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What are the Prospects for US Recession? [A Voting and Opinion Poll]

Is Wall Street Driving Main Street?

By Staff Reporters

Join Our Mailing List 

Concern is high that the US economy may be close to or entering recession, yet the fundamentals lend little support to such a projection. There has been no decline in jobs, while corporate health is very strong.

So, the recession concerns appear to be driven more by the decline in stock prices than by economic developments.

IOW: Is Wall Street pessimism driving Main Street gloom?

What do you think? Please vote and be sure to add your comments below.

Conclusion

And so, your thoughts and comments on this ME-P are appreciated. Feel free to review our top-left column, and top-right sidebar materials, links, URLs and related websites, too. Then, subscribe to the ME-P. It is fast, free and secure.

Link: http://feeds.feedburner.com/HealthcareFinancialsthePostForcxos

Speaker: If you need a moderator or speaker for an upcoming event, Dr. David E. Marcinko; MBA – Publisher-in-Chief of the Medical Executive-Post – is available for seminar or speaking engagements. Contact: MarcinkoAdvisors@msn.com  

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17 Responses

  1. A Thanksgiving Weekend Bummer!
    [Pimco’s El-Erian Says U.S. Economic Conditions Are Terrifying]

    Pimco’s Chief Executive Officer Mohamed A. El-Erian says U.S. economic conditions are “terrifying” given that the nation’s is coming out of recession.

    http://www.fa-mag.com/fa-news/9210-pimcos-el-erian-says-us-economic-conditions-are-terrifying.html

    Double-dip anyone?

    Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA CMP™
    http://www.BusinessofMedicalPractice.com
    [Editor-in-Chief]

    Like

  2. Jim Rogers

    Jim rogers was just interviewed on Business Insider by Henry Blodget on May 2nd, 2012.

    He said that because of the increase in debt, the next economic downturn will be much worse. We had a recession in 2002, then 2008 and the next one cannot be far away and should probably occur in 2013 or 2014.

    Any thoughts?

    Milton

    Like

  3. What, Me … Worry?

    It seems that in almost every conversation these days people worry about their investments and the markets [ie., the economy’s killing my investments … my portfolio’s down … the economy better turn around soon or my retirement will never happen, etc].

    There are many variations on this theme and you’ve probably been hearing it, too! Especially in the doctor’s lounge.

    So, it’s easy to worry about a recession.

    Sylvester Smythe

    Like

  4. Bernstein Sees New U.S. Bull Surpassing 1982-1999 Market

    Did you know that former Merrill Lynch chief investment strategist Richard Bernstein believes that the U.S. equity markets are in the early stages of a bull market that could surpass the greatest bull market of his lifetime?

    http://www.fa-mag.com/news/bernstein-sees-new-us-bull-surpassing-1982-1999-market-12265.html

    Bull Jackson

    Like

  5. Y-2013

    I believe that 2013 will be the Perfect Storm. For example, bonds will get creamed as interest rates rise, equities will be down and commodities should be go negative after doing well.

    Furthermore, the US dollar is weak and the Euro will get strong. Your thoughts?

    Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA CMP™
    http://www.BusinessofMedicalPractice.com
    [Editor-in-Chief]

    Like

  6. New Projection

    The CBO just opined that we face another decade of sub-par growth! Did I hear the R-word?

    Hamilton

    Like

  7. Hamilton,

    Some more info, projected in a decade, from the CBO:

    Medicare = 1 $Trillion year
    Medicaid = doubles

    Next year = 1.4% growth rate
    Next year = 8% un-employment

    Poverty = up
    Incomes = down

    Ronnie

    Like

  8. Rallying stocks yield 300,000 new US millionaires

    There are now nearly 9 million households whose net worth totals $1 million or more, up from 8.6 million in 2011 and just short of the 9.2 million record set in 2006.

    http://money.msn.com/top-stocks/post.aspx?post=a616cce0-987f-4117-8643-486e8a7df37d

    Hank

    Like

  9. Your Call

    Dow Jones Industrial Average Index ($INDU):
    14,559.65 Up +111.90 +0.77%

    Good call Marcinko – NOT!

