession, relative to two other concepts – not discussed here – that directly affect medical practices; price ceilings and price floors.  

Conclusion 

Recall all the fee schedule surveys popular several years ago?  How does this knowledge impact medical care today?  

Can you comment on any other economic scenarios that might encourage medical practice profit maximization? 

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Externalities of Medical Supply and Demand

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Defying Traditional Economic Principles

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko; MBA CMP™

[Publisher-in-Chiefdem-new]

It is well known that traditional medical marketplace supply and demand structures are not necessarily efficient or timely.  This is particularly true in healthcare delivery and is attributed to various “externalities” that seemingly deter competition. 

Defining Economic Externalities 

Formally, externalities are defined as the cost or benefits of market transactions that are not directly reflected in the price buyers (patients) or sellers (doctors) use to make their decisions. They represent defects or inefficiencies in the pricing system and can be either positive or negative. 

Medical Externalities 

Pertinent externalities for the physician, and healthcare practitioner, include but are not limited, to the following: 

1. Barriers to Entry: Physicians and other “learned healthcare professionals”, receive an extended formal education. This not only ensures competence and protects the public, but it also reduces competition. 

2. Competitive Advantage: Once school is over, a medical degree is an effective strategic advantage over a non-degreed practitioner.

3. Monopsony and Oligopsony: Occur when discounts are extracted from healthcare providers because of supply and demand size inequalities, and may run afoul of anti-trust laws.

4. Barriers to Exit: The increased cost of “doing business”, effectively precludes many physicians from terminating practice unit all fiscal investments are recouped. Observe that few doctors can practice “part time” and still afford their overhead. 

5. Mortal turpitude: Since physicians take the “Hippocratic Oath”, they are expected to place patient welfare above their own. This is not necessarily true with business entities that must adhere to legalities only.

6. Moral Hazards: All know that cigarettes, dietary indiscretions, drinking, drug use and promiscuous behavior are unhealthy. Yet, many pursue this life‑style that drive up healthcare costs for society as a whole. 

Other Externalities Exist 

Other externalities that drive up the cost of healthcare are well known but not easily changed.  

First, most Americans have group insurance through their employment. They do not “purchase” it on the open market, making them fairly indifferent to the costs or needs of individual health care purchases.  

Second, acquiring health insurance is not like buying a commodity, and it is difficult for a layman to know what purchases make sense and at what price? 

Third, most health insurance purchasing decisions are made by the doctor (i.e., refer to a specialist or have surgery), not the patient consumer, and hence has a vested interest in increasing service demand. This is changing with the consumer directed healthcare plan movement. 

Lastly, what well informed person would be a tough bargainer when their health is at stake? Who is going to negotiate with a neuro-surgeon? Nevertheless, some patients are doing just that with HD-HCPs! 

The Golden Age of Medical Reimbursement 

During the so called “Golden Age of Medicine“, 1965-1990, Medicare, Medicaid and all these factors worked to isolate American medicine from financial reality.

In the last decade, however, the private sector has demanded cost containment by negotiate prices for medical services. 

Conclusion

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Can you comment on other externalities that seem to defy traditional healthcare supply and demand economics? 

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Medical Price Ceilings and Floors

Understanding Basic Health Economic Concepts

[By Dr. David Edward Marcinko; MBA CMP™]

biz-book3Healthcare price ceilings and floors benefit certain groups but impair the distribution of medical goods and services by the price system in free competitive markets. 

And, government intervention interferes in the functioning of competitive markets and is likely to result in “resource allocation” problems. 

Health Economics Definitions

“Price ceilings” are maximum legally charges and always result in shortages when set below market equilibrium prices. How long is the wait at a local charitable hospital vs. a local for-profit medical center? Price ceilings often result in an underground black market economy that exceeds legal limits.  

Non-price rationing (i.e., free medical care) on the other hand, distributes available services to patients on a basis other than ability to pay. The most common non-price rationing device is, “first-come, first-served”. 

