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Stocks inched up overnight after Monday’s ugly plunge to six-month lows, but positive catalysts were scattered and the rocky economy has begun affecting earnings forecasts. Delta Airlines (DAL) lowered its outlook yesterday amid what it called “macro uncertainty,” raising concerns it could be first on a crowded runway.

One theme as stocks plunged recently was that despite the suffering was that earnings outlooks remained strong. The latest FactSet forecasts for first quarter and 2025 S&P 500 earnings growth are 7.3% and 11.6%, respectively. Both are down from December 31st, though, and further setbacks in expectations could hurt confidence. Oracle (ORCL) missed analysts’ estimates late Monday. “The longer the tariff turmoil and related uncertainty about trade policy lasts, the more likely economic and earnings growth may take a hit,” said Jeffrey Kleintop, chief global investment strategist at Schwab.

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Job openings data later yesterday morning and the Consumer Price Index (CPI) tomorrow could help set the tone, though economic growth seems to have replaced inflation as the prime concern. Yesterday’s steep losses reflected less confidence in either the administration or the Federal Reserve potentially stepping in to rescue a slumping economy. Growth fears have pummeled the Magnificent Seven, with six of them among the bottom 350 in S&P 500 index (SPX) year-to-date performance. 

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For now, the S&P 500 (^GSPC) avoided correction territory but still fell about 0.8% to trade at just under 5,600. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) shed roughly 500 points, or 1.1%, dragged down by shares of Verizon (VZ). The tech-heavy NASDAQ Composite (^IXIC) reversed gains in the last few minutes of trading to fall about 0.2%. All three indexes closed at their lowest levels since September.

Visualize: How private equity tangled banks in a web of debt, from the Financial Times.

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