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The [Gold] Commodity Concern Bubble

Are We Looking At Another Bursting Bubble?

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Financial Advisors [FAs], doctors and all investors know that gold [and some other commodities] are at an all time high!

So, here’s a look at some of the most striking commodity rises over the last decade, and which ones have crashed in 2011. Brought to you by Focus.com


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13 Responses

  1. At An All-TIme High

    Timely post; gold is now at $1,612 ounce.




  2. End of the road for gold?

    Precious metals are under pressure as the US dollar surges.




  3. Market Meltdown Ahead?

    Wall Street gives the new debt deal a big thumbs down as stocks and commodities plunge — taking out significant technical support in the process.


    Any thoughts esteemed readers?

    Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA


  4. More on Gold Bubbles

    Jeremy Grantham, the chief investment strategist for asset manager GMO and an experienced bubble watcher, defines a bubble as asset prices two standard deviations above the long-term trend (for a normal distribution, that represents roughly the top 2% of values).

    On that basis, gold is in a bubble in terms of American and Canadian dollars and the South African rand, and is getting close in terms of the Australian dollar.



  5. Gold

    Well, the metal just topped $1,700 ounce today.



  6. Not so Fast!

    Welcome to the new American gold rush. The price of gold is on a remarkable run, setting a record seemingly every other day. Stomach-churning volatility in the stock market this month has only made investors covet gold more.




  7. Popping the gold bubble theory

    Although gold has risen some since this post, what the gold bears don’t seem to realize is that, despite its big gains, the gold market can’t be a bubble when almost everyone seems to think it’s overpriced.




  8. Well-Known Investor Says Gold Is Not In A Bubble

    Investor Marc Faber says gold’s rally above $1,900 an ounce shows no signs of a “bubble” as central banks continue to boost money supply that has helped spur bullion to a record.




  9. Gold is The Fear Index

    According to Mike Kitces http://www.kitces.com/blog/archives/202-Weekend-Reading-for-Financial-Planners-Oct-29-30.html “Gold is The Fear Index.”

    So, in this article by Professor Somnath Basu PhD [a frequent contributor to this ME-P] in the October 2011 issue of Financial Advisor magazine, Somnath discusses gold as a proxy for fear in the markets – so that investing in it can help serve as a hedge against market fear that may hammer the price of equities.

    Basu’s article highlights that while the overall correlation of gold to the equity indices has been lower for many years, it was very negatively correlated in the midst of the most recent two bear markets in the past decade.

    In other words, it may be a near-0 correlation overall, but it appears to be highly negatively correlated when you would want – and need – it the most.

    But, perhaps most striking is a graph at the beginning of the article, showing the meteoric rise in gold over the past decade, relative to how it was priced for the better part of the past 200 years.

    So, be sure to take a look!


    Hope R. Hetico RN MHA CMP™
    [Managing Editor]


  10. Gold – Maybe Not so Shiny – Anymore?

    Two opinions

    1. Paulson’s Bright Spot May Fade As Gold Plunges

    John Paulson, the hedge-fund manager enduring the worst year in his career, may be facing a final blow from this month’s sell-off in gold.


    2. Death Of Gold Bull Market Seen By Gartman

    Gold, in the 11th year of its longest winning streak in at least nine decades, is poised to enter a bear market, according to Dennis Gartman, who correctly predicted the slump in commodities in 2008.




  11. Dr. Marcinko

    You called it right regarding gold.

    FYI: Gold (-GC -2.49%) was falling for the fifth consecutive day today because of two factors: the strengthening dollar and growing concern that demand is weakening in the world’s two largest countries.

    Gold for February delivery was dropping $28 to $1,567.50 an ounce at the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange. The metal has traded as high as $1,595 and as low as $1,571.80 an ounce, while the spot price was down $20, according to Kitco’s gold index.

    Dr. Bethany


  12. Gold Going Down

    Gold is crashing today. Is it on the way to $1,300 oz; or lower?




  13. Gold crashing and there’s no rebound in sight

    An improving economy has limited the demand for a traditional safe haven that hasn’t looked safe for a while.




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