“Price floors” establish minimum prices, which often result in surpluses when they exceed equilibrium price levels. The minimum wage is a good example of a price floor.

Assessment 

Remember, Keynesian macro-economic philosophy.  In evaluating managed care price controls, the gains to beneficiaries of price ceilings and floors must be weighed against the resulting allocation problems.

Alternative methods that will make the gainers just as well off without impairing the rationing function of medical prices, can be considered as ways to increase efficiency in the medical economy. 

Conclusion

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Theoretical Medical Marketplace Competition

A Conceptual Review of Four Traditional Healthcare Models

By Dr. David E. Marcinko; MBA, CMP™

By Hope Rachel Hetico; RN, MHA, CMP™

In any discussion of theoretical competitive medical practice models – as a surrogate for more pragmatic real world competition – assumptions are made that include normal demand quantities, many fully informed patients, and the fact that physicians cannot directly influence demand for care (debatable). 

These assumptions, although fluid, also negate that patient buyers are large enough have any influence over price. 

Competitive Structures 

A result of the above assumptions, four structures or models of competition emerge.

  1. In a “pure monopoly”, there is only one provider with a unique service. The doctor is a “price maker” and charges whatever he wishes. 
  2. In an “oligopoly”, there are a few physicians who provide similar services. For example, when it becomes clear to local competitors – Dr. Smith and Dr. Jones – that neither can win a price war, oligopolists return prices to prior, but still inflated levels. 
  3. In “monopolistic competition“, there are many providers with differentiated services. For example, should Dr. Jones decide to have evening hours, she may charge a premium for her fees if Dr. Jones doe not follow suit. 
  4. Finally – when “pure competition” occurs – there are many physicians, providing similar and substitutable services. Marketing and advertising does not affect fees, and prices are determined by supply and demand. The doctors become “price takers” by accepting fees arrived at by practicing competitively. 

Conclusion 

And so, what kind of competitive medical provider or physician executive are you; and is you competitive model based on locale, supply-demand, provider specialty or some other factors? Or, do these philosophical economic models offer any real world applications, at all?

Speaker: If you need a moderator or a speaker for an upcoming event, Dr. David Edward Marcinko; MBA – Editor and Publisher-in-Chief – is available for speaking engagements. Contact him at: MarcinkoAdvisors@msn.com

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Domestic Healthcare Economics in Review

Commentary on Rising Healthcare Costs – OR – How Did We Get Here?

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko; MBA, CMP™

By Hope Rachel Hetico; RN, MHA, CMP™

“New financing and risk management schemes, restructured delivery systems, advanced therapeutics, sophisticated information technology and profound demographic shifts are among the forces that will lead to very different healthcare systems in the first part of the 21st century.”

-Clem Bezold 

Introduction

Traditional organizations in the “good old days” – except for the military – provided indemnity (fee-for-service) insurance which gave patients great freedom and MDs great incentives to supply care. But, insurers had little control over the care that was rendered and its associated costs. Healthcare costs skyrocketed to more than a trillion dollars, or 15 percent of GNP by 2002, crippling U.S. productivity.  

The increase has continued unabated, since then. 

Present Day Medicare 

Now, consider that Medicare which says it has enough to “pay” medical benefits for our seniors, in reality cannot pay a thing. This created a rising burden on the young, who subsidized treatment for the old and middle-aged. Workers under 65 pay most taxes and even among workers there are generational subsidies. 

In 1999, workers aged 45-64 years-old – with employer-paid insurance – had health costs twice those of workers aged 18-44; since the young have wages reduced because of elder insurance costs. Additionally, Medicare C+ programs have fared even worse, as evidenced by the wave of plan dropouts, corruption, quality concerns, and continued issues about burdensome requirements and inadequate payment rates. 

Medicare Since Inception 

Also, realize that since 1963 – in the Medicare system alone – the following has happened:

· Workers contributing to the system decreased from 6:1 to 2:1 since 1963.

· Enrollees increased from 22 million to more than 55 million currently.