    Ken

    Like

  10. Glass Stegall

    Glass Stegall was repealed in 1999 and in just 9 years we went into a depression, of which we are not coming out of. This law kept banksters at bay for over 60 years and was one of the tools which brought us out of the last great depression.

    Enoch

    Like

  11. A Recession Ahead?

    Over the last few days, a wave of selling pressure has washed over the market. Many technical indicators are now flashing red — suggesting a correction lies ahead.

    What do our readers think?

    Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA CMP™
    http://www.BusinessofMedicalPractice.com

    Like

  12. Liz Ann Sonders Speaks
    [Bull Market, Though Still Cheap, Needs A Correction]

    Schwab’s chief market strategist told RIA attendees at this year’s annual Impact conference that she believes a vibrant private sector could sustain the secular bull market that began in March 2009.

    http://www.fa-mag.com/news/liz-ann-sonders–bull-market-needs-a-correction-16024.html?section=43

    Mariel
    http://www.amazon.com/Financial-Planning-Handbook-Physicians-Advisors/dp/0763745790/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1275315635&sr=1-1

    Like

  13. Just in – Recession or not!

    Today, the Federal Reserve agreed to softly pare back its asset purchases by $10 billion, taking the first step in unwinding its controversial bond buying program.

    Any thoughts?

    Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA
    http://www.CertifiedMedicalPlanner.org

    Like

  14. Five Years from US Stock Market’s Low
    [Joy vs. Worry]

    Five years ago, the United States was in the midst of its worst recession in seven decades, and stocks were feeling it.

    http://wealthmanagement.com/markets/five-years-us-stock-markets-low-its-joy-vs-worry?NL=WM-09&Issue=WM-09_20140311_WM-09_152&YM_RID=marcinkoadvisors%40msn.com&YM_MID=1454171&sfvc4enews=42&cl=article_3

    What do you think, today?

    Ann Miller RN MHA

    Like

  15. Optimism is soaring amongst the world’s wealthiest investors, according to two new surveys

    In the U.S., the number of millionaire households grew to 9.7 million in 2013, up from a post-crisis low of 6.7 million in 2007 and beating the previous pre-financial crisis record, according to the first of the two surveys, from Chicago-based market researcher the Spectrem Group.

    http://www.financial-planning.com/30-days-30-ways/optimism-abounds-among-growing-number-of-hnw-investors-2688620-1.html?utm_campaign=30%20days%2030%20ways-mar%2019%202014&utm_medium=email&utm_source=newsletter


    Reginald

    Like

  16. How to survive the next market drop?

    Stocks are overdue for a pullback.

    http://money.msn.com/investing/c_galleryregular.aspx?cp-documentid=253822128

    Here’s how to get ready for the next 10% correction.

    Hamilton

    Like

  17. Eye on the 2017 Economy [Is a recession on the horizon?]

    The U.S. economy is enjoying one of the longest economic expansions in history, seven years and counting. The extraordinary duration—more than double the average length of an expansion (38 months)—could cast doubt on how much more room is left to run before the next recession.

    As the saying goes, “expansions don’t die of old age.” Recessions—defined as negative gross domestic product growth over two consecutive quarters—are more than just statistical regularities of a predetermined business cycle. They are brought about by a surprise catalyst that disturbs the status quo, such as excesses that can build up in pockets of the economy during an expansion.

    In some instances, an unknown shock could trigger the unwinding of such misallocations. OR, a new President [DJ. TRUMP]. This sudden retrenchment can ripple into the broader economy, affecting hiring and investment decisions.

    Barring a significant shock to the U.S. economy, some believe the odds of a recession in 2017 are low, but not trivial. While there are uncertainties related to the new presidential administration, the economic fundamentals of the United States remain solid.

    The service sector is in fairly strong shape, consumer confidence is high, and the unemployment rate is below 5%. With that said, there are three risks that will continue to be monitored: a “hard landing” of the Chinese economy, increased chances of a breakup of the euro zone, or the implementation of strong protectionist trade policies.

    For more thoughts on recessions, and bull & bear markets, view related posts on this ME-P website.

    Dr. David E. Marcinko MBA

    Like

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