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Are Physicians Investing in International Bonds?

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A Global Approach to Investing

By Rick Kahler MS CFP® ChFC CCIM www.KahlerFinancial.com

Rick Kahler CFPUS investors and fans of the St. Louis Rams have something in common. Both have seen their home teams fall from prominence to mediocrity in the past ten years. In 2000 the Rams won the Super Bowl, but in 2011 they ended the season tied for the worst record in the league. The US ranked as the world’s third freest economy in 2000, but by 2010 had fallen to number 18.

So, how do physicians and other investors allocate their funds in a country that’s in economic decline? Much like an ardent fan of the Rams who is also an astute gambler! You cheer for your team to win, but you place your bets on the stronger opponents.

Global Investing

It’s critical today to take a global approach to investing. Since the US now makes up less than half of the world’s wealth, it makes sense to invest the majority of your portfolio in the stocks and bonds of other countries. This is simply another form of diversification. Not only does it make sense to have US government bonds and the bonds from a wide range of companies in your portfolio, it also makes sense to diversify and hold a wide range of bonds of international companies and foreign governments.

While it isn’t uncommon for physician investors to have some exposure to international stocks, I find it is unusual for them to have investments in international bonds.

Investing in Bonds

When you invest in bonds, you are lending to a borrower who promises to pay interest and to repay the loan on a certain date. Bonds represent an IOU from a US or foreign corporation or government.

As with any bond, an important factor to consider is the credit quality of the issuer. This can become more complex with foreign bonds, as many countries don’t have the same standards of accounting required in the US.

More:

Foreign Bonds

A unique feature of foreign bonds is the effect that currency exchange rates have on your investment. Fluctuations in the local currency can enhance or depress your returns.

For example, if you want to purchase bonds denominated in the Australian dollar (AUD) you will first need to exchange your US dollars (USD) for AUD and then purchase the bonds. If the USD drops in value against the AUD, then the value of your Australian bonds goes up because your AUD now buy more USD. The reverse happens if the USD appreciates against the AUD.

Global investing

Direct Purchase of Mutual Funds

There are two ways to purchase international bonds. You can buy bonds directly from a securities broker or purchase shares of a mutual fund that invests in foreign bonds. Any fund with “international” in its name invests only in bonds of countries outside the US. If the fund has “global” in its name, it includes both foreign and US bonds in its mix.

The two categories of international bonds include those issued by developed nations like the United Kingdom, Japan, or Germany, and those issued by emerging market nations like India, Brazil, or Morocco. Emerging market bond funds invest in bonds from developing nations, risking greater losses for the chance of higher returns.

In my portfolios, I generally split my bond allocations 50/50 between the US and foreign bonds. Currently, our fund manager favors the bonds of Australia, New Zealand, and Canada.

Assessment

The Rams did better in 2012 than in 2011, so fans can hope they regain their top status in 2013. We can also hope the US can stop its economic slide and regain its global prominence in the next decade. But, until there is evidence of a turnaround, international bonds are one way physicians can avoid betting too heavily on the home team.

Conclusion

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3 Responses

  1. Barry … on bonds

    Bonds are like marriages: They’re easy to get into, but difficult to leave.

    When the economy revs up, you’re locked in and miss out on bigger gains in stocks. If the economy falters, you face higher risks while settling for Treasury-like returns. When inflation kicks higher, your returns — the yield payments from bonds — don’t go up with it.

    Barry

    Like

  2. Rising Interest Rates

    Federal Reserve policies changed enough in the last few months to suggest that interest rates will rise more in the next four years than in the last four?

    But, while investors certainly reacted to the Fed’s recent communications, the fact is that Fed policies haven’t changed that significantly and have been in line with expectations.

    The direction of interest rates over the next four years will be highly dependent on the traditional drivers—things like inflation, wage growth, employment, and strength of the U.S. economy, all of which are hard to predict.

    Giles

    Like

  3. The UK

    On June 23rd, the United Kingdom will hold a referendum on remaining in the European Union. The British public voted to stay in the union back in 1975, two years after joining. Since then, the role of the E.U. has expanded significantly, which has likely brought many benefits; however, several points of contention have arisen around immigration and regulation. Polls show that a British exit—or “Brexit”—from the E.U. is a real possibility.

    At stake for the U.K. is easy access to what is essentially a single market made up of 27 other European countries, allowing for free movement of people, goods, and services. Although the U.K. may not lose access to the single market if it leaves the E.U., the relationship would be renegotiated and trade linkages may suffer.

    In addition, a vote to leave would mean the E.U. would lose one of its key members because the U.K. is the world’s fifth-largest economy, according to the World Bank, and one of the most vibrant and diversified in the union.

    Whether the U.K. would ultimately be better off outside the E.U. is being hotly debated, as is what exiting might mean for Europe and the rest of the globe. Because it’s hard to predict how things will play out and how the financial markets will react, some believe it makes sense for international investors to stay broadly diversified across countries. That approach will continue to reduce exposure to downturns in individual countries, whichever ones they may be, while providing an opportunity to benefit from those that perform well.

    Dr. David E. Marcinko MBA

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