· The elderly population increased from 10 percent to 17 percent of the U.S. population.

· The average life span increased from 71 to 79 years.

· The Medicare Trust Fund is not really a trust fund at all; but actually an accounting fiction since technically the fund holds interest earning U.S. government bonds, representing an accounting surplus of payroll taxes collected minus benefits paid. The bonds are essentially IOUs the government has written to itself). 

Furthermore, the rising cost of healthcare attributed to wide treatment variability patterns, and mistakes reported by the Institute of Medicine [IOM], could be ascribed more to style than to patient differences.  

Medical Treatment Variability 

In the classic example, studies by John (Jack) Wennberg, MD, in the early 1970’s at Dartmouth Medical School, shocked the health care community when he discovered that differences in hysterectomy, tonsillectomy and prostatectomy rates in one county were 30-50 percent higher than rates in adjacent counties. 

By the early 1980’s Wennberg’s studies concluded that new physician incentive were needed if doctors were to provide appropriate care at acceptable costs.

Nevertheless, iatrogenic (doctor-induced) factors contributing to healthcare cost escalation continued into the 1990’s, despite rising physician incomes.  And, a few years ago it was estimated that:

· 53 percent of all surgeries may be unnecessary.

· 36 percent of all medical office visits may not be needed.

· 35 percent of all hospital admissions may be iatrogenic.

· Iatrogenic medication errors abound. 

Other causes of spiraling costs included: voracious consumer appetite, lifestyle drugs with direct to patient advertising, inflation, cost shifting, and the relative insulation of consumers to the true cost of medical care. 

The “Malpractice Phobia” 

Moreover, malpractice phobia, misinformed patients, hungry trial lawyers and class action lawsuits have all contributed to escalating healthcare costs.  

For example, the Jury Verdict Research estimated median award statistics for the Year 2000, as:

· $689,000 for medication errors;

· $563,000 for misdiagnosis cases;

· $277,000 for surgical negligence;

· $280,000 for non-surgical treatment cases;

· $284,000 for cases involving doctor/patient relations;

· $630,000 median award for all medical malpractice cases. 

All have grown since then.

Conclusion 

Not coincidentally, corporate America looked for methods to contain costs and provide pro-active, rather than retroactive-active medical care. In the past, managed care, not national healthcare, was the private result.  

But, a national healthcare system may still be in the future. 

What are your thoughts on the above regarding the upcoming political election season?

More related info: www.HealthDictionarySeries.com

Speaker: If you need a moderator or a speaker for an upcoming event, Dr. David Edward Marcinko; MBA is available for speaking engagements. Contact him at: MarcinkoAdvisors@msn.com

Supply and Demand in Medical Care

The Imperfect Competitive Medical Marketplace

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko; MBA, CMP™

By Hope Rachel Hetico; RN, MHA, CMP™biz-book1 

The issue is not how to fill or reuse empty beds. In this changing environment, hospitals and health systems must focus on streamlining and simplifying operational processes, facilitating case management, promoting the least costly setting for care delivery, and optimizing resource sharing among departments. When hospitals have addressed these issues, then solutions to the “bed problem” will be obvious.

-Cynthia Hayward, 1996

How and why the current healthcare imbroglio happened is very complex, but here is a brief synopsis of current supply-demand inequalities.

A Definition of Medical Care 

Medical care is defined as the finite examination and treatment of patients, for monetary compensation. Among other reasons, changes in patient demand may occur as a result of the absence or presence of health insurance plans or the encouragement of additional treatments by profit maximizing providers. 

Health Economics 101 

Changes in supply occur as a result of physician shortages or surpluses and a host of other factors. Until recently, a glut of physicians has caused them to become “price takers,” selling a homogenous service.

How else could aggregate HMO fee schedules drop to some percentage below prevailing Medicare or Medicaid rates in some instances? Or, how else could otherwise qualified physicians be de-selected from managed healthcare plans because of large (successful equates with expensive) practices? 

