WHAT IS Ro [r-NOUGHT] IN HEALTH EPIDEMIOLOGY?

Posted on February 11, 2020 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™

A Relationship to Financial Investing?

Courtesy: www.CertifiedMedicalPlanner.org

By Dr. David E. Marcinko MBA CMP

The basic reproduction number R0, [r nought) of an infection is the number of cases it generates on average over the course of its infectious period, in an otherwise uninfected population.

LINK: https://www.amazon.com/Dictionary-Health-Insurance-Managed-Care/dp/0826149944/ref=sr_1_4?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1275315485&sr=1-4

The metric determines whether or not a disease can spread through a population. The root concept is traced to Alfred Lotka and Ronald Ross, but its first application was by George MacDonald in 1952, with malaria.

LINK: https://www.healthline.com/health/r-nought-reproduction-number

FORMULA: When

R0 < 1

the infection will die out in the long run. But if

R0 > 1

the infection will be able to spread in a population.

LINK: https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/25/1/17-1901_article

ASSESSMENT: Generally, the larger the value of R0, the harder it is to control the epidemic. In the past week, Corona virus estimates ranged from 1.4 to 5.5. The World Health Organization (WHO) range was 1.4 and 2.5. In comparison, seasonal flu affects millions each year but has an R0 of just 1.3. The R0 rate for measles ranges from 12 to 18.

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ECONOMY: http://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/coranavirus-outbreak-clouds-2020-view-global-economy-week/ar-BBZyEDY

Your thoughts are appreciated.

LINK: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/coronavirus-spreads-damage-to-wall-street-could-the-us-economy-be-next-2020-02-01?mod=home-page

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2 – https://lnkd.in/ezkQMfR

3 – https://lnkd.in/ewJPTJs

THANK YOU

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THE CORONA VIRUS and Ro [r-NOUGHT]

Posted on February 4, 2020 by Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd CMP™

THE CORONA VIRUS & Ro [r-NOUGHT] IN HEALTH EPIDEMIOLOGY?

Courtesy: https://lnkd.in/eBf-4vY

By Dr. David E. Marcinko MBA

[A Relationship to Investing and the Stock Markets?]

DJIA 28,256.03 ▼ -603.41 [-2.09%]

DJIA 28,399.81 Today: ▲ DJIA: +143.78+0.51%

The Ro Value, [r Nought), of an infection is the number of cases it generates on average over the course of its infectious period, in an otherwise uninfected population.

LINK: https://lnkd.in/e9AmEhd The metric determines if a disease can spread through a population. LINK: https://lnkd.in/e2VXwcz

FORMULA: When R0 < 1, the infection will die out in the long run. But, if R0 > 1, the infection will spread in a population. The larger the value of R0, the harder it is to control the epidemic.

LINK: https://lnkd.in/eXYpEUm METRICS: Recently, Corona virus estimates ranged from 1.4 to 5.5. The WHO range was 1.4 and 2.5. In comparison, seasonal flu affects millions each year but has an R0 of just 1.3.

QUERY: What are the stock market & economic effects of Corona?

GLOBAL: https://lnkd.in/epKhamj

DOMESTIC: https://lnkd.in/eBxwRDW

Conclusion: Your thoughts are appreciated.

Product DetailsProduct DetailsProduct Details

THANK YOU

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