The Supply-Demand Curve 

A graphical representation of this economic relationship produces the classic downward sloping demand curve and the upward sloping supply curve. At some point in time however, the treatment plan is completed, the patient is satisfied, and additional services are not needed. This is known as market equilibrium.  

When an industry becomes more competitive – either by too much supply or too little demand – market equilibrium fees tend to become elastic while patient volume becomes very sensitive to even small changes in price. This may be where we have arrived, right now relative to medical price elasticity. 

Medical Price Elasticity 

In a managed care environment, every covered service has a low price ceiling and every “non-covered” service has its own price elasticity.   

Traditionally, medical services were inelastic to price changes and considered a growth industry since a fee increase would also increase revenues.  Now, the marketplace has become resistant to pricing pressure by physician oversupply and managed care.  

Generally, a pricing coefficient greater than one is considered elastic, while a coefficient less than one is inelastic.

Interestingly, exact unity prevails when elasticity of supply is exactly equal to one.  

In the golden days of medicine, the price elasticity of medical care was greater than 1, now it is about .35 and diminishing 

Meaning to Doctors 

Financially, all this means that many doctors are “taking what they’re given (by HMOs, CMS, etc), because they’re working for a living”.   

Younger doctors under 40 are especially inclined to work for less since they have had little exposure to fee-for-service compensation. Older doctors are retiring. Middle-Agers are frustrated. 

Additionally, physicians have an increasingly smaller share of the medical marketplace because of so-called medical care extenders, such as PAs and nurse practitioner’s.

Some health plans have even done away with many true allied healthcare professionals, such as RN’s or CRNAs, in favor of trained, not educated, and less costly technicians.  

Conclusion

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Despite the financial impact of managed care on doctors, patients may also be hurt physically as the economic cost of medical re-intervention is often much more than the cost of the proposed initial professional care.  

For example, a study by Deloitte & Touche a few years ago, reported employee satisfaction was decreasing about 10 percent per year, as healthcare coverage represented a fiscal and economic time bomb on corporate books. 

How would you comment on the above in light of the IOM on medical errors and mistakes, findings a few years back?

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Speaker: If you need a moderator or speaker for an upcoming event, Dr. David E. Marcinko; MBA – Publisher-in-Chief of the Medical Executive-Post – is available for seminar or speaking engagements. Contact: MarcinkoAdvisors@msn.com

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More Docs in the Pipeline

2007: Largest Medical School Class Ever

Staff Writers

 

The 2007 entering class to U.S. medical schools is the largest in the nation’s history, according to the Association of American Medical Colleges.

The number of first-year enrollees totaled almost 17,800 students, a 2.3 percent increase over 2006, while more than 42,300 individuals applied to enter medical school in 2007, an increase of 8.2 percent over 2006. 

Nearly 32,000 were first-time applicants, while the number of black male applicants and Hispanic male applicants both increased by 9.2 percent.

And, the number of black males who ultimately were accepted and enrolled in medical school increased by 5.3 percent, a rate nearly double that of the first-year entrant increase overall. 

So, how will this doctor-pipeline affect – if at all – the current healthcare supply-demand equation?

Tiered Future Healthcare Delivery Models

Futuristic Healthcare Economic Models

 By Dr. David Edward Marcinko; MBA, CMP™dem21

A Three Tiered Insurance System? 

Uwe Reinhardt PhD, James Madison Professor of Political Economics of Princeton University in New Jersey, and an opponent of MCO liability, opined several years ago that in the near future there will be a three tiered system of medical care in the US. The bottom tier will consist of the uninsured and uninsurable (46 million, January, 2007), the middle tier will be served by managed care organizations, and the top tier will continue to demand traditional (indemnity) fee-for-service medicine.

Probable Characteristics

Regardless of future model(s) of care, we believe the goals of any optimal healthcare economic policy should include the following characteristics: (1) low demand barriers of price, travel, wait time, referral ease and paperwork, (2) adequacy of supply regarding medical personnel, clinics, drugs and equipment, (3) technical efficiencies such as service mix, (4)   public expenditure control with tax reductions, and (5) quality medical care for the common social good. 

For related info: The Business of Medical Practice [Advanced Profit Maximization Techniques for Savvy Doctors]
http://www.springerpub.com/prod.aspx?prod_id=23759

Conclusion

As always, your thoughts and comments on this Executive-Post are appreciated.

Related Information Sources:

Practice Management: http://www.springerpub.com/prod.aspx?prod_id=23759 

Physician Financial Planning: http://www.jbpub.com/catalog/0763745790

Medical Risk Management: http://www.jbpub.com/catalog/9780763733421

Healthcare Organizations: www.HealthcareFinancials.com

Health Administration Terms: www.HealthDictionarySeries.com

Physician Advisors: www.CertifiedMedicalPlanner.com

Speaker: If you need a moderator or speaker for an upcoming event, Dr. David E. Marcinko; MBA – Publisher-in-Chief of the Executive-Post – is available for seminar or speaking engagements. Contact: MarcinkoAdvisors@msn.com  or Bio: www.stpub.com/pubs/authors/MARCINKO.htm

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Domestic and Healthcare Economic Indicators

What are Domestic and Medical Economic Indicators?

www.CertifiedMedicalPlanner.com

By Staff Writerscmp-logo1

There are 12 leading, 6 lagging and 4 co-incidental indicators for the United States economy. And, there are 3 macro-economic medical indicators for physicians and the healthcare industrial complex. Their purpose is to help evaluate which period of the business cycle is in play. 

 

Leading Economic Indicators:  

1. Average workweek for manufacturing production workers

2. Layoff rate in manufacturing

3. New orders for consumer goods

4. Vendor performance and slow/on-time deliveries

5. New business formation

6. New building permits for private housing *

7. Contracts and orders for plants and equipment

8. Net changes in inventories

9. Change in sensitive prices

10. Change in total liquid assets

11. Stock prices

12. Money supply 

  

Co-incidental Economic Indicators: 

1. Employees on non-agricultural payrolls

2. Personal income

3. Industrial production

4. Manufacturing and trade sales 

 

Lagging Economic Indicators:

1. Average duration of unemployment

2. Manufacturing and trade inventories

3. Labor costs per unit of output

4.  Average bank prime interest rates

5. Commercial and industrial loans outstanding

6. Ration of consumer installment dent to personal income [* Often considered the leading, leading economic indicator]. 

Specific Medical Economic Indicators for Physicians 

  1. Medical Labor Production is a measure of medical professional output per hour, or per each unit (patient) of labor. Managed care has decreased labor production cost in medicine.
  2. Unit Medical Labor Costs represent the cost of physician labor (treatment), per unit (CPT code) of output.
  3. Capacity of Medical Utilization is a percentage of the maximum rate at which a medical office, clinical hospital or surgical center can operate under normal conditions. At the rate nears 100 percent, efficiency declines due to mechanical breakdowns, burnout of doctors and employees, and less experienced medical care extenders and para-professionals, etc.

Like domestic economic indicators, these evaluate the macro-economic healthcare business cycle which may be entering the depressed state. And so, what do you think; doctor colleagues and laymen, alike?

Speaker: If you need a moderator or speaker for an upcoming event, Dr. David E. Marcinko; MBA – Publisher-in-Chief of the Executive-Post – is available for seminar or speaking engagements. Contact: MarcinkoAdvisors@msn.com  or Bio: www.stpub.com/pubs/authors/MARCINKO.htm

Our Other Print Books and Related Information Sources:

Practice Management: http://www.springerpub.com/prod.aspx?prod_id=23759

Physician Financial Planning: http://www.jbpub.com/catalog/0763745790

Medical Risk Management: http://www.jbpub.com/catalog/9780763733421

Healthcare Organizations: www.HealthcareFinancials.com

Health Administration Terms: www.HealthDictionarySeries.com

Physician Advisors: www.CertifiedMedicalPlanner.